Gold

**Sona Ke Daam Mein Recent Kami**

Aajkal sona ke daam gir rahe hain, jab ke bazar ke rujhan badal gaye hain aur U.S. mein mehangai ka dar kam ho raha hai, jab ke ma'ashi halat behtar ho rahi hain.

**Sona Ke Daamon Par Asar Andaz Hony Walay Factors**

**U.S. Dollar Ki Mazbooti**

Sona ki appeal mein kami ka sabab mazboot U.S. dollar aur Treasury yields ki izafa hai. Ye surat-e-haal non-yielding assets jese ke sona ko investors ke liye kam qeemat banati hai.

**U.S. Labor Market Data**

Is ke ilawa, U.S. labor market data ne ummeed se zyada behtari dikhai hai, jo ke ma'ashiyat ke recession se bachne ki ummeed ko barhawa de raha hai. Is se sona ki safe-haven asset ke tor par appeal kam hui hai.

**Federal Reserve Ki Monetary Policy**

Federal Reserve ki ehtiyaat bhari stance bhi sona ke daam ko asar انداز kar rahi hai. Shuru mein rate-cutting cycle ki ummeed thi, magar ab ye expectations kam ho gayi hain kyun ke Fed ne "longer for higher" interest rates policy ka ishara diya hai.

**Investor Sentiment Aur Market Adjustments**

Iska natija yeh hai ke sona ke daam mein halki si izafa dekha gaya hai jab investors apni ummeedon ko monetary easing ke hawale se adjust kar rahe hain.

**Geopolitical Risks**

Magar, geopolitical risks, jese ke Middle East mein chal rahe conflicts aur international relations mein uncertainties, sona ko support faraham kar rahe hain. Ye risks sona ko global instability ke khilaf ek hedge ke tor par rakhti hain, jo ke broader economic optimism ke bawajood demand ko barqarar rakhti hain.

**Gold Prices Ki Technical Analysis**

H4 chart yeh dikhata hai ke bulls (buyers) aur bears (sellers) kaha tak majboot hain.

**Resistance Aur Support Levels**

Ek strong resistance area 2473 aur 2480 ke darmiyan mojood hai, jahan bears ne bar-bar daamon ko niche push kiya hai. Is ke muqabil, 2440 ke niche ek solid support zone hai jo ke bulls ke liye hai.

**Trading Strategy Ka Tajwez**

Yeh trading strategy ko 2440 se 2473 ke range mein short trades par focus karne ka tajwez deta hai, bearish pressure ki umeed rakhta hai. Is range ke bahar, long trades par ghor kiya jaye, possible breakout ke intezar mein.

**Moving Averages**

50 Simple Moving Average (SMA) jo ke 2432 par hai, bulls ke liye additional support faraham karta hai, aur kisi bhi upward movement ke liye yeh ek crucial level hai.

**Key Terms Ki Wazahat:**

- **Gold Prices:** Sona ki market value jo ke supply aur demand, ma'ashi halat, aur market sentiment par depend karti hai.
- **U.S. Dollar:** United States ki currency, jo aksar sona ke daamon ke sath ulta rishta rakhti hai; jab dollar mazboot hota hai, to sona ke daam girte hain.
- **Treasury Yields:** U.S. government bonds par interest rates, jo non-yielding assets jese ke sona ke liye appeal ko asar انداز kar sakti hain.
- **Non-yielding Assets:** Investments jo income nahi deti, jaise ke physical gold, jo yield rates ke high hone par kam appealing hoti hain.
- **Safe-haven Asset:** Ek investment jo market turbulence ya economic downturns ke doran apni value ko barqarar rakhti hai ya barhati hai.
- **Labor Market Data:** Employment, unemployment, aur wages ke statistics jo ke ma'ashiyat ki health ko indicate karti hain.
- **Monetary Policy:** Central bank (jaise Federal Reserve) ke actions jo money supply aur interest rates ko control karte hain.
- **Rate-cutting Cycle:** Interest rates ko reduce karne ki series jo ke economy ko stimulate karne ke liye hoti hai.
- **Geopolitical Risks:** Political issues jo countries ke darmiyan arise karte hain, jo ke economic stability aur investment choices ko affect karte hain.
- **Technical Analysis:** Evaluation technique jo securities ko analyze karne ke liye market activity se generated statistics ka analysis karti hai, jaise ke past prices aur volume.
- **Resistance Aur Support Levels:** Price points jo market ne historically break karne mein mushkil paayi hai (resistance) ya jahan se market ne upar ki taraf bounce back kiya hai (support).
- **Bulls Aur Bears:** Bulls wo investors hain jo prices ke barhne ki umeed rakhte hain (isliye "buying"), jab ke bears wo hain jo prices ke girne ki umeed rakhte hain (isliye "selling").
- **Short Aur Long Trades:** Short trades wo hain jo security ko bechne ka irada rakhte hain aur phir ise kam price par wapas kharidna chahte hain, jab ke long trades wo hain jo kharidne ka irada rakhte hain jise woh samajhte hain ke price barhegi.
- **Moving Average:** Ek statistical calculation jo data points ko analyze karne ke liye use hoti hai, different subsets ke averages ko le kar trends identify karne ke liye.

Aakhri chand hafton mein sone ka bazaar naye record high tak pohanchne ki umeed ko kho raha hai. Aaj dopahar tak ke monitoring ke mutabiq, sone ki keemat hamesha 2483 ke resistance area ko todne mein nakam rahi hai. Pehle ke tajurbaat ke mutabiq, is ne Blue EMA50 ke dynamic support ki taraf bade girawat dekhi hai. Agar abhi ke chal rahe daam se hisaab lagayein, to wahan ek bada munafa milne ki sambhavana hai. Lekin aaj ki girawat ka abhi tak koi catalyst nahi mila hai, isliye bechne wale naye positions ko pakray hue hain. Aaj ke economic calendar data ko dekhein, to lagta hai ke bazaar US CPI ya inflation data ka intezar karega jo ke is mahine pichle mahine se kam hone ka andaza hai. Agar US interest rate cut ki tasdeeq aur wazeh hoti hai, to market players ki chinta kam ho sakti hai aur sone ki keemat par negative asar padh sakta hai. Is wajah se aaj raat sone ki keemat girne ki umeed hai fundamental nazariye se.
Technical side se, Daily timeframe ka istemal karte hue, yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke buyers baar-baar yellow resistance 2482 - 2467 ko todne mein nakam rahe hain. Agli reaction yeh hai ke keemat bahut gehri gir gayi hai Blue EMA50 tak. Magar pehle yeh Middle BB line ke penetration ke sath shuru hui thi, isliye prospective sellers ko yeh dekhna hoga ke kya Middle line of Bollinger Bands ka penetration hota hai ya nahi, pehle is se pehle ke Blue EMA50 ko profit-taking limit ke roop mein target karne se. Agar Upper Wick candlestick ki shape dekhein jo yellow resistance ko todne mein nakam rahi hai aur bohot lambi hai, to stop loss ko thoda upar rakha jana chahiye, taake potential fakeouts se bach sakein. Jabke sell trading option ka signal chhoti timeframe pe dekha jayega.

H1 timeframe ko monitor karte hue, yeh lagta hai ke keemat abhi bhi green rectangle support 2458 ke upar hai. Pehle ke koshish mein seller isse penetrate karne mein nakam raha hai, isliye sell trading option ke liye trigger abhi tak nazar nahi aaya hai. Lekin agar do bearish pinbar candles ko bearish engulfing candle se connect karein, to yeh formation strong downward movement ki taraf ishara kar rahi hai, isliye sell trading option ko ab kiya ja sakta hai, loss limit 2476 ke upar aur profit taking fresh demand area 2441 mein. Multi-timeframe technical analysis ke support ko dekhte hue, mera trading plan aaj ke sone ke commodity ke liye yeh hai.

US Dollar par positive asar dekhne ko mila. Dilchasp baat yeh hai ke pehle 15 minutes mein market ka reaction dollar ko buy karna tha, is se ye pata chalta hai ke market players ki expectations ke mutabiq dollar strong hai. Agar expectations aur reality ke darmiyan mismatch hota, to aksar fakeout movement hoti.
Gold ke movement par nazar rakhna bhi zaroori hai, kyun ke jab USD strong hota hai, to gold bhi usi direction mein move karta hai ya uska positive correlation hota hai. Yeh signal hai ke gold ko potential market crashes se bachne ke liye hedge ke taur par use kiya jata hai. Daily timeframe par monitoring karne se yeh pata chala ke gold ne Bollinger Bands ke middle line ya MA20 ke upar close kiya hai, jo ke bullish movement ka early indication hai. Yeh buyers ki consistency ke saath support karta hai jo hamesha blue EMA50 ke upar rehte hain. Lekin market hamesha seedha nahi chalti, chhoti corrections bhi hoti hain. Is condition mein market BB ke middle line ke paas retrace karegi phir upar ki taraf move karegi. Profit target ke liye lagta hai ke yeh ab tak 2470 - 2480 ke previous resistance se nahi hil raha, kyun ke buyers ki power ab tak new high record karne mein kami rahi hai, isliye kuch daily candles ke upar ka wick lamba tha jo resistance ko reject karne ka indication hai.

H4 timeframe par dekhne se lagta hai ke price Bollinger Bands ke upper limit 2427 ko touch kar rahi hai, isse price normalization ke liye niche ki taraf aayegi, 5-day average value ke around MA5 / MA10 Low H4 tak. Yeh buy setup create karegi yellow rectangle ke price range 2413 - 2403 ke aas paas. Traders is yellow area mein buy trading option place kar sakte hain, bullish forecast ke mutabiq, aur loss limitation ko previous bullish candle ke lower wick ke thoda niche 2390 par rakh sakte hain, kyun ke is area se increase hui hai.
Aaj dopahar tak ke monitoring ke mutabiq, sone ki keemat hamesha 2483 ke resistance area ko todne mein nakam rahi hai. Pehle ke tajurbaat ke mutabiq, is ne Blue EMA50 ke dynamic support ki taraf bade girawat dekhi hai. Agar abhi ke chal rahe daam se hisaab lagayein, to wahan ek bada munafa milne ki sambhavana hai. Lekin aaj ki girawat ka abhi tak koi catalyst nahi mila hai, isliye bechne wale naye positions ko pakray hue hain. Aaj ke economic calendar data ko dekhein, to lagta hai ke bazaar US CPI ya inflation data ka intezar karega jo ke is mahine pichle mahine se kam hone ka andaza hai. Agar US interest rate cut ki tasdeeq aur wazeh hoti hai, to market players ki chinta kam ho sakti hai aur sone ki keemat par negative asar padh sakta hai. Is wajah se aaj raat sone ki keemat girne ki umeed hai fundamental nazariye se.

Technical side se, Daily timeframe ka istemal karte hue, yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke buyers baar-baar yellow resistance 2482 - 2467 ko todne mein nakam rahe hain. Agli reaction yeh hai ke keemat bahut gehri gir gayi hai Blue EMA50 tak. Magar pehle yeh Middle BB line ke penetration ke sath shuru hui thi, isliye prospective sellers ko yeh dekhna hoga ke kya Middle line of Bollinger Bands ka penetration hota hai ya nahi, pehle is se pehle ke Blue EMA50 ko profit-taking limit ke roop mein target karne se. Agar Upper Wick candlestick ki shape dekhein jo yellow resistance ko todne mein nakam rahi hai aur bohot lambi hai, to stop loss ko thoda upar rakha jana chahiye, taake potential fakeouts se bach sakein. Jabke sell trading option ka signal chhoti timeframe pe dekha jayega.

Daily time frame (D1) par, ek sideways wedge ban gayi thi, jahan gold 76.43 par trade kar raha tha. 84.09 se rebound hone ke baad, resistance line se ek lagataar decline ka silsila shuru hua, jo ke gold ko ek mazboot downward movement mein le aaya, ek gap ke saath. Channel ki lower limit nazar nahi aayi, jo ke is baat ki nishani thi ke mazeed decline last week ke closing levels, 74.09, se ho sakta hai. Yahan, price support line tak pahuche ga, jahan mein rebound aur upward correction ki umeed rakhta hoon.
Medium-term perspective se dekha jaye, toh mazeed decline ka ishara milta hai, aur gold ke girne ki umeed hai market opening se hi. 2353.39 par, price minimum TF tak pahuche aur upward adjust ho gayi. Price green zone ko cross kare gi aur red zone ko support level ke tor par use kare gi growth ke doran. Is se MA resistance level break ho ga, jahan red line 2390.74 par hai, aur mid-trend level tak rise ho ga, jahan black line 2412.74 par hai. Price yeh mid-TF level (black line) bhi break kar sakti hai aur double top level 2429.19 tak move kar sakti hai.

H4 time frame par, gold bullish tendencies show kar raha hai. 5 SMA aur 20 SMA 2385 level par cross hui hain, jabke 200 SMA 2372 level par hai. Ye crossover gold ke liye ek strong upward trend ka signal de raha hai. Pichle kuch dino ke market fluctuations bhool jayein, kal gold 2457 level tak move kar gaya, jaisa ke mein ne anticipate kiya tha. Aaj, gold ke 2470 level ko test karne ki umeed hai. Ek strong bullish trend aa raha hai, jo ke gold ko is mahine 2500-level milestone ke liye tayar kar raha hai. Yahan kuch strategies hain potential buying opportunities ke liyeliye

dollar ki qeemat mein izafa hone se dabao ka samna kar rahi thi jab sarmayakaar ex-US President Donald Trump par huye qatal ki koshish ka asar maali bazaars par maloom kar rahe thay. Traders ko dar hai ke mazeed siyasi tashadud adam mustaqil aur bazar ki uthal puthal ko bharakaa sakta hai, halaan ke tajziya karnay walon ne note kiya ke hamlay ne Trump ke election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya hai.Isi dauran, sone ki qeemat ne jumme ko apna teesra musalsal haftawaar gain darj kiya, jabke America mein afsos ke sath inflation kam hone se Federal Reserve ke taraf se interest rates mein cut hone ki umeedein mazid mazboot ho gayi. Economic calendar ke natayij ke mutabiq... Guzishta hafta dikhaya ke America mein masarf ki qeematein June mein pehli baar chaar saalon mein gir gayi, jo ke Federal Reserve ke taraf se September mein interest rate cut hone ki umeedon ko mazid mazboot banata




hai.Sarmayakaar ab Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke haaliye comments aur is hafte mazeed American economic reports ko dekh rahe hain taake mazeed rahnumayi hasil ho sake. Isi dauran, data ne ishara diya ke guzishta hafta Asia mein sone ki physical demand mein kami aayi jabke bartan ki unchi qeematon ne bazar mein ehtiyaat baratne ko badhawa diya.Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe.Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya.Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets stable rahe. US stock futures, dollar aur Treasury bond yields Monday ko barh gayi jab markets ne weekend par ex-President Donald Trump par huye hamlay ka asar dekha, jo ke US political scene par sangin asar

Guzishta hafta dikhaya ke America mein masarf ki qeematein June mein pehli baar chaar saalon mein gir gayi, jo ke Federal Reserve ke taraf se September mein interest rate cut hone ki umeedon ko mazid mazboot banata hai.Sarmayakaar ab Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke haaliye comments aur is hafte mazeed American economic reports ko dekh rahe hain taake mazeed rahnumayi hasil ho sake. Isi dauran, data ne ishara diya ke guzishta hafta Asia mein sone ki physical demand mein kami aayi jabke bartan ki unchi qeematon ne bazar mein ehtiyaat baratne ko badhawa diya.Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari




rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe.Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya.Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets stable rahe. US stock futures, dollar aur Treasury bond yields Monday ko barh gayi jab markets ne weekend par ex-President Donald Trump par huye hamlay ka asar dekha, jo ke US political scene par sangin asar dal sakta hai. Hamlay mein ek attendee aur gunman ki maut ho gayi, aur do doosray critical condition mein thay, jabke Trump ek goli se zakhmi ho gaye.Traders ko dar hai ke mazeed tashadud siyasi adam mustaqil aur bazar ki uthal puthal ko bharakaa sakta hai, halaan ke tajziya karnay walon ne note kiya ke hamlay ne Trump ke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya hai.Aaj ke liye sone ki qeemat ki peshgoi: Neeche diye gaye rozana chart par performance ke mutabiq, sone ki qeemat ek mazboot upward path par hai jo $2400 per ounce ki psychological resistance ke upar move hone se supported hai, aur mazeed gains maqam-e-muqawamat $2420 aur $2435 per ounce tak mazeed technical indicators ko strong levels of saturation with buying ki taraf move karengi. Profit-taking sales tab tak nahi hongi jab tak US dollar ki qeemat recover nahi hoti aur geopolitical tensions calm nahi hoti, jo ke sone ke haal ke gains ke sabse numayan a

sone ki qeemat ne jumme ko apna teesra musalsal haftawaar gain darj kiya, jabke America mein afsos ke sath inflation kam hone se Federal Reserve ke taraf se interest rates mein cut hone ki umeedein mazid mazboot ho gayi. Economic calendar ke natayij ke mutabiq... Guzishta hafta dikhaya ke America mein masarf ki qeematein June mein pehli baar chaar saalon mein gir gayi, jo ke Federal Reserve ke taraf se September mein interest rate cut hone ki umeedon ko mazid mazboot banata hai.Sarmayakaar ab Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke haaliye comments aur is hafte mazeed American economic reports ko dekh rahe hain taake mazeed rahnumayi hasil ho sake. Isi dauran, data ne ishara diya ke guzishta hafta Asia mein sone ki physical demand mein kami aayi jabke bartan ki unchi




qeematon ne bazar mein ehtiyaat baratne ko badhawa diya.Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe.Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya.Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets stable rahe. US stock futures, dollar aur Treasury bond yields Monday ko barh gayi jab markets ne weekend par ex-President Donald Trump par huye hamlay ka asar dekha, jo ke US political scene par sangin asar dal sakta hai. Hamlay mein ek attendee aur gunman ki maut ho gayi, aur do doosray critical condition mein thay, jabke Trump ek goli se zakhmi ho gaye.Traders ko dar hai ke mazeed tashadud siyasi adam mustaqil aur bazar ki uthal puthal ko bharakaa sakta hai, halaan ke tajziya karnay walon ne note kiya ke hamlay ne Trump ke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya hai.Aaj ke liye sone ki qeemat ki peshgoi: Neeche diye gaye rozana chart par performance ke mutabiq, sone ki qeemat ek mazboot upward path par hai jo $2400 per ounce ki psychological resistance ke upar move hone se supported hai, aur mazeed gains maqam-e-muqawamat $2420 aur $2435 per ounce tak mazeed technical indicators ko strong levels of saturation with buying ki taraf move karengi. Profit-taking sales tab tak nahi hongi jab tak US dollar ki qeemat recover nahi hoti aur geopolitical tensions calm nahi hoti, jo ke sone ke haal ke gains ke sabse numayan asraat hain. Filhaal, sone ke qareebi support levels $2,400 aur

gold commodities ko itni unchai tak pohnchne se nahi rok sakti, magar ek retail trader jo aksar short-term investment horizon rakhta hai, aise conditions ko counter-trend strategy ke liye bohot interesting samajh sakta hai, yani bechne ka. Agar hum peeche dekhein, to H1 timeframe par ek bullish signal nazar aaya tha jo inverted head and shoulders pattern banata hai, lekin kyunki ye pattern resistance area mein ban raha tha, isliye itna interesting nahi lag raha tha. Lekin market ki apni ek direction hoti hai, jahan price turant all-time high record kar rahi thi neckline 2510 ko break karte hue 2531 tak. Ab jab market ne Wednesday enter kiya hai, to gold market trading options ke liye ab bhi bohot se mauqe hain.
Halanki price upar ja rahi hai, Daily aur H4 basis par ye increase strong momentum se supported nahi lagti, kyunki price position jo candlestick ke zariye represent ho rahi hai, wo Upper Bollingerbands line ke neeche closing dikhati hai, isse structure lower high banata hai Bollingerbands ke muqablay mein. Ye ek kamzori ka signal hai jo aksar traders ko samajh nahi aata. H4 basis par movement ko monitor karte hue, ye nazar aata hai ke high price position high momentum indicator ke saath nahi hai, isliye ye strong bearish divergence signal hai. Halanki price future trading mein seedha nahi gir sakti, ye swing traders ke liye ek accha signal hai jo sell positions banana shuru kar rahe hain. RSI 14 indicator bhi neeche ki taraf point kar raha hai aur lower low structure bana raha hai.

H1 basis par structure zyada interesting hai, jahan ek bearish flag pattern nazar aaya hai jo bearish candle ke baad ban gaya jo Middle Bollingerbands ko penetrate karti hai, aur phir ek corrective increase dekhne ko milti hai jo sequential candlestick ki shape se choti hai. Ye correction aur upar ja sakti hai blue resistance 2523 - 2531 ki taraf, kyunki pehle price yellow support 2500 tak gir gayi thi lekin buyers ne wahan resistance dikhayi. Jab tak yellow support jo significant demand hai, successfully penetrate nahi hoti, tab tak gold movement ka potential sideways reh sakta hai between blue resistance aur yellow support. Yahan se main ne trading plan banaya hai.

gold ke price action analysis ko review karte hain. Shuruati marahil mein, 2424 support level ke neeche break hone ka andesha tha, jo ke ab ho chuka hai. Dusre marahil mein, yeh broken level test kiya gaya, aur yeh test confirm ho gaya hai. Lekin, teesre marahil, jo ke consolidation ko darshata hai, abhi tak nahi aaya. Jab consolidation hoga, to downward trend phir se shuru ho sakta hai, jo resistance ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Jab tak consolidation nahi hota, upward trend ka nateeja abhi bhi faisla nahi hua, aur sirf waqt hi batayega. Isliye, medium-term strategy ab bhi relevant hai. Main consolidation ka intezar kar raha hoon, jo ke ek aur upward move ko zaroori banata hai.

Humne pehle hourly time frame par discussion ki thi, lekin ab main daily chart dekhna chahta hoon.

Daily time frame (D1) par ek sideways wedge bana tha, jahan gold 76.43 par trade kar raha tha. 84.09 se rebound karne ke baad, resistance line se consistent decline ka silsila shuru ho gaya, jo gold ko ek strong downward movement ke saath gap ke saath le gaya. Channel ke lower limit ka aana mushkil lagta hai, jo last week ke closing levels 74.09 se further decline ko darshata hai. Yahan price support line ko hit karegi, jahan mujhe rebound aur upward correction ki ummeed hai.

Medium-term perspective se, continued decline indicate hota hai, aur gold market opening se decrease hone ka mumkin hai. 2353.39 par, price minimum TF tak pohnch gayi aur upar adjust hui. Price green zone ko cross karegi aur red zone ko growth ke dauran support level ke tor par use karegi. Yeh MA resistance level ko break karega, red line 2390.74 par hai, aur mid-trend level tak badhega, black line 2412.74 par hai. Price is mid-TF level (black line) ko bhi break kar sakti hai aur double top level 2429.19 tak move kar sakti hai.

NZD/USD
Instrument ne northern variant ko outline kiya hai. Market changes ke range mein, 100-0.60939 aur 50-0.60624 ke beech, current price 0.60696 hai. Pechle din ka extreme use kiya ja sakta hai. Is structure se, range 100-0.60939 aur 50-0.60624 hai. Current price 0.60696 bullish corridor ke north ko point kar raha hai. Market growth ke information se, main 50-0.60624, 61.8-0.60698, 76.4-0.60790 ke entrance point ko dekh raha hoon. In levels se rebounds aur breakthroughs pe kaam kiya ja sakta hai. Main 123.6-0.61088 ya 138.2-0.61180 ke senior profit se bahut satisfied hoon, jo mujhe khush karta hai. Sab kuch planned ke mutabiq nahi ho sakta, aur bear team interest dikhayegi, jo market scope ko 50-0-0.60624 bana degi. Aise losers ke baare mein pareshan hone ki zaroorat nahi, flexible rahkar sales pe shift karna chahiye. Fibonacci grid mukhtalif tareeqon se construct kiya ja sakta hai NZD-USD pair ka price movement abhi bhi market opening area ke qareeb support aur resistance levels tak mehdood hai, yani 0.5925 aur 0.5955. Market subah 0.5940 ke price par open hui thi. Kyunki price abhi bhi daily open ke aas paas hai aur EMA 200 daily open ke thoda neeche se cross kar rahi hai, is waqt ka trend bullish biased hai. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 narrow movement dikha rahi hain, dono lines daily open line ke neeche curve kar rahi hain.
NZD/USD currency pair mein aanay walay dino mein significant movement ho sakti hai. Yeh perspective kai potential developments par mabni ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, aanay walay economic data releases jo ke New Zealand ya US se aayenge, market sentiment ko influence kar sakte hain. New Zealand se positive economic data, jaise ke GDP ya employment figures mein izafa, NZD ko mazboot kar sakta hai, jis se bearish trend ya to reverse ho sakta hai ya phir stabilize.
Iske ilawa, geopolitical events aur global market sentiment bhi NZD/USD pair ko asar kar sakte hain. Misal ke taur par, US-China trade relations mein koi bara development, commodity prices ko asar kar sakta hai, jo ke New Zealand ki economy ke liye bohot aham hain. Global risk sentiment mein koi positive shift NZD ki demand mein izafa kar sakta hai, jo ke currency pair mein significant movement ka sabab ban sakta hai.
Technical analysis bhi kisi bari movement ka ishara de sakta hai. Agar NZD/USD kisi key support level ke qareeb hai, toh yeh bounce back kar sakta hai, jis se ek bullish correction ho sakti hai. Ulta agar yeh kisi significant support level ko break kar jata hai, toh yeh accelerated bearish trend mein tabdeel ho sakta hai. Traders aksar moving averages, relative strength index (RSI), aur Fibonacci retracement levels jaise indicators ko dekhtay hain taake possible price movements ka andaza lagaya ja sake.
Market sentiment aur positioning bhi aham factors hain jo consider kiye jaane chahiye. Agar bohot sare traders NZD/USD par short positions le rahe hain, aur koi unexpected positive news aajati hai, toh yeh short squeeze trigger kar sakti hai, jo ke sharp upward movement ka sabab ban sakti hai. Wohi agar market participants ziada optimistic hain aur koi negative surprise hota hai, toh is se swift decline ho sakta hai
Half-hour chart par, hum dekhte hain ke price horizontal resistance line ki taraf north move kar rahi hai, aur jaise hi price resistance level tak pohunchti hai, aap short position enter kar sakte hain horizontal support line ko target banate hue. Agar resistance level break hota hai aur price iske upar fix hoti hai, to instrument par long position consider karna worth hoga next horizontal resistance line ko target banate hue

NZD/USD
Instrument ne northern variant ko outline kiya hai. Market changes ke range mein, 100-0.60939 aur 50-0.60624 ke beech, current price 0.60696 hai. Pechle din ka extreme use kiya ja sakta hai. Is structure se, range 100-0.60939 aur 50-0.60624 hai. Current price 0.60696 bullish corridor ke north ko point kar raha hai. Market growth ke information se, main 50-0.60624, 61.8-0.60698, 76.4-0.60790 ke entrance point ko dekh raha hoon. In levels se rebounds aur breakthroughs pe kaam kiya ja sakta hai. Main 123.6-0.61088 ya 138.2-0.61180 ke senior profit se bahut satisfied hoon, jo mujhe khush karta hai. Sab kuch planned ke mutabiq nahi ho sakta, aur bear team interest dikhayegi, jo market scope ko 50-0-0.60624 bana degi. Aise losers ke baare mein pareshan hone ki zaroorat nahi, flexible rahkar sales pe shift karna chahiye. Fibonacci grid mukhtalif tareeqon se construct kiya ja sakta hai NZD-USD pair ka price movement abhi bhi market opening area ke qareeb support aur resistance levels tak mehdood hai, yani 0.5925 aur 0.5955. Market subah 0.5940 ke price par open hui thi. Kyunki price abhi bhi daily open ke aas paas hai aur EMA 200 daily open ke thoda neeche se cross kar rahi hai, is waqt ka trend bullish biased hai. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 narrow movement dikha rahi hain, dono lines daily open line ke neeche curve kar rahi hain.
NZD/USD currency pair mein aanay walay dino mein significant movement ho sakti hai. Yeh perspective kai potential developments par mabni ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, aanay walay economic data releases jo ke New Zealand ya US se aayenge, market sentiment ko influence kar sakte hain. New Zealand se positive economic data, jaise ke GDP ya employment figures mein izafa, NZD ko mazboot kar sakta hai, jis se bearish trend ya to reverse ho sakta hai ya phir stabilize.
Iske ilawa, geopolitical events aur global market sentiment bhi NZD/USD pair ko asar kar sakte hain. Misal ke taur par, US-China trade relations mein koi bara development, commodity prices ko asar kar sakta hai, jo ke New Zealand ki economy ke liye bohot aham hain. Global risk sentiment mein koi positive shift NZD ki demand mein izafa kar sakta hai, jo ke currency pair mein significant movement ka sabab ban sakta hai.
Technical analysis bhi kisi bari movement ka ishara de sakta hai. Agar NZD/USD kisi key support level ke qareeb hai, toh yeh bounce back kar sakta hai, jis se ek bullish correction ho sakti hai. Ulta agar yeh kisi significant support level ko break kar jata hai, toh yeh accelerated bearish trend mein tabdeel ho sakta hai. Traders aksar moving averages, relative strength index (RSI), aur Fibonacci retracement levels jaise indicators ko dekhtay hain taake possible price movements ka andaza lagaya ja sake.
Market sentiment aur positioning bhi aham factors hain jo consider kiye jaane chahiye. Agar bohot sare traders NZD/USD par short positions le rahe hain, aur koi unexpected positive news aajati hai, toh yeh short squeeze trigger kar sakti hai, jo ke sharp upward movement ka sabab ban sakti hai. Wohi agar market participants ziada optimistic hain aur koi negative surprise hota hai, toh is se swift decline ho sakta hai
Half-hour chart par, hum dekhte hain ke price horizontal resistance line ki taraf north move kar rahi hai, aur jaise hi price resistance level tak pohunchti hai, aap short position enter kar sakte hain horizontal support line ko target banate hue. Agar resistance level break hota hai aur price iske upar fix hoti hai, to instrument par long position consider karna worth hoga next horizontal resistance line ko target banate hue

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

XAUUSD: Elliott Wave Weekly Analysis aur Forecast

• Main scenario: Level 2430.30 ke upar corrections se long positions ko consider karein, jahan growth ka target 2600.00 – 2700.00 tak ho. Aik buy signal tab milega jab ke price 2430.30 ke upar rahegi. Stop Loss: 2400.00 se neeche, Take Profit: 2600.00 – 2700.00.
• Alternative scenario: Agar 2430.30 ke level se neeche breakout aur consolidation hoti hai, to ye pair ko 2292.30 – 2161.56 ke levels tak girne ke liye mauka faraham karega. Aik sell signal milega jab 2430.30 ka level downside par break hoga. Stop Loss: 2450.00 ke upar, Take Profit: 2292.30 – 2161.56.

Analysis

Daily chart par lagta hai ke badi degree ki paanchwin wave (5) develop ho rahi hai, jisme wave 3 of (5) apni jagah le rahi hai. H4 time frame par, lagta hai ke aik correction khatam ho chuki hai jo ke chothi wave iv of 3 ke taur par develop hui thi, aur paanchwin wave v of 3 ab form ho rahi hai. H1 chart par, choti degree ki teesri wave (iii) of v develop ho rahi hai, jisme wave iii of (iii) mukammal ho gayi hai, aur corrective wave iv of (iii) apne ikhtitam ke qareeb hai. Agar yeh presumption durust hai, to XAUUSD pair 2600.00 – 2700.00 ke levels tak barhti rahegi. Is scenario mein level 2430.30 critical hai kyun ke breakout se pair 2292.30 – 2161.56 ke levels tak girti rahegi.

US Dollar in 2024: Growth Attempts Ahead of the US Election

2024 ke shuruat US currency ke liye favorable rahi. Fed ki high interest rate 5.50% ne major banks aur hedge funds se investments ko attract kiya. Aik stable domestic political situation aur oil prices $70 per barrel ke upar rehne se Q1 2024 mein US GDP 1.4% barha, jo ke analysts ke forecast 1.3% se zyada tha.

Mulk COVID-19 pandemic se recover kar chuka hai jo ke Joe Biden ke economic stimulus measures ki wajah se hua. Consumer spending steady rahi, jis ne economic growth ko mazid mazbooti di. Logon ne goods aur services par kharch karna jaari rakha, jo ke economic recovery ka hissa bana. January 2024 tak unemployment rate 3.7% tak gir gayi, jo ke economy par positive asar dal rahi thi. Job recovery jaari rahi aur consumer spending ko support karne mein madad di.

Inflation control mein rahi, jis se US Fed ko monetary policy ko thora sa ease karne ka moka mila, halan ke interest rates ab bhi high hain. Government support programs jo pandemic ke doran introduce kiye gaye the, jaise ke small businesses ke liye support aur citizens ko direct payments, economy par positive asar dalte rahe.

Lekin, summer 2024 tak, unemployment barhne lagi aur 4.1% tak pahunch gayi, jo ke saal ke aghaz se 0.4% zyada thi. US ka national debt $35 trillion mark se exceed kar gaya.

Bloomberg Economics ne US debt outlook par aik million simulations conduct kiye hain. 88% un mein se dikhate hain ke borrowing aik unsustainable path par hai. Congressional Budget Office apni predictions mein warn karta hai ke US public debt pichle saal ke 97% of GDP se barh kar 2034 tak 116% ho jayegi. Asal prospects is se bhi zyada bure ho sakte hain. Naye US president ke liye foreign debt ka masla aik bara challenge hoga.

US dollar mein May se June 2024 tak depreciation dekhi gayi, jo ke qasatan incumbent President Joe Biden ke election race se unexpected withdrawal ki wajah se hui. Kamala Harris Democratic Party ki taraf se election mein shamil hongi. Unka muqabla former President Donald Trump se hoga upcoming debates aur elections mein jo ke fall 2024 mein honge. Markets ab tak is information ko process kar rahe hain, aur US dollar aik narrow range mein trade kar raha hai.

Generally, US currency ke liye do main forecasts diye ja sakte hain depending on election ka outcome. Aik scenario mein agar Democratic Party ka candidate jeet jata hai, aur dosra scenario agar Republican representative jeet jata hai.

Agar Democratic Party ka candidate jeet jata hai, to US dollar mazid strengthen hone ka imkaan hai. US dollar appreciation ka global trend 2021 mein shuru hua tha, aur ab ye asset aik upward cycle mein trade kar raha hai. Current economic aur fiscal policy likely continue hogi, aur US Fed monetary policy ko ease karega.

Agar Republican candidate jeet jata hai, to US dollar short-term volatility experience kar sakta hai jo ke economic policy mein change se related uncertainty ki wajah se hogi. Naye president ki policies ke mutabiq, US dollar ya to strengthen karega ya weaken.

Economists ke opinions Donald Trump ki victory ke bare mein mix hain. Capital Economics samajhta hai ke Trump's victory economy aur stock market ko negatively affect kar sakti hai. Company warn karti hai ke Trump's policies on tariffs aur immigration se economic growth slow ho sakti hai aur inflation barh sakta hai. The Economist Trump's possible victory ko 2024 mein global economy ke liye ek bara threat qaraar deta hai. Yeh note karta hai ke unki policies significant uncertainty aur instability create kar sakti hain. Lekin, UBS ke economists predict karte hain ke kuch industries Republican victory se benefit le sakti hain.

Is tarah, US currency ka future 2024 ke end mein uncertain hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, US dollar global uptrend mein trade kar raha hai. Lekin, ye trend reverse ho sakti hai agar opposition candidate election jeet jata hai.

NZD/USD Instrument ne northern variant ko outline kiya hai. Market changes ke range mein, 100-0.60939 aur 50-0.60624 ke beech, current price 0.60696 hai. Pechle din ka extreme use kiya ja sakta hai. Is structure se, range 100-0.60939 aur 50-0.60624 hai. Current price 0.60696 bullish corridor ke north ko point kar raha hai. Market growth ke information se, main 50-0.60624, 61.8-0.60698, 76.4-0.60790 ke entrance point ko dekh raha hoon. In levels se rebounds aur breakthroughs pe kaam kiya ja sakta hai. Main 123.6-0.61088 ya 138.2-0.61180 ke senior profit se bahut satisfied hoon, jo mujhe khush karta hai. Sab kuch planned ke mutabiq nahi ho sakta, aur bear team interest dikhayegi, jo market scope ko 50-0-0.60624 bana degi. Aise losers ke baare mein pareshan hone ki zaroorat nahi, flexible rahkar sales pe shift karna chahiye. Fibonacci grid mukhtalif tareeqon se construct kiya ja sakta hai NZD-USD pair ka price movement abhi bhi market opening area ke qareeb support aur resistance levels tak mehdood hai, yani 0.5925 aur 0.5955. Market subah 0.5940 ke price par open hui thi. Kyunki price abhi bhi daily open ke aas paas hai aur EMA 200 daily open ke thoda neeche se cross kar rahi hai, is waqt ka trend bullish biased hai. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 narrow movement




dikha rahi hain, dono lines daily open line ke neeche curve kar rahi hain.
NZD/USD currency pair mein aanay walay dino mein significant movement ho sakti hai. Yeh perspective kai potential developments par mabni ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, aanay walay economic data releases jo ke New Zealand ya US se aayenge, market sentiment ko influence kar sakte hain. New Zealand se positive economic data, jaise ke GDP ya employment figures mein izafa, NZD ko mazboot kar sakta hai, jis se bearish trend ya to reverse ho sakta hai ya phir stabilize.
Iske ilawa, geopolitical events aur global market sentiment bhi NZD/USD pair ko asar kar sakte hain. Misal ke taur par, US-China trade relations mein koi bara development, commodity prices ko asar kar sakta hai, jo ke New Zealand ki economy ke liye bohot aham hain. Global risk sentiment mein koi positive shift NZD ki demand mein izafa kar sakta hai, jo ke currency pair mein significant movement ka sabab ban sakta hai.
Technical analysis bhi kisi bari movement ka ishara de sakta hai. Agar NZD/USD kisi key support level ke qareeb hai, toh yeh bounce back kar sakta hai, jis se ek bullish correction ho sakti hai. Ulta agar yeh kisi significant support level ko break kar jata hai, toh yeh accelerated bearish trend mein tabdeel ho sakta hai. Traders aksar moving averages, relative strength index (RSI), aur Fibonacci retracement levels jaise indicators ko dekhtay hain taake possible price movements ka andaza lagaya ja sake.
Market sentiment aur positioning bhi aham factors hain jo consider kiye jaane chahiye. Agar bohot sare traders NZD/USD par short positions le rahe hain, aur koi unexpected positive news aajati hai, toh yeh short squeeze trigger kar sakti hai, jo ke sharp upward movement ka sabab ban sakti hai. Wohi agar market participants ziada optimistic hain aur koi negative surprise hota hai, toh is se swift decline ho sakta hai
Half-hour chart par, hum dekhte hain ke price horizontal resistance line ki taraf north move kar rahi hai, aur jaise hi price resistance level tak pohunchti hai, aap short position

-US President Donald Trump par huye qatal ki koshish ka asar maali bazaars par maloom kar rahe thay. Traders ko dar hai ke mazeed siyasi tashadud adam mustaqil aur bazar ki uthal puthal ko bharakaa sakta hai, halaan ke tajziya karnay walon ne note kiya ke hamlay ne Trump ke election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya hai.Isi dauran, sone ki qeemat ne jumme ko apna teesra musalsal haftawaar gain darj kiya, jabke America mein afsos ke sath inflation kam hone se Federal Reserve ke taraf se interest rates mein cut hone ki umeedein mazid mazboot ho gayi. Economic calendar ke natayij ke mutabiq... Guzishta hafta dikhaya ke America mein masarf ki qeematein June mein pehli baar chaar saalon mein gir gayi, jo ke Federal Reserve ke taraf se September mein interest rate cut hone ki umeedon ko mazid mazboot banata hai.Sarmayakaar ab Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke haaliye comments aur is hafte mazeed American economic reports ko dekh rahe hain taake mazeed rahnumayi hasil ho sake. Isi dauran, data ne ishara diya ke guzishta hafta Asia mein sone ki physical demand mein kami aayi jabke bartan ki unchi qeematon ne bazar mein ehtiyaat baratne ko badhawa diya.Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe.Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya.Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets stable rahe. US stock futures, dollar aur Treasury bond yields Monday ko barh gayi jab markets ne weekend par ex-President Donald Trump par huye hamlay ka asar dekha, jo ke US political scene par sangin asar dal sakta hai Hamlay mein ek attendee aur gunman ki maut ho gayi, aur do doosray critical condition mein thay, jabke Trump ek goli se zakhmi ho gaye.Traders ko dar hai ke mazeed tashadud siyasi adam mustaqil aur bazar ki uthal puthal ko bharakaa sakta hai, halaan ke tajziya karnay walon ne note kiya ke hamlay ne Trump ke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya hai.Aaj ke liye sone ki qeemat ki peshgoi: Neeche diye gaye rozana chart par performance ke mutabiq, sone ki qeemat ek mazboot upward path par hai jo $2400 per ounce ki psychological resistance ke upar move hone se supported hai,

US Dollar par positive asar dekhne ko mila. Dilchasp baat yeh hai ke pehle 15 minutes mein market ka reaction dollar ko buy karna tha, is se ye pata chalta hai ke market players ki expectations ke mutabiq dollar strong hai. Agar expectations aur reality ke darmiyan mismatch hota, to aksar fakeout movement hoti. Gold ke movement par nazar rakhna bhi zaroori hai, kyun ke jab USD strong hota hai, to gold bhi usi direction mein move karta hai ya uska positive correlation hota hai. Yeh signal hai ke gold ko potential market crashes se bachne ke liye hedge ke taur par use kiya jata hai. Daily timeframe par monitoring karne se yeh pata chala ke gold ne Bollinger Bands ke middle line ya MA20 ke upar close kiya hai, jo ke bullish movement ka early indication hai. Yeh buyers ki consistency ke saath support karta hai jo hamesha blue EMA50 ke upar rehte hain. Lekin market hamesha seedha nahi chalti, chhoti corrections bhi hoti hain. Is condition mein market BB ke middle line ke paas retrace karegi phir upar ki taraf move karegi. Profit target ke liye lagta hai ke yeh ab tak 2470 - 2480 ke previous resistance se nahi hil raha, kyun ke buyers ki power ab tak new high record karne mein kami rahi hai, isliye kuch daily candles ke upar ka wick lamba tha jo resistance ko reject karne ka indication hai.





H4 timeframe par dekhne se lagta hai ke price Bollinger Bands ke upper limit 2427 ko touch kar rahi hai, isse price normalization ke liye niche ki taraf aayegi, 5-day average value ke around MA5 / MA10 Low H4 tak. Yeh buy setup create karegi yellow rectangle ke price range 2413 - 2403 ke aas paas. Traders is yellow area mein buy trading option place kar sakte hain, bullish forecast ke mutabiq, aur loss limitation ko previous bullish candle ke lower wick ke thoda niche 2390 par rakh sakte hain, kyun ke is area se increase hui hai.
Aaj dopahar tak ke monitoring ke mutabiq, sone ki keemat hamesha 2483 ke resistance area ko todne mein nakam rahi hai. Pehle ke tajurbaat ke mutabiq, is ne Blue EMA50 ke dynamic support ki taraf bade girawat dekhi hai. Agar abhi ke chal rahe daam se hisaab lagayein, to wahan ek bada munafa milne ki sambhavana hai. Lekin aaj ki girawat ka abhi tak koi catalyst nahi mila hai, isliye bechne wale naye positions ko pakray hue hain. Aaj ke economic calendar data ko dekhein, to lagta hai ke bazaar US CPI ya inflation data ka intezar karega jo ke is mahine pichle mahine se kam hone ka andaza hai. Agar US interest rate cut ki tasdeeq aur wazeh hoti hai, to market players ki chinta kam ho sakti hai aur sone ki keemat par negative asar padh sakta hai. Is wajah se aaj raat sone ki keemat girne ki umeed hai fundamental nazariye se.