یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

Euro ne Monday ko North American trading mein thora sa rebound kiya jabke Asian session ke dauran kafi zyada girawat dekhi gayi thi. 1.11 ka level short-term charts par achi support de raha hai, jo ke is market ke liye aik ahem psychological zone hai. Tareekhi tor par, EUR/USD aksar large round numbers ke darmiyan move karta hai, tou agar euro girawat jari rakhta hai tou agla logical target 1.10 ka level hoga.

1.10 ka mark pehle bhi aik significant support area raha hai aur agar euro neeche break karta hai tou yeh mazid strong bottom ka kaam karega. Dosri taraf, agar market recover karta hai tou 1.12 ka level resistance ka kaam karega. Yeh pair abhi bhi choppy aur sideways action ka shikar hai, isliye traders ko in key round numbers par focus karna chahiye jab market inke darmiyan oscillate karta hai. Is pair ki technical nature, jo high liquidity aur strong options market ke asar se chalti hai, in levels par bohot zyada sensitive hai. Is ke ilawa, European Central Bank aur US Central Bank dono monetary policy mein easing ke phase mein hain, jo market dynamics ko aur bhi mushkil bana dete hain.

Aise halat mein euro aur US dollar ke darmiyan long-term mein koi clear winner dhoondhna mushkil hai. Isliye, aik zyada strategic approach yeh ho sakti hai ke US dollar ki strength ko measure kiya jaye aur usay doosre currency pairs mein lagaya jaye. Misal ke tor par, agar dollar euro ke muqablay mein mazid strong ho raha hai, tou kisi tez chalne wali ya exotic currency ke saath isay trade karna behtar mouqa ho sakta hai. Jahan tak EUR/USD pair ka taluq hai, yeh zyadah tar short-term chart analysis ke liye zyada munasib rahega, jo ke prevailing market volatility aur price level ke fluctuations ke madde nazar hai.

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Daily Timeframe: Naya trading week decline ke sath shuru hua hai, lekin abhi yeh trend reversal ko indicate nahi karta. Chalo D1 period chart ka jaiza lete hain - EUR/USD currency pair. Wave structure abhi bhi ascending order mein bana hua hai, aur MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein hai. Pichla trading week multi-directional tha, lekin aakhir mein buyers ne control hasil kar liya. Price ko horizontal support level 1.1111, jo closing prices par build kiya gaya tha, ke niche fix karne ki koshish hui thi, lekin price wahan hold nahi kar saki aur sirf ek spike chhod diya, usi din se wahan se ek buyout hua
Mumkin hai ke price pichle August ka maximum update karne wali hai aur is baat ka pura chance hai kyun ke price top se door nahi hai, aur general trend ascending hi raha. Agar yeh maximum se bahar nikalti hai, toh price zyada door nahi jaayegi kyunki is case mein MACD indicator par ek bearish divergence banegi, aur shayad second CCI indicator par bhi. Yeh pehle se upper overheating zone mein hai. Kya yeh maximum se bahar nikal payegi ya nahi, yeh general state of affairs par mabni hai, mujhe lagta hai ke kareebi future mein price ko down press kiya jaayega ascending line tak jo purani daily waves ke bottoms par build ki gayi hai
Agar yeh line hold nahi karti, toh price phir se main horizontal support level 1.1010 tak descend karegi, jahan se price ne recent touch ke sath upar move kiya tha, yeh current September ka minimum hai. Ek door ka target level 1.0955 hai, jo sirf daily nahi balki weekly bhi hai, mujhe lagta hai ke near future mein price is level se niche nahi jayegi. Beshak, pehle price ko pichle month ke maximum se upar le jaa sakte hain, lekin agar aisa hota bhi hai, toh mere khayal se yeh sirf behtar prices dene ke liye hoga taa ke behtar prices par sell kiya ja sake 33 pips ke modest target traders ko nimble rehne, quick profits capture karne aur market reversal ke risk ko minimize karne mein madad dete hain. Market ke sharp decline aur stable seller dominance ko dekhte hue, modest target set karna traders ko unnecessary losses se bachata hai agar market turn around ho jaye. Yeh approach volatile market environment mein ek cautious lekin opportunistic stance ke sath align hoti hai

Fed ke chairman ne pehle hi August mein yeh confirm kar diya tha ke September se interest rates mein kami aayegi, is liye jobs report itni kamzor nahi thi ke investors ko 50 basis point cut ka andaza ho. Is wajah se dollar mein halki recovery hui. Friday ki soft jobs report ne rate markets mein pehle to halchal machai, lekin phir sentiment aur sakke par shift ho gaya, aur aglay FOMC meeting ke liye 25 basis point cut ki umeed barh gayi. Lekin ab umeedain barh rahi hain ke is saal ke baad aur aglay saal ke shuruat mein aur zyada aggressive rate cuts ho sakte hain, utsalar ek Fed official ne “frontloading” ko kam karne ka mashwara diya hai. Lekin US ke kamzor data, girti hui oil prices, aur dovish Fed turn ke bawajood, EUR/USD ka forecast abhi bhi thora bullish hai jab tak ke is hafte ke aane wale macro events mein koi bara surprise na ho. Hum baat kar rahe hain aaj ke latest US inflation report aur kal ke ECB ke rate faislay ki. Pichlay hafte ke jobs data ke baad, mein abhi bhi CPI release se pehle dollar ke bare mein bearish hun. Market rate cut ki size par tafreeq mein hai, aur koi clear consensus nahi hai. Fed, jo aglay hafte apni meeting mein dollar ko ziyata hilne se rokna chahta hai, umeed kar raha hoga ke is hafte ka inflation data market uncertainty ko settle karne mein madadgar hoga.

Jabke US CPI Fed ke target ke qareeb aa raha hai, Powell pehle hi is baat ka ishara de chuke hain ke September 18 FOMC meeting mein rate cuts ka tasdeeq karenge. Ye CPI report is meeting se pehle aakhri bara data point hoga jo policymakers ko guide karega ke 50 basis point cut karna hai ya aam 25 basis point ke sath rehna hai.

Is liye, yeh report kafi tawajju hasil kar sakti hai, special agar numbers expectations se kaafi alag niklay. Inflation chaar mahine tak silsilewar slow hui hai, aur July mein 2.9% year-on-year tak pohanch gayi, jo March 2021 ke baad sab se kam hai. Umeed ki ja rahi hai ke August mein yeh mazeed kam hoke 2.6% ho jayegi, jabke core CPI ko 3.2% par stable rehne ki umeed hai year-on-year comparison meinmein

EUR/USD pair ki price bearish rahi. Market ka halat aisa lag raha hai ke yeh aur neeche gir sakta hai, aur simple moving average line bhi 100 position ko cross karne ki koshish kar rahi hai, jo ke ek ahem support level hai. Agar simple moving average line 100 period ke neeche chali gayi, to iska matlab hai ke market is mahine downtrend ki taraf ja raha hai. Filhaal ek upward correction dekhne ko mil raha hai, lekin agar hum SELL signal ki baat karein, to humein sirf ek mazboot fundamental momentum ka intezar hai taake market ke girne ka silsila jari reh sake.
August ke end se hi EUR/USD pair ki price ek bearish situation mein chal rahi hai, aur is hafte bhi ye mazeed neeche ja sakti hai. Jaise ke pichle hafte ke aghaz mein market ke halat the, waisa lagta hai ke price ab bhi upward correction kar rahi hai. Agle dino ke liye umeed hai ke sellers price ko neeche layne ki koshish karte rahenge. Kal candle neeche gir gayi thi aur ab tak downtrend ko continue karne ki koshish ho rahi hai. Main abhi bhi market par focus kar raha hoon jo ke plan ke mutabiq neeche ja rahi hai. Jab tak hum mazeed flexibility ke sath market ko dekh sakte hain, is hafte ka bearish movement agle mahine ke aghaz mein downward trend ka catalyst ban sakta hai. Shayad kuch aur fundamentals is trend ko support karen. Mera khayal hai ke agle kuch dino mein SELL trading option ko consider kiya ja sakta hai. Market mein agle kuch dino tak bearish trend jari rehne ke ache chances hain. Achha signal confirm karne ke liye, humein intezar karna hoga ke sellers price ko 1.30012 tak push karen. Agle downside target ke liye, candlestick 1.2964 ke price area ke neeche break kar sakti

Monday ko EUR/USD ka movement kaafi violent tha, jismein yeh currency pair takreeban 75 pip move hua. Yeh movement is liye dekha gaya kyun ke high-impact news release hui thi, jiss ki wajah se Euro ki value US dollar ke muqablay mein gir gayi. Pehle Euro ka movement sideways tha, lekin candle 1.1180 ke qareebi barrier ko torhne mein naakaam rahi aur wapis 1.1088 ke price par aa gayi. Jab hum analysis kar rahe thay, EUR/USD mein thori si recovery dekhi gayi, lekin mujhe lagta hai yeh ek temporary phenomenon tha. Agar H1 timeframe ka analysis kiya jaye, tou ab bhi yeh mumkin hai ke EUR/USD mazeed neeche jaaye jab tak ke supply area 1.1187 ko upar se break nahi kiya jata. Mere khayal mein agar koi rise hoti hai tou woh sirf ek correction ho sakti hai. Resistance ka sabse mota layer abhi torhna mushkil lagta hai. Candle ko mazeed girne ke liye H1 support 1.1088 ke price ko break karna hoga. Abhi ke liye, candle SBR region 1.1132 ko cross karne mein naakaam rahi hai, aur EUR/USD ke decline ki tayari lag rahi hai. Shayad retracement ya price bounce ho sakta hai is se pehle ke EUR/USD phir se giray. Ichimoku indicator ki madad se agar analysis kiya jaye, tou tenkan aur kijun sen lines intersect kar chuki hain, jo ke yeh signal de rahi hain ke EUR/USD ka downtrend shuru ho chuka hai. Candle ki position ab line ke neeche move kar gayi hai, jo ke bearish trend ka ishara hai. Is waqt, ichimoku signal kehti hai ke euro jaldi kamzor ho sakta hai, aur candle ne kumo cloud ko bhi cross kar liya hai. Stochastic indicator ke mutabiq, EUR/USD abhi ke liye almost oversold state mein hai kyun ke candle apne lowest level ke qareeb hai, jo ke 20 hai. Jab tak stochastic line neeche ki taraf point kar rahi hai, EUR/USD ka movement decline karta rahega, lekin aapko hoshiyaar rehna hoga kyun ke yeh kabhi bhi upar ja sakti ha

USD currency pair ke price action analysis par baat karenge. Main mid-to-long term mein US dollar ke khasa kamzor hone ki umeed karta hoon; lekin mujhe lagta hai ke woh girne se pehle aik aakhri surge kar sakta hai. Kya aapne yeh socha hai ke agar price 1.1025 pe release ki jaye, toh aik unstoppable bear run shuru ho sakta hai? Hafte ke pehle hissa mein, ECB meeting ke waja se euro par pressure aane ke imkaan hain, utasalar jab ke interest rate cut abhi tak expect ki ja rahi hai, magar price ne abhi response nahi diya. Bohat kuch US inflation data par bhi munhasir hoga. Shayad aap fundamentals par tawajjo na dete ho, lekin yeh analysis aglay 1.4 haftay mein, September 17 se shuru, bohat ahm hoga. Hamesha soch samajh kar trade karein, lekin Fed aur ECB policies mein tabdeeliyan bhi barabar zaroori hain. Mujhe umeed hai ke is pair ki price gir kar kam az kam mere target 1.0859 tak pohanchay gi. Mid-term outlook ko dekhte hue abhi khareedna sirf us surat mein moazoon lagta hai, jab potential 8th figure ke aas paas ho. Yeh baat bilkul theek hai ke intraday kuch bhi ho sakta hai. Agar aap European market trends se hum aahang hain, toh sham ka range 1.1069-1.1089 thoda raahnuma sabit ho sakta hai. Yeh range shayad itni oonchi na ho, lekin news ke baad isko zaroor madde nazar rakhna chahiye. Is range ke ooper buying theek hai; Neechay selling behtar rahegi. EUR/USD pair ke liye mujhe bhi lagta hai ke selling zaida moazoon hai, kyun ke technical indicators H1 aur H4 charts par bearish hain, aur Friday se baqi rehne wali movement ko bhi zahir kar rahe hain. Monday ko koi solid foundation nahi hai jo price ko achanak upar karay, toh technical analysis dominate kar sakti hai. Opening par, main 1.0165 ke aas paas level ko dekh raha hoon, aur short-term target 1.1024 feasible lag raha hai, jo k jaldi poora ho sakta hai. Yeh haqeeqat mein mumkin hai ke hum technically level 10 ke qareeb pohanch jaayein

EUR/USD Analysis

Salam, pyaray traders! Aap kaise hain aaj? Umeed hai ke aap acha kha rahe hain aur trading activities ka maza le rahe hain. Aaj trading week ka doosra din hai, aur main EUR/USD pair ka H1 timeframe ka istemal karte hue analysis karne ki koshish karunga. Kal EUR/USD pair 1.1084 tak gir gaya, aur phir isne phir se upar ki taraf badhna shuru kiya, 1.1144 par price high tak pohanch gaya, aur filhal yeh 1.1072 ki taraf neeche ja raha hai. Aage ki updates ke liye H1 timeframe par nazar daalte hain.

**H1 Timeframe Technical Outlook:**

H1 timeframe ke mutabiq, EUR/USD pair par bearish positivity nazar aa rahi hai. Market ab 1.11044 par trade kar raha hai, jo Ichimoku Cloud ke neeche hai, jo Senkou Span B 1.11247 aur Senkou Span A 1.11593 ke darmiyan hai. Yeh cloud ek mazboot market resistance ki tarah kaam kar raha hai, jo bullish growth ko rok raha hai. Cloud mein, Senkou Span B 1.11247 line ko highlight karna zaroori hai; yeh Ichimoku indicator ki sab se mazboot line hai, kyunki iska period 52 hai.

Ek aur sell signal Tenkan-sen 1.11110 rotation line ke Kijun-sen 1.11247 reference line ke neeche intersact hone se milta hai. In bearish signals ka combination downward trend ka sanket deta hai. Main sell ke liye ek entry point par ghoor kar raha hoon. Dusri taraf, agar hum stochastic ko dekhein, toh yeh bhi sell ka sanket de raha hai, aur mujhe lag

ta hai ke price 1.10000 ki taraf giregi.

Mai EUR/USD ke 4-hour (H4) chart ko dekh raha hoon. Yeh logical hai ke pair increase kar raha hai kyun ke yeh Federal Reserve ke bayan ke baad apne pehlay highs ko surpass kar chuka hai. Jab sellers ki limits trigger hui, toh ek strong movement dekhne ko mili, aur mujhe laga ke yeh pair mazeed barhta rahega, gray range ke lower bounds tak pohanchne ki imkaan hai.Mujhe yeh bhi laga ke, Federal Reserve ke subsequent 50 basis points ki rate cut ke bawajood, inflation 3.2% par hi rahegi, aur jab tak inflation mazeed kam nahi hoti, pair ki mazeed rise mushkil hogi. Federal Reserve ke bayan ke baad price mein kami ayi. Pehlay ke peaks ko hit karne ke baad, ek dip aayi lekin pair ne apne pichle peak ko update kiya.Yeh dono abhi bhi develop ho rahe hain aur waqt ke sath wapis jaate hain. Sab kuch perfectly sense bana raha hai, lekin yeh thora ajeeb hai ke jab Federal Reserve ne interest rates ko kam kiya, toh pound unprecedented heights tak soar kar gaya. Mai abhi bhi yeh manta hoon ke pair gray area ke bottom bounds ki taraf jayega, jo 1.09231 ke aas paas support karega, jab tak inflation kam hona shuru nahi hota. EUR/USD pair apne expansion ke early stages mein lag raha hai, chahey woh 1.0700 se barh chuka ho, jo ke paanch growth figures se zyada ko represent karta hai.Iski wajah yeh hai ke mujhe lagta hai ke US Federal Reserve apni agli October meeting mein mazeed 0.5% ka rate cut karega. Aur kyun ke hum is zone ke upar trade kar rahe hain, mujhe umeed hai ke hum 1.1227 - 1.1246 ke resistance zone tak grow karenge, jahan se rollback ka imkaan hai, lekin uske baad bhi zyada se zyada current levels, yaani 1.1180 ke region tak hi wapas aaye ga. Filhaal technology bhi is point of view ko support kar rahi hai. Support zone levels 1.1120 - 1.1138 se limited hai.

EUR/USD ki 30-minute chart main aik zabardast bullish rally dekhai de rahi hai, jaisay hi pair 1.11928 level ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. Pehlay price 1.11200 aur 1.11600 ke darmiyan consolidation main tha, lekin ab yeh key resistance ko tod kar upar ki taraf ja raha hai. Chart par kuch significant liquidity zones (DLiq) bhi hain, jahan price ne kai martaba interaction ki hai. Yeh upward momentum fair value gaps (FVG) 1.11200 level ke aas-paas fill honay se mazboot hua hai, jo ke current upward move ko support kar raha hai.Is rally se pehlay, 19 tarikh ke qareeb ek tezi se girawat hui jahan price ne 1.10800 ke support level ko test kiya, jo ke liquidity grab ki waja se hua. Buyers ne iss region main strong entry ki, jis se price dobara range main aaya aur phir 1.11600 ke resistance ko tod dia. Yeh area, jo pehlay fair value gap tha, ab support ki tarah act kar raha hai, jo bullish sentiment ko mazid fuel kar raha hai.Aindah ke liye, pair ab 1.12000 ke aas-paas key supply zone ke qareeb hai, jo ke pehlay bhi resistance act kar chuka hai. Agar price ne yeh level tod dia, toh mazeed upside move ke chances hain, jahan price 1.12200 ya us se aagay ke levels ko target kar sakta hai. Lekin traders ko ehtiyat baratni hogi kyun ke pullback ka bhi chance hai jo ke previous support zones, khas tor par 1.11600 ke aas-paas retest ho sakta hai. Agar retracement hua, toh 1.11200-1.11400 ki range critical support area hogi, kyun ke yahan recent price interaction aur liquidity dekhne ko mili hai. Yeh area hold nahi kar pata, toh pair wapis lower levels ja sakta hai, jaisay 1.10800, lekin abhi ke liye bias bullish hi hai ongoing upward momentum ki waja se.Traders ko key resistance zones ko monitor karna hoga aur dekhna hoga ke kya price 1.12000 se upar breakout karta hai ya nahi, jo uptrend ki further confirmation dega.

consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany Ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziyata active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karne aur pair ko mazeed barhane ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main selling ko aglay resistance 1.1237 ke test tak postpone karunga

Abhi ke liye, price EMA 50 se ooper move kar gaya hai aur 1.1189 ke high ko test karne ka mauqa hai takay psychological level 1.1200 ko touch kar sake. Lekin Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo overbought zone mein 90-80 ke levels tak pahunch gaye hain, yeh signal dete hain ke buying saturation point jaldi hit ho sakta hai. Agar price consistently 2 Moving Average lines aur 1.1100 ke psychological level se ooper rehta hai, toh rally bullish trend direction mein continue kar sakti hai. Awesome Oscillator (AO) ka histogram jo level 0 ya negative area mein hai, yeh dikhata hai ke downtrend momentum weak ho raha hai, kyun ke histogram volume abhi tak widen nahi ho pa raha aur positive area ko cross karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Substantial decline ka imkaan kam hai, lekin pehle jo momentum tha woh fade ho gaya hai. Price ko aaj ke opening level ke neeche consolidate karna padega. Oscillators ne bearish turn le liya hai, aur histogram pe local bearish divergence bhi dikhai de rahi hai. Aaj ke price increase ne histogram bars ko zero line ke ooper move nahi karwaya, jo weak upward momentum ko dikhata hai. Hamein dekhna padega ke aaj ka session kaise close hota hai before making further decisions. Channels abhi bhi upward trend kar rahe hain, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke primary movement abhi bhi bullish hai aur koi breakdown nahi hua. Agar junior channel ka mid line senior channel ke mid line se neeche pull ho jata hai ya koi clear downtrend signal milta hai, toh selling opportunity ka mauqa ho sakta hai. Is situation mein target weekly opening level ho sakta hai, jo ke 1.1076 ke aas paas marked hai. Lekin jab tak koi clear shift in direction ka indication nahi milta, caution zaroori hai. Agar pair 1.10 level tak girta hai aur yeh level hold karta hai, toh pair 1.0961 tak neeche ja sakta hai. Yeh decline recent gains ko erase kar sakta hai jo Fed rate expectations ke wajah se aaye the. ECB bhi further rate cuts karne wala hai, lekin decline Fed ke sharp movements ke mukable surprisingly gradual hai. Agar bullish outlook ko dekhain, toh EUR/USD ko 1.1071 break karna hoga, jo ke din ka peak hai. Ek recovery pair ko 1.11 ya usse upar le ja sakti hai. Main pair ko closely monitor kar raha hoon jab yeh possible bottom ke near hai. 1.0951 ka support strong hai, followed by 1.0931. 1.10 level bhi significant hai, lekin 1.0987 ki relevance clear nahi hai. Price bullish weakness show kar raha hai aur intraday local bearish trend ko follow kar raha hai.

**EUR/USD Market Analysis**

Pichlay hafte ke dauran, EUR/USD ka market situation bullish tha, lekin is hafte mein bechne walon ka pressure barh gaya hai. Yeh bechne wale daam ko upar le ja rahe hain, magar abhi bhi market range mein hai. Bechne wale chahte hain ke daam 100-period simple moving average se neeche rahe, jisse wo apne bechne wale dosto se support hasil kar sakein. Pichlay weekend ki trading session mein kharidne walon ne tezi se correction ki, jisne bearish trend ko roka aur daam mein temporary upward correction dekha gaya.








Haalaanki, weekly candlestick pattern ab bhi downtrend ki taraf ja raha hai. Aane wale hafte mein bechne walon ke liye bearish trend continue karne ka mauqa hai. Agar aap sell position kholna chahte hain, toh behtar hoga ke aap daam 1.1042 ki area ki taraf neeche aaye, taake aapko koi signal mile. Lekin, upar ki taraf ek aur correction bhi ho sakti hai, jo ke bearish reversal ka sabab ban sakti hai. Market ke halat abhi bhi upar ki taraf hain lekin bechne wale is par control rakhe hue hain, is liye market apni downward journey ko jaari rakhta hai.

EUR/USD pair mein daam ki movement ka ab bhi mauqa hai, jo pichlay hafte ke market conditions ke mutabiq neeche ki taraf jaane ki potential rakhta hai. Aane wale hafte ki shuruaat mein, market ko pehle ki tarah upar ki taraf correction ka samna karna pad sakta hai, is liye positions kholte waqt gafil nahi rehna chahiye. Stochastic indicator 80 zone ko break kar chuka hai, jo dikhata hai ke market mein girawat continue hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke long-term bearish trend agle hafte bhi jaari rahe.

Lekin jo kuch maine bayan kiya hai, wo sirf ek prediction hai aur yeh zaroori nahi ke yeh waqai mein ho. Har trader ko chahiye ke wo trading risk control ko apply kare, takay wo market ke halat ke mutabiq apne decision le sake. Risk management ka amal behtareen trading ka hissa hai, jo har trader ko apne strategy mein shaamil karna chahiye. Yad rahe, market ki volatility aur unpredictable nature ko dekhte hue, khud ko tayar rakhna aur samajhdari se kaam lena bohot zaroori hai.

Mera ye andaza tha ke din mein upar ki taraf harqat hogi aur yeh Thursday ke price action par mabni tha, jab euro ne 1.11322 ke resistance level ko tor diya tha aur 1.11934 ke resistance ke qareeb band hua tha. Is buniyad par, maine umeed ki thi ke price barhti rahegi aur oonche levels ki taraf jaayegi. Lekin market ne is raaste par nahi chali, aur mera Monday ka forecast bhi mutabiq nahi raha. Maine yeh peishgoi ki thi ke 1.12560 ke level tak aur barhna chahiye kyunki price ne 1.11934 ke resistance ko sahi tareeke se test nahi kiya tha. Yeh lag raha tha ke market mein upar ki momentum barh rahi hai, aur maine umeed ki thi ke market is push ko jaari rakhegi. Lekin, meri peishgoi ke bar'aks, jumme ke din ka price action is baat par khatam hua ke euro ne wahi price level par close kiya jahan se din ka aghaz kiya tha. Mera jo barhne ka forecast tha, uske bajaye market ne consolidation dekhi, aur ab lagta hai ke price neeche gir rahi hai.

Abhi ke liye, euro ne 1.11322 ke ahem support level ko tod diya hai, jo pehle resistance tha. Is girawat ke sath, pair ab agle bade support level 1.10603 ki taraf barh rahi hai. Yeh neeche ki harakat market mein ek significant pullback ko dikhati hai, kyunki selling pressure barh gaya hai. Iss stage par price ab tak wapas nahi uthi, aur yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke market in ahem levels ke ird gird kaisa react karti hai.

Chhoti muddat ke liye, 1.11322 ka level ab ek key zone hai jis par focus karna chahiye. Agar price aaj ke trading session ke aakhir mein is level se upar close karti hai, to yeh is baat ka ishara hoga ke buyers market mein waapis aa rahe hain, jo meri pehle wali forecast ko support karega ke 1.12560 ke level tak barh sakti hai. Agar price 1.11322 ke upar close karti hai, to yeh naye bullish momentum ka signal hoga, aur market upar ki taraf jaa sakti hai jahan resistance levels ko dobara test kiya ja sakta hai.

Lekin agar price aaj 1.11322 ke level se neeche close hoti hai, to yeh koi bhi nazdeek muddat ka bullish outlook khatam kar dega. Is surat mein, girawat ka imkana barh jayega, aur market agle significant support 1.10603 ki taraf girti rahegi. Agar price 1.11322 ke neeche close hoti hai, to yeh is baat ka ishara hoga ke sellers ab bhi control mein hain

EUR/USD mein Long Positions kholne ke liye Germany ka GDP figures economists ki forecasts ke mutabiq aaye, aur halaan ke report disappointing thi, lekin euro par sirf thoda pressure pada, kyun ke pehlay se hi data ne GDP contraction ko indicate kar diya tha second quarter mein. Doosray half of the day mein ziada activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karne aur pair ko mazeed barhane ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main selling ko aglay resistance 1.1237 ke test tak postpone karunga. Main wahan bhi sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon, GBP/USD currency pair ke neeche jaane ke chances abhi bhi hain, halankiClick image for larger version

USD mein Long Positions kholne ke liye Germany ka GDP figures economists ki forecasts ke mutabiq aaye, aur halaan ke report disappointing thi, lekin euro par sirf thoda pressure pada, kyun ke pehlay se hi data ne GDP contraction ko indicate kar diya tha second quarter mein. Doosray half of the day mein ziada activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karne aur pair ko mazeed barhane ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main selling ko aglay resistance 1.1237 ke test tak postpone karunga. Main wahan bhi sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon, GBP/USD currency pair ke neeche jaane ke chances abhi bhi hain, halankiClick image for