Eurusd forum

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Kal, maine zikar kiya tha keh market me kuch bhi mumkin hai, khas taur par jab siyasatdan mulawwis hon. Woh market me hera feri karte hain aur is radde amal me mumkena taur par is se munafa kama rahe hain.
Maujudah takniki nuqtah nazar yaqini taur par mazid faide ke haq me hai. Hal hi me ek mazbut pullback ne 1.0280 par ek aham debt satah ka test karne ka mauqa fraham kiya, jise maine kal hi dekha tha.
Ab mai tawaqqo karta hun keh euro/dollar ka joda pahle 1.0350ki taraf badhega. Uske bad, 1.0370 tak izafa mumkin hai. Iske bad, fauri taur par aage badhna zyada mushkil hoga.
Majmui taur par, yah tejarati haftah tezi ka waidah karta hai. Halankeh, yah bahut aham hai keh Americi aidad o shumar tawaqqoaat par khade utarte rahe hain. Aaj ke macroeconomic calendar me JOLTS data shamil hai jo market me utar-chadhaw ko badha sakta hai.

EUR/USD pair ne aaj ka low 1.0273 aur high 1.0352 lagaya hai aur abhi tak isi range mein trade kar rahi hai jo consolidation phase ko show karta hai RSI 50 level ke upar hai jo thodi bullish strength ko indicate kar raha hai 50 EMA bhi price ke qareeb hai lekin thoda neeche hai jo support ka kaam kar sakta hai market ne kal ka gap bhi refill kar diya hai jo ek natural price adjustment hai lekin abhi tak koi clear breakout ya strong trend formation nazar nahi aa rahi agar price 1.0352 resistance todti hai aur upar sustain karti hai to bullish continuation ka signal milega aur price 1.0400 ki taraf move kar sakti hai doosri taraf agar price neeche girti hai aur 1.0273 ka support todti hai to bearish momentum wapas aa sakta hai aur price 1.0250 ya usse neeche ja sakti hai fundamentals ke hawale se EUR/USD ka trend US dollar index aur ECB ki policies se effect hoga agar US dollar strong hota hai to pair neeche gir sakta hai lekin agar euro demand mein aata hai to price bullish ho sakti hai short-term traders ke liye abhi range breakout ka wait karna behtar hoga agar price 50 EMA ke neeche girti hai to bearish confirmation milega lekin agar price EMA ke upar sustain karti hai to buying ka setup develop ho sakta hai risk management zaroori hai taake unnecessary losses se bacha ja sake aur best trade setup identify ho sake overall market consolidation phase mein hai lekin breakout direction decide karega ke agla move bullish hoga ya bearish traders ko price action aur key levels ka close observation karna hoga taake best entry aur exit points mil sake aur mazeed ap ko apni bhe sath confirmation add karni chahye.

EURUSD Pair Ki Technical Analysis – 1-Hour Chart

Bearish Wave Ka Aaghaz


1-hour chart ki technical analysis yeh dikhati hai ke ek bearish wave ka aaghaz ho chuka hai.
Kal trading ek bari price gap ke saath downward shuru hui thi, lekin din bhar price upward move karte hue gap close kar diya.
Price Triangle Aur Trend Channels


Aaj price ek white triangle ke andar trade kar raha hai, jo do price channels ka common area hai:

• Red Channel: Jo upar ki taraf trend show karta hai aur kal ke din ka overall trend represent karta hai.
• Blue Channel: Jo neeche ki taraf trend show karta hai aur pichle do din ka general trend represent karta hai.

Abhi tak ke price behavior ke mutabiq, price triangle ko neeche tod chuka hai aur pehli candle bhi triangle ke neeche close ho chuki hai.
Expected Price Movement

• Yeh expect kiya ja raha hai ke price weekly support level 1.0232 tak neeche jayega.
• Agar price wapas rise kar ke white triangle ke upar stabilize ho jata hai, to trend phir upward ho sakta hai.

Trading Strategy (EURUSD)

Selling Opportunities:


✅ Maujooda Level Se Selling:

• Stop Loss: 1.0330
• Target: 1.0232 ke upar

✅ Dubara Selling:

• Agar support level 1.0232 break hota hai, to ek aur selling opportunity hogi.

Buying Opportunity:


✅ Price Triangle Ke Upar Trade Karne Par Buying:

• Entry Level: 1.0330
• Stop Loss: 1.0300
• Target: Weekly pivot level se neeche

Indicators Aur Moving Averages Ka Analysis


📌 50-day & 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMA):

• Dono averages market price se upar hain, jo bearish sentiment ko support karti hain.

📌 RSI Indicator:

• RSI 30 aur 70 ke darmiyan hai, jo neutral zone ko show kar raha hai.
• RSI ka current level 52 hai, jo indicate karta hai ke market support level tak gir sakta hai.

Market Price Aur Breakout Possibilities

• Agar price resistance level todta hai, to market upar move karega.
• Downside breakout hone ki surat me market price aur decline kar sakta hai.
• Market price agar support aur resistance ke darmiyan rahta hai, to consolidation phase me trading hoti rahegi.

Agar market price is range se breakout karta hai, to market ki direction aur ziada clear ho jayegi.