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EUR USD Forum Analysis,Forecast

Daily timeframe par hum clearly dekh sakte hain ke pichle Friday ko buyer sentiment ne EURUSD market par achi domination banayi, jiske natije me ek lamba body wala daily candlestick bana. Iske saath, agle trading plan ke liye main sirf buy opportunities dhoondhne par focus karunga. Magar, mujhe sab se nazdeek ke support aur resistance areas ko bhi dekhna hoga, kyunki ho sakta hai pehle downward correction ho aur uske baad price upar ki taraf bade.

Isliye, main chhote timeframe par bhi analysis karunga taake potential zones identify kar sakoon.

H4 timeframe ko monitor karte hue, abhi dekhne ko milta hai ke price apne nazdeek ke resistance area ke paas aa rahi hai. Agar price upar ki taraf successfully penetrate kar jati hai, to future me higher resistance level tak jaane ke potential hai, jo ke lagbhag 1.11367 ke aas-paas hai. Toh jo doston ke paas abhi bhi EURUSD market me buy position hai, unhe apni position hold karni chahiye taake maximum profit generate kar sakein. Mere liye, abhi meri koi position nahi hai, aur plan yeh hai ke aane wale Monday ko main price condition ke downward correction ka wait karunga taake ek low-risk aur accurate entry point mil sake.

Zyada clear price action dekhne ke liye, H1 timeframe ka analysis karna behtar hai. Halankeh bullish trend validly confirm ho chuka hai, mujhe position enter karne ke liye itni jaldi nahi karni chahiye. Behtar yeh hai ke main price ke pehle niche correct hone ka intezar karoon, aur jab main dhyan se dekhoon to lagta hai ke neeche ek support area abhi bhi maujood hai, jo maine light blue se mark kiya hai, jo ke 1.09715 ke aas-paas hai.

Jab price niche correction karke support area me aayegi, tab main buy position enter karunga, ummeed hai ke EURUSD price turant upar ki taraf badegi aur higher resistance level ki taraf move karegi. Aur sab se zaroori baat yeh hai ke hamesha money management ko wisely maintain karna chahiye taake margin calls se bacha ja sake.

EUR USD Forum Analysis,Forecast:



Daily timeframe par yeh kaafi wazeh hai ke guzishta Jumma ko buyer sentiment ne EUR/USD market ko bohot ache se dominate kiya, jis ke natije mein ek long body wala daily candlestick bana. Is wajeh se, agle trading plan ke liye mein koshish karunga ke sirf entry buy opportunities dhondne par focus rakhoon. Lekin phir bhi, mujhe najdeeki support aur resistance areas par bhi tawajju deni hogi, kyunke mumkin hai ke pehle thodi downward correction ho, usse pehle ke yeh aur zyada increase kare. Isi liye, mein choti timeframe par mazeed analysis karunga taake potential zones dhond sakuun.

H4 timeframe par monitoring jari rakhtay hue, yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke filhal price condition apne kareebi resistance area ke kareeb hai, aur agar yeh ache se upar penetret kar leti hai, to aage chal kar yeh higher resistance level ko pursue karne ke liye mazeed increase karne ka potential rakhti hai, jo ke 1.11367 ke aas paas ka price hai. To jo dost abhi bhi EUR/USD market mein buy position mein hain, unke liye acha hoga ke apni position hold rakhein taake maximum profit hasil kar sakein. Main apne liye, filhal, koi bhi position nahi rakhta, aur plan yeh hai ke aane wale Monday ko mein intezar karunga ke price pehle neeche correct ho jaye, taake mujhe ek low-risk aur accurate entry point mil sake.

Zyada clear price action dekhne ke liye, H1 timeframe ka analysis karna behtar hai. Halanke bullish trend ko validly confirm kar diya gaya hai, lekin mujhe abhi bhi position mein jaldi nahi ghusna chahiye. Mere liye behtar yeh hoga ke pehle price ko neeche correct hone do, aur asal mein jab main ghaur se dekhta hoon to yeh lagta hai ke neeche abhi bhi ek support area hai, jo ke maine light blue mein mark kiya hai, aur yeh 1.09715 ke aas paas hai. To jab price neeche correct ho kar is support area mein enter karegi, tab mein buy position mein enter karoonga, is umeed ke saath ke EUR/USD price foran upar ki taraf move kare aur higher resistance level ki taraf badhe. Aur sab se zaruri baat yeh hai ke money management ko hamesha aqalmandi se handle karna chahiye taake margin calls se bacha ja sake.

EUR USD Forum Analysis,Forecast

Demand area 1.0958 ko penetrate karne mein na-kaami ke baad, EURUSD currency pair phir se barh gaya hai. Kal Friday ko EURUSD ki movement bhi kaafi high thi kyunki candle 1.0971 se 1.1028 tak move kar gayi. Agar isey calculate karein, toh EURUSD ne lagbhag 60 pips ki utri hai. Thodi si aur movement ke baad, candle resistance 1.1048 par touch kar sakti hai. Do din pehle, EURUSD ka movement kaafi gehra gir gaya tha, lekin yeh zyada der tak nahi raha kyunki movement sirf 1.0958 tak hi pohnchi. Shayad EURUSD ka girna sirf ek correction hai.

H1 timeframe se analyze karte hue, mera tajziya yeh hai ke jab tak demand area 1.0958 ko penetrate nahi kiya gaya, EURUSD ke barhne ke moqe ab bhi kaafi hain. Lekin, kyunki ab candle shoulder area mein hai, mujhe ehtiyaat baratni chahiye kyunki yahaan retracement ho sakta hai jo EURUSD ke girne ka sabab ban sakta hai. Shoulder 1.1028 par hai. Agar EURUSD shoulder area mein direction reverse karti hai, toh shayad EURUSD pehle 1.0930 tak gir sakti hai. Umeed hai ke shoulder area jaldi penetrate ho jayega kyunki lambi muddat mein mera tajziya hai ke EURUSD barhega.

Ichimoku indicator se, candle position already tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar hai, jo is baat ki ishara hai ke future mein EURUSD ke barhne ke moqe hain. White kumo bhi penetrate ho chuki hai aur brown rang mein badal gayi hai, jo buyer pressure ke strong hone ka sign hai. Lekin, shoulder area mein candle ke hone se, yeh mumkin hai ke dono lines intersect kar jayein aur EURUSD phir se gir jaye.

Stochastic indicator se yeh pata chalta hai ke EURUSD ab overbought state mein hai. H1 timeframe se dekha jaye toh line level 80 ko penetrate kar chuki hai. Lekin, filhal line abhi bhi upwards facing hai halanke condition overbought hai. Abhi tak niche jaane ke koi nishan nahi hain. Decline tab hoga jab line down facing hogi.

Toh aaj ke analysis ka nateeja yeh hai ke EURUSD currency pair Monday ko ab bhi barh sakta hai, lekin candle line shoulder area 1.1028 ko penetrate kar sakti hai. Agar yeh area penetrate nahi hota, toh EURUSD phir se gir jayega. Trend abhi bhi bullish hai, isliye main ab bhi buy position open karne ki sifarish karta hoon. Aap take profit target ko nearest resistance 1.1243 par rakh sakte hain aur stop loss ko nearest support 1.0945 par place kar sakte hain.

**EUR/USD Forum Analysis aur Forecast**

Daily timeframe par hum yeh kaafi wazeh tor par dekh sakte hain ke pichlay Friday ko buyer sentiment ne EURUSD market mein achi tarah se dominate kiya, jis ke natije mein aik daily candlestick long body ke sath ban gayi. Is wajah se, agle trading plan ke liye, main koshish karoon ga ke sirf entry buy opportunities par focus karoon. Magar iske bawajood, mujhe qareebi support aur resistance areas par bhi nazar rakhni hogi, kyun ke yeh mumkin hai ke kisi bhi waqt downward correction ho pehle, phir price apne izafay ko barhaye. Is liye, main choti timeframe par mazeed tajziya karoon ga taake potential zones ko dhoond sako.

H4 timeframe ko monitor karte hue, yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke filhal price qareebi resistance area ke qareeb hai, aur agar yeh successfully upwards penetrate kar jata hai, to aane wale dinon mein iske pass mazeed izafa karne ka potential hoga, jo ke higher resistance level tak pohanchayega, yani ke taqreeban 1.11367 ke daam tak. To agar doston ke pass abhi bhi buy position hai EURUSD market mein, to yeh acha idea hoga ke use hold rakha jaye taake maximum profit hasil ho sake. Filhal, mere paas koi position nahi hai, aur plan yeh hai ke aane wale Monday ko main intezar karoon ga ke price pehle thoda correct ho neeche taake main low-risk aur accurate entry point hasil kar sako.

Price action ko aur wazeh tor par dekhne ke liye, behtar yeh hoga ke H1 timeframe par analysis kiya jaye. Halanki bullish trend confirm ho chuka hai, magar phir bhi mujhe position enter karne mein jaldbazi nahi karni chahiye. Behtar yeh hoga ke main intezar karoon ke price pehle correct ho neeche, aur waqeetan, agar main ghore se dekhoon to yeh lagta hai ke neeche abhi bhi ek support area hai jo ke main ne light blue color mein mark kiya hai, jo ke taqreeban 1.09715 ke daam par hai. Jab price neeche correct hoke support area mein dakhil ho jaye, to yeh wo maqam hoga jahan main buy position enter karoon ga, is umeed ke sath ke EURUSD price foran upar move karay aur higher resistance level tak pohanchay. Aur sab se important cheez yeh hai ke hamesha apne money management ko samajhdari se manage karein taake margin calls se bacha ja sake.

Jeisay hi European trading session Friday ko shuru hota hai, currency pair 1.1005 level ke ird gird mazboot trading activity dekh raha hai, jo ke rozana ki gains ka silsila khatam kar raha hai. US Dollar dhairay dhairay mazboot ho raha hai kyunke market ke log aaj baad mein hone wali European Central Bank (ECB) ke aham monetary policy meeting se pehle ehtiyat se kaam le rahe hain. Investors bhi aham US economic data releases ke liye tayari kar rahe hain, jin mein weekly Initial Jobless Claims aur Philly Fed Manufacturing Index shamil hain.
Aane wali ECB rate decision forex traders ke liye sab se bara focus hai. Aam umeed yeh hai ke ECB abhi ke liye current interest rates ko barqarar rakhe ga, jab ke June mein ek quarter-point rate cut kiya gaya tha. Halankeh filhal kisi foran tabdeeli ki umeed nahi hai, traders ECB President Christine Lagarde ki speech ke doran kisi bhi rhetoric mein shift ko gaur se dekhain ge. Market ke log is baat par bhi gaur karain ge ke koi hints milti hain ke aane wale dinon mein policy adjustments ya ECB ke stance mein koi tabdeeli aane wali hai ya nahi.

US rate markets ne September 18 ko jab Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ka session hoga, kam az kam ek quarter-point rate cut ko puri tarah se price kar diya hai. CME ke FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, September mein rate cut hone ka 98% probability hai.

Yeh currency pair tab se upar ki taraf ja raha hai jab late July mein 1.0710 ke aas paas ek low bana tha. Ab yeh 18-week high tak chala gaya hai, jo 1.1048 ke bilkul qareeb hai, aur is ne ek declining channel ke upper bound ko break kar diya hai. Magar, bearish pressure barhne ke sath, yeh pair 50-day Exponential Moving Average par wapas 1.0995 ki taraf retreat kar sakta hai. Wednesday ki trading ke doran, pair ne apni recent range ke upper end ko briefly touch kiya, jo ke midweek session ke doran solid performance ko zahir karta hai. Agar buyers is momentum ko barqarar rakh sakain, to yeh pair apni chouthi musalsal hafte ki gains ko secure karne ke qareeb hai.

Agar weekly chart ko dekha jaye, to yeh wazeh hai ke Euro abhi bhi ek range-bound market mein hai 2022 ke end tak. Kuch volatility ke bawajood, dono currencies ne kisi tareeqay se zyada improvement nahi ki. Traders is range-bound condition ka faida uthane ke liye stochastic oscillators ka istemal kar sakte hain. Filhal, Euro overbought territory ke qareeb pohanch raha hai, halankeh abhi tak isay cross nahi kiya. Agar downward momentum barhna shuru hota hai, to Euro dheere dheere slip kar ke 1.06 tak ja sakta hai, halankeh aisa move saal ke akhir tak jaari reh sakta hai given ke pair ka rujhan neeche ki taraf hai.

Doosri taraf, agar Euro mazeed break karta hai, aur 1.11 mark se upar chala jata hai, to agla significant resistance 1.125 area ke aas paas ho sakta hai. Yeh level pehle bhi ek barrier ke tor par kaam kar chuka hai aur isay break karne ke liye ek bara catalyst zaroori hoga. Magar, is tarah ka development filhal ke economic climate mein mumkin nahi lagta, jab tak koi bara issue saamne na aaye.

EUR/USD pair kal doosre din Euroepan session ke shurwat mein kuch farokht dabav mein raha, mager 1.0900 mark ke neeche apni taq ke oper rakh sakta hai. Yeh downtick kuch USD kharidari ke ubharne ki wajah se hai, haalat e buniyadi se pehle kisi eik aur is haftay ke 1.1000 asaasi mark se ya 7 mah ke peak se pullback ke leie position lena ehtiyaat ko talab karta hai.
The US Treasury Bond yields pehle raat ke izafe ko barha te hain, jo ke unki pehli raat se shuro honi wali tehmatan takri ban gayi, aur USD ko us ke Monday ko shadeed se neeche se barhne mein madad mil rahi hai. Is ke ilawa, European Central Bank (ECB) ka Eurozone ke economic prospects ke muaviza andaza jari rakhna jari hai jo ke Euro ko do karguzar karti hai aur EUR/USD pair ke oper nichlay dabav ko kisi had tak barqarar rakhti hai. Is ke sath, behtar german maqro macro data spot ke prices ke liye kuch madad pesh karta hai aur nuqsaan ko hawla deta hai.

Destatis ke mutabiq akhri maqulaat ne dikhaya Germany ke industrial sector June mein expansion mein wapas aya aur Eurozone ki badi sarfarazi mehakma mein 1.4% MoM barh gaya jis ka mukhtalif waqean 1.0% se kheein bhar hai aur May mein 2.5% kami ayi thi. Is ke ilawa, global equity markets mein positive risk tone, sath hi Federal Reserve (Fed) ke mukhtalif umeedi dharay caps safe-haven buck ke liye ooper tak mehdood hoti hai. Is se, EUR/USD pair ke liye hawa ki taraf ki base ko laata hai aur bearish traders ke liye ehtiyaat kuch zaroori hai.

Bazaron mein kisi maqbool harkat angaiz economic data ke hone ke beghair jo kuch pehle di gayi bunyadi tehqiqati hawale se mand hai ke qarar dena tehqiqati tor pe samjhdari mand hai ke kisi mukhtalif dholiday karane se pehle. Techncial tor se, 1.0900 mark ke barqarar break aur qubool ko bearish traders ke liye ak sukhn kar sakta hai aur EUR/USD pair ke liye kuch maaneen nuqsaan ke raaste ko kholti hai. Bull, woh behter 1.0900s ke beech se agey ki hawalaat rukheinge

Pair ne is haftay ek setback ka samna kiya, jab yeh 1.1017 mark se upar chalay janay ke baad sharply retract kar gaya. Is haftay ke shuru mein jo rally hui thi, woh bullish momentum ko barqarar rakhne mein nakam rahi, jis se pair ek descending price channel ke upper edge par oscillate kar raha hai. Market participants is waqt apni positions ko US Dollar par assess kar rahe hain, jo recent Federal Reserve officials ke bayanaat se heavily impact hui hain.Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ne inflation par recent progress ko highlight kiya, jo Fed ke policy direction ke bare mein kuch insight de raha tha. Powell ke remarks ke baad, San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly ne bhi kuch commentary di, lekin unka bayan itna impactful nahi tha. Dono policymakers ne emphasize kiya ke Fed rate cuts ke decisions meeting-by-meeting basis par kiye jayenge, aur is baat ka koi fixed schedule nahi hai ke yeh cuts kab honge. Traders bohot closely mid-tier US data, jaise ke Existing Home Sales Change for June, ke release ko watch karenge. Lekin traders ka primary focus Wednesday ke Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) reports par hoga. EU ke Manufacturing aur Services PMI for July se thodi increase ki umeed hai, jisme Services PMI pichlay maheenay ke 52.8 se barh kar 53.0 hone ka andaza hai.
Tuesday ko pair ka trading near-term technical levels ke andar raha, jo 1.0926 ke 200-hour Exponential Moving Average (EMA) se thoda upar fluctuate kar raha tha. Pair ne recent highs jo ke 1.1050 ke qareeb the, se retrace kiya, kyunke Greenback ki strength kamzor hui hai. Is ke bawajood, descending channel ka upper range ab bhi within reach hai.Wahin, ichimoku indicator ke mutabiq, candle position ab tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar hai, jo is baat ka signal de raha hai ke future mein EUR/USD ke barhne ka chance ab bhi hai. Iske ilawa, white kumo penetrate ho chuka hai aur uska rang brown mein tabdeel ho gaya hai, jo yeh bhi ek sign hai ke buyer pressure mazid strong ho raha hai. Magar, candle ke shoulder area mein rukne se yeh mumkin hai ke yeh do lines intersect karen aur EUR/USD dobara se neeche chale jaye

Meri subah ki forecast mein, maine 1.0931 level ko highlight kiya aur is par apne trading decisions ko base kiya. Aaiye 5-minute chart ko dekhte hain aur analyze karte hain ke kya hua. 1.0931 ke qareeb ki Kami hui, lekin yahan false breakout nahi hua. Is liye, main first half of the day mein market se bahar reh gaya. Technical outlook ko second half of the day ke liye reassess kiya gaya.
EUR/USD ke liye Long Positions Kholne Ke Liye:
Euro ne ZEW index data ke response mein predictably Kami ki, phir pressure ease hui, market ko stabilize kiya. Traders ke paas clear guidance nahi hai, jo market volatility ko affect karta hai. Second half of the day mein, hum U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) aur NFIB Small Business Optimism Index ke report ki ummeed karte hain. FOMC member Raphael Bostic ka speech bhi attention attract karega, especially agar data mein producer prices ki Kami dikhai deti hai, September mein half-point rate cut ke argument ko strengthen karti hai. Long positions kholne ke liye, main decline ki ummeed karta hoon aur new support level 1.0911 ke qareeb false breakout ki formation ki ummeed karta hoon.



Sellers ne control maintain kiya. 1.0940 ko defend karna aur false breakout se short positions kholna appropriate scenario hoga. Target 1.0911 ke support tak Kami hoga. Breakout aur consolidation is range ke neeche, bottom-up retest ke saath, another selling point provide karega 1.0884 ke qareeb, jahan main buyer interest ki ummeed karta hoon. Sab se dur target 1.0855 ke area hoga, jahan main profit lena plan karta hoon

Hamari EUR/USD currency pair ke analysis ke mutabiq, is waqt market mein kuch challenges aur opportunities dono mojood hain. EUR/USD ne ahem price levels, jaise ke 1.0979 aur 1.099, ko chhoo liya hai aur in par se guzri hai. Lekin, 1.099 ke upar break karna shayad ek false signal tha, kyunki pair ne consistently is level ko maintain nahi kiya.
Bhawajood is potential false breakout ke, EUR/USD ka primary trend abhi bhi upward hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke market sentiment ab bhi long positions ke haq mein hai. Yeh upward trend market ke important initiatives se support ho raha hai, jo buyers ke dominance ko indicate karta hai. Magar, recent price action kuch complexities ko saamne laata hai jo trading decisions lene se pehle ghor karna zaroori hai.

Aaj, U.S. dollar ne thodi izafa dekhaya, lekin uske baad wapis pullback kiya lekin phir bhi 1.089 level ke upar raha. Yeh pullback kisi significant drop mein nahi badla, jo ke situation ko ambiguous banata hai. Current price level yeh suggest karta hai ke naye transactions initiate karna is waqt theek nahi hoga, kyunki market kis taraf bhi ja sakta hai. Lekin agar price phir se 1.0979 ke upar chali jati hai, toh yeh ek selling opportunity ho sakti hai, khas tor par is liye ke is scenario mein stop-loss bohot minimal hoga, jo risk ko kam karega.

Current price action yeh hint karta hai ke EUR/USD pair mein agle trading hours ke doran girawat aa sakti hai. Is liye, is waqt buying consider karte hue ehtiyaat lazmi hai. Indicators yeh suggest karte hain ke pair downward pressure face kar sakti hai, jo ke long positions ke liye unfavorable environment banata hai. Is stage par behtar yeh hoga ke clear signals ka intezar karein, ya agar price 1.0979 level ko dobara hit kare, toh selling consider karein

Pair ne is haftay ek setback ka samna kiya, jab yeh 1.1017 mark se upar chalay janay ke baad sharply retract kar gaya. Is haftay ke shuru mein jo rally hui thi, woh bullish momentum ko barqarar rakhne mein nakam rahi, jis se pair ek descending price channel ke upper edge par oscillate kar raha hai. Market participants is waqt apni positions ko US Dollar par assess kar rahe hain, jo recent Federal Reserve officials ke bayanaat se heavily impact hui hain.Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ne inflation par recent progress ko highlight kiya, jo Fed ke policy direction ke bare mein kuch insight de raha tha. Powell ke remarks ke baad, San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly ne bhi kuch commentary di, lekin unka bayan itna impactful nahi tha. Dono policymakers ne emphasize kiya ke Fed rate cuts ke decisions meeting-by-meeting basis par kiye jayenge, aur is baat ka koi fixed schedule nahi hai ke yeh cuts kab honge. Traders bohot closely mid-tier US data, jaise ke Existing Home Sales Change for June, ke release ko watch karenge. Lekin traders ka primary focus Wednesday ke Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) reports par hoga. EU ke Manufacturing aur Services PMI for July se thodi increase ki umeed hai, jisme Services PMI pichlay maheenay ke 52.8 se barh kar 53.0 hone ka andaza hai.
Tuesday ko pair ka trading near-term technical levels ke andar raha, jo 1.0926 ke 200-hour Exponential Moving Average (EMA) se thoda upar fluctuate kar raha tha. Pair ne recent highs jo ke 1.1050 ke qareeb the, se retrace kiya, kyunke Greenback ki strength kamzor hui hai. Is ke bawajood, descending channel ka upper range ab bhi within reach hai.Wahin, ichimoku indicator ke mutabiq, candle position ab tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar hai, jo is baat ka signal de raha hai ke future mein EUR/USD ke barhne ka chance ab bhi hai. Iske ilawa, white kumo penetrate ho chuka hai aur uska rang brown mein tabdeel ho gaya hai, jo yeh bhi ek sign hai ke buyer pressure mazid strong ho raha hai. Magar, candle ke shoulder area mein rukne se yeh mumkin hai ke yeh do lines intersect karen aur EUR/USD dobara se neeche chal

Euro dheere dheere upar ki taraf barh raha hai, aur ye chal jhonk kharidar aur bechne wale dono traders ke liye nerv-wracking sabit ho rahi hai. Sellers is intezaar mein hain ke kab price giray, aur yeh price fluctuations unko lagataar pareshaan kar rahi hain. Dosri taraf, buyers is intezaar mein hain ke price unke target levels tak pohonche, aur har pullback unki position ko emotional decision-making ki taraf le jaata hai. Ab tak, sab kuch plan ke mutabiq chal raha hai. Humein kaafi signals mil rahe hain jo ke upside ki taraf hain, aur yeh sab H4 (ya phir even daily) higher timeframe ko follow kar rahe hain. Hourly timeframe par bhi signal hai, aur M15 par bhi. Pehli chart mein, main is waqt M15 par discussion kar raha hoon aur socha tha ke yeh kal tak play out ho jata. Purple bar jo level 1.09456 tak hai, us signal ka potential dikhata hai. Is signal ke boundaries Fibonacci levels 0.0% aur 100% se marked hain. Hamare case mein, 100% target ko represent karta hai, jabke 0.0% risk level hai jo ke 1.08812 par hai. Jab tak yeh levels nahi pohonchti, signal idea valid hai. Agar Euro ne zyada pull back kiya aur target levels tak nahi pohonch saka, toh 1.09026 aur/ya 1.08964 se long positions enter karne ki koshish ki ja sakti hai. Pehli case mein, risk-to-reward ratio 1:2 hoga, aur doosri case mein 1:3.

Filhaal, humein M15 timeframe par sell signal mila hai. Lekin, hum yahan sell enter nahi kar rahe. Yeh signal ya to play out ho sakta hai ya phir ek correction ke baad reversal mein badal sakta hai. Agar ab buys enter ki jayein, toh risk level choose karne mein mushkilat hogi. Maine fractals ko red rectangles mein mark kiya hai, lekin inki taadad zyada hai aur ye samajhna mushkil hai ke risk kahan place karein. Aakhri fractal ke peeche try kiya ja sakta hai, jo filhaal sell signal de raha hai. Agar yeh reversal mein badalta hai, toh ek short stop-loss ke sath acha potential capture karna mumkin hai. Lekin is idea mein sahi risk overall 1.08812 ke beyond hona chahiye. Isliye humein heraan nahi hona chahiye agar Euro achanak liquidity grab kare

EURUSD H4 candle ko EMA50 ke neechay close kar sakta hai, toh main phir se sell karna chahta hoon, ideal target area 1.0800 ke liye, lekin yeh mushkil lagta hai.
H1 intraday movement mein, seller pressure last few hours mein stronger dikh raha hai, kyunki bearish candle ka size reaction candle se kafi bada hai, lekin blue key level 1.0903 - 1.0890 ke khilaf breakout attempt successful nahi hua, agar aap morning se afternoon tak structure ko dekhte hain, toh neechay key level area ko test karne ki potential hai, lekin agar aap instant sell trading option kholte hain, toh yeh breakout strategy se riskier hoga, kyunki market ko sideways move karne ki potential hai momentum kho dete hue.

Agar solid breakout blue key level par hota hai, toh seller fresh demand area ko target karega jo ki price 1.0800 se kafi neechay hai, lekin agar breakout fail hota hai, toh market bearish mother candle mein sideways move karega, aur non-trending move karega. Is potential se, yeh behtar hai ki non-trending market mein na phans jaye, toh main personal choice sell karna chahta hoon agar solid breakout 1.0890 level ke khilaf hoga minimum 1 hour timeframe mein. Kyunki sideways potential wide open hai agar price yellow resistance aur blue support mein trap ho jaye

Yeh EUR/USD currency pair aakhri kuch dino se nazar mein raha hai. Bears, jo strategically rokhe gaye the, ko market correction ke dauran break even ya choti moti nuqsan ka samna karne ka mauka mila. Yeh strategy choti gains dene ke liye nahi thi, balke unke trading funds ko khatam karne ke liye thi. 1 August ko kuch sellers achanak hairaan reh gaye aur apni positions se nikalne mein mushkilat ka samna kiya. Ab jab zyadatar sellers upward trend ka samna kar rahe hain, to speculation hai ke 1.10 level ceiling ban sakta hai. Agar losses ko abhi current levels se cut karna chahein to 1.11 level tak pohanchne se pehle mushkil ho sakta hai, aur losses itne bade ho sakte hain ke positions close karna bekaar ho. Sellers shayad stop-out ka intezar karein, jo unhe aise situation mein le aaye jahan se profit milne ke chances hain. Is situation ne euro-dollar buyers ko 1.0981 level par choti si qarz ada karne ka mauka diya. Euro-dollar ke liye key resistance aakhri descending fan ke point aur 1.0991 level par hai.
Euro-dollar ka pichla high 1.1008 tha, aur primary support 1.0959 par hai. Is support level se EUR/USD price ya to rebound kar sakti hai ya phir downward trend continue kar sakti hai, agle support levels 1.0929/1.0922 aur bearish starting point 1.0902 ki taraf. Hamara maqsad H4 time frame par dominant trend ko identify karna aur market entry point ko maximum profit ke liye theek se determine karna hai. Halanki currency pair aaj growth dikhati hai, iski technical outlook wahi hai aur future performance kal ke market conditions par depend karegi. H1 time frame par medium-term movements ko accurately predict karke profit kamane ka potential hai

Ye Euro dhire dhire upwards ki taraf crawl kar raha hai, traders ke nerves ko test kar raha hai, dono buyers aur sellers ke liye. Sellers decline ka wait kar rahe hain, aur ye price fluctuations unhe constantly worry kar rahi hain. Buyers, on the other hand, impatient hain price ko apne target levels par pahunchane ke liye, aur har pullback unke position par emotional decision-making karne par majboor kar raha hai.
Abhi tak, sab kuch plan ke mutabiq chal raha hai. Humare paas upside ke liye kai signals hain, sab higher timeframe par H4 (ya even daily) ke hisab se. Hourly timeframe par bhi signal hai aur M15 par bhi. Pehle chart mein, main M15 par discussion kar raha hoon aur socha tha ki ye kal play out hoga. Purple bar 1.09456 ke level par precisely is signal ka potential dikha raha hai. Is signal ke boundaries Fibonacci levels 0.0% aur 100% se mark kiye gaye hain. Humare case mein, 100% targets represent karta hai, jabki 0.0% risk level 1.08812 par hai. Jab tak inmein se koi level reach nahi hota, signal idea valid rehta hai.

Agar Euro decide karta hai deeper pullback karne aur target levels reach nahi kar paata, to phir long positions enter karne ki koshish ki ja sakti hai 1.09026 aur/or 1.08964 ke level se. Pehle case mein, risk-to-reward ratio 1 to 2 hoga, aur doosre case mein 1 to 3. Currently, humare paas M15 timeframe par sell signal hai. Lekin hum yahan sells mein enter nahi kar rahe hain. Signal either play out ho sakta hai ya correction ke baad reversal mein badal sakta hai. Agar abhi buys enter kiye jayein, to risk level choose karne mein difficulty hogi. Maine fractals ko red rectangles mein mark kiya hai, unki bahut sari hain, aur unclear hai kon sa best hai risks ko place karne ke liye. Last one ke peechhe try ki ja sakti hai, jo currently sell signal de raha hai. Agar reversal nikla, to short stop-loss ke saath good residual potential capture ki ja sakti hai. Lekin correct risk overall is idea mein 1.08812 ke level ke beyond honi chahiye. Is liye, humein surprise nahi hona chahiye agar Euro suddenly liquidity grab karke 1.09026 aur/or 1.08964 ke levels par pahunch jaye

EUR/USD par 1.1050 ke aas-paas jana mushkil lag raha hai, lekin jo baat hai woh yeh ke ek retest ho sakta hai aur shayad 1.1050 aur 70 tak update ho sakta hai. Main volumes ko dekh kar keh raha hoon ke hum north ki taraf wahan tak pull kar sakte hain, lekin agar same volumes ko dekhein, to growth ke liye zyada kuch nahi hai, aur complex reversal south ki taraf shuru ho sakti hai! Naye hafte mein, Weekly candle north ki taraf shadow de sakti hai aur is candle ko absorb kar sakti hai! Yeh bhi ek option ho sakta hai, lekin main yeh kehna chahunga ke jaldi mat karein, ek ya do din next week mein dekhenge ke kya hota hai. Mera khayal hai ke growth ka foundation nahi hoga! Ya phir umeed hai ke aisa nahi hoga!
Pair ke saath achhi luck ho, main 1.1050-70 ke strong resistance level se sales dekhne ki koshish karunga. Next week mein pair ke saath luck ho, main sochta hoon ke buy karna late hai aur sell karna jaldi hai, lekin aap pehle se sale level estimate kar sakte hain. Jumeraat ko EUR/USD pair ne upar ki taraf achha movement kiya. Agar daily time period ko dekhein, to previous maximum 1.1047 ke nazdeek hai. Haan, RSI upar dekh raha hai, lekin stochastic down ki taraf hai, jo weak signal hai. Ek bearish butterfly bhi hai jo agle hafte work out kar sakti hai. Dekhna padega. Agar growth agle hafte mein continue hoti hai, to last maximum update hoga, lekin phir butterfly update ho sakti hai aur downward reversal ka attempt ho sakta hai

Agar decline hoti hai, to shayad pehle upper MA (1.0967) par wapas aa sakte hain. Wahan dekhna hoga ke price niche break kar sakti hai ya nahi. Agar break hota hai, to decline aage bhi ho sakti hai, lower MA aur average Bollinger ke area tak (1.0917/0899). Inke aas-paas bhi dekhna padega ke price immediately niche jaati hai ya nahi. Agar aur decline hoti hai, to lower Bollinger band ke direction mein (1.0777) bhi dekhna padega