Gold

maqam-e-muqawamat $2420 per ounce par pohanch gayi analysis likhne ke waqt, dollar ki qeemat mein izafa hone se dabao ka samna kar rahi thi jab sarmayakaar ex-US President Donald Trump par huye qatal ki koshish ka asar maali bazaars par maloom kar rahe thay. Traders ko dar hai ke mazeed siyasi tashadud adam mustaqil aur bazar ki uthal puthal ko bharakaa sakta hai, halaan ke tajziya karnay walon ne note kiya ke hamlay ne Trump ke election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya hai.Isi dauran, sone ki qeemat ne jumme ko apna teesra musalsal haftawaar gain darj kiya, jabke America mein afsos ke sath inflation kam hone se Federal Reserve ke taraf se interest rates mein cut hone ki umeedein mazid mazboot ho gayi. Economic calendar ke natayij ke mutabiq... Guzishta hafta dikhaya ke America mein masarf ki qeematein June mein pehli baar chaar saalon mein gir gayi, jo ke Federal Reserve ke taraf se September mein interest rate cut hone ki umeedon ko mazid mazboot banata hai.Sarmayakaar ab Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke haaliye comments aur is hafte mazeed American economic reports ko dekh rahe hain taake mazeed rahnumayi hasil ho sake. Isi dauran, data ne ishara diya ke guzishta hafta Asia mein sone ki physical demand mein kami aayi jabke bartan ki unchi qeematon ne bazar mein ehtiyaat baratne ko badhawa diya.Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe.Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya.Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets stable rahe. US stock futures, dollar aur Treasury bond yields Monday ko barh gayi jab markets ne weekend par ex-President Donald Trump par huye hamlay ka asar dekha, jo ke US political scene par sangin asar dal sakta hai. Hamlay mein ek attendee aur gunman ki maut ho gayi, aur do doosray critical condition mein thay, jabke Trump ek goli se zakhmi ho gaye.Traders ko dar hai ke mazeed tashadud siyasi adam mustaqil aur bazar ki uthal puthal ko bharakaa sakta hai, halaan ke tajziya karnay walon ne note kiya ke hamlay ne Trump ke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya hai.Aaj ke liye sone ki qeemat ki peshgoi: Neeche diye gaye rozana chart par performance ke mutabiq, sone ki qeemat ek mazboot upward path par hai jo $2400 per ounce ki psychological resistance ke upar move hone se supported hai, aur mazeed gains maqam-e-muqawamat $2420 aur $2435 per ounce tak mazeed technical indicators ko strong levels of saturation with buying ki taraf move karengi. Profit-taking sales tab tak nahi hongi jab tak US dollar ki qeemat recover nahi hoti aur geopolitical tensions calm nahi hoti, jo ke sone ke haal ke gains ke sabse numayan asraat hain. Filhaal, sone ke qareebi support levels $2,400 aur $2,379 per ounce hain, mutabiqan. Main ab bhi har girti level se sone ko kharidna pasand karta

Gold ke price action analysis ka review karte hain. Initial phase mein, 2424 support level ka break hone ki umeed thi, jo ke ho chuki hai. Second phase mein, is broken level ko test kiya gaya aur yeh test confirm hua. Abhi tak third phase, yani consolidation, nahi hua. Jab consolidation ho jayega, toh downward trend dobara shuru ho sakta hai, jisse resistance milega. Jab tak consolidation nahi hota, upward trend ka outcome undecided hai aur sirf waqt hi bataye ga. Isliye, medium-term strategy relevant rehti hai. Main consolidation ka wait kar raha hoon, jiske liye ek aur upward move required hai. Humne hourly time frame discuss kiya tha, magar ab main daily chart ko dekhna chahta hoon.
Daily time frame (D1) par pehle ek side wedge form hua tha, jahan gold 76.43 par trade kar raha tha. 84.09 se rebound karne ke baad, ek consistent decline wave shuru hui resistance line se, jo technically Gold ko ek robust downward movement mein le gayi gap ke sath.
Channel ki lower limit likely nahi thi, jo last week's closing levels 74.09 se further decline suggest karti hai. Yahan, price support line ko hit karegi, jahan main rebound aur upward correction anticipate kar raha hoon. Medium-term perspective indicates continued decline, aur Gold likely market ke opening se decline karega. 2353.39 par, price ne minimum TF reach kiya aur upward adjust hua. Price green zone se guzar kar, red zone ko support level use karegi during growth. Yeh MA resistance level, red line 2390.74 ko break karegi aur mid-trend level, black line 2412.74 tak rise karegi. Price mid-TF level, black line ko bhi break kar sakti hai aur double top level 2429.19 tak move up ho sakti hai.
Gold H4 time frame par bullish tendencies dikhata hai. 5 SMA aur 20 SMA ne 2385 level par cross kiya hai, jabke 200 SMA 2372 level par hai. Ye crossover Gold ke liye ek mazboot upward trend ka ishara hai. Pichle kuch dinon ki market ki lehraon ko bhool jaiye; Gold kal 2457 level par chala gaya, jaisa ke maine socha tha. Aaj, Gold 2470 level ko test karne ki sambhavna rakhta hai. Ek strong bullish trend aane ko hai, jo Gold ko is mahine 2500-level milestone tak pahunchane ki tayari kar raha hai. Yahan kuch strategies hain potential buying opportunities ke liye:

Gold ka Technical Analysis
Pichle trading week ke doran, gold ki price steadily grow kar rahi thi aur 2483 area ke previous highs ko reach kar liya. Magar, is level ko touch karne se ek step pehle hi, price jaldi se gir kar 2377 tak pahunch gayi, aur sab pichle gains lose ho gaye. Is waqt, Coates ne signal zone se breakout kiya aur lower consolidate hona shuru kar diya. Isliye, target area ko reach nahi kiya ja saka aur yeh ab relevant nahi rahi. Price chart ne super-trend red zone mein move karna shuru kar diya, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke sellers ne situation ko control mein le liya hai.

Pichla trading week kaafi excitement ke sath shuru hua, jab investors FOMC meeting aur July employment report ke liye prepare kar rahe the. In doubts ke darmiyan, gold ne 2415 per ounce ke upar support found kiya. Gold prices sharply rise hui jab FOMC ne US mein interest rates ko pause karne ka announce kiya, aur Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ne comments diye Wednesday ko, interest rate decision ke bawajood, committee ki monetary policy ke upar. Markets ne policy ko price in kar liya. Baad mein, disappointing ISM Manufacturing PMI aur jobless claims mein rise ne market concerns ko barhaya, jisse gold prices further gain hui.



Abhi, price mixed trading kar rahi hai lower formed range mein 2377 aur 2483 ke darmiyan, jo ke week ke start se slight decline hai. Key support area break ho gaya hai, jo ke sellers ke onslaught ko nahi jhel saka, jo ke preferred vector mein possible change ko indicate karta hai. Is baat ko confirm karne ke liye, price ko 2407 ke level ke neeche consolidate karna hoga, jo ke currently main resistance area ke border ko cross kar rahi hai. Is area ka retest aur rebound ek aur downward wave ko form karega jo ke 2325 aur 2288 ke darmiyan target karegi.

Resistance ke upar break aur 2449 ke reversal level ke upar move karna current scenario ka reversal signal dega.

lows se zahir hai. Iske ilawa, price movement jo ke Moving Average 50 se ooper hai, yeh long term ke liye uptrend ka tasur de rahi hai. Pichlay trend mein, lagta hai ke price upper trend line par apna Lower High banane ko barhti hai. Lekin, upper trend line ko touch karne se pehle, ek zabardast buying momentum dekha gaya jis ne price ko trendline channel se bahar nikal diya, jo ke signal tha ke trend phir se barh rahi hai. Is uptrend ke shuruwati moment ne ek bohot khoobsurat demand area banaya buying ke liye. Yeh area ko buy opportunities ke liye intezaar karne ka kamra samajh sakte hain.

Doosri supporting data yeh hai ke Relative Strength Index indicator line ka position dekhen jo level 50 se ooper hai, jo ke market ke pichlay do din se barhne ka ishara hai. Chand haftay pehle ke trading mein, price bullish movement kar rahi thi. Pichlay haftay ke aghaz mein sellers ne price ko neeche girane ki koshish ki, lekin haftay ke aakhri dinon mein buyers ne market par phir se control hasil kar liya aur candlestick ko bullish direction mein badal diya, is liye mein zyadah focus Entry Buy area dhoondne par kar raha hoon jo ke trend conditions ke mutabiq ho.

H1 time frame ko dekhte hain. Pehle yeh bohot wazeh tha ke trend neeche ja rahi thi halan ke aakhir mein upar breakout kiya. Jab breakout hua, price ne ek base area banaya jo ke buy area ke tor par use kiya gaya jab correction hui. Yeh correction ka moka hi hai jo mein buy kholne ke liye use kar raha hoon target ratio 1:3 ke sath. Yeh reference is haftay ke trading session mein market conditions ka overview faraham karta hai jo ke buyers ke control mein wapas aagai hain. Closing price position Simple Moving Average indicator (200, 100, aur 50 periods) ke neeche gir chuki hai aur is haftay ke market ke opening price se sirf 1 pip upar ruk gayi hai. Relative Strength Index indicator abhi bhi level 70 par hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke price abhi bhi bullish direction mein wapas jane ki koshish kar rahi hai. In dono indicators se mujhe yeh overview milta hai ke Gold market H1 timeframe mein dheere dheere bullish direction mein move karna shuru kar rahi hai, lekin jab subha ke initial opening price par sales volume kam hone lagi hai.

sone ki qeemat upar ki taraf ubharti rahi jahan woh maqam-e-muqawamat $2420 per ounce par pohanch gayi analysis likhne ke waqt, dollar ki qeemat mein izafa hone se dabao ka samna kar rahi thi jab sarmayakaar ex-US President Donald Trump par huye qatal ki koshish ka asar maali bazaars par maloom kar rahe thay. Traders ko dar hai ke mazeed siyasi tashadud adam mustaqil aur bazar ki uthal puthal ko bharakaa sakta hai, halaan ke tajziya karnay walon ne note kiya ke hamlay ne Trump ke election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya hai.Isi dauran, sone ki qeemat ne jumme ko apna teesra musalsal haftawaar gain darj kiya, jabke America mein afsos ke sath inflation kam hone se Federal Reserve ke taraf se interest rates mein cut hone ki umeedein mazid mazboot ho gayi. Economic calendar ke natayij ke mutabiq... Guzishta hafta dikhaya ke America mein masarf ki qeematein June mein pehli baar chaar saalon mein gir gayi, jo ke Federal Reserve ke taraf se September mein interest rate cut hone ki umeedon ko mazid mazboot banata hai.Sarmayakaar ab Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke haaliye comments aur is hafte mazeed American economic reports ko dekh rahe hain taake mazeed rahnumayi hasil ho sake. Isi dauran, data ne ishara diya ke guzishta hafta Asia mein sone ki physical demand mein kami aayi jabke bartan ki unchi qeematon ne bazar mein ehtiyaat baratne ko badhawa diya.Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe.Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya.Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets stable rahe. US stock futures, dollar aur Treasury bond yields Monday ko barh gayi jab markets ne weekend par ex-President Donald Trump par huye hamlay ka asar dekha, jo ke US political scene par sangin asar dal sakta hai. Hamlay mein ek attendee aur gunman ki maut ho gayi, aur do doosray critical condition mein thay, jabke Trump ek goli se zakhmi ho gaye.Traders ko dar hai ke mazeed tashadud siyasi adam mustaqil aur bazar ki uthal puthal ko bharakaa sakta hai, halaan ke tajziya karnay walon ne note kiya ke hamlay ne Trump ke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya hai.Aaj ke liye sone ki qeemat ki peshgoi: Neeche diye gaye rozana chart par performance ke mutabiq, sone ki qeemat ek mazboot upward path par hai

Overall chart ko dekhtay huay lagta hai ke trend uptrending hai, jo ke barhtay huay highs aur lows se zahir hai. Iske ilawa, price movement jo ke Moving Average 50 se ooper hai, yeh long term ke liye uptrend ka tasur de rahi hai. Pichlay trend mein, lagta hai ke price upper trend line par apna Lower High banane ko barhti hai. Lekin, upper trend line ko touch karne se pehle, ek zabardast buying momentum dekha gaya jis ne price ko trendline channel se bahar nikal diya, jo ke signal tha ke trend phir se barh rahi hai. Is uptrend ke shuruwati moment ne ek bohot khoobsurat demand area banaya buying ke liye. Yeh area ko buy opportunities ke liye intezaar karne ka kamra samajh sakte hain.
Doosri supporting data yeh hai ke Relative Strength Index indicator line ka position dekhen jo level 50 se ooper hai, jo ke market ke pichlay do din se barhne ka ishara hai. Chand haftay pehle ke trading mein, price bullish movement kar rahi thi. Pichlay haftay ke aghaz mein sellers ne price ko neeche girane ki koshish ki, lekin haftay ke aakhri dinon mein buyers ne market par phir se control hasil kar liya aur candlestick ko bullish direction mein badal diya, is liye mein zyadah focus Entry Buy area dhoondne par kar raha hoon jo ke trend conditions ke mutabiq ho.

H1 time frame ko dekhte hain. Pehle yeh bohot wazeh tha ke trend neeche ja rahi thi halan ke aakhir mein upar breakout kiya. Jab breakout hua, price ne ek base area banaya jo ke buy area ke tor par use kiya gaya jab correction hui. Yeh correction ka moka hi hai jo mein buy kholne ke liye use kar raha hoon target ratio 1:3 ke sath. Yeh reference is haftay ke trading session mein market conditions ka overview faraham karta hai jo ke buyers ke control mein wapas aagai hain. Closing price position Simple Moving Average indicator (200, 100, aur 50 periods) ke neeche gir chuki hai aur is haftay ke market ke opening price se sirf 1 pip upar ruk gayi hai. Relative Strength Index indicator abhi bhi level 70 par hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke price abhi bhi bullish direction mein wapas jane ki koshish kar rahi hai. In dono indicators se mujhe yeh overview milta hai ke Gold market H1 timeframe mein dheere dheere bullish direction mein move karna shuru kar rahi hai, lekin jab subha ke initial opening price par sales volume kam hone lagi hai.

US unemployment claims kal raat ko 233,000 ke figure ke sath record hui, jo ke pehle ke andazon se kam thi. Yeh weekly data hai, magar is ka US Dollar par positive asar dekhne ko mila. Dilchasp baat yeh hai ke pehle 15 minutes mein market ka reaction dollar ko buy karna tha, is se ye pata chalta hai ke market players ki expectations ke mutabiq dollar strong hai. Agar expectations aur reality ke darmiyan mismatch hota, to aksar fakeout movement hoti.

Gold ke movement par nazar rakhna bhi zaroori hai, kyun ke jab USD strong hota hai, to gold bhi usi direction mein move karta hai ya uska positive correlation hota hai. Yeh signal hai ke gold ko potential market crashes se bachne ke liye hedge ke taur par use kiya jata hai. Daily timeframe par monitoring karne se yeh pata chala ke gold ne Bollinger Bands ke middle line ya MA20 ke upar close kiya hai, jo ke bullish movement ka early indication hai. Yeh buyers ki consistency ke saath support karta hai jo hamesha blue EMA50 ke upar rehte hain. Lekin market hamesha seedha nahi chalti, chhoti corrections bhi hoti hain. Is condition mein market BB ke middle line ke paas retrace karegi phir upar ki taraf move karegi. Profit target ke liye lagta hai ke yeh ab tak 2470 - 2480 ke previous resistance se nahi hil raha, kyun ke buyers ki power ab tak new high record karne mein kami rahi hai, isliye kuch daily candles ke upar ka wick lamba tha jo resistance ko reject karne ka indication hai.

H4 timeframe par dekhne se lagta hai ke price Bollinger Bands ke upper limit 2427 ko touch kar rahi hai, isse price normalization ke liye niche ki taraf aayegi, 5-day average value ke around MA5 / MA10 Low H4 tak. Yeh buy setup create karegi yellow rectangle ke price range 2413 - 2403 ke aas paas. Traders is yellow area mein buy trading option place kar sakte hain, bullish forecast ke mutabiq, aur loss limitation ko previous bullish candle ke lower wick ke thoda niche 2390 par rakh sakte hain, kyun ke is area se increase hui hai.

Overall chart ko dekhtay huay lagta hai ke trend uptrending hai, jo ke barhtay huay highs aur lows se zahir hai. Iske ilawa, price movement jo ke Moving Average 50 se ooper hai, yeh long term ke liye uptrend ka tasur de rahi hai. Pichlay trend mein, lagta hai ke price upper trend line par apna Lower High banane ko barhti hai. Lekin, upper trend line ko touch karne se pehle, ek zabardast buying momentum dekha gaya jis ne price ko trendline channel se bahar nikal diya, jo ke signal tha ke trend phir se barh rahi hai. Is uptrend ke shuruwati moment ne ek bohot khoobsurat demand area banaya buying ke liye. Yeh area ko buy opportunities ke liye intezaar karne ka kamra samajh sakte hain.
Doosri supporting data yeh hai ke Relative Strength Index indicator line ka position dekhen jo level 50 se ooper hai, jo ke market ke pichlay do din se barhne ka ishara hai. Chand haftay pehle ke trading mein, price bullish movement kar rahi thi. Pichlay haftay ke aghaz mein sellers ne price ko neeche girane ki koshish ki, lekin haftay ke aakhri dinon mein buyers ne market par phir se control hasil kar liya aur candlestick ko bullish direction mein badal diya, is liye mein zyadah focus Entry Buy area dhoondne par kar raha hoon jo ke trend conditions ke mutabiq ho.

H1 time frame ko dekhte hain. Pehle yeh bohot wazeh tha ke trend neeche ja rahi thi halan ke aakhir mein upar breakout kiya. Jab breakout hua, price ne ek base area banaya jo ke buy area ke tor par use kiya gaya jab correction hui. Yeh correction ka moka hi hai jo mein buy kholne ke liye use kar raha hoon target ratio 1:3 ke sath. Yeh reference is haftay ke trading session mein market conditions ka overview faraham karta hai jo ke buyers ke control mein wapas aagai hain. Closing price position Simple Moving Average indicator (200, 100, aur 50 periods) ke neeche gir chuki hai aur is haftay ke market ke opening price se sirf 1 pip upar ruk gayi hai. Relative Strength Index indicator abhi bhi level 70 par hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke price abhi bhi bullish direction mein wapas jane ki koshish kar rahi hai. In dono indicators se mujhe yeh overview milta hai ke Gold market H1 timeframe mein dheere dheere bullish direction mein move karna shuru kar rahi hai, lekin jab subha ke initial opening price par sales volume kam hone lagi hai

Trump ke election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya hai.Isi dauran, sone ki qeemat ne jumme ko apna teesra musalsal haftawaar gain darj kiya, jabke America mein afsos ke sath inflation kam hone se Federal Reserve ke taraf se interest rates mein cut hone ki umeedein mazid mazboot ho gayi. Economic calendar ke natayij ke mutabiq... Guzishta hafta dikhaya ke America mein masarf ki qeematein June mein pehli baar chaar saalon mein gir gayi, jo ke Federal Reserve ke taraf se September mein interest rate cut hone ki umeedon ko mazid mazboot banata hai.Sarmayakaar ab Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke haaliye comments aur is hafte mazeed American economic reports ko dekh rahe hain taake mazeed rahnumayi hasil ho sake. Isi dauran, data ne ishara diya ke guzishta hafta Asia mein sone ki physical demand mein kami aayi jabke bartan ki unchi qeematon ne bazar mein ehtiyaat baratne ko badhawa diya.Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe.Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya.Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets stable rahe. US stock futures, dollar aur Treasury bond yields Monday ko barh gayi

Pichlay Jumme ko trading ke doran, gold ne ek bearish indecision candlestick ke sath close kiya. Yeh condition prospective sellers aur buyers dono ke liye ideal nahi hai kyunki movement ka direction equally strong hai. Magar, price highest daily average MA5/MA10 High area mein hai, is liye downward movement ka potential kaafi bara hai. Traders ko upward fakeout movement anticipate karna chahiye, kyunki indecision candlestick ki long upper wick Upper Bollingerbands ko touch karti hai. Fakeouts tab bhi ho sakte hain jab price lowest daily average ki taraf jata hai aur wahan se strong rebound hota hai. Is candlestick analysis ki madad se, traders ko limited take profit zone place karna chahiye.
Interesting baat yeh hai ke H4 timeframe pe ek bearish engulf candlestick nazar aayi jo Middle BB ko penetrate karke blue EMA50 ko touch karti hai. Yeh candle early indication hai ke price down move kar rahi hai. Resultantly, jo candle abhi rise karne ki koshish kar rahi hai woh ek corrective wave hai jiska maximum goal H4 highest average price, MA5/MA10 High lines ke beech 2457 - 2460 ke range tak hai. Yahan se estimate hai ke price bearish hi rahegi aur dominant candle ka direction follow karegi. Dekha jaye to blue EMA50 ko touch karne ke baad, agla profit target red EMA200 2390 ho sakta hai. EMA200 area se buyers ki resistance hone ke chances hain kyunki yeh area EMA50 on the daily timeframe hai, jo pehle buy entry ka area tha.

H1 intraday basis par movement ko monitor karte hue, dekha gaya ke subah ka opening price blue pivot zone 2451 - 2438 par tha. Magar pehle kuch bullish candle reactions bhi hue jo corrections classify hote hain. Mera khayal hai ke current price par instant sell karna sahi hoga kyunki do bearish candles jo process mein hain, bearish pinbar hain with a long Upper Wick, yeh indicate karti hain ke upper limit of the 2451 pivot zone jo ke ab minor resistance hai, wahan se major rejection hai. Technical data ko dekhte hue, mera trading plan yeh hai

ne pichlay dinon ke weekly gains ko kafi hath tak wapis le liya. Price thodi dair ke liye 2407 pivot level ke neeche gir gayi lekin phir recover karne ki koshish ki aur signal zone mai rehti rahi. Target area abhi bhi wahan tak nahi pohanch saka aur running hai. Is darmiyan, price chart super-trending red zone mai chali gayi, jo ke selling pressure ke barhne ki indication hai. Agar 4-hour chart ka close analysis kiya jaye, to simple moving averages abhi bhi negative direction mai cross kar rahe hain aur price par upward pressure dal rahe hain. Yeh day trading consolidation ko strong resistance 2410 ke neeche refer kar raha hai, jo ke 38.20% Fibonacci retracement level par located hai. Hum negative sentiment ki taraf biased hain kyun ke hum jaante hain ke agar 2383 break hota hai to bearish corrective trend ki strength barh jaegi aur is se directly 2365, jo ke 61.80% accuracy level hai, pehla target hai, tak pohanchne ka rasta milega aur corrective wave ke continuation ka bhi imkan hoga. Yad rahe, agar close 2410 ke upar hota hai to is mai kam az kam aik ghanta lag sakta hai lekin downside ko negate nahi karega, aur hum pullback attempt dekh sakte hain jiske targets 2424 aur 2442 se shuru honge. Neeche chart dekhen:
Jab main zyada time frame H1 ko dekhta hun, toh wahan bhi linear regression channel ooncha jata hai. Mere liye, ye H1 zyada ahmiyat rakhta hai. Ye darshata hai ke bulls mazboot hain. M15 channel se milne wala signal kharidari ke mauqe ko aur bhi mazid substansyata deti hai, jo meri kharidne ki khwahish ko barhata hai. Mujhe sirf theek jagah par qeemat ka intezar karna hai aur wahan se kharidari ke mauqe ki talash karni hai. Jahan main is haal mein kharidari ke mauqe talash kar raha hoon, wo hai lower channel boundary par 2384.80. Wahan se main dobarah 2423.38 tak kharidne ki koshish karunga. Agar main 2384.80 ka entry point todta hun, to ye bearish interest ka nishan hoga. Is surat mein, trading plan ko kharidari ke positions ki taraf doobara sochna aur market ki surat-e-haal ko dobara jaanchna behtar ho sakta hai

Aaj hum Gold ke price action analysis ka review karte hain. Initial phase mein, 2424 support level ka break hone ki umeed thi, jo ke ho chuki hai. Second phase mein, is broken level ko test kiya gaya aur yeh test confirm hua. Abhi tak third phase, yani consolidation, nahi hua. Jab consolidation ho jayega, toh downward trend dobara shuru ho sakta hai, jisse resistance milega. Jab tak consolidation nahi hota, upward trend ka outcome undecided hai aur sirf waqt hi bataye ga. Isliye, medium-term strategy relevant rehti hai. Main consolidation ka wait kar raha hoon, jiske liye ek aur upward move required hai. Humne hourly time frame discuss kiya tha, magar ab main daily chart ko dekhna chahta hoon.
Daily time frame (D1) par pehle ek side wedge form hua tha, jahan gold 76.43 par trade kar raha tha. 84.09 se rebound karne ke baad, ek consistent decline wave shuru hui resistance line se, jo technically Gold ko ek robust downward movement mein le gayi gap ke sath.

Channel ki lower limit likely nahi thi, jo last week's closing levels 74.09 se further decline suggest karti hai. Yahan, price support line ko hit karegi, jahan main rebound aur upward correction anticipate kar raha hoon. Medium-term perspective indicates continued decline, aur Gold likely market ke opening se decline karega. 2353.39 par, price ne minimum TF reach kiya aur upward adjust hua. Price green zone se guzar kar, red zone ko support level use karegi during growth. Yeh MA resistance level, red line 2390.74 ko break karegi aur mid-trend level, black line 2412.74 tak rise karegi. Price mid-TF level, black line ko bhi break kar sakti hai aur double top level 2429.19 tak move up ho sakti

sone ki qeemat ne jumme ko apna teesra musalsal haftawaar gain darj kiya, jabke America mein afsos ke sath inflation kam hone se Federal Reserve ke taraf se interest rates mein cut hone ki umeedein mazid mazboot ho gayi. Economic calendar ke natayij ke mutabiq... Guzishta hafta dikhaya ke America mein masarf ki qeematein June mein pehli baar chaar saalon mein gir gayi, jo ke Federal Reserve ke taraf se September mein interest rate cut hone ki umeedon ko mazid mazboot banata hai.Sarmayakaar ab Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke haaliye comments aur is hafte mazeed American economic reports ko dekh rahe hain taake mazeed rahnumayi hasil ho sake. Isi dauran, data ne ishara diya ke guzishta hafta Asia mein sone ki physical demand mein kami aayi jabke bartan ki unchi qeematon ne bazar mein ehtiyaat baratne ko badhawa diya.Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe.Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya.Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets stable rahe. US stock futures, dollar aur Treasury bond yields Monday ko barh gayi jab markets ne weekend par ex-President Donald Trump par huye hamlay ka asar dekha, jo ke US political scene par sangin asar dal sakta hai. Hamlay mein ek attendee aur gunman ki maut ho gayi, aur do doosray critical condition mein thay, jabke Trump ek goli se zakhmi ho gaye.Traders ko dar hai ke mazeed tashadud siyasi adam mustaqil aur bazar ki uthal puthal ko bharakaa sakta hai, halaan ke tajziya karnay walon ne note kiya ke hamlay ne Trump ke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya hai.Aaj ke liye sone ki qeemat ki peshgoi: Neeche diye gaye rozana chart par performance ke mutabiq, sone ki qeemat ek mazboot upward path par hai jo $2400 per ounce ki psychological resistance ke upar move hone se supported hai, aur mazeed gains maqam-e-muqawamat $2420 aur $2435 per ounce tak mazeed technical indicators ko strong levels of saturation with buying ki taraf move karengi. Profit-taking sales tab tak nahi hongi jab tak US dollar ki qeemat recover nahi hoti aur geopolitical tensions calm nahi hoti, jo ke sone ke haal ke gains ke sabse numayan asraat hain. Filhaal, sone ke qareebi support levels $2,400 aur

Gold ki keemat ko dekhte hue, jo consistently do Moving Average lines ke upar move kar rahi hai, lagta hai ke bullish trend ko maintain karna chahti hai. Price ne support (S1) 2382 tak correction ki, jo SMA 200 ke sath dynamic support bhi banata hai. Lekin, downward correction itni neeche nahi gayi aur price ne bounce kar ke weekend ke close prices ke around pivot point (PP) 2429 tak pahunch gayi. Agar price ka increase rally bullish trend direction ko follow karta hai, to price 2477 ke aas-paas ke nearest high prices ko test kar sakti hai aur resistance (R1) 2490 ki taraf bhi ja sakti hai.

Lekin, Gold ke price pattern ka structure abhi tak clear nahi hai kyunki 2477 ke high prices aur 2352 ke low prices dono hi pass nahi hue hain. Kehna ye hai ke price movement range narrow ho rahi hai, jo ek triangle pattern banane ki ijaazat deti hai. Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ne uptrend momentum show kiya hai lekin green histogram volume level 0 ke upar ya positive area mein itna wide nahi hai. Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo levels 50 aur 80 ke beech cross ho rahe hain, price increase rally ko support kar sakte hain.

Setup Entry Position:

Agar bullish trend direction aur price movements jo do Moving Average lines ke upar hain ko dekhte hue trade karna hai, to BUY moment ka intezar karein. Entry position ko place karne se pehle ensure karein ke closing prices pivot point (PP) 2429 ke upar ho ya high prices 2436 tak pahunchi ho. Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo level 50 ke aas-paas cross ho rahe hain, ko initial confirmation ke taur par use kiya ja sakta hai. AO indicator ka volume histogram jo level 0 ke upar ya positive area mein hai, uska continue widen hona zaroori hai taake uptrend momentum zyada valid ho. Take profit aur stop loss targets ko Risk: Reward ratio 1:1.5 ke hisaab se set karein, jisse stop loss 100 pips aur take profit 150 pips entry open position se hoga. Is tarah se maine journal update ka zikr kiya. Umeed hai ke trading plan jo humne banaya hai, agle haftay ke trading activities ke liye behtareen nateeje dega. Happy Weekend Sabko!

Sona ka harkat dekhne ko mil raha hai ke aaj tak kaafi zyada barh gaya hai, jahan aakhri trading session mein sona majboot hota nazar aaya. Yeh is liye tha ke kuch buniyadi masail aur geopolitical jazbat bhi garam ho rahe the. Iske ilawa, sona ki keemat upar ja rahi thi jo ke US interest rate cut ke hawale se umeed par thi, aur saath hi geopolitical tensions bhi barh rahe the. Market ab key US inflation data ka intezaar kar rahi hai jo is hafte release honay wala hai, jo ke mazeed monetary policy guidance ke liye ahm ho sakta hai. Yeh aage chal kar sona ke liye ek driving factor ban sakta hai. Middle East aur Russia-Ukraine conflict mein barhte geopolitical risk bhi sona ko ek safe haven banane mein madadgar ho sakte hain, jahan se aap future trading ke liye rujhan le sakte hain.

Technical nazariye se agar aap current daily timeframe pattern dekhen, to price abhi bhi kaafi strong bullish push mein hai, jahan price Ema 21 aur 7 ke upar reh rahi hai. Price abhi bhi lagta hai ke barhne ki potential rakhti hai aur daily high bolinger area 2477 tak pohnch sakti hai, halankeh sab se nazdeek ka resistance 2460 hai jo pehle test karna padega phir upar jaane ke liye. Indicators, jaise stochastic aur RSI, bhi strong upward pattern dikhate hain, jahan stochastic 80 area ko chase kar raha hai aur RSI bhi 70 area tak barh raha hai. Kuch patterns ko dekhte hue, buy setup abhi bhi trading ke liye ek behtareen option lagta hai, halankeh yeh abhi kuch nazdeeki resistances pe correction ya rejection ka bhi potential rakhta hai. Short-term options ke liye, nearest resistance pe bounce dekhna kaafi attractive option ho sakta hai. Trading options ke liye, sell limit option resistance 2477 pe liya ja sakta hai, jahan take profit support 2424 ke aas-paas aur further target ke liye support 2409 rakhna chahiye. Dusra option buy limit support 2409 ke aas-paas liya ja sakta hai, aur take profit resistance 2460 ke aas-paas rakhna chahiye. Trading ka shubhkamnayein aur shukriya.