ای AUD/USD کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

AUD/USD

Hamara focus abhi AUD/USD currency pair ki present pricing behavior par hai, jo hum analysis kar rahe hain. Moving averages ne direction ka koi clear signal nahi diya hai kyun ke woh kareeb kareeb horizontal hain, jo ke uncertainty ko show karta hai. Magar phir bhi, do maheene ka average price thoda sa annual average ke ooper chala gaya hai, jo ek potential reversal ka ishara ho sakta hai. Isko aur support karta hai recent decline jo ek strong rebound ke saath khatam hua, previous low ke qareeb, jahan 140 points lambi tail ne bottom par chorr di. Us ke baad se, price steadily ooper chad raha hai, jo ke bearish side ka agaz ho sakta hai.

Main observe kar raha hoon ke yeh pair hourly chart par ek ascending channel ke andar move kar raha hai. Aaj price channel ke upper boundary tak pohonch gaya hai, jo ke 0.6724 hai. Iss point par main anticipate karta hoon ke reversal hoga, aur pair neeche jaane ki potential rakhta hai. Agar decline hota hai, toh price channel ki lower boundary tak gir sakta hai, jo ke kareeb 0.6683 hai. Aaj ke trading ke liye, buying meri priority hai.

Magar abhi ke level, jo ke 0.67205 hai, par buy positions open karna theek nahi hai. Main ek behtar entry point ka intezaar karunga jo support level ke kareeb, yaani 0.66005 ke aas paas ho. Price ko thoda neeche aana hoga is level tak pohonchnay ke liye. Mera target profit ke liye 0.67331 hai. Mujhe umeed hai ke yeh strategy plan ke mutabiq unfold hogi. Agar price decline karti hai, toh lag sakta hai ke woh stagnant ho gayi hai—koi significant downward movement nahi dikh rahi hogi. Magar price confidently upward trend mein surge kar sakta hai, obstacles, levels, aur critical markers ko asaani se paar kar sakta hai bina zyada resistance ke. Minor hurdles, jaise ke H1 chart par hain, kaafi kam impact rakhte hain, jabke daily time frame par zyada important hurdles bhi price ka zyada raasta nahi rok sakti. Recent H4 chart par, daily time frame se aik benchmark jo 0.6699 ke aas paas tha, usne thodi der ke liye upward movement ko rok liya tha, lekin upper benchmark jo 0.6711 par tha, uska zyada farq nahi pada.

AUD/USD

Haal mein hum AUD/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka analysis kar rahe hain. Aaj market mein continued growth dekhne ko mil rahi hai, aur target 0.6864 ke aas-paas rakha gaya hai. Recent downward correction lagta hai khatam ho gayi hai, aur aage upward movement ke chances hain. 0.6721 range ko test karne ke baad growth phir se shuru hone ki umeed hai. Ek chhoti si correction ho sakti hai, lekin overall upward trend jaari rahne ki sambhavana hai. Agar price 0.6724 se upar nikalti hai aur wahan establish hoti hai, to yeh ek strong buy signal ho sakta hai. Waisa hi, agar price 0.6804 ko break karti hai aur usse upar rehti hai, to yeh bhi ek buying opportunity ko indicate karta hai. Mere hisaab se, pair ne abhi tak wedge pattern ko poori tarah se form nahi kiya hai. Current quote 0.6765 hai. Aaj ki decline shayad volume accumulation ke liye ho rahi hai, jo aage growth ka indication ho sakta hai aur reversal ka start bhi ho sakta hai. Lekin, pair mein significant correction ki kami kuch puzzling lag rahi hai.

Main sell position ko maintain kar raha hoon, ummed hai ki pair eventually pattern follow karega aur downward move karega. Main rising channel indicator ko moving average analysis ke adhaar par use kar raha hoon, jo current price movement ko predict karne mein madad karta hai. Channel ka direction upward hai, jo indicate karta hai ki buyers abhi bhi sellers par haavi hain. Recent pullbacks ke bawajood, bulls strong lag rahe hain aur bears ko control dene ke mood mein nahi hain. CCI indicator bhi suggest karta hai ki long positions kholna advisable hai. PPI aur RSI indicators bhi isko support karte hain, kyunki ye buy zone mein hain. Main apni open order ko tab close karne ka plan kar raha hoon jab price 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, yani 0.68394, tak pahunchti hai. Aaj ke din koi relevant news nahi hai jo instrument ko affect kare, aur technical indicators filhal neutral hain.

اگست 28 2024 کو اے یو ڈی/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

آسٹریلیائی ڈالر تیسرے دن 0.6801 کی سطح سے نیچے مستحکم ہو رہا ہے، جو جولائی اور اگست کی چوٹیوں کے ساتھ موافق ہے۔ آسٹریلوی ڈالر کے پاس موجودہ مہینے کی چوٹی کو اپ ڈیٹ کرنے کے لیے ابھی تین دن باقی ہیں، لیکن یہ دیکھتے ہوئے کہ یہ ایک مضبوط سطح ہے، اور اگلا ہدف 0.6874 پر کافی زیادہ ہے، اور بیرونی منڈیوں کو اپنی ریکارڈ بلندیوں کو عبور کرنے کی جلدی نہیں ہے۔ قیاس آرائی پر مبنی مفادات کے لیے بھی اس مزاحمت کے ساتھ جدوجہد کا امکان نظر نہیں آتا۔



مارلن آسیلیٹر اس دباؤ کو محسوس کرتا ہے اور نیچے کی طرف مڑ جاتا ہے۔ تناؤ کو دور کرنے کے لیے، قیمت کا 0.6727 پر سپورٹ پر گرنا اور وہاں اس کی طاقت کا دوبارہ جائزہ لینا آسان ہوگا۔ ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائنسے تعاون بھی کام میں آسکتا ہے۔



٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ میں، ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن پہلے ہی قیمت کے قریب پہنچ چکی ہے۔ اگر قیمت اس کے نیچے، 0.6773 کے نشان کے نیچے مضبوط ہو جاتی ہے، تو یہ اس بات کی علامت ہو گی کہ قیمت 0.6727 کی جانچ کے لیے سیٹ ہے۔ اس کے برعکس، اگر قیمت 0.6801 سے اوپر مستحکم ہوتی ہے، تو یہ مزید ترقی کی غیر یقینی علامت ہوگی۔


تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

Australian Dollar (AUD) ke samne kuch bade challenges hain jo iski potential upside ko limit kar sakte hain. Ek major factor Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ki policy tightening mein reluctance hai, jo ke dusre major central banks ke muqablay mein zyada hai. Yeh hesitation persistent inflationary pressures aur tight labor market ki wajah se hai. Filhal, futures markets RBA ke August mein interest rate hike ka 20% probability assign kar rahe hain. Is waqt, AUD/USD pair 0.6795 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai.

**AUD Par China Ki Economic Decline Aur RBA Ki Policy Ka Pressure**

China ki economic problems ne AUD ko negatively affect kiya hai. Chinese economy ke decline ki wajah se base metal prices, khaaskar iron ore, teen hafton ke low par aa gaye hain. Australia, jo ke duniya ka leading iron ore exporter hai, is decline se adversely affected hua hai. In challenges ke bawajood, RBA ka rate cuts se bachne ka steadfast commitment, jo ke persistently high inflation ke wajah se hai, shayad AUD ki further depreciation ko roke. RBA ki cautious stance suggest karti hai ke yeh last central banks mein se ek ho sakta hai jo rate cuts implement kare, jo currency ko kuch support de sakta hai.

Is hafte, sabki nazar Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index ke June ke data par hogi, jo Friday ko release hone wala hai. Yeh key inflation gauge market ke expectations ko test karega jo Federal Reserve (Fed) ke September mein interest rate reductions ki ummeed kar rahe hain.

**AUD/USD Technical Resistance Aur Support Levels**

Key resistance level ascending channel ke upper boundary par hai, jo ke 0.6818 ke aas-paas hai, aur iske baad psychological level 0.6900 hai. Agar AUD/USD pair descending channel mein wapas chala jata hai, to yeh bearish bias ko kam kar sakta hai aur nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ko 0.6788 par test kar sakta hai. Agar is level ke upar break hota hai, to yeh pair ko descending channel ke upper boundary tak le ja sakta hai jo 0.6765 ke aas-paas hai, aur six-month high 0.6818 ki taraf bhi dekhna hoga.

**Chart Analysis**

Four-hour chart ka analysis yeh dikhata hai ke pair descending channel ke neeche gir gaya hai, jo ke bearish trend ko strengthen kar raha hai. 14-day Commodity Channel Index (CCI thoda 30 level ke upar hai, jo suggest karta hai ke currency pair oversold ho sakta hai aur jaldi correction dekhne ko mil sakti hai. AUD/USD ke liye support psychological level 0.6700 par mil sakta hai, aur additional support 0.6670 par bhi ho sakta hai.

Relative Strength Index (RSI) oversold level 30 ke neeche hover kar raha hai, jo upward correction ka potential suggest karta hai. AUD/USD pair ko immediate support descending channel ke lower boundary ke around reverse support level 0.6470 par mil sakta hai Dusri taraf, resistance pehli baar channel ke upper boundary ke around 0.6520 par encounter hota hai, followed by nine-day exponential moving average (EMA) at 0.6544. Agla significant resistance 0.6575 par hai, jahan "reverse support turned resistance" hai. Is level ke upar breakout AUD/USD pair ko six-month high 0.6798 tak push kar sakta hai. Main buy karne ka plan bana raha hoon. Sab ko profitable trades ki dua NZD/USD ke liye Current Market Situation Chaliye D1 timeframe par NZD/USD currency pair discuss karte hain. Ye last month ke aath tareekh se downward trend mein hai, jo poora mahina continue raha steady decline ke sath. Ye downtrend doosre major pairs se zyada intense raha hai. Wave structure downward move kar raha hai, aur MACD indicator lower sell zone mein hai, apni signal line ke neeche. Third wave complete ho chuki hai, aur agar first wave par Fibonacci retracement apply karein, to hum dekhte hain ke minimum downside targets 161.8 aur 200 levels par reach ho chuke hain
Price ascending support line ko hit karta hai jo higher waves ke lows se draw hui hai, break through karte hue but support zone ke near horizontal level 0.5862 ko penetrate karne mein fail. Is se position closing hui sellers se aur new purchases hui, jise fourth wave mein slight rebound aya. Samajhne ki baat ye hai ke mahine ka end abhi abhi hua, monthly results lock karne ka waqt tha, jo price pullback ko lead karta hai. Technical reasons ke liye, four-hour chart par MACD par bullish divergence dikh raha hai. Ab, fifth wave mein decline ka continuation expected hai, jo significant minimum level 0.5862 ko update karega
Maine ye move last Friday ko expect kiya tha, lekin US news ki wajah se nahi hua. Non-farm payroll data forecast se bohot bura tha, US unemployment rate 0.2 points se barh gaya. Resultantly, price ne rally karne ki koshish ki but GBP aur EUR ke tarah surge nahi kar paya. Ye sellers ki strength indicate karta hai. Main ab bhi downward scenario ko likely dekhta hoo

AUD/USD currency pair ki price action ka analysis karte hain aur isko hourly chart par dekhte hain. Pehle ek ascending price channel ka zikr tha, jisme AUD/USD ne 0.6795 par trade kiya tha. Ye technically theek hai ke iss level se buy positions enter ki jayein, kyun ke bullish channel ke andar jo upward wave chal rahi hai, wo abhi khatam nahi hui. Yeh pair apna ascent Friday ke closing level 0.6795 se le kar 0.6819 tak jaari rakhega, jahan price bull channel ke upper boundary ko touch karegi. Yahan par mai suggest karta hoon ke profits lein, kyun ke yeh ek potential rebound ka point ho sakta hai.


Daily chart par ek sideways wedge pattern develop hota hua dikhai diya tha, jisme AUD/USD kaafi time se trade kar raha hai. Ek aisa hi wedge pattern doosri major pairs mein bhi dekha gaya, jinhon ne apni upper boundaries ko break kiya hai. AUD/USD ne jab is flat formation se exit kiya, to ek steady upward trend shuru hua. Is analysis ke mutabiq, wedge ka upper limit 0.6779 tha. Friday ka daily candle ek solid green day ke tor par close hua, jo ye suggest karta hai ke inn levels se buy positions enter karna munasib hoga, aur buyers ka target 0.6869 par set karna chahiye. Weekly chart par movement upward jaa rahi hai. Weekly technical analysis aur recommendations ko madde nazar rakhtay huay, moving averages substantial buy show kar rahe hain aur technical indicators bhi buying ko suggest karte hain, jo overall buy recommendation ko lead karte hain. Aane wale hafte ke liye pair ko buy karna behtar hai. U.S. economic news bhi schedule hai, jisme Thursday 15:29 par forecast negative impact ki taraf ja raha hai. Friday ko 04:29 par retail sales data expected hai, jisme forecast neutral hai. Yeh pair ziada chances hai ke iss hafte upward move kare.

Good morning! Aaj hum AUD/USD pair par forex trading ke liye meri raye discuss karein ge. Pichlay trading day par, main recommend karta hoon ke aap daily chart par nazar daalein, taake hum pair ki overall movement ko samajh sakein. Daily time frame par, price phir se barh gai thi jab ke pehle se hi yeh upar jaane ka rasta khol chuki thi. Magar price abhi bhi roki gayi aur daily resistance area mein reject hui, jo ke 0.6813x ke price range mein hai.

Uske baad, price ne neeche jaane ki koshish ki aur kaafi low level tak pohonch gayi. Meri raye mein, agar price resistance ko paar nahi kar pati, toh yeh wapas daily support area ki taraf jaayegi jo ke 0.6763x ke price range mein hai. Halankeh price dobara se dominant hote hue upar barh gayi, magar apni highest resistance tak nahi pohonchi. Magar is cheez ko samajhna zaroori hai ke aaj ke liye price ka izafa zyada dominant ho sakta hai. Is waqt, sabse behtreen approach yeh hai ke hum intezar karein ke price resistance ko break kare aur agli resistance tak 0.6863x ke price par pohonche, ya phir reject ho kar neeche support 0.6712x ke aas paas gir jaaye. Iss current position mein, upar jaane ka rujhan abhi bhi hai, lekin neeche jaane ka bhi equal chance hai. Meri raye mein, AUD/USD pair ke liye aaj ka mood yeh hai ke agar resistance break ho jaaye toh buy karein, aur agar support break ho jaaye toh sell karein. Yeh last candlestick ke doji form par base karta hai, jo ke buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan balance ko show karta hai. Abhi, AUD/USD pair daily opening level par trade kar raha hai jo ke balance mein lag raha hai. Aage ke price movements ko analyze karne ke liye, hum M30 time frame par nazar daal sakte hain. Yahan par do minor support aur resistance areas hain, ek 0.6787x price ke aas paas upar ki had par aur doosra 0.6778x price ke aas paas neeche ki had par. Yeh do areas aane wale time mein achi entry opportunities de sakti hain.



Agar price minor resistance area 0.6787x ko break karti hai, toh hum buy kar sakte hain daily resistance area 0.6812x par sabse qareebi target ke liye. Magar resistance target 0.6863x ke price par bhi dekhnay wala hai. Dusri taraf, agar price girti hai aur minor support area 0.6778x ko break karti hai, toh hum sell kar sakte hain daily support area 0.6763x ke qareebi target aur support 0.6712x ke aglay target ke liye. AUD/USD trading instrument abhi tak uptrend mein hai, toh agar price girti hai magar sabse qareebi minor support area 0.6761x ya aglay minor support 0.6752x ko break nahi kar pati, toh hum buy kar sakte hain current resistance area 0.6822x ke target ke liye. Yeh bilkul waisa hi hai jo kal hua tha, aur agar yeh hota hai, toh AUD/USD ek sideways area ya range bana raha hai.

Technical Analysis of AUD/USD

Hello sab ko, kaise hain aap? Umeed hai ke aap trading ke aakhri din ka lutf utha rahe hain. Pichle hafta, price ne ek tez bearish trend dikhayi. Yeh lagbhag paanch sau pips ka bearish level tha. Iske baad, price ne apna saara level tod diya aur 0.6779 tak pahunch gaya. Australian dollar ne woh upar ki taraf momentum jari rakhi jo kal shuru hui thi, aur pichle kaam ke hafta ke lokal high tak pohanch gaya. 0.6506 par support milne ke baad, price ne rebound kiya aur apni rise dobara shuru ki, 0.6635 tak pahunch gaya jab tak ke is level ke neeche ruk nahi gaya. Is tarah, girawat ka umeed kiya gaya silsila nahi hua, aur mukhtalif forecast ab kansel hone ki haalat mein hain. Filhal, price chart supertrend green zone mein hai, jo ke buyers ki activity ko zahir kar raha hai.

AUD ki prices mein tezi se izafa hua Thursday, 22 August ko, jab Saudi Arabia ne June ki oil exports mein tez kami ki report di. Is waqt jab main likh raha hoon, AUD/USD 0.67730 par trade kar raha hai, jo 1.84% ki izafa hai. Is dauraan, US Dollar Index apni downtrend jari rakhi hui hai, 2024 ke low tak pahunch gaya hai. Is girawat ko kai wajoohat ki wajah se samjha ja raha hai, jismein recent non-farm payroll data mein girawat aur Federal Reserve ke ishare ke mutabiq ho sakta hai ke woh interest rates mein kami karein.

Pair is waqt apne haftay ke highs se kaafi upar trade kar raha hai. Main resistance area bhari dabaav mein hai aur tordne ke qareeb hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke ab preferred vector ko upar ki taraf shift karne ki zaroorat hai. Yeh us waqt tasdeeq hoga jab 0.6635 ke level ko break kar ke upar ki taraf confident resistance ban jaye. Ek successful retest aur iske baad neeche se rebound se ek aur upward movement ka silsila jari hoga, jiska target 0.6765 se 0.6804 ke beech ke area mein hoga.

Australian Dollar (AUD) ke samne kuch bade challenges hain jo iski potential upside ko limit kar sakte hain. Ek major factor Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ki policy tightening mein reluctance hai, jo ke dusre major central banks ke muqablay mein zyada hai. Yeh hesitation persistent inflationary pressures aur tight labor market ki wajah se hai. Filhal, futures markets RBA ke August mein interest rate hike ka 20% probability assign kar rahe hain. Is waqt, AUD/USD pair 0.6795 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai.

**AUD Par China Ki Economic Decline Aur RBA Ki Policy Ka Pressure**

China ki economic problems ne AUD ko negatively affect kiya hai. Chinese economy ke decline ki wajah se base metal prices, khaaskar iron ore, teen hafton ke low par aa gaye hain. Australia, jo ke duniya ka leading iron ore exporter hai, is decline se adversely affected hua hai. In challenges ke bawajood, RBA ka rate cuts se bachne ka steadfast commitment, jo ke persistently high inflation ke wajah se hai, shayad AUD ki further depreciation ko roke. RBA ki cautious stance suggest karti hai ke yeh last central banks mein se ek ho sakta hai jo rate cuts implement kare, jo currency ko kuch support de sakta hai.

Is hafte, sabki nazar Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index ke June ke data par hogi, jo Friday ko release hone wala hai. Yeh key inflation gauge market ke expectations ko test karega jo Federal Reserve (Fed) ke September mein interest rate reductions ki ummeed kar rahe hain.

**AUD/USD Technical Resistance Aur Support Levels**

Key resistance level ascending channel ke upper boundary par hai, jo ke 0.6818 ke aas-paas hai, aur iske baad psychological level 0.6900 hai. Agar AUD/USD pair descending channel mein wapas chala jata hai, to yeh bearish bias ko kam kar sakta hai aur nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ko 0.6788 par test kar sakta hai. Agar is level ke upar break hota hai, to yeh pair ko descending channel ke upper boundary tak le ja sakta hai jo 0.6765 ke aas-paas hai, aur six-month high 0.6818 ki taraf bhi dekhna hoga.

**Chart Analysis**

Four-hour chart ka analysis yeh dikhata hai ke pair descending channel ke neeche gir gaya hai, jo ke bearish trend ko strengthen kar raha hai. 14-day Commodity Channel Index (CCI thoda 30 level ke upar hai, jo suggest karta hai ke currency pair oversold ho sakta hai aur jaldi correction dekhne ko mil sakti hai. AUD/USD ke liye support psychological level 0.6700 par mil sakta hai, aur additional support 0.6670 par bhi ho sakta hai.

AUD-USD Pair Review

Buyers ne Friday, 23 August 2024 ko trading ke doran resistance area level 0.6755 se 0.6765 tak penetrate karne mein kamiyabi hasil ki, jo ke Thursday, 22 August 2024 ke doran high resistance area level tha. Hum is support area level ko upcoming trade mein pending buy limit order place karne ke liye use kar sakte hain.

Technical perspective se dekha jaye, to Friday ki trading mein jo resistance area level form hui, yani 0.6800 se 0.6790 tak, ye trading ke doran key resistance area level hogi. Agar resistance area level breakout karne mein na kamiyab rahi, to Asian trading session mein AUD-USD currency pair pehle decline experience kar sakti hai, phir buyers ko 0.6755 - 0.6765 ke support area level ka sahara milega taake phir se climb karke aur zyada upar jaye.



AUD-USD H1 Trading Planning for Monday

Upar mention ki gayi conditions ke madde nazar, market expect kiya jata hai ke price 0.6797 - 0.6799 ke range mein open hogi, jahan nearest support aur resistance 0.6811 aur 0.6787 ke aas paas form hui hai. Monday ke liye planning ye hai:

- Buy maintain kiya jaye agar price 0.6811 ka resistance break karne mein kamiyab hoti hai, EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 upward move karte hain, bullish potential 0.6846 se 0.7262 tak ja sakta hai.
- Dusra buy option ye hai ke agar price correct kar rahi ho, aur pullback 0.6749 ke aas paas hota hai, take profit 0.6773 - 0.6790 se 0.6802 tak kiya jaye.
- Aik aur buy option ye hai ke agar correction continue hoti hai, buyers EMA 200 H1 line par bounce ka momentum ka intezar kar sakte hain, take profit 0.6725 - 0.6748 ke aas paas prepare kiya jaye.
- Sell tab kiya jaye agar price 0.6787 ka breakout kar le, take profit 0.6772 - 0.6750 tak kiya jaye. Lekin ye abhi bhi risky hai, is liye 0.6749 area mein breakout ka intezar karna behtar hoga, EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 downside crossover form karein, take profit 0.6709 - 0.6687 tak ho sakta hai.
- Ek aur sell plan ye ho sakta hai ke agar price 0.6846 area se reject hoti hai, to nearest bearish potential 0.6813 tak ho sakta hai.

Yeh mumkin hai ke is point se ek bearish move ho sakta hai, jo is trading instrument ki price mein significant drop ka sabab ban sakta hai. Yeh tab hoga agar market khulne ke baad AUD/USD pair mazeed upar jaane mein na kamyab ho aur 0.6598 level ke upar consolidate na kare, jo recent price increase mein tha. Agar yeh scenario hota hai, toh yeh downward trend ko trigger kar sakta hai, jahan price seedha bearish ho sakta hai. Yeh scenario tab mazeed mumkin banega agar market khulne ke baad price 0.6514 ke accumulation area tak girti hai aur phir wahan se rise karne ki koshish karti hai. Is surat mein, AUD/USD pair ko 0.6554 level ko paar karne mein mushkilat ho sakti hai. Agar yeh resistance mazboot rehti hai, toh price 0.6554 se bearish direction mein gir sakti hai, aur 0.6449 ke area ka rukh kar sakti hai, jahan significant amounts of money hain. Support ke liye, AUD/USD ascending channel ka lower boundary 0.6630 ke aas paas hai, jo exchange rate ke liye immediate support hai, uske baad 9-day moving average jo 0.6618 ke qareeb hai. Agar yeh moving average ke neeche girti hai, toh pair 0.6575 ke pullback level ko test kar sakta hai. Agar pair is support area ke neeche girti hai, toh yeh bearish bias ko indicate kar sakti hai jo pair ko 0.6470 ke pullback level ki taraf le ja sakti hai US Dollar ko support milne mein mushkil ho rahi hai jab traders yeh samajhte hain ke Fed rate cuts laazmi hain. Sab ki nigahain Fed ke Chair Jerome Powell par hain Jackson Hole mein, jahan woh cuts ki tasdeeq karenge. US Dollar index 101.00 ke just upar trade kar raha hai aur agar weak sentiment barqarar rehta hai, toh yeh 100.00 tak gir sakta hai. US Dollar (USD) broadly flat trade kar raha hai jabke Wednesday ko US session ke start mein heavy selling hui, jis se ek aur leg lower trigger hui aur 2024 ka fresh low dekha gaya. Nonfarm Payrolls revision ne pehle se estimated 818,000 kam jobs highlight ki, jo ke over a decade mein sabse bari downward revision thi, aur US job market ke hawale se market concerns ko confirm kiya. Baad mein, July meeting ke Fed Minutes release hue, jisme confirm hua ke kuch members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) us waqt rate cut ka keh rahe the, jo September mein lagbhag certain hai. AUD/USD price mazeed advance kar sakti hai daily chart analysis ke mutabiq jo ek bullish bias ke mazboot hone ka ishara de rahi hai. 9-day EMA 50-day EMA ke upar position mein hai, jo recent price action ko longer-term trend ke outperform karne ka indication de raha hai. 0.6798 level, jo seven-month high hai, ek key barrier ke tor par nazar aa raha

Australian dollar (AUD) ne US dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein momentum gain kiya hai jo kuch mukhtalif factors ki wajah se hai. Market ko yeh yakeen hota ja raha hai ke Federal Reserve (Fed) September mein monetary policy ko dheela kar sakta hai. Fed Watch tools ke mutabiq, agle mahine 50 basis points ka interest rate cut ho sakta hai aur saal ke end tak total 100 basis points ki kami dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Iske muqablay, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) hawkish stance rakhta hai aur inflation ke concerns ko address karne ke liye interest rates ko aur barhane ke liye tayyar hai. Yeh monetary policies ka divergence AUD/USD ko faida pohnchata hai.
Technical taur par, AUD/USD ne bullish trend dikhaya hai aur 0.6600 convergence level aur 0.6700 mark ko break kar diya hai. Daily chart oscillators bhi positive territory mein hain, jo aage ke upside potential ko darshata hai. Magar, ye abhi overbought zone mein nahi hain, jo aur growth ke liye jagah banata hai. Bullish perspective se, AUD/USD 0.6740 ke upper boundary of ascending channel ko target kar sakta hai. Agar channel ke andar wapas aata hai to bullish bias ko reinforce kar sakta hai aur 7-month high 0.6798 ko test karne ke liye le ja sakta hai. Is level ke upar break hone se currency 0.6880 level tak bhi pohnch sakti hai.

Niche ki taraf, AUD/USD ko 9-day EMA level 0.6684 par support mil sakta hai. Agar is level se niche girta hai to 0.6575 aur 0.6470 ke retrospective levels ko test kar sakta hai. Market sentiment bhi AUD/USD ko influence karta hai. Risk-on sentiment Australian dollar ke liye faida mand hota hai, jabke risk-off sentiment se selling pressure barh sakta hai. Australia aur United States se aane wale economic data bhi AUD/USD ko impact kar sakte hain. Australia se strong economic data currency ko support de sakti hai, jabke weak data downward pressure daal sakti hai. Conversely, United States se strong economic data USD ko kamzor kar sakti hai, jo AUD/USD ke liye faida mand hoga. Long-term outlook AUD/USD ka mukhtalif factors pe depend karta hai, jaise ke Australia aur United States ke beech interest rate differentials, dono mulkon ki economic growth, aur global risk appetite. Jaise Fed apni monetary policy ko dheela karta hai, AUD/USD interest rate differential se faida utha sakta hai. Lekin, dono economies aur global market developments ko monitor karna zaroori hai taake currency pair par potential impact ko assess kiya ja

AUD/USD jor ek multi-week high tak barh gaya hai, jo kuch key factors ke asar se hai. Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ne hawkish stance barqarar rakhi hai, jo ke suggest karti hai ke interest rates high reh sakti hain taake inflation ko roka ja sake. Ye nazariya China ke strong inflation data ke saath mazid mazboot hota hai, jo Australia ka major trading partner hai.
Iske ilawa, global markets mein positive risk sentiment ne Aussie ko support diya hai, kyunki traders U.S. Federal Reserve se 50 basis points rate cut ki ummeed kar rahe hain. Ye expectation softer U.S. economic data ki wajah se hai, jo Fed ko monetary policy dheela karne par majboor kar sakti hai. Iska natija ye hua ke U.S. dollar kamzor hua hai, jo AUD ko aur barhawa de raha hai.

In supportive factors ke bawajood, nazariya ehtiyaat se bharpur hai. RBA ne indicate kiya hai ke future rate decisions upcoming economic data, jaise consumer confidence aur employment figures, par depend karega. Agar consumer confidence barhta hai to ye consumer spending aur potentially higher inflation ka signal ho sakta hai, jo RBA ko additional rate hikes par consider karne par majboor kar sakta hai.

Iske sath hi, Australia ke labor market conditions bhi crucial hain. Tight labor markets wage growth aur consumer spending ko barha sakte hain, jo demand-driven inflation ko fuel kar sakta hai. Aise mein RBA apni tightening stance ko barqarar rakhne ka fayasla kar sakti hai. Lekin agar labor market kamzor dikhai deta hai, to RBA rate hike cycle ko pause ya reverse bhi kar sakti hai.

AUD/USD currency pair ko RBA ke hawkish stance, China ke strong inflation data, aur U.S. Federal Reserve se rate cut ke expectations se support mil raha hai, jisne U.S. dollar ko kamzor kiya hai.

Lekin, pair ke future direction largely Australia se aane wale economic data aur RBA ke response par depend karegi. Traders ko in developments par nazar rakhni chahiye taake ye assess kiya ja sake ke AUD/USD ka upward trend continue kar sakta hai ya nahi.

Daily chart par, ek noticeable long candle dekhne ko milti hai jo prolonged downward swing ke baad aayi hai, jo suggest karti hai ke sellers ka control kuch kamzor hua hai aur buyers momentum gain kar rahe hain. Ye currently valid bullish signal ko indicate karta hai

Technical Analysis of AUD/USD

Hello sab ko, kaise hain aap? Umeed hai ke aap trading ke aakhri din ka lutf utha rahe hain. Pichle hafta, price ne ek tez bearish trend dikhayi. Yeh lagbhag paanch sau pips ka bearish level tha. Iske baad, price ne apna saara level tod diya aur 0.6779 tak pahunch gaya. Australian dollar ne woh upar ki taraf momentum jari rakhi jo kal shuru hui thi, aur pichle kaam ke hafta ke lokal high tak pohanch gaya. 0.6506 par support milne ke baad, price ne rebound kiya aur apni rise dobara shuru ki, 0.6635 tak pahunch gaya jab tak ke is level ke neeche ruk nahi gaya. Is tarah, girawat ka umeed kiya gaya silsila nahi hua, aur mukhtalif forecast ab kansel hone ki haalat mein hain. Filhal, price chart supertrend green zone mein hai, jo ke buyers ki activity ko zahir kar raha hai.

AUD ki prices mein tezi se izafa hua Thursday, 22 August ko, jab Saudi Arabia ne June ki oil exports mein tez kami ki report di. Is waqt jab main likh raha hoon, AUD/USD 0.67730 par trade kar raha hai, jo 1.84% ki izafa hai. Is dauraan, US Dollar Index apni downtrend jari rakhi hui hai, 2024 ke low tak pahunch gaya hai. Is girawat ko kai wajoohat ki wajah se samjha ja raha hai, jismein recent non-farm payroll data mein girawat aur Federal Reserve ke ishare ke mutabiq ho sakta hai ke woh interest rates mein kami karein.

Pair is waqt apne haftay ke highs se kaafi upar trade kar raha hai. Main resistance area bhari dabaav mein hai aur tordne ke qareeb hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke ab preferred vector ko upar ki taraf shift karne ki zaroorat hai. Yeh us waqt tasdeeq hoga jab 0.6635 ke level ko break kar ke upar ki taraf confident resistance ban jaye. Ek successful retest aur iske baad neeche se rebound se ek aur upward movement ka silsila jari hoga, jiska target 0.6765 se 0.6804 ke b

Australian dollar (AUD) ne US dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein momentum gain kiya hai jo kuch mukhtalif factors ki wajah se hai. Market ko yeh yakeen hota ja raha hai ke Federal Reserve (Fed) September mein monetary policy ko dheela kar sakta hai. Fed Watch tools ke mutabiq, agle mahine 50 basis points ka interest rate cut ho sakta hai aur saal ke end tak total 100 basis points ki kami dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Iske muqablay, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) hawkish stance rakhta hai aur inflation ke concerns ko address karne ke liye interest rates ko aur barhane ke liye tayyar hai. Yeh monetary policies ka divergence AUD/USD ko faida pohnchata hai.
Technical taur par, AUD/USD ne bullish trend dikhaya hai aur 0.6600 convergence level aur 0.6700 mark ko break kar diya hai. Daily chart oscillators bhi positive territory mein hain, jo aage ke upside potential ko darshata hai. Magar, ye abhi overbought zone mein nahi hain, jo aur growth ke liye jagah banata hai. Bullish perspective se, AUD/USD 0.6740 ke upper boundary of ascending channel ko target kar sakta hai. Agar channel ke andar wapas aata hai to bullish bias ko reinforce kar sakta hai aur 7-month high 0.6798 ko test karne ke liye le ja sakta hai. Is level ke upar break hone se currency 0.6880 level tak bhi pohnch sakti hai.

Niche ki taraf, AUD/USD ko 9-day EMA level 0.6684 par support mil sakta hai. Agar is level se niche girta hai to 0.6575 aur 0.6470 ke retrospective levels ko test kar sakta hai. Market sentiment bhi AUD/USD ko influence karta hai. Risk-on sentiment Australian dollar ke liye faida mand hota hai, jabke risk-off sentiment se selling pressure barh sakta hai. Australia aur United States se aane wale economic data bhi AUD/USD ko impact kar sakte hain. Australia se strong economic data currency ko support de sakti hai, jabke weak data downward pressure daal sakti hai. Conversely, United States se strong economic data USD ko kamzor kar sakti hai, jo AUD/USD ke liye faida mand hoga. Long-term outlook AUD/USD ka mukhtalif factors pe depend karta hai, jaise ke Australia aur United States ke beech interest rate differentials, dono mulkon ki economic growth, aur global risk appetite. Jaise Fed apni monetary policy ko dheela karta hai, AUD/USD interest rate differential se faida utha sakta hai. Lekin, dono economies aur global market developments ko monitor karna zaroori hai taake currency pair par potential impact ko assess kiya ja sake