Gold

XAU/USD pair pehle 2400 level tak gir gaya tha. Magar ab hum dekh rahe hain ke prices rebound ho chuki hain aur 2415 level se ooper float kar rahi hain. Ye recovery strong momentum ko suggest karti hai bulls ke liye, jo ke aane wale hafte mein market par dominate kar sakte hain. Jab economic data, jaise ke Core CPI aur PPI, expected values se zyada show karta hai, toh aam tor par ye USD ko strong bana deta hai. Strong USD sona ki prices par downward pressure dal sakta hai kyunki sona USD mein priced hota hai. Magar, pichle do dinon mein market ka reaction suggest karta hai ke is pressure ke bawajood sona ki resilient demand hai, jiski wajah se prices rebound ho gayi hain. Yeh keematien 2400 hit karne ke baad 2415 se ooper chali gayi hain, yeh un logon ke liye positive sign hai jo sona ke liye bullish hain. Yeh movement indicate karti hai ke buyers step in kar rahe hain, lower prices ko acchi buying opportunity samajh rahe hain. Sona ka is level se ooper rehna aur further break down na karna yeh suggest karta hai ke shayad strong support in levels ke ird-gird ho. Aane wale hafte mein agar bullish momentum continue hota hai, toh hum dekh sakte hain ke sona ki prices aur barh sakti hain. Key levels jo dekhne honge wo resistance zones hain 2420 se 2416 ke ird-gird. Agar sona in resistance levels ko break kar leta hai, toh yeh further gains aur upward trend ki continuation ka signal ho sakta hai. Magar, traders ko bhi ehtiyaat baratni chahiye. Market bohot se factors se influence hota hai
XAU/USD ke case mein, returns ko optimize karte hue aur risks ko manage karte hue yeh zaroori hai ke hamare paas market trends ko samajhna, strategic planning karna aur trades ko timely execute karna ho. Halqi dikhne wale sellers ke profit lock karne ke baare mein haal ki observations batati hain ke yeh trend hai jo close monitoring aur strategic response ki zaroorat rakhta hai. Sellers jo support zone ke aas paas manzil hasil kar rahe hain, jo ke ek key technical area hai jo increased buying interest ki wajah se downtrend mein ek temporary pause ko indicate karta hai, yeh dynamics ko highlight karta hai.
Jab ke buyers abhi mazboot nazar aa rahe hain aur 2436 zone ko shayad paar karne ki koshish kar rahe hain, to support zones ki psychological ahmiyat ko qubool karna zaroori hai. Yeh zones aksar barriers ke taur par kaam karte hain jahan buying strength temporary tor par selling pressure se zyada ho sakta hai. Is ke bawajood, sellers ne in zones ke aas paas maharat se manzil hasil ki hai, jo market sentiment mein ek possible shift ko signal karta hai.
US market ke context mein, sellers tayyar nazar aa rahe hain ke is trading session ke usual volatility ke darmiyan stability ko barqarar rakhenge. Aane wale US dollar se mutaliq news market dynamics ko aur bhi influence kar sakti hain, jo buyers ke liye ek fayda mand mauqa sabit ho sakta hai.

Technical Analysis of Gold
Gold pichlay business week mai 2,483 par peak kiya tha aur phir sharp fall dekhne ko mili, jis ne pichlay dinon ke weekly gains ko kafi hath tak wapis le liya. Price thodi dair ke liye 2407 pivot level ke neeche gir gayi lekin phir recover karne ki koshish ki aur signal zone mai rehti rahi. Target area abhi bhi wahan tak nahi pohanch saka aur running hai. Is darmiyan, price chart super-trending red zone mai chali gayi, jo ke selling pressure ke barhne ki indication hai.

Agar 4-hour chart ka close analysis kiya jaye, to simple moving averages abhi bhi negative direction mai cross kar rahe hain aur price par upward pressure dal rahe hain. Yeh day trading consolidation ko strong resistance 2410 ke neeche refer kar raha hai, jo ke 38.20% Fibonacci retracement level par located hai. Hum negative sentiment ki taraf biased hain kyun ke hum jaante hain ke agar 2383 break hota hai to bearish corrective trend ki strength barh jaegi aur is se directly 2365, jo ke 61.80% accuracy level hai, pehla target hai, tak pohanchne ka rasta milega aur corrective wave ke continuation ka bhi imkan hoga. Yad rahe, agar close 2410 ke upar hota hai to is mai kam az kam aik ghanta lag sakta hai lekin downside ko negate nahi karega, aur hum pullback attempt dekh sakte hain jiske targets 2424 aur 2442 se shuru honge. Neeche chart dekhen:



Abhi prices sharply gir rahi hain aur weekly lows ke qareeb hain. Main support area strong pressure mai tha aur practically forced out ho gaya tha, lekin quotes ko wapis apne area mai lane mai kamyab raha, jo ke pichle upward vector ki relevance ko question mai dal raha hai. Is momentum ko maintain karne ke liye, price ko 2407 level ke upar consolidate karna zaroori hai pehle ke main support zone boundary 2449 ke upar break ho. Is se upward wave ko enough momentum milega ke area between 2503 aur 2532 ko target kar sake.

Current scenario ko cancel karne ka signal hoga jab final movement area below reversal level 2407 tak pohanch jaye.

Gold Price Action Analysis Sb dosto ko greetings,
Hum gold price ke current behavior ka analysis discuss karenge. Four-hour chart ke mutabiq, gold price $2389 per troy ounce ke upar steady hai. Jaisa ke pehle mention kiya gaya tha, hum steadily $2499 gold price ki taraf move kar rahe hain. Aane wale hafte mein, hum do stages mein is level ko reach karenge, jaisa ke pehle dekha gaya hai. Lekin hafte ka start ek correction ke sath hoga $2379 tak, uske baad price turn around karke $2419 ke upar wapas chali jayegi. Is point par, hum ek foothold establish karne ki koshish karenge, ek solid base create karte huye $2449 level tak advance karne ke liye. Yeh humara target hoga; ek deep correction likely hai jab hum is level ko reach karenge. Is correction ka exact level predict karna mushkil hai, lekin significant hoga. Yeh unlikely hai ke hum XAU/USD rate $1999 per troy ounce tak drop karenge. Daily chart pehle likely tha; ab main hourly time frame consider karna chahunga. H1 chart par, round price mark 2299 (ya level 2289) se rebound karne ke baad growth shuru hui, jo ek upward price channel form kar rahi hai jismein gold possible hai. Iske ilawa, bullish channel ke upper border 2429 level se rebound karne ke baad, Friday ka trading 2410 par end hui. Technically, safe hai ke sales enter karein jiska aim ho ek corrective decline channel ke lower border tak, jo around 2379 ya 2384 par intersect karta hai, jahan aap dobara buying open kar sakte hain aur medium-term trading perspective mein precious metal khareed sakte hain jab tak ke 2449 level tak na pohonch jaye. Daily chart ko open karne se pata chalta hai ke ek sideways price channel pehle likely tha, jismein trading likely hai. Positions is side price channel ke andar doable hain for further buy trades. Ek rebound support line 2199 level par possible tha, aur Friday ka trading 2410 level par conclude hua. Good luck apka din acha guzray.

Is dopehar ko gold ab bhi dabao mein hai aur 2365 ke qeemat par aik naya lower record kar raha hai. Agar aap daily candlestick ki position monitor karein jo ke Middle Bollinger Bands (BB) ko penetrate kar chuki hai, to Lower BB tak jane ka potential bohat ziada khula hai. Magar lagta hai ke girawat ko blue rectangle support area 2359 - 2350 rokh lega jo ke blue EMA50 ka dynamic support area bhi hai. Agar agle movements ke history ko dekha jaye, jab price Middle BB ko successfully penetrate kar leti hai, to agla reaction minor resistance area ke aas paas 2408 ke qeemat tak barh jata hai. Agar previous candle par bearish Upper Wick ka size dekha jaye, to ye mumkin nahi lagta ke price 2408 area se upar pull back kar sake. Is liye traders ke liye ye mumkin scenario hai ke wo aage sell positions open karein.

H4 chart par jo ke right side par hai, aakhri teen candles mein lagataar lambi Lower Wick banti hui nazar aati hain. Ye indication hai ke buyers wahan par reject karne ki koshish kar rahe hain, kyun ke ye area red EMA200 ka dynamic support hai, jo ke ab tak chal raha hai magar order flow ko dominate nahi kar saka. Is se traders ko buy option open karte waqt ehtiyaat karni chahiye, kyun ke agar yellow rectangle 2386 ke resistance ko penetrate karne ka koi saboot nahi milta, to price ke upar jane aur higher correction banane ka chance kam hai. Agar bearish reject candle banti hai, to pehle se ziada strong sell pressure trigger hoga, jo ke price ko 2350 ke support limit tak girne par majboor kar sakta hai.

Agar 2350 ka support solid candlestick ke saath penetrate hota hai, to girawat ka scenario daily Lower BB tak ja sakta hai. Daily timeframe ke pehle analysis ke mutabiq, candlestick abhi Middle BB ke neeche hai, is liye next target Lower BB area ke aas paas 2300 ki qeemat hai. Is tarah, aik trading plan hasil hota hai jo mujhe lagta hai ke kafi optimal hai.

sone ki qeemat upar ki taraf ubharti rahi jahan woh maqam-e-muqawamat $2420 per ounce par pohanch gayi analysis likhne ke waqt, dollar ki qeemat mein izafa hone se dabao ka samna kar rahi thi jab sarmayakaar ex-US President Donald Trump par huye qatal ki koshish ka asar maali bazaars par maloom kar rahe thay. Traders ko dar hai ke mazeed siyasi tashadud adam mustaqil aur bazar ki uthal puthal ko bharakaa sakta hai, halaan ke tajziya karnay walon ne note kiya ke hamlay ne Trump ke election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya hai.Isi dauran, sone ki qeemat ne jumme ko apna teesra musalsal haftawaar gain darj kiya, jabke America mein afsos ke sath inflation kam hone se Federal Reserve ke taraf se interest rates mein cut hone ki umeedein mazid mazboot ho gayi. Economic calendar ke natayij ke mutabiq... Guzishta hafta dikhaya ke America mein masarf ki qeematein June mein pehli baar chaar saalon mein gir gayi, jo ke Federal Reserve ke taraf se September mein interest rate cut hone ki umeedon ko mazid mazboot banata hai.Sarmayakaar ab Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke haaliye comments aur is hafte mazeed American economic reports ko dekh rahe hain taake mazeed rahnumayi hasil ho sake. Isi dauran, data ne ishara diya ke guzishta hafta Asia mein sone ki physical demand mein kami aayi jabke bartan ki unchi qeematon ne bazar mein ehtiyaat baratne ko badhawa diya.Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe.Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya.Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets stable rahe. US stock futures, dollar aur Treasury bond yields Monday ko barh gayi jab markets ne weekend par ex-President Donald Trump par huye hamlay ka asar dekha, jo ke US political scene par sangin asar dal sakta hai. Hamlay mein ek attendee aur gunman ki maut ho gayi, aur do doosray critical condition mein thay, jabke Trump ek goli se zakhmi ho gaye.Traders ko dar hai ke mazeed tashadud siyasi adam mustaqil aur bazar ki uthal puthal ko bharakaa sakta hai, halaan ke tajziya karnay walon ne note kiya ke hamlay ne Trump ke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya hai.Aaj ke liye sone ki qeemat ki peshgoi: Neeche diye gaye rozana chart par performance ke mutabiq, sone ki qeemat ek mazboot upward path par hai

Gold ki prices ka movement ab tak correction phase mein hai aur psychological level 2400 se neeche ja chuki hain. Agar dollar index dekha jaye, toh usmein koi khas mazbooti nazar nahi aa rahi, iss wajah se Gold ki prices ke girne ka imkaan hai kyun ke market players ya investors profit-taking actions le rahe hain. Gold ki price jo EMA 50 se upar jaane ki koshish kar rahi thi, pivot point (PP) 2425 par rok gayi. Price neeche support (S1) 2368 aur SMA 200, jo ke dynamic support hai, tak pohoch gayi. Gold prices ka girna 2352 ke low prices par ruk gaya, jo ke almost support (S2) 2335 ko touch kar raha tha.

Agar Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo ke ab overbought zone mein hain level 90 - 80 par cross karte hain, toh downward rally dobara shuru ho sakti hai. Iska matlab hai ke jo increase pivot point (PP) 2425 tak pohochne ki koshish kar rahi hai, woh EMA 50 ke aas paas ruk jayegi. Iss tarah, Gold ke bullish trend ka direction kamzor ho jayega kyun ke EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ek doosre ke qareeb aa rahe hain. Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ka histogram volume jo ke downtrend momentum dikha raha hai, abhi bhi Gold price decline rally ke saath aligned hai aur bullish divergence reversal signal nahi de raha jo price increase ko support kar sake.

Trading options ke tor par aap re-entry SELL position ko EMA 50 ke aas paas ya psychological level 2400 par place kar sakte hain. Halanke trend direction ab bhi bullish hai kyun ke dono Moving Average lines cross nahi hui jo death cross signal de, minor price pattern structure lower low - lower high condition ko show kar raha hai. Confirmation ka intezar hai ke Stochastic indicator parameters overbought zone level 90 - 80 mein cross karen. AO indicator histogram jo ab green hai, usko dobara red hona chahiye according to the indicated downtrend momentum. Take profit target ko support (S2) 2335 ke aas paas place karein aur pivot point (PP) 2425 ko stop loss location ke tor par rakh sakte hain.

Aaj hum Gold ke price action analysis ka review karte hain. Initial phase mein, 2424 support level ka break hone ki umeed thi, jo ke ho chuki hai. Second phase mein, is broken level ko test kiya gaya aur yeh test confirm hua. Abhi tak third phase, yani consolidation, nahi hua. Jab consolidation ho jayega, toh downward trend dobara shuru ho sakta hai, jisse resistance milega. Jab tak consolidation nahi hota, upward trend ka outcome undecided hai aur sirf waqt hi bataye ga. Isliye, medium-term strategy relevant rehti hai. Main consolidation ka wait kar raha hoon, jiske liye ek aur upward move required hai. Humne hourly time frame discuss kiya tha, magar ab main daily chart ko dekhna chahta hoon.

Daily time frame (D1) par pehle ek side wedge form hua tha, jahan gold 76.43 par trade kar raha tha. 84.09 se rebound karne ke baad, ek consistent decline wave shuru hui resistance line se, jo technically Gold ko ek robust downward movement mein le gayi gap ke sath.

Channel ki lower limit likely nahi thi, jo last week's closing levels 74.09 se further decline suggest karti hai. Yahan, price support line ko hit karegi, jahan main rebound aur upward correction anticipate kar raha hoon. Medium-term perspective indicates continued decline, aur Gold likely market ke opening se decline karega. 2353.39 par, price ne minimum TF reach kiya aur upward adjust hua. Price green zone se guzar kar, red zone ko support level use karegi during growth. Yeh MA resistance level, red line 2390.74 ko break karegi aur mid-trend level, black line 2412.74 tak rise karegi. Price mid-TF level, black line ko bhi break kar sakti hai aur double top level 2429.19 tak move up ho sakti hai.

Overall chart ko dekhtay huay lagta hai ke trend uptrending hai, jo ke barhtay huay highs aur lows se zahir hai. Iske ilawa, price movement jo ke Moving Average 50 se ooper hai, yeh long term ke liye uptrend ka tasur de rahi hai. Pichlay trend mein, lagta hai ke price upper trend line par apna Lower High banane ko barhti hai. Lekin, upper trend line ko touch karne se pehle, ek zabardast buying momentum dekha gaya jis ne price ko trendline channel se bahar nikal diya, jo ke signal tha ke trend phir se barh rahi hai. Is uptrend ke shuruwati moment ne ek bohot khoobsurat demand area banaya buying ke liye. Yeh area ko buy opportunities ke liye intezaar karne ka kamra samajh sakte hain.

Doosri supporting data yeh hai ke Relative Strength Index indicator line ka position dekhen jo level 50 se ooper hai, jo ke market ke pichlay do din se barhne ka ishara hai. Chand haftay pehle ke trading mein, price bullish movement kar rahi thi. Pichlay haftay ke aghaz mein sellers ne price ko neeche girane ki koshish ki, lekin haftay ke aakhri dinon mein buyers ne market par phir se control hasil kar liya aur candlestick ko bullish direction mein badal diya, is liye mein zyadah focus Entry Buy area dhoondne par kar raha hoon jo ke trend conditions ke mutabiq ho.

H1 time frame ko dekhte hain. Pehle yeh bohot wazeh tha ke trend neeche ja rahi thi halan ke aakhir mein upar breakout kiya. Jab breakout hua, price ne ek base area banaya jo ke buy area ke tor par use kiya gaya jab correction hui. Yeh correction ka moka hi hai jo mein buy kholne ke liye use kar raha hoon target ratio 1:3 ke sath. Yeh reference is haftay ke trading session mein market conditions ka overview faraham karta hai jo ke buyers ke control mein wapas aagai hain. Closing price position Simple Moving Average indicator (200, 100, aur 50 periods) ke neeche gir chuki hai aur is haftay ke market ke opening price se sirf 1 pip upar ruk gayi hai. Relative Strength Index indicator abhi bhi level 70 par hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke price abhi bhi bullish direction mein wapas jane ki koshish kar rahi hai. In dono indicators se mujhe yeh overview milta hai ke Gold market H1 timeframe mein dheere dheere bullish direction mein move karna shuru kar rahi hai, lekin jab subha ke initial opening price par sales volume kam hone lagi hai.

Good evening, traders. Kaise hain aap sab? Gold ne last Friday ko apni decline narrow range main continue ki. Jab $2405 ke kareeb peak par pohanch gaya, to yeh pressure mein aaya aur short-term consolidation shocks ka samna kiya. Turbulent market conditions ke bawajood, mukhtalif options ineffective lag rahi hain. Wednesday raat se chalti hui persistent downtrend ne is bearish momentum ko extend kiya. Lower support ab $2415 level par hai, jabke upside resistance $2424 par hai, jo ke Friday ko US market ka high tha. Yeh range is hafte breached na hone ki umeed hai. Recent volatility aur sideways patterns ke bawajood, do scenarios aise hain jo typically gold ke sharp decline ke baad follow karte hain: ek quick rebound jo drop ko correct kare ya prolonged testing of lower lows, jo further declines ka possibility badhata hai. Current support $2452 se neeche hai, jo continued short selling suggest karta hai.

Is hafte ke start par, agar gold rebound kare, to $2412 ke kareeb short positions consider karen. Target range $2415 - $2455 hai, aur stop-loss $2444 par rakhein. Agar gold $2474 ke upar stabilize hota hai, to yeh $2444 se $2472 tak pohanch sakta hai. Agar yeh $2445 resistance se neeche rehta hai, to yeh $2475 se $2470 area mein wapas aa sakta hai. Agar price rise kare, to potential target $2455 hai. Long-term trades ke liye, $2405 psychological price level ko aim karein. Pandemic ke dauran, safe-haven assets jaise gold resurgence dekh sakte hain. Global recession ke chances badh jaate hain agar second pandemic wave aati hai. Yeh last year's crisis ka aik azaab ho sakta hai, jisne gold prices ko $2450 tak pohanchaya tha. Isliye, yeh plausible hai ke gold is level ko dobara achieve kare. Uptrend revive ho sakta hai, aur long-term target critical psychological level $2440 ho sakta hai.

Have a good day!

Chaar musalsal trading sessions mein, sone ki qeemat upar ki taraf ubharti rahi jahan woh maqam-e-muqawamat $2420 per ounce par pohanch gayi analysis likhne ke waqt, dollar ki qeemat mein izafa hone se dabao ka samna kar rahi thi jab sarmayakaar ex-US President Donald Trump par huye qatal ki koshish ka asar maali bazaars par maloom kar rahe thay. Traders ko dar hai ke mazeed siyasi tashadud adam mustaqil aur bazar ki uthal puthal ko bharakaa sakta hai, halaan ke tajziya karnay walon ne note kiya ke hamlay ne Trump ke election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya hai.Isi dauran, sone ki qeemat ne jumme ko apna teesra musalsal haftawaar gain darj kiya, jabke America mein afsos ke sath inflation kam hone se Federal Reserve ke taraf se interest rates mein cut hone ki umeedein mazid mazboot ho gayi. Economic calendar ke natayij ke mutabiq... Guzishta hafta dikhaya ke America mein masarf ki qeematein June mein pehli baar chaar saalon mein gir gayi, jo ke Federal Reserve ke taraf se September mein interest rate cut hone ki umeedon ko mazid mazboot banata hai.Sarmayakaar ab Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke haaliye comments aur is hafte mazeed American economic reports ko dekh rahe hain taake mazeed rahnumayi hasil ho sake. Isi dauran, data ne ishara diya ke guzishta hafta Asia mein sone ki physical demand mein kami aayi jabke bartan ki unchi qeematon ne bazar mein ehtiyaat baratne ko badhawa diya.Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe.Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya.Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets stable rahe. US stock futures, dollar aur Treasury bond yields Monday ko barh gayi jab markets ne weekend par ex-President Donald Trump par huye hamlay ka asar dekha, jo ke US political scene par sangin asar dal sakta hai. Hamlay mein ek attendee aur gunman ki maut ho gayi, aur do doosray critical condition mein thay, jabke Trump ek goli se zakhmi ho gaye.Traders ko dar hai ke mazeed tashadud siyasi adam mustaqil aur bazar ki uthal puthal ko bharakaa sakta hai, halaan ke tajziya karnay walon ne note kiya ke hamlay ne Trump ke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya hai.Aaj ke liye sone ki qeemat ki peshgoi: Neeche diye gaye rozana chart par performance ke mutabiq, sone ki qeemat ek mazboot upward path par hai jo $2400 per ounce ki psychological resistance ke upar move hone se supported hai, aur mazeed gains maqam-e-muqawamat $2420 aur $2435 per ounce tak mazeed technical indicators ko strong levels of saturation with buying ki taraf move karengi. Profit-taking sales tab tak nahi hongi jab tak US dollar ki qeemat recover nahi hoti aur geopolitical tensions calm nahi hoti, jo ke sone ke haal ke gains ke sabse numayan asraat hain. Filhaal, sone ke qareebi support levels $2,400 aur $2,379 per ounce hain, mutabiqan. Main ab bhi har girti level se sone ko kharidna pasand karta

Assalam-o-Alaikum doston jo iss waqt Investsocial forum par online hain, aap sab logon ka shaam kaise guzar raha hai? Umeed hai ke hum sab achi sehat mein hain aur aaj trading mein bara munafa kamane mein kamyab hon. Kal mere journal par aane ka shukriya, umeed hai ke aap sab ko meri knowledge aur analysis se faida hua hoga. Aaj shaam ko main aap sab ko USD/JPY aur gold ke currency pairs ke movements ka technical analysis provide karne ki koshish karunga taake aap apni next order ke liye behtar faislay kar sakain.

Mere technical analysis ke mutabiq, aaj USD/JPY currency pair ki movement kaafi high correction dikhati hai aur ye 150.30 tak ja sakti hai. Iski wajah ye hai ke M30 time frame mein USD/JPY pair ne bullish inverted hammer candlestick form kiya hai, jo ke BUY ka bohot strong signal hai aur price ko 150.30 tak le ja sakta hai. Iske ilawa, Relative Strength Index 14 indicator ko dekhte hue, USD/JPY price 148.50 par hai, isliye aaj USD/JPY ke price mein bohot high correction ka imkaan hai aur ye 150.30 tak ja sakti hai. BUY USD/JPY signal ko SNR aur Fibonacci methods bhi support kar rahe hain kyun ke jab USD/JPY price 148.55 par thi, to ye RBS area yaani Resistance Become Support mein thi, isliye aaj buyers ke pair mein enter hone ka imkaan hai jo ke USD/JPY ko 150.30 tak le ja sakta hai. Mere technical analysis ke natayej ke mutabiq aaj shaam ko main ne faisla kiya hai ke USD/JPY ko 150.30 tak BUY karun.

Wahiin, aaj gold ki movement mere technical analysis ke mutabiq 2430 tak downward correction dikhati hai. Iski wajah ye hai ke M30 time frame mein gold movement ne bearish candle engulfing form kiya hai jo ke SELL GOLD ka bohot strong signal hai aur price ko 2430 tak le ja sakta hai. Iske ilawa, Relative Strength Index 14 indicator ko dekhte hue, gold price 2454 par overbought declare hui hai yaani ke bohot zyada buy ho chuki hai, isliye aaj gold ke movement mein deep correction ka imkaan hai aur ye 2430 tak ja sakti hai. SELL GOLD signal ko SNR aur Fibonacci methods bhi support kar rahe hain kyun ke jab gold price 2455 par thi, to ye SBR area mein thi, isliye gold ka downward correction ka imkaan hai aur ye future mein 2430 tak ja sakti hai. Mere technical analysis ke natayej ke mutabiq aaj ke liye main ne faisla kiya hai ke gold ko 2430 tak SELL karun.

Shukriya.

Sona Ki Qeemat Ka Tajziya

Hamari guftagu aaj sona ki qeemat mein tabdeelion par markuzi hogi. Kal mein ne ek alarm bhi set kiya tha jab Amrican khabren "Federal Reserve ka interest rate ka faisla" dene wali the. Mujhe umeed thi ke is waqt qeemat pichle Budh ke din ka 2432.00 ka akhri hadh paar karegi, lekin sab kuch ulta ho gaya. Main sona ke ooper ki taraf tezi se chalne ki hararat ko dekh kar hairan nahi tha. Kam az kam, mujhe aisa lag raha tha ke ye trading instrument aise hi behave karega, lekin aap samajhte hain ke is par koi yaqeen nahi tha. Is liye main ne haal hi mein sona par kisi bhi qisam ki trading nahi ki, aur meri tamam activity bazaar mein currency pairs par munafa kamane tak mukhtasir thi. Ham dekhte hain ke hamara XAU/USD commodity instrument mein bohot achi growth ho rahi hai. Pichle Budh ka din aik bullish candle ke sath band hua. Abhi qeemat 2444.24 par trade ho rahi hai.

Aaj mein ek southern correction ki umeed kar raha hoon. Yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke yeh correction kis had tak ho sakti hai. Is waqt chart ne kharidari ke liye targets tayar kiye hain. Pehla target Fibonacci grid ke level 161.80 par hai jo 2422.00 ke value par hai. Doosra target Fibonacci grid ke level 261.80 par hai jo 2456.00 ke value par hai. Ek teesra target level 423.60 par hai, jo 2509.00 ke value ko darshata hai. Pehle aur doosre targets ka pehle hi kaam ho chuka hai. Abhi qeemat ne hourly period ki average moving average ko 2435.00 par test kiya hai aur is par se bounce hone ki koshish kar rahi hai. Lekin mujhe lagta hai ke yeh bounce kaafi nahi hai. Main ek gehri correction ki umeed kar raha hoon, aur behtar hai ke yeh support level 2406.00 tak aaye. Uske baad, mujhe umeed hai ke aik reversal ho ga aur asset ki growth agle maximum at 2484.00 aur us se bhi upar 2500.00 tak jari rahe gi.

Good morning, doston, aur aaj ke live trading discussion session mein aapka khush aamdeed hai. Kal, USD index ne bearish note par band kiya, 104.50 se niche aakar 103.90 level par aa gaya. Abhi index 103.85 ke aas-paas ghoom raha hai, jo iski instability ko darshata hai. Kal 104.50 resistance ko test karne ki koshish ke bawajood, USD index isay todne mein nakam raha, jo Gold ki bullish momentum mein izafa ki wajah bana. Jaise ke maine pehle hi kaha tha, Gold ne meri target profit level ko haasil kar liya, jo meri analysis ki sahi hoti ka saboot hai. Chaliye aaj Gold ki analysis par mukhtalif time frames par nazar dalte hain. Mujhe umeed hai ke aap Gold trades se munafa utha rahe hain.

H4 Time Frame Analysis

Gold H4 time frame par bullish tendencies dikhata hai. 5 SMA aur 20 SMA ne 2385 level par cross kiya hai, jabke 200 SMA 2372 level par hai. Ye crossover Gold ke liye ek mazboot upward trend ka ishara hai. Pichle kuch dinon ki market ki lehraon ko bhool jaiye; Gold kal 2457 level par chala gaya, jaisa ke maine socha tha. Aaj, Gold 2470 level ko test karne ki sambhavna rakhta hai. Ek strong bullish trend aane ko hai, jo Gold ko is mahine 2500-level milestone tak pahunchane ki tayari kar raha hai. Yahan kuch strategies hain potential buying opportunities ke liye:

• Entry Point: 2440 level
• Take Profit: 2470 level
• Stop Loss: 2430 level

D1 Time Frame Analysis

D1 time frame par, Gold me ek mazboot bullish confirmation hai. 5 aur 20 SMA ne 2402 level par cross kiya hai, jabke 200 SMA 2180 par hai. Aisa lagta hai ke Gold kisi bhi waqt 200 SMA ki taraf lautne wala nahi hai. Aaj, Gold 2475 level tak pahunchne ki sambhavna rakhta hai. Ye zaroori hai ke aap strong money aur risk management practices ka amal karen. Aaj trading ke liye yeh strategies hain:

• Entry Point: 2435 level
• Take Profit: 2475 level
• Stop Loss: 2425 level

Aapke insights aur analyses is Gold trading strategy par bohat qeemti hain. Aap apne vicharon ko share kar sakte hain jab hum market ki challenges ko saath mil kar navigate karte hain. Sab ko successful trading week ki dua!

GOLD!

Sab ko achha din mubarak ho! GOLD currency pair ke hawale se dekhte hue, M15 chart par linear regression channel ooncha jataaa hua nazar aa raha hai, jo market mein mazboot kharidari dabao ko darshata hai. Kharidaron ki saragarmi is baat ka mauqa faraham karti hai ke hum lower channel ki hadd par 2410.60 se kharidari ka soch sakte hain. Us ke baad, mujhe umeed hai ke market ka darja 2428.53 tak upar jaega, jiske baad ek correction haqqiqi banegi. Ye correction lower boundary ki taraf hogi, jahan fir se kharidari ke mauqe talash karne chahiye. Agar qeemat is level se neeche chali gayi, to hum aage ke girawat dekhte hain aur is surat mein kharidari ke positions cancel kar deni chahiye. Aise hi market channels ke saath ooncha jata hai jab ye upper taraf hota hai. Bechne ke mauqe upper channel ki boundary par 2428.53 se talash karna hoga, aur wahan positions mein dakhil hote hain. Mere liye ye zaroori hai ke main pullback par lower boundary ke qareeb se dakhil hoon.

Jab main zyada time frame H1 ko dekhta hun, toh wahan bhi linear regression channel ooncha jata hai. Mere liye, ye H1 zyada ahmiyat rakhta hai. Ye darshata hai ke bulls mazboot hain. M15 channel se milne wala signal kharidari ke mauqe ko aur bhi mazid substansyata deti hai, jo meri kharidne ki khwahish ko barhata hai. Mujhe sirf theek jagah par qeemat ka intezar karna hai aur wahan se kharidari ke mauqe ki talash karni hai. Jahan main is haal mein kharidari ke mauqe talash kar raha hoon, wo hai lower channel boundary par 2384.80. Wahan se main dobarah 2423.38 tak kharidne ki koshish karunga. Agar main 2384.80 ka entry point todta hun, to ye bearish interest ka nishan hoga. Is surat mein, trading plan ko kharidari ke positions ki taraf doobara sochna aur market ki surat-e-haal ko dobara jaanchna behtar ho sakta hai.

Gold ka Technical Analysis
Gold ne pichle trading week mein apna downtrend jari rakha aur ek local minimum touch kiya kareeb 2358, jahan se usay support mila aur phir se recovery start hui. Filhal, price 2407 pivot level se neeche gir chuki hai, jo ke bullish expectations ko cancel kar rahi hai aur signal area ke upar break karne mein kamyab rahi. Is wajah se target area abhi tak reach nahi hua aur abhi bhi effect mein hai. Sath hi, price chart ne green zone mein move karna shuru kar diya hai supertrend ka, jo ke indicate kar raha hai ke buyers ne control le liya hai.

Aaj ke technical analysis ko dekhte hue, hum paye ge ke 4-hour chart par bearish technical structure emerge ho raha hai aur simple moving average price ke liye ek barrier ban gaya hai, jahan main resistance 2394 ke neeche trading ho rahi hai. Dusri taraf, hum dekhte hain ke RSI positive signal dene ki koshish kar raha hai support 2366 ke upar hold karke. Agar 2394 ke upar break ho gaya toh yeh ek catalyst ho sakta hai jo uptrend ke resumption ke chances ko barha dega, targets 2410 aur 2420 ke saath, followed by a rise to 2437. Wahan agar 2366 ke neeche break ho gaya toh bearish scenario hoga, targets 2352 aur 2335 ke saath. Neeche chart dekhiye:



Price filhal mukhtalif directions mein trade kar raha hai aur weekly low 2358 touch karne ke baad local highs ko reach kar raha hai. Main resistance zone almost break ho chuki thi, magar baad mein recovery ne upward vector ki relevance ko restore kar diya. Is momentum ko maintain karne ke liye, price ko 2407 level ke upar consolidate karna padega aur phir main support zone 2449 ke border ke upar break karna hoga. Yeh sufficient momentum create karega upward wave ke liye jo area 2503 aur 2532 ke beech target karegi.

Agar current scenario ko cancel karna hai toh final move 2407 reversal level ke neeche hoga.