gold

mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe.Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori

Gold prices ne Wednesday ko $2,460 ke level ke aas paas apni steady position maintain ki, jo ke August ke rally ka extension tha. Kai factors ne is upward movement mein contribute kiya. Sab se pehle, US Treasury bond yields ke decline ne, jo ke gold prices ke sath inverse relation rakhte hain, gold ko zabardast boost diya. Us ke ilawa, Middle East mein geopolitical tensions aur Russia-Ukraine conflict ne safe-haven flows ko gold mein daal diya.

Lekin, analysts ne caution diya ke in safe-haven inflows ki strength overextended market positions ki wajah se kam ho sakti hai. US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data ka release gold par zyada asar nahi daal saka kyun ke figures market expectations ke mutabiq thein. Jab ke year-over-year inflation thori si slow hui, lekin phir bhi Federal Reserve ke target se zyada rahi, jo ke persistent inflationary pressures ka indication hai.

Interestingly, gold ka muted response pehle se market-shaking weaker-than-expected US nonfarm payrolls data par logon ko hairan kar gaya. Analysts ne isko macro funds ki robust health, systemic trend followers ke maximum long positions ke qareeb aane, aur Asian speculators ke gold ko currency hedge ke tor par hold karne ki increasing fragility ke combination ki wajah se samjha.

A broader perspective mein dekha jaye to Asian central banks ne is saal ke shuru mein gold reserves significantly increase kiye, anticipating ke US dollar stronger hoga aur potential rate hikes hongi. Ye ek strategic move tha taake currency depreciation ke against hedge kiya ja sake.

Abhi ke liye, gold ek defined range mein consolidate kar raha hai jo ke July se established hai. Short-term trend sideways movement suggest karta hai, jisme ya to ye range continue rahegi ya phir kisi bhi direction mein breakout ho sakta hai. Agar prices $2,455 ke neeche decisively decline karti hain, to ek nayi downtrend shuru ho sakti hai jo ke prices ko $2,400 ya phir $2,390 tak le ja sakti hai. Conversely, agar upper range boundary ke upar ek forceful breakout hota hai, to ek bullish trend ignite ho sakta hai, jo ke prices ko kam az kam $2,550 tak le ja sakta hai.

In conclusion, gold ke price trajectory par kai complex factors influence kar rahe hain, including declining bond yields, geopolitical risks, investor sentiment, aur central bank activities. Jab ke metal ne strength dikhayi hai, market ki consolidation phase caution suggest karti hai. Traders aur investors ko price action aur technical indicators ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake gold ke potential direction ke bare mein clues mil sakein.

chahiye. Author ki recommendations ko dobara dekhain. Ye areas wo hain jo zyada tar price ko attract karte hain, aur inhi areas mein reactions ke sath movements shuru hote hain. Chaliye ab XAU/USD (GOLD) currency pair ki halat ko dobara analyse karte hain.

Dekhein, price ne pehli swing liquidity ko 2477.278 ki value ke sath test kiya hai, aur reaction kahan gaya? Sabse qareeb imbalance (price gap) ka location kaafi door hai - 2417.264, lekin isay nazarandaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Ye samajhne ke liye ke kya price ek qareeb imbalance bana sakti hai, humein current daily candle ke close hone ka intezar karna padega. Agar ye close hota hai, jaisa chart par dikhaya gaya hai, to ye naye din ke liye growth ke haq mein support hai. Ye samajhne ki buniyad hai.

Current situation mein, mujhe ummeed hai ke southward correction khatam hogi aur upward scenario continue hoga. Mere khayalat screen ke andar hain. Lekin aaj mujhe is asset mein dilchaspi nahi hai. Ye samajhna zaroori hai ke kya current situation mein support ke taur par nayi imbalance banegi ya nahi. Abhi, nazar aata hai ke correction abhi tak mukammal nahi hui. Magar is horizontal line ka breakout false sabit hua, isliye hum ab downward correction

mutabiq thein. Jab ke year-over-year inflation thori si slow hui, lekin phir bhi Federal Reserve ke target se zyada rahi, jo ke persistent inflationary pressures ka indication hai.
Interestingly, gold ka muted response pehle se market-shaking weaker-than-expected US nonfarm payrolls data par logon ko hairan kar gaya. Analysts ne isko macro funds ki robust health, systemic trend followers ke maximum long positions ke qareeb aane, aur Asian speculators ke gold ko currency hedge ke tor par hold karne ki increasing fragility ke combination ki wajah se samjha.

A broader perspective mein dekha jaye to Asian central banks ne is saal ke shuru mein gold reserves significantly increase kiye, anticipating ke US dollar stronger hoga aur

Aaj ka focus GBP/USD currency pair ke price movements ki analysis par hai. Aaj, pair ek tight range mein trade kar raha hai. Chart ke mutabiq, pair ne 1.2901 ka support level touch kiya hai aur filhal 1.2906 par hai. RSI apne range ke beech mein hai aur upward trend dikha raha hai, jabke AO ek kamzor sell signal de raha hai. Pair kal ke range ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo ke minor increase ka indication hai—market bullish zone mein hai. Price resistance level 1.2941 ko test karegi. Is analysis ke mutabiq, current levels par cautious buying ki recommendation hai, jiska target 1.2936 hai. Hume 28th figure ke paas thodi si girawat ke baad ek rebound dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Ye excessive decline Stochastic indicator mein bhi dekhne ko milti hai, jo current price drop ke saath align nahi karti.

Agar further decline hoti hai to buying ke liye prepare rehna chahiye. Trend indicate karta hai ke GBP/USD naye lower levels bana raha hai. 1.2896 mark ke hold karne ki ummeed kam hai, jo ke further decline ka indication hai. Main recommend karta hoon ke is point ke neeche stabilization ka intezar karein pehle downward wave ke liye dekhen. Jab hum is zone tak pohnch jayenge tab agle steps clear honge. 1.2764 tak girawat bhi mumkin hai, jo bulls ke liye challenging raasta bana sakta hai. Isliye 1.2821 tak girawat ki possibility ko bhi consider karna chahiye. Full-buy position enter karna advisable nahi hai, kyunki ye prevailing trend ke khilaf hoga aur problematic trading situation create kar sakta hai.

hai, lagta hai ke bullish trend ko maintain karna chahti hai. Price ne support (S1) 2382 tak correction ki, jo SMA 200 ke sath dynamic support bhi banata hai. Lekin, downward correction itni neeche nahi gayi aur price ne bounce kar ke weekend ke close prices ke around pivot point (PP) 2429 tak pahunch gayi. Agar price ka increase rally bullish trend direction ko follow karta hai, to price 2477 ke aas-paas ke nearest high prices ko test kar sakti hai aur resistance (R1) 2490 ki taraf bhi ja sakti hai.
Lekin, Gold ke price pattern ka structure abhi tak clear nahi hai kyunki 2477 ke high prices aur 2352 ke low prices dono hi pass nahi hue hain. Kehna ye hai ke price movement range narrow ho rahi hai, jo ek triangle pattern banane ki ijaazat deti hai. Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ne uptrend momentum show kiya hai lekin green histogram volume level 0 ke upar ya positive area mein itna wide nahi hai. Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo levels 50 aur 80 ke beech cross ho rahe hain, price increase rally ko support kar sakte hain.

Setup Entry Position:

Agar bullish trend direction aur price movements jo do Moving Average lines ke upar hain ko dekhte hue trade karna hai, to BUY moment ka intezar karein. Entry position ko place karne se pehle ensure karein ke closing prices pivot point (PP) 2429 ke upar ho ya high prices 2436 tak pahunchi ho. Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo level 50 ke aas-paas cross ho rahe hain, ko initial confirmation ke taur par use kiya ja sakta hai. AO indicator ka volume histogram jo level 0 ke upar ya positive area mein hai, uska continue widen hona zaroori hai taake uptrend momentum zyada valid ho. Take profit aur stop loss targets ko Risk: Reward ratio 1:1.5 ke hisaab se set karein, jisse stop loss 100 pips aur take profit 150 pips entry open position se hoga. Is tarah se maine journal update ka zikr kiya. Umeed hai ke trading plan jo humne banaya hai, agle haftay ke trading activities ke liye behtareen nateeje dega. Happy Weekend Sabko!

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mein izafa hone se dabao ka samna kar rahi thi jab sarmayakaar ex-US President Donald Trump par huye qatal ki koshish ka asar maali bazaars par maloom kar rahe thay. Traders ko dar hai ke mazeed siyasi tashadud adam mustaqil aur bazar ki uthal puthal ko bharakaa sakta hai, halaan ke tajziya karnay walon ne note kiya ke hamlay ne Trump ke election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya hai.Isi dauran, sone ki qeemat ne jumme ko apna teesra musalsal haftawaar gain darj kiya, jabke America mein afsos ke sath inflation kam hone se Federal Reserve ke taraf se interest rates mein cut hone ki umeedein mazid mazboot ho gayi. Economic calendar ke natayij ke mutabiq... Guzishta hafta dikhaya ke America mein masarf ki qeematein June mein pehli baar chaar saalon mein gir gayi, jo ke Federal Reserve ke taraf se September mein interest rate cut hone ki umeedon ko mazid mazboot banata hai.Sarmayakaar ab Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke haaliye comments aur is hafte mazeed American economic reports ko dekh rahe hain taake mazeed rahnumayi hasil ho sake. Isi dauran, data ne ishara diya ke guzishta hafta Asia mein sone ki physical demand mein kami aayi jabke bartan ki unchi qeematon ne bazar mein ehtiyaat baratne ko badhawa diya.Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe.Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya.Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets stable rahe. US stock futures, dollar aur Treasury bond yields Monday ko barh gayi jab markets ne weekend par ex-President Donald Trump par huye hamlay ka asar dekha, jo ke US political scene par sangin asar dal sakta hai Hamlay mein ek attendee aur gunman ki maut ho gayi, aur do doosray critical condition mein thay, jabke Trump ek goli se zakhmi ho gaye.Traders ko dar hai ke mazeed tashadud siyasi adam mustaqil aur bazar ki uthal puthal ko bharakaa sakta hai, halaan ke tajziya karnay walon ne note kiya ke hamlay ne Trump ke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya hai.Aaj ke liye sone ki qeemat ki peshgoi: Neeche diye gaye rozana chart par performance ke mutabiq, sone ki qeemat ek mazboot upward path par hai jo $2400 per ounce ki psychological resistance ke upar move hone se supported hai, aur mazeed gains maqam-e-muqawamat $2420 aur $2435 per ounce tak mazeed technical indicators ko strong levels of saturation with buying ki taraf move karengi. Profit-taking sales tab tak nahi hongi jab tak US dollar ki qeemat recover nahi hoti aur geopolitical tensions calm nahi hoti, jo ke sone ke haal ke gains ke sabse numayan asraat hain.

• gaye rozana chart par performance ke mutabiq, sone ki qeemat ek mazboot upward path par hai jo $2400 per ounce ki psychological resistance ke upar move hone se supported hai, aur mazeed gains maqam-e-muqawamat $2420 aur $2435 per ounce tak mazeed technical indicators ko strong levels of saturation with buying ki taraf move karengi. Profit-taking sales tab tak nahi hongi jab tak US dollar ki qeemat recover nahi hoti aur geopolitical tensions calm nahi hoti, jo ke sone ke haal ke gains ke sabse numayan asraat hain.
  
  
  
  
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Overall chart ko dekhtay huay lagta hai ke trend uptrending hai, jo ke barhtay huay highs aur lows se zahir hai. Iske ilawa, price movement jo ke Moving Average 50 se ooper hai, yeh long term ke liye uptrend ka tasur de rahi hai. Pichlay trend mein, lagta hai ke price upper trend line par apna Lower High banane ko barhti hai. Lekin, upper trend line ko touch karne se pehle, ek zabardast buying momentum dekha gaya jis ne price ko trendline channel se bahar nikal diya, jo ke signal tha ke trend phir se barh rahi hai. Is uptrend ke shuruwati moment ne ek bohot khoobsurat demand area banaya buying ke liye. Yeh area ko buy opportunities ke liye intezaar karne ka kamra samajh sakte hain. Doosri supporting data yeh hai ke Relative Strength Index indicator line ka position dekhen jo level 50 se ooper hai, jo ke market ke pichlay do din se barhne ka ishara hai. Chand haftay pehle ke trading mein, price bullish movement kar rahi thi. Pichlay haftay ke aghaz mein sellers ne price ko neeche girane ki koshish ki, lekin haftay ke aakhri dinon mein buyers ne market par phir se control hasil kar liya aur candlestick ko bullish direction mein badal diya, is liye mein zyadah focus Entry Buy area dhoondne par kar raha hoon jo ke trend conditions ke mutabiq ho.
H1 time frame ko dekhte hain. Pehle yeh bohot wazeh tha ke trend neeche ja rahi thi halan ke aakhir mein upar breakout kiya. Jab breakout hua, price ne ek base area banaya jo ke buy area ke tor par use kiya gaya jab correction hui. Yeh correction ka moka hi hai jo mein buy kholne ke liye use kar raha hoon target ratio 1:3 ke sath. Yeh reference is haftay ke trading session mein market conditions ka overview faraham karta hai jo ke buyers ke control mein wapas aagai hain. Closing price position Simple Moving Average indicator (200, 100, aur 50 periods) ke neeche gir chuki hai aur is haftay ke market ke opening price se sirf 1 pip upar ruk gayi hai. Relative Strength Index indicator abhi bhi level 70 par hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke price abhi bhi bullish direction mein wapas jane ki koshish kar rahi hai. In dono indicators se mujhe yeh overview milta hai ke Gold market H1 timeframe mein dheere dheere bullish direction mein move karna shuru kar rahi hai, lekin jab subha ke initial opening price par sales volume kam hone lagi hai

Average 50 se ooper hai, yeh long term ke liye uptrend ka tasur de rahi hai. Pichlay trend mein, lagta hai ke price upper trend line par apna Lower High banane ko barhti hai. Lekin, upper trend line ko touch karne se pehle, ek zabardast buying momentum dekha gaya jis ne price ko trendline channel se bahar nikal diya, jo ke signal tha ke trend phir se barh rahi hai. Is uptrend ke shuruwati moment ne ek bohot khoobsurat demand area banaya buying ke liye. Yeh area ko buy opportunities ke liye intezaar karne ka kamra samajh sakte hain. Doosri supporting data yeh hai ke Relative Strength Index indicator line ka position dekhen jo level 50 se ooper hai, jo ke market ke halaan ke tajziya karnay walon ne note kiya ke hamlay ne Trump ke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya hai.Aaj ke liye sone ki qeemat ki peshgoi: Neeche diye gaye rozana chart par performance ke mutabiq, sone ki qeemat ek mazboot upward path par hai jo $2400 per ounce ki psychological resistance ke upar move hone se supported hai, aur mazeed gains maqam-e-muqawamat $2420 aur $2435 per ounce tak mazeed technical indicators ko strong levels of saturation with buying ki taraf move karengi. Profit-taking sales tab tak nahi hongi jab tak US dollar ki qeemat recover nahi hoti aur geopolitical tensions calm nahi halaan ke tajziya karnay walon ne note kiya ke hamlay ne Trump ke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya hai.Aaj ke liye sone ki qeemat ki peshgoi: Neeche diye gaye rozana chart par performance ke mutabiq, sone ki qeemat ek mazboot upward path par hai jo $2400 per ounce ki psychological resistance ke upar move hone se supported hai, aur mazeed gains maqam-e-muqawamat $2420 aur $2435 per ounce tak mazeed technical indicators ko strong levels of saturation with buying ki taraf move karengi. Profit-taking sales tab tak nahi hongi jab tak US dollar ki qeemat recover nahi hoti aur geopolitical tensions calm nahi

Gold ka Technical Analysis
Pichlay hafte Gold ne limited range ke andar trade kiya, jisme price 2377 aur 2477 ke darmiyan rahi. Jab price ne lower border ko touch kiya, to wahan se bounce back hote hue upper border ki taraf move ki. Is movement ne signal zone se bahar nikalna shuru kar diya aur intensity barh gayi. Is wajah se target area achieve nahi ho saka aur apni relevance kho di. Is dauran, price chart supertrend ke green zone mein move kar gaya, jo ye signal deta hai ke buyers ne ab situation ka control apne haath mein le liya hai.

Tuesday ko Gold futures $2,513 per ounce tak gir gayi, jo ke previous day ke close $2,513 ke barabar thi. Intraday high $2,517 tak gaya, jo ke pichlay high $2,498 se zyada tha. US dollar mein tezi se girawat hui, aur Gold prices ne $2,500 per ounce ka resistance tor diya jab Wall Street par open hua, kyun ke interest rate cut ki expectations barh gayi thi inflation data ke baad. Teesri dafa barhny ke bawajood Gold apni gains ko extend nahi kar saka, halan ke US consumer price inflation data ne US prices mein slowdown ko indicate kiya.



Gold prices ab clearly weekly highs ke qareeb trade kar rahi hain. Ek key resistance zone tor diya gaya hai aur buyers ke pressure ne is trend ko rokne mein nakami ka samna kiya, jo ke bullish trend mein shift ka ishara hai. Isko confirm karne ke liye price ko 2449 level ke upar consolidate karna zaroori hai, jo ke abhi main support area ki border hai. Agar is area ka retest hota hai aur wahan se rebound milta hai, to ek aur bullish wave form ho sakti hai, jiska target 2521 aur 2545 ke darmiyan ho ga.

Agar support ke upar breakout hota hai aur price reversal level 2407 ke neeche chali jati hai, to yeh current scenario ki cancellation ka signal ho ga.

Agar candle ka body imbalance area ke andar band ho jata hai, to ye is baat ki nishani hai ke market ke players is area ki izzat nahi kar rahe hain. Is liye hum agle reaction ko dekhte hain. Phir ya to ek breakout hota hai, aur hum naye scenario par nazar rakhte hain, ya ek nayi candle pichhli candle ke maximum/minimum se liquidity ko nikaal sakti hai aur palat sakti hai, jise ek poora reaction dikhaya ja sakta hai. Aur yahan duality ki koi jagah nahi honi chahiye. Author ki recommendations ko dobara dekhain. Ye areas wo hain jo zyada tar price ko attract karte hain, aur inhi areas mein reactions ke sath movements shuru hote hain. Chaliye ab XAU/USD (GOLD) currency pair ki halat ko dobara analyse karte hain.

Dekhein, price ne pehli swing liquidity ko 2477.278 ki value ke sath test kiya hai, aur reaction kahan gaya? Sabse qareeb imbalance (price gap) ka location kaafi door hai - 2417.264, lekin isay nazarandaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Ye samajhne ke liye ke kya price ek qareeb imbalance bana sakti hai, humein current daily candle ke close hone ka intezar karna padega. Agar ye close hota hai, jaisa chart par dikhaya gaya hai, to ye naye din ke liye growth ke haq mein support hai. Ye samajhne ki buniyad hai.

Current situation mein, mujhe ummeed hai ke southward correction khatam hogi aur upward scenario continue hoga. Mere khayalat screen ke andar hain. Lekin aaj mujhe is asset mein dilchaspi nahi hai. Ye samajhna zaroori hai ke kya current situation mein support ke taur par nayi imbalance banegi ya nahi. Abhi, nazar aata hai ke correction abhi tak mukammal nahi hui. Magar is horizontal line ka breakout false sabit hua, isliye hum ab downward correction dekh rahe hain. Main ye nahi keh sakta ke humare paas "double top" configuration hai, kyunki instrument quotes sideways range ke andar move kar rahe hain aur upper points of maximums lower border of trading range ke support level -2384 se zyada mukhtalif nahi hain.

Kal US inflation data ke publication ki ummeed hai, isliye mujhe zyada market volatility ka intezar hai. Agar gold north ki taraf jata hai, to hum historical maximums ke naye record dekhenge. South se, humara qareeb support level -2426 hai. Iska breakout decline ko -2384 ke support level tak le ja sakta hai

Abhi current bullish trend direction kamzor ho rahi hai kyunki gold ki price bohat impulsively neechay ja rahi hai. Agar price 2400 ke psychological level ke upar upward rally ko maintain karne mein nakam hoti hai, toh price decline 2362 ke low prices ko test karegi. Jo prices FR 50 - 2411 tak pohanch chuki hain unhe retracement complete maana ja sakta hai aur phir wapas neechay ja sakti hain. Lekin yeh mumkin hai ke price ka izafa FR 61.8 - 2422 tak pohanch jaye jo ke sabse optimal retracement ho sakta hai. Agar price FR 78.6 - 2438 ke retracement limit ko cross kar leti hai toh bullish trend direction phir se mazboot ho jayega.
Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator histogram jo abhi bhi level 0 ya negative area ke neeche hai, yeh basically downtrend momentum ko dikhata hai. Lekin green histogram volume jo level 0 ke kareeb hai yeh indicate karta hai ke weakening ho rahi hai. Jab tak histogram positive side ko cross nahi karta, downtrend momentum ko valid maana jata hai. Stochastic indicator parameters ko dekha jaaye toh yeh level 50 ke upar cross karke overbought zone level 90 - 80 ki taraf jaa rahi hain. Yeh matlab hai ke upward correction ke liye price abhi tak optimal saturation point tak nahi pohanchi.


Trading options yeh suggest karte hain ke SELL moment ka intezar kiya jaye kyunki bullish trend direction kamzor ho rahi hai aur gold price pattern structure lower low - lower high hai. Entry position ko FR 50 - 2411 se FR 61.8 - 2422 ke darmiyan place kiya ja sakta hai ya phir jab close prices SMA 200 ke neeche aajaye. Confirmation tab milegi jab Stochastic indicator parameters overbought zone level 90 - 80 ko cross kar lein. AO indicator histogram ko phir se red hona chahiye aur volume ka wide hona indicate karega ke downtrend momentum mazboot ho raha hai. Low prices 2363 ko take profit target ke taur par use karein aur stop losses ko FR 78.6 - 2438 ke aas paas place karein.

sone ki qeemat upar ki taraf ubharti rahi jahan woh maqam-e-muqawamat $2420 per ounce par pohanch gayi analysis likhne ke waqt, dollar ki qeemat mein izafa hone se dabao ka samna kar rahi thi jab sarmayakaar ex-US President Donald Trump par huye qatal ki koshish ka asar maali bazaars par maloom kar rahe thay. Traders ko dar hai ke mazeed siyasi tashadud adam mustaqil aur bazar ki uthal puthal ko bharakaa sakta hai, halaan ke tajziya karnay walon ne note kiya ke hamlay ne Trump ke election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya hai.
Asia mein sone ki physical demand mein kami aayi jabke bartan ki unchi qeematon ne bazar mein ehtiyaat baratne ko badhawa diya.Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe.Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya.Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets stable rahe. US stock futures, dollar aur Treasury bond yields Monday ko barh gayi jab markets ne weekend par ex-President Donald Trump par huye hamlay ka asar dekha, jo ke US political scene par sangin asar dal sakta hai. Hamlay mein ek attendee aur gunman ki maut ho gayi, aur do doosray critical condition mein thay, jabke Trump ek goli se zakhmi ho gaye.Traders ko dar hai ke mazeed tashadud siyasi adam mustaqil aur bazar ki uthal puthal ko bharakaa sakta hai,
Aaj ke liye sone ki qeemat ki peshgoi: Neeche diye gaye rozana chart par performance ke mutabiq, sone ki qeemat ek mazboot upward path par hai jo $2400 per ounce ki psychological resistance ke upar move hone se supported hai, aur mazeed gains maqam-e-muqawamat $2420 aur $2435 per ounce tak mazeed technical indicators ko strong levels of saturation with buying ki taraf move karengi. Profit-taking sales tab tak nahi hongi jab tak US dollar ki qeemat recover nahi hoti aur geopolitical tensions calm nahi hoti, jo ke sone ke haal ke gains ke sabse numayan asraat hain.

Chalo, gold ke price action analysis ko review karte hain. Shuruati marahil mein, 2424 support level ke neeche break hone ka andesha tha, jo ke ab ho chuka hai. Dusre marahil mein, yeh broken level test kiya gaya, aur yeh test confirm ho gaya hai. Lekin, teesre marahil, jo ke consolidation ko darshata hai, abhi tak nahi aaya. Jab consolidation hoga, to downward trend phir se shuru ho sakta hai, jo resistance ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Jab tak consolidation nahi hota, upward trend ka nateeja abhi bhi faisla nahi hua, aur sirf waqt hi batayega. Isliye, medium-term strategy ab bhi relevant hai. Main consolidation ka intezar kar raha hoon, jo ke ek aur upward move ko zaroori banata hai.

Humne pehle hourly time frame par discussion ki thi, lekin ab main daily chart dekhna chahta hoon.

Daily time frame (D1) par ek sideways wedge bana tha, jahan gold 76.43 par trade kar raha tha. 84.09 se rebound karne ke baad, resistance line se consistent decline ka silsila shuru ho gaya, jo gold ko ek strong downward movement ke saath gap ke saath le gaya. Channel ke lower limit ka aana mushkil lagta hai, jo last week ke closing levels 74.09 se further decline ko darshata hai. Yahan price support line ko hit karegi, jahan mujhe rebound aur upward correction ki ummeed hai.

Medium-term perspective se, continued decline indicate hota hai, aur gold market opening se decrease hone ka mumkin hai. 2353.39 par, price minimum TF tak pohnch gayi aur upar adjust hui. Price green zone ko cross karegi aur red zone ko growth ke dauran support level ke tor par use karegi. Yeh MA resistance level ko break karega, red line 2390.74 par hai, aur mid-trend level tak badhega, black line 2412.74 par hai. Price is mid-TF level (black line) ko bhi break kar sakti hai aur double top level 2429.19 tak move kar sakti hai.

H4 time frame par, gold bullish tendencies dikhata hai. 5 SMA aur 20 SMA 2385 level par cross hue hain, jabke 200 SMA 2372 level par hai. Yeh crossover gold ke liye ek strong upward trend ka signal hai. Pichle kuch dino ke market fluctuations ko bhool jaiye; gold kal 2457 level tak pohonch gaya, jaisa maine pehle hi anticipate kiya tha. Aaj, gold 2470 level ko test karne ka imkaan hai. Ek strong bullish trend aa raha hai, jo gold ko is mahine 2500-level milestone ke liye tayyar kar raha hai. Yahan kuch strategies hain jo potential buying opportunities ke liye madadgar sabit ho sakti hain: