ای AUD/USD کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

Hum Asian currencies ki re bound ko is saal ke pehle half mein Fed ke ‘high for longer’ rates stance se hue losses ki recovery ke tor par dekh rahe hain. MYR is saal ki sabse mazboot currency ban gayi hai, jo ab tak 5.1% barh gayi hai, jabke April mein 4% ki loss dekhne ko mili thi. SGD bhi is saal appreciate hui hai, 1.3% tak barh gayi hai, jabke April ke end tak 3% ki loss dekhi thi. THB is saal flat hai, lekin isne pehle chaar mahine mein 7-8% ki loss ko wipe out kar diya hai. Asian currencies ka outlook is region ke bade currencies (JPY aur CNY) ki recovery se support mil raha hai, kai Asian economies ne recently stronger-than-expected growth report ki hai amid US growth worries, aur aane wale do saal mein unke central banks ke Fed ke cut cycle ko match karne ki koi ummeed nahi hai. **AUD/USD Price Forecast:** 20 August 2024 ko 0.6750 ke aas-paas position banaye rakhta hai, short-term bullish trend ke saath. AUD/USD price short-term bullish trend ke wajah se aage barh sakta hai. 9-day EMA ne 50-day EMA ko cross kar diya hai, jo price momentum ke longer-term trend se tez hone ko indicate karta hai. Pair apne seven-month high 0.6798 ke aas-paas explore kar sakta hai. AUD/USD apni teen din ki winning streak ko rokte hue, Tuesday ko European hours ke dauran 0.6730 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. Daily chart analysis yeh indicate karti hai ke pair ek ascending channel pattern mein upward move kar raha hai, jo bullish bias ko strengthen karta hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI bhi 70 mark ke kareeb hai, jo ongoing bullish momentum ko reinforce karta hai. 70 level tak pohnchne se currency pair ka overbought condition signal hota hai, jo potential correction ke liye indicate karta hai. Daily chart analysis ke mutabiq, 9-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ne 50-day EMA ko cross kiya hai. Ye crossover price momentum ke longer-term trend se tez hone ko suggest karta hai, jo short-term bullish trend ko signal karta hai. Upar ki taraf, AUD/USD pair apne seven-month high 0.6798 ke aas-paas aa sakta hai, jo 11 July ko pohncha tha. Further resistance ascending channel ke upper boundary par 0.6820 level ke aas-paas hai. Support ke terms mein, AUD/USD pair ascending channel ke lower boundary ko test kar sakta hai jo nine-day EMA ke saath 0.6648 level par aligned hai. Agla support 50-day EMA par 0.6624 level par hai. 50-day EMA ke neeche breakdown se bullish bias kamzor ho sakta hai aur pair ko niche pressure ka samna karna pad sakta hai, jo throwback level 0.6575 tak le ja sakta hai. Agar pair is support level ke neeche girta hai, to ye 0.6470 ke next throwback level ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

AUD/USD ke buyers ki performance achi nahi ja rahi hai. Magar, humain is hafta ke US news events se positive umeedain hain. Bara waqt frames lambi muddat ke trends aur ahem support aur resistance levels ko identify karne mein madad karte hain. Yeh approach traders ko behtar faisle lene aur apni strategies ko overall market ke direction ke sath align karne mein madadgar hoti hai. AUD/USD market ke hawale se, agar hum current market sentiment ke tamam requirements ko follow karain, toh hum apne losses ko minimize aur profit ratio ko maximize kar sakte hain aane wale ghanton mein. Market sentiment ke sath chalna technical aur fundamental dono factors ko analyze karna shamil hai. Is tarah, traders ek achi strategy develop kar sakte hain jo mukhtalif market influencers aur potential scenarios ko madde nazar rakhti ho. Mera umeed hai ke buyers wapas aayenge. Wo phir se 0.6765 zone ko cross kar sakte hain. Magar hum news factors ko nazar andaz nahi kar sakte jo market sentiment ko badal sakti hain. Aakhir mein, AUD/USD ka overall market concept aaj sellers ke haq mein hai, jo AUD/USD ke current market ko support area ki taraf dhakel sakte hain. Haali bearish sentiment se yeh lagta hai ke selling pressure market par dominate karega. Jab sellers control mein aayenge, AUD/USD pair niche move karega aur key support areas ko target karega. Moreover, AUD/USD pair ke movements ko predict karna technical indicators, market behavior aur broader economic factors ki thorough analysis ko shamil karta hai. Daily high aur low zones ko gaur se dekhna, bearish continuation patterns ko identify karna aur effective risk management strategies ka istemal karna traders ko market mein zyada confidence ke sath navigate karne mein madad deta hai. Economic developments se waqif rehna aur market behavior par nazar rakhna profitable trading decisions lene ki ability ko mazeed barhata hai. Dekhte hain aane wale ghanton mein kya hota hai.

AUD/USD jor ek multi-week high tak barh gaya hai, jo kuch key factors ke asar se hai. Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ne hawkish stance barqarar rakhi hai, jo ke suggest karti hai ke interest rates high reh sakti hain taake inflation ko roka ja sake. Ye nazariya China ke strong inflation data ke saath mazid mazboot hota hai, jo Australia ka major trading partner hai.
Iske ilawa, global markets mein positive risk sentiment ne Aussie ko support diya hai, kyunki traders U.S. Federal Reserve se 50 basis points rate cut ki ummeed kar rahe hain. Ye expectation softer U.S. economic data ki wajah se hai, jo Fed ko monetary policy dheela karne par majboor kar sakti hai. Iska natija ye hua ke U.S. dollar kamzor hua hai, jo AUD ko aur barhawa de raha hai.

In supportive factors ke bawajood, nazariya ehtiyaat se bharpur hai. RBA ne indicate kiya hai ke future rate decisions upcoming economic data, jaise consumer confidence aur employment figures, par depend karega. Agar consumer confidence barhta hai to ye consumer spending aur potentially higher inflation ka signal ho sakta hai, jo RBA ko additional rate hikes par consider karne par majboor kar sakta hai.

Iske sath hi, Australia ke labor market conditions bhi crucial hain. Tight labor markets wage growth aur consumer spending ko barha sakte hain, jo demand-driven inflation ko fuel kar sakta hai. Aise mein RBA apni tightening stance ko barqarar rakhne ka fayasla kar sakti hai. Lekin agar labor market kamzor dikhai deta hai, to RBA rate hike cycle ko pause ya reverse bhi kar sakti hai.

AUD/USD currency pair ko RBA ke hawkish stance, China ke strong inflation data, aur U.S. Federal Reserve se rate cut ke expectations se support mil raha hai, jisne U.S. dollar ko kamzor kiya hai.

Lekin, pair ke future direction largely Australia se aane wale economic data aur RBA ke response par depend karegi. Traders ko in developments par nazar rakhni chahiye taake ye assess kiya ja sake ke AUD/USD ka upward trend continue kar sakta hai ya nahi.

Daily chart par, ek noticeable long candle dekhne ko milti hai jo prolonged downward swing ke baad aayi hai, jo suggest karti hai ke sellers ka control kuch kamzor hua hai aur buyers momentum gain kar rahe hain. Ye currently valid bullish signal ko indicate karta hai

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Currency pair AUDUSD - daily chart period. Iss haftay price mein izafa jaari hai. Lekin filhal yeh aik correction hai jo ke overall downward trend mein ho rahi hai. Jab se price ne 0.6632 ka horizontal resistance level upar ke taraf break kiya hai, price wazeh tor pe neechey ki taraf jaane wali major descending line ko test karne ke liye rush kar rahi hai, aur wahan par ek aur horizontal resistance level 0.6782 bhi hai. Ab wahan sirf 50 points ka fasla reh gaya hai. Lekin mein yahaan buy karne ki salah nahi doon ga, kyun ke price apni end pe hai aur ho sakta hai ke yeh specified resistance tak na pohonche aur pehle hi decline shuru kar de. CCI indicator upper overheating zone mein dakhil ho chuka hai aur jald hi wahan se exit karne ke liye tayyar hai. Agar price specified resistances tak pohonchti hai, to aap wahan se lower period mein switch kar ke sell formation ka intizaar kar sakte hain. Wahan M15 pe mirror level ko dekh sakte hain ke support resistance mein tabdeel ho raha hai. Abhi sell karna jaldi hoga, is waqt koi support nahi hai jo is action ko support kar sake. Halaanki price support ke baghair bhi gir sakti hai, yeh baqi pairs pe bhi depend karta hai, kyun ke market aapas mein connected hoti hai. Misal ke taur par, Euro dollar aur pound dollar kaafi arse se growth ke baad ab downward correction shuru karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Agar yeh aisa karte hain, to yeh pair bhi neechey jayega, chahay yeh apne intended targets tak nahi pohoncha ho. Phir bhi, Euro dollar pair sabse ahem hai, jahan yeh hota hai, wahan doosre major pairs bhi usko follow karte hain, jo ke allies hote hain, aur opponents, bilkul ulta, aik mirror image mein. Agar economic calendar dekhein, to yeh kal ki tarah aaj bhi khaamosh hai, koi khaas important cheez dekhne ko nahi mil rahi, is liye abnormal movements ki umeed nahi hai. Filhal aapko intizaar karna hoga, agar price thodi aur barhti hai to rebound pe sale ka option dekhna ho ga. Relative Strength Index indicator pe Lime Line ka position ab level 70 tak uth gaya hai, jo ke bullish trend ki tasveer hai. Agar aap current market conditions dekhein, to meri rai mein, humein trading opportunities dekhni chahiye. Buyer troops se umeed hai ke woh market ko dobara dominate karenge aur price ko upar move karne pe majboor karenge. Aakhri chand hafton ke trend ko dekhte hue hum keh sakte hain ke market conditions ab bhi bullish direction mein move kar rahi hain. Candlesticks se umeed hai ke yeh dobara upar jaake 0.6785 level range ko test karein. Agla trading option meri rai mein BUY transaction ko choose karna hai. Haftay ke darmiyan market volatility mein izafa ka khayaal rakhein

AUD/USD ka daily chart dekhte hue, iss week price mein growth nazar aa rahi hai. Lekin yeh abhi bhi aik correction hai jo ke general downward trend ke dauran ho raha hai. Agar price ne 0.6632 ka main horizontal resistance level upar ki taraf break kar diya hai, toh price ab asar daalti hui lag rahi hai ke yeh older weekly waves ke tops par banayi gayi descending line aur dusra horizontal resistance level 0.6782 ko test kare. Ab wahan tak sirf 50 points ka faasla baqi hai. Lekin mein yahan buy karne ka mashwara nahi doonga, kyunki price apne aakhri hisse mein hai aur ho sakta hai ke woh specified resistance tak na pahuche aur pehle hi decline shuru karde.

CCI indicator ne upper overheating zone mein dakhil ho chuka hai aur jaldi hi wahan se exit karne ke liye tayaar hai. Agar price specified resistances tak pohonchti hai, toh phir wahan sale ka formation dekh sakte hain by switching to a younger period. Aap M15 par ussi mirror level ko dekh sakte hain jahan support resistance mein tabdeel ho jata hai. Filhal toh yeh lagta hai ke abhi yahan sell karna thoda jaldi hai, kyunki koi solid support nahi hai. Halankeh price bina support ke bhi gir sakti hai, magar yeh bhi doosri pairs par depend karta hai kyunke market connected hoti hai.

Jaise ke euro dollar aur pound dollar apni lambi growth ke baad downward correction start karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Agar yeh pairs aisa karte hain, toh AUD/USD bhi neeche ja sakta hai, chahe yeh apne intended targets tak na pohonche. Phir bhi, euro dollar pair sab se important hai, jahan yeh hota hai, wahan dusre majors bhi ussi ke saath follow karte hain, jo allies hain, aur opponents ulat image mein. Agar economic calendar dekhein, toh abhi kuch khaas important events nazar nahi aa rahe, is liye abnormal movements expected nahi hain. Filhal intezar karna padega, agar thoda aur grow hoti hai price, toh rebound par sale ka soch sakte hain.

AUD/USD Price Recap

Hamari guftagu mein, hum AUD/USD currency pair ki mojooda pricing behaviour ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Currency pair ka technical analysis yeh darshata hai ke downtrend jaari hai, jo ke indicator se wazeh hai. Zigzag, MACD, aur Trend indicators bhi bearish movement ki taraf ishara karte hain, kyunki yeh currently overbought zone mein hain, jo ke short selling ke liye strong potential ko indicate karta hai. Bears ki current strength aur momentum ko dekhte hue, main apni open position ko Fibo target 78.6% par, jo ke 0.64654 par mark hai, secure karne ka plan bana raha hoon. Lekin, risk ko kam karne ke liye, main order ko break even par le aunga jaise hi yeh positive territory mein enter karega.

Trading opportunities ko evaluate karte hue, priority yeh hai ke growth ke dauran buying ki jaye. Current price level 0.66972 se buying shuru karna kam faida mand hai. Isliye, yeh zaroori hai ke sabse behtareen support level ko identify kiya jaye, jo ke 0.66072 hai aur associated stop loss 0.66047 par hai.

**AUD/USD Currency Pair Analysis**

Price ko is strategy ke liye anticipate kiye gaye levels tak girna zaroori hai taake success mil sake. Lekin, 0.67059 ka profit target ek strong return promise karta hai aur impressive stop-profit ratio ko dikhata hai. 0.66660 level bhi ek accumulation zone bana sakta hai, jo ke close attention ka haqdar hai, lekin ye minor consideration hai. AUD/USD pair ke liye priority buying par focus karna hai. Analytical activities mein engage karne se AUD/USD ke movement ko forecast karna aasaan hota hai, jo na sirf profitable trading ke opportunities provide karta hai, balki trading decisions mein confidence bhi badhata hai. Isliye, analytical skills ko refine karna successful trading ke liye zaroori hai.

Pair four-hour chart par balance aur MACD indicator lines ke upar growth dikhata hai, aur Marlin ne zero line ke paas brief consolidation ke baad rise kiya hai. Initial momentum establish aur maintain kiya gaya hai. Recommendations: pair ko buy karne par focus karein, aur aage growth anticipate karein, khaaskar jab 0.6726 resistance level ko break karne aur subsequent consolidation ki ummeed ho.

H4 chart par jo mene pehle dekha tha, usmein kal raat tak AUD/USD market mein koi aagay barhney ka saboot nahi tha, hafte ke aghaz mein ek bara spike dekhnay ko mila tha jo upward trend mein tha. Pichlay chand dino mein koi price surge nahi dekhi gayi jo 0.6610 ke high tak ja sakay, aur Tuesday aur Wednesday raat ko price clearly neechay ki taraf thi aur ab 0.6530 par hai. Is girawat ke baad price 20-Bollinger-band area ke center tak wapis aayi aur ab 150-SMA ke upar hai. Market pichlay do din se narrow range mein consolidate kar rahi hai. Is wajah se, ziada tar H4 period indicators abhi bhi upward trend ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain. Bullish case ko abhi bhi ek boost ki zarurat hai, jabke Australian dollar aur pound ke darmiyan momentum ki talash ho rahi hai.

Abhi hum AUD/USD currency pair ki live pricing decode kar rahe hain. AUD/USD pair ne recent market turmoil ke dauran doosray commodity currencies ka behavior mirror kiya, aur thodi der ke liye apne salana low 0.63493 ko touch kiya jab investors safe-haven assets ki taraf bhag gaye. Lekin pair ziada der tak iss low par nahi rahi, aur jaldi se apni initial level ke qareeb wapas aa gayi ussi din. H4 time frame chart par dekha jaye to, Tuesday 7 August ko aglay candle ne ek solid green top dikhayi. Better Volume indicator ne apne histogram par ek white bar ke zariye signal diya ke bears ka dabao kam ho raha hai aur bulls ka qabza barh raha hai. Is signal ke mutabiq, pair ne hafte ke flat corridor 0.65652/0.64823 se breakout kiya aur 38.2% Fibonacci level tak barh gayi. Agle hafte mein Australian dollar ka mazeed growth ki umeed hai, jo ke 50.0% Fibonacci level tak ja sakti hai. AUD/USD ne haftay ke dauran achi khaasi volatility dekhi, khas tor par Black Monday ki wajah se jab Japanese stock market gir gayi, aur doosri markets bhi uske saath gir gayi. Commodities, jisme Aussie bhi shamil hai, sab se ziada affect hui. Lekin halaat bohot tezi se badle, aur haftay ke aakhri din ek sizable bullish pin bar chart par bani. Ye pattern sloping support ke qareeb 0.6359 se rebound hone ke baad bana. Is wajah se, growth agle hafte tak barqarar reh sakti hai, provided ke pattern 0.6629 level se break ho jaye. Agar aisa hota hai to further growth inclined resistance ke qareeb 0.669 tak ja sakti hai. Agle haftay ka course ziada tar Wednesday ke U.S. inflation statistics par mabni hoga. Pair ka recent decline lower border of the ascending channel tak nahi pohunch saka, is liye Monday se pair mein mazeed girawat ho sakti hai, jo ke 0.6552 tak ka target rakh sakti hai. Is level par pohunch kar girawat ruk sakti hai, aur price upward push kar sakti hai.

events se positive umeedain hain. Bara waqt frames lambi muddat ke trends aur ahem support aur resistance levels ko identify karne mein madad karte hain. Yeh approach traders ko behtar faisle lene aur apni strategies ko overall market ke direction ke sath align karne mein madadgar hoti hai. AUD/USD market ke hawale se, agar hum current market sentiment ke tamam requirements ko follow karain, toh hum apne losses ko minimize aur profit ratio ko maximize kar sakte hain aane wale ghanton mein. Market sentiment ke sath chalna technical aur fundamental dono factors ko analyze karna shamil hai. Is tarah, traders ek achi strategy develop kar sakte hain jo mukhtalif market influencers aur potential scenarios ko madde nazar rakhti ho. Mera umeed hai ke buyers wapas aayenge. Wo phir se 0.6765 zone ko cross kar sakte hain. Magar hum news factors ko nazar andaz nahi kar sakte jo market sentiment ko badal sakti hain. Aakhir mein, AUD/USD ka overall market concept aaj sellers ke haq mein hai, jo AUD/USD ke current market ko support area ki taraf dhakel sakte hain. Haali bearish sentiment se yeh lagta hai ke selling pressure market par dominate karega. Jab sellers control mein aayenge, AUD/USD pair niche move karega aur key support areas ko target karega. Moreover, AUD/USD pair ke movements ko predict karna technical indicators, market behavior aur broader economic factors ki thorough analysis ko shamil karta hai. Daily high aur low zones ko gaur se dekhna, bearish continuation patterns ko identify karna aur effective risk management strategies ka istemal karna traders ko market mein zyada confidence ke sath navigate karne mein madad deta hai. Economic developments se waqif rehna aur market behavior par nazar rakhna profitable trading decisions lene ki ability ko mazeed barhata hai. Dekhte hain aane wale ghanton mein

AUDUSD market aaj kisi khaas harkat ka zikar nahi kar raha hai, lekin subah se buyers ka dabdaba raha hai, halan ke harkat chhoti aur mehdood rahi hai. Monday ko daily open se price ne 0.6668 se upar chalte hue sab se qareeb resistance 0.6689 ki taraf raasta banaya. Lekin, resistance ko chhoo kar price bullish trend ko continue nahi kar paayi aur sirf uske ird gird fluctuate karti rahi. Is waqt ke frame mein bullish trend EMA 200 ke position ke base par dekha ja sakta hai jo price movement ke neeche hai. EMA 200 aur EMA 633 H1 ka position kaafi qareeb hai aur dono support area 0.6612 ke paas cross karte hain. Dusri taraf, EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 jo ke do bade EMAs ke upar hain, positive stretch kar rahe hain, jo H1 mein bullish price flow ko indicate karta hai.
Pichle trading din, Friday ko, bullish movement jo delay ho gayi thi, ek range mein continue hui jo ke wide nahi thi aur sellers ne price ko neeche push karne ki koshish ki. Buyers ka defense abhi bhi achha hai aur price ko phir se upar le jane mein madad kar raha hai, jisse EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ke beech re-cross ban gaya. Aur high ko 0.6674 par achieve kiya gaya jo ke last week ka high tha. Ab price usse upar chal rahi hai aur higher increase ki possibilities hain. Friday ke price movement ne ek strong bullish candle create ki jo daily time frame mein price strengthening ke continuation ka signal hai. High aur low 0.6674 aur 0.6610 par formed hue. Daily mein price ab bullish period mein hai jahan price EMA 200 daily ke upar chal rahi hai. Halankeh, ab movement do bade EMAs ke beech flank ho gayi hai, jahan EMA 633 daily upar hai aur price ab uske qareeb ja rahi hai.

Aaj bhi bullish price continue kar rahi hai halan ke movement abhi bhi limited hai aur aaj dopahar mein temporary high price 0.6697 par hai. Agar ye trend continue hota raha, to price daily resistance 0.6712 aur thodi upar EMA 633 daily ke aas-paas 0.6728 tak jaane ki koshish karegi. Yeh buyers ke liye ek warning ho sakti hai jahan prices daily dynamic resistance, EMA 633, ke qareeb aane lagi hain, aur stochastic market saturation ka indication de raha hai, to yeh correction ke opportunities ko khol sakta hai jahan sellers in resistance areas mein limited targets ke saath prepare ho sakt

Assalam o Alaikum doston, umeed hai ke aap sab theek hain aur is site ka lutf utha rahe hain. Aaj mein NZDUSD pair par baat kar raha hoon. NZDUSD ke D1 time frame par is trading week ne growth ke chand ibtedai asar dikhaye hain, jo ke market ke trends ko naye nazariye se dekhne ka moqa de rahe hain. Jab hum NZDUSD currency pair ke D1 chart ka tajziya karte hain, to guzishta chand hafton ki price movements ko dekhna zaroori hai, taake market ke haalaat ko behtar samajh sakein. Is pair ka trading activity kaafi interesting rahi hai, khaaskar jab isay bade D1 time frame par dekha jaye.

Is trading week ke shuruat mein, ek chhoti si upward movement dekhne ko mili, jo shayad yeh impression de rahi thi ke ek possible reversal aane wala hai. Lekin jab hum chart ko qareebi taur par dekhte hain, to yeh wazeh hota hai ke recent growth zyada bare aur dominant downward trend ke context mein ho rahi hai, jo kuch arsay se barqarar hai. Guzishta mahine ki aath tareekh se NZDUSD pair musalsal decline mein hai. Yeh downward trajectory D1 chart par kaafi wazeh hai, jahan currency pair ko barabar selling pressure ka samna hai. Ibtedaai girawat ne ek sustainable bearish trend ko janam diya jo pure mahine tak barqarar raha, aur pair ne repeatedly lower highs aur lower lows hit kiye, jo ke ek strong downtrend ki classic nishani hai.

Is haftay ke shuru mein chhoti si rally ke bawajood, D1 time frame par overall sentiment abhi bhi bearish hai. Jo downward trend guzishta mahine se shuru hua tha, ab tak kisi reversal ka asar nahi dikha raha, aur pair ko significant resistance levels ka samna hai. Traders ke liye iska matlab yeh hai ke jab tak short-term gains ke moqay available ho sakte hain, broader trend un logon ke haq mein hai jo NZDUSD ko short karna chahte hain. Yeh baat bhi yaad rakhni chahiye ke jabke D1 chart ek clear picture de raha hai ongoing trend ki, market conditions tezi se tabdeel ho sakti hain, khaaskar agar naye economic data ya unexpected geopolitical events saamne aate hain. Isliye, traders ko hamesha hoshyaar rehna chahiye aur key support aur resistance levels ko monitor karna chahiye, aur market sentiment mein kisi bhi tabdeeli ko dekhna chahiye jo pair ki direction ko mutasir kar sakti hai.

Jabke is trading week mein NZDUSD pair mein thoda growth dekhne ko mila hai, D1 time frame ka chart abhi bhi ek stable aur persistent downward trend ko show karta hai. Jo decline pichle mahine ki aath tareekh se shuru hui thi, wo lagataar chalti rahi hai, aur ab tak kisi interruption ke baghair barqarar hai, jo current bearish sentiment ko wazeh karti hai. Agay chal kar, key point yeh hoga ke kisi potential reversal ke signs dekhne ke liye hamesha dekhte rahain, jabke yeh acknowledge karain ke downward momentum filhal pair ko neeche le jaane mein madadgar ho sakti hai.

AUD/USD pair abhi apni recent trading range ke top ke qareeb four-hour chart par trade kar raha hai, aur overall trend upward lag raha hai, lekin mein abhi khareedari karne mein hichkichahat mehsoos kar raha hoon. Kai factors yeh suggest kar rahe hain ke ek downward correction zyada mumkin hai. Sabse pehle, despite upward slope, quotes trading range ke upper limit ke qareeb hover kar rahi hain. Yeh is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke buying pressure ka exhaustion ho sakta hai. Iske ilawa, chart par technical indicators bhi reversal ka hint de rahe hain. Ab baat yeh hai ke agar bears (sellers) price ko blue moving average ke neeche rok lete hain, toh hum rollback dekh sakte hain towards yellow moving average ke qareeb 0.6710. Yeh zaroori nahi hai ke yeh kahani ka end ho. Ek chance hai ke price uske baad yellow support ko break kar ke apni descent ko continue kare, jis se support levels ko phir se assess karna padega. Mere nazar mein upward movement filhaal kam lag raha hai. Lekin agar AUD/USD pair current local high 0.6761 se upar break karta hai, toh main foran market mein nahi jaonga. Iske bajaye, mein wait karunga ke upward momentum fade ho jaye aur tab sell karne ke mauke talash karunga.

Aaj baad mein ek crucial event ho sakta hai jo ke currency pair par significant asar dal sakta hai. Jerome Powell, jo ke Federal Reserve ke head hain, unka ek aur speech dena schedule hai. Kal unke comments se US dollar mein noticeable strength dekhi gayi thi. Agar unhone apne hawkish stance ko reiterate kiya, matlab ke woh current economic climate mein interest rates ko lower karne ke haq mein nahi hain, toh mere expectations for a decline in AUD/USD aur mazid reinforce ho jayenge

Pair daily time frame ke hisaab se side-way trend mein hai, lekin abhi ke liye bullish trend dekhne ko mil raha hai. Kal market 1.2688 level par open hui thi. Kal ke trading session mein, high 1.2751 ka bana aur low 1.2664 tak gaya. Kal ka trading range takriban 87 pips ka tha. Market ka sentiment bullish hai aur ye daily pivot level se upar trade kar rahi hai. Agle trading sessions mein daily resistance levels R1 aur R2 hit kar sakti hai. Main neeche reasons likhunga.

Market ne kal weekly support level 0.6519 hit kiya. RSI14 oversold condition mein tha is level par. Ek pin bar candlestick pattern weekly support level par appear hua. Is pin bar ke baad bullish candlestick patterns ne market ke bullish strength ko confirm kiya, jo din ke end mein dekha gaya. MACD bullish divergence bhi is level par appear hui. Market MA 200 ke upar move kar rahi hai.

Lekin abhi ke liye movement do bari EMAs ke darmiyan phansi hui hai, jinke upar EMA 633 daily hai, aur ab price EMA ke kareeb aane lagi hai. Aaj ke din bullish price continue hai, lekin movement abhi bhi limited hai, jahan temporary high price 0.6697 tak pohanch gaya hai. Agar ye trend continue rehta hai, toh ye price ko daily resistance 0.6712 tak le ja sakta hai, aur thoda upar EMA 633 daily ke aas paas 0.6728 tak cross karne ki koshish karega. Ye buyers ke liye ek warning ho sakti hai, jahan price daily dynamic resistance yani EMA 633 ke kareeb aane laga hai. Stochastic ne bhi ye dikhaya hai ke market saturation experience kar rahi hai, isliye price correctively move karne ke chances barh rahe hain, taake sellers is resistance area mein apna hissa le sakein, magar limited targets ke saath. Ye bullish momentum technical indicators aur market dynamics ka combination hai. Misal ke taur par, daily time frame mein, AUD/USD ne week ke dauran consistent gains dikhaye hain, jo 0.6513 level se shuru hoke Thursday ke end tak 0.6606 tak pohanch gaya. Thursday ka closing price week ke start ke opening price se upar tha, jo ongoing bullish trend ko reinforce karta hai.

Australian dollar filhaal daily chart par overbought condition ka shikaar hai, jo ke is baat ka ishara hai ke downside nazar aa sakti hai. Jaise hi market participants ka dhyan aaj ke FOMC meeting ki taraf ja raha hai, wo Federal Reserve System ke members ke discussions ka jaiza lene mein masroof hain. Focus itna rate cut par nahi hai, kyun ke wo outcome pehle se hi priced in lagta hai, balke future rate cuts ke extent aur frequency par hai.

Kuch pundits ka kehna hai ke 75-bps ka cut bhi ho sakta hai — ek aisa scenario jo zyada panic ka lagta hai na ke strength ka. Ye speculation market mein overreaction ko janam de sakti hai, isliye yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke traders FOMC findings par kaise react karte hain.

In factors ko madde nazar rakhtay hue, Australian dollar ka pullback hona zyada mumkin lagta hai, khaaskar jab yeh 0.6650 ke support level ke qareeb pohanchta hai. Upside par, 0.6850 level major resistance point ban sakta hai aur currency ke liye ek ceiling ka kaam kar sakta hai. Stochastic Oscillator jo ke overbought zone mein gehra hai, bhi reversal ka ishara de raha hai, aur lagta hai ke yeh phir se niche move karne wala hai.

Ye overbought condition aur recent gains ke baad traders ka profit lock karne ka jazba, yeh suggest karta hai ke Aussie dollar ko near term mein kuch downward pressure dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Market correction ke liye ripe lagti hai, khaaskar agar FOMC minutes aggressive rate cuts ki expectations ko thanda kar dete hain. Takhleeq mein, jabke Australian Dollar ne strength dikhayi hai, current market conditions aur technical indicators ke madde nazar, potential pullback ka zikr hai, jahan key levels 0.6650 support ke liye aur 0.6850 resistance ke liye dekhne chahiye.

**AUD/USD Currency Pair**

Currency pair AUDUSD - daily chart period. Is hafte price kaafi barh rahi hai. Lekin abhi bhi yeh general downward trend ke dauran ek correction hi hai. Jab price ne 0.6632 ke main horizontal resistance level ko upar ki taraf break kiya, to price ab clearly purane weekly waves ke tops par banaye gaye main descending line ko test karne ki taraf ja rahi hai, aur wahan pe 0.6782 ka usual horizontal resistance level bhi aata hai. Points mein, wahan tak pohanchne ke liye zyada nahi bacha, lagbhag 50 points. Lekin yahan kharidari karna sahi nahi lagta, price apni akhirat par hai aur ho sakta hai ke specified resistance tak na pohanchay aur pehle hi girna shuru kar de. CCI indicator upper overheating zone mein enter ho chuka hai aur jaldi hi isse nikalne ke liye tayaar hai. Agar price specified resistances tak pohanchti hai, to wahan sale ke formation ko dekh sakte hain aur younger period pe switch kar sakte hain. Aap M15 pe bhi mirror level dekh sakte hain taake support resistance mein tabdeel ho jaye. Abhi ke liye, yahan bechna thoda jaldi hai, support ka kuch bhi nahi hai. Halankeh price bina support ke gir sakti hai, yeh dusre pairs par bhi depend karta hai, market connected hai. For example, euro dollar aur pound dollar lambi growth ke baad downward correction shuru karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Agar yeh shuru hota hai, to yeh pair bhi gir sakti hai, chahe yeh specified targets tak na bhi pohanche. Phir bhi, euro dollar pair sabse important hai, jahan wo hota hai, wahan se baaki majors bhi draw hote hain, jo allies hote hain, aur opponents ulta image mein. Economic calendar ko dekhte hain to kal ki tarah aaj bhi shant hai, kuch khaas important nahi hai, isliye abnormal movements ki ummeed nahi hai. Filhaal intezaar karna hoga, agar thoda aur barhta hai to rebound par sale kar sakte hain. Aaj koi khas news nahi hai, sirf shaam ko Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ke meeting ke minutes hain.

AUD/USD Currency Pair

Currency pair AUD/USD - daily chart period. Is hafte price kaam kar rahi hai. Lekin filhaal yeh ek correction hai jo ke general downward trend ke dauran hai. Jab price ne 0.6632 ka main horizontal resistance level upar se break kiya, to ab yeh clearly purani weekly waves ke tops par banaye gaye main descending line ko test kar rahi hai, aur wahan 0.6782 ka horizontal resistance level bhi guzarta hai. Points mein, yahan tak pohanchne ke liye zyada kuch nahi bacha, lagbhag 50 points. Lekin main yahan buy nahi karunga, kyunki price apne end par hai aur shayad specified resistance tak na pohanch paaye aur pehle hi decline shuru kar de. CCI indicator upper overheating zone mein enter ho chuka hai aur jald hi isse bahar nikalne ke liye tayyar hai. Agar price specified resistances tak pohanchti hai, to aap wahan sale ke liye formation dekh sakte hain by switching to a younger period. Aap M15 par bhi wahi mirror level dekh sakte hain jahan support resistance mein badal jata hai. Filhaal, yahan sell karna thoda jaldi hai, kyunki is waqt koi support nahi hai. Halankeh price bina support ke gir sakti hai, yeh dusre pairs par bhi depend karta hai, market interconnected hai. Misal ke taur par, euro dollar aur pound dollar ek lambi growth ke baad downward correction shuru karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Agar yeh shuru karte hain, to yeh pair bhi niche ja sakta hai, chahe yeh intended targets tak nahi pohanchti. Ab bhi euro dollar pair sabse important hai, jahan yeh hai, wahan baaki major pairs bhi draw hote hain, jo allies aur opponents hain, respectively, mirror image ke taur par. Agar aap economic calendar dekhen, to yeh kal ki tarah hi shaant hai, koi khaas important cheez nahi hai, isliye abnormal movements ki umeed nahi hai. Filhaal, aapko wait karna chahiye, agar thoda aur grow karti hai, to rebound par sale kiya ja sakta hai. Aaj koi khaas news nahi hai, bas shaam ko - Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ke meeting ke minutes.