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EUR/ USD Price Patterns

Hamari guftagu EUR/ USD currency pair ke price action ka tajziya par mabni hogi. Main ek hi umeedon ko share karta hoon, aur euro-dollar ke 1.0804 ke nichale darja se mojooda upward momentum ke madde se, zahir hai ke shayad peer ko ek continued bullish pullback ke sath shuru hoga. EUR/USD ke nazdiki ahem resistance 1.0885 par hai, aur agar bull is level ke upar apni jagah mazboot karte hain, to single currency ka qeemat agle resistance 1.0912 ki taraf barh sakti hai, lekin ye ghair yaqeeni hai ke ye level behtareen tor par mumkin hoga. Agar 1.0912 resistance qaim rahe aur euro-dollar 1.0885 tod kar neeche gir jaye, to EUR/USD quotes 1.0858 ke darja tak kamiyaab ho sakti hain. Magar, is ke hone ke liye chand din zaroorat ho sakti hai. Hafta ke akhbarat is par bhi bohot gehra asar dalenge, aur humein market ke reaction ka intezar karna hoga trading ke ibaraat mein sabr ka ahmiyat taayn karta hai.





Intazar karte hue ke market mein ek potential downward movement ho, chalon is technical tafseelat mein ghus jate hain. EUR/USD ke qeemat mein girawat ka rawayya nazar aata hai aur pehle hi 1.0861 tak gir gaya hai. Is manzare ke tehat, bear ko fayda hai, aur ye ummeedwar hai ke ye rukh maintain karenge. Magar, ehmiyat hai ke ehteat se kaam liya jaye, aur positions ko breakouts ke doran key level tak adjust kiya jaye. Agar movement stabilize na ho, to market 1.0910 tak pohanch jayega, jahan ek significant decline ke liye ek mauka pesh aayega. Isliye, downward movement priority scenario hai. Jabke market ke dono taraf se numayish ke liye bohot se entry points hain, lekin sahi raah ke baray mein bilkul durust prediction karna qareeban na-mumkin hai. Mozu mein ab, farokht par zor dena chahiye, ehtiyati ko yaad rakhte hue.

Euro (EUR) ko US Dollar (USD) ke khilaf haarnay ka zoor lag gaya Peer ko, jab US trading session ke doran 1.0920 ke qareeb gira. Ye iske baad aya, jab isne Budh ke qareeb aik naya chaar mahine ka uchha tareen 1.0950 tak ponch gaya tha. Ye major currency pairs ke girne ka waqt ECB ka July policy meeting announcement ke sath mila. Jaisa ke umeed thi, ECB ne interest rates ko barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya. Main refinancing rate aur deposit facility rate 4.25% aur 3.75% barabar hi barkarar rahe. Ye status quo barqarar rakhne ka faisla umeedon ke mutabiq tha, kyun ke ECB ke afseraan peshawar chand mahine pehle rate cuts ka mukarrar rastay par qarar denay se inkar kar chuke the. Un ka asal masla khidmaton ke sector mein musalsal inflation hai, jo haal hi mein inflation ko roknay mein ki gayi taraqqi ko khatra mein dal sakti hai. ECB ke is rukh mein tabdeeli us ke initital June mein rate cut ke baad aai, jo pandemic stimulus measure dwara barhaye gaye inflation ke khilaf larne ke liye lagaya gaya do saal ke dor ko dafa kar diya. Markazi bank ab yakeen rakhta hai ke inflation risks aur economic risks barabar qareeb hain, aur qeemat ke daraje ko wapas 2% ke nishana par lanay ka intezar hai.





Is bawajood, mali asaratein ECB ke is saal mein do aur rate cuts ki umeed rakhti hain, mazeed ek September mein shayad aa sakti hai. Magar, ECB President Christine Lagarde ne aik policy statement mein kehtay waqt tanbhi di ke Governing Council "kisi makhsoos interest rate raste par pehle se commit nahi hoga." Lagarde ne bhi qubool kiya ke agle saal overall inflation maujooda tasweeron se tezi se guzarna shayad hai. Future rate cuts ki mumkinat par dabao dalne par, unhone "data-driven and meeting-by-meeting approach" ko dohraya, ke monetray policy restrictions ka munasib darja aur muddat taay karne ke liye. Mali news agency Reuters ne note kiya ke 3 hafton mein ke dauran qeematien utharne ki rawayat dikhai dein, lekin wo upper limit ko nahi chukti hain. Ye EUR/USD pair ke liye aik potential downside move ka ishara ho sakta hai, jahan bear apne nazar 1.0898 ke channel ke lower limit ki taraf jama sakte hain. Doosri taraf, aik musbat price pattern dekhne ke sath focus 1.0850 area ki taraf shift ho sakti hai, jahan pe ek pichley resistance trend line banaya gaya tha.

EUR/USD pair ne akhir kuch umeed afz signs dekhai hain, jinhein is haftay 1.0825 ilaaqay ke oopar thaharne ki salahiyat hai agar ye peechle haftay ka breakout barqarar rakh sakti hai. Agar ye level ke oopar barqarar rehti hai, to mazeed kamiyabi ki raah ko saf kiya ja sakta hai 1.0870 aur shayad 1.0925 tak. Ye levels ahem hain kyun ke ye nazdeeki muddat ke resistance points ko darust karte hain jo agar taajub kar jaate hain, to euro ke liye ek lambi bullish trend ki taraf ishara ho sakta hai. 1.0825 ke oopar rahne se mazeed kamiyabi aur haal ke breakout ka barqarar rehna sambhav hai, 1.0870 aur 1.0925 ko madadgar maqasid ke tor par bana sakte hain. Magar, agar 1.0820 ke oopar band ho jata hai, to bullish case ko muzamat mein la sakta hai aur 1.0725 ko wapas tanzim kar sakta hai. Maujooda ghairat aur market se mix signals ko dekhte hue, kisi bhi ahem trading faislay se pehle ek clear rukh ka intezar karna ajar hai. Ye ahem levels ke aas paas rozana band hone ka tawajjo karke zaroori hai ke EUR/USD pair ke agle kadam ka faisla kya hoga.

Magar, is baat ka koi shak nahi ke mai is nazar se thora sa intiha pasand rahta hoon. Mere 2024 ke liye mukhtasir bayan mein ek mazboot US dollar ki umeed hai, jo mujhe euro ke halqi guzarne ki salahiyat par thori shakawat mehsoos karwati hai. Ye shakawat bila wajah nahi hai; US se arzi data mazbooted aur dollar ki taqat ko support karti hai.

Is ke bawajood, is waqt main EUR/USD pair par short hone ka rujhan nahi rakhta. Maujooda market halat mein na to koi wazeh mouqa hai bullish stance lenay ka na hee bearish stance lene ka. Pair aik consolidation phase mein chehraha lagta hai, aur ye aqalmandi hai ke ek mazeed wazi harkat ka intezar kiya jaye, position lenay se pehle. Is tarah ke ghair yaqeeni waqt mein sabar zaroori hai, aur kabhi kabhi behtar amal ye hota hai ke koi amal na liya jaye jab tak koi wazi trend saamne nahi aata.




Agar euro 1.0825 ke oopar apni position barqarar rakhti, to yeh ek musalsal juloos ka case mazboot karegi. Traderson ko is level ke oopar rozana band ka intezar karna chahiye bullish momentum ki tasdeek ke tor par. Aise ek harkat se mazeed buyers ki taraf khenchao aajayega, jo pair ko agle targets 1.0870 aur 1.0925 ki taraf dhakkel sakte hain. Ye levels mukhtisar muddat ke tradeurs ke liye munafa nikaalne ke sooratgar zones ya un dakhil hone ke points ke tor par kaam kar sakte hain jo upar ki taraf trend mein rehna chahte hain.

Doosri taraf, agar euro daily closing basis par 1.0820 kho deti hai, to yeh bullish ke liye mushkil ka baais ban sakta hai. Is level ke nichle hone se ye zahir ho sakta hai ke support gir gaya hai aur pair ko dobara 1.0725 ilaaqa dikhaya jaye. Ye level pehle bhi aik ahem support ka kaam aaya hai, aur uske neeche chalte hue tezi se chalne ka imkaan hai. Is tarah ke manzar mein, bears control hasil kar sakte hain, aur pair neechay ke levels ko dobara dekhne ke liye sambhal sakte hain, jise ke stop-loss orders ko activate karne ka aahir hoga aur mazeed bechne ke dabao ko behter kar sakega.

EURUSD TAAQAT 22 JULY 2024

4 ghante ka wakfa

Image ko barhne ke liye dabao

Is July 2024 ke shuru se lekar euro pair ke market situation par mabniye tajziya ke mutabiq, yeh dekha gaya hai ke trend tezi se barh raha hai, ooncha safar bikharne mein kamyaab raha, jo ke June 2024 ke aakhiri hisse mein taiyar hua tha. Pichle mahine ke shuru ki trading dour mein, price kareeb teen hafton tak choti range mein barrister zone mein chal raha tha. Is mahine market ke aane ke baad lagta hai ke price ko hataane ke liye kaafi energy moujood hai. Mombatti tezi se teen hafton tak 0.0949 ilaqe mein barh rahi hai.

Haalaanki pichle hafte ne niche ka sudhaar kiya gaya, lekin rasta market mein ab bhi wohi tezi se dikhta hai ke ek tez mombatti banayi gayi hai. Agar mahine ke shuru se aaj tak naapne kiya jaye, to mombatti ki safar ne qareeban 212 pips tak udhna mumkin kiya. Dikhta hai ke mombatti ab 1.0893 position mein hai. Graph ke jhalak se saaf hai ke price ka safar bhok mein ja raha hai. Mombatti ka position is mahine ke shuru se 100 muddat ke average moving average line ko guzarne shuru hua hai, agle trend ko dekhne ke liye ye madadgar technique sabit ho sakti hai.





Aaj subah market ne 1.0885 position ke saath shuru kiya, 4 ghante ka wakfa dikhata hai ke buyer ab bhi price ko hataane mein madadgar hai aur mombatti ko barqarar rakhne mein assistance dete hain. Usoolon ke mutabiq pichle kuch mahinon ke trend par, yeh lagta hai ke ye tezi se barh raha hai, haalaanki pichle mahine ka niche aur moomkin theek kiya gaya, phir euro pair price ke lie is haftay ka taraqqi hone ka paish-e-nazar hai. - Izaafa. Agar buyer price ko 1.0916 tak le ja sake, to agla tezi se safar ka maqbooza agla 1.0967 price zone ke qareeb hai ke tor par pechana jaata hai.

Transaction options:

1.0914 ilaqe mein khareedne ka mosam, munafa lena: 1.0964, nuksan rokna: 1.0886

EURUSD Forum Analysis, Tashkeel



Aj Asian session mein market ka iftetah ho raha hai to movement kaafi zyada hai kyunke ab eurusd currency pair 15 pips chala gaya hai. Ooper jaane se pehle, asal mein ek chota gap bana tha. Ab eurusd khud apni jagah par 1.0900 ke qeemat par trade ho raha hai. Kuch dino pehle eurusd ka movement asal mein girne laga tha, lekin mombatti ne 1.0878 ki darkhwast ilaqa tak pohanchne ke baad, movement barhne ka rujhan zahir hua. Meri rai hai ke eurusd barhne mein natural hai kyunke maine dekha hai ke koi taqmeel bilkul nahi hui hai.
Agar h1 timeframe se tajziya kiya jaaye jab tak 1.0878 ki darkhwast ilaqa par pohanchne ki koshish nahi ki gayi hai, to main tajweez karta hoon ke currency pair mein abhi bhi barhne ki qabliyat hai. Lekin, doosri taraf, agar ye paar kiya gaya hai, to ye girne ko mazeed gehra bhi sakti hai. Meri andaza hai ke eurusd ka yeh barhna waqt hai ke 1.0942 ki qeemat par mawaarid ke imtehaan liye jaye. Mawaarid ilaqa tak pohanchne ke baad, main tajziyat deta hoon ke eurusd phir se girne lage ga. Eurusd ke barhte hue maqasid sirf taqmeel ke liye nazar aate hain. Sab se ahem baat ye hai ke 1.0942 ki qeemat par mawaarid ko guzarne na diya jaye kyunke agar yeh hota hai to neeche jaane ke moqa aur bhi kam honge.

Agar Ichimoku indicator ka istemal kar ke kal shukrwar ko mombatti ka position abhi bhi Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke neeche tha. Magar, peer ko halat ultay hain kyunke EURUSD mein kaafi oonchi barhti hui qeemat ne neela Kijun Sen line ko tor diya. Aane wale waqt mein yeh ho sakta hai ke naye mawaarid aayein jo eurusd ko aur ooncha kar sakein. Mukhtalif ichimoku indicator ke mutabiq eurusd jald hi ooncha jaane wala hai.




Is dauran, stochastic indicator se position abhi bhi beech mein hai is liye oversold ya overbought kehna sahi nahi ho sakta. Magar, maine ek oopar ki taraf moqabila dekha jo eurusd ko phir se ooncha jaane ki ijaazat deta hai. Iska matlab hai ke mombatti jo darkhwast ilaqa mein hai, aj eurusd ke liye barhne ka moqa behtareen waqt hai. Pichle do dino mein iska movement girne laga tha, lekin peer ko eurusd phir se ooncha gaya.

To aaj ke tajziya ka ikhtitam yeh hai ke eurusd currency pair mein barhne ki kuch mushkil hai, lekin shayad woh zyada lambi nahi hogi kyunke yeh sirf ek taqmeel hai. Ichimoku indicator bhi eurusd ke barhne ko support karta hai kyunke mombatti ne kijun sen line ko kamyabi se paar kar liya hai. Iske alawa, upar ki taraf moqabila karne wala stochastics dikhata hai ke eurusd mein abhi bhi tezi ki koi gunjaish hai. Is liye, main eurusd pair mein trade karte hue dosto se yeh recommend karta hoon.

Euro-Dollar currency pair mein ek neeche ki taraf trend nazar aa raha hai, jahan 1.0832 ke level ka aana ek ahem qeemat ka point hai jo mazeed giravat ki nishani ho sakti hai. Yeh level hamari tawajjo ki zaroorat hai, kyunke yeh pair ke movement mein aham tabdili ka ishara hosakta hai. Jab yeh movement mukammal ho jaye, to hum is level ke neeche rukawat ka intezar kar sakte hain, jis se bearish momentum ko taqat milegi. Mustaqbil ki qeemat harkat par baat cheet karna asaan hoga jab yeh maqsood hasil ho jaye. 1.0703 ke level tak giravat ek mumkinati hai, jis se EUR/USD ke liye bullish mein moshkil ho sakti hai. Filhal ek khareedari position kholna mushkil hosakta hai, lekin humein dhyan rakhna chahiye ke trend ki ghalat qeemat ka andaza laga na dena mushkil hosakta hai, kyunke ek manfi position se baahar nikalna kaafi mushkil ho sakta hai. Dilchasp hai ke hum kis jagah upar ki tehqiqat aur uske baad kieron ke liye intezar kar sakte hain, kyunke in points se pata chalta hai ke qeemat ko lauta dena zaroori hai. M30 aur h1 charts ki jaanch se yeh levels tay kiye ja sakte hain. Euro-Dollar currency pair trading week ko giravat ke saath khatam karta hai, lekin moving averages ke mutabiq EUR/USD ke liye bullish trend ki tawaakal rahi hai, jahan quotes ne 1.0 ke level ke upar qaim rehne mein kamiyabi haasil ki hai.





Euro-Dollar exchange rate ka aik qeemat ki taqseem ka tajziya hone ki umeed hai, jis ka shayad nishana 1.0839-1.0859 ke aas paas hota hai. Magar, agar currency pair is level se phir se uth jata hai, to ye apna ooncha raasta jaari rakh sakta hai aur 1.0979 ke upar pohanchne ka moqa mil sakta hai, jo mazeed izaafa ke liye umeed afza hosakta hai. Ulta, 1.0839 ke neeche girna umeed ko nakar dein ga, jisse growth mansooba ko naks dono shaanakht karay aur 1.0739 ke neeche ilaqa ki taraf giravat ka silsila jari rakhein. Analysts bazaar ki dynamics ka nigrani rakhte hain, jin mein Euro buyers ke asraat aur USD ki misaalat ke tabadlon ka asar shamil hai, taake Euro-Dollar exchange rate ke mustaqbil ka rukh samjha ja sake.

EUR/USD currency pair, jo filhal 1.2909 par trade kar raha hai, ek bearish trend mein hai, jo haal hee ke dino mein dheere dheere chal raha hai. Magar, ishaaraat hain ke aik ahem movement kareeb hai. Yeh potential momentum ka taqaza aik combination of technical indicators, economic data releases, aur geopolitical developments se ho sakta hai.

Technical Indicators

Kai technical indicators yeh suggest karte hain ke EUR/USD aik reversal ya kam az kam aik maqbool movement se tayar ho sakta hai apne mojooda bearish trend se. Ek primary indicator jo dekhna chahiye wo Relative Strength Index (RSI) hai, jo price movements ki tezi aur tabadla ko napta hai. EUR/USD ke liye RSI oversold territory ke qareeb hai, jo aam tor par 30 ke niche hota hai, ishara dete hue ke pair shayad undervalued hai aur aik rebound ke liye tayyar hai.


Doosra ahem technical indicator Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) hai. Yeh trend-following momentum indicator currency pair ke price ke do moving averages ke darmiyan ke taluqat ko dikhata hai. MACD ab convergence ki nishaniyan dikhata hai, jo bearish se bullish momentum ka potential change ishara kar sakti hai. Mazeed, histogram, jo MACD line aur signal line ke darmiyan fark ko darust karta hai, kam hoti ja rahi hai, jo kamzor bearish momentum ki ishara deti hai.

Support aur resistance levels bhi mumkinati price movements ko samajhne mein ahem hain. EUR/USD filhal aik ahem support level ke qareeb 1.2900 ke aas paas hai. Agar yeh level qaim rehta hai, to yeh potential upward move ke liye aik mazboot base ka kaam kar sakta hai. Ulta, is support level ke neeche breach hone se mazeed giravat ho sakti hai, jo agla support level 1.2800 ke qareeb ahem banega.

Economic Data Releases

Eurozone aur United States se economic data releases EUR/USD currency pair pe gehra asar dal sakti hain. Dekhne wali mukhtalif data mein shamil hai mudawwon ke rates, Gross Domestic Product (GDP) ki growth, rozeshaan shumariyat, aur markazi bankon ke ilanat.





Eurozone mein, hal hee ke data ne mixed economic performance dikhaya hai, jahan kuch mumalikon ne doosron se zyada sakhti se taraqqi dikhayi hai. Misal ke tor par, Germany, Eurozone ka bara tareen mizaaj, ne industrial production ko sannbhalne ke nishan dikhaye hain, jo euro pe lekar chakkar sakti hai. Ulta, France aur Spain ne mehsool economic data diya hai, jo currency ko kuch support denay ka imkaan deta hai.

United States mein, economic data nisbatan mazboot raha hai, khaaskar kaarobaar ke shobay mein, jahan berozgari ke rates kam rehne ke saath saath nokriyon ki creation baqa rahi hai. Federal Reserve ke monetary policy decisions, jo inflation aur employment data se mutasir hoti hain, bhi ahem hain. Rate hikes ya cuts ki kisi bhi isharaat se EUR/USD pair mein khaas ragon mein izafah hosakta hai. Filhal, market taqreeban har qisam ka Fed ki stance mein tabadla dhoondh rahi hai, jo increased volatility ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Geopolitical Developments

Geopolitical developments bhi EUR/USD exchange rate mein aik ahem kirdar ada kar saktay hain. Jese elections, trade negotiations, aur international confilcts aik uncertainty aur volatility ka baes ban saktay hain currency markets mein.

Masalan, chalte hue trade negotiations United States aur uske trading partners ke darmiyaan USD ko mutassir kar sakti hain. In negotiations mein kisi bhi progress ya rukawat ke isharaat currency pair mein fluctuations ka sabab ban sakti hain. Mazeed, Eurozone mein political instability, jese Brexit ke ird gird uncertanities ya member countries mein hone wali upcoming elections euro pe dabaav dal sakti hain.

Ikhtitami guzarish, jabke EUR/USD filhal bearish trend mein hai, ek combination of technical indicators, economic data releases, aur geopolitical developments suggest karte hain ke aik ahem movement taqreeban samne hai. Traders aur investors ko in factors ko nazarandaaz na karke currency pair ke momentum mein potential shifts ko behtar samajhne ke liye qareebi nigrani rakhni chahiye.

Euro (EUR) ne do din tak US Dollar (USD) ke khilaf aik tezi ki dharkan dikhayi, lekin ab halaton mein mushkilat ka samna hai. Iska tafseel azoo currencies par asar dalne wale factors se wazahat ki ja sakti hai. America ki taraf se, risk se bachne ki tijarat hal mein izafa ho gaya hai, jo investors ko USD ki safe-haven status ki talash mein mubtala kar raha hai. Yeh us oqat ke bawajood hai ke kuch pareshani wali ma'loomatateer aam hain. America mein shuruati jobless claim (begaani tawakkal) ne julai ke 12th ko ikhtetaam hote hue 243,000 tak barh girah thi, jo ke analysts ke peshgoiyon se ziada thi. Yeh maaloomat is baat pe jalan annne ka bais banati hai ke Federal Reserve shetember mein intereset rates kam kar sakta hai. Ab markets mein 93.5% chance hai ke 25 basis point reduction hoga, jo ke pichle hafte ke 85.1% se barh gaya hai. Wahi European Central Bank (ECB) ne july ke meeting mein apne mojooda interest rates ko barqarar rakha. Yeh faisla Euro ke upside potential ko mehdood kar sakta hai.




Technically, charts ke mutabiq EUR/USD pair ke liye aik potential reversal nazar ata hai. A resistance trend line aur aik mumkin SBR (support-breakout-retest) pattern Euro ke liye aik potential downside target ko darust karte hain. Mazeed, Fibonacci retracement tool ek supply zone ko highlight karta hai jahan selling pressure mukhtalif hosakti hai. Chote time frames par dekhte hue, Euro ke mojooda price action aik ascending channel ke andar lagta hai. Yeh short-term counter-trend ke tor par tashreeh di ja sakti hai. Magar, is channel ke resistance line ne key Fibonacci retracement levels ke sath milti hai,jo Euro ke liye apna upward momentum barqarar rakhne ki potential mein aik takrar ka sabab ban rahi hai. Ikhtitami tor par, EUR/USD pair mukhalif forces ka samna hai. Mazboot naqsha e inki, US jobs data ek mumkin Fed rate cut ki taraf point karta hai, jo USD ko kamzor kar sakta hai. Magar, ECB ke rates ko barqarar rakhne ka faisla aur charts ke technical indicators ke mutabiq Euro ke faiday mehdood rehne ka ishara dete hain. Traders ko price action ko nazarandaaz karna chahiye, khaaskar resistance trend line, SBR pattern, aur key Fibonacci retracement levels ke milnay ki asrato ke aas paas. Is zone ke neeche breakout, ascending channel mein trend line break ke sath madad lekar, Euro ke liye taqatwar downtrend ka ishara ho sakta hai.

EUR/USD M30 TIME FRAME CHART.

Assalamu Alaikum, Ji, dollar ki demand Trump ke Powell se darkhwast ke baad asar andaz ho sakti hai ke wo chunavon se pehle darje kam na karen, 4 mahine ke uchayi ke dar ne bahut se logon ko mehsoos karaya hai. Magar ye nahi maloom ke kya Powell sunega, after all, Federal Reserve USA mein aik mustaqil idara hai, aur politics mein Trump amm tor par pasand nahi aya, wo uski darkhwast per kamyabi haasil nahi kar sakte. Magar abhi euro gir raha hai, aur neeche ki movement ko barhane ke liye aik taqatwar signal develop karne ke liye, humain 1.08609 ke level ke breakout aur consolidation dekhna hoga. Yahan, humain aik acha breakdown mil jayega ascending structure ka, aur giravat ko jari rakhne ke liye target 1.08045 ka mark hoga. EURUSD M30 pair:

1 - Jummay ko, euro ne 1.08963 ke level se khareedne ke liye ek dakhil point tasawar kiya aur 1.08706 ke level se bechne ke liye, magar aakhir kar keemat in levels tak nahi pahunchi.

2 - Bands ke sath halaat ke baray mein baat karte hue, keemat bands ke markazi hisse mein ruk gayi, aur bands khud aik horizontal position le gaye. Keemat ki taraf barhne ya ghirne ke liye ek achi signal hasil karne ke liye, hamein upper ya lower band ke bahar active nikalne ka muntazir rehna chahiye, aur phir dekhen ke bands kya bahar khulte hain.




3 - AO indicator negative zone mein growth banane ki koshish kar raha hai, agar hum dekhte hain ke somwar ko zyada tezi se ubhari ja rahi hai, to keemat girne ke liye aik taqatwar signal haasil karenge. Zero ko cross karne aur aik müte active growth ko positive zone mein dekhne se, keemat mein izafa ho sakta hai.

4 - Sale ke liye dakhil-e pazirai ka nukta 1.08706 ke level se tasawwur kiya ja sakta hai, breakout aur consolidation ke baad points 1.08328 aur 1.08052 pe keemat mein giravat ka intezar kiya ja sakta hai.

5 - Khareedne ka mark 1.08963 ke level se tasawwur kiya ja sakta hai, breakout aur consolidation ke points 1.08306 aur 1.09576 pe keemat mein izafa ki umeed hai.

Main ne socha ke markets khabar ke liyay zyada taqatwar tareeqe se react karein ge, lekin haqeeqat mein, sab kuch routine hai. Hum ne peer ko maamooli sauda dekha. Magar ek khaas baat ka pata chalta hai. Lagbhag har peer ko, aik gap hota hai. Pehle is se pehle, is saal ke ibtida se, main taqriban yaad nahi karta ke kaddar hota. Main is hafte mein agay barhta rahunga, aur exactly jaise expected tha, aik rollback start ho chuka hai. Aaj, EUR/USD pair buyer line ke sath movement ke liye prospects dikha raha hai, aur agar fundamental factors ke wajah se sentiment mein tabdeeli ho sakti hai, to main southern trend ke ubhar hone ko nahi nazar andaz kar sakta.

Iss maamle mein, iss possibility ke sath, mukhtalif tijarat ki taraf hatna munasib hai ke amoomi movement ka compensation kiya ja sake. Aaj, turning point 1.0860 hai. Abhi halat mein hum pullback bana rahe hain, lekin structure abhi bhi bohot kamzor hai, iska matlab abhi ke liye pullback nahi balkay flat hai. Magar, launch process abhi nazar araha hai, is liye main har rollback downward ke sath mojooda movement ka mazboot honay per shart lagata hoon. Ab aik naye tajziati level ke taqriban samjha ja raha hai, jahan pe bohot se signals dono rukh mein detect ho rahe hain, aur bohot se pehle miss ho chuke hain.





Taqreeban jald naye maloomat ke saath mutabiqat hoga, aur, yeh kam hoga Thursday jab ECB rates anay wale hain, aur hum inhe bohot dinon tak market dynamics mein shamil kar sakte hain. Yahan aik dilchasp detail hai: wave ke sath resistance, jo 9th figure mein hai. To, jabtak hum upar hain, bullish barabar hain, aur aaj ke liye northern target 1.0920 hai. Mujhe shak hai ke aaj woh upar jayenge. Iss ke liye southerners ke liye 1.0860 se neeche jana zaruri hai, aur phir target 1.0800 hoga. Main isfah droon kar raha hoon ke keematien barhengi.

Buyers clearly lead mein hain, initiative banaye rakhne ke liye jari raham rahim hain. Agar yeh jaari rahe to, chand ghanton mein keemat barhne ka intezar kar sakte hain. Natural tor par abhi bhi bechne walon ka koe asar hai, magar agar woh kamzor dikhate hain, to unhe control banaye rakhne ka hosh nahi rahega, aur unhone Europe ke ibtida mein ye dikhaya hai. Chalte hai dekhte hain ke khabar kya kehti hai: EUR/USD taaza statistics pe move karna shuru karta hai, aur hum Thursday ke ECB rates ki taraf ja rahe hain. Agar bullish trend poori tor per dominant hai, to humein rollback pe dakhil-e-pazirai ke points dhoondne ki zarurat padegi. Mazeed zaroori khabar ki umeed se pair ke upar jane ka intezar hai.

EUR/USD TAFTEESH

Subah mein, UK ke Office for National Statistics ne riwayati Price Index (CPI) ke saalana inflation rate ke mutalliq Europe mein June mein 2% qayam rakhne ki riwayati report ki. Is muddat mein, core CPI 3.5% tak barh gaya aur Retail Price Index 2.9% tak barh gaya. Ye figures analysts ki estimate ke mutabiq hain. GBP/USD halka sa barha par pehli tahleel ke baad 1.3000 ke neeche hi reh gaya.

Ek mamooli rebound ke baad Monday ko, US Dollar Index Tuesday ko 104.50 ke qarib rukawat ke baad seedha tha. Index early Wednesday ko thora sa 104.00 ke neeche gira magar woh level ke oopar reh raha hai. Mutasir US stock index futures 4.2% ke neeche hain ek tezi se kami ke baad Tuesday ko aur US Treasury bond ka benchmark 10-year yield bhi negative territory mein trade kar raha hai.

EUR/USD aage badh raha hai, daily chart tafteesh mein dekhe gaye bullish trend ke saath support mil raha hai. Pair 1.0922 ke char mahine ke highest level ke qarib rukawat ka saamna kar sakta hai.

Taraqqi pasand channel ka neecha boundary, 1.0870 level ke aas paas, fori support ka kaam kar sakta hai.

EUR/USD doosre mudat mein aage badh raha hai, Wednesday ke Asian session mein 1.0900 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai. Daily chart tafteesh mein ek bullish trend nazar aata hai, jahan pair taraqqi pasand channel ke andar reh raha hai.





Is ke alawa, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI), aik momentum indicator, 50 level ke oopar hai, jo EUR/USD pair ke liye ek bullish sentiment ko tasdeeq karta hai. Jaari momentum pair ke bullish bias ko mazboot kar sakta hai.

EUR/USD 1.0922 ke char mahine ke highest level ke qarib rukawat ka samna kar raha hai, jo July 15 ko dekha gaya tha. Mazeed rukawat 1.1000 ke qarib mazeed intezar ki ja rahi hai, jo taraqqi pasand channel ke upper boundary ke qarib, kuch 1.1020 ke aas paas, hai.

Nakami ke liye, shuruati support EUR/USD pair ke liye taraqqi pasand channel ke neeche boundary ke qarib 1.0870 level ke aas paas hai, jo 1.0864 par navisht ki gayi 9-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke mutabiq hai.

Is level ke neeche breach pair par neeche ki taraf pressure ko barha sakta hai, jahan par key level 1.0670 ke qarib support ki tawaqo ki ja rahi hai, jo aik throwback support level ke tor par kaam kar sakta hai.

EUR/USD Keemat Ka Tafteesh

Naye ma'ashi data aur market dynamics ne EUR/USD currency pair par asar dala hai jis se Europe aur United States ke mojooda ma'ashi soorton ka tasleem hota hai.

UK Inflation Data

European subah ne UK se aham mehngaai data ka izhaar dekha, jise Office for National Statistics ne riport kiya. June ki Consumer Price Index (CPI) saal bhar mein 2% par qaim rahi, jo tajziyat karne wale tajziyaan ke mutabiq thi. Is CPI ke mustaid hone ka matlab hai ke UK mein mehngai ke mahaul mein nisbatan control hai. Iske ilawa, core CPI jo ghiza aur taawan jese mohtasib chezon ko shamil nahi karta, 3.5% tak barh gaya, jabke Retail Price Index (RPI) 2.9% tak izafa hua. Ye figures persistent inflationary pressures ka zikar karte hain, khaaskar core consumer prices mein, lekin ye market forecasts se kafi zyada farq nahi dikha.

Impact on EUR/USD

Ye dynamics ko madde nazar rakhtay hue, EUR/USD pair ko European aur US ke ma'ashi surat-e-hal ke darmiyan taluqat ka asar hoga. Qaim UK mehngaai data EUR/USD pair par seedha koi khaas asar na dalay magar ye broader European ma'ashi maahol mein kuch madadgar ho sakti hai.

Ikhtitam

Ikhtetami tor par, EUR/USD currency pair ka rawiya naye UK mehngaai data, USD dollar dynamics aur aam bazaar ke haalaat jese factors par mabni hai. Qaim UK CPI aur halhi USD ki rukawat ek pichida ma'ashi factors ka tidda gehra asar hai jo aage bhi EUR/USD exchange rate par rahega. Market participants ko mustaqil ma'ashi taraqqiyat aur market trends par tawajjo deni chahiye taake waqt ke sath badalne wale EUR/USD pair ke manzar ko samajh sakein.

Halaat ke maine, Trump ke Darkhwast ke baad haddiyon ki talab pe asar ho sakta hai - Us ne Powell se amirika mein rate ko giraane ke liye keh diya tha, 4 mahine bharnaamay rates ne bohot se logon ko mutassir kiya hai. Magar ye dekha nahi gaya ke Powell kaan lagayenge ya nahi, phir bhi, IMF amirika mein ek khud mukhtar stracture hai, aur Trump politics mein aam taur par pasand nahi aaye, wo uske darkhwast karar se nakam ho sakte hain. Magar abhi, Euro mein kami ho rahi hai, aur ek ahem signal ke liye neecha jaane ka movement develop karne ke liye humein dekhna hoga ke position of 1.08609 ke upar rout aur connection hota hai. Phir, humein ek behtar breakdown milega thrusting stracture ka, aur giravat ko jaari rakhne ke liye maqool target mark of 1.08045 hoga. EURUSD M30 brace

Haftay mein, Euro ne ek entry point par pohnchne ke liye parhne ka moqa pesh kiya position of 1.08963 se aur trading position of 1.08706 se, magar aakhir mein keemat in makaamein tak nahi pohanchi. EUR/USD ke mutalliq, mein ek izafa ka intizaar kar raha hoon. Keemat ne neeche jhoka aur ek significant area tak pohancha jahaan do daily supports 1.0870 par the, teen baar chadh kar neeche gaya, pin bars bana kar jo yeh dikhate hain ke kharidari is support area se ho rahi hai. Jhook aur basement indicators bhi izafa kar rahe hain, kharidari ke entry ko is level se tasdeeq de rahe hain. Isliye, upar chalne ka target set karna munasib lagta hai. Munafa target 1.0865 ke double resistances kulm ke ilawa set kiya ja sakta hai, jahan ek izafa ke liye average daily course khatam hota hai, jo yeh ek aala point banata hai munafe ko mehfooz karne ke liye. Agar tasdeeq breakout hoti hai, to yeh expected direction mein dominant trend ko le ja sakti hai. Shandar hafte guzarne ke liye.



Bandon ke saath halaat ke hawale se baat karte hue, qeemat bandon ke darmiyan central area mein ruki, aur band khud ek sedha position liya. Qeemat ke izafa ya girne ke liye ma'aqool signal paane ke liye, humein bandon ke upper ya lower band se bahar active exit ke liye tawajjo rakhni chahiye, aur ye bhi tajwez karna chahiye ke band khol kar bahar jaane wale hain ya nahi.

AO index mansoobay zone mein barhne ki koshish kar raha hai, agar hum Monday ko zyada active raftaar dekhte hain, humein qeemat girane ke liye ahem signal milay ga. Zero ko paar karna aur musbat zone mein eklota izafa ek qeemat ke izafa ka nishan dikhayega.

Trae ke liye entry point 1.08706 se tasavur kiya ja sakta hai, 1.08328 aur 1.08052 ke points pe rout aur connection hone par keemat mein kami ki tawakkal hoti hai.

Kharidar ke liye 1.08963 se tasavur kiya ja sakta hai, keemat mein izafa 1.08306 aur 1.09576 ke points pe rout aur connection hone par tawakal hota hai.

EUR/USD Currency Pair Ka Tajarba

EUR/USD currency pair ne Thursday ko tajabra karne wala giravat mehsoos ki, aur aik ahem support level 1.0900 tak pohanch gaya. Ye neeche ki taraf ka movement USA dollar mein taqwiyat aur halaat ke tajarbon ke marketi rad o amal ka aik hissa hai.

USA Dollar Mein Taqwiyat

USA dollar ne aam tor par taqwiyat dekhi, jo ke aik hissa US jobless claims data ke ijra ke asar se tha. Data ne aik ghair mutawaqqa jobless claims ka izhar kia, jo shruati tor par majdori ke shirkaat mein kamzoor sharaait ka aik nishan samjha ja sakta tha. Magar, ye ghair mutawaqqa izafay ne umeedwaron ki umeedon ko buland kiya ke Federal Reserve September mein interest rates ko khatam karne ka soche.



Is tawajo ki logic ye hai ke barhne wali jobless claims umeed hai ke ek thanda maholi bazar ka nishan de sakti hai, jo mukhtalif iqdaarat ke faal sarmaya ko farogh dene ke liye Federal Reserve ko zyada ahteyat angaiz monetary policy amal karne ka sochne par majboor kar sakti hai. Naatija ye hua ke ek potential rate kaat ki umeed ne USA dollar ko support kia, maqami negative tabadlaat ke bavajood.

Asar EUR/USD Par

USA dollar ki taqwiyat ne EUR/USD currency pair par neeche ki dabao dal diya. Jab dollar taqatwar hota hai, euro mukablay mein kamzor hota hai, aur EUR/USD pair neeche dabata hai. 1.0900 ke ahem level tak girne ka mutalib ek ahem technical support zone hai. Ye level traders ke dwaara tawaja se dekha jata hai, aur agar is ke nichay breach ho to dosri giravat ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

Haal ki EUR/USD mein giravat bhi mukhtalif bazar ke mizaj aur USA dollar aur euro ke darmiyan dynamics ka asar darust karti hai. USD ki taqwiyat sirf interest rate ki umeedon se hi nahi balkay global ma'ashi ghair yaqeeniyo ke doran aik safe-haven status par bhi mabni hai. Jab investors mustaqilta talab karte hain, to dollar faida uthata hai, jo EUR/USD pair ke neeche ki harkat mein hissa lete hain.

European Central Bank (ECB) Ki Laa Tartibi

USA dollar ki taqwiyat ke mukabil, European Central Bank ECB interest rates par apni stance ke hawale se ungaliyon par talaash mein hai. Jab US ma'ashi data Federal Reserve ka rate cut karne ki umeedon ko buland kar raha hai, ECB ka moqaf kam wazeh hai.

Eurozone ke aik aik indicators mukhtalif hain, kuch modest izafe ka ishara karte hain jab ke doosre musalsal challenges ka zikar karte hain. ECB ki monetary policy raahein ke hawale se is laa tartibi mein shamil hai jo EUR/USD pair mein volatility ko barhata hai. Bazar ECB ki September mein interest rates ke lehaz ko wazeh signals ka intizaar kar rahe hain.





Agar ECB aik zyada dovish stance signal karta hai ya potential rate cuts ke isharaat deta hai, to ye euro ko aur kamzor kar sakta hai, aur EUR/USD pair ki giravat ko barhta sakta hai. Mudafiye, agar ECB aik zyada ehtiyaati ya neutral position ikhtiyar karta hai, to ye euro ko kuch support pahuncha sakta hai aur mazeed nuksanat ko kam kar sakta hai.

Takneeki Ghaur

1.0900 level par giravat EUR/USD pair ke liye ek ahem technical waqiya hai. Traders is level ko mazid giravat ya support ki nishaniyon ke liye tawaja se dekh rahe honge. 1.0900 ke nichay mustaqil breach mazeed giravat ka raasta khol sakta hai, jo ke neechay ke support levels ko check karne ka imkaan banata hai. Mudafiye, agar pair is ahem level ke upar qaim rehta hai, to ye ek rebound ya ittehad ke liye ek potential nishani samjha ja sakta hai.

Ikhtitamiyat

Mukhtasaran, EUR/USD currency pair ka giravat 1.0900 level tak USA dollar ki taqwiyat ke aghaz se hota hai jo ghair mutawaqqa jobless claims data ke baad aur ECB ke interest rate decisions ke ird gird laa tartibi ke shubahon se hoti hai. Bazar in taraqqiato ke jawaab mein jaari rahega, jis mein mukhtalif tawajah ke mamlaat shamil hain jese technical support levels aur anay wale economic data dono US aur Eurozone se. Traders ko jism-ba-jism is economic faelatiyon aur central bank ke signals ke futile mein mohtaaj rehna chahiye taake EUR/USD exchange rate ke badalte hue manazir mein safar kar sakein.

EUR/USD D1 chart

Is haftay ke trading mein EUR/USD pair ke liye overall bullish price trajectory 1.0948 tak pohanch gayi, jo ke pair ke char mahinay ke high level hain, likin likhne ke waqt 1.0935 ke qareeb hai, kyunke market ECB aj announcement ka intezar karti hai. FX currency trading company platform ke mutabiq. UK inflation data ke ijra ke baad US dollar mein sell-off ki wajah se EUR/USD exchange rate mein izafa hua nazar aaya. Aam tor par, dollar ko mazid dabao maara gaya jab FX market ne mid-week shuru kiya, jese GBP/USD ki qadar aur Bank of Japan ki FX market mein interventio ki mumkinat ne euro ke dar ko barhaya. Dollar ko UK services sector mein strong inflation ke baad bech diya gaya, jo ke Bank of England ki August 1 ke rate cut ki sambhavna ko kam kar diya. Aam tor par traders ne ye kaha ke dollar mein shuruati kamzori ne Bank of England se jawab aane ka injam diya, jo ke yen khareeda aur dollars bech kar apni currency ke qiymat ko support karne laga. Dollar ke bechne se technical levels mein fluctuations ka saamna hua US dollar index (jo ke US dollar ki overall value ko napa jata hai) mein, jo ke euro ko US dollar ke khilaf dabao dalta hai.





Central bank policies bhi pair ke outlook par bhari wazan rakhti hain. European Central Bank (ECB) aur US Federal Reserve ki monetary policy, interest rates, aur inflation control par rukh koll honge. In idaroon se aik bhi signals hawkish ya dovish ho sakti hain jo market sentiment ko badal sakti hai aur EUR/USD pair mein ahem harkaton ko drive kar sakti hai. Traders ko markazi bank officers ke tone aur language par tawajju deni chahiye, aur mustaqbil ki policy directions ke baray mein ishara talash karna chahiye. Mukhtasaran, EUR/USD pair ke 1.0900 level ke qareeb motasir momentum ta technical resistance aur market uncertainty ki milawat ko darust karta hai. Is psyche threshold ke upar baar baar nakami highlight karti hai taqatwar sell-off pressure aur trader ki ehtiyat. Technical indicators jese RSI aur MACD wazeh directional bias ki kami ko confirm karte hain, jo consolidation ka nazariya mazid mazbooti deta hai. Bunyadi factors, jese anay wale economic data aur central bank announcements, pair ke aglay qadam ko mehfooz karne mein ahem sabit hone wale hain. Traders ko chawkash aur potential volatility ke liye mustehkam rehna chahiye jab market in ahem inputs ko digest karti hai. Technical aur fundamental taraqqi se closely monitoring ke zariye, traders EUR/USD pair ke complex manazir ko behtar tareeqe se sail kar sakte hain aur inform kiya hui decision le sakte hain.