Eurusd forum

**EUR/USD Weekly Analysis**

**Rally Overview**

Is hafte ke aghaz mein EUR/USD jo jo barh raha tha, usne ek aham resistance level (R2) 1.1021 ko touch kiya. Iske baad, price ne 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ki taraf correction kiya, lekin is baat ka koi clear indication nahi mila ke rally jaari rahegi ya price correction phase mein chali jayegi. Filhaal, price resistance level (R1) 1.0965 aur pivot point (PP) 1.0872 ke beech fluctuate kar rahi hai.

**Price Action Insights**

Agar price 50 EMA se bounce hoti hai aur resistance (R1) 1.0965 ke paas aati hai, to is level par rejection ka samna kar sakti hai. Agar aisa hota hai, to price pivot point (PP) 1.0872 ko test kar sakti hai aur support (S1) 1.0816 ki taraf consolidate kar sakti hai.

**Indicator Analysis**

**Awesome Oscillator (AO)**

Awesome Oscillator ki nazar se, current price action ongoing rally ko support nahi karti. Histogram 0 level par hai, jo negative crossover ka potential indicate karta hai. Ye momentum direction mein tabdeeli ka ishara kar sakta hai. Lekin price structure ab bhi higher high-higher low condition ko reflect kar raha hai, jo bullish trend direction ko banaye rakhta hai, aur downward correction ka possibility bhi maujood hai.

**Stochastic Indicator**

Dusri taraf, Stochastic indicator ke parameters abhi tak oversold zone (20-10) tak nahi pohnche. Filhaal, ye level 50 par cross kar raha hai aur overbought zone (90-80) ki taraf barh raha hai. Ye upward movement ko support kar sakta hai, kyunki buying saturation point abhi tak nahi pohncha hai.

**Trading Strategy aur Setup**

**Entry Position**

Price structure ko dekhte hue, jo higher highs aur higher lows ko indicate kar raha hai, trading strategy mein BUY opportunity ke liye intezar karna chahiye. Entry position tab establish ki jani chahiye jab price pivot point (PP) 1.0872 ki taraf retrace kare aur wahan rejection ya false break dekhe.

Confirmation ke liye, Stochastic indicator ko oversold zone (20-10) mein cross karna chahiye. Agar AO indicator histogram steady rahe aur uptrend momentum 0 level ya usse upar dikhe, to take profit ko resistance (R1) 1.0965 par set kiya jaa sakta hai, jabke support (S1) 1.0816 ko stop-loss placement ke liye use kiya jaa sakta hai.

Euro ki qeemat $1.0825 ke support level tak girti rahi, aur apne chaar mahinay ke buland tareen level $1.094 se door ho gayi, jo ke 17 July ko chooa tha. Ye girawat euro zone, Germany, aur France ke weak PMI data ke release ke baad hui, jisne ye expectations barha di ke European Central Bank iss saal do additional martaba interest rates cut karega.

Economic calendar ke natayej ke mutabiq... Flash Eurozone PMIs ne July mein private sector activity mein achanak girawat dikhayi, jo ke manufacturing mein zyada contraction aur services mein slowdown ke sabab se hui. Germany aur France ne broader region mein kamzor performance dikhayi. Is ke natayej mein, traders ne iss saal European Central Bank ke do additional interest rate cuts par apni bets 80% se barha kar 90% tak kar di.

Europe mein, German Treasuries aur French oats yields ke darmiyan yield gap 71.70 basis points tak barh gaya, jo ke France mein siyasi tensions ki wajah se hua. Far-left National Front party ne pension reform ko reverse karne ka tajwez diya jo ke President Macron ne far-right National Front party ki himayat se approve ki thi, jisse fiscal spending aur France ke qarz par risk premium se mutaliq concerns barh gaye. President Macron ne kaha ke unki hukumat Olympics ke doran mid-August tak barqarar rahegi, aur left-wing coalition ki koshishon ko rad kar diya jo naye wazir-e-azam ko appoint karna chahti thi.

Daily chart ki performance ke mutabiq, euro ki qeemat US dollar ke muqable EUR/USD ke sath ab bhi 1.0800 ke aham psychological support level ko tor kar neeche jaane ke qareeb hai, jo agar hota hai to bears ko aur zyada momentum milega ke woh mazeed neeche movement kar sakein, aur agle sabse aham support levels 1.0745 aur 1.0660 honge. Doosri taraf, isi duration ke doran, aur jaise ke maine pehle bhi kaha, general trend mein koie strong aur aham shift upar ke taraf tab tak nahi hoga jab tak 1.1000 ke psychological resistance level tak dobara nahi pohncha jata. Aaj euro dollar ki qeemat European Central Bank ke Governor Lagarde ke bayanaat, German IFO reading, aur aham American economic data, jisme GDP growth reading, weekly unemployed claims, aur durable goods orders shamil hain, se mutasir hogi.

Euro ki qeemat apni decline ko continue karte hue $1.0825 ke support level tak pohanchi hai, jo ke chaar maheenon ke sabse highest level $1.094 se door ho gayi hai, jo ke 17 July ko touch kiya tha, jab euro zone, Germany aur France ke weak PMI data release hue the. In reports ke baad yeh umeed barh gayi ke European Central Bank iss saal do aur dafa interest rates cut karega.

Economic calendar ke mutabiq, Flash Eurozone PMIs ne July mein private sector activity mein unexpected slump ki taraf ishara kiya, jo ke manufacturing mein zyada contraction aur services mein slowdown ki wajah se hua. Germany aur France broader region mein underperform karte rahe. Iske nateejay mein, traders ne European Central Bank ke do aur interest rate cuts ki bets ko 80% se badhakar 90% tak kar diya hai PMI data ke baad.

Europe mein, German Treasuries aur French oats yields ke darmiyan yield gap barhkar 71.70 basis points tak pohanch gaya, jo ke France mein political tensions ki wajah se hua. Far-left National Front party ke taraf se pension reform ko reverse karne ka proposal, jo President Macron ne approve kiya tha, far-right National Front party ki support ke sath, ne fiscal spending aur France ke debt par risk premium ke hawalay se concerns ko barha diya hai. President Macron ne kaha hai ke unki government Olympics ke dauran mid-August tak barqarar rahegi, aur left-wing coalition ke efforts ko reject karte hue naye prime minister ko appoint karne se inkaar kar diya hai.

Daily chart par Euro ke price ke performance ke mutabiq, EUR/USD currency pair abhi bhi mazbooti se important psychological support level 1.0800 ke tor par inclined hai, aur agar yeh break hota hai, to bears ko aur zyada momentum milega ke woh price ko neeche le jayein. Aur agle most important support levels 1.0745 aur 1.0660 par honge, respectively. Dusri taraf, isi time period ke dauran, aur jaisa ke maine pehle bhi mention kiya, general trend mein upar ki taraf koi strong aur important shift tab tak nahi aayegi jab tak yeh wapas psychological resistance 1.1000 ke level tak na pohanche. Aaj Euro Dollar ki qeemat European Central Bank ke Governor Lagarde ke statements aur German IFO reading ke announcement, aur phir important American economic data, jo GDP growth reading, weekly unemployed claims, aur durable goods orders ke hawalay se hai, se affect hogi.

Daily timeframe par EUR/USD ka price buyers ke control mein hai. Yeh price Upper Bollinger Bands ke qareeb trade kar rahi hai, khas taur par 1.1028 aur 1.1030 ke beech. Buyers is level ko todne ke liye koshish kar rahe hain, aur Monday ke trading ke doran is level ko break karne ki ummeed hai. Aaj ke trading session ke khatam hone par ek mazboot bullish candle bani hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke price ke aur upar jane ki sambhavnayein hain.

Agar buyers price ko Upper Bollinger Bands ke upar le jaane mein kamiyab ho jaate hain, to agla bada target sellers ki supply resistance area hoga jo 1.1100-1.1105 ke aas-paas hai. Yeh level ab tak sellers ke liye ek mazboot rukawat bana hua hai.

Agle Monday ko sellers ki taraf se resistance dekhne ko mil sakti hai, jo ke bearish correction ko janam de sakta hai. Aise mein price nearest buyer support area 1.1015-1.1013 tak gir sakti hai. Agar yeh support level buyers ke liye intact rehta hai, to buyers dobara control le sakte hain aur price ko upar le jaa sakte hain, jiska target resistance area 1.1043-1.1045 hoga. Agar is resistance ko bhi tod diya, to bullish movement aur aage barh sakti hai, jiska agla target sellers ki supply resistance area 1.1100-1.1105 hoga.

H4 Timeframe aur Moving Averages Ka Tajziya:

Main EUR/USD ka tajziya H4 timeframe par 21-period aur 34-period moving averages ke zariye bhi kar raha hoon. Abhi price dono moving averages ke upar hai, jo bullish trend ko darshata hai. Lekin, price ab resistance level 1.1047 ke qareeb hai, jo ke further increase ko rok sakta hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke abhi thoda correction wait karna behtar hoga. Correction ke baad buy order place karna zyada munasib rahega, taake entry ek behtar price point par ho aur trade ke kamiyab hone ke chances barh jaayein.

EURUSD jodi ne is hafte ke shuruaat mein ek impulsive upward rally ka anubhav kiya, jo resistance (R2) 1.1021 ko almost touch kar gaya, lekin phir EMA 50 ki taraf correction phase mein move hua. Qeemat ne upward rally ko continue karne ya downward correction phase ko undergo karne ke liye koi significant development nahi dikhaya. Qeemat movement sirf resistance (R1) 1.0965 aur pivot point (PP) 1.0872 ke beech mein hai.

Agar qeemat EMA 50 se bounce hokar resistance (R1) 1.0965 par reject hoti hai, to qeemat pivot point (PP) 1.0872 ko test karne ki koshish karegi taki imbalance area ko support (S1) 1.0816 par close kar sake.

Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ke nazariye se, ye price increase rally ko support nahi kar raha hai. Kyunki histogram volume already level 0 par hai, jo negative area mein crossing ki possibility ko darshata hai, jisse momentum direction mein change aa sakta hai. Lekin qeemat pattern structure abhi bhi higher high - higher low condition mein hai, aur trend direction bullish hai, qeemat abhi bhi correct ho sakti hai.

Stochastic indicator parameters, jo oversold zone level 20 - 10 par nahi pahuche, level 50 par cross karke overbought zone level 90 - 80 par pahunch gaye. Ye price ko upar move karne ke liye support kar sakta hai, kyunki buying ke saturation point abhi tak nahi pahuncha hai.

Setup entry position: Agar qeemat pattern structure ko dekhte hue, jo abhi bhi higher high - higher low mein hai, aur trend direction bullish hai, to trading option BUY moment ke liye wait karta hai. Entry position placement jab qeemat pivot point (PP) 1.0872 ki taraf correction phase mein rejection ya false break ka anubhav kare. Stochastic indicator parameters ki confirmation, jo oversold zone level 20 - 10 par cross kar sakte hain. AO indicator ka histogram uptrend momentum ko show karta hai, jo level 0 ya positive area par rehta hai. Take profit ke liye target resistance (R1) 1.0965 hai, aur support (S1) 1.0816 ko stop loss location ke liye use kiya jata hai

Sab ko acha din! Monday ko euro aur US dollar ke beech koi bade upheavals nahi aaye. Hum abhi bhi support level 1.09 ke upar trade kar rahe hain, aur aaj price thodi upar ja rahi hai, jo humein ummeed de sakti hai ke activity barh sakti hai aur EUR/USD currency pair apne targets ki taraf upar ki taraf move kar sakti hai. General taur par, agar kisi ne long positions kholni thi, to pichle trading week aur is week mein iske liye kaafi opportunities thi, isliye agar ab price upar jaati hai to mujhe hairani nahi hogi. Agar humare saath thodi si lucky raha, to shayad thoda sa pullback bhi dekhne ko mile, jahan buy positions kholna bhi mumkin ho. To ab hum round resistance level 1.10 ki taraf movement ki intezar karenge, aur shayad aur bhi current highs update ho. Selling consider karna tabhi samajh aayega agar currency pair support level 1.09 ke neeche girti hai.
**Current Bullish Trends**

EUR/USD pair abhi strong bullish trends dikha rahi hai, jo ke 1.1000 levels ke upar tezi se chadh rahi hai aur kuch periods ke liye 1.0950 ke upar bhi ja rahi hai. Yeh pair 200-day EMA ko bhi 1.0826 ke upar se paar kar chuki hai, jo ke short-term bullish sentiment ko signal deta hai. Yeh technical breakthrough yeh suggest karta hai ke upward trend continue ho sakti hai, aur traders resistance levels aur potential breakout points par nazar rakhenge.

**Influencing Factors**

Summary yeh hai ke Euro ki strength US Dollar ke muqablay mein weak US economic indicators aur European markets mein stable sentiment ki wajah se hai. Jaise hi EUR/USD pair significant resistance levels ke qareeb pohanchti hai, market participants aane wale economic data aur geopolitical developments par nazar rakhenge, kyunki yeh factors future movements ko influence kar sakte hain.

**Technical Analysis Attracting New Participants**

Technical analysis ke context mein, yeh scenario naye participants ko attract kar sakta hai jo pehle cautious ya bullish trend ke confirmation ka intezar kar rahe the. Yeh technical indicators ka alignment confirmation data ke tor par kaam karta hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke uptrend sustainable hai. Yeh increased participation bullish momentum ko aur fuel kar sakti hai, jab naye buyers existing upward pressure ko badhate hain

EUR/USD currency pair ne pichle hafte mein aham growth dekhi, jo meri analysis mein upside movement ko ahem bana deti hai. Overall trend bullish raha, aur price haftay bhar barhti rahi, jo pair ke liye positive outlook ko barhawa deti hai. Halankeh ek mukhtasir pullback aaya jo 1.08820 ke support level ko test kiya, lekin price is critical threshold ke neeche close nahi hui. Is support level ka is waqt ka resistance meri bullish bias ko aur bhi mazbooti di.

Shuruati momentum Eurozone se favourable economic indicators aur relatively weaker U.S. dollar ke combination ke zariye aaya. Eurozone mein economic sentiment ke behtari, better-than-expected macroeconomic data, aur European Central Bank (ECB) ki zyada hawkish stance ne Euro ki strength ko contribute kiya. Dusri taraf, U.S. dollar ko mixed economic data aur Federal Reserve ki cautious approach ka samna karna pada, jis se ECB aur Fed ke darmiyan monetary policy expectations mein divergence aayi.

Jab price 1.08820 ke support level ke qareeb aayi, ek mukhtasir uncertainty ka waqt aaya, jahan market participants ne recent gains ki sustainability ko assess kiya. Lekin, support level ne mazbooti se pakra, jo deeper correction ko rokta hai aur upward trend ko continue karne ke liye raasta kholta hai. Is support ke neeche close na hona ek key technical signal tha jo bullish trend ki strength ko confirm karta hai.

Aage dekhte hue, meri bias ab bhi upside ki taraf hai, jo kai factors se driven hai. Pehli baat, technical indicators jaise moving averages aur trendlines bullish momentum ko signal de rahe hain. Iske ilawa, broader economic context yeh suggest karta hai ke Euro U.S. dollar ke muqablay mein apni strength bana sakta hai, khaaskar agar ECB apni tighter monetary policy signal karta hai jabke Fed cautious approach rakhta hai.

Lekin, economic conditions ya central bank policies mein koi bhi tabdeeli ko nazarandaz nahi karna chahiye jo current trend ko badal sakti hai. Key levels jo watch karna zaroori hai wo 1.08820 ka support hai, jo ab bhi critical line hai, aur koi bhi potential resistance 1.1000 level ke aas-paas, jahan profit-taking ya increased selling pressure dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Overall, EUR/USD pair ab bhi strength dikhata hai, aur meri bias nazar andaz karte hue, near term mein further upside movement ke liye hai.

Leheron ka rukh karna: EUR/USD Ke Qeemton ka Jaiza

EUR/USD currency pair ke qeematon ki haal ki tahqiqat par guftagu ki ja rahi hai. Euro ne apne weekly chart par growth targets hasil kar liye hain, jo H4 chart par bhi kuch had tak milte hain. Grey bar weekly time frame par potential buy signal ko darshata hai, jabke orange teer maximum stop-loss ko darshata hai aur red teer minimum stop-loss ko. Dono maximum aur minimum increments mumkin hain. Bechne ke mauqe ki koi wajah nahin hai, isliye neeche ki taraf movement par tawajjo dena be-maqsad hai. Lekin, hamein aage ki taraf hone wali growth par ehtiyaat baratni chahiye. Weekly, H4, aur daily charts ke targets sab hasil ho chuke hain. H4 chart par MACD indicator par ek hi divergence nazar aata hai, jo aage ki growth par mansoobabandi ko darshata hai. Euro ki haali ki taji growth ki aggressive fitrat bhi chinta ka baais hai.

Green bar buy signal ke potential ko darshata hai, jiske targets 1.1034 par rakhe gaye hain. Ye growth ki umeed aksar bani rehti hai. Market ne koi significant pullback ya 1-to-1 ratio ka hissa nahi diya, kyunke quotes sirf signal level 1.0906 ke thodi neeche the. Growth targets par pahunchnay ke baad, neeche ki taraf ek impulse aaya, jise traders pehli reversal signal samajh sakte hain. Ehtiyaat zaroori hai. Halankeh, aggressive growth ek wedge pattern bana rahi hai. Abhi bhi yeh mumkin hai keh agla upper bound update ho. Neeche ki boundary teesri touch par acha support de rahi hai. Diye gaye daily aur H4 levels ke goals ko dekhte hue, weekly target par tawajjo dena waqt ki baat hai.

EUR/USD currency pair ne guzishta haftay mein khaas taraqqi dikhai, jo mere tajziya mein oonchi taraf barhne ko pehle rakha. Aam rujhan bullish tha, jahan daam haftay bhar mein mustahkam tor par barh rahe the, jo pair ke liye aik positive nazar rakh raha tha. Halankeh ek chand pal ke liye pullback dekhne ko mila jo 1.08820 par support level ko test karta hai, lekin daam ne is nihayat ahem threshold se neeche band nahi hua. Is support level par mazbooti ne mere bullish mehsoosiyat ko mazeed barhawa diya.

Shuruati lehr ka sabab Eurozone ke liye behtareen maashi iqsas tha aur U.S. dollar mai kuch kamzori thi. Eurozone mein behtar maashi jazbat, behtar se behtar maashi data, aur European Central Bank (ECB) se zyada hawkish soorat-i-haal ne Euro ki taqat ko barha diya. Doosri taraf, U.S. dollar ko mixed maashi data se joo dekhi gayi, aur Federal Reserve se ehtiyaat bhara rukh mila, jiski wajah se ECB aur Fed ke darmiyan monetary policy ki umeedon mein farq aa gaya.

Jab daam 1.08820 support level ke qareeb pohanch gaya, to kuch lamhaat ki ghamgin hui jahan bazar ke hissa daar ise dekh rahe the ke ye haalsat ki taqat kitni der tak jari reh sakti hai. Lekin, support level ne mazbooti dikhai, jo gehri correction ko roknay mein madadgar sabit hua aur iske bajaye oonchi rujhan ke liye aik naya manzar paida kar diya. Is support se neeche band na hona aik ahem technical nishani thi jo bullish rujhan ki taqat ko tasdeeq karti hai.

Agay dekhte hue, meri soorat-i-haal oonchi taraf hi hai, jahan kai wajahain hain. Pehli, technical indicators jaise moving averages aur trendlines ab bhi bullish lehr ko dikha rahe hain. Iske ilawa, broader maashi context yeh darust karta hai ke Euro apni taqat ko U.S. dollar ke khilaf qaim rakh sakta hai, khas tawajjo se agar ECB ne tight monetary policy ki nishani di jab Fed ehtiyaat bhara rukh apnaye.

Lekin, yeh bhi zaroori hai ke kisi bhi maashi haalat ya central bank policies mein tabdeelion ke liye hamesha hoshiyar raha jaye jo maujooda rujhan ko badal sakte hain. Ahem derein jahan dekhnay hain wo hain 1.08820 support, jo ke aik ahem line hai, aur kisi bhi mumkinah resistance par 1.1000 level, jahan profit-taking ya barhati hui bechi pressure aa sakti hai. Aam tor par, EUR/USD pair ab bhi taqat dikhati hai, aur meri soorat-i-haal nirbar tor par oonchi taraf barhne ki taraf hai.

**Lahron Mein Raftaar: EUR/USD Ke Qeematon Ka Jaiza**

EUR/USD currency pair ki qeematon ka tajziya mukhtalif pehluon se kiya ja raha hai. Abhi, euro ne apne growth targets ko weekly chart par pura kar liya hai, jo ke H4 chart par bhi nazar aate hain. Weekly time frame par grey bar buy signal ki potential ko darshata hai, jabke orange arrow maximum stop-loss aur red arrow minimum stop-loss ko indicate karte hain. Dono maximum aur minimum increments ke hone ke imkaan hain. Is waqt bechne ke mauqe nazar nahi aa rahe, isliye niche ki movement par focus nahi kiya ja sakta. Lekin, aage ke upward movement ke liye ehtiyaat zaroori hai.

Weekly, H4, aur daily charts ke targets achieve ho chuke hain. H4 chart par MACD indicator ek divergence show kar raha hai, jo aage ki growth mein hesitation ko darshata hai. Euro ki recent aggressive rise bhi chinta ka sabab ban rahi hai. Green bar buy signal ke potential ko highlight karti hai aur targets ko 1.1034 par set kiya gaya hai. Yeh growth expectation aksar dekhi gayi hai. Market ne abhi tak koi significant pullback nahi diya, aur 1-to-1 ratio ka hissa bhi nahi banaya, kyunki quotes signal level 1.0906 ke thoda neeche hain. Growth targets ko hit karne ke baad ek downward impulse nazar aayi, jo traders ke liye initial reversal signal ban sakti hai.

Is waqt, aggressive growth ek wedge pattern bana rahi hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke agla upper bound update ho. Lower boundary teen bar touch ho chuki hai aur support kar rahi hai. Daily aur H4 levels ke goals achieve ho chuke hain, isliye ab weekly target par focus karna waqt ki baat hai. Ehtiyaat baratna zaroori hai, kyunki market ki recent movement aur indicators ke madde nazar, aage ka direction clear nahi hai.

EUR/USD Price Action aur Market Dynamics ka Analysis:

Filhaal, daily timeframe par EUR/USD price action yeh darshata hai ke buyers control mein hain. Price Upper Bollinger Bands ke qareeb trade kar rahi hai, khaaskar 1.1028 aur 1.1030 ke beech. Buyers is level ko todne ki koshish kar rahe hain, aur Monday ke trading session mein breakout ka optimistic nazariya hai. Aaj ke trading session ke end par ek strong bullish candle ka formation further upward movement ki ummeed dilaata hai.

Agar buyers Upper Bollinger Bands ko todne mein kamiyab hote hain, to agla major target sellers ki supply resistance area hoga, jo 1.1100 se 1.1105 ke beech hai. Yeh level historically sellers ke liye ek bada rukawat bana hua hai.

Agle Monday ko, humein sellers se kuch resistance dekhne ko mil sakta hai, jo bearish correction ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Aise mein, price nearest buyer support area 1.1015 se 1.1013 tak gir sakti hai. Agar yeh support level mazboot bana rehta hai, to buyers phir se control mein aa sakte hain aur price ko upar push kar sakte hain, target karte hue resistance area 1.1043 se 1.1045 tak. Agar yeh resistance level bhi breach hota hai, to further bullish movement sellers ki supply resistance area 1.1100 se 1.1105 tak extend ho sakti hai.

H4 Timeframe aur Moving Averages Analysis:

Daily analysis ke ilawa, main EUR/USD pair ko H4 timeframe par 21-period aur 34-period moving averages ke saath bhi dekh raha hoon. Filhaal, price dono moving averages ke upar trade kar rahi hai, jo ek bullish trend ko indicate karta hai. Lekin, price ne 1.1047 par ek resistance level ko approach kiya hai, jo aage ki upward movement ko rok sakta hai.

Is situation ko dekhte hue, main samajhta hoon ke thodi correction ka intezaar karna behtar hoga pehle buy orders enter karne se. Correction ke baad entry point zyada favorable ho sakta hai, jo successful trade ke chances ko barha dega.

Explanation:
Current Trend aur Resistance Levels: Price movement yeh indicate karti hai ke buyers filhaal price ko upar push kar rahe hain lekin significant resistance levels ka samna kar rahe hain. Key resistances ko monitor karna zaroori hai for possible reversal ya continuation of the trend.
Potential Scenarios: Yeh bullish scenario (agar buyers resistance todte hain) aur bearish scenario (agar sellers resistance bana rehte hain) ko outline karta hai, jo market movements ke potential view ko balance karta hai.
Support Levels: Support levels ko identify karna crucial hai kyunki yeh indicate karte hain ke price decline par wapas kahaan bounce kar sakti hai, jo traders ke liye informed decisions banane mein madadgar hai.
Moving Averages ka Role: Moving averages ka use trend aur potential entry points ko identify karne mein hota hai, jo buy ya sell karne ke liye price action ko in averages ke saath dekh kar suggest karta hai.
Trade Strategy: Patience par emphasis diya gaya hai, jo ke trade enter karne se pehle correction ka intezaar karna successful trading ke liye zaroori hai. Yeh trading psychology aur strategy development ka ek key principle hai.

EURUSD Technical Overview

Is halat mein sellers ka primary maqsad yeh hoga ke support level 1.0845 ko target karein aur is point ke neeche ek decisive break ki koshish karein. Agar price is support ko successfully breach kar leti hai, to agla logical step downward trajectory ko test karna hoga, jahan 1.0910 level ko support ke tor par confirm kiya jaa sakta hai. Isliye, primary focus sell positions ko identify karne aur capitalize karne par hona chahiye. Yeh approach un logon ke liye significant profits de sakti hai jo strategically act karte hain.

Agar yeh level breach ho jata hai, to price further gir sakti hai, shayad Friday’s low ko retest karne ki possibility hai. Doosri taraf, agar rebound hota hai aur resistance level 1.0800 ki taraf badhta hai, to agar hourly chart ke trend mein koi reversal na ho, to yeh indicate karega ke moving averages abhi tak unwind nahi hue hain, jo ek aur potential downward movement ke liye stage set karega. Main aaj is currency pair ko buy karne ka plan bana raha hoon, jahan target resistance level aur pivot point ke around 1.0790 set kiya gaya hai. Four-hour chart par, MA80 ek resistance level ke tor par kaam karta hai, jabke daily chart par, cloudy base neechay ki taraf se ek formidable resistance area provide karta hai.

Mojooda market conditions ko dekhte hue, further declines tabhi sustain ho sakti hain jab hourly chart ka overbought condition correct ho. Lekin jab hourly chart unwind ho jayega, to focus shayad 1.0878 level ki taraf shift ho jaye, jahan ek potential reversal ho sakta hai. Agar price pivot point aur daily chart ke cloud ke lower part ki resistance ko break kar deti hai, to yeh 1.0868 level ki taraf move ke stage ko set kar sakta hai. In signals ke saath vigilant aur responsive rah kar, traders behtar position mein aa sakte hain taake wo prevailing trend ke direction ya reversal ke anticipation mein opportunities ko grab kar saken.

EurUsd market pair ki analysis Daily Trading time window mein, pichle haftay ke akhir mein abhi bhi sellers ke control mein thi, jo buyers ke superior the, jab price buyers ke control mein thi, jo price ko bullish le jaane mein kamyab ho gaye, lekin strong resistance area ke kaaran, jo sellers ne 1.0930-1.0928 par maintain kiya tha, price ko wapas bearish neecha kiya, lekin movement area limited ya sideways tha.

Moving Average indicator ke through, Daily time window mein, price ya candle abhi bhi Yellow MA 200 area ke upar hai, jo 1.0840-1.0832 par hai, jo darshata hai ki EurUsd pair market abhi bhi fairly strong bullish trend mein hai, lekin sellers ke resistance area ko maintain karne ke kaaran, prices ko phir se bearish neecha karne ke opportunities khul gaye hain, jo buyer's demand support area ko test karne ke liye hai, jo 1.0892-1.0890 par hai.




Somwar ke morning mein, seller's market mein enter karne ki koshish kar rahe the, lekin buyers ne prices ko continue rising bullish karne ki koshish ki, jo seller's resistance area ko target kar rahe the, jo 1.0924-1.0925 par hai. Agar bullish buyer pressure is resistance area ko break out kar sakti hai, to EurUsd pair ki price aur bhi upar jayegi, jo next target seller's supply resistance area ko test karne ke liye hai, jo 1.0928-1.0930 par hai. Lekin agar ye resistance area bullish rate ko hold back kar sakti hai, to seller is opportunity ko use karke price ko aur neecha kar sakte hain, jo buyer support area ko target kar rahe hain, jo 1.0910-1.0908 par hai.

Conclusion: Buy trading option ki ja sakti hai agar price seller's resistance area ko penetrate kar sakti hai, jo pending buy stop order area 1.0923-1.0925 par hai, aur TP area 1.0935-1.0940 par hai. Sell trading option ki ja sakti hai agar price buyer's support area ko penetrate kar sakti hai, jo pending sell stop order 1.0910-1.0908 par hai, aur TP area 1.0902-1.0900 par hai

EUR/USD H4


ہم اپنی گفتگو میں EUR/USD کرنسی جوڑی کی قیمت میں تبدیلیوں کا تجزیہ کریں گے۔ پاول نے ECB فورم میں تقریر کی اور ہمیشہ کی طرح، امریکی ڈالر کو "گرا دیا"، حالانکہ لگارڈ نے ان سے پہلے بولتے ہوئے یورو کی تھوڑی سی حمایت کی۔ پاول نے کچھ نیا نہیں کہا، EUR/USD نے 1.0739 کی سطح کو عبور کر لیا اور 1.0749 کی مزاحمت کے قریب پہنچ گیا۔ EMA-200 کی طرف سے نشان زد اہم مزاحمتی سطح 1.0759 پر ہے۔ یہ واضح نہیں ہے کہ مارکیٹ نے پاول کے اس طرح کے رد عمل کا مظاہرہ کیوں کیا، کیونکہ اس کے تبصرے کوئی بڑی بات نہیں تھے۔ انہوں نے ذکر کیا کہ لیبر مارکیٹ اب بھی مضبوط ہے، افراط زر 2% کے قریب نہیں ہے، اور عدم افراط زر کی علامات ہیں۔ لگارڈ نے یہ بھی تبصرہ کیا کہ اگرچہ افراط زر صحیح سمت میں جا رہا ہے، یہ نتیجہ اخذ کرنا بہت جلد ہوگا کہ یہ یکساں رہے گا۔ پاول نے اس بات پر زور دیا کہ فیڈ اپنے فیصلوں میں جلدی نہیں کر سکتا اور یہ کہ امریکہ اور یورپ میں افراط زر مختلف مسائل ہیں جن کے لیے مختلف نقطہ نظر کی ضرورت ہے۔ ان کے تبصروں کے باوجود، مارکیٹ امریکی ڈالر خریدنے کے لیے ہچکچاہٹ کا شکار ہے۔

یورپ میں سیاسی پیش رفت نے مارکیٹ کے جذبات کو نمایاں طور پر متاثر کیا ہے، خاص طور پر یورپی پارلیمانی انتخابات جنہوں نے یورو پر اعتماد کو متاثر کیا ہے۔ فرانس کے صدر ایمانوئل میکرون کی جانب سے یورپی یونین کے پارلیمنٹ کے انتخابات میں بھاری شکست کے بعد پارلیمنٹ کو تحلیل کرنے اور فوری انتخابات کرانے کے فیصلے نے مارکیٹ کی غیر یقینی صورتحال میں اضافہ کیا ہے۔ میرین لی پین، جو نیشنل ریلی کی ایک دائیں بازو کی قدامت پسند سیاست دان ہیں، کے میکرون کی جگہ لینے کے امکان نے مالیاتی منڈیوں کو ہلا کر رکھ دیا ہے۔ لی پین کے پلیٹ فارم میں ٹیکسوں میں زبردست کمی، ریٹائرمنٹ کی عمر میں کمی، اور سخت امیگریشن کنٹرول شامل ہیں، جس نے فرانس میں کافی مقبولیت حاصل کی ہے۔

لی پین کی فتح کے امکانات یورپی مالیاتی منڈیوں میں تشویش پیدا کر رہے ہیں۔ ان کی پالیسیاں اس وقت اہم مالیاتی چیلنجز پیدا کر سکتی ہیں جب یورپی اقتصادی اشاریے پہلے ہی کم کارکردگی کا مظاہرہ کر رہے ہیں۔ مزید برآں، یورپی مرکزی بینک (ECB) یورو زون کے اندر جاری افراط زر کے مسائل کی وجہ سے شرح میں کمی کے نفاذ کے قابل نہیں ہے۔

EUR/USD ke price behavior ko hum ab detail se dekh rahe hain. EUR/USD currency pair ne 4 ghanton mein growth dikhayi hai, aur indicators mazeed upar ki taraf momentum ki ishaarat de rahe hain. Moving average line abhi bhi green hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke buyers abhi bhi dominate kar rahe hain—price channel ke upper limit ke nazdeek hai, jo is bullish stance ko aur mazid mazbooti deta hai. Friday ko, EUR/USD ne 1.1026 ke significant psychological barrier ke upar movement ko roka, jo daily hourly period mein mazeed bullish momentum ke potential ko signal karta hai. Ek correction support level 1.0959 tak ho sakti hai, jo ke psychological tendencies ke mutabiq hai, jahan accumulated limit orders aksar price ko ulta direction mein push karte hain. Jabke agla move exact predict karna mushkil hai, aane wala resistance zone 1.1129 ke aas-paas hai, jo ke agle kuch dinon mein dekhne ko mil sakta hai.

Magar, current market activity ke madde nazar, ek bearish correction ke hone ke chances hain, jisme medium-term outlook ke liye moving average line ke aas-paas 1.0899 tak pullback ho sakta hai. H1 chart par, euro-dollar buyers ne upward pressure barqarar rakha hai, aur prices ko 1.0879 ke low ke upar rakha hai. EUR/USD ke liye critical resistance 1.1034 hai, jo ke second impulse zone mein hai. Is level ko breach karne ki pehli koshish nakam rahi, lekin agar Monday ko bulls successful ho jaate hain, to wo iske upar consolidate kar sakte hain. Is se upward momentum 1.1056 ke next level tak extend ho sakta hai, jahan reversal ho sakta hai. Magar agar 1.1034 mazbooti se hold hota hai, to EUR/USD bearish shift ho sakta hai, aur pehli impulse zone ke levels 1.0997 aur 1.0976 ko retest karne ki koshish kar sakta hai. Friday ke trading ke mutabiq, bearish pullback ke chances kam hain, aur 1.1034 level par market ka reaction decisive hoga.