ای AUD/USD کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

AUD/USD ne apne recent session ke gains ko retrace kiya hai US Dollar ke muqable mein, China ke People's Bank ki monetary policy ke faisle ke baad. China ki central bank ne apne ek aur paanch saal ke Loan Prime Rates ko 3.10% aur 3.60% par qaim rakha hai, jo ke is saal ke chauthe quarterly meeting mein decide hua. Australian Dollar ab fresh one-year lows par trade kar raha hai, 0.6300 ke qareeb, aur pichle saal ke low 0.6270 ki taraf barhta nazar aa raha hai. Yeh risk-averse market ke hawale se hai, jahan traders Federal Reserve ke faisle se pehle cautious hain.Investors lagbhag 25 bps cut ko price kar rahe hain jo ke aaj Federal Reserve ke meeting mein expect kiya ja raha hai, lekin recent strong US data aur rising inflationary pressures Federal Reserve ko aglay saal ke liye rate cuts ke hawale se ziada cautious approach apnane par majboor kar sakte hain. Macroeconomic front par, Tuesday ko release hone wale data ne dikhaya ke US Retail Sales November mein expectations se ziada rahi. Yeh figures Monday ko aayi upbeat business activity reports ke baad samajh mein aati hain, jo confirm karte hain ke US economy year ke aakhri quarter mein achi growth dikha rahi hai. Dusri taraf, Australian Dollar gir raha hai, China ki sluggish recovery ke concerns ki wajah se, jo ek key partner hai. China ke recent data ne dikhaya hai ke consumption depressed hai aur housing prices aur ziada gir rahe hain. Agle saal ke liye outlook bilkul cheerful nahi lag raha, kyunke aglay US administration ke zyada tariffs Chinese products par lagane ke chances hain, jo growth ko hurt karega aur Australian economy ko negatively impact karega. Yeh situation Aussie Dollar ke upside attempts ko limited kar rahi hai.
American Dollar ke continued strength ke peeche kya wajah hai? Kuch naya nahi jo financial markets ko move kar raha ho. Jab se March 2020 mein pandemic start hui, tab se concerns economic progress ko slow karne ke ird gird ghoma raha hai. Jab dunia ne kuch relief dekha, tab Russia ne Ukraine par hamla kiya aur coronavirus wapas China mein laut aaya. Supply-chain issues phir se central stage par aa gaye jab Shanghai ne 26 million logon ko strict lockdown mein daalne ka faisla kiya.
Is hafte US ke March Durable Goods Orders release honge, jo 1% MoM growth dikhate hain, aur Q1 Gross Domestic Product ka preliminary estimate, jo modest 1% gain show karta hai. Week ke end tak focus US ke Core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index par shift karega, jo Federal Reserve ka favorite inflation measure hai. Australia apna Q1 Consumer Price Index release karega, jo 4.6% YoY forecast kiya ja raha hai, jo ke pichle 3.5% se ziada hai aur ek RBA rate hike ka potential catalyst ho sakta hai. Friday ko, Australia Q1 Producer Price Index publish karega, jo 4.2% YoY tak pohanchne ki umeed hai.

AUD/USD Daily Chart Analysis
Is chart ke mutabiq AUD/USD ki price girawat ka samna kar rahi hai. Market ne consistently lower highs aur lower lows form kiye hain, jo ek clear downtrend ko dikhata hai. Price filhaal apni support level 0.6236 ke qareeb trade kar rahi hai, jo ek critical level hai. Agar price is support ko todti hai, to agla target 0.6180 ho sakta hai.
Technical indicators bhi bearish sentiment ko confirm karte hain. Moving averages ne ek "bearish crossover" dikhaya hai, jo long-term girawat ka ishara deta hai. Price abhi 50-day aur 100-day moving averages ke neeche hai, jo ye batata hai ke buyers ki momentum weak hai aur sellers ka control zyada hai.
Chart par Bollinger Bands bhi dikhayi de rahi hain, aur price abhi lower band ke qareeb hai. Yeh over-sold zone ki taraf ishara karta hai, lekin iska matlab yeh nahi ke price turant bounce karegi. Zyada chances hain ke price support level par consolidate kare ya neeche girti rahe.
Resistance levels ka analysis karein to 0.6420 aur 0.6580 major resistance zones hain. Agar price upar jaane ki koshish kare to in levels par strong selling pressure aasakta hai. Upar ki taraf move ke liye buyers ko bohot strong momentum laana hoga, jo abhi ke halat mein mushkil lagta hai.
Fundamental factors bhi AUD/USD ke liye negative hain. Global economic uncertainty aur US Dollar ki strength is pair ke liye girawat ka sabab ban rahi hain. Reserve Bank of Australia ki dovish policies aur Federal Reserve ki hawkish stance bhi yeh girawat support karti hain.
Conclusion
Is waqt AUD/USD downtrend mein hai, aur filhaal kisi recovery ke clear signs nahi hain. Jo traders short positions lena chahte hain, unke liye yeh girawat ek opportunity ho sakti hai. Lekin support aur resistance levels ka dhyan rakhna zaroori hai, aur risk management strategies ko follow karna chahiye

AUD/USD currency pair kaafi arsey se sustained downtrend mein hai, aur Wednesday ko pair ne ek crucial long-term support trend line tod di, jo October 2022 se chal rahi thi. Yeh breach pair ko 14-maheenay ke low 0.6308 tak le gaya. Weekly chart ka analysis yeh batata hai ke price 0.6190 ke horizontal support level par hai, jo 2022 ka minimum aur ek powerful support hai. Yeh zone ek potential buying area dikhata hai. Yeh price na sirf 2023 ke minimums, balki 2024 ke current minimums se bhi neeche aa chuki hai. CCI indicator lower overheating zone mein hai, jo ek corrective rollback ki umeed dila raha hai. Resistance ke liye 0.6346 ka level dekhne layak hai, jahan price short-term growth ke liye revert kar sakti hai.
Chhoti timeframes pe, price ke growth formation ka dekhna zaroori hai, jaise mirror level decline ke edge par hota hai, aur wahan upward work karna logical lagta hai. Aage kaafi beghair rollback ke decline mushkil lagta hai. Aise strong support levels break hone se pehle decent rebound hota hai, aur uske baad shayad breakthrough ho. Yeh buying zone lagta hai, aur maine khud iss supposed upward movement par buy kiya hai, jo promising lag raha hai. Lekin current scenario mein neeche sell karna risky hai.
Recent US dollar strength ke baad, ab dollar market mein correct kar raha hai. Kahin correction ho chuki hai, aur kahin jaise yahan, correction ki umeed abhi baqi hai. End-of-year dynamics ke madde nazar, large short positions close karna aur profit book karna expected hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ke agle hafte mein upward rollback ho sakta hai. Lekin agar 0.6200 ka crucial support tod diya gaya, to price aur neeche ja kar 0.6100 ke circular barrier ya phir 0.5980 ke April 2020 ke low tak gir sakti hai. Lekin abhi ke indicators RSI aur Stochastics suggest karte hain ke selling pressure overdone ho raha hai lekin reversal ke liye conclusive signal abhi missing hai.Traders ko agle hafte ke liye cautious optimism ke saath ready rehna chahiye.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis

Aaj ke AUD/USD chart par nazar daalte hain, jahan hum technical analysis karenge. Market abhi support aur resistance levels ke beech mein hai. Filhal, market upward trend dikha raha hai. Market ek support level ko hit karke upar ja raha hai, aur ho sakta hai ke market resistance level tak reach kare. Market ne support level ko todhne ki koshish ki thi lekin wo kaamyaab nahi hua. Agar market resistance todhne mein kaamyaab ho jata, to wo girta, lekin support ko todha nahi, is liye ab wo resistance ki taraf ja raha hai. Ab jab market distance level ki taraf move kar raha hai, wo resistance level tak pahunchega aur phir wapas gir sakta hai, lekin support level tak nahi kyunki hamari trend line humein yeh bata rahi hai ke market uphill ja raha hai. Market ne support level ko todha nahi aur upar chala gaya. Agar market trend line ki taraf move karega, to wo gir sakta hai.

H1 Time Frame Analysis:
Agar hum H1 time frame ka chart dekhen, to market support level complete kar ke jaldi girta hai aur next support level ko hit karta hai, phir resistance level tak rise hota hai. Market ka support level abhi break ho raha hai wo resistance level hai. Filhal, market 50-day simple moving average se neeche trade kar raha hai aur 200-day simple moving average ke upar hai. 200-day simple moving average ka average price market ke support level ke neeche hai. Aur agar hum RSI indicator ko dekhen, to wo 30 aur 70 ke beech mein hai, jo ke 52 par hai, to yeh andaza lagaya jaa sakta hai ke market ne sharp rise kiya hai aur ab apne direction mein gir raha hai. Support ko touch karke phir upar move kar sakta hai.

Indicators:

• 50-day simple moving average (Navy color)
• 200-day simple moving average (Chocolate color)
• RSI indicator period 14

AUD/USD ka H4 timeframe chart dikhata hai ke market ka trend abhi downward hai. Price action ne consistent lower lows aur lower highs banaye hain, jo bearish trend ko confirm karta hai. Chart ke mutabiq price 0.6260 ke aas-paas hai, jo recent support ke qareeb hai, lekin abhi tak koi strong bullish reversal ka signal nahi mil raha.
MACD indicator bhi bearish momentum ko support karta hai. Histogram negative zone mein hai aur signal line bhi downward hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke selling pressure abhi bhi zyada hai. Bollinger Bands ke mutabiq price lower band ke qareeb hai, jo oversold condition ko indicate kar sakta hai, lekin filhal koi strong buying interest nahi dikh raha.
Chart par 0.6280 ka level ek strong resistance ke taur par samajh aata hai. Agar price is level ko tod nahi pata, to yeh aur neeche gir kar 0.6230 ya uske neeche tak ja sakta hai. Is waqt sellers ke liye momentum mazboot lag raha hai, lekin agar koi bullish reversal signal ata hai, to market short-term pullback kar sakti hai.
Agar aap trading kar rahe hain, to yeh zaruri hai ke aap apne risk ko manage karein. Short-selling ke liye resistance levels ke qareeb entry le kar stop-loss ka zarur use karein, takay kisi bhi unexpected reversal se bacha ja sake. Dusri taraf, agar koi bullish breakout hota hai aur price 0.6280 ke upar close karti hai, to yeh ek nayi buying opportunity ho sakti hai.
Yeh market analysis sirf educational aur informational purpose ke liye hai. Har trader ko apne technical aur fundamental analysis ke mutabiq faisla lena chahiye. Risk management ka khayal rakhein aur hamesha apne capital ko suraksha mein rakhne ki koshish karein.
Is waqt market bearish lag rahi hai, lekin agle kuch dino mein price action par nazar rakhna zaruri hai, taake kisi bhi naye trend ka signal miss na ho. Trading ke liye patience aur strategy ka hona bohot zaruri hai!

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

AUD/USD lower ahead of RBA Minutes

Australian dollar ne Monday ko losses post kiye. North American session ke shuru mein, AUD/USD 0.6227 par trade kar raha hai, jo likhne ke waqt 0.31% neeche tha.

Market hopes for rate path hints from RBA minutes
Ye ek bohot light calendar week hai, kyunke Christmas holiday bilkul qareeb hai. Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Tuesday ko is mahine ki meeting ke minutes release karega, jo iss week ka sirf ek Australian event hai.

December ki meeting mein, RBA ne cash rate ko 4.35% par no baras lagatar hold rakha. Phir bhi, rate statement ne near-term rate cut ki umeed jagai, jo statement ki language mein kuch nuances ke base par tha. Pehle ke statements ne signal diya tha ke rate hikes mumkin hain, aur board ka kehna tha ke wo “kuch bhi in ya out rule out nahi kar raha”, lekin yeh phrase December statement mein nahi tha.

RBA inflation outlook ke baray mein zyada optimistic laga, aur statement mein note kiya gaya ke board ko “yeh yaqeen ho raha hai ke inflation sustainably target ki taraf move kar raha hai”. Market ne is language ko dovish samjha, halan ke Governor Bullock ne meeting ke baad yeh repeat kiya ke February ka rate decision data par base karega.

US sees decline in durable goods orders, consumer confidence
US mein durable goods orders November mein 1.1% m/m gir gaye, jo ke October ke upwardly revised 0.8% gain aur market estimate -0.4% se kaafi neeche tha. Yeh girawat zyada tar transportation equipment ke naye orders mein kami ki wajah se hui.

Conference Board Consumer Confidence index December mein sharply 104.7 tak gir gaya, jo ke upwardly revised 112.8 aur market estimate 113 se kaafi neeche tha. Consumers employment aur incomes ke baray mein kam optimistic the. Conference Board report ne bataya ke consumers ko ye fikar hai ke Trump administration ke propose kiye gaye tariffs prices ko 2025 tak barhane ki wajah banenge.

AUD/USD: RBA Meeting Minutes Impact Trends
Agar AUD/USD pair ki baat karein, RBA ki monetary policy meeting minutes bhi focus mein the. December mein, RBA ne apna 4.35% cash rate hold rakha lekin rate cut ki umeed ko barhawa diya. RBA ke minutes ne inflation aur policy outlook ke baray mein milti-julti position reflect ki.

Key points from the minutes mein shamil hain:

• September tak ke 12 mahine mein output growth weak raha, jo sirf 0.8% tha.
• November mein economic activity pick hui, lekin expected se kam.
• Household income aur consumption recover hui, magar expected se kam.
• Future consumption spending trends economic aur labor market outlook ko affect karein ge.
• Labor market conditions dheere dheere ease hui, jabke wage growth slow hui.
• Rents aur naye dwelling costs ki inflation thodi expected se kam rahi.
• Underlying inflation lagbhag 3.5% thi, jo target ke 2.5% midpoint se abhi bhi zyada hai.
• Softer-than-expected housing services inflation ke bawajood, inflation 2026 tak sustainably target ke midpoint par wapas nahi ayegi.
• February policy decision labor market, inflation, aur staff forecasts ke revised set par depend karega.
• Agar future data unki expectations ke mutabiq ya usse weak evolve karta raha, to yeh unka yaqeen barha dega ke inflation sustainably target ki taraf gir raha hai.
• Board members ne agree kiya ke unhein inflation ke sustainably target ki taraf move karne ka yaqeen ho raha hai, lekin risks abhi bhi hain.
• Minutes ne RBA press conference ke comments ko mirror kiya, jisne AUD/USD ko $0.64 mark se neeche crash kar diya.

AUD/USD Technical
Tuesday ke US session mein, hawkish FOMC member chatter AUD/USD pair par zyada weight dal sakta hai. Zyada hawkish Fed aur dovish RBA US aur Australia ke interest rate differential ko widen kar sakta hai, jo pair ko $0.62 ke neeche le ja sakta hai. $0.62 ke neeche girawat lower trend line ko play mein le aa sakti hai.

Lekin, agar dovish comments January Fed rate cut ko support karte hain, to AUD/USD $0.63 ki taraf move kar sakta hai. $0.63 ka return bulls ko $0.63623 resistance level target karne ka moka de sakta hai.

Aaj USA ki news aur economic updates market sentiment ko thoda bullish favor mein tabdeel kar sakti hain. United States se aane wali economic khabren Dollar ko nayi momentum de sakti hain, jo guzishta hafte se mazbooti dikhata aa raha hai. Is upward trend ke bawajood, yeh waqt hai ke market correction ka process mukammal kare aur stability achieve kare. Correction ka yeh phase bulls ke liye nayi trading opportunities aur profits hasil karne ka moqa paish karega.USD ne recent sessions mein strength dikhayi hai, lekin ab ek temporary pullback ka imkaan hai jo market ko stabilize karega aur agli upward move ke liye raah saaf karega. AUD/USD pair ke hawalay se, ek buying opportunity nazar aati hai. 0.6356 ka target rakhte hue buy entry karna technical aur fundamental outlook ke mutabiq sahi lagta hai.
Bulls ki activity mazeed barh sakti hai, jab market se nayi signals milen. Indicators jaise RSI aur moving averages oversold conditions ko highlight kar sakte hain, jo potential upward reversals ka ishara dete hain. Yeh tools precise entry points dhoondhne mein madadgar sabit ho sakte hain.
USA ki economic data par focus karna zaroori hai, kyunke employment, inflation, aur Federal Reserve policies ke hawalay se aane wali news AUD aur USD dono ke market sentiment ko influence kar sakti hai. In developments par nazar rakhna target level 0.6356 achieve karne ke chances barhata hai.
Summary mein, aaj USA ki news thoda bullish sentiment paida kar sakti hai, jo bulls ko naye trading opportunities provide karegi. AUD/USD par buy entry karna, 0.6356 ka target rakhte hue, ek munasib strategy lagti hai. Market signals aur economic data updates par gaur karte hue correction phase ka faida uthaya ja sakta hai aur evolving market mein profits hasil karne ki positions le ja sakti hain.
Haal filhal, AUD/USD ki price 20 aur 50 EMA moving averages ke neeche hai, jo ke strong bearish trend ko zahir karti hai. 0.6338 ek minor resistance level hai, jabke 0.6202 ek minor support level hai. Market ka price agle support level 0.6078 tak gir sakta hai, ya phir agle resistance level 0.6470 tak barh sakta hai. Iske baad AUD/USD ka agla resistance level 0.6668 tak barhne ka imkaan hai, jabke bearish case mein price support level 0.5511 tak gir sakta hai.

AUD/USD Market Analysis
AUD/USD pair ka chart dekhain to yeh humein ek clear trend aur important levels ka signal de raha hai. H1 time frame ke mutabiq, price 19 December ke aas paas strong bearish trend mein thi, jisme price neeche gir kar 0.6200 ka support level touch karti hai. Yeh girawat kaafi sharp thi, jo shayad kisi economic data ya fundamental news ka natija ho sakti hai. Support level touch karne ke baad price ne thodi recovery dikhai aur sideways consolidation mode mein chali gayi.
Chart ke mutabiq, 0.6200 ek strong support zone ban chuka hai, jahan buyers ne enter kar ke price ko neeche girne se roka. Dusri taraf, 0.6245 aur 0.6250 ke aas paas resistance zone nazar aata hai, jahan price baar baar ruk gayi hai. Yeh levels important hain kyunki agle movement ka direction inhi zones par depend karega. Agar price 0.6245 ka resistance todti hai, toh yeh bullish signal hoga aur price upar ki taraf 0.6300 ya usse upar tak ja sakti hai. Lekin agar price dobara neeche girti hai, toh 0.6200 ka support test hoga aur yeh todne par aur zyada bearish pressure ban sakta hai.
Recent price movement, yani 23 aur 24 December ke dinon mein, humein consolidation ka signal de rahi hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke market abhi directionless hai aur traders kisi fresh breakout ya breakdown ka intezaar kar rahe hain.
Traders ke liye yeh waqt important hai kyunki is waqt trade lena risky ho sakta hai jab tak ek clear direction na mile. Agar aap scalping karte hain, toh yeh range-bound market aapke liye acchi ho sakti hai, lekin swing ya position traders ke liye behtar hoga ke woh ek breakout ka intezaar karein. Hamesha risk management ka khayal rakhein aur apne setups ke mutabiq trade karein.
"Aane wale dino mein, AUD/USD pair ke liye 0.6245 ka resistance aur 0.6200 ka support critical hain. Apne analysis ke mutabiq position lein aur impulsive trading se bachein."

دسمبر 24 2024 کے لیے اے یو ڈی/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

آسٹریلوی ڈالر نچلی قیمت چینل کی نچلی حد سے واپس اچھالنے کے بعد 0.6273 کی مزاحمتی سطح سے اوپر نہیں جا سکا۔ فی الحال، قیمت اس نازک مقام کی طرف بڑھ رہی ہے جہاں 0.6171 کی ہدف کی سطح پرائس چینل کی نچلی حد کو پورا کرتی ہے۔



اس سطح سے نیچے توڑنے سے جوڑی 0.6077 کی طرف اپنی حرکت جاری رکھ سکے گی۔ چار گھنٹے کے ٹائم فریم میں، مارلن آسیلیٹر کی سگنل لائن نیوٹرل زیرو لائن سے دو بار پلٹ گئی ہے۔



0.6273 کی سطح سے پلٹنے کے بعد، قیمت نے اس مقام پر واپس آنے کی مزید کوششیں نہیں کیں۔ اشارے کی لکیریں مسلسل کم ہو رہی ہیں، اور ہم توقع کرتے ہیں کہ قیمت 0.6171 پر اپنے پہلے ہدف تک پہنچ جائے گی۔

تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

AUD/USD H1 Analysis: Market Overview
Is chart ke mutabiq AUD/USD ka H1 timeframe downward trend ke andar hai. Price ne consistently lower highs aur lower lows banaye hain, jo clear bearish momentum ka indication de raha hai. Yeh trend aur confirm hota hai kyun ke price 50 Moving Average (MA) aur 200 Moving Average (MA) ke neeche trade kar raha hai. Yeh dono averages resistance ke taur par kaam kar rahe hain, jo price ko neeche dhakel rahe hain.
Technical Indicators:
Moving Averages:
Red line (200 MA) aur blue line (50 MA) ke neeche price ka trade karna bearish signal deta hai. Yeh bata raha hai ke market abhi bhi long-term aur short-term dono perspectives se weak hai. Jab tak price 50 MA ko tod kar upar nahi jata, tab tak recovery ki umeed kam hai.
Stochastic Oscillator (5,3,3):
Neeche se upar ki taraf Stochastic line (green) aur signal line (red) cross kar rahi hai. Iska matlab hai ke price short-term oversold zone se nikal raha hai aur upward movement ka chance hai. Lekin yeh movement sirf short-term retracement ho sakta hai jab tak major resistance tod na liya jaye.
Support aur Resistance Levels:
Resistance: 0.6341 ka level abhi price ke liye hurdle bana hua hai. Agar price is resistance ko todta hai to next level 0.6365 ke aas-paas aa sakta hai.
Support: Neeche 0.6335 ka level strong support ka kaam kar raha hai. Agar yeh support break hota hai to price aur neeche ja sakta hai aur 0.6310 ka level target banega.
Conclusion:
Is waqt market ka bias bearish hai lekin Stochastic indicator ek short-term reversal ka signal de raha hai. Traders ko chaahiye ke wo confirmation ka intezaar karen aur market ke behavior par nazar rakhen. Agar price resistance level tod kar upar jata hai to short-term buying opportunity ho sakti hai. Lekin agar price neeche support todta hai to market aur weak ho sakta hai. Stop loss aur proper risk management zaroori hai, kyun ke trend abhi downward hai.

AUD/USD pair ka hai, jisme market ka trend aur technical indicators ka istimaal dekhaya gaya hai. Chart ke mutabiq, price ne downward trend follow kiya, jisme moving averages ne support aur resistance levels ko highlight kiya hai.
Moving averages (pink aur orange lines) dikhate hain ke price ne 0.6420 ke aas paas resistance face kiya, aur 0.6400 level ke neeche strong bearish momentum dekha gaya. Ye is baat ka signal deta hai ke sellers market mein zyada active hain. Short-term aur long-term moving averages ka crossover bearish trend ko confirm karta hai.
RSI (Relative Strength Index) ne oversold zone mein enter kiya, jo signal deta hai ke price zyada neeche aa gaya hai aur ab kisi waqt reversal ya consolidation ho sakta hai. Lekin RSI abhi bhi 50 level ke neeche hai, jo ye show karta hai ke bearish pressure abhi tak intact hai.
MACD indicator ka analysis karein to uska histogram aur signal line downward momentum ko support karte hain. MACD line ka signal line ke neeche rehna bearish trend ka indication hai. Lekin agar histogram mein positive divergence aaye, to short-term bullish reversal ka chance ban sakta hai.
Agar is chart ke mutabiq trading strategy ki baat karein, to short-selling opportunities 0.6420 ke aas paas dhoondhi ja sakti hain, jab tak price 0.6450 ke upar breakout na kare. Support zone 0.6380 aur 0.6360 ke aas paas hai, jahan price bounce kar sakta hai. Lekin agar price is support zone ko todta hai, to agla target 0.6300 ho sakta hai.
Is waqt, cautious trading zaruri hai, aur risk management ka khayal rakhte hue stop-loss ka istimaal karna chahiye. Stop-loss 0.6450 ke upar rakhein taake kisi unexpected reversal ke case mein loss minimize ho. Yeh chart clearly dikhata hai ke market abhi bearish trend mein hai, lekin indicators ki madad se aap potential reversals aur breakouts ke liye ready reh sakte hain.

AUD/USD currency pair ke liye aaj ka din weekly chart par nazar dalne ka hai. Pichle hafte kuch chhupi hui news releases hui thi jaise ke FOMC Economic Forecasts, Federal Open Market Committee Statement, Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision, aur FOMC Press Conference. In khabron ke asar se US dollar ne market mein har taraf apni taqat dikhayi aur strength gain ki. Agar price ka movement samajhna hai to weekly chart ke senior period ko dekhna zaroori hai. Ab price 0.6190 ke horizontal support level tak pahunch gaya hai, jo ke 2022 ka minimum aur ek strong support zone hai. Iske alawa, price ne 2023 aur 2024 ke minimum levels ko tod diya hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke yeh ek potential buying zone ho sakta hai. CCI indicator is waqt lower overheating zone mein hai, jo suggest karta hai ke price mein corrective pullback ho kar 0.6346 resistance level tak ja sakta hai. Chhoti timeframes mein, ab price ke growth ka formation dekh sakte hain, jahan yeh edge of decline ke aas-paas ek mirror level bana raha hai, aur price upward move kar sakta hai. Bina rollback ke further decline mushkil lagta hai, kyun ke itne strong support levels pe aksar pehle ek rebound hota hai, phir shayad breakthrough hota hai. Main ne yahan buy kiya hai kyun ke mujhe lagta hai yeh movement promising hai. Filhal sell karna risk hai, lekin shayad dobara buy karun agar price wapas aaye.Abhi market mein US dollar kuch jagahon pe correct ho raha hai, lekin AUD/USD abhi is phase mein nahi hai. Mujhe lagta hai agle hafte ek upward rollback ki umeed hai, kyun ke saal ke akhir mein bade positions close kiye jaate hain New Year se pehle profit lock karne ke liye. Aaj bhi ek important news release hai, 16:30 Moscow time par, jo unemployment benefits ke initial applications ke number ka data show karega.Agar price November 25th ke high (0.6550) ke upar break kare, to pair 0.6600 resistance level tak ja sakta hai, aur shayad September 11th ke low (0.6622) ko bhi test kare. Lekin agar price 0.6200 support ke neeche jata hai, to ek aur downward move ka darwaza khul sakta hai, jo price ko 0.6100 aur uske baad 0.5980 (April 2020 ka key support level) tak le ja sakta hai. Dono RSI aur Stochastics indicators yeh dikhate hain ke recent sell-off overdone lagta hai, lekin abhi oversold zone mein nahi hain, jo bearish pressure ke barqaraar rehne ka signal dete hain.

AUD/USD ka H4 chart dekhte huye ye samajh aata hai ke market is waqt neeche ki taraf zyada pressure mein hai, aur price 200-period aur 50-period moving averages ke neeche chal raha hai. Yeh moving averages bearish trend ka indication dete hain, jo confirm karta hai ke abhi market sellers ke qabze mein hai. Saath hi, price abhi tak kisi significant resistance ko todne mein kamyab nahi hua, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke buyers abhi weak hain. RSI (Relative Strength Index) ka value 37.66 par hai, jo oversold zone ke qareeb hai, lekin yeh abhi tak koi clear buying signal nahi de raha. Oversold hone ka matlab yeh hai ke price neeche ki taraf bohot zyada gir chuka hai, lekin iska yeh matlab nahi ke price wapas upar jaane lagega. Jab tak RSI 50 ya uske upar ka level cross nahi karta, tab tak bullish signal milna mushkil hai. Neeche OsMA (Oscillator of Moving Average) indicator dekhte huye yeh lagta hai ke momentum bhi kam hai. OsMA low histogram bars dikhata hai, jo market mein slow movement aur potential consolidation ka ishara karta hai. Yeh indicate karta hai ke market abhi decision-making phase mein hai aur kisi bhi taraf breakout ho sakta hai.



Chart ke mutabiq 0.6215 ka support level bohot important hai. Agar price is level ko tod deta hai, toh market aur neeche gir sakta hai, jahan next support levels 0.6180 ya uske aas paas ho sakte hain. Lekin agar price is level ko tod nahi pata aur upar ki taraf breakout karta hai, toh yeh potential recovery ka signal de sakta hai. Traders ke liye ye zaroori hai ke wo apne trades lene se pehle market ka agla move dekhein. Trend-following strategy ko follow karna is waqt behtareen rahega, jisme confirmation ka intezar kiya jaye. Indicators ka barabar analysis aur risk management zaroori hai, kyun ke yeh period uncertain lagta hai. Agar breakout hota hai, toh wahi future trend ko define karega.

دسمبر 27 2024 کو اے یو ڈی/امریکی ڈالر کے لیے پیشن گوئی

دسمبر 19 کو نزولی قیمت کے چینل کی نچلی باؤنڈری کو اچھالنے کے بعد، قیمت 0.6273 پر ہدف مزاحمت کی سطح پر پہنچ گئی اور اس سے الٹ گئی، ممکنہ طور پر اس چینل کی نچلی باؤنڈری کے ایک اور امتحان کی طرف بڑھ رہی ہے۔



ایک مضبوط نیچے کی طرف حرکت ممکن ہے، جس کا مقصد قیمت چینل سے نیچے کو توڑنا اور اس سے باہر نکلنا ہے۔ اس تحریک کا ہدف 0.6134 کی سپورٹ لیول ہے۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر کی سگنل لائن تقریباً افقی طور پر حرکت کر رہی ہے۔ اگر ریچھوں کو تھوڑی مزاحمت کا سامنا کرنا پڑتا ہے تو آنے والے دنوں میں قیمت گر سکتی ہے۔

مارلن آسیلیٹر چار گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر صفر کی لکیر کے ساتھ افقی طور پر حرکت کرتا ہے۔ قیمت بیئرش ٹون کے ساتھ 0.6273 کی سطح سے نیچے مستحکم ہو رہی ہے۔ مرکزی منظر نامہ ایک نیچے کی حرکت ہے۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

AUD/USD ka yeh forex chart bearish trend ko dikhata hai, jahan price neeche ki taraf gir raha hai. Chart mein orange aur white lines moving averages ko represent kar rahi hain, jo trend ki direction aur strength ko samajhne mein madad karti hain. White line long-term moving average hai, jabke orange lines short aur medium-term trends ko dikhati hain. In sab lines ka neeche ki taraf hona ye batata hai ke market mein selling pressure dominate kar raha hai. Candlesticks price action ko reflect karti hain, aur lambi bearish candles ye indicate karti hain ke price gir raha hai aur market mein selling zyada hai. Neeche stochastic oscillator momentum indicator ke taur par use ho raha hai, jo overbought aur oversold conditions ko dikhata hai. Is chart mein stochastic values oversold zone ke kareeb hain, jo price ke neeche ke extreme level par hone ka signal deti hain. Magar, trend ki direction abhi neeche hai, is liye buying ka waqt abhi sahi nahi lagta. Yellow horizontal lines support aur resistance levels ko represent karti hain. Resistance level ke paas price ke upar jane ke chances kam hain, jab tak trend bullish na ho jaye. Support level ek ahem point ho sakta hai jahan price stabil ho sakta hai. Is chart ke mutabiq, market bearish hai aur trading karte waqt indicators aur risk management ka dhyan rakhna zaroori hai. Fundamental news ke sath technical analysis ka istemal karna har trade ke liye faidemand hoga.