یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

USD Main aapki tawajjo M15 time frame ke linear regression channel ki taraf dilwana chahta hoon, jo ke upwards slope kar raha hai, aur ye buyers ke trend ka izhar kar raha hai. Is beech bears bhi apni activity dikha rahe hain, jo price ko neeche push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Main observe kar raha hoon ke price 1.09196 se neeche break kar rahi hai, jo channel ki lower boundary 1.09228 ke bahar hai, aur ye 1.09095 tak ke possible decline ka signal de sakta hai. Lekin, ye bhi worth noting hai ke 1.09095 ke level par buyers ki taraf se sellers ko strong resistance face karna par sakta hai. Analysis suggest karta hai ke 1.09095 tak sell kiya ja sakta hai, lekin main recommend karta hoon ke is level par positions close kar den ya at least order ko breakeven par secure kar len. Jaise ke hamesha, ehtiyaat aur proper risk management successful trading ke key principles hain! Mera strategic goal hai ke main downtrend par position hold karun aur 1.09095 ke level par barrier ko break karun. Lekin, yeh zaroori hai ke hourly channel ke position ko bhi madde nazar rakha jaye kyunki yeh downward movement ko limit kar sakta hai. Isliye, main sabhi risks ko consider karta hoon aur necessary analysis conduct karta hoon taake losses ko protect aur minimize kiya ja sake.

Hourly chart par, linear regression channel bhi upwards slope kar raha hai, jo buyers ki strength ko dikhata hai jo market par dominate kar rahe hain. Is case mein, H1 channel M15 se zyada significance rakhta hai. Agar channel ki lower boundary 1.09095 tak pohanchi, to yeh ek strong buyer ka izhar ho sakta hai. Filhal, M15 par linear regression ek correction suggest karta hai, jiske baad bulls zyada active ho sakte hain. Agar market 1.09095 ke level par hold karta hai, to yeh ek buying opportunity ho sakti hai, jo ek accha idea ho sakta hai. Target 1.09425 ka hoga. Is target ko achieve karne ke baad, agar koi active seller 1.09425 ke level par appear hota hai to market ka direction bearish ho sakta hai. Agar price 1.09095 ke neeche break kar jata hai, to yeh selling ka signal ho sakta hai, kyunki yeh trend reversal ka indication de sakta hai.

Ab hum EUR/USD currency pair ke price fluctuations ka tajziya karenge. Friday ko, humne EUR/USD pair ko H1 time frame par trade kiya tha planned sideways movement ke andar, jo ke 9th din se qaim hai. Jaise expect kiya gaya tha, humne weekend se pehle is sideways pattern se exit nahi kiya, aur Monday ko yeh range mein hi continue karega. Lekin, Tuesday aur Wednesday tak, jab economic calendar active ho jayega, tab hum consolidation se break dekh sakte hain. Critical sawal yeh hai ke market kis direction mein move karega, lekin breakout direction ko predict karna mushkil hai kyunki theoretically yeh dono taraf ho sakta hai. Attached chart potential targets ko illustrate karta hai is movement ke liye. Yeh predict karna challenging hai ke EUR/USD pair ka upcoming trading week mein kis taraf break hoga, especially given ke resistance ka narrow range, jo ke 1.0966 aur 1.0947 ke beech identify kiya gaya hai, iski recent decline ke darmiyan.

Lekin, agar price is range ke upar stabilize ho jati hai, to bulls ko ek fresh local maximum ki taraf drive kar sakti hai. Main estimate karta hoon ke dono scenarios ke liye 50% chance hai, halaan ke main thoda bullish outcome ki taraf lean karta hoon. Price mein lower boundary of the triangle, jo ke minimum level 1.0449 ke ird gird hai, tak retreat karne ka potential hai. Iske bawajood, upside breakout zyada feasible lag raha hai. Price current upper boundary ko break karne ya neeche move karne ki koshish kar sakti hai, halaan ke ab tak lower boundary tak nahi pohnchi. Isliye, main maximum ko update karne ki possibility 1.1009 tak rule out nahi kar sakta. U.S. Dollar Index ko dekhte hue, weakening ke signs zahir hain. Hum index mein further

buyers ki strength ko dikhata hai jo market par dominate kar rahe hain. Is case mein, H1 channel M15 se zyada significance rakhta hai. Agar channel ki lower boundary 1.09095 tak pohanchi, to yeh ek strong buyer ka izhar ho sakta hai. Filhal, M15 par linear regression ek correction suggest karta hai, jiske baad bulls zyada active ho sakte hain. Agar market 1.09095 ke level par hold karta hai, to yeh ek buying opportunity ho sakti hai, jo ek accha idea ho sakta hai. Target 1.09425 ka hoga. Is target ko achieve karne ke baad, agar koi active seller 1.09425 ke level par appear hota hai to market ka direction bearish ho sakta hai. Agar price 1.09095 ke neeche break kar jata hai, to yeh selling ka signal ho sakta hai, kyunki yeh trend reversal ka indication de sakta hai.
Ab hum EUR/USD currency pair ke price fluctuations ka tajziya karenge. Friday ko, humne EUR/USD pair ko H1 time frame par trade kiya tha planned sideways movement ke andar, jo ke 9th din se qaim hai. Jaise expect kiya gaya tha, humne weekend se pehle is sideways pattern se exit nahi kiya, aur Monday ko yeh range mein hi continue karega. Lekin, Tuesday aur Wednesday tak, jab economic calendar active ho jayega, tab hum consolidation se break dekh sakte hain. Critical sawal yeh hai ke market kis direction mein move karega, lekin breakout direction ko predict karna mushkil hai kyunki theoretically yeh dono taraf ho sakta hai. Attached chart potential targets ko illustrate karta hai is movement ke liye. Yeh predict karna challenging hai ke EUR/USD pair ka upcoming trading week mein kis taraf break hoga, especially given ke resistance ka narrow range, jo ke 1.0966 aur 1.0947 ke beech identify kiya gaya hai, iski recent decline ke darmiyan.

Lekin, agar price is range ke upar stabilize ho jati hai, to bulls ko ek fresh local maximum ki taraf drive kar sakti hai. Main estimate karta hoon ke dono scenarios ke liye 50% chance hai, halaan ke main thoda bullish outcome ki taraf lean karta hoon. Price mein lower boundary of the triangle, jo ke minimum level 1.0449 ke ird gird hai, tak retreat karne ka potential hai. Iske bawajood, upside breakout zyada feasible lag raha hai. Price current upper boundary ko break karne ya neeche move karne ki koshish kar sakti hai, halaan ke ab tak lower boundary tak nahi pohnchi. Isliye, main maximum ko update karne ki possibility 1.1009 tak rule out nahi kar sakta. US Dollar Index ko dekhte hue, weakening ke signs zahir hain

EUR/USD Economic Data:

EUR/USD currency pair ki recent developments ko zyada tar U.S. aur Eurozone ki monetary policy ke hawale se changing expectations ne shape diya hai. Federal Reserve ki taraf se zyada dovish stance ke intezar ne market dynamics ko bohot asar andaz kiya hai, aur traders yeh speculate kar rahe hain ke shayad interest rate reduction ya hikes ki dhimi raftar dekhi ja sakti hai U.S. ke mixed economic indicators ke madde nazar. Halankeh inflationary pressures barqarar hain, lekin U.S. economic activity mein slow down ke asnaas ne euro ko strong kar diya hai, jaisay ke Fed ki more accommodating policy ki umeed thi. Is ke muqablay mein, Eurozone ka economic recovery uneven raha hai, jahan member countries mein growth mein farq hai. European Central Bank (ECB) ne apni policy ko U.S. ke muqablay mein zyada cautious rakha hai, jo ke euro ko support kar raha hai mushkil economic backdrop ke bawajood. Market sentiment regarding ECB’s policy direction EUR/USD pair ke liye aik aham factor rahega. Global geopolitical uncertainties aur upcoming U.S. economic data ke asraat ke sath, Fed’s policy decisions ko closely scrutinize kiya jayega.

Technical perspective se, EUR/USD ne already 23% Fibonacci retracement level ko break kiya hai, jo ke aik potential corrective phase ke shuru hone ka signal hai. Fibonacci retracement tool traders ke dwara use kiya jata hai taake correction ke doran support aur resistance levels identify kiya ja sakein. Is case mein, 23% ke neeche break hona bearish signal hai, aur mera agla target 38% retracement level hai, jo filhal 1.1050 ke aas paas hai. Ye level aik critical support zone ban sakta hai, aur agar iske neeche sustained break ho jata hai to pair ke liye further declines ke darwaze khul sakte hain. Aage dekhna zaroori hai ke upcoming U.S. economic data ka kya asar hoga, kyunki yeh EUR/USD ke trajectory ko further influence karega. Key data points jese ke U.S. inflation figures, employment reports, aur Federal Reserve ke statements pair ke movement ko counterbalance ya amplify kar sakte hain. Agar U.S. economic data expected se zyada strong aati hai, to yeh pair par additional downward pressure daal sakti hai, aur Federal Reserve ka hawkish stance aur mazid barh sakta hai, jisse U.S. dollar ko support milega. Summary mein, lower-than-expected German CPI data ne EUR/USD pair mein potential correction ka scene tayar kar diya hai, khas taur par agar Eurozone-wide inflation data bhi is trend ko mirror kare. 23% Fibonacci retracement level ka break is bearish outlook ko support karta hai, aur 38% level at 1.1050 aik key target hai. Traders ko upcoming U.S. data ke liye vigilant rehna chahiye, jo near term mein pair ke movement ko further shape kar sakti hai.

EUR/USD currency pair ki price fluctuations ka tajziya karte hain. Kal US GDP aur benefits ke data ka ek aham indicator release hoga. Dollar ki current technical correction ko dekhte hue, agar EUR/USD ke figures mazboot hue to EUR/USD pair 1.1029 tak gir sakti hai. Lekin analyst 1.1079 ko target kar rahe hain, jahan do trend lines intersect hoti hain, jo ek potential rebound aur local reversal point ho sakta hai. H4 chart par MACD indicator reversal ke qareeb hai, aur agar 1.1079 tak pohanchta hai to medium-term trend reversal ho sakta hai aur price higher level par wapas aa sakti hai. Lekin news ke anusar, pair lower level tak bhi gir sakti hai.
Monthly trading period ke liye market conditions bullish hain. Is analysis mein 4-hour timeframe aur moving average indicator use kiya gaya hai, jo bullish trend ko indicate kar raha hai. Price ka wapas uthne ka mauqa hai aur buyers upward momentum ko banaye rakh sakte hain. EUR/USD chart par bullish travel pattern dekhne ko mil raha hai jo pichle hafte se shuru hua. Buyers ko 100-period moving average line ke upar price ko maintain karne ka mauqa hai. Pichle hafte ka market trend bullish tha aur is hafte bhi buyers ke efforts market par control banaye rakhne mein kamyab dikhai de rahe hain. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, bullish trend is hafte bhi jari reh sakta hai, lekin buyers ko 1.1202 ke price zone ko break karne ke liye struggle karna hoga. Trading plans ke liye, jab tak price simple moving average line ke upar hai, Buy position open karna behtar hoga.

EUR/USD pair ne Monday ko kaafi interesting trading ki. Pure din ke doran downward movement dekhi gayi, lekin koi macroeconomic ya fundamental backdrop nahi tha. Phir bhi, price recent local lows se neeche nahi gayi. Ek naya descending trend line US dollar ke rise ko support kar raha tha. Lekin hum sab jante hain ke koi bhi macroeconomic report dollar ko girane ka sabab ban sakti hai. Is hafte ek super-important inflation report publish honi hai. Market is par kaise react karegi, yeh ek bara mystery hai. Federal Reserve ke September 18 ko kya actions honge aur 2024 ke end tak kya hoga, yeh bhi ek bara mystery hai. Hum kehna chahte hain ke dollar abhi bhi apni decline resume kar sakta hai kyunke market participants ya market makers apni inflated aur "ultra-dovish" expectations ko Fed ke monetary policy ke liye continue kar sakte hain.

Technical perspective se, agar price Ichimoku indicator lines aur trend line ke neeche hai, toh sirf downward movement expect ki ja sakti hai. Price asani se Tuesday-Wednesday ko Kijun-sen line tak correct kar sakti hai aur phir gir sakti hai. Market ne already 100% Fed ke September mein rate cut ko price in kar liya hai.

Monday ko sirf ek trading signal bana. Price ne overnight 1.1092 ke level se bounce kiya, aur Kijun-sen line ne 40 pips ke aas-paas gir gaya. European trading session ke opening par, price formation point se zyada door nahi gayi, toh short positions open ki ja sakti hain. Nearest target level 1.1006 tak nahi pohncha, isliye trades ko ya toh shaam ko manually close karna pada ya phir is hafte target ke hit hone ke liye chhodna pada. Hourly time frame par, EUR/USD pair ab finally baseless upward trend ko end karne ka ek real chance rakhta hai. Ek naya downtrend establish ho gaya hai. Fed ki meeting ke ek hafte aur dheere se US dollar ki rampant selling resume ho sakti hai, lekin ab kam se kam technical grounds hain jo dollar ke girne ki umeed dikhate hain. Price Ichimoku indicator line ke neeche hai, jo US dollar ke liye kuch prospects open karta hai.

September 10 ke liye, hum trading ke liye following levels highlight karte hain: 1.0658-1.0669, 1.0757, 1.0797, 1.0843, 1.0889, 1.0935, 1.1006, 1.1092, 1.1137, 1.1185, 1.1234, 1.1274, aur Senkou Span B (1.1122) aur Kijun-sen (1.1090) lines. Ichimoku indicator lines din ke doran move kar sakti hain, isliye trading signals identify karte waqt yeh zaroor consider karna chahiye. Stop Loss ko 15 pips move hone ke baad break even par set karein. Yeh aapko potential losses se bachayega agar signal galat ho.

Monday ko US mein koi significant events ya releases nahi hain, aur Germany August ke inflation ka second estimate release karega. Yeh second estimate pehle se zyada different hone ki ummeed nahi hai, isliye is report par strong market reaction expect nahi hai. Pair ko Senkou Span B line ke neeche rehna chahiye agar hum downtrend dekhna chahte hain.

Sab ko achi mood ki dua! M15 chart par linear regression channel ne niche ki taraf turn kar diya hai, jo market mein sellers ke dominance ko darshata hai. Market ki movement 1.10126 ke level ki taraf hai. Jab ye level reach ho jaye, tab upward correction ho sakti hai, kyun ke channel ki volatility is chart par select ho jayegi. Niche ke border ke paas sales na karna behtar hai, balki rollback ka intezar karna chahiye taake channel ke upper part par 1.10417 tak jaa sakein. Is se losses kam honge. Channel ka angle market mein sellers ki strength ko darshata hai – jitna steep, utna zyada movement. Slight slope pe, initial stage par sales ka dhyan rakhein.

Hourly chart par bhi linear regression channel niche ko indicate kar raha hai, jo sellers ki strength ko darshata hai. Hourly chart ka channel main hai aur M15 auxiliary hai. Dono charts par channels ka direction south hai. Shorts ki taraf dekhna behtar hai, kyunki buying karna movement ke against hai, jo zyada tar loss ka sabab banega. Agar 1.10417 level buyers ko rok nahi pata, to possible hai ke price upper part of the channel tak grow kare, jahan se sales ko consider karna chahiye. Is level se sales interesting lagenge, kyunki hourly rollback hoga. Uske baad bears apni activity dikhayenge aur price ko lower part of the channel 1.10145 tak le jayenge. Channel volatility select ho jayegi aur sales ke liye intezar karna padega jab tak bulls thoda movement wapas na le aayein.

Aaj Europe mein news background hai aur ECB meeting ki anticipation EUR/USD par pressure dalayegi. Ye clear hai ke wo rate ko kam karenge aur ye ECB ki is saal ki doosri reduction hogi. Isliye, mujhe lagta hai ke bears move karte rahenge. Agar ye continue hota hai, to 1.0994 level ko break karna zaroori hai. Isse lagta hai ke buyers EUR/USD par defeat ka shikaar honge aur southerners 1.0951 ko le sakte hain. Abhi hum local level par move kar rahe hain, lekin situation tezi se badal rahi hai. Globally, ye clear hai ke hum kahan move kar rahe hain.

**EUR/USD Price Forecast: Technical Outlook**

EUR/USD ka raajeh girawat ke bawajood, jab 1.1100 ke support level ko tor diya gaya, ECB se 12 September ko 25 basis points ki rate cut ki umeed hai. Wall Street ne Monday ko positive closing dikhayi, jo ke ek umda risk appetite ka ishaara hai, aur aane wale hafte mein US mein inflation data release honay wala hai. Dusri taraf, zyada tar analysts ka kehna hai ke ECB 25 basis points ki rate cut announce karega.

BBH ke analysts ka kehna hai ke ECB apni ehtiyaat pasand easing guidance ko barqarar rakhega, jo ke “policy ko zaroori waqt tak kaafi restrictively rakhega" aur data-dependent rahega.

ECB se umeed hai ke woh apne economic projections ka elan karega, jisme economic growth aur inflation ka downward revision shamil hoga. Money market traders abhi bhi price kar rahe hain ke saal ke aakhir tak 50 se 75 basis points ki cuts ki umeed hai.

Data ke hawale se, Eurozone ka economic docket Tuesday ko German Inflation data ko shamil karega, jabke Friday ko EU ka Industrial Production data release hoga.

US mein, New York Fed Consumer Inflation Expectations 3% ke threshold par barqarar hai. Hafte ke aghe, US Consumer Price Index (CPI) August ke liye 2% ke Fed ke goal ke kareeb girne ki umeed hai.

Agar CPI thoda aur girta hai, to Federal Reserve ke 50 basis points ki rate cut ke chances barh sakte hain. Warna, monetary policy mein gradual adjustments already priced in hain.

CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, 25 basis points ki rate cut ke liye 70% chances hain, jabke 50 basis points ki rate cut ke liye 30% chances hain.

Is sab ko madde nazar rakhtay hue, EUR/USD ke technical outlook ko samajhna zaroori hai. Agar EUR/USD 1.1100 ke neeche rehta hai aur ECB ki rate cut expectations ko incorporate karta hai, to EUR/USD ke aur girne ke chances barh sakte hain. Lekin agar US CPI achanak kam nahi hota, to Federal Reserve ke monetary policy adjustments ka impact bhi EUR/USD ke price movement par zaroori hoga.

EUR/USD ka jo trading abhi chal raha hai, wo din ke opening level 1.1035 ke aas-paas hai aur daily Pivot level 1.1052 ke neeche hai. Yeh situation market ke current trend ko samajhne mein madad karti hai. Key indicators jo hain, wo bearish signals de rahe hain, aur price 72-period Moving Average trend line ke neeche hai. Moving Average trend line ka role hota hai price movements ko smooth karna aur long-term trend ko identify karna. Jab price is line ke neeche hoti hai, to yeh signal hota hai ke market mein downward pressure zyada hai aur volume unloading ho raha hai.

Agar price daily Pivot level 1.1052 se upar chali jaati hai, toh price ke north ki taraf move karne ki umeed hai. Is situation mein, price levels 1.1065 aur shayad 1.1088 tak pahuncha sakti hai. Yeh levels market ke bullish sentiment ko reflect karte hain aur agar price in levels ko breach karti hai, to yeh confirm karega ke buying pressure badh raha hai.

Lekin agar price 1.1026 ke level se neeche girti hai, toh mujhe lagta hai ke EUR/USD pair ke neeche ki taraf move karne ke chances hain. Is scenario mein, price levels 1.1015 aur shayad 1.1008 tak gir sakti hai. Yeh levels bearish sentiment ko indicate karte hain aur agar price in levels ko test karti hai, to yeh market mein selling pressure ko reflect karega.

EUR/USD abhi monthly Pivot level 1.1008 ke upar trade kar raha hai (pehle yeh level 1.0827 tha), lekin weekly Pivot level 1.1088 aur daily Pivot level 1.1052 ke neeche hai. Yeh indicate karta hai ke pair ke liye ek strong corrective sentiment hai. Monthly Pivot level upar hone ka matlab hai ke long-term trend bullish hai, lekin short-term correction ke signals bhi dekhne ko mil rahe hain.

Agar price weekly Pivot level 1.1088 se upar chali jaati hai, toh pair north ki taraf move karne ki umeed hai. Lekin agar price daily Pivot level 1.1052 ke neeche chali jaati hai, toh pair ko southern correction ka samna karna padega. Aaj ke din ke liye level 1.1026 ek divergence hai, jo ke market ke short-term movements aur corrections ko indicate karta hai.

In levels ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai kyunki ye price movements aur trading decisions ko guide karte hain. Market ke dynamic conditions ke mutabiq trading strategy ko adjust karna zaroori hai, aur in levels ko consider karte hue, aap apni trading strategy ko market trends ke saath align kar sakte hain. In factors ko dekhte hue, trading decisions lene se aapko behtar results mil sakte hain.

Hum EUR/USD currency pair ke mojooda price behavior ka gehra tajziya kar rahe hain. Euro/dollar pair dheere dheere gir raha hai aur 1.10 ke qareeb aa raha hai; iske ilawa, lambi muddat ke liye girawat ka imkaan hai, khaaskar aaj ke America ke statistics ke baad jo manufacturing sector mein zyada kami dikhate hain. Yeh bhi dekha ja sakta hai ke government ke statistics aur US economy ke growth rate ke darmiyan imbalance hai, jo Federal Reserve ke refinancing rate ko 25 basis points se zyada kam karne ki khwahish ko kam kar sakta hai. Yeh aik factor hai jo abhi dollar quotes par positive asar daal sakta hai. Bears bazaar mein nahi chhodenge aur EUR/USD ko niche trade karte rahenge. Euro/dollar 1.1032 par trade kar raha hai; technically, is waqt high probability hai. Pura decline Asia mein already dekhne ko mil raha hai, jo pehle ke levels 1.1070 par wapas aa raha hai, testing ke liye, aur breakdown aur continued growth ki possibilities hain.

Char ghante ke chart par situation zyadatar wahi rahi hai; quotes dheere dheere bearish direction mein move kar rahi hain, aur aaj ke US statistics is decline ko rok nahi sake. Main ab bhi ummid karta hoon ke 1.1000 ke round level ko test kiya jayega, jo ke Fibonacci grid ke 38.2% level ke barabar hai. Agar quotes is se neeche break kar deti hain, to hum ummid kar sakte hain ke lamba movement hoga aur Fibonacci grid ke average border tak, jo 1.0938 ke ilaqe mein hai, pohnchne ka imkaan hai. Daily chart par situation upar thi, aur ab main half-hour time frame ko dekhna chahta hoon. Pehle aik strong downward price channel nazar aa raha tha, jisme EUR/USD pair kaafi der tak trade hota raha. Ab dekha ja raha hai ke bearish price channel ko break karne ke baad, EUR/USD pair ne 1.1065 par resistance line ko tod diya, lekin strong US economic data ke release ke bawajood, EUR/USD pair ne girawat continue rakhi.

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Aaj, mai tawaqqo karta hun euro/dollar ka joda 1.0960 - 1.1000 ke raqbe me fisal jayega, jahan long positions kholna ek danishmandana faisla hoga. Takniki nuqtah nazar se, European currency bhi wapas ucchalne se pahle 1.0961 ki satah par girne ka imkan hai. Agar qimat H4 candlestick ko band kar ke dobara 1.1072 ki muzahmati satah se ooper jati hai to ya scenario ulat jayega.

EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Mai pichle kafi arse se dekh raha hun keh Eurozone statistics zyadatar muttafeqa andazon ke mutabiq hote hain aur shayad hi kabhi hairat ka bayas bante hain. Lehaza, mujhe lagta hai keh euro area se aane wali khabron ko nazar andaz kiya ja sakta hai. Market ne pahle hi in reports ki qimat tai kar li hai, halankeh wo waqai aham hain Waise, America Budh ko infaltion data jari karne ke liye taiyar hai, jis se market me utar-chadhaw badh sakta hai aur qimaton me gahir mutawaqqe tabdlil ka bayas ban sakta hai. Aam taur par, mai tawaqqo karta hun keh euro/dollar ka joda aaj 1.1000 ya yahan tak keh 1.0961 ki satah tak gir jayegi. Yah 1.0960-1.1000 ilaqe ko long positions kholne ke liye ek behtarin jagah bana dega.

Analysis suggest karta hai ke 1.09095 tak sell kiya ja sakta hai, lekin main recommend karta hoon ke is level par positions close kar den ya at least order ko breakeven par secure kar len. Jaise ke hamesha, ehtiyaat aur proper risk management successful trading ke key principles hain! Mera strategic goal hai ke main downtrend par position hold karun aur 1.09095 ke level par barrier ko break karun. Lekin, yeh zaroori hai ke hourly channel ke position ko bhi madde nazar rakha jaye kyunki yeh downward movement ko limit kar sakta hai. Isliye, main sabhi risks ko consider karta hoon aur necessary analysis conduct karta hoon taake losses ko protect aur minimize kiya ja sake.
Hourly chart par, linear regression channel bhi upwards slope kar raha hai, jo buyers ki strength ko dikhata hai jo market par dominate kar rahe hain. Is case mein, H1 channel M15 se zyada significance rakhta hai. Agar channel ki lower boundary 1.09095 tak pohanchi, to yeh ek strong buyer ka izhar ho sakta hai. Filhal, M15 par linear regression ek correction suggest karta hai, jiske baad bulls zyada active ho sakte hain. Agar market 1.09095 ke level par hold karta hai, to yeh ek buying opportunity ho sakti hai, jo ek accha idea ho sakta hai. Target 1.09425 ka hoga. Is target ko achieve karne ke baad, agar koi active seller 1.09425 ke level par appear hota hai to market ka direction bearish ho sakta hai. Agar price 1.09095 ke neeche break kar jata hai, to yeh selling ka signal ho sakta hai, kyunki yeh trend reversal ka indication de sakta hai.

Ab hum EUR/USD currency pair ke price fluctuations ka tajziya karenge. Friday ko, humne EUR/USD pair ko H1 time frame par trade kiya tha planned sideways movement ke andar, jo ke 9th din se qaim hai. Jaise expect kiya gaya tha, humne weekend se pehle is sideways pattern se exit nahi kiya, aur Monday ko yeh range mein hi continue karega. Lekin, Tuesday aur Wednesday tak, jab economic calendar active ho jayega, tab hum consolidation se break dekh sakte hain. Critical sawal yeh hai ke market kis direction mein move karega, lekin breakout direction ko predict karna mushkil hai kyunki theoretically yeh dono taraf ho sakta hai. Attached chart potential targets ko illustrate karta hai is movement ke liye. Yeh predict karna challenging hai ke EUR/USD pair ka upcoming trading week mein kis taraf break hoga, especially given ke resistance ka narrow range, jo ke 1.0966 aur 1.0947 ke beech identify kiya gaya hai, iski recent decline ke darmiyan

EUR/USD pair neeche ki taraf gir gayi aur trading range ki lower boundary ke kareeb aa gayi, jo ke sab se qareebi support level 1.1023 ke thoda upar hai, jab ke four-hour chart mein current trading range ki middle boundary ko tod diya.
Maujooda data se lagta hai ke southern correction ab khatam honay ke qareeb hai. Sab se mumkina scenario yeh hai ke red moving average se rebound hoga, jiss ke baad bulls quotes ko 1.1091 level tak push karne ki koshish karen ge. Lekin, agar quotes neeche ki taraf move karte hain aur 1.1023 support level se neeche gir jate hain, to aik alternative scenario ban sakta hai jahan bears 1.0968 level ko target karen ge. Agar quotes 1.10 se neeche girte hain to yeh bears ke liye faida mand hoga kyun ke is se pair par kafi pressure barh sakta hai.
EURUSD par hua, jo consistently pressure mein raha jab tak US market close nahi hui. Sawal ye hai ke kya yeh condition 19 September ko FOMC meeting tak barqarar rahegi? Agar price ki position dekhi jaye, tou pichlay ek maheenay se price Red EMA200 ke oopar barqarar hai, jo pichlay maheenay ke market reaction se mukhtalif hai, jab price ek se teen haftay ke andar hi bearish ho gaya tha. Aisi hi situation angle trading mein bhi dekhne ko mil sakti hai, kyunki agar pehlay banay gaye bearish candle ko left side ke bullish candle ke saath combine kiya jaye, tou yeh fakeout candles ka combination banay ga. Is haftay ka closing candle jo ke long upper wick dikhata hai, yeh bhi iss baat ka ishara hai ke 1.1200 ke oopar bullish move ka mauqa bohat limited hai. US interest rate cut se pehlay ke aglay do haftay mein, EURUSD market sideways phase mein daakhil hoga jisme bearish tendency hogi, aur target dynamic support Red EMA200 1.0950 tak girnay ka hai. Yeh area ab RBS (Support Become Resistance) ka kaam kar raha hai. Agar increase hota bhi hai, tou woh 1.1152 ke pehlay highest area tak limited hoga, jab tak H4 timeframe aur oopar solid buy momentum candlestick nahi banta. Teen moving averages ke beech ka faasla pehlay se zyada hai, isliye yeh increase apna mean reversion tak pohanch gaya hai aur direction reverse honay ka potential hai. Candlestick ki position upper Bollinger Bands se door hoti ja rahi hai aur ab yeh middle Bollinger Bands ke neeche close hui hai, jo bearish signal hai. MA5/MA10 High Daily tak correction ke baad, price ke lower Bollinger Bands tak girnay ka bohat zyada chance hai,

posium mein shanasaai ne September mein interest rate cut ke intezaar ko mazid barha diya, jis se euro ki attraction mein izafa hua. Jab ke euro front par zyada economic events nahi the, traders ne Federal Reserve ke Governor Christopher Waller ke letters aur European Union ke euro group meeting par zyada tawajju di. US GDP ke liye doosri quarter mein 2.8% ki annual basis par wohi pehle wali rate rehne ki umeed thi. Magar is hafte ka primary focus July ke Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) inflation data par tha. Market ke participants eagerly umeed lagaaye baithe the ke inflation data expectations se kam aayega, jo ke rate cut ki umeed ko barha sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar data expectations se zyada hota hai, toh market mein dobara se volatility aa sakti hai. EUR/USD pair ki price ab bhi simple moving average zone of period 100 ke upar stable chal rahi hai jo ke ek Uptrend market situation ko darsha rahi hai. Pichle hafte market ke halaat upward trend ke saath the jo ke pichle mahine ke bullish trend ke mutabiq the. Mahine ke shuruat mein price increase ne candlestick ko 1.1202 ke position tak pohcha diya. Is mahine ka price increase kaafi zyada lagta hai, lekin trading session ke last night mein ye barhawa continue nahi ho saka kyun ke market mein correction ho rahi thi. Aaj subah tak price uptrend zone mein move karne ki koshish kar raha tha. Tuesday raat ko price upar jaane ki koshish kar raha tha magar weekly price opening ko cross nahi kar saka. Magar, raat ke increase ke saath price ke mazeed ooper jaane ki umeed aur chance barh jata hai kyun ke correction ka momentum, jo aam tor par bullish trend ko lamba karta hai, uss se madad milti hai. Aaj tak price ki journey monthly opening price zone se door chal rahi hai jo ke 1.0824 ke position par thi. Mere khayal mein, ho sakta hai ke candlestick ab bhi upar move karna chahti hai jaise pichle hafte ka market trend tha. EUR/USD pair mein market situation ab active hoti nazar aa rahi hai, halan ke buyers ki efforts price ko barhane ke liye abhi tak itni strong nahi hain. Ho sakta hai ke market jab American session mein aayega toh koi mukhtalif situation samne aaye. Is hafte ke trading mein achi opportunities dhoondhne ke liye yeh trading reference diya jaa raha hai ke jab bullish direction ka continuation mazid strong hota naza

USD/JPY currency pair ki price changes ka jaiza kar rahe hain. USD/JPY pair ne is week mein sharp decline dekha, primarily Bank of Japan ki interest rates ko 0.16% tak increase karne ki wajah se, jo positive territory mein notable shift hai. Is action ne pair ko approximately 901 points tak giraya, critical level 149.99 se neeche aa gaya.
Weak U.S. labour market data ne Federal Reserve rate cut ki expectations ko increase kiya, jis se pair par downward pressure badh gaya. Result mein, yeh crucial sloping support 148.14 ko break kar gaya aur local support 146.51 par pause ho gaya. Yeh support level zyada der tak hold nahi karega, aur price likely descend karke round number aur support 145.01 par pahunch jayega, jahan substantial rebound upside ho sakta hai.
Hourly chart par, price descending channel mein rehta hai. Friday ko pair ne decline jari rakha lekin channel ke lower boundary tak nahi pahunch paya. Is liye downward movement Monday tak jari rahega, potentially lower boundary 144.27 par pahunch sakta hai. Is target ko hit karne par reversal ho sakta hai,
EUR/USD naye highs 1.1200 se girti hai jab Euro (EUR) kamzor hota hai. Euro apne major peers ke muqablay mein underperform karta hai kyunki investors ka confidence hai ke European Central Bank (ECB) September mein interest rates phir se kam karega.
ECB ne June mein interest rates ko kam karna shuru kiya jab policymakers ko lagta hai ke Eurozone mein price pressures 2025 tak bank ke 2% target par wapas aayengi. Lekin, July mein isne key borrowing rates ko unchanged rakhna decide kiya kyunki officials ko dar tha ke aggressive policy easing inflationary pressures ko dobara badha sakti hai. EUR/USD 1.1200 par naye swing high se gir kar 1.1150 ke qareeb aa gaya hai. Major currency pair ka broader outlook abhi bhi mazboot hai kyunki yeh weekly time frame par Symmetrical Triangle chart pattern ka breakout hold karta hai. Upward-sloping 20-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo 1.0900 ke qareeb hai, mazeed upside support karta hai