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EUR/USD Forum Analysis Forecast
Graph ke through mapping results se, yeh clear hai ki currency pair EUR/USD market mein buyer's troops ne dominance hai, last week ke end se. Price position jo upar move kar raha hai aur abhi 1.1117 level ke around hai, market ko increase ko continue karne ka indication hai.


Buyer's troops bullish trend ke continuation ko eye kar rahe hain, jo last few days mein happen hai. Market movement currently sideways hai, lekin price Simple Moving Average 150 indicator ke upar comfortable hai, isliye future mein 1.1150 level test karne ki possibility hai.


Agar confirmed penetrate kar sakta hai, market ko increase ko continue karne ki opportunities hogi. MACD indicator par histogram bar consistently zero level ke upar move kar raha hai, market bullish trend mein move kar raha hai.


Candlestick monitoring se, jo 1.1050 level ke upar stay kar raha hai, trend ko potential hai bullish trend ko continue karne ka. Agar price 1.1130 level ke around move kar jaye, yeh good moment hai BUY trading ke liye.


Current trend conditions EUR/USD market bullish trend mein hai, isliye transacting ke liye current trend ko prioritize karna zaroori hai profit potential ko increase karne ke liye.





US Dollar Index (DXY) persistent weakness dikha raha hai, 0.20% drop 101.10 ke around. Yeh decline Federal Reserve monetary policy ease karne ki expectations se tied hai. Investors rate cut ke liye position le rahe hain, Dollar sell-off aur EUR/USD pair rise ho raha hai.


Jackson Hole Symposium, later week mein scheduled hai, key event hai. Fed Chair Jerome Powell ki speech symposium mein highly anticipated hai, Fed policy direction ke clarity ko provide kar sakti hai.


Market US PMI figures ke release ka wait kar raha hai, economic health ke indicators hai, Fed decisions ko influence kar sakte hain. Technically, EUR/USD pair significant resistance levels breach kar chuka hai, bullish sentiment ko reinforce karta hai.


Agar pair continue rise karta hai, higher levels 1.1150 ya beyond target kar sakta hai. Lekin upcoming data aur Powell ki speech volatility introduce kar sakti hai, particularly agar Fed tone hawkish hai.


Agar data upside surprise karta hai, Euro gains ko dampen kar sakta hai, next support level 1.1050 ke around

weekend par, main phir se EURUSD currency pair ka D1 period chart dekhne ka tajwez deta hoon. Is hafte, price pehle se guzre hue hafte ke low ko update kar chuki hai aur expected target - support level 1.1015 tak pohanch gayi hai. Is higher period par wave structure filhal ascending order mein hai. MACD indicator, jo ke overbought zone mein hai, phir bhi bullish momentum dikhata hai. Nearest aur main target, horizontal support level 1.1015 jo candle closing prices par based hai, yeh target poora ho gaya hai, aur is wajah se strong uptrend ban gaya hai. Kal, CCI indicator oversold zone mein tha aur upward movement ke liye ready tha, jo ke ab hone laga hai. Ab hum ek crossroads par hain, ya to hume achha rebound dekne ko milega jiske baad downtrend continue hoga, ya uptrend dobara shuru hoga jo pichle August ke high ko retest kar sakta hai.
Mujhe lagta hai ke rapid rise ke baad ek pullback hoga, jo breach level 1.1047 ki taraf decline ko indicate karta hai. Yeh level chhoti four

EUR/USD Qeemat Move

EUR/USD currency pair ki price action ka analysis aur discussion karenge.


Pair ki situation intriguing scenario present karta hai jab price apni upward trajectory continue karta hai, local ceiling 1.1132 par push karta hai.


Technical correction ab imminent lagta hai.


Aaj shaam US Federal Reserve minutes ka release significant impact daal sakta hai, jabke economic calendar Europe se noteworthy events nahi dikha raha.


Isliye, hamara pair aur other major currencies holding pattern mein hain.


Key factor previously analyzed H4 time frame par Fibonacci range 100-161.7 ka development highlight karta hai.


Intraday pivot points horizontal dotted lines ke roop mein hain, aur 1.1165 par bounce dekhna beneficial ho sakta hai aaj.


Price Action method is scenario mein candle configuration analyze karne ka yield de sakta hai.


Main indicator ke through current price movements forecast karna chahta hoon, jo moving average analysis par based hai.


Currently, channel upward point karta hai, buyers dominance ko signal karta hai sellers ke upar.


Bearish pullbacks ke bawajood, bulls strong hain aur bears ko control nahi dena chahte.


Zigzag line direction suggest karta hai ki long positions open karne advisable hai.





MACD aur RSI indicators, jo TMA signals refine karne mein help karte hain, long buy zone mein hain.


Main apne open order ko 61.7% Fibonacci level par close karne ka plan hai, 1.11704 ke around.


Alternate scenarios ko bhi consider karna worth hai.


Next trading session increased activity dekh sakta hai, recent upward indications ke wajah se.


EUR/USD bearish direction mein move ho raha hai, lekin 1.108 par pahunchne tak wait karna prudent ho sakta hai.


Bearish trend continue nahi ho sakta, critical support level potential reversal bullish side ke liye

EUR/USD mein Long Positions kholne ke liye Germany ka GDP figures economists ki forecasts ke mutabiq aaye, aur halaan ke report disappointing thi, lekin euro par sirf thoda pressure pada, kyun ke pehlay se hi data ne GDP contraction ko indicate kar diya tha second quarter mein. Doosray half of the day mein ziada activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar

Yeh dekhna kaafi dilchasp hoga ke kya Euro GBP ki tarah ek aur higher high banata hai. Yeh bilkul mumkin hai, halaan ke GBP ne reversal ke signs dena shuru kar diye hain, jo abhi tak EUR/USD mein nahi dekhe gaye.Agar hum daily chart se analysis shuru karein, toh aisa lagta hai ke ek fifth wave ka growth form ho raha hai, aur mujhe abhi tak koi aise wajah nazar nahi aa rahi ke yeh na ho. Pehle ek signal aaya tha Euro ke rise hone ka, jiska target 1.12301 tha, aur yeh abhi tak meri chart par purple line ke tor par mojood hai. Lekin ab hum ek different level aur signal par baat kar rahe hain, jo hourly timeframe se hai. Yeh thora qareebi target deta hai, lekin agar growth jaari rahi toh dono targets achieve ho sakte hain. Chaliye ab hourly timeframe par nazar daalte hain.Dusri chart par H4 timeframe hai, lekin targets dekhne ke liye hum hourly buy signal par discussion karenge. Signal level 1.11446 par consider kiya ja raha hai. Is signal level se neeche aur stop-loss level se ooper jo bhi buy entries hoti hain, wo advantageous aur sahi buying points hain. Stop-loss level ko 1.10677 ke neeche consider kiya gaya hai. Target jo mention kiya gaya hai, wo 1.12209 hai. Agar hum signal level se ooper buying karte hain, toh risk-to-reward ratio 1 to 1 se kam ho jata hai, jo ke long-term mein profitable nahi hoga. Dosre lafzon mein, buying entry point aise select karna chahiye ke wo 1 to 1 ratio se neeche na ho. Agar 1 to 2 ratio achieve karna hai, toh buy entries 1.11187 se start karni chahiye. Aur agar 1 to 3 ratio achieve karna hai, toh entries 1.11038 se start karni hongi.
Maine chart par grid aise set kiya hai ke wo ek ruler ki tarah lagta hai. Yani, 0.0% stop hai, 100% profit hai, aur 50% level signal level hai. Currency pair EUR/USD ne Thursday ke din low level 1.10680 se reversal le kar northwards move kiya. Abhi pair Bollinger Bands ke bullish zone mein 1.11625 ke level par hai. MACD histogram zero mark se ooper hai, aur RSI midline ke ooper hai. Agle hafte price ka mazid strong hona aur 261.8% level (1.13133) tak pohanchna expect kiya ja raha hai.

ki forecasts se bhi worse nikli. Asal mein, agar yeh expected se better bhi hoti, toh dollar phir bhi fall karta. Monday aur Tuesday ko, dollar ko macroeconomic backdrop ki zaroorat nahi thi apne decline ko sustain karne ke liye. Toh, yeh kehna mushkil nahi hai ki US labor market ke ek aur weak report ne US currency ko further fall kar diya. Lekin, US dollar daily fall raha hai, regardless of these reports, aur correct bhi nahi kar pa raha hai. Nonfarm Payrolls report previously published reports ki correction nahi hai; yeh sirf annual figure ki adjustment hai. Market ne pehle weaker monthly reports ko account kiya, phir annual one ko, jo ki essentially same data ko reflect karta hai. Abhi traders ko sirf ek sawal puchna chahiye ki yeh relentless rise kab tak continue karega. Upside par trading easy, simple, aur convenient lagta hai, lekin sirf first glance par, kyunki traders likely samajhte hain ki euro almost out of the blue rise kar raha hai. Isliye, yeh movement kisi bhi moment par end ho sakta hai. Currency ko buy karna jab aapko nahi pata ki yeh kyun rise kar raha hai, yeh pleasant task nahi hai. Phir bhi, uptrend ke ending ke signs nahi hain, price continue rise kar sakti hai 1.1185 aur 1.1234 ke targets ke sath. Wednesday ko, sirf ek trading signal forma hua - US trading session mein 1.1137 level surpass hua. Din ke end par, euro sirf 15 pips rise kiya, lekin volatility currently low hai, aur movement one-sided hai. Yeh trade Thursday tak hold ki ja sakti hai 1.1185 ke target ke sath.
EUR/USD hourly time frame mein steady aur measured upward movement sustain kar raha hai. Last week, new US inflation reports ne market ko dollar ko sell karne ka ek aur reason diya. Is week, market Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell se dovish rhetoric expect kar raha hai. Market har available opportunity ko seize kar raha hai dollar ko sell karne ke liye. Ab humare paas do ascending trendlines hain, jo ki euro ko

EUR/USD mein Long Positions kholne ke liye Germany ka GDP figures economists ki forecasts ke mutabiq aaye, aur halaan ke report disappointing thi, lekin euro par sirf thoda pressure pada, kyun ke pehlay se hi data ne GDP contraction ko indicate kar diya tha second quarter mein. Doosray half of the day mein ziada activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karne aur pair ko mazeed barhane ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main selling ko aglay resistance 1.1237 ke test tak postpone karunga. Main wahan bhi sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon, GBP/USD currency pair ke neeche jaane ke chances abhi bhi hain, halanki

Meri subah ki forecast mein, maine 1.1117 level par tawajjo di thi aur is par trading decisions banane ka plan kiya tha. Ab chaliye 5-minute chart ko dekhte hain aur samajhte hain ke kya hua. 1.1117 ke aas-paas ek kami aur false breakout ne euro ke liye buy signal diya, jis ke natije mein jor 25 points se zyada barh gaya. Ab hum din ke doosray hisse ke liye technical picture ko dobarah dekhte hain.
EUR/USD par Long Positions Khulne ke Liye:

Jaise ke umeed thi, euro ne ZEW institute ke Germany aur Eurozone se kamzor data ki wajah se kami ka jawab diya, jis ne jor ki upar ki potential ko rok diya. Din ke doosray hise mein, U.S. economy se mutaliq kuch zyada dilchasp aur aham statistics aane ki umeed hai. Hum August ke retail sales volume ka tabdeel hona, industrial production, aur manufacturing output ke figures dekh rahe hain. FOMC ki member Lorie K. Logan ka taqreer itna dilchasp nahi hoga, kyunki wo future rate prospects par nahi baat karengi. Agar bohot mazboot data aata hai aur bearish reaction hota hai, to mujhe umeed hai ke buyers 1.1117 ke support level par wapas aayenge, jahan pehla hissa achha raha. Wahan ek false breakout sab kuch tayar karega long positions ke liye, bullish trend ko 1.1150 ke aas-paas recovery ki taraf barhata hai, jo ke pichle hafte ka high hai. Is range par breakout aur upar consolidation hone par jor barhega aur 1.1176 ka test hone ka moka milega. Aakhri target 1.1199 hoga, jahan main profits le loonga. Agar EUR/USD girta hai aur din ke doosray hise mein 1.1117 ke aas-paas koi activity nahi hoti, to pair par pressure barh jayega, jo badi sell-off ka sabab banega. Is surat mein, main sirf tab enter karunga jab 1.1097 ke aas-paas ek false breakout banta hai, jahan moving averages thodi upar hain. Main 1.1074 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan bana raha hoon, intraday upward correction ke liye 30-35 points ka target rakhta hoon.

EUR/USD

Euro, jo ke abhi major currencies ke muqable mein underperform kar raha hai, ne Wednesday ki New York trading session ke dauran apne recent highs 1.1055 se significant decline dekha. Market sentiment abhi zyada ter ECB ke September mein ek aur interest rate cut ki umeed ke asar mein hai. Is move ke anticipation ne intensity gain ki hai jab inflation rates gir rahe hain, jo ke yeh suggest karta hai ke yeh rate-cutting cycle September ke baad bhi barh sakta hai. Abhi spot price 1.1016 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai.

ECB ke potential interest rate decisions ka andaza lagane ke liye investors German aur Eurozone HICP data ka closely jaiza lenge jo Thursday aur Friday ko release honge. Analysts expect karte hain ke Eurozone ka annual headline HICP, jo ke overall inflation ko measure karta hai, 2.3% tak decelerate karega, jab ke core HICP, jo ke volatile items ko exclude karta hai, 2.8% tak moderate hoga.

**EUR/USD ke fundamentals:**ECB ke aur zyada interest rate cuts ki umeed badh gayi hai Eurozone ke economic outlook aur wage growth slowdown ke hawale se barhati hui uncertainties ki wajah se. Hiraan kun baat yeh hai ke Eurozone ki economic activity August mein unexpected upar gayi, flash HCOB PMI report ke mutabiq. Magar yeh uptick ziada ter France mein Olympic Games ki wajah se aayi demand ki wajah se hua. Economists isay temporary boost samajhte hain, naa ke kisi fundamental economic change ko.

ECB ke Chief Economist Philip Lane ne JH Symposium ke dauran Saturday ko yeh kaha ke restrictive monetary policy ki zarurat hai. Lane ne inflation ke khilaf ladai mein ki gayi taraqqi ko acknowledge kiya, magar yeh bhi kaha ke lambi muddat tak success ka koi yaqeen nahi hai. Unki baat ne ECB ke inflationary pressures ko manage karne aur market expectations ko guide karne ke challenges ko ujagar kiya.

**Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:**

Wednesday ko pair 1.1010 level ke neeche slip kar gaya jab buyers ko upward momentum banaye rakhne mein mushkil hui. Pair abhi 50-day EMA ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke 1.0962 par hai, magar agar decline jari rehta hai to price 20-day EMA ke paas wapas aa sakti hai, jo ke 1.1050 ke qareeb hai. EUR/USD buyers ke liye resistance 14-day SMA par 1.1026 ke aas-paas dekhi ja sakti hai.

Pair ko 1.1000 ke crucial psychological level ke breach hone ka khatra hai. Technical indicators jaise ke MACD aur RSI bearish outlook ki taraf ishara karte hain. Agar downward momentum barqarar rehti hai, to traders ko apni positions ka jaiza lena hoga aur potential reversals ke liye hoshiyaar rehna hoga

EURUSD market ka jaiza liya aur H4 time frame chart pe analysis ki koshish ki, jo ke kal raat ke market trend ki wajah se kaafi dilchasp lag raha tha. Main ne dekha ke ek achi upar janay ki opportunity phir se ubharti hui nazar aayi. Aik reversal signal bhi dikhayi diya, jahan pichlay chand dinon mein price movement zyada tar sellers ke qabze mein tha jo ke neeche lay janay ki koshish kar rahe thay, lekin chart pe yeh dekhne ko mila ke bearish attempt abhi tak 1.1004 level ko break nahi kar Saka jo is hafte ke liye ek support ka kaam kar raha hai. Is ka matlab yeh hai ke agar sellers is support area ko na tor sakay, to trend upar ki taraf move karna shuru kar sakta hai. Is liye, main aik strong trading plan bana raha hoon taake andaza laga sako ke price kab upar janay shuru hogi aur agla target kahan ho sakta hai, H4 time frame ke mutabiq. Saath hi main stochastic oscillator indicator aur support resistance boundaries ka bhi istemal kar raha hoon. EURUSD ka price movement H4 time frame chart pe reversal signal dikha raha hai, jo ke pichlay bearish correction candlestick ke shape se pehlay tha. Daily time frame main hum yeh dekh saktay hain ke pichlay hafte ke trading session main buyers apna bullish trend qaim rakhne mein nakam rahe kyun ke sellers ka pressure zyada ho gaya aur market correction ki taraf chal diya.
Is hafte bhi bearish attempt jari hai, lekin pichlay Thursday ko accha buying interest dekhne ko mila, jis ne candlestick position ko improve kar diya aur market ko bullish rally ka rasta diya jaise ke August ke end mein dekhne ko mila tha. Stochastics ka additional analysis bhi dekha, jahan signal line 80 zone tak pohanch chuki hai, jo market ke mazeed barhnay ka ishara deti hai. Aaj bhi buyers ko momentum mil sakta hai ke woh EURUSD price ko aagay barhane mein kaamiyab hoon.

Filhaal market movement 1.1078 ke aas paas hai aur main aglay izafay ka signal intezar kar raha hoon, kyun ke aaj dopahar tak market transactions mein koi khaas volatility nahi dekhne ko mili. Pichlay mahine ke benchmark ke mutabiq, ek stable izafa dekhne ko mil raha hai jo ke bich bich mein downward corrections ke sath tha. Market zyada bullish move kar raha hai, lekin main tab tak wait karunga jab tak buyers 1.1096 resistance zone ko break nahi kar lete, taake buy signal valid ho sake. Aaj ke market movement ke dauran middle position hai

Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany Ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziyata active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karne aur pair ko mazeed barhane ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main selling ko aglay resistance 1.1237 ke test tak postpone karunga. Main wahan bhi sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon, GBP/USD currency pair ke neeche jaane ke chances abhi bhi hain

Bazaar Fed ke interest rates mein tabdeeli ki taraf bechain hai, aur saath hi kal aane wale Consumer Price Index (CPI) report par bhi nazar hai. Is report ke baad mahol mein khaas harkat dekhne ko mil sakti hai. EUR/USD tab tak purani halat mein nahi rahe ga jab tak Fed ka faisla nahi aata. Aap shayad European Central Bank (ECB) ke meeting ka bhi zikar kar rahe hain, jo Thursday ko hai, jo is maamle mein ahmiyat rakhti hai. Maine forecast calendar ko dekha aur mujhe dekhar hairani hui ke 0.6 basis points ka rate reduction plan kiya gaya hai, jo rate ko 4.25% se 3.64% tak le aayega. Agar yeh forecast theek raha, toh EUR/USD mein kam zyada girawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Lekin, agar ECB sirf 0.5 ya 0.2 points ka reduction karta hai, toh EUR/USD ko mazid taqat mil sakti hai. Aise mein ECB ka rate cut dollar ko mazid majboot karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai aur EUR/USD ko kamzor kar sakta hai.
Pichle Jumme ko EUR/USD pair ne khaas taur par behtareen recovery dikhai, jo ke kuch 4 hafton ke baad sab se neechi levels se upar aya. Yeh positive momentum pair ko haftay ke trading range ke upar end tak le gaya, jo lagbhag 1.1090 ke aas-paas tha. Is upar chadhai ko kamzor US dollar ne support diya, jo ke weaker-than-expected US Producer Price Index (PPI) report ki wajah se tha. PPI data ne Federal Reserve ke agle haftay zyada aggressive rate cut ki umeed ko mazid barhadiya. Is positive risk sentiment ke sath, US dollar ne girawat dikhai aur is ka natija yeh hua ke EUR/USD pair ki qeemat mein izafa hua. Iske ilawa, European Central Bank (ECB) ka apne current interest rate stance ko barqarar rakhna euro ko support diya, jo currency pair ke liye buying interest ko mazid barhata hai.

Technical perspective se, EUR/USD pair ab ek downward channel ke upper boundary ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, jo ke pichle teen hafton se chal raha hai. Agar yeh channel se mazid behtar break hota hai, toh yeh recent corrective decline ke khatam hone ki nishani ban sakti hai aur short term mein mazid upward movement ki taraf rukh de sakti hai

Doosray half of the day mein ziyata activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany Ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziyata active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karne aur pair ko mazeed barhane ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main selling ko aglay resistance 1.1237 ke test tak postpone karunga

EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany Ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziyata active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karne aur pair ko mazeed barhane ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main selling ko aglay resistance 1.1237 ke test tak postpone karun

Bazaar Fed ke interest rates mein tabdeeli ki taraf bechain hai, aur saath hi kal aane wale Consumer Price Index (CPI) report par bhi nazar hai. Is report ke baad mahol mein khaas harkat dekhne ko mil sakti hai. EUR/USD tab tak purani halat mein nahi rahe ga jab tak Fed ka faisla nahi aata. Aap shayad European Central Bank (ECB) ke meeting ka bhi zikar kar rahe hain, jo Thursday ko hai, jo is maamle mein ahmiyat rakhti hai. Maine forecast calendar ko dekha aur mujhe dekhar hairani hui ke 0.6 basis points ka rate reduction plan kiya gaya hai, jo rate ko 4.25% se 3.64% tak le aayega. Agar yeh forecast theek raha, toh EUR/USD mein kam zyada girawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Lekin, agar ECB sirf 0.5 ya 0.2 points ka reduction karta hai, toh EUR/USD ko mazid taqat mil sakti hai. Aise mein ECB ka rate cut dollar ko mazid majboot karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai aur EUR/USD ko kamzor kar sakta hai.
Pichle Jumme ko EUR/USD pair ne khaas taur par behtareen recovery dikhai, jo ke kuch 4 hafton ke baad sab se neechi levels se upar aya. Yeh positive momentum pair ko haftay ke trading range ke upar end tak le gaya, jo lagbhag 1.1090 ke aas-paas tha. Is upar chadhai ko kamzor US dollar ne support diya, jo ke weaker-than-expected US Producer Price Index (PPI) report ki wajah se tha. PPI data ne Federal Reserve ke agle haftay zyada aggressive rate cut ki umeed ko mazid barhadiya. Is positive risk sentiment ke sath, US dollar ne girawat dikhai aur is ka natija yeh hua ke EUR/USD pair ki qeemat mein izafa hua. Iske ilawa, European Central Bank (ECB) ka apne current interest rate stance ko barqarar rakhna euro ko support diya, jo currency pair ke liye buying interest ko mazid barhata hai.

Technical perspective se, EUR/USD pair ab ek downward channel ke upper boundary ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, jo ke pichle teen hafton se chal raha hai. Agar yeh channel se mazid behtar break hota hai, toh yeh recent corrective decline ke khatam hone ki nishani ban sakti hai aur short term mein mazid upward movement ki taraf rukh de sakti hai