Gold

Good morning! Main theek hoon, umeed karta hoon ke aap bhi khairiyat se hon aur aapke tamaam kaam achi tarah se chal rahe hon. Gold ki movement ke bare mein aap ne jo analysis diya hai, wo kaafi comprehensive hai. Gold ka price volatility aur range ke saath up and down ho raha hai. Fundamentals mein, NFP release, The Fed ki policy aur geopolitical tensions gold ke movement ko affect kar rahe hain. Hamas leader ki maut aur Middle East mein wapas se tension badhna bhi gold ke liye beneficial ho sakta hai, kyun ke log safe haven asset ki taraf jate hain. Powell ke statement aur FOMC ka dovish stance bhi gold ke liye positive signal ho sakta hai.
Technical analysis se dekh kar lagta hai ke daily timeframe pattern mein price abhi bhi wide range mein move karne ka potential rakhta hai. Last trading session mein high 2477 aur low 2409 par dekhne ko mila. Price abhi bhi important EMAs ke upar hai, is liye price pehle kuch area ko test kar sakta hai phir upward move karne se pehle. Indicators jaise stochastic aur RSI bhi strong upward pattern dikha rahe hain. Stochastic 80 area ko break karne ki koshish kar raha hai aur RSI bhi 70 area ke qareeb hai. In patterns ko dekhte huwe, price ka potential hai ke pehle kuch nearby supports test kare aur phir upar jaye. Is liye buy setup dekhna agle trades ke liye zyada attractive option lagta hai. Kya aapko is par aur koi specific analysis chahiye ya koi dusra currency pair discuss karna chahte hain.

qeemat upar ki taraf ubharti rahi jahan woh maqam-e-muqawamat $2420 per ounce par pohanch gayi analysis likhne ke waqt, dollar ki qeemat mein izafa hone se dabao ka samna kar rahi thi jab sarmayakaar ex-US President Donald Trump par huye qatal ki koshish ka asar maali bazaars par maloom kar rahe thay. Traders ko dar hai ke mazeed siyasi tashadud adam mustaqil aur bazar ki uthal puthal ko bharakaa sakta hai, halaan ke tajziya karnay walon ne note kiya ke hamlay ne Trump ke election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya hai.Isi dauran, sone ki qeemat ne jumme ko apna teesra musalsal haftawaar gain darj kiya, jabke America mein afsos ke sath inflation kam hone se Federal Reserve ke taraf se interest rates mein cut hone ki umeedein mazid mazboot ho gayi. Economic calendar ke natayij ke mutabiq... Guzishta hafta dikhaya ke America mein masarf ki qeematein June mein pehli baar chaar saalon mein gir gayi, jo ke Federal Reserve ke taraf se September mein interest rate cut hone ki umeedon ko mazid mazboot banata hai.Sarmayakaar ab Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke haaliye comments aur is hafte mazeed American economic reports ko dekh rahe hain taake mazeed rahnumayi hasil ho sake. Isi dauran, data ne ishara diya ke guzishta hafta Asia mein sone ki physical demand mein kami aayi jabke bartan ki unchi qeematon ne bazar mein ehtiyaat baratne ko badhawa diya.Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe.Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya.Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets stable rahe. US stock futures, dollar aur Treasury bond yields Monday ko barh gayi jab markets ne weekend par ex-President Donald Trump par huye hamlay ka asar dekha, jo ke US political scene par sangin asar dal sakta hai. Hamlay mein ek attendee aur gunman ki maut ho gayi, aur do doosray critical condition mein thay, jabke Trump ek goli se zakhmi ho gaye.Traders ko dar hai ke mazeed tashadud siyasi adam mustaqil aur bazar ki uthal puthal ko bharakaa sakta hai, halaan ke tajziya

Gold ka Technical Analysis?







**Gold Ka Technical Analysis**
**Muqaddima:**

Gold trading aur investment ki duniya mein ek bohot ahem asset hai. Yeh article gold ka technical analysis karega, jahan hum important indicators aur patterns ka jaiza lenge jo gold ki price movements ko predict karne mein madadgar hotay hain.

**Support Aur Resistance Levels:**

Support aur resistance levels gold ki trading mein bohot ahmiyat rakhte hain. Support level wo hota hai jahan price niche gir kar rukti hai aur wahan se wapas upar ki taraf jati hai. Resistance level wo hota hai jahan price barh kar rukti hai aur wahan se niche ki taraf aati hai. Aam tor par, 1800 USD per ounce ka support level aur 1900 USD per ounce ka resistance level dekha jata hai.

**Moving Averages:**

Moving averages ko use karte huye market trend ko identify kiya jata hai. 50-day aur 200-day moving averages ko dekh kar hum long-term aur short-term trends ko samajh sakte hain. Agar 50-day moving average 200-day moving average se upar hota hai, to yeh bullish trend ka ishara hota hai. Abhi gold ka 50-day moving average 200-day moving average ke upar hai, jo ek bullish trend ko zahir karta hai.

**Relative Strength Index (RSI):**

RSI ek momentum indicator hai jo overbought aur oversold conditions ko identify karta hai. RSI 70 se upar hota hai to market overbought hoti hai, jabke 30 se niche hota hai to market oversold hoti hai. Abhi RSI ka value 60 ke qareeb hai, jo ke slightly bullish momentum ko zahir karta hai. Agar RSI 70 se upar chala jaye to overbought condition hogi aur price correction ka chance barh jata hai.

**Fibonacci Retracement:**

Fibonacci retracement levels ko use karte huye hum potential reversal points ko identify kar sakte hain. Recent high se low tak ki range ko measure karte huye, important Fibonacci levels jese ke 38.2%, 50% aur 61.8% ko dekha jata hai. Abhi gold ka 61.8% Fibonacci level 1850 USD per ounce ke qareeb hai jo strong support ka kaam kar sakta hai.

**Candlestick Patterns:**

Candlestick patterns bhi price action aur market sentiment ko samajhne mein madadgar hote hain. Bullish engulfing, bearish engulfing, hammer aur shooting star kuch common patterns hain jo trend reversal ko indicate karte hain. Abhi daily chart par bullish engulfing pattern nazar aa raha hai, jo ke price ki further upward movement ko support karta hai.

**Market Sentiment:**

Market sentiment yani traders aur investors ke jazbat aur expectations bhi gold ki trading mein bohot important role play karte hain. Agar market ko lagta hai ke economic instability barh rahi hai to gold ki demand barh jati hai kyun ke yeh ek safe-haven asset hai.

**Conclusion:**

Gold ka technical analysis dekha jaye to yeh samajh aata hai ke market abhi ek bullish trend mein hai lekin kuch resistance levels hain jo price ko temporarily rokh sakte hain. Traders ko technical indicators jese ke moving averages, RSI aur Fibonacci retracement ko closely monitor karna chahiye. Market sentiment aur geopolitical events bhi important factors hain jo gold ki price movements ko influence kar sakte hain.

**Hawalay:**

Technical analysis tools aur financial news websites jese ke Tradingview, Bloomberg aur Reuters se up-to-date chart analysis aur market news hasil ki ja sakti hai. In sources ka istemal karte huye traders informed decisions le sakte hain.

Pichlay Jumme ko trading ke doran, gold ne ek bearish indecision candlestick ke sath close kiya. Yeh condition prospective sellers aur buyers dono ke liye ideal nahi hai kyunki movement ka direction equally strong hai. Magar, price highest daily average MA5/MA10 High area mein hai, is liye downward movement ka potential kaafi bara hai. Traders ko upward fakeout movement anticipate karna chahiye, kyunki indecision candlestick ki long upper wick Upper Bollingerbands ko touch karti hai. Fakeouts tab bhi ho sakte hain jab price lowest daily average ki taraf jata hai aur wahan se strong rebound hota hai. Is candlestick analysis ki madad se, traders ko limited take profit zone place karna chahiye.

Interesting baat yeh hai ke H4 timeframe pe ek bearish engulf candlestick nazar aayi jo Middle BB ko penetrate karke blue EMA50 ko touch karti hai. Yeh candle early indication hai ke price down move kar rahi hai. Resultantly, jo candle abhi rise karne ki koshish kar rahi hai woh ek corrective wave hai jiska maximum goal H4 highest average price, MA5/MA10 High lines ke beech 2457 - 2460 ke range tak hai. Yahan se estimate hai ke price bearish hi rahegi aur dominant candle ka direction follow karegi. Dekha jaye to blue EMA50 ko touch karne ke baad, agla profit target red EMA200 2390 ho sakta hai. EMA200 area se buyers ki resistance hone ke chances hain kyunki yeh area EMA50 on the daily timeframe hai, jo pehle buy entry ka area tha.

H1 intraday basis par movement ko monitor karte hue, dekha gaya ke subah ka opening price blue pivot zone 2451 - 2438 par tha. Magar pehle kuch bullish candle reactions bhi hue jo corrections classify hote hain. Mera khayal hai ke current price par instant sell karna sahi hoga kyunki do bearish candles jo process mein hain, bearish pinbar hain with a long Upper Wick, yeh indicate karti hain ke upper limit of the 2451 pivot zone jo ke ab minor resistance hai, wahan se major rejection hai. Technical data ko dekhte hue, mera trading plan yeh hai:

1. Sell Entry:
Current price (around 2451)
2. Profit Target:
Red EMA200 (around 2390)
3. Stop Loss:
Above the highest daily average MA5/MA10 High (around 2460)

Is trading plan ko follow karte hue aap market movement ko behtar anticipate kar sakte hain.

Chaar musalsal trading sessions mein, sone ki qeemat upar ki taraf ubharti rahi jahan woh maqam-e-muqawamat $2420 per ounce par pohanch gayi analysis likhne ke waqt, dollar ki qeemat mein izafa hone se dabao ka samna kar rahi thi jab sarmayakaar ex-US President Donald Trump par huye qatal ki koshish ka asar maali bazaars par maloom kar rahe thay. Traders ko dar hai ke mazeed siyasi tashadud adam mustaqil aur bazar ki uthal puthal ko bharakaa sakta hai, halaan ke tajziya karnay walon ne note kiya ke hamlay ne Trump ke election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya hai.Isi dauran, sone ki qeemat ne jumme ko apna teesra musalsal haftawaar gain darj kiya, jabke America mein afsos ke sath inflation kam hone se Federal Reserve ke taraf se interest rates mein cut hone ki umeedein mazid mazboot ho gayi. Economic calendar ke natayij ke mutabiq... Guzishta hafta dikhaya ke America mein masarf ki qeematein June mein pehli baar chaar saalon mein gir gayi, jo ke Federal Reserve ke taraf se September mein interest rate cut hone ki umeedon ko mazid mazboot banata hai.Sarmayakaar ab Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke haaliye comments aur is hafte mazeed American economic reports ko dekh rahe hain taake mazeed rahnumayi hasil ho sake. Isi dauran, data ne ishara diya ke guzishta hafta Asia mein sone ki physical demand mein kami aayi jabke bartan ki unchi qeematon ne bazar mein ehtiyaat baratne ko badhawa diya.Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe.Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya.Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets stable rahe. US stock futures, dollar aur Treasury bond yields Monday ko barh gayi jab markets ne weekend par ex-President Donald Trump par huye hamlay ka asar dekha, jo ke US political scene par sangin asar dal sakta hai. Hamlay mein ek attendee aur gunman ki maut ho gayi, aur do doosray critical condition mein thay, jabke Trump ek goli se zakhmi ho gaye.Traders ko dar hai ke mazeed tashadud siyasi adam mustaqil aur bazar ki uthal puthal ko bharakaa sakta hai, halaan ke tajziya karnay walon ne note kiya ke hamlay ne Trump ke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya hai.Aaj ke liye sone ki qeemat ki peshgoi: Neeche diye gaye rozana chart par performance ke mutabiq, sone ki qeemat ek mazboot upward path par hai jo $2400 per ounce ki psychological resistance ke upar move hone se supported hai, aur mazeed gains maqam-e-muqawamat $2420 aur $2435 per ounce tak mazeed technical indicators ko strong levels of saturation with buying ki taraf move karengi. Profit-taking sales tab tak nahi hongi jab tak US dollar ki qeemat recover nahi hoti aur geopolitical tensions calm nahi hoti, jo ke sone ke haal ke gains ke sabse numayan asraat hain. Filhaal, sone ke qareebi support levels $2,400 aur

Gold pichlay business week mai 2,483 par peak kiya tha aur phir sharp fall dekhne ko mili, jis ne pichlay dinon ke weekly gains ko kafi hath tak wapis le liya. Price thodi dair ke liye 2407 pivot level ke neeche gir gayi lekin phir recover karne ki koshish ki aur signal zone mai rehti rahi. Target area abhi bhi wahan tak nahi pohanch saka aur running hai. Is darmiyan, price chart super-trending red zone mai chali gayi, jo ke selling pressure ke barhne ki indication hai.

Agar 4-hour chart ka close analysis kiya jaye, to simple moving averages abhi bhi negative direction mai cross kar rahe hain aur price par upward pressure dal rahe hain. Yeh day trading consolidation ko strong resistance 2410 ke neeche refer kar raha hai, jo ke 38.20% Fibonacci retracement level par located hai. Hum negative sentiment ki taraf biased hain kyun ke hum jaante hain ke agar 2383 break hota hai to bearish corrective trend ki strength barh jaegi aur is se directly 2365, jo ke 61.80% accuracy level hai, pehla target hai, tak pohanchne ka rasta milega aur corrective wave ke continuation ka bhi imkan hoga. Yad rahe, agar close 2410 ke upar hota hai to is mai kam az kam aik ghanta lag sakta hai lekin downside ko negate nahi karega, aur hum pullback attempt dekh sakte hain jiske targets 2424 aur 2442 se shuru honge. Neeche chart dekhen:
Jab main zyada time frame H1 ko dekhta hun, toh wahan bhi linear regression channel ooncha jata hai. Mere liye, ye H1 zyada ahmiyat rakhta hai. Ye darshata hai ke bulls mazboot hain. M15 channel se milne wala signal kharidari ke mauqe ko aur bhi mazid substansyata deti hai, jo meri kharidne ki khwahish ko barhata hai. Mujhe sirf theek jagah par qeemat ka intezar karna hai aur wahan se kharidari ke mauqe ki talash karni hai. Jahan main is haal mein kharidari ke mauqe talash kar raha hoon, wo hai lower channel boundary par 2384.80. Wahan se main dobarah 2423.38 tak kharidne ki koshish karunga. Agar main 2384.80 ka entry point todta hun, to ye bearish interest ka nishan hoga. Is surat mein, trading plan ko kharidari ke positions ki taraf doobara sochna aur market ki surat-e-haal ko dobara jaanchna behtar ho sakta hai.

Abhi current bullish trend direction kamzor ho rahi hai kyunki gold ki price bohat impulsively neechay ja rahi hai. Agar price 2400 ke psychological level ke upar upward rally ko maintain karne mein nakam hoti hai, toh price decline 2362 ke low prices ko test karegi. Jo prices FR 50 - 2411 tak pohanch chuki hain unhe retracement complete maana ja sakta hai aur phir wapas neechay ja sakti hain. Lekin yeh mumkin hai ke price ka izafa FR 61.8 - 2422 tak pohanch jaye jo ke sabse optimal retracement ho sakta hai. Agar price FR 78.6 - 2438 ke retracement limit ko cross kar leti hai toh bullish trend direction phir se mazboot ho jayega.

Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator histogram jo abhi bhi level 0 ya negative area ke neeche hai, yeh basically downtrend momentum ko dikhata hai. Lekin green histogram volume jo level 0 ke kareeb hai yeh indicate karta hai ke weakening ho rahi hai. Jab tak histogram positive side ko cross nahi karta, downtrend momentum ko valid maana jata hai. Stochastic indicator parameters ko dekha jaaye toh yeh level 50 ke upar cross karke overbought zone level 90 - 80 ki taraf jaa rahi hain. Yeh matlab hai ke upward correction ke liye price abhi tak optimal saturation point tak nahi pohanchi.


Trading options yeh suggest karte hain ke SELL moment ka intezar kiya jaye kyunki bullish trend direction kamzor ho rahi hai aur gold price pattern structure lower low - lower high hai. Entry position ko FR 50 - 2411 se FR 61.8 - 2422 ke darmiyan place kiya ja sakta hai ya phir jab close prices SMA 200 ke neeche aajaye. Confirmation tab milegi jab Stochastic indicator parameters overbought zone level 90 - 80 ko cross kar lein. AO indicator histogram ko phir se red hona chahiye aur volume ka wide hona indicate karega ke downtrend momentum mazboot ho raha hai. Low prices 2363 ko take profit target ke taur par use karein aur stop losses ko FR 78.6 - 2438 ke aas paas place karein.

GOLD

Jo pic aapne provide ki hai, woh gold ka trading chart M30 (30-minute) timeframe par hai. Yahan chart ke key elements ka breakdown hai:

Price Data: Chart gold ki price movement ko candlesticks ke sath dikhata hai, jo har 30-minute period ke liye open, high, low, aur close prices ko show karta hai.

Moving Averages: Chart par do moving averages dikhayi gayi hain:

• Red Line: Yeh aksar ek chhoti period ki moving average ko represent karti hai.
• Blue Line: Yeh aksar ek lambi period ki moving average ko represent karti hai. Is case mein, red line shayad 5-period moving average hai aur blue line 10-period moving average hai.

RSI (Relative Strength Index): RSI indicator 51.49 par hai. Yeh oscillator 0 se 100 tak range karta hai aur overbought ya oversold conditions ko identify karne ke liye use hota hai. RSI 70 ke upar usually overbought consider kiya jata hai, aur 30 ke neeche oversold.

Stochastic Oscillator: Stochastic indicator %K aur %D lines ko 34.26 aur 35.32 par dikhata hai. Yeh bhi ek momentum indicator hai jo ek particular closing price ko uske price range ke sath compare karta hai ek certain period ke dauran. 80 se upar values usually overbought conditions ko indicate karti hain, aur 20 se neeche values oversold conditions ko indicate karti hain.

Volume: Chart ke neeche volume bars trade ke number ya volume ko indicate karti hain har 30-minute period ke dauran. Higher volume bars stronger price movements ko indicate kar sakti hain.

Sell Signal: Chart par ek sell order noted hai (#1130813621) jo suggest karta hai ke ek trade ek specific price point par initiate kiya gaya.

Indicators ke base par:

• RSI neutral hai 51.49 ke aas-paas.
• Stochastic Oscillator bhi relatively neutral hai lekin downward trend show kar raha hai, jo potential bearish momentum ko indicate karta hai.
• Price currently moving averages ke neeche hai, jo bhi bearish trend suggest kar sakta hai.

Lagta hai aap is chart ko analyze kar rahe hain taake potential buy ya sell opportunities determine ki ja sakein based on in technical indicators. Agar aapke paas specific questions hain ya further analysis ki zarurat hai, to bejhijak poochhein!

sone ki qeemat ne jumme ko apna teesra musalsal haftawaar gain darj kiya, jabke America mein afsos ke sath inflation kam hone se Federal Reserve ke taraf se interest rates mein cut hone ki umeedein mazid mazboot ho gayi. Economic calendar ke natayij ke mutabiq... Guzishta hafta dikhaya ke America mein masarf ki qeematein June mein pehli baar chaar saalon mein gir gayi, jo ke Federal Reserve ke taraf se September mein interest rate cut hone ki umeedon ko mazid mazboot banata hai.Sarmayakaar ab Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke haaliye comments aur is hafte mazeed American economic reports ko dekh rahe hain taake mazeed rahnumayi hasil ho sake. Isi dauran, data ne ishara diya ke guzishta hafta Asia mein sone ki physical demand mein kami aayi jabke bartan ki unchi qeematon ne bazar mein ehtiyaat baratne ko badhawa diya.Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe.Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya.Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets stable rahe. US stock futures, dollar aur Treasury bond yields Monday ko barh gayi jab markets ne weekend par ex-President Donald Trump par huye hamlay ka asar dekha, jo ke US political scene par sangin asar dal sakta hai. Hamlay mein ek attendee aur gunman ki maut ho gayi, aur do doosray critical condition mein thay, jabke Trump ek goli se zakhmi ho gaye.Traders ko dar hai ke mazeed tashadud siyasi adam mustaqil aur bazar ki uthal puthal ko bharakaa sakta hai, halaan ke tajziya karnay walon ne note kiya ke hamlay ne Trump ke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya hai.Aaj ke liye sone ki qeemat ki peshgoi: Neeche diye gaye rozana chart par performance ke mutabiq, sone ki qeemat ek mazboot upward path par hai jo $2400 per ounce ki psychological resistance ke upar move hone se supported hai, aur mazeed gains maqam-e-muqawamat $2420 aur $2435 per ounce tak mazeed technical indicators ko strong levels of saturation with buying ki taraf move karengi. Profit-taking sales tab tak nahi hongi jab tak US dollar ki qeemat recover nahi hoti aur geopolitical tensions calm nahi hoti, jo ke sone ke haal ke gains ke sabse numayan asraat hain. Filhaal, sone ke qareebi support levels $2,400 aur

Gold pichlay business week mai 2,483 par peak kiya tha aur phir sharp fall dekhne ko mili, jis ne pichlay dinon ke weekly gains ko kafi hath tak wapis le liya. Price thodi dair ke liye 2407 pivot level ke neeche gir gayi lekin phir recover karne ki koshish ki aur signal zone mai rehti rahi. Target area abhi bhi wahan tak nahi pohanch saka aur running hai. Is darmiyan, price chart super-trending red zone mai chali gayi, jo ke selling pressure ke barhne ki indication hai.
Agar 4-hour chart ka close analysis kiya jaye, to simple moving averages abhi bhi negative direction mai cross kar rahe hain aur price par upward pressure dal rahe hain. Yeh day trading consolidation ko strong resistance 2410 ke neeche refer kar raha hai, jo ke 38.20% Fibonacci retracement level par located hai. Hum negative sentiment ki taraf biased hain kyun ke hum jaante hain ke agar 2383 break hota hai to bearish corrective trend ki strength barh jaegi aur is se directly 2365, jo ke 61.80% accuracy level hai, pehla target hai, tak pohanchne ka rasta milega aur corrective wave ke continuation ka bhi imkan hoga. Yad rahe, agar close 2410 ke upar hota hai to is mai kam az kam aik ghanta lag sakta hai lekin downside ko negate nahi karega, aur hum pullback attempt dekh sakte hain jiske targets 2424 aur 2442 se shuru honge. Neeche chart dekhen:
Jab main zyada time frame H1 ko dekhta hun, toh wahan bhi linear regression channel ooncha jata hai. Mere liye, ye H1 zyada ahmiyat rakhta hai. Ye darshata hai ke bulls mazboot hain. M15 channel se milne wala signal kharidari ke mauqe ko aur bhi mazid substansyata deti hai, jo meri kharidne ki khwahish ko barhata hai. Mujhe sirf theek jagah par qeemat ka intezar karna hai aur wahan se kharidari ke mauqe ki talash karni hai. Jahan main is haal mein kharidari ke mauqe talash kar raha hoon, wo hai lower channel boundary par 2384.80. Wahan se main dobarah 2423.38 tak kharidne ki koshish karunga. Agar main 2384.80 ka entry point todta hun, to ye bearish interest ka nishan hoga. Is surat mein, trading plan ko kharidari ke positions ki taraf doobara sochna aur market ki surat-e-haal ko dobara jaanchna behtar ho sakta hai

Gold ke price action analysis ka review karte hain. Initial phase mein, 2424 support level ka break hone ki umeed thi, jo ke ho chuki hai. Second phase mein, is broken level ko test kiya gaya aur yeh test confirm hua. Abhi tak third phase, yani consolidation, nahi hua. Jab consolidation ho jayega, toh downward trend dobara shuru ho sakta hai, jisse resistance milega. Jab tak consolidation nahi hota, upward trend ka outcome undecided hai aur sirf waqt hi bataye ga. Isliye, medium-term strategy relevant rehti hai. Main consolidation ka wait kar raha hoon, jiske liye ek aur upward move required hai. Humne hourly time frame discuss kiya tha, magar ab main daily chart ko dekhna chahta hoon.
Daily time frame (D1) par pehle ek side wedge form hua tha, jahan gold 76.43 par trade kar raha tha. 84.09 se rebound karne ke baad, ek consistent decline wave shuru hui resistance line se, jo technically Gold ko ek robust downward movement mein le gayi gap ke sath.
Channel ki lower limit likely nahi thi, jo last week's closing levels 74.09 se further decline suggest karti hai. Yahan, price support line ko hit karegi, jahan main rebound aur upward correction anticipate kar raha hoon. Medium-term perspective indicates continued decline, aur Gold likely market ke opening se decline karega. 2353.39 par, price ne minimum TF reach kiya aur upward adjust hua. Price green zone se guzar kar, red zone ko support level use karegi during growth. Yeh MA resistance level, red line 2390.74 ko break karegi aur mid-trend level, black line 2412.74 tak rise karegi. Price mid-TF level, black line ko bhi break kar sakti hai aur double top level 2429.19 tak move up ho sakti hai.
Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe.Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya.Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets stable rahe. US stock futures, dollar aur Treasury bond yields Monday ko barh gayi jab markets ne weekend par ex-President Donald Trump par huye hamlay ka asar dekha, jo ke US political scene par sangin asar dal sakta hai. Hamlay mein ek attendee aur gunman ki maut ho gayi, aur do doosray critical condition mein thay, jabke Trump ek goli se zakhmi ho gaye.Traders ko dar hai ke mazeed tashadud siyasi adam mustaqil aur bazar ki uthal puthal ko bharakaa sakta hai, halaan ke tajziya karnay walon ne note kiya ke hamlay ne Trump ke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya hai.Aaj ke liye sone ki qeemat ki peshgoi: Neeche diye gaye rozana chart par performance ke mutabiq, sone ki qeemat ek mazboot upward path par hai jo $2400 per ounce ki psychological resistance ke upar move hone se supported hai, aur mazeed gains maqam-e-muqawamat $2420 aur $2435 per ounce tak mazeed technical indicators ko strong levels of saturation with buying ki taraf move karengi. Profit-taking sales tab tak nahi hongi jab tak US dollar ki qeemat recover nahi hoti aur geopolitical tensions calm nahi hoti, jo ke sone ke haal ke gains ke sabse numayan asraat hain. Filhaal, sone ke qareebi support levels $2,400 aur $2,379 per ounce hain, mutabiqan. Main ab bhi har girti level se sone ko kharidna pasand karta

sone ki qeemat ne jumme ko apna teesra musalsal haftawaar gain darj kiya, jabke America mein afsos ke sath inflation kam hone se Federal Reserve ke taraf se interest rates mein cut hone ki umeedein mazid mazboot ho gayi. Economic calendar ke natayij ke mutabiq... Guzishta hafta dikhaya ke America mein masarf ki qeematein June mein pehli baar chaar saalon mein gir gayi, jo ke Federal Reserve ke taraf se September mein interest rate cut hone ki umeedon ko mazid mazboot banata hai.Sarmayakaar ab Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke haaliye comments aur is hafte mazeed American economic reports ko dekh rahe hain taake mazeed rahnumayi hasil ho sake. Isi dauran, data ne ishara diya ke guzishta hafta Asia mein sone ki physical demand mein kami aayi jabke bartan ki unchi qeematon ne bazar mein ehtiyaat baratne ko badhawa diya.Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe.Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya.Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets stable rahe. US stock futures, dollar aur Treasury bond yields Monday ko barh gayi jab markets ne weekend par ex-President Donald Trump par huye hamlay ka asar dekha, jo ke US political scene par sangin asar dal sakta hai. Hamlay mein ek attendee aur gunman ki maut ho gayi, aur do doosray critical condition mein thay, jabke Trump ek goli se zakhmi ho gaye.Traders ko dar hai ke mazeed tashadud siyasi adam mustaqil aur bazar ki uthal puthal ko bharakaa sakta hai, halaan ke tajziya karnay walon ne note kiya ke hamlay ne Trump ke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya hai.Aaj ke liye sone ki qeemat ki peshgoi: Neeche diye gaye rozana chart par performance ke mutabiq, sone ki qeemat ek mazboot upward path par hai jo $2400 per ounce ki psychological resistance ke upar move hone se supported hai, aur mazeed gains maqam-e-muqawamat $2420 aur $2435 per ounce tak mazeed technical indicators ko strong levels of saturation with buying ki taraf move karengi. Profit-taking sales tab tak nahi hongi jab tak US dollar ki qeemat recover nahi hoti aur geopolitical tensions calm nahi hoti, jo ke sone ke haal ke gains ke sabse numayan asraat hain. Filhaal, sone ke qareebi support levels $2,400 aur

Gold ki current price behavior analysis pe baat karte hain. $2389 ka level kaam kar gaya hai, aur abhi sellers koshish kar rahe hain ke price ko neeche le jayein, jo ke $2364 tak ja sakti hai, jo ke 23.6% Fibonacci level ke saath align karta hai. Wahan se, price $2299 per troy ounce tak decline kar sakti hai. Agar current level bears ka pressure withstand kar leta hai, toh hum rebound dekh sakte hain, aur gold prices $2449 tak wapas aa sakti hain.

Aaj $2414 ke resistance level ko break karne ki do koshishain naakam rahi, aur bears ne gold ko downward turn kar diya. Gold ne support level $2391 ko tor diya hai. Agar yeh level ke neeche consolidate hota hai, toh downward trend continue hoga. Agar yeh hold nahi karta, toh $2391 ke upar buying opportunity emerge hogi, jo gold ko potentially $2414 resistance level tak le ja sakti hai.

Ab tak aise signals nazar nahi aaye hain. Is liye priority $2375 support level ki taraf move karna hai. Daily chart pe aaj ek bearish candle form hui hai, jo aur strong ho sakti hai agar sellers apna pressure maintain karte hain. Main current decline ko moderate expect nahi kar raha. Ek minor downward correction ke baad, further strengthening ki umeed hai. Gradual decline $2384 range tak aa sakti hai. Agar is level ka false breakout hota hai, toh renewed growth ho sakti hai. General tor pe, slight downward correction ke baad growth continue ho sakti hai. $2419 ka breakout buy signal hoga, jo further growth indicate karega. Growth wapas aa sakti hai agar current support hold karta hai. Lekin agar yeh break hota hai, toh further declines ke liye prepare karna chahiye. In key levels ko watch karna crucial hoga informed trading decisions lene ke liye.

sone ki qeemat ne jumme ko apna teesra musalsal haftawaar gain darj kiya, jabke America mein afsos ke sath inflation kam hone se Federal Reserve ke taraf se interest rates mein cut hone ki umeedein mazid mazboot ho gayi. Economic calendar ke natayij ke mutabiq... Guzishta hafta dikhaya ke America mein masarf ki qeematein June mein pehli baar chaar saalon mein gir gayi, jo ke Federal Reserve ke taraf se September mein interest rate cut hone ki umeedon ko mazid mazboot banata hai.Sarmayakaar ab Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke haaliye comments aur is hafte mazeed American economic reports ko dekh rahe hain taake mazeed rahnumayi hasil ho sake. Isi dauran, data ne ishara diya ke guzishta hafta Asia mein sone ki physical demand mein kami aayi jabke bartan ki unchi qeematon ne bazar mein ehtiyaat baratne ko badhawa diya.Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe.Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya.Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets stable rahe. US stock futures, dollar aur Treasury bond yields Monday ko barh gayi jab markets ne weekend par ex-President Donald Trump par huye hamlay ka asar dekha, jo ke US political scene par sangin asar dal sakta hai. Hamlay mein ek attendee aur gunman ki maut ho gayi, aur do doosray critical condition mein thay, jabke Trump ek goli se zakhmi ho gaye.Traders ko dar hai ke mazeed tashadud siyasi adam mustaqil aur bazar ki uthal puthal ko bharakaa sakta hai, halaan ke tajziya karnay walon ne note kiya ke hamlay ne Trump ke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya hai.Aaj ke liye sone ki qeemat ki peshgoi: Neeche diye gaye rozana chart par performance ke mutabiq, sone ki qeemat ek mazboot upward path par hai jo $2400 per ounce ki psychological resistance ke upar move hone se supported hai, aur mazeed gains maqam-e-muqawamat $2420 aur $2435 per ounce tak mazeed technical indicators ko strong levels of saturation with buying ki taraf move karengi. Profit-taking sales tab tak nahi hongi jab tak US dollar ki qeemat recover nahi hoti aur geopolitical tensions calm nahi hoti, jo ke sone ke haal ke gains ke sabse numayan asraat hain. Filhaal, sone ke qareebi support levels $2,400 aur

Main ne is analysis ko chaar ghante ke waqt ke nazariye se dekha jahan par current price already paanchwa wave banane ke process mein hai. June 7, 2024 ko wave four ke khatam hone ke baad, wave four ka end wave a ke support ke upar hai, iska matlab hai ke wave four ka end wave a ke end par hona chahiye tha. Lekin waves ke beech wave calculation ke mutabiq, wave four ka formation complicated ho gaya hai aur running flat pattern ban gaya hai.

Meri analysis ka focus bullish wave five movement par hai jo paanch waves se bana hai aur price bhi wave five mein wave five ke movement mein hai. Jo cheez dilchasp hai woh yeh hai ke wave five ka formation (current price movements par focus karte hue) ek kaafi strong range ke saath wave one se shuru hua hai. Yeh signal ho sakta hai ke buyer ki strength abhi bhi zyada hai aur filhal price wave two ke end par hai aur wave three ki taraf barh rahi hai jo paanch waves mein se hai.

Agar move average ke nazariye se dekha jaye, to price move average ke upar hai aur buyer ka weak point par hai, lekin seller hone ka koi indication nahi hai. Chaar ghante ke time frame mein, price ne 100 move average ko penetrate kar diya hai aur filhal price 200 move average support se rokha gaya hai jo Fibonacci musang ke level four ke saath match karta hai. Isse yeh possibility hai ke buyer dobara dominate karega. Humein yeh dekhna hoga ke agar price 200 move average support ko penetrate karti hai, to seller potential abhi bhi ho sakta hai aur 100 ya 200 move average support tak jaa sakta hai.

Isliye, mere aaj ke gold trading ke liye recommendation yeh hai ke buy karein aur humein ensure karna hoga ke signal ya indicator doosri technical side se buyer ka signal ho. Risk mitigation ko bhi dhyan mein rakhein taake humara trading account bankruptcy se bacha rahe. Yeh interesting entry moment ho sakta hai jab gold ka movement MA 200 ko respond kare. Agar gold MA 200 ko break kar leti hai to yeh trend reversal ka confirmation hoga bullish se bearish trend ki taraf, jo bearish direction ke indication ya gold par sell entry ka moment ban sakta hai, kyunki yeh further aur significant bearish movement ko trigger kar sakta hai jiska bearish target horizontal line support levels ke niche ho sakta hai.