یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

EURUSD ka movement kaafi violent tha, jismein yeh currency pair takreeban 75 pip move hua. Yeh movement is liye dekha gaya kyun ke high-impact news release hui thi, jiss ki wajah se Euro ki value US dollar ke muqablay mein gir gayi. Pehle Euro ka movement sideways tha, lekin candle 1.1180 ke qareebi barrier ko torhne mein naakaam rahi aur wapis 1.1088 ke price par aa gayi. Jab hum analysis kar rahe thay, EUR/USD mein thori si recovery dekhi gayi, lekin mujhe lagta hai yeh ek temporary phenomenon tha. Agar H1 timeframe ka analysis kiya jaye, tou ab bhi yeh mumkin hai ke EUR/USD mazeed neeche jaaye jab tak ke supply area 1.1187 ko upar se break nahi kiya jata. Mere khayal mein agar koi rise hoti hai tou woh sirf ek correction ho sakti hai. Resistance ka sabse mota layer abhi torhna mushkil lagta hai. Candle ko mazeed girne ke liye H1 support 1.1088 ke price ko break karna hoga. Abhi ke liye, candle SBR region 1.1132 ko cross karne mein naakaam rahi hai, aur EUR/USD ke decline ki tayari lag rahi hai. Shayad retracement ya price bounce ho sakta hai is se pehle ke EUR/USD phir se giray. Ichimoku indicator ki madad se agar analysis kiya jaye, tou tenkan aur kijun sen lines intersect kar chuki hain, jo ke yeh signal de rahi hain ke EUR/USD ka downtrend shuru ho chuka hai. Candle ki position ab line ke neeche move kar gayi hai, jo ke bearish trend ka ishara hai. Is waqt, ichimoku signal kehti hai ke euro jaldi kamzor ho sakta hai, aur candle ne kumo cloud ko bhi cross kar liya hai.



Stochastic indicator ke mutabiq, EUR/USD abhi ke liye almost oversold state mein hai kyun ke candle apne lowest level ke qareeb hai, jo ke 20 hai. Jab tak stochastic line neeche ki taraf point kar rahi hai, EUR/USD ka movement decline karta rahega, lekin aapko hoshiyaar rehna hoga kyun ke yeh kabhi bhi upar ja sakti ha

EUR/USD mein Long Positions kholne ke liye Germany ka GDP figures economists ki forecasts ke mutabiq aaye, aur halaan ke report disappointing thi, lekin euro par sirf thoda pressure pada, kyun ke pehlay se hi data ne GDP contraction ko indicate kar diya tha second quarter mein. Doosray half of the day mein ziada activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karne aur pair ko mazeed barhane ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main selling ko aglay resistance 1.1237 ke test tak postpone karunga. Main wahan bhi sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon, GBP/USD currency pair ke neeche jaane ke chances abhi bhi hain, halanki

US ki na ummeedkan economic data ne euro ko US dollar ke muqablay mein barhawa diya. Ye tabdeeli American economy ke health ke bare mein barhti hui chinta ko darshati hai aur Federal Reserve ke zariye interest rate cuts ke tajawiz ko tez karne ke mumkinahay ko uthaati hai. Key indicators ne ek chinta janak tasawwur diya hai. June mein naukri ka izafa ummeed se kam raha, ADP data ne ye bataya ke naukriyon ki kami zyada tar kam aay ke sectors jaise hospitality aur entertainment mein hui. Initial jobless claims bhi barh gayi, aur ISM ka Services PMI do saal ke sabse niche star par chala gaya. Ye data US economy ke slow hone ka nishan hai, jo dollar ki appeal ko kam karta hai. Jab US dollar ne girawat dekhi, euro ne is mauqe ko pakda aur briefly 1.0800 level ko paar kar gaya. Ye positive jazba mixed European data se barhawa mila. Pan-EU HCOB PMI for June ne ummeed se zyada izafa dikhaya, jo manufacturing activity ki growth ko darshata hai. Lekin, Eurozone mein producer prices May mein zyada contraction dekhne ko mili. Agle kuch dinon mein US Independence Day holiday aur German factory order data currency pair ko prabhavit kar sakti hai. US markets band rahengi, jo trading activity ko patla kar sakti hai. German factory orders May mein rebound hone ki ummeed hai, jo euro ke performance ko aur prabhavit kar sakta hai.

Technical hurdles aur aage ke gains ki potential. Euro ko 1.0788 level aur 200-day moving average par technical resistance ka samna hai. Is zone ke upar decisive break hone se October 2023 ke uptrend line ke 1.0955 tak ki tez chadhai ki raah khul sakti hai. In conclusion, euro kai factors ka faida utha raha hai: US dollar ki kamzori, jo ke slowing US economy aur Fed se accommodative monetary policy ke tajawiz se hai. Lekin, technical resistance levels aur dono US aur Europe mein aane wale economic releases crucial honge, ye dekhne ke liye ke euro ke gains sustain ho sakte hain ya nahi.

EURUSD dusre din ke liye niche trade kar rahi hai aur blue moving average ke neeche wapas aa gayi hai chaar ghante ke chart par, jo ke continued decline ka ishara hai, aur support 1.0877 par mil raha hai. Is measure par poora bharosa nahi hai. Indicators already bohot strong oversold conditions dikhate hain, aur bulls ke market mein wapas aane ki possibility ko nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Isliye, agar quotes 1.0877 level ke neeche rehti hain, to main downward trend ke continue hone ki ummeed karta hoon. Doosri scenario ko bhi nahi bhoolna chahiye, agar quotes 1.0927 resistance ke upar wapas aati hain, to main long-term rise aur ek aur uchaai ki ummeed karta hoon. EUR/USD pair taqatwar bullish trends ka dikhawa kar raha hai. Yeh behad nichay 1.1000 ke levels se tezi se ubhar raha hai, chand waqton ke liye 1.0950 se oopar chala gaya hai. Pair ne 200-din EMA par 1.0826 se bhi guzar gaya hai, jo taqatwar short-term bullish sentiment ko zahir karta hai. Yeh technical tor par breakthrough yeh darust karta hai ke upri trend jari reh sakta hai, traders resistance levels aur potential breakout points ko qareeb se nigrani me rakhte hue. Ikhtisar mein, Euro ke US Dollar ke muqable mein haal ki quwwat ko kamzor US economic indicators aur European markets mein itminani sentiment ka milaap mana jata hai. Jab EUR/USD pair ahem resistance levels ke qareeb pounchega, market participants qareeb aanay wale economic data aur geopolitical developments ko nigrani me rakhtay hue is currency pair ke mustaqbil ke harkaton par asar dalne wale cheezon ka tawaju se intezar karenge. Iske ilawa, technical analysis ke context mein, yeh scenario naye participants ko bhi attract kar sakta hai jo pehle cautious ya bullish trend ke confirmation ka wait kar rahe the. In technical indicators ka alignment unhe confirmation data hai, jo ek stronger conviction offer karta hai ke uptrend sustainable hai. Yeh increased participation bullish momentum ko further fuel kar sakta hai, jise naye buyers existing upward pressure ko add karte hain.

EUR/USD Ka Jaiza Aur Analysis:

EUR/USD H4 time frame chart par yeh analysis is maqsad ke liye hai ke haalat-e-markazi ka jaiza liya ja sake, jahan key technical levels aur signals par khayal rakhna zaroori hai. EUR/USD jorha bohot se traders ke liye ek ahmiyat rakhta hai kyun ke yeh liquidity aur fundamental aur technical asraat ke liye responsiv hai. Filhal, price action aisa lag raha hai ke short-term aur medium-term trades ke liye mauqe faraham kar raha hai, jo market conditions ke mutabiq evolve ho sakta hai.

H4 time frame par, humein ek waaz market structure nazar aata hai, jahan EUR/USD jorha aakhri market developments se mutasir hota raha hai. Mere technical analysis se daily chart par yeh saaf nazar aata hai ke jorha ka behavior kaise samjha ja sakta hai, khaaskar key support aur resistance levels ko pehchanne mein. Yeh levels traders ke liye bohot ahmiyat rakhte hain, kyun ke yeh entry aur exit points ke sath-sath market ki general direction ka andaza dete hain.

Filhal, EUR/USD ek defined range mein trade kar raha hai, jahan 1.1100 level ek significant support ke tor par kaam kar raha hai, jabke resistance 1.1200 level par dekha ja raha hai. Pichle haftay ke doran, price in levels ke darmiyan oscillate kar rahi hai, jahan bullish bias bhi nazar aa raha hai. Jaise EUR, USD ke khilaf mazid taqat ikhtiyar karne ki koshish kar raha hai, traders ko potential breakouts par nazar rakhni chahiye, khaaskar agar 1.1100 resistance se upar nikaal jaata hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh humein 1.1250 level tak mazid bullish movement dekhne ko mil sakti hai, jo momentum mein ek tabdeeli ka ishara ho sakta hai.

EUR/USD Ka Jaiza H1 Time Frame Par:

EUR/USD H1 time frame chart par, exchange rate filhal 1.1150 level ke aas-paas hai, jahan market mein ek wazeh bearish trend nazar aa raha hai. Yeh downtrend euro ki U.S. dollar ke khilaf general kamzori ko darshata hai, jo ke mukhtalif asraat, jaise economic data, geopolitical developments, aur overall market sentiment ke natije mein hai. Traders ko in asraat ka khayal rakhna chahiye, kyun ke yeh market mein current momentum ko samajhne ke liye ahmiyat rakhte hain.

Technical indicators, jaise Moving Average (MA) aur Relative Strength Index (RSI), is bearish outlook ko mazid barhawa de rahe hain. Jorha apne 50-period aur 100-period moving averages ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo continued downside momentum ka ishara hai. RSI bhi oversold zone ke aas-paas hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke halankeh short-term bounce ho sakta hai, lekin overall trend bearish hai jab tak koi sustained reversal na ho.

EUR/USD jorha filhal H1 time frame par bearish phase mein hai, aur kai factors euro ki U.S. dollar ke khilaf kamzori mein yogdan de rahe hain. Traders ko aane wale economic data releases aur geopolitical developments par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyun ke yeh pair ki direction ko aur bhi mutasir kar sakti hain. Is waqt, kisi bhi long position ke liye ehtiyaat ka approach behtar hai, jabke jo log market ko short karne ka soch rahe hain, unhein key technical levels par nazar rakhni chahiye taake behtar entry points mil sakein.

EUR/USD Price Forecast

EUR/USD nayi bids dhoondne mein struggle kar raha hai, jabke price action 1.1150 ke qareeb hai. Key EU inflation figures Tuesday subah aane wale hain, aur investors NFP ke aane wale data ka intezar kar rahe hain. Federal Reserve ke speakers ne pehle se maujooda jumbo cuts ki umeed ko kam kiya hai.

EUR/USD ne nayi trading ki shuruaat familiar territory se ki, 1.1100 se upar toh hai, lekin upar ki taraf koi naya territory dhoondne mein nakam raha. European market session ke shuru hone se pehle, pan-EU inflation figures ka update aa raha hai, jab ECB ki President Christine Lagarde ne ye caution diya hai ke EU inflation baseline levels se neeche aa sakti hai, lekin baad mein saal ke dauran phir se upar ja sakti hai.

Preliminary Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) inflation ka data Tuesday ko aane wala hai, jisme headline HICP YoY print ka 1.9% par aana umeed kiya ja raha hai, jo pichle 2.2% se girne ki nishani hai. Halankeh overall inflation mein kami aa rahi hai, Lagarde ne is baat ka zikar kiya hai ke October ke inflation figures mein bhi izafa hone ki sambhavna hai, jab central bankers market participants ke taraf se rate cuts ki barhoti umeedon se joojh rahe hain. US taraf, markets Friday ke US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report ke liye ghoor se dekh rahe hain jo September ke liye hai.

Multiple Federal Reserve officials ne Monday ko announcements di. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic ne jobs market ki ahmiyat par zor diya aur economic data ki buniyad par aage rate cuts ki sambhavna ka ishara diya. Bostic ne kaha agar non-farm payroll (NFP) jobs report mein 100K se kam net nayi jobs dikhai deti hain, toh ye Fed ko zyada aggressive action lene par majboor kar sakta hai.

Bostic ke comments ke baad, Fed Chair Jerome Powell ne kaha ke investors ko choti badi rate cuts ki umeed nahi rakhni chahiye jab tak US economic data mein koi significant downturn na ho. Is bayan ne US dollar ko mazboot kiya aur rate traders ko November mein 50 basis points rate cut ki umeedon ko doobara assess karne par majboor kiya. Powell ne investors ko ye bhi bataya ke September mein substantial rate cut ke baad, Fed agle waqt mein do aur 25 basis points rate cuts ko implement karne ka irada rakhta hai, jo market ki 50 bps rate cut ki umeedon ko kamzor kar raha hai.

EUR/USD Analysis

Fiber chart par cheezen ab thodi messy hoti ja rahi hain, kyunki pair 1.1150 ke ilaqe mein ghoom raha hai. Bulls aur bears dono hi is waqt behtar balance mein nahi hain, halanke EUR/USD ne September ke swing low se 1.1000 ke major price handle ki taraf wapas rebound kiya hai.

Halanke pichle hafte 1.1200 ke upar naye highs par kuch dafa test kiya gaya, Fiber abhi bhi aik near-term consolidation trap mein mazbooti se band hai. Is dauran, 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ne downside potential ko 1.1050 ke thode neeche rok rakha hai.

Yeh situation traders ko risk management aur price action par nazar rakhne ki zaroorat ka keh rahi hai, taake agle significant moves ka sahi andaza lagaya ja sake.

Good morning, invest social friends! Umeed hai aap sab khair maqdam mein hon aur is site ke insights aur opportunities ka lutf utha rahe hon. Aaj, main EUR/USD pair ka technical analysis share karna chahta hoon, jo kuch key resistance levels ka samna kar raha hai. Filhal, EUR/USD 1.1107 ke resistance level ke neeche consolidate kar raha hai, jo bulls ke liye ek mushkil rukawat hai. Yeh resistance zone kai martaba test kiya gaya hai, aur har dafa isse upar nikalne ki koshish ko inkar kiya gaya hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke yeh level aage ki upward movement ke liye ek strong barrier hai.

Price ab 1.1107 ke neeche ek tang range mein hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke pair ko upar jaane ke liye zaroori momentum hasil karne mein mushkilat ka samna hai. H4 (four-hour) chart is resistance ki further confirmation deta hai. Chart ka nazar karne se yeh pata chalta hai ke 1.1107 ke aas-paas multiple tops ban rahe hain, jo ek classic technical pattern hai jo aksar potential reversal ya current trend mein pause ka signal deta hai. Multiple tops tab bante hain jab price ek resistance level ko kai dafa todne ki koshish karti hai lekin fail ho jaati hai, jo dikhata hai ke buying pressure kamzor ho raha hai aur bulls shayad apni taqat kho rahe hain. Yeh pattern yeh bhi darshata hai ke market ek exhaustion point tak pohanch raha hai, jahan bullish momentum kam hota ja raha hai, aur sellers control hasil karne lag sakte hain.

Is nazariye ko barhate hue, technical indicators jese ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi bullish momentum mein potential slowdown ka signal de rahe hain. RSI overbought zone ke paas hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke pair pullback ke liye tayyar ho sakta hai jab buying interest kam hone lage. Is ke ilawa, H4 chart par MACD divergence ke nishan dikhata hai, jo yeh aur darshata hai ke bullish momentum kamzor ho raha hai.

EUR/USD ek critical juncture par hai, jo key resistance level ke neeche consolidate kar raha hai. 1.1107 par ban rahe multiple tops yeh darshate hain ke buyers momentum kho rahe hain, aur ek potential reversal ho sakta hai. Jaise hamesha, yeh zaroori hai ke aap price action par nazar rakhein takay trading opportunities ko pehchaan sakein. Khud ko mehfooz rakhein aur sab ko happy trading!

EUR/USD Price Movement

EUR/USD currency pair ke price action ka tajziya aur guftagu hum karenge. Maine is currency pair ka technical analysis daily chart par kiya hai, aur yeh kaafi seedha lagta hai samajhne ke liye. Hum ek significant resistance ka samna kar rahe hain, jahan 1.200 figure ke upar barhne ki koshishen baar baar nakam ho rahi hain. Lekin, market ne zyada neeche bhi nahi gaya, jo ke consolidation phase ko darshata hai. Jaise hi hum September ko khatam kar rahe hain, speculative traders shayad is peer par zyada dilchaspi dikhayen. Agar fixed positions nazar aati hain, toh yeh zyada volatility ka sabab ban sakta hai aur iske saath sab associated consequences. Chahe yeh correction jaisa ke umeed hai, itna tez nahi hoga. Isliye, main agle hafte 1.0759–1.0724 range mein buy position lene ka khayal nahi kar raha.

1-hour chart par, buying opportunities filhal maujood hain. Price 200 moving average ke upar hai, jo bullish momentum ki nishani hai. Pichle din ke dusre hisson mein, pair din ke opening se upar trade kiya aur upar band hua. Market quotes upper Bollinger band ke kareeb hain, jo potential upward trend continuation ki taraf ishara kar raha hai.

Main Relative Strength Index (RSI) ko 14 ke period ke saath istemal kar raha hoon. Main tab trades nahi karta jab RSI overbought conditions (69 ke upar) ya oversold conditions (29 ke neeche) dikhata hai. Filhal, RSI buying ke liye favorable level dikhata hai. Profit ke liye maine Fibo take-profit target 211% par set kiya hai, jo price 1.1259 ke barabar hai. Agar zyada munafa chahiye, toh main aage ke Fibo targets ko accordingly trail karunga. Lekin, euro/USD pair upward movement mein kuch hesitant lag raha hai, jo bearish correction ki sambhavna ko darshata hai, 1.0759 ki taraf.

Pair cautiously trade kar rahi hai kyunki Euro (EUR) ne Monday ko subdued performance dikhayi, jabke investors ka dhyaan upcoming European Central Bank (ECB) interest rate decision par tha. ECB ka rate decision Thursday ko scheduled hai, jisme 25 basis points (bps) ka rate cut expect kiya ja raha hai, jo ke ECB ki ongoing policy-easing cycle ka hissa hai. Yeh ECB ka dusra rate cut hoga, June mein cycle ke shuru hone ke baad, jab July mein rates unchanged rakhe gaye the.

Haal ke neutral trend ke bawajood, pair ke ird gird ka market sentiment ab bhi cautious hai, kyunki traders ECB ke rate decision ka intezar kar rahe hain. Technical indicators momentum ki kami ka ishara kar rahe hain, isliye investors ke liye central bank ke policy direction ke clear hone tak side-line par rehna zyada behtar lag raha hai. Agar ECB 25 bps cut ke expected scenario se hat kar koi aur stance leta hai, khaaskar agar ECB zyada dovish approach adopt karta hai, toh market mein iske significant asraat hosakte hain.

**Economists ka Eurozone Recovery Par Outlook**

Bank of America (BofA) ke economists ne Eurozone ke economic recovery par ek cautious outlook diya hai. Unka forecast hai ke 2025 aur 2026 mein additional rate cuts dekhne ko mil sakte hain, jisse deposit rate 2025 ke third quarter tak 2% tak aa sakta hai aur 2026 mein 1.5% tak ho sakta hai. BofA ke mutabiq Eurozone ki recovery fragile hai aur various economic aur political pressures ke wajah se shallow rehne ka imkaan hai, jisme China mein slowing growth bhi shaamil hai. Yeh outlook Euro ki performance par uncertainty barhata hai, jab market participants currency par long-term asraat ko assess kar rahe hain.

**ECB Policy Speculation Jaari Hai**

Consensus yeh hai ke ECB September mein ek aur rate cut implement karega. Magar traders ab bhi divided hain ke kya ECB November ya December meetings mein additional cuts implement karega ya nahi, ya shayad dono mein. ECB ka yeh cautious approach complex economic landscape ko reflect karta hai, jisme inflation aur global economic headwinds jese ongoing challenges shaamil hain. Aane wali yeh policy decisions Euro ke short-term direction ko shape karne mein bohot crucial role play karenge.

**EUR/USD Ke Key Technical Levels**

Pair abhi neutral se upward bias mein hai, lekin agar key support level 1.1126 break hota hai, toh downward trend trigger hosakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh sellers ka agla target psychologically significant 1.1100 level hoga, uske baad 50-day moving average (DMA) 1.1162 par. Agar pair yeh levels breach karta hai, toh yeh 100-DMA confluence ko 1.1155 ke aas paas test kar sakta hai, aur further downside pair ko swing low 1.0777 ki taraf le ja sakti hai.

AUD/USD H1 time frame par technical analysis:
Aaj hum AUD/USD currency pair ke H1 (hourly) time frame par price action analysis ka jaiza lenge, jo ke iski recent performance aur market behavior par focus karega. Guzashta hafta AUD/USD pair ne aam tor par expectations ke mutabiq perform kiya, jahan volatility ke dauran barhati hui periods dekhnay ko milay. Is analysis mein hum key movements, technical patterns, aur un strategies ka zikar karein ge jo traders ke liye aglay sessions mein madadgar sabit ho sakti hain. Pichlay hafta AUD/USD ne overall ek mazboot uptrend dikhaya, jahan Australian Dollar ko kuch favourable economic indicators se support mila, aur US Dollar mein kuch kamzori dekhi gayi.

Commodity currency hone ke natay, Australian Dollar ko risk sentiment aur higher global demand for commodities ka faida hota hai. Global markets mein recovery aur economic outlooks mein optimism se AUD ne USD ke muqable mein mazid taqat hasil ki. Magar ye growth volatility se khaali nahi thi. Price fluctuations aam thi, khaaskar jab key resistance aur support levels ke ird-gird price aati thi. Is pair ne kai dafa pullbacks dekhe jab resistance ko 0.6460 level ke qareeb test kiya gaya, lekin apni upward trajectory ko barqarar rakha. Market mein volatility ke peechay external factors ka haath tha, jaise ke global economic developments, risk sentiment, aur fluctuating commodity prices, jo ke AUD/USD exchange rate par seedha asar daal rahe the.

H1 time frame par pichlay hafta ke price action ne kai important levels confirm kiye hain jin par traders ko nazar rakhni chahiye. Sab se pehla significant resistance level 0.6460 ke qareeb hai. Is level ko kai dafa test kiya gaya lekin bulls ise convincingly break nahi kar sake. Agar AUD/USD is resistance ko break karne mein kamiyab hota hai, toh yeh mazeed gains ka rasta khol sakta hai, jahan potential target 0.6500 psychological level ho sakta hai. Downside par, support is waqt 0.6380 level ke qareeb hai, jo ke pichlay hafta ke pullbacks ke dauran mazbooti se qaim raha. Agar yeh support toot jata hai, toh yeh bullish momentum ke khatam hone ki nishani ho sakti hai, aur is se ek deeper retracement ka darwaza khul sakta hai.

Relative Strength Index (RSI) ne H1 chart par bullish phases ke dauran overbought territory mein dakhil hone ke frequent dips dikhaye, jo ke pair par strong buying pressure ki nishani thi. Magar jab bhi RSI 70 level ke qareeb aayi, market ne thodi correction ki, jo ke key levels par sellers ke profits lene ki dalalat karta hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) ne bhi zyadatar hafta bullish divergence dikhaya, jo ke uptrend ko reinforce kar raha tha, lekin hafta ke end tak MACD flat hoti nazar aayi, jo ke momentum ke fading hone ki taraf ishara karti hai.

Hum filhal EUR/USD currency pair ki price behavior analysis par ek dilchasp guftagu kar rahe hain. August 27 ke peak ke qareeb resistance area ka ek "false" breakout dekha gaya. Aise false breakouts aksar ulte rukh ki taraf, shayad neeche ki taraf, movement ka sabab bante hain, jo agle sessions mein dekhne ko mil sakta hai. False breakout tab hota hai jab bade market players aur sellers ke paas counter-liquidity nahi hoti jo consequential orders ko support kar sake. Jab zone se breakout hota hai, to wahan rakhi gayi orders—mainly buy-stop aur market-buy orders—trigger hoti hain. Isliye, jab aap "false" breakout dekhte hain, to reversal ki umeed rakhna behtar hai.
Agar aaj ka low toota, to 1.1096 level ki taraf rasta khulega aur phir EMA 200 par 1.1066 tak bhi ja sakta hai. Lekin yeh is baat par depend karta hai ke aaj ka low kitna mumkin hai. Pair EMA 50 se rebound karne ki koshish kar raha hai aur is moving average ke upar trading resume karne ki koshish kar raha hai.

EUR/USD ke chart ko dekhte hue, aaj ek bullish scenario ubhar raha hai. Maujooda price 1.1113 hai, aur bullish momentum taqat pakar raha hai jab kharidaar market mein apni dominance dikhate hain. Bulls apni taqat mein izafa kar rahe hain, jo ek strong upward trend ka ishara hai. Yeh surge yeh darshata hai ke aane wale ghante EUR/USD pair ke liye pivotal ho sakte hain.

Agar bullish trend jari rahta hai, to yeh kaafi mumkin hai ke price jald hi 1.1145 resistance level ko test kare. Yeh level ek crucial threshold hai jo agar tooti, to bullish outlook ko aur validate kar sakta hai aur potential gains ka darwaza khol sakta hai.

Is scenario mein, investors ko un technical pehluon ka khayal rakhna chahiye jo market movement ko influence karte hain. Technical tools jaise moving averages, trend lines, aur momentum indicators istemal karna valuable insights de sakta hai aur informed trading decisions mein madadgar ho sakta hai. Yeh tools key support aur resistance levels ko identify karne, current trend ki taqat ko assess karne, aur potential reversals ya continuations ko anticipate karne mein madad karte hain. Apne account ka sahi management karna bohot zaroori hai, khaaskar volatile environment mein jahan price movements rapid aur significant ho sakte hain.

Spot price par halki downward pressure hai, aur is ke daily low ki taraf girne ki sambhavana hai jo ke 1.1153 hai. Magar agar ye pair 1.1170 ke mark ko nahi todta, to is level ke neeche sustain hona mushkil hai. Euro ka foran ka outlook cautious hai, jo ke broader economic conditions ke concerns ko darshata hai.

Yeh pair ek aham badlav ki kagar par hai jab ke ECB apni interest rate ka faisla announce karne ko hai. 1.1180 ke critical level ke aas paas chalta hua, ye ek make-or-break point par hai. 14 August ko Rising Channel formation se bahar nikalne ke baad, pair ne upar ki taraf tezi se chala. Lekin ab ye channel ke upper boundary ki taraf wapas aa raha hai, jo traders ko iski agle qadam ka intezar karne par majboor kar raha hai.

EUR/USD ke Fundamentals:

Bohat se European Central Bank (ECB) ke officials ab interest rate cuts ki taraf jhukh rahe hain, jo ke Eurozone ki economic growth prospects ke barhte huye concerns se mutaliq hai. ECB ke Executive Board member Piero Cipollone ne haal hi mein warn kiya ke agar rates ko adjust nahi kiya gaya, to central bank ka stance overly restrictive ho sakta hai. Ek Reuters poll, jo 30 August se 5 September ke darmiyan conduct hua, ne yeh dikhaya ke 85% economists agle haftay ECB se rate cuts ki umeed rakhte hain, aur doosri reduction December mein hone ki sambhavana hai.

Federal Reserve bhi policy adjustments ki taraf barh raha hai. Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago ke President Austan Goolsbee ne pichle Jumme ko yeh bataya ke Fed ke officials market ki expectations ke saath rate cuts ke liye zyada muttefaq hain. CNBC ke mutabiq, yeh shift economic indicators aur evolving market conditions ka jawab hai. FXStreet’s FedTracker, jo Fed ki speeches ko dovish-to-hawkish scale par evaluate karta hai, ne Goolsbee ke comments ko dovish darja diya, jise 10 mein se 3.2 ka score mila.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Somwar ki North American session mein, price pressure mein rahi, critical resistance level 1.1180 ke neeche trade karti rahi. Pair ne key 1.1210 mark par momentum ko barqarar rakhne mein nakami ka samna kiya, jo ke near-term outlook ko aur mushkil bana raha hai. Iske ilawa, pair 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo ke 1.1119 ke aas paas hai, jo euro bulls ke liye challenges ko aur barhata hai.

Hum filhal EUR/USD currency pair ki price behavior analysis par ek dilchasp guftagu kar rahe hain. August 27 ke peak ke qareeb resistance area ka ek "false" breakout dekha gaya. Aise false breakouts aksar ulte rukh ki taraf, shayad neeche ki taraf, movement ka sabab bante hain, jo agle sessions mein dekhne ko mil sakta hai. False breakout tab hota hai jab bade market players aur sellers ke paas counter-liquidity nahi hoti jo consequential orders ko support kar sake. Jab zone se breakout hota hai, to wahan rakhi gayi orders—mainly buy-stop aur market-buy orders—trigger hoti hain. Isliye, jab aap "false" breakout dekhte hain, to reversal ki umeed rakhna behtar hai.
Agar aaj ka low toota, to 1.1096 level ki taraf rasta khulega aur phir EMA 200 par 1.1066 tak bhi ja sakta hai. Lekin yeh is baat par depend karta hai ke aaj ka low kitna mumkin hai. Pair EMA 50 se rebound karne ki koshish kar raha hai aur is moving average ke upar trading resume karne ki koshish kar raha hai.

EUR/USD ke chart ko dekhte hue, aaj ek bullish scenario ubhar raha hai. Maujooda price 1.1113 hai, aur bullish momentum taqat pakar raha hai jab kharidaar market mein apni dominance dikhate hain. Bulls apni taqat mein izafa kar rahe hain, jo ek strong upward trend ka ishara hai. Yeh surge yeh darshata hai ke aane wale ghante EUR/USD pair ke liye pivotal ho sakte hain.

Agar bullish trend jari rahta hai, to yeh kaafi mumkin hai ke price jald hi 1.1145 resistance level ko test kare. Yeh level ek crucial threshold hai jo agar tooti, to bullish outlook ko aur validate kar sakta hai aur potential gains ka darwaza khol sakta hai.

Is scenario mein, investors ko un technical pehluon ka khayal rakhna chahiye jo market movement ko influence karte hain. Technical tools jaise moving averages, trend lines, aur momentum indicators istemal karna valuable insights de sakta hai aur informed trading decisions mein madadgar ho sakta hai. Yeh tools key support aur resistance levels ko identify karne, current trend ki taqat ko assess karne, aur potential reversals ya continuations ko anticipate karne mein madad karte hain. Apne account ka sahi management karna bohot zaroori hai, khaaskar volatile environment mein jahan price movements rapid aur significant ho sakte hain.

4-hour chart par GBP/USD pair ke liye ek strong bearish wave dekhne ko mili hai, jab trading is haftay ek mazboot support area, yani weekly pivot level area 1.1153 par shuru hui. Yeh price ke channel ke lower lines ke qareeb hone ka ishara hai. Price ne support hasil kiya aur 1.1223 ke weekly resistance level tak pohnch gayi, lekin iske baad price ne strong rebound dikhaya aur neeche ki taraf chal pada, jese ke price channels break ho gaye hain. Ab weekly support level 1.1091 bhi break ho chuka hai.

Is waqt price 1.1091 ke level se neeche stable hai, aur agla target weekly support level 1.1023 hai. Is level par price ka behavior dekhna zaroori hoga, ke kya yeh upward trend ki taraf wapas aayega ya phir zyada support break ho kar downward trend jari rahega.

Economic side par dekha jaye to, investors is haftay Eurozone se aney wale bohat si economic data ka intezar kar rahe hain. Economic calendar ke results ke mutabiq, umeed ki ja rahi hai ke Eurozone mein inflation ECB ke 2% target tak gir sakti hai, jo ke June 2021 ke baad sab se kam ho gi. Germany ki inflation 1.7% tak girne ka imkaan hai, jo February 2021 ke baad ka sab se kam hai, jabke Italy ki inflation 0.8% tak gir sakti hai. PMI data bhi Eurozone mein weakness ko highlight karega, jese ke Spain ka manufacturing sector ab recession mein hai aur Italy aur Switzerland mein zyada tezi se girawat aayi hai. Spain ka services sector bhi slower pace par expand karne ka imkaan hai.

ECB ki president Christine Lagarde European Parliament ko address karegi. Guzishta haftay France aur Spain mein inflation umeed se zyada gir gayi, jiski wajah se ye speculation barh rahi hai ke ECB apne rate-cutting cycle ko tez kar sakta hai. Is saal ECB do dafa rates cut kar chuka hai, aur ab financial markets October 17 ko ek aur rate cut ke imkaan ko price kar rahi hain.

Is current bearish wave ko dekhte hue, 1.1023 ke support level tak girawat ka imkaan hai, aur yeh dekhna ho ga ke is level ke baad price wapas upward trend mein aata hai ya nahi. Economic data ka asar bhi trading sentiment par depend karega, khas tor par inflation aur ECB ke future policy decisions ke hawale se.

EURUSD dusre din ke liye niche trade kar rahi hai aur blue moving average ke neeche wapas aa gayi hai chaar ghante ke chart par, jo ke continued decline ka ishara hai, aur support 1.0877 par mil raha hai. Is measure par poora bharosa nahi hai. Indicators already bohot strong oversold conditions dikhate hain, aur bulls ke market mein wapas aane ki possibility ko nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Isliye, agar quotes 1.0877 level ke neeche rehti hain, to main downward trend ke continue hone ki ummeed karta hoon. Doosri scenario ko bhi nahi bhoolna chahiye, agar quotes 1.0927 resistance ke upar wapas aati hain, to main long-term rise aur ek aur uchaai ki ummeed karta hoon. EUR/USD pair taqatwar bullish trends ka dikhawa kar raha hai. Yeh behad nichay 1.1000 ke levels se tezi se ubhar raha hai, chand waqton ke liye 1.0950 se oopar chala gaya hai. Pair ne 200-din EMA par 1.0826 se bhi guzar gaya hai, jo taqatwar short-term bullish sentiment ko zahir karta hai. Yeh technical tor par breakthrough yeh darust karta hai ke upri trend jari reh sakta hai, traders resistance levels aur potential breakout points ko qareeb se nigrani me rakhte hue. Ikhtisar mein, Euro ke US Dollar ke muqable mein haal ki quwwat ko kamzor US economic indicators aur European markets mein itminani sentiment ka milaap mana jata hai. Jab EUR/USD pair ahem resistance levels ke qareeb pounchega, market participants qareeb aanay wale economic data aur geopolitical developments ko nigrani me rakhtay hue is currency pair ke mustaqbil ke harkaton par asar dalne wale cheezon ka tawaju se intezar karenge. Iske ilawa, technical analysis ke context mein, yeh scenario naye participants ko bhi attract kar sakta hai jo pehle cautious ya bullish trend ke confirmation ka wait kar rahe the. In technical indicators ka alignment unhe confirmation data hai, jo ek stronger conviction offer karta hai ke uptrend sustainable hai. Yeh increased participation bullish momentum ko further fuel kar sakta hai, jise naye buyers existing upward pressure ko add karte hain.
Summary yeh hai ke price ka 100-period SMA ke upar hona weekly chart par, aur positive oscillator readings ke sath, currency pair ke liye strong bullish momentum ka indication hai. Yeh technical setup yeh darshata hai ke upward pressure likely hai ke continue rahega, kyunki yeh price action aur momentum indicators dono ke sath well-supported trend ko reflect karta hai. Traders aur investors isse bullish signal ke roop mein dekhenge, jo continued buying aur near term mein further price appreciation ki taraf le ja sakta haiEUR/USD ke upar jane ke chances abhi bhi hain. Iske ilawa, white kumi