ای aud/usd کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

AUD/USD ka darja signal line se neeche tha, aur is ne bearish divergence ka zikar kiya, jo ke MACD par nazar aa raha tha. Chart par aik reversal pattern bana, jo ascending wedge tha, aur ye neeche ki taraf toota. Jab price 0.6909 ke level ke neeche consolidate hui, to ye aik sell signal bana. Behtareen bechnay ka mauqa tab mila jab ye level neeche se retest hui aur resistance ban gayi, jo ke growth peak par mirror image bana. Ye sab kuch US dollar ki taqat ki wajah se hua, jo ke pichlay hafte major currencies ke khilaf mazboot hui. Agar meri soch theek sabit hoti hai, to price 0.6847 ke accumulation point tak barh sakti hai. Agar ye scenario sahi hota hai, aur agar AUD/USD ka level 0.6752 support bana rehta hai, to humein 0.6752 se 0.6928 tak ka dramatic rebound dekhne ko mil sakta hai, jahan significant buying interest maujood hai. Price shuru mein neeche gayi lekin US employment data ki release hone tak wo stabilize rahi, jisme non-agricultural sector mein behtareen tabdeeliyan dekhi gayi. Khaaskar, average hourly wage mein izafa hua aur unemployment rate ghat gaya. Halankeh in figures par shak karna samajh se baahir nahi, lekin US dollar ne mazbooti se react kiya aur doosri global currencies ke khilaf taqat hasil ki. Price ab us ascending support line par hai jo ke daily waves ke neeche banai gayi thi. Is waqt, CCI indicator lower overheating zone se upar ki taraf ja raha hai, jo slight bullish divergence ko darshata hai. Ye scenario upward correction ka aik mazboot signal hai, jo ke 0.6838 ya is se zyada resistance level tak ja sakta hai. Jab hum chart ki baai taraf dekhtay hain, to humein pata chalta hai ke 0.6786 aik technical support level hai, na ke aik volume level.
Market ke movements kabhi kabhi puppeteer's strategies ko darshate hain, kyunke haal ke statistics ye darshate hain ke volume levels par hit karna zyada pasand kiya ja raha hai
Technical analysis ke lehaz se, agar pair 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) se neechay girta hai

raha.AUD ko hawkish expectations se bhi faida mil raha hai, jo ke RBA ki aanay wali interest rate decision ke hawalay se hain, jo Tuesday ko hone wali hai. Expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 4.35% par stable rakhegi, jo mazboot labor market aur inflationary pressures ko madde nazar rakhtay hue hai. Doosri taraf, US Dollar (USD) ki qeemat mein kami ho sakti hai kyun ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke policymakers agle saal 2024 mein 75 basis points (bps) ke rate cuts predict kar rahe hain, jab ke last week unho ne aggressive 50 basis points ka rate cut kiya tha, jis se range 4.75-5.00% ho gayi hai.Monday ko AUD/USD pair 0.6820 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Daily chart ki technical analysis yeh dikhati hai ke pair ascending channel pattern ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke bullish bias ki kamzori ko zahir karta hai. But 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab bhi 50 se ooper hai, is liye aglay price movement se pair ke trend ka behtar andaza hoga. Is waqt AUD/USD pair ascending channel ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke 0.6839 ke nine-month high ke qareeb hai, jo 19 September ko dekha gaya tha. Agar is level se bounce hota hai, to pair upper boundary tak pohanch sakta hai, jo 0.6890 level ke qareeb hai. Neeche ki taraf, AUD/USD pair ko support 0.6771 par nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par mil sakta hai, aur agla aham wave ka nateeja hoga, jo humein 0.6952 tak le ja sakta hai. Yeh ek strong opportunity hogi AUD/USD sell karne ke liye, aur 0.690 se sell positions initiate ki ja sakti hain agar pair mazeed upar jata hai. Ek naya signal aane ka imkaan hai, jo strong support level 0.6857 ki taraf girawat ka ishara kar raha hai. Lekin yeh bhi mumkin hai ke pair neeche jaane se pehle upar ki taraf move kare. Phir bhi, bearish movement abhi tak primary outlook hai. Humein intezar karna padega ke forecast kaam karta hai ya nahi. Agar sellers local support range ke neeche hold karte hain, toh hum ek strong one-way decline dekh sakte hain, jo pair ko sell karne ke estimates ko confirm karega. Agar bears aage barhne mein nakam hotay hain, toh buyers control le sakte hain

Jaisay jaisay trading din aage barhta hai, AUD/USD currency pair ek ahem mor par hai jo kay mukhtalif economic factors se mutasir hai. Market ke hissa dar Australian dollar aur powerful U.S. dollar ke darmiyan taluqaat par nazar rakh rahe hain, jo global economic signals se mutasir hain U.S. dollar apni height par hai, jo ke Treasury yields ki mazboot performance se barh raha hai. Investors Federal Reserve se monetary policy ke sustain tightening ke hawale se aane wale hints par react kar rahe hain. Is environment ne dollar ke liye ek favorable maqam bana diya hai, jo Australian dollar ko majbooti hasil karne mein mushkilat ka samna karwa raha hai.Dusri taraf, Australia ka economic landscape itna roshan nahi hai. Haal ke reports local economic indicators mein kamzori dikhati hain, jahan inflation rates yeh suggest kar rahi hain ke RBA apne policy approach mein ehtiyaat barat sakta hai. Yeh hesitation AUD ko exposed chhod sakta hai, khaaskar jab key trading partner China se kamzor demand ke dar se pareshani badh rahi hai, jo Aussie ke liye nazar aaye haalaton ko aur mushkil banati hai.H1 timeframe chart par, AUD/USD pair ne lower lows banaye hain, halankeh candles par body ka kami hai. Jab ke prices bearish moving averages ke neeche hain, technical indicators midlines ke neeche direction strength mein kami dikhate hain. Market filhal 50-day aur 200-day simple moving averages ke neeche trade kar raha hai. Agar market resistance ko break karta hai, toh yeh upar jaega, aur agar nahi karta hai, toh yeh neeche jaega. Market is waqt RSI 30 aur 70 ke darmiyan hai. RSI indicator ki value filhal 30 ke kareeb hai, isliye umeed hai ke market aur neeche jaega, aur RSI ki value 30 se neeche aa sakti hai. Market ka support level 0.6496 hai, jahan se market apni maujoodgi ko barhakar girne ki koshish karega.Kuch profit-taking aur risk assets mein dheere se recovery ne Australian dollar ko neeche kheecha, jab ke U.S. dollar (USD) ne kuch had tak ghatne ka dikhaya. Australian dollar ko is waqt China ke recently announced stimulus plans ke implementation ke bare mein doubts ne bhi roka. Iron ore prices mein halki barhavat ke muqable mein, copper prices mein tezi se ghatne ne dikhaya ke traders ab bhi China ki economic outlook ke bare mein unsure hain.
September ki meeting mein, Reserve Bank of Australia ne apni interest rate ko 4.35% par rakha. RBA Governor Bullock ne rate hike ki sambhavana ko kam samjha, halankeh unhon ne inflation ke khatron ko tasdeeq kiya. RBA ke Deputy Governor Andrew Houser ne apne aakhri taqreer mein warn kiya ke RBA se significant easing ki umeedain shayad zyada hain. Unhon ne kaha ke ongoing inflationary pressures Australia ko dusre central banks ki tarah jaldi ya itni zyada interest rates cut karne se rokenge. Houser ne ye bhi kaha ke current 4.35% interest rate itna restrict nahi hai, kyunki RBA ka model 3% se 4% ke darmiyan neutral interest rate ko predict karta hai.

Aud/USD


utha aur FR 50 (0.6712) par pause kiya. Ab jo
price dobara gir raha hai, wo apni decline ko 0.6660 ke neeche barqarar rakhna chahiye. Jab tak AUD/USD pair ki price 0.6762 high ko cross nahi karti, upward correction phase khatam ho jaye ga aur price increase aik lower high pattern tak restricted rahe ga. Lekin kyunke histogram ne ab tak negative zone mai entry nahi ki ya level 0 ke neeche nahi gaya, jo ke downtrend momentum ko denote karta hai, isliye yeh upward correction phase ko support kar sakta hai. Asal mein, yeh prices ko jo abhi tak EMA 50 ke upar stuck hain, unhein upward correct karne mai madad de sakta hai. Yeh conclude kiya ja sakta hai ke price correct hota rahe ga jab tak overbought market ke saturation point ko achieve nahi karta. Agar parameter level 50 tak pohanchta hai, to price ko higher correct karna expect kiya ja sakta hai.Position ka entry point FR 61.8 aur 0.6722 ke darmiyan hai, jo SMA 200 ke sath converge kar raha hai. Confirmation tab hoti hai jab Stochastic indicator parameter overbought zone mai move karne ke baad levels 90 aur 80 par cross karta hai, jo ke buying saturation point ko denote karta hai. AO indicator ka volume histogram kam az kam level 0 ke qareeb positive area mai hai, jo upward momentum ke slowing down ko indicate karta hai.A-B-C patterns aik 5-3-5 wave sequence hain jo zigzag patterns kehlate hain. 10/17/2024 ko hum ne Elliottwave-Forecast members ke sath yeh chart share kiya tha, jo shorter cycles mai price ka rasta dikhata hai. Chart dikhata hai ke August low se bullish sequence ka aik bearish correction ho raha hai. Pehli reaction mai 5 waves ka drop aur wave (A) ki completion hui thi. Is structure ke sath hum predict kar sakte hain ke aik A-B-C zigzag pattern involve ho raha hai jo 5-3-5 wave sequence hai. Ab price wave (B) mai hai agar yeh kam az kam 23.6% retracement zone (0.6725) tak extend hota hai. Agar current bounce 0.6725 ke neeche end hota hai, to yeh (B) ke liye kafi nahi hoga. Is surat mai hum isay aik nayi wave 4 (A) ya wave ((ii)) 5 consider kar sakte hain

MACD par nazar aa raha tha. Chart par aik reversal pattern bana, jo ascending wedge tha, aur ye neeche ki taraf toota. Jab price 0.6909 ke level ke neeche consolidate hui, to ye aik sell signal bana. Behtareen bechnay ka mauqa tab mila jab ye level neeche se retest hui aur resistance ban gayi, jo ke growth peak par mirror image bana. Ye sab kuch US dollar ki taqat ki wajah se hua, jo ke pichlay hafte major currencies ke khilaf mazboot hui. Agar meri soch theek sabit hoti hai, to price 0.6847 ke accumulation point tak barh sakti hai. Agar ye scenario sahi hota hai, aur agar AUD/USD ka level 0.6752 support bana rehta hai, to humein 0.6752 se 0.6928 tak ka dramatic rebound dekhne ko mil sakta hai, jahan significant buying interest maujood hai. Price shuru mein neeche gayi lekin US employment data ki release hone tak wo stabilize rahi, jisme non-agricultural sector mein behtareen tabdeeliyan dekhi gayi. Khaaskar, average hourly wage mein izafa hua aur unemployment rate ghat gaya. Halankeh in figures par shak karna samajh se baahir nahi, lekin US dollar ne mazbooti se react kiya aur doosri global currencies ke khilaf taqat hasil ki. Price ab us ascending support line par hai jo ke daily waves ke neeche banai gayi thi. Is waqt, CCI indicator lower overheating zone se upar ki taraf ja raha hai, jo slight bullish divergence ko darshata hai. Ye scenario upward correction ka aik mazboot signal hai, jo ke 0.6838 ya is se zyada resistance level tak ja sakta hai. Jab hum chart ki baai taraf dekhtay hain, to humein pata chalta hai ke 0.6786 aik technical support level hai, na ke aik volume level. Market ke movements kabhi kabhi puppeteer's strategies ko darshate hain, kyunke haal ke statistics ye darshate hain ke volume levels par hit karna zyada pasand kiya ja raha hai
Technical analysis ke lehaz se, agar pair 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) se neechay girta hai, to pair ko challenges ka samna ho sakta hai. Is level ka breach bearish shift ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo pair ko support level 0.6755 ki taraf lay jaye ga. Agar pair mazid girta hai, to agla ahm level jo dekhna ho ga wo 0.6671 hoga, jo downward momentum ko capitalize karne wale traders ke liye ek significant throwback point ban sakta ha
AUD/USD sell karne ke liye, aur 0.690 se sell positions initiate ki ja sakti hain agar pair mazeed upar jata hai. Ek naya signal aane ka imkaan hai, jo strong support level 0.6857 ki taraf girawat ka ishara kar raha hai. Lekin yeh bhi mumkin hai ke pair neeche jaane se pehle upar ki taraf move kare. Phir bhi, bearish movement abhi tak primary outlook hai. Humein intezar karna padega ke forecast kaam karta hai ya nahi. Agar sellers local support range ke neeche hold karte hain, toh hum ek strong one-way decline dekh sakte hain, jo pair ko sell karne ke estimates ko confirm karega. Agar bears aage barhne mein nakam hotay

AUD/USD Analysis - Fibonacci Levels aur Trend Reversal ka Imkaan
AUD/USD ke is chart mein recent price action ke baad kuch important Fibonacci levels saamne aa rahe hain jo trading decisions mein madadgar ho sakte hain. Pehle to, yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke **price abhi 50% Fibonacci retracement level** ke aas paas support le rahi hai. Yeh level ek significant support point hai jo market ko neeche se hold karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Agar price yahan se bounce karti hai, toh ye bullish sentiment ke revival ka sign ho sakta hai.
Fibonacci retracement levels traders ko ye samajhne mein madad karte hain ke market mein kis level par support aur resistance expect kiya ja sakta hai. Is case mein, 50% level ek strong support hai. Agar yeh level hold karta hai, toh price wapas **38.2%** aur uske baad **23.6%** levels tak ja sakti hai. Yeh dono levels resistance ki tarah act karenge, aur agar price inhe break kare toh strong upward trend ka imkaan barh sakta hai.
Chart ke neeche, Stochastic Oscillator ka signal bhi market ka current sentiment dikhata hai. Stochastic oversold area mein hai, jo ke is baat ka indication hai ke price mein ab bounce ya bullish reversal ka imkaan hai. Agar oscillator upar cross kare, toh yeh ek positive sign hoga aur short-term buying opportunity create ho sakti hai.
Agar price 50% Fibonacci level ko hold nahi karti aur neeche break karti hai, toh yeh bearish sentiment ko mazid mazboot karega, aur agla support level 61.8% par aayega. Yeh level bhi significant hai aur downside momentum ko rok sakta hai, lekin agar yeh bhi break hota hai toh price neeche 78.6% aur 100% levels tak ja sakti hai.
Suggested Trading Strategy:
Buying Opportunity: Agar price 50% Fibonacci level se strong bounce karti hai, toh buying position consider ki ja sakti hai, jisme pehla target 38.2% aur agla target 23.6% par hoga.
Selling Opportunity: Agar price 50% ke neeche close ho aur neeche ki taraf momentum barh raha ho, toh sell positions consider ki ja sakti hain, aur target 61.8% Fibonacci level par set kiya ja sakta hai.
Ye analysis AUD/USD ke short-term aur mid-term price movements ko samajhne mein madadgar ho sakta hai. Market ka sentiment aur risk management ko madde nazar rakhte hue trading decisions kiye jaayein.

response hai. Observation dikhata hai ke jab price ne 0.6660 ka low hit kiya, to price EMA 50 ke upar utha aur FR 50 (0.6712) par pause kiya. Ab jo price dobara gir raha hai, wo apni decline ko 0.6660 ke neeche barqarar rakhna chahiye. Jab tak AUD/USD pair ki price 0.6762 high ko cross nahi karti, upward correction phase khatam ho jaye ga aur price increase aik lower high pattern tak restricted rahe ga. Lekin kyunke histogram ne ab tak negative zone mai entry nahi ki ya level 0 ke neeche nahi gaya, jo ke downtrend momentum ko denote karta hai, isliye yeh upward correction phase ko support kar sakta hai. Asal mein, yeh prices ko jo abhi tak EMA 50 ke upar stuck hain, unhein upward correct karne mai madad de sakta hai. Yeh conclude kiya ja sakta hai ke price correct hota rahe ga jab tak overbought market ke saturation point ko achieve nahi karta. Agar parameter level 50 tak pohanchta hai, to price ko higher correct karna expect kiya ja sakta hai.Position ka entry point FR 61.8 aur 0.6722 ke darmiyan hai, jo SMA 200 ke sath converge kar raha hai. Confirmation tab hoti hai jab Stochastic indicator parameter overbought zone mai move karne ke baad levels 90 aur 80 par cross karta hai, jo ke buying saturation point ko denote karta hai. AO indicator ka volume histogram kam az kam level 0 ke qareeb positive area mai hai, jo upward momentum ke slowing down ko indicate karta hai.A-B-C patterns aik 5-3-5 wave sequence hain jo zigzag patterns kehlate hain. 10/17/2024 ko hum ne Elliottwave-Forecast members ke sath yeh chart share kiya tha, jo shorter cycles mai price ka rasta dikhata hai. Chart dikhata hai ke August low se bullish sequence ka aik bearish correction ho raha hai. Pehli reaction mai 5 waves ka drop aur wave (A) ki completion hui thi. Is structure ke sath hum predict kar sakte hain ke aik A-B-C zigzag pattern involve ho raha hai jo 5-3-5 wave sequence hai. Ab price wave (B) mai hai agar yeh kam az kam 23.6% retracement zone (0.6725) tak extend hota hai. Agar current bounce 0.6725 ke neeche end hota hai, to yeh (B) ke liye kafi nahi hoga. Is surat mai hum isay aik nayi wave 4 (A) ya wave ((ii)) 5 consider kar sakte hain
Click image for larger

inject karne se bhi related ho sakta hai, kyun ke Australia aur China ke darmiyan qareebi trade relation hai, aur Chinese economy mein developments ka Australian markets par bara asar ho sakta hai.PBoC ne 14-day reverse repo ke zariye banking system mein CNY 74.5 billion ka injection kiya, aur is dauran rate ko 1.95% se kam karke 1.85% kiya gaya. Iske ilawa, PBoC ne 7-day reverse repo ke zariye bhi CNY 160.1 billion ka injection kiya, jisme rate 1.7% par stable raha.AUD ko hawkish expectations se bhi faida mil raha hai, jo ke RBA ki aanay wali interest rate decision ke hawalay se hain, jo Tuesday ko hone wali hai. Expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 4.35% par stable rakhegi, jo mazboot labor market aur inflationary pressures ko madde nazar rakhtay hue hai. Doosri taraf, US Dollar (USD) ki qeemat mein kami ho sakti hai kyun ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke policymakers agle saal 2024 mein 75 basis points (bps) ke rate cuts predict kar rahe hain, jab ke last week unho ne aggressive 50 basis points ka rate cut kiya tha, jis se range 4.75-5.00% ho gayi hai.Monday ko AUD/USD pair 0.6820 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Daily chart ki technical analysis yeh dikhati hai ke pair ascending channel pattern ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke bullish bias ki kamzori ko zahir karta hai. But 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab bhi 50 se ooper hai, is liye aglay price movement se pair ke trend ka behtar andaza hoga. Is waqt AUD/USD pair ascending channel ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke 0.6839 ke nine-month high ke qareeb hai, jo 19 September ko dekha gaya tha. Agar is level se bounce hota hai, to pair upper boundary tak pohanch sakta hai, jo 0.6890 level ke qareeb hai. Neeche ki taraf, AUD/USD pair ko support 0.6771 par nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par mil sakta hai, aur agla aham wave ka nateeja hoga, jo humein 0.6952 tak le ja sakta hai. Yeh ek strong opportunity hogi AUD/USD sell karne ke liye, aur 0.690 se sell positions initiate ki ja sakti hain agar pair mazeed upar jata hai. Ek naya signal aane ka imkaan hai, jo strong support level 0.6857 ki taraf girawat ka ishara kar raha hai. Lekin yeh bhi mumkin hai ke pair neeche jaane se pehle upar ki taraf move kare. Phir bhi, bearish movement abhi tak primary outlook hai. Humein intezar karna padega ke forecast kaam karta hai ya nahi. Agar sellers local support range ke neeche hold karte hain, toh hum ek strong one-way decline dekh sakte hain, jo pair ko sell karne ke estimates ko confirm karega. Agar bears aage barhne mein nakam hotay hain, toh buyers control le sakte hain. Ek false breakout ka imkaan bhi madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai.

Managers Index (PMI) data ke bawajood AUD ne US Dollar (USD ) ke muqable mein achi position hasil ki hai. AUD/USD ka strong hona China ke central bank PBoC ke banking system mein liquidity inject karne se bhi related ho sakta hai, kyun ke Australia aur China ke darmiyan qareebi trade relation hai, aur Chinese economy mein developments ka Australian markets par bara asar ho sakta hai.PBoC ne 14-day reverse repo ke zariye banking system mein CNY 74.5 billion ka injection kiya, aur is dauran rate ko 1.95% se kam karke 1.85% kiya gaya. Iske ilawa, PBoC ne 7-day reverse repo ke zariye bhi CNY 160.1 billion ka injection kiya, jisme rate 1.7% par stable raha.AUD ko hawkish expectations se bhi faida mil raha hai, jo ke RBA ki aanay wali interest rate decision ke hawalay se hain, jo Tuesday ko hone wali hai. Expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 4.35% par stable rakhegi, jo mazboot labor market aur inflationary pressures ko madde nazar rakhtay hue hai. Doosri taraf, US Dollar (USD) ki qeemat mein kami ho sakti hai kyun ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke policymakers agle saal 2024 mein 75 basis points (bps) ke rate cuts predict kar rahe hain, jab ke last week unho ne aggressive 50 basis points ka rate cut kiya tha, jis se range 4.75-5.00% ho gayi hai.Monday ko AUD/USD pair 0.6820 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Daily chart ki technical analysis yeh dikhati hai ke pair ascending channel pattern ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke bullish bias ki kamzori ko zahir karta hai. But 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab bhi 50 se ooper hai, is liye aglay price movement se pair ke trend ka behtar andaza hoga. Is waqt AUD/USD pair

trade relation hai, aur Chinese economy mein developments ka Australian markets par bara asar ho sakta hai.PBoC ne 14-day reverse repo ke zariye banking system mein CNY 74.5 billion ka injection kiya, aur is dauran rate ko 1.95% se kam karke 1.85% kiya gaya. Iske ilawa, PBoC ne 7-day reverse repo ke zariye bhi CNY 160.1 billion ka injection kiya, jisme rate 1.7% par stable raha.AUD ko hawkish expectations se bhi faida mil raha hai, jo ke RBA ki aanay wali interest rate decision ke hawalay se hain, jo Tuesday ko hone wali hai. Expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 4.35% par stable rakhegi, jo mazboot labor market aur inflationary pressures ko madde nazar rakhtay hue hai. Doosri taraf, US Dollar (USD) ki qeemat mein kami ho sakti hai kyun ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke policymakers agle saal 2024 mein 75 basis points (bps) ke rate cuts predict kar rahe hain, jab ke last week unho ne aggressive 50 basis points ka rate cut kiya tha, jis se range 4.75-5.00% ho gayi hai.Monday ko AUD/USD pair 0.6820 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Daily chart ki technical analysis yeh dikhati hai ke pair ascending channel pattern ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke bullish bias ki kamzori ko zahir karta hai. But 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab bhi 50 se ooper hai, is liye aglay price movement se pair ke trend ka behtar andaza hoga. Is waqt AUD/USD pair ascending channel ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke 0.6839 ke nine-month high ke qareeb hai, jo 19 September ko dekha gaya tha. Agar is level se bounce hota hai, to pair upper boundary tak pohanch sakta hai, jo 0.6890 level ke qareeb hai. Neeche ki taraf, AUD/USD pair ko support 0.6771 par nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par mil sakta hai, aur agla aham wave ka nateeja hoga, jo humein 0.6952 tak le ja sakta hai. Yeh ek strong opportunity hogi AUD/USD sell karne ke liye, aur 0.690 se sell positions initiate ki ja sakti hain agar pair mazeed upar jata hai. Ek naya signal aane ka imkaan hai, jo strong support level 0.6857 ki taraf girawat ka ishara kar raha hai. Lekin yeh bhi mumkin hai ke pair neeche jaane se pehle upar ki taraf move kare. Phir bhi, bearish movement abhi tak primary outlook hai. Humein intezar karna padega ke forecast kaam karta hai ya nahi. Agar sellers local support range ke neeche hold karte hain, toh hum ek strong one-way decline dekh sakte hain, jo pair ko sell karne ke estimates ko confirm karega. Agar bears aage barhne mein nakam hotay hain

qareebi trade relation hai, aur Chinese economy mein developments ka Australian markets par bara asar ho sakta hai.PBoC ne 14-day reverse repo ke zariye banking system mein CNY 74.5 billion ka injection kiya, aur is dauran rate ko 1.95% se kam karke 1.85% kiya gaya. Iske ilawa, PBoC ne 7-day reverse repo ke zariye bhi CNY 160.1 billion ka injection kiya, jisme rate 1.7% par stable raha.AUD ko hawkish expectations se bhi faida mil raha hai, jo ke RBA ki aanay wali interest rate decision ke hawalay se hain, jo Tuesday ko hone wali hai. Expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 4.35% par stable rakhegi, jo mazboot labor market aur inflationary pressures ko madde nazar rakhtay hue hai. Doosri taraf, US Dollar (USD) ki qeemat mein kami ho sakti hai kyun ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke policymakers agle saal 2024 mein 75 basis points (bps) ke rate cuts predict kar rahe hain, jab ke last week unho ne aggressive 50 basis points ka rate cut kiya tha, jis se range 4.75-5.00% ho gayi hai.Monday ko AUD/USD pair 0.6820 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Daily chart ki technical analysis yeh dikhati hai ke pair ascending channel pattern ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke bullish bias ki kamzori ko zahir karta hai. But 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab bhi 50 se ooper hai, is liye aglay price movement se pair ke trend ka behtar andaza hoga. Is waqt AUD/USD pair ascending channel ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke 0.6839 ke nine-month high ke qareeb hai, jo 19 September ko dekha gaya tha. Agar is level se bounce hota hai, to pair upper boundary tak pohanch sakta hai, jo 0.6890 level ke qareeb hai. Neeche ki taraf, AUD/USD pair ko support 0.6771 par nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par mil sakta hai, aur agla aham wave ka nateeja hoga, jo humein 0.6952 tak le ja sakta hai. Yeh ek strong opportunity hogi AUD/USD sell karne ke liye, aur 0.690 se sell positions initiate ki ja sakti hain agar pair mazeed upar jata hai. Ek naya signal aane ka imkaan hai, jo strong support level 0.6857 ki taraf girawat ka ishara kar raha hai. Lekin yeh bhi mumkin hai ke pair neeche jaane se pehle upar ki taraf move kare. Phir bhi, bearish movement abhi tak primary outlook hai. Humein intezar karna padega ke forecast kaam karta hai ya nahi. Agar sellers local support range ke neeche hold karte hain, toh hum ek strong one-way decline dekh sakte hain, jo pair ko sell karne ke estimates ko confirm karega. Agar bears aage barhne mein nakam hotay hain, toh buyers control le sakte hain. Ek false breakout ka imkaan bhi madde nazar

tafseelat faraham karta hai. Is chart ke mutabiq, price abhi 0.6647 ke qareeb trade kar rahi hai, jo ek strong support level hai. Agar price is level ko successfully defend karti hai, to yeh bounce back kar sakti hai aur aglay resistance levels ki taraf move kar sakti hai. Resistance levels hume 0.6688 aur 0.6819 par nazar aa rahe hain, jo ke price ke upward movement mein significant rukawat ban sakte hain. Agar yeh levels break hotay hain, to agla major target 0.6904 ka resistance level ho sakta hai. Chart mein hum moving averages ko dekh rahe hain, jo market ke long-term trend ka ehsaas dete hain. Price is waqt in moving averages ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, jo ke bearish trend ka signal hai. Yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke price 0.6647 ke support ko test kar rahi hai, lekin abhi tak yeh clear nahi hai ke price yahan se bounce karegi ya break kar ke neeche jaye gi. Agar price neeche girti hai, to aglay support levels ka focus hoga.
RSI (Relative Strength ka Index indicator nazar aa raha hai, jo abhi 35.7 ke qareeb hai. Yeh level hume batata hai ke market oversold zone ke qareeb hai, jo ke yeh indicate karta hai ke price mein ek upward correction ya bounce aasakta hai. Magar RSI ka level itna bhi extreme nahi hai ke hum yeh keh saken ke price mein significant reversal aane wala hai. Yeh sirf ek potential buying signal ho sakta hai. Saath hi, OsMA indicator negative territory mein hai, jo ke bearish momentum ko show karta hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ke market mein selling pressure abhi tak kaafi strong hai, lekin momentum utna aggressive nahi hai. Agar price neeche support break karti hai, to aur decline expect kiya ja sakta hai, lekin momentum ki kami ki wajah se hume yeh bhi lagta hai ke price consolidation ya sideways movement mein ja sakti hai. Akhir mein, yeh chart hume yeh batata hai ke AUD/USD ka trend abhi bearish hai, lekin kuch signs hain jo yeh suggest karte hain ke price ek bounce ya short-term recovery kar sakti hai. Traders ko is waqt cautiously trade karna chahiye aur major support aur resistance levels pe focus karna chahiye taake unko market ke reversal ya continuation ka clear signal mil sake

AUD/ USD
Market abhi bhi sellers ke qabze mein hai, kyunki jaise ke aap chart ke left side par dekh sakte hain, price ne bohat gehri girawat dekhi hai. Aaj subah ka correction shayad sirf profit-taking ka natija tha. Jab sellers jo pehle hi kaafi faida le chuke hote hain, apni open positions ek hi waqt par band karte hain, to mother candles ki tadaad mein kaafi izafa hota hai.

Price 0.6710 par thoda barh kar 0.6750 tak pohcha, magar us ke baad kafi gehri girawat hui aur lowest value 0.6690 tak chali gayi. Yeh sab kuch American session ke band hone se chand ghante pehle 0.6810 par gir gaya jab price ne apni lowest value touch ki. Is lihaaz se, currency pair ne kal aik din mein 160 pips se zyada ka move kiya, jo pehle din ke range se kafi zyada hai.

AUD/USD currency pair abhi upward trend mein hai, halankeh interest rates change nahi hue. Yeh bullish move mazeed barh sakta hai, lekin agar bearish traders 0.6738 ka level tor detay hain, to price 0.6614 tak gir sakti hai. Chhoti time frames par ek halki divergence form ho rahi hai, jo aaj ke growth ko limit kar sakti hai. Is liye abhi khareedna munasib nahi hoga, kyunki price pehle hi kafi barh chuki hai.

Behtar hoga ke market ke progression ko dekh kar koi move kiya jaye. Filhaal Australian dollar spotlight mein nahi hai. AUD/USD pair ka agla direction zyada tar is baat par depend karega ke yeh aaj resistance levels par kaisay react karti hai. Agar price 0.6901 ke level ko cross kar jati hai, to 0.6896 ka resistance support ban sakta hai, jis se mazeed girawat ka imkaan kam ho jata hai.

Daily chart par, pair 0.6838 ke ooper move kar chuka hai aur 0.6872 ki taraf barh raha hai, jo secondary scenario ke mutabiq hai. Market ab aglay buying target 0.6893 ke qareeb hai, aur resistance zone jo ke 0.6893 aur 0.6901 ke darmiyan hai, test hone wala hai, jo ke downside ki taraf ek rebound trigger kar sakta hai

Aud/USD


trade relation hai, aur Chinese economy mein developments ka Australian markets par bara asar ho sakta hai.PBoC ne 14-day reverse repo ke zariye banking system mein CNY 74.5 billion ka injection kiya, aur is dauran rate ko 1.95% se kam karke 1.85% kiya gaya. Iske ilawa, PBoC ne 7-day reverse repo ke zariye bhi CNY 160.1 billion ka injection kiya, jisme rate 1.7% par stable raha.AUD ko hawkish expectations se bhi faida mil raha hai, jo ke RBA ki aanay wali interest rate decision ke hawalay se hain, jo Tuesday ko hone wali hai. Expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 4.35% par stable rakhegi, jo mazboot labor market aur inflationary pressures ko madde nazar rakhtay hue hai. Doosri taraf, US Dollar (USD) ki qeemat mein kami ho sakti hai kyun ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke policymakers agle saal 2024 mein 75 basis points (bps) ke rate cuts predict kar rahe hain, jab ke last week unho ne aggressive 50 basis points ka rate cut kiya tha, jis se range 4.75-5.00% ho gayi hai.Monday ko AUD/USD pair 0.6820 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Daily chart ki technical analysis yeh dikhati hai ke pair ascending channel pattern ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke bullish bias ki kamzori ko zahir karta hai. But 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab bhi 50 se ooper hai, is liye aglay price movement se pair ke trend ka behtar andaza hoga. Is waqt AUD/USD pair ascending channel ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke 0.6839 ke nine-month high ke qareeb hai, jo 19 September ko dekha gaya tha. Agar is level se bounce hota hai, to pair upper boundary tak pohanch sakta hai, jo 0.6890 level ke qareeb hai. Neeche ki taraf, AUD/USD pair ko support 0.6771 par nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par mil sakta hai, aur agla aham wave ka nateeja hoga, jo humein 0.6952 tak le ja sakta hai. Yeh ek strong opportunity hogi AUD/USD sell karne ke liye, aur 0.690 se sell positions initiate ki ja sakti hain agar pair mazeed upar jata hai. Ek naya signal aane ka imkaan hai, jo strong support level 0.6857 ki taraf girawat ka ishara kar raha hai. Lekin yeh bhi mumkin hai ke pair neeche jaane se pehle upar ki taraf move kare. Phir bhi, bearish movement abhi tak primary outlook hai. Humein intezar karna padega ke forecast kaam karta hai ya nahi. Agar sellers local support range ke neeche hold karte hain, toh hum ek strong one-way decline dekh sakte hain, jo pair ko sell karne ke estimates ko confirm karega. Agar bears aage barhne mein nakam hotay hain

AUD/USD ki price activity main hum ye dekh sakte hain ke pehle ye ascending channel aur daily time frame chart par positive trend main thi, jiski wajah se price mein acha khaasa izafa dekha gaya tha. Lekin, kuch trading days se primary trend bearish raha hai. Ye trend tab badla jab AUD/USD ne 8 October ko ascending channel ka bottom level break kiya aur moving average lines ke neeche cross kiya. Sirf ye nahi, balke RSI indicator par bhi price ne midpoint ko downside par cross kiya, jo ke ye darsha raha hai ke bears mazid mazboot hain. Iss haftay AUD/USD ne 0.6623 ka support level bhi break kiya, jo ye ishara deta hai ke AUD/USD agle support levels ko test kare ga jo ke attached diagram main dikhae gaye hain.Chaar haftay pehle AUD/USD ne weekly time frame chart par resistance level 0.6900 ko touch kiya tha. Us waqt ke baad se price ne is upper barrier level ko cross nahi kiya, isliye ab ye bearish direction main trade ho raha hai. Aakhri teen hafton se significant bearish movement dekhi gayi hai aur is haftay bhi AUD/USD ne trend line ko test kiya, jo ye shayad darsha raha hai ke AUD/USD apni bearish movement ko temporarily rokh sakta hai. Lekin, overall bears mazboot hain, aur is hafte weekly time frame chart par trend direction change hone ke saath, ye possible hai ke AUD/USD agle do stronger support levels jo ke 0.6346 aur 0.6181 hain, ko test kare ga.Buy trading options us waqt use ki ja sakti hain jab price seller resistance area ko break kar le. Ek pending buy-stop order 0.6645-0.6647 par aur TP area 0.6687-0.6689 ke aas paas rakha ja sakta hai.Sell trading options us waqt lagayi ja sakti hain jab price buyer support area ko break kar le, pending sell stop order 0.6588-0.6586 par aur TP area 0.6522-0.6520 ke qareeb rakha ja sakta hai.