Gold

ki qeematein June mein pehli baar chaar saalon mein gir gayi, jo ke Federal Reserve ke taraf se September mein interest rate cut hone ki umeedon ko mazid mazboot banata hai.Sarmayakaar ab Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke haaliye comments aur is hafte mazeed American economic reports ko dekh rahe hain taake mazeed rahnumayi hasil ho sake. Isi dauran, data ne ishara diya ke guzishta hafta Asia mein sone ki physical demand mein kami aayi jabke bartan ki unchi qeematon ne bazar mein ehtiyaat baratne ko badhawa diya. Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke






bare mein hooshyar rahe. Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya. Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets stable rahe. US stock futures, dollar aur Treasury bond yields Monday ko barh gayi jab markets ne weekend par ex-President Donald Trump par huye hamlay ka asar dekha, jo ke US political scene par sangin asar dal sakta hai. Hamlay mein ek attendee aur gunman ki maut ho gayi, aur do

Gold ne hafte ke aakhri din kuch recovery dikhayi aur Thursday ki zyada 1% girawat ka kuch hissa wapas pa liya, jo ke weekly low tak gaya tha. US Dollar ko abhi bhi raat bhar ke bounce ko faida uthane mein mushkil ho rahi hai, kyunki US mein kam interest rates ka imkaan hai. Short-term mein, gold ki technical outlook buyers ke favor mein hai jab tak triangle resistance mein nahi badal jata. Support, jo ab $2,470 par hai, barqarar hai. Pichle hafte gold ne parallel triangle breakout achieve kiya aur 14-day Relative Strength Index north ki taraf ja raha hai, jo 50 se upar hai.
Ye technical indicators suggest karte hain ke gold ke liye bullish potential ab bhi bana hua hai. Agar gold buyers record high $2,532 ko wapas haasil kar lete hain, to agla target $2,550 hoga. Agar price isse bhi aage barhti hai, to $2,600 level ko challenge kar sakti hai, jo ke triangle target $2,660 ke raste mein hai. Agar gold price correction wapas shuru hoti hai, to foran support $2,470 par hoga, jo ke triangle resistance se replace ho sakta hai. Iske baad $2,450 ka psychological barrier gold ke hopefuls ke liye madadgar ho sakta hai.
Asian trading mein markets cautious hain aur Jerome Powell ka Jackson Hole headquarters mein speech ka intezar kar rahe hain, jahan se naye signals milne ki umeed hai. Bank ke interest rate path, khaaskar labor market conditions ke easing signs ke sath, traders ke liye important hai. Risk outflows US government bonds ki demand ko badhate hain, jo Treasury bond yield ko across the curve push karta hai aur USD ko neeche khinchta hai. Greenback ne bhi Bank of Japan ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ke critical remarks ke baad USD/JPY selloff ka samna kiya. US Dollar ne Thursday ko major rivals ke khilaf ek saal ke low se strong rebound kiya, gold prices mein 1% correction ke baad, jo ke US S&P global business PMIs aur jobless claims data ke concerns ke wajah se tha. Traders Friday ko Powell ke Jackson Hole showdown ke baad repositioning kar rahe hain


Technical perspective se dekha jaye to gold price ne temporary pullback experience kiya hai. RSI index fading upward momentum dikhata hai, jo ke short-term correction ki nishani hai. Agar gold prices $2,483 level se neeche girti hai, to yeh signal ho sakta hai ke prices mazid gir ke $2,450 aur 50-day simple moving average $2,414 tak ja sakti hain. Dusri taraf, agar gold prices mazid strong hoti hain, to $2,531 ka retest aur phir $2,550 aur $2,600 ka challenge bhi mumkin hai. Lekin overall direction ab bhi economic factors, geopolitical developments, aur market sentiment par depend karegi. H4 chart par ek interesting triangular pattern dekha ja sakta hai jisme downside break hua hai. Yeh breakout ke guidance ke mutabiq, gold prices mein $60–$70 ka drop ho sakta hai, aur support around $2440/oz locate kiya gaya hai

Gold ke prices ne 2150 support level se phir se rebound kiya hai jab strong gains ke baad wo lower correction ki taraf gaye thay, jinse unka naya record high 2195 par pohnchna tha. Agar gold prices mazeed barhne lagte hain, toh wo 20-period moving average par 2171 mein resistance encounter kar sakte hain pehle 2185 level ko challenge karte hue. Uske baad, rally naye record level 2195 par pohnchte hi tham sakti hai. Ummeed hai ke gold prices jo 2150 support aur 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of 1984-2195 uptrend at 2145 ko break karte hain, aagey ki taraf pullback ko trigger kar sakein 50-period MA at 2139 tak. Downtrend phir 2123 area aur 38 Fibonacci retracement level tak extend ho sakta hai. Overall, uptrend haal mein bearish moves ke bawajood strong hai char ghantay ki chart par. Agar 200-period moving average ke upar jaaye toh technical outlook zyada neutral ho jayega. Gold price phir se buland hua, jab ke pichle haftay ko market ke harkaat ne dabaya tha. Magar, jo bull run hua woh ab bhi resistance line ya MA 50 line ko tor nahin saka. Subah tak keemat ab bhi MA 50 line ke neeche thi, ek khareedne wale candle ka dhancha tha, lekin halaat kamzor ho rahe thay. Nazar aa raha hai ke mumkin hai ke mumkin hai ke candle chhota hota ja raha hai aur resistance line ya MA 50 line ke qareeb jaane par shadow ka inkar hota hai. Sona ka agla harkat ya aaj ki bhavishyavani, agar mojooda keemat ke halaat dekhein, sona ab bhi bearish mein wapas jaane ki zyada imkaan hai kyun ke jo bullish hua woh abhi tak resistance line ko nahi chhed saka magar khareedne wale kamzor mehsoos kar rahe hain, isliye jo bullishness is waqt hoti hai woh sirf ek keemat ki durusti hai aur phir keemat phir se gir jayegi. Lekin sona phir se buland hone ki mumkinat ka khayal rakhein, kyun ke sona ka trend badal gaya nahi hai (abhi bhi bullish hai) to keemat abhi bhi agle harkat ke liye bullish hone ki mumkinat rakhti hai. Upar di gayi tajziya ke mutabiq, aaj ka sona ka harkat ka andaza phir bhi bearish hone ki mumkinat hai kyun ke keemat abhi tak MA 50 line aur resistance ke neeche hai, isliye aaj sona mein trade karne ke liye bechne ki moqa talash kar sakte hain . Agar keemat phir se barh jaye aur MA 50 line aur 2172.48 ke resistance line ko tor de, to chonke agar keemat resistance line ko tor de to sona ko apni bullish reliance ko dobara shuru karne ki mumkinat hai aur agar highest resistance line 2193.06 ko dobara tor de to phir maloom nahin

Gold market par asar andaz hone wale factors mein US dollar index ka Tuesday ko 105.9 ke aas paas stable rehna shamil hai, jo ke strong Treasury yields se support ho raha hai. Ye stability mazeed government borrowing ke potential aur Donald Trump ke possible doosre term ke natijay mein aayi hai. Trading ke hawale se, US 10-year Treasury yield 4.45% ke kareeb hai, jo ke mahine mein sabse ooncha level hai. Monday ko, US dollar pressure mein tha jab ke American manufacturing activity mein tez downtrend ne Federal Reserve ke interest rates cut karne ke maqoliyat ko mazid barhawa diya. Forex trading mein, US dollar ne kuch nuqsaan euro, British pound, aur Australian dollar ke muqable mein reverse kiya, jab ke New Zealand dollar, yuan, aur yen ke muqable mein apni taqat barqarar rakhi. Japanese currency ne 38 saalon ka sabse neecha level chhoda, jab ke carry trades mazid support ho rahe hain. Gold market par doosra asar US 10-year Treasury yields ka tha jo ek mahine ke high ke kareeb hai. Trading ke hawale se, Tuesday ko US 10-year Treasury bonds yield 4.44% ke kareeb aa gaya, lekin abhi bhi ek mahine ke high ke kareeb tha, jab ke pichlay haftay ke debates aur Supreme Court ke faislay, jo ke pehle presidents ke liye mazeed immunity diye jane par focus thay, former President Donald Trump ke doosre term ko support karte hain. Pehle presidents ke doosre terms ko inflationary maana gaya hai, jo ke tax cuts, sakhte immigration policies, aur increased import tariffs se fueled hote hain



Gold prices ko istihkam mil raha hai gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs) mein lagataar inflows ki wajah se. July doosra musalsal mahina tha jismein ETFs mein inflows dekhe gaye, jo aksar Europe aur Asia ke funds ki investment ki wajah se hain. Federal Reserve ke Chair Jerome Powell ke semi-annual testimony ke baad, investors ab US ke June ke inflation data ke intezar mein hain, jo Thursday ko announce kiya jayega. Iske ilawa, Initial Jobless Claims aur University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment ka data bhi gold ke mustaqbil ka rasta tay karne mein ahem kirdar ada karega.
Fed Chair Ke Izharat
US House of Representatives ke samnay apni guftagu ke dauran, Fed Chair Jerome Powell ne Senate committee ko diye gaye apne pehle wale izharat ko dohraya. Unhoon ne inflation ko manage karne mein kiye gaye taraqqi ko tasleem kiya, lekin ehtiyaat ka izhar karte hue kaha ke interest rates mein kami 2% inflation target ko zarur haasil nahi kar sakegi.
Neechay Ki Taraf Reversal Ka Risk
Aik potential risk hai ke gold prices neechay ki taraf reversal dekhain agar price pattern ka neckline $2,279 se neeche toot jaye. Is surat mein, ek conservative target $2,541 rakha jaa sakta hai, jo pattern ki height se extrapolated downward ratio 0.618 par mabni hai. Filhal, short aur medium term mein trend sideways nazar aa raha hai, jabke long-term outlook ab bhi bullish hai.

Gold market kaafi interesting rahi hai Wednesday ko, jahan pe gold prices ne decline kiya, aur iski badi wajah US dollar ki mazid taqat thi. Yeh taqat Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ke comments ke baad aayi, jisme unhone interest rates mein kami ke ishara diya. Is wajah se XAU/USD, jo ke gold price hai US dollar ke muqable, apne daily highs $2,529 se gir ke $2,504 par aagaya. Halaanki, gold prices $2,500 ke level ke upar hi rahe, jo ke ab bhi bullish sentiment ko zahir karta hai. Magar US Treasury bond yields mein izafa aur dollar ki taqat se gold par kuch downward pressure bhi pada. Reuters ke mutabiq, China ke recent gold imports, special North American funds se, ne overall bullish sentiment ko mazid barhawa diya. Iske ilawa, World Gold Council ne bataya ke pichle hafte gold funds mein significant increase hua hai. Powell ke comments, jo ke Jackson Hole Symposium mein diye gaye, ne market mein optimism ko barhaya hai, magar upcoming labor market data kaafi ahem hoga interest rate cuts ke waqt aur scale ko determine karne ke liye.

Technical perspective se dekha jaye to gold price ne temporary pullback experience kiya hai. RSI index fading upward momentum dikhata hai, jo ke short-term correction ki nishani hai. Agar gold prices $2,483 level se neeche girti hai, to yeh signal ho sakta hai ke prices mazid gir ke $2,450 aur 50-day simple moving average $2,414 tak ja sakti hain. Dusri taraf, agar gold prices mazid strong hoti hain, to $2,531 ka retest aur phir $2,550 aur $2,600 ka challenge bhi mumkin hai. Lekin overall direction ab bhi economic factors, geopolitical developments, aur market sentiment par depend karegi. H4 chart par ek interesting triangular pattern dekha ja sakta hai jisme downside break hua hai. Yeh breakout ke guidance ke mutabiq, gold prices mein $60–$70 ka drop ho sakta hai

Ek mouqa hai sell karne ka jo main direction ke khilaf hai aur ye aglay ek ghantay mein hosakta hai. Iska base linear regression channel hai jo neeche ki taraf reverse ho gaya hai. Halanki, behtar ye hoga ke hum sell ko skip karein ya H1 channel mein reversal ka intezar karein. Lekin, jab ke market kabhi kabar H1 trend ke khilaf bhi ja sakti hai, jise hum pehlay se nahi jaan sakte, is liye M15 channel ke signals pe kaam karna sahi lagta hai kyun ke iska direction sell ko support kar raha hai. Sales 2499.27 ke level se dekhi ja sakti hain. Yahan sellers ki positions hain jo shayad apni positions ko actively defend karenge. Agar price is level ke upar chali jati hai, toh yeh bullish interest ka nishan hoga, jo ke sellers ko market se nikaalne ki koshish kar raha hoga. Is ka matlab hoga ke M15 channel bhi upar ki taraf reverse hoga aur H1 channel ke main direction ko follow karega. Mein sales ko tab dekhoonga jab ek reversal pattern form ho ke 2488.93 tak aayega. Yehi wo main channel hai jo meri system mein current upward trend ko define karta hai. Lekin yeh trend ab weak ho raha hai due to bearish interference jo M15 chart pe dekhne ko mil rahi hai, jahan linear regression channel south ki taraf directed hai. Is liye, yeh mumkin hai ke bullish trend kamzor ho aur neeche ki taraf jaye.
Is ke liye zaroori hoga ke price 2488.93 ke qareeb bullish position ke neeche hold karein. Yahan bears price ko neeche dhakailne ki koshish kar rahe hain. H1 channel ke bottom ke qareeb mein buy karne ke opportunities dhoondhoonga. Lekin pehle mein chahunga ke downward movement khatam ho ya 2488.93 ke level se koi opposite reaction aaye. Us ke baad mujhe umeed hai ke price channel ke top 2529.05 tak recover karegi. Hourly chart pe indicator buy signal show kar raha hai, lekin abhi tak activate nahi hua. Lekin aakhri bullish candle par Bollinger Bands narrow hone lagi hain, jo ke north ki taraf further movement ko limit kar rahi hain. Is liye, aaj ke din south ki taraf movement dekhne ka imkaan hai. Four-hour chart pe indicator sell signal dikha raha hai, lekin abhi tak activate nahi hua, aur pair middle Bollinger Band ke ird gird move kar raha hai. Yahan bulls aur bears ke darmiyan sakht laraai ho rahi hai. Iske ilawa, is time frame par pichlay chaar hafton se consolidation ho rahi hai jo ke technical tor par direction mein tabdeeli aur signal ke cancel hone ka sabab ban sakti hai. Is liye, abhi tak mein neutral hoon, north ki taraf dekhnay ka nahi soch raha, aur south ki taraf dekhna bhi thoda jaldi hoga.

Hum abhi Gold ke current pricing behavior ka analysis kar rahay hain. H4 chart par, Gold 2514.00 ke opening level aur 2488.00 ke daily Pivot level se upar trade kar raha hai. Leading indicators bullish trend ko suggest karte hain, kyun ke price MA72 trend line se upar hai, jahan volume aam tor par unload hota hai. Agar price 2517.00 ko cross kar jata hai, toh main mazeed growth ki tawaqo karta hoon jo 2525.00 tak ja sakti hai, aur shayad 2531.00 tak bhi pohanch jaye.

Lekin agar price 2517.00 se neechay chali jati hai, toh main yeh expect karta hoon ke yeh 2514.00 tak niche aasakti hai, aur shayad 2507.00 tak bhi ja sake. Pair monthly Pivot level 2415.00 (jo ke pehle 2332.00 tha), weekly Pivot level 2507.00, aur daily Pivot level 2488.00 ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke bullish bias ko indicate karta hai. Agar price weekly Pivot level 2507.00 ke niche chali jaye, toh correction ho sakta hai; lekin agar yeh level ke upar rehati hai, toh yeh mazeed upward movement ko indicate karta hai, aur 2517.00 pe critical resistance level ek confident climb ko confirm karne ke liye important hai.

Gold market overall stability show kar raha hai, aur ek continued upward trajectory dekhi ja rahi hai. Aaj market ne pehle hi 2518.00 ke qareeb targets achieve kar liye hain, aur trading abhi bhi is level ke upar ho rahi hai. Yeh worth noting hai ke Gold demand mein rehta hai, chahe dollar strength gain karne ki koshish kar raha ho, jo ke Gold ke primary safe-haven asset hone ko reaffirm karta hai. Halanki main abhi sidelines par hoon, lekin market naye highs ko touch karega. Lekin agar 2530.00 ka breakout false sabit hota hai, toh main pullback ke tor par sell consider kar sakta hoon, kyun ke mere targets abhi tak undefined hain. XAU/USD pair hourly chart par uptrend mein hai, aur price 132-period moving average ke upar hai. Choti time frames par bhi price 132-period moving average ke upar close hota hai, jo is trend mein buying ke opportunities ko kholta hai. Main expect karta hoon ke price 2514.00 tak pull back karegi, us ke baad buying opportunities nazar a sakti hain. Warna, agar price 2469.00 ke niche settle hoti hai, toh sell scenario relevant ban jata hai. Hourly chart par uptrend mein buying priority rehni chahiye

Economic calendar ke natayij ke mutabiq... Guzishta hafta dikhaya ke America mein masarf ki qeematein June mein pehli baar chaar saalon mein gir gayi, jo ke Federal Reserve ke taraf se September mein interest rate cut hone ki umeedon ko mazid mazboot banata hai.Sarmayakaar ab Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke haaliye comments aur is hafte mazeed American economic reports ko dekh rahe hain taake mazeed rahnumayi hasil ho sake. Isi dauran, data ne ishara diya ke guzishta hafta Asia mein sone ki physical demand mein kami aayi jabke bartan ki unchi qeematon ne bazar mein ehtiyaat baratne ko badhawa diya. Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe. Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya. Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets stable rahe. US stock futures, dollar aur Treasury bond yields Monday ko barh gayi jab markets ne weekend par ex-President Donald Trump par huye hamlay ka asar dekha, jo ke US political scene par sangin asar dal sakta hai. Hamlay mein ek attendee aur gunman ki maut ho gayi, aur do doosray critical condition mein tha

GOLD H4 Market Analysis

Good morning members’ investigative social forum, market aaj subah phir se reopen ho gaya hai aur hum trading kar sakte hain. Aaj subah main gold market ka tajziya karunga. Market ke khulne se ab tak, koi zyada powerful movement nazar nahi aayi, lekin main dekhunga ke agla movement kahan jayega Friday ke baad.

Main H4 timeframe par banaye gaye samples ko dekhoonga aur dynamic average indicator 21 aur dynamic average indicator 90 ka use karke trend ko direction dunga. Agar price top aur dynamic average indicator 90 ke neeche close nahi hoti, toh iska matlab hai ke trend abhi bhi high-speed trend mein hai.

Jab humein trend ki sharpness ka pata chal jaye, agla step buying speed ko dekhna hai. Hum jo abhi ho raha hai uska faida utha sakte hain aur dekh sakte hain ke price is area se upar jati hai ya nahi. Hum chhote time frames jaise M30 ya M15 mein gold market ko dekh kar buying opportunities bhi dhoondh sakte hain. Stock stick indicators abhi bhi bottom ko point kar rahe hain, jo ke indicate karta hai ke price gir chuki hai aur phir se upar ja sakti hai.

Agla phase stop loss area ko determine karna hai. Stop loss damage area ko determine karne ke liye, main nearest support area at price level 2484 ka use karunga. Target area ko determine karne ke liye, main resistance area ka use karunga. Analysis ke zyada details ke liye, niche diye gaye picture ko dekhein jo meri analysis ko guide karegi. Yeh chhoti si analysis aapke liye faidemand sabit ho sakti hai.

GOLD H4 Market Analysis:

Subah bakhair, members' investigative social forum! Aaj subah market phir se khul gaya hai aur hum dobara se trading kar sakte hain. Is subah main gold market ka analysis karunga. Subah jab se market khuli hai, movement mein abhi tak koi khaas taqat nahi dikhayi di gayi, lekin main yeh dekhne ki koshish karunga ke Friday ke baad agla movement kahan ja sakta hai. Yeh girne ke asaar hain.

Main H4 timeframe par bane hue samples ko dekhunga aur dynamic average indicator 21 aur dynamic average indicator 90 ka use karke trend ko dekhne ki koshish karunga. Jo ke average indicator cost 90 hai. Agar top aur dynamic average indicator period 90 ke neeche close nahi hota, toh iska matlab hai ke trend ab bhi high-speed trend mein hai.

Jab humein yeh pata chal jata hai ke trend sharp hai, toh agla qadam yeh hota hai ke buying ka waqt maloom kiya jaye. Hum is waqt ka faida utha sakte hain aur is area se price ke over hone ka intezaar kar sakte hain, ya phir chhoti timeframes, jaise M30 ya M15 timeframes mein, gold market mein buying opportunities ka faida utha sakte hain. Stock stick indicators ab bhi neeche ka ishara de rahe hain, jo ke yeh batata hai ke pehle price neeche jaayegi phir wapas upar.

Agla marhala stop-loss area ka tayun karna hai. Isko tayun karne ke liye, main qareebi support area ka use karunga jo ke 2484 ke price level par hai. Target area ko tayun karne ke liye, main resistance area ka istimal karunga. Zyada tafseel ke liye, main neeche diye gaye chart ko dekhunga taake apne analysis ko guide kar sakun. Yeh mera gold market ke hawalay se thoda analysis tha. Umeed hai ke yeh sab ke liye mufeed sabit hoga.

Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe. Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya. Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets stable rahe. US stock futures, dollar aur Treasury bond yields Monday ko barh gayi jab markets ne weekend par ex-President Donald Trump par huye hamlay ka asar dekha, jo ke US political scene par sangin asar dal sakta hai. Hamlay mein ek attendee aur gunman ki maut ho gayi, aur do doosray critical condition mein thay, jabke Trump ek goli se zakhmi ho gaye.Traders ko dar hai ke mazeed tashadud siyasi adam maqil aur bazar ki uthal puthal ko bharakaa sakta hai, halaan ke tajziya karnay walon ne note kiya ke hamlay ne Trump ke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya hai.Aaj ke liye sone. ki qeemat ki peshgoi: Neeche diye gaye rozana chart par performance ke mutabiq, sone ki qeemat ek mazboot upward path par hai jo $2400 per ounce ki psychological resistance ke upar move hone se supported hai, aur mazeed gains maqam-e-muqawamat $2420 aur $2435 per ounce tak mazeed technical indicators ko strong levels of saturation with buying ki taraf move karengi. Profit-taking sales tab tak nahi hongi jab tak US dollar ki qeemat recover nahi hoti aur geopolitical tensions calm nahi hoti

Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe. Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya. Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets stable rahe. US stock futures, dollar aur Treasury bond yields Monday ko barh gayi jab markets ne weekend par ex-President Donald Trump par huye hamlay ka asar dekha, jo ke US political scene par sangin asar dal sakta hai. Hamlay mein ek attendee aur gunman ki maut ho gayi, aur do doosray critical condition mein thay, jabke Trump ek goli se zakhmi ho gaye.Traders ko dar hai ke mazeed tashadud siyasi adam maqil aur bazar ki uthal puthal ko bharakaa sakta hai, halaan ke tajziya karnay walon ne note kiya ke hamlay ne Trump ke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya hai.Aaj ke liye sone ki qeemat ki peshgoi: Neeche diye gaye rozana chart par performance ke mutabiq, sone ki qeemat ek mazboot upward path par hai jo $2400 per ounce ki psychological resistance ke upar move hone se supported hai

sone ki qeemat ne jumme ko apna teesra musalsal haftawaar gain darj kiya, jabke America mein afsos ke sath inflation kam hone se Federal Reserve ke taraf se interest rates mein cut hone ki umeedein mazid mazboot ho gayi. Economic calendar ke natayij ke mutabiq... Guzishta hafta dikhaya ke America mein masarf ki qeematein June mein pehli baar chaar saalon mein gir gayi, jo ke Federal Reserve ke taraf se September mein interest rate cut hone ki umeedon ko mazid mazboot banata hai.Sarmayakaar ab Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke haaliye comments aur is hafte mazeed American economic reports ko dekh rahe hain taake mazeed rahnumayi hasil ho sake. Isi dauran, data ne ishara diya ke guzishta hafta Asia mein sone ki physical demand mein kami aayi jabke bartan ki unchi qeematon ne bazar mein ehtiyaat baratne ko badhawa diya.Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe.Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya.Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets stable rahe. US stock futures, dollar aur Treasury bond yields Monday ko barh gayi jab markets ne weekend par ex-President Donald Trump par huye hamlay ka asar dekha, jo ke US political scene par sangin asar dal sakta hai. Hamlay mein ek attendee aur gunman ki maut ho gayi, aur do doosray critical condition mein thay, jabke Trump ek goli se zakhmi ho gaye.Traders ko dar hai ke mazeed tashadud siyasi adam mustaqil aur bazar ki uthal puthal ko bharakaa sakta hai, halaan ke tajziya karnay walon ne note kiya ke hamlay ne Trump ke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya hai.Aaj ke liye sone ki qeemat ki peshgoi: Neeche diye gaye rozana chart par performance ke mutabiq, sone ki qeemat ek mazboot upward path par hai jo $2400 per ounce ki psychological resistance ke upar move hone se supported hai, aur mazeed gains maqam-e-muqawamat $2420 aur $2435 per ounce tak mazeed technical indicators ko strong levels of saturation with buying ki taraf move karengi. Profit-taking sales tab tak nahi hongi jab tak US dollar ki qeemat recover nahi hoti aur geopolitical tensions calm nahi hoti, jo ke sone ke haal ke gains ke sabse numayan

dekhne par yeh lag raha hai ke base area ban raha hai, yaani aisi movement jo sideways chali ja rahi hai bina upar ya neeche bade distance ke. Aise pattern mein agar hum market mein enter karne ki koshish karein, to yeh kaafi dangerous ho sakta hai kyunki price sirf support aur resistance ke beech upar neeche hoti rahegi. Agar Stochastic Indicator ko dekhen, to GOLD ke neeche move karne ki potential lag rahi hai kyunki Stochastic Indicator pehle se hi overbought level par hai, lekin price abhi bhi neeche sharply move nahi kar rahi aur lagta hai ke US Fundamental news ke release ka intezar kar rahi hai, kyunki agle haftay Fundamental NFP news release honi
Base banate waqt, humein support aur resistance areas par dhyan dena chahiye, kyunki ye areas GOLD pair ke future movement ka direction determine karne mein key hain. Support level 2470 ke price par hai, aur agar price is area ko penetrate karti hai, to hum SELL opportunity dekhne ki koshish karenge. Resistance level 2531 ke price par hai, aur agar price is resistance area ko penetrate karti hai, to hum BUY opportunity dekhne ki koshish karenge. To humein in supports aur resistances par dhyan dena zaroori hai. Neeche ek picture attach karunga jahan base area dikhai de raha hai, aur yeh mera journal update hai is weekend ke liye, umeed hai yeh aapke liye useful hoga. Agar hum aakhri kuch dino ka jaayza lein, to hum dekh sakte hain ke GOLD ne asal mein sirf upar aur neeche alternate movements ki hain. Agar hum ise bade timeframe, jaise ke daily TF, par dekhen, to yeh movement zyadatar sideways hi lagti hai. Lekin agar hum chhote timeframe, jaise H1, par switch karein, to movement kaafi interesting nazar aati hai. Last Friday ko bhi, yeh resistance level price ko 2500 ke neeche push karne mein kaamyaab raha. Yeh resistance area GOLD ke future movements ko influence kar raha hai aur agar price is resistance ko break karne mein nakam rahti hai, to humein downward movement ke signals mil sakte hain.

wo lower correction ki taraf gaye thay, jinse unka naya record high 2195 par pohnchna tha. Agar gold prices mazeed barhne lagte hain, toh wo 20-period moving average par 2171 mein resistance encounter kar sakte hain pehle 2185 level ko challenge karte hue. Uske baad, rally naye record level 2195 par pohnchte hi tham sakti hai. Ummeed hai ke gold prices jo 2150 support aur 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of 1984-2195 uptrend at 2145 ko break karte hain, aagey ki taraf pullback ko trigger kar sakein 50-period MA at 2139 tak. Downtrend phir 2123 area aur 38 Fibonacci retracement level tak extend ho sakta hai. Overall, uptrend haal mein bearish moves ke bawajood strong hai char ghantay ki chart par. Agar 200-period moving average ke upar jaaye toh technical outlook zyada neutral ho jayega. Gold price phir se buland hua, jab ke pichle haftay ko market ke harkaat ne dabaya tha. Magar, jo bull run hua woh ab bhi resistance line ya MA 50 line ko tor nahin saka. Subah tak keemat ab bhi MA 50 line ke neeche thi, ek khareedne wale candle ka dhancha tha, lekin halaat kamzor ho rahe thay. Nazar aa raha hai ke mumkin hai ke mumkin hai ke candle chhota hota ja raha hai aur resistance line ya MA 50 line ke qareeb jaane par shadow ka inkar hota hai. Sona ka agla harkat ya aaj ki bhavishyavani, agar mojooda keemat ke halaat dekhein, sona ab bhi bearish mein wapas jaane ki zyada imkaan hai kyun ke jo bullish hua woh abhi tak resistance line ko nahi chhed saka magar khareedne wale kamzor mehsoos kar rahe hain, isliye jo bullishness is waqt hoti hai woh sirf ek keemat ki durusti hai aur phir keemat phir se gir jayegi. Lekin sona phir se buland hone ki mumkinat ka khayal rakhein, kyun ke sona ka trend badal gaya nahi hai (abhi bhi bullish hai) to keemat abhi bhi agle harkat ke liye bullish hone ki mumkinat rakhti hai. Upar di gayi tajziya ke mutabiq, aaj ka sona ka harkat ka andaza phir bhi bearish hone ki mumkinat hai kyun ke keemat abhi tak MA 50 line aur resistance ke neeche hai, isliye aaj sona mein trade karne ke liye bechne ki moqa talash kar sakte hain . Agar keemat phir se barh jaye aur MA 50 line aur 2172.48 ke resistance line ko tor de, to chonke agar keemat resistance line ko tor de to sona ko apni bullish reliance ko dobara shuru karne ki mumkinat hai aur agar highest resistance line 2193.06 ko dobara tor de to phir maloom nahin