ای AUD/USD کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

Australian Dollar/US Dollar (AUD/USD) ka Technical Analysis
H-4 Timeframe Analysis

Pichlay hafte trading mein 0.6701 ke critical level ko overcome karne mein nakam hone ke baad, Australian dollar ne downward correction shuru ki. Kai breakout attempts ke baad, price ne wapas bounce back kia aur foran 0.6635 ke signal level se neeche gir gayi. Magar, pair ko iss region mein strong support mila hai aur umeed hai ke woh apna growth momentum resume karenge. Halaanki, price chart super-trending red zone mein hai jo ke selling pressure ko prevent karta hai.

Aaj ke technical side par, agar hum 4-hour chart ko ghor se dekhein toh stochastic zyada positive momentum gain karne ki koshish kar raha hai, jo ke pair ko upar push karne ke liye kafi ho sakta hai jab ke price ne 50-day simple moving average ke neeche break kiya hai. Yani, intraday uptrend ka possibility abhi bhi relevant hai kyunki price stability 0.6734 ke psychological support barrier ke upar rehna zaroori hai bullish scenario ke liye, jisme targets 0.6930 aur 0.6980 hain. Khaaskar, agar price 0.67700 ke neeche chali jati hai toh proposed bullish scenario ruk sakta hai aur pair negative pressure mein aa sakta hai, jisme targets 0.6780 aur 0.68630 se shuru hote hain.



Pair is waqt thoda lower trade kar raha hai, weekly lows ke qareeb. Key support areas test ho rahe hain aur filhal price reductions ka potential rakhtay hain, jo ke upside potential ko fresh rakhta hai. Price ko jald hi 0.6635 level ke upar break karna hoga aur phir uske upar consolidate karna hoga, jo ke main support area ki boundary hai. Is area ka retesting aur subsequent rebound ek nayi upward movement ko provoke karega jisme target 0.6765 aur 0.6804 ke area mein hoga.

Agar support break hota hai aur price 0.6573 ke turning level ke neeche gir jati hai, toh ek signal milega ke current scenario cancel ho gaya hai.

AUD USD Ke Manzar Nigari Takneeki Jaiza Aaj Australian dollar (AUD) ko US dollar (USD) ke muqable mein aik numaya kami ka samna hai. Kal tak apne urooj par pohanchne ke baad, AUD/USD currency pair ne kam ke qeemat par trade karte hue peechay hat gaya hai. Is inqilab ka sabab bazar ko mutassir karne wale mukhtalif factors hain.
Sab se pehle, traders haal ki mazeed faiday dene wale charhao se apni nafahat mehfooz kar rahe hain, jo ke currency ki qeemat mein aik fitri sudhar ka sabab ban raha hai. Nafa dene aam amal hai maali bazarat mein, jahan investors wo asasaat farokht karte hain jo ke izafa kar chuke hote hain taake unke faiday haasil ho sakein. Ye harkat currency par nichli dabao paida kar sakti hai jab farokht inteha pasandi ko bharta hai
Dusra, US dollar mazeed tarah se aam currency ke muqable mein taaqat dikhata hai, na ke sirf AUD ke sath. USD ki yeh mazbooti mukhtalif factors par mustamil hai, jese ke musbat ma’ashi nishanat aur America ki ma’ashi manzar e aam ki mustahkam tawaqqu’. Jab USD mazboot hota hai, to ye aam tor par dosri currencies ki qeemat mein girawat ka sabab banta hai, jese ke AUD, exchange rates mein ulta rishta hone ki wajah se
Teesra, aaj Australia mein jari mukhtalif ma’ashi data AUD par nichle dabao ka sabab bana raha hai. Ma’ashi data mukhtalif indicators shamil hai jo ke Australia ki ma’ashi haliyat ke baray mein maloomat faraham karte hain. Jab yeh data mukhtalif hota hai ya market ki tawaqqu’at ko pora nahi karta, to ye investors aur traders ke darmiyan ittefaq ka khoz hota hai, jo currency ko kamzor kar deta hai
Jab market shirakat daikhti hai, to ab tawajjo US markets ke hone ki taraf shift ho rahi hai. America mein aane wale ahem ma’ashi data ka aik bada hissa jaari hone wala hai, jo ke AUD/USD pair ko mazeed mutassir kar sakta hai. Is mein shamil hai ibtida'i jobless claims ke figures, jo ke amoor e mulazmat ka aik jhalak faraham karte hain, aur tameer sector ki sehat ka data, jo ke ma’ashi afzaish aur mustaqbil ki mustahkam tawaqqu’at faraham kar sakta hai. Is ma’ashi data ka jaari hona foreign exchange market mein shakhsiyat ke izafa ko sabit kar sakta hai. Ibtida'i jobless claims mulazmat ke trends ka aham indicator hain, aur kisi bhi ghair mutawaqqa tabdiliyon ko foran market ke jawabat mein le aati hain. Bilkhushus, tameer sector par data market ke jazbat par asar dal sakta hai, jabke ye aam ma’ashi shirakat ko dikhata hai

trend ab tak kaafi mazboot tha aur ab bhi thoda strong hai jab tak yeh 0.67009 level ke neeche consolidate kar raha hai. Jab tak yeh level barqarar hai, hum buying opportunities dekh sakte hain jinke targets 0.66377 aur 0.66703 ke upar hain. Yeh bhi lagta hai ke ek inverted head and shoulders pattern ban raha hai jo mere targets ke saath align karta hai. Agar price 0.66 ke neeche girti hai, to yeh right shoulder ko tor degi aur hum second retracement zone ko test karenge aur wahan se reaction ka intezar karenge. Yeh zone buying ke liye acchi jagah hai. Agar price aur neeche jati hai, to hum upward trend ka breakdown dekhenge aur downward wave ke channel mein trade karenge. Agar price 0.66 ke neeche jati hai, to right shoulder break ho jayega, jo ke inverted head and shoulders pattern ko invalidate kar dega. Uske baad, second retracement zone ka test hoga jahan hum price reaction ka intezar karenge. Yeh zone important hai kyunki yeh ek potential buying area ho sakta hai. Is zone par buying ke liye acchi opportunities mil sakti hain agar price wahan se bounce karti hai. Agar yeh zone bhi break ho jata hai, to upward trend ka breakdown hoga aur phir hum downward wave ke channel mein trade karenge.Downward wave ke channel mein trading ka matlab yeh hai ke hum short positions lena shuru kar denge aur bearish trend ko follow karenge. Agar price second retracement zone ko break karti hai, to yeh ek clear signal hoga ke upward trend khatam ho chuka hai aur market ab downward direction mein move kar rahi hai. Is halat mein, hum bearish signals ko follow karte hue short positions lenge aur downward targets ko aim karenge. Magar jab tak price 0.67009 level ke neeche consolidate kar rahi hai aur second retracement zone ko break nahi karti, hum buying opportunities dekh sakte hain.

مئی 24 2024 کو اے یو ڈی/امریکی ڈالر کے لیے پیشن گوئی


جمعرات کو، اسٹاک انڈیکس میں کمی کے ساتھ، تانبے اور لوہے سمیت اہم آسٹریلیائی برآمدی اشیاء کی قیمتیں بھی گر گئیں۔ نتیجتاً، اے یو ڈی/امریکی ڈالر جوڑے کی ریلی شروع کرنے کی ابتدائی کوشش ناکام ہو گئی، اور اقتباس دن کو 11 پِپس تک کم کر گیا۔



یومیہ چارٹ پر، یہ واضح ہے کہ کینڈل سٹک کے اوپری سائے نے 0.6651 کی درمیانی سطح کا تجربہ کیا، لیکن دن بالآخر 0.6627 کے ہدف کی سطح سے نیچے مکمل طور پر بند ہوگیا۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر کی سگنل لائن نیچے کے رجحان کے علاقے میں دھکیلنے کی کوشش کر رہی ہے۔ مارلن ممکنہ طور پر کامیاب ہو جائے گا، اور قیمت کو 0.6552 - ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن پر قریب ترین سپورٹ کی جانچ کرنے کی ترغیب ملے گی۔

٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت بھی 0.6627 کی سپورٹ لیول سے نیچے مستحکم ہو گئی ہے، جو اب مزاحمت بن چکی ہے۔ ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن اور بیلنس لائن نیچے کی طرف مڑ گئی ہے، جس سے ظاہر ہوتا ہے کہ قلیل اور درمیانی مدت کے رجحانات زوال کی طرف منتقل ہو گئے ہیں۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر نیچے کے رجحان والے علاقے میں مزید گہرائی میں جانا جاری رکھے ہوئے ہے۔ ہم توقع کرتے ہیں کہ قیمت 0.6552 کے پہلے ہدف تک پہنچ جائے گی۔ اس سطح کے نیچے استحکام 0.6480 کے دوسرے ہدف کا راستہ کھول دے گا - سال کے آغاز سے ایک مضبوط سپورٹ لیول۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

Australian dollar (AUD) ne chaar dinon tak ke nuksan ke safar ka saamna kia hai, jo ke market mein risk se bachne ki wajah se hua hai. Ye risk se bachne ki wajah se sath hi, US dollar ki mazbooti bhi hai, jo ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke hawkish signals se mutasir hai. Fed ka irada zyada arse tak buland interest rates ko barqarar rakhne ka, investors ko ihtiyati se kaam lenay par majboor kar raha hai. AUD ke museebat mein aur bhi izafa hota hai, jab Australia mein consumer ki tawaqoat mein inflation ka dharas 2021 ke October se sab se kam darje par pohanch gaya hai. Ye girawat, April mein 4.6% se May mein 4.1% tak, tasleeh deti hai ke inflation mukhtalif arse tak zyada arse tak buland reh sakta hai. Ye pareshani aur bhi barh jati hai Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ke taaza iqdamat ke mawaqe par. Iqdamat mein ye bayan hota hai ke policy makers saoodat dar mein agle inteshar ke raaste par dhaabte hain, aur maamle mein izafa ya kamzori ka faisla karna mushkil hai. Dariyaft par, America ke doosri taraf, jab musbat Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data jaari kiya gaya, to US dollar ki muzaidah bhari. Ye data darust aur muzaidah karobar ke barqarar honay ka ishaara deta hai, jo ke shayad Fed ko interest rates ko zyada arse tak buland rakhne ke liye tayyar karta hai. Isi se US Treasury yields ko bhi oopar ki taraf dhakel diya gaya. Iske ilawa, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ki taaza iqdamat ke mawaqe par ye maloom hota hai ke Fed inflation ke hawalay se pareshaniyaan rakhta hai. Iqdamat ke mutabiq, policy makers ko inflation ko kam karne mein koi taraqqi na hone ke leye pareshani hai, aur 2024 ke shuruaat mein ek mumkin inteshar ka izafa ki umeed hai. Ab investors aane wale US economic data releases par khaas tawajjo denay lage hain, khaaskar Durable Goods Orders aur Michigan Consumer Confidence Index par. Durable Goods Orders lambi muddat tak ke saaman ke imal ki activity ka andaza dete hain, jabke Consumer Confidence Index maaliyat aur aamdani ke sharaait ke hawalay se consumer ki raaye ko dekhte hain.

Doosri taraf, agar keemat 0.6585-0.6605 support zone ke andar qaim nahi rehti aur ghirti rahi, to ye ek bearish trend ka jari rehne ka ishara hoga. Is halat mein, AUD/USD jodi chart ke nichle hisse mein ek naya local range sthapit kar sakti hai. Is girawat ke agle maqasid sab se zyada mutma'in tor par 0.6465-0.6495 ke asalat honge. Agar yeh maqamat tod diye jaate hain, to jodi apna agla ahem support 0.6370-0.6400 ke maqamat par pa sakta hai. Ye lambi girawat ek baray market ke jazbat mein tabdili ka asar ho sakta hai, shayad maaliyat ke data releases, samaan ke qeemat mein tabdeeliyan, ya Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) aur Federal Reserve ke darmiyan maaliyat ka inteshar mein tabdeeliyan. Traders ke liye, in support zones ke ird gird hone wale dynamics ko samajhna bohot ahem hai. AUD/USD jodi ka ya to maujooda maqamat se phir se uthne ya girne ka ikhtiyar hone wala hai, jo ke trading strategies ko shakl dene ke liye amooman asar andaz hogi. Woh log jo ek bullish reversal ki umeed rakhte hain wo apne aap ko maujooda support par khareedne ke liye tayyar kar sakte hain, mazeed kamzor bando ke neeche 0.6585 se. Makhfi tor par, traders jo mazeed girawat ka intezar kar rahe hain wo maujooda support ke confirmed tootne ka intezar kar sakte hain pehle se pehle jodi ko bechne se pehle, jo ke upar zikar kiye gaye nichle support maqamat ko nishana bana sakte hain.

Australian dollar (AUD) ne chaar dinon tak ke nuksan se guzara hai, jise market mein risk se bharpoor hone ka bojh tha. Ye risk se bharpoor hone ka waqt ek mazboot US dollar ke saath mila, jo Federal Reserve (Fed) ki hawkish signs se shakti prapt kar raha tha. Fed ki uchch byaaj daron ko lambi avdhi tak banaye rakhne ki iraada ko dekhte hue investors savdhaan the. AUD ke masail mein shaamil hone ke sath, Australia mein muashiyatein afwahat mein kami dekh rahi hain, jo October 2021 se kisi halat mein sabse kam darje tak pahunch gayi hai. Is ghatna, April mein 4.6% se May mein 4.1% tak gira, jo chinta ko darust karta hai ke mahangai shayad lambi avdhi tak zyada rahay. Ye chinta aur badh gayi RBA ke akhri mulaqat ke minutes se. Minutes bayan karte hain ke policy makers cash rate ke mustaqbil ke rasta per jhool rahe hain, jise aage barhane ya ghataane par faisla karna mushkil hai. Samundar ke doosri taraf, US dollar ne ek bharak paida kiya jab tajwezat-e-khareed yafta intabahaat ka behtareen data jaari hua. Ye data US mein mazbooti ke jaari rehne ka ishaara deta hai, jo Fed ko uchch byaaj daron ko lambi avdhi tak barqarar rakhne par majboor kar sakta hai. Iska natija yeh hai ke US Treasury yields ko upar kiya gaya. Is ke alawa, FOMC ki akhri mulaqat ke minutes ne Fed ke pareshaniyon ko inflation ke hawale se roshni mein daala. Minutes batati hain ke policy makers mahangai ko kam karne mein progress ka kami se pareshan hain, jise early 2024 mein izafay ki umeed hai. Ab investors aane waale US maashiyati data releases par nazar rakhte hain, khaaskar Durable Goods Orders aur Michigan Consumer Confidence Index par. Durable Goods Orders lambi muddat tak chalne wale mal ki manufacturing fa'alat par dhyan dete hain, jabki Consumer Confidence Index maasharti aur income sharaet ke lehaz se consumer razamandi ka andaza lagate hain.

Doosri taraf, agar keemat 0.6585-0.6605 support zone ke andar rehe nahi sakti aur girne ka silsila jaari raha, to yeh bearish trend ka jari honay ka ishara hoga. Is mamle mein, AUD/USD pair ek naya local range ko chart ke neeche sthapit kar sakta hai. Is girawat ke liye agle targets shayad 0.6465-0.6495 ke neeche honge. Agar ye darjat paar karein, to pair shayad apna agla important support 0.6370-0.6400 levels par paayega. Yeh bade girawat maarkit ke sentiment mein tabdeeli ka afsar bhi ho sakta hai, shayad economic data releases, commodity prices mein tabdeeli ya raaste ke monetary policy expectations ke darmiyan Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) aur Federal Reserve ke darmiyan. Traders ke liye, in support zones ke aas-pass daur rahne wale dynamics ko samajhna zaroori hai. AUD/USD pair ke liye ya to maujooda support level se rebound hone ki ya giravat ka jaari rakhne ki salahiyat zigzag trading strategies ke akasi ko shakl degi. Jo log ek bullish reversal ki umeed karte hain wo maujooda support par kharidne ke liye position bana sakte hain, 0.6585 ke neeche tight stop-losses ke sath. Mutasir girawat ki aur traders mutasir girawat ki aur traders maujooda support ke neeche confirmed break ka intezar kar sakte hain phir pair ko short karne se pehle, upar darj ki support levels ko nishana bana sakte hain.

COP-USD COUPLE ANALYSIS

0,6590 ka jhoota breakout hona bhi mumkin hai, lekin phir bhi izafa jaari rahega. Shayad 0,6667 ko todne ke baad aur us par qaim ho jane ke baad kharidne ka signal milega, phir aap kharid sakte hain. Agar hum thodi taqseem ko neeche se milte hain to phir izafa jaari rahega.

Shayad hum 0,6655 ke range mein tod par aur istezaar jaari rahega. Agar hum 0,6590 ki test mil jaye to uske baad test ke baad izafa jaari rahega. Jab aap 0,6590 ke range se door ho jayen, is halat mein izafa aur bhi aage badhega.

Jab hum 0,6652 ke range ko todne mein kaamyab hote hain aur agr izafa hota hai, to izafa aur bhi aage badhega. Mumkin hai ke rate 0,6653 ke range ke upar mazboot hota hai, jisme izafa jaari rahega. Agar 0,6590 mein mukhalif ke todne ka breakout milta hai aur uske upar qaim ho jate hain, to yeh ek signal hoga ke rate girne wale hain. Session americana mein thodi taqseem ke baad izafa ab jaari rahega. Shayad hum 0,6685 ke range ko tod kar us par qaim ho jate hain, yeh kharidne ka signal hoga.

Jaisa ke dekha ja sakta hai, pehle unhone pehli line ko tor diya, aur kal unhone doosri line ko tor diya. Am overall, sab kuch ishara karta hai ke hum qeemat mein girawat dekhenge ta ke upar rukne wali lines ke support points ko tor sakein. Pehla point hai 0,6579 ke level ka. Doosra point hai 0,6557 ke level ka.

AUD/USD pair global economic sentiment ka ek aina hai, jo Australian dollar aur uska American muqabalay ka ta'alluq numaya karta hai. Haal mein, market ke harkat ko mukhtalif factors ka milaap gehri asar daal raha hai, jin mein qarzi mayar, mulk ki maeeshat ke numainde aur aalmi monetary policy ke tabdeel hain.
AUD/USD ke bunyadiyat:

Tajziakar aur mali idaray Reserve Bank of Australia ke mustaqbil ke iqdaamato ko dafa karne mein wabasta hain. ANZ, misaal ke tor par, November se shuru hone wale munafa'at ka izhar karta hai, jis mein mazboot inflation data hai jo tawaqo se aage nikla. Isi tarah, Australia ke mali manzar nama mein aham kheil khilane wale Commonwealth Bank ne apni tajziyaat ko tabdeel kiya hai, ab November mein aik single interest rate kaat ke liye tasawwur kiya ja raha hai. Aise tajziyaat se pata chalta hai ke ma'ashi indicators aur policy announcements ko mustaqbil mein trading ke liye maqool faislon ke liye nazarandaz karna kitna ahem hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Technical indicators par tawajjo se, AUD/USD daily chart ek tehzeebi manzar faraham karta hai. Jab ke pair neutral bias dikha raha hai, jo key moving averages ke ird gird ghom raha hai, to musahida ki ja sakti hai. 100-day moving average ke fazool taur par tabdeel hone ke dafa se mazeed upside potential ka signal ho sakta hai, jahan resistance levels key markoobon par hain. Mutasir taur par, critical support levels ke neeche girna haal hi ki low levels par challenge ko dawa karta hai, jo potential downward pressure ka izhar karta hai. Jab AUD/USD pair symmetrical triangle patterns aur RSI indicators ke darmiyan se guzar raha hota hai, to traders hoshyar rehna zaroori hai. Currency markets ke tafannun ko bunyadi analysis aur technical maharat ka ek misalat se milana zaroori hai. Ma'ashi data releases, central bank actions, aur aalami trends ke baray mein mutawasit rehna AUD/USD landscape mein moujooda imkanat ka faida uthane aur khatron ko kam karne ke liye aham hai.

rozana chart dekhte hue, wazeh hota hai ke yeh MA420 line aur W1 Res C: 0.66095 ke resistance level ke neeche hai. Yeh setup qeemat mein mumkin downward movement ka ishara deta hai. Is mumkinah movement ki tasdeeq stochastic oscillator (5.3.3) ke zariye hoti hai, jo 54.3 aur 62.5 ki values dikhata hai, jo oversold territory ki taraf ishara karti hain. Magar, slow stochastic oscillator (50.10.25) ki values 49.1 aur 42.9 dikhata hai, jo overbought zone ki taraf raah ki tajaweez karta hai. Yeh mukhalifat tajziya ko mushkil banati hai aur isko ghor se dekhne ki zaroorat hai.Agar keemat girti rahi, to yeh Fibonacci level 38.2 par support pa sakti hai, jo 0.65572 ke muqabil hai. Yeh level ek pivot point ke tor par kaam kar sakta hai, jo keemat ko MA420 line ki taraf bounce-back ka moqa de sakta hai. Agar keemat is moving average ko paar kar leti hai, to yeh 0.68717 (Fibonacci level 100.0) ko target kar sakta hai, ya phir 0.68440 ke level par ja sakta hai. Aakhri tor par, jabke AUDUSD pair MA420 line aur 0.66095 ke resistance ke neeche hai, stochastic oscillators ke mukhalif isharay keemat ke rukh par mukhtalif signals dete hain. Magar, Fibonacci levels aur MACD indicators se bullish ishara milta hai jo dono tarah ki izafi aur girawi harkaton ke mumkin scenarios faraham karte hain. Traders ko trading decisions se pehle keemat ke amal aur oscillator readings ko mazeed dekhne ki zaroorat hai. Sab traders ko mubarak ho.Kal AUD/USD currency pair ne aik ahem tabdeeli ka nishaan diya jab yeh apne makhsoos channel ke nichle hadood ko paar kar gaya aur 0.6750 ke qareeb qaim ho gaya. Yeh tabdeeli bazaar ke jazbat par moazi asar dalti hai aur future mein taraqqi ke imkanat ko darust karti hai.Agar 0.6750 ki rukawat kamyabi se paar ho jaye, to 0.6800 tak ka raasta khul jata hai. Yeh woh upper boundary hai jahan pair ne neeche ke channel mein trading ki hai. 0.6800 ke upar jaana sirf bullish jazbat ko tasdeeq nahi deta, balke mazeed faida hasil karne ka raasta bhi kholta hai. Bullish scenario ko support karne ka aik aur saboot yeh hai ke chand ghantay ki chart par stochastic indicator musbat hai. Yeh technical signal yeh dikhata hai ke kharidari ka dabao barh raha hai, jo rozana ki chart par dekhe gaye faida ko support karta hai. Karobarion aur investors ko is momentum indicator par tawajjo deni chahiye, kyunke yeh nazdeeki arse mein upri harkat ke imkanat ko mazeed tasdeeq de sakta hai. Ikhtisaar mein, AUD/USD pair ka apne channel ke nichle hadood ko paar karna bazaar ke dynamics mein aik ahem marhala hai. Halankeh 0.6750 ek ahem rukawat hai, lekin musbat momentum aur technical indicators nazdeeki arse mein bullish bias ko dikhate hain. Magar, traders ko muhtat rehna chahiye aur qeemat ka amal qareebi tor par dekhte rehna chahiye kisi bhi ulat pher ya maujooda

AUD USD Ke Manzar Nigari Takneeki Jaiza Aaj Australian dollar (AUD) ko US dollar (USD) ke muqable mein aik numaya kami ka samna hai. Kal tak apne urooj par pohanchne ke baad, AUD/USD currency pair ne kam ke qeemat par trade karte hue peechay hat gaya hai. Is inqilab ka sabab bazar ko mutassir karne wale mukhtalif factors hain.
Sab se pehle, traders haal ki mazeed faiday dene wale charhao se apni nafahat mehfooz kar rahe hain, jo ke currency ki qeemat mein aik fitri sudhar ka sabab ban raha hai. Nafa dene aam amal hai maali bazarat mein, jahan investors wo asasaat farokht karte hain jo ke izafa kar chuke hote hain taake unke faiday haasil ho sakein. Ye harkat currency par nichli dabao paida kar sakti hai jab farokht inteha pasandi ko bharta hai
Dusra, US dollar mazeed tarah se aam currency ke muqable mein taaqat dikhata hai, na ke sirf AUD ke sath. USD ki yeh mazbooti mukhtalif factors par mustamil hai, jese ke musbat ma’ashi nishanat aur America ki ma’ashi manzar e aam ki mustahkam tawaqqu’. Jab USD mazboot hota hai, to ye aam tor par dosri currencies ki qeemat mein girawat ka sabab banta hai, jese ke AUD, exchange rates mein ulta rishta hone ki wajah se
Teesra, aaj Australia mein jari mukhtalif ma’ashi data AUD par nichle dabao ka sabab bana raha hai. Ma’ashi data mukhtalif indicators shamil hai jo ke Australia ki ma’ashi haliyat ke baray mein maloomat faraham karte hain. Jab yeh data mukhtalif hota hai ya market ki tawaqqu’at ko pora nahi karta, to ye investors aur traders ke darmiyan ittefaq ka khoz hota hai, jo currency ko kamzor kar deta hai
Jab market shirakat daikhti hai, to ab tawajjo US markets ke hone ki taraf shift ho rahi hai. America mein aane wale ahem ma’ashi data ka aik bada hissa jaari hone wala hai, jo ke AUD/USD pair ko mazeed mutassir kar sakta hai. Is mein shamil hai ibtida'i jobless claims ke figures, jo ke amoor e mulazmat ka aik jhalak faraham karte hain, aur tameer sector ki sehat ka data, jo ke ma’ashi afzaish aur mustaqbil ki mustahkam tawaqqu’at faraham kar sakta hai. Is ma’ashi data ka jaari hona foreign exchange market mein shakhsiyat ke izafa ko sabit kar sakta hai. Ibtida'i jobless claims mulazmat ke trends ka aham indicator hain, aur kisi bhi ghair mutawaqqa tabdiliyon ko foran market ke jawabat mein le aati hain. Bilkhushus, tameer sector par data market ke jazbat par asar dal sakta hai, jabke ye aam ma’ashi shirakat ko dikhata hai
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mutabiq jo ke peer ko jari kiya gaya, mool Consumer Price Index (CPI) barqarar 0.4% aur 3.8% darust tor par barh chuka hai, jis se nisbatan is waqt kisi qisam ke daromadar ke ihtiyat nahi hain. CPI tamam asar angarezon aur khana peena ke ghair mohtaaj qeemat ko bata hai. Mazid consumer intehai umeeden mein izafa ke bais, ab kam tawaqo hai ke Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ziyada tawaqo par interest darat ko kam karde. 12 mahine ke doran intehai umeedon ke liye tawaqoat Melbourne Institute ke mutabiq aik pehle 4.3% ke figure se 4.6% tak barh gaya hai. Takneeki tor par, AUD/USD ne aik bearish chart pattern se bahar nikalne mein kamiyab nahi hua, jis se farokht ki taraf ho gaya. Currency 0.6477 ke aas paas asar angarezon ke darajat ke qareeb hai aur is ne apni 20-din ka aam miyaar ke nichle hawaale se gira hai, jis se kam faraham hone ki alaamat hain. Tawajju indicators bhi nazdeek-faele kam potential ko darust karte hain. Agar AUD mazeed kamzor hota hai aur 0.6485 ke neeche gir jata hai, to traders mukhtalif short positions khol sakte hain, 0.6440 ya 0.6400 ke qareeb munafa hasil karne ki umeed ke saath. Magar, 0.6635 ke oopar nikal jana trend ke ulte ishaara ka sabab ho sakta hai, jis se jodi ko 0.6667 ya shayad 0.6700 ke qareeb chala jaye. Takneeki indicators ko dekhte hue, MACD kamzor momentum ka ishaara deta hai, jabke RSI kuch had tak aik mumkin upward move ke ishaare deta hai. Agar musbat momentum banata hai to jodi 0.6666 ke qareeb aasani se pahunch sakta hai. Kul mila kar, AUD/USD aik cheen-australia taluqat mein behtar hone ki mumkin raah aur mazboot US dollar ke darmiyan ek khenchawar mein phansa hua hai. Jodi ka rukh mumkin hai ke aane wale dinon mein kon saa force zyada numaya sabit hota hai us par m

Ek bearish trend pattern ke asaar bhi AUDUSD market mein nazar aa rahe hain. Pichle haftay ke trading session mein lag raha tha ke sellers market par qaboo rakhte hain aur price ko neeche le jaane par majboor karte hain. Seller ke dabao ka koi khaas asar to nazar nahi aaya magar jo cheez mein ne dekhi wo thi sellers ki consistency jo AUDUSD price ko neeche le jaane mein lagay rahe taake ye MA100 indicator ko bullish trend ke defense ke tor par cross kar sake. Halaanke pichle haftay ke market close tak buyers ka dabao phir se nazar aaya aur price ko MA100 indicator tak wapas le gaye, magar mera andaza hai ke sellers dobara market par qaboo pa lenge.Trading session mein Thursday ko teen din ke girawat ke baad ek mukhtasir recovery dekhne ko mili, shayad risk appetite ke behtar hone ki wajah se. Magar ye zyada dair nahi chali kyun ke Melbourne Institute ke consumer inflation forecast ke jaari hone ke baad AUD phir se pressure mein aa gaya. Consumer expectations for inflation agle saal ke liye May mein 4.1% tak gir gayi jo ke October ke baad se sabse kam hai.Mauqa hai ke sellers phir se price ko neeche le jaane mein kaamyaab ho sakte hain kyun ke pichle haftay ke trading session mein consistency nazar aayi thi AUDUSD price ko neeche le jaane mein. Mera andaza hai ke sellers price ko 0.6555 ke qareeb le jaane ke liye dubara push karenge. Mere trading recommendations ke mutabiq market mein sellers ke consistency ko pakadte huye bearish trend pattern banane ki koshish karni chahiye, isliye mein andaza lagata hoon ke is haftay ke trading session mein sellers ka dabao jaari rahega aur ye bearish trend situation long-term ke liye form hogi.Lambi muddat ke liye mein recommend karta hoon ke market mein sell entry signals dhoondhein jab sellers ki strong entry ke asar nazar aayen aur AUDUSD price ko MA100 indicator ke neeche mazbooti se le jayein. Jab seller pressure MA100 indicator ke neeche hoga to mein isse pakadta hoon ke long-term bearish trend pattern banne ka mauqa barh gaya hai.

AUDUSD ke technical market mein abhi ek bullish concept nazar aa raha hai. Lekin, US dollar se judi khabron ka asar nakaratmak tha, jiske kaaran uski kamzori thi. Isliye hum keh sakte hain ke AUDUSD market aaj bhi buyers ki taraf move karta rahega, jisme 0.6686 level tak pohunchna mumkin hai. US dollar ki kamzori is tajziya mein ek ahem kirdar ada karta hai, kyunke yeh Australian dollar ki taqat ko barha deta hai. Currencies ke darmiyan yeh tanasub traders ke liye ghor karne ke liye ahem hai. Jab Australian economy mein mazeed behtar rozgar ke statistics aur mazboot Wage Price Index nazar a rahe hain, to buyers ke darmiyan itmenan aur bhi barh gaya hai. Is natije mein, maujooda ma'ashi nishanaat aur market sentiment ke mutabiq, AUDUSD pair ka 0.6686 level tak pohunchna shayad mazboot hai. Yeh buyers ke liye market mein jari rahne ke liye ek jaari behtar manzar ka ishara hai. Aaj AUDUSD par ek bullish concept reh sakta hai aur keemat 0.6685 level ko test kar ke upar ja sakta hai. Kal, Australian Wage Price Index ne ek pareshan kun trend pesh kiya, jo ma'ashi manzar ki nakaratmak pehlu ko darust karta hai. Lekin, aaj ek itmenan ki kiran laata hai jab Australian Employment rate ek mazboot asar dikhata hai, jisse dollar ek nisbatan mustaqil position mein rehta hai. Is musbat taraqqi ke bawajood, Australian Unemployment rate mein izafah nazar aya hai, jo 4.1% tak barh gaya hai. Yeh mila jula ma'ashi nishanaat ke collection ne investors ko ehtiyaat bhara lekin umeed bhara chhod diya hai. In tabdiliyon ke darmiyan, AUD/USD ke market sentiment ko badi had tak buyers ke liye faida mand paya gaya hai. Asian trading session ke doran 0.6681 zone ki taraf move karte hue, AUD/USD market mein numaya istehkam nazar aya hai. Kul mila ke, traders ko jaldi adapt hona hoga, apni strategies ko naye tabdeelat aur updates ke mutabiq tarteeb dena hoga. Yeh proactive approach ma'ashi shifts ke sath aane wali ghaflaton ko guzarne ke liye zaroori hai. Ma'loomat hasil kar ke aur hoshyari se reh kar, traders aane wale khabron ke asar ko behtar taur par samajh sakte hain aur unka AUD/USD market par kya asar ho sakta hai, is par tayari rakh sakte hain. Masroofiyat aur tayarri is waqt zaroori hai jab market mazeed tabdeel hoti ja rahi hai, aur tajziyat par nazar rakhna aham hai taake ma'loomat ke tabdeelat ko samajhne mein madad mile. Is tarah, ma'ashi indicators aur unke asar ko samajhna ek ahem strategy hai. Mukhtasar taur par, peeshay pe rehna aur adaptabilty ko tawajju dena, AUD/USD market ke dynamic fluctuations ke darmiyan trading accounts ko behtar taur par manage karne ke liye zaroori hai. Mere liye, aaj humare liye 0.6726 zone ka target point ke sath ek khareedari order kafi hoga.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

AUD/USD


Aaj, ham is waqt taiyar shuda chart ke bare mein baat karenge. Humara maqsad aaj yeh hai ke hum AUD/USD ki keemat mein hone wale mustaqbil ke harkaton ka andaza lagayen. Waqt likhne ke doran AUD/USD 0.6635 par trade ho raha hai. Is chart mein dekha jaye to AUD/USD mein mazeed taqat nazar aarahi hai. Agar hum AUD/USD ki taraf dekhein, to is chart ke mutabiq, is waqt AUD/USD taqat barha raha hai. Technical indicators ke baare mein baat karte hain, is chart ke mutabiq, technical indicators buy signals banane lag rahe hain, jo ke pehle se hi 4 ghanton ke chart par poori tarah ban chuke hain. For example, is chart par technical indicators yeh dikhate hain: Signal line ya slow line "Moving average convergence divergence (MACD)" ke zero line ya midline ke ooper hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 60.4203 par hai aur bullsih momentum dikhata hai. Sab se dilchasp baat yeh hai ke dono indicators (MACD aur RSI) musbat readings dikhate hain, jo ke yeh dikhata hai ke AUD/USD ke daam mazeed barhne wale hain. AUD/USD sirf 20-day exponential moving average ke ooper trade kar raha hai. Isi waqt, AUD/USD ke daam abhi 50-day exponential moving average ke ooper hain. rahe hain, to buyers ke darmiyan itmenan aur bhi barh gaya hai. Is natije mein, maujooda ma'ashi nishanaat aur market sentiment ke mutabiq, AUDUSD pair ka 0.6686 level tak pohunchna shayad mazboot hai. Yeh buyers ke liye market mein jari rahne ke liye ek jaari behtar manzar ka ishara hai. Aaj AUDUSD par ek bullish concept reh sakta hai aur keemnisbatan mustaqil position mein rehta hai. Is musbat taraqqi ke bawajood, Australian Unemployment rate mein izafah nazar aya hai, jo 4.1% tak barh gaya hai. Yeat 0.6685 level ko test kar ke upar ja sakta hai. Kal, Australian Wage Price Index ne ek pareshan kun trend pesh kiya, jo ma'ashi manzar ki nakaratmak pehlu ko darust karta hai. Lekin, aaj ek itmenan ki kiran laata hai jab Australian Employment rate ek mazboot asar dikhata hai, jisse dollar ekh mila jula ma'ashi nishanaat ke collection ne investors ko ehtiyaat bhara lekin umeed bhara chhod diya hai




Aaj is chart mein istemal kiye gaye indicators:


MACD indicator:
RSI indicator period 14:
50-day exponential moving average rang Orange:
20-day exponential moving average rang Magenta:

Filhal ke market ke mahol mein, AUDUSD bullish sentiment ka muzahir kar raha hai, jo kharidaroun ke liye potential mouqaat ki nishaandahi karti hai. Magar zaroori hai ke asal dynamics mein ghusein, khaaskar US dollar par asar daalti haal ki khabrein, jin ka is ki kamzori par bura asar hota hai. Ye tafseeli tajziya ishara karta hai ke AUDUSD market apni upar ki manzil ko barqarar rakh sakta hai, mukhtalif asar daalti hui dollar ki kamzori par. Jaise hi US dollar ke mutaliq manfi khabron ka charcha hota hai, us ki qeemat kam hoti hai aur Australia ke dollar ki mustawazgi ko barhata hai. Ye do currencies ke darmiyan ke khel ka zikr hai jo forex markets ki complexity ko darust karta hai aur trading faislon mein bunyadi factors ko dhaan mein rakhne ki ahmiyat ko halka sa zaahir karta hai.

Traders jo AUDUSD pair par safar kar rahe hain, ko dono currencies se mutaliq taraqqiyat ko dekhte rahna zaroori hai. US dollar ke khilaf bura asar daalti khabron ki wajah se, jism ke sath sath Australia ke dollar ki jiddat, AUDUSD pair ke liye mazeed faida mand mahol banata hai. In dynamics se waaqif rehkar, traders apne aap ko naye mouqe par faida uthane ke liye musbat taraqqiyat ki taraf intazam kar sakte hain.

Is ke ilawa, ye yaad rakhna bhi zaroori hai ke market ke mahol ko shakal dena price movements ko shakal dene mein ehem kirdaar ada karta hai. Jab traders mustaqbil ke economic indicators, geopolitical taraqqiyat aur central bank policies ke badalne ke jawab mein react karte hain, to sentiment mein tabdeeliyon ka asar trading patterns par hota hai. AUDUSD ke mamlay mein, Australia dollar ke liye musbat sentiment, US dollar ke liye bearish sentiment, pair ke liye bullish case ko mazboot karta hai.

Is ke alawa, technical analysis potential price levels aur trend reversals ke mutaliq qeemati idraakat faraham kar sakti hai. Chart patterns, moving averages, aur oscillators traders ko market sentiment ka systematized framework faraham karte hain taake wo trading points ko pehchanein aur enter aur exit points ko identify karein. Technical analysis ko bunyadi imtiaazat ke sath integrate karna traders ki qabliyat ko behtar faislon par qayam karta hai aur volatile market conditions ko effectively navigate karne mein madad faraham karta hai.




apne aap ko naye mouqe par faida uthane ke liye musbat taraqqiyat ki taraf intazam kar sakte hain.
Is ke ilawa, ye yaad rakhna bhi zaroori hai ke market ke mahol ko shakal dena price movements ko shakal dene mein ehem kirdaar ada karta hai. Jab traders mustaqbil ke economic indicators, geopolitical taraqqiyat aur central bank policies ke badalne ke jawab mein react karte hain, to sentiment mein tabdeeliyon ka asar trading patterns par hota hai. AUDUSD ke mamlay mein, Australia dollar ke liye musbat sentiment, US dollar ke liye bearish sentiment, pair ke liye bullish case ko