Gold

sone ki qeemat ne jumme ko apna teesra musalsal haftawaar gain darj kiya, jabke America mein afsos ke sath inflation kam hone se Federal Reserve ke taraf se interest rates mein cut hone ki umeedein mazid mazboot ho gayi. Economic calendar ke natayij ke mutabiq... Guzishta hafta dikhaya ke America mein masarf ki qeematein June mein pehli baar chaar saalon mein gir gayi, jo ke Federal Reserve ke taraf se September mein interest rate cut hone ki umeedon ko mazid mazboot banata hai.Sarmayakaar ab Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke haaliye comments aur is hafte mazeed American economic reports ko dekh rahe hain taake mazeed rahnumayi hasil ho sake. Isi dauran, data ne ishara diya ke guzishta hafta Asia mein sone ki physical demand mein kami aayi jabke bartan ki unchi qeematon ne bazar mein ehtiyaat baratne ko badhawa diya.Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe.Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya.Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets stable rahe. US stock futures, dollar aur Treasury bond yields Monday ko barh gayi jab markets ne weekend par ex-President Donald Trump par huye hamlay ka asar dekha, jo ke US political scene par sangin asar dal sakta hai. Hamlay mein ek attendee aur gunman ki maut ho gayi, aur do doosray critical condition mein thay, jabke Trump ek goli se zakhmi ho gaye.Traders ko dar hai ke mazeed tashadud siyasi adam mustaqil aur bazar ki uthal puthal ko bharakaa sakta hai, halaan ke tajziya karnay walon ne note kiya ke hamlay ne Trump ke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya hai.Aaj ke liye sone ki qeemat ki peshgoi: Neeche diye gaye rozana chart par performance ke mutabiq, sone ki qeemat ek mazboot upward path par hai jo $2400 per ounce ki psychological resistance ke upar move hone se supported hai, aur mazeed gains maqam-e-muqawamat $2420 aur $2435 per ounce tak mazeed technical indicators ko strong levels of saturation with buying ki taraf move karengi. Profit-taking sales tab tak nahi hongi jab tak US dollar ki qeemat recover nahi hoti aur geopolitical tensions calm nahi hoti, jo ke sone ke haal ke gains ke sabse numayan asraat hain. Filhaal, sone ke qareebi support levels $2,400 aur

GOLD currency pair ke hawale se dekhte hue, M15 chart par linear regression channel ooncha jataaa hua nazar aa raha hai, jo market mein mazboot kharidari dabao ko darshata hai. Kharidaron ki saragarmi is baat ka mauqa faraham karti hai ke hum lower channel ki hadd par 2410.60 se kharidari ka soch sakte hain. Us ke baad, mujhe umeed hai ke market ka darja 2428.53 tak upar jaega, jiske baad ek correction haqqiqi banegi. Ye correction lower boundary ki taraf hogi, jahan fir se kharidari ke mauqe talash karne chahiye. Agar qeemat is level se neeche chali gayi, to hum aage ke girawat dekhte hain aur is surat mein kharidari ke positions cancel kar deni chahiye. Aise hi market channels ke saath ooncha jata hai jab ye upper taraf hota hai. Bechne ke mauqe upper channel ki boundary par 2428.53 se talash karna hoga, aur wahan positions mein dakhil hote hain. Mere liye ye zaroori hai ke main pullback par lower boundary ke qareeb se dakhil hoon.
Good evening, traders. Kaise hain aap sab? Gold ne last Friday ko apni decline narrow range main continue ki. Jab $2405 ke kareeb peak par pohanch gaya, to yeh pressure mein aaya aur short-term consolidation shocks ka samna kiya. Turbulent market conditions ke bawajood, mukhtalif options ineffective lag rahi hain. Wednesday raat se chalti hui persistent downtrend ne is bearish momentum ko extend kiya. Lower support ab $2415 level par hai, jabke upside resistance $2424 par hai, jo ke Friday ko US market ka high tha. Yeh range is hafte breached na hone ki umeed hai. Recent volatility aur sideways patterns ke bawajood, do scenarios aise hain jo typically gold ke sharp decline ke baad follow karte hain: ek quick rebound jo drop ko correct kare ya prolonged testing of lower lows, jo further declines ka possibility badhata hai. Current support $2452 se neeche hai, jo continued short selling suggest karta hai.
Gold H4 time frame par bullish
tendencies dikhata hai. 5 SMA aur 20 SMA ne 2385 level par cross kiya hai, jabke 200 SMA 2372 level par hai. Ye crossover Gold ke liye ek mazboot upward trend ka ishara hai. Pichle kuch dinon ki market ki lehraon ko bhool jaiye; Gold kal 2457 level par chala gaya, jaisa ke maine socha tha. Aaj, Gold 2470 level ko test karne ki sambhavna rakhta hai. Ek strong bullish trend aane ko hai, jo Gold ko is mahine 2500-level milestone tak pahunchane ki tayari kar raha hai. Yahan kuch strategies hain potential buying opportunities ke liye:

GOLD currency pair ke hawale se dekhte hue, M15 chart par linear regression channel ooncha jataaa hua nazar aa raha hai, jo market mein mazboot kharidari dabao ko darshata hai. Kharidaron ki saragarmi is baat ka mauqa faraham karti hai ke hum lower channel ki hadd par 2410.60 se kharidari ka soch sakte hain. Us ke baad, mujhe umeed hai ke market ka darja 2428.53 tak upar jaega, jiske baad ek correction haqqiqi banegi. Ye correction lower boundary ki taraf hogi, jahan fir se kharidari ke mauqe talash karne chahiye. Agar qeemat is level se neeche chali gayi, to hum aage ke girawat dekhte hain aur is surat mein kharidari ke positions cancel kar deni chahiye. Aise hi market channels ke saath ooncha jata hai jab ye upper taraf hota hai. Bechne ke mauqe upper channel ki boundary par 2428.53 se talash karna hoga, aur wahan positions mein dakhil hote hain. Mere liye ye zaroori hai ke main pullback par lower boundary ke qareeb se dakhil hoon.
Gold ne pichle trading week mein apna downtrend jari rakha aur ek local minimum touch kiya kareeb 2358, jahan se usay support mila aur phir se recovery start hui. Filhal, price 2407 pivot level se neeche gir chuki hai, jo ke bullish expectations ko cancel kar rahi hai aur signal area ke upar break karne mein kamyab rahi. Is wajah se target area abhi tak reach nahi hua aur abhi bhi effect mein hai. Sath hi, price chart ne green zone mein move karna shuru kar diya hai supertrend ka, jo ke indicate kar raha hai ke buyers ne control le liya hai.
Aaj ke technical analysis ko dekhte hue, hum paye ge ke 4-hour chart par bearish technical structure emerge ho raha hai aur simple moving average price ke liye ek barrier ban gaya hai, jahan main resistance 2394 ke neeche trading ho rahi hai. Dusri taraf, hum dekhte hain ke RSI positive signal dene ki koshish kar raha hai support 2366 ke upar hold karke. Agar 2394 ke upar break ho gaya toh yeh ek catalyst ho sakta hai jo uptrend ke resumption ke chances ko barha dega, targets 2410 aur 2420 ke saath, followed by a rise to 2437. Wahan agar 2366 ke neeche break ho gaya toh bearish scenario hoga, targets 2352 aur 2335 ke saath. Neeche chart dekhiye:
Gold me ek mazboot bullish confirmation hai. 5 aur 20 SMA ne 2402 level par cross kiya hai, jabke 200 SMA 2180 par hai. Aisa lagta hai ke Gold kisi bhi waqt 200 SMA ki taraf lautne wala nahi hai. Aaj, Gold 2475 level tak pahunchne ki sambhavna rakhta hai. Ye zaroori hai ke aap strong money aur risk management practices ka amal karen. Aaj trading ke liye yeh strategies hain:

Sone ke liye outlook
Assalam Alaikum!
Kal, sone ne apni ooper ki movement jari rakhi aur 2,464.49 ki muzahmati satah par pahle se tai shudah hadaf tak pahunch gaya. Yah woh jagah bhi tha jahan downward trendline dekha gaya tha. Ab, 2,432.05 ke ird-gird support satah par pullback dekhna accha hoga. Is support satah par, hamein assets ke rawaiye ki nigrani karni chahiye. Agar yah toot jata hai aur mazbut hota hai to, yah ek maaqul kami dikha sakta hai, mumkena taur par 1,336.19 ki support satah tak pahunch sakta hai. Halankeh, is support satah par qimat ulat bhi sakti hai, jis se traders ko asset kharidna jari rakhne ki ijazat milti hai. Yah sone ko muqami unchaiyon tak badha sakta hai.
GOLD

Agar candle ka body imbalance area ke andar band ho jata hai, to ye is baat ki nishani hai ke market ke players is area ki izzat nahi kar rahe hain. Is liye hum agle reaction ko dekhte hain. Phir ya to ek breakout hota hai, aur hum naye scenario par nazar rakhte hain, ya ek nayi candle pichhli candle ke maximum/minimum se liquidity ko nikaal sakti hai aur palat sakti hai, jise ek poora reaction dikhaya ja sakta hai. Aur yahan duality ki koi jagah nahi honi chahiye. Author ki recommendations ko dobara dekhain. Ye areas wo hain jo zyada tar price ko attract karte hain, aur inhi areas mein reactions ke sath movements shuru hote hain. Chaliye ab XAU/USD (GOLD) currency pair ki halat ko dobara analyse karte hain.

Dekhein, price ne pehli swing liquidity ko 2477.278 ki value ke sath test kiya hai, aur reaction kahan gaya? Sabse qareeb imbalance (price gap) ka location kaafi door hai - 2417.264, lekin isay nazarandaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Ye samajhne ke liye ke kya price ek qareeb imbalance bana sakti hai, humein current daily candle ke close hone ka intezar karna padega. Agar ye close hota hai, jaisa chart par dikhaya gaya hai, to ye naye din ke liye growth ke haq mein support hai. Ye samajhne ki buniyad hai.

Current situation mein, mujhe ummeed hai ke southward correction khatam hogi aur upward scenario continue hoga. Mere khayalat screen ke andar hain. Lekin aaj mujhe is asset mein dilchaspi nahi hai. Ye samajhna zaroori hai ke kya current situation mein support ke taur par nayi imbalance banegi ya nahi. Abhi, nazar aata hai ke correction abhi tak mukammal nahi hui. Magar is horizontal line ka breakout false sabit hua, isliye hum ab downward correction dekh rahe hain. Main ye nahi keh sakta ke humare paas "double top" configuration hai, kyunki instrument quotes sideways range ke andar move kar rahe hain aur upper points of maximums lower border of trading range ke support level -2384 se zyada mukhtalif nahi hain.

Kal US inflation data ke publication ki ummeed hai, isliye mujhe zyada market volatility ka intezar hai. Agar gold north ki taraf jata hai, to hum historical maximums ke naye record dekhenge. South se, humara qareeb support level -2426 hai. Iska breakout decline ko -2384 ke support level tak le ja sakta hai.

Overall chart ko dekhtay huay lagta hai ke trend uptrending hai, jo ke barhtay huay highs aur lows se zahir hai. Iske ilawa, price movement jo ke Moving Average 50 se ooper hai, yeh long term ke liye uptrend ka tasur de rahi hai. Pichlay trend mein, lagta hai ke price upper trend line par apna Lower High banane ko barhti hai. Lekin, upper trend line ko touch karne se pehle, ek zabardast buying momentum dekha gaya jis ne price ko trendline channel se bahar nikal diya, jo ke signal tha ke trend phir se barh rahi hai. Is uptrend ke shuruwati moment ne ek bohot khoobsurat demand area banaya buying ke liye. Yeh area ko buy opportunities ke liye intezaar karne ka kamra samajh sakte hain. Doosri supporting data yeh hai ke Relative Strength Index indicator line ka position dekhen jo level 50 se ooper hai, jo ke market ke pichlay do din se barhne ka ishara hai. Chand haftay pehle ke trading mein, price bullish movement kar rahi thi. Pichlay haftay ke aghaz mein sellers ne price ko neeche girane ki koshish ki, lekin haftay ke aakhri dinon mein buyers ne market par phir se control hasil kar liya aur candlestick ko bullish direction mein badal diya, is liye mein zyadah focus Entry Buy area dhoondne par kar raha hoon jo ke trend conditions ke mutabiq ho.

H1 time frame ko dekhte hain. Pehle yeh bohot wazeh tha ke trend neeche ja rahi thi halan ke aakhir mein upar breakout kiya. Jab breakout hua, price ne ek base area banaya jo ke buy area ke tor par use kiya gaya jab correction hui. Yeh correction ka moka hi hai jo mein buy kholne ke liye use kar raha hoon target ratio 1:3 ke sath. Yeh reference is haftay ke trading session mein market conditions ka overview faraham karta hai jo ke buyers ke control mein wapas aagai hain. Closing price position Simple Moving Average indicator (200, 100, aur 50 periods) ke neeche gir chuki hai aur is haftay ke market ke opening price se sirf 1 pip upar ruk gayi hai. Relative Strength Index indicator abhi bhi level 70 par hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke price abhi bhi bullish direction mein wapas jane ki koshish kar rahi hai. In dono indicators se mujhe yeh overview milta hai ke Gold market H1 timeframe mein dheere dheere bullish direction mein move karna shuru kar rahi hai, lekin jab subha ke initial opening price par sales volume kam hone lagi hai

US unemployment claims kal raat ko 233,000 ke figure ke sath record hui, jo ke pehle ke andazon se kam thi. Yeh weekly data hai, magar is ka US Dollar par positive asar dekhne ko mila. Dilchasp baat yeh hai ke pehle 15 minutes mein market ka reaction dollar ko buy karna tha, is se ye pata chalta hai ke market players ki expectations ke mutabiq dollar strong hai. Agar expectations aur reality ke darmiyan mismatch hota, to aksar fakeout movement hoti.
Gold ke movement par nazar rakhna bhi zaroori hai, kyun ke jab USD strong hota hai, to gold bhi usi direction mein move karta hai ya uska positive correlation hota hai. Yeh signal hai ke gold ko potential market crashes se bachne ke liye hedge ke taur par use kiya jata hai. Daily timeframe par monitoring karne se yeh pata chala ke gold ne Bollinger Bands ke middle line ya MA20 ke upar close kiya hai, jo ke bullish movement ka early indication hai. Yeh buyers ki consistency ke saath support karta hai jo hamesha blue EMA50 ke upar rehte hain. Lekin market hamesha seedha nahi chalti, chhoti corrections bhi hoti hain. Is condition mein market BB ke middle line ke paas retrace karegi phir upar ki taraf move karegi. Profit target ke liye lagta hai ke yeh ab tak 2470 - 2480 ke previous resistance se nahi hil raha, kyun ke buyers ki power ab tak new high record karne mein kami rahi hai, isliye kuch daily candles ke upar ka wick lamba tha jo resistance ko reject karne ka indication hai.

H4 timeframe par dekhne se lagta hai ke price Bollinger Bands ke upper limit 2427 ko touch kar rahi hai, isse price normalization ke liye niche ki taraf aayegi, 5-day average value ke around MA5 / MA10 Low H4 tak. Yeh buy setup create karegi yellow rectangle ke price range 2413 - 2403 ke aas paas. Traders is yellow area mein buy trading option place kar sakte hain, bullish forecast ke mutabiq, aur loss limitation ko previous bullish candle ke lower wick ke thoda niche 2390 par rakh sakte hain, kyun ke is area se increase hui hai.

US unemployment claims kal raat ko 233,000 ke figure ke sath record hui, jo ke pehle ke andazon se kam thi. Yeh weekly data hai, magar is ka US Dollar par positive asar dekhne ko mila. Dilchasp baat yeh hai ke pehle 15 minutes mein market ka reaction dollar ko buy karna tha, is se ye pata chalta hai ke market players ki expectations ke mutabiq dollar strong hai. Agar expectations aur reality ke darmiyan mismatch hota, to aksar fakeout movement hoti.
Gold ke movement par nazar rakhna bhi zaroori hai, kyun ke jab USD strong hota hai, to gold bhi usi direction mein move karta hai ya uska positive correlation hota hai. Yeh signal hai ke gold ko potential market crashes se bachne ke liye hedge ke taur par use kiya jata hai. Daily timeframe par monitoring karne se yeh pata chala ke gold ne Bollinger Bands ke middle line ya MA20 ke upar close kiya hai, jo ke bullish movement ka early indication hai. Yeh buyers ki consistency ke saath support karta hai jo hamesha blue EMA50 ke upar rehte hain. Lekin market hamesha seedha nahi chalti, chhoti corrections bhi hoti hain. Is condition mein market BB ke middle line ke paas retrace karegi phir upar ki taraf move karegi. Profit target ke liye lagta hai ke yeh ab tak 2470 - 2480 ke previous resistance se nahi hil raha, kyun ke buyers ki power ab tak new high record karne mein kami rahi hai, isliye kuch daily candles ke upar ka wick lamba tha jo resistance ko reject karne ka indication hai.

H4 timeframe par dekhne se lagta hai ke price Bollinger Bands ke upper limit 2427 ko touch kar rahi hai, isse price normalization ke liye niche ki taraf aayegi, 5-day average value ke around MA5 / MA10 Low H4 tak. Yeh buy setup create karegi yellow rectangle ke price range 2413 - 2403 ke aas paas. Traders is yellow area mein buy trading option place kar sakte hain, bullish forecast ke mutabiq, aur loss limitation ko previous bullish candle ke lower wick ke thoda niche 2390 par rakh sakte hain, kyun ke is area se increase hui hai.

Chaar musalsal trading sessions mein, sone ki qeemat upar ki taraf ubharti rahi jahan woh maqam-e-muqawamat $2420 per ounce par pohanch gayi analysis likhne ke waqt, dollar ki qeemat mein izafa hone se dabao ka samna kar rahi thi jab sarmayakaar ex-US President Donald Trump par huye qatal ki koshish ka asar maali bazaars par maloom kar rahe thay. Traders ko dar hai ke mazeed siyasi tashadud adam mustaqil aur bazar ki uthal puthal ko bharakaa sakta hai, halaan ke tajziya karnay walon ne note kiya ke hamlay ne Trump ke election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya hai.Isi dauran, sone ki qeemat ne jumme ko apna teesra musalsal haftawaar gain darj kiya, jabke America mein afsos ke sath inflation kam hone se Federal Reserve ke taraf se interest rates mein cut hone ki umeedein mazid mazboot ho gayi. Economic calendar ke natayij ke mutabiq... Guzishta hafta dikhaya ke America mein masarf ki qeematein June mein pehli baar chaar saalon mein gir gayi, jo ke Federal Reserve ke taraf se September mein interest rate cut hone ki umeedon ko mazid mazboot banata hai.Sarmayakaar ab Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke haaliye comments aur is hafte mazeed American economic reports ko dekh rahe hain taake mazeed rahnumayi hasil ho sake. Isi dauran, data ne ishara diya ke guzishta hafta Asia mein sone ki physical demand mein kami aayi jabke bartan ki unchi qeematon ne bazar mein ehtiyaat baratne ko badhawa diya.Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe.Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya.Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets stable rahe. US stock futures, dollar aur Treasury bond yields Monday ko barh gayi jab markets ne weekend par ex-President Donald Trump par huye hamlay ka asar dekha, jo ke US political scene par sangin asar dal sakta hai. Hamlay mein ek attendee aur gunman ki maut ho gayi, aur do doosray critical condition mein thay, jabke Trump ek goli se zakhmi ho gaye.Traders ko dar hai ke mazeed tashadud siyasi adam mustaqil aur bazar ki uthal puthal ko bharakaa sakta hai, halaan ke tajziya karnay walon ne note kiya ke hamlay ne Trump ke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya hai.Aaj ke liye sone ki qeemat ki peshgoi: Neeche diye gaye rozana chart par performance ke mutabiq, sone ki qeemat ek mazboot upward path par hai jo $2400 per ounce ki psychological resistance ke upar move hone se supported hai, aur mazeed gains maqam-e-muqawamat $2420 aur $2435 per ounce tak mazeed technical indicators ko strong levels of saturation with buying ki taraf move karengi. Profit-taking sales tab tak nahi hongi jab tak US dollar ki qeemat recover nahi hoti aur geopolitical tensions calm nahi hoti, jo ke sone ke haal ke gains ke sabse numayan asraat hain. Filhaal, sone ke qareebi support levels $2,400 aur

qeemat ne jumme ko apna teesra musalsal haftawaar gain darj kiya, jabke America mein afsos ke sath inflation kam hone se Federal Reserve ke taraf se interest rates mein cut hone ki umeedein mazid mazboot ho gayi. Economic calendar ke natayij ke mutabiq... Guzishta hafta dikhaya ke America mein masarf ki qeematein June mein pehli baar chaar saalon mein gir gayi, jo ke Federal Reserve ke taraf se September mein interest rate cut hone ki umeedon ko mazid mazboot banata hai.Sarmayakaar ab Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke haaliye comments aur is hafte mazeed American economic reports ko dekh rahe hain taake mazeed rahnumayi hasil ho sake. Isi dauran, data ne ishara diya ke guzishta hafta Asia mein sone ki physical demand mein kami aayi jabke bartan ki unchi qeematon ne bazar mein ehtiyaat baratne ko badhawa diya.Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe.Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya.Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets stable rahe. US stock futures, dollar aur Treasury bond yields Monday ko barh gayi jab markets ne weekend par ex-President Donald Trump par huye hamlay ka asar dekha, jo ke US political scene par sangin asar dal sakta hai. Hamlay mein ek attendee aur gunman ki maut ho gayi, aur do doosray critical condition mein thay, jabke Trump ek goli se zakhmi ho gaye.Traders ko dar hai ke mazeed tashadud siyasi adam mustaqil aur bazar ki uthal puthal ko bharakaa sakta hai, halaan ke tajziya karnay walon ne note kiya ke hamlay ne Trump ke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya hai.Aaj ke liye sone ki qeemat ki peshgoi: Neeche diye gaye rozana chart par performance ke mutabiq, sone ki qeemat ek mazboot upward path par hai jo $2400 per ounce ki psychological resistance ke upar move hone se supported hai, aur mazeed gains maqam-e-muqawamat $2420 aur $2435 per ounce tak mazeed technical indicators ko strong levels of saturation with buying ki taraf move karengi. Profit-taking sales tab tak nahi hongi jab tak US dollar ki qeemat recover nahi hoti aur geopolitical tensions calm nahi hoti, jo ke sone ke haal ke gains ke sabse numayan asraat hain. Filhaal, sone ke qareebi support levels $2,400 aur

Sone ke liye outlook
Assalam Alaikum!
Kal, sona 2,464.49 ki muzahmati satah aur trendline ka test karne ke bad apni ooper ki harkat jari rakhne me nakam raha. Dhat in satahon se niche consolidation me rahi. Halankeh keh mujhe shak hai keh yah shayad hi niche ki taraf ek numaya reversal karega, mai ek islahi movement ki tawaqqo karta hun. Is islah ke liye mera hadaf 2,439.45-2,425.09 ki support satah hai. In satahon se, mai ooper ki taraf ek revrsal ki tawaqqo karta hun, jiske bad dhat maujudah satah ko tod kar apne ooper ki janib rujhan ko jari rakh sakti hai.
Gold

Yeh article Roman Urdu mein kuch is tarah se hoga:

Jo pic aap ne diya hai, woh ek trading chart hai gold ka M30 (30-minute) timeframe par. Yahan chart ke key elements ka breakdown hai:

Price Data: Chart mein gold ke price movement ko candlesticks ke zariye dikhaya gaya hai, jo har 30-minute period ke liye open, high, low, aur close prices ko show karta hai.

Moving Averages: Do moving averages dikhai de rahi hain:
- Red Line: Yeh aam tor par ek shorter period moving average ko represent karti hai.
- Blue Line: Yeh aam tor par ek longer period moving average ko represent karti hai.
Is case mein, lagta hai ke red line 5-period moving average hai aur blue line 10-period moving average hai.

RSI (Relative Strength Index): RSI indicator 51.49 par hai. Yeh oscillator 0 se 100 tak range karta hai aur overbought ya oversold conditions ko identify karne ke liye use hota hai. Aam tor par, RSI agar 70 se upar ho to yeh overbought mana jata hai, aur agar 30 se neeche ho to yeh oversold mana jata hai.

Stochastic Oscillator: Stochastic indicator %K aur %D lines ko 34.26 aur 35.32 par show kar raha hai. Yeh bhi ek momentum indicator hai jo kisi particular closing price ko uski prices ke range ke sath compare karta hai ek certain period mein. Agar value 80 se upar ho, to yeh overbought conditions ko indicate karti hai, aur agar value 20 se neeche ho, to yeh oversold conditions ko indicate karti hai.

Volume: Chart ke neeche volume bars dikhai de rahi hain jo har 30-minute period mein transactions ya volume of trade ko indicate karti hain. Higher volume bars stronger price movements ko indicate kar sakti hain.

Sell Signal: Chart par ek sell order (#1130813621) note ki gayi hai jo suggest karti hai ke ek trade certain price point par initiate kiya gaya tha.

Indicators ke basis par:
- RSI neutral hai aur 51.49 ke aas paas hai.
- Stochastic Oscillator bhi relatively neutral hai lekin downward trend mein hai, jo ke potential bearish momentum ko indicate karta hai.
- Price filhal moving averages ke neeche hai, jo ke bearish trend ka signal ho sakta hai.

Lagta hai ke aap is chart ko analyze kar rahe hain taake potential buy ya sell opportunities ka pata lagaya ja sake in technical indicators ke base par. Agar aap ke paas koi specific sawal hai ya further analysis chahiye, to bejijhak poochhiye!

Chalo ab hum gold ke price action ka tajziya karte hain. Pehle marahil mein, 2424 support level ke neeche break hone ki umeed thi, jo ke ho chuka hai. Doosre marahil mein, ye broken level test kiya gaya, aur ye test confirm ho gaya. Lekin teesre marahil, jo ke consolidation ko darshata hai, abhi tak nahi hua. Jab consolidation ho jaye, toh downward trend phir se shuru ho sakta hai, jo ke resistance ki taraf le jaye ga. Jab tak consolidation nahi hoti, upward trend ka natija faisla nahi ho sakta, aur sirf waqt hi bataye ga. Isliye, medium-term strategy abhi bhi relevant hai. Mein consolidation ka intizar kar raha hoon, jo ke ek aur upward move ka taluq rakhti hai.

Hum ne pehle hourly time frame par baat ki thi, lekin ab mein daily chart ko dekhna chahta hoon.

Daily time frame (D1) par, ek sideways wedge ban gayi thi, jahan gold 76.43 par trade kar raha tha. 84.09 se rebound hone ke baad, resistance line se ek lagataar decline ka silsila shuru hua, jo ke gold ko ek mazboot downward movement mein le aaya, ek gap ke saath. Channel ki lower limit nazar nahi aayi, jo ke is baat ki nishani thi ke mazeed decline last week ke closing levels, 74.09, se ho sakta hai. Yahan, price support line tak pahuche ga, jahan mein rebound aur upward correction ki umeed rakhta hoon.

Medium-term perspective se dekha jaye, toh mazeed decline ka ishara milta hai, aur gold ke girne ki umeed hai market opening se hi. 2353.39 par, price minimum TF tak pahuche aur upward adjust ho gayi. Price green zone ko cross kare gi aur red zone ko support level ke tor par use kare gi growth ke doran. Is se MA resistance level break ho ga, jahan red line 2390.74 par hai, aur mid-trend level tak rise ho ga, jahan black line 2412.74 par hai. Price yeh mid-TF level (black line) bhi break kar sakti hai aur double top level 2429.19 tak move kar sakti hai.

H4 time frame par, gold bullish tendencies show kar raha hai. 5 SMA aur 20 SMA 2385 level par cross hui hain, jabke 200 SMA 2372 level par hai. Ye crossover gold ke liye ek strong upward trend ka signal de raha hai. Pichle kuch dino ke market fluctuations bhool jayein, kal gold 2457 level tak move kar gaya, jaisa ke mein ne anticipate kiya tha. Aaj, gold ke 2470 level ko test karne ki umeed hai. Ek strong bullish trend aa raha hai, jo ke gold ko is mahine 2500-level milestone ke liye tayar kar raha hai. Yahan kuch strategies hain potential buying opportunities ke liye:

Aakhri chand hafton mein sone ka bazaar naye record high tak pohanchne ki umeed ko kho raha hai. Aaj dopahar tak ke monitoring ke mutabiq, sone ki keemat hamesha 2483 ke resistance area ko todne mein nakam rahi hai. Pehle ke tajurbaat ke mutabiq, is ne Blue EMA50 ke dynamic support ki taraf bade girawat dekhi hai. Agar abhi ke chal rahe daam se hisaab lagayein, to wahan ek bada munafa milne ki sambhavana hai. Lekin aaj ki girawat ka abhi tak koi catalyst nahi mila hai, isliye bechne wale naye positions ko pakray hue hain. Aaj ke economic calendar data ko dekhein, to lagta hai ke bazaar US CPI ya inflation data ka intezar karega jo ke is mahine pichle mahine se kam hone ka andaza hai. Agar US interest rate cut ki tasdeeq aur wazeh hoti hai, to market players ki chinta kam ho sakti hai aur sone ki keemat par negative asar padh sakta hai. Is wajah se aaj raat sone ki keemat girne ki umeed hai fundamental nazariye se.

Technical side se, Daily timeframe ka istemal karte hue, yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke buyers baar-baar yellow resistance 2482 - 2467 ko todne mein nakam rahe hain. Agli reaction yeh hai ke keemat bahut gehri gir gayi hai Blue EMA50 tak. Magar pehle yeh Middle BB line ke penetration ke sath shuru hui thi, isliye prospective sellers ko yeh dekhna hoga ke kya Middle line of Bollinger Bands ka penetration hota hai ya nahi, pehle is se pehle ke Blue EMA50 ko profit-taking limit ke roop mein target karne se. Agar Upper Wick candlestick ki shape dekhein jo yellow resistance ko todne mein nakam rahi hai aur bohot lambi hai, to stop loss ko thoda upar rakha jana chahiye, taake potential fakeouts se bach sakein. Jabke sell trading option ka signal chhoti timeframe pe dekha jayega.

H1 timeframe ko monitor karte hue, yeh lagta hai ke keemat abhi bhi green rectangle support 2458 ke upar hai. Pehle ke koshish mein seller isse penetrate karne mein nakam raha hai, isliye sell trading option ke liye trigger abhi tak nazar nahi aaya hai. Lekin agar do bearish pinbar candles ko bearish engulfing candle se connect karein, to yeh formation strong downward movement ki taraf ishara kar rahi hai, isliye sell trading option ko ab kiya ja sakta hai, loss limit 2476 ke upar aur profit taking fresh demand area 2441 mein. Multi-timeframe technical analysis ke support ko dekhte hue, mera trading plan aaj ke sone ke commodity ke liye yeh hai.

dollar ki qeemat mein izafa hone se dabao ka samna kar rahi thi jab sarmayakaar ex-US President Donald Trump par huye qatal ki koshish ka asar maali bazaars par maloom kar rahe thay. Traders ko dar hai ke mazeed siyasi tashadud adam mustaqil aur bazar ki uthal puthal ko bharakaa sakta hai, halaan ke tajziya karnay walon ne note kiya ke hamlay ne Trump ke election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya hai.Isi dauran, sone ki qeemat ne jumme ko apna teesra musalsal haftawaar gain darj kiya, jabke America mein afsos ke sath inflation kam hone se Federal Reserve ke taraf se interest rates mein cut hone ki umeedein mazid mazboot ho gayi. Economic calendar ke natayij ke mutabiq... Guzishta hafta dikhaya ke America mein masarf ki qeematein June mein pehli baar chaar saalon mein gir gayi, jo ke Federal Reserve ke taraf se September mein interest rate cut hone ki umeedon ko mazid mazboot banata hai.Sarmayakaar ab Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke haaliye comments aur is hafte mazeed American economic reports ko dekh rahe hain taake mazeed rahnumayi hasil ho sake. Isi dauran, data ne ishara diya ke guzishta hafta Asia mein sone ki physical demand mein kami aayi jabke bartan ki unchi qeematon ne bazar mein ehtiyaat baratne ko badhawa diya.Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe.Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya.Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets stable rahe. US stock futures, dollar aur Treasury bond yields Monday ko barh gayi jab markets ne weekend par ex-President Donald Trump par huye hamlay ka asar dekha, jo ke US political scene par sangin asar dal sakta hai
Hamlay mein ek attendee aur gunman ki maut ho gayi, aur do doosray critical condition mein thay, jabke Trump ek goli se zakhmi ho gaye.Traders ko dar hai ke mazeed tashadud siyasi adam mustaqil aur bazar ki uthal puthal ko bharakaa sakta hai, halaan ke tajziya karnay walon ne note kiya ke hamlay ne Trump ke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya hai.Aaj ke liye sone ki qeemat ki peshgoi: Neeche diye gaye rozana chart par performance ke mutabiq, sone ki qeemat ek mazboot upward path par hai jo $2400 per ounce ki psychological resistance ke upar move hone se supported hai, aur mazeed gains maqam-e-muqawamat $2420 aur $2435 per ounce tak mazeed technical indicators ko strong levels of saturation with buying ki taraf move karengi. Profit-taking sales tab tak nahi hongi jab tak US dollar ki qeemat recover nahi hoti aur geopolitical tensions calm nahi hoti, jo ke sone ke haal ke gains ke sabse numayan asraat hain.