یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

Caption

Euro mein budh ki subah mazeed sideways movement dekhi gayi, jahan bazaar mein uthane giraan ka silsila jari raha.

Bazaar mein pehle hi kaafi interest rate cuts ho chuke hain, jis se sawal uthta hai ke kahin koi mazeed khaufnaak cheez to aanay wali nahi? Agar waqai aik shadeed mandi aa rahi hai, to Federal Reserve ke aggressive rate cuts se, paradoxically, US dollar mazeed mazboot ho sakta hai. Yeh is liye ke khauf zada saarmaya daar US Treasury market ki taraf rujhaan kar sakte hain, chahey khud America se maashi pareshaniyan uth rahi hon. Yeh baat naye traders ko ajeeb lag sakti hai, lekin tareekhi tor par dekha gaya hai ke khauf ke dour mein maal waapas US ki taraf aata hai aur dollar mazboot ho jata hai.

Euro ne haal hi mein aik muqarara range mein fluctuation dikhai hai, jo key levels ke darmiyan move kar raha hai. 1.10 ka level support ke tor par kaam kar raha hai jabke 1.11 ka level resistance ke tor par hai. Yeh movement pattern is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke bazaar iss waqt aik holding pattern mein hai, in do aham numbers ke darmiyan phansa hua hai. Jaisay traders Atlantic ke dono taraf central bank policies ke mumkin nateejon ka andaza laga rahe hain, euro is range-bound rawaiye ko jaari rakhne ka imkaan hai jab tak koi wazeh signal na mil jaye.

Mukhatasar mein, euro ki haaliya price action bazaar ki bay-yaqeeni ko zahir karti hai, jahan traders European Central Bank aur Federal Reserve ke mazeed iqdamat ke muntazir hain. Jab ke currencies muqarara support aur resistance levels ke darmiyan trade kar rahi hain, bazaar mehsos hota hai ke faislay kon andaza lagane se pehle wazeh maashi isharaat ka intezaar kar raha hai.

Maine abhi EUR/USD currency pair ki current price performance analyze ki hai. Price ne daily chart par trend channel ke andar girawat dikhayi hai, jo iske possible direction ka behtar andaza deta hai. Yeh tabdeel us pehle ke upar ki taraf movement se mukhtalif hai, jahan price overbought thi lekin phir bhi badh rahi thi. Teen bearish price candlesticks ke baad, humein kal ek bullish candle nazar aayi, jo ke shayad ek correction ya upar ki taraf pohnchne ki koshish thi. Lekin yeh koshish prevailing bullish kamzori ki wajah se naakaam rahi, jiss ke natije mein mazeed girawat hui. Daily chart mein bearish movement dikhayi de rahi hai, jo ke lambi muddat ke selling trend ki taraf ishara kar rahi hai. Immediate target 1.1017 (stop reversal 1/8) hai, aur key level 1.0987 (0/8) par hai. Kal mein dekhunga ke kya price 1.0987 par touch hota hai aur is support level par kya reaction hota hai.


Aaj ki performance ko summarize karte hue, yeh wazeh hota hai ke hum ne resistance ko test karne se bacha 1.1080 par aur short position enter ki 1.1062 par, lekin results moderate rahe. Euro ki girawat ke bawajood, movement mehdoos rahi, aur aaj ka trading range 40 points se bhi kam raha. Yeh din khatam nahi hua abhi tak, lekin yeh mumkin nahi lagta ke euro-dollar abhi ke 1.1033 se bhi neeche jayega. Mere paas ek buy order hai 1.1028 par, lekin mujhe nahi pata ke yeh trigger hoga ya nahi. Iss area se rebound mumkin hai, lekin meri priority lower entry point dhoondhna hai. Filhaal sab kuch reduction strategy ke saath align kar raha hai. Hourly chart par, EUR/USD ne 75-day moving average (MA75) ko test kiya, jis ki wajah se renewed sell-offs dekhi gayi hain.

EUR/USD pair ne Wednesday ko set kiye gaye new high 1.1175 se decline kiya hai 1.1130 par, jab US Dollar (USD) rise hua lekin 2024 ke new low ke qareeb reh gaya. Central currency pair thoda down trade kar raha hai 1.1130 par. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo US dollar ki value ko measures karta hai six other major currencies ke relative, ab 101.00 par trade kar raha hai.
Federal Reserve (Fed) September mein interest rates ko lower karne ki track par hai, US dollar ke liye prognosis abhi bhi bleak hai. Is move se, Fed apni first dovish interest rate decision ko almost four years mein kar raha hai. March 2022 se, US central bank ne tight monetary policy ko pursue kiya hai inflation ko reduce karne ke liye.

Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes July 30-31 policy meeting se indicate karte hain ki "vast majority" Fed officials September mein policy-easing ko appropriate samajhte hain, given continued easing inflationary pressures. Yeh market speculation ko strengthen karta hai Fed interest rate cuts ke liye.

FOMC minutes ne bhi reveal kiya ki some decision-makers July se interest rates ko lower karne ke liye prepared the. Investors Fed Chair Jerome Powell ki address ko watch karenge Jackson Hole (JH) Symposium mein Friday ko 14:00 GMT se, interest rates ki direction ke liye clues ke liye. Woh September ke interest rate decreases ki extent aur Fed is year ke potential reductions ke hints bhi dhoondenge.

Investors US flash S&P Global PMI data ko watch karenge August ke liye Thursday ko 13:45 GMT se release hone ke liye. Preliminary PMI data se anticipate kiya ja raha hai ki July mein Composite PMI 54.3 se 53.5 par gir gaya.

Price Evaluation

Investors ki attention Fed Powell ki address par focused hai JH Symposium mein Friday ko, EUR/USD pair Wednesday ke trading range mein trade kar raha hai. Main currency pair year-to-date high 1.1775 par trade kar raha hai, isliye anticipate kiya ja raha hai ki woh apni four-day winning streak ko extend karega. Standard currency pair ne previously momentum gain kiya hai daily time frame breakout ke channel formation se. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) short-to-long-term trend ko indicate kar rahe hain, upward pointing. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) upward solid momentum ko indicate karta hai, bullish region 60.00–80.00 mein oscillating. But, momentum indicato

Currency pair ne 1.1150 tak kuch waqt ke liye bulandiyaon ka saamna kiya, lekin phir se apne aam range 1.1204 ke aas-paas wapas aa gaya, aur 2024 ka naya high set karne ka mauka chhod diya. Market ki ummeedein bharak gayi thi, investors ko lag raha tha ke Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts jaldi implement kar sakta hai. Sab se zyada speculation is baat ke aas-paas hai ke shayad September mein double rate cut ho sakta hai, jo currency fluctuations ko heavily influence kar raha hai. Eurozone ki Economic Data ne Aage ke Rate Cuts ki Umeedein Kam Kar Di: Eurozone ke economic indicators ne is saal additional interest rate cuts ke liye umeedein kam kar di hain. Inflation data expected se zyada aaya hai, jahan Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) July mein 2.6% saal-on-saal badh gaya, jabke consensus estimate 2.4% tha. Core HICP, jo food aur energy jese volatile items ko exclude karta hai, 2.9% tak barh gaya, jabke expected 2.8% tha. Ye figures Eurozone ke mazboot economic conditions ko highlight karti hain aur further rate reductions ki ummeedon ka dobara jaiza lene par majboor karti hain. EUR/USD ki Correction Limited Hai Jabke Mazboot German Data Euro ko Support De Raha Hai:

EUR/USD mein recent correction itni substantial ya tez nahi dikhayi gayi. German economic data, special June ke Factory Orders, ne Euro ko support diya hai. Jabke June mein 0.8% month-over-month increase ki expectations thi, jo May mein 1.6% ki kami ke baad thi, actual data ne forecasts ko piche chhod diya aur 3.9% ka izafa dikhaya. Ye strong performance Eurozone economy ki resilience ko dikhata hai aur Euro ki position ko support karta hai.

D1 Chart ke Key Technical Levels aur Resistance Points ko Dekhein:

1.1203 ka mark ek significant resistance point raha hai jahan buyers ne pehle step in kiya hai. Agar is level se upar successful rally hoti hai, to December ki peak 1.1139 par dhyan jaa sakta hai. Agar Fed koi achanak emergency rate cut implement karta hai, to market conditions volatile ho sakti hain aur 1.1277 tak ka move bhi mumkin ho sakta hai

Ab, mere khayal se humne ek tezi se news-driven downturn dekha hai jo ideally further confirm hona chahiye. Asal mein, humne kal ke lower boundary ko 1.1075 ke aas-paas break kiya. Abhi price 1.1065 pe mark hai, aur hum thoda aur neeche bhi ja sakte hain, lekin principle clear hai. Humein ek pullback ka intezar karna hoga upar ki taraf, mere hisaab se ye 1.1110 - 1.1120 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai, jo ke future southward movement ke liye normal hoga. Ho sakta hai ke America mein isse upar push kiya jaye, phir wapas pullback ho aur dry out ho jaye. Yeh aksar Fridays ko hota hai agar week ke doran high volatility rahi ho.
Humne upar 1.1154 tak pohncha - yeh southern dreams ka end hai. Upar ke level pe pohnchne ke baad, hum ab zyada southward movement ki ummeed kar sakte hain. Market ka ye behavior FOMC meeting ke 18 September ke aas-paas ek significant decline ka indication ho sakta hai. Aam taur par, market ease periods mein corrective moves ya consolidation patterns dekhta hai, jo ke agle badi movement ka signal hota hai.

Ab jab ke pullback hone ki ummeed hai, traders ko short-term movements pe nazar rakhni hogi. 1.1110 - 1.1120 ke aas-paas ka level ek achha point ho sakta hai jahan se price phir se southward direction le sakti hai. Is pullback ke dauran, buying pressure ho sakti hai, lekin yeh temporary ho sakta hai. Long-term perspective se, market ki southward trend ab bhi intact hai aur isme further declines dekhne ko mil sakte hain.

Yeh situation Friday ko aur zyada interesting ho sakti hai, agar week ke doran high volatility hui ho. Aise cases mein, the market tends to react strongly towards the end of the week. FOMC meeting ke aas-paas, jo ke monetary policy aur economic outlook ko determine karegi, ek major catalyst ho sakti hai jo market ko further direction de sakta hai.

Overall, market ki situation ko dekhte hue, pullback ke baad southward movement ka intezar karna hoga. Traders ko alert rehna hoga aur market ke changes ko closely monitor karna hoga. Yeh time frame market ke trends aur movements ko samajhne ke liye

Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany Ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziyata active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par k

Yeh apne upward movement ko continue kiya. Din bhar mein, sirf ek report publish hui thi Nonfarm Payrolls ki annual revision ke bare mein, jo ki forecasts se bhi worse nikli. Asal mein, agar yeh expected se better bhi hoti, toh dollar phir bhi fall karta. Monday aur Tuesday ko, dollar ko macroeconomic backdrop ki zaroorat nahi thi apne decline ko sustain karne ke liye. Toh, yeh kehna mushkil nahi hai ki US labor market ke ek aur weak report ne US currency ko further fall kar diya. Lekin, US dollar daily fall raha hai, regardless of these reports, aur correct bhi nahi kar pa raha hai. Nonfarm Payrolls report previously published reports ki correction nahi hai; yeh sirf annual figure ki adjustment hai. Market ne pehle weaker monthly reports ko account kiya, phir annual one ko, jo ki essentially same data ko reflect karta hai. Abhi traders ko sirf ek sawal puchna chahiye ki yeh relentless rise kab tak continue karega. Upside par trading easy, simple, aur convenient lagta hai, lekin sirf first glance par, kyunki traders likely samajhte hain ki euro almost out of the blue rise kar raha hai. Isliye, yeh movement kisi bhi moment par end ho sakta hai. Currency ko buy karna jab aapko nahi pata ki yeh kyun rise kar raha hai, yeh pleasant task nahi hai. Phir bhi, uptrend ke ending ke signs nahi hain, price continue rise kar sakti hai 1.1185 aur 1.1234 ke targets ke sath.

Wednesday ko, sirf ek trading signal forma hua - US trading session mein 1.1137 level surpass hua. Din ke end par, euro sirf 15 pips rise kiya, lekin volatility currently low hai, aur movement one-sided hai. Yeh trade Thursday tak hold ki ja sakti hai 1.1185 ke target ke sath.

EUR/USD hourly time frame mein steady aur measured upward movement sustain kar raha hai. Last week, new US inflation reports ne market ko dollar ko sell karne ka ek aur reason diya. Is week, market Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell se dovish rhetoric expect kar raha hai. Market har available opportunity ko seize kar raha hai dollar ko sell karne ke liye. Ab humare paas do ascending trendlines hain, jo ki euro ko support kar rahe hain. General mein, koi bhi indicators currently suggest nahi kar rahe hain ki uptrend end ho raha ha
EUR/USD ka next target strong seller supply resistance area 1.1245-1.1250 tak pohnch sakta hai. Moving average ko trend strength monitor karne ke liye use karna bohat effective strategy hai, especially jab resistance aur support levels ko identify

**EUR/USD Economic Data:** EUR/USD currency pair ke haliya halat mein, U.S. aur Eurozone dono ke monetary policy ke hawale se badalte hue ummeedon ne bohot asar dala hai. U.S. Federal Reserve ke hawale se dheema approach ki ummeed ne bazaar ke dynamics ko significant tor par tabdeel kar diya hai, aur traders ko interest rate ke ghatne ya dheere dheere barhne ke imkaan ka speculations hai, jo U.S. ke mixed economic indicators ke jawab mein hai. Halankeh inflationary pressures ab bhi barqarar hain, economic activity mein dheemapan ke nishan ne euro ko mazbooti di hai, jabke Fed ke zyada accommodating hone ki umeed barh gayi hai. Is ke muqablay, Eurozone mein economic recovery uneven rahi hai, jahan growth member countries ke darmiyan farq karti hai. European Central Bank (ECB) ne apni cautious stance ko barqarar rakha hai, jo euro ko support deta hai aik challenging economic backdrop ke darmiyan. ECB ke policy direction ke hawale se bazaar ka jazbaat EUR/USD pair ke liye aik ahem factor rahega. Global geopolitical uncertainties aur aane wale U.S. economic data ke asraat ke mad e nazar, Fed ke policy decisions ko nazar e sanbhal se dekha jayega.


**Technical View Of EUR/USD:**
Technical pehlu se, EUR/USD pair mein kaafi fluctuations dekhe gaye hain, jo significant support aur resistance levels ke darmiyan trade kar raha hai. May se early June tak bearish trend ke baad, jab price 1.1100 se gir kar 1.0700 tak pohnchi, market ne kai fair value gaps (FVGs) dekhe jo baad mein balance talash karte hue bhar diye gaye. July mein aayi recovery ke doran, jab price 1.1100 ke nazdeek wapas chali gayi aur kai FVGs aur daily liquidity zones (DLiq) ko paar kiya, August mein price 1.1270 tak pohnchi, lekin 1.1250 ke aas-paas resistance ka samna kiya. Filhal, EUR/USD pair 1.1085 ke nazdeek consolidate kar raha hai heightened volatility ke baad. Price 34-day exponential moving average (EMA) ke upar hai, jo ek prevailing bullish trend ko darshata hai. Lekin, MACD signal line se pull back kar gaya hai, jo uptrend mein ek potential pause ya reversal ko signal karta hai. Key support levels mein 1.1000 mark, aur 50-day aur 200-day moving averages se additional support shamil hai. 1.1100 par resistance ab bhi ek critical factor hai jo future price movements ko determine karega.

EUR/USD 4-hour chart ek dynamic situation ko dikhata hai jahan pair mukhtalif liquidity zones aur fair value gaps (FVGs) ke beech navigate kar raha hai, jo buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan chal rahe tug-of-war ko reflect karta hai. Early May se, EUR/USD pair ne ek bearish phase dekha, jab price 1.1100 se gir kar 1.0700 tak pohnchi. Is girawat ke dauran kai FVGs bane jo baad mein market ke balance talash karne par bhar diye gaye. May ki price action ne clear bearish sentiment dikhaya, jahan price key resistance level 1.1000 ko todne mein struggle karti rahi, daily liquidity (DLiq) zones ke zariye capped thi. June mein, pair support aur resistance levels ke beech oscillate karta raha, jahan 1.0800 area ek critical support level ke tor par kaam aaya. Is dauran, price ne 1.0900 level ko multiple times test kiya, lekin jab DLiq zones ke nazdeek pohnchi to selling pressure ka saamna kiya. June ka consolidation phase market ke liquidity absorb karne aur agle significant move ke liye prepare hone ka tha.

July mein momentum shift hua, jab EUR/USD pair ne apne previous lows se recovery shuru ki. Price steadily 1.1100 ki taraf barhti gayi, aur is raaste mein kai FVGs aur DLiq zones ko paar kiya. Is rally ko short-covering aur fresh buying interest ne fuel diya, jab market participants ne key resistance level ke upar breakout ki ummeed ki. August mein, pair 1.1100 level ko break karne mein kamiyab raha, aur 1.1270 ke nazdeek high pohncha. Lekin, yeh move zyada der tak na chala, jab price ne nayi DLiq zone 1.1250 ke aas-paas resistance ka saamna kiya. 1.1200 ke upar gains ko sustain na karne ki wajah se price 1.1000 level ke paas retrace hui, jahan pair ne ek pehle established DLiq zone mein support paaya.


Filhal, EUR/USD pair 1.1085 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai, recent volatility ke baad consolidation ke nishan dikhate hue. 1.1050 level ke aas-paas FVGs ki maujoodgi yeh darshati hai ke market ab bhi recent move ko digest kar raha hai aur agle leg up ya down ke liye prepare ho sakta hai. Chart yeh indicate karta hai ke 1.1100 level ek key resistance bana hua hai, jabke 1.1000 ek crucial support ke tor par kaam aa raha hai. Summary mein, EUR/USD 4-hour chart ek aise market ko reflect karta hai jo liquidity zones aur FVGs ke interactions se driven hai, aur pair filhal key levels ke beech phansa hua hai. Agar 1.1100 ke upar sustained move hota hai to yeh 1.1200 aur usse aage ke gains ke raaste khol sakta hai, jabke 1.1000 ke neeche break hone se 1.0900 ki taraf deeper retracement ka signal mil sakta hai. Traders ko in levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye, kyunki ye near term mein pair ke direction ko determine karne mein madadgar honge.

**Technical Outlook: Gold Price Tumbles Below $2500 Due to USD Strength**
Gold ab bhi upwardly biased hai, lekin short term mein iska trend negative lagta hai. Jab XAU/USD ne $2520 se upar daily peak ko touch kiya, toh usne apna rukh palta aur "bearish engulfing" candle chart pattern bana, jo additional losses ke liye raasta khol raha hai. Momentum bearish ho gaya hai, jaisa ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) se dikhai deta hai. RSI apne neutral level ke neeche cross hone ke qareeb hai.

Agar XAU/USD August 22 ke low $2470 ke neeche girta hai, toh yeh further downside ka signal dega. Agla demand zone April 12 ke high ka confluence hoga, jo support mein badal gaya tha, aur 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke beech $2435 aur $2431 ke aas-paas hoga.

Doosri taraf, agar buyers prices ko $2500 ke upar le jaate hain, toh agla resistance year-to-date high $2531 hoga. Agar yeh bhi surpass hota hai, toh agla stop psychological $2550 level hoga, uske baad $2600 mark.

**Fundamental Analysis:**

Gold Price Falls and Ends Week Below $2500 Ahead of US Inflation Data:

Gold ne $2531 ke all-time high ko test karne mein na kamyabi ke baad retreat kiya aur North American session ke late hours mein 0.80% se zyada gir gaya. US economic data ke hawale se Fed ke September meeting mein 50 ya 25 basis points ke interest rate cut par shak hai. XAU/USD $2493 par trade kar raha hai, jab yeh $2529 ka high touch kar chuka tha.


US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) ne reveal kiya ke August mein Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) estimate se kam the, lekin July ke downwardly revised number ke muqablay mein behtar the. Report ko detail mein dekha jaye toh, Unemployment Rate bhi kam hui hai.

Kal ka din market mein kaafi dilchasp raha. News release ke pas-e-manzar mein, hamare EURUSD currency pair ki price mein growth ka ek impulse dekhne ko mila jo 1.1149 tak gaya, uske baad upward trend neeche ki taraf badal gaya aur price 1.1070 tak gir gayi.
Agar hum 4-hour chart ka jaiza lein, toh dekh sakte hain ke price ne channel ki lower border ko 1.1028 par test kiya aur wahan se bounce kiya. Uske baad price ne northern movement mein trading shuru ki. Kal news ne growth ka sabab bana aur upper border ko 1.1145 par test kiya.

Abhi price 1.1084 par hai aur middle moving line ko test kar rahi hai. Moving line ab red hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke sellers ka upper hand hai buyers par. Agle hafte mein, main southern movement ke jaari rehne ki umeed karta hoon, jo channel ki lower border 1.1019 tak aur neeche tak ja sakta hai.

Meri expectation thi ke hamara currency pair 1.1120-1.1140 tak grow karega. Maine 1.1120 se sell ka pending order laga diya tha. Abhi meri deal thode se plus mein hai. Lot chhota hai, aur agar price achi growth develop karti hai, jaise ke last week ke maximum se upar, toh yeh mere liye zyada critical nahi hoga.

Meri main strategy yeh hai ke asset mein decline hoga. Main apni deal ko daily channel ki lower border tak hold karunga, jo ab 1.0822 par hai. Main maan raha hoon ke jab price lower border tak decline karegi, toh shayad yeh thodi aur neeche shift ho jayegi. Abhi ke liye, daily chart ka moving average green hai, jo buyers ki priority dikhata hai sellers ke muqable mein. Magar waqt ke sath, moving average bhi sellers ki priority dikhane lag jayega buyers ke muqable mein.

Kal ka din market mein kaafi dilchasp raha. News release ke pas-e-manzar mein, hamare EURUSD currency pair ki price mein growth ka ek impulse dekhne ko mila jo 1.1149 tak gaya, uske baad upward trend neeche ki taraf badal gaya aur price 1.1070 tak gir gayi.
Agar hum 4-hour chart ka jaiza lein, toh dekh sakte hain ke price ne channel ki lower border ko 1.1028 par test kiya aur wahan se bounce kiya. Uske baad price ne northern movement mein trading shuru ki. Kal news ne growth ka sabab bana aur upper border ko 1.1145 par test kiya.

Abhi price 1.1084 par hai aur middle moving line ko test kar rahi hai. Moving line ab red hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke sellers ka upper hand hai buyers par. Agle hafte mein, main southern movement ke jaari rehne ki umeed karta hoon, jo channel ki lower border 1.1019 tak aur neeche tak ja sakta hai.

Meri expectation thi ke hamara currency pair 1.1120-1.1140 tak grow karega. Maine 1.1120 se sell ka pending order laga diya tha. Abhi meri deal thode se plus mein hai. Lot chhota hai, aur agar price achi growth develop karti hai, jaise ke last week ke maximum se upar, toh yeh mere liye zyada critical nahi hoga.

Meri main strategy yeh hai ke asset mein decline hoga. Main apni deal ko daily channel ki lower border tak hold karunga, jo ab 1.0822 par hai. Main maan raha hoon ke jab price lower border tak decline karegi, toh shayad yeh thodi aur neeche shift ho jayegi. Abhi ke liye, daily chart ka moving average green hai, jo buyers ki priority dikhata hai sellers ke muqable mein. Magar waqt ke sath, moving average bhi sellers ki priority dikhane lag jayega buyers ke muqable mein.

Filhal, EUR/USD currency pair 1.1270 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. Current trend bearish hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke market dheere dheere gir raha hai. Lekin, yeh bearish movement aane wale dinon mein ek significant shift ka izhar bhi kar sakti hai.
EUR/USD ka recent behavior yeh dikhata hai ke jab pair August mein 1.1270 ka peak pohncha, tab usne 1.1200 ke upar apni gains ko sustain karna mushkil paaya. 1.1250 ke aas-paas ka resistance, aur 1.1000 ke mark ki taraf recent retracement, consolidation aur caution ki phase ko reflect karta hai. Yeh consolidation aksar tab hoti hai jab market recent moves ko digest kar rahi hoti hai aur future volatility ke liye prepare ho rahi hoti hai.

Technical indicators yeh support karte hain ke pair ek substantial move ke qareeb ho sakta hai. 4-hour chart significant support aur resistance levels ke beech fluctuations ko dikhata hai, jahan pair mukhtalif liquidity zones aur fair value gaps (FVGs) ke zariye navigate kar raha hai. Key levels, jaise ke 1.1050 ke aas-paas multiple FVGs ki maujoodgi yeh suggest karti hai ke market ab bhi recent developments ko adjust kar rahi hai aur ek zyada pronounced directional move ke liye prepare ho sakti hai.

Technical factors ke ilawa, fundamental aspects bhi EUR/USD ke trajectory ko shape karne mein ahem role ada karte hain. Eurozone aur U.S. mein recent developments ne market sentiment ko influence kiya hai. European Central Bank (ECB) ne Federal Reserve ke muqablay mein zyada cautious stance rakha hai, jo ke dovish raha hai. Monetary policy expectations mein yeh divergence current market dynamics ko contribute kar rahi hai, jahan euro ne zyada strength gain kiya hai amid ek more accommodating Fed outlook.

Aage dekhte hue, EUR/USD pair ka behavior upcoming economic data aur geopolitical developments se influence hoga. Significant movement ka potential in factors ke interplay par depend karega. Agar pair key resistance level 1.1100 ko break karke is level ke upar sustain hota hai, toh yeh upward movement ki taraf shift ka signal de sakta hai, jo ke 1.1200 ya usse zyada higher levels ko test kar sakta hai. Wahi, agar support levels, khaaskar 1.1000, ke neeche break hota hai, toh yeh deeper retracement ka signal dega, aur 1.0900 ke lower levels tak wapas aane ka possibility hai.


Traders ko key levels aur upcoming economic data releases ko closely monitor karna chahiye, taake EUR/USD ke direction ko gauge kiya ja sake. Market ka response in factors ke liye critical hoga, jo yeh determine karega ke current bearish trend continue hoga ya pair ek significant breakout ke liye poised hai. Technical analysis aur fundamental developments ke beech ka interplay EUR/USD pair ke next significant movement ko forecast karne mein crucial hoga.

### EUR/USD Ka Taja Halaat

EUR/USD ne Wednesday ko ucha chada, jab markets ne Greenback ko becha. Ab markets risk-on position mein hain kyunke Fed ke rate cut ke ummed barh gayi hain. US jobs data market ki movement ko dominate kar raha hai, aur investors NFP ke intezar mein hain.

### Technical Analysis

EUR/USD ne Wednesday ko ek rebound dekha, jab recent selloff ke baad 1.1050 se technical support mila. Halankeh midweek mein price action upar ki taraf tha, phir bhi yeh pair 1.1100 ke handle ke neeche atka hua hai. US jobs data is haftay ka key focus bana rahega, khaaskar Friday ke US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) ke qabul se pehle.

### European Data

European Retail Sales is haftay ke EU side se ek hi ahem data print hai. Thursday ko, pan-EU Retail Sales figures July mein 0.1% YoY recover hone ki ummed hai, jo pehle -0.3% contraction ke muqablay mein behtar hai.

### US Data

US JOLTS Job Openings July mein expectation se kam rahe, 7.673 million available jobs add hue, jabke forecast 8.1 million tha. Pehle mahine ke revised 7.91 million ke muqablay mein yeh kam hai. Federal Reserve (Fed) se ummed hai ke wo September 18 ko interest rates cut karega, aur markets 50 bps cut ke bets mein hain. Rate markets ab bhi 2024 ke end tak 100 bps ke total cuts price kar rahe hain, lekin CME’s FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq September ke rate call mein 25 bps cut hone ka 57% chance hai.

### NFP Report

Friday ka US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report badi ahmiyat rakhta hai aur yeh Fed ke pehle rate cut se pehle ka aakhri key US labor data hai. NFP ka print market expectations ko determine karega, aur investors ke liye ek naye rate-cutting cycle ka shuruat is mahine ke liye fully priced in hai.

### EUR/USD Price Forecast

Fiber ne phir se short-term technical barriers ko face kiya hai, lekin bidders bullish chart paper ko hold karne ke liye koshish kar rahe hain. EUR/USD ne pichle hafte ek 13-month high ko cross kiya tha, aur ab Greenback flows mein near-term pullback dekhne ko mil raha hai.

Pair ab bhi 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke upar trade kar raha hai jo 1.0845 par hai. Halankeh bullish territory mein hai, EUR/USD ab bhi bearish pullback ka samna kar raha hai, aur shorts ne targets 50-day EMA ke just upar 1.0956 ke aas-paas rakhe hain

Currency pair ne 1.1150 tak kuch waqt ke liye bulandiyaon ka saamna kiya, lekin phir se apne aam range 1.1204 ke aas-paas wapas aa gaya, aur 2024 ka naya high set karne ka mauka chhod diya. Market ki ummeedein bharak gayi thi, investors ko lag raha tha ke Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts jaldi implement kar sakta hai. Sab se zyada speculation is baat ke aas-paas hai ke shayad September mein double rate cut ho sakta hai, jo currency fluctuations ko heavily influence kar raha hai. Eurozone ki Economic Data ne Aage ke Rate Cuts ki Umeedein Kam Kar Di: Eurozone ke economic indicators ne is saal additional interest rate cuts ke liye umeedein kam kar di hain. Inflation data expected se zyada aaya hai, jahan Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) July mein 2.6% saal-on-saal badh gaya, jabke consensus estimate 2.4% tha. Core HICP, jo food aur energy jese volatile items ko exclude karta hai, 2.9% tak barh gaya, jabke expected 2.8% tha. Ye figures Eurozone ke mazboot economic conditions ko highlight karti hain aur further rate reductions ki ummeedon ka dobara jaiza lene par majboor karti hain. EUR/USD ki Correction Limited Hai Jabke Mazboot German Data Euro ko Support De Raha Hai:

EUR/USD mein recent correction itni substantial ya tez nahi dikhayi gayi. German economic data, special June ke Factory Orders, ne Euro ko support diya hai. Jabke June mein 0.8% month-over-month increase ki expectations thi, jo May mein 1.6% ki kami ke baad thi, actual data ne forecasts ko piche chhod diya aur 3.9% ka izafa dikhaya. Ye strong performance Eurozone economy ki resilience ko dikhata hai aur Euro ki position ko support karta hai.

D1 Chart ke Key Technical Levels aur Resistance Points ko Dekhein:

1.1203 ka mark ek significant resistance point raha hai jahan buyers ne pehle step in kiya hai. Agar is level se upar successful rally hoti hai, to December ki peak 1.1139 par dhyan jaa sakta hai. Agar Fed koi achanak emergency rate cut implement karta hai, to market conditions