Eurusd forum

USD
EUR/USD ke Fundamentals:
USD/EUR ki keemat mei girawat ke mukhtalif asbaab ki wajah se, Wednesday ke European trading session ke shuruaati mein 1.0725 ke qareeb qaim rahi. Haal hi mein, is shadiyon ne ek janib dhaal rahi rahi, jo economic data ki taqseem se le kar central banks ki izhaar kiye gaye jazbaat tak ke kai factors ke ek aghaz se mushtamil hai.

EUR/USD ki Bunyadiyat:

Mukhtalif central banks ke tajziyat ke izharat se, America aur Europe ke services sector mein ziddi keemat ke moment ne Federal Reserve (Fed) aur European Central Bank (ECB) ke interest rate cuts ke muntazir hony ke waqt ko nihayat Mutasir kiya hai. Jab ECB ke afraad June mein ECB ke base lending rate ko kam karne ka ittefaq ko manind mante hain, to Fed ke afraad ke rukh ka waqt guzarne ke bare mein shak hai. Is central bank ke jazbaat mein ikhtilaf ki nashriyat ne haal hi mein US Dollar ka kamyabi se bahar nikalne ka asal sabab ban gaya hai aur EUR/USD pair ke bearish momentum ko phukne ka sabab ban gaya hai.

**Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:**

EUR/USD ke pairing ne ahem mark 1.0700 ke par kar ke surprise Bear Flag pattern ke hone ka sawaal uthaya hai. Ye ghaflat se kiye gaye departure ne market sentiment mein be ittefaqi ka mahaul daala hai. Tawaqqo ki jaa rahi bearish pattern ka paydaishi na hona, aik palat ki sambhavana ko taqwiyat deta hai. Ye shift short-covering maneuvers ke aghaz se fuel ki ja rahi hai, jo pair ke prospects mein ek taaza surat-e-haal ko jaga sakta hai.

Agla target pichli kam high se resistance par hai, jahan pe ek ibtidaati target 1.0755 par tay kiya gaya hai. Is ke ilawa, 50-day aur 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMA) daily chart par 1.0805 par ahem resistance pesh karte hain, jo upar ki harkat ke liye potenti hurdles ki alaamat hain. Magar, 16 April ki kam se kam 1.0600 ke neeche girne ke saath, Bear Flag hypothesis ko tasdeeq karega, jo ek neeche ki manzil ka aghaz ka elaan karega.

Lambi muddat mein, EUR/USD ne sab kuch wazeh aur khoobsurti se bayan kar diya. Lekin us waqt tak, bulls ko itna maara jaana chahiye ke wo schedule se piche hatt jayein aur fazool musafir gaari se uttar jayein jo north ja rahi hai. Is liye, sales hasil karne ki behtareen strategy average karna hai. Un logon ke liye jo ek din se zyada trading kar rahe hain aur jaldbaazi mein nahi hain, ye asaan hai. Baqi log paise kamane nahi diye jayenge. Ab bhi, H1 chart pe 1.0742-1.0754 hone ka retest mang raha hai. Wahan wo ya to update karega ya 10th figure tak barh sakta hai. Hafte ka khatma bear's initiative adhoora rehta hai.
Euro/dollar pair ke liye ek aur maqami range hai. Aur wo ek naye support level ko is range ke andar peesne mein kamiyab hue hain. Is hisaab se, agar hum price movements ko 1.0765-75 level se shuru karte hue dekhein, aur range ki hadain jo support zone 1.0725-55 aur resistance level 1.0795-1.0805 se bani hain, to yahan wo ya to push karenge aur 8th figure mein breakout shuru karenge, aur phir aage reaction prices agle resistance zone 1.0820-75 mein todenge, dekhein kya hoga, ek koshish ke zariye jamne aur aage barhne ki, aur is surat mein targets 9-10 figures mein kaam kar sakte hain. Ya, ek jhoota breakout aur wapas decline.




se uttar jayein jo north ja rahi hai. Is liye, sales hasil karne ki behtareen strategy average karna hai. Un logon ke liye jo ek din se zyada trading kar rahe hain aur jaldbaazi mein nahi hain, ye asaan hai. Baqi log paise kamane nahi diye jayenge. Ab bhi, H1 chart pe 1.0742-1.0754 hone ka retest mang raha hai. Wahan wo ya to update karega ya 10th figure tak barh sakta hai. Hafte ka khatma bear's initiative adhoora rehta hai.



Euro/dollar pair ke liye ek aur maqami range hai. Aur wo ek naye support level ko is range ke andar peesne mein kamiyab hue hain. Is hisaab se, agar hum price movements ko 1.0765-75 level se shuru karte hue dekhein, aur range ki hadain jo support zone 1.0725-55 aur resistance level 1.0795-1.0805 se bani hain, to yahan wo ya to push karenge aur 8th figure mein breakout shuru karenge, aur phir aage reaction prices agle resistance zone 1.0820-75 mein todenge, dekhein kya hoga, ek koshish ke zariye jamne aur aage barhne ki, aur is surat mein targets 9-10 figures mein kaam kar sakte hain. Ya, ek jhoota breakout aur wapas decline.

EUR/USD Takneeki Tahlil:

EUR/USD jodi ka jaaiza lene mein saaf hai ke ek neeche ki taraf ka trend jari hai. Magar, chaar ghante (H4) ka time frame tafteesh karne par ek dilchasp dharavahik zahir hota hai: neeche ke dabav ke bawajood, jodi ne muqaddas support zone 1.0760 ke neeche trading ko barqarar rakhne mein baar baar nakami ka samna kiya hai. Yeh istedad ka mustaqil jaddojahad neeche chhedne ki alamat hai jo market mein chhupi bullish jazbat ka zahir kar rahi hai, jiska matlub hai ke maamoolan aane waale waqt mein USD ki taqat ka phir se ubhaar hone ka intezar hai. Aise manzar mein, yeh mumkin hai ke jodi rozana basis par 1.0700 ke mark tak laut jaye. Magar, yeh zaroori hai ke dyan mein rakha jaye ke dharavahik tabdeeliyon ke aitebaar se dharavahik hain, khaaskar USD index mein tabdeeliyon ke aitebaar se.

USD index mein phir se ubhaar hone ke intezar mein, EUR/USD jodi mein aur neeche ki harkat ka intezar karna munasib hai, mumkin hai ke rozana basis par 1.0730 ke support level ki taraf. Magar, resistance levels par faida uthane aur bearish nazriyat adopt karne ke bajaye, ek mukhtalif strategy saamne aati hai: support levels se bounce hone ke imkaan ki tasdeeq ke intezar mein, ek khareedne ki position aane waale haftay ke liye ek zyada munasib khatarnaak-ijaadati manzar hai.

Yahan strategy wazeh hai: najdeek ke support level par qeemat ke amal ki tasdeeq ka intezar karna pehle se khareedne ka order shuru karne se pehle. Yeh tareeqa 'kam khareedna aur zyada bechna' ke asoolon ke saath milta hai, muqaddas support levels se mukhtalif reversals ka faida uthate hue. Sabar aur strateejik durusti se, traders apne aap ko EUR/USD jodi mein bullish reversal ke intezar mein faayda mand bana sakte hain. Mukhtasar mein, jab ke EUR/USD jodi mein mojooda downtrend ek bearish nazriyat ka imkaan deta hai, ek mukhtalif tahlil bullish reversal ka imkaan zahir karti hai. Mukhtalif support levels aur USD index ke rukh ko qareebi tor par nigaah daal kar, traders proactive stance ikhtiyaar kar sakte hain, jaise ke market dynamics tabdeel hote hain, munasib kharidne ke mauqay ka faida utha sakte hain.

muqable mein maqil hone ki alaamat dikhayi, bawajood kuch fluctuations ke. Maqwi ma'ashiyati data se pehle se aameer currency ko taqwiyat mili, jo ke pichle din ke nuqsanat ko bahaal karne mein madad faraham ki. Magar, euro ne apni jagah qaim rakhne ka kaam kiya, thora sa 1.0600 ke ooper reh gaya. Ye maqilgi aai jabke amreeki ma'ashiyati khabron ke bawajood aai. Durable goods orders March mein expected se zyada barh gaye, jis se amreeki manufacturing mein musalsal izafa ka ishara mila. Mazeed, amreeki ma'ashiyat ko 2024 ke pehle quarter mein aik munasib izafa dar jari rakhna tawaqqa kiya ja raha hai, haalaanki peechle quarter se thoda dhimi raftar se. Magar, aise bhi nishaanat thay jo amreeki dollar ki izafa ko kam kar sakti hain. Barhne wale amreeki bond issuance ne thori si Treasury yields ko ooper ki taraf daba dia, aur core inflation ki tawaqqa hai ke maxil ya mazeed kam ho. Ye dollar ko investors ke liye kam kashish banane ka sabab bana sakta hai jo ziyata returns ya inflation ke khilaaf hedge ktalaash mein hClick image for larger vID33


Agay dekhtay hain, EUR/USD ke liye ahem satah 1.0700 hai. Agar euro independent tor par is satah ke ooper band kar sakta hai, to ye aik potential izafa ki taraf ishara hosakta hai 1.0750 aur us se bhi aage. Mukhtalif taur par, 1.0700 ke ooper rehne mein kamiyabi na milne se saal ke kamzor tajurba ki dohraai aur shayad hi 1.0448 tak giravat ho sakti hai, aik aham support satah. Ikhtitaar mein, euro aur dollar ab tug-of-war mein shamil hain. Jabke independent US data ne pehle dollar ko taqwiyat di, euro ne mazbooti dikhayi. Anay wale ma'ashiyati indicators, special inflation data, is currency pair ke mustaqbil ki raah ka tayyun karne mein ahem kirdar ada kar sakte hain. Isey mukhtasir tor par, EURUSD pichle kai sessions se rangebound raha hai, lekin momentum indicators se nazar andaaz hota hai ke bears ka abhi bhi asar hai. Aik taaza dhimmi lehar shuru ki ja sakti hai, magar agar 50- aur 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs) aik death cross perfect kar lein.

EUR/USD pair ka 1.0736 par trade ho raha hai, aur yeh bearish trend dikhai de raha hai jo dhire dhire market ke movements ko darust kar raha hai. Is trend ko samajhna mahatvapurna hai, kyunke yeh aksar market ke agle kadam ka ishaara hota hai. Bearish trend ka matlab hai ke Euro kamzor ho raha hai compared to Dollar. Yeh ek samanya market ki movement hai, jahan traders apne positions ko adjust karte hain taaki future ke liye behtar tayari ho. Magar, ishaaraat yeh bhi de rahi hain ke aane waale dino mein kuch ahem harekatein ho sakti hain. Yeh ho sakta hai ki Euro ki value mein tezi se tabdeeli aaye ya phir kisi economic report ya geopolitical event se Euro ya Dollar ko influence ho.

Ek ahem factor Eurozone ke economic data mein ho sakta hai. Agar Eurozone ke economic indicators achhe hote hain, jaise GDP growth, manufacturing PMI, ya employment data, to Euro ki value mein izafa ho sakta hai. Dusri taraf, geopolitical tensions bhi market ke liye ahem hote hain. Kisi bhi bade desh mein political instability ya koi badi event, jaise war ya natural disaster, currency values ko asar daal sakta hai. Market mein uncertainty ke daur mein, traders ko cautious rehna chahiye. Technical analysis aur fundamental analysis dono ka istemal karna zaroori hai taaki market ke future ke movements ko samjha ja sake.

Is samay, Euro ki value ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai. Agar Euro aur Dollar ke beech mein koi badi movement hoti hai, toh traders ko apne positions ko adjust karne ki zaroorat ho sakti hai. Overall, market mein bearish trend hone ke bawajood, future mein kuch significant movements ki ummeed hai. Traders ko alert rehna chahiye aur market ke latest updates ko dhyaan se dekhna zaroori hai.

EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Euro/dollar ke jode ki tezi ka daud mahdud hai, jo mumkena bullish reversal ki nishandahi karta hai. Buniyadi nuqtah nazar se, yah mafruzah durust hai kiyunkeh maishat badh rahi hai.
Pichle do hafton se, 1.0800 ki muzahmati satah ne ek mazbut rukawat ke taur par kam kiya hai, jisne jodi ko roke rakha. Pichle hafte, euro/dollar ka joda pichle hafte ki buland tarin satah tak badhne me nakam raha, lekin niche nahin gira. Bahar hal, 4-ghante ke chart ke mutabiq rujhan tezi ka barqarar hai. Halankeh, H4 growth index 10 April se mandi ke zone me hai aur is se ooper nahin ja saka hai, jo is bat ki nishandahi karta hai keh darmiyani mudat ke bazar ka jazba mandi ka shikar hai.
Kal, European currency ne yaumiyah descending channel ki oopri line ka test taqriban 1.0784 par kiya, lekin fir fauri taur par 1.0788 ke ilaqe me gir gaya jahan yah is waqt karobar kar rahi hai. Hafte ke aaghaz se, H1 growth index tezi ke ilaqe me hai, jo euro/dollar ki jodi ko ahistah-ahistah thik hone ki ijazat deta hai. Jab index bearish zone me dakhil hota hai to, long positions se bahar nikalna aur short positions ko kholna danishmandi hogi. Mujhe ummid hai keh euro manfi ho jayega.

EUR/USD ki Technical Analysis
H-4 Timeframe Analysis

Pichli trading week mein, euro ne 1.0763 ke upar ek makhsoos bulandi tak pohanch gaya aur mazid mustaqil hone ki koshish kar raha hai. Keemat foran is level ke neeche gir gayi lekin is ne aapni asal jagah ko qaim rakha aur mustaqil hone ke koshish ki. Magar, yeh nishana area tak nahi pohancha, mukhya manzarnama ke tawaqo ke mutazad hai, yeh manzarnama abhi bhi jari hai. Is doran, keemat ka chart hara supertrend zone mein hai, jo ke mustaqil kharidari ki faaliyat ki nishandahi karta hai.

Rozgar aur munfarid daramad daron par USA mein iflashti data ke muntazir hote hain jabke sarmayakar muntazir hain ke Federal Reserve taiztar rate kam karne se pehle lamba intezar kare. Ye bhi mumkin hai ke muntazir data dikhaye ke iflasht mein mustaqil hone ka silsila shuru ho gaya hai aur tezi se barhna dobara shuru nahi hoga. USA Treasury yields naye trading week ke pehle din gir gaye. 10 saal ke USA Treasury note ki farahmi pichle din ke 4.502 percent se 4.478 percent tak gir gayi.

Is waqt, jodi mukhtalif rukh par trading kar rahi hai aur haftawarana bunyadi tor par neutral hai. Markazi support areas abhi tak mehsoos aur barqarar nahi hue hain, jo ke pasandida urooj ke vector ki ehmiyat ko dikhata hai. Keemat is mojooda keemat zone mein mustaqil honi chahiye aur apni hadood ko 1.0763 ke darja ke qareeb band karna chahiye, jo ke mukhya support area ka hadood hai. Agar koi tanazul hota hai, to humein is area ko dobara check karne aur isay mazeed gehra karnay ke saath agle buland rukh ko nishana banane ki umeed hai, jo ke 1.0926 aur 1.1033 ke darmiyan area ko nishana banayega aur ek aur urooj dene ka moqa dega.

Agar support toot jata hai aur 1.0694 pivot level ke neeche gir jata hai, to mojooda manzarnama ulta ho jayega.

EURUSD jodi ki Daily time frame ki tajziya:

Kharidaron ne peer ko EURUSD jodi mein qawi tor par trading ka kontrol phir se hasil kia, khaas tor par support area par 1.0770-1.0765 ke qeemat par kamyaabi ke baad, jo ke farokht karne walon ko dobara muma'ani banaya aur qeemat ka kontrol phir se kharidaron ke paas chala gaya jo phir taqat se push lagaye. Mazeed taqatwar bullishness ne EURUSD jodi ki qeemat ko phir se mazboot kardia.

Rozana time frame mein Moving Average indicator ka istemal kar ke dekha ja sakta hai ke qeemat ya candle ne laal MA 50 area ke oopar se nikaal kar upar lai gayi hai jo 1.0785-1.0787 par hai aur abhi mojood hai peeli MA 200 area mein jo 1.0790-1.0792 par hai jise test kia gaya lekin yeh kamyabi se nahi guzra kyun ke yeh abhi tak farokht karne walon ke bharose se bharosa kar sakta hai. Bullish candlestick ke banne ke sath, kharidaron ke liye qeemat ko phir se mazboot karne ka mauqa, aur bullish, ab bhi wide open hai jis ka agla maqam hai qeemat ko le kar upar Blue 100 MA area tak jo ke 1.0827-1.0830 par hai aur farokht karne walon ke liye mazboot supply resistance area bhi hai.

Mangalwar ko Asian market session mein trading mein subah phir se qeemat ko farokht karne walon ne control kiya jo ke resistance area ko qeemat par banaye rakha tha 1.0805-1.0800 ke qeemat par jo ke kharidaron ne nahi tora tha, is liye phir se qeemat ko farokht karne walon ne control kia jo taqat se bearish dabao lagaye. Farokht karne walon ka irada hai qeemat ko bearishly neeche le kar laya jaye kharidaron ke support area tak jo ke 1.0770-1.0765 ke qeemat par hai. Agar yeh area tora ja sake, to qeemat mazeed kamzor ho jayegi, lekin agar yeh kamyaab na ho, to kharidaron ke liye badi mauqa hai target ke sath qeemat ko le kar upar farokht karne walon ke supply resistance area tak jo ke 1.0820-1.0830 ke qeemat par hai.

Ikhtitam:

Kharid ya kharid trading options ko istemal kiya ja sakta hai agar qeemat farokht karne walon ke resistance area ko tor kar pending order buy stop area par rakh diya jaye 1.0800-1.0805 ke qeemat par TP area ke sath 1.0825-1.0830 ke qeemat par.

Farokht ya farokht trading options ko istemal kiya ja sakta hai agar qeemat kharidaron ke support area ko kamiyabi se tor deti hai pending sell stop order ke sath 1.0770-1.0765 ke qeemat par TP area ke sath 1.0730-1.0725 ke qeemat par.

Sab ko salam,
Aaj main EUR USD ki hourly time frame chart par nazar daal raha hoon aur EUR USD par sell mauqa mil sakta hai kyun ke kal EUR USD ne New York session mein girahkari dikhayi thi aur yeh aik wapas ki retracement thi higher time frame chart par aur agar fundamentals ki baat karein
Aaj ke din fundamentals aur macroeconomics mazeed dilchaspi wale honge. Subah Germany ki April ke inflation report ka doosra tajziya jaari kiya jayega. Phir, Germany aur EU ke ZEW economic sentiment indexes ko shaaya kiya jayega. US docket mein Producer Price Index shaamil hai. Din ko Fed Chair Jerome Powell ka ek taqreer bhi shaamil hai. Bila shuba, aakhri waqiya sab se ahem hai. Magar, shiddat dar shiddat barh sakti hai.

Tasveer

EUR/USD ne peer ko kam volatility ka samna kiya. Euro ko thoda sa izafa mila, lekin harkatein itni kamzor thin ke sirf kareeb 20 pips ki harkat se faida uthane wale ka pata karna mushkil hai. Jodi ascendant channel ke oopar qareeb rehti hai, jo ke ek upri sudhar ki umeed rakhti hai. Yeh sudhar ek maah se chal raha hai. Is par koi shak nahi ke yeh ek sudhar hai; 4-hour timeframe par ek jaldi nazar daalne se yeh saaf ho jata hai. Intraday harkatein kamzor hain, aur darmiyani muddat ki harkatein dheemi hain.

Kal, na to Eurozone mein koi ahem waqiya ya report thay aur na hi US mein. Federal Reserve aur European Central Bank ke nami representatives ke kuch taqreerat thi, lekin haal mein itni si taqreerat ho chuki hain ke naye maloomat ka umeed karna bohot mushkil hai. Market ne musalsal barhte hue isharon par dhyaan dena band kar diya hai. Ab sab ko wazeh hai ke ECB monetary policy mein narmi ki taraf jaane ke liye tayyar hai, jab ke Fed nahi hai. Yeh dollar ko, euro ko nahi, support karna chahiye.





Hum Monday ke trading signals ko dobara ghoor sakte hain. Din bhar mein do trading signals banaye gaye thay, lekin volatility kam thi, is liye dono suraton mein bhi 15 pips se zyada ki harkat nahi dekhi gayi. Is liye traders ne aaj aik ya do trades khol sakte thay, lekin shuru se hi wazeh tha ke hum doosre "boring Monday" ke liye tayyar hain, jo shayad dheere dheere "boring Tuesday" aur "boring Wednesday" mein beh jaye ga.1-hour chart par, EUR/USD jodi teen hafton se ek kamzor bullish correction ka samna kar rahi hai global downward trend ke khilaf, aur peechle haftay ko bilkul flat mein guzara. 2024 mein Federal Reserve ke rate cut ke intizaar ke wazan khatam hone ke baad, US currency darmiyani muddat mein barhna chahiye. Hum ab bhi umeed rakhte hain ke qeemat ascendant channel ke neeche mazboot hone ke baad aur iske baad traders ko phir se sell karne ka ghoor karna chahiye. Shumari ke maqamat 1.00-1.04 ke area mein mustamil hain.

H1 timeframe ki takhleeqi tajziyah ke mutabiq, quotes ko barhane ke liye trading kaafi mashwara hai. Ek market transaction ko select karne ka algorithm jo ke munafa hasil karne ke liye behtareen hai, ismein kuch ahem shuruaati shurataat shamil hain. Sab se pehle, zaroori hai ke higher H4 timeframe par trend ki sahi direction ko sahi taur par tay kia jaye, taake market ki mood ka sahi andaza lagaya ja sake jo ke maali nuqsaan ka bais ban sakta hai. To, chaliye hamare instrument ka chart 4-hour time frame ke saath kholte hain aur fundamental condition ko check karte hain - H1 aur H4 time periods par trend movements ek doosre ke sath milti hui honi chahiye. Is tarah, pehli qaid ki puri hone ke baad, hume yeh yakeen ho jata hai ke aaj market humein long trade mein dakhil hone ka behtareen moqa deta hai. Mazeed tajziyah mein, hum teen kaam karne wale indicators - HamaSystem, RSI Trend, aur Magnetic_Levels_Colo ke readings par tawajju denge.Hum intezaar kar rahe hain jab Hama aur RSI indicators green aur blue ho jayen, jo ke hum market mein kharidari ke hukoomat samajhenge.


Jaise hi yeh hota hai, hum aik kharidari trade kholte hain. Hum position ko magnetic levels indicator ke indicators ke neechay se baahar nikalte hain. Aaj, signal processing ke liye sab se zyada mumkin daraje 1.07409 hain. Agla, hum chart par dekhenge ke keemat ke rawayyaat kya hain jab chune gaye magnetic level ke qareeb aati hai, aur phir faisla karenge ke agla kya karna hai - kya market par position ko agle magnetic level tak chor dena hai ya pehle hi kamayi ko theek karna hai. Maamoolan, potential kamayi ko barhane ke liye, aap aik trawl bhi jod sakte hain.
Aaj ke trading mein, EUR/USD pair ke buyers ne ahem mukhaalfat ka muzahira kiya hai, jis se Asian session mein dekhe gaye muqami low tak pohanchne ki koshishain kamyab taur par roki gayi hain. Daily candle ek bullish body dikha raha hai jo ke ek numaya bearish trend-based shadow ke saath hai, jo buy position holders ke liye musbat hai. Aik mumkinah bullish wave ban rahi hai, jo ke anay wale haftay mein khul sakti hai, halan ke overall trend bearish lagta hai. Market ki unpredictable fitrat ko madde nazar rakhte hue, prioritization ke liye mazeed jaga ki zarurat hai. Halanki, hal hi mein ki gayi umeedon ka jhalk hua ke pehle maine 1.0746 tak ke ek izafa ka intezar kiya tha, lekin movement 1.0699 par ruk gaya. Is liye, mein mojooda dor mein active trading se bache hue hoon, naye karobaron se bachne ke liye ek shaant hafta guzarne ka intikhab karta hoon, jo sukoon aur tasalli ke liye moujood hai.

Aaj phir hum EURUSD currency pair par nazar daalenge - H4 muddat ka chart. Kuch bhi tabdeeli nahi ayi; humne puray din guzara spot par kaat'te hue. Lehar kaar baani hui hai anjaam mein; MACD indicator bhi upper buy zone mein hai. Agar pehli lehar par target Fibonacci grid ko ooper lagayein, toh aap dekh sakte hain ke woh wakt mein dekha gaya potential growth target - level 161.8. Jaisa ke aap dekh sakte hain peechle haftay, qeemat is maqam tak nahi pohanch saki, American dollar majmooi currencies ke digar currencies ke khilaaf trading ke ikhtitam par mazboot hona shuru hua, umeed ke baad girne ki wajah se, wo correction karte hue shuru ho gaye, is liye yeh halat is pair ki qeemat ko 161.8 ke Fibonacci grid par pohanchne ki ijaazat nahi di. Magar yahan aik qaima technical masla ne isay mazeed barhne nahi diya - aik takseeri line se takrao ne isay phir se peechay kar diya. Samajhdar taur par, traders ne faisla kiya ke behtar hai kharidariyon ko band kar dein aur farokht shuru kar dein. Aur ab tajziyati correction level tak pohanch gaya hai, 1.0737 ka support level. Isi waqt, CCI indicator ne neeche se upar ko jaane ke liye tayyar hai






jo ke support level se ooper ki taraf takrao ki sambhavna ko barhaata hai. Magar, 1.0756 ka resistance level bohot qareeb hai aur yeh samajhdari ke mutabiq hai ke ab qeemat levels ke darmiyan dab gayi hai. Hum shayad yahan thodi dair tak is tang range mein kaat'te rahenge, yahan further movement ke liye positions ka ikhata ho ga. Aap 1.0756 ke qareeb kharidari nahi kar sakte, aur na hi support par farokht kar sakte hain. Yeh nikalta hai ke abhi aap ko market ke bahar rehna chahiye aur waqiyat ke bartaraf dekhna chahiye. Agar 1.0756 ke breakout hota hai, toh shayad ek uthal puthal ka lehar aaye, jo is dafa target Fibonacci grid ke mutabiq phir bhi level 161.8 tak pohanchegi. 1.0737 ke neeche qeemat ko mazid girne ki ishaarat hogi ke zyada tar qeemat do leharon ke neeche se banai gayi ascending line tak girne wali hai.

EUR USD TANAAZUL

EUR USD pair abhi 1.07898 ke darje par trading ho raha hai. Yeh jodi kuch hafton se ek channel mein trading kar rahi hai. Main ne EUR USD pair ka h4 time frame par tajziyah kiya. Kal EUR USD pair 1.07989 ke darje tak pohancha aur ab is darje se neeche trading ho rahi hai. Jodi kuch arsa tak is channel ke andar trading jari rahegi. Aaj main umeed karta hoon ke EUR USD pair trend line tak pohanchega jo ke 1.08234 ke darje par hai aur phir dobara support trend line tak neeche jaayega. Aaj kal, dunya ki ma’ashi soorat-e-haal ki wajah se market bohot bay-qaboo hai. Is haftay, high impact data jaari kiya jayega jo market par bari asar daalayga, khaaskar EUR USD pair par. Kyunki is jodi ka seedha talluq USD X ke saath hai. To agar data USD X ke lehaaz se acha aaye to jodi neeche jaayegi. Magar agar data USD X ko support na kare to jodi bullish ho sakti hai. Bullish trend jaari rakhne ke liye, humein channel ka wazeh tor par intezaar karna hoga. Jab jodi resistance trend line 1.08234 ke darje se oopar break kare aur woh us ke upar settle ho jaaye, toh yeh jodi bila shuba aglay resistance 1.08998 aur 1.09234 ke darje tak le jaayegi.

Pichle maheene EUR USD pair ne mere chart mein dikhaye gaye channel zone ke andar trade kiya aur ab bhi iske andar trading ho rahi hai.

Takneekan, jodi challenge ke andar trading karegi kyunki channel abhi bhi barkarar hai, aur trading zone kafi bara hai. Jab woh tootne ki koshish karegi, tab jodi ek tang trading zone mein trading karna shuru karegi. Ab humein channel ke andar trade karna hai, aap scalping kar sakte hain, lekin yeh khatarnak ho sakta hai. Lambay arsay ke liye trading ke liye, humein wazeh tootne ka intezaar karna hoga phir mutabiq tajziya karna hoga.

Resistance 1.07989

Doosra resistance 1.08233

Support 1.070112

EUR/USD jodi ab ek wazeh tabdeeli ka samna kar rahi hai, jo ek numaya trend hai jo khas tor par ek takneeki nazar se wazeh hai. Analysts aur traders dono ne is jodi ke ird gird ki bearish sentiment mein dhire dhire kami ka zikar kiya hai, ek tabdeeli jo market mein mojood shirkaat daar ke liye ahem asraat rakhti hai. Is tabdeeli ko zahir karne wale mukhya aalaat mein se ek, jodi ke liye eham resistance levels ko paar karne ki taqat hai. Resistance levels, jo ke tareekhi farokht dabao aam tor par kharidari dabao se ooper hotay hain, aksar keemat mein stagnation ya ulte ko natawur karte hain. EUR/USD ke case mein, jodi ne ye dikhaaya hai ke ye resistance levels ko taezee se paar kar sakti hai, jo ek mustaqbil mein zor pakarta bullish momentum ko zahir karta hai. Khaas tor par eham hai haal hi mein 1.0745 ke qeemat ka paar karne ka safar. Ye level pehle se euro ke lehaz se amli fasilah tha, lekin jodi ke kaamyabi ka safar ek naye zor ka imkaan zahir karta hai. Is ke ilawa, 1.0720 ke nafsiyati manzil ka paar bhi is afsane ko aur zor dena wala hai. Nafsiyati levels, jo gol adadon ya ahem moqo par makhsoos hotay hain, aam tor par market ki sentiment mein ziada ahmiyat rakhte hain aur aksar eham junctures ki sifarat karte hain. Ye pesh raftar tajziyatein EUR/USD jodi ke liye ek aham waqt hai, jo mojooda market dynamics mein tabdeeli ka ishaara karte hain. Jab ke yeh zaroori hai ke ahtiyaat se kaam liya jaaye aur sirf takneeki tajziyatein par pura bharosa na kiya jaaye, lekin in eham resistance levels ka paar saaf tor par ek ubharti bullish sentiment ka ishara karta hai.






Zehmat yeh hai ke market ki sentiment mukhtalif factors ka murakkab hai, jismein ma’ashi data releases, sahulat seyasi ijtimaye aur markazi bank policies shaamil hain. Isliye, traders ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye, in waqe hone wali ghatnaon ko qareeb se nazar andaaz karke mojooda trend ki mazbooti ko samajhne ke liye. Iske ilawa, COVID-19 ke mahamari ke hawale se jari hawalaat aur iske asraat global ma’ashiyo mein ek aur paimaish ka izafa currency markets mein ek mazeed paicheedgi ka imkaan banate hain. Is shobha mein koi bhi anjaan waaqiyaat EUR/USD jodi ke mansoobah ko sakht tor par dobaara shehad kar sakte hain. EUR/USD jodi ke andar jo tabdeeli nazar aati hai, khaaskar takneeki nazar se dekha gaya, woh bearish sentiment ki dheere dheere kami aur maqbool hone wale bullish momentum ki taraf mumaaris hai. Eham resistance levels ke kaamyabi se paar, khaas tor par 1.0745 aur 1.0720, market ke manzar mein ek eham juncture ko darust karte hain, jo traders aur analysts ke liye qabil-e-ghor hai.

Euro aur US Dollar (EUR/USD) ik rukhaavat ki shakal mein phans gaye hain, samajh nahi arahi ke kaunsa rukh ikhtiyaar karen. Ye be-tasubta bandish United States mein is haftay aham ma'ashi data releases ke agaaz ke saath aati hai, jo thori si zaroori wazehgi faraham kar sakti hai. Currency pair ab mojood hai 1.0770 ke aas paas, ek downtrend channel mein phans gaya hai jo December 2023 ke darmiyan shuru hua tha. Ye takneeki nishaan ek mukhtalif euro ke qeemat mein mazeed kami ka imkaan zahir karta hai. Magar, kuch isharaat hain ke aik rukh qaim ho sakta hai. Aik aisi nishani hai 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) jo 54.5 par hai, mazboot bullish territory mein. Ye darust karta hai ke euro ke qeemat mein mazeed izafay ke liye abhi bhi jagah hai. Is ke ilawa, bullish traders nay aham resistance levels ko torne ka haq nahi chora, ye koshish ko jumme aur peer ko kiya gaya. Agar bull enough taqat jama kar sakein EUR/USD ko downtrend channel ke upper limit (kareeb 1.0790-1.0800) se ooper daba sakein, to ye aik rally ka aghaz kar sakta hai jis mein 1.0885, April 9th ki unchi, ki taraf rukh sakti hai. Mazeed kamiyon ki kamyabi euro ko 1.0943, March 21st ki unchi, ya phir 1.0981, March 8th ki unchi tak pahuncha sakti hai. Bulls ke liye aakhri inaam aik psychological level 1.1000 tak wapas aana hoga.





Dusray rukh par, agar euro zameen khodti hai, to pehle May 9th ki kamzori tak wapas gir sakti hai jo 1.0724 hai. Is ke ilawa mazeed kami ke baad isay May 2nd ki kamzori tak jana pad sakta hai jo 1.0650 hai aur aakhri mein April 16th ki kamzori jo 1.0600 hai. Dekhne ke liye ek aur bearish signal downtrend channel ka lower limit 1.0515 hai. Takneeki tasveer over all thori si bearish hai, euro 200-day aur 50-day moving averages ke nichay trade kar raha hai, jo ke niche ki taraf jhuki hui hain. Magar, bulls ziddi hain, aur mojooda long aur short positions ke darmiyan ka tawazun investors ka ek intezaar-o-dekho rukh darust karta hai. Kisi bhi taraf ka aham kharabi (kareeb 1%) aik naye, zyada lambay muddat ka trend ka aghaz darust kar sakta hai. Is haftay ke US data releases, khaaskar Producer Price Index (PPI) on Tuesday aur Consumer Price Index (CPI) on Wednesday, mojooda be-tasubti ko torne wale mudda ke taur par sabit ho sakte hain.

Asian trading session mein, EUR/USD currency pair ne ek chhote se girawat ka samna kiya, jo kal record ki gayi kam qeematon ke qareeb tha. Yeh harkat Monday ko mukhtalif baray currencies ke khilaf dekhi gayi US dollar ki mazbooti ke sath mutabiq hai. Investors ko lagta hai ke Europe mein mojooda ma'ashiyati pareshaniyon ke darmiyan US dollar ko aik safe-haven aset ke tor par pasand kiya ja raha hai, khas tor par Germany ke musalsal ma'ashiyati kami ko mazeed barhawa diya gaya hai. Yeh tajziya karne wale experts ka kehna hai ke yeh girawat EUR/USD currency pair ki tawanai ko wazeh tor par dhaaraaft kar rahi hai. Euro ke liye mojooda ma'ashiyati halat bohot challenging hain, khaas kar Europe ke kuch barray economies jese ke Germany. German economy ko mukhtalif ma'ashiyati masail ka samna hai, jis mein supply chain disruptions, energy crisis, aur geopolitical tensions shaamil hain. Yeh sab masail euro ki qeemat par asar andaz hotay hain. Germany ke qowatein ke asal izafa ki kami aur sarmaya ki kami ne euro ko mukhtalif currencies ke khilaf kamzor kar diya hai. US dollar, doosri taraf, ma'ashiyati behtarion ki taraf ja raha hai. Federal Reserve ki qisamati siyasat ke baad, jis mein qeemat ko barqarar rakhnay ki ahem tawaqquf shamil hai, US dollar ko investors ke darmiyan pasandida banati hai. Is ke ilawa, America ki behtareen ma'ashiyati numaindagi aur mukhtalif sectors mein behtar halat ki wajah se, dollar ki qeemat ko mazeed barhawa mil raha hai.

Is taraqi ke doraan, EUR/USD currency pair mein chand girawat ka samna hona tha taake dollar apni qeemat ko barqarar rakh sake. Yeh girawat ek doranayi amal hai, jise chand roze tak dekha ja sakta hai, lekin yeh bhi Euro ki kamzori ko darust karta hai. Euro ke qeemat mein mukhtalif fluctuations ka samna hona mumkin hai jab tak Europe ke economies apni ma'ashiyati sorat-e-haal ko behtar nahi bana lete. Isi tarah, EUR/USD currency pair ke baray mein yeh girawat euro ki kamzori aur dollar ki mazbooti ko darust karta hai. Ma'ashiyati tawazon mein tabdeeliyon ki asal wajah Europe ke musalsal masail hain, jo ke dollar ko ek safe-haven aset banane mein madadgar sabit ho rahi hain. Is doran, investors ko currency markets ki mazid tabdeeliyon ka intezar rehta hai, jab tak Europe apni ma'ashiyati situation ko sudharne mein kamyab nahi ho jata.