ای aud/usd کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

AUD/USD: Price Action Outlook
Australian Dollar (AUD) apne peers, khaaskar US Dollar (USD), ke muqablay mein problems ka samna kar raha hai. AUD/USD pair is waqt 0.6640 mark par critical support level ke ird gird hai, jo ke iski 20-day simple moving average (SMA) se define hota hai. Iski kamzori ka sabab kai factors hain. Sabse pehle, Judo Bank se milne wale preliminary PMI data ne Australia ki economic health ka itna acha manzar nahi dikhaya. Iske ilawa, barhte huye US Treasury yields aur Standard & Poor's se milne wale positive PMI readings ne USD ko mazid mazbooti di hai. Australian economy mein kuch positive signs ke bawajood, lagataar high inflation figures Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ko potential interest rate cuts se roke hue hain jo ke AUD ko mazboot kar sakte hain. Monetary policy easing mein yeh delay RBA ko risk mein daal raha hai ke woh G10 central banks mein se sab se akhir mein yeh move karein, jo ke AUD gains ko potentially rok sakta hai.




Agar buying pressure dobara shuru hota hai, toh yeh pair initially 0.6713 level ko target kar sakta hai, jo ke iski recent trading range ki upper boundary hai. Is resistance point se upar ka ek qatein torh isko 0.6870 mark tak le ja sakta hai, jo ke December 2023 ka high tha. Lekin, agar yeh 0.6713 se upar qaim nahi reh sakta, toh yeh dobara 0.6898 double top area ko retest kar sakta hai jo ke last summer mein bana tha. Dusri taraf, agar yeh ulta neechay ki taraf jata hai, toh yeh initial support 0.6643 level par dhoondh sakta hai, jo ke April aur May ke doran resistance ke tor par act karta tha. Is point se confirmed downward breakout is pair ko 0.6590 support zone tak le ja sakta hai, jo ke 50-day EMA ke sath coincide karta hai. Mazeed declines ko phir 0.6558 par roka ja sakta hai, jo ke pair ki recent trading range ki lower limit hai. Technical indicators kam hoti hui bullish momentum ka ishara de rahe hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 se upar hai lekin neechay ki taraf ja raha hai, jab ke Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) ab bhi red bar display kar raha hai. Ek bullish outlook ko mazid mazboot karne ke liye, AUD/USD ko 20-day SMA se upar firm support establish karna hoga.

USD pair ab 0.6587 par trade ho raha hai, jisme/ ek bearish trend nazar aa raha hai. Market abhi dheere chal rahi hai, lekin aane wale dino mein kisi bade movement ki umeed hai. Kayi factors is potential shift mein shamil ho sakte hain, jaise ke ma'ashiyati indicators, sahafati waqiyat, aur central bank ki policies. Traders aur investors in developments ko qareeb se nigrani mein rakhte hain taake market ke movement ka andaza lag sakein. AUD/USD pair ab 0.6587 par trade ho raha hai, jisme ek bearish trend nazar aa raha hai. Market ki dheemi raftar ke bawajood, aane wale dino mein bade movement ki umeed hai. Mukhtalif factors is par asar daal sakte hain, jaise ma'ashiyati indicators, sahafati waqiyat, ya market ke jazbat mein tabdiliyan. Traders developments ko qareeb se nigrani mein rakhte hain, taake potential opportunities ka faida utha sakein. Lekin, currency ke movement ka peshgoi karna fitri tor par guman aur uncertainty se bhara hai, is liye trading karte waqt hoshyari baratna zaroori hai.
Zarur! Yahan ek 600-word analysis hai:
AUD/USD currency pair 0.6582 par trade ho rahi hai, jo market mein ek bearish trend ko darust karti hai. Ye downtrend yeh dikhata hai ke abhi sellers market sentiment ko dominate kar rahe hain, jo Australian Dollar (AUD) ko US Dollar (USD) ke khilaf tabdeel hone ka dharana dete hain. Lekin, mojooda sust market activity ke bawajood, aane wale dino mein AUD/USD pair mein bade movement ki umeed hai.

Kayi factors is waqt ke bearish sentiment mein shamil hain jo AUD/USD pair ko ghera hua hai. Ek ahem factor ma'ashiyati be-tuklif jo mukhtalif global aur gharelo factors se aati hai. COVID-19 pandemic duniya bhar ki ma'ashiyaat par apna asar jamata hai, jo trade, rozgar, aur overall ma'ashi taraqqi par asar dalta hai. Australia, jo ke aham commodities ka behri hai, khaas tor par China ki taraf export karti hai, global darkhwast aur trade tensions mein izafa hone par mutasir hoti hai. Mazeed, sahafati masail jaise ke trade disputes aur siyasi tensions ke ird gird guman ka mahol bana rehta hai, jo market mein overall risk sentiment ko barhata hai, jo Australian dollar par bojh dalta hai.

Is ke ilawa, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ki ma'ashiyati policies AUD/USD pair ke rukh ko shakal deti hain. RBA ne ma'ashiyati behtari ko support karne ke liye ek mushkil hal monetary policy stance qaim rakha hai, jisme interest rates ko tareekhi darajon par rakhna aur quantitative easing measures ko amal mein lana shamil hai. Mutasir currency pairs ke darmiyan yeh do central banks ke policies ka ikhtilaf US dollar ko Australian dollar ke nisbat mazboot karne ki salahiyat rakhta hai, jo AUD/USD pair ke bearish outlook mein hissa hai.

Technical analysis bhi AUD/USD pair ke potential future movements ke baray mein wazeh karta hai. Chart patterns, jaise ke moving averages, support aur resistance levels, aur momentum indicators, market mein trends aur potential reversal points ko pehchanne mein madadgar ho sakte hain. Haal mein, AUD/USD pair kuch ahem support levels ko test kar sakta hai, jahan indicators oversold conditions ko signal dete hain. Agar ye support levels qaim rehte hain, to exchange rate mein short-term rebound ho sakta hai. Lekin, support levels ka tor phir aur downside momentum ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo pair mein mazeed giravat ka bais ban sakta hai.

Aage dekhte hue, kayi factors AUD/USD pair mein bade movement ko janam dene ke liye zareya ban sakte hain. Ma'ashiyati data releases, jaise ke rozgar figures, inflation rates, aur GDP growth, market sentiment ko mutasir kar sakte hain aur exchange rates mein short-term fluctuations ko barhawa de sakte hain. Is ke ilawa, sahafati developments, trade negotiations, aur central bank announcements market mein volatility ko utpann kar sakte hain, jo currency prices par asar dalta hai. Traders aur investors aane wale events ko nigrani mein rakhein ge taake AUD/USD pair ke future direction ke liye cues hasil kar sakein.

Ikhtitam mein, jabke AUD/USD pair abhi bearish trend ka samna kar raha hai, to kuch isharaat hain jo aane wale dino mein bade movement ki umeed ko dikhate hain. Ma'ashiyati guman, central bank ki policies, aur technical factors sab currency pair ke outlook mein hissa hain. Traders ko hushyar rehna chahiye aur apni strategies ko mutabiq banayein taake AUD/USD pair ke muasharti dynamics mein tabdiliyon ko samajh sakein aur pair ke trading opportunities

جون 25 2024 کو اے یو ڈی/امریکی ڈالر کے لیے پیشن گوئی

یومیہ چارٹ پر، مارلن آسیلیٹر کی سگنل لائن نے ایک پچر بنا دیا ہے اور اب اس سے نکلنے کے قریب ہے۔ اہم منظر نامہ 0.6627 سپورٹ لیول کی خلاف ورزی کے ساتھ ایک مندی بریک آؤٹ کا مشورہ دیتا ہے۔ اس صورت میں، کمی ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن تک، 0.6590 کے نشان کے ارد گرد پھیلے گی۔



ہم یہ بھی توقع کرتے ہیں کہ قیمت ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کی خلاف ورزی کرے گی اور 0.6467 کے ہدف کی سطح تک گر جائے گی – 1 مئی کی کم۔ اگر متبادل منظر نامہ سامنے آتا ہے تو، قیمت، جو پہلے ہی بیلنس لائن کے اوپر مضبوط ہو چکی ہے، 0.6690 کی سطح سے اوپر ٹوٹ جائے گی اور 0.6730 تک بڑھے گی۔



٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت بھی بیلنس لائن کے اوپر مستحکم ہوگئی۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر ایک غیر جانبدار پوزیشن میں ہے، صفر لائن کے ساتھ ساتھ، اس کے بالکل نیچے حرکت کرتا ہے۔ اگر قیمت ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن (0.6643) سے نیچے مضبوط ہو جاتی ہے، تو یہ ریچھوں کے لیے 0.6627 سپورٹ لیول کی خلاف ورزی کرنے کی ایک مضبوط دلیل ہوگی۔

تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

AUDUSD pair ki musalsal buland raftaar ko RBA ki maali policy ne sath diya, jis ne interest rate ko 4.35% par qaim rakha. Is ke saath hi, Amreeki Retail Sales maali dastavezat mein kami ki riwayat bhi mili. Agar hum price movement ko dekhein jo pehle do Moving Average lines ke neeche tha, ab yeh un ke ooper aur pivot point (PP) 0.6643 se guzar chuka hai. Agar buland raftaar qaim rehti hai toh mauqa hai ke resistance (R1) 0.6690 ko test kiya ja sake, phir 0.6700 level par jari rahe. Magar price pattern structure ab bhi yaqeeni nahi deta. Kyun ke prices jo pehle giray aur phir uthay woh dono ne kam prices 0.6593 aur zyada prices 0.6701 ko guzar diya. Is wajah se structure ko tootna zaroori hai taake yeh tay kiya ja sake ke yeh higher high ya lower low pattern mein hai?
Trend ki taraf se dekha jaye toh basically yeh bearish halat mein hai kyunki hum dekh sakte hain ke EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ke crossing se death cross signal milti hai. Magar bearish trend ab kamzor nazar a raha hai jab qeemat ne apne girawat ko support (S1) 0.6561 ki taraf nahi jari rakha. Stochastic indicator ke nazariye se dekha jaye toh yeh ishara deta hai ke buland raftaar jald hee overbought point tak pohanch jayega. Overbought zone ke parameters 90 - 80 ke level par guzarne se qeemat mein girawat ka silsila shuru ho sakta hai. Mumkin hai ke qeemat phir se pivot point (PP) 0.6643 ya do Moving Average lines ke qareeb giray, jo ke golden cross signal dega. Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ne uptrend momentum dikhaya hai jab histogram level 0 ya positive area ke ooper tha. Is se yeh bhi maloom hota hai ke qeemat ki harkat mein buland raftaar ki tendency ab bhi hai.
Technical analysis bhi AUD/USD pair ke potential future movements ke baray mein wazeh karta hai. Chart patterns, jaise ke moving averages, support aur resistance levels, aur momentum indicators, market mein trends aur potential reversal points ko pehchanne mein madadgar ho sakte hain. Haal mein, AUD/USD pair kuch ahem support levels ko test kar sakta hai, jahan indicators oversold conditions ko signal dete hain. Agar ye support levels qaim rehte hain, to exchange rate mein short-term rebound ho sakta hai. Lekin, support levels ka tor phir aur downside momentum ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo pair mein mazeed giravat ka bais ban sakta hai.
Aage dekhte hue, kayi factors AUD/USD pair mein bade movement ko janam dene ke liye zareya ban sakte hain. Ma'ashiyati data releases, jaise ke rozgar figures, inflation rates, aur GDP growth, market sentiment ko mutasir kar sakte hain aur exchange rates mein short-term fluctuations ko barhawa de sakte hain. Is ke ilawa, sahafati developments, trade negotiations, aur central bank announcements market mein volatility ko utpann kar sakte hain, jo currency prices par asar dalta hai. Traders aur investors aane wale events ko nigrani mein rakhein ge taake AUD/USD pair ke future direction ke liye cues hasil kar sakein.

AUD/USD pair ab 0.6587 par trade ho raha hai, jisme/ ek bearish trend nazar aa raha hai. Market abhi dheere chal rahi hai, lekin aane wale dino mein kisi bade movement ki umeed hai. Kayi factors is potential shift mein shamil ho sakte hain, jaise ke ma'ashiyati indicators, sahafati waqiyat, aur central bank ki policies. Traders aur investors in developments ko qareeb se nigrani mein rakhte hain taake market ke movement ka andaza lag sakein. AUD/USD pair ab 0.6587 par trade ho raha hai, jisme ek bearish trend nazar aa raha hai. Market ki dheemi raftar ke bawajood, aane wale dino mein bade movement ki umeed hai. Mukhtalif factors is par asar daal sakte hain, jaise ma'ashiyati indicators, sahafati waqiyat, ya market ke jazbat mein tabdiliyan. Traders developments ko qareeb se nigrani mein rakhte hain, taake potential opportunities ka faida utha sakein. Lekin, currency ke movement ka peshgoi karna fitri tor par guman aur uncertainty se bhara hai, is liye trading karte waqt hoshyari baratna zaroori hai.

Zarur! Yahan ek 600-word analysis hai:
AUD/USD currency pair 0.6582 par trade ho rahi hai, jo market mein ek bearish trend ko darust karti hai. Ye downtrend yeh dikhata hai ke abhi sellers market sentiment ko dominate kar rahe hain, jo Australian Dollar (AUD) ko US Dollar (USD) ke khilaf tabdeel hone ka dharana dete hain. Lekin, mojooda sust market activity ke bawajood, aane wale dino mein AUD/USD pair mein bade movement ki umeed hai.

Kayi factors is waqt ke bearish sentiment mein shamil hain jo AUD/USD pair ko ghera hua hai. Ek ahem factor ma'ashiyati be-tuklif jo mukhtalif global aur gharelo factors se aati hai. COVID-19 pandemic duniya bhar ki ma'ashiyaat par apna asar jamata hai, jo trade, rozgar, aur overall ma'ashi taraqqi par asar dalta hai. Australia, jo ke aham commodities ka behri hai, khaas tor par China ki taraf export karti hai, global darkhwast aur trade tensions mein izafa hone par mutasir hoti hai. Mazeed, sahafati masail jaise ke trade disputes aur siyasi tensions ke ird gird guman ka mahol bana rehta hai, jo market mein overall risk sentiment ko barhata hai, jo Australian dollar par bojh dalta hai.

Is ke ilawa, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ki ma'ashiyati policies AUD/USD pair ke rukh ko shakal deti hain. RBA ne ma'ashiyati behtari ko support karne ke liye ek mushkil hal monetary policy stance qaim rakha hai, jisme interest rates ko tareekhi darajon par rakhna aur quantitative easing measures ko amal mein lana shamil hai. Mutasir currency pairs ke darmiyan yeh do central banks ke policies ka ikhtilaf US dollar ko Australian dollar ke nisbat mazboot karne ki salahiyat rakhta hai, jo AUD/USD pair ke bearish outlook mein hissa hai.

Technical analysis bhi AUD/USD pair ke potential future movements ke baray mein wazeh karta hai. Chart patterns, jaise ke moving averages, support aur resistance levels, aur momentum indicators, market mein trends aur potential reversal points ko pehchanne mein madadgar ho sakte hain. Haal mein, AUD/USD pair kuch ahem support levels ko test kar sakta hai, jahan indicators oversold conditions ko signal dete hain. Agar ye support levels qaim rehte hain, to exchange rate mein short-term rebound ho sakta hai. Lekin, support levels ka tor phir aur downside momentum ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo pair mein mazeed giravat ka bais ban sakta hai.

Aage dekhte hue, kayi factors AUD/USD pair mein bade movement ko janam dene ke liye zareya ban sakte hain. Ma'ashiyati data releases, jaise ke rozgar figures, inflation rates, aur GDP growth, market sentiment ko mutasir kar sakte hain aur exchange rates mein short-term fluctuations ko barhawa de sakte hain. Is ke ilawa, sahafati developments, trade negotiations, aur central bank announcements market mein volatility ko utpann kar sakte hain, jo currency prices par asar dalta hai. Traders aur investors aane wale events ko nigrani mein rakhein ge taake AUD/USD pair ke future direction ke liye cues hasil kar sakein.

Ikhtitam mein, jabke AUD/USD pair abhi bearish trend ka samna kar raha hai, to kuch isharaat hain jo aane wale dino mein bade movement ki umeed ko dikhate hain. Ma'ashiyati guman, central bank ki policies, aur technical factors sab currency pair ke outlook mein hissa hain. Traders ko hushyar rehna chahiye aur apni strategies ko mutabiq banayein taake AUD/USD pair ke muasharti dynamics mein tabdiliyon ko samajh sakein aur pair ke trading opportunities

H4 time frame par AUD/USD currency pair ki halia market activity ne ek noticeable bearish correction dikhayi hai. Yeh downward movement itni significant thi ke is ne 50-period Moving Average (MA 50), jo aam tor par red me dikhaya jata hai, aur 100-period Moving Average (MA 100), jo aam tor par green me hota hai, dono ko surpass kar diya.
Technically, MA 50 aur MA 100 ke neeche movement ka matlab ek bearish trend hai. Moving averages traders dwara aksar trend ki direction aur potential support aur resistance levels identify karne ke liye istemal ki jati hain. MA 50, jo ke ek shorter-term average hai, price changes par jaldi react karti hai, jab ke MA 100 longer-term perspective deti hai. Jab price in moving averages ke neeche chali jati hai, to yeh dikhata hai ke bearish momentum gain kar raha hai. Yeh crossover aksar traders ke liye ek signal hota hai ke ya to short positions enter kar lein ya confirm kar lein ke ek existing downtrend jari rehne wala hai.

MA 50 aur MA 100 se neeche decline market sentiment ko bullish se bearish ki taraf shift karta hai. Yeh shift aur zyada selling pressure ko trigger kar sakta hai jab traders aur investors apni positions adjust karte hain. For instance, jo log long positions hold kiye hue hain, wo apni losses limit karne ke liye exit kar sakte hain, jab ke jo pehle sidelines par the, wo short positions enter kar sakte hain anticipating ke aur zyada declines aayenge.

Is ke ilawa, doosre technical indicators aur chart patterns bhi AUD

/USD pair ke behavior par mazeed insights faraham kar sakte hain. Misal ke taur par, traders support aur resistance levels, Fibonacci retracement levels, ya candlestick patterns dekh sakte hain jo potential reversal points ya areas indicate kar sakte hain jahan price apni agle move se pehle consolidate kar sakti hai. Momentum indicators jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) ya Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi current trend ki strength gauge karne aur potential overbought ya oversold conditions identify karne mein madadgar hote hain.

Is ke ilawa, forex market aur global economic conditions ka broader context bhi nazarandaaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Currency pairs tanhai mein move nahi karte, aur factors jaise global trade dynamics, commodity prices (jo ke Australian dollar ke liye khaas tor par relevant hain given ke Australia ki significant exports hain), aur investor risk appetite sab currency movements ko influence karte hain.

Khulasah yeh hai ke H4 time frame par AUD/USD market mein bearish correction, jo price ke MA 50 aur MA 100 ke neeche move hone se marked hai, ek significant shift in market dynamics ko highlight karti hai. Yeh movement fundamental aur technical factors ka confluence reflect karti hai jo traders ko consider karne chahiye. In factors ko closely monitor karke aur technical analysis tools ka combination istemal karke, traders market ko behtar navigate kar sakte hain aur informed trading decisions le sakte hain.

Greetings, forum members! I hope you all are doing well. Today, I will provide an in-depth analysis of the AUD/USD market.
The Australian economy has been under increasing pressure, with real GDP declining or remaining flat every quarter since the start of 2023. The latest annualized figure missed the estimates of 1.2%, coming in at 1.1%, while the quarter-on-quarter figure rose a meager 0.1%. Household spending, which accounts for roughly 50% of Australian GDP, was slightly stronger at 1.3%, but the majority of this spending was directed towards essentials like electricity and healthcare, as discretionary spending flattened out.

Despite the lackluster growth, the AUD/USD pair appears unperturbed. The currency has registered a minor decline against the New Zealand dollar (at the time of writing), and the pair is currently testing the 0.6644 level, which capped prices between March-May, and offers support for this pair.

Looking ahead, the market serves as a potential tripwire for a bearish continuation, but the conviction in recent moves lacks conviction. With both the Reserve Bank of Australia and the Federal Reserve looking to eventually cut interest rates, the timing of such decisions remains elusive. However, weakening US data places the Fed in a better position when it comes to the two nations. The upcoming US services PMI data could see further weakness for the US dollar, following the contraction in the manufacturing sector.

In terms of technical analysis, the pair has the potential to base up and rally towards the annual high price limit of around 0.6838, and potentially even reach the previous year's high area of around 0.7157. However, this consolidation phase could continue if the increase experiences bullish rejection conditions at around 0.6700. This could open up selling opportunities, with the potential to target a decline back closer to the zero area below it at around 0.6600.

Sellers can be confirmed as entering to try to change the direction of the trend if the price declines below the support area at around 0.6576. A further decline past the moving limit of the 200-day moving average at around 0.6550 can confirm the beginning of a bearish trend and validate the downward movement when the price moves below the crucial support area at around 0.6516.

In conclusion, the AUD/USD market is currently in a state of flux, with the potential for both bullish and bearish scenarios. Traders and investors should closely monitor the economic data and central bank policies to make informed decisions.

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Forum ke members ko mera salam! Umeed hai ke aap sab khairiyat se honge. Aaj, main AUD/USD market ka tafsili jaiza pesh karunga.

Australian ma'eeshat ziada dabhav mein hai, aur asal GDP 2023 ke aghaz se har quarter mein gir rahi hai ya barabar reh rahi hai. Aakhri saalana figure 1.2% ke andaazon se kum tha, aur 1.1% par aya, jabke quarter-on-quarter figure mehaz 0.1% barha. Household kharch, jo ke Australian GDP ka taqriban 50% hai, thoda behtar tha 1.3% par, lekin is kharch ka ziada tar hissa zaroori cheezon jaise ke bijli aur healthcare par lag gaya, jabke discretionary spending barabar rahi.

Peshraft ke bawajood, AUD/USD pair par koi khas asar nahi pada. Currency ne New Zealand dollar ke muqable mein thodi girawat dekhi (is waqt likhte hue), aur pair is waqt 0.6644 level ko test kar raha hai, jo March-Mayi ke darmiyan prices ko cap karta tha, aur is pair ke liye support faraham karta hai.

Ainday dekhte hue, market ek potential tripwire ki surat mein hai bearish continuation ke liye, lekin recent moves mein koi ziada iqraar nahi hai. Dono Reserve Bank of Australia aur Federal Reserve aakhir kar interest rates cut karne ki soch rahe hain, lekin inke faisalon ka waqt abhi tak na-qabil-e-shanasi hai. Kamzor US data ne Fed ko behtar position mein rakha hai jabke do mulkon ka muqabla hota hai. Aanewale US services PMI data se US dollar mein aur kamzori dekhi ja sakti hai, manufacturing sector ke contraction ke baad.

Technical analysis ke hawale se, pair ke paas potential hai ke wo base banaye aur annual high price limit tak rally kare taqriban 0.6838 tak, aur mumkin hai ke pichle saal ke high area tak pohanch jaye taqriban 0.7157 tak. Magar yeh consolidation phase barqarar reh sakta hai agar increase bullish rejection conditions par ho taqriban 0.6700 par. Yeh selling opportunities khol sakta hai, potential target ke sath ke girawat zero area ke kareeb 0.6600 tak ho.

Sellers ko confirm kiya ja sakta hai ke wo trend ka rukh badalne ke liye aayenge agar price support area se neeche girti hai taqriban 0.6576 par. Aur girawat 200-day moving average ke moving limit se neeche taqriban 0.6550 par confirm kar sakti hai ke bearish trend ka aghaz ho gaya hai aur downward movement ko validate karega jab price crucial support area se neeche jati hai taqriban 0.6516 par.

Nateeja yeh hai ke AUD/USD market is waqt flux ki surat mein hai, bullish aur bearish scenarios ke potential ke sath. Traders aur investors ko chaahiye ke wo economic data aur central bank policies ko closely monitor karen taake behtar faislay le saken.

Diurnal map par AUDUSD ka pair sideways condition mein hai, jahan buyers resistance 0.67024 par aur sellers support 0.65779 par phasay huay hain. Is surat-e-haal mein, lagta hai ke buyers resistance ko torney mein mushkilat ka samna kar rahe hain, jabke sellers bhi price ko existing support se neeche le jane mein nakam hain. Aage technical analysis bullish potential show kar raha hai, khaaskar agar hum dekhein ke EMA 50 aur EMA 100 upar ki taraf move kar rahe hain. Iske ilawa, price rejection ka hona EMA 100 ke ird-gird yeh zahir karta hai ke yeh area mazboot dynamic support ka kaam kar raha hai. Yeh rejection dikhata hai ke jab bhi price EMA 100 ke qareeb aata hai, buyers foran market mein aa kar price ko wapas upar le jate hain. Yeh phenomenon yeh point mazid mazboot karta hai ke buyers abhi bhi control mein hain aur aage price ke resistance level 0.67024 ko test karne ki zyada probability hai. Mere mutawaqqa bullish scenario mein, agar price resistance 0.67024 ko torne mein kamyab hota hai strong volume aur daily close ke saath, to yeh early evidence ho sakta hai ke ek uptrend develop ho raha hai. Us waqt, agla target coming resistance level ya psychologically significant area ke ird-gird ho sakta hai.
Ab H1 map par AUDUSD par focus karte hain, pair ne aik aur upward movement show kiya jab minor resistance 0.66309 ko retest karte huay break kiya, jo ab new support point ke tor par kaam kar raha hai. Potential price movement yeh indicate karta hai ke yeh resistance 0.66756 ko test karne wala hai, jo pehle buyers ko roknay mein kaamiyab raha tha. Is dynamic ko observe karte huay, maine apni trading strategy ko carefully plan kiya hai. Technical analysis mein, support aur resistance levels ka retesting common hai. Jab price resistance ko break karta hai aur phir us position ko dobara test karta hai, to aksar wo support ka function ada karta hai. Yeh hi maine position 0.66309 par dekha. Yeh shift positive signal provide karta hai ke buyers abhi bhi market ko dominate kar rahe hain, kam az kam filhaal ke liye.

Meri trading plan mein, mein resistance level 0.66756 ke test ko closely monitor karunga. Mein price movements aur doosray technical indicators ko dekhta rahunga taake signals ko validate kar sakoon. Agar price convincingly resistance 0.66756 ko break karta hai, to main ek buy position open karunga initial target ke saath at coming resistance level ya significant psychological area. Dobara, agar is level par rejection hota hai, to main ek sell position open karunga initial target at support level 0.66309, ya agar sellers ka pressure mazid strong hota hai to aur bhi neeche.

Nateejatan, AUDUSD ka current technical landscape dono diurnal aur H1 maps par yeh suggest karta hai ke buyers control mein hain, with significant support levels is perspective ko mazid mazboot kar rahe hain. Resistance aur support levels ka strategic analysis mere trading decisions ko shape karne mein vital hai, taake main apni positions ko prevailing market sentiment ke saath align kar sakoon.

AUDUSD BAZAR KI TAQREEB

Peeray (June 24) ko, Australian dollar US dollar ke khilaaf 0.2% izafa kar ke 0.6655 par band hua. Traders Australia ke May mahine ke consumer price report ka intezaar bhi kar rahe hain jo Wednesday ko aur US personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index jo Friday ko aayega, ta ke is saal do central banks ki easing path aur timing samajh sakein. Abhi market yeh ummeed rakhta hai ke Australia ke May consumer price index (CPI) pichle mahine se kareeb 0.2% gir sakta hai, lekin saalana barhao pichle 3.6% se 3.8% tak ho sakta hai.

Yeh July ke end par release hone wale quarterly report ke liye reference dega, aur Reserve Bank of Australia kuch din baad August policy meeting rakhegi. Market mein yeh vishwas hai ke agle saal April se pehle kisi bhi rate cut ki kam mumkinat nahi hai. Interest rate futures ke mutabiq US interest rates 100 basis points tak girne ki sambhavna hai us waqt tak.

Yeh bhi ek wajah hai ke Australia dollar haal hi mein US dollar ki taqat ke bawajood bhi 0.6580 se 0.6710 range mein qaim reh sakta hai. Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) ke head of international economics Joseph Capurso ke mutabiq, Australian dollar is haftay US dollar ke khilaaf 0.66-0.67 range mein trade karne ka intezaar hai. Agar Australia ke CPI data economists ke general expectations se kamzor nikalta hai, to AUD/USD thoda sa gir sakta hai. Isliye consumer price data release se pehle AUD/USD ki narrow range aur sideways movement ki ummeed hai. Traders ko resistance ya support levels ke upar ya neeche potential breakout ka intezar karna chahiye ta ke agle significant trend ka faisla kiya ja sake.

AUD/USD: Price outlook
AUD/USD currency pair ki recent market activity H4 time frame par ek notable bearish correction dikhati hai. Yeh downward movement itni significant thi ke isne 50-period Moving Average (MA 50), jo aam tor par red mein depict hoti hai, aur 100-period Moving Average (MA 100), jo aam tor par green mein dikhayi jati hai, ko surpass kar diya. Technically, MA 50 aur MA 100 ke neeche movement ek bearish trend ka ishara karti hai. Moving averages ko traders aksar trend ke direction aur potential support aur resistance levels identify karne ke liye use karte hain. MA 50, jo ek shorter-term average hai, price changes par jaldi react karti hai, jab ke MA 100 longer-term perspective provide karti hai. Jab price in moving averages ke neeche move karti hai, to yeh indicate karta hai ke bearish momentum strength gain kar raha hai. Yeh crossover aksar traders ke liye signal hota hai ke ya to short positions enter karein ya confirm karein ke ek existing downtrend likely continue karega.




In key moving averages ke past decline ek shift suggest karta hai market sentiment mein bullish se bearish. Yeh shift further selling pressure trigger kar sakti hai jab traders aur investors apni positions accordingly adjust karte hain. Misal ke taur par, jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, wo exit kar sakte hain taake losses limit kar saken, jab ke jo pehle sidelines par thay, wo short positions enter kar sakte hain further declines ki anticipation mein.

Moving averages ke ilawa, doosre technical indicators aur chart patterns bhi AUD/USD pair ke behavior par further insights provide kar sakte hain. Misal ke taur par, traders support aur resistance levels, Fibonacci retracement levels, ya candlestick patterns dekh sakte hain jo potential reversal points ya areas indicate kar sakein jahan price apni next move se pehle consolidate kar sakti hai. Momentum indicators jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) ya Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi current trend ki strength gauge karne aur potential overbought ya oversold conditions identify karne mein madadgar ho sakte hain. Iske ilawa, forex market aur global economic conditions ka broader context bhi nazarandaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Currency pairs isolation mein move nahi karte, aur global trade dynamics, commodity prices (jo Australian dollar ke liye khaas tor par relevant hain given Australia's significant exports), aur investor risk appetite jaise factors bhi currency movements ko influence karte hain.

Assalam-o-Alaikum sab ko, mujhe kafi arsay baad Aussie ke hawalay se khabar nahi thi. Mujhe yaad hai ke meri pehli tajziya upar ki taraf ja rahi thi aur aisa hi mostly rehta hai.
Main dyaan dilana chahta hoon ke iski saakht bohat mushkil lag rahi hai. Ek extension aur diamond pattern jaisi kuch cheezein nazar aa rahi hain. Mujhe chotay southern waves bhi dikhayi de rahe hain. Ye peechlay low ko update karte hain aur phir tezi se palat jate hain. Maslan, green waves 1-2-3, jahan teesra wave low ko dobara touch kar ke upar chala gaya. Aglay, blue waves jo ke ooncha hain, jahan teesra wave bhi chota hai aur theek se develop nahi hua. Ahmiyat hai pichli ahem uthao H4 par, sath hi hilka hilka hilta hua jo halat ke markabat ko chhoo raha hai, jo ke maine purpuri me darshaya hai. Mere khyal mein uttar ki taraqqi ke liye zyada chances hain. Agar hum diamond pattern ko dekhen toh, uske mutabiq, keemat us rukh mein chalti hai jis rukh se diamond mein ghusa hai. Yani upar se neeche ki taraf ghusa hai, toh aage ki taraf bhi iska logic hai.

Rozana ke chart par candlesticks aur unke formations ki tajziya karke, upar ki taraf jaane ki zyada sambhavna hai, haalaanki kuch log normal pullback ka intezar kar rahe hain. Yahan par humein daily timeframe par ek khareedne ka signal bhi hai, jo pehle reviews mein zikr hua hai. Signal level ko 0.66058 mark se consider kiya jata hai. Aur ye sab stop-loss ke size par nirbhar karta hai ke konsa choose kiya jaye. Agar hum 0.63638 mark jaisa stop level chunen, toh hamari taraqqi ke maqsad 0.68478 ki taraf hai. Saaf dikhane ke liye, maine ye maqsad grey aur green bars ke saath bhi darshaya hai. Agar hamara stop chota hai, jaise 0.64640 level se neeche, toh hamare maqsad 0.67359 hai. Ye level 0.67359 pehle reviews mein bhi zikr hua hai, kyun ke aise ghair wazeh halat mein, sab se chota potential par tawajjo dena behtar hota hai. Lekin main ye bhi note karunga ke humein bohat arsay se market mein girne ka signal mil raha hai, aur hum ne uske maqsadon ke kareeb bhi pohanch gaye hain. Ye potential blue bar se darshaya gaya hai, jiska maqsad 0.62878 hai, is saal ke 18 January se. Sab kuch gaur se madde nazar rakhte hue, main 0.67359 ke level tak taraqqi ke imkanat ko de raha hoon.

Ummeed hai ke ye tafseeli bayan aap ki samajh mein aya hoga. Agar koi aur sawaal ho, toh zaroor puch sakte hain.

As-salamu alaykum forum members! Umeed hai aap sab khairiyat se honge. Aaj main AUD/USD market ki gehraiyo se taqreeban analysis pesh karunga.
Australia ki maaliyat mein barhti hui dabao ke bawajood, haqeeqi GDP har quarter se start 2023 se ghatti ya flat rahi hai. Sab se taaza annualized figure jo ke 1.2% ki estimates se kam aaya aur 1.1% par tha, jabke quarter-on-quarter figure sirf 0.1% izafay ke saath aaya. Ghar walon ki spending, jo Australia ki GDP ka taqreeban 50% hissa hai, thori taqatwar rahi 1.3% ke saath, lekin zyada tar yeh kharch essential cheezon jaise bijli aur healthcare par tawajjo di gayi, jabke ikhtiyari kharch flat rah gaya.

Is kamzor growt ke bawajood, AUD/USD pair beparwah nazar aata hai. Currency ne New Zealand dollar ke khilaaf thora sa giravat darj ki hai (jaise ke waqt likhte waqt), aur pair abhi 0.6644 level ko test kar raha hai, jo ki is pair ke liye support pesh karta hai.

Aage dekhte hue, market ek bearish jaari rakhne ke liye ek mumkin tripwire hai, lekin haal ki harkaton mein yaqeeni kami nazar aati hai. Reserve Bank of Australia aur Federal Reserve dono interest rates ko cut karne ki soch rahe hain, lekin is faisley ke waqt kis time ka rahega woh abhi tak clear nahi hai. Lekin America ke maqami data mein kami Federal Reserve ko behtar maqami bana sakti hai. Aane waale US services PMI data ke mutabiq, manufacturing sector mein contraction ke baad dollar mein aur kamzori dekhne ko mil sakti hai.

Technical analysis ki nazar mein, pair ke paas potential hai ke woh base bana kar rally kar sakta hai annual high price limit tak, jaise ke 0.6838 ke aas paas, aur pichle saal ke high area tak jaise ke 0.7157 ke aas paas. Lekin agar 0.6700 ke qareeb bullish rejection conditions dekhe jayein, toh yeh consolidation phase jaari reh sakta hai. Is se selling opportunities khul sakti hain, jahan tak ke price 0.6600 ke aas paas wapas girne ki sambhavna ho.

Agar price support area ke neeche 0.6576 ke qareeb gir jaye, toh sellers ka dakhil hona aur trend ki taraf se rukh badalne ki koshish ka saboot samjha ja sakta hai. Agar price 200-day moving average ke neeche 0.6550 ke aas paas chala jaye, toh yeh bearish trend ki shuruaat ko tasdiq kar sakta hai aur jab price 0.6516 ke crucial support area ke neeche chala jaye, toh is downward movement ko validate kar sakta hai.

Umeed hai ke yeh analysis aap sab ke liye faidemand sabit ho. Agar kisi aur details ki zarurat ho toh poochein beshak. JazakAllah khair!

Bila shuba! Yahan takreeban tafseeli tashrih hai AUD/USD currency pair ki, jo haliya ke market halat aur trend par mabni hai:

Sab se haliya update ke mutabiq, AUD/USD exchange rate 0.6653 par hai, jahan mojooda trend bearish taraf jhuka hua hai. Is se maloom hota hai ke Australian dollar US dollar ke khilaf kamzor ho raha hai. Yeh bearish trend ishara karta hai ke AUD/USD pair mein dhire dhire kami ho rahi hai, lekin nazdeeki mustaqbil mein kuch aham harkat ka imkan hai.

Is bearish sentiment mein kai wajohat shamil hain. Sab se pehle toh, maali indicators jaise ke interest rates, rozgar data, aur trade balances currency movements ko asar andaz karte hain. Haal hi mein, Australia ke maali indicators US ke mukablay mein kamzor nazar aaye hain, jo exchange rate par nakaratmak asar dalta hai.

Siyasi aur aalmi maashi sharaet bhi currency markets par asar andaz hote hain. Misal ke tor par, baray economies ke darmiyan trade policies mein tabdeeliyan, siyasi tensions, ya global asbab ke tabdeeliyan (jaise ke Australia jaise bara commodities mein izafa karne wale mulk ke liye) AUD/USD exchange rate par asar andaz kar sakti hain.

Technical analysis funaun ke maali factors ko tahkik mein madad deti hai. Moving averages, support aur resistance levels, aur trading volumes jaise key technical indicators price directions ke liye insights dete hain. Traders aksar in indicators ka istemal entry aur exit points ke liye karte hain, jo market volatility aur baray harkaton mein imkan dete hain.

Aane wale dinon mein, AUD/USD pair mein mazeed volatility ka samna kiya ja sakta hai. Yeh tawazun asbab ke natayej mein ho sakta hai jo market sentiment par asar andaz karenge. Traders aur investors ko maali calendars ko nazar andaaz karna chahiye jahan interest rates, inflation data, ya central bank officials ke taqreerat se mutaliq announcements hosakti hain, kyun ke yeh future currency movements ke baray mein ahem malumat faraham kar sakti hain.

Akhri taur par, jabke current trend AUD/USD ke liye bearish hai dhire dhire harkaton ke saath, nazdeeki mustaqbil mein mazeed price swings ka imkan bhi maujood hai. Traders ko chaukanna rehna chahiye aur currency pair ko asar andaz karne wale maali aur technical factors ke baare mein mutaliq malumat haasil karne ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye, taki unhon ne maqbool trading decisions liya ja sake.

AUDUSD pair ki musalsal buland raftaar ko RBA ki maali policy ne sath diya, jis ne interest rate ko 4.35% par qaim rakha. Is ke saath hi, Amreeki Retail Sales maali dastavezat mein kami ki riwayat bhi mili. Agar hum price movement ko dekhein jo pehle do Moving Average lines ke neeche tha, ab yeh un ke ooper aur pivot point (PP) 0.6643 se guzar chuka hai. Agar buland raftaar qaim rehti hai toh mauqa hai ke resistance (R1) 0.6690 ko test kiya ja sake, phir 0.6700 level par jari rahe. Magar price pattern structure ab bhi yaqeeni nahi deta. Kyun ke prices jo pehle giray aur phir uthay woh dono ne kam prices 0.6593 aur zyada prices 0.6701 ko guzar diya. Is wajah se structure ko tootna zaroori hai taake yeh tay kiya ja sake ke yeh higher high ya lower low pattern mein hai?
Trend ki taraf se dekha jaye toh basically yeh bearish halat mein hai kyunki hum dekh sakte hain ke EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ke crossing se death cross signal milti hai. Magar bearish trend ab kamzor nazar a raha hai jab qeemat ne apne girawat ko support (S1) 0.6561 ki taraf nahi jari rakha. Stochastic indicator ke nazariye se dekha jaye toh yeh ishara deta hai ke buland raftaar jald hee overbought point tak pohanch jayega. Overbought zone ke parameters 90 - 80 ke level par guzarne se qeemat mein girawat ka silsila shuru ho sakta hai. Mumkin hai ke qeemat phir se pivot point (PP) 0.6643 ya do Moving Average lines ke qareeb giray, jo ke golden cross signal dega. Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ne uptrend momentum dikhaya hai jab histogram level 0 ya positive area ke ooper tha. Is se yeh bhi maloom hota hai ke qeemat ki harkat mein buland raftaar ki tendency ab bhi hai.
Technical analysis bhi AUD/USD pair ke potential future movements ke baray mein wazeh karta hai. Chart patterns, jaise ke moving averages, support aur resistance levels, aur momentum indicators, market mein trends aur potential reversal points ko pehchanne mein madadgar ho sakte hain. Haal mein, AUD/USD pair kuch ahem support levels ko test kar sakta hai, jahan indicators oversold conditions ko signal dete hain. Agar ye support levels qaim rehte hain, to exchange rate mein short-term rebound ho sakta hai. Lekin, support levels ka tor phir aur downside momentum ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo pair mein mazeed giravat ka bais ban sakta hai.
Aage dekhte hue, kayi factors AUD/USD pair mein bade movement ko janam dene ke liye zareya ban sakte hain. Ma'ashiyati data releases, jaise ke rozgar figures, inflation rates, aur GDP growth, market sentiment ko mutasir kar sakte hain aur exchange rates mein short-term fluctuations ko barhawa de sakte hain. Is ke ilawa, sahafati developments, trade negotiations, aur central bank announcements market mein volatility ko utpann kar sakte hain, jo currency prices par asar dalta hai. Traders aur investors aane wale events ko nigrani mein rakhein ge taake AUD/USD pair ke future direction ke liye cues hasil kar sakein.

AUDUSD pair ki musalsal buland raftaar ko RBA ki maali policy ne sath diya, jis ne interest rate ko 4.35% par qaim rakha. Is ke saath hi, Amreeki Retail Sales maali dastavezat mein kami ki riwayat bhi mili. Agar hum price movement ko dekhein jo pehle do Moving Average lines ke neeche tha, ab yeh un ke ooper aur pivot point (PP) 0.6643 se guzar chuka hai. Agar buland raftaar qaim rehti hai toh mauqa hai ke resistance (R1) 0.6690 ko test kiya ja sake, phir 0.6700 level par jari rahe. Magar price pattern structure ab bhi yaqeeni nahi deta. Kyun ke prices jo pehle giray aur phir uthay woh dono ne kam prices 0.6593 aur zyada prices 0.6701 ko guzar diya. Is wajah se structure ko tootna zaroori hai taake yeh tay kiya ja sake ke yeh higher high ya lower low pattern mein hai?


Trend ki taraf se dekha jaye toh basically yeh bearish halat mein hai kyunki hum dekh sakte hain ke EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ke crossing se death cross signal milti hai. Magar bearish trend ab kamzor nazar a raha hai jab qeemat ne apne girawat ko support (S1) 0.6561 ki taraf nahi jari rakha. Stochastic indicator ke nazariye se dekha jaye toh yeh ishara deta hai ke buland raftaar jald hee overbought point tak pohanch jayega. Overbought zone ke parameters 90 - 80 ke level par guzarne se qeemat mein girawat ka silsila shuru ho sakta hai. Mumkin hai ke qeemat phir se pivot point (PP) 0.6643 ya do Moving Average lines ke qareeb giray, jo ke golden cross signal dega. Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ne uptrend momentum dikhaya hai jab histogram level 0 ya positive area ke ooper tha. Is se yeh bhi maloom hota hai ke qeemat ki harkat mein buland raftaar ki tendency ab bhi hai.
Technical analysis bhi AUD/USD pair ke potential future movements ke baray mein wazeh karta hai. Chart patterns, jaise ke moving averages, support aur resistance levels, aur momentum indicators, market mein trends aur potential reversal points ko pehchanne mein madadgar ho sakte hain. Haal mein, AUD/USD pair kuch ahem support levels ko test kar sakta hai, jahan indicators oversold conditions ko signal dete hain. Agar ye support levels qaim rehte hain, to exchange rate mein short-term rebound ho sakta hai. Lekin, support levels ka tor phir aur downside momentum ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo pair mein mazeed giravat ka bais ban sakta hai.
Aage dekhte hue, kayi factors AUD/USD pair mein bade movement ko janam dene ke liye zareya ban sakte hain. Ma'ashiyati data releases, jaise ke rozgar figures, inflation rates, aur GDP growth, market sentiment ko mutasir kar sakte hain aur exchange rates mein short-term fluctuations ko barhawa de sakte hain. Is ke ilawa, sahafati developments, trade negotiations, aur central bank announcements market mein volatility ko utpann kar sakte hain, jo currency prices par asar dalta hai. Traders aur investors aane wale events ko nigrani mein rakhein ge taake AUD/USD pair ke future direction ke liye cues hasil kar sakein.