یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum!
Mukhtalif imkanat ko mukammal taur par kharij nahin kiya ja sakta hai, lekin filhal, euro/dollar ke jode me isali namo ki mazid taraqqi ke haq me hai, na keh dobara shuru hone wali girawat ke haq me.
Euro/dollar ka joda filhal 1.0809 ke yaumiyah pivot point se ooper trade kar raha hai. Is se thoda niche 1.0807 - 1.0792 par ifqi satahon ki ek range hai, jo yaumiyah pivot ki tarah, support ke taur par kam kar sakti hai. Mazid faide ke liye qarib tarin hadaf mundarjah zail hain: 1.0865 ki ifqi satah, 1.0867 ka nishan, jo 23.6% Fibonacci level ke sath mawafiq hai, aur 1.0871 par haftawar pivot point. Jode ki mustaqbil ki simt, chahe woh munafe ko badhaye ya nuqsanat ko dobara shuru kare, iska inhesar ooper ki satahon ke test par hoga.



Darmiyani muddat ka rujhan mandi ka hai. Margin ki satah ke mutabiq, rujhan bhi mandi ka hai. Halankeh, muqami rujhan wazeh taur par tezi ka hai. Iske alawa, is bat ka bahut zyada imkan hai keh euro/dollar ki jodi tashih ke hisse ke taur par badhti rahegi. Yah scenario sab se zyada imkani hai, kam az kam aaj ke intraday trading ke liye.

EUR/USD ka daam ka tajweez

EUR/USD ne Thursday ko 1.0800 ka haandl dobara hasil kiya. EU PMI ka data mix aaya, jo Euro bulls ko thoda sa hosla diya. US Durable Goods Orders aur UoM Consumer Inflation Expectations aaj (Friday) ke liye tayyar hain.

EUR/USD ne Thursday ko ek behtar recovery ki, 0.4% ka izafa kiya aur 1.0800 se upar chala gaya. Magar, is late-week bounce ke bawajood, Fiber abhi bhi pehle ke unchaayon se kaafi neeche hai, kyunki yeh September ke aakhri hisse se lekar 4% se zyada gir chuka hai, jabke 1.1200 ke aas-paas ki peak bids dekhi gayi thi.

Pan-European HCOB Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) ka data Thursday ko mixed aaya. October ka EU Manufacturing PMI 45.9 par pahuncha, jo pehle ke 45.0 se behtar hai aur 45.1 ke andazey ko bhi paar kar gaya. Lekin, October ka EU Services PMI 51.2 par gir gaya, jo pehle ke 51.4 se neeche hai aur 51.6 ke andazey se bhi kam hai.

Is hafte ke liye Euro ke maqam par jo economic data tha, uska maamla khatam ho gaya hai, aur sirf low-tier data Friday ko hai. Ab markets ko US Durable Goods Orders aur University of Michigan (UoM) se 5-saal ke Consumer Inflation Expectations ke update ka samna karna hoga. US Durable Goods Orders ka headline September mein 1.0% ke aas-paas girne ki tawaqqo hai, jo August ke 0.0% ke flat print ke baad ka silsila hai. UoM ke October ke 5-saal ke Consumer Expectations ka andaza 3.0% ke pehle ke print ke qareeb hai.

EUR/USD ka jorh apne ikhtilafi harkaat jaari rakhta hai, jo 1.0750 ke aspaas support hasil kar raha hai, jabke yeh mid-September mein 1.1250 ke aas-paas ke unchaayon se kaafi gira hai. Jorh is aham support se thodi der ke liye ubhar gaya hai, lekin abhi bhi 50-day EMA (neela line) par 1.0968 aur 200-day EMA (kaali line) par 1.0896 se neeche hai, jo yeh darust karta hai ke overall trend abhi bhi neeche ki taraf hai. Moving averages neechay ki taraf jhuk rahe hain, jo ke qareebi dor mein bearish momentum ko tasdeeq karte hain. Haal ka bounce ikhtilafi lagta hai, aur agar jorh 1.0900 ke area se upar nahi jata, toh bechne wale market mein dobara ghusne ki koshish kar sakte hain.

MACD indicator bearish bias ko dikhata hai, jahan MACD line (neela) signal line (narangi) ke neeche hai, aur histogram mazbooti se negative territory mein hai. Lekin, bechne ka pressure kuch kam hone ke pehle asar hain, kyunki histogram mein red bars kam zor se dikhayi de rahi hain. Yeh darust karta hai ke jabke bears abhi bhi control mein hain, momentum kam ho raha hai. Agar 200-day EMA ko paar kiya gaya, toh yeh bullish recovery ka signal ban sakta hai, lekin agar yeh resistance clear nahi hota, toh aur neeche ki taraf girne ki sambhavna hai, jahan foran support 1.0750 par hai aur 1.0650 zone ka potential test ho sakta hai.

**EUR/USD Price Forecast**

EUR/USD ne Thursday ko 1.0800 ka level wapas hasil kiya. EU PMI figures mixed aayi, jo Euro bulls ko sirf itna hi ammo diya ke wo kuch faida utha sakein. US Durable Goods Orders aur UoM Consumer Inflation Expectations aaj ke liye tayar hain.

EUR/USD ne Thursday ko kuchhad tak recovery ki, 0.4% upar aate hue 1.0800 ke upar wapas aaya. Halankeh late-week bounce ke bawajood, Fiber abhi bhi recent highs se kaafi door hai, kyun ke yeh late September ke peak bids jo 1.1200 ke aas-paas thi, se 4% se zyada gir chuka hai.

Pan-European HCOB Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) figures Thursday subah mixed the, jahan EU Manufacturing PMI October mein 45.9 tak barh gaya, jabke pichle mahine ka figure 45.0 tha, aur yeh expected 45.1 ko bhi paar kar gaya. Is taraf, October ka EU Services PMI 51.2 tak gir gaya, jo ke pichle mahine ke 51.4 se neeche hai aur forecast ki 51.6 ki taraf barhne mein nakam raha.

Is hafte ke economic data docket par Euro ka role khatam hota nazar aata hai, kyun ke sirf low-tier data Friday ko available hoga. Markets ko US Durable Goods Orders aur University of Michigan (UoM) se 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectations ke update ka samna karna hoga. September mein headline US Durable Goods Orders ka 1.0% MoM contraction hone ki umeed hai, jo August ke flat 0.0% print ke baad recent downturn ko aage badha raha hai. October ke UoM 5-year Consumer Expectations ka pichle print 3.0% ke aas-paas rehne ki umeed hai.

EUR/USD pair apne corrective movement ko jaari rakhta hai, jo 1.0750 ke upar support dhoondh raha hai, jabke yeh mid-September mein 1.1250 ke aas-paas ke highs se tezi se gira. Pair ne is key support se thoda rebound kiya hai, lekin yeh abhi bhi 50-day EMA (blue line) jo 1.0968 par hai aur 200-day EMA (black line) jo 1.0896 par hai, ke neeche hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke overall trend abhi bhi downside ki taraf hai. Moving averages neeche ki taraf slope kar rahe hain, jo near-term mein bearish momentum ko confirm karta hai. Haal ka bounce corrective lag raha hai, aur jab tak pair 1.0900 ke area ko tod nahi deta, sellers market mein dobara entry lene ki koshish kar sakte hain.

MACD indicator bearish bias ko darshata hai, jahan MACD line (blue) signal line (orange) ke neeche hai, aur histogram bhi mazboot negative territory mein hai. Lekin, selling pressure mein potential exhaustion ke early signs dikh rahe hain, kyunki histogram mein red bars kam pronounced hain. Yeh yeh darshata hai ke jabke bears control mein hain, momentum kam ho raha hai. Agar 200-day EMA ko tod diya gaya, toh yeh bullish recovery ka signal ho sakta hai, lekin agar yeh resistance clear nahi hota, toh yeh further downside ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jahan immediate support 1.0750 ke aas-paas hai aur potential test 1.0650 zone ka ho sakta hai.

**EUR/USD Market Outlook**

Salam aur subah bakhair dosto!
Kal, German aur French Flash data kafi acha raha. Lekin aaj market ab bhi buyers ke haq mein hai. Wo 1.0845 ki resistance zone ko paar kar sakte hain. Financial markets mein potential trading opportunities ko identify karna ek comprehensive approach ki zaroorat hai, jo technical aur fundamental analysis dono ko shaamil karti hai.

Technical analysis, jo price patterns, trends, aur support aur resistance levels par focus karta hai, traders ko un tools se lais karta hai jo unhe key entry aur exit points pinpoint karne mein madad dete hain. Price charts ka jaiza lena aur patterns ko pehchanna, jaise bullish trends ya consolidation periods, traders ko market ki mumkinah raahnumai ka andaza lagane mein madad karta hai. Technical indicators, jaise moving averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), aur Fibonacci retracement levels, traders ko market momentum aur potential reversals ke baare mein critical insights dete hain, jo unki decision-making ko behtar banate hain.

Umeed hai ke EUR/USD ka market aaj traders ki madad karega ke wo 1.0845 ki resistance zone ko paar kar sakein. Overall, sirf technical analysis par rely karna aaj ke tez raftaar trading environment mein kaafi nahi hai. Traders ko apne technical insights ko fundamental analysis ke sath complement karna hoga, khaaskar aise economic data releases par focus karna jo Japanese yen (JPY) market par ahm asar daal sakte hain.

Key indicators, jaise Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI), Japan ka Gross Domestic Product (GDP), trade balance figures, aur global economic trends, yen ki performance ko asar daalne mein ahem kirdar ada karte hain. Misal ke taur par, agar Tokyo CPI ka inflation data market ki umeedon se zyada aata hai, to yeh Bank of Japan ko apni monetary policy ko dobara dekhne par majboor kar sakta hai. Aisi surat mein, yen mazid mazboot ho sakta hai, jo un traders ke liye faida mand hoga jo is hisaab se positioned hain. Waqt ki kami ke saath agar economic data umeed se kam hota hai, to yeh central bank ko apni accommodative policies ko barqarar rakhne ya even expand karne par majboor kar sakta hai, jis se yen kamzor ho sakta hai aur buyers ke liye ek behtar environment tayar kar sakta hai.

Aap sab ko successful Friday ki dua!

EUR/USD Price Forecast

EUR/USD ne Thursday ko 1.0800 ka handle wapas haasil kiya. EU PMI figures mixed rahi, jo Euro bulls ke liye thoda sa support bana. Aaj Friday ko US Durable Goods Orders aur UoM Consumer Inflation Expectations ka data aane wala hai.

EUR/USD ne Thursday ko thoda sa recovery kiya, 0.4% ka rebound dekhte hue 1.0800 ke upar wapas aa gaya. Lekin, late-week bounce ke bawajood, EUR/USD ab bhi pichle kuch waqt se unchi levels se kaafi door hai, kyunki yeh September ke end mein 1.1200 ke aas-paas se 4% se zyada gir chuka hai.

Pan-European HCOB Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) figures Thursday ko mixed rahi. EU Manufacturing PMI October mein 45.9 par pohanch gayi, jabke pichle mahine yeh 45.0 thi, aur yeh 45.1 ke expectation se zyada hai. Dusri taraf, October ka EU Services PMI 51.2 par aaya, jo pichle mahine ke 51.4 se neeche hai aur 51.6 ke forecast ko bhi miss kar gaya.

Is hafte ka Euro ka economic data ab khatam ho chuka hai, sirf kuch low-tier data Friday ko aane wala hai. Markets ko ab US Durable Goods Orders aur University of Michigan (UoM) se 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectations ke update ka intezar hai. Headline US Durable Goods Orders ka September mein 1.0% MoM ke contraction ka andaza lagaya gaya hai, jo pichle mahine ke flat 0.0% print se aage badh raha hai. UoM ka October mein 5-year Consumer Expectations bhi pichle print 3.0% ke aas-paas aane ki umeed hai.

The EUR/USD pair is still in a corrective phase, having found support slightly above 1.0750 after a steep drop from around 1.1250 in mid-September. Although there has been a brief rebound from this support level, the pair remains below both the 50-day EMA at 1.0968 and the 200-day EMA at 1.0896, which suggests that the overall trend is still downward. The moving averages are sloping downwards, reinforcing bearish momentum in the short term. This recent bounce seems corrective, and unless the pair breaks above the 1.0900 level, sellers may look to re-enter the market.

The MACD indicator reflects a continued bearish bias, with the MACD line below the signal line and the histogram remaining in negative territory. However, there are early signs that selling pressure may be easing, as the histogram displays less pronounced red bars. This indicates that while bearish sentiment prevails, momentum may be fading. A break above the 200-day EMA could signal a potential bullish recovery, but if this resistance holds, further downside is likely, with immediate support around the 1.0750 level and a possible test of the 1.0650 zone.

### EUR/USD Technical Overview

**H4 Time Frame Technical Analysis:**

EUR/USD pair pichle do dinon se upar uthne ki koshish kar raha hai. Humein dekhna hoga ke kya yeh 1.0860-85 ke resistance level ko break kar sakta hai. Filhal, yeh 1.0795-1.0825 ke resistance zone mein hai aur is par tikne ki koshish kar raha hai. Humein yeh bhi dekhna hoga ke kya yeh 1.0725-60 ke support zone tak wapas girta hai. Agar yeh aisa karta hai, toh yeh ya toh downward trend ko continue karega ya phir double bottom banakar upar ki taraf move karega.

Agar yeh 1.0860-85 ke resistance ko breach karta hai, toh yeh ya toh range mein trade karega phir se girne se pehle, ya phir yeh upar ki taraf break kar sakta hai, jo ke 10 ya 11 figures tak correction ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Brokers ka kehna hai ke aane wale elections in the U.S. risk aur unpredictable price movements create kar sakte hain. Is uncertainty ko dekhte hue, agar aapke paas clear market position nahi hai toh cautious rehna behtar hoga.

Euro-dollar pair Federal Reserve ke bayan ke baad decline kar raha hai. Maine pehle hi kaha tha ke yeh nahi upar jaega kyun ke inflation 3.2% par hai, aur mujhe lagta tha ke yeh pehle ke range par wapas aayega jahan yeh 3% ke aas-paas trade karta tha. Yeh thodi dair ke liye upar gaya kyun ke traders ko laga ke unemployment data mein kami se madad milegi, lekin kuch areas mein inflation ab bhi high hai. Ab yeh pair us range par wapas aa gaya hai, aur halanke yeh ab tak lower limit ko test nahi kiya, mujhe lagta hai ke yeh karega. Main nahi samjhta ke yeh 70 points se zyada gir sakta hai. Uske baad, mujhe ummeed hai ke yeh reverse hoke range ke upper limit tak pohanch jayega. Overall, mujhe lagta hai ke yeh pair inflation ke behtar hone tak 50-70 points ke range mein trade karega.

### Daily Time Frame Technical Analysis

EUR/USD pair ke pichle technical analysis ke baad se market mein zyada tabdeeli nahi aayi hai. Yeh pair ek medium-term downtrend mein hai, jo 4-hour chart par descending channel ke andar trade kar raha hai. Price Ichimoku cloud ke neeche hai, jo bearish momentum ko darshata hai, isse yeh suggest hota hai ke short positions lena appropriate hai.

Stochastic indicator filhal resistance zone mein hai. Pichle trading session mein, pair ne doosre support level ko test kiya lekin uske neeche position banane mein nakam raha, ab yeh 1.0825 par trade kar raha hai. Intraday targets ke liye aage ki declines classic Pivot support levels ke sath aligned hain.

Mujhe lagta hai ke current price se decline jaari rahegi, aur agar doosra support level toota, toh yeh nayi selling ki lehar ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo pair ko 1.0745 ke aas-paas ke support line ke neeche le ja sakta hai. Iske baraks, agar buyers market mein wapas aate hain, toh unka target resistance level 1.0931 hoga.

Ab waqt hai current market movements ka dheere se jaiza lene ka. EUR/USD pair ne bearish momentum dikhaya hai, jo 1.0786 tak gir gaya hai. Yeh bears ko faida deta hai, aur is level par downward trend rukne ki sambhavna nahi hai. Traders ko kisi bhi pullback par bechne par focus karna chahiye jab tak current movement khatam nahi hoti.

Lekin, agar priorities shift hoti hain, toh nazar resistance level 1.0854 par ja sakti hai, jo ek aur downward move ko lead kar sakta hai. Har time frame par dono taraf tradable levels hain, jo movement ko accurately predict karna mushkil bana dete hain. Phir bhi, current situation ke madde nazar, selling seem to be the preferred strategy.

EUR/USD pair ki upside ko limit kar raha hai. U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) mein rehlaai aur September ka stronger-than-expected employment report Federal Reserve ke future mein interest rates cut karne ke imkanaat ko barha raha hai. CPI ke release ke baad, investors ne November mein 25 basis point Fed rate cut ki umeed 83.3% tak barha di hai, CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq. Market participants ab U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) ke September ke liye aur Michigan Consumer Confidence Index ke October ke liye pehli reading ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo Friday ko release honay walay hain. Overall PPI ko umeed hai ke yeh 1.6% year-on-year barhay ga, jab ke core PPI ke 2.7% year-on-year barhne ki projection hai. Magar agar yeh report kamzor natayej dikhata hai, to isse dollar euro ke muqable mein kamzor ho sakta hai.Dusri taraf, European Central Bank (ECB) ke policymakers economy ke slowdown ke douran interest rates cut karne ke haq mein hain, jo euro par kuch selling pressure la sakta hai. ECB ke is saal do dafa interest rates cut karne ki umeed hai, aur agle hafte yeh apna deposit rate 3.5% tak neeche kar sakta hai. Reuters ke survey ke mutabiq, 90% economists agle hafte rate cut ki umeed kar rahe hain, jab ke December mein ek aur follow-up cut ka imkaan hai. EUR/USD ne pichle hafte ka 14-mahina high 1.1213 se retreat kiya hai, jo ke short-term bullish bias ko khatam kar raha hai. Magar, yeh abhi tak 20-day simple moving average (SMA) ke qareeb hold kar raha hai jo ke 1.1108 par hai. Momentum indicators near-term neutral scenario ko confirm karte hain, jab ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke upar barqarar hai, aur Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) apni red signal line ke neeche aa gaya hai lekin positive territory mein abhi tak mazboot hai.20-day moving average sabse qareebi support hai, lekin agar isay break kar diya gaya to focus downside ki taraf ho sakta hai, khaaskar uptrend line ke upar. 50-day moving average par thora sa dip 1.1036 ke qareeb hai. Agar yeh barriers breach hote hain, to yeh 1.1000 level ko expose karein ge, jo ke September se sabse lowest level hai, aur envisioned double top jo 1.1200 ke qareeb hai. Yeh southern rollbacks dikhate hain, magar yeh bhi boomerang ke neeche jaari reh sakte hain baghair kisi serious rollbacks ke; yahan zyada door nahi bacha, aur phir hum dekh sakte hain ke agay kidhar jaana hai. Boomeran

chart par linear regression channel upar ki taraf slope kar raha hai, jo market mein strong buying pressure ko zahir karta hai. Buyers ki activity ek zabardast buying opportunity ka ishara karti hai, khaaskar jab price lower channel boundary 1.11914 par hoti hai. Agla andaza hai ke market 1.12151 ke level tak rise karega, jiske baad ek correction ki umeed hai. Yeh correction lower boundary ki taraf hoga, jahan se dobara buying opportunities consider ki ja sakti hain. Agar price is level se neeche break karti hai, toh hum further girawat dekh sakte hain, aur aise mein buying positions cancel kar di jayengi. Market channels ke sath grow karta hai jab wo upar ki taraf dekh raha ho. Sales ki umeed upper channel boundary 1.12151 se hai, jahan entry ka mauqa ho sakta hai. Mere liye zaroori hai ke main pullback par entry karun, jitna ho sake lower boundary ke qareeb. H1 higher timeframe ko analyze karte hue, mujhe dikhai deta hai ke linear regression channel upward slope mein hai. Mere liye yeh M15 se zyada ahmiyat rakhta hai, kyun ke yeh strong bullish sentiment ko dikhata hai. M15 channel se jo signal mila, wo buying ka mashwara deta hai, jo meri buying ki desire ko reinforce karta hai. Bas mujhe sahi level par price ka intizaar karna hai aur wahan se buying opportunity dekhni hai. Jis jagah par mein buying opportunities dekh raha hoon wo current situation mein lower channel boundary 1.10973 par hai. Wahan se, mein dobara buy karne ki koshish karunga taake 1.12036 tak ka target achieve ho. Agar yeh target achieve hota hai, toh yeh strong upward movement ka ishara hoga. 1.12036 se ek correction ki umeed hai, kyun ke bullish movement select ki gayi hai. Bulls dobara apne movement ko restore karne ki koshish karenge. Agar entry point 1.10973 par breach hoti hai neeche ki taraf, toh yeh bearish interest ka sign hai. Aise mein, buying ka trading plan reconsider karna aur market situation ko dobara assess

karna zaroori hoga. Eurodollar ka shape ab ek triangle ke jese lagta hai, jisme ek wedge bhi shamil hai. Haan, wahan par jo shandar shadow hai, wo image ko kharab karne ki salahiyat rakhta hai, lekin agar price uss direction mein nahi jata, phir bhi upper trend neeche rahega. Main dusri baar 1.1001 level ko test karne ka mauqa dekhoonga. Dollar ki value kam hone ki wajah se pair ko upar jane ki zarurat hai. Ab kyunke main kisi bhi indicators par reliance nahi karta, technically mere liye kuch specify karna mushkil hai. Bas mein sirf figures sketch karta hoon. EUR/USD pair waqai 1.12 ke round mark ko paar kar leta hai aur upar barhta hClick image for larger versio

EUR/USD 1.0935 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, aur jo current trend hai, wo bearish side ki taraf jhuk raha hai. Yeh pair halya dino mein dabao ka shikar hai, jisme dheema magar musalsal girawat dekhne ko mil rahi hai. Aane wale dino mein kuch aise factors bhi hain jo ke isme significant movement la sakte hain. Is downtrend ka ek bara sabab US dollar ki relative strength hai, jo ke Federal Reserve ke hawkish stance ki wajah se mazid mazboot hui hai. Central bank ka focus inflation ko control karne par hai, jiske liye wo faiz ki daron ko barhane ki policy par amal kar raha hai. Is wajah se greenback (US dollar) investors ke liye zyada attractive bana hai, aur euro jaisi currencies ko dollar ke muqable mein struggle karna pad raha hai. Halya US economic data, jaise ke mazboot employment numbers aur stable consumer spending, ne dollar ki rise ko aur bhi momentum diya hai. Doosri taraf, Eurozone ko abhi bhi kai economic challenges ka samna hai. Is region mein growth prospects ab tak thanda nazar aa raha hai, jo ke high energy costs aur inflationary pressures ke asraat hain. Halanki Eurozone mein inflation ke hawale se kuch behtari dekhne ko mili hai, lekin yeh ab bhi policymakers ke liye ek concern bana hua hai. European Central Bank (ECB) ne apne approach mein ehtiyaat se kaam liya hai, aur unhone signal diya hai ke wo rate hikes ko dheema karne ya rokne ka soch rahe hain, jab tak inflation downward trend mein rahega. Yeh ehtiyaati stance Federal Reserve ke aggressive rawaiye ke mukablay mein euro par aur dabao daal raha hai. Technically, EUR/USD iss waqt ek critical support level 1.0930 ke qareeb hai. Agar yeh support qaim rehti hai, toh hum ek temporary bounce dekh sakte hain. Magar agar yeh support break ho jati hai, toh ek bara selloff trigger ho sakta hai, jisse pair agle key support 1.0850 ki taraf push kar sakta hai. Traders is level ko ghore se dekh rahe hain, kyun ke agar yeh break hota hai, toh aagay aur girawat ke darwaze khul sakte hain. Aane wale dino mein kuch important economic events hain jo EUR/USD ki direction ko influence kar sakte hain. US aur Eurozone dono apne ahem economic data, jaise ke inflation reports, manufacturing data, aur central bank ke statements release karne wale hain. Iske ilawa, Europe mein geopolitical developments aur energy market trends euro ke liye key drivers banay rahenge. EUR/USD ke liye ek mixed picture paint karte hain. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 60.00 mark ke neeche aa gaya hai, jabke is se pehle yeh overbought status par 75.00 ke kareeb tha. Yeh decline is baat ka ishara karta hai ke momentum thanda ho sakta hai, jo traders ko upcoming economic data aur market developments ke hawale se apni positions dobara assess karne par majboor kar sakta hai

EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis
Aaj hum EUR/USD ka daily chart analyze karenge jahan humein overall trend, support, aur resistance levels ka andaza lagta hai. Chart se saaf hai ke yeh pair July 2024 se lekar September 2024 tak ek strong bullish trend main tha, lekin September ke baad se is main clear bearish trend dekha gaya hai. Yeh downtrend abhi tak barkarar hai, aur price neeche ki taraf continue kar rahi hai. Filhal price 1.0800 ke aas paas trade ho rahi hai, jo ek important support level hai. Yeh woh area hai jahan buyers kuch stability lane ki koshish karenge. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to agla support 1.0771 par hai, aur us se neeche 1.0700 tak price fall kar sakti hai. Lekin agar price yahan se bounce karti hai, to pehla major resistance 1.0900 par hai, aur us se uper 1.1012 par jo previous highs hain. Yeh resistance zones hain jahan sellers wapas market control kar sakte hain.
Chart pe humein kuch indicators bhi dekhne ko mil rahe hain jo trend ke confirmation main madadgar hain. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator abhi bhi bearish signal kar raha hai, jahan signal line ne histogram ko neeche cross kiya hai. Yeh indicate karta hai ke abhi bhi selling pressure zyada hai, aur price aur neeche ja sakti hai. RSI (Relative Strength Index) bhi 32 ke aas paas hai, jo oversold zone ke kareeb hai. Yeh is baat ki nishani hai ke price shayad kuch waqt ke liye stabilize ho, lekin abhi kisi strong reversal ki umeed nahi kar sakte.
Is analysis se humein yeh samajh aata hai ke EUR/USD pair ka trend abhi bearish hai, lekin oversold conditions aur support levels pe kuch buying interest aasakta hai. Agar aap trading plan kar rahe hain to 1.0800 ka support level zaroor consider karein. Agar yeh break hota hai, to next downside targets 1.0771 aur 1.0700 pe hain. Dusri taraf, agar price yahan se recover hoti hai, to resistances pe nazar rakhni hogi, khas tor par 1.0900 aur 1.1012 levels. Safe trading practices follow karein aur trend ke against zyada heavy positions lene se gurez karein. Indicators aur price action ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai, taake timely decisions liye ja sakein. Yeh analysis trading decisions ke liye ek basic guideline hai, lekin market hamesha unpredictable hoti hai, to risk management pe zaroor focus rakhein. Yeh post chart ke major trends, indicators, aur support/resistance levels ko detail main explain karti hai, taake traders ko trading decisions main madad mil sake.

EUR/USD ka chart dekhte hue lagta hai ke pair abhi bearish trend mein hai, aur price neeche ki taraf move kar rahi hai. Yeh downward trend kuch waqt se chal raha hai aur ab kuch important support aur resistance levels samne aa rahe hain jo agle price movement ke liye guidance de sakte hain.
Sabse pehle, support levels ki baat karte hain. Current chart ke hisaab se strong support area 1.0755.pe nazar aa raha hai. Yeh level is waqt important hai kyunke agar price iske neeche close hoti hai, toh agla support area **1.0675** tak neeche ja sakta hai. Yeh support level traders ke liye ek badi indication ho sakta hai, kyunke agar price iske neeche jaati hai, toh aur bhi downward pressure dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Ab aate hain resistance levels par. Agar price upward move karne ki koshish karti hai, toh pehla strong resistance level **1.0952** pe hoga. Is level ke upar, agla resistance 1.1086 pe hai. Yeh woh areas hain jahan pe price ko resistance face karna parega aur yahan se reversal possible hai. Agar price yeh levels cross karti hai, toh aur bullish signal mil sakta hai. Is chart par Ichimoku Indicator ka analysis bhi downward pressure ko support kar raha hai. Kyunke price Ichimoku Cloud ke neeche move kar rahi hai, jo bearish sentiment ko mazid confirm karta hai. Chart pe dekhne se lagta hai ke jab tak price Ichimoku Cloud ke neeche hai, tab tak selling pressure barqarar rehne ka imkaan hai. Agar price **1.0952** ya iske upar close hoti hai, toh thoda bullish signal mil sakta hai aur ho sakta hai ke price kuch aur upar jaye.
Traders ke liye strategy yeh honi chahiye ke wo current bearish trend ko follow karein aur short positions pe zyada focus karein, khaaskar jab bhi pullback aaye toh resistance levels ke paas se sell karein. Agar price major support levels ko break karte hue neeche jaati hai, toh aur bhi selling opportunities mil sakti hain. Lekin agar price upper resistance level ke paas jaake reversal show kare, toh short selling ke liye aur acha mauka mil sakta hai. Is waqt market mein patience aur disciplined trading se hi acchi profitability hasil ki ja sakti hai.

Good Morning, umeed hai sab khairiyat se honge. Aaj mein aapke saath apne EUR/USD pair ke hawale se kuch sochain share karna chahunga. Filhal, EUR/USD ka market price qareeban 1.0795 area mein hai jo ke support zone ke qareeb hai. Chart ke mutabiq, price pattern bearish hai aur girawat dikhata hai. Expected hai ke is quarter mein EUR/USD ka trend bearish hi rahega. Oscillator negative territory mein hai aur oversold area se door hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator bhi negative nazar aa raha hai, jo ke ye suggest karta hai ke price mazeed decline karega. Iske ilawa, MACD bhi negative hai aur zero level ke neeche trade ho raha hai. Moving averages bhi bearish signal show kar rahe hain, khaaskar 50-day aur 20-day exponential moving averages (EMA), jo bearish traders ko favor karte hain. Meri trading plan mein is EUR/USD market ke liye 3 buy entries aur 3 sell entries hain. EUR/USD ka technical resistance level 1.0808 hai jo dynamic resistance hai. Ager price mazeed barhti hai tou $1.0839 ke qareeb naye buyers aa sakte hain jo doosra resistance level hai. Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke EUR/USD mazeed barhe aur 1.0872 tak pohonche, jo teesra resistance level hai. Waisay, support level 1.0788 par hai, jo ke dynamic support level hai. Agli decline mein, $1.0762 par naye sellers attract ho sakte hain jo ke doosra support level hai. Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke iske baad EUR/USD mazeed decline karte hue 1.0234 ke support area tak pohonche. Umeed hai mera analysis aapke liye mufeed sabit hoga.
Aakhri mein, mein sell entry ko prefer karunga jismein take profit point 1.0762 rakha hai. Umeed hai ke sellers is hafte mazboot rahenge aur hum apne profit ratio ko barha sakenge. Technically dekha jaye tou EUR/USD abhi apne 50-day aur 200-day moving averages ke neeche trade kar raha hai jo ke bearish trend ko indicate karta hai. Recent price action ne strong bearish momentum dikhaya hai aur prices 50-day aur 200-day moving averages se neeche hain. Yeh pair filhal 1.0795 ke qareeb hai aur support area test kar raha hai. Agar yeh support hold karta hai tou ek temporary pullback towards 1.0899 resistance, jo 200-day moving average ke mutabiq hai, ho sakta hai. Lekin agar higher break na kiya tou downside pressure mazeed barh sakta hai. MACD histogram ne fading negative momentum show kiya hai lekin signal line bearish territory mein hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke sellers abhi control mein hain. Thodi si short-term pullback possible hai lekin agar 50-day EMA ke neeche break hoti hai near 1.0962 tou losses mazeed barh sakte hain. SMC traders ne recent lows par lower liquidity grabs notice kiye hain jo ke institutional accumulation ko indicate kar sakte hain potential pullback ke anticipation mein. Lekin jab tak key resistance area reclaim nahi hota, overall bearish trend intact rahega. Agar 1.0750 ke neeche break hoti hai tou agla target 1.0650 ho sakta hai.

EUR/USD

EUR/USD 1-ghante ke chart par bohot hi technical aur structured price movement nazar aata hai, jo supply aur demand zones, liquidity pools, aur fair value gaps (FVG) ke darmiyan complex interplay dikhata hai. Is waqt price 1.10782 ke aas-paas hai, aur yeh ek retracement mein hai jo 1.11500 ke ilaqe se significant rejection ke baad aayi, jo ek mazboot supply zone ke tor par kaam kar raha tha. Price action yeh darshata hai ke market participants, jo ke mumkin hai institutional traders ya market makers hon, actively liquidity hunt kar rahe the 1.11500 level ke upar, uske baad price ko neeche ki taraf push kiya, jo ke lagta hai ke ek strategic move tha long positions ko clear karne aur market mein balance restore karne ke liye.
1.11500 ke aas-paas ka ilaqa marked liquidity grab se milta hai, jo ye dikhata hai ke bade players ka yeh irada tha ke stop orders ko trigger karen aur distribution liquidity (DLiq) zone ke upar bade trades execute karen. Jab price is zone ke nazdeek pahuncha, to market mein buying pressure ka izafa hua, jab retail traders aur dusre market participants ne potential breakout ka faida uthana chaha. Lekin, yeh high liquidity area sellers ke liye ek acha mauka bana, kyunke stop-loss aur buy orders ki liquidity unke liye market ko neeche push karne ka attractive target bana.

Is rejection se pehle, market 1.11000 aur 1.10500 ke darmiyan ek tight range mein consolidate kar raha tha. Is doran, price demand aur supply zones ke darmiyan bounce ho rahi thi, jo strong directional bias ki kami ko darshata hai. Consolidation phase ne market ko liquidity ikattha karne ka mauka diya, khaaskar lower bound par 1.10500 par, jahan buyers shayad positions ikattha kar rahe the, aur upper bound par 1.11000 par, jahan sellers supply side ko defend kar rahe the. Is range mein price movement supply aur demand forces ke darmiyan equilibrium ko highlight karta hai, jo sirf achanak 1.11500 region tak spike se disrupt hua.

Is setup mein ek critical point fair value gap (FVG) ka formation hai jo 1.11250 ke aas-paas hai. Fair value gaps aksar traders dwara istemal kiye jate hain taake wo market mein inefficiency ke areas ko identify kar saken jahan price gap ko "fill" karne ke liye wapas aa sakti hai, jo rebalancing mechanism ke tor par kaam karta hai. 1.11250 ka gap jaldi fill ho gaya jab market ne apne pehle ke range se breakout karne ki koshish ki, jo yeh darshata hai ke market ab bhi balanced range mein kaam kar raha tha aur yeh breakout short term mein sustainable nahi tha. FVG ka fill hona yeh bhi suggest karta hai ke market participants cautious the, kyunke ek true breakout ke liye demand ya supply se stronger impulse ki zaroorat hoti hai.

par stance ek key factor hai. Agar U.S. economy acha perform karti rahi aur inflation ek concern bana rehta hai, toh Fed apna hawkish stance qaim rakh sakti hai, jo dollar ko mazid strong karay ga aur euro par pressure dalay ga. Lekin agar U.S. economy mein kisi slowdown ke asar dikhayi dete hain ya Fed se dovish signals milte hain, toh dollar kamzor ho sakta hai aur euro ko thoda support mil sakta hai. Doosri taraf, European Central Bank (ECB) ko bhi apne challenges ka samna hai, jinmein slow economic growth aur persistent inflation shamil hain. Agar ECB economic slowdown ke foran inteha mein interest rates ko stable rakhne ya rate cuts par ghoor karti hai, toh yeh euro par neeche ke taraf pressure dal sakta hai, jo ke bearish trend ko barqarar rakhe ga. Lekin agar ECB se unexpected tightening hoti hai, toh EUR/USD ke trend mein reversal aa sakta hai.

Technical perspective se dekha jaye toh, 1.0940 ka level ek critical support point ban sakta hai. Agar pair is level ko decisively break karti hai, toh ek zyada pronounced bearish movement trigger ho sakta hai. Wahi agar yeh is level ke upar hold karne mein kaamyab ho jati hai, toh hum pair mein ek rebound dekh sakte hain, jo ek potential rally ki taraf le ja sakti hai. Traders key support aur resistance levels ko ghore se dekh rahe hain takay wo apni positions ke entry aur exit points identify kar sakein.

Mazid, ane wali economic data jaise ke U.S. jobs reports, dono regions se inflation data aur central bank meetings, agle bade move ke catalysts banenge. Market participants ko tayar rehna chahiye ke jab yeh events unfold honge toh volatility barh sakti hai. Aakhri mein, jab ke EUR/USD filhal dheere chal rahi hai, strong indications hain ke ek significant price movement aasakti hai, jo ke macroeconomic developments aur market sentiment se mutasir ho gi. Traders ko is

market 1.12151 ke level tak rise karega, jiske baad ek correction ki umeed hai. Yeh correction lower boundary ki taraf hoga, jahan se dobara buying opportunities consider ki ja sakti hain. Agar price is level se neeche break karti hai, toh hum further girawat dekh sakte hain, aur aise mein buying positions cancel kar di jayengi. Market channels ke sath grow karta hai jab wo upar ki taraf dekh raha ho. Sales ki umeed upper channel boundary 1.12151 se hai, jahan entry ka mauqa ho sakta hai. Mere liye zaroori hai ke main pullback par entry karun, jitna ho sake lower boundary ke qareeb. H1 higher timeframe ko analyze karte hue, mujhe dikhai deta hai ke linear regression channel upward slope mein hai. Mere liye yeh M15 se zyada ahmiyat rakhta hai, kyun ke yeh strong bullish sentiment ko dikhata hai. M15 channel se jo signal mila, wo buying ka mashwara deta hai, jo meri buying ki desire ko reinforce karta hai. Bas mujhe sahi level par price ka intizaar karna hai aur wahan se buying opportunity dekhni hai. Jis jagah par mein buying opportunities dekh raha hoon wo current situation mein lower channel boundary 1.10973 par hai. Wahan se, mein dobara buy karne ki koshish karunga taake 1.12036 tak ka target achieve ho. Agar yeh target achieve hota hai, toh yeh strong upward movement ka ishara hoga. 1.12036 se ek correction ki umeed hai, kyun ke bullish movement select ki gayi hai. Bulls dobara apne movement ko restore karne ki koshish karenge. Agar entry point 1.10973 par breach hoti hai neeche ki taraf, toh yeh bearish interest ka sign hai. Aise mein, buying ka trading plan reconsider karna aur market situation ko dobara assess karna zaroori hoga. Eurodollar ka shape ab ek triangle ke jese lagta hai, jisme ek wedge bhi shamil hai. Haan, wahan par jo shandar shadow hai, wo image ko kharab karne ki salahiyat rakhta hai, lekin agar price uss direction mein nahi jata, phir bhi upper trend neeche rahega. Main dusri baar 1.1001 level ko test karne ka mauqa dekhoonga. Dollar ki value kam hone ki wajah se pair ko upar jane ki zarurat hai. Ab kyunke main kisi bhi indicators par reliance nahi karta, technically mere