ای AUD/USD کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

Hello everyone! Starting today, main AUDUSD ko dekh raha hoon. Kal ka close pehle din ke mukable mein neechay tha, is liye aaj main downwards trade karunga. Ideal selling point kal ka upper price (0.6691) hoga. Agar price upar nahi jati, to main current situation ke mutabiq positions open karunga. Main unexpected price movements ki surat mein stop loss use karta hoon, jo (0.6713) par set hai. Main (0.6625) se zyada profit par apni sari positions close kar ke khush ho jaunga.

Wednesday, 3 July ko, Australian dollar ne 0.55% ki izafa ke sath U.S. dollar ke mukable mein $0.6704 par close kiya, aur highest intraday price $0.6733 tak pohanch gaya, jo ke nearly chay mahine ka high tha. Overnight, US ne data release kiya jo ke economic growth mein slowdown show karta hai. Interest rate futures market ne dikhaya ke September mein Federal Reserve ke interest rates cut karne ki probability Tuesday ke 69% se barh kar 78% ho gayi, jis ne dollar ko weaken kar diya.

Wednesday ko, Australia ki retail sales May mein pichle mahine se 0.6% barh gayi, jo April ke 0.1% increase aur analysts ke 0.2% increase expectations se zyada thi. ANZ Bank ke analysts ne kaha: "Hum agle retail sales data (jo 30 July ko release hoga) ko dekhnege taake yeh pata chal sake ke aaj ke data mein koi meaningful upward momentum hai ya nahi." "Agar June retail data strong hai, inflation RBA ke forecast se zyada hai, aur labor market resilient hai, to RBA August mein interest rates barha sakta hai." Strong Australian economic data aur RBA ke interest rates barhane ki expectations Australian dollar ko rebound karne mein support karte hain. Iske ilawa, rising commodity prices bhi rise ko support karti hain.



Daily chart par, AUD/USD exchange rate Bollinger Band channel ke upper track tak barh gaya, aur Bollinger Band horn expand hone laga. Technical indicators bhi rising signs show kar rahe hain, jo indicate karte hain ke Australian dollar bulls shuru ho rahe hain. Agar AUD/USD subsequent trading days mein 0.67 (previous sideways fluctuation range ka upper limit) ke upar stable rehta hai, to AUD rebound expect kiya ja sakta hai.

Australian dollar (AUD) ne Thursday ko US dollar (USD) ke mukable mein izafa dekha, jo ke May ke strong retail sales data ke wajah se hua. Is data ne speculation ko barhaya ke Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) anticipated se pehle, shayad August mein, interest rates raise kar sakta hai. Australian retail sales May mein 0.6% barh gayi compared to pichle quarter, jo ke pehle estimate 0.1% se zyada thi. Yeh positive economic indicator Australian economy ke strengthen hone ko suggest karta hai, jo ke typically AUD ko strengthen karta hai. Additionally, Judo Bank se Australian Procurement Directors' Index (PMI) bhi June mein slight improvement dikhata hai, jo AUD ko further support karta hai. Lekin, AUD/USD pair ka outlook kuch hat tak uncertain hai. Federal Reserve officials ke cautious stance regarding US mein interest rate cuts USD ko bolster kar sakta hai aur AUD ke upward momentum ko limit kar sakta hai. Chicago Fed President Gulsby ne future monetary policy decisions ke data-dependent nature ko emphasize kiya, jo suggest karta hai ke Fed economic data ko predetermined plans se zyada prioritize karega. June Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting ke minutes bhi is sentiment ko echo karte hain, revealing ke Fed officials mein rates reduce karne par lack of consensus hai. Financial markets currently next Fed meeting mein 25-basis-point rate hike ki 66% chance expect karte hain, jo pehle is hafte ke 63% se barh gaya hai. Yeh potential US rate hike AUD ke bullish momentum ko dampen kar sakta hai.



Technical picture ko dekhte hue, AUD/USD pair ne over a month tak sideways range mein trade kiya hai. Lekin recent buying pressure ne price ko is neutral zone ke upper limits tak push kiya hai. Ek decisive breakout above 0.6713 AUD ke liye significant upward move trigger kar sakta hai. Agar upward trend daily close above 0.6713 ke sath continue karta hai, to pair near term mein 0.6732 par resistance face kar sakta hai. Is hurdle ko overcome karne par December 2023 ka high 0.6870 tak climb ka raasta mil sakta hai. Agar 0.6732 ke upar hold karne mein fail hota hai, to AUD retreat kar sakta hai towards resistance-turned-support levels of 0.6643 and 0.6618, jo April aur May mein establish hue the. A further decline May support at 0.6590 ko test kar sakta hai, with significant losses potentially 200-day simple moving average (SMA) of 0.6558 par support find kar sakti hain.

AUDUSD ke bare mein. Is waqt humein hamesha ki tarah hoshiyar rehna chahiye, kyunke jab bhi U.S. fiscal department high-impact news events jari karega, jaise ke ADP Non-Farm Employment aur Severance rate, yeh ads significant market oscillations produce kar sakti hain. Yeh oscillations AUDUSD market ko upar ya neeche push kar sakti hain, depend karta hai released data par. Mere khayal mein, aaj ka market zyada sellers ke taraf jhukega, given recent lack of upward momentum aur U.S. data ke ird gird expectation. Sellers shayad 0.6645 position ko target karein, jo ek presumptive strike ideal lag raha hai. Iss liye, ek buy order shayad current position ke hawale se strategically sound lage, magar yeh zaroori hai ke upcoming U.S. economic announcements ko closely monitor karein. Yeh events necessary volatility provide kar sakti hain jo market perception ko shift kar sakti hain, ya toh buying strategy ko validate karte hue ya phir quickly selling approach ki taraf pivot karte hue. Informed rehna aur naye data ke hisaab se adapt hona crucial hoga aaj ke potentially turbulent trading environment mein.

Pichle kuch dino mein, jaise ke historical data dekhne par map mein nazar aata hai, AUDUSD ne trend line ko is time frame map ke last candle mein hit kiya, is liye current candle mein price rising hai. Agar AUDUSD moving average lines ko downside par cross karta hai agle ghanton mein, toh trend direction shift ho sakti hai. Is ka result yeh hoga ke price substantial buyer momentum ke wajah se rise karegi agle ghanton mein. Recommended hai ke AUDUSD ko buy karein up to the resistance levels of 0.6689 aur 0.6705 agar price moving average lines ke upar close karti hai.

A reversal ke case mein, AUD support find kar sakta hai April-May resistance position 0.6643 par. Ek strike failure AUD ko expose kar sakta hai 0.6590 support position par, jo 50-day moving average ke sath coincide karta hai. Further declines 0.6558 par halt ho sakti hain, jo AUD ke recent range ka lower limit hai. In substance, AUD/USD pair ab crucial inflation data ka intezar kar raha hai taake apna next move determine kar sake. Weaker inflation data USD ko favor karega early rate cut ke prospects ki wajah se, jabke stronger data AUD ko traction gain karwata hai. MACD middle trend line ke neeche trade kar raha hai aur fresh strength de raha hai massive divergence range 0.6389 par weekend par.

In conclusion, Australian dollar ka exchange rate $0.6655 ke around consolidation phase reflect kar raha hai forex market mein. AUD/USD pair ka movement within a rectangular pattern neutral stance suggest kar raha hai among traders, characterized by uncertainty about future price movements. Market participants potential triggers ke intezar mein hain directional movement ke liye, aur focus economic indicators aur global developments par hai jo currency pair ke line ko impact kar sakti hain in the coming sessions.

Pair ne 0.6720 area ki taraf thoda rebound dikhaya hai jab sellers ne Thursday ke sharp downward movements ke baad apne profits liye. Yeh hafta pivotal hone ki umeed hai, Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting aur US inflation data ke release ke sath. Market participants in events ko keenly watch kar rahe hain, anticipating their impact on the financial landscape.



Market sentiment cautious ho gaya hai, aur upcoming US Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report expected hai ke future Federal Reserve rate cuts ke expectations ko influence karegi. S&P 500 futures ne overnight gains erase kar diye hain aur negative turn ho gaye hain, jo investor risk appetite mein decline reflect karta hai. Wahi, US Dollar Index (DXY) crucial support level 105.00 ke qareeb steady hai.



Rabobank ki recent report suggest karti hai ke Federal Reserve September aur December mein rates cut kar sakta hai, jo economic deterioration ki wajah se hoga inflation progress ke mukabale. Analysis yeh indicate karti hai ke US economy shayad ek stagflationary phase mein enter ho rahi hai, jo persistent inflation ke sath economic slowdown ko characterize karta hai. Yeh scenario is saal ke aakhir mein mild recession lead kar sakta hai.


Wednesday ko, pair around 0.6715 trade kar rahi thi. Daily chart ko analyze karte hue pair ke liye neutral bias dikhayi deta hai, kyunke yeh horizontal channel pattern ke within consolidate kar rahi hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) slightly below 50 level positioned hai, jo impending clear directional trend indicate kar sakti hai.



Immediate support region AUD/USD pair ke liye 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke around 0.6605 par hai, jo horizontal channel ke lower boundary ke sath align karti hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai toh pair par pressure exert ho sakta hai, jo ise next support level 0.6581 tak push karega.

Currency pair AUD/USD ke hawale se ab tak koi tabdeeli nahi hui hai - pair sideways trade kar rahi hai kuch pressure ke sath upper boundary ki taraf. Saari umeedien Friday aur un news par hain jo quotes mein deadlock ko break kar sakti hain aur pair ko range se finally breakout karne de sakti hain. Global targets ko daily timeframe par dekhte hue, yeh note kiya ja sakta hai ke price 0.6870 ke maximum mein interested hogi, jahan liquidity hai, aur upward breakout ke case mein movement wahan hogi. Filhal, 0.6700 ka level price ko hold kiye hue hai, lekin agar US dollar Friday ko news par weakness show karta hai, toh yeh kaafi hoga ke currency pair AUD/USD move up kare aur level ke upar settle ho jaye.

Market ko agle trading sessions mein ek bullish move ki umeed hai. Aap apne buy orders ko 0.6713 aur 0.6682 levels ke darmiyan execute kar sakte hain. Agar market ne 0.667 level ko downside break kar diya? To yeh short-term bullish outlook ko invalidate kar dega.

Is bullish move ka projected target 0.6736 level par hai. Lekin safe trading ke liye aap apne trading positions ka aadha 0.6724 level par close kar sakte hain.


Kal market 0.6668 level par open hui. Yeh 0.6736 ke high aur 0.6665 ke low ko hit kiya. Kal ka trading range 71 pips tha. Mazeed, kal ka market sentiment bullish tha. Market ab daily pivot level ke upar trade kar rahi hai. Yeh agle trading sessions mein daily resistance level R1 aur R2 ko hit kar sakti hai.




Daily time frame ke mutabiq, pair ek clear bullish bias trend mein hai. Meri strategy current trend ke continuation ka mashwara deti hai.
Kal market ne weekly resistance level 0.6650 ko hit kiya.
RSI14 is level par oversold hai.
Weekly support level par ek engulfing candlestick pattern zahir hua.
Is engulfing candlestick ke baad bullish candlestick patterns zahir hue jo market ki bullish strength ko end of the day confirm karte hain.
Market bhi MA 200 ke upar move kar rahi hai.


Pair aaj bullish direction mein move karegi. Is ki waja yeh hai:
- Isne resistance level ko upside break kiya.
- Yeh daily pivot level ke upar move kar rahi hai.
- Yeh daily pivot level ke upar open hui.

US dollar ko aaj kal kuch challenges ka samna hai, jiski waja se iski value doosri currencies jaise ke Australian dollar (AUD) ke muqable kamzor ho gayi hai. Yeh pareshaani ki baat lag sakti hai, magar mujhe lagta hai ke yeh sirf ek temporary blip hai. Kal ke trading session mein AUD/USD pair ne phir se climb kiya, jo trend Asian session ke doran aaj shuru hua. Yeh rise us weaker-than-expected data ki waja se tha jo kal US labor market ke hawale se release hua. Lekin, yeh sirf ek preview hai.

Asli baat yeh hai ke main US labor market statistics Friday ko samne ayengi. Yeh preliminary data sirf short-term impact rakh sakti hai, jaise ke ek appetizer main course se pehle. Yeh raha ek aur waja optimistic hone ki dollar ke bare mein: agar US labor market mein kuch slowing down ke asaar bhi dekhe jayen, Federal Reserve apna rasta nahi badlega. Jerome Powell ke Tuesday ke comments se yeh baat strongly suggest hoti hai. Ab hum technical analysis par chalte hain.

Kal ke growth ki waja se, AUD/USD quotes ne four-hour chart par blue moving average ko surpass kar liya aur ek naye local high 0.6734 ko bhi reach kiya. Main yeh anticipate nahi karta ke yeh upward trend indefinitely continue karega, lekin abhi bhi chance hai ke yeh quotes blue moving average ke upar rahen. Magar agar quotes is key level se neeche girti hain, to mujhe southward movement expect hai. Pehla target support level 0.6670 hoga. Agar yeh support break hota hai, to quotes aur neeche gir sakti hain, jahan yeh support level 0.6631 ko test karne ki koshish karengi, jo ke recent trading range ki lower border bhi hai.

Asal mein, US dollar temporary weakness experience kar raha hai, lekin mujhe lagta hai yeh short-term reaction hai preliminary data par. Main event, official US labor market report, abhi baaqi hai. Mazeed, Federal Reserve ka resolute stance yeh suggest karta hai ke woh apne plan par qayam rahenge, jo ke medium term mein dollar ko ultimately strengthen kar sakta hai. Kuch short-term volatility ho sakti hai, lekin long-term outlook US dollar ke liye positive nazar aa raha hai.

Mehnat aur analysis ke mutabiq, AUD/USD pair mein kal strong bullish impulse ne price ko uttar ki taraf push kiya, jis se ek puri bullish candle banayi gayi jo resistance level ke oopar bandhne mein kamiyaab rahi. Mere analysis ke mutabiq, yeh resistance level 0.66986 par tha. Price ne apne northern shadow ke saath is resistance level ko bottom se top tak test kiya, jo mere analysis ke mutabiq 0.67141 par tha.

Aaj, main designated resistance level ke qareeb sidelines se dekhna jari rakhoonga, jahan do scenarios unfold ho sakte hain.

Pehla scenario yeh hai ke price is level ke oopar consolidate ho aur pehle daily range ke high ke oopar move kare aur aur uttar ki taraf jaari rahe. Agar yeh plan safal hota hai, to mujhe ummeed hogi ke price resistance level 0.68711 tak move kare. Is resistance level ke oopar bandhne ke baad, aur bhi uttar ki taraf movement ki umeed hogi, 0.70301 tak ke resistance level tak. Is resistance level ke qareeb, main trading setup ke formation ka intezar karunga, jo agle trading direction ko determine karne mein madad karega.

Mujhe pata hai ke designated northern target ki taraf price movement ke doran southern pullbacks bhi ho sakte hain. Main in pullbacks ka istemal karke nearby support levels se bullish signals search karunga, ummeed hai ke overall bullish trend ke andar uptrend ki taraf phir se aage badhe.

Aur ek alternative scenario price movement ke liye aaj ke 0.67141 resistance level ko test karte hue ek reversal candle ka formation aur ek downward correction ki shuruat ke plan ko involve karta hai. Agar yeh plan safal hota hai, to mujhe ummeed hogi ke price support level 0.66342 tak laut ke jayega. Is support level ke qareeb, main price ke uparward movement ki ummeed mein bullish signals search karta rahunga.

Mere analysis ke mutabiq, aur bhi door ki southern targets ke taraf bhi nishchit nishana ho sakte hain, jo 0.65761 aur 0.65580 par located hain. Lekin agar designated plan bhi implement ho raha hai, to main in support levels ke qareeb bullish signals search karta rahunga, ummeed hai ke price upward movement ki taraf jaari rahe.

Aam taur par, aaj ke din mujhe local mein kuch bhi khaas nazar nahi aata. Global plan ke mutabiq, main uttar ki taraf jaari trend ko jari rakhta hoon, lekin buying options consider karne se pehle, main chahta hoon ke price nearest resistance level ke oopar close kare.

AUD/USD

AUDUSD currency pair ki daily chart par numaya bullish potential nazar aata hai. Yeh is baat ki tasdeeq karta hai ke ek bullish candle ne ahem resistance level 0.66954 ko toorna mumkin kar diya hai. Is breakout se saaf ho jata hai ke agle qareebi waqt mein uptrend jari rahega. Breakout se pehle, AUDUSD ne consolidation phase experience kiya tha jahan price 0.66954 ke resistance aur 0.65769 ke support ke darmiyan phans gaya tha. Is consolidation se yeh zahir hota hai ke market direction talash kar raha tha, lekin EMA position se buyers ki dominance nazar aati hai. Technical indicator EMA 50 jo EMA 100 ke oopar hai, is baat ko mazboot karta hai ke bullish trend abhi bhi zyada dominate kar raha hai. EMA trend ki direction aur uski taqat ko pehchanne ke liye effective tool hai. Jab short-term EMA (50) long-term EMA (100) ke oopar hota hai, to yeh dikhata hai ke short-term momentum long-term momentum se zyada hai, jo kehta hai ke buying pressure market mein dominate kar rahi hai. 0.66954 ke resistance level ke upar breakout ki tasdeeq yeh karta hai ke buyers ko taqat hai ke woh prices ko oopar le ja sakein. Aksar is breakout ke baad trading volume mein izafa hota hai, jo kehta hai ke market participants ki zyada shirkat hai aur breakout ki validity ko mazboot karta hai. Is breakout ke saath, 0.66954 ka level jo pehle resistance tha, ab ek naya support ban sakta hai. Yeh technical analysis mein "role reversal" kehlata hai, jahan successfully penetrated resistance level ab naya support level ban jata hai.

AUD/USD H1 ANALYSIS

AUDUSD currency pair par latest analysis yeh dikhata hai ke ek mazboot bullish signal hai. Kal, price ne ahem resistance level 0.66842 ko toorna mumkin kiya, jo kehta hai ke mazeed price mein izafa ka potential hai. Breakout ke baad, price ne 0.67327 tak oopar jaane ka safar jari rakha. Lekin yeh izafa ek chota sa correction ke saath aaya jo ek naya support level 0.67014 par ban gaya. 0.66842 ke resistance level ke upar breakout hone ka yeh saboot hai ke bullish trend mazboot ho raha hai. Aise breakout mein usually yeh dikhaya jata hai ke buying pressure zyada dominant hai, aur mazeed price ke izafe ke liye strong ummeed hai. Technical context mein, naya support 0.67014 price ko chhote correction ke baad phir se upar jaane ke liye mazboot foundation deta hai. Iske alawa, technical indicator EMA bhi additional bullish confirmation provide karta hai. 50 EMA ne 100 EMA ko cross kar liya hai aur iske oopar hai, jo ek classic uptrend ka signal hai. Yeh position dikhata hai ke short-term momentum long-term momentum se zyada hai, jo bullish trend ke jaari rehne ki ummeed ko mazboot karta hai.

Trading plan ke mutabiq, mujhe price ko 0.67327 ke high ko retest karne ka intezar karna hai. Agar price is level ko toor kar oopar jaata hai, to yeh ek mazboot signal hoga long jaane ka, ummeed hai ke price phir se oopar jaane ka rasta nikalega. Lekin agar retracement ya aur correction ho, to do mukhtalif levels ko dekhna hoga. Pehla level hai 0.67014 ka support jo latest correction se ban gaya hai. Agar price is level par laut kar recovery signs dikhaata hai, to yeh buying opportunity ho sakta hai. Dusra level hai 0.66842 ke resistance ka retest jo pehle toorna gaya tha, agar price is level par laut kar phir se upar jaata hai, to yeh bhi ek accha entry point ho sakta hai.

Australian dollar mein thori se izafa dekha gaya, jabke yeh umeed thi ke trading session flat rahega, kyunke Wednesday ko American Independence Day holiday ka asar tha. Trading activity ka yeh temporary break, US ka potential impact ko sochnay ka waqt de raha hai. Is report ka intizar ahmiyat rakhta hai, kyunke unexpected results Australian dollar aur U.S. dollar dono mein significant volatility ka sabab ban sakte hain.

Aane wale job trends market trends ko significantly determine kar sakte hain. Australian dollar ko aik market ke nazariye se dekhte hue jo ke big square pattern se breakout karne ki koshish kar rahi hai, yeh suggest karta hai ke decisive action qareeb hai. Agar Australian dollar 0.6750 se ooper chala gaya, toh yeh 0.6850 tak aage barhne ka rasta bana sakta hai.

Iske bar'aks, agar U.S. dollar strong hota hai, toh Australian dollar 0.6650 tak peeche ja sakta hai. Bull traders ke liye ideal conditions weaker-than-expected industry news hogi. Wednesday ko ADP ke business figures expectations se kum thay, lekin yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke yeh numbers aksar official statistics se kaafi mukhtalif hote hain. Is liye ehtiyat se kaam lene ki zaroorat hai aur sirf ADP data par base karke premature moves nahi karni chahiye.

Lekin agar Australian dollar breakout karne mein kamiyab ho jata hai, khaaskar agar yeh daily chart ke upper limit se ooper close karta hai, toh ek sharp split dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Aisi split ziada buyers ko attract karegi aur kaafi profit ko stimulate karegi.

Mukhtasir yeh ke, Australian dollar ka performance aur future trajectory US dollar aur upcoming business news par depend karti hai. Market reaction ya toh current bullish sentiment ko confirm kar sakti hai ya phir pullback lead kar sakti hai. Traders ko developments ko closely monitor karna chahiye aur increased volatility ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye jo ke report ke outcome ke response mein ho sakti hai.

Technical Analysis of AUD/USD
Australian dollar ne limited volatility ka samna kiya last trading week me lekin 0.6635 low ko retest karne ke baad uptrend start kar diya, aur channel upper 0.6701 se upar push kar gaya. Lekin, is period me price target area tak nahi pohch saka aur abhi bhi wahan tak pohchne ki koshish kar raha hai. Is dauran, price chart super-trending green zone me hai, jo active buyers ko indicate karta hai.

Aaj ke technical perspective se, 240-minute chart pe dekhne par, humein pata chalta hai ke pair ka 0.6610 level ek strong reversal resistance bana hai jo temporary uptrend ko limit karega, aur hum jaante hain ke Stochastic indicator bhi is mark ke qareeb hai. Yahan se, jab tak day trading 0.6690 ke neeche rehti hai, hum ek corrective decline dekh sakte hain with a target of retesting 0.6714 as an initial level, with a possible upside target to 0.6820 later, consistent with the uptrend. Yeh uptrend started later if you look at the above corrective low against the breakout that initially opened the way to 0.6705 and 0.6790.



Pair is waqt weekly highs se thoda upar trade kar raha hai. Key support areas test hui hain, aur price successfully stop ho gayi, jiski wajah se rebound hua aur upward vector relevant bana raha. Apni upward intentions ko confirm karne ke liye, price ko 0.6701 level se upar consolidate karna hoga, jo ab successfully key support area ke boundaries ko retest kar chuka hai, jo keh 0.6804 aur 0.6871 ke darmiyan hai. Is area ko target karna ek aur upward move create karega.

Agar support break ho jati hai aur price 0.6635 ke turning level se neeche girti hai to yeh current scenario ko cancel karne ka signal hoga.

AUD/USD: Price Action Outlook?





AUDUSD pair ki musalsal buland raftaar ko RBA ki maali policy ne sath diya, jis ne interest rate ko 4.35% par qaim rakha. Is ke saath hi, Amreeki Retail Sales maali dastavezat mein kami ki riwayat bhi mili. Agar hum price movement ko dekhein jo pehle do Moving Average lines ke neeche tha, ab yeh un ke ooper aur pivot point (PP) 0.6643 se guzar chuka hai. Agar buland raftaar qaim rehti hai toh mauqa hai ke resistance (R1) 0.6690 ko test kiya ja sake, phir 0.6700 level par jari rahe. Magar price pattern structure ab bhi yaqeeni nahi deta. Kyun ke prices jo pehle giray aur phir uthay woh dono ne kam prices 0.6593 aur zyada prices 0.6701 ko guzar diya. Is wajah se structure ko tootna zaroori hai taake yeh tay kiya ja sake ke yeh higher high ya lower low pattern mein hai? Trend ki taraf se dekha jaye toh basically yeh bearish halat mein hai kyunki hum dekh sakte hain ke EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ke crossing se death cross signal milti hai. Magar bearish trend ab kamzor nazar a raha hai jab qeemat ne apne girawat ko support (S1) 0.6561 ki taraf nahi jari rakha. Stochastic indicator ke nazariye se dekha jaye toh yeh ishara deta hai ke buland raftaar jald hee overbought point tak pohanch jayega. Overbought zone ke parameters 90 - 80 ke level par guzarne se qeemat mein girawat ka silsila shuru ho sakta hai. Mumkin hai ke qeemat phir se pivot point (PP) 0.6643 ya do Moving Average lines ke qareeb giray, jo ke golden cross signal dega. Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ne uptrend momentum dikhaya hai jab histogram level 0 ya positive area ke ooper tha. Is se yeh bhi maloom hota hai ke qeemat ki harkat mein buland raftaar ki tendency ab bhi hai.
Technical analysis bhi AUD/USD pair ke potential future movements ke baray mein wazeh karta hai. Chart patterns, jaise ke moving averages, support aur resistance levels, aur momentum indicators, market mein trends aur potential reversal points ko pehchanne mein madadgar ho sakte hain. Haal mein, AUD/USD pair kuch ahem support levels ko test kar sakta hai, jahan indicators oversold conditions ko signal dete hain. Agar ye support levels qaim rehte hain, to exchange rate mein short-term rebound ho sakta hai. Lekin, support levels ka tor phir aur downside momentum ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo pair mein mazeed giravat ka bais ban sakta hai.
Aage dekhte hue, kayi factors AUD/USD pair mein bade movement ko janam dene ke liye zareya ban sakte hain. Ma'ashiyati data releases, jaise ke rozgar figures, inflation rates, aur GDP growth, market sentiment ko mutasir kar sakte hain aur exchange rates mein short-term fluctuations ko barhawa de sakte hain. Is ke ilawa, sahafati developments, trade negotiations, aur central bank announcements market mein volatility ko utpann kar sakte hain, jo currency prices par asar dalta hai. Traders aur investors aane wale events ko nigrani mein rakhein ge taake AUD/USD pair ke future direction ke liye cues hasil kar sakein.

AUD/USD currency pair ka performance ek dilchasp aur kuch mushkil hal trading session ka juzar tha. Shuru mein, keemat mein izaafa dekha gaya, jab keemat ne pehle din ke range ka naya urooj chhua. Is urooj ne dikhaya ke bullish jazbat ke jariye keemat mein mazeed izafa ho sakta hai, shayad Australia dollar ko US dollar ke muqablay favor karte hue.
Magar baad mein keemat ka andaza badal gaya. Uss naye urooj ke baad, market ki dynamics mein tabdeeli aayi. Jis bullish josh ne keemat ko ooncha le gaya, woh kamzor hone laga aur ulta chalne laga. Bechnay walay thay jo dhere dhere control mein aaye aur keemat ko neechay le gaye. Yeh neechay ki taraf chalne wala movement tawajjo aur shakhsiyat se bharpoor tha, jo candle ke ikhtitaam mein bana.

Jo rozana ka candle bana woh uncertain nature mein tha, jo market ke andar shak o shubaat aur rukawat ko jama karta hai. Shuru ki bullish tezi ke bawajood, ulta chalne se candle mein thora sa bearish faiz zahir hota hai. Iska matlab hai keh jab keemat ne khula kiya to kam band hui, yani ke bearish bandish zahir hui, magar is farq mein itna ziyada tazad nahi tha keh wazeh bearish trend ki taraf ishara kar sakta tha. Balke, candle ne market ke tashweeshat ko numayan kiya, jahan na to bulls aur na hi bears ne kisi ko saaf tor par apna dominance saabit kiya.

Is ke ilawa, rozana candle ka bandish ek emerging accumulation zone ke andar tha. Accumulation zone aam tor par aik waqt hota hai jahan keemat ek range ke andar jam jati hai, jo dikhata hai keh market ke participants positions jama kar rahe hain, jise keemat ki ek taraf ya doosri taraf break hone ke liye tayyar ho sakte hain. Candle ka bandish is zone ke andar ishara deta hai keh market ek tayyari ke phase mein hai, shayad kisi ahem maali data ya siyasi waqiyat ka intezaar kar raha hai jo keemat mein mazeed karwai ka sabab bane.

Istasna kar ke, kal ka AUD/USD trading session ek initial bullish breakout se shuru hua, phir uncertain aur rukawat bhara ulta chalne ka nateeja tha. Din bearish faiz ke saath khatam hua magar ek accumulation zone ke andar, jo market ki mojooda tashweeshat ko highlight karta hai. Traders ko aane wale sessions mein is pair ko qareeb se nazar andaaz karna chahiye, kyun keh is accumulation phase ke hal ka hal chand dinon mein keemat mein mazeed ahem izafa laa sakta hai. In dynamics ko samajhna un traders ke liye zaroori hai jo AUD/USD market ke future trends se faida uthana chahte hain.

Hum aik tanaqidi analysis karein ge aur mazeed tafseel se mojooda data aur technical analysis indicators ka jaiza lein ge jaise ke Extended Regression StopAndReverse, RSI, aur MACD, jo aaj munafe bakhsh trading ke liye iste’mal ho rahe hain. Ye indicators humein sab se munasib entry point chun’ne mein madad karte hain jo munafa de sakte hain, jo humein achi kamai ka mauka dete hain. Ye bhi bohot zaruri hai ke hum mojooda quote chun’ne ka waqt dekhain ke position se kab nikalna hai, jiske liye hum Fibonacci grid ko mojooda minimums aur maximums ke hisaab se extend karein ge. Hum nearest correctional Fibo levels ko reach karte hi exit karein ge. Chart par, jo hum study kar rahe hain, hum dekhte hain ke pehli-degree regression line (golden dotted line), jo ke direction aur state of current trend ko dikhati hai selected period (time-frame H4) par, upward at an angle of approximately 35-40 degrees par hai, jo ke ek upward trend instrument trend ko dikhata hai. Non-linear regression channel, jaise ke presented chart mein dekha ja sakta hai, upward ko fold hua aur neeche se upar cross kiya golden uptrend line LP ko aur resistance line of the linear channel (red dotted line) ko bhi. Ab nonlinear regression channel north ki taraf directed hai aur buyers ki strength ko confirm karta hai. Price ne red resistance line of the linear regression channel 2-nd LevelResLine ko cross kiya lekin maximum quote value (HIGH) of 0.67146 ko pohonch gaya, jiske baad uska growth ruk gaya aur steady decline hona shuru ho gaya. Instrument abhi current price level of 0.66149 par trade kar raha hai. Sab ke madde nazar, mujhe umeed hai ke market price quotes wapas aur consolidate ho jaenge below the 2-nd LevelResLine (0.65387) channel line of the 50% FIBO level aur mazeed move karega down to the golden average line LR of the linear channel 0.63628, jo ke 0% Fibo level ke saath coincide karta hai. Sell transaction mein entry ka saboot RSI (14) aur MACD indicators se puri tarah approve hai kyun ke yeh abhi overbought zone mein hain