Eurusd forum

Yeh apne upward movement ko continue kiya. Din bhar mein, sirf ek report publish hui thi Nonfarm Payrolls ki annual revision ke bare mein, jo ki forecasts se bhi worse nikli. Asal mein, agar yeh expected se better bhi hoti, toh dollar phir bhi fall karta. Monday aur Tuesday ko, dollar ko macroeconomic backdrop ki zaroorat nahi thi apne decline ko sustain karne ke liye. Toh, yeh kehna mushkil nahi hai ki US labor market ke ek aur weak report ne US currency ko further fall kar diya. Lekin, US dollar daily fall raha hai, regardless of these reports, aur correct bhi nahi kar pa raha hai. Nonfarm Payrolls report previously published reports ki correction nahi hai; yeh sirf annual figure ki adjustment hai. Market ne pehle weaker monthly reports ko account kiya, phir annual one ko, jo ki essentially same data ko reflect karta hai. Abhi traders ko sirf ek sawal puchna chahiye ki yeh relentless rise kab tak continue karega. Upside par trading easy, simple, aur convenient lagta hai, lekin sirf first glance par, kyunki traders likely samajhte hain ki euro almost out of the blue rise kar raha hai. Isliye, yeh movement kisi bhi moment par end ho sakta hai. Currency ko buy karna jab aapko nahi pata ki yeh kyun rise kar raha hai, yeh pleasant task nahi hai. Phir bhi, uptrend ke ending ke signs nahi hain, price continue rise kar sakti hai 1.1185 aur 1.1234 ke targets ke sath.
Wednesday ko, sirf ek trading signal forma hua - US trading session mein 1.1137 level surpass hua. Din ke end par, euro sirf 15 pips rise kiya, lekin volatility currently low hai, aur movement one-sided hai. Yeh trade Thursday tak hold ki ja sakti hai 1.1185 ke target ke sath.

EUR/USD hourly time frame mein steady aur measured upward movement sustain kar raha hai. Last week, new US inflation reports ne market ko dollar ko sell karne ka ek aur reason diya. Is week, market Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell se dovish rhetoric expect kar raha hai. Market har available opportunity ko seize kar raha hai dollar ko sell karne ke liye. Ab humare paas do ascending trendlines hain, jo ki euro ko support kar rahe hain. General mein, koi bhi indicators currently suggest nahi kar rahe hain ki uptrend end ho raha ha
EUR/USD ka next target strong seller supply resistance area 1.1245-1.1250 tak pohnch sakta hai. Moving average ko trend strength monitor karne ke liye use karna bohat effective strategy hai, especially jab resistance aur support levels ko identify

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Aaj, mai tawaqqo karta hun keh euro/dollar ki jodi niche jayegi. European currency ke 1.1109 ki satah tak badhne ka imkan hai, jahan kami ki tawaqqo me short jana danishmandi hogi. 1.1050 ke nishan ko hadaf ke taur par dekha ja sakta hai. Yaqinan, pahunchne ke liye sab se zyada pur kashish ilaqa 1.1026 hai, jo 4-ghante ke chart par support satah hai, lekin itni numaya kami ka imkan nahin hai. Yah intraday run ke liye bahut zyada hai. Agar qimat 1.1109 ki satah par wapas ucchle beghair niche jati hai to, mai 1.1050 - 1.1040 ke ilaqe me ek mukhtasar muddat ki long positions kholne ki koshish karunga.



4-ghante ke chart par bearish zigzag ki tasdiq karne ke liye, qimat ko 61.8% Fibonacci level aur 1.1026 ki ifqi satah se niche mustahkam rahne ki zarurat hai. Iske bawajud, yah peashangoi karna kafi mushkil hai keh aisa hoga ya nahin, lekin mujhe yah scenario sab se zyada imkani lagta hai.

EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Euro/dollar ka joda filhal niche trade kar raha hai. Aaj, mai tawaqqo karta hun keh qimat 1.1065 ilaqe tak nuqsanat ko badhayegi. Aakhir kar, dollar ke mazbut hone ke bawajud market par bears ka ghalbah jari hai. Jisne Jumah ko Americi nonfarm payrolls par kharab aidad o shumar ke bawajud ucchal hasil kiya. Yaqinan, Shumali Americi session ke dauran aaj ki harkiyat par bahut kuch munhasar karega. Meri nazar me, abhi tak kuch nahin badla hai. Yahi wajah hai keh mai abhi tak bazar se bahar hun. Mujhe yaqin hai keh euro/dollar ka joda 1.1065 ki satah se niche gir jayega. False breakout ki surat me, mai long positions kholne ki koshish karunga.

EURJPY kuch arsay ke liye 160-164 ke beech range mein reh sakta hai. Pound is waqt hamari mentioned resistance 1.3250 ke neeche acha hold kar raha hai, aur jab tak is par ek strong break nahi aata, yeh 1.31 ya usse neeche gir sakta hai. Aussie crucial level 0.68 ke ird gird oscillate kar raha hai, jisse agar break hota hai toh yeh 0.6850 tak ja sakta hai. Abhi ke levels par price action ko gaur se dekhen. USDCNY ko 7.12 ke upar sustain karna hoga taake yeh 7.18 tak wapas rise kar sake. EURINR agle kuch sessions mein 93-92 tak wapas gir sakta hai jab tak yeh 94 se neeche hai. USDINR nazdeek muddat ke liye 84.00-83.75 ke region mein trade karta reh sakta hai. US Treasury yields bounce par hold kar rahe hain. Halan ke resistances upside ko cap kar sakte hain agar yeh aur barhte hain. Broader trend neeche hai, aur yields dubara se lower reverse ho sakte hain. German yields ek corrective rise par hain. Aage move karne ki jagah hai jab tak ke overall downtrend resume hoti hai aur yields phir se gir jati hain. 10Yr GoI rise karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Ahem resistances aage hain jo rise ko restrict karenge aur yields ko dubara neeche le ja sakte hain.
Dow Jones aur Nifty ke paas 41800-42000 aur 25500 tak rise karne ka scope hai jab tak support 40800 aur 24500 par hai. DAX resistance ke upar breach karne ke signs de raha hai aur mazeed upside target kar raha hai. Nikkei ek narrow range mein stuck hai lekin iske paas scope hai ke eventually upper end of the range ko break kar sake. Shanghai 2840 ke upar hover kar raha hai lekin outlook ab bhi bearish hai, aur 2800 tak girne ka chance hai.

Crude prices Tuesday ko sharply gir gayi jab Goldman Sachs ne apni 2025 Brent crude forecast $82 per barrel se kam karke $77 per barrel kar di lekin immediate supports hain jo hold kar sakte hain aur bounce back produce kar sakte hain. Gold, Silver aur Copper mein follow through rise ki kami hai lekin ab bhi 2600, 31-31.50 aur 4.4 tak rise karne ka scope hai. Natural gas gir raha hai lekin downside 2.0-1.9 tak limited ho sakta hai

Din bhar mein, sirf ek report publish hui thi Nonfarm Payrolls ki annual revision ke bare mein, jo ki forecasts se bhi worse nikli. Asal mein, agar yeh expected se better bhi hoti, toh dollar phir bhi fall karta. Monday aur Tuesday ko, dollar ko macroeconomic backdrop ki zaroorat nahi thi apne decline ko sustain karne ke liye. Toh, yeh kehna mushkil nahi hai ki US labor market ke ek aur weak report ne US currency ko further fall kar diya. Lekin, US dollar daily fall raha hai, regardless of these reports, aur correct bhi nahi kar pa raha hai. Nonfarm Payrolls report previously published reports ki correction nahi hai; yeh sirf annual figure ki adjustment hai. Market ne pehle weaker monthly reports ko account kiya, phir annual one ko, jo ki essentially same data ko reflect karta hai. Abhi traders ko sirf ek sawal puchna chahiye ki yeh relentless rise kab tak continue karega. Upside par trading easy, simple, aur convenient lagta hai, lekin sirf first glance par, kyunki traders likely samajhte hain ki euro almost out of the blue rise kar raha hai. Isliye, yeh movement kisi bhi moment par end ho sakta hai. Currency ko buy karna jab aapko nahi pata ki yeh kyun rise kar raha hai, yeh pleasant task nahi hai. Phir bhi, uptrend ke ending ke signs nahi hain, price continue rise kar sakti hai 1.1185 aur 1.1234 ke targets ke sath.
Wednesday ko, sirf ek trading signal forma hua - US trading session mein 1.1137 level surpass hua. Din ke end par, euro sirf 15 pips rise kiya, lekin volatility currently low hai, aur movement one-sided hai. Yeh trade Thursday tak hold ki ja sakti hai 1.1185 ke target ke sath.
EUR/USD hourly time frame mein steady aur measured upward movement sustain kar raha hai. Last week, new US inflation reports ne market ko dollar ko sell karne ka ek aur reason diya. Is week, market Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell se dovish rhetoric expect kar raha hai. Market har available opportunity ko seize kar raha hai dollar ko sell karne ke liye. Ab humare paas do ascending trendlines hain, jo ki euro ko support kar rahe hai

**EUR/USD Technical Analysis**

Euro ka US Dollar ke muqable mein EUR/USD ka price 1.0922 ke resistance level par ruk gaya hai aur phir se neeche aakar 1.0875 ke aas-paas stable ho gaya hai jab yeh analysis likha ja raha hai. Halankeh Powell ka nazariya pessimistic lag raha hai, lekin euro-dollar is se faida nahi utha pa raha hai. US Federal Reserve ke Chairman Jerome Powell ne apne recent interview mein “dovish” note diya hai, lekin euro ka price in comments se faida nahi utha raha.

EUR/USD exchange rate 1.0900 ke resistance level ke neeche atka hua hai aur US Federal Reserve ke Governor Powell ke shant alfaaz ke bawajood nahi badh raha, jinhon ne kaha tha ke US inflation ka picture behtar ho raha hai aur labor market zyada balanced hai.

Powell ne Economic Club Washington, DC ke saath interview mein US ke inflation numbers ke lower-than-expected results ko reflect kiya. Is par comment karte hue, Sam Hill, market insights ke head at Lloyds Bank, kehte hain: “Powell ka nazariya pessimistic tha.” “Yeh Fed ke second quarter ke dauran dekhi gayi data trend ki improvement ko reflect karta hai, khaaskar last teen inflation publications.”

US dollar aise statements ke liye kam sensitive sabit hua hai. Yeh significant girawat dekhi gayi jab Powell ne 3 July ko ECB's Forum on Central Banking mein kaha tha ke inflation par significant progress hui hai aur disinflation process track par wapas aa gaya hai. Agar labor market “unexpectedly weak” hota hai... toh yeh bhi humein respond karne ko majboor karega, Sintra, Portugal mein kaha. Powell ne yeh bhi dohraaya ke neutral level interest rates ka shayad pehle se zyada hoga, magar policy constrained rahi gi. Is hisaab se, analysts ne add kiya, “Market prices ab is saal ke dauran zyada cuts ki taraf shift kar rahi hain, September se easing cycle shuru hone ke saath aur saal ke dauran kam se kam do cuts, teen cuts ka 60% probability ke saath.”

Forex market trading ke mutabiq... EUR/USD exchange rate ne yeh bada confidence dekha ke Federal Reserve September mein US interest rates ko cut karega. Lekin agar 1.09 level ko sustain karne mein na kaamyaabi dekhi jaye, to iska matlab yeh ho sakta hai ke cut already “price mein hai.” Iska matlab ho sakta hai ke dollar current levels ke aas-paas consolidate ho jaye aur jo log euro ko mazid strong dekhna chahte hain unhein aur catalysts ka intezar karna padega.

Aam taur par, kal, Thursday ko European Central Bank par sabki nazar hogi, jab yeh apni next interest rate decision dega. Interest rates ko unchanged rakha jayega magar markets hints ki talash mein hain ke kya aur rate cuts hone wale hain. ECB ke September rate cut ko market ne almost entirely price kar liya hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke yeh euro versus dollar ko meaningful taur par change nahi karega, jo exchange rate ko 1.09 ke neeche stable rakh sakta hai aur nayi breakout ke liye tayar kar sakta hai.

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Euro/dollar ka joda filhal niche ki taraf trade kar raha hai. Halke macroeconomic calendar ke darmiyan aaj ki tejarati sargarmi khamosh rahne ki ummid hai. Kam az kam, Budh tak America se koi khabar nahin aa rahi hai, jab inflation data aane wale hain.
Lehaza, mai tawaqqo karta hun keh Budh tak qimat 1.1030-1.1010 ke ilaqe tak gir jayegi. 1.1010 ki satah par, European currency ke wapas ucchalne ka imkan hai.
Ek behtarin scenario me, 1.0950 ke nishan par long positions kholna danishmandi hogi, lekin qimat ko pahle niche jana hoga. Aane wale drivers - US CPI data aur Jumerat ko hone wali ECB meeting ko dekhte hue, mujhe lagta hai keh market me kafi utar-chadhaw ka samna karna padega.
Is dauran aaj ke liye koi badi tawaqqoaat nahin hai. Mai tawaqqo karta hun keh jodi niche jayegi, shayad kam se kam hadaf le taur par 1.1050 ki satah tak, misali taur par 1.1030 ki satah tak. Meri nazar me, long positions kholna relevant nahin hoga.

USD Main aapki tawajjo M15 time frame ke linear regression channel ki taraf dilwana chahta hoon, jo ke upwards slope kar raha hai, aur ye buyers ke trend ka izhar kar raha hai. Is beech bears bhi apni activity dikha rahe hain, jo price ko neeche push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Main observe kar raha hoon ke price 1.09196 se neeche break kar rahi hai, jo channel ki lower boundary 1.09228 ke bahar hai, aur ye 1.09095 tak ke possible decline ka signal de sakta hai. Lekin, ye bhi worth noting hai ke 1.09095 ke level par buyers ki taraf se sellers ko strong resistance face karna par sakta hai. Analysis suggest karta hai ke 1.09095 tak sell kiya ja sakta hai, lekin main recommend karta hoon ke is level par positions close kar den ya at least order ko breakeven par secure kar len. Jaise ke hamesha, ehtiyaat aur proper risk management successful trading ke key principles hain!
Mera strategic goal hai ke main downtrend par position hold karun aur 1.09095 ke level par barrier ko break karun. Lekin, yeh zaroori hai ke hourly channel ke position ko bhi madde nazar rakha jaye kyunki yeh downward movement ko limit kar sakta hai. Isliye, main sabhi risks ko consider karta hoon aur necessary analysis conduct karta hoon taake losses ko protect aur minimize kiya ja sake.

Hourly chart par, linear regression channel bhi upwards slope kar raha hai, jo buyers ki strength ko dikhata hai jo market par dominate kar rahe hain. Is case mein, H1 channel M15 se zyada significance rakhta hai. Agar channel ki lower boundary 1.09095 tak pohanchi, to yeh ek strong buyer ka izhar ho sakta hai. Filhal, M15 par linear regression ek correction suggest karta hai, jiske baad bulls zyada active ho sakte hain. Agar market 1.09095 ke level par hold karta hai, to yeh ek buying opportunity ho sakti hai, jo ek accha idea ho sakta hai. Target 1.09425 ka hoga. Is target ko achieve karne ke baad, agar koi active seller 1.09425 ke level par appear hota hai to market ka direction bearish ho sakta hai. Agar price 1.09095 ke neeche break kar jata hai, to yeh selling ka signal ho sakta hai, kyunki yeh trend reversal ka indication de sakta hai.

Ab hum EUR/USD currency pair ke price fluctuations ka tajziya karenge. Friday ko, humne EUR/USD pair ko H1 time frame par trade kiya tha planned sideways movement ke andar, jo ke 9th din se qaim hai. Jaise expect kiya gaya tha, humne weekend se pehle is sideways pattern se exit nahi kiya, aur Monday ko yeh range mein hi continue karega. Lekin, Tuesday aur Wednesday tak, jab economic calendar active ho jayega, tab hum consolidation se break dekh sakte hain. Critical sawal yeh hai ke market kis direction mein move karega, lekin breakout direction ko predict karna mushkil hai kyunki theoretically yeh dono taraf ho sakta hai. Attached chart potential targets ko illustrate karta hai is movement ke liye. Yeh predict karna challenging hai ke EUR/USD pair ka upcoming trading week mein kis taraf break hoga, especially given ke resistance ka narrow range, jo ke 1.0966 aur 1.0947 ke beech identify kiya gaya hai, iski recent decline ke darmiyan.

Lekin, agar price is range ke upar stabilize ho jati hai, to bulls ko ek fresh local maximum ki taraf drive kar sakti hai. Main estimate karta hoon ke dono scenarios ke liye 50% chance hai, halaan ke main thoda bullish outcome ki taraf lean karta hoon. Price mein lower boundary of the triangle, jo ke minimum level 1.0449 ke ird gird hai, tak retreat karne ka potential hai. Iske bawajood, upside breakout zyada feasible lag raha hai. Price current upper boundary ko break karne ya neeche move karne ki koshish kar sakti hai, halaan ke ab tak lower boundary tak nahi pohnchi. Isliye, main maximum ko update karne ki possibility 1.1009 tak rule out nahi kar sakta. U.S. Dollar Index ko dekhte hue, weakening ke signs zahir hain. Hum index mein further

EUR/USD karansi joṛ ko Thursday ki Asian trading session ke doran halka sa nuqsan hua, jo zyada tar US dollar ki mazbooti aur US Treasury bonds ke zyada returns ke waja se tha. Magar, dollar kamzor ho gaya jab July ke liye Jolts job openings report ko jaari kiya gaya, jo umeedon se neeche rahi, aur yeh labor market mein ahista ahista slowdown ka izhaar karti hai. Traders ab US Services Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) aur initial jobless claims ke release ka intezaar kar rahe hain. Is ke ilawa, Jumay ko jaari hone wali non-farm payrolls report se Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts ke imkaanaat par mazeed maloomat milengi. Atlanta ke Federal Reserve Bank ke sarbaraah Rafael Postic ne monetary policy par neutral nazariya izhaar kiya, aur kaha ke Fed ka mauqaf acha hai lekin mazid waqat tak restrictive policies ka istemal nahi karna chahiye.

** Eurozone mein, consumer price index (CPI) July mein 0.8% quarterly base par barha, jabke services PMI aur composite PMI kamzor ho gaye. Yeh data is baat ki nishani hain ke European Central Bank (ECB) September mein interest rates kam kar sakti hai, jo euro par dabao daal sakti hai. EUR/USD joṛ filhal 20-day simple moving average (SMA) aur 1.1050 ke support area ke qareeb hai. Technical indicators jaise ke Stochastic Index aur Relative Strength Index behtari ka izhaar kar rahe hain. Agar 1.1050 ke level ko break kiya jata hai, to 1.1200 ke pehle peak ko challenge karne ka imkaan hai, aur ho sakta hai ke July 2023 ka buland hadf 1.1275 bhi test kiya jaye. Neeche ki taraf, agar mazid girawat hoti hai, to 1.0870 ka target ho sakta hai, aur us ke baad 200-day moving average 1.0850 par. Agar qeemat neeche jati hai aur 1.1100 ke neeche close hoti hai, to 20-day SMA, jo ke qareeb 1.1000 par hai, tak girawat ho sakti hai. Agar qeemat girti hai, to tamaam nazrein July 2023 ke broken resistance trendline aur 50% Fibonacci level 1.0940 par ho sakti hain. 50-aur 200-day SMAs jo ke 1.0880 aur 1.0845 par hain, girawat ko rokne ka kaam kar sakte hain. Agar aisa nahi hota, to selling pressure barh sakta hai aur qeemat ko 1.0725 tak le ja

Friday ke European session mein, EUR/USD pair thoda sa rebound kiya 1.1120 ke qareeb, Thursday ko 1.1174 ke new high se decline karne ke baad. Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell ke Jackson Hole (JH) Symposium mein address se pehle caution ke karan, main currency pair higher move kiya jab US Dollar (USD) ne apni recent weakness ko continue kiya, respectable recovery move ke baad. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ki value ko six major currencies ke khilaf measure karta hai, Thursday ko 101.00 se 101.60 par rise karne ke baad, Friday ko 101.30 par drop kiya. Flash US S&P Global PMI data ke August ne dikhaya ki Composite PMI stronger-than-expected 54.1 par aaya, jisne US dollar ko sharply rebound karne ke liye majbur kiya. Study ne dikhaya ki services sector ki strong growth ne economic activity ko spur kiya, jabke manufacturing sector ne faster-than-expected pace se shrink kiya.

Investors US economy ko "soft landing" achieve karne ki possibility ko bhi consider kar rahe hain, kyunki price pressures 2% ke targeted rate par return karne ki ummeed hai. July Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data ne labour demand mein dramatic slowdown aur unemployment rate 4.3% par rise ko dikhaya, jo November 2021 ke baad highest level hai, US recession ki fears ko intensify karne ke liye.

Analysts ki ummeed nahi hai ki Jerome Powell interest rates ke predetermined trajectory ko provide karega. Lekin, dangers ab dual mandate ke employment aur inflation components ko extend kar rahe hain, woh September mein rate cuts ko advocate kar sakta hai.

Technical Analysis

Investors ki attention Fed Powell ke JH Symposium mein address par focused hai, EUR/USD pair ne 1.1100 ke round-level support ko maintain karne mein kamyab raha. Daily time frame mein channel formation ke breakout ke baad, common currency pair ke prognosis positive raha. Short-to-long-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) ki increased slope se significant upswing hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) strong upward momentum ko indicate karta hai, lekin overbought levels ko cross karta hai. Yeh positive region 60.00–80.00 mein oscillate karta hai.

Euro ke bulls 1.1200 ke round-level resistance ko retake kar sakte hain agar December 28, 2023 ke high 1.1140 se clear break hota hai. Downside par 1.1100 ke round-level

ستمبر 9 2024 کو یورو/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

جمعہ کے روز امریکی روزگار کے اعداد و شمار پر کرنسی مارکیٹ کا ردعمل حیران کن طور پر خاموش تھا – ڈالر انڈیکس میں 0.07%، سونا 0.73% اور تیل کی قیمت میں 2.14% کی کمی واقع ہوئی۔ سٹاک مارکیٹ نے 1.73 فیصد کی کمی کے ساتھ سخت ردعمل ظاہر کیا۔ نان فارم سیکٹر میں اگست میں 162,000 کی پیشن گوئی کے مقابلے میں 142,000 نئی ملازمتیں پیدا ہوئیں، جولائی کے اعداد و شمار میں 25,000 کی کمی واقع ہوئی۔ بے روزگاری 4.3 فیصد سے کم ہو کر 4.2 فیصد ہو گئی۔ وسیع تر u6 بے روزگاری کی شرح 7.8% سے بڑھ کر 7.9% ہوگئی۔ تاہم، مہینے کے لیے فی گھنٹہ آمدنی میں 0.4% کا اضافہ ہوا۔ مجموعی طور پر، اچھے ڈیٹا کے لیے ہماری توقعات پوری ہوئیں۔ لیکن ہمیں حکام کی جانب سے مارکیٹ میں ہیرا پھیری کی خواہش نظر نہیں آتی۔ اعداد و شمار پیشن گوئی کی سطح پر سامنے آئے اور ستمبر کی شرح میں کمی کے حوالے سے ہلکی سی سازش کو برقرار رکھا۔ ہمیں یقین ہے کہ شرح 0.25% تک کم ہو جائے گی، لیکن کچھ کھلاڑی اب بھی ستمبر میں 0.50% کی شرح میں کٹوتی کے 30% امکان اور دسمبر کی میٹنگ میں 0.50% کٹوتی کے 41% امکان میں قیمتوں کا تعین کر رہے ہیں۔ اس لیے ڈالر کی مضبوطی کی مرکزی تحریک 18 ستمبر سے شروع ہوگی۔

[ATTACH=JSON]n13122809[/ATTACH]

جمعرات، 12 ستمبر کو، یورپی مرکزی بینک شرح 0.25 فیصد کم کرے گا۔ مارکیٹ کے شرکاء کو اس طرح کی کمی کا پوری طرح سے اندازہ ہے، لیکن ابھی تک اس کی قیمت کا تعین نہیں کیا گیا ہے۔ ہمیں یقین ہے کہ مارکیٹ کے شرکاء فیڈرل ریزرو کے فیصلے تک انتظار کریں گے اور پھر فعال طور پر ڈالر خریدنا شروع کر دیں گے۔

فی الحال، یومیہ چارٹ پر، یورو متوازن حالت میں ہے — 1.1085 کی سپورٹ لیول پر — اور اس توازن کی تصدیق مارلن آسیلیٹر سے ہوتی ہے، جو کہ صفر کی لکیر پر ہے۔ مرکزی منظر نامے کے مطابق، یورو کو سپورٹ لیول سے نیچے مضبوط کرنے کی ضرورت ہے، اور پھر 1.1010 کو ہدف بنانے کی کوشش کی جا سکتی ہے۔ عام طور پر، ہم توقع کرتے ہیں کہ یورو 1.0888-1.0905 کی حد میں رہے گا۔

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٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ میں، قیمت بیلنس لائن سے اوپر ہے، مثبت علاقے میں مارلن کے ساتھ۔ قیمت میں اضافہ ممکن ہے، لیکن یہ 1.1113 کے ارد گرد ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن سے محدود ہے۔ عام طور پر، یورو کی سائیڈ وے حرکت کا امکان آج اور کل ہے۔

.تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

EUR/USD currency pair iss waqt Monday ke Asian session mein 1.1090 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai, koshish karte hue ke pichle session ke losses se recover kar sake. Magar, EUR/USD ka upside potential limited lag raha hai, Eurozone ke latest inflation data ke wajah se jo ECB se upcoming policy meeting mein rate cut ki expectations ko mazid barhata hai. Headline inflation ke 2% ke qareeb hone aur long-term inflation expectations ke isi level ke aas-paas rehne ke wajah se, ECB ke paas apni monetary policy ko mazeed ease karne ka mazboot justification hai. Iske ilawa, pichle haftay ke mixed Eurozone GDP data ne bhi rate cut ki umeed ko mazid taqat di hai. Dusri taraf, US economic data jo Friday ko release hui thi, unhone September ke meeting mein Federal Reserve se sharp rate cut ke chances par shak paida kiya hai. US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) ne report kiya ke August mein nonfarm payrolls (NFP) ne 142,000 jobs ka izafa kiya, jo estimates se better tha, magar revised downward figure 89,000 jo July mein thi, us se improve kiya. Wahi, unemployment rate expected tor par 4.2% tak gira.

CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, market poori tarah se expect kar raha hai ke Fed apne September meeting mein kam az kam 25 basis points ka rate cut karega. 50 basis point rate cut ke chances thode se kam hoke 29.0% par aa gaye hain jo ke pichle haftay 30.0% thay. Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsby ne ishara diya ke Fed officials broader market sentiment ke saath align hone lagay hain ek potential rate adjustment ke hawalay se. Euro ne apne 13-maheenay ke high 1.1200 se recover kiya hai teen consecutive losses ke baad. Price 20-day simple moving average (SMA) aur 1.1050 area ke support ke qareeb aa raha hai, jab ke technical oscillators kuch behtari dikha rahe hain. Stochastic oversold zone mein higher move karne ki koshish kar raha hai, aur RSI 50 level se thoda upar hai. Agar market apni bullish structure ko qaim rakhta hai aur 1.1050 level ke ooper rehta hai, to yeh pehle ke high 1.1200 ko challenge kar sakta hai. Bulls July 2023 ka peak 1.1275 ko cross kar sakte hain. Agar deeper decline hota hai, to market neeche jaake 1.0870 level ko test kar sakta hai, jiske baad 200-day moving average jo ke 1.0850 par hai, wahan bhi pohonch sakta hai.

EUR/USD currency pair Asian session ke doran Monday ko 1.1090 level ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai, pichle session ke losses se recovery karne ki koshish karte hue. Lekin, EUR/USD ke upside potential ko Eurozone ke naye inflation data ke sabab se limit kiya ja sakta hai, jo ECB se rate cut ki umeed ko barhata hai jo ke agle Thursday ko hone wale policy meeting mein ho sakta hai. Headline inflation 2% ke qareeb hai aur long-term inflation expectations bhi wahan hi stable hain, jo ECB ko apni monetary policy stance ko aage aasan karne ka strong justification deti hai. Iske ilawa, last week ke mixed Eurozone GDP data ne rate cut ki umeed ko mazid barhaya hai.

Dusri taraf, Friday ko release hui US economic data ne Federal Reserve ke September meeting mein sharp rate cut ke chances par shak dal diya. US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) ne report kiya ke nonfarm payrolls (NFP) ne August mein 142,000 jobs add kiye, jo estimates se zyada hai aur July mein revised downward figure 89,000 se behtar hai. Iske bawajood, unemployment rate expected ke mutabiq 4.2% par gir gaya hai.

CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, market puri tarah se expect kar raha hai ke Fed apni September meeting mein kam se kam 25 basis points se rates cut karega. 50 basis points ke rate cut ke chances thoda kam ho kar 29.0% ho gaye hain, jo ek hafte pehle 30.0% tha. Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsby ne indicate kiya hai ke Fed officials ab broader market sentiment ke sath align ho rahe hain regarding potential rate adjustment.

Euro ne 1.1200 ke 13-month high se recover kiya hai, jo teen din ke losses ke baad hai. Price 20-day simple moving average (SMA) aur 1.1050 area par support ke qareeb aa rahi hai, jabke technical oscillators kuch behtari dikhate hain. Stochastic oversold zone se upar jane ki koshish kar raha hai, aur RSI 50 level ke just upar hai. Agar market apni bullish structure ko maintain rakhti hai aur 1.1050 level ke upar rehti hai, to ye previous high 1.1200 ko challenge kar sakti hai. Bulls shayad July 2023 ka peak 1.1275 ko bhi surpass kar sakein. Agar market deeper decline ka shikaar hota hai to ye 1.0870 level tak aa sakti hai, jiske baad 200-day moving average ko 1.0850 par test kiya ja sakta hai.

### EUR/USD Currency Pair Analysis

**Introduction:**

Aaj hum EUR/USD currency pair ki price movements ka tajziya karenge. Yeh analysis is pair ke bearish trend aur bullish trend lines ke break hone ke imkaanat ko samajhne mein madad karega. Current market conditions aur price patterns ko dekhte hue, kuch ahem points ko highlight karna zaroori hai jo ke future price movements ko influence kar sakte hain.

**Price Movements aur Trend Lines:**

EUR/USD pair ne recent mein ek bullish trend show kiya hai, lekin ab iske bearish trend lines ke breach hone ke imkaanat barh gaye hain. Agar trend lines break hoti hain, to price movement downward ho sakti hai. Yeh breakdown additional volume ko attract kar sakta hai jo ke further decline ko support karega. Zigzag pattern ke continue hone ki surat mein, price 1.0969 ke niche gir sakti hai. Yeh mark mere liye ek crucial level hai jo agle hafte aur uske baad bhi market dynamics ko determine karega.

**Key Support Levels:**

1.0969 ka breakdown hone ke baad, price ke 1.0889 aur 1.0829 ke support levels tak girne ke chances hain. Yeh support points price ko further decline se rok sakte hain. Agar EUR/USD in levels ko break karta hai aur 1.0779 tak pohnchta hai, to yeh bearish trend ka final target ho sakta hai. Yeh drop expected hai kyunki 1.0779 ek significant level hai jo ke channel formation ko complete kar sakta hai. Channel formation complete hone par, price movement ko ek distinct pattern follow karte hue dekha ja sakta hai, jo ke long-term trading strategies ko guide kar sakta hai.

**Long-Term Strategy:**

Agar price 1.0779 tak pohnchti hai aur channel formation complete hoti hai, to yeh buying ke liye ek strategic opportunity ban sakti hai. Is level par buying se long-term gains hasil kiye ja sakte hain kyunki channel completion ke baad price ke upward movement ke chances barh jaate hain. Yeh strategy long-term traders ke liye ek promising opportunity ho sakti hai jo ke price pattern aur trend analysis ke zariye market ke future movements ko predict karne mein madad degi.

**Conclusion:**

EUR/USD currency pair ki analysis karte hue, current price movements aur trend lines ko samajhna zaroori hai. 1.0969 ke level ka breakdown aur subsequent support levels ki monitoring crucial hai. Agar price 1.0779 tak girti hai aur channel formation complete hoti hai, to long-term buying strategy ek effective move ho sakti hai. Yeh approach market dynamics ko samajhne aur profitable trading decisions lene mein madad karegi.

GBP/USD: Forex Ko Samajhna

Chaliye GBP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya karte hain. Hum H1 chart par GBP/USD ko dekh rahe hain, jahan abhi exchange rate 1.3103 hai. Aaj ke U.S. trading session ke doran, bulls 1.3143 level ko paar karne mein pareshani mehsoos kar rahe hain. MACD indicator negative zone mein hai, jabke Envelopes indicator downward trend ki taraf ishaara kar raha hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke price 1.2999 tak gir sakti hai. U.S. dollar ke mazid mazboot hone ki wajah se, mein ab bhi selling positions ko tarjeeh de raha hoon. Chaar ghante ke chart par, GBP/USD ne haal hi mein 1.3141 resistance level se rebound kiya aur ab 1.3099 ke aas-paas ghoom raha hai. Short term mein, exchange rate apni girawat ko continue karega, jiska nazdeek target 1.3049 aur key psychological level 1.2999 hai.

British pound ke baare mein yeh kaha ja raha hai ke woh general decline ko continue karega US dollar ke muqable, lekin Bank of England ke upcoming meeting ke nazdeek rebound bhi kar sakta hai, shayad 1.329 se upar tak bhi ja sakta hai. Aakhri hafte ke end par Nonfarm Payrolls data ka market par kya asar hoga, yeh dekhna baqi hai. Agar 1.2999 se niche clear drop hota hai, to zyada selling pressure dekhne ko mil sakta hai. GBP/USD ne 1.3218 ke resistance ko tod kar 1.3261 tak pohncha. Lekin, Tuesday ko GBP/USD mein significant decline dekha gaya, jo 80 pips ke aas-paas move hua. H1 timeframe par, candle ne H1 support 1.3181 ko tod diya. Candle ke resistance ke upar na hone ki wajah se, GBP/USD dobara nahi badhega. H1 timeframe ka tajziya ye kehta hai ke GBP/USD ka girna us wajah se hua ke candle supply area 1.3255 ko penetrate nahi kar paayi. Jab tak yeh area breach nahi hota, GBP/USD ko upar jane mein mushkil hogi. H1 support 1.3181 ke break hone ke baad, aam tor par rate movement pehle correction ke liye upar jaati hai. Prediction ye hai ke GBP/USD currency pair pehle 1.3245 tak rise karega, lekin uske baad dobara gir sakta hai.