Gold

aise window par hai jahan technical signals incomplete ya failed breakout ki nishandahi kar rahe hain. Yeh bulls ke liye umeed ka sabab ban sakta hai ke trend kuch arsay ke liye upward rahe, magar yeh aakhri bullish push ho sakta hai jab ke bears dobara se price ko neeche le jane ki koshish karein. Is liye, short-term mein consolidation ke baad, main aik chhoti si upward move ke baad bearish pressure ke wapsi ki tawaqo karta hoon. Jumay ke din jab price 2651 par pohnchi, to 2701 tak ka jo surge expected tha, woh nahi ho saka. Ab tak kisi significant mood change ka asar nahi hai aur trend ab bhi bullish hai. Hum current level se ya lower boundary ke test ke baad aik nayi buying zone banana shuru kar sakte hain. Selling tab tak mutawaqo nahi hai jab tak price 2628.49 ke neeche nahi girti. Agar recent market movement ko dekha jaye, to kuch khaas distinctions samnay aaye hain. Gold ka monthly volatility range qareeban $151 ke aas paas raha hai, is liye 2651 se 101 dollar ki tezi ki tawaqo rakhna kaafi haftay lagne ka amal ho sakta hai, jo meri strategy ke saath match nahi karta. Meri medium-term outlook main $31 se zyada movement speculative hai, aur main sirf actual trade signals par focus karta hoon jo samnay aati hain, na ke forecast par. 2726 ka level symbolic hai kyunke jumay ka decline global geopolitical dynamics aur U.S. ke economic reports jaise GDP data se mutaliq tha. Market ne in reports ko absorb kar liya hai, aur jab tak koi naya data ya sentiment shift samnay nahi aata, trend mein koi khaas tabdeeli ka imkaan nahi hai.

Yeh baat bilkul theek hai ke agar hum H4 timeframe mein dekhein, toh market abhi bhi poori tarah bullish control mein hai. Agar hum current upward movement ko bhi dekhein, toh yeh un logo ke liye ek achhi opportunity offer karta hai jo dubara buy karna chahte hain. Is point par, woh kam az kam 2630 ka important area break karna chahte hain, jo ke kaafi qareeb hai, aur achhi chance hai ke yeh jald break ho sakta hai. Lekin, H4 ke oscillator se yeh zaahir hai ke market conditions pichle hafte ke end se overbought position mein wapas aa gayi hain. Sell karne ke liye, behtari yeh hogi ke hum intezaar karein jab tak H4 candle pivot region ke neeche close nahi hoti, jo ke is hafte 2598 par hai. Mere khayal mein, GOLD mein dobara buy karne ka significant potential abhi bhi hai, aur mera preferred target hai ke 2630 ka crucial area tak pohcha jaaye. Halankeh yeh abhi risky hai, lekin filhaal behtari yeh hogi ke hum sirf buy karne ke mauqe par focus karein aur sell ke potential ko nazarandaz karein. Level 2630 kaafi qareeb hai aur price iski taraf barh raha hai, aur achhi chance hai ke yeh jald breach ho jaaye. Yeh ek kaafi intriguing opportunity hai, lekin hume ehtiyaat karni hogi kyunke market H4 period ke oscillator indicator ke mutabiq overbought lag raha hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke jab tak growth ki space hai, hum ek correction ke liye bhi tayyar rahen jo kisi bhi waqt ho sakti hai. Aam tor par, jab market overbought hota hai toh price slow ho sakta hai ya shayad reverse bhi kar sakta hai. Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke price decline karne ki koshish kare, lekin yeh sirf upward price journey ke liye tayyari ho sakti hai jab hum 5/10 low moving average marking area mein enter karne ka intezaar kar rahe hon, jo ke price range 2594.58 se 2617.49 tak hai. Is mauqe par, log abhi bhi short term mein buyers ke zariye dominate hone wale price movement patterns ko dhoondhne par focus kar sakte hain, aur trading conditions ko samajhne ki koshish karte huye ek kaafi dominant opportunity hasil kar sakte hain.

GOLD ke movement ke mutaliq thoda aur detailed analysis add kar raha hoon, jo aane wale haftay ke liye ek guide ke tor par kaam aa sakta hai. GOLD ko aglay haftay bhi strong bullish direction mein move karne ki umeed hai, khaaskar jab isne 2598.97 ke barrier ko break kar diya hai. Pichlay haftay ka bullish candle strong buying momentum dikhata hai. Is level ka break hona yeh suggest karta hai ke mazeed gains ka chance hai. Agay barhnay ke liye humein aglay resistance levels ka pata hona chahiye taake hum new price targets set kar saken. Halaanki GOLD ka trend bullish hai, iss haftay ka behtareen trading plan yeh hai ke pullback ka intezaar kiya jaye ya choti si dip ka. Bullish trend ki strength ke bawajood, resistance break hone ke baad choti price reversals aam tor par hoti hain, jo saste prices par buy karne ka moka deti hain. Agar price najdiki support ke qareeb aata hai, to market mein enter karna aur rally ke sath chalna behtareen hoga. Filhaal, price 30-period Bollinger Bands ke upper band se upar hai, jo overbought situation ko indicate karta hai. Is surat mein, ek chhoti si correction ka chance zyada hai, halaan ke price kaafi strong hai. Agar hum buy position enter karte hain toh humein short-term market reversal ke liye bhi ready rehna chahiye. Parabolic SAR indicator jo ke abhi price ke neeche hai, price position se kafi door hai. Yeh dikhata hai ke bullish trend abhi tak kaafi strong hai aur koi sign nahi hai ke yeh kamzor ho raha hai. Lekin agar price is indicator ke qareeb aata hai, to yeh early trend reversal ka indication ho sakta hai. Jab tak uptrend dominate karta hai, purchase position safe hai.
Next Resistance Levels:
Resistance break hone ke baad, aglay resistance zones ko dhoondhna zaroori hai taake higher price targets set kiye ja sakein.
Pullback Entry:
Bullish trend ke bawajood, pullback ka intezaar karna aur price ko support level ke qareeb dekh kar buy karna behtareen strategy hogi.
Overbought Condition:
Price Bollinger Bands ke upper band ke upar hai, jo ek overbought market ko signal karta hai. Short-term reversal ka chance barh sakta hai.
. Aaj ke technical analysis ke nazriye se, agar hum 4-hour chart par dekhein, toh kal shuru hone wale uptrend ke bawajood, hum dekhte hain ke 50-day simple moving average ab bhi price par upward pressure daal raha hai, jo ke iske shuruat se mutabiq hai. Support level 2318 ke upar short-term consolidation growth ka potential support karta hai, lekin bullish scenario activate karta hai. Hamein 2340 ke current trading level ka clear breakout aur sab se zaroori, key resistance level 2360 ka breakout dekhna zaroori hai, jo higher price values ka izhar karega. Agar 2360 ka breakout fail ho jaye, aur 2318 ke neeche break ho, jiska target 2272 ke kareeb ho, toh yeh bearish correction ko jari rakhne ke liye ek strong reason ho sakta hai, jisme bearish pattern ke mazeed negative asraat ho sakte hain. Is waqt price hafte ke shuruat ke muqable mein thodi neeche hai. Critical resistance zone ko test kiya gaya aur woh higher forces ka samna kar paya, jo yeh darshaata hai ke desired downward vector relevant reh sakta hai.

Gold price ne 2528 ka resistance test karne ki koshish ki, toh ek "false break" ya rejection nazar aayi jiski wajah se price niche gir gayi, aur lagbhag support level 2481 tak pohanch gayi. Agar price jo ke EMA 50 ke niche hai wahan qaim rehti hai, toh price further decline kar ke support ko cross kar sakti hai aur SMA 200 ki taraf ja sakti hai. Agar hum pehle ke Gold price movement ka historical perspective dekhein, toh jab correction hoti hai, price SMA 200 ko cross karti hai, lekin death cross signal nahi banta. Abhi tak price pattern higher high - higher low ke structure mein hai kyun ke 2470 ke low prices ne structure ko break nahi kiya. Agar hum Stochastic indicator ke perspective se dekhein, toh Gold ke price decline ko correction phase kaha ja sakta hai, kyun ke Stochastic parameters ne level 50 ko cross karke oversold zone (20 - 10) ki taraf move kiya hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke selling saturation abhi nahi hui aur price ke further girne ka room hai. Trading recommendations ke liye abhi bhi bullish trend ke direction ko follow karna chahiye, kyun ke EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ke darmiyan ka distance abhi kaafi zyada hai aur death cross signal nahi bana. BUY entry tab place karni chahiye jab corrected price support 2481 ke aas paas false break ya rejection ka signal de. Confirmation ke liye dekhna hoga ke Stochastic indicator parameters oversold zone mein (level 20 - 10) cross karein. Take profit resistance 2581 par place karna chahiye, aur stop loss / cut loss jab price SMA 200 ke aas paas touch kare. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe.Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% s

Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe. Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya. Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets stable rahe. US stock futures, dollar aur Treasury bond yields Monday ko barh gayi jab markets ne weekend par ex-President Donald Trump par huye hamlay ka asar dekha, jo ke US political scene par sangin asar dal sakta hai. Hamlay mein ek attendee aur gunman ki maut ho gayi, aur do doosray

GOLD ne resistance ko touch kiya 2525 par, toh uske baad ek extraordinary aur tezi se decline dekhnay ko mila. Yeh decline itna tez tha ke GOLD ne mid Bb area aur EMA50 ko bhi breach kar liya, khas tor par H4 timeframe mein. Jab Gold price ne 2528 ka resistance test karne ki koshish ki, toh ek "false break" ya rejection nazar aayi jiski wajah se price niche gir gayi, aur lagbhag support level 2481 tak pohanch gayi. Agar price jo ke EMA 50 ke niche hai wahan qaim rehti hai, toh price further decline kar ke support ko cross kar sakti hai aur SMA 200 ki taraf ja sakti hai. Agar hum pehle ke Gold price movement ka historical perspective dekhein, toh jab correction hoti hai, price SMA 200 ko cross karti hai, lekin death cross signal nahi banta. Abhi tak price pattern higher high - higher low ke structure mein hai kyun ke 2470 ke low prices ne structure ko break nahi kiya. Agar hum Stochastic indicator ke perspective se dekhein, toh Gold ke price decline ko correction phase kaha ja sakta hai, kyun ke Stochastic parameters ne level 50 ko cross karke oversold zone (20 - 10) ki taraf move kiya hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke selling saturation abhi nahi hui aur price ke further girne ka room hai. Trading recommendations ke liye abhi bhi bullish trend ke direction ko follow karna chahiye, kyun ke EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ke darmiyan ka distance abhi kaafi zyada hai aur death cross signal nahi bana. BUY entry tab place karni chahiye jab corrected price support 2481 ke aas paas false break ya rejection ka signal de. Confirmation ke liye dekhna hoga ke Stochastic indicator parameters oversold zone mein (level 20 - 10) cross karein. Take profit resistance 2581 par place karna chahiye, aur stop loss / cut loss jab price SMA 200 ke aas paas touch kare

Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe. Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya. Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets stable rahe. US stock futures, dollar aur Treasury bond yields Monday ko barh gayi jab markets ne weekend par ex-President Donald Trump par huye hamlay ka asar dekha, jo ke US political scene par sangin asar dal sakta hai. Hamlay mein ek attendee aur gunman ki maut ho gayi, aur do doosray chart par indicators koi khaas direction nahi dikha rahe, woh mukhtalif directions mein point kar rahe hain. Pair Bollinger Band channel ki bullish zone mein wapas aane ki koshish kar raha hai, aur agar yeh yahan consolidate karta hai, toh sales cancel ho sakti hain. Lekin mera khayal hai ke bears abhi bhi try karenge, kyun ke downtrend apna cycle complete nahi kar saka, aur target ab tak 2450 ke aas paas hai. Gold ke recent decline ko shaayad ek temporary dip samjha jaa sakta hai, jo investors ke liye buying opportunity ho sakti hai. Yeh decline shayad pichle period ke price increase ke baad profit-taking ki wajah se aaya ho. Magar overall trend ab bhi bullish hai, jo favorable economic environment aur expected monetary policy ke madad se supsupported

Gold ka Technical Analysis
Pichlay hafta naye highs ko touch karne ke baad, gold ne recovery start ki hai. Price ne temporarily upward move karna chaha consolidation ke baad below 2665 level, lekin 2685 pe ruk gaya, jahan se phir se ek gradual decline shuru hui aur price 2625 level pe support mila. Iska matlab hai ke target area abhi tak nahi pohocha aur trade continue kar raha hai. Saath hi saath price chart super-trendy red zone mein dakhil ho raha hai, jo ye signal deta hai ke sellers slowdown ki koshish kar rahe hain.

Aaj ke technical analysis ke mutabiq, agar hum 4-hour chart dekhein to gold mein kuch bearish bias nazar aata hai, jo pehle se break hone wale resistance near 2650 ka retest kar raha hai. Simple moving average abhi bhi upward price curve ko support kar raha hai. Hume stable trading chahiye above 2645, taake bullish scenario activate ho sake. Agar price aur stability 2670 ke upar hoti hai to upward movement ki intensity barh jayegi, jahan next points 2681 aur further acceleration ke sath 2692 ho sakte hain. Dusri taraf, agar price 2645 ke neeche break karta hai aur especially 2642 ko break karta hai, to ek temporary bearish correction dekhne ko mil sakta hai jahan target 2629 ho ga aur possibly extension 2610 tak bhi ho sakti hai.



Is waqt price thori decrease ke sath trade kar raha hai aur weekly lows ke qareeb hai. Key support area test ho chuki hai aur quotes uske limits ke andar hain, jo upward vector ki relevance ko show karta hai. Agar price ko further increase karna hai to isay 2625 level ke upar consolidate karna hoga, jahan abhi key support area ki boundary hai. Is area ka retest aur rebound ek naye uptrend ko form karega jahan target area 2723 aur 2758 ke darmiyan ho ga.

Agar support ka break hota hai aur price 2585 pivot level ke neeche girti hai, to yeh current scenario ki reversal ka signal ho ga.

Chaliye ab gold ke price action ka tajziya karte hain. Pehle marhale mein, 2424 ke support level ke neeche break ka intezar tha, jo ab ho chuka hai. Doosre marhale mein, is broken level ko test kiya gaya, aur yeh test confirm ho gaya hai. Lekin teesra marhala, jo consolidation ko darshata hai, abhi tak nahi aaya. Jab consolidation hoga, to downward trend dobara shuru ho sakta hai, jo resistance tak le jayega. Jab tak consolidation nahi hoti, upward trend ka nateeja waazeh nahi ho sakta, aur sirf waqt hi batayega. Iss liye, medium-term strategy abhi bhi relevant hai. Main consolidation ka intezar kar raha hoon, jisme ek aur upward move zaroori hoga. Humne pehle hourly time frame ka tajziya kiya tha, lekin ab main daily chart par dekhna chahta hoon.
Daily Time Frame (D1) mein, ek sideways wedge bana tha, jahan gold 76.43 par trade kar raha tha. 84.09 se rebound ke baad, resistance line se consistent wave of decline shuru hui, jo gold ko gap ke sath ek zabardast downward movement mein le gayi. Channel ke lower limit ka koi imkaan nahi tha, jo pichlay haftay ke closing levels 74.09 se further decline ko suggest karta hai. Yahan, price support line ko touch karegi, jahan main ek rebound aur upward correction ki umeed kar raha hoon.

Medium-term perspective se, continued decline ka imkaan hai, aur gold ke market opening ke baad kam hone ka chance hai. 2353.39 par price minimum TF tak pohonch gayi thi aur thodi si upward adjust hui. Yeh price green zone cross karegi aur red zone ko support level ke tor par use karegi growth ke dauran. Yeh MA resistance level ko break karegi, jahan red line 2390.74 par hai, aur mid-trend level tak pohonchegi, jahan black line 2412.74 par hai. Price is mid-TF level (black line) ko bhi break kar sakti hai aur double top level 2429.19 tak ja sakti hai.

H4 Time Frame par gold bullish tendencies dikha raha hai. 5 SMA aur 20 SMA ka crossover 2385 level par hua hai, jabke 200 SMA 2372 level par hai. Yeh crossover gold ke liye ek strong upward trend ka signal de raha hai. Pichlay kuch dino ki market fluctuations bhool jayein; gold kal 2457 level tak gaya, jaise main ne anticipate kiya tha. Aaj gold ke 2470 level ko test karne ka imkaan hai. Ek strong bullish trend raah par hai, jo gold ko is mahine 2500-level milestone tak le jane ki tayari kar raha hai. Yahan kuch strategies hain jo potential buying opportunities ke liye madadgar ho sakti hain:

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Gold price ne 2528 ka resistance test karne ki koshish ki, toh ek "false break" ya rejection nazar aayi jiski wajah se price niche gir gayi, aur lagbhag support level 2481 tak pohanch gayi. Agar price jo ke EMA 50 ke niche hai wahan qaim rehti hai, toh price further decline kar ke support ko cross kar sakti hai aur SMA 200 ki taraf ja sakti hai. Agar hum pehle ke Gold price movement ka historical perspective dekhein, toh jab correction hoti hai, price SMA 200 ko cross karti hai, lekin death cross signal nahi banta. Abhi tak price pattern higher high - higher low ke structure mein hai kyun ke 2470 ke low prices ne structure ko break nahi kiya. Agar hum Stochastic indicator ke perspective se dekhein, toh Gold ke price decline ko correction phase kaha ja sakta hai, kyun ke Stochastic parameters ne level 50 ko cross karke oversold zone (20 - 10) ki taraf move kiya hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke selling saturation abhi nahi hui aur price ke further girne ka room hai. Trading recommendations ke liye abhi bhi bullish trend ke direction ko follow karna chahiye, kyun ke EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ke darmiyan ka distance abhi kaafi zyada hai aur death cross signal nahi bana. BUY entry tab place karni chahiye jab corrected price support 2481 ke aas paas false break ya rejection ka signal de. Confirmation ke liye dekhna hoga ke Stochastic indicator parameters oversold zone mein (level 20 - 10) cross karein. Take profit resistance 2581 par place karna chahiye, aur stop loss / cut loss jab price SMA 200 ke aas paas touch kare. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe.Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond

r daulat ke tor par bhi istemal hota hai. Aaj kal ki duniya mein sona ek mehfooz sarmaya kari ka zariya samjha jata hai, kyun ke is ki qeemat waqt ke sath aksar barhti hai. Sona ki qeemat kayi factors par mabni hoti hai, jese ke global market trends, demand aur supply, aur geo-political surat-e-haal. Sona ki qeemat ka ta'ayun aksar dollar mein hota hai, lekin jab hum isay apni currency mein convert karte hain, to qeemat mutasir ho sakti hai. Agar dollar mazboot ho raha ho, to sona mehenga ho sakta hai, aur agar dollar kamzor ho, to sona sasta lagne lagta hai. Aise hi, agar kisi mulk ki economy achi chal rahi ho, to sona ki demand kam ho sakti hai, kyun ke log doosri investments ko tarjeeh dete hain. Magar jab ma'eeshat mein giraawat hoti hai, ya mehngai barh rahi hoti hai, to log apni raqam ko bachane ke liye sona kharidna shuru kar dete hain.

Aham baat yeh hai ke sona sirf aik sarmaya kari ka zariya nahi hai, balki yeh aik cultural symbol bhi hai. Pakistan mein aksar log apni savings ko sona kharid kar mehfooz karte hain. Shaadiyon mein sona dena aik riwayat ban gaya hai, jo na sirf dulhan ke zevarat ke tor par hota hai, balki ek istiraat bhi hota hai jo waqt padne par becha ja sakta hai.

Jab hum sona ki qeemat ke mutaliq sochte hain, to yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke is ki qeemat waqt ke sath kaafi utar chadhav dekh sakti hai. International tensions, jaise ke jang ya mulki siyasi be-yaqeeni, sona ki qeemat ko asman tak le ja sakte hain. Sona ki qeemat mein stability kaafi kam hoti hai, lekin is ka lamba faida aksar nazar aata hai. Yahi wajah hai ke buhat se investors, chahay chhoti level par ho ya bari companies, sona mein apna paisa lagana pasand

Economic calendar ke natayij ke mutabiq... Guzishta hafta dikhaya ke America mein masarf ki qeematein June mein pehli baar chaar saalon mein gir gayi, jo ke Federal Reserve ke taraf se September mein interest rate cut hone ki umeedon ko mazid mazboot banata hai.Sarmayakaar ab Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke haaliye comments aur is hafte mazeed American economic reports ko dekh rahe hain taake mazeed rahnumayi hasil ho sake. Isi dauran, data ne ishara diya ke guzishta hafta Asia mein sone ki physical demand mein kami aayi jabke bartan ki unchi qeematon ne bazar mein ehtiyaat baratne ko badhawa diya.Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe.Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diy

Gold ke prices mein zabardast izafa dekhne ko mila hai, jo Wednesday ko nayi record level $2,670 tak chalay gaye. Is izafay ke peeche kai factors hain. US consumer confidence mein achanak kami hui, jo ke Conference Board ke data ke mutabiq hai. Is data se Federal Reserve se aggressive interest rate cuts ki umeed barh gayi hai. Kam interest rates ka faida gold ko hota hai kyun ke ye non-interest-bearing assets ko zyada maqbool bana dete hain. Iske ilawa, People’s Bank of China ne apni sab se bari stimulus package ka elan kiya, jo coronavirus pandemic ke baad sab se bara tha. Is package mein borrowing costs mein kami aur doosri tadabeer shamil hain jo China ke struggling economy ko stimulet karne ke liye hain. Mulkon ke darmiyan Middle East mein tensions barh gaye hain, jab Israel ne Lebanon mein Hezbollah ke targets par strikes ki hain. Yeh tensions bhi gold mein safe-haven flows ka zariya banain. US economic data ka weakness yeh bhi suggest karta hai ke Federal Reserve ko interest rates mein tezi se cuts karne padenge. Conference Board ka consumer confidence index 98.7 par aa gaya hai, jo August mein revised 105.6 tha, aur consensus estimate jo 103.9 thi, us se kaafi neeche hai. Data release ke baad, market mein Fed ke doosray interest rate cut ka probability 50% se 60% tak barh gaya hai.
Agar Fed Governor Michelle Bowman ke Tuesday ke comments dekhein, toh unhon ne kaha ke abhi koi wazeh signs nahi hain ke economy kamzor ho rahi hai ya interest rates mein izafa zaroori hai. Agar 1/4 percentage point easing cycle aata hai, toh yeh economic conditions ke mazeed mazboot hone ka saboot dega aur gold ke uptrend ko support karega. Gold ke prices ek strong upward trajectory mein hain aur technical analysis ka principle "the trend is your friend" yehi suggest karta hai ke aage mazeed izafa ho sakta hai. Agla target $2,700 hai, phir $2,750. Agar $2,670 ka high break hota hai, toh yeh bullish trend ko confirm karega. Lekin, daily chart par Relative Strength Index (RSI) yeh dikhata hai ke gold overbought zone mein hai, jiska matlab yeh hai ke traders ko long positions barhane mein ehtiyaat karni chahiye. Agar gold is overbought zone se nikalta hai, toh yeh ek correction ka ishara de sakta hai, jo prices mein decline la sakti hai. Agar correction hoti hai, toh mazboot support $2,600, $2,550 aur $2,544 (0.382 Fibonacci retracement level of September high) par milegi.

dekhnay ko mila. Yeh decline itna tez tha ke GOLD ne mid Bb area aur EMA50 ko bhi breach kar liya, khas tor par H4 timeframe mein. Jab Gold price ne 2528 ka resistance test karne ki koshish ki, toh ek "false break" ya rejection nazar aayi jiski wajah se price niche gir gayi, aur lagbhag support level 2481 tak pohanch gayi. Agar price jo ke EMA 50 ke niche hai wahan qaim rehti hai, toh price further decline kar ke support ko cross kar sakti hai aur SMA 200 ki taraf ja sakti hai. Agar hum pehle ke Gold price movement ka historical perspective dekhein, toh jab correction hoti hai, price SMA 200 ko cross karti hai, lekin death cross signal nahi banta. Abhi tak price pattern higher high - higher low ke structure mein hai kyun ke 2470 ke low prices ne structure ko break nahi kiya. Agar hum Stochastic indicator ke perspective se dekhein, toh Gold ke price decline ko correction phase kaha ja sakta hai, kyun ke Stochastic parameters ne level 50 ko cross karke oversold zone (20 - 10) ki taraf move kiya hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke selling saturation abhi nahi hui aur price ke further girne ka room hai. Trading recommendations ke liye abhi bhi bullish trend ke direction ko follow karna chahiye, kyun ke EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ke darmiyan ka distance abhi kaafi zyada hai aur death cross signal nahi bana. BUY entry tab place karni chahiye jab corrected price support 2481 ke aas paas false break ya rejection ka signal de. Confirmation ke liye dekhna hoga ke Stochastic indicator parameters oversold zone mein (level 20 - 10) cross karein. Take profit resistance 2581 par place karna chahiye, aur stop loss / cut loss jab price SMA 200 ke aas paas touch

ke prices mein zabardast izafa dekhne ko mila hai, jo Wednesday ko nayi record level $2,670 tak chalay gaye. Is izafay ke peeche kai factors hain. US consumer confidence mein achanak kami hui, jo ke Conference Board ke data ke mutabiq hai. Is data se Federal Reserve se aggressive interest rate cuts ki umeed barh gayi hai. Kam interest rates ka faida gold ko hota hai kyun ke ye non-interest-bearing assets ko zyada maqbool bana dete hain. Iske ilawa, People’s Bank of China ne apni sab se bari stimulus package ka elan kiya, jo coronavirus pandemic ke baad sab se bara tha. Is package mein borrowing costs mein kami aur doosri tadabeer shamil hain jo China ke struggling economy ko stimulet karne ke liye hain. Mulkon ke darmiyan Middle East mein tensions barh gaye hain, jab Israel ne Lebanon mein Hezbollah ke targets par strikes ki hain. Yeh tensions bhi gold mein safe-haven flows ka zariya banain. US economic data ka weakness yeh bhi suggest karta hai ke Federal Reserve ko interest rates mein tezi se cuts karne padenge. Conference Board ka consumer confidence index 98.7 par aa gaya hai, jo August mein revised 105.6 tha, aur consensus estimate jo 103.9 thi, us se kaafi neeche hai. Data release ke baad, market mein Fed ke doosray interest rate cut ka probability 50% se 60% tak barh gaya hai. Agar Fed Governor Michelle Bowman ke Tuesday ke comments dekhein, toh unhon ne kaha ke abhi koi wazeh signs nahi hain ke economy kamzor ho rahi hai ya interest rates mein izafa zaroori hai. Agar 1/4 percentage point easing cycle aata hai, toh yeh economic conditions ke mazeed mazboot hone ka saboot dega aur gold ke uptrend ko support karega. Gold ke prices ek strong upward trajectory mein hain aur technical analysis ka principle "the trend is your friend" yehi suggest karta hai ke aage mazeed izafa ho sakta hai. Agla target $2,700 hai, phir $2,750. Agar $2,670 ka high break hota hai, toh yeh bullish trend ko confirm karega. Lekin, daily chart par Relative Strength Index (RSI) yeh dikhata hai ke gold overbought zone mein hai, jiska matlab yeh hai ke traders ko long positions barhane mein ehtiyaat karni chahiye. Agar gold is overbought zone se nikalta hai, toh yeh ek correction ka ishara de sakta hai, jo prices mein decline la sakti hai. Agar correction hoti hai, toh mazboot support $2,600, $2,550 aur $2,544 (0.382 Fibonacci retracement level of September high) par milegi.