Gold

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

Gold (XAU) aur Silver (XAG) Daily Forecast: US Dollar ki Kamzori Safe-Haven Demand Ko Barhawa Deti Hai

Key Points:

• Gold $2,626 par stable hai, weaker US dollar aur global market ki uncertainties ki wajah se safe-haven demand barh rahi hai.
• Silver $29.61 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai; Federal Reserve ki hawkish stance ke pressure mein hai, magar Middle East ke geopolitical risks ki wajah se supported hai.
• CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, January mein Federal Reserve ke rates mein tabdeeli ka 93% chance nahi hai, jo gold ke prices par pressure banaye rakhta hai.

Market Overview
Gold ki qeemat Thursday ko $2,626 ke aas-paas hover kar rahi thi aur intraday high $2,629 tak pohanch gayi. Yeh thoda weaker US dollar ki wajah se support le raha hai. Dollar index Asian trading ke doran neeche aaya, magar ab bhi 2-saal ki high ke kareeb hai, jo gold par pricing pressure ko kam kar raha hai.

Lekin Federal Reserve ki hawkish monetary policy ka lingering caution gold ke upside ko limit kar raha hai.

Middle East ke geopolitical tensions ne gold ki safe-haven appeal ko barhawa diya hai, magar higher interest rates ki umeed investor appetite ko constrain kar rahi hai. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, January mein Federal Reserve ke benchmark rate ko 4.25%–4.50% par barqaraar rakhne ke 93% chances hain, jo gold ke liye scrutiny ka sabab hai kyun ke bonds zyada behter yields offer karte hain.

Silver Trades Lower Amid Rate Concerns
Silver $29.61 par trade kar raha hai, jo intraday sessions ke doran thoda neeche aya, aur apna low $29.56 par banaya. Ek strong dollar aur Federal Reserve ki policies ne non-yielding assets jaise ke silver ki demand ko kam kar diya hai.

Geopolitical risks, khaaskar Middle East mein, silver ki safe-haven appeal ko barhawa de rahi hain. Magar rising US interest rates yield-bearing assets ki attractiveness ko barhate hain, jo silver ke upside ko limit karte hain.

Market ab US economic indicators jaise ke durable goods orders ka neeche ana (-1.1%) aur girti hui consumer confidence par nazar rakh raha hai, taake agay ke liye kuch aur signals mil sakein.

Short-Term Forecast: Gold Prices
Gold $2,626 ke kareeb consolidate kar raha hai, jahan $2,651 resistance hai. Agar is level ke upar break hota hai, to $2,679 ka target ho sakta hai, lekin agar yeh fail hota hai, to price $2,608 tak pullback kar sakti hai.

Gold Prices Forecast: Technical Analysis
Gold (XAU/USD) abhi $2,626.76 par trade kar raha hai, 0.37% ka gain dikhate hue, aur pivot point $2,629.62 ke kareeb consolidate kar raha hai. Ek double top formation upward momentum ko rok raha hai, jo yeh signal karta hai ke is level par resistance critical hai.



Agar gold $2,651.62 ke immediate resistance ke upar break karta hai, to $2,679.38 ka near-term target ho sakta hai. Lekin agar yeh pivot ke upar sustain karne mein fail hota hai, to $2,608.24 par immediate support ki taraf pullback ho sakta hai, aur agay $2,584.66 tak neeche ja sakta hai.

50-day EMA $2,621.04 par hai, jo current levels ke kareeb hai aur near-term stability dikhata hai, jab ke 200-day EMA $2,639.95 broader consolidation ko highlight karta hai. Agar price $2,629.62 ke neeche hai, to outlook bearish rahega, magar is level ke upar ka break sentiment ko decisively bullish bana sakta hai.

Silver (XAG/USD) Price Forecast: Technical Outlook
Silver (XAG/USD) abhi $29.61 par trade kar raha hai, 0.7% ka loss dikhate hue, bearish sentiment ke sath pivot point $29.78 par rejection ke baad. Ek downward trendline upside potential ko limit kar rahi hai, jahan immediate resistance $30.16 par hai aur agla resistance $30.75 par ho sakta hai. Agar yeh levels break nahi karte, to silver pressure mein rahega.



Neeche ki taraf, immediate support $29.26 par hai, aur stronger support $28.79 par hai, jo selling ke barhne par ek floor ka kaam kar sakta hai.

50-day EMA $29.67 par hai, jo near-term stability offer karta hai, jab ke 200-day EMA $30.35 broader bearish bias ko reinforce karta hai. Agar price $29.78 ke upar breakout karta hai, to momentum bullish outlook ki taraf shift ho sakta hai.

Gold aur silver dono apni apni critical levels par trade kar rahe hain. Gold ke liye $2,651 aur silver ke liye $30.16 critical resistance levels hain. Dollar ki kamzori aur geopolitical risks ki wajah se safe-haven demand barh rahi hai, magar Fed ki hawkish stance aur rising interest rates inki upside ko limit karte hain.

Traders ko in levels par nazar rakhni chahiye, aur technical indicators ka istemal karte hue apni trading strategy adjust karni chahiye.

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

Gold Ki Price Barhti Hai Jabke Dollar Kamzor Hota Hai Geopolitical Tensions Ke Darmiyan

Gold ki keemat Thursday ko barh gayi jab dollar apne mukhiyati rivals ke muqable mein kamzor hua, aur market mein geopolitics ke hawale se tensions barhne lagi.
Analysts ka maanna hai ke gold ke halia izafay ka taaluq eastern Europe ke developing war situation se hai, jahan Russia Ukraine ke electricity network ko target kar raha hai, jaisa ke Reuters ne report kiya.

Investors New Year holiday ki tayari kar rahe hain, jo unke portfolios ki reorganization ka sabab ban sakti hai aur kuch assets ke liquidation ka bhi imkaan hai.

US Data Aur Dollar Ki Halat
Pehle ke US data ne dikhaya ke pichle hafte unemployment claims ek hazar kam hoke 219 hazar par aa gayi, jabke analysts ne 223 hazar ka andaza lagaya tha.

Doosri taraf, dollar index 0.1% gir kar 108.1 par aa gaya (20:16 GMT tak), jiska session-high 108.3 aur low 108.03 raha.

Gold Ki Keemat Mein Izafa
Trading ke doran, gold spot prices 0.7% barh kar 20:17 GMT tak $2654.1 per ounce par pahunch gayi.

US Dollar Ki Mazbooti Aur Gold Ki Steady Performance
US Dollar Index (DXY) Thursday ko 0.06% barh kar 108.14 par raha. Iski mazbooti ki wajah unexpected kam unemployment claims (219K versus 223K forecast) thi, jo labor market ki resilience ko zahir karti hai.

Gold ki keemat $2,633 per ounce par steady rahi, sirf 0.03% ki girawat ke sath, jo critical economic data se pehle investors ki cautious sentiment ko dikhata hai.

Friday Ke Important Economic Reports Ka Asar
Friday ke reports, jisme Goods Trade Balance (-$101.3B ka forecast) aur Prelim Wholesale Inventories (0.1% ka forecast) shamil hain, market ke direction ko asar andaz kar sakti hain. Yeh numbers dollar ki strength aur gold ke safe-haven demand ke hawale se expectations ko shape karenge.

Gold Aur US Dollar Index Ke Technical Analysis
Gold (XAU/USD) abhi $2,633.03 par trade kar raha hai, jo sirf 0.03% ki girawat ke sath $2,631.59 ke pivot ke upar consolidate kar raha hai. 50-day EMA $2,624.82 par short-term support de raha hai, jabke 200-day EMA $2,639.07 par broader consolidation ko signal karta hai.



Resistance Levels:

• Pehla resistance $2,651.62 par hai, jo gold ke $2,676.43 ki taraf barhne ka imkaan deta hai.

Support Levels:

• Pehla support $2,608.24 par hai, aur iske neeche girne par gold $2,584.66 ka target kar sakta hai.

Gold ka outlook abhi cautiously optimistic hai agar $2,630 ke upar rehne mein kamyab hota hai. Lekin agar is level se neeche gira, to bearish momentum start ho sakti hai.

XAU/USD H4 Chart Analysis - 27 Dec 2024
Aj ka H4 chart XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) ka technical analysis dikhata hai jo kaafi important levels aur market trends highlight karta hai. Chart par humein price ki movement, moving averages (MA), Parabolic SAR, aur stochastic oscillator ke indicators nazar aate hain, jo trading decisions ke liye key signals provide karte hain. Sabse pehle, moving averages ka analysis karein to yellow line (50 MA) ne white line (200 MA) ke neeche cross kiya hai. Is tarah ka crossover aksar bearish signal deta hai aur ye long-term downtrend ka indication hai. Price abhi 50 MA aur 200 MA ke neeche hai, jo ye suggest karta hai ke market sellers ke control mein hai. Agar price 50 aur 200 MA ke upar close karta hai, to ye ek bullish reversal ho sakta hai. Chart par stochastic oscillator bhi nazar aa raha hai jo abhi downward direction mein hai. Ye oscillator oversold level (20 se neeche) se upar aya tha, lekin wapis neeche ki taraf ja raha hai. Ye batata hai ke buying momentum kam ho raha hai aur selling pressure barh raha hai. Agar stochastic 20 ke neeche jata hai, to ye further bearish signal ho sakta hai. Parabolic SAR dots bhi price ke upar hain, jo downward trend ko confirm karte hain. Jab tak ye dots price ke neeche shift nahi hote, tab tak trend bearish hi samjha jayega.
Key levels par dhyan dena zaroori hai:
Support:
2610 – Agar price is level ke neeche close karta hai, to ye aur girne ka ishara hoga.
Resistance:
2650 – Agar price is level ko todta hai, to buyers ke liye ek opportunity ban sakti hai. Is waqt ka scenario conservative approach ki demand karta hai. Agar aap short-term trader hain, to oversold levels se recovery ka wait karein. Long-term traders ke liye 200 MA ka break hona ek important indicator hai. Trading karte waqt risk management ka khayal rakhein aur stop-loss zaroor use karein.

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

Gold (XAU) k Prices $2600 and $2630 k Daryan Stuck ho Gaye hai, jo kisi Bare Break Through k Intezar Mein Hen

Key Points:

• Gold (XAU/USD): 27% annual gain ke liye tayar, jo 2010 ke baad ka behtareen performance hai, geopolitics aur economic uncertainties ki wajah se.
• Silver (XAG/USD): $29.40 par trade kar raha hai, safe-haven demand se faida utha raha hai jab ke global risks aur lower bond yields ka asar hai.
• Geopolitical tensions, central bank strategies, aur U.S. Treasury yields 2025 ke liye gold aur silver ka outlook tay kar rahe hain.

Market k Current Situation
Gold (XAU/USD) apni upward trajectory jari rakhta hai aur $2,615 se kaafi upar trade kar raha hai. Economic aur geopolitical factors ki wajah se yeh investors ke liye ek pasandeeda safe-haven asset bana hua hai. New Year holiday ke pehle lighter trading volumes ke bawajood, gold 2024 ko 27% gain ke sath close karne wala hai, jo 2010 ke baad ka sabse acha annual performance hai.

Central bank ke purchases aur geopolitical tensions, jaise Eastern Europe aur Middle East ke conflicts, gold ki demand ko barhane mein madadgar rahe hain.

Aane wali Trump administration ki trade policies ko le kar uncertainty ne gold ki demand mein mazeed izafa kiya hai, jab ke tariffs ke concerns global trade ko disrupt kar sakte hain.

US Interest Rate Outlook aur Treasury Yields
Gold ka outlook ab bhi mazboot hai, magar Federal Reserve ki 2025 ke liye interest rate strategy gains ko kam kar sakti hai. Fed ne haal hi mein apna benchmark rate 0.25% kam kiya, magar aage dheemi cuts ka signal diya hai.

Lower U.S. Treasury bond yields (2-year yield: 4.32%, 10-year yield: 4.62%) gold ke liye support barqarar rakhte hain, kyun ke ye ek non-yielding asset hai.

Silver Gold ke Saath Perform Kar Raha Hai
Silver (XAG/USD) bhi safe-haven demand ka faida utha raha hai aur $29.40 par trade kar raha hai, intra-day high $29.48 ke saath. Gold ka ek accessible alternative samjha jane wala silver, geopolitical aur economic risks ke dour mein investors ke liye attractive hai.

Broader Market Dynamics
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) 108.00 ke qareeb hai, jo 2 saal ke high se thoda neeche hai, jo investor caution ko reflect karta hai. Federal Reserve aur geopolitical developments ke asar ke sath, gold aur silver uncertain times mein traders ke liye focus bane rahenge.

Economic policies, central bank strategies, aur global tensions ka combined asar gold aur silver ki momentum ko 2025 tak barqarar rakh sakta hai.

Gold Prices Forecast: Technical Analysis
Gold (XAU/USD) $2,616.97 par trade kar raha hai, jo last session se 0.14% neeche hai. Pivot point $2,626.82 par hai, jo ek critical juncture hai—isse neeche prices ka bearish bias dikhta hai, immediate support $2,608.24 aur mazboot support $2,587.87 par hai. Resistance $2,639.53 par hai, aur agar bullish momentum wapas aaye toh next target $2,658.47 ho sakta hai.

4-hour chart ek symmetrical triangle pattern show karta hai, jo potential breakout ki taraf ishara karta hai. Magar bearish engulfing candle ka ban'na near-term downward pressure dikhata hai. Gold abhi 50 EMA ($2,624.02) aur 200 EMA ($2,637.10) ke neeche hai, jo bearish outlook ko reinforce karta hai. Agar $2,626.82 ka break ho, toh momentum upward shift ho sakta hai.



Silver (XAG/USD) Price Forecast: Technical Outlook
Silver (XAG/USD) $29.40 par trade kar raha hai, jo latest session mein 0.05% ka izafa dikhata hai. Pivot point $29.54 par hai—isse neeche prices ka bearish outlook samjha jata hai, immediate support $28.82 aur deeper support $28.42 par hai. Upar ki taraf resistance $30.14 aur $30.73 par hai, jo bullish momentum ke sath test ho sakta hai.

Silver abhi 50 EMA ($29.62) aur 200 EMA ($30.20) ke neeche hai, jo near-term bearish pressure ko reinforce karta hai. 4-hour chart downside momentum ki taraf ishara karta hai, aur agar $28.82 ka break ho, toh selling accelerate ho sakti hai. Magar $29.54 ka reclaim karna momentum ko upward shift kar sakta hai, jo traders ke liye crucial hai.

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!
Gold Prices Ka Teesra Lagataar Izafa


Gold ke qeemat European trade mein Monday ko barh gayi, aur chaar hafton ki low se door ho kar teesre din lagataar izafa record karte hue $2600 ke upar apni position barqarar rakhi.

Fed Officials Ki Remarks Ka Intezaar
Market ab kuch Fed officials ke remarks ka intezaar kar rahi hai, jo January mein interest rate cut ke chances ke baare mein clues provide kar sakte hain.

Gold ke qeemat 0.4% barh kar $2633 per ounce tak pohanchi, jabke session-low $2617 tha.

Friday ko gold ne 1.1% ka izafa kiya, jo teesre din ka lagataar faida tha, aur chaar hafton ki lowest level $2583 se door tha.

Pichle hafte gold ki qeemat 0.95% neeche gayi thi, jo ek mahine mein teesra weekly loss tha, bullish Federal Reserve policy meeting ke baad.

US Rates
Fedwatch tool ke mutabiq, January mein 0.25% Federal Reserve interest rate cut ke chances sirf 9% hain.

San Francisco Fed President Mary Dale aur do aur Fed policymakers ne kaha ke agle saal rate cuts wapas start honi chahiye, lekin yeh kaam dheere ho sakta hai kyun ke recalibration period khatam ho gaya hai.

SPDR Gold Holdings
SPDR Gold Trust mein gold holdings Friday ko 16.66 tons barh gayi, jo January 2022 ke baad se sabse bara daily izafa hai, total holdings 877.40 tons ho gayi hain, jo November 27 ke baad se highest hain.

US Dollar Aur Gold Ka Outlook: Mixed Sentiment
US Dollar ne mixed economic data release hone ke baad resilience dikhayi, jisme weaker-than-expected durable goods orders aur core durable goods orders ka dip shamil tha. Dollar Index (DXY) apni strength barqarar rakha hua hai, ongoing economic uncertainty aur 2025 mein slower Federal Reserve interest rate cuts ki umeed ki wajah se.

Dusri taraf, gold $2,618 ke aas paas stable raha, geopolitical tensions aur safe-haven asset ki apni role ki wajah se. Lekin gold ki upside potential limited hai firm U.S. dollar aur rising bond yields ki wajah se, jo safe-haven demand aur yield-seeking investors ke darmiyan ek tug-of-war create karte hain.

US Dollar Index (DXY) – Technical Analysis
Dollar Index (DXY) $108.159 par trade kar raha hai, jo 0.07% ka slight izafa show karta hai. Price key pivot point $107.998 ke upar hai, jo bullish potential ko indicate karta hai.

50-day EMA $107.859 upward momentum ko support karta hai, jabke 200-day EMA $107.051 long-term bullish trend ko show karta hai.

Agar DXY immediate resistance $108.541 ke upar break karta hai, to aur zyada gains $108.901 tak ho sakte hain. Lekin agar yeh $107.998 se neeche girta hai, to bearish shift support levels $107.603 aur $107.181 tak le ja sakti hai. Filhal upward channel buying pressure ko support kar raha hai U.S. dollar ke liye

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

Gold (XAU/USD) Price Analysis: Kia 2025 Mein Prices Mazeed Barh Sakti Hain?

Gold prices kal gir gaye kyunke ek mazboot US Dollar, hawkish Fed ki umeed aur thin liquidity ne mil kar pressure dala. Tariffs aur 2025 ke challenges ke hawale se uncertainties abhi tak precious metals ki appeal ko zinda rakhi hui hain aur mazeed losses ko roknay ka kaam kar rahi hain. Gold prices 2024 ka end 27% ke shandar izafay ke sath karne wale hain, jo ke 2010 ke baad se behtareen yearly performance hogi.

2024 Highlights

• Gold prices 2024 ka end 27% ke gain ke sath kar rahi hain, jo 2010 ke baad se sabse behtareen performance hai.
• 2025 ke liye outlook positive hai geopolitics risks, central bank buying aur safe-haven demand ki wajah se.
• Trump administration ki policies gold prices ke liye dono risks aur opportunities paish kar sakti hain.
• Technical analysis mazeed izafay ka imkaan dikhata hai, lekin nayi highs se pehle ek deeper correction bhi mumkin hai.

2025 Ke Liye Gold Ka Outlook
2025 ke liye jo tasveer samne aati hai, wo interesting hogi. Geopolitical risk abhi bhi threat bana hua hai, Middle East abhi bhi tension mein hai aur Russia-Ukraine ka masla hal hota nazar nahi aata.

Kaal ke din ek afwa phel gayi thi ke Trump administration Ukraine ka NATO membership 10 saal tak delay karne ka ek proposal tayar kar rahi hai, lekin Kremlin isay qabool karne ke haq mein nahi.

Jis kisi ko iss masle ki samajh hai, wo janta hoga ke is development se zyada kuch nahi badlega, kyunke conflict ka asal sabab (kam az kam Russia ke nazar se) Ukraine ka NATO join karna hai. Yeh developments geopolitical risk premium ko barqarar rakhenge aur safe haven demand ko support karenge.

Global central banks bhi 2024 me Gold prices ke izafay ka bara sabab rahe. Yeh trend 2025 me bhi jaari rehne ki umeed hai. World Gold Council ke survey ke mutabiq central banks agle 12 mahine me mazeed gold khareedne ki umeed karte hain, jo ke demand ko mazboot karega.

Risks Aur Opportunities
Gold prices ko future me jo risks affect kar sakte hain, wo complex hain. Trump administration se economy ke liye behtareen policies ki umeed hai, lekin kuch policies ki wajah se interest rates barh sakte hain, jo gold prices par negative asar dalenge.

Yeh ek double-edged sword hai, kyunke Trump ki policies se badhne wali uncertainty aur tariffs ke asrat safe-haven assets ki demand ko barha sakte hain, aur is tarah gold ki demand mazeed mazboot ho sakti hai.

Analysts ka overall maan na hai ke 2025 me gold prices mazeed barh sakte hain. Lekin ek deeper correction ko rule out nahi kiya ja sakta jab tak price 2790 handle ke aaspaas current ATH ko breach na kar le.

Next Hafte Ke Liye Prediction
Aaj ka din potentially slow ho sakta hai kyunke New Year ka holiday kal hai. Aise mein kal ke price action ka repeat ho sakta hai, jahan slow grind downside ki taraf nazar aaye.

Holiday ke baad Thursday, January 2, 2025 ko markets wapas normal liquidity ke sath shuru ho sakti hain, jo kuch volatility la sakti hai. Friday ko US se high-impact data ISM Manufacturing PMI release ki surat me aayega.

Yeh data overall USD ki narrative ko zyada badalne ki umeed nahi rakhta, aur data se hone wale moves short-lived rahenge.

Technical Analysis (XAU/USD)
Gold pichle hafte mazeed upar jane ke liye poised tha aur isne yeh kaam kiya. Precious metal ne December 26 ko 2639 ke resistance area ko touch kiya aur phir gir kar 2620 ke aaspaas week close kiya.



2-hour chart dikhata hai ke price structure me clear change aaya jab price ne 2639 par top kiya. Uske baad price ne lower highs aur lower lows ka silsila banaya, aur kal 2600 psychological level ko briefly breach kiya.

Chart par ek descending trendline maujood hai, jiska break aur candle close agar upar hota hai, to yeh 2639 ke retest ka imkaan paida karega.

Agar price $2600 handle ke neeche break karta hai, to support long-term ascending trendline par mil sakta hai, jo ke 2592-2596 range ke aaspaas hai.

XAU/USD H4 Chart Analysis - 27 Dec 2024
Aj ka H4 chart XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) ka technical analysis dikhata hai jo kaafi important levels aur market trends highlight karta hai. Chart par humein price ki movement, moving averages (MA), Parabolic SAR, aur stochastic oscillator ke indicators nazar aate hain, jo trading decisions ke liye key signals provide karte hain. Sabse pehle, moving averages ka analysis karein to yellow line (50 MA) ne white line (200 MA) ke neeche cross kiya hai. Is tarah ka crossover aksar bearish signal deta hai aur ye long-term downtrend ka indication hai. Price abhi 50 MA aur 200 MA ke neeche hai, jo ye suggest karta hai ke market sellers ke control mein hai. Agar price 50 aur 200 MA ke upar close karta hai, to ye ek bullish reversal ho sakta hai. Chart par stochastic oscillator bhi nazar aa raha hai jo abhi downward direction mein hai. Ye oscillator oversold level (20 se neeche) se upar aya tha, lekin wapis neeche ki taraf ja raha hai. Ye batata hai ke buying momentum kam ho raha hai aur selling pressure barh raha hai. Agar stochastic 20 ke neeche jata hai, to ye further bearish signal ho sakta hai. Parabolic SAR dots bhi price ke upar hain, jo downward trend ko confirm karte hain. Jab tak ye dots price ke neeche shift nahi hote, tab tak trend bearish hi samjha jayega.
Key levels par dhyan dena zaroori hai:
Support:
2610 – Agar price is level ke neeche close karta hai, to ye aur girne ka ishara hoga.
Resistance:
2650 – Agar price is level ko todta hai, to buyers ke liye ek opportunity ban sakti hai. Is waqt ka scenario conservative approach ki demand karta hai. Agar aap short-term trader hain, to oversold levels se recovery ka wait karein. Long-term traders ke liye 200 MA ka break hona ek important indicator hai. Trading karte waqt risk management ka khayal rakhein aur stop-loss zaroor use karein

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

Gold Barhta Raha, 2024 Mein 20% Se Zyada Ka Yearly Profit Record Kiya

Tuesday ke din, gold prices barhne ke bawajood dollar ne zyada tar currency rivals ke muqable mein izafa dekha. Precious metal ne 2024 mein haven demand ki wajah se mazboot yearly profit mark kiya.
Central Bank Purchases Aur Global Siyasati Bechaini
Umeed hai ke Trump ke faisla kun election jeetne ke baad, global central banks 2025 mein bhi gold reserve purchases ka current pace barqarar rakhein gi.

Central banks ke purchases, geopolitical uncertainty, aur monetary policy easing ne gold ko 2024 mein record high tak pohanchane mein madad di.

Dollar Index Ka Izafa
Dollar index 0.3% barh kar 108.4 par pohanch gaya, jahan session-high 108.5 aur low 107.8 tha.

Gold Futures Ki Trading
Gold February futures 0.85% ya $22.9 barh kar $2,641 per ounce par close hui. Halanke, precious metal ne:

• 1.5% ka monthly loss,
• 1.5% ka quarterly loss,
• Lekin 21.4% ka yearly profit record kiya.

Resistance Ka Test Aur Bearish Pressure
Monday ko five-day low ke bawajood, gold ne Tuesday ko rally karte hue declining trendline (dotted) ke aas paas resistance ko test kiya. Yeh trendline Thursday se test ho rahi hai.

Aaj ka high 2,627 raha, jo kal ke high 2,628 se thoda neeche tha. Agar gold aaj ka high todhne mein nakam hota hai, to lower daily highs ka silsila barqarar rahega. Lekin agar Monday ke high ko todhne mein kamiyaab hota hai, to yeh bullish reversal ki taraf pehla signal hoga.

Short-term Strength Aur Counter-trend Rally
20-Day MA ka recent swing high 2,639 par hai, jo abhi resistance ka kaam kar raha hai. Agar gold is level ko reclaim kar leta hai, to yeh counter-trend rally hogi jo downward channel ke andar strength show karegi.

Agar yeh high tod diya jata hai, to agla resistance 50-Day MA 2,661 par hoga, aur uske baad channel ke top par.

Weekly Chart Ki Ahmiyat
Weekly chart ke mutabiq, pichle hafte gold ne apne 20-Week MA ke neeche close kiya tha, jo ke October 2023 ke baad pehli dafa hua. Agar gold 2,639-swing high ke upar pohanch jata hai, to yeh weekly timeframe par bullish reversal ka signal dega, jo demand ke behtarne ka izhar karega aur December 12 swing high 2,726 tak barhne ki guzarish karega.

Bearish Scenario
Agar gold Monday ke low 2,596 ke neeche jata hai, to yeh bearish hoga aur falling trend barqarar rehega. Yeh price ko 200-Day MA support 2,486 par test karne ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Gold ke liye agle dino mein yeh levels aur patterns qabil-e-ghaur honge.

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

Gold ne 2025 ke aaghaz par do hafton ka high touch kar liya

Gold ke daam Thursday ko European trade me barhe, 2025 ke shuruaat par, aur do straight sessions ke liye gains ko barhaya, do hafton ke high par pohanch gaya, jabke dollar apne major rivals ke khilaf ruk gaya.

Yeh iske baad hua jab Federal Reserve ne is saal ke liye apne interest rate cuts ke targets ko kam kiya, aur markets mazeed clues ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo is saal ke rate cuts ke probabilities ko samajhne me madad karenge.

Price

Gold ke daam aaj 0.6% barh kar $2639 an ounce tak pohanch gaye, jo 18 December ke baad ka sabse zyada hai, jabke session-low $2621 raha.

Tuesday ko, gold 0.75% barha, jo ke teen din ke baad pehla munafa tha.

2024 ke akhir tak, gold 27% barha, jo ke 2010 ke baad ka sabse bara salana profit tha, jo ke central banks ke zariye massive investment demand aur reserve purchases ki wajah se hua.

US Dollar

Dollar index Thursday ko 0.25% gira, jo ke 108.56 par apne do saalon ke high ko wapas de gaya, jabke ye major rivals ke against tha.

US Rates

Fedwatch tool ke mutabiq, January me 0.25% US interest rate cut ke chances 11% par hain, jabke investors is haftay ke crucial US labor data ka intezar kar rahe hain, taake mazeed clues mil sakein.

SPDR

SPDR Gold Trust ke gold holdings Tuesday ko teesre straight session ke liye unchanged rahe, jo ke 872.80 tons hain.

US Dollar Rises aur Gold Stable Data ke Darmiyan

US Dollar mazboot raha, 108.43 ke qareeb trade karte huye, jabke economic data expectations ke mutabiq tha. Unemployment claims 220K par aaye, jo 219K se thoda zyada hain, aur final manufacturing PMI 48.3 par stable raha. Construction spending 0.4% se gir kar 0.3% par aa gaya. Iske baraks, Gold $2,633 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha, safe-haven demand ke sabab.

Upcoming ISM Manufacturing PMI aur FOMC commentary sentiment ko shape karenge. Agar dollar kamzor hota hai, to Gold barh sakta hai, jabke upbeat data greenback ki appeal mazeed mazboot kar sakta hai.

US Dollar Index (DXY) – Technical Analysis

Dollar Index (DXY) 108.427 par trade kar raha hai, jo 0.05% neeche hai, aur apne pivot point 108.28 ke qareeb consolidate kar raha hai. Index ek upward trendline se supported hai, jisme immediate resistance 108.90 par hai aur mazboot resistance 109.35 par hai. Downside me, support levels 107.73 aur 107.20 hain, jo selling pressure ke against ek cushion dete hain.

Technically, DXY apne 50 EMA ke upar hai jo 108.17 par hai, aur 200 EMA jo 107.56 par hai, jo bullish bias ko reinforce karta hai. Ek recent triple-top pattern breakout mazeed gains ke liye potential suggest karta hai, lekin traders ko 108.90 ke upar ek sustained break ko monitor karna chahiye confirmation ke liye. Agar 108.28 ke neeche move karta hai, to momentum reverse ho sakta hai aur ek sharper decline ka signal de sakta hai.

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

Gold 1% se zyada izafa kar gaya, halaanke dollar mazbooti dikhata raha

Gold ke qeemat Thursday ko barh gayi, halaanke dollar ne apni mazbooti ko barqarar rakha aur aksar barray currencies ke muqable me rebound kiya, jab ke precious metal ne 2024 me shandaar faida hasil kiya.

Pehle US data ne dikhaya ke unemployment claims 9 hazar se gir kar 211 hazar par aa gayi, jo ke December 28 ko khatam hone wale haftay me 8 mahine ke sabse kam level par hain, jo labor market ki mazbooti ko zahir karta hai.

Key Points:

• Gold (XAU) symmetrical triangle ke andar positive price action dikhata hai.
• US Treasury Yield (TNX) 4.60%–4.75% ke resistance range ke qareeb hai.
• US Dollar (DXY) 2025 ke pehle din mazid bullish trend dikhata hua barh gaya.

Ab markets is mahine ke aham events ka intezar kar rahe hain, jin me US President-elect Donald Trump ka inauguration aur 2024 ke chothay quarter ke corporate earnings results shamil hain.

Trump ki faisla kun election victory ke baad, yeh tasavvur hai ke global central banks 2025 me gold reserve purchases ke mojooda pace ko barqarar rakhein ge.

Central banks ki kharidaari, badhti hui geopolitical uncertainty, aur monetary policy easing ne precious metal ko 2024 me record high tak le aaya.

Gold ne December me 1.5% aur chothay quarter me bhi 1.5% ka nuqsan uthaya, lekin poore saal me 21.4% ka faida hasil kiya.

Doosri taraf, dollar index 0.8% barh kar 109.3 par aa gaya, session-high 109.5 aur low 108.2 raha.

Trading ke doran, gold spot prices 1.1% barh kar $2669 per ounce par pohanch gayi.

Gold (XAU) ka 2025 me shandar aaghaz

Gold 2025 ke pehle din mazbooti se barhta hua $2,660 ke upar pohanch gaya. Safe-haven demand, jo geopolitical tensions ki wajah se barh rahi hai, gold ki prices ko support kar rahi hai. Central bank gold purchases ki wajah se price rally mazid fuel ho rahi hai, jin me 2024 ke pehle nau mahine me 694 tonnes kharide gaye. Market expect kar raha hai ke central bank demand 2025 me gold ko naye all-time highs tak le ja sakti hai.



Dusri taraf, US dollar apni mazbooti barqarar rakhe hue hai, jo Federal Reserve ki slow pace rate cuts ki wajah se hai. Fed ne December me rates kam kiye, lekin 2025 me mazid easing ke liye ehtiyaat ka signal diya. Trump administration ke expected policies, jaise ke higher tariffs aur tax cuts, inflationary pressures ko barha sakti hain, jo gold ke liye ek hedge ke tor par faida mand ho sakti hain. Lekin, US dollar ki mazbooti gold ki upside ko limit kar sakti hai, kyunke strong dollar aksar international demand ko kam karta hai.

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

Fed Minutes aur Jobs Data ka Asar: Fed Policy, Gold, Stocks aur Dollar par kya hoga?

Gold prices Friday ko gir gayi hain, halanke dollar ne major rivals ke muqable mein dip kiya hai. Precious metal mein yeh girawat kal ke heavy gains ke baad profit-taking ki wajah se hui.

Markets ab Donald Trump ki US inauguration ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo iss mahine ke akhir mein hogi. Trump ke protectionist policies ka nishana China, EU, Canada aur dusre mulk ho sakte hain.

Key Points:

• Fed minutes Wednesday ko divisions reveal kar sakte hain, jo Treasury yields, equities aur US dollar ko influence karenge.
• Thursday ka market closure (President Carter ke funeral ke liye) trading ko compress kar sakta hai, jis se volatility barh sakti hai.
• Friday ka jobs report 154,000 naye jobs forecast karta hai, aur unemployment steady 4.2% rehne ka imkaan hai. Yeh market direction ke liye key hoga.
• Agar labor data surprise kare ya Fed ke signals market expectations se mukhtalif ho, to bond yields aur gold prices sharply move kar sakte hain.

Markets Brace for Key Economic Data and Fed Signals This Week

Is hafte traders compressed trading schedule ke liye tayar ho rahe hain, jahan crucial economic releases aur Federal Reserve insights market sentiment ko drive karenge. Midweek market closure Thursday ko former President Jimmy Carter ke funeral ke liye trading ko limit karega, jis ki wajah se Wednesday ke Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes aur Friday ke December jobs report par focus aur barh gaya hai.

Bond yields, US dollar, equities aur gold, sabhi economic data ke shifts ke liye sensitive hain. Agle kuch din early 2025 trading ka tone set kar sakte hain.

FOMC Minutes Wednesday ko Treasury Yields aur Dollar ko Kaise Shift Karenge?
Wednesday ko FOMC minutes ka release bond aur currency traders ke liye kaafi ahmiyat rakhega. December ki meeting mein 25-basis-point rate cut announce hua tha, magar Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack ne dissent kiya, jo internal divisions ki nishani thi.

Market participants minutes ka analysis karenge taake aur zyada disagreement ke signs aur inflation aur employment ke hawale se Fed ke outlook ko samajh sakein.

• Agar Fed Chair Jerome Powell ke fewer rate cuts ke hints reinforce hote hain, to Treasury yields barh sakte hain aur dollar mazboot ho sakta hai.
• Magar agar easing ke liye consensus dikhaya gaya, to bond buying barh sakti hai, jis se yields girenge aur greenback weak ho sakta hai.
• Dovish tones equity markets ke liye positive ho sakte hain, jabke dollar ke soften hone par gold prices upar ja sakti hain.

Thursday ke Market Closure ka Trading Volumes par Asar
Thursday ko US stock markets aur federal agencies close rahengi President Carter ke funeral ke hawale se. Bond markets limited hours mein kaam karengi. Yeh closure economic releases aur trading ko compressed kar dega, jo volatility ko barha sakta hai.

Reduced liquidity price swings ko amplify kar sakti hai, khaas tor par Treasury markets aur equities mein. Agar Wednesday ke FOMC minutes ke baad sentiment mein koi bara shift hota hai, to Friday ke session par iska asar ho sakta hai, aur Thursday ka pause ek critical reset point ban sakta hai.

Friday ka Jobs Report Gold, Treasuries aur Equities ko Kaise Drive Karega?
Friday ka nonfarm payrolls report hafte ka sabse defining event hoga. Economists predict karte hain ke December mein US ne 154,000 naye jobs add kiye, aur unemployment 4.2% par steady rehne ki umeed hai.

• Stronger-than-expected report Treasury yields ko barha sakta hai, dollar ko mazboot kar sakta hai, aur gold par burden dal sakta hai.
• Weak job growth further accommodative policy ke expectations ko reinforce karega, jis se bond prices barhengi, gold upar jaayega, aur equities ko support milega.
• Market Forecast: Jobs Data Near-Term Sentiment Ko Kaise Dictate Karega?
• FOMC minutes aur labor data ka combination Fed policy aur market performance ke near-term expectations ko shape karega.

Agar jobs report stable magar unspectacular hota hai, to current market balance barkarar reh sakta hai, moderate optimism equities ke liye ho sakta hai aur Treasury yields mein limited moves dekhe ja sakte hain. Magar koi bara surprise—bullish ya bearish—trading strategies ko realign kar sakta hai, khaas tor par bond aur currency markets ke liye.

Technical Analysis

Gold (XAU/USD) $2,632.27 par trade kar raha hai, bearish pressure ka samna karte hue resistance $2,662.26 par todhne mein nakam raha.

• Immediate support $2,612.14 par hai, jabke mazboot support $2,583.80 par hai.
• 50 EMA $2,632.77 par near-term resistance ka kaam kar raha hai, jabke 200 EMA $2,641.67 broader upside ko cap kar raha hai.
• Bulls ko $2,642.17 ke upar push karna hoga taake momentum wapas mil sake, jabke descending trendline downward pressure ko maintain kar raha hai.

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

Gold Market ki Agli Nazren $2800 Target pe Hai.

Gold ki qeemat Thursday ko European trade mein gir gayi, teen sessions ke baad pehli dafa chaar hafton ki bulandi se neeche, jab ke profit-taking aur mazboot US dollar ka pressure dekha gaya.
Ab sarmaaya kaar aaj baad mein kuch Fed officials ke remarks ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo is saal US ke interest rates ke rujhan ke baare mein zyada maloomat denge.

Price
Gold ki qeemat 0.25% gir kar $2655 per ounce par aagai, jab ke session-high $2666 tak tha.
Wednesday ko, gold 0.5% barh kar chaar hafton ki bulandi $2670.08 per ounce par tha.

Dollar
Dollar index 0.3% barh kar Thursday ko mazboot raha, aur lagataar teesri session ke liye gains banaye rakha, jab ke apne 26-mahine ke buland points par tha against major currencies.

Mazboot dollar greenback-denominated gold futures ko doosri currencies ke holders ke liye kam attractive banata hai.

Haal hi mein aayi positive US data ne Fed ke interest rates ko barqarar rakhne ke faislay ko mazboot banaya.

Fed Governor Christopher Waller ne kaha ke 2025 tak inflation aur kam hone ki umeed hai, jo Fed ko interest rates kaatne ka chance de sakti hai, magar yeh process kitna tez hoga yeh abhi clear nahi.

Fed ki minutes ke mutabiq policymakers yeh samajhte hain ke inflation is saal kam hoti rahegi, lekin Trump ki protectionist policies ki wajah se stubborn ho sakti hai.

US Rates
Fedwatch tool ke mutabiq, January mein Fed ke interest rate cut ke chances sirf 7% hain.

SPDR
SPDR Gold Trust ke holdings kal teesri dafa barabar rahe, jo total 871.08 tons hain, aur December 19 ke baad se lowest hain.

Market Overview
Gold (XAU/USD) Thursday ko bearish ho gaya, aur $2,658.44 par aagaya, jab ke $2,659 ke qareeb gains extend karne mein kamyab nahi hua. Precious metal ko US Dollar (USD) ki mazbooti se pressure ka samna hai, jo Federal Reserve ke interest rate cut slow hone ki umeedon se support le raha hai. USD lagataar do saal ki bulandi par hai, stable labor market data aur rising Treasury yields ki wajah se, jis se gold ki appeal kam ho rahi hai.

Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ki minutes ne policymakers ke cautious monetary easing ka rujhan dikhaya, jo slowing inflation ko madde nazar rakhta hai.

ADP data ke mutabiq, US private sector payrolls December mein 122,000 barhe, jo expectations se neeche aur November ke 146,000 se kam hain. Lekin Initial Jobless Claims 201,000 tak gir gayi, jo February 2024 ke baad se sabse kam hain, aur mazboot labor market ko signal karti hain.

10-year US Treasury yield apne April 2025 ke highest level tak pohanch gayi, jis se gold ki appeal aur kam hui, jo ek non-yielding asset hai. Ab investors Friday ke Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo Fed ke aglay policy steps ke liye zaroori insights de sakti hai.

Gold Prices Forecast: Technical Analysis
Gold (XAU/USD) $2,658.44 par trade kar raha hai, jo 0.12% neeche hai, aur market pivot point $2,645.45 ke qareeb consolidate kar rahi hai. 4-hour chart ek cautious tone highlight kar raha hai, jahan immediate resistance $2,665.14 par hai aur further upside $2,690.80 par capped hai. Neeche, support $2,624.20 par hai, aur ek deeper level $2,602.96 par hai, jo bearish moves ke liye key zones hain.

50 EMA $2,641.68 par price ke thoda neeche trend kar raha hai, jo short-term bullish momentum signal karta hai, jab ke 200 EMA $2,642.90 par stability add karta hai. Lekin, agar prices $2,645.45 pivot point ke neeche girti hain, to bearish bias barqarar rahega.

Gold ka uptrend ab bhi mazboot hai, kyunke yellow metal ne consistent higher highs aur higher lows ka silsila banaya hai, jo bullish sentiment ko mazid support karta hai. Traders ka ab focus $2,700 mark par hai, jo ek psychological aur technical level hai. Momentum bhi upside ki taraf hai, jo Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator par saf taur par nazar aata hai. Yeh dikhata hai ke bulls ka abhi bhi price action par control hai, aur market mein kharidari ka rujhan barqarar hai.

Agar XAU/USD $2,700 ka level tod leta hai, toh agla resistance December 12 ka high $2,726 par hoga, jo ek significant hurdle hai. Agar yeh level clear ho jata hai, toh all-time high (ATH) $2,790 tak pohanchne ke imkaanat barh jate hain. Yeh zone bullish traders ke liye ek aham maqam hoga, kyunke ATH todne ke baad market mein mazid momentum aane ki tawaqo ho sakti hai.





Doosri taraf, agar price $2,650 ke neeche girti hai, toh yeh ek bearish signal ho sakta hai. Is scenario mein, 50 aur 100-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs), jo $2,645 aur $2,632 par hain, pehle critical support levels ke taur par samjhe jayenge. Agar weakness aur barh gayi, toh $2,600 agla support hoga, jo ek aur aham psychological level hai. Uske baad 200-day SMA $2,503 par nazar aata hai, jo long-term trend ke liye ek significant support hai.

In sab levels ka todna ya defend karna market ke sentiment aur demand-supply dynamics ka asar dikhayega. Gold ke current trajectory ko dekhte hue, price action ka focus in hi critical levels par rehne ki tawaqo hai.