Eurusd forum

Ye Euro dhire dhire upwards ki taraf crawl kar raha hai, traders ke nerves ko test kar raha hai, dono buyers aur sellers ke liye. Sellers decline ka wait kar rahe hain, aur ye price fluctuations unhe constantly worry kar rahi hain. Buyers, on the other hand, impatient hain price ko apne target levels par pahunchane ke liye, aur har pullback unke position par emotional decision-making karne par majboor kar raha hai.
Abhi tak, sab kuch plan ke mutabiq chal raha hai. Humare paas upside ke liye kai signals hain, sab higher timeframe par H4 (ya even daily) ke hisab se. Hourly timeframe par bhi signal hai aur M15 par bhi. Pehle chart mein, main M15 par discussion kar raha hoon aur socha tha ki ye kal play out hoga. Purple bar 1.09456 ke level par precisely is signal ka potential dikha raha hai. Is signal ke boundaries Fibonacci levels 0.0% aur 100% se mark kiye gaye hain. Humare case mein, 100% targets represent karta hai, jabki 0.0% risk level 1.08812 par hai. Jab tak inmein se koi level reach nahi hota, signal idea valid rehta hai.

Agar Euro decide karta hai deeper pullback karne aur target levels reach nahi kar paata, to phir long positions enter karne ki koshish ki ja sakti hai 1.09026 aur/or 1.08964 ke level se. Pehle case mein, risk-to-reward ratio 1 to 2 hoga, aur doosre case mein 1 to 3. Currently, humare paas M15 timeframe par sell signal hai. Lekin hum yahan sells mein enter nahi kar rahe hain. Signal either play out ho sakta hai ya correction ke baad reversal mein badal sakta hai. Agar abhi buys enter kiye jayein, to risk level choose karne mein difficulty hogi. Maine fractals ko red rectangles mein mark kiya hai, unki bahut sari hain, aur unclear hai kon sa best hai risks ko place karne ke liye. Last one ke peechhe try ki ja sakti hai, jo currently sell signal de raha hai. Agar reversal nikla, to short stop-loss ke saath good residual potential capture ki ja sakti hai. Lekin correct risk overall is idea mein 1.08812 ke level ke beyond honi chahiye. Is liye, humein surprise nahi hona chahiye agar Euro suddenly liquidity grab karke 1.09026 aur/or 1.08964 ke levels par pahunch jaye
Here's the text rewritten in Roman Urdu:

Market Overview

EURUSD pair filhal H4 timeframe par strong bullish trend ko dikha raha hai. Price action ne higher highs aur higher lows form kiye hain, jo sustained upward momentum ko indicate karta hai.

Support aur Resistance Levels

Immediate Support: 1.0910 level ne past mein strong support ka role ada kiya hai aur yeh potential entry point ke liye retest ho sakta hai.

Strong Support: 1.0850 level deeper correction ke case mein more significant support zone ka role ada kar sakta hai.

Immediate Resistance: 1.1030 level ne resistance ka role ada kiya hai, lekin current bullish momentum ke liye yeh soon break ho sakta hai.

Strong Resistance: 1.1030 ke above clear resistance level nahi hai, jo further upside ke potential ko indicate karta hai.

Indicators

RSI (14): 72.24 par, RSI overbought territory mein hai, jo uptrend ki exhaustion ko suggest karta hai. Lekin RSI extended period ke liye overbought conditions mein reh gaya hai, jo strong bullish momentum ko indicate karta hai.

MACD (12,26,9): MACD line signal line ke above hai, aur histogram positive hai, jo bullish trend ko confirm karta hai. Histogram expanding hai, jo increasing bullish momentum ko suggest karta hai.

Order Blocks

Potential Order Block: 1.0910 support level potential order block ke liye act kar sakta hai. Is level ke retest ke saath bullish reversal pattern high-probability entry ho sakta hai.

Potential Order Block: 1.0970 ke price action potential order block form kar sakta hai agar price is level par retrace karta hai. Lekin current bullish momentum ke liye yeh less likely hai.

Best Areas for Buying and Selling

Buy: 1.0910 support level par price pullback ke saath bullish reversal signs ke liye potential buy entry consider ki ja sakti hai.

Sell: Selling opportunities limited hain due to strong bullish trend. Lekin 1.1030 resistance level par bearish engulfing pattern ke liye potential sell entry consider ki ja sakti hai, lekin yeh current bullish outlook ko invalidate kar dega.

Additional Considerations

EURUSD pair strong uptrend mein hai, aur traders ko long positions ke liye focus karna chahiye. RSI ko divergence ke signs ke liye aur MACD ko potential bearish signals ke liye monitor karna zaroori hai. Additionally, order blocks ko potential trading opportunities ke liye monitor karna chahiye

EUR/USD ne aaj adha percent ka faida hasil kiya jab bazar ne Greenback ko niche ki taraf dhakel diya. Aane wale bade central banking summit ne investors ko Fedspeak ke liye taiyar kar diya hai. EU aur US ke PMI bhi is haftay ke aakhir mein aane wale hain.

EUR/USD ne Monday ko adha percent ka faida hasil kiya jab investors naye trading haftay ki shuruaat mein broad-market buy buttons ko press karna shuru kiya. Euro ne 1.1050 ke upar se clearly jump kiya aur ab 1.1100 handle ko dobara test kar raha hai. Hal hi mein kuch bure US data ne investoron ke darmiyan recession ka dar phir se zinda kar diya, lekin kuch recent data mein uksaan ne investoron ki pareshani ko thoda kam kar diya hai. Ab sabka dhyan Fed se rate cuts ke hawale se kuch nishaniyon ki taraf hai.

Behtareen PMI data ke intezar mein midweek kuch khaas nahi hai, jab tak EU aur US ke key PMI data aur is saal ki Jackson Hole Economic Symposium shuru nahi hoti. Teeno cheezein Thursday se bazar mein aa sakti hain.

Pan-EU HCOB Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) figures August mein upar aane ki ummeed hai. EU MoM Manufacturing PMI 45.8 se 46.0 tak jane ki ummeed hai, jabke Services PMI 51.9 par barqarar rahne ki prediction hai.

Dooosri taraf, US PMI figures Thursday ko kuch kam hone ki ummeed hai. US Manufacturing PMI August mein thoda gir kar 49.5 se 49.6 tak pohnchne ki ummeed hai, jabke US Services PMI 55.0 se gir kar 54.0 hone ki forecast hai.

Jackson Hole Economic Symposium jo Thursday se shuru ho raha hai, global investors ke liye ahem hai kyunki woh Fed policymakers se September mein rate cut ke bare mein koi nishani dekhna chahenge.

Aakhri dafa, September mein double cut ki bets kaafi kam ho gayi hain jo do haftay pehle 70% tak thi. CME ke FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, rate markets ab September 18 ko 50 bps cut ka sirf ek paanch ka chance de rahe hain. General markets ab bhi September mein 25 bps cut ko fully priced in maan rahe hain, aur saal ke aakhir tak teen ya chaar quarter-point cuts ki ummeed hai.

**EUR/USD ka price forecast:**

EUR/USD ne Monday ko 2024 ke liye naye bidding high ko touch kiya, 1.1086 par, jab bazar risk-on stance mein gaya. Euro Greenback ke muqablay mein behtar ho raha hai, aur 1.1000 handle ke upar se clearly chala gaya hai. Bullish momentum abhi bhi key technical price handle ko dobara paane mein naksam raha, lekin buying power ab bhi mazboot hai aur pair aage barh raha hai.

EUR/USD ne August ke shuru se ab tak lagbhag 3% ka faida hasil kiya hai, jab pair ne 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke 1.0800 ke aaspaas se upward movement shuru kiya.

Somwar ko Euro ne US Dollar ke muqablay mein 0.5% ka ahem izafa kiya. Yeh izafa ek bara market rally ke sath hua jab investors ne mukhtalif asset classes mein capital daala. EUR/USD pair ne 1.1050 se upar ek mazboot support level establish kiya aur 1.1100 ki resistance ki taraf mustehkam dafaaf kiya. Shuru mein, US ke kuch economic indicators ki kami ne investors mein recession ke khauf ko janam diya. Lekin, baad mein US data ka phir se achha hona in khawafon ko kam kar gaya, jisse market mein indecision ka daura aaya jab log Federal Reserve ki monetary policy ke future ka intezar kar rahe the.

Ab market ka dhyan kuch ahem economic events par hai. Thursday ko EU aur US ke liye PMI data ke release hone se manufacturing aur services sector ki activity ke bare mein maloomat milegi. Isi din Jackson Hole Economic Symposium bhi shuru ho raha hai jahan Federal Reserve ke September mein interest rate cut ka koi bhi ishaara dekha jayega. September 18 ko 50 basis point ke rate cut ki umeed kaafi kam ho chuki hai jo do haftay pehle 70% thi. Jab ke market filhal 50 basis point ke rate cut ko low probability de raha hai, investors ab bhi Fed ke projected rate path yaani "dot plots" mein kisi bhi tabdeeli ke liye hoshiyar hain.

EUR/USD pair ne somwar ko 2024 ka naya high 1.1086 banaya, jo ke prevailing risk-on sentiment ko reflect karta hai. Key technical levels par resistance ka saamna karne ke bawajood, pair ka upward momentum barqarar hai, aur buying pressure prices ko 1.1000 mark ke upar support kar raha hai. August ke shuru se, Euro ne Dollar ke muqablay mein lagbhag 3% ki taadaad hasil ki hai, 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) ke aas-paas 1.0800 se rebound karte hue. Jese jese hafte aage barhta hai, market participants aane wale economic data aur central bankers ke bayanat ko interest rates aur currency valuations ke future direction ke clues ke liye ghor se dekhenge.

EUR/USD ka daam kis tarah se move kar raha hai, is par hum baat kar rahe hain. Maine kaha tha ke yeh pair neeche ki taraf jaayega pehle, phir rising channel ke upper boundary ko test karega, magar kuch logon ne meri is prediction ko nahi mana. Friday ka daily chart bullish pattern dikhata hai, jo 1.1047 ko break karke ascending channel ke upper boundary ki taraf jaa raha hai. Mere bullish buy level ne 1.09934 pe trigger kiya, jo growth ka signal tha aur H1 chart pe bullish priority ko maintain kiya. Abhi, price resistance level 1.10723 tak pohnch gayi hai. Agar bulls is resistance ko break kar dete hain, to agla challenge bullish channel ki upper limit hogi. Maine pehle 1.09841 pe rollback ki ummeed rakhi thi, jahan maine buy trade ki thi. Maine apni positions Friday ko close kar di, kyunke decline ka potential tha. Rollback ke baghair, humne weekly ke pehle notable target ko reach kiya.

Bearish sell level ab upar shift ho chuka hai aur 1.10301 pe hai. Agar bear reverses aur meri bearish sell level ko breach karta hai, to main sell karunga, decline ke liye support levels ko dekhte hue: 1.09934, 1.09311, 1.09264, aur 1.09219. Agar decline hoti hai to bullish channel break ho sakta hai, jo zyada volume ke liye downward movement ko trigger kar sakta hai. Volatility abhi bhi above average hai, isse yeh pata chalta hai ke market ka movement abhi bhi chal raha hai. Options desk ke mutabiq, 1.11821 ke aas paas ek interesting deal hai, jo ek aur potential target suggest karta hai. Main sell nahi karne wala, lekin buy karne ke opportunities limited hain kyunki bulls abhi bhi strong hain aur bears ko overpower karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. 1.11821 aur 1.11061 ke beech ek interesting zone ban raha hai, jahan rollback ka possibility hai, jo weekly upper level 1.10491 ko revisit kar sakta hai. Jab ke test zaroori ho sakta hai, ye foran nahi hoga.

Jo jorh chaarwaat se nikal rahi thi, usne Tuesday ke shuruati trading mein 1.1100 ke as-paas girawat dekhi aur aath-maheenay ki unchai 1.1089 ko bhi chho gaya. Yeh girawat Europe ke Central Bank ke do aur interest rate cuts ke tajwez aur US Dollar ki ahamiyat ke badhane ke hawale se hai. Abhi ke taazah updates ke mutabiq, EUR/USD 1.1085 ke qareeb trade ho raha hai, aur bazaar ke shiraaftar 1.1100 ke ilaqay par nazar rakh rahe hain.

**EUR/USD ke bunyadiyat:**

Francois Villeroy de Galhau, ek ECB policymaker, ne haal hi mein French radio BFM Business ke interview mein kaha ke bazaar ki ummeed hai ke ECB is saal do aur rate cuts karega. Unho ne yeh bhi kaha ke ECB shayad September meeting se policy-tightening ke silsile ko dobara shuru kare aur December tak chalay.

Federal Reserve ka nazar bhi EUR/USD par neeche ke dabao daal raha hai. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, bazaar is saal Federal Reserve se do interest rate cuts ki ummeed rakhta hai, aur pehla reduction shayad September meeting mein ho.

**Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:**

Halanki abhi ke downward trend ke bawajood, yeh pair 1.1100 ke mark ke qareeb kuch stability dekh sakti hai. Intraday price patterns se lagta hai ke euro ke liye 1.1050 ke qareeb halka sa bid develop ho raha hai. Daily chart ke mutabiq, aaj ek bullish "hammer" pattern ban sakta hai, magar is pattern ko solidify karne ke liye abhi kafi faasla hai. 1.1091 par choti resistance dekhi gayi hai, aur agar 1.1100 se upar gaya to yeh ek bullish signal hoga.

Yeh pair hal hi mein anticipated range se thoda neeche gir gaya, 1.1051 tak pahuncha. Jabke downward trend barh raha hai, magar yeh itna zyada nahi hai ke ahem girawat ka tajwez diya ja sake. Hum ummeed karte hain ke Euro ko downward pressure face karna padhega, lekin 1.1015 level ek mazboot support ki tor par kaam aayega. Pura downward trend tab tak barkarar rahega jab tak 1.1050 mark tuti nahi.

EUR/USD ne aaj adha percent ka faida hasil kiya jab bazar ne Greenback ko niche ki taraf dhakel diya. Aane wale bade central banking summit ne investors ko Fedspeak ke liye taiyar kar diya hai. EU aur US ke PMI bhi is haftay ke aakhir mein aane wale hain.
EUR/USD ne Monday ko adha percent ka faida hasil kiya jab investors naye trading haftay ki shuruaat mein broad-market buy buttons ko press karna shuru kiya. Euro ne 1.1050 ke upar se clearly jump kiya aur ab 1.1100 handle ko dobara test kar raha hai. Hal hi mein kuch bure US data ne investoron ke darmiyan recession ka dar phir se zinda kar diya, lekin kuch recent data mein uksaan ne investoron ki pareshani ko thoda kam kar diya hai. Ab sabka dhyan Fed se rate cuts ke hawale se kuch nishaniyon ki taraf hai.

Behtareen PMI data ke intezar mein midweek kuch khaas nahi hai, jab tak EU aur US ke key PMI data aur is saal ki Jackson Hole Economic Symposium shuru nahi hoti. Teeno cheezein Thursday se bazar mein aa sakti hain.

Pan-EU HCOB Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) figures August mein upar aane ki ummeed hai. EU MoM Manufacturing PMI 45.8 se 46.0 tak jane ki ummeed hai, jabke Services PMI 51.9 par barqarar rahne ki prediction hai.

Dooosri taraf, US PMI figures Thursday ko kuch kam hone ki ummeed hai. US Manufacturing PMI August mein thoda gir kar 49.5 se 49.6 tak pohnchne ki ummeed hai, jabke US Services PMI 55.0 se gir kar 54.0 hone ki forecast hai.

Jackson Hole Economic Symposium jo Thursday se shuru ho raha hai, global investors ke liye ahem hai kyunki woh Fed policymakers se September mein rate cut ke bare mein koi nishani dekhna chahenge.

Aakhri dafa, September mein double cut ki bets kaafi kam ho gayi hain jo do haftay pehle 70% tak thi. CME ke FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, rate markets ab September 18 ko 50 bps cut ka sirf ek paanch ka chance de rahe hain. General markets ab bhi September mein 25 bps cut ko fully priced in maan rahe hain, aur saal ke aakhir tak teen ya chaar quarter-point cuts ki ummeed hai.

**EUR/USD ka price forecast:**

EUR/USD ne Monday ko 2024 ke liye naye bidding high ko touch kiya, 1.1086 par, jab bazar risk-on stance mein gaya. Euro Greenback ke muqablay mein behtar ho raha hai, aur 1.1000 handle ke upar se clearly chala gaya hai. Bullish momentum abhi bhi key technical price handle ko dobara paane mein naksam raha, lekin buying power ab bhi mazboot hai aur pair aage barh raha hai.

EUR/USD ne August ke shuru se ab tak lagbhag 3% ka faida hasil kiya hai, jab pair ne 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke 1.0800 ke aaspaas se upward movement shuru kiya

Trades ka Tajzia aur Euro Trading ka Mashwara Aaj din mein maine jo levels mention kiye thay, woh market ki bohot kam volatility ki wajah se nahi pohanchay. Eurozone inflation data bhi economists ke forecasts ke mutabiq tha, lekin buyer aur seller positions mein koi bara tabadla nahi aaya. Haan, Euro ke upar yeh baat zor deti hai ke log abhi bhi Euro ko iss level par bechne mein zyada dilchaspi nahi le rahe, jo ke pair mein mazeed growth ka ishara hai. Doosray hissay mein aaj FOMC ke members Bostic aur Barr ke khitab bhi hain. Agar inki tone dovish hui, toh dollar aur kamzor ho sakta hai aur EUR/USD mein mazeed growth dekhnay ko mil sakti hai. Intraday strategy ke liye, mein Scenario 1 aur 2 ko follow karne ka plan bana raha hoon
Buy Signal
Scenario 1: Aaj mein Euro ko tab khareedne ka plan bana raha hoon jab yeh 1.1092 (chart par green line) ke price area ko choo le, aur mera target 1.1139 par pohanchna hai. 1.1139 par, mein market se exit karunga aur phir Euro ko bech dunga, jahan se mein 30-35 points ka movement expect kar raha hoon. Aaj Euro mein strong upward movement ki umeed nahi hai, jaise ke bara decline bhi umeed se bahar hai. Aham baat: Khareedne se pehle, yeh zaroor check karen ke MACD indicator zero line ke upar hai aur sirf apni upward movement shuru kar raha hai
Scenario 2: Aaj Euro ko khareedne ka plan tab bhi bana raha hoon agar 1.1069 ke price level par do martaba consecutive tests hotay hain jab MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ke downward movement ko limit karega aur uptrend ka sabab ban sakta hai. Growth ke expectations resistance levels 1.1092 aur 1.1139 tak hain
Sell Signal
Scenario 1: Mein Euro ko tab bechne ka plan kar raha hoon jab yeh 1.1069 level (chart par red line) ko touch kare aur doosri conditions bhi meet karengi. Target 1.1025 level hoga, jahan mein market se exit karunga aur phir Euro ko khareedne ka plan banaunga, jahan se 20-25 points ka movement expect kar raha hoon opposite direction mein. Agar pair daily high se upar nahi jaa sakta, toh bearish pressure phir se barh sakta hai. Aham baat: Bechne se pehle, yeh zaroor check karen ke MACD indicator zero line ke neeche hai aur sirf apni downward movement shuru kar raha hai
Scenario 2: Aaj mein Euro ko tab bechne ka plan bana raha hoon agar 1.1092 ke price level par do martaba consecutive tests hotay hain jab MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Yeh pair ke upward potential ko limit karega aur downward reversal ka sabab ban sakta hai. Decline ke expectations support levels 1.1069 aur 1.1025 tak hain
Yeh zaroori nahi ke ek major failure foran aa raha ho. Balki, hum aise phase mein hain jahan market European Central Bank ke rate cut ke darr aur Federal Reserve ke agle steps ke speculation ke beech oscillate kar rahi hai. In central bank policies ke around ki uncertainty hi choppy aur indecisive trading behavior ka kaaran ban rahi hai jo hum dekh rahe hain.

Chart ko broader nazar se dekhain to yeh clear hai ke current area historically significant resistance ka kaam karta raha hai. Is se yeh sawaal uthta hai ke euro kitna aur upar ja sakta hai. Maujooda dynamics ko dekhte hue, lagta hai ke market narrow band mein fluctuate karti rahegi bina kisi significant directional movement ke short term mein
In short, jab ke Euro choti moti declines ya gains dekh sakta hai, overall trend cautious range-bound trading ka hai. Hum central bank decisions par focus karenge aur dekhenge ke ye future market behavior ko kaise affect karte hain, lekin abhi ke liye, expect karein ke euro continue kareg

EUR/USD ne aaj adha percent ka faida hasil kiya jab bazar ne Greenback ko niche ki taraf dhakel diya. Aane wale bade central banking summit ne investors ko Fedspeak ke liye taiyar kar diya hai. EU aur US ke PMI bhi is haftay ke aakhir mein aane wale hain. EUR/USD ne Monday ko adha percent ka faida hasil kiya jab investors naye trading haftay ki shuruaat mein broad-market buy buttons ko press karna shuru kiya. Euro ne 1.1050 ke upar se clearly jump kiya aur ab 1.1100 handle ko dobara test kar raha hai. Hal hi mein kuch bure US data ne investoron ke darmiyan recession ka dar phir se zinda kar diya, lekin kuch recent data mein uksaan ne investoron ki pareshani ko thoda kam kar diya hai. Ab sabka dhyan Fed se rate cuts ke hawale se kuch nishaniyon ki taraf hai.

Behtareen PMI data ke intezar mein midweek kuch khaas nahi hai, jab tak EU aur US ke key PMI data aur is saal ki Jackson Hole Economic Symposium shuru nahi hoti. Teeno cheezein Thursday se bazar mein aa sakti hain.

Pan-EU HCOB Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) figures August mein upar aane ki ummeed hai. EU MoM Manufacturing PMI 45.8 se 46.0 tak jane ki ummeed hai, jabke Services PMI 51.9 par barqarar rahne ki prediction hai.

Dooosri taraf, US PMI figures Thursday ko kuch kam hone ki ummeed hai. US Manufacturing PMI August mein thoda gir kar 49.5 se 49.6 tak pohnchne ki ummeed hai, jabke US Services PMI 55.0 se gir kar 54.0 hone ki forecast hai.

Jackson Hole Economic Symposium jo Thursday se shuru ho raha hai, global investors ke liye ahem hai kyunki woh Fed policymakers se September mein rate cut ke bare mein koi nishani dekhna chahenge.

Aakhri dafa, September mein double cut ki bets kaafi kam ho gayi hain jo do haftay pehle 70% tak thi. CME ke FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, rate markets ab September 18 ko 50 bps cut ka sirf ek paanch ka chance de rahe hain. General markets ab bhi September mein 25 bps cut ko fully priced in maan rahe hain, aur saal ke aakhir tak teen ya chaar quarter-point cuts ki ummeed hai.

**EUR/USD ka price forecast:**

EUR/USD ne Monday ko 2024 ke liye naye bidding high ko touch kiya, 1.1086 par, jab bazar risk-on stance mein gaya. Euro Greenback ke muqablay mein behtar ho raha hai, aur 1.1000 handle ke upar se clearly chala gaya hai. Bullish momentum abhi bhi key technical price handle ko dobara paane mein naksam raha, lekin buying power ab bhi mazboot hai aur pair aage barh raha hai.

EUR/USD ne August ke shuru se ab tak lagbhag 3% ka faida hasil kiya hai, jab pair ne 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke 1.0800 ke aaspaas se upward movement shuru kiya

EUR/USD currency pair ne European trading session ke doran Monday ko critical 1.0900 support level ke upar ek narrow trading range maintain ki. Sarmaaya karne walay intizaar kar rahe hain ke kuch ahem economic data samne aaye taake Federal Reserve ke September mein interest rate cut ke potential magnitude ka andaza lagaya ja sake. Waqt ke sath saath, ahem currency pairs mein be-chaini ka alam hai. Anay walay US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, jo Wednesday ko release hone wali hai, par sari nigahen hain kyunke yeh inflationary pressures ka ek key indicator hai. Economists ismein headline aur core inflation dono mein monthly basis par thode bohot izafay ki umeed kar rahe hain. Lekin, annualized figures mein daikhne ko mil sakta hai ke deceleration ho, jo Fed rate cut ke expectations ko mazid mazboot karega. Market consensus September mein rate reduction ki taraf jhuka hua hai, lekin cut ka extent abhi tak clear nahi hai. Pehle, 50 basis point ka substantial reduction expected tha, lekin recent economic data aur Fed officials ke comments ne in expectations ko kam kar diya hai, aur ab 25 basis point cut ko zyada likely samjha ja raha hai.

EUR/USD ka H1 time frame chart ek noticeable downward trajectory dikha raha hai, jo market forces ke complex interplay se shape ho rahi hai. Yeh decline sirf technical patterns ka nateeja nahi hai, balki fundamental economic conditions ka bhi gehra asar hai jo traders ke faislayon ko influence kar rahe hain. EUR/USD par persistent downward pressure ke kuch key factors hain, jin mein Eurozone aur United States ka economic landscape, dono regions ke darmiyan interest rate differentials, aur global financial markets mein prevailing sentiment shamil hain. H1 time frame chart par yeh fundamental influences clearly nazar aa rahe hain, jo broader macroeconomic context ke sath align karte hain. Traders ke liye yeh dono challenges aur opportunities paish karte hain. Jahan current bearish trend kuch logon ko long positions lene se rok sakta hai, wahan un logon ke liye favorable conditions ho sakti hain jo pair ko short kar rahe hain, taake dollar ki continued strength se faida uthaya ja sake. EUR/USD pair par downward trajectory ka asar fundamental economic conditions, Eurozone aur United States ke darmiyan interest rate differentials, aur overall market sentiment ki wajah se hai. Yeh factors collectively ek aisi environment create kar rahe hain jahan U.S. dollar euro ke muqable mein outperform kar raha hai, jisse EUR/USD pair par sustained downward pressure bana hua hai.

Yuro ne Tuesday ke trading session ke doran apni upar ki taraf ka rukh barqarar rakha jab ke Jackson Hole Symposium ke liye umeedon ka izafa ho raha hai jo is hafte ke aakhir mein hone wala hai. Hum jab critical 1.11 level ke nazdeek pohnch rahe hain, to bohot se traders is par nazar rakh rahe hain, jo ke pichle do saal mein kaafi ahmiyat rakhta hai.

Mukhya sawal yeh hai ke kya yuro is upward momentum ko barqarar rakh sakta hai. Agar 1.11 level ke upar decisive break hota hai to yeh ek bara uptrend shuru kar sakta hai jiska agla target 1.1250 level ke aas-paas ho sakta hai, jo ke pichle dino mein kafi activity dekha gaya hai. Market ek possible bottom-rounding pattern bana rahi hai, jo ke upar ki taraf ek majboot move ki nishani ho sakti hai. Lekin, main is risk rally ke sustainable hone ke bare mein shak mein hoon.

Filhal, daily candle kisi bhi direction mein strong pressure nahi dikhati, jo ke cautious market sentiment ko reflect karti hai. Pichle session mein US dollar kamzor hua, "risk-on" sentiment aur umeedon ke chalte ke Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell shayad zyada accommodating policy ki taraf jaayenge. Yeh sawal uthta hai ke kya market overbought ho jayegi. Haqiqatan yeh hai ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) 4-hour chart par overbought dikhata hai aur daily chart par bhi overbought territory mein enter kar raha hai.

In halaton ke tehat, qareeb ke doran downside ka imkaan hai, lekin lambay arse ke liye outlook bullish hi nazar aati hai. Wednesday ko Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting ke minutes ke release se kuch volatility aa sakti hai, khaaskar agar content market ki expectations se kam dovish stance dikhaye. Wall Street Federal Reserve par rate cuts ka dabao bana raha hai, aur itihasik tor par Fed ne aksar market expectations ke saath chala hai. Dekhna yeh hoga ke yeh dynamic aane wale dino mein kaisa develop hota hai.

EUR/USD ka Technical Analysis
Pichlay trading week mein, ek short consolidation period ke baad, Euro ne 1.0926 ke level ke upar rise karne mein kamiyabi hasil ki, jahan se pehle ye upar janay mein fail raha tha. Ab price ne is barrier ke upar consolidate karna shuru kar diya, wapas bounce kiya, aur 1.1033 ke level tak strong move kiya, jahan ye ruk gaya. Yeh baat zahir karti hai ke is scenario ka target area successfully achieve ho gaya hai. Iske sath hi, price chart (kuch exceptions ke sath) supertrend green zone mein hai, jo buyers ke control mein hone ka ishara hai.

Monday ko, Euro ne positive note par close kiya, aur 2024 ka highest level achieve kiya, jabke US inflation expectations Friday ko gir gayi thi aur Eurozone growth data ne yeh zahir kiya ke region ki economy abhi bhi mushkilat ka samna kar rahi hai. EUR/USD pair 1.1082 tak gir gayi, jo pehle close 1.1025 se niche tha. Pair pehle trading day mein 1.1022 ke low tak gir gayi thi, jabke high 1.1086 ka touch kiya.



Filhal, pair weekly highs ke qareeb marginally higher trade kar rahi hai. Key support area ko test kiya gaya aur wo intact raha, jis ne quotes ko limits ke andar rakha aur rebound cause kiya, jo upward trend ke relevant hone ka ishara karta hai. Bullish trend ko continue karne ke liye, price ko firmly 1.1033 ke level ke upar consolidate karna hoga, jahan main support area ka border hai. Agar price is area ko successful retest karke pullback karti hai, to ek aur move higher ka chance hoga, jis ka target area 1.1121 aur 1.1198 ke darmiyan hoga.

Agar support break hoti hai aur price 1.0926 ke pivot level se neeche girti hai, to current scenario cancel ho jayega.

Aaj hum phir se EUR/USD currency pair ka jaiza lenge - D1 period chart par. Main ab bhi apne plan par qayam hoon jo ke girawat ka hai. Jabke wave structure apne order ko upar ki taraf banata ja raha hai, MACD indicator upar ke khareedari zone mein aur apni signal line ke upar barh raha hai. Pichle hafte mein movements kaafi clear thi. Teen clear movements thi, pehle barhawa, phir girawat aur phir se barhawa. Aur ye movement na sirf is period par, balki chhoti periods par bhi clearly visible thi. Ye maximum accumulation zone se nikal gayi thi, maximum se gir gayi, aur yeh clear tha ke kyun, aur US ke khabrein beech haftay mein aayi jahan indicators American dollar ke liye faida mand thi aur price patthar ki tarah neeche gir gayi. Ek clearly expressed horizontal support level 1.0954 par ban gaya tha. Yeh clear hai ke is par upar ki taraf rebound hua, lekin mujhe itna strong nahi ummid thi, maine socha tha ke yeh chhoti si rebound hogi aur hum atak jayenge. Ab price already upar ke maximum se nikal gayi hai, shayad hum aur bhi upar jaayein inertia ke saath. CCI indicator upper overheating zone mein bend kar raha hai aur is par bearish divergence dekhne ko mil rahi hai. Price maximum se nikal gayi hai aur ab ek correctional decline ki ummeed hai, yahan shorter periods M30-H1 par mirror level ka formation dekh sakte hain taake support resistance mein tabdeel ho aur niche kaam karein, downward correction ka ek hissa lene ki ummeed hai. Iske ilawa, price ne ek reversal figure banayi hai - ek ascending wedge, jis mein yeh ab located hai. Yeh ek additional sign hai ke price ek dum upar nahi chal paayegi aur shayad ek downward trend ke liye reversal hoga. Yeh figure kaafi khoobsurat hai aur achhe se kaam kar sakti hai, chaahe kuch upar bhi nikal jaye, mujhe lagta hai yeh ek scam hai aur collapse hoga. Eurozone ka Consumer Price Index (CPI) jaldi release hoga - yeh descent ki shuruat hai.

EUR/USD ka Technical Analysis

Pichle trading hafte ke dauran, choti si consolidation ke baad, euro 1.0926 ke level se upar chadhne mein kamiyab raha. Pehle ye level par chadhne ki koshish hui thi lekin ye fail ho gaya tha. Ab price ne is barrier ke upar consolidate kiya aur ek mazboot move bana kar 1.1033 tak pohnch gaya, jahan uska raasta rok diya gaya. Iska matlab hai ke is scenario ka target area successfully reach kar liya gaya hai. Is dauran, price chart (kuch exceptions ke sath) super-trend green zone mein hai, jo buyers ke control mein hone ko darshata hai.

Somwar ko, euro ne positive note par close kiya, 2024 ka apna highest level touch kiya, jab US inflation expectations Friday ko gir gayi aur eurozone growth data ne ye dikhaya ke region ki economy ab bhi mushkil mein hai. EUR/USD pair 1.1082 tak gir gaya jo pehle ke close 1.1025 se kam hai. Pehle trading din par, pair 1.1022 tak gir gaya, jabke pichli low 1.1086 thi.

Pair ab weekly highs ke nazdeek marginally higher trade kar raha hai. Key support area test kiya gaya aur intact raha, jo quotes ko limits mein rakh raha hai aur rebound ko induce kar raha hai, jo upward trend ko relevant bana raha hai. Bullish trend ko continue karne ke liye, price ko 1.1033 ke upar firmly consolidate karna hoga, jahan abhi main support area borders kar raha hai. Is area ka successful retest aur subsequent pullback ek aur move higher ka mauka dega, targeting 1.1121 se 1.1198 ke beech.




Agar support break hota hai aur price pivot level 1.0926 se niche girti hai, to current scenario cancel ho jayega.

Tuesday ke trading session mein euro ne apni upward momentum ko barqarar rakha, kyunke is haftay ke aakhir mein hone wale Jackson Hole Symposium ka intezar hai. Jaisay hi hum critical 1.11 level ke nazdeek pohnchte hain, bohot se traders is level ko ghore se dekh rahe hain, kyunke ye pichle do saalon se significant raha hai.

Asal sawal ye hai ke kya euro is upward trajectory ko sustain kar sakta hai? Agar euro 1.11 level ke upar decisively break kar leta hai, to ek significant uptrend ka aghaz ho sakta hai, jiska agla target kareeb 1.1250 ke aas paas ho sakta hai. Ye woh area hai jahan pichlay dino notable activity dekhi gayi hai. Market filhaal ek possible bottom-rounding pattern form kar raha hai, jo ke upside ki taraf ek strong move ka indication ho sakta hai. Lekin main is risk rally ke sustainable hone par skeptical hoon.

Filhaal, daily candle kisi bhi direction mein strong pressure nahi dikha rahi, jo ke cautious market sentiment ko reflect karti hai. Pichli session mein US dollar mein kamzori dekhi gayi, jo "risk-on" sentiment aur Federal Reserve ke Chairman Jerome Powell ke zyada accommodative policy ki umeedon se driven thi. Is se ye sawal uthta hai ke kya market overbought ho jayegi? Darhaqeeqat, Relative Strength Index (RSI) ye show karta hai ke Euro 4-hour chart par overbought hai aur daily chart par overbought territory mein enter kar raha hai.




In halaat mein, near-term downside ka imkan hai, halan ke longer-term outlook ab bhi bullish hai. Wednesday ko Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting ki minutes release honge, jo kuch volatility cause kar sakte hain, khaaskar agar content market ke umeed se kam dovish stance ko suggest kare. Wall Street lagta hai ke Federal Reserve par pressure daal raha hai ke wo rate cuts par ghor karein, aur historically dekha gaya hai ke Fed aksar market expectations ko match karta hai. Dekhte hain ke agle kuch dino mein ye dynamic kis tarah unfold hota hai.

EUR/USD Price Move

Aaj hamari guftagu ka mawzu EUR/USD currency pair ke pricing behavior ka jaiza lena hai. Maine pehle kaha tha ke yeh pair downward move karega pehle ke upper boundary of the rising channel ko test kare, lekin bohot kam logon ne mere forecast se ittefaq kiya. Friday ke daily chart ne ek clear bullish pattern dikhaya, jo 1.1047 ke level ko break karne aur ascending channel ki upper boundary ki taraf pohnchne ke liye form ho raha tha. Mera bullish buy level 1.09934 par trigger hua, jo growth ka signal tha aur H1 chart par bullish priority ko set kar diya, jo ab tak barqarar hai. Is waqt, price resistance level 1.10723 tak pohnch gayi hai. Agar bulls is resistance ko break kar lete hain, to agla challenge bullish channel ki upper limit hogi. Maine pehle 1.09841 tak rollback ka intezar kiya tha, jahan main ne already buy trade kar li thi. Maine apni positions Friday ko close kar di thi, kyunke decline ka potential tha. Bina kisi rollback ke, hum ne phir bhi is hafte ka pehla notable target achieve kar liya.





Bearish sell level ab shift ho kar 1.10301 par hai. Agar bear reverse karte hain aur mera bearish sell level breach karte hain, to main sell karunga, support levels par decline ka intezar karte hue: 1.09934, 1.09311, 1.09264, aur 1.09219. Agar decline hota hai, to bullish channel break ho sakta hai, jo mazeed downward movement ke liye additional volume release kar sakta hai. Volatility ab bhi average se zyada hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke market movement abhi khatam nahi hui. Options desk ke mutabiq, 1.11821 ke aas paas ek interesting deal ho rahi hai, jo ek aur potential target suggest kar rahi hai. Main sell karne ka irada nahi rakhta, lekin buy karne ke mauqe limited hain kyunke bulls lagatar upper push kar rahe hain aur bears ko overpower karne ke liye tayar hain. Ek interesting zone 1.11821 aur 1.11061 ke darmiyan form ho raha hai, jahan se rollback possible hai, jo weekly upper level 1.10491 ko revisit kar sakta hai. Test ki zarurat ho sakti hai, lekin yeh zaruri nahi ke yeh foran ho.