ای AUD/USD کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

Australian Dollar (AUD) ne Thursday ko jaari hone wale musbat rozgar data ke bawajood mehngai ko samjha aur US Dollar (USD) ke khilaf gir gaya. Ye hairat angaiz waqia is ke bawajood aya ke taqatwar Aussie jobs numbers ke sath aya, Australian Bureau of Statistics ne May mein 39,700 jobs ki izafah darj kiya, jo ke 30,000 ki tawaqo ko peechay chor kar guzishta mahine ke 38,500 ke hasool ko bhi paar kar gaya. Berozgari dar bhi behtar hui, jo ke April mein tawaqo ki gayi 4.1% se 4.0% tak gir gayi. AUD ki kamzori ke peechay wajah lag rahi hai ke mojudah USD ke phir se ubhartay hue hone ki wajah se. Federal Reserve ke June ke imtehan mein iska qadri rukh le kar USD mazboot hua. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ne mustaqbil ki mushahedat ke doran benchmark interest rate ko 5.25% se 5.50% tak sath qaim rakha, jo ke zyadatar market ke mohtamimun ki tawaqo thi. Ye faisla, sath hi investors ke umeedwar hote hue ke Thursday ke baad US ki maqool arziyon aur producer price index figures shamil honge, USD ko mazboot kiya.

Jab ke AUD/USD pair Thursday ko 0.6660 ke aas paas tha. Daily chart ki takhleeq ka takniki jaiza AUD/USD ke darmiyan ek musallas pattern ke andar ek consolidation phase ka izhar karta hai, jo ke ek be-jan market sentiment ko darust karta hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke thora neeche mojood hai, jo ke kisi wazeh rehnumai ki kami ko mazeed wazeh karta hai. Is level ke upar ya neeche faislay mustaqbil ke trend ka ishara kar sakte hain. Aglay dekhiye, AUD/USD ke liye fori support 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke qareeb hai jo 0.6604 par hai, isay rectangle pattern ke nichle hadood ke 0.6585 par dekha jata hai. Agar AUD/USD upar ki taraf ko mojooda kiya to woh mazeed takhleeqati halchal ka samna kar sakta hai, yeh shayad 0.6700 ke aas paas ke area ko test kare, shayad May ke uchchatam 0.6714 tak bhi pohonch sake. Jab ke AUD/USD apni 0.63618 ke qareeb se kamiyon se tezabiat ko dur kar raha hai, kuch analysts ke mutabiq girawat abhi khatam nahi hui hai. Unka khayal hai ke jab tak ke qeemat 0.6699 ke neeche rahe, pair ke liye mazeed neeche ki taraf ka rukh mubtala rehta hai, jahan tak 0.6576-0.65002 ka maqsad hai. Magar yeh analysts is waqt AUD/USD ko farokht karne ki taqat nahi dete. Unka tajwez hai ke jab qeemat "neela dabba area" ko paunchti hai, to kharidne ki fa'alat mein izafa hone ka imkan hai, jo ke naye uchchatam ki taraf ya kam az kam aik ahem islahi bounce ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

Analysis of the AUD/USD pair
AUD/USD pair mein bechne wale zor hain, jo das dinon se neeche ki taraf girte hue hain. Bechne walon ki koshish hai ke 0.6675-0.6695 hare zone ko toorna, jo ek na-test kiya gaya support level hai. Ek inkaar 18 December 2021 ko 05:00 InstaForex broker time par hua, aur buyers ne pink zone ya na-test resistance 0.6130-0.6150 ko toorna nahi. Lagta hai ke ab sellers hare zone ya na-test support 0.6002-0.6010 ko guzarne ki koshish kar rahe hain. 23 December 2021 ko 16:00 server time tak, buyers ka indigo zone ya resistance 0.6180-0.6190 tak pohanchne ka imkan hai. Next, sellers 0.6110-0.6120 tak pohanchne ka umeed karte hain, jo ke gray zone ya kamzor support hai. Agar ye price correct hoti hai, to AUD/USD pair aur neeche gir sakta hai. Magar, agar business inkaar ka samna karta hai, to keemat dobara buland ho sakti hai. Apne trading plan ke hisaab se peer ko, main price ke weak support area ka reaction closely monitor karunga jab wo usmein dakhil hone ki koshish karta hai. Agar price sahi taur par dakhil hoti hai, to bechna ka order lagaya ja sakta hai. Hum nafa ka target 0.6047 par set karenge. 0.6080 ke level ko stop loss ke taur par istemal kiya jayega. Agar price 0.6040 ke upar qaim hoti hai, to bechnay ke zone mein nafa ko bachane ke liye stop-loss orders lagaye jayenge. Abhi, short positions channel ke upper boundary aur 0.6110 ke level ke darmiyan kholi gayi hain. Halankeh, mojooda mein short positions ka hona maynwi nahi hai. Ek bullish safar ka intezar hai jo 0.6692 positions ko nishana banayega, jo doosron ke buyers ke liye keemat buland karne mein madad karega. Ek comfortable trading position dhoondne ke liye, meri raaye ke mutabiq, sirf price ko 0.6662 position tak pohanchne ka intezar karna chahiye. Halankeh keemat zyada tar ek upward trend ki taraf jaati hai, lekin mukhtalif factors ki wajah se market habits ki shuruwat mein keemat mein ek neeche ki correction ho sakti hai.



Thursday ko AUD/USD pair 0.6660 ke aas paas ghoom raha tha. Daily chart ki technical analysis mein dikhaya gaya hai ke AUD/USD rectangle pattern ke andar consolidation phase mein hai, jo ek neutral market sentiment ko darshata hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke thode se neeche hai, jo ke ek clear directional bias ki kami ko aur zyada zahir karta hai. Is level ke upar ya neeche faislay karne se future trend ki nishandahi ki ja sakti hai.

Aage dekhte hue, AUD/USD ka turant support 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke qareeb hai jo 0.6604 par hai, uske baad rectangle pattern ke neeche border par 0.6585 par hai. Agar AUD/USD upper momentum hasil kar paata hai, toh wo potential hai ke pattern ke upper border ke aas paas 0.6700 tak ja sakta hai, shayad hi May ke high 0.6714 tak pohanch sake.

Jabki AUD/USD apne 0.63618 ke aas paas ke low se correction kar raha hai, kuch analysts ko lagta hai ke giravat abhi khatam nahi hui hai. Unka kehna hai ke jab tak price 0.6699 ke neeche rahe, pair ke liye aur neeche ki taraf movement ka intezar hai, jiska target range 0.6576 se lekar 0.65002 tak hai. Lekin yeh analysts is waqt AUD/USD ko bechnay ki tavajjo nahi dete. Unka yeh manna hai ke jab price "blue box area" tak pohanchega, toh buying activity barh sakti hai, jo naye highs ki taraf ya kam az kam ek significant corrective bounce ki taraf le ja sakti hai.

AUD/USD

Aaj ka din currency market mein interesting hone wala hai. Thode southern pullback ke baad, mujhe northern movement ke continuation ka mauka nazar aa raha hai. Ab meri nazar resistance level 0.6655 par hai, aur main dekh raha hoon ke price wahan kaise behave karegi. Agar price is level ke upar consolidate hoti hai, to mera agla stop 0.6670 hoga. Yahan main future purchases ke liye confirmation dhondhunga. Aur agar price is level ko cross kar leti hai, to 0.6687 ka level mere field of vision mein aa jayega. Yeh sab market reaction aur news par depend karta hai jo direction change kar sakti hai, isliye main hamesha flexible rehta hoon aur jo bhi din laata hai uske mutabiq apne plans change karne ke liye tayaar rehta hoon. Zaroori hai ke moment miss na kiya jaye aur market ke signals ko sahi se interpret kiya jaye.



Kal ka din kaafi acha raha, aur price 0.6700 resistance level tak pohanch gayi, lekin phir ek reversal nazar aaya aur pair tezi se girne laga. Aaj price 0.6640 support level tak pohanch gayi. Is level se ek rollback shuru ho chuka hai, aur agar bulls initiative lete hain to wo is scenario ko develop kar sakte hain; yani pair ek baar phir 0.6700 resistance level ko test karegi. Lekin is se pehle, bulls ko 0.6668 level ko overcome karna hoga jo unke raaste mein hai.

Daily chart humein thodi mukhtalif situation dikha raha hai, yani ek bearish candle ki formation shuru ho rahi hai, aur agar yeh form hoti hai aur strengthen karti hai, to bearish trend apni line par chalega. 4-hour chart par, price downward channel ke andar hai. Kal upward move karte hue, price descending channel ki upper border tak badhi; yeh 0.6689 ka level hai. Is level tak pohanch kar, price thoda break through hui upar, lekin growth continue karne mein nakam rahi; pair ne ek reversal liya aur price neeche move karne lagi. Ab mujhe lagta hai ke agar price neeche move continue karti hai, to pair downward channel ki lower border tak move kar sakti hai; yeh 0.6572 ka level hai. Is level tak neeche pohanchne par, pair mein ek reversal ho sakta hai aur price wapas upar move karna shuru karegi.

Kal ke din, jaisa ke maine kaha tha, AUD/USD market mein sellers ka pressure tha. Worst case scenario mein, hum 0.6480 level cross kar sakte hain. Ab, market ek specific point par pohonch gaya hai aur aaj ke din selling side stable rahegi. Iske ilawa, US JOLTS job opening rate bhi aaj market ko influence kar sakti hai. Yeh perfect forecast business decisions ko anchor karti hai, patience aur restraint ke sath business decisions guide karti hai. Aur, hum sell-side position open karne par bhi soch sakte hain. Isme kisi cheez ko bechne ka maqsad hota hai ke uski price gir jaye, taake trader usay lower price par wapas khareed sakay. Sell position ko effectively execute karne ke liye, traders ko apni analysis par based specific targets set karne chahiye, jo support aur resistance stars, trend lines, aur key technical suggestions ko include karte hain

Aaj ke din sellers stable lag rahe hain. Lekin, 0.6509 ke star level par entry buyers ko jaldi advantage lene mein madad kar sakti hai.



Neutral perspective se dekhein, aaj FOMC Acting Master ka speech aur JOLTS job opening rate release hone wala hai. To, apne account ko accordingly manage karein. Yad rahein ke AUD/USD ke market sentiment ko samajhna ek continuous learning process hai jo technical analysis, chart reading, aur key principles ke knowledge ka combination maangta hai. Selling conditions ko carefully evaluate karke, various charts ko effectively use karke, aur phir MACD aur Fibonacci ko supporting tools ke tor par use karke, traders market information par based decisions lene ki dilemma se bach sakte hain. Usually, is haftay ki news traders ke liye important hoti hai. Kyunki US dollar se related bohot si news data release hone wali hai. To, apna AUD/USD trading plan is ratio par base karein

Australian dollar mandi ke subah thori taiz hui, lekin phir bhi wahi mazboot range mein qaid hai jo hafton se hai, jab ke 0.6650 ke darja asl magnet ka kaam kar raha hai. Yeh market ab bhi shor o ghul ke saath hai, is liye dekhna dilchasp hai, agar haalaat bura na bhi hon. Yeh mainly is liye hai ke Australian dollar China ke maali aur asbi markets ke proxy ke tor par kaam karta hai, jo ke pichle kuch mahino ke drivers hain.

Yeh musbat nahi ke Australia apni mojooda haalat se kahiin phisalti hai ya nahi. 0.6750 ke darja ek ahem rukawat hai jise dekhna zaroori hai; Agar is darje par thori rukawat hogi toh 0.69 ke darja ki taraf raasta khul sakta hai. Ulta agar keemat 0.66 ke neeche gir jaye, toh yeh 50-din aur 200-din ke EMA indicators ko challenge kar sakti hai, dono jo support ke tor par kaam kar sakte hain. Kul mila ke, yeh market shor o ghul aur chatpata rahega, jo aarzi traders ke liye dilchasp hai. Magar, yeh lambe arse tak position rakhne wale logon ke liye mohtaj nahi ho sakta.

Mukhtasir arse ke traders ke liye, yeh market aik sargarmi se bharpoor moqa faraham kar sakta hai, khaaskar paanch minute ke charts jaise chhoti muddaton mein, jab tak mojooda range se wazeh tor par ikhtilaf na ho, jo ke 100-point ka harkat mumkin bana sakta hai, baray umeedain ke liye modest expectations Kisi bhi tarah ka wazeh tor par ikhtilaf na ho, mojooda market chhoti muddaton ke trading strategies ke liye khaas hai. Marketers ko mustaqbil ke tabdilatiyon ke liye tayar rehna chahiye aur apni umeedon ko lambay arse tak ki manzilon ke liye manzool karna chahiye.

Mukhtasar mein, AUD 0.6650 ke darja ke qareeb tight ranges mein hai, jo ke China aur commodities ke proxy ke tor par asar daal raha hai. Halan ke 0.6750 ya 0.66 ke darja ke ooper ya neeche se bahar nikalne ka matlab ek ahem harkat ho sakti hai, lekin mojooda market chhoti muddaton ke trading strategies ke liye mufeed hai. Marketers ko mustaqbil ke tabdilatiyon ke liye tayar rehna chahiye aur apni umeedon ko lambay arse tak ki manzilon ke liye manzool karna chahiye.




Position Entry Setup:
Trading options ke liye SELL entry position place kar sakte hain jab price jo upar correct hone ki koshish kar rahi ho, SMA 200 ya pivot point (PP) 0.6621 ke aas paas false break ya rejection ka samna kare. Bhalay hi trend direction abhi bhi bullish hai kyun ke death cross signal ab tak nahi aaya, price movement neechay jane ki tendency rakhti hai. Confirmation ke liye ensure karein ke Stochastic indicator parameter level 80 ke neeche ho jo level 50 ki taraf ja rahi ho. AO indicator ka histogram kam az kam red mein negative area mein rahe. Take profit placement support (S1) 0.6541 ke aas paas karein aur stop loss ko resistance (R1) 0.6662 se thoda upar place karein.

Market Update: AUD/USD
Australian job market mein behtari nazar aayi hai jab employment changes 30.5K se barh kar 39.7K ho gayi. Lekin, unemployment rate 4.0% par hi qaim rahi. Employment data ke positive hone ke bawajood, Australian dollar kamzor ho gaya, jiski wajah se AUD/USD market ne tezi se decline kiya aur 0.6647 zone tak gir gaya. Yeh girawat US PPI aur Core PPI data ke expected se behtar hone ke karan aur ziada badh gayi, jis se US dollar mazid strong ho gaya. Aaj, traders US Prelim Consumer Confidence aur Inflation Expectation reports ko ghaur se dekh rahe hain, kyunki yeh indicators effective trading strategies banane ke liye bohot zaroori hain. Maujooda market dynamics ko dekhte hue, AUD/USD market poore din sellers ke favor mein rehne ka imkaan hai. Market ke 0.6600 zone ko dobara cross karne ka imkaan bhi zyada hai, kyunki bearish sentiments barqarar hain.



Yeh outlook Australia ke employment data ke unemployment rate par significant asar na dalne aur strong US economic indicators jo US dollar ko support kar rahe hain, unki wajah se hai. Jaise hi traders naye data ko digest karenge aur US Prelim Consumer Confidence aur Inflation Expectation reports ka intezar karenge, AUD/USD market mein volatility barkarar rehne ki umeed hai. Is pair mein trade karne walon ke liye yeh zaroori hai ke wo in economic indicators aur market sentiment par nazar rakhte hue apni strategies adjust karein. Overall, market conditions yeh suggest karte hain ke Australian dollar US dollar ke muqable mein mushkil mein reh sakta hai, aur sellers trading activity mein dominate kar sakte hain. AUD/USD pair ki agle movements ka daromadar aaj ke US economic data ke market sentiment par asar par hoga, lekin prevailing trend yeh indicate karta hai ke Australian dollar par pressure continue reh sakta hai, jo pair ko dobara 0.6600 level ke neeche dhakel sakta hai. Stay Blessed and Keep Smiling.

muqable mein aik numaya kami ka samna hai. Kal tak apne urooj par pohanchne ke baad, AUD/USD currency pair ne kam ke qeemat par trade karte hue peechay hat gaya hai. Is inqilab ka sabab bazar ko mutassir karne wale mukhtalif factors hain. Sab se pehle, traders haal ki mazeed faiday dene wale charhao se apni nafahat mehfooz kar rahe hain, jo ke currency ki qeemat mein aik fitri sudhar ka sabab ban raha hai. Nafa dene aam amal hai maali bazarat mein, jahan investors wo asasaat farokht karte hain jo ke izafa kar chuke hote hain taake unke faiday haasil ho sakein. Ye harkat currency par nichli dabao paida kar sakti hai jab farokht inteha pasandi ko bharta hai Dusra, US dollar mazeed tarah se aam currency ke muqable mein taaqat dikhata hai, na ke sirf AUD ke sath. USD ki yeh mazbooti mukhtalif factors par mustamil hai, jese ke musbat ma'ashi nishanat aur America ki ma'ashi manzar e aam ki musbat tawaqqu'. Jab USD mazboot hota hai, to ye aam tor par dosri currencies ki qeemat mein girawat ka sabab banta hai, jese ke AUD, exchange rates mein ulta rishta hone ki wajah se
Teesra, aaj Australia mein jari mukhtalif ma'ashi data AUD par nichle dabao ka sabab bana raha hai. Ma'ashi data mukhtalif indicators shamil hai jo ke Australia ki ma'ashi haliyat ke baray mein maloomat faraham karte hain. Jab yeh data mukhtalif hota hai ya market ki tawaqqu'at ko pora nahi karta, to ye investors aur traders ke darmiyan ittefaq ka khoz hota hai, jo currency ko kamzor kar deta hai
Jab market shirakat daikhti hai, to ab tawajjo US markets ke hone ki taraf shift ho rahi hai. America mein aane wale ahem ma'ashi data ka aik bada hissa jaari hone wala hai, jo ke AUD/USD pair ko mazeed mutassir kar sakta hai. Is mein shamil hai ibtida'i jobless claims ke figures, jo ke amoor e mulazmat ka aik jhalak faraham karte hain, aur tameer sector ki sehat ka data, jo ke ma'ashi afzaish aur mustaqbil ki tawaqqu'at faraham kar sakta hai. Is ma'ashi data ka jaari hona foreign exchange market mein shakhsiyat ke izafa ko sabit kar sakta hai. Ibtida'i jobless claims mulazmat ke trends ka aham indicator hain, aur kisi bhi ghair mutawaqqa tabdiliyon ko foran market ke jawabat mein le aati hain. Bilkhushus, tameer sector par data market ke jazbat par asar dal sakta hai, jabke ye aam ma'ashi shirakat ko dikhata hai
Click image for larger version.

Aaj ka din currency market pe interesting hone ka wada karta hai. Halka southern pullback ke baad, mujhe northern movement ke continuation ka mauka nazar aa raha hai. Ab meri nazar resistance level 0.6655 pe hai, aur main dekh raha hoon ke price is level ke aas-paas kaise behave karti hai. Agar price is level ke upar consolidate ho jati hai, toh mera agla stop 0.6670 hai. Yahan main future purchases ke liye confirmation dekhunga. Aur agar price is level ko cross kar leti hai, toh 0.6687 level meri field of vision mein aayega. Yeh sab market reaction aur news pe depend karta hai jo direction ko change kar sakti hai, isliye main hamesha flexible hoon aur din ke anusar apne plans change karne ke liye tayyar hoon. Zaroori hai ke moment ko miss na kiya jaye aur market ke diye gaye signals ko sahi tarah se interpret kiya jaye. Kal kaafi acchi growth hui thi, aur price 0.6700 ke resistance level tak pohanch gayi thi, lekin phir reversal nazar aaya, aur pair rapidly girne lagi, aur aaj yeh 0.6640 ke support level tak pohanch gayi.

Is level se ek rollback already nazar aa raha hai, aur agar bulls initiative lete hain, toh yeh scenario develop kar sakte hain; yeh hai ke pair dobara 0.6700 ke resistance level ko test karegi; lekin isse pehle, 0.6668 ka level cross karna zaroori hoga jo bulls ke raaste mein hai. Daily chart humein thodi mukhtalif situation dikhata hai, yehani ke ek bearish candle ki formation shuru ho rahi hai, aur agar yeh form aur strengthen ho jati hai, toh bearish trend continue rehne ka chance hai. 4-hour chart pe, price downward channel ke andar hai. Kal, upar move karte hue, upper border of descending channel tak increase hui thi; yeh level 0.6689 tak tha. Is level tak pohanchne ke baad, price thoda upar break hui, lekin price growth continue karne mein fail ho gayi; pair ne reversal kiya, aur price ne down move karna shuru kiya. Ab mujhe umeed hai ke agar price neechay move karna continue karti hai, toh pair downward channel ke lower border tak move kar sakti hai; yeh level 0.6572 tak hai. Is level tak neechay pohanch kar, pair mein reversal ho sakta hai, aur price upar move karna shuru karegi.

H4 TF reference ke mutabiq, yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke bullish trend ko continue karne ki koshish hui thi lekin nayi higher resistance area ke upar 0.6715 ke aas paas form karne mein nakam raha. Prices phir se decline karne lagi hain taake RBS area ko 0.6649 range mein test kar sake. Decline condition bhi RBS area aur MA50 (red) movement limit ke andar bearish hi lag rahi hai, jo sideway consolidation phase ke possibility ko dikhata hai jab tak agla trend determine nahi hota. Short term mein, purchasing plans ko 0.6670 range se enter karne ke liye calculate kiya ja sakta hai, aur target ko increase kar ke 0.6700 level tak pohanchana hai aur risk ko 0.6645 level ke niche place karna hai. Agar increase phir se bullish rejection face karta hai resistance area ke niche 0.6700-0.6715 ke range mein, to short-term sales ko consider kiya ja sakta hai taake decline target ko 0.6670 level tak pohanchaya ja sake aur risk ko 0.6720 level ke upar place karna hai. Purchasing transactions ka focus tab calculate kiya ja sakta hai jab 0.6715 level ke upar breakout ho jaye aur next target 0.6800 zero level tak pohanchane ki koshish ho. Price ke further bearish correction phase ko early confirm karne ke liye 0.6649 level ke niche fall hone ka possibility bhi consider kiya ja sakta hai. Is price level ke niche movement demand area ko 0.6604 ke aas paas pohanchane ka possibility kholti hai aur crucial support area ko 200 MA (blue) movement range 0.6559 par test karne ka possibility hai.

AUDUSD Analysis 21 May 2024

H4 TF reference ke mutabiq, yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke bullish trend ko continue karne ki koshish hui thi lekin nayi higher resistance area ke upar 0.6715 ke aas paas form karne mein nakam raha. Prices phir se decline karne lagi hain taake RBS area ko 0.6649 range mein test kar sake. Decline condition bhi RBS area aur MA50 (red) movement limit ke andar bearish hi lag rahi hai, jo sideway consolidation phase ke possibility ko dikhata hai jab tak agla trend determine nahi hota. Short term mein, purchasing plans ko 0.6670 range se enter karne ke liye calculate kiya ja sakta hai, aur target ko increase kar ke 0.6700 level tak pohanchana hai aur risk ko 0.6645 level ke niche place karna hai. Agar increase phir se bullish rejection face karta hai resistance area ke niche 0.6700-0.6715 ke range mein, to short-term sales ko consider kiya ja sakta hai taake decline target ko 0.6670 level tak pohanchaya ja sake aur risk ko 0.6720 level ke upar place karna hai. Purchasing transactions ka focus tab calculate kiya ja sakta hai jab 0.6715 level ke upar breakout ho jaye aur next target 0.6800 zero level tak pohanchane ki koshish ho. Price ke further bearish correction phase ko early confirm karne ke liye 0.6649 level ke niche fall hone ka possibility bhi consider kiya ja sakta hai. Is price level ke niche movement demand area ko 0.6604 ke aas paas pohanchane ka possibility kholti hai aur crucial support area ko 200 MA (blue) movement range 0.6559 par test karne ka possibility hai.

TF Daily reference mein, yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke previous 3 market session days mein consolidation phase hua tha. Yeh candle movement se dekha ja sakta hai jo abhi bhi RBS area mein aur resistance level 0.6649 se 0.6715 ke range mein move kar raha hai. Lekin, bullish trend ko continue karne ka potential lagta hai kyunki RSI indicator ke movement abhi bhi increase karne ki koshish kar raha hai taake overbought area ko RSI level 70 par pohanch sake. Buying transactions ka focus tab consider kiya ja sakta hai jab tak price support area ke niche decline nahi hota, jo MA 100 (green) movement limit 0.6559 par hai. Buy re-entry area ko 2 base RBS 0.6649 aur 0.6629 par calculate kiya ja sakta hai ya demand area ke niche 0.6607 ke aas paas. Is price level range se increase target ko consider karte hue, nayi higher form karne ki koshish, especially 0.6750 level ko pohanchna aur rally base ko continue kar ke highest price limit is saal ke 0.6893 tak pohanchana hai. Buy plan mein risk of losses ko 0.6559 level ke niche place kiya ja sakta hai. Trend ke bearish hone ki possibility ko consider karte hue selling ko tab kiya ja sakta hai jab price support area ke niche decline hota hai, jo 200 MA movement limit (blue) 0.6516 range mein hai.

Teen musalsal sessions mein Australian dollar (AUD) mein izafa dekha gaya hai. Muqablay mein US Federal Reserve ke dovish signals ke sath, Australian Reserve Bank (RBA) ek zyada hawkish stance le sakti hai, jo is surge mein madadgar hai. Japani hukumat ne interest rates ko mazboot level par set kiya hai, jis se mukhtalif US Federal Reserve ne inhein aik hi level par rehne ka faisla kiya hai Budh ke din. Jerome Powell ke cautious remarks ne mazeed rate barhane ke imkanat ko kam kar diya, jis se US dollar bearish tha. Tajziya hai ke RBA kisi bhi potential rate cuts ko is saal ke bad mein taakhir kar sakti hai jo taqreeban ehtiyaat se ati hai. Jis tarah ke nedamat se zyada garam ane wale inflation data ke peeshpai aamad ne AUD ki qeemat barhaye. Donon markazi bankon ke darmiyan monetary policy expectations mein mukhalifat bhi aik ahem karkardgi ka sabab hai. Saat aham currencies ki seep mein, zard dollar ki performance ko US dollar index (DXY) ke khilaf napaya jata hai. AUD ki position ko is kamzor US dollar se mazeed mazboot kiya jata hai. Jumma ko AUD/USD ka exchange rate 0.6570 tha.

AUD/USD technical indicators ke mutabiq bhi bullish trend dikhata hai. 14 din ka Relative Strength Index (RSI) ke mutabiq, market positive momentum dikhata hai. Is wajah se aur is baat ki ke AUD/USD ek ascending triangle pattern ke andar trade kar raha hai, hum jald hi aik psychological level 0.6630 ka imtehan dekh sakte hain. Agar ye level taez taur par tor diya jaye, to pair march ke urooj tak 0.6660 tak pohanch sakta hai.

Neeche ke risk ko tanqeed kiya jana chahiye. Agar AUD/USD is waqt ke level se nichayi ho jaye, to 50 din ka Simple Moving Average (SMA) 0.6525 AUD/USD ke liye ibtedai support faraham kar sakta hai. Agar mazeed girne ki surat mein, to ye 0.6495 ke psychological level tak pohanch sakta hai, jo triangle pattern ke lower boundary ke qareeb hota hai. RBA aur Federal Reserve ke interest rate policies mein mukhalifat ki umeed ke natijay mein, Australian dollar abhi mazeed pasandida hawaon ka maza le raha hai. Ek qareebi waqt mein upper move hone ka bhi technical ishara hai. Forex traders ke liye yeh waqt hai ke apni naqal karein.

AUD/USD ke market situation par ek nazar. Mere trading plan mein, intraday trading mein accha profit kamaane ke liye market movement ke do options hain. Option (1) primary option hai. Ismein growth dynamics hai, jo current price 0.65821 ka finding area hai, jo Fibonacci grid tool ke use se form hua hai, having values of 100% (0.65703) aur 150% (0.66036). Main 176.4% (0.66211) tak khareedna chahta hoon jo levels 100% (0.65703), 123.6% (0.65860), 138.2% (0.65957) ke rebounds ke area mein located hain. Market bohot aksar pip-pip-pip levels mein girta hai, jo limit orders ke saath trading karte waqt madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Option (2) spare option hai. Market movement 100% level (0.65703) ke neeche bearish interest ka izhaar karta hai. Yahan se correction par 100% (0.65703) ke broken level se sell karne ka mauka milta hai, jahan target level 50% (0.65371) aur neeche hai.

AUD/USD H4 Time Frame

Ab hum AUD/USD H4 time frame ke baare mein baat kar rahe hain. Kal, ek chhoti southern pullback ke baad, price reverse hui aur confident bullish impulse ke saath north ko push hui, jiska nateeja ek poori northern candle tha, jo easily break through kar gayi aur resistance level ke upar confidently consolidate hui, jo mere markings ke mutabiq, 0.65591 par located tha. Maujooda situation mein, main poori tarah se maan leta hoon ke aaj upward movement continue hoga aur buyers nearest resistance levels ko work out karenge. General mein, main resistance level ko dekhne ka plan bana raha hoon, jo 0.66347 par located hai, aur resistance level jo 0.66677 par located hai. In resistance levels ke paas do scenarios ho sakte hain situation ke development ke liye. Pehla scenario price consolidation ke saath in levels ke upar aur further northward movement se related hai. Agar ye plan work out hota hai, to main price ka movement resistance level ki taraf dekhoonga, jo 0.67289 par located hai. Is resistance level ke paas, main trading setup ke formation ka intezar karoonga, jo further trading direction ko determine karne mein madad karega. Bilkul, main ye bhi maan leta hoon ke price ko further north push kiya ja sakta hai resistance level ki taraf, jo 0.68711 par located hai. Lekin agar indicated plan implement hota hai, to price ke far northern target ki taraf move karte waqt, main southern pullbacks ko fully allow karta hoon, jo main bullish signals ko search karne ke liye nearest support levels se use karne ka plan bana raha hoon, renewed growth ke anticipation mein. Price movement ka alternative option jab resistance level 0.66347 ya resistance level 0.66677 ke paas approach hota hai, turning candle formation aur price movement ke resumption downwards ka plan hoga. Agar ye plan work out hota hai, to main price ke return ka intezar karoonga support level ki taraf, jo 0.65591 par located hai.

### Australian Dollar / US Dollar Currency Pair Analysis (4-Hour Time Frame)

Aaj, Australian Dollar / US Dollar (AUD/USD) currency pair ki trading ko profitable banane ke liye hum teen indicators ke signals ko analyze karenge: Extended Regression StopAndReverse, RSI, aur MACD. Yeh humein market entry point ko identify karne mein madad karenge. Forecast ko successfully work out karne ke baad, ek aur important task hoga transaction ko close karne ke liye most profitable point ko determine karna. Is maqsad ke liye, hum current extreme points pe based ek Fibonacci grid construct karenge aur position se exit ke liye nearest correctional Fibo levels pe focus karenge.

Presented chart pe hum dekh sakte hain ke first-degree regression line (golden dotted line), jo ke instrument ka direction aur selected time frame (H4) mein current trend ka state show kar rahi hai, upward direction mein hai aur 30% se zyada angle pe inclined hai, jo ke dominant trend movement ko north side mein emphasize kar rahi hai. Sath hi, nonlinear channel, jo near future ka prediction karne ke liye use hota hai, yellow-green color ka hai aur instrument ke quotes ke further increase ko indicate karta hai kyunke yeh north direction mein directed hai.

Price ne red resistance line ko cross kiya linear regression channel 2nd LevelResLine ka, lekin maximum quote value (HIGH) 0.67146 tak pohonch kar, apni growth ko stop kiya aur steadily decline karne laga. Is waqt instrument 0.66512 ke price level pe trade kar raha hai. Upar diye gaye tamaam points ke madde nazar, main expect karta hoon ke market price quotes return karenge aur 2nd LevelResLine (0.65387) channel line ke 50% FIBO level ke niche consolidate karenge aur further down move karenge golden average line LR of the linear channel 0.63628 tak, jo 0% Fibo level ke sath coincide karta hai. Ek additional argument transaction ko make karne ke haq mein yeh hai ke RSI (14) aur MACD indicators ke indicators bhi sales entry ki correctness ko confirm karte hain kyunke yeh overbought zone mein located hain.

### Roman Urdu Translation

Aaj, Australian Dollar / US Dollar (AUD/USD) currency pair ki trading ko profitable banane ke liye hum teen indicators ke signals ko analyze karenge: Extended Regression StopAndReverse, RSI, aur MACD. Yeh humein market entry point ko identify karne mein madad karenge. Forecast ko successfully work out karne ke baad, ek aur important task hoga transaction ko close karne ke liye most profitable point ko determine karna. Is maqsad ke liye, hum current extreme points pe based ek Fibonacci grid construct karenge aur position se exit ke liye nearest correctional Fibo levels pe focus karenge.

Presented chart pe hum dekh sakte hain ke first-degree regression line (golden dotted line), jo ke instrument ka direction aur selected time frame (H4) mein current trend ka state show kar rahi hai, upward direction mein hai aur 30% se zyada angle pe inclined hai, jo ke dominant trend movement ko north side mein emphasize kar rahi hai. Sath hi, nonlinear channel, jo near future ka prediction karne ke liye use hota hai, yellow-green color ka hai aur instrument ke quotes ke further increase ko indicate karta hai kyunke yeh north direction mein directed hai.

Price ne red resistance line ko cross kiya linear regression channel 2nd LevelResLine ka, lekin maximum quote value (HIGH) 0.67146 tak pohonch kar, apni growth ko stop kiya aur steadily decline karne laga. Is waqt instrument 0.66512 ke price level pe trade kar raha hai. Upar diye gaye tamaam points ke madde nazar, main expect karta hoon ke market price quotes return karenge aur 2nd LevelResLine (0.65387) channel line ke 50% FIBO level ke niche consolidate karenge aur further down move karenge golden average line LR of the linear channel 0.63628 tak, jo 0% Fibo level ke sath coincide karta hai. Ek additional argument transaction ko make karne ke haq mein yeh hai ke RSI (14) aur MACD indicators ke indicators bhi sales entry ki correctness ko confirm karte hain kyunke yeh overbought zone mein located hain.

AUDUSD pair ki price, jo ke abhi bhi SMA 200 aur pivot point (PP) 0.6621 ke neeche move kar rahi hai, bullish trend ki direction ko weak kar rahi hai. NFP data report ke wajah se pichle hafte bahut impulsive price decline hua jo yeh indicate karta hai ke price movements ki tendency neeche jane ki taraf hai. 50 EMA 200 SMA ke kareeb aa raha hai, aur kisi bhi waqt death cross signal de sakta hai jisse price decline support (S1) 0.6541 tak ja sakta hai. Agar price dobara pivot point (PP) 0.6621 aur EMA 50 ko cross karke upar move kare, to iska potential hai ke strong resistance (R1) 0.6662 ko test kare. Oscillator-type indicators jaise ke Stochastic aur Awesome Oscillator (AO) neechay jaane wale rally ko continue karne ko support karte hain. Stochastic indicator ke parameters overbought zone level 90 - 80 mein cross kar gaye hain, jo overbought point ke pohonchne ko indicate karta hai. Iske ilawa, AO indicator ka red histogram level 0 ya negative area ke neeche downtrend momentum show karta hai, bhale hi wo green ho aur volume widen na ho raha ho. Iske ilawa, decline ko price pattern structure se bhi support mila hai jo lower low show karta hai kyun ke low prices 0.6594 ka structure break hua aur lower low price 0.6578 form hui.

Position Entry Setup:
Trading options ke liye SELL entry position place kar sakte hain jab price jo upar correct hone ki koshish kar rahi ho, SMA 200 ya pivot point (PP) 0.6621 ke aas paas false break ya rejection ka samna kare. Bhalay hi trend direction abhi bhi bullish hai kyun ke death cross signal ab tak nahi aaya, price movement neechay jane ki tendency rakhti hai. Confirmation ke liye ensure karein ke Stochastic indicator parameter level 80 ke neeche ho jo level 50 ki taraf ja rahi ho. AO indicator ka histogram kam az kam red mein negative area mein rahe. Take profit placement support (S1) 0.6541 ke aas paas karein aur stop loss ko resistance (R1) 0.6662 se thoda upar place karein.

4 ghanton ki time-frame ke liye Australian Dollar / US Dollar currency pair ki current trend ko track aur analyze karne ka amal.


Chalo aaj ke liye is instrument ke munafa bakhsh trading ki mumkinat ko dobara se dekhtay hain, Extended Regression StopAndReverse, RSI, aur MACD ke signals ke mutabiq, jo hamein sab se zyada mumkin market entry point ko talash karne mein madad karenge. Agar tajziya karne ke baad sahi hone wala mukhtalif ahem task hai, trading transaction ko khatam karne ke liye munafa bakhsh point ka tajwez hai. Is maqsad ke liye, hum current extreme points ke bunyad par Fibonacci grid tayar karenge aur position se nikalne ke liye, hum nearest correctional Fibo levels par tawajjo dein gay.

Paish ki gayi chart par, aap foran note kar sakte hain ke pehli darja regression line (sonayi dotted line), jo ke instrument ki taraf isharat karta hai aur select kiye gaye time-frame (H4) ki halat ki taraf, 30% se zyada haddi mein shumal hain, jo ke uttar ki taraf dominant trend movement ko izhar karta hai. Isi waqt, nonlinear channel, jo qareebi mustaqbil ka andaza lagane ke liye istemal hota hai, yellow-green rang mein hai aur is se instrument ki tafseel mein mazeed izafa ka ishara hai, kyun ke yeh uttar ki taraf rujhan dikhata hai.

Keema ne linear regression channel ke 2nd LevelResLine ke laal resistance line ko guzar diya lekin adbi raqam value (HIGH) 0.67146 tak pohanchi, is ke baad is ne apni izafa ko rok diya aur qarar se nichay jata raha. Instrument waqt yeh kar raha hai ke 0.66512 ke keema ke level par trade hota hai. Tamaam peechlay bator kiya, aasman darwaza ke logon par bahar rakhne ki 0.65387 ke channel line se 50% FIBO level aur usay 0% Fibo level ke liye golden average line LR se niche murad kiya jata hai. Behtreen transaction ke liye aik mazeed daleel hai RSI (14) ke indicators aur MACD indicators, jo ke sales ki entry ki sahi mohim ko tasdeeq karte hain, qyun ke woh overbought zone mein hain