Eurusd forum

EUR/USD

Aakhri trading haftay, Euro ne apni barhti hui qeemat ko barqarar rakhne ki koshish ki magar 1.0926 pe resistance ka samna kiya. Is resistance ko paar na karte hue, qeemat wapas palti aur haftay ke aghaz ke levels pe wapas agayi. Natija ye nikla ke mutawaqqa barhawa haqeeqat mein na ho saka aur abhi tak mukammal nahi hua. Saath hi saath, qeemat ka chart super-trending red zone mein move karne laga, jo yeh batata hai ke sellers wapas khichne ki koshish kar rahe hain.

Aaj ki technical analysis ke mutabiq, 4-hour chart par gaur karne se maloom hota hai ke pair regularly ek ascending price channel ke andar trade kar raha hai, jabke simple moving average ka silsila ek positive stimulus faraham kar raha hai. Is tarah, agar intraday trading support level 1.0900 ke upar stabilize ho jati hai aur 1.0870 level ke upar qaim rehti hai, jise target 1.0950 rakha gaya hai, to uptrend ke dobara shuru hone ke imkaanat hain, aur is level ko tor kar upar jane se EUR/USD pair ke gains consolidate ho jayenge aur ek trigger milega jo mazeed barhawa ke liye raasta kholta hai. Neeche ki taraf, agar trading 1.0870 ke niche qaim rehti hai, to pair pe negative pressure aayega ke ye key support 1.0840 ko dobara test kare, jo ke current trading level hai aur 23.60% Fibonacci retracement se waakif hai. Chart dekhne ke liye niche click karein:



Is waqt, pair mukhtalif directions mein trade kar raha hai aur har haftay neutral rehta hai. Key support areas abhi tak test nahi huay aur intact hain, jo ke upward vector ki stability ko zahir karte hain. Magar, current bearish attempt yeh suggest karta hai ke 1.0837 ko reach karne ke imkaanat zyada hain, jo ke main support area ka boundary hai. Agar is area ko dobara test kiya gaya, to subsequent bounce mazeed ek upside opportunity faraham karega, jo ke area 1.1033 aur 1.1121 ke darmiyan target karte hain.

Agar support torh di gayi aur qeemat 1.0763 pivot level ke niche gir gayi, to current scenario cancel ho jayega.

EUR/USD

Pichlay trading haftay, euro ne apni growth ko continue karne ki koshish ki magar resistance 1.0926 par encounter ki. Unable to overcome this resistance, price rebound hui aur decline hone lagi, week ke shuruat ke levels par wapas agayi. Natijatan, expected growth scenario materialize nahi ho saka aur abhi bhi realize ho raha hai. Issi dauran, price chart ne super-trending red zone mein move karna shuru kar diya hai, jo indicate karta hai ke sellers wapas pull karne ki koshish kar rahe hain.

Technical analysis ke perspective se aaj, agar 4-hour chart par qareebi nazar daali jaye, to pair regular trading kar raha hai ek ascending price channel mein, jabke continuation of the simple moving average positive stimulus provide kar raha hai. Agar intraday trading stabilize hoti hai support 1.0900 par aur prevail karti hai 1.0870 level ke upar with a target of 1.0950, to uptrend likely resume hogi, aur is level ko break karke EUR/USD pair ke gains ko consolidate karne se yeh trigger banega jo raasta kholta hai.

Downside par, trading stable rehti hai below 1.0870, jo pair ko negative pressure mein dalti hai key support 1.0840 ko retest karne ke liye, jo ke current trading level hai represented by the 23.60% Fibonacci retracement. Neeche chart dekhiye:



Currently, pair mukhtalif directions mein trade kar rahi hai aur weekly neutral rehti hai. Key support areas abhi tak test nahi hue aur intact hain, jo upward vector ki stability ko indicate karte hain. Magar, current bearish attempt yeh suggest karti hai ke high probability hai reaching 1.0837, jo ke main support area ka boundary hai. Agar yeh area retest hota hai, to subsequent bounce ek aur upside opportunity provide karega, targeting the area between 1.1033 aur 1.1121.

Agar support break hota hai aur price 1.0763 pivot level ke neeche girti hai, to current scenario cancel ho jayega.

EUR/USD ka rise 1.0865 se resume hua hai aur yeh 1.0844 temporary top ko break karte hue upar ki taraf move kar raha hai. Intraday bias phir se upside par hai aur ab yeh 1.0815 resistance ko target kar raha hai. Agar yeh wahan se firmly break karta hai, toh yeh poori rally ko 1.0601 se resume kar dega aur agle target 1.07919 ke 100% projection tak le jaega. Abhi ke liye, risk upside par rahega jab tak 1.0905 support hold karta hai, retreat ki surat mein.
EUR/USD ke price actions 1.0874 se ek corrective pattern ko dikhate hain jo abhi bhi progress mein ho sakta hai. Agar 1.0901 break hota hai, toh yeh 1.00867 support ko target karega aur shayad us se neeche bhi ja sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar 1.0815 resistance ko firmly break karta hai, toh yeh phir se upar ki taraf 1.8338 resistance ko target karte hue ek aur rising leg start karega.

Market dynamics ko dekhte hue, EUR/USD ka movement 1.0865 se kaafi significant hai. Temporary top 1.0844 ko break karte hue, intraday bias wapas upside par aa gaya hai aur 1.0815 resistance ab agla target hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh poori rally 1.0601 se resume hogi aur 1.0835 se 100% projection ka target 1.07919 par hoga. Retreat ki surat mein, jab tak 1.0905 support hold karta hai, risk upside par hi rahega.

Corrective pattern jo 1.0874 se start hua, abhi bhi progress mein ho sakta hai. Agar 1.0901 ka break hota hai, toh agla target 1.00867 support hoga aur shayad yeh is se neeche bhi ja sakta hai. Agar 1.0815 resistance ko firmly break kiya jata hai, toh yeh ek aur rising leg ko start karega jo 1.8338 resistance ko target karegi.

EUR/USD ke price actions aur current movements ko dekh kar yeh lagta hai ke market mein bulls abhi bhi control mein hain. Temporary top 1.0844 ka break hona aur intraday bias ka upside par shift hona is baat ko support karta hai. Agar 1.0815 resistance break hota hai, toh rally 1.0601 se resume hogi aur agla target 1.07919 par hoga. Risk abhi bhi upside par rahega jab tak 1.0905 support hold karta hai.

Corrective pattern jo 1.0874 se start hua, abhi bhi complete nahi hua hai. Agar 1.0901 break hota hai, toh agla target 1.00867 support hoga aur shayad yeh is se neeche bhi ja sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar 1.0815 resistance break hota hai, toh ek aur rising leg start hogi jo 1.8338 resistance ko target karegi.

Market ki current situation aur EUR/USD ke movements ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai taake informed trading decisions liye ja sakein. Yeh dynamics indicate karte hain ke market mein bulls ka upper hand hai aur abhi bhi upside potential hai. Corrective patterns aur key support/resistance levels par nazar rakhna zaroori hai taake market movements ka faida

Technical Analysis of EUR/USD
Pichlay trading hafta, euro ne apni growth ko continue karne ki koshish ki magar 1.0926 ke resistance par aa ke ruk gaya. Is resistance ko paar karne mein nakam hone par, price ne wapas pullback kiya aur decline hone lagi, hafta ke shuruat ke levels par wapas aagayi. Natije ke tor par, expected growth scenario kabhi materialize nahi hua aur continue rehne laga. Issi dauran, price chart super-trending red zone mein move karne laga, jo ye indicate karta hai ke sellers pullback karne ki koshish kar rahe hain
Aaj ke technical analysis ke perspective se dekha jaye to, 4-hour chart pe closer look se yeh samajh aata hai ke pair ek ascending price channel ke andar trading kar raha hai, aur simple moving average ka continuation positive stimulus provide kar raha hai. Is tarah, agar intraday trading 1.0900 ke support se upar stabilize hoti hai aur 1.0870 level se upar rehti hai with a target of 1.0950, to uptrend dobara resume hone ke chances hain, aur iss level ke upar break karne se EUR/USD pair ke gains consolidate hone ka trigger milega jo new levels tak le jaye ga. Downside pe, agar trading 1.0870 se neechay stable rehti hai, to pair negative pressure mein aa jaye ga jise key support 1.0840 ko retest kare ga, jo current trading level 23.60% Fibonacci retracement se represent hota hai. Neeche chart dekhein
Filhal, pair mukhtalif directions mein trade kar raha hai aur har hafta neutral rehta hai. Key support areas abhi tak test nahi hui aur intact hain, jo upward vector ki stability ko indicate karti hain. Magar, current bearish attempt ye suggest karta hai ke 1.0837 ka reach hone ka high probability hai, jo main support area ki boundary hai. Agar yeh area retest hoti hai, to subsequent bounce dusri upside opportunity provide karega, jiska target area 1.1033 aur 1.1121 ke darmiyan hoga
Agar support break hota hai aur price 1.0763 ke pivot level se neeche girti hai, to current scenario cancel ho jaye ga

Is haftay ke aaghaz mein trading ke doran, euro aur US dollar ka exchange rate (EUR/USD) 1.0885 ke ird gird stable raha, jabke pichlay haftay ka peak 1.094 dollars tha, jo ke char maheenon mein sab se zyada tha. President Joe Biden ke 2024 mein dobara election ladnay ke faislay ke bawajood, euro/dollar rate ne neeche hi raha. Sarmayakaron ko ab yeh samajhne ki koshish kar rahe hain ke is faislay ka asar maali bazar aur global macroeconomic policies par kya hoga Doosri taraf, European Central Bank ne apni policies ko baghair kisi tabdeeli ke barqarar rakha hai, aur President Christine Lagarde ne yeh zahir kiya hai ke agla faisla 12 September ko "na-maynoon" hai. Is haftay, Eurozone, Germany, aur France ke liye July ka preliminary PMI data release hoga, jo manufacturing mein gradual decline ko zahir karega jabke services sector mein growth dekhi ja sakti hai. Iske ilawa, Eurozone mein consumer confidence February 2022 ke baad apne buland tareen satah par pohanchne ki tawaqo hai. Germany ke GfK Consumer Climate Index aur Ifo Business Climate Index se bhi behtar readings ki umeed hai
Is haftay euro mein izafa ho sakta hai jabke US policies, Eurozone PMIs, aur US PCE inflation ko dekha jaye. Magar, ek analyst ne yeh note kiya ke recent decline yeh zahir kar sakta hai ke euro/dollar exchange rate aik classic “bull trap” mein phansa hai, jo mazid kamzori ka ishara deta hai. EUR/USD ke technical aspects mein ghussne se pehle kuch aham buniyadi developments ko dekhna zaroori hai, khaaskar President Joe Biden ke aane wale November elections ke elaan ke sath
"Trump trade," jo aam tor par US dollar ke liye mufeed samjha jata hai, Biden ke elaan ke baad kam ho sakta hai. Vice President Kamala Harris ke uski jagah lenay ke zyada chances hain, jo Trump ko mumkina polls mein shikast dene ke zyada chances rakhti hin. Aam tor par, US dollar se related koi bhi positive flows jo Trump ki presidency ki umeedon se jure hue thay, Trump ke jeetne ke odds kam hone par reverse ho sakte hain
Sarmayakaron ko intezar hai ke 30 se zyada investment banks ke projections dekhein ke euro dollar ke muqablay mein September ke kareeb aur saal ke akhir tak kaha khara hoga

. Yeh behtar hai ke aapko periodically updated rakha jaye. Thora extended stop set karna prudent ho sakta hai taake unexpected market movements cover kiye ja sakein. Bear cubs aapke pending order 1.0845 par jaldi pohanch sakte hain; patience critical hai. Main bhi euro ko support area 1.0960 par buy karne ka aim rakhta hoon, lekin abhi thoda jaldi hai. Euro abhi bhi northern correction mein hai, aur value 1.0975 tak pohanch gaya hai. Humein wait karna chahiye ke yeh wapas us jagah aaye jahan se correction start hui thi, jo ke 1.0780 hai. Jabke price north ki taraf bounce kar sakta hai aur aaj 1.0960 tak pohanch sakta hai, yeh phir south ki taraf bounce karega aur 1.0900 tak significantly neeche ja sakta hai. 4H time frame mein, 1.0910 level crucial support serve karega, jo aage further declines ko prevent kar sakta hai. Mukhtalif technical indicators aur relative strength index 4H chart par oversold condition indicate kar rahe hain, jo suggest karta hai ke upward momentum jaldi shuru hoga. Current market mein, main recommend karta hoon ke 1.0970 ke upar buy kiya jaye taake goal 1.0845 achieve kiya ja sake.

Dono northern aur southern scenarios abhi bhi viable hain, isliye unclear hai ke market kis direction mein jayegi. Agar hum potential northern targets consider karein, to bulls abhi tak pehla north zone 1.0960 tak nahi pohanche hain. Technical conditions is target ke liye intact hain jabke bears ne last northern start se line 1.0960 par hold ki hai. Ascending fan ke central corner se rollback abhi tak complete nahi hua, aur bears ko bottom ascending corner 1.0785 tak pohanchna hoga taake yeh complete ho. Aapka din acha guzre.

Good morning, traders! Ab waqt hai ke price south ki taraf move kare. Technical indicators yeh movement suggest kar rahe hain. Hourly chart par indicators ab bhi north ko point kar rahe hain, lekin MACD par bearish divergence nazar aa raha hai. 4-hour chart par complete buy signal form hua hai lekin activate nahi hua; resistance level ke upar break aur consolidation isay trigger karega. Isliye, main 1.0845 ke neeche pair ko buy karne ko consider nahi kar raha. Daily chart par pair ne Bollinger Average ko neeche test kiya lekin break nahi kar paya, jo hourly chart ke downward waves pattern ko mirror karta hai. Kal bulls ki taraf se rise ka attempt unsuccessful raha, aur bears sirf price ko subah ki value par wapas push kar paye, jisse ek small lateral range form hui. Horizontal support level 1.0785 ko break karna zaroori hai taake sales initiate ho sakein, jo ke potentially 1.0960 tak decrease lead kar sakti hain.





EUR/USD ke hawale se, main anticipate karta hoon ke increase hoga. Price wapas neeche aayi aur 1.0870 par do daily supports ke sath significant area tak pohanch gayi, jahan se teen dafa bounce hua, jo is support area se buying ko indicate karta hai. Arrow aur basement indicators bhi increase signal kar rahe hain, jo is level se buying entry ko confirm karte hain. Isliye, buying with a target of moving up appropriate lagta hai. Profit target ko double resistances ke area 1.0865 par set karna chahiye, jahan average daily course for an increase end hota hai, jo ek excellent point hai profits secure karne ke liye. Agar confirmation breakout hota hai, to yeh expected direction mein dominant trend ko lead kar sakta hai. Aap sab ko good weekend!

EUR/USD currency pair ne aaj 1.0868 par trading start ki, jo pehle din ke opening se notable increase hai. Yeh upward momentum Thursday ke American session ke dauran observe ki gayi significant surge ka continuation tha, jahan pair ne 1.0845 ke key resistance level ko break kiya. Is breakthrough ke baad, EUR/USD pair 1.0897 ki high tak chali gayi, jo kareeban 60-pip increase ko mark karta hai. Yeh movement yeh suggest karta hai ke pair ne 1.0894 ke supply area ko target kiya, jo buyers ki strategic push ko indicate karta hai.

EUR/USD pair ki resistance level ko break karne aur apni position ko uske upar sustain karne ki ability market sentiment mein potential shift ko highlight karti hai. Traders aur investors euro mein confidence gain kar rahe hain, shayad Eurozone ke favorable economic data ya developments ki wajah se. Dosri taraf, yeh movement U.S. dollar ke weakening ko bhi reflect kar sakti hai, jo recent economic data ya Federal Reserve ke policy statements ki wajah se ho sakti hai.

EUR/USD pair ke future direction ko analyze karte hue, kuch factors consider karna zaroori hai. Sab se pehle, current upward trend ki sustainability pair ki ability par depend karegi ke yeh 1.0845 ke newly established support level ke upar apni position ko maintain kar sake. Agar EUR/USD is level ke upar hold kar sakti hai, to yeh further gains ke liye solid foundation provide kar sakti hai. Lekin agar yeh is level ke neeche wapas girti hai, to yeh false breakout aur potential bearish reversal ko indicate kar sakti hai.

Eurozone aur United States ke economic indicators EUR/USD pair ke future direction mein crucial role play karenge. Eurozone se positive economic data, jaise strong GDP growth, low unemployment rates, aur rising consumer confidence, euro ko further gains support kar sakti hai. Dosri taraf, U.S. mein kisi bhi economic weakness ke signs, jaise disappointing job numbers ya lower-than-expected inflation, dollar par additional pressure daal sakti hain aur euro ko benefit kar sakti hain.




Central bank policies bhi EUR/USD pair par significant impact dalenge. European Central Bank (ECB) aur Federal Reserve ki stances on monetary policy, interest rates, aur economic outlooks critical hain. Agar ECB hawkish stance signal karta hai ya rising inflation ki wajah se monetary policy tighten karne ka hint deta hai, to yeh euro ko further support provide kar sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar Federal Reserve dovish tone adopt karta hai ya rate hikes ke slower pace ka indication deta hai, to dollar weaken ho sakta hai, jo EUR/USD pair ko benefit kar sakta hai.

Technical analysis EUR/USD pair ki movements ko forecast karne mein crucial hoga. Traders key levels of support aur resistance, patterns aur indicators jaise moving averages, RSI, aur MACD ko dekhenge. Pair ki ability 1.0845 level ke upar stay karne aur higher resistance levels, jaise 1.0900 ya 1.0950, ko potentially test karne ko closely monitor kiya jayega. In levels ko maintain karne mein failure bearish correction ko trigger kar sakti hai.

In conclusion, EUR/USD pair ne 1.0845 resistance ko break karne aur 1.0894 ke supply area ko target karne se significant strength dikhayi hai. Pair ka future direction is upward momentum ko sustain karne ki ability par depend karega, jo positive economic indicators aur central bank policies se support hoga. Technical analysis critical levels aur potential reversal points ko identify karne mein key role play karegi. Traders ko vigilant aur responsive rehna chahiye new data aur market developments ke liye, kyunki yeh EUR/USD pair ki trajectory ko aane wale dino mein shape karenge.

France ke inconclusive election results ne political landscape ko fractured chhor diya hai, jo policy progress ko hamper kar sakte hain aur euro ke future par ek shadow cast kar rahe hain. Ek single party jeetne ke bawajood, decisive mandate ki kami ne coalition government banane par majboor kar diya hai, jo ideologically opposed factions se mil kar bani hai. Yeh patchwork approach political deadlock aur stagnation ko aane wale mahino mein le ja sakti hai.

Is beech, currency markets US aur Europe ke key economic data releases par nazar rakhe hue hain. Is haftay ka focus Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ki US Congress ke samnay testimony par hoga. Investors unki monetary policy par remarks ko closely scrutinize karenge interest rates par Fed ke stance ke clues ke liye. Is haftay ke inflation data bhi ek important factor hai. Forecasts suggest karte hain ke Consumer Price Index (CPI) aur Producer Price Index (PPI) steady rahne ya slight rise karne ka imkan hai. Yeh expectations ko dampen kar sakta hai early Fed rate cut ka, jo US dollar ki value ko impact kar sakta hai.





Shaayad aap 1.08140 se buy karne ki koshish karen, isse chalne dein aur kal ka wait karein, kaun jaane, aap lucky ho jayein aur aap weekly range ke top 1.09000 tak pohonch sakein. Sab kuch us direction mein jaa raha hai, lagta hai ke yeh pohonch sakta hai, wall options ke basis par, unhone column contracts ko achi tarah stack kiya hai, dono door aur qareeb high prices par. Sab kuch range mein move hota lag raha hai, top par hum kareeban 1.09070 tak pohonch gaye hain, uske aage hesitate kar rahe hain, halanke kuch bhi mumkin hai. Is subah CME report dekhne ka mauka nahi milega, obvious changes ka intezar karna matlab nahi rakhta, isliye plan wahi rehta hai, sales ko complete karna. Pehla interesting sales target kareeban 1.07710 hai, agar yeh top ko overcome karna start nahi karta, to 1.07710 ke level se purchases dekhne ko mil sakti hain ek clear situation mein. Iss waqt main ab bhi bears ke saath hoon, woh mazboot lag rahe hain, halanke unhone pichle haftay bulls ko initiative de diya tha, mujhe shak hai ke woh profitable selling prices par khareedna chahte hain, dekhte hain yeh hota hai ya nahi.

Pehle intraday maximum ko 3 points se update karte hue 1.0844, buying pressure mein weakening aur ek possible correction south ki taraf dekhne ko mil raha hai. Iss waqt, Europe mein lowest level 1.0821 hai, jise break karne par correction ka intention confirm hoga. Yeh temporary northward development ko stop kar dega, aur 1.0800 se neeche ka decrease long term mein trend reversal ko confirm karega. Agar hum 1.0821 ko break karte hain, to shayad hum 1.0800 tak nahi pohonchein. Halanke, agar hum break karte hain, to ek upward zigzag pattern form hone ke chances hain aur hum uski development dekh sakte hain. Agar zigzag pattern mein maximum update nahi hoti, to downward correction ek significant form le sakti hai jisme 1.0730 aur shayad usse neeche tak decline dekhne ko milega.

Kal, 17:00 GMT par Federal Reserve ke head Powell ka speech significant mana ja raha hai aur yeh correction ko deepen kar sakta hai, jaise maine likha, ya, ulta, humein ek upward impulse milega, jo indicate karega ke correction ka beginning sirf ek farce tha. Main agle developments ka intezar kar raha hoon.

EUR/USD Ka Technical Analysis

Pichlay trading haftay, euro ne apni growth jari rakhne ki koshish ki magar 1.0926 par resistance ka samna kiya. Is resistance ko paar karne mein nakam rehne par, price ne rebound kiya aur girawat shuru hui, aur hafta ke aghaz ke levels par wapas aagayi. Natija ye hua ke expected growth ka scenario pura na ho saka aur abhi bhi realization ki taraf barh raha hai. Saath hi, price chart ne super-trending red zone mein move karna shuru kiya, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke sellers wapas khenchne ki koshish kar rahe hain.

Aaj ke technical analysis ke lehaz se, agar 4-hour chart ko dekha jaye to ye dikhai deta hai ke pair regular ascending price channel mein trade kar raha hai, jab ke simple moving average ka continuation positive stimulus provide kar raha hai. Agar intraday trading 1.0900 ke support ke upar stable rahe aur 1.0870 ke level se upar prevail kare, target 1.0950 ke sath uptrend dobara shuru hone ke chances hain, aur is level ko break karna EUR/USD pair ke gains ko consolidate karega aur nayi upper level ko visit karne ka rasta khulega. Dosri taraf, agar trading 1.0870 ke neeche stable rahe to pair par negative pressure aayega aur ye key support 1.0840 ko dobara test karega, jo current trading level hai aur 23.60% Fibonacci retracement se represent ho raha hai.

Chart dekhain:



Filhal, pair mukhtalif directions mein trade kar raha hai aur har week neutral rehta hai. Key support areas ab tak test nahi hue aur intact hain, jo upward vector ki stability ko indicate karte hain. Magar current bearish attempt high probability dikhata hai ke 1.0837 tak pohanch sakta hai, jo ke main support area ka boundary hai. Agar ye area dobara test hota hai to baad ka bounce another upside opportunity provide karega, target area 1.1033 aur 1.1121 ke darmiyan hoga.

Agar support break hoti hai aur price 1.0763 ke pivot level ke neeche girti hai to current scenario cancel ho jayega.

EUR/USD currency pair ko Thursday ko ek hit laga, aur yeh critical level 1.0900 tak gir gaya. Yeh downward move US dollar ke broader strengthening ke sath hi hua. US jobless claims data ke release ke baad, jo unexpected increase dikhata hai, Federal Reserve ke September mein interest rates cut karne ki expectations badh gayi. Dusri taraf, European Central Bank ka September mein interest rates par stance uncertain raha due to conflicting economic indicators.




Market participants ab eagerly EU harmonized consumer price index (HICP) inflation data ka intezar kar rahe hain jo agle hafte release hogi. Yeh data ECB ke future monetary policy decisions ko determine karne mein crucial hogi, khaaskar unke June mein initial rate cut ke baad. Pichle teen hafton mein EUR/USD ne higher highs aur higher lows ka pattern dikhaya hai, lekin 4-hour chart par ascending channel ki upper boundary ko break karne mein fail raha, jo potential bearish momentum ka suggestion deta hai. RSI aur Stochastic indicators par negative readings bhi near-term weakness ki possibility ko reinforce karte hain.

Agar nearby support level 1.0928 breach hota hai, to EUR/USD pair ko lower channel boundary 1.0898 tak significant decline dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Is level ke neeche decisively close karna overall uptrend ko undermine karega. Aur agar 50-period moving average 1.0870 ke neeche sharp drop hota hai, to yeh more pronounced bearish reversal ka signal hoga, jo potentially 1.0850 area ko target karega, jo pehle ek resistance level tha.

Overall, EUR/USD pair downward pressure face kar raha hai due to factors ka mix, including Fed rate cut ka potential, ECB ke monetary policy ka uncertainty, aur technical indicators jo potential bearish shift ko hint kar rahe hain.

General Points

Kal, European Main Refinancing Rate, Monetary Policy, aur ECB ki Press Conference ne EUR/USD buyers ko significant benefit nahi diya. Doosri taraf, US Unemployment Rate bhi negative side par tha, aur Philly Fed Manufacturing Index ne zyada volatility create nahi ki. Natija yeh raha ke EUR/USD market dheere dheere move hui aur 1.0900 level se neeche gir gayi. Yeh indicate karta hai ke EUR/USD sellers kaafi strong the. Broader terms mein, humne significant movement observe nahi ki. Isi liye, main suggest karta hoon ke aaj EUR/USD ka market trend buyers ki taraf lean karega, aur yeh 1.0965 level tak bhi pohanch sakta hai.




Daily Chart Technical Analysis:

Overall, EUR/USD market ne slow price action dikhaya aur eventually 1.0900 support level ke neeche gir gayi. Is downward movement ne EUR/USD sellers ki strength ko highlight kiya jo prevailing market conditions ka faida utha rahe the. Lack of significant volatility ya broader market context mein movement ne reinforce kiya ke sellers ka upper hand tha. Negative data ke bawajood, market mein anticipated reaction nahi dekha gaya, jo indicate karta hai ke sellers ka influence zyada dominant tha.

Is context ke madde nazar, aaj ke market trend mein EUR/USD buyers ke favor mein shift dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Rebound ke potential ke saath, EUR/USD 1.0965 level ki taraf recovery dekh sakti hai, jo market sentiment mein possible change ko signal karegi. Isi liye, humein potential upward movements ke liye tayar rehna chahiye jab buyers traction gain karna shuru karenge agar market conditions improve hoti hain.

Euro apni downward trajectory continue kar raha hai US Dollar ke against, aur Asian session mein Friday ko 1.0890 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. Yeh decline primarily strong US Dollar ki wajah se hai, jo market mein increased risk aversion ka faida utha raha hai. Rising US Treasury yields ne Dollar ko support diya hai. Lekin, Dollar ki upward momentum weak US employment data ki wajah se cap ho sakti hai. Recent increase in unemployment claims ne yeh speculation fuel ki hai ke Federal Reserve September mein interest rates cut kar sakta hai. Market expectations for a rate cut 93.5% tak badh gayi hain, jo pehle 85.1% thi ek hafta pehle. Iske contrast mein, European Central Bank ne apni key refinancing rate ko 4.25% par maintain kiya hai apni July monetary policy meeting mein, jaisa ke anticipate kiya gaya tha.




Technically, EUR/USD ko immediate support 1.0928 par face kar raha hai. Agar yeh level breakdown ho jata hai, toh aur decline ho sakta hai towards 1.0898. Agar pair decisively 1.0898 se neeche close karta hai, toh uptrend risk mein aa jayega. 50-period moving average at 1.0870 ke neeche break karna bearish reversal ko confirm karega, jiske potential targets 1.0850 par ho sakte hain. Upside par, 1.0945 level jo pehle pair ki upward movement ko cap kar raha tha, ek significant resistance level hai. Is level ko break karna jo ke 50% Fibonacci retracement of the 2021-2022 downtrend ke bhi coincide karta hai, ek bullish signal hoga. Subsequent resistance 1.0960-1.0972 area ke qareeb hai, followed by 1.1000 level aur possibly 1.1045. Overall, EUR/USD currently pressure mein hai due to a combination of factors including stronger US Dollar, rising US Treasury yields, aur market expectations for a Fed rate cut. Jab tak koi significant shift market sentiment ya economic data mein nahi hoti, overall trend bearish hi nazar aa raha hai.

TRADING CHART ON EUR/USD D1

Assalam-o-Alaikum, saathi, aap EURUSD thread mein aik ajeeb instrument ko dekh rahay hain. Agar text mein typo hai aur aap ka matlab EURUSD hai, to - jaisa ke hum dekh saktay hain - currency ne sab mumkinat ko defeat kar diya hai aur naye hafte ke Monday subha ka aghaz choti si gap ke sath kiya hai ninth figure se. Abhi price 1.0885 par hai. Aayiye iski mumkinat ko dekhtay hain.

Daily chart par wave technique ke mutabiq, is waqt yeh instrument inclined channel ke body mein wapas jaane ka idea de raha hai. Yehan hum kya dekh saktay hain:

- Inclined channel, yaad dilata chaloon, December last year ke end se hamari development mein hai? Is waqt, iska upper border 1.0840 level par hai.
- MA100 ab bhi space mein parallel to the floor kaam kar raha hai. Yeh is instrument ke mood ki deep flatness ka signal hai. MA18 twenty degrees ke trend angle par north ki taraf ja raha hai - yeh signal hai ke din ke doran bulls mojood hain. Yeh processes ko aage barhane ki koshish karenge.
- Nichimoku Cloud is waqt bullish rangon mein painted hai. Yeh kaafi modest lag raha hai. Forecasting point of view se dekha jaye, to yeh kuch is tarah paint hua hai: pehle zero marks par gaya, phir wapas bull ki taraf aur ab forty degrees ke trend angle par north ki taraf ja raha hai.
- Light Stochastic ne overbought zone ko work out kar liya hai. Ab yeh is mein turn ho gaya hai, aur niche ja raha hai.
- Light MACD bullish wave ki freshness ko trade kar raha hai. Ab tak sell signal dene se pehle koi interaction nahi hui.
- Advanced Oscillator flat hai. Is waqt, is mein koi sell signals nahi hain.
- RSAi moving average ke sath sab kuch theek nahi hai: yeh oversold zone ko work out nahi kar saka, yeh bands ko north ki taraf kheench raha hai.

Natijatan, aaj pair ke liye flat mood hai. Kyun na dip buy kiya jaye))

EUR/USD ki technical analysis mein pichle trading week mein euro ne apni izafa ki koshish ki lekin 1.0926 ke qaribi resistance se rukawat ka saamna kiya. Is resistance ko paar na karne ki wajah se qeemat mein girawat shuru ho gayi aur price wapas usi haftay ke shuru ki level par pohanch gayi. Is natije mein, muntazir izafa ka manzar mukammal na hua aur yeh barqarar hai keh haqiqi maqasid puray nahi huay.

Technical analysis ke nazariye se aaj, char ghantay ke chart par qareeb se nazar andaz karte hue yeh nazar aata hai keh pair regular taur par ek bulandi ke price channel ke andar trade kar raha hai, jab ke simple moving average ke jariye musbat tasdeeq milti ja rahi hai. Isi tarah, agar din bhar ke trading 1.0900 ke support ke oopar qaim rehti hai aur 1.0870 ke level ke oopar bhi qaim rehti hai, to 1.0950 ke liye nishana set karke izafa jaari rehne ka imkaan hai. Uptrend ke muzir hone ke liye, EUR/USD pair ke liye fawaid ki jo shanakht 1.0950 ke qarib se tod par qabil hai woh rasta khulta hai. Niche ke liye, agar trading 1.0870 ke neeche mazboot ho jati hai, to pair ko manfi dabao ke tehat 1.0840 ke muqami support ko dobara test karne ki zaroorat ho sakti hai, jo 23.60% Fibonacci retracement se mutaliq hai. Chart neechay dekhein:

Is tafseeli nazarye se, EUR/USD ke muqablay mein aaj ke technical tajziye ka yeh andaza hota hai.
Halat ke mutabiq, yeh jora mukhtalif rukh par trading kar raha hai aur har hafta neutral rehta hai. Ahem support areas abhi tak imtehan nahi kiye gaye aur baqi hain, jo bulandi ki mustaqil sahiyeh ki dalil hain. Magar, haal ki bechani mein aik mumkinat hai ke 1.0837 tak pohanch jaye, jo baray support area ki had hai. Agar yeh area dobara test ho jaye, to aane wali uchhal ke sath dosra izafa mauqa faraham karega, jis ka nishana 1.1033 se le kar 1.1121 ke darmiyan ka ilaqa ho sakta hai.

Agar support tor diya jaye aur qeemat 1.0763 ke pivot level se neeche gir jaye, to mojooda manzar mansookh ho jayega.

Is tafseeli tajziye ke mutabiq, jora abhi tak mukhtalif rukh par trading kar raha hai aur har hafta neutral rehta hai. Magar, ahem support areas abhi tak imtehan nahi kiye gaye aur baqi hain, jo bulandi ki mustaqil sahiyeh ki dalil hain.