eur/usd

EUR/USD

Euro, jo ke abhi major currencies ke muqable mein underperform kar raha hai, ne Wednesday ki New York trading session ke dauran apne recent highs 1.1055 se significant decline dekha. Market sentiment abhi zyada ter ECB ke September mein ek aur interest rate cut ki umeed ke asar mein hai. Is move ke anticipation ne intensity gain ki hai jab inflation rates gir rahe hain, jo ke yeh suggest karta hai ke yeh rate-cutting cycle September ke baad bhi barh sakta hai. Abhi spot price 1.1016 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai.

ECB ke potential interest rate decisions ka andaza lagane ke liye investors German aur Eurozone HICP data ka closely jaiza lenge jo Thursday aur Friday ko release honge. Analysts expect karte hain ke Eurozone ka annual headline HICP, jo ke overall inflation ko measure karta hai, 2.3% tak decelerate karega, jab ke core HICP, jo ke volatile items ko exclude karta hai, 2.8% tak moderate hoga.

**EUR/USD ke fundamentals:**ECB ke aur zyada interest rate cuts ki umeed badh gayi hai Eurozone ke economic outlook aur wage growth slowdown ke hawale se barhati hui uncertainties ki wajah se. Hiraan kun baat yeh hai ke Eurozone ki economic activity August mein unexpected upar gayi, flash HCOB PMI report ke mutabiq. Magar yeh uptick ziada ter France mein Olympic Games ki wajah se aayi demand ki wajah se hua. Economists isay temporary boost samajhte hain, naa ke kisi fundamental economic change ko.

ECB ke Chief Economist Philip Lane ne JH Symposium ke dauran Saturday ko yeh kaha ke restrictive monetary policy ki zarurat hai. Lane ne inflation ke khilaf ladai mein ki gayi taraqqi ko acknowledge kiya, magar yeh bhi kaha ke lambi muddat tak success ka koi yaqeen nahi hai. Unki baat ne ECB ke inflationary pressures ko manage karne aur market expectations ko guide karne ke challenges ko ujagar kiya.

**Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:**

Wednesday ko pair 1.1010 level ke neeche slip kar gaya jab buyers ko upward momentum banaye rakhne mein mushkil hui. Pair abhi 50-day EMA ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke 1.0962 par hai, magar agar decline jari rehta hai to price 20-day EMA ke paas wapas aa sakti hai, jo ke 1.1050 ke qareeb hai. EUR/USD buyers ke liye resistance 14-day SMA par 1.1026 ke aas-paas dekhi ja sakti hai.

Pair ko 1.1000 ke crucial psychological level ke breach hone ka khatra hai. Technical indicators jaise ke MACD aur RSI bearish outlook ki taraf ishara karte hain. Agar downward momentum barqarar rehti hai, to traders ko apni positions ka jaiza lena hoga aur potential reversals ke liye hoshiyaar rehna hoga

Bazaar Fed ke interest rates mein tabdeeli ki taraf bechain hai, aur saath hi kal aane wale Consumer Price Index (CPI) report par bhi nazar hai. Is report ke baad mahol mein khaas harkat dekhne ko mil sakti hai. EUR/USD tab tak purani halat mein nahi rahe ga jab tak Fed ka faisla nahi aata. Aap shayad European Central Bank (ECB) ke meeting ka bhi zikar kar rahe hain, jo Thursday ko hai, jo is maamle mein ahmiyat rakhti hai. Maine forecast calendar ko dekha aur mujhe dekhar hairani hui ke 0.6 basis points ka rate reduction plan kiya gaya hai, jo rate ko 4.25% se 3.64% tak le aayega. Agar yeh forecast theek raha, toh EUR/USD mein kam zyada girawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Lekin, agar ECB sirf 0.5 ya 0.2 points ka reduction karta hai, toh EUR/USD ko mazid taqat mil sakti hai. Aise mein ECB ka rate cut dollar ko mazid majboot karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai aur EUR/USD ko kamzor kar sakta hai. Pichle Jumme ko EUR/USD pair ne khaas taur par behtareen recovery dikhai, jo ke kuch 4 hafton ke baad sab se neechi levels se upar aya. Yeh positive momentum pair ko haftay ke trading range ke upar end tak le gaya, jo lagbhag 1.1090 ke aas-paas tha. Is upar chadhai ko kamzor US dollar ne support diya, jo ke weaker-than-expected US Producer Price Index (PPI) report ki wajah se tha. PPI data ne Federal Reserve ke agle haftay zyada aggressive rate cut ki umeed ko mazid barhadiya. Is positive risk sentiment ke sath, US dollar ne girawat dikhai aur is ka natija yeh hua ke EUR/USD pair ki qeemat mein izafa hua. Iske ilawa, European Central Bank (ECB) ka apne current interest rate stance ko barqarar rakhna euro ko support diya, jo currency pair ke liye buying interest ko mazid barhata hai.

dekhna kaafi dilchasp hoga ke kya Euro GBP ki tarah ek aur higher high banata hai. Yeh bilkul mumkin hai, halaan ke GBP ne reversal ke signs dena shuru kar diye hain, jo abhi tak EUR/USD mein nahi dekhe gaye.Agar hum daily chart se analysis shuru karein, toh aisa lagta hai ke ek fifth wave ka growth form ho raha hai, aur mujhe abhi tak koi aise wajah nazar nahi aa rahi ke yeh na ho. Pehle ek signal aaya tha Euro ke rise hone ka, jiska target 1.12301 tha, aur yeh abhi tak meri chart par purple line ke tor par mojood hai. Lekin ab hum ek different level aur signal par baat kar rahe hain, jo hourly timeframe se hai. Yeh thora qareebi target deta hai, lekin agar growth jaari rahi toh dono targets achieve ho sakte hain. Chaliye ab hourly timeframe par nazar daalte hain.Dusri chart par H4 timeframe hai, lekin targets dekhne ke liye hum hourly buy signal par discussion karenge. Signal level 1.11446 par consider kiya ja raha hai. Is signal level se neeche aur stop-loss level se ooper jo bhi buy entries hoti hain, wo advantageous aur sahi buying points hain. Stop-loss level ko 1.10677 ke neeche consider kiya gaya hai. Target jo mention kiya gaya hai,

Hum EUR/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya kar rahe hain. 4-hour chart par dekhain to bears apni positions mazbooti se barqarar rakhe hue hain, aur lagta hai ke filhaal wapas janay ka koi iraada nahi. Price 1.1068 par 25% support ko break kar chuki hai aur ab 1/1 angle ke upar hai. Mera khayal hai ke bears is level ko target karenge. Main yeh bhi maan raha hoon ke ek temporary upward correction ho sakta hai. EMA (13/5) aur MACD indicators sell ka ishara de rahe hain, jo ke yeh dikhata hai ke consolidation ke baad ek bearish move ho sakta hai. Indicators yeh batate hain ke exchange rate ghat kar 1.0999 tak ja sakta hai recent breakdown ke baad. Koi significant tabdeeli nazar nahi aa rahi; euro abhi bhi sideways trade kar raha hai, jo ek choti red body wali candle se zahir hai. Wednesday ko EUR/USD pair mein kaafi calm trading thi, halanke U.S. inflation report ko "super-important" samjha ja raha tha. Humne weekend par is report ko "event of the week" kaha tha, magar kuch traders ka reaction hairan kun tha. Mukhtasir mein, dollar bara halanke inflation 2.5% tak gir gayi thi. Pehle har dafa U.S. inflation ke reports se dollar girta tha, chahe report forecast ke baraks hoti ya na hoti, bas inflation girne se dollar bhi girta. Magar kal ek naya waqia dekhne ko mila jo shayad dollar ke do saal ke decline ka end ho sakta hai. Market ne U.S. currency ko kharidna shuru kar diya, halanke inflation 2.5% par aa gayi thi. Pehle se hum yeh keh rahe the ke

/USD 1.1150 se upar qaim hai, jab ke Thursday ko yeh positive territory mein band hua. Qareeb ke doran ke technical nazariyat yeh darust karte hain ke bullish potential ab bhi barqarar hai. Agar kisi aala darja ka data nahi aata, to investors risk perception mein tabdeeli par react kar sakte hain. EUR/USD gained bullish momentum, but Thursday was down 0.4%. Yeh jo Friday subah kuch zyada upar trading kar raha hai, 1.1150 ke upar. US dollar (USD) ne Thursday ko US session ke shuruat par thoda jump kiya jab US Labor Department ki taraf se data release hua.

Is data ne dikhaya ke weekly Initial Jobless Claims 231,000 se gir kar 219,000 ho gaye. Lekin jab risk flows ne financial market ki harkaat ko dominate kiya, to dollar dobara bearish pressure mein aa gaya, jo EUR/USD ko upar jane ka mauqa diya.

Aaj, US economic calendar par kisi aala darja ka data nahi hai. Baad mein, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia ke President Patrick Harker, jo FOMC ke non-voting member hain, ek taqreer dene wale hain.

Is ke ilawa, European Central Bank (ECB) ki President Christine Lagarde 2024 mein Michel Camdessus Lecture on Central Banking mein bolne wali hain. Kai ECB policymakers ne kaha hai ke woh December tak intezar karna chahte hain taake mazeed data hasil kar sakein, phir key interest rate ko phir se kam karne ka faisla karein.

Halankeh yeh bohot naummeed nahi hai, agar Lagarde October mein rate cut ka darwaza khula chhodti hain to euro apne rivals ke muqablay mein kamzor ho sakta hai. Is dauran, US stock index futures aaj thode se neeche trade kar rahe hain jab ke Wall Street ke major indexes ne Thursday ko behtareen izafa kiya.

Agar din ke dusre hisson mein continued upside risk dekha gaya to yeh USD ko aur neecha kheench sakta hai aur EUR/USD ko weekend tak aur upar le ja sakta hai

EUR/USD currency pair ne aik ahem marhala hasil kiya hai, kyun ke 1.1080 level par gap ab officially fill ho chuka hai. Sabse dilchasp baat yeh hai ke yeh gap aik hi zabardast impulse ke zariye fill kiya gaya, jo ke market mein taqat aur faisla kun harkat ko zahir karta hai. Ab tawajjo agle marhalay par hai, jo ke ek zigzag pattern ke neeche jane ka imkaan hai. Asal sawal yeh hai: yeh neeche ki taraf kitna gehra jata hai?
Chart par maine do ahem levels mark kiye hain: 1.0890 neeche aur 1.1180 ooper. Is waqt yeh clear nahi hai ke pehle kaunsa level hit hoga, lekin yeh yakeen hai ke dono levels aakhir kaar target kiye jayenge; yeh sirf waqt ka sawal hai ke price kab in areas ko test karega. Traders ke liye yeh ek aisi surat-e-haal hai jahan orders ke liye moka qareeb aa raha hai, aur jo achi strategy banayenge, wo iska faida utha sakte hain.

Ab sab se ahem chez short-term ya intraday traders ke liye yeh hai ke 1.1090 ka level ghore se dekhein. Yeh level intehai ahem hai aur poore din ke doran is par nazar rakhni chahiye. Jab tak price 1.1090 ke neeche hai, yeh is baat ka ishara hai ke buyers ne apni harkat mein waqfa liya hua hai aur price ko ooper dhakel nahi rahe. Yeh sellers ko moka deta hai ke wo short-term mein market par zyada control hasil kar sakein, jo ke mazeed neeche ki taraf movement ka sabab ban sakta hai. Is surat mein, 1.1090 resistance point ka kaam karega jo market ki agle rukh ka taayun karega. Agar price is level ke neeche rehti hai, toh bearish outlook barqarar rahega, aur gehri correction ka imkaan barh jata hai.

Lekin agar price 1.1090 ke upar chali jati hai, toh yeh is baat ka ishara hoga ke buyers dobara control hasil kar rahe hain, aur upward momentum dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Is surat mein, price phir 1.1180 ka upper level test karne ki koshish karegi.

Kul mila kar, 1.1080 ka gap fill ho chuka hai, magar market ab apne agle ahem move ke liye tayar hai. Traders ko 1.1090 ke level par ghore se nazar rakhni chahiye taake yeh dekh sakein ke buyers ya sellers mein se kaun zyada control mein aata hai. 1.0890 ya 1.1180 ki taraf agle moves laazmi hain, lekin in movements ka waqt aur silsila is baat par mabni hoga ke current levels par price kaisa behave karti hai. Market mein shaamil afrad ke liye yeh ek ahem lamha hai jisme strategy banayen aur aane wale moqaon ke liye tayar ho jayein.

Main EUR/USD pair khareedne ka silsila jari rakhne par mutma’in hoon. Kal jo faisla Federal Reserve ne sunaya tha, woh koi hairan kun nahi tha. Faisla karnay walon ne jaan bujh kar pehli umeedon ko kam karke sirf 0.25% ka rate cut diya. Is liye, jin investors ne EUR/USD pair ko qareeban 1.0700 ke qareeb khareeda tha, unhon ne apni positions ko 1.1200 ke qareeb band kar diya. Market ab yeh umeed laga raha hai ke Federal Reserve ke is saal ke baqi 2 meetings mein 0.25% ka rate cut hoga. EUR/USD pair ke upward trend ko kisi bari rukawat ka samna nahi hoga.
Ab agar hum future ki taraf dekhein, toh main yeh expect karta hoon ke price abhi ke 1.1120 ke level se barh kar 1.1200 aur us se upar jayegi. Is waqt market mein optimism hai, aur kaafi investor EUR/USD mein bullish hain. Rate cuts ka asar aksar dollar par hota hai, aur jab US dollar weak hota hai toh is se EUR/USD pair ko faida hota hai. Aise halat mein, euro mazid taqat hasil kar sakta hai aur pair ka upward momentum barqarar reh sakta hai.

Federal Reserve ka yeh faisla financial markets ke hawale se ek barqarar strategy ka hissa tha. Federal Reserve ka maanna hai ke wo carefully apni monetary policy ko adjust kar rahe hain, taake inflation ko control mein rakha ja sake aur economy ko barqarar rakha ja sake. Magar is ka direct asar US dollar par hota hai, jise investors dekhte hain. Jab dollar kamzor hota hai, EUR/USD pair mazid taqat hasil karta hai aur traders is ka faida uthaate hain.

Aik aur ahem chez jo dekhni chahiye woh hai European Central Bank (ECB) ki policies. Agar ECB apni monetary policies ko stable rakhta hai ya apni rates ko nahi badhata, toh yeh EUR/USD pair ke liye mazid positive hoga. European economic indicators bhi is waqt kaafi stable hain, aur agar koi bari negative khabar ya data nahi aata, toh euro mazid mazboot reh sakta hai.

Market ke technical aspects bhi upward trend ko support kar rahe hain. Price action abhi bullish signals de raha hai, aur key resistance levels par nazar rakhni chahiye. Agar price 1.1200 ka level tod deti hai, toh phir hum mazeed barhawa dekh sakte hain. Support levels par bhi dhyan dena zaroori hai, lekin abhi ke liye market bullish hai aur koi bara bearish signal nahi dekhne ko mil raha.

Is waqt, traders ko apni positions ko dekh kar chalna chahiye aur aise orders lagane chahiye jo price ke barhne ka faida utha sakein. Intraday trading mein short-term fluctuations ka faida uthana zaroori hoga, magar overall trend abhi upward hi lagta hai. Agar koi unexpected economic ya geopolitical development nahi hoti, toh EUR/USD pair mazeed barhne ki sambhawnayein hain.

Akhir mein, main sab traders ko ek profitable trade ki dua karta hoon. Market mein opportunities hain aur agar strategy ko theek tarah se apply kiya jaye, toh iska faida uthaya ja sakta hai. EUR/USD pair ke upward journey ke liye ab waqt aur trend favor mein lagte hain, aur agle kuch dino mein hum mazeed highs dekh sakte hain.

**EUR/USD Currency Pair ka Jaiza**

EUR/USD currency pair ki stability par bohat se factors asar انداز karte hain. Market ke technical pehlu bhi upward trend ko support kar rahe hain. Woh investors jo EUR/USD pair ko 1.0700 ke qareeb kharidte hain, unho ne apne positions ko 1.1200 ke aas paas band kar liya hai. Intraday trading mein short-term fluctuations ka faida uthana zaroori hai, lekin overall trend upward nazar aa raha hai.

Jab U.S. dollar kamzor hota hai, to EUR/USD pair ko faida hota hai. Is waqt European economic indicators bhi relatively stable hain, aur agar koi major negative khabar ya data nahi aata, to euro mazid mazboot reh sakta hai. Federal Reserve ka faisla bhi market ki consistent strategy ka hissa tha. Traders ko apne positions ko dhyan se monitor karna chahiye aur aise orders set karne chahiye jo rising price se faida utha saken.

European Central Bank (ECB) ki policies bhi ek important factor hain. Filhal, price ka 1.1120 se 1.1200 aur us se ooper jane ka potential hai, kyunki dollar kamzor ho raha hai aur EUR/USD pair ki taqat barh rahi hai. EUR/USD pair ke upward trend ko major obstacles ka saamna karne ki umeed nahi hai. Support levels ko monitor karna zaroori hai, lekin filhal market bullish hai aur koi significant bearish signals nazar nahi aa rahe.

Agar koi unexpected economic ya geopolitical developments nahi hoti, to EUR/USD pair ke aur barhne ke chances bohot high hain. Federal Reserve apni monetary policy ko inflation ko control karte hue economy ko maintain karne ke liye dhyan se adjust kar raha hai. Unke faislay mein pehle se hi expectations ko kum kar diya gaya tha aur sirf 0.25% rate cut ka elan kiya gaya.

Agar price 1.1200 ke level ko break karta hai, to mazeed upward movement dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Filhal market mein optimism hai, aur bohot se investors EUR/USD par bullish hain. Market ab anticipate kar raha hai ke is saal Federal Reserve ke do baqi meetings mein 0.25% rate cut kiya ja sakta hai. Agar ECB apni monetary policies ko barqarar rakhta hai ya apni rates nahi badhata, to yeh EUR/USD pair ke liye aur bhi positive hoga.

Is liye, traders ko chahiye ke woh market ke trends aur indicators par nazar rakhein, taake woh apni trading strategies ko behtar bana saken.

EURUSD dusre din ke liye niche trade kar rahi hai aur blue moving average ke neeche wapas aa gayi hai chaar ghante ke chart par, jo ke continued decline ka ishara hai, aur support 1.0877 par mil raha hai. Is measure par poora bharosa nahi hai. Indicators already bohot strong oversold conditions dikhate hain, aur bulls ke market mein wapas aane ki possibility ko nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Isliye, agar quotes 1.0877 level ke neeche rehti hain, to main downward trend ke continue hone ki ummeed karta hoon. Doosri scenario ko bhi nahi bhoolna chahiye, agar quotes 1.0927 resistance ke upar wapas aati hain, to main long-term rise aur ek aur uchaai ki ummeed karta hoon. EUR/USD pair taqatwar bullish trends ka dikhawa kar raha hai. Yeh behad nichay 1.1000 ke levels se tezi se ubhar raha hai, chand waqton ke liye 1.0950 se oopar chala gaya hai. Pair ne 200-din EMA par 1.0826 se bhi guzar gaya hai, jo taqatwar short-term bullish sentiment ko zahir karta hai. Yeh technical tor par breakthrough yeh darust karta hai ke upri trend jari reh sakta hai, traders resistance levels aur potential breakout points ko qareeb se nigrani me rakhte hue. Ikhtisar mein, Euro ke US Dollar ke muqable mein haal ki quwwat ko kamzor US economic indicators aur European markets mein itminani sentiment ka milaap mana jata hai. Jab EUR/USD pair ahem resistance levels ke qareeb pounchega, market participants qareeb aanay wale economic data aur geopolitical developments ko nigrani me rakhtay hue is currency pair ke mustaqbil ke harkaton par asar dalne wale cheezon ka tawaju se intezar karenge. Iske ilawa, technical analysis ke context mein, yeh scenario naye participants ko bhi attract kar sakta hai jo pehle cautious ya bullish trend ke confirmation ka wait kar rahe the. In technical indicators ka alignment unhe confirmation data hai, jo ek stronger conviction offer karta hai ke uptrend sustainable hai. Yeh increased participation bullish momentum ko further fuel kar sakta hai, jise naye buyers existing upward pressure ko add karte hain.

EUR/USD H1 Chart

EUR/USD pair ki price movement abhi tak Kumo cloud ke upar consistent hai, jo bullish condition ko indicate karta hai
Isliye, price upwards rally continue karta hai, jab tak psychological level 1.1100 ko successfully pass nahi karta
Agar downward correction hoti hai, to price Kumo cloud ke area mein jaayega, jo dynamic support ka kaam karta hai
Price minor RBS area 1.1085 ko bhi test kar sakta hai
Lekin jab Stochastic indicator parameters oversold zone mein enter karte hain, level 20-10 par, aur phir crossing hoti hai, lekin price RBS area ko nahi pahunchta, to upward rally phir se shuru ho sakta hai
Lekin downward correction phase ka possibility abhi tak hai
Psychological level 1.1000 ke neeche correction phase ka possibility kam hai, US Dollar currency ke weakening outlook ke wajah se
Chart par indicator ke mutabiq, nimnalikhit conclusions nikalte hain
Hourly chart par linear regression channel upwards directed hai, jo buyer activity ko indicate karta hai
H1 channel M15 ke upar priority hai
Agar market channel ke bottom par pahunchta hai, level 1.10746 par, to yeh strong buyer ko signal karta hai
M15 channel regression currently corrective movement ko indicate karta hai
Agar market 1.10746 par hold karta hai, to buy entry point ki talash karni reasonable hogi
Target 1.11578 par hoga
Lekin bearish trend ke favor mein market situation change ho sakta hai




Upside move ka possibility hai ki bidding impetus reverse ho jaye aur price action ko 1.1000 ke neeche region mein laaye
EUR/USD ne 1.1020 par consolidation pattern create kiya hai, jo upward break hua hai 1.1080 par
Market growth trajectory peak par pahunch gayi hai, aur high levels par consolidation range emerge hone ki possibility hai
Pair ke breakthrough lower hone ki possibility hai, 1.0980 par
Agar barrier break hota hai, to losses 1.0880 par ja sakti hain
Market players samajhte hain ki Powell rate cut ki zaroorat ko indicate karenge
Powell ka speech closely scrutinized hoga, September mein significant decrease ya 25 basis point drop ke liye

1 - Jumay ko Euro ke liye 1.11667 ke level se buying entry point ka forecast diya gaya tha. Price ne is level ko break kiya, lekin aakhir mein pehle target 1.11915 tak nahi pohunch paya.
2 - Bollinger Bands ki situation ko dekhte hue, price bands ke central area mein ruk gayi, aur bands khud horizontal position mein chale gaye hain. Yahan se movement kisi bhi direction mein jaari reh sakti hai, aur price ke barhne ya ghatne ka quality signal tab milega jab koi active breakout upper ya lower band se ho, aur phir dekhna padega ke bands baahar ki taraf expand hotay hain yaAwesome Oscillator indicator zero level ke qareeb hover kar raha hai. Is situation mein price ke barhne ya ghatne ka quality signal tab milega jab positive ya negative zone mein active growth hogi, jo price movement ko is growth ke nahi.

3 - Awesome Oscillator indicator zero level ke qareeb hover kar raha hai. Is situation mein price ke barhne ya ghatne ka quality signal tab milega jab positive ya negative zone mein active growth hogi, jo price movement ko is growth ke direction mein indicate karegi.

4 - Buying entry point 1.11667 ke level par rakha ja sakta hai. Price increase ka intezaar kar sakte hain ek active breakout aur confirmation ke sath jo 1.11915 aur 1.12026 ke levels tak pohunch sakta hai.

5 - Is situation mein selling positions ko 1.11446 ke level par rakha ja sakta hai. Price decrease ka intezaar kar sakte hain jo 1.11147 aur 1.10999 ke levels tak ho sakta hai.

EUR/USD karansi pair ka tajziya kartay hain. Lagta hai ke mukhtalif factors is pair ki stability par asar daal rahe hain. Market ke technical aspects bhi upward trend ko support karte hain. Jin investors ne EUR/USD pair ko 1.0700 ke qareeb khareeda tha, unhon ne apni positions ko 1.1200 ke aas paas band kar diya hai. Intraday trading mein short-term fluctuations ka faida uthana zaroori hota hai, lekin overall trend upward lagta hai. Federal Reserve ka faisla financial markets ke liye ek consistent strategy ka hissa tha. Jab U.S. dollar kamzor hota hai, to EUR/USD pair ko faida hota hai. European economic indicators bhi nisbatan stable hain, aur agar koi bara negative khabar ya data nahi aata to euro mazid mazboot reh sakta hai. Federal Reserve ka faisla koifaida hota hai. European economic indicators bhi nisbatan stable hain, aur agar koi bara negative khabar ya data nahi aata to euro mazid mazboot reh sakta hai. Federal Reserve ka faisla koi hairat angez nahi tha. Traders ko apni positions ko dhyan se monitor karna chahiye aur aise orders set karne chahiye jo rising price ka faida utha sakein. European Central Bank (ECB) ki policies bhi ek aham factor hain jo dekhna zaroori hai. Expectation yeh hairat angez nahi tha. Traders ko apni positions ko dhyan se monitor karna chahiye aur aise orders set karne chahiye jo rising price ka faida utha sakein. European Central Bank (ECB) ki policies bhi ek aham factor hain jo dekhna zaroori hai. Expectation yeh hai ke price apne mojooda level 1.1120 se 1.1200 aur us se ooper barhay gi, jabke dollar kamzor hota hai aur EUR/USD pair ko strength mil rahi hai.
EUR/USD pair ka upward trend kisi bari rukawat ka shikar nahi lagta. Support levels ko monitor karna zaroori hai, lekin filhal market bullish hai, aur koi aham bearish signals nahi hain. Jab tak koi gheir mutawaqqa economic ya geopolitical developments nahi hoti, EUR/USD pair ke mazid barhnay ke chances kaafi zyada hain. Federal Reserve ka ye aqeeda hai ke woh apni monetary policy ko dehaan se adjust kar rahe hain taake mehngai ko control kar sakein aur economy ko qaim rakhein. Faislay mein qasdan initial expectations ko kam kiya gaya aur sirf 0.25% ka rate cut announce kiya gaya. Agar price 1.1200 level ko break kar leti hai, to mazid upward movement ho sakti hai. Is waqt market mein optimism hai, aur bohot se investors EUR/USD ke hawale se bullish hain. Market ab yeh anticipate kar rahi hai ke Federal Reserve ke baqi do meetings mein bhi 0.25% ka rate cut hoga. Agar ECB apni monetary policies ko qaim rakhta hai ya rates ko nahi barhata, to yeh EUR/USD pair ke liye aur bhi positive hoga.

Spot price is waqt 1.1190 ke ooper trade kar raha hai jabke investors ghore se United States se aane wale ek silsile mein economic data releases ko dekh rahe hain. Iske bawajood ke Eurozone Retail Sales mein annual tor par 0.1% ka gheir mutawaqqa decline aaya, price apne mukhtalif counterparts ke muqablay mein mazboot hai. Khaas tor par, Eurozone mein mahana Retail Sales mein 0.1% ka halka sa izafa dekha gaya, jo market expectations ke mutabiq hai aur consumer activity mein jari continuity ko dikhata hai.
**Eurozone Economic Outlook aur US Dollar Index ka girna:**

Bank of America (BofA) ke economists ne Europe ke economic recovery ki nazuk soorat-e-haal ko numaya kiya. Unhoon ne 2025 aur 2026 mein mazeed interest rate cuts ki peishgoi ki hai, aur unka andaza hai ke 2025 ke teesray quarter tak deposit rate wapas 2% tak aajaegi, jabke 2026 mein isko 1.5% tak kam kar diya jaega. Yeh outlook Eurozone ke foran darpesh challenges ko wazeh karta hai, jin mein China mein slowing growth aur mukhtalif siyasi dabao shamil hain jo sustainable recovery ko rukawat bana sakte hain.

US Dollar Index, jo dollar ki taqat ko chh major currencies ke against napta hai, abhi hal hi mein takreeban 101.40 par gir gaya hai. Yeh decline isliye aaya hai kyun ke disappointing job openings data se U.S. mein weakening job growth par concerns barh gaye hain. Guzishta Jumay ko DXY (Dollar Index) apne two-week high 100.50 se gira tha, jo ke August ke ISM Manufacturing PMI data mein discouraging numbers ke baad aur barh gaya tha, jo dollar ke hawale se negative sentiment ko mazeed barhata hai.

**EUR/USD ka Technical Analysis:**

1.1190 level ab resistance breakpoint se guzar kar EUR/USD pair ke liye immediate support ban gaya hai. Key Fibonacci retracement levels yeh dikhate hain ke agar pair 1.1071 ke region se neeche break karta hai, to yeh weekly low 1.1067 ke qareeb expose ho sakta hai. Mazeed girawat psychological 1.1000 mark ko la sakti hai, jo ek ahem level hai jo market bias ko bearish traders ki taraf shift kar sakta hai.

Iske bar’aks, agar pair oopar chadhne mein kamyab hota hai, to yeh dobara apne year-to-date peak tak pohanch sakta hai, jo August mein takreeban 1.1300 par tha. Ek sustained upward move breakout ko confirm karegi, aur pair ko intermediate resistance 1.1244 tak le ja sakti hai, aur shaayad July 2023 ka swing high 1.1276 ke qareeb bhi ja sakta hai.

**Market Sentiment aur Future Outlook:**

Jabke market participants latest economic data ko digest kar rahe hain, sentiment abhi mixed hai. Euro apne peersdata ko digest kar rahe hain, sentiment abhi mixed hai. Euro apne peers ke muqablay mein mazboot hai, lekin U.S. labor market aur Eurozone growth ke hawale se uncertainty ek complex soorat-e-haal paish karte hain traders ke liye. In factors ke darmiyan interplay EUR/USD ka ke muqablay mein mazboot hai, lekin U.S. labor market aur Eurozone growth ke hawale se uncertainty ek complex soorat-e-haal paish karte hain traders ke liye. In factors ke darmiyan interplay EUR/USD ka near-term outlook tay karega.

Spot price ne aik reversal dekha hai, apne intraday gains ko chhodte hue 1.1180 ke mark ke upar band hua, jab ke yeh Friday ke North American session mein 1.1190 ke naye weekly high tak pahuncha. Is shared currency ka haal ka uptick kamzor ho gaya jab ke US Dollar (USD) ne mazbooti se recovery ki. Market band hone par, EUR/USD lagbhag 1.163 par trade kar raha tha, jo ke dono currencies ke darmiyan chal rahe tug-of-war ko darshata hai.

Yeh pair 1.1100 ke psychological level ke paas support dhoondne ki umeed hai. Upar ki taraf, pichle hafte ka high 1.1192, saath hi 1.1200 par maujood significant round-number resistance, euro bulls ke liye bade rukawat honge. In levels ko todne ki market ki salahiyat currency pair ki aane wali rah par aham asar daal sakti hai.

EUR/USD ke Fundamentals:

Price ki girawat ka ek hissa Greenback ki kamzori se taluq rakhta hai, khaaskar July ke JOLTS Job Openings data ke release ke baad. Is report ne job openings ko 7.673 million tak girne dikhaya, jo June mein 7.910 million tha. Yeh angka January 2021 ke baad se sabse kam hai aur market ke 8.10 million ke expectations se kum hai, jo labor market mein ek potential slowdown ka ishara deta hai. Aise developments investor sentiment aur currency ki taqat ko asar andaz karte hain.

Jab traders agay dekhte hain, unki nazar aane wale Eurozone Retail Sales data par hai jo July ke liye hai. Economists ko 0.1% ka modest growth dekhne ki umeed hai, jab ke June mein 0.3% ki contraction hui thi. Jab ke retail sales mein koi bhi positive movement achi baat hogi, lekin yeh ECB ke is mahine policy-easing cycle resume karne ki speculation ko khatam karne ki umeed nahi hai, kyunki unhoon ne July mein pause liya tha. Yeh uncertainty euro ke liye market dynamics ko shakal dene mein ek aham kirdar ada karti hai.

Hourly Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Friday ke European trading hours mein, spot price ne 1.1190 ke aas-paas girawat dekhi jab yeh critical resistance level 1.1200 ke upar momentum banaye rakhne mein nakam raha. Currency pair ke liye near-term outlook aur bhi na-ummeed ho gaya hai, khaaskar jab yeh 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke upar gaya hai, jo 1.1160 ke aas-paas hai. Yeh is baat ki nishani hai ke traders aise signals ko dhund rahe hain jo pair ki direction ko asar daal sakte hain.

14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) haal hi mein neutral level 50.00 par aa gaya hai, jo euro ke liye bullish momentum ki kami ko darshata hai. Yeh indicator bazar mein maujooda indecision ko reflect karta hai, jo yeh kehta hai ke traders ko aham moves karne se pehle ehtiyaat baratni chahiye.

EUR/USD karansi pair ne ek ahem maqam tak pohanch gaya hai, kyunke 1.1080 level par jo gap tha, woh officially fill ho chuka hai. Sabse dilchasp baat yeh hai ke yeh gap ek strong impulse ke zariye fill hua, jo market mein taqat aur faisla kun movement ko reflect karta hai. Ab tawajjo agle marhale par hai, jo ziada tar chances hain ke ek zigzag pattern ke sath neeche ki taraf ho. Ab sabse bara sawal yeh hai: yeh kitna gehra jayega? short-term ya intraday traders ke liye sabse critical element yeh hai ke 1.1090 ka level ghore se dekha jaye. Yeh level intehai ahem hai aur isko puray din monitor karna chahiye. Jab tak price 1.1090 ke neeche rehti hai, iska matlab hai ke buyers apni activity rok chuke hain aur price ko ooper push nahi kar rahe. Is se sellers ko short term mein zyada control mil sakta hai, jo ke mazeed neeche ki taraf movement ka sabab ban sakta hai. Is soorat mein, 1.1090 ek resistance point ka kaam karega jo market ki next direction ka taayun karega. Agar price is
Chart par maine do ahem levels ko mark kiya hai: neeche 1.0890 aur ooper 1.1180. Is waqt yeh wazeh nahi ke pehle konsa level hit hoga, lekin yeh yaqeen hai ke dono levels ko aakhir kar test kiya jayega; yeh sirf waqt ki baat hai ke kab price in areas ko test karegi. Traders ke liye yeh ek moqa hai kyunke orders place karne ka waqt qareeb hai, aur jo log apni strategy ache tareeke se plan karenge, woh is soorat-e-haal ka faida utha sakte hain.

Ab short-term ya intraday traders ke liye sabse critical element yeh hai ke 1.1090 ka level ghore se dekha jaye. Yeh level intehai ahem hai aur isko puray din monitor karna chahiye. Jab tak price 1.1090 ke neeche rehti hai, iska matlab hai ke buyers apni activity rok chuke hain aur price ko ooper push nahi kar rahe. Is se sellers ko short term mein zyada control mil sakta hai, jo ke mazeed neeche ki taraf movement ka sabab ban sakta hai. Is soorat mein, 1.1090 ek resistance point ka kaam karega jo market ki next direction ka taayun karega. Agar price is level ke neeche rehti hai, to bearish outlook qaim rahega, aur deeper correction ka imkan barh jata hai.

Haan, agar price 1.1090 ke ooper chali jati hai, to yeh suggest karega ke buyers wapas control le rahe hain, aur upward momentum dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Is case mein, price ziada chances hain ke 1.1180 ke upper level ko test karegi.

Mukhtasir mein, 1.1080 par gap fill ho chuka hai, lekin market ab apni agle bara move ki tayari kar raha hai. Traders ko 1.1090 ke level ko ghore se dekhna chahiye taake yeh dekh sakein ke buyers ya sellers mein se kaun control le raha hai. Moves ya to 1.0890 ya 1.1180 ki taraf zaroor hongi, lekin in moves ka waqt aur sequence price ke current levels ke ird gird ke behavior par mabni hoga. Jo log market mein shamil hain, unke liye yeh intehai ahem waqt hai.