Eurusd forum

EUR/USD ki technical analysis mein pichle trading week mein euro ne apni izafa ki koshish ki lekin 1.0926 ke qaribi resistance se rukawat ka saamna kiya. Is resistance ko paar na karne ki wajah se qeemat mein girawat shuru ho gayi aur price wapas usi haftay ke shuru ki level par pohanch gayi. Is natije mein, muntazir izafa ka manzar mukammal na hua aur yeh barqarar hai keh haqiqi maqasid puray nahi huay.

Technical analysis ke nazariye se aaj, char ghantay ke chart par qareeb se nazar andaz karte hue yeh nazar aata hai keh pair regular taur par ek bulandi ke price channel ke andar trade kar raha hai, jab ke simple moving average ke jariye musbat tasdeeq milti ja rahi hai. Isi tarah, agar din bhar ke trading 1.0900 ke support ke oopar qaim rehti hai aur 1.0870 ke level ke oopar bhi qaim rehti hai, to 1.0950 ke liye nishana set karke izafa jaari rehne ka imkaan hai. Uptrend ke muzir hone ke liye, EUR/USD pair ke liye fawaid ki jo shanakht 1.0950 ke qarib se tod par qabil hai woh rasta khulta hai. Niche ke liye, agar trading 1.0870 ke neeche mazboot ho jati hai, to pair ko manfi dabao ke tehat 1.0840 ke muqami support ko dobara test karne ki zaroorat ho sakti hai, jo 23.60% Fibonacci retracement se mutaliq hai. Chart neechay dekhein:

Is tafseeli nazarye se, EUR/USD ke muqablay mein aaj ke technical tajziye ka yeh andaza hota hai.
Halat ke mutabiq, yeh jora mukhtalif rukh par trading kar raha hai aur har hafta neutral rehta hai. Ahem support areas abhi tak imtehan nahi kiye gaye aur baqi hain, jo bulandi ki mustaqil sahiyeh ki dalil hain. Magar, haal ki bechani mein aik mumkinat hai ke 1.0837 tak pohanch jaye, jo baray support area ki had hai. Agar yeh area dobara test ho jaye, to aane wali uchhal ke sath dosra izafa mauqa faraham karega, jis ka nishana 1.1033 se le kar 1.1121 ke darmiyan ka ilaqa ho sakta hai.

Agar support tor diya jaye aur qeemat 1.0763 ke pivot level se neeche gir jaye, to mojooda manzar mansookh ho jayega.

Is tafseeli tajziye ke mutabiq, jora abhi tak mukhtalif rukh par trading kar raha hai aur har hafta neutral rehta hai. Magar, ahem support areas abhi tak imtehan nahi kiye gaye aur baqi hain, jo bulandi ki mustaqil sahiyeh ki dalil hain.

EUR/USD ki technical analysis mein pichle trading week mein euro ne apni izafa ki koshish ki lekin 1.0926 ke qaribi resistance se rukawat ka saamna kiya. Is resistance ko paar na karne ki wajah se qeemat mein girawat shuru ho gayi aur price wapas usi haftay ke shuru ki level par pohanch gayi. Is natije mein, muntazir izafa ka manzar mukammal na hua aur yeh barqarar hai keh haqiqi maqasid puray nahi huay.

Technical analysis ke nazariye se aaj, char ghantay ke chart par qareeb se nazar andaz karte hue yeh nazar aata hai keh pair regular taur par ek bulandi ke price channel ke andar trade kar raha hai, jab ke simple moving average ke jariye musbat tasdeeq milti ja rahi hai. Isi tarah, agar din bhar ke trading 1.0900 ke support ke oopar qaim rehti hai aur 1.0870 ke level ke oopar bhi qaim rehti hai, to 1.0950 ke liye nishana set karke izafa jaari rehne ka imkaan hai. Uptrend ke muzir hone ke liye, EUR/USD pair ke liye fawaid ki jo shanakht 1.0950 ke qarib se tod par qabil hai woh rasta khulta hai. Niche ke liye, agar trading 1.0870 ke neeche mazboot ho jati hai, to pair ko manfi dabao ke tehat 1.0840 ke muqami support ko dobara test karne ki zaroorat ho sakti hai, jo 23.60% Fibonacci retracement se mutaliq hai. Chart neechay dekhein:

Is tafseeli nazarye se, EUR/USD ke muqablay mein aaj ke technical tajziye ka yeh andaza hota hai.
Halat ke mutabiq, yeh jora mukhtalif rukh par trading kar raha hai aur har hafta neutral rehta hai. Ahem support areas abhi tak imtehan nahi kiye gaye aur baqi hain, jo bulandi ki mustaqil sahiyeh ki dalil hain. Magar, haal ki bechani mein aik mumkinat hai ke 1.0837 tak pohanch jaye, jo baray support area ki had hai. Agar yeh area dobara test ho jaye, to aane wali uchhal ke sath dosra izafa mauqa faraham karega, jis ka nishana 1.1033 se le kar 1.1121 ke darmiyan ka ilaqa ho sakta hai.

Agar support tor diya jaye aur qeemat 1.0763 ke pivot level se neeche gir jaye, to mojooda manzar mansookh ho jayega.

Is tafseeli tajziye ke mutabiq, jora abhi tak mukhtalif rukh par trading kar raha hai aur har hafta neutral rehta hai. Magar, ahem support areas abhi tak imtehan nahi kiye gaye aur baqi hain, jo bulandi ki mustaqil sahiyeh ki dalil hain.

Assalam-o-Alaikum aur Subah Bakhair sabko!

EUR/USD ke bechne walon ne 1.0862 zone tak pohanch gaye thay. Flash manufacturing aur Service PMI data baad mein release hoga, isliye market ka momentum kis taraf badlega - bechne walon ya khareedne walon ke favor mein. Haal hi ke trends ke mutabiq EUR/USD ke market sentiment mein bechne walon ka bohat zyada taasur hai. Pichle trading sessions mein, bechne walon ne khareedne walon ko mukabla mein kafi aage chhoda hai, jo ki aane wale ghanton mein bhi jaari rehne ka zahir tareeqa hai. Yeh trend bechne walon ki mazbooti ko darshata hai, jo aane wale US trading session mein mazeed intensify ho sakta hai. Is natijay mein, ek sazishpurna tareeka yeh hai ke 30 pips ki conservative take-profit target set ki jaye, sath hi 15 pips ke prudent stop loss ke saath risk ko kam kiya jaye, jise short-term trading plans mein inherent risks ko samjha ja sakta hai.

US dollar se mutaliq mukhtalif news events jaise ke US Flash aur Be-rozgar rate market mein volatility la sakte hain. EUR/USD ke market ke liye volatility ka muzahira hoga. Is liye stop-loss orders ka judicious istemal karna zaroori hai, market ke volatile mahaul mein jahan par fluctuations jaldi se established trends ko badal sakte hain. Is tarah, cautious hona aur ek soch samajh kar stop-loss strategy implement karna trading environment mein mojood uncertainties ko navigate karne ke liye bohat zaroori hai.

Mukhtasir mein, EUR/USD ke current market outlook mein bechne walon ke favor mein mazbooti nazar aati hai, jo traders ke liye aik moka pesh karta hai ke focused short-term target ke saath sell positions ki ibtida ki ja sakti hai. Umeed hai ke bechne walay apni momentum ko barqarar rakhenge aur aane wale trading sessions mein ahem support levels ko breach kar sakte hain, jo traders ke liye prevailing market dynamics ka faida uthane ka potential highlight karta hai.

Current market sentiment ko follow karna zaroori hai aur EUR/USD ke price 1.0842 zone ko cross kar sakta hai baad mein.

Aap sabko munafa bhara trading day guzarne ki duaon ke saath!

Bara-e-Meharbaani Roman Urdu mein convert kiya gaya hai, agar kisi aur madad ki zaroorat ho to batayein.

Assalam-o-Alaikum.

Euro kaafi zahir hai ke dosri wave of growth ki taraf ja raha hai, jis mein local maximum jo 1.09474 hai, usko achieve karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Is scenario ko implement karne ke liye, humein dekhna hoga ke 1.09016 level ke breakout aur consolidation ho raha hai. Agar yeh ho sakta hai, toh asal mein specified maximum tak seedha rasta khul jayega.

Agar downward movement jaari rakhna hai, toh bechne walon ko 1.08708 level ko break aur consolidate karna hoga. Agar yeh ho sakta hai, toh pehla target 1.08609 mark hoga, aur agar yeh bhi break aur consolidate ho sakta hai, toh price drop ki umeed 1.08045 level tak ki ja sakti hai.

EURUSD H4 pair par:

1 - Euro 4-hour chart par bands ke central area mein hai, aur bands khud andar chali gayi hain aur ek doosre ki taraf move kar rahi hain. Yahan se movement kisi bhi direction mein jaari ho sakta hai, aur ek naye price rise ya fall ke liye signal ke liye humein upper ya lower band ke bahar ek active new exit ka intezaar karna chahiye, aur phir assess karna chahiye ke bands outward open hote hain ya reaction nahi hota. Fractals ke nazariye se dekhte hain, price ne nearest fractal ko upar ki taraf break kiya hai, agar hum uske peeche consolidate kar sakte hain, toh agla target price growth ke liye July 22 ke fractal jo 1.09016 level par hai, ho sakta hai. Ek naya fractal neeche bhi ban gaya hai, uska breakout aur consolidation price ko July 12 ke fractal jo 1.08609 level par hai, ki taraf move karne dega.

2 - AO indicator negative zone mein kamzor ho raha hai, agar hum zero ke through transition aur positive area mein active increase dekhte hain, toh humein quotes ke liye stronger signal mil sakta hai ki woh rise kar sakte hain. Negative area mein ek naya increase quotes ke liye fall hone ka signal dega.

Yeh analysis Euro ke current situation aur potential movements ke baare mein hai. Agar koi aur sawaal ho, toh zaroor batayein.

Shukriya aur Allah Hafiz.

Aaj ka forex market peechlay do din ke muqable mein zyada exciting hoga, kyun ke aaj dopahar se shaam tak bohot saari important economic data release hone wali hai. France, Germany aur America se Flash Services aur Manufacturing ki reports aani hain. Europe ki zone se forecasts stagnant hain, jo ke indicate karti hain ke industrial sector mein koi khaas growth nahi ho rahi. America ka data bhi kuch khaas asar nahi dal raha. Friday ko US GDP data aur unemployment claims bhi kuch zyada farq nahi dalain gi, kyun ke market ka focus FOMC meeting pe hai jo ke 31 July ko hogi. Is liye, EUR/USD ka market jo ke abhi gir raha hai, us mein aaj rebound ka potential hai.

Technical analysis ke mutabiq daily timeframe pe price jo ke gir rahi hai, wo Middle BB area ke qareeb aa rahi hai jo ke support area 1.0823 - 1.0806 ke paas hai. Ye area agay girawat ko rok sakta hai agar wahan demand zyada hoti hai. Agar ye area break hota hai, to price Lower Bollinger Bands ki taraf gir sakti hai jo ke 1.0700 ke range mein hai. Momentum indicators ko dekh kar lagta hai ke RSI 14 niche ki taraf ja raha hai, Stochastic Oscillator oversold area mein hai aur upar ki taraf react kar raha hai, aur Awesome Oscillator abhi bhi positive zone mein hai. Is liye, EUR/USD ka market abhi tak fully bearish nahi hai. Blue rectangle support area aglay trend ke liye crucial hoga. Agar wahan se strong rebound hota hai aur bullish pinbar candle ya bullish power nazar aati hai, to price pehle resistance 1.0949 ki taraf ja sakti hai. Trend ke potential ko dekhne ke liye intraday movement analysis zaroori hai.

H1 timeframe pe dekha jaye to price ne subah lower open kiya kyun ke price quote daily pivot 1.0864 - 1.0877 ke neeche tha. Sellers consistent pressure apply nahi kar paaye, is se double bottom pattern ka potential bana hai jo ke price ko pivot level ki taraf utha sakta hai. Agar price European session ke open hone se pehle 1.0840 ke upar rehti hai aur French aur German Flash Manufacturing data disappointing nahi hota, to price upar ja sakti hai. Agar price daily pivot zone ko cross kar leti hai, to agla resistance area 1.0895 tak ja sakti hai. In scenarios ko dekhte hue, traders breakout strategy apply kar sakte hain.

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Fed ke Chairman Jerome Powell ke apne taqreer me bar-bar ek hi bat kahne ke bawajud, Fed ki sherah kami ke bare me ab bhi bahut si batein ki ja rahi hain.
Kal, euro/dollar ka joda 1.0850 ilaqe tak gir gaya. Aaj, jodi is satah ke qarib karobar jari rakhe hue hai.
Aaj, buniyadi awamil ki taraf se rahnumai ke qabile qadar hai. Aakhir kar, macroeconomic calendar aham khabron se bhara hua hai jo market ke jazbat par bada asar dal sakta hai. Is me France aur Germany ki khidmat aur manufacturing sargarmiyon ka data shamil hain. Bartaniya aur America isi tarah ke aidad o shumar jari karne wale hain. Yah report aam taur par market ke mazbut radde amal ka sabab banti hai. Ham dekhenge.
Aage dekhte hue, euro/dollar ka joda maujudah satah se badh kar 1.0920 ki satah tak pahunch sakta hai, aur uske bad niche ki taraf mud sakta hai. Mutabadil taur par, European currency nuqsanat ko badha sakti hai aur faidah dobara shuru karne se pahle 1.0810 ki agli support satah ki taraf badh sakti hai. Mai mustaqbil ki farokht ke liye ek rally dekhna chahunga.

جولائی 24 2024 کو یورو/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

کل کے تجارتی دن کے اختتام سے چند گھنٹے پہلے، یورو 1.0846 کی انٹرمیڈیٹ سپورٹ لیول پر پہنچ گیا۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر کی سگنل لائن ڈاؤن ٹرینڈ ٹیریٹری کی باؤنڈری کے قریب ہے۔



یہ وقت سطح سے نیچے یا براہ راست 1.0846 پر پوزیشنوں کو مستحکم کرنے میں گزارا جا سکتا ہے۔ اس کے بعد، قیمت ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کے ساتھ تعامل کرنے کے لیے 1.0788 کے ہدف کی حمایت کی سطح یا اس سے قدرے نیچے گرتی رہ سکتی ہے۔ 4 گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت 1.0840/6 کی سپورٹ رینج کے اندر استحکام کے ابتدائی علامات دکھا رہی ہے۔

اس حد سے نیچے کا وقفہ یورو کو مزید گرنے کے قابل بنائے گا۔ تاہم، چونکہ مارلن کافی گہرائی سے منفی علاقے میں چلا گیا ہے، اس لیے 60 پِپس کی ہموار کمی کے لیے، آسیلیٹر کے لیے یہ مشورہ دیا جائے گا کہ وہ تھوڑا سا کھولے (اضافہ)، جو کہ قیمت کے استحکام کے دوران آسانی سے کیا جاتا ہے۔



.تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

EUR/USD currency pair ka recent upward movement ek temporary maneuver lagta hai, jo ek significant breakout ke liye stage set kar raha hai. Humne 1.0914 aur 1.09314 ke beech ek solid support range identify ki hai, jo 1.0944 tak extend hoti hai. Yeh levels bullish trend direction ko reinforce kar rahe hain, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke hamari strategy market movements ke saath align ho rahi hai. Pehle jo direction uncertain thi, ab shape le rahi hai, aur hamari strategic approach ek crucial juncture par pahunchnay ka indication de rahi hai. Maujooda analysis ke mutabiq, main predict karta hoon ke EUR/USD 1.0896-1.0938 ke range tak rise karega. Yeh expectation hamare successful breakout se underpinned hai 1.09266-1.0942 support zone se, jo ek potential rally ka signal de raha hai. Yeh movement ongoing trend ki structural integrity ke saath consistent hai, halan ke precise endpoint determine karna challenging hai. Yeh trend apna conclusion 1.0972-1.0950 mark ke around reach kar sakta ha
Jo support levels identify kiye gaye hain—1.0914, 1.09314, aur 1.0944—wo bullish momentum ko maintain karne mein critical role play kar rahe hain. Yeh levels market sentiment ke crucial indicators hain aur recent price actions ke through validate hue hain. Jis tarah hum in support points ko observe kar rahe hain, overall market structure upward trend ki continuation suggest kar raha hai, although kuch volatility ke saath.
Hamari strategy, jo in key support zones par focus hai, market ke uncertainties ko navigate karne mein effective sabit ho rahi hai. 1.09266-1.0942 range ke upar breakout ek significant milestone mark karta hai, jo further gains anticipate karne ke liye ek robust foundation provide kar raha hai. Current movement sirf ek reactionary spike nahi hai, balki ek well-defined trend framework ke andar ek calculated advance hai.

EUR/USD pair ne apni recent corrective slide ko barhaya hai jo ke mid-1.0900s ke qareeb se shuru hui thi, yaani chaar mahine ke high ko touch kiya tha pichle hafta, aur Wednesday ko dosre din bhi kuch selling pressure mein rahi. EUR/USD ko aage jaake challenge karna parega. Agla downside stop key 200-day SMA 1.0815 par hai uske baad June ka low 1.0666 (June 26) par. May ka low 1.0649 (May 1) ka loss 2024 ka low 1.0601 (April 16) tak le jata hai. Dusri taraf, initial upside barrier July peak 1.0948 (July 17) par emerge hota hai, uske baad March peak 1.0981 (March 8) aur key 1.1000 milestone. Bari tasveer mein, constructive bias tab tak rehta hai jab tak pair apni position key 200-day SMA ke upar maintain karta hai. Ab tak, four-hour chart mein downtrend accelerate hoti hui nazar aa rahi hai. Initial resistance 1.0948 hai, uske baad 1.0981 aur 1.1000. Dusri taraf, 1.0843 sabse pehle aata hai, support karta hai 200-SMA par 1.0793 aur aakhir mein 1.0709. Relative Strength Index lagbhag 33 par gir gaya hai.

US Dollar Tuesday ko higher edge par tha jabke USD Index mid-104.00s mein move kar gaya tha, baghair kisi corrective decline ke US aur German yields mein. EUR/USD ne apni bearish trend ko resume kiya, Monday ke chote se gains ko jaldi se de diya aur 1.0900 barrier ke south mein aur losses dikhayi dene lage dominant risk-off sentiment ke saath. Fed ke aas paas, September mein interest rate cut expected hai, aur investors December mein ek aur cut anticipate kar rahe hain. Is context mein, market participants ab US political landscape ki taraf dekh sakte hain, khaaskar incumbent Vice President K. Harris jo ke Republican candidate D. Trump ko Nov. 5 election mein takkar dene ke liye kafi support gain kar rahi hain. Kareeb ke ghar, ECB Vice President President Luis de Guindos ne September mein possible interest rate cut ka hint diya, noting ki ECB ke naye projections "sabse important" factor honge determine karne ke liye ke inflation target par wapas a rahi hai ya nahi.

Pichlay kuch ghanton ke doran, channel line ne price ke liye mazboot support ka kaam kiya, jis ki wajah se do bottoms bane hain. Yeh indicate karta hai ke price mein upar ka movement ho sakta hai. Is liye, price se umeed hai ke yeh weekly pivot level ki taraf barhay gi. Maqsad yeh hai ke is level ko break kare aur uske upar stabilize ho, resistance level 1.0930 tak pohanchne ke liye.
Lekin, aisa bhi ho sakta hai ke price weekly pivot level se decline kare aur dobara channel lines ki taraf aaye. Iss scenario ko madde nazar rakhtay hue, buying aur selling levels chart par arrows ke saath indicate kiye gaye hain, jahan potential entry points dikhaye gaye hain.

Ek buying opportunity tab paida hoti hai jab price channel lines par girti hai aur phir upward rebound karti hai. Yeh strategy channel lines ke mazboot support ka faida uthati hai, umeed karte hue ke price in levels ko touch karne ke baad dobara upar ki taraf jaye gi. Traders is upward rebound ki umeed mein buy positions enter kar sakte hain.

Doosri buying opportunity tab paida hoti hai agar price successfully weekly pivot point 1.0900 ko break kar le. Jab price is level ko cross kar le, to umeed hai ke yeh apni upward trajectory ko continue kare gi, resistance level 1.0930 ko target karte hue. Is break ke baad buy positions enter karna faidemand ho sakta hai, kyun ke yeh upward trend ke momentum ke saath align karta hai.

Khulasay ke tor par, mojooda market conditions do potential buying strategies offer karti hain: ek price ke channel lines se rebound hone par aur doosri weekly pivot point ke upar break hone par. Traders ko in levels ko qareebi tor par monitor karna chahiye aur accordingly positions enter karni chahiye. Dono strategies price ke expected rise ka faida uthana aim karti hain, support aur resistance levels ko madde nazar rakhte hue jo chart par indicate kiye gaye hain. Apni entries ko carefully time karke, traders in movements se profit kamaane ke chances barha sakte hain.

EUR/USD ki analysis H1 pe:
Assalam-o-Alaikum, hum-kaar! Khubsurti ke liye, zaroori hoga ke EUR/USD level 1.09 se 0.905 tak ka test kare, aur yahan ek khubsurat right shoulder banay. Lekin, yeh itna zaroori nahi hai. Abhi ke liye, EUR/USD waqai mein range mein trade kar raha hai, EMA20 ke darmiyan 1.0895 aur 1.0880 par right shoulder banate hue.

Agar price 1.0880 se neeche trade karne lagay, to yeh bearish trend ke formation ka signal dega. Ahem levels jo dekhne hain, woh 1.0895 aur 1.0880 hain. Jab tak price is range mein hai, traders ko ehtiyat se kaam lena chahiye aur kisi bhi badi decision se pehle mazeed confirmation ka intezar karna chahiye. 1.0880 se neeche jaane se market sentiment bearish ho jaye ga aur downward trend shuru ho sakta hai.

Doosri taraf, agar price EMA20 ke upar rehti hai aur range se upar breakout karti hai, to yeh current bullish momentum ke continuation ko suggest kare gi. Yeh bearish right shoulder formation ko invalidate kare ga aur EUR/USD ke liye mazeed gains ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Khulasay mein, jabke ideal scenario right shoulder ke liye 1.09 se 0.905 level ka test hai, abhi ka focus EMA20 ke darmiyan 1.0895 aur 1.0880 par hona chahiye. 1.0880 se neeche jaane se bearish trend shuru hone ka signal milega, jabke EMA20 ke upar rehne se bullish momentum ka indication hoga. Traders ko in levels ko qareebi tor par dekhna chahiye aur price action aur market signals ke mutabiq action lena chahiye.


Let's see.

EUR/USD H1 Analysis

Ab four-hour chart par yeh wazeh hai ke guzishta hafte EUR/USD currency pair ne ek taqatwar upward movement diya. Magar sirf euro ke muqable mein nahi, balki US dollar ne lagbhag pooray market spectrum ke khilaf kamzori dikhayi. Wave structure ne apni order ko upwards banana shuru kiya, aur MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein hai. Agar aap target Fibonacci grid ko pehli wave par lagayein, toh aap target dekh sakte hain - level 161.8, jo work out ho chuka hai. Is level ke qareeb positions fix ki gayi aur wahan se ek rollback hua down to the horizontal support level of 1.8000, wahan, level ke qareeb pohanchte hi, price ko foran uthaya gaya aur wapas upar le jaya gaya. Phir price ko wapas neeche 1.0800 tak laya gaya, dheere dheere magar push karke is level tak pohanchaya gaya. Ye level mazeed mazboot hota hai is baat se ke...



ek integer hai. Aap char waves ki growth structure dekh sakte hain. Shayad ab chauthi wave ka aakhri hissa chal raha hai aur paanchvi wave ke saath growth hogi, is haftay ke maximum ka update aur resistance area mein entry 1.0846 aur 1.0861 ke darmiyan hogi. Ye CCI indicator se zahir hota hai, jo lower overheating zone se upar jaane ke liye tayyar hai. Jab top se bahar nikalta hai, toh MACD indicator par ek bearish divergence banta hai aur paanch waves ka poora cycle complete hota hai, jahan se ek reversal aur girawat ki umeed hai. Ye poori tasweer toot jati hai agar consolidation 1.0800 ke level ke neeche ho jaye, phir 1.0768 ka test karne ke liye descent ki umeed hai.

Aaj ke news se hum ye dekh sakte hain: 17:00 Moscow time - US Federal Reserve System ke head Powell ka speech. Halankeh aisa lagta hai jaise unka speech kal tha, aur mujhe samajh nahi aata, kya wo har din bolte hain ya kuch? Agar unka speech kal tha, toh uska market par koi asar nahi hua. Mukhtasar mein, main umeed karta hoon ke kal ke low se kam az kam chand points tak exit hoga, aur agar M5-M15 par mirror level ki tarah upward entry hoti hai, toh pehle option ke work out hone ka high probability hai.

Aaj, hum EUR/USD currency pair ke H4 time frame chart par tawajjo denge. Yahan par, wave structure ne apni sequence ko nichayi taraf banaya jab current wave ne ascending structure ko toor diya. MACD indicator ne bhi apni lower selling zone mein entry kar li hai aur apne signal line ke neeche hai. Pehle is se pehle, do ya teen wave structures ke development cycle ne upar ki taraf banaya tha. Yeh pura cycle ek significant heights se bahar nikal kar khatam hua aur MACD indicator par ek aur triple bearish divergence dikhai diya, jisme standard parameters istemal hue thay. Yeh divergence pehle hi kaam kar chuki hai aur price pehle to kisi tarah se neeche gayi, phir horizontal support level 1.0907 ko bhi toor diya, aur upar ki taraf move karne wale ascending channel ko bhi toor diya jisme price pehle se move kar rahi thi. Isliye ab girne ki sambhavna badh gayi hai. Giravat hui aur price 1.0844 support level tak pahunch gayi hai. Wahan se ek corrective rise develop karne ki koshish ho rahi hai, aur yeh kaam bhi karegi, CCI indicator lower overheating zone ke upar ja raha hai. Shayad 1.0875 level tak rise ho sakta hai, wahan se din ke short-term sales ke liye formation dekhne ko mil sakti hai, jaise ki support ko resistance banane ke liye mirror level. Aaj ke news hai: Moscow time ke 15:30 par US mein building permits issued ka number, US mein goods ke foreign trade balance, US mein retail trade inventories excluding cars. 16:45 par: US mein manufacturing sector ke business activity index (PMI), overall business activity index (PMI) from S&P Global US mein, service sector ke business activity index (PMI) US mein. 17:00 par US mein new homes ki sales. 17:30 par US mein crude oil inventories.

Is tarah se, EUR/USD ke H4 time frame chart par halaat ka aakalan kiya ja sakta hai. Wave structure ka trend niche ki taraf ja raha hai, MACD indicator aur CCI indicator bhi downward movement ko support kar rahe hain. Price ki movement aur indicators ke signals ke basis par, short-term trading strategies plan ki ja sakti hain jo market ke dynamics ke hisaab se adjust ki ja sakti hain.

EUR/USD Currency Pair ki Keemat ka Amal

Humare paas hal hi mein jo EUR/USD currency pair ki keemat mein kami dekhne ko mili hai, jo 31 July tak Federal Reserve ki ahem monetary policy meeting tak jari rahegi. Lekin is baat ko bhi nahi nikala ja sakta ke is dauran kuch buland correction maujood ho sakta hai. Ye jora 1.0821 se 1.0814 ke range mein pahunchna chahiye, phir achanak kisi anjaani khabar ke zariye munsif latazi se, jaise ke 1.0869 tak buland pullback, mumkin hai. Yahan se giravat daily channel ke darmiyan ke zinda level tak dobara ja sakti hai, jo ke ab 1.0794 par hai lekin thoda neeche jhuk sakti hai. Aanay wali Federal Reserve ki meeting aam toor par aik buland spike ki taraf ishara kar sakti hai, lekin yeh muqarrar nahi hai. Hum is tarz-e-harkat ko mazeed istara se talash karenge jab tak meeting ka din na pohnche. Is tarah se harkat karne ka tasawwur aasan lekin mumkin hai. Musbat market shorat mein, trade karne ke faisley par sabar ka istemal zaroori hai, khaas karke halat mein jo ab gir rahi hai. Jabke jora technic mein taqatwar hai, mein mashwara doonga ke EUR/USD ko bechne se pehle 1.0896 ke level ka intezar karen.

Mausam ke halat ke mutabiq, jari rehne wali izaafa nahi mumkin hai, aur yeh ke aik badalte hui bearish trend ke mukhtalif numayan hone ke imkanat nazar aate hain. Mazeed development is tarike se mumkin hai. Rozana aik key daily muddat ke zariye aage badhne ke liye raqam ikhatta karna zaroori hai. Khabroon ke jawab mein mustaqil shiddat taiz hosakti hai, khaas taur par jaise ke Thursday ko GDP data, jise Federal Reserve ki meeting ke samne aik sakht ishara hai. Market ko keemat ko buland karne ke liye mazeed quwat ki zaroorat hai. Taqatwar downside signals hourly aur chaar ghanton ke charts par ban chuke hain, jo ke 1.0689 se 1.0719 ke darmiyan muntakhib levelon tak mazboot movement ki taraf ishara karte hain. Market ab iss umar ke tajziya ke ulte hone wala hai, jis mein besabri se buland honay wale bulls ko saheb rassayi ke liye giravat karte hue thakaye ga aur ye unko kuch sau points ke neeche khareedne ke saath ghomayega.

EUR/USD ka H4 chart dekhte hain.

Market is waqt is support area ko maintain karne par zor dene par tawajjo jama raha hai, aur agar price 1.0808 ke last resistance se ooper chale gaye to bullish momentum jari rakh sakta hai. RSI indicator 150 area ke ooper move kar raha hai, jis se yeh sujhaata hai ke agar price support ko toorna na paye, to aane wale arse mein upar jaane ki sambhavna hai. Chart mein istemal hone wale hain 50-day SMA (green), 100-day SMA (blue), aur 100-day SMA (red). Agar pehla resistance 1.0950 consolidation level ko paar kar le, to bulls 1.0860-1.0980 range ke ooper significant swing ke liye lakshya rakh sakte hain. Short-term investors ko US session ke dauraan 1.0810-1.0890 trading range ke andar speculation karne ka tawajo dena chahiye, jahan 1.0810 support level ek ahem factor hai. Is support se aane wala buying pressure price ko replacement area tak pahuncha sakta hai. H4 time frame ke RSI indicator jo 50 regions ke neeche move kar raha hai, yeh sujhaata hai ke aur giravat sambhav hai. Lekin agar 1.0810 support tootna na ho, to price phir se upar ja sakta hai aur resistance 1.0895 par 100-day SMA ko target kar sakta hai.

Somwar se pehle, London session shuru hone se pehle, price ne is area ko dobara test kiya lekin aakhir mein 1.0860 ke uchit kshetra tak phail gayi, aur 1.0960 ke aas paas band hui. Yeh candlestick formation dikhata hai ke 1.0800 ke mazboot support ne price ke izzafay mein madad ki, waise bhi jabki hafte ke shuru mein teen kali kaauwa candle pattern dikhai diya tha. Market participants ne Bullish Harami pattern banane ki koshish ki lekin nakam rahe. Lekin pichhle do candles ne 1.0965 ke aas paas ek uchit kshetra tayar kiya. Agar EUR/USD is zone ko paar kar le to yeh mazboot buyer momentum ki nishani hai. Aane wale haftay ka price outlook sakht, jahan buyers 1.0786 ke aas paas ka area test karne ki koshish kar sakte hain, jahan par 100 SMA lines maujood hain. Stochastic oscillator aur paanch-period smoothed moving average abhi bhi upar ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain, jis se yeh sujhaata hai ke aaj ya aane wale haftay mein Bollinger band ka bullish breakout ho sakta hai.