ای AUD/USD کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

Yeh mumkin hai ke is point se ek bearish move ho sakta hai, jo is trading instrument ki price mein significant drop ka sabab ban sakta hai. Yeh tab hoga agar market khulne ke baad AUD/USD pair mazeed upar jaane mein na kamyab ho aur 0.6598 level ke upar consolidate na kare, jo recent price increase mein tha. Agar yeh scenario hota hai, toh yeh downward trend ko trigger kar sakta hai, jahan price seedha bearish ho sakta hai. Yeh scenario tab mazeed mumkin banega agar market khulne ke baad price 0.6514 ke accumulation area tak girti hai aur phir wahan se rise karne ki koshish karti hai. Is surat mein, AUD/USD pair ko 0.6554 level ko paar karne mein mushkilat ho sakti hai. Agar yeh resistance mazboot rehti hai, toh price 0.6554 se bearish direction mein gir sakti hai, aur 0.6449 ke area ka rukh kar sakti hai, jahan significant amounts of money hain. Support ke liye, AUD/USD ascending channel ka lower boundary 0.6630 ke aas paas hai, jo exchange rate ke liye immediate support hai, uske baad 9-day moving average jo 0.6618 ke qareeb hai. Agar yeh moving average ke neeche girti hai, toh pair 0.6575 ke pullback level ko test kar sakta hai. Agar pair is support area ke neeche girti hai, toh yeh bearish bias ko indicate kar sakti hai jo pair ko 0.6470 ke pullback level ki taraf le ja sakti hai
US Dollar ko support milne mein mushkil ho rahi hai jab traders yeh samajhte hain ke Fed rate cuts laazmi hain. Sab ki nigahain Fed ke Chair Jerome Powell par hain Jackson Hole mein, jahan woh cuts ki tasdeeq karenge. US Dollar index 101.00 ke just upar trade kar raha hai aur agar weak sentiment barqarar rehta hai, toh yeh 100.00 tak gir sakta hai. US Dollar (USD) broadly flat trade kar raha hai jabke Wednesday ko US session ke start mein heavy selling hui, jis se ek aur leg lower trigger hui aur 2024 ka fresh low dekha gaya. Nonfarm Payrolls revision ne pehle se estimated 818,000 kam jobs highlight ki, jo ke over a decade mein sabse bari downward revision thi, aur US job market ke hawale se market concerns ko confirm kiya. Baad mein, July meeting ke Fed Minutes release hue, jisme confirm hua ke kuch members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) us waqt rate cut ka keh rahe the, jo September mein lagbhag certain hai. AUD/USD price mazeed advance kar sakti hai daily chart analysis ke mutabiq jo ek bullish bias ke mazboot hone ka ishara de rahi hai. 9-day EMA 50-day EMA ke upar position mein hai, jo recent price action ko longer-term trend ke outperform karne ka indication de raha hai. 0.6798 level, jo seven-month high hai, ek key barrier ke tor par nazar aa raha hai

23 August 2024, Jumme ko trading ke dauran 0.6755 se 0.6765 ke resistance area level ko penetrate karne mein kamiyabi hasil ki, jo ke 22 August 2024, Jumeraat ko trading ka high ya resistance area tha. Ab hum is support area level ka istemal karke agle trade mein pending buy limit order place kar sakte hain. Technical side se dekha jaye to 0.6800 se 0.6790 ke resistance area jo ke Jumme ke din trading mein form hua, is martaba key resistance area banega. Agar yeh resistance area breakout na kar saka, to Asian trading session mein AUD/USD currency pair ke pehle decline hone ki umeed hai, is se pehle ke yeh 0.6755 - 0.6765 ke support area level ko use karte hue buyers ke liye dubara climb karke aur bhi upar jaye.
In conditions ko dekhte hue market ke 0.6797 - 0.6799 ke price par open hone ki umeed hai, jahan qareebi support aur resistance 0.6811 aur 0.6787 ke aas paas ban rahe hain. Aur ye hai planning Monday ke liye:Buy ko maintain kiya jaye agar price 0.6811 ke resistance ko breakout kar sakta hai, EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 upwards hang karte huye bullish potential ke sath 0.6846 - 0.7262 level tak ja sakta hai.Agar price correct ho raha ho, to pullback ke dauran 0.6749 ke aas paas buy ki option dekhi ja sakti hai, take profit 0.6773 - 0.6790 tak le sakte hain, ya phir 0.6802 tak.Dusri buy option ye hai ke agar correction continue ho, buyers EMA 200 H1 line ke bounce ka intezar kar sakte hain, take profit 0.6725 - 0.6748 ke aas paas plan karna chahiye.Sell ki option agar price 0.6787 ko breakout karta hai, take profit 0.6772 - 0.6750 tak le sakte hain, lekin yeh risky ho sakta hai, behtar hoga ke 0.6749 area ke breakout ka intezar kiya jaye, jab EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 downside crossover banate hain, take profit 0.6709 - 0.6687 tak le sakte hain.Ek aur sell plan ye hai ke agar price 0.6846 area se reject hota hai, qareebi bearish potential 0.6813 tak hai jo buy positions open karne se behtar options hai. Main behtar entry point ka intezar karunga support level 0.66005 ke qareeb. Price ko is level tak pahunchne ke liye thoda dip hona zaroori hai. Mera profit target 0.67331 hai. Mujhe umeed hai ke yeh strategy plan ke mutabiq unfold hogi. Agar price decline karta hai, to yeh stagnant lag sakta hai—koi bara downward movement na dikhaate huye. Lekin, price confidently upward trend mein surge kar sakta hai, obstacles, levels, aur critical markers ko asaani se overcome karte hue. Minor hurdles, jaise ke H1 chart par, ka zyada asar nahi hota, jabke daily time frame par bade hurdles bhi progress ko barely slow karte hain. H4 chart par recent mein, daily time frame se 0.6699 ka benchmark, upward movement mein slight pause ka sabab bana, lekin upper movement ka silsila jaari raha
23 August 2024, Jumme ko trading ke dauran 0.6755 se 0.6765 ke resistance area level ko penetrate karne mein kamiyabi hasil ki, jo ke 22 August 2024, Jumeraat ko trading ka high ya resistance area tha. Ab hum is support area level ka istemal karke agle trade mein pending buy limit order place kar sakte hain. Technical side se dekha jaye to 0.6800 se 0.6790 ke resistance area jo ke Jumme ke din trading mein form hua, is martaba key resistance area banega. Agar yeh resistance area breakout na kar saka, to Asian trading session mein AUD/USD currency pair ke pehle decline hone ki umeed hai, is se pehle ke yeh 0.6755 - 0.6765 ke support area level ko use karte hue buyers ke liye dubara climb karke aur bhi upar jaye.

In conditions ko dekhte hue market ke 0.6797 - 0.6799 ke price par open hone ki umeed hai, jahan qareebi support aur resistance 0.6811 aur 0.6787 ke aas paas ban rahe hain. Aur ye hai planning Monday ke liye:Buy ko maintain kiya jaye agar price 0.6811 ke resistance ko breakout kar sakta hai, EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 upwards hang karte huye bullish potential ke sath 0.6846 - 0.7262 level tak ja sakta hai.Agar price correct ho raha ho, to pullback ke dauran 0.6749 ke aas paas buy ki option dekhi ja sakti hai, take profit 0.6773 - 0.6790 tak le sakte hain, ya phir 0.6802 tak.Dusri buy option ye hai ke agar correction continue ho, buyers EMA 200 H1 line ke bounce ka intezar kar sakte hain, take profit 0.6725 - 0.6748 ke aas paas plan karna chahiye.Sell ki option agar price 0.6787 ko breakout karta hai, take profit 0.6772 - 0.6750 tak le sakte hain, lekin yeh risky ho sakta hai, behtar hoga ke 0.6749 area ke breakout ka intezar kiya jaye, jab EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 downside crossover banate hain, take profit 0.6709 - 0.6687 tak le sakte hain.Ek aur sell plan ye hai ke agar price 0.6846 area se reject hota hai, qareebi bearish potential 0.6813 tak hai jo buy positions open karne se behtar options hai. Main behtar entry point ka intezar karunga support level 0.66005 ke qareeb. Price ko is level tak pahunchne ke liye thoda dip hona zaroori hai. Mera profit target 0.67331 hai. Mujhe umeed hai ke yeh strategy plan ke mutabiq unfold hogi. Agar price decline karta hai, to yeh stagnant lag sakta hai—koi bara downward movement na dikhaate huye. Lekin, price confidently upward trend mein surge kar sakta hai, obstacles, levels, aur critical markers ko asaani se overcome karte hue. Minor hurdles, jaise ke H1 chart par, ka zyada asar nahi hota, jabke daily time frame par bade hurdles bhi progress ko barely slow karte hain. H4 chart par recent mein, daily time frame se 0.6699 ka benchmark, upward movement mein slight pause ka sabab bana, lekin upper movement ka silsila jaari raha

Australian dollar (AUD) ka US dollar (USD) ke muqable mein Friday ko kaafi stable raha retail sales data ke disappointing honay ke bawajood, jo ke July ke liye release hua tha. Jabke retail sales data expectations se kam nikla, US ki second-quarter GDP growth ke behtar honay ne US dollar ko support diya, jis ki wajah se AUD/USD pair par pressure aya. Magar Australian dollar ka outlook phir bhi positive lag raha hai, is umeed ke saath ke Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) zyada hawkish stance rakh sakti hai. Haal hi mein release hone wale monthly consumer price index (CPI) ke figures jo ke July ke liye thay, expectations se zyada aaye hain, aur yeh bhi reinforce karte hain ke RBA interest rate cut ka koi irada nahi rakhti. RBA meeting ke minutes ne yeh bataya ke board members ka rate cut consider karna filhal door lag raha hai.

Doosri taraf, jabke US economic data ne US dollar ko kuch support diya hai, Federal Reserve officials ke dovish comments ne iski upside potential ko thoda kam kar diya hai. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic ne kaha ke rate cut ka waqt sahi ho sakta hai inflation ke slowdown aur unemployment mein izafa dekhne ke baad. Market ab yeh expect kar raha hai ke September ki meeting mein Fed 25 basis point ka rate cut karegi. Investors ka ghoor US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index ke July ke data par hai, jo Friday ko release hua, taake US interest rates ke future direction ka andaza lagaya ja sake. Agar PCE ka reading softer-than-expected aya, toh rate cut ka case mazid mazboot ho sakta hai, jis se US dollar par aur zyada pressure aa sakta hai.

**Technical Analysis:**

Technically dekha jaye toh AUD/USD pair apne ascending channel ke lower bound ko test kar raha hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke uptrend mazid strong ho sakta hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) abhi 70 ke mark ke neeche hai, jo dikhata hai ke bullish momentum abhi bhi intact hai. Resistance ke lehaz se, AUD/USD pair ke samnay immediate hurdles hain ascending channel ke lower bound par, jo ke seven-month high 0.6798 ke qareeb hai. Agar yeh level breach hota hai, toh pair ke liye upper bound ke aas paas 0.6920 ka target open ho sakta hai. Neeche ki taraf, AUD/USD pair ko support nine-day exponential moving average (EMA) ke qareeb 0.6761 par mil sakta hai. Agar yeh moving average toot gaya, toh bullish bias kamzor ho sakta hai aur bearish pressure aasakta hai, jo pair ko retracement level 0.6575 aur us se neeche 0.6470 tak le ja sakta hai.

Mere khayal mein, AUD/USD currency pair ki movement ab bhi bullish movements se dominate ho sakti hai aur iske barhne ke potential ko continue karne ki umeed hai. Filhaal, main ek BUY setup ke liye intezar kar raha hoon jo ke bullish potential ko 0.6855 level tak le jaa sake. Agar yeh target achieve ho jata hai, to price zyada confident ho sakti hai higher levels ki taraf. Magar agar yeh fail ho jata hai, to price phir se neeche girne ki umeed hai. Market trend jo kuch din se bullish condition mein hai, uske hisaab se buyers ki umeed hai ke price ko upar le ja sakte hain. Lekin ab market mein price downward correction ki taraf move kar rahi hai, jo ke aaj subah se shuru hui hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator ke line ab bhi 50 level ke upar comfortably move kar rahi hai jo ke bullish trend ka indication hai. Candlestick ki position bhi 0.6780 ke price level ke upar hai jo ke upward moving market ko dikhata hai.

Is hafte ke price movement ka momentum dekhte hue jo ke zyada tar bullish direction mein raha, mere analysis ke mutabiq price ke bullish trend par jane ki sambhavana hai jab tak market kal subah band nahi hoti. Hum apne trading techniques ke mutabiq BUY trading entry ke signals dekh sakte hain. Agar market analysis ke mutabiq move karti hai, to profit kamane ke potential barh jayenge.

AUD/USD par additional purchasing opportunities hain aur price baad mein 0.67622 zone ko cross kar sakti hai. Yaad rahe ke trading ke dauran especially news release moments mein high volumes ka istemal avoid karna zaroori hai. High trading volumes volatility aur risk ko badha sakte hain, jo trading ko manage karna mushkil bana sakta hai. News delivery ke doran market sharp aur unpredictable movements ka samna kar sakti hai, jo significant losses ka sabab ban sakta hai agar sahi tareeke se manage na kiya jaye. Isliye, moderate volumes ke sath trading karna aur risk management strategies, jaise ke stop-loss orders aur predefined levels par profits lena zaroori hai. Aaj ke liye, 0.68355 ka short-term buy order kaafi hoga.

General trading approach ko broaden karna high volatility se related fluctuations ko mitigate karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai. Ek hi methodology par depend karne ke bajaye, technical aur fundamental analyses ka combination use karna behtar hai. Technical analysis mein price charts aur indicators ka istemal karke patterns aur trends ko identify kiya jata hai, jabke fundamental analysis market ko affect karne wale underlying economic factors ko samajhne par focus karta hai. Technical analysis tools, jaise ke moving averages, trend lines, aur oscillators ka use karke potential entry aur exit points ko identify kiya ja sakta hai. Moving averages, jaise ke 50-day aur 200-day moving averages, overall trend ko samajhne mein madad karte hain aur market ke bullish ya bearish stage ko determine karne mein help karte hain. Trend lines support aur resistance levels ko identify karne mein madad karte hain, jabke oscillators, jaise ke RSI(14), overbought ya oversold conditions ko indicate karte hain. In tools ko price action analysis ke sath combine karke precise trading decisions lena asaan hota hai.

23 August 2024, Jumme ko trading ke dauran 0.6755 se 0.6765 ke resistance area level ko penetrate karne mein kamiyabi hasil ki, jo ke 22 August 2024, Jumeraat ko trading ka high ya resistance area tha. Ab hum is support area level ka istemal karke agle trade mein pending buy limit order place kar sakte hain. Technical side se dekha jaye to 0.6800 se 0.6790 ke resistance area jo ke Jumme ke din trading mein form hua, is martaba key resistance area banega. Agar yeh resistance area breakout na kar saka, to Asian trading session mein AUD/USD currency pair ke pehle decline hone ki umeed hai, is se pehle ke yeh 0.6755 - 0.6765 ke support area level ko use karte hue buyers ke liye dubara climb karke aur bhi upar jaye.

In conditions ko dekhte hue market ke 0.6797 - 0.6799 ke price par open hone ki umeed hai, jahan qareebi support aur resistance 0.6811 aur 0.6787 ke aas paas ban rahe hain. Aur ye hai planning Monday ke liye:Buy ko maintain kiya jaye agar price 0.6811 ke resistance ko breakout kar sakta hai, EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 upwards hang karte huye bullish potential ke sath 0.6846 - 0.7262 level tak ja sakta hai.Agar price correct ho raha ho, to pullback ke dauran 0.6749 ke aas paas buy ki option dekhi ja sakti hai, take profit 0.6773 - 0.6790 tak le sakte hain, ya phir 0.6802 tak.Dusri buy option ye hai ke agar correction continue ho, buyers EMA 200 H1 line ke bounce ka intezar kar sakte hain, take profit 0.6725 - 0.6748 ke aas paas plan karna chahiye.Sell ki option agar price 0.6787 ko breakout karta hai, take profit 0.6772 - 0.6750 tak le sakte hain, lekin yeh risky ho sakta hai, behtar hoga ke 0.6749 area ke breakout ka intezar kiya jaye, jab EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 downside crossover banate hain, take profit 0.6709 - 0.6687 tak le sakte hain.Ek aur sell plan ye hai ke agar price 0.6846 area se reject hota hai, qareebi bearish potential 0.6813 tak hai jo buy positions open karne se behtar options hai. Main behtar entry point ka intezar karunga support level 0.66005 ke qareeb. Price ko is level tak pahunchne ke liye thoda dip hona zaroori hai. Mera profit target 0.67331 hai. Mujhe umeed hai ke yeh strategy plan ke mutabiq unfold hogi. Agar price decline karta hai, to yeh stagnant lag sakta hai—koi bara downward movement na dikhaate huye. Lekin, price confidently upward trend mein surge kar sakta hai, obstacles, levels, aur critical markers ko asaani se overcome karte hue. Minor hurdles, jaise ke H1 chart par, ka zyada asar nahi hota, jabke daily time frame par bade hurdles bhi progress ko barely slow karte hain. H4 chart par recent mein, daily time frame se 0.6699 ka benchmark, upward movement mein slight pause ka sabab bana, lekin upper movement ka silsila jaari raha

AUD/USD ka tajziyah
Assalam Alaikum!
AUD/USD ki trading ke liye mere mansube me buniyadi taur par kuch nahin badla hai. Mai ab bhi mandi ke scenario ki taraf jhuka hua hun. Halankeh, kal qimat ne muqami bulandi ko dobara chuaa aur ek reversal pin bar (movement ke oruj par ek mandi wali candle) tashkil diya. Takniki nuqtah nazar se, yah mandi ke scenario ke tasulsul ki himayat karta hai aur ek reversal ki nishandahi karta hai. Agar ham farz karein keh currency ke jode EUR/USD aur GBP/USD, jin ka baraherast talluq hai, pahle hi kam ho rahe hain, to AUD/USD ke jode ko usi niche ke rujhan par amal karna chahiye. Iske alawa, US dollar index ooper ki taraf durust ho raha hai. Mujhe aaj kami ki tawaqqo hai, jiske hadaf ki satah 0.6762 par muqarrar ki gayi hai. Abhi ke liye, yahi mansubah hai, lekin ham dekhenge keh yah kaise hota hai. Mujhe taraqqi ki koi salahiyat nazar nahin aati hai, halankeh mai ghalat ho sakta hun. Chunkeh bulandi par koi liquidity nahin hai, lehaza is muqam par taraqqi ka koi muhrik nahin hai.

AUD/USD jor ek multi-week high tak barh gaya hai, jo kuch key factors ke asar se hai. Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ne hawkish stance barqarar rakhi hai, jo ke suggest karti hai ke interest rates high reh sakti hain taake inflation ko roka ja sake. Ye nazariya China ke strong inflation data ke saath mazid mazboot hota hai, jo Australia ka major trading partner hai. Iske ilawa, global markets mein positive risk sentiment ne Aussie ko support diya hai, kyunki traders U.S. Federal Reserve se 50 basis points rate cut ki ummeed kar rahe hain. Ye expectation softer U.S. economic data ki wajah se hai, jo Fed ko monetary policy dheela karne par majboor kar sakti hai. Iska natija ye hua ke U.S. dollar kamzor hua hai, jo AUD ko aur barhawa de raha hai. In supportive factors ke bawajood, nazariya ehtiyaat se bharpur hai. RBA ne indicate kiya hai ke future rate decisions upcoming economic data, jaise consumer confidence aur employment figures, par depend karega. Agar consumer confidence barhta hai to ye consumer spending aur potentially higher inflation ka signal ho sakta hai, jo RBA ko additional rate hikes par consider karne par majboor kar sakta hai.

Iske sath hi, Australia ke labor market conditions bhi crucial hain. Tight labor markets wage growth aur consumer spending ko barha sakte hain, jo demand-driven inflation ko fuel kar sakta hai. Aise mein RBA apni tightening stance ko barqarar rakhne ka fayasla kar sakti hai. Lekin agar labor market kamzor dikhai deta hai, to RBA rate hike cycle ko pause ya reverse bhi kar sakti hai.

AUD/USD currency pair ko RBA ke hawkish stance, China ke strong inflation data, aur U.S. Federal Reserve se rate cut ke expectations se support mil raha hai, jisne U.S. dollar ko kamzor kiya hai.

Lekin, pair ke future direction largely Australia se aane wale economic data aur RBA ke response par depend karegi. Traders ko in developments par nazar rakhni chahiye taake ye assess kiya ja sake ke AUD/USD ka upward trend continue kar sakta hai ya nahi.

Daily chart par, ek noticeable long candle dekhne ko milti hai jo prolonged downward swing ke baad aayi hai, jo suggest karti hai ke sellers ka control kuch kamzor hua hai aur buyers

y trading day par, main recommend karta hoon ke aap daily chart par nazar daalein, taake hum pair ki overall movement ko samajh sakein. Daily time frame par, price phir se barh gai thi jab ke pehle se hi yeh upar jaane ka rasta khol chuki thi. Magar price abhi bhi roki gayi aur daily resistance area mein reject hui, jo ke 0.6813x ke price range mein hai.
Uske baad, price ne neeche jaane ki koshish ki aur kaafi low level tak pohonch gayi. Meri raye mein, agar price resistance ko paar nahi kar pati, toh yeh wapas daily support area ki taraf jaayegi jo ke 0.6763x ke price range mein hai. Halankeh price dobara se dominant hote hue upar barh gayi, magar apni highest resistance tak nahi pohonchi. Magar is cheez ko samajhna zaroori hai ke aaj ke liye price ka izafa zyada dominant ho sakta hai. Is waqt, sabse behtreen approach yeh hai ke hum intezar karein ke price resistance ko break kare aur agli resistance tak 0.6863x ke price par pohonche, ya phir reject ho kar neeche support 0.6712x ke aas paas gir jaaye. Iss current position mein, upar jaane ka rujhan abhi bhi hai, lekin neeche jaane ka bhi equal chance hai. Meri raye mein, AUD/USD pair ke liye aaj ka mood yeh hai ke agar resistance break ho jaaye toh buy karein, aur agar support break ho jaaye toh sell karein. Yeh last candlestick ke doji form par base karta hai, jo ke buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan balance ko show karta hai. Abhi, AUD/USD pair daily opening level par trade kar raha hai jo ke balance mein lag raha hai. Aage ke price movements ko analyze karne ke liye, hum M30 time frame par nazar daal sakte hain. Yahan par do minor support aur resistance areas hain, ek 0.6787x price ke aas paas upar ki had par aur doosra 0.6778x price ke aas paas neeche ki had par. Yeh do areas aane wale time mein achi entry opportunities de sakti hain.

morning! Aaj hum AUD/USD pair par forex trading ke liye meri raye discuss karein ge. Pichlay trading day par, main recommend karta hoon ke aap daily chart par nazar daalein, taake hum pair ki overall movement ko samajh sakein. Daily time frame par, price phir se barh gai thi jab ke pehle se hi yeh upar jaane ka rasta khol chuki thi. Magar price abhi bhi roki gayi aur daily resistance area mein reject hui, jo ke 0.6813x ke price range mein hai.
Uske baad, price ne neeche jaane ki koshish ki aur kaafi low level tak pohonch gayi. Meri raye mein, agar price resistance ko paar nahi kar pati, toh yeh wapas daily support area ki taraf jaayegi jo ke 0.6763x ke price range mein hai. Halankeh price dobara se dominant hote hue upar barh gayi, magar apni highest resistance tak nahi pohonchi. Magar is cheez ko samajhna zaroori hai ke aaj ke liye price ka izafa zyada dominant ho sakta hai. Is waqt, sabse behtreen approach yeh hai ke hum intezar karein ke price resistance ko break kare aur agli resistance tak 0.6863x ke price par pohonche, ya phir reject ho kar neeche support 0.6712x ke aas paas gir jaaye. Iss current position mein, upar jaane ka rujhan abhi bhi hai, lekin neeche jaane ka bhi equal chance hai. Meri raye mein, AUD/USD pair ke liye aaj ka mood yeh hai ke agar resistance break ho jaaye toh buy karein, aur agar support break ho jaaye toh sell karein. Yeh last candlestick ke doji form par base karta hai, jo ke buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan balance ko show karta hai. Abhi, AUD/USD pair daily opening level par trade kar raha hai jo ke balance mein lag raha hai. Aage ke price movements ko analyze karne ke liye, hum M30 time frame par nazar daal sakte hain. Yahan par do minor support aur resistance areas hain, ek 0.6787x price ke aas paas upar ki had par aur doosra 0.6778x price ke aas paas neeche ki had par. Yeh do areas aane wale time mein achi entry opportunities de sakti hain

Yeh mumkin hai ke is point se ek bearish move ho sakta hai, jo is trading instrument ki price mein significant drop ka sabab ban sakta hai. Yeh tab hoga agar market khulne ke baad AUD/USD pair mazeed upar jaane mein na kamyab ho aur 0.6598 level ke upar consolidate na kare, jo recent price increase mein tha. Agar yeh scenario hota hai, toh yeh downward trend ko trigger kar sakta hai, jahan price seedha bearish ho sakta hai. Yeh scenario tab mazeed mumkin banega agar market khulne ke baad price 0.6514 ke accumulation area tak girti hai aur phir wahan se rise karne ki koshish karti hai. Is surat mein, AUD/USD pair ko 0.6554 level ko paar karne mein mushkilat ho sakti hai. Agar yeh resistance mazboot rehti hai, toh price 0.6554 se bearish direction mein gir sakti hai, aur 0.6449 ke area ka rukh kar sakti hai, jahan significant amounts of money hain. Support ke liye, AUD/USD ascending channel ka lower boundary 0.6630 ke aas paas hai, jo exchange rate ke liye immediate support hai, uske baad 9-day moving average jo 0.6618 ke qareeb hai. Agar yeh moving average ke neeche girti hai, toh pair 0.6575 ke pullback level ko test kar sakta hai. Agar pair is support area ke neeche girti hai, toh yeh bearish bias ko indicate kar sakti hai jo pair ko 0.6470 ke pullback level ki taraf le ja sakti hai
US Dollar ko support milne mein mushkil ho rahi hai jab traders yeh samajhte hain ke Fed rate cuts laazmi hain. Sab ki nigahain Fed ke Chair Jerome Powell par hain Jackson Hole mein, jahan woh cuts ki tasdeeq karenge. US Dollar index 101.00 ke just upar trade kar raha hai aur agar weak sentiment barqarar rehta hai, toh yeh 100.00 tak gir sakta hai. US Dollar (USD) broadly flat trade kar raha hai jabke Wednesday ko US session ke start mein heavy selling hui, jis se ek aur leg lower trigger hui aur 2024 ka fresh low dekha gaya. Nonfarm Payrolls revision ne pehle se estimated 818,000 kam jobs highlight ki, jo ke over a decade mein sabse bari downward revision thi, aur US job market ke hawale se market concerns ko confirm kiya. Baad mein, July meeting ke Fed Minutes release hue, jisme confirm hua ke kuch members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) us waqt rate cut ka keh rahe the, jo September mein lagbhag certain hai. AUD/USD price mazeed advance kar sakti hai daily chart analysis ke mutabiq jo ek bullish bias ke mazboot hone ka ishara de rahi hai. 9-day EMA 50-day EMA ke upar position mein hai, jo recent price action ko longer-term trend ke outperform karne ka indication de raha hai. 0.6798 level, jo seven-month high hai, ek key barrier ke tor par nazar aa

Yeh downtrend dheere dheere chal raha hai, jo mukhtalif economic aur geopolitical factors ko reflect karta hai. Is dheere movement ke bawajood, mujhe lagta hai ke AUD/USD pair agle kuch dinon mein significant movement ke liye tayar hai. Yeh analysis technical indicators, economic data, aur market sentiment ke combination par mabni hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke pair ek critical point ke qareeb hai jo ek notable shift lead kar sakta hai. Chaliye market trend ko pichle teen hafton se monitor karte hain, yeh lagta hai ke yeh drastically bearish raha hai. Seller ke strong pressure se price weak ho rahi hai. Yahaan main apni rai dena chahta hoon market ke liye, agar main is haftay ki price movement pattern ko monitor karoon, to lagta hai ke market ab bhi neeche ja raha hai halanki kuch upward correction bhi dekhne ko mil rahi hai. Mere khayal mein, agle haftay bhi price bearish side par wapas aane ki koshish karegi jaise pichle haftay dekha gaya tha, jahan sellers ne candlestick ko highest zone 0.6786 se neeche le jaaya tha. Ab price position 0.6512 area par aa gayi hai, candlestick position ab bhi 100 period ke simple moving average zone se neeche chal rahi hai, jo ke larger time frame mein bearish trend ka continuation dikha rahi hai. Market scenario agle haftay ke liye, mujhe lagta hai ke hum sirf price ke wapas neeche jane ka intezar kar rahe hain taake Sell trading signal mil sake. Yeh mumkin hai ke seller price ko aur neeche le jana chahte hain aur 100 period ke simple moving average zone se door le jana chahte hain. Agar main current price movement ko monitor karoon to yeh bearish lagta hai, mujhe lagta hai ke market seller ke asar mein hoga aur dobara girne ka chance hai taake 0.6471 price zone ko test kiya ja sake kyunki calculations aur technical analysis ke mutabiq price movement apni journey ko Downtrend side ki taraf continue kar sakti hai. AUD/USD pair filhal bearish trend mein hai, aur market dheere dheere move kar raha hai. Lekin, kuch factors suggest karte hain ke ek significant movement imminent ho sakta hai. Technical indicators reversal ya continued decline ki possibility ko point out karte hain, jo depend karta hai ke pair key support levels ko hold kar pata hai ya nahi. Economic factors, khaaskar RBA aur Fed ke policies, bhi pair ke direction determine karne mein crucial role play karenge. Aakhir mein, market sentiment, jo global economic developments se influence hota hai, rapid changes lead kar sakta hai pair ke movement mein. Isliye, traders ko in factors ko closely monitor karna chahiye aur AUD/USD pair mein potential volatility ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye agle kuch dinon mein.

Is waqt AUD/USD currency pair ka price behavior under discussion hai. Maujooda soorat-e-haal yeh hai ke market mein zyadatar sell orders dominate kar rahe hain, lekin ek strong upward movement ka potential bhi maujood hai. Yeh potential is wajah se hai ke 0.6759 level ke aas-paas sellers ki accumulation ho rahi hai.

Agar trading strategy ki baat karein, toh aap near 0.6759 ke qareeb ek buy order consider kar sakte hain, jahan pehle profit lene ka target 0.6819 par set karein aur stop-loss 0.6729 ke bilkul neeche rakhain. Agar price 0.6729 se neeche gir kar stabilize ho jati hai, toh humein alternative strategies ko explore karna hoga. AUD/USD pair aaj relatively calm din guzara raha hai, halaan ke primary trend upward hi hai. Price ne ab tak naye local highs ko touch nahi kiya hai. Ye bhi interesting baat hai ke market mein abhi bhi growth ka room maujood hai, lekin ek significant pullback ideal hoga. Aaj ke din ke doran lower move karne ki koshish ki gayi, lekin yeh koshishain kuch khaas asar nahi dal sakin. Yeh bhi zaroori hai ke US dollar ke signs of growth bhi dekhne ko mil rahe hain. In factors ko dekhte hue, mein filhaal market ko observe kar raha hoon aur sidelines par hoon.


Agar scenario further unfold hota hai, toh meri analysis yeh depict karti hai ke market manipulation smart money ke zariye ho rahi hai, jo ke pichlay Friday se ek sharp upward price impulse ke saath shuru hui thi. Yeh move ek solid bullish hourly candle se highlight hui thi, jiska long body tha aur substantial trading volume tha, jo ke price surge ke peechay significant effort ko indicate karta hai. Jab price movement volume ke saath hoti hai, toh iska aksar ek clear goal hota hai. Agar pichli price increase ka maksad higher levels par liquidity ko remove karna tha, toh hum dekh sakte hain ke price accumulation area ke qareeb 0.6738 tak gir jaye, uske baad ek tezi se ascent ho established highs se beyond, possibly is point tak. Lekin agar AUD/USD pair naye highs tak pohanch kar phir increasing volume ke saath girti hai, toh yeh scenario sharp decline ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jahan accumulated money volumes ke aas-paas 0.6593 level ho sakta hai.

Hello sab ko, kaise hain aap? Umeed hai ke aap trading ke aakhri din ka lutf utha rahe hain. Pichle hafta, price ne ek tez bearish trend dikhayi. Yeh lagbhag paanch sau pips ka bearish level tha. Iske baad, price ne apna saara level tod diya aur 0.6779 tak pahunch gaya. Australian dollar ne woh upar ki taraf momentum jari rakhi jo kal shuru hui thi, aur pichle kaam ke hafta ke lokal high tak pohanch gaya. 0.6506 par support milne ke baad, price ne rebound kiya aur apni rise dobara shuru ki, 0.6635 tak pahunch gaya jab tak ke is level ke neeche ruk nahi gaya. Is tarah, girawat ka umeed kiya gaya silsila nahi hua, aur mukhtalif forecast ab kansel hone ki haalat mein hain. Filhal, price chart supertrend green zone mein hai, jo ke buyers ki activity ko zahir kar raha hai.
AUD ki prices mein tezi se izafa hua Thursday, 22 August ko, jab Saudi Arabia ne June ki oil exports mein tez kami ki report di. Is waqt jab main likh raha hoon, AUD/USD 0.67730 par trade kar raha hai, jo 1.84% ki izafa hai. Is dauraan, US Dollar Index apni downtrend jari rakhi hui hai, 2024 ke low tak pahunch gaya hai. Is girawat ko kai wajoohat ki wajah se samjha ja raha hai, jismein recent non-farm payroll data mein girawat aur Federal Reserve ke ishare ke mutabiq ho sakta hai ke woh interest rates mein kami karein.

Pair is waqt apne haftay ke highs se kaafi upar trade kar raha hai. Main resistance area bhari dabaav mein hai aur tordne ke qareeb hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke ab preferred vector ko upar ki taraf shift karne ki zaroorat hai. Yeh us waqt tasdeeq hoga jab 0.6635 ke level ko break kar ke upar ki taraf confident resistance ban jaye. Ek successful retest aur iske baad neeche se rebound se ek aur upward movement ka silsila jari hoga, jiska target 0.6765 se 0.6804 ke

AUD/USD par humare paas mazeed purchasing ke moqe hain aur price baad mein 0.67622 zone ko cross kar sakti hai. Lekin, yeh zaroori hai ke hum ehtiyaat baratain aur high volumes se bachen, special news release ke dauran. High trading volumes se volatility aur risk barh sakta hai, jo trades ko manage karna mushkil bana sakta hai. News release ke doran market tez aur ghaflati harkaat ka shikaar ho sakti hai, jo agar sahi se manage nahi kiya jaye to bade nuqsan ka sabab ban sakta hai. Isliye, moderate volumes ke sath trading karna behtar hai aur risk management strategies, jese ke stop-loss orders aur predefined profit levels, ka istemal karna chahiye.
Aaj ke liye, ek buy order jo 0.68355 ke qareeb short-term target rakhta hai, yeh kaafi hoga. Aam taur par, apni trading strategy ko diversify karna high volatility se related changes ko manage karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai. Sirf ek strategy par depend karne ke bajaye, hum technical aur fundamental analysis ka mix istemal kar sakte hain taake informed trading decisions le sakein.

Technical analysis mein price charts aur indicators ka use kar ke patterns aur trends ko identify kiya jata hai. Moving averages, jaise ke 50-day aur 200-day moving averages, humein overall trend ke bare mein insights dete hain aur yeh pata lagane mein madad karte hain ke market bullish hai ya bearish. Trend lines support aur resistance levels ko identify karne mein madadgar hote hain, jabke oscillators, jese ke Relative Strength Index (RSI 14), overbought ya oversold conditions ko indicate karte hain.

Fundamental analysis basic economic factors ko samajhne par focus karti hai jo market ko impact karte hain. Technical aur fundamental analysis ke tools ko combine kar ke, hum better trading decisions le sakte hain aur potential entry aur exit points ko identify kar sakte hain. Yeh approach humari trading strategy ko strengthen karti hai aur market ke dynamic conditions ko manage karne mein madad det

Yeh analysis technical indicators, economic data, aur market sentiment ke combination par mabni hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke pair ek critical point ke qareeb hai jo ek notable shift lead kar sakta hai. Chaliye market trend ko pichle teen hafton se monitor karte hain, yeh lagta hai ke yeh drastically bearish raha hai. Seller ke strong pressure se price weak ho rahi hai. Yahaan main apni rai dena chahta hoon market ke liye, agar main is haftay ki price movement pattern ko monitor karoon, to lagta hai ke market ab bhi neeche ja raha hai halanki kuch upward correction bhi dekhne ko mil rahi hai. Mere khayal mein, agle haftay bhi price bearish side par wapas aane ki koshish karegi jaise pichle haftay dekha gaya tha, jahan sellers ne candlestick ko highest zone 0.6786 se neeche le jaaya tha. Ab price position 0.6512 area par aa gayi hai, candlestick position ab bhi 100 period ke simple moving average zone se neeche chal rahi hai, jo ke larger time frame mein bearish trend ka continuation dikha rahi hai. Market scenario agle haftay ke liye, mujhe lagta hai ke hum sirf price ke wapas neeche jane ka intezar kar rahe hain taake Sell trading signal mil sake. Yeh mumkin hai ke seller price ko aur neeche le jana chahte hain aur 100 period ke simple moving average zone se door le jana chahte hain. Agar main current price movement ko monitor karoon to yeh bearish lagta hai, mujhe lagta hai ke market seller ke asar mein hoga aur dobara girne ka chance hai taake 0.6471 price zone ko test kiya ja sake kyunki calculations aur technical analysis ke mutabiq price movement apni journey ko Downtrend side ki taraf continue kar sakti hai. AUD/USD pair filhal bearish trend mein hai, aur market dheere dheere move kar raha hai. Lekin, kuch factors suggest karte hain ke ek significant movement imminent ho sakta hai. Technical indicators reversal ya continued decline ki possibility ko point out karte hain, jo depend karta hai ke pair key support levels ko hold kar pata hai ya nahi. Economic factors, special RBA aur Fed ke policie