یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

**EUR-USD H1 Analysis Chart**
Good afternoon, BelkaSan. EUR-USD ki surat-e-haal yeh hai ke quotes triangle ki upper border se bahar nikal gaye hain, jo ke horizontal channel zone 1.1130-1.1200 mein hai. Hum yeh andaza laga sakte hain ke triangle ka maqsad khatam ho gaya hai, lekin agar price phir se 1.1130 ke zone ko test karne wapas aati hai, to support level ko tor dene ka imkaan barh jata hai. Agar sellers price ko 1.1130 ke level ke neeche jaane dete hain, to mein umeed karta hoon ke girawat 1.1000 tak jari rahegi aur yeh waqai 1.1500 ke hike ko cancel kar dega.

Aaj Monday hai, aur is hisaab se din kaafi pur-sukoon lagta hai agar koi news factors ka asar na ho. Magar yeh sirf din tak hoga, kyun ke sham mein Federal Reserve ke head Powell ka khitab hai. Aaj Germany ka Consumer Price Index bhi shaya kiya jaega, aur is factor ka kuch asar zarur ho sakta hai. Kul mila kar, mujhe shak hai ke aaj price 1.1130-1.1200 ke zone se bahar nikle. Meri rai mein, jab pair dobara 1.10 se upar gaya tha, to 1.1500 tak ka rasta kaafi arsay se khula tha, ab yeh sirf waqt ka mamla hai ke pair 1.1500 tak pohanch jaye, lekin filhal, 1.1210 se upar break karna zaroori hai.

Jummah ke din, mein yeh tawaqo kar raha tha ke pair 1.1145 ki support se bounce karega, aur 1.1210 tak grow karega, break ke saath. Lekin us waqt mujhe yeh umeed nahi thi ke pair aglay resistance tak pohanch paega. Mein samajhta tha ke week ka closure sirf 1.1210 se thoda upar hoga, lekin pair 1.1210 resistance ko bhi break nahi kar saka aur phir se 1.1145 ki support par wapas aaya, jahaan se usne Jummah ko shuru kiya tha. Ab lagta hai Monday wohi plans dohra sakta hai jo Friday ke liye banaye gaye thay.

**The Story in the Charts: EUR/USD**
Hum EUR/USD currency pair ke price fluctuations ka tajziya karenge. Ahlan wa sahlan, dosto, khaaskar wo log jo terminal mein market quotations se break le rahe hain! Aao, euro par thodi guftagu karte hain. EUR/USD ka four-hour (M240) chart dekha jaye to euro ne abhi haal hi mein downward trend (expansion model) se upar ki taraf bounce kiya hai aur qareebi target 1.1200 ko hit kiya hai. Agar market dobara khulne ke baad price 1.1200 level se upar consolidate kar jata hai, to euro apne upward trend ko aglay target ki taraf, jo ke 1.1251 hai, jaari rakh sakta hai. Chhoti traders ke liye ek mahina shayad mukammal maloomat na day, jabke daily time frame kuch options pesh karta hai. Is liye hum dheere dheere 1.1212 ke maximum se upar ja sakte hain, ya daily chart par ek broad sideways pattern mein reh sakte hain, jahan 1.1209-10 resistance zone ko test karne ka teesra attempt ho sakta hai.



Mein dekhta hoon ke EUR/USD pair ko sell karne ki preference four-hour time frame mein zyada hai. Ek price decline ka imkaan hai, is liye mein selling opportunities ke liye tayar ho raha hoon. Ideal strategy yeh hogi ke hum intezaar karain jab tak price resistance level 1.12251 ko pohanch jaye, phir wahan par ek pending sell order place kiya jaye. Profit-taking ka target support level 1.11345 par hoga. Jab mein time frame ko dobara dekhta hoon, to chhoti zigzag patterns nazar aati hain jo upar ki taraf ja rahi hain. Halanke yeh movements zyada sideways hain, price dheere dheere barh raha hai. Tuesday ya Wednesday tak, hum 1.1212 ke peak ko hit karne ki koshish kar sakte hain, jo ke critical resistance 1.1274 ke qareeb hai. Mahine ka aakhri hissa hai, aur monthly candle bullish hai, jo yeh ishaara deti hai ke ek descending trend line ka test ya shayad ek false breakout ka imkaan hai. Magar, kai scenarios khel mein hain.

ستمبر 30 2024 کو یورو/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

جمعہ کو، یورو 1.1186 مزاحمت کے اوپر جانے میں ناکام رہا۔ تاہم، موم بتی کے جسم کی کمیاں ہر روز اونچی ہوتی جا رہی ہیں۔ اس کا مطلب یہ ہے کہ قیمت اس مزاحمت کے اوپر کل تک مستحکم ہو سکتی ہے۔ 1.1276 کا ہدف پھر کھلا ہو جائے گا۔



١.١٠٧٦ سپورٹ ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن سے مضبوط ہو رہی ہے۔ ریچھوں کے پاس فی الحال اس کو توڑنے کا بہت کم امکان ہے۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر کی سگنل لائن صفر لائن کے ساتھ محور کے ساتھ ایک طرف کی حد میں ترقی کر رہی ہے۔ اوپر کی طرف سگنل لائن کا بریک آؤٹ اوپر کی رفتار کو مضبوط کرے گا۔ دوسرا ہدف 1.1335 ہے۔

قیمت چار گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن سے اوپر آگئی، جس کے بعد مزاحمتی سطح سے اوپر ایک زبردست بریک آؤٹ ہوا۔ تاہم، سطح سے اوپر کو مضبوط کرنے کے لیے اتنی طاقت نہیں تھی۔ اب، جوڑا ایک بار بار آنے والے تسلسل کے لیے طاقت جمع کر رہا ہے – یکجہتی سطح کے بالکل نیچے، دونوں اشاری خطوط کے اوپر ہو رہی ہے، اور مارلن آسیلیٹر مثبت علاقے میں ہے۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

### EUR/USD Currency Pair ka Tajziya
EUR/USD currency pair is waqt 1.1167 par trade kar raha hai, aur market bearish trend ke nishan dikhata hai. Yeh yeh darust karta hai ke euro U.S. dollar ke muqable mein kamzor ho raha hai. Is bearish sentiment ke piche kayi wajahen ho sakti hain, jisme Eurozone se aane wale kamzor economic data, U.S. ki mazboot economic performance, ya Federal Reserve aur European Central Bank ke interest rate policies mein tabdeeli shamil hai.

Halankeh market dheere dheere gir raha hai, lekin aane wale dinon mein significant movement ki sambhavana hai. Traders aur investors abhi key economic indicators, jaise inflation rates, employment data, aur GDP growth par nazar rakhein hain, jo market ko kisi bhi direction mein le ja sakte hain. Iske ilawa, geopolitical factors, jaise global trade ke ongoing tensions ya energy prices, bhi EUR/USD pair mein volatility ka sabab ban sakte hain.

### Central Bank Policies ka Asar

Ek aur ahem factor jo nazar mein rakhna chahiye woh central bank ki policies hain. European Central Bank ka inflation aur interest rates par stance euro ki value ko asar andaz karega. Agar Federal Reserve apni monetary policy ko mazeed tighten karne ka ishaara deta hai, toh is se U.S. dollar ki value aur mazboot ho sakti hai, jo EUR/USD pair ke liye bearish trend ko aur barha dega.

### Market ki Slow Movement aur Consolidation Phase

Abhi market dheere dheere chal raha hai, lekin yeh consolidation ka yeh marahil shayad kisi bade price movement ka pehle ka nishan ho. Technical traders support aur resistance levels ke saath saath moving averages aur RSI jaise indicators par nazar rakhte hain taake wo potential breakouts ko anticipate kar sakein. Momentum ka shift ya market volume mein achanak izafa kisi bhi time mein bade movement ka sabab ban sakta hai, aur traders ko aise market dynamics mein tabdeelion ke liye tayar rehna chahiye.

### Conclusion

Kul mila kar, EUR/USD currency pair ki current bearish trend aur market conditions ko samajhna zaroori hai. Economic data releases aur geopolitical tensions ke asraat ko dekhte hue traders ko apne strategies ko behtar banane ki koshish karni chahiye. Aane wale dino mein inflation, employment, aur GDP growth ke indicators par nazar rakhna hoga, kyunki yeh sab market ki disha tay karne mein ahem kirdar ada karenge. Is ke ilawa, central banks ki policies ka asar bhi euro aur dollar ki values ko khud se shape karne ka kaam karega.

EUR/USD mein Long Positions kholne ke liye Germany ka GDP figures economists ki forecasts ke mutabiq aaye, aur halaan ke report disappointing thi, lekin euro par sirf thoda pressure pada, kyun ke pehlay se hi data ne GDP contraction ko indicate kar diya tha second quarter mein. Doosray half of the day mein ziada activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karne aur pair ko mazeed barhane ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main selling ko aglay resistance 1.1237 ke test tak postpone karunga. Main wahan bhi sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon, GBP/USD currency pair ke neeche jaane ke chances abhi bhi hain, halanki

### EUR/USD Currency Pair ka Tajziya

EUR/USD currency pair is waqt 1.1167 par trade kar raha hai, aur market bearish trend ke nishan dikhata hai. Yeh yeh darust karta hai ke euro U.S. dollar ke muqable mein kamzor ho raha hai. Is bearish sentiment ke piche kayi wajahen ho sakti hain, jisme Eurozone se aane wale kamzor economic data, U.S. ki mazboot economic performance, ya Federal Reserve aur European Central Bank ke interest rate policies mein tabdeeli shamil hai.

Halankeh market dheere dheere gir raha hai, lekin aane wale dinon mein significant movement ki sambhavana hai. Traders aur investors abhi key economic indicators, jaise inflation rates, employment data, aur GDP growth par nazar rakhein hain, jo market ko kisi bhi direction mein le ja sakte hain. Iske ilawa, geopolitical factors, jaise global trade ke ongoing tensions ya energy prices, bhi EUR/USD pair mein volatility ka sabab ban sakte hain.

### Central Bank Policies ka Asar

Ek aur ahem factor jo nazar mein rakhna chahiye woh central bank ki policies hain. European Central Bank ka inflation aur interest rates par stance euro ki value ko asar andaz karega. Agar Federal Reserve apni monetary policy ko mazeed tighten karne ka ishaara deta hai, toh is se U.S. dollar ki value aur mazboot ho sakti hai, jo EUR/USD pair ke liye bearish trend ko aur barha dega.

### Market ki Slow Movement aur Consolidation Phase

Abhi market dheere dheere chal raha hai, lekin yeh consolidation ka yeh marahil shayad kisi bade price movement ka pehle ka nishan ho. Technical traders support aur resistance levels ke saath saath moving averages aur RSI jaise indicators par nazar rakhte hain taake wo potential breakouts ko anticipate kar sakein. Momentum ka shift ya market volume mein achanak izafa kisi bhi time mein bade movement ka sabab ban sakta hai, aur traders ko aise market dynamics mein tabdeelion ke liye tayar rehna chahiye.

### Conclusion

Kul mila kar, EUR/USD currency pair ki current bearish trend aur market conditions ko samajhna zaroori hai. Economic data releases aur geopolitical tensions ke asraat ko dekhte hue traders ko apne strategies ko behtar banane ki koshish karni chahiye. Aane wale dino mein inflation, employment, aur GDP growth ke indicators par nazar rakhna hoga, kyunki yeh sab market ki disha tay karne mein ahem kirdar ada karenge. Is ke ilawa, central banks ki policies ka asar bhi euro aur dollar ki values ko khud se shape karne ka kaam karega.

EUR/USD ka pair is waqt 1.1191 par trade kar raha hai, aur market ka trend bearish hai. Yeh is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke euro ki qeemat dollar ke muqablay mein gir rahi hai, jo euro ki kamzori ya dollar ki taqat ko zahir karta hai. Jo dheemi harkat hum dekh rahe hain, wo shayad market participants ki taraf se key economic events ya data releases ka intezar karne ki wajah se hai. Magar, is dheemi raftaar ke bawajood, mujhe lagta hai ke EUR/USD pair agle dinon mein significant movement ke liye tayar hai.

**Anticipated Volatility**

Is mehsoos ki gayi volatility ke liye kuch aham wajahein hain. Central bank policies, khaaskar European Central Bank (ECB) aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ki taraf se, EUR/USD dynamics mein bohot ahem kirdar ada karti hain. Agar Fed apni interest rate hikes ya hawkish stance ko barqarar rakhta hai, tou is se dollar mazid taqatwar ho sakta hai, jo EUR/USD ko neechey ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar ECB zyada aggressive tightening measures ka samna karta hai, tou euro kuch taqat hasil kar sakta hai, jo pair par upar ki taraf dabao dal sakta hai.

**Geopolitical Factors and Economic Data**

Is ke ilawa, geopolitical developments, inflation data, aur employment reports jo Europe aur U.S. se aati hain, yeh sab currency pair mein zyada pronounced movement ka sabab ban sakte hain. Market sentiment aksar tezi se badalta hai, aur in areas mein choti si tabdeeli bhi bohot badi asar daal sakti hai. Misal ke taur par, agar inflation data ummed se zyada kharab aata hai, tou yeh Fed ki monetary policy par asar daal sakta hai, jo dollar ko taqat de sakta hai.

Aisa hi kuch Europe mein bhi ho sakta hai; agar ECB ki taraf se kuch positive signals milte hain, tou euro ki value barh sakti hai. Is liye, traders ko in sab factors par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyunke yeh market ke liye behad ahmiyat rakhte hain.

**Conclusion**

Aam taur par, EUR/USD ka pair is waqt bearish trend mein hai, lekin market ki dynamics mein jaldi tabdeeli aasani se ho sakti hai. Agle dinon mein kuch ahem economic data aur central bank ki policies ka intezar hai, jo is pair ke liye kafi asar daal sakte hain. Is liye, investors ko chonchun kar decisions lene chahiye, aur market ke har tabdeel hotay hue jazbat ko samajhna chahiye.

EUR/USD spot price mein kafi bara reversal dekhne ko mila hai, jahan yeh apne intraday gains ko surrender karta hua 1.1180 mark ke upar settle hua. Yeh situation Friday ke North American session ke dauran hui jab price ne 1.1190 ka naya weekly high touch kiya. Is recent uptick ke baad euro ki strength dheere dheere fade hui aur US Dollar (USD) ne mazboot recovery dikhai. Market close tak, EUR/USD kareeb 1.163 ke aas-paas trade kar raha tha, jo in dono currencies ke darmiyan chalti tug-of-war ko reflect karta hai.
Iss waqt market analysts expect kar rahe hain ke EUR/USD pair ko 1.1100 ke psychological level ke qareeb support milne ki umeed hai. Yeh level traders ke liye significant hai kyun ke pehle bhi yeh kaafi strong support provide kar chuka hai. Agar price is level par support maintain kar pata hai, to yeh traders ke liye buying ka mauqa bana sakta hai. Lekin agar yeh level break hota hai, to bearish momentum barh sakta hai jo EUR/USD ko neeche push karne ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Upside par, pichlay hafte ka high jo 1.1192 tha aur 1.1200 ka round-number resistance euro bulls ke liye major hurdles ke taur par samjhe jayenge. Dono levels technical traders ke liye critical hain, kyun ke price action in points par strong reaction dikhata hai. Agar euro in levels ko breach kar pata hai, to bullish sentiment barh sakta hai, lekin agar resistance hold karta hai, to euro ka momentum kuch waqt ke liye stall ho sakta hai.

Recent market trends aur economic indicators ko dekhte hue, yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke USD ki itni strong recovery kyun hui hai. US Federal Reserve ki monetary policy aur inflation ke hawale se chalti discussions ne market sentiment ko influence kiya hai. Agar US economy achi performance dikhata hai, to USD ki demand barh sakti hai, jo EUR/USD ko neeche push karne ka sabab ban sakti hai.

Analysts is baat ka bhi dehaan rakhein ge ke geopolitical events aur economic data releases EUR/USD par kaise asar dalte hain. Major economic news price movement mein kaafi tabdeeli la sakti hai. Traders ko economic calendar par nazar rakhni chahiye taake kisi bhi bari announcement ke liye tayaar rahain.

EUR/USD ne 1.1120 ke qareeb correction ke baad mazeed barhawa liya hai jab ke US Dollar apni recovery ko extend karne mein nakam raha. Federal Reserve ke Chair Jerome Powell ki speech, November mein hone wali interest rate cut ki size ke hawale se zaroori isharaat faraham karegi. European Central Bank (ECB) se umeed hai ke October mein doosri martaba lagataar interest rate cut kiya jaega.

EUR/USD Thursday ki European session mein thoda barha hai, jab ke Wednesday ko yeh 1.1120 ke qareeb correction ke baad rebound kar gaya. Yeh currency pair Powell ki speech se pehle recover kar raha hai, jo ke 13:20 GMT par hone wali hai. Wednesday ko, shared currency pair ko selling pressure ka samna karna para jab yeh 1.1200 ke round-level resistance ko test karne ke baad neeche aya, jab ke US Dollar (USD) wapas barh gaya. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo ke Greenback ki value ko chay barae currencies ke muqablay mein track karta hai, ab tak Wednesday ke high ke qareeb 101.00 par hai.

Powell ke ilawa, aur bhi saat policymakers speech karne wale hain: Boston Fed Bank ke President Susan Collins, Fed Governor Adriana Kugler, Fed Governor Michelle Bowman, New York Fed Bank ke President John Williams, Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Michael Barr, Fed Governor Lisa Cook, aur Minneapolis Fed Bank ke President Neel Kashkari. Yeh policymakers Federal Reserve ki baaqi saal ki interest rate policy ke hawale se zaroori isharaat faraham karenge.

Is waqt, markets yehi expect kar rahe hain ke Fed apni interest rates ko mazeed 75 basis points (bps) se reduce karega baqi do meetings mein, CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq. Yeh tool yeh bhi dikhata hai ke November mein 50 bps ke second straight interest rate cut ka imkaan ab 61% hai, jab ke pichlay haftay yeh sirf 39% tha.

Waqti tor par, Fed policymakers ne apni halia comments mein bataya ke unhein labor market ki deteriorating conditions ka dar hai. 12 members wali Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) mein se sirf Fed Governor Michelle Bowman ne September mein 25 bps ka gradual rate cut support kiya.

Haal ke inflation data ke hawale se information ke liye, investors ko United States (US) core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE) ka intezar hai jo Friday ko publish hoga. Yeh umeed ki ja rahi hai ke August mein yeh data 2.7% barh gaya hoga, jo ke July ke 2.6% se ziada hai.

EUR/USD Thursday ko European trading session mein 1.1120 se thoda rebound hua. Yeh major currency pair Wednesday ko 1.1200 ke resistance se correction ke baad thoda neeche aya tha. Near-term outlook abhi bhi strong hai, kyun ke yeh rising channel pattern ke breakout ko hold kiye hue hai jo daily timeframe mein psychological support 1.1000 ke qareeb bana hai.

Upward-sloping 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 1.1100 ke qareeb hai, jo ke near-term bullish trend ko support karta hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 60.00 se neeche consolidate kar raha hai, jo momentum ki kami ko zahir karta hai.

Agar EUR/USD 1.1200 ka resistance break karta hai, to yeh July 2023 ke high 1.1276 tak barh sakta hai. Downside par, psychological level 1.1000 aur July 17 ka high 1.0950 major support zones honge.

EUR/USD Ka Halat-e-Haal:

Spot price par halki downward pressure hai, aur is ke daily low ki taraf girne ki sambhavana hai jo ke 1.1153 hai. Magar agar ye pair 1.1170 ke mark ko nahi todta, to is level ke neeche sustain hona mushkil hai. Euro ka foran ka outlook cautious hai, jo ke broader economic conditions ke concerns ko darshata hai.

Yeh pair ek aham badlav ki kagar par hai jab ke ECB apni interest rate ka faisla announce karne ko hai. 1.1180 ke critical level ke aas paas chalta hua, ye ek make-or-break point par hai. 14 August ko Rising Channel formation se bahar nikalne ke baad, pair ne upar ki taraf tezi se chala. Lekin ab ye channel ke upper boundary ki taraf wapas aa raha hai, jo traders ko iski agle qadam ka intezar karne par majboor kar raha hai.

EUR/USD ke Fundamentals:

Bohat se European Central Bank (ECB) ke officials ab interest rate cuts ki taraf jhukh rahe hain, jo ke Eurozone ki economic growth prospects ke barhte huye concerns se mutaliq hai. ECB ke Executive Board member Piero Cipollone ne haal hi mein warn kiya ke agar rates ko adjust nahi kiya gaya, to central bank ka stance overly restrictive ho sakta hai. Ek Reuters poll, jo 30 August se 5 September ke darmiyan conduct hua, ne yeh dikhaya ke 85% economists agle haftay ECB se rate cuts ki umeed rakhte hain, aur doosri reduction December mein hone ki sambhavana hai.

Federal Reserve bhi policy adjustments ki taraf barh raha hai. Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago ke President Austan Goolsbee ne pichle Jumme ko yeh bataya ke Fed ke officials market ki expectations ke saath rate cuts ke liye zyada muttefaq hain. CNBC ke mutabiq, yeh shift economic indicators aur evolving market conditions ka jawab hai. FXStreet’s FedTracker, jo Fed ki speeches ko dovish-to-hawkish scale par evaluate karta hai, ne Goolsbee ke comments ko dovish darja diya, jise 10 mein se 3.2 ka score mila.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Somwar ki North American session mein, price pressure mein rahi, critical resistance level 1.1180 ke neeche trade karti rahi. Pair ne key 1.1210 mark par momentum ko barqarar rakhne mein nakami ka samna kiya, jo ke near-term outlook ko aur mushkil bana raha hai. Iske ilawa, pair 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo ke 1.1119 ke aas paas hai, jo euro bulls ke liye challenges ko aur barhata hai.

Technical Analysis:

Technical taur par, 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo ke 1.1044 ke aas paas hai, is pair ke liye ek aham support level hai. Agar is level ke neeche break hota hai, to yeh further downside ka signal de sakta hai, jo euro ko bearish trend ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

Dusri taraf, agar EUR/USD pair apni taqat wapas hasil kar leta hai, to agla resistance level 1.1210 ke aas paas hai, jo ke paar karna mushkil sabit hua hai.

Price ka andaza hai ke wo trading range ke andar support line ko test karega, jahan 1.0950 ek ahem resistance level ka kaam karega. Is point par agar breakdown hota hai, to ye pichle sessions mein dekhe gaye established bearish trend ki tasdiq karega. Mujhe umeed hai ke ye pattern agle chand ghanton mein samne aayega, jo traders ke liye nazar rakhna zaroori banata hai, is surat-e-haal ki ahmiyat aur zaroorat ko darshata hai.

Aakhir mein, EUR/USD is waqt ek mazboot downtrend mein hai, jahan recent price action sellers ki dominance ko confirm kar raha hai. H4 chart par 1.0705 ke neeche break aur uske baad retest ke doran kamzori bearish outlook ko tasdiq karti hai. H4 chart par 1.1060 resistance ko test karne aur channel ke andar neeche ki taraf barhne ki sambhavna broader bearish trend ko mazid mazboot karti hai.

EUR/USD ka jorha haal mein ek aise dor se guzar raha hai jahan koi significant upward ya downward movement nahi dekhi gayi. Lekin, ek purani kahawat hai, "Jitna zyada spring ko compress kiya jata hai, utni hi taqat se release hoti hai." Ye yeh darshata hai ke ye jorha jald hi ek significant move ke liye tayyar ho sakta hai. Is waqt jo range price ne din ke doran set ki hai, wo expansive targets ke liye limited space deti hai, isliye movement abhi ke liye constrained hai. Naye resistance levels 1.0860-1.0888 par ubhar aaye hain, jinke baad secondary resistance 1.0910-1.0960 aur ek door zone 1.0659-1.07914 hai. 1.0785-1.08456 par bar-bar test hone wala resistance shayad apni asar ko kam kar de, jo darshata hai ke ye aage ki price movement ke liye ab ek mazboot rukawat nahi reh sakta.

EUR/USD ANALYSIS

D1 Period Chart
EUR/USD currency pair - D1 chart. Pichle hafte buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan shiddat se jhagde hue. Unhoon ne kafi zor lagaya aur hafte ka end wahan hua jahan ye shuru hua tha. Upar 1.1177 ka ek mazboot resistance level hai, jise price ne kai dafa todne ki koshish ki, khabron par upar udata hua aur aise hi. Lekin har dafa buyers ko wahan sellers ka muqabla dekhna pada, jis ke natije mein sirf price spikes us level se pare reh gayi.

Neeche ek mazboot support zone bhi bana hai, do qareeb levels 1.1105 aur 1.1127. Price hafte mein baar baar is area mein daala gaya, lekin har dafa wahan se zor se kharida gaya aur aakhir mein price ne kisi taraf nahi gaya. Wave structure ab bhi upar ki taraf hai, MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein hai aur apni signal line ke upar hai. Trading ke doran, price ne pichle August ka maximum update karne mein kamiyabi hasil ki, aur is mein har chance tha kyunki price uncha nahi tha aur general trend ab bhi upar ki taraf tha.

Maximum ke paar nikalne ke baad, maine assume kiya tha keh price zyada door nahi jaayegi kyunki is surat mein bearish divergence MACD aur CCI indicators par bana. Iske ilawa, aap ek decline ki figure, ascending wedge, bhi bana sakte hain, jismein price filhal rehta hai. Mere khayal mein, US dollar ki market mein general position ab zyada mazboot hone ki taraf hai.

Wahi pound, Australian, New Zealander - allied pairs apne movements ke tops par hain aur neeche ki taraf correction karne ki taraf rujhan rakhte hain, jahan euro dollar par bhi aise hi signals hain. Intraday kaam ke liye, abhi priority zyada sell transactions par hai, halankeh upar ka pressure ab bhi bana hua hai. Aaj 15:00 par Germany ka Consumer Price Index sab se ahem khabar hai.

EUR/USD ANALYSIS

D1 Period Chart

Naya haftah shuru hone ko hai aur aayiye D1 period chart par dobara nazar daalte hain - EUR/USD currency pair. Pichle haftay mein kharidaaron aur bechne walon ke darmiyan ek shiddat bhari jung chali. Woh khud ko mazboot karte rahe aur haftah wahi khatam hua jahan se shuru hua tha. Upar 1.1177 ka ek mazboot resistance level hai, jahan daam bar bar todne ki koshish ki gayi, lekin har dafa kharidaaron ko bechne walon ne wahan rok diya. Is wajah se sirf daam ke spikes wahaan tak pohanch gaye. Neeche ek mazboot support zone bhi bana hai, do levels 1.1105 aur 1.1127 ke aas paas hain. Haftay ke doran kai dafa daam is area mein gira, lekin har dafa wahan se kharid liya gaya aur is tarah daam kahin nahi gaya. Wave structure ab tak upar ki taraf bana hua hai, MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein hai aur iski signal line se upar hai. Trading ke doran, daam pichle August ka maximum update karne mein kaamiyab raha aur yeh sambhav tha kyunki daam un uchoon se door nahi tha aur aam trend upar ki taraf tha. Maximum se bahar nikalne par, mujhe lagta tha ki daam zyada door nahi jaayega kyunki is case mein bearish divergence MACD aur CCI indicators par bana. Iske alawa, ek decline figure bhi banayi ja sakti hai, ek ascending wedge, jismein daam ab tak hai. Mere khayal mein, US dollar ka market par general position nazar aata hai ke yeh qareeb ke mustaqbil mein mazboot hone ki taraf hai. Wahi pound, Australian aur New Zealand dollar - allied pairs apne movements ke tops par hain aur neeche ki taraf correction karne ke liye inclined hain, aur ismein EUR/USD par bhi waise hi signals hain. Intraday kaam ke liye, is waqt sell transactions par zyada tawajjo di ja rahi hai, halan ke upar ka pressure ab bhi barqarar hai.

EUR/USD mein Long Positions kholne ke liye Germany ka GDP figures economists ki forecasts ke mutabiq aaye, aur halaan ke report disappointing thi, lekin euro par sirf thoda pressure pada, kyun ke pehlay se hi data ne GDP contraction ko indicate kar diya tha second quarter mein. Doosray half of the day mein ziada activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karne aur pair ko mazeed barhane ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main selling ko aglay resistance 1.1237 ke test tak postpone karunga. Main wahan bhi sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon, GBP/USD currency pair ke neeche jaane ke chances abhi bhi hain, halanki

EUR/USD mein Long Positions kholne ke liye Germany ka GDP figures economists ki forecasts ke mutabiq aaye, aur halaan ke report disappointing thi, lekin euro par sirf thoda pressure pada, kyun ke pehlay se hi data ne GDP contraction ko indicate kar diya tha second quarter mein. Doosray half of the day mein ziada activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karne aur pair ko mazeed barhane ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main selling ko aglay resistance 1.1237 ke test tak postpone karunga. Main wahan bhi sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon, GBP/USD currency pair ke neeche jaane k