ای aud/usd کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

Currency Pair Behavior: AUD/USD

AUD/USD currency pair ki price action ka analysis kar rahe hain. Bulls ne AUD/USD pair ke sath strong start kiya, isse 0.6636 ke resistance level ki taraf push kiya. Magar, woh is level tak nahi pohanch sake, aur bears ne control le liya, jo pair ko sharply niche le gaye. Interesting baat yeh hai ke price ne 0.6616 ke support level ko break kiya, uske neeche consolidate kiya, aur ek sell entry point banaya. Ab hum dekh rahe hain ke price steadily bearish move kar rahi hai 0.6578 ke support level ki taraf. Daily chart par, yeh behtar hota agar subah ek bullish candle form hoti. Magar, sirf ek tail baki hai, jo suggest karti hai ke ek bearish candle shayad start ho rahi hai.



Aaj, mein AUD/USD pair ki movement ka daily chart par review karunga, kyun ke yeh lower time frames se zyada objective picture present karta hai. Pair uptrend mein hai aur Ichimoku cloud ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo bullish momentum indicate karta hai. Yeh long position open karne ka mauqa signal karta hai. Stochastic indicator support zone mein hai. Pichle trading session mein, pair bullish raha aur traders ne positions reversal level ke paas secure ki. Aaj, bulls ne apni growth continue ki, aur pair abhi 0.6629 par trade kar raha hai. Intraday benchmarks ke liye development ke resistance levels classic Pivot points hain. Current levels se growth persist karegi, aur first resistance level 0.6686 ko break karna ek nayi wave of development trigger karega, jo pair ko 0.6769 ke resistance line ke upar push karega. Agar market decline ki taraf shift hoti hai, toh 0.6558 ka support level key reference point hoga.

Forex Pair: AUD/USD Prices

Hum ab AUD/USD currency pair ki real-time keemat ka tajziya karte hain. Chaliye M15 time frame par AUDUSD pair ka tajziya karte hain. Exponential moving averages jo ke periods 9 aur 22 hain, humein current situation ko saaf dikhayenge. Ye tools traders ke liye aam hain aur samajhne mein asaan hote hain. Do moving averages ke intersection ke basis par, trading signals saaf hote hain, jo ke abhi price level 0.66185 par hain. Ab hum entry point ko pehchanenge. Main do orders initiate karta hoon: half position current prices se aur doosra half M5 time frame par price rollback ke baad, jahan par market mein sell entry hai. Mera minimum take-profit ratio 1 se 3 hai. Agar trade se zyada profit ho, to main position ko chalne deta hoon. Jab price profitable zone mein one-third move karta hai, toh main breakeven par shift karta hoon, safer stance ke liye, zaroorat padne par re-ordering ko allow karte hue. Mera stop loss 21 points ke aas paas set hai, jo maine trial and error se derive kiya hai aur jo mujhe optimal lagta hai. Chote false movements often minor stops ko disrupt karte hain.



Chaliye ab Australian dollar-US dollar pair ko hourly chart par dekhte hain. Unemployment data release ke baad, pair mein giravat aayi aur 0.65988 support ko break kiya. Rozgar data mahatvapurn hai, jahan par job creation expectations se zyada hui hai aur salaries expectations ko surpass kiya hai, jo potential inflationary pressures ki taraf ishara karte hain. Itihaas mein, wage growth ne inflation ko badi had tak impact kiya hai, lekin haal hi mein iska influence kam hua hai. Inflation various sectors mein kam ho rahi hai lekin high rehti hai. Ek halki si 0.1% ki inflation decrease hone ke baad bhi, yeh ek minimal change hai. Federal Reserve ke remarks ke baad, pair as expected drop hua, jo mera belief reflect karta hai ke slight inflation decrease insufficient hai. Main expect karta hoon ke pair range mein move karega aur further decline 0.65593 support ki taraf anticipate karta hoon.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis

Is haftay mein AUD/USD pair ne 4-hour chart par taqreeban barabar sideways price channels ke andar trading shuru kiya. Pichle do hafton mein yeh area 0.6720 resistance level aur 0.6610 support level ke darmiyan bullish aur bearish waves dekha gaya hai.

Haftay ke shuru mein, price ko channels ke middle line aur haftay ki pivot level 0.6650 se support mila, jis se yeh upper channel lines tak ke do hafton ke highest trading price tak pohancha. Phir price ne dobara giravat kiya lekin lower channel line tak pohanch na saki, balki channels ke darmiyan mein support mila aur ek price bottom form hua. Is ke baad price ne dobara upper channel line tak uthna shuru kiya, jis ke baad bounce aur upward break hua. Ek taqatwar rising wave ne is breakout ko large volume of liquidity ke saath upward direction mein drive kiya.

Mozooda sideways trading ke basis par, mujhe yakeen hai ke yeh ek previous trend ka continuation pattern hai. Price mein ek halki correction hone ke baad dobara uthne ka imkaan hai, ya phir seedhe is current level se uthne ka imkaan hai. Is haftay ki is area mein positive close agle haftay ke aur upward movement ke imkaan ko mazeed support karta hai. Price descending channels ke andar trade kar raha hai jo pichle do dinon ke movement ko represent karte hain.



Aap apni trading experience ko secure rakhne ke liye, current level se buy position enter karne ka tawajo rakhein 0.6466 resistance level tak. Apna risk effectively manage karne ke liye, 4-hour chart par previous candle ki lowest price ke neeche stop loss set karein.

AUD/USD Currency Pair ki Mazbooti

Haal hi mein, AUD/USD currency pair mein khaas fluctuations nazar aaye hain jo Australia aur United States mein ahem maqami wakaat ki wajah se huay hain. Khas tor par Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ke interest rate aur U.S. retail sales figures ke data ke ikhtiyarat ne Australian dollar ko U.S. dollar ke khilaf mazbooti di hai. Forex trading mein, AUD/USD pair Australia dollar aur U.S. dollar ke darmiyan tabdeelai ka rate darshaata hai, jo batata hai ke kitne U.S. dollars ki zaroorat hoti hai ek Australian dollar khareedne ke liye. Is pair ki dynamics mukhtalif maqami hawale aur dono mulkon ke faislon se asar andaz hoti hai, jis se yeh traders aur investors ke liye ek ahem metric ban jata hai.



Taza tareen taraqqiyat ne dekha ke Australian dollar U.S. dollar ke khilaf apna muqabla barha raha hai. Is tabdeelai ki bunyadi wajah do ahem data kehlaate hain. Sab se pehle, Reserve Bank of Australia ne apne taza interest rate faislay ko jari kiya. Central bank interest rates forex markets mein ek ahem factor hote hain, kyun ke ye kisi currency mein invest ki return par asar andaz karte hain. Jab central bank interest rates ko buland karta hai, to aksar is se currency ko mazbooti milti hai, kyun ke zyada rates foreign capital ko attract karte hain jo zyada return talash kar rahe hote hain. RBA ka faisla market mein pasand kiya gaya, jo Australia ki maeeshat ki quwwat aur future ke imkaanat par yakeen dikha raha tha. Interest rates ko izafay ya unko umeed se zyada level par rakhna ye dikhata hai ke RBA maeeshat ki izafa aur inflations ko control karne ke liye maqsad rakhta hai. Is faislay ne investors ke liye Australian dollar ko zyada attractive banaya, jis se uska value U.S. dollar ke khilaf buland ho gaya.

Australian Dollar ki Tijarati Tashkeel

Australian dollar ne Budh ke jaldi sarmaya saazi mein thoda izafa kiya aur iski mazboot trend jari rahi. 0.6650 level ek taqatwar qeemat ka magnet hai, jahan currency waqtan fawran is level par qaim ho gayi. Lekin 0.67 level ek ahem resistance hadi hai, aur zahir hai ke market isay paar karne mein mushkilat ka samna kar sakta hai.

Agar Australian dollar 0.67 level ko cross kar sakta hai, to uska nishana 0.68 level ho sakta hai. Is range mein trading ne pichle 30 dinon mein apni quwwat sabit ki hai. Neeche, 0.66 level mazboot support faraham karta hai, jisay 50-day aur 200-day EMAs ki qareebi mojoodgi tasdeeq karti hai, aur market ke liye mazboot bunyad faraham karti hai.

Australian dollar abhi current sideways trading pattern mein phansa hua hai, jis ka matlab hai ke short-term trading strategies lambi muddat ke sarmaya saazi se zyada munasib hain. Iss tang range mein kayi traders chhotay price movements ko utha rahe hain, jo clearly inko pareshan kar rahi hain. Agar market apni current range se bahar nikal sakta hai, to ek milestone ke peechay bhi chal sakta hai, lekin maujooda maali sarmaya saazi ko tasleem karna abhi mushkil hai.

Australia ke apne exports par bharosa rehne ke ba-wajood, kayi factors jaise global maqami halaat aur ahsaas ke keemat Australian dollar ke movement par asar andaz hote hain. Yeh mushkil interaction maujooda market ki uncertainty aur sideways action mein izafa karta hai. Traders ko chust aur short-term trends ke jawab dena zaroori hai, kyun ke market mein stability ke liye koi wazeh sabaq mojood nahi hai.



Mukhtasar mein, Australian dollar aik tang range mein trading jari rakhta hai, jahan 0.6650 key price magnet ke taur par kaam karta hai, aur 0.67 ek ahem resistance level ke taur par kaam karta hai. 0.66 par support mojood hai, jahan 50-day aur 200-day EMAs market ke liye mazboot bunyad faraham karte hain. Iss halat mein hairat angez marketing techniques bohat effective sabit ho sakti hain. Jabke iss approach se bahar nikalna bara moves ka raasta bana sakta hai, maujooda market conditions ka matlab hai ke hoshiyari se kaam lena zaroori hai.

AUD/ USD Price Action Dynamics

Hamara mazmoon AUD/USD currency pair ki live qeemat ko samajhne par mabni hai. RBA interest rate aur US retail sales ke data ke ikhtetam ne Australian dollar ko US dollar ke khilaf mazbooti di hai. AUDUSD jodi ke chaar ghanton ke chart par, 0.6587 ke support level se ek teen-wave pattern zahir hai. Main ummeed karta hoon ke yeh pattern bullish scenario ke andar samne aayega, jahan qeemat ka izafa ya to ek jhootay breakdown ke zariye ho ga ya phir 0.6707 ke level par ek bullish candle ka mukammal guzar jayega. Jab open long position munafa kamane lagay aur qeemat adha fasla cover kar le, to stop loss ko breakeven par rakhna aqalmandi hai.



Aaj ke mukhtasir US statistics retail sales par 0.0% izafa dikhaya, jo ke 0.1% ke mutaliq ummeed se kam hai. Yah kehne mein koi nakami nahi hai, kyunki yeh pichlay data se zyada hai, lekin yeh taqreban umeed se kam hai, jo ke dollar ke liye mazeed ta'aeed ke baghair mushkil banata hai. Isi doran RBA ka hawkish stand bull traders ko itminan deta hai, jo ke horizontal channel ke top border ki taraf rawana hote hain. AUDUSD jodi aaj aik nazarane waqt par khara rahe, jo ke pichle din ke barabar band hui. Main us waqt ka intezar karunga jabki pichle daily candle ka buland tareen point (0.6643) nazar aye. Agar kisi chhote time frame mein head and shoulders pattern nazar aye, to main us trade mein shamil hoonga. Mujhe 0.6668 ke qeemat se agay transactions rakhne ki koi wajah nazar nahi aati, is liye main unko wahan band kar doonga. Pichle din ke extreme ke liye adha daily movement, mujhe 0.6568 par profit lenay ka maqsad deta hai.

H4 Hour Time Frame Outlook:

AUDUSD jodi mein chal rahi oonchi raftaar ko RBA ki maaliyat ne ta'eed di hai jo ke interest rate ko 4.35% par qaim rakhta hai. Saath hi, US Retail Sales ke economic data ke girne ki reports bhi shamil hain. Agar hum price movement ko dekhen jo pehle do Moving Average lines ke nichay tha, ab woh in dono ke ooper aur pivot point (PP) 0.6643 se guzar chuka hai. Agar ooncha rukh mustaqil rahega toh resistance (R1) 0.6690 ko test karne ka mauqa hai phir 0.6700 level par jari rahne ka. Magar price pattern ka dhancha ab bhi yaqeeni nahi deta. Kyunki prices jo pehle giray aur chhaday thay, dono ne 0.6593 ke kam aur 0.6701 ke zyada prices ko paar kiya hai. Isliye dhancha torne ki zaroorat hai taake aap yeh tay kar saken ke yeh higher high ya lower low pattern mein hai?

Trend ka rukh bunyadi tor par bearish shorat mein hai kyun ke hum EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ke cross hone se death cross signal dekh sakte hain. Magar ab bearish trend kamzor nazar aata hai jab price support (S1) 0.6561 ki taraf girne mein qamyab nahi hua. Stochastic indicator ke nazariye se lagta hai ke oonchi raftaar wali price rally jald hi overbought point tak pohanchegi. Overbought zone ke level 90 - 80 ko guzarne wale parameters zaroor cross karenge taake prices girne ka samna kar saken. Mumkin hai ke price phir se pivot point (PP) 0.6643 ya in do Moving Average lines ke aas paas giray jo ke golden cross signal denge. Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ne histogram level 0 ya positive area ke ooper hone ke baad uptrend momentum dikhaya hai. Yeh bhi ishara kar sakta hai ke price movement ka tend hota rahay ga ooper ki taraf.




Position entry setup:
Trading options mein intezar karein ke oonchi raftaar wale price development resistance (R1) 0.6690 tak pohanch jaye phir aap SELL entry position rakh sakte hain. Confirmation ke liye yeh ensure karein ke Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo ke overbought zone cross kar chuke hain, level 80 se neeche hon. AO indicator ke histogram kam az kam red ho chahiye bina ke uptrend momentum dikhaye. Take profit ko do Moving Average lines ya pivot point (PP) 0.6643 ke aas paas rakha jaye jabki stop loss ko high price 0.6716 par 15 - 25 pips ooper rakha jaye.

Haal hi ke bazar mein dekhe gaye utar-chadhav, sarmayakar ke samnay darpaish ghair yaqeeniat ko wazeh karte hain, jabke aane walay data releases ki ahmiyat ko bhi numaya karte hain jo market ki rawaya mein ahem kirdar ada karte hain. Jese ke sarmayakar waqoofi se aane walay maloomat ko samajhne aur hazm karne mein masroof hain, wahan کرنسی markets mein bazid khauf aur volatility ke imkani izafay ka maujood hai, jo ke monetary policy aur economic fundamentals ke mutaalliq lagataar badalne wali umeedat ka aik aks hai.

Federal Reserve ke officials ke taqreeron ka ghaur se jaeza lene se na sirf pechida economic surat-e-haal ka bareeq samajh milta hai, balke yeh bhi zaahir hota hai ke market ecosystem mein stability aur quwwat ko barqarar rakhne ke liye aik pakka azm mojood hai. Halanke aane walay inflation data ke release ka intezar hai, Federal Reserve apni dual mandate, yani price stability ko barqarar rakhne aur maximum employment opportunities ko faasil karne par mazbooti se qaim hai.


AUD/USD currency pair mein paayi jane wali mojooda stability sarmayakar ke ehtiyaat se bhari rawaya ka aik numaya misal hai, jo ghair yaqeeniat ke peeche mojood hai. Yeh stability yeh bhi zaahir karti hai ke aane walay data releases na sirf market ki rawaya ko shape dene mein ahem kirdar ada karenge, balke market mein currency movements ki rah ko bhi steer karenge.

Mukhtasir mein, jab sarmayakar mazeed ghair yaqeeni surat-e-haal ko samajhne ke liye jaari hain, aane walay data releases ke insights bazid gehri asar dalne wale hain. Sarmayakar ko mutaliq, flexible aur dehaan se ba-khabar rehna chahiye taake wo new opportunities se faida uthate hue risks ko achi tarah manage kar saken. Is tarah se, sarmayakar fluctuating landscape ko poise, resilience aur achi samajh ke sath traverse kar sakte hain.

AUD/USD:

Kal, local support level 0.66488 ko upar se neeche test karne ke baad price ne bounce kiya aur ek indecision candle form hui jisme halki bearish bias thi. Filhal, mujhe is instrument par kuch khaas interesting nahi lag raha aur mujhe lagta hai ke aaj sellers phir se designated support level ya support level 0.66347 ko retest karne ki koshish karenge. Jaise maine pehle bhi mention kiya tha, is support level ke nazdeek do scenarios ho sakte hain.

Pehla scenario yeh hai ke reversal candle form ho aur price phir se upar ki taraf move kare. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to main price ke 0.67289 resistance level ki taraf move hone ka wait karunga. Agar price is resistance level ke upar close hoti hai, to main aage further northward movement expect karunga, jo 0.68711 resistance level tak ho sakti hai. Is resistance level ke nazdeek, main ek trading setup form hone ka wait karunga jo next trading direction determine karne mein madad karega.

Mujhe lagta hai ke specified northern target ki taraf move karte hue southern pullbacks ho sakte hain, jinko main nearby support levels se bullish signals dhundhne ke liye use karunga, expecting ke price apne upward movement ko resume karegi ek bullish trend formation ke andar.

Dusra scenario yeh hai ke jab price support level 0.66347 ko test kare to price is level ke neeche consolidate ho jaye aur south ki taraf continue kare. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to main expect karunga ke price support level 0.65794 ya support level 0.65580 ki taraf continue kare. In support levels ke nazdeek, main bullish signals search karunga, expecting ke price apne upward movement ko resume karegi.

Mujhe lagta hai ke door ke southern targets bhi ho sakte hain, lekin main unhe filhal consider nahi kar raha kyunki mujhe unke quick realization ke prospects nahi dikh rahe. Short mein, aaj ke liye mujhe kuch khaas interesting nahi lag raha locally. Overall, main global northward movement ke resumption ki taraf oriented hoon, isliye main nearby support levels se bullish signals search kar raha hoon.

Australian Dollar / US Dollar currency pair ki rukh ki nigrani aur pesh-goi. Time frame – 4 ghante.
Hum aik mustanad tahlil karenge aur tafseeli tor par mojooda data aur takneeki tahlil ke isharaat Extended Regression StopAndReverse, RSI, aur MACD ke jayeze se, jo aaj muntakhib asbab par munafa bakhsh trading ko buland awaz dete hain. Ye isharaat humein munfarid taur par dakhli daakhil hone ke sab se zyada munsalik maqami nuqta ka intikhab karne mein madad dete hain, jo humein acha paisa kamane ki ijaazat deta hai. Isi tarah ahem hai ke hum mojooda quote ko munfarid hai jo position se baahar nikalne ke liye intekhaab karte hain, jis ke liye hum mojooda kam az kam aur zaada se zaada chune gaye waqt ke maximum aur minimum ke mutabiq ek Fibonacci grid banaenge. Jab tak qareebi correctional Fibo levels hasil nahi ho jaenge hum nikalenge.

Is chart par jo dekhte hain, hum is pehli darja ki regression line (soni nukta daara line) ko dekhte hain jo ke taqseem aur asbab ke halaat ko darshata hai jo ke time frame H4 mein meyasar hai, yeh lagbagh 35-40 degree ke khandar mein ooper ki taraf mojud hai jo ke upar ki taraf trend instrument trend darshata hai. Ghair lainear regression channel, jaise ke tasawwur ke jata hai, upar ko muntaqil hua aur neechay se na sirf golden uptrend line LP balkay linear channel (surkhi nukta daara line) ki resistance line ko bhi par kia. Ab ghair lainear regression channel shimal ki taraf muntaqil ho raha hai aur khareed-daroon ki taqat ko tasdeeq kar raha hai.

Keemat ne lal resistance line ko lainear regression channel 2-nd LevelResLine ke par kia lekin quote ke ziada wus'at (HIGH) 0.67146 tak pohncha, uske baad apna izafa band kiya aur mustavi tor par girne laga. Moa'een ab ke liye 0.66149 ke qeemat se trade ho raha hai. Upar di gae tamaam baaten yaad rakh kar, mujhe ummed hai ke market ke keemat quote 2-nd LevelResLine (0.65387) channel line of the 50% FIBO level ke neeche wapas laut kar jam ho jaegi aur is ke baad golden average line LR of the linear channel 0.63628 tak aur 0% Fibo level ke saath muntaqil ho jaegi. Farz kiya gaya hai ke aik sell transaction ke daakhil hone ki samajh aur durusti RSI (14) aur MACD ke ishareat se mukammal hai, kyunkay yeh mojooda halat mein overbought zone mein hain.

AUD/USD Daily Chart Ki Keemat Action Tahlil
Chaliye AUD/USD ke daily chart mein ghaur karte hain taake aham insights aur trading mauqe ko pata chale. Audusd currency pair (daily chart) ke mutabiq keemat ab halat mein side mein move kar rahi hai aur zone 0.67630 ke aas paas resistance se guzar rahi hai. Keemat ne is level ko kai baar test kia hai, jo ke isay ooper ki taraf chalne mein rokne wala hadsa karte hain, is doraan zaroori support level 0.66169 ke qareeb mein bhi guzara hai, jahan keemat ne haal hilat ke baad aik temporary floor daryaft kia hai. Takneeki tor par, daily chart ke mutabiq, keemat action symmetrical triangle pattern ko banane ka izhar karta hai, jo ke do milte julte soni trend lines se nishaan dahi ki gayi hai. Yeh pattern aam tor par kisi bhi taraf breakout ke liye rukawat hai. Breakout ki taraf rukh hai jo ke agla major direction tay karega. Mujhe aage ka breakout ki taraf umeed hai, keemat is waqt ahem support level 0.6600 par mojood hai aur yahan mazbooti se ikhatta hai aur consolidate hai. Keemat ka breakout support level se mumkin nahi hai, is liye agar keemat dobara current level par support pata karta hai aur ooper chalay jata hai to yeh symmetrical triangle pattern ko break kar sakta hai.





100-period moving average keemat ke neeche rehta hai, jo lambi muddat mein bullish trend ko support karta hai. Jabke 50-period moving average thora sa keemat ke neeche hai, jo dynamic support ki tarah kaam karta hai aur neutral se thora bullish bias ki taraf ishara karta hai. Yeh do indicators ek potential bullish continuation ki taraf ishara karte hain. Agar keemat in do indicators ke saaf rahen to buying priority bani rahegi. Is ke ilawa, agar bullish engulfing ya hammer pattern current support zone mein banta hai, to yeh ek potential buying opportunity ka izhar kar sakta hai. Keemat agar 0.6580 ke support level se breakout kare aur 0.64550 ke qareeb ascending trend line se neeche giray, to yeh ek bearish trend ka dobara shuru hone ka nishaan ho sakta hai.

T E C H N I C A L _ A N A L Y S I S A U D / U S D

Subah bakhair aur sabko mubarak ho. Likhnay ke waqt AUD/USD ki keemat 0.6605 hai. Agar kal ke market movement ki tareekh dekhein to lagta hai ke sellers ab market par dominion shuru kar rahe hain. AUD/USD pair ke movement mein pichle kuch ghanton mein izafah dar izafah dekhne ko mil raha hai. Lekin takneeki taur par, major time frame par movement ab bhi downtrend zone mein hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 47.2664 ke level par hai, is level ke neeche selling pressure barh jayega. Isi waqt, moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator ab 0 signal line ke neeche convergence dikha raha hai, jo ke positive region mein dakhil hone ki koshish kar raha hai. Takneeki tor par dekh sakte hain ke moving average indicators sell signal de rahe hain, jahan 20-day exponential moving average indicator ne 50-day exponential moving average indicator ke upar chadhna kamyab kiya hai.




Is time frame ki lower limit 0.7841 par hai jo ke initial resistance level hai. Market ke qeemat mein izafah primary aur secondary resistance barriers ko alag alag tor par 0.7841 aur 0.9616 ke tor par kuchal sakta hai. Iske baad, 1.1081 ke level ko 3rd resistance level ke tor par AUD/USD ke liye istemal kia jayega. Dosri taraf, market ke qeemat mein girawat primary aur secondary support barriers ko alag alag tor par 0.6298 aur 0.5083 ke tor par kuchal sakta hai. Iske baad, is time frame ki lower limit 0.4123 par hai jo ke 3rd level of support hai. Aaj kal fundamentals movement mein shamil hote hain aur aham kirdar ada karte hain, is liye kabhi kabhi takneeki tahlil ka kaam nahi karti.

AUDUSD pair ki takneeki tahlil
4-ghanton ka chart





Pichle hafton mein, jaise hum chart par dekh sakte hain, keemat side mein move kar rahi hai.
Pichle hafte ke doran, keemat mein taqatwar ooper ki taraf trend dekha gaya, lekin hafte ke darmiyan mein keemat ne neechay ki taraf trend shuru kiya aur pichle ooper ki taraf wave ke barabar neechay wave tak pohnch gaya.
Is hafte, keemat haftawar pivot level ke neeche trading shuru karti hai aur pichle hafte ke doran ki sab se kam trading keemat ke qareeb hai, lekin ab tak keemat mazeed girne ki taraf rawani se ja rahi hai.
Is liye agle trend ko tay karna ke liye, aapko intezaar karna aur keemat ke rawaiye ko nazar andaz karna hoga, kyun keemat is level par price bottom bana sakti hai aur is hafte ke doran trend ooper ki taraf ho sakta hai.
Keemat pichle bottom level ko torne ki koshish kar sakti hai aur is hafte ke doran girne ka silsila jari rakh sakti hai.
Is pair par trader agle levels par tawajjo kar sakta hai.
Maujooda level suitable hai selling ke liye, kyun keemat mazeed neechay girne ki koshish kar rahi hai middle line of the blue channel se, jo keemat ko kam az kam lower red channel line tak le jata hai.
Selling ke doosre level par pohonchne ka maqsad hai agar keemat red channel ko tor de, kyun ke is surat mein keemat lower blue channel line ki taraf ja rahi hai.
Is hafte ke liye buying levels ki baat karte hain, wo haftawar pivot level ke ooper hain, is liye aap keemat se aik ghante ke liye haftawar pivot level ke ooper stable hone ka intezar kar sakte hain aur phir buying mein daakhil ho sakte hain.
Buying ke doosre level par pohonchne ka maqsad hai jab keemat 0.6688 ke haftawar resistance ko tor de aur aik ghante ke liye is ke ooper mustaqil ho jaye.

Monday ko koi bhi macroeconomic events mojood nahi hain. Isliye din bhar dono currency pairs ke liye kam volatility aur kamzor movement ka intezar kiya jata hai. European currency thoda sa ooper ki taraf adjust ho sakta hai, lekin yaad rakha jana chahiye ke mukhtasar trend abhi bhi neeche ki taraf hai. Isliye, sale karne ki priority honi chahiye, khareedne ki nahi. Pound girne ka silsila jaari rahega aur 1.2684-1.2693 area se push ho sakta hai, lekin agar iske ooper fix ho jaye to iska matlab hoga ke market abhi bechne ke liye tayyar nahi hai.



AUD/USD:
Jumeraat ko Australian dollar ne 0.6627 ke support level aur daily balance indicator line ke neeche gir gaya. Ab 0.6570 target, MACD ke support line, ko haasil karne ke qareeb hai. Is level ke neeche ikhatta hona 0.6467 (May 1 low) target level ki taraf raasta kholta hai. Marlin oscillator apne downward channel mein gir raha hai. Char ghante ki paimaish par, keemat balance aur MACD indicator lines ke neeche ikhatti hui hai, aur Marlin oscillator ke signal line neeche ke ilaqe mein mubtala hai. Short-term trend kamzor ho raha hai, isliye hum keemat ko 0.6570 level par dekh rahe hain.

Subah China se aane wale data ne dikhaya ke industrial production 6.7% saalana basis par se 5.6% saalana basis par kam hui hai aur fixed asset investment growth 4.2% saalana basis par se 4.0% saalana basis par ghata. Asian stock indices (Nikkei 225 -1.92%, China A50 -0.73%, S&P/ASX200 -0.22%) badi hadd tak gir rahe hain, jis se Australian dollar ko neeche khinch raha hai. Monday ke fundamental events mein sirf Fed representative Patrick Harker ka speech aata hai. Lekin iss hafte hi Fed ne meeting ki thi aur Jerome Powell ne monetary policy aur uske future ke baare mein market ko sab zaroori maalumat faraham kar di thi. Isliye, Mr. Harker ki speech mein naye maalumat ka izhar hone ka imkaan hai. Har haal mein, unka speech shaam ko hai, isliye din bhar currency pairs ke movement par koi asar nahi hona chahiye.

Filhal, AUDUSD pair mein jo main trend chal raha hai, wo abhi bhi bullish condition mein hai. Kuch waqt pehle trend direction mein almost change aaya tha jab impulsive downward price movement ne EMA 50 aur SMA 200 crossing ko death cross signal diya tha. Lekin, upward rally jo abhi bhi in dono Moving Average lines ke upar hai, wo bullish trend direction ko continue karte hue dikhati hai, halan ke abhi tak itni strong nahi hai.

Price pattern structure ke liye, filhal uncertainty hai, kyunki jo prices low 0.6365 tak giri aur jo prices high 0.6716 tak uthi, dono hi break of structure mein hui hain. Toh, price pattern structure ko determine karne ke liye, pehle secondary reaction ki zaroorat hai. Stochastic indicator ka nazariya zyada tar prices ko unki increase ko support karta dikhayi deta hai. Parameters jo oversold zone level 20 - 10 ko cross kar chuke hain, wo ab level 50 ko cross karne ki koshish karte dikhayi dete hain taake overbought zone level 90 - 80 ko reach kar sakein. Agar price level 50 ke around cross karti hai aur fir oversold zone mein jaati hai, toh price movements do Moving Average lines ke around consolidate karegi taake agle direction ko determine kar sake.

Medium-term trading plans jo daily time frame analysis ko refer karte hain, unke liye yeh behtar hoga ke BUY moment ka wait karein jo bullish trend direction mein ho. Entry position instantly place karna risky ho sakta hai kyunki price downward correct ho sakti hai. Isliye, behtar hoga ke EMA 50 ke around ya low prices 0.6578 ke around downward price movements ka wait karein. Confirm karein ke Stochastic indicator parameters fir se oversold zone cross kar rahe hain. High prices 0.6716 ko take profit ke liye aur SMA 200 ya price range 0.6542 ko stop loss ke liye place karein.