ای AUD/USD کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

TMA aur RSI candlesticks se hasil karta hoon. Yeh signals mujhe yeh batate hain ke koi Forex pair ya instrument khareedne ke liye bohat high ho chuka hai. Jaise jaise waqt guzarta hai aur device ka consensus warning deta hai, yeh zahir hota hai ke bulls ab zyada active ho gaye hain, aur ab buying ko tarjeeh deni chahiye. Hicken Ashi candlesticks, jo ke price levels ko define karti hain aur regular Japanese candlesticks se mukhtalif hain, meri madad karti hain ke main har reversal moment, corrective rollbacks, aur impulse shootouts ko barwaqt pehchan sakoon. Saath hi, TMA (Triangular Moving Average) linear channel indicator bhi bohat zyada madadgar hai, jo ke chart par support aur resistance ke advanced marks draw karta hai. Yeh indicator us waqt moving assets ke limits ko zahir karta hai jab wo apne maqam par pohonch jata hai. Indicators ko close karne aur deal ko finalize karne ke liye main RSI oscillator ka use karta hoon, jo ke overbought aur oversold zones ko zahir karta hai. Yeh tareeqa instruments ki buying aur selling ko priority dene mein madad karta hai aur ghalat market entries se bachata hai. Ab jo main chart par dekh raha hoon, Hicken Ash candles ka rang ab blue mein badal gaya hai, jo zahir karta hai ke ab bullish mode zyada dominate karega, aur yeh waqt hai ke long trades execute kiye jayen. Prices ne linear channel ke lower line ko cross kar diya tha, lekin neechay ka sabse kam darja choonay ke baad wapas channel ke center line par aa gayi hain. Basement RSI indicator bhi ab buying signal de raha hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke ab yeh trade karne ke liye achha waqt hai. Main expect kar raha hoon ke price 0.69500 ke maqam tak barh sakti hai jo ke channel ke upper border par hai. Jab order value zone mein dakhil ho jaye, to breakeven ki taraf move karne ka mashwara hai kyun ke market kabhi kabhi humari expectations ko ghalat moves se influence karta hai. Ab agar hum AUD/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya karein, to Friday ko AUD/USD pair H1 pivot 0.6835 tak nahi pohonch saka tha aur growth 0.6830 par ruk gayi thi. Lekin support level 0.6783 ne price ko zyada girne se roka. Session 0.6816 se rebound ke saath khatam hua, lekin H1 pivot 7/8 (0.6804) tak gir gaya, jab ke M15 time frame bullish raha. Yeh bullish setup yeh batata hai ke Monday se growth 0.6830 tak jaari reh sakti hai. Agar price neechay 0.6790 ke level se toot jata hai, to meri strategy badal jayegi aur phir yeh decline 0.6769 aur 0.6749 ke zone tak barh sakta hai. Lekin agar bullish support toot gaya, aur pair 0.6699–0.6669 zone ke neeche consolidate kart

# AUD/USD Ka Jaiza

**Guzishta Halat:**

AUD/USD currency pair ne aik noteworthy girawat dekhi hai, lekin kal raat se kuch recovery bhi hui hai. Halankeh ye recovery mukammal nahi hai, lekin upward momentum ke clear nishan hain jo mazeed faida dikhate hain. Ek key challenge ye hai ke price moving average (MA) ke neeche hai, jo ke kuch resistance paida karta hai. Bulls ko kal ke lows tak wapas girne se roknay ki koshish karni chahiye, kyunki ye levels bohot ahem hain, khaaskar crucial support points ki formation ke liye. Filhal, price in lows ke upar achhi tarah se qaim hai, aur agar ye evening session tak is position ko barqarar rakhti hai, to hum upward trend ki continuation ki umeed kar sakte hain.

**Targets Aur Oscillator Analysis:**

Key targets mein 0.6921 khaas taur par nazar aata hai, jo aaj raat tak hasil ho sakta hai. Oscillator bhi ye darshata hai ke pair mazeed growth ke liye tayyar nahi hai, jo ke aik potential consolidation phase ki nishani hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke downward movement ka imkaan hai, lekin ye turant nahi hoga balkay haal ki gains ke baad aayega.

**Market Ka Rukh:**

Maujooda situation mein, trend abhi bhi upward move ko support kar raha hai, lekin price niche girne ka bhi barabar ka mauqa hai. Mere khayal se, aaj ke liye AUD/USD pair ka outlook ye hai ke agar resistance todti hai to buying karni chahiye, aur agar support breach hoti hai to selling karni chahiye. Ye strategy akhri candlestick ke doji pattern par mabni hai, jo buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan indecision aur balance dikhata hai. Filhal, AUD/USD pair apne daily opening level ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai, jo market mein balance ka darshak hai.

**M30 Time Frame Analysis:**

Aage ke potential price movements ko behtar samajhne ke liye, hum M30 time frame ka jaiza le sakte hain. Yahan par do minor support aur resistance areas hain jo khayal mein rakhne chahiye: ek 0.6787 ke price level par upper boundary ke aas-paas hai aur doosra 0.6778 ke level par lower boundary ke aas-paas hai. Ye areas nazdeek aane wale waqt mein achi entry opportunities paida kar sakte hain.

**Future Expectations:**

AUD/USD currency pair abhi bullish control mein hai, aur mazeed upward movement ka imkaan hai. Main filhal aik potential BUY setup ka intezar kar raha hoon, jis ka target 0.6855 ke level par hai. Agar price is target tak pohanchti hai, to ye apni position ko mazeed mazboot karegi aur higher levels tak pahunchne ki sambhavana ko barha de gi. Lekin, agar price is target ko hasil karne mein nakam rahi, to ye phir se niche gir sakti hai.

ka consensus warning deta hai, yeh zahir hota hai ke bulls ab zyada active ho gaye hain, aur ab buying ko tarjeeh deni chahiye. Hicken Ashi candlesticks, jo ke price levels ko define karti hain aur regular Japanese candlesticks se mukhtalif hain, meri madad karti hain ke main har reversal moment, corrective rollbacks, aur impulse shootouts ko barwaqt pehchan sakoon. Saath hi, TMA (Triangular Moving Average) linear channel indicator bhi bohat zyada madadgar hai, jo ke chart par support aur resistance ke advanced marks draw karta hai. Yeh indicator us waqt moving assets ke limits ko zahir karta hai jab wo apne maqam par pohonch jata hai. Indicators ko close karne aur deal ko finalize karne ke liye main RSI oscillator ka use karta hoon, jo ke overbought aur oversold zones ko zahir karta hai. Yeh tareeqa instruments ki buying aur selling ko priority dene mein madad karta hai aur ghalat market entries se bachata hai. Ab jo main chart par dekh raha hoon, Hicken Ash candles ka rang ab blue mein badal gaya hai, jo zahir karta hai ke ab bullish mode zyada dominate karega, aur yeh waqt hai ke long trades execute kiye jayen. Prices ne linear channel ke lower line ko cross kar diya tha, lekin neechay ka sabse kam darja choonay ke baad wapas channel ke center line par aa gayi hain. Basement RSI indicator bhi ab buying signal de raha hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke ab yeh trade karne ke liye achha waqt hai. Main expect kar raha hoon ke price 0.69500 ke maqam tak barh sakti hai jo ke channel ke upper border par hai. Jab order value zone mein dakhil ho jaye, to breakeven ki taraf move karne ka mashwara hai kyun ke market kabhi kabhi humari expectations ko ghalat moves se influence karta hai. Ab agar hum AUD/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya karein, to Friday ko AUD/USD pair H1 pivot 0.6835 tak nahi pohonch saka tha aur growth 0.6830 par ruk gayi thi. Lekin support level 0.6783 ne price ko zyada girne se roka. Session 0.6816 se rebound ke saath khatam hua, lekin H1 pivot 7/8 (0.6804) tak gir gaya, jab ke M15 time frame bullish raha. Yeh bullish setup yeh batata hai ke Monday se growth

significant decline ka prediction karna abhi jaldi hai. Jumme ke trading aksar ek key indicator hota hai, jo aane wale predictions ka buniyad tayar karta hai. Kyunki price minimum ke neeche nahi gayi, hum sirf limited drop ke baare mein baat kar sakte hain, jo ke ek full correction nahi, balki ek zigzag pattern hai, jo is situation mein acha fit hota hai. Market jald hi flat phase mein shift ho sakti hai. Main 0.6679 ke aas-paas long positions ke liye potential dekhta hoon. Halankeh koi significant support levels nazar nahi aate, yahan kuch hafton pehle ek noticeable rebound dekha gaya tha. Is rebound ki taqat modest ho sakti hai, jo shayad 0.6729 tak peak kare, uske baad zigzag ka khatma ho sakta hai. Is waqt buying positions se exit karna behtar hoga. Aage dekhte hue, 0.68000 level ke aas-paas ek prominent resistance area nazar aa raha hai, jo liquidity zone aur kuch FVG areas se mark kiya gaya hai jo pehle test nahi hue. Yeh region bulls ke liye ek significant hurdle ban sakta hai, jab price is taraf aati hai to potential profit-taking aur sell-side interest dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Lekin, recent sessions mein dekha gaya upward momentum yeh darshata hai ke buyers ke paas is resistance ko challenge karne ki taqat ho sakti hai. Agar price is resistance ko break kar leti hai, to yeh aage ke gains ka rasta khol sakta hai, shayad 0.68500 ke upar higher liquidity levels ko target karte hue. Neeche ki taraf, 0.67000 ke aas-paas ek key support zone established hai, jahan kai liquidity sweeps hue hain. In liquidity sweeps ki maujoodgi yeh darshati hai ke buyers is level ko defend kar rahe hain, jo potential pullbacks ke khilaf cushion provide karta hai. Agar price is zone ki taraf retrace hoti hai, to yeh dobara buying interest ka samna kar sakti hai, jo isse ek significant support level banata hai.
Summarize karte hue, AUD/USD clear bullish momentum dikhata hai jab key liquidity gaps fill hoti hain aur support zones se reverse hota hai. 0.68000 level agla critical resistance hai, jiska break hone par aage ke upside ki sambhavna hai. Iske baraks, agar price 0.67000

batate hain ke koi Forex pair ya instr ument khareedne ke liye bohat high ho chuka hai. Jaise jaise waqt guzarta hai aur device ka consensus warning deta hai, yeh zahir hota hai ke bulls ab zyada active ho gaye hain, aur ab buying ko tarjeeh deni chahiye. Hicken Ashi candlesticks, jo ke price levels ko define karti hain aur regular Japanese candlesticks se mukhtalif hain, meri madad karti hain ke main har reversal moment, corrective rollbacks, aur impulse shootouts ko barwaqt pehchan sakoon. Saath hi, TMA (Triangular Moving Average) linear channel indicator bhi bohat zyada madadgar hai, jo ke chart par support aur resistance ke advanced marks draw karta hai. Yeh indicator us waqt moving assets ke limits ko zahir karta hai jab wo apne maqam par pohonch jata hai. Indicators ko close karne aur deal ko finalize karne ke liye main RSI oscillator ka use karta hoon, jo ke overbought aur oversold zones ko zahir karta hai. Yeh tareeqa instruments ki buying aur selling ko priority dene mein madad karta hai aur ghalat market entries se bachata hai. Ab jo main chart par dekh raha hoon, Hicken Ash candles ka rang ab blue mein badal gaya hai, jo zahir karta hai ke ab bullish mode zyada dominate karega, aur yeh waqt hai ke long trades execute kiye jayen. Prices ne linear channel ke lower line ko cross kar diya tha, lekin neechay ka sabse kam darja choonay ke baad wapas channel ke center line par aa gayi hain. Basement RSI indicator bhi ab buying signal de raha hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke ab yeh trade karne ke liye achha waqt hai. Main expect kar raha hoon ke price 0.69500 ke maqam tak barh sakti hai jo ke channel ke upper border par hai. Jab order value zone mein dakhil ho jaye, to breakeven ki taraf move karne ka mashwara hai kyun ke market kabhi kabhi humari expectations ko ghalat moves se influence karta hai. Ab agar hum AUD/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya karein, to Friday ko AUD/USD pair H1 pivot 0.6835 tak nahi pohonch saka tha aur growth 0.6830 par ruk gayi thi. Lekin support level 0.6783 ne price ko zyada girne se roka. Session 0.6816 se rebound ke saath khatam hua, lekin H1 pivot 7/8 (0.6804) tak gir gaya, jab ke M15 time frame bullish raha.

Good Morning to All Invest Social Members! Umeed hai ke aap sab khairiyat se hain aur is platform par apna waqt acha guzaar rahe hain. Aaj main AUD/USD currency pair ke hawalay se kuch insights share karna chahta hoon, khaaskar uske recent price movements ko daily (D1) time frame mein dekhte hue. Guzishta do se teen mahine mein, AUD/USD pair ne ek mazboot upward trajectory dikhayi hai, jo daily time frame chart par consistently ek ascending channel ke andar move kar raha hai. Yeh upward movement market mein ek robust bullish sentiment ka izhar karta hai, jo traders aur investors ke darmiyan increased buying interest ko reflect karta hai.

Ascending channel pattern yeh suggest karta hai ke price higher highs aur higher lows establish kar rahi hai, jo un logon ke liye ek positive signal hai jo is pair mein invest karne ke hawalay se soch rahe hain. Is dauran price ka sustained increase kai factors ki wajah se hai, jismein Australia ke favorable economic conditions aur market sentiment mein tabdeeli shamil hain. Ek key driver jo iss bullish trend ke peeche hai, wo Australian economy ki resilience hai, jo recent challenges se recovery ke asar dikhati hai. Improved commodity prices, khaaskar iron ore aur coal ke prices mein behtari, Australian dollar ko boost dene mein madadgar sabit hui hain. Is ke ilawa, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ki monetary policy ka stance bhi crucial role ada karta hai, jahan interest rate decisions aur economic forecasts AUD ki strength ko support karte hain.

Aur saath hi, global economic conditions, jaise ke major economies mein interest rates aur inflation levels mein tabdeeli, bhi AUD/USD exchange rate ko influence karti hain. Jab traders news aur economic data releases par react karte hain, toh humein increased volatility dekhne ko milti hai, jo aksar savvy investors ke liye opportunities pesh karti hai. Aagey jaake, key support aur resistance levels ko monitor karna zaroori hoga jo iss ascending channel ke andar hain, aur koi bhi aisi economic data jo Australian dollar ko impact kar sakti ho. Global markets aur economic indicators mein developments par nazar rakhna bhi critical hoga taake informed trading decisions liye ja sakein.

AUD/USD ne guzishta kuch mahino mein ek notable upward movement dikhayi hai, aur iss trend ke contributing factors ko samajhna future investments ke liye valuable insights de sakta hai. Khush rahiye, trading mazeed aur umeed hai ke aapke investments positive returns hasil karein

AUD/USD ka strong hona China ke central bank PBoC ke banking system mein liquidity inject karne se bhi related ho sakta hai, kyun ke Australia aur China ke darmiyan qareebi trade relation hai, aur Chinese economy mein developments ka Australian markets par bara asar ho sakta hai.PBoC ne 14-day reverse repo ke zariye banking system mein CNY 74.5 billion ka injection kiya, aur is dauran rate ko 1.95% se kam karke 1.85% kiya gaya. Iske ilawa, PBoC ne 7-day reverse repo ke zariye bhi CNY 160.1 billion ka injection kiya, jisme rate 1.7% par stable raha.AUD ko hawkish expectations se bhi faida mil raha hai, jo ke RBA ki aanay wali interest rate decision ke hawalay se hain, jo Tuesday ko hone wali hai. Expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 4.35% par stable rakhegi, jo mazboot labor market aur inflationary pressures ko madde nazar rakhtay hue hai. Doosri taraf, US Dollar (USD) ki qeemat mein kami ho sakti hai kyun ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke policymakers agle saal 2024 mein 75 basis points (bps) ke rate cuts predict kar rahe hain, jab ke last week unho ne aggressive 50 basis points ka rate cut kiya tha, jis se range 4.75-5.00% ho gayi hai.Monday ko AUD/USD pair 0.6820 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Daily chart ki technical analysis yeh dikhati hai ke pair ascending channel pattern ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke bullish bias ki kamzori ko zahir karta hai. But 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab bhi 50 se ooper hai, is liye aglay price movement se pair ke trend ka behtar andaza hoga. Is waqt AUD/USD pair ascending channel ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke 0.6839 ke nine-month high ke qareeb hai, jo 19 September ko dekha gaya tha. Agar is level se bounce hota hai, to pair upper boundary tak pohanch sakta hai, jo 0.6890 level ke qareeb hai. Neeche ki taraf, AUD/USD pair ko support 0.6771 par nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par mil sakta hai, aur agla aham wave ka nateeja hoga, jo humein 0.6952 tak le ja sakta hai. Yeh ek strong opportunity hogi AUD/USD sell karne ke liye, aur 0.690 se sell positions initiate ki ja sakti hain agar pair mazeed upar jata hai. Ek naya signal aane ka imkaan hai, jo strong support level 0.6857 ki taraf girawat ka ishara kar raha hai. Lekin yeh bhi mumkin hai ke pair neeche jaane se pehle upar ki taraf move kare. Phir bhi, bearish movement abhi tak primary outlook hai. Humein intezar karna padega ke forecast kaam karta hai ya nahi. Agar sellers local support range ke neeche hold karte hain, toh hum ek strong one-way decline dekh sakte hain, jo pair ko sell karne ke estimates ko confirm karega. Agar bears aage barhne mein nakam hotay hain, toh buyers control le sakte hain. Ek false breakout ka imkaan bhi madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Forecast ab bhi bearish movement par focused hai, khaaskar neural network ke clear signal ke madde nazar. Lekin plans badal bhi sakte hain, aur bulls price ko qareebi resistance level tak ya us se bhi upar push kar sakte hain. Dekhna hoga ke agle kuch ghantay kis tarah guzar te hai

AUD/USD ki qeemat Thursday ko do central banks ke mukhtalif economic outlooks ki wajah se barh gayi, jisse AUD/USD ne apne haal hi ke kuch losses ko recover kiya. Aussie dollar, jo ke commodities se related hai, ko apne top trading partner China se madad mili, kyunke China ne apni economy ko behtar karne ke liye naye stimulus programs introduce kiye. Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ka Tuesday ka faisla ke official cash rate (OCR) ko 4.35% par qaim rakha gaya, Australian currency ko support mila aur AUD/USD ki qeemat barh gayi. RBA Governor Michelle Bullock ne ye bhi kaha ke filhaal kharchay badalne wale nahi hain, aur yeh tasalsul dekhne ko mil raha hai ke RBA nazdeek waqt mein fees kam karne ka koi irada nahi rakhta, jo ke AUD/USD ki qeemat ke neeche girne ke chances ko kam karega, chahe Australian consumer price index (CPI) ka data disappointing hi kyun na ho.agricultural sector mein khas taur par achi tabdeeliyan zahir kar raha tha. Khaaskar, hourly wage barh gayi thi aur unemployment rate gir gaya tha. Halanki in figures par shak karna samajh mein aata hai, lekin US dollar ne bohot taqat ke sath reaction diya, aur doosri currencies ke muqable mein mazid barh gaya. Price ab higher daily waves ke neeche established ascending support line tak pohanch chuki hai. Saath hi, CCI indicator neeche ke overheating zone se barhne ke liye tayar hai, jo ek slight bullish divergence ka ishara kar raha hai. Yeh scenario ek strong signal deta hai ke upward correction ka imkaan hai, jo ke 0.6838 ke resistance level ko target kar sakta hai ya shayad us se bhi ooper jaye. Chart ke left side par dekhne par yeh samajh aata hai ke 0.6786 ek technical support level hai na ke ek volume level. Potential market movements recent statistics ke basis par volume levels ko hit karne ka imkaan zahir karti hain, rather

AUD/USD ka darja signal line se neeche tha, aur is ne bearish divergence ka zikar kiya, jo ke MACD par nazar aa raha tha. Chart par aik reversal pattern bana, jo ascending wedge tha, aur ye neeche ki taraf toota. Jab price 0.6909 ke level ke neeche consolidate hui, to ye aik sell signal bana. Behtareen bechnay ka mauqa tab mila jab ye level neeche se retest hui aur resistance ban gayi, jo ke growth peak par mirror image bana. Ye sab kuch US dollar ki taqat ki wajah se hua, jo ke pichlay hafte major currencies ke khilaf mazboot hui.
Agar meri soch theek sabit hoti hai, to price 0.6847 ke accumulation point tak barh sakti hai. Agar ye scenario sahi hota hai, aur agar AUD/USD ka level 0.6752 support bana rehta hai, to humein 0.6752 se 0.6928 tak ka dramatic rebound dekhne ko mil sakta hai, jahan significant buying interest maujood hai.
Price shuru mein neeche gayi lekin US employment data ki release hone tak wo stabilize rahi, jisme non-agricultural sector mein behtareen tabdeeliyan dekhi gayi. Khaaskar, average hourly wage mein izafa hua aur unemployment rate ghat gaya. Halankeh in figures par shak karna samajh se baahir nahi, lekin US dollar ne mazbooti se react kiya aur doosri global currencies ke khilaf taqat hasil ki.
Price ab us ascending support line par hai jo ke daily waves ke neeche banai gayi thi. Is waqt, CCI indicator lower overheating zone se upar ki taraf ja raha hai, jo slight bullish divergence ko darshata hai. Ye scenario upward correction ka aik mazboot signal hai, jo ke 0.6838 ya is se zyada resistance level tak ja sakta hai. Jab hum chart ki baai taraf dekhtay hain, to humein pata chalta hai ke 0.6786 aik technical support level hai, na ke aik volume level.
Market ke movements kabhi kabhi puppeteer's strategies ko darshate hain, kyunke haal ke statistics ye darshate hain ke volume levels par hit karna zyada pasand kiya ja raha hai
Technical analysis ke lehaz se, agar pair 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) se neechay girta hai, to pair ko challenges ka samna ho sakta hai. Is level ka breach bearish shift ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo pair ko support level 0.6755 ki taraf lay jaye ga. Agar pair mazid girta hai, to agla ahm level jo dekhna ho ga wo 0.6671 hoga, jo downward momentum ko capitalize karne wale traders ke liye ek significant throwback point ban sakta hai.

### Australian Dollar ka Halat

Australian dollar (AUD) ne US dollar (USD) ke khilaf jumeraat ko behtar kiya, jab producer price index (PPI) report ne inflation mein kami ka tasdeeq kiya aur Federal Reserve ke liye mazeed monetary easing ki zaroorat ka ishara diya. AUD/USD pair ab 0.6748 par trading kar raha hai, jo ke sirf 0.12% ka izafa hai, halankeh iski umeed hai ke hafte mein 0.60% se zyada kami dekhi ja sakti hai.

### Economic Data

US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) se milne wale data ke mutabiq, PPI September mein pichle quarter ke muqablay mein 0.2% barh gaya, jo August ke level ke barabar hai. Core PPI, jo volatile items ko shamil nahi karta, ne bhi mahine mein 0.2% ka izafa kiya, jo ke umeed ke mutabiq hai aur pichle mahine ke 0.3% se kami hai. Saal dar saal, PPI 1.8% tak barh gaya, jo ke 1.9% se kam hai, jabke core prices 2.8% tak barh gaye, jo 2.6% se upar hai lekin 2.7% se niche hai.

Aaj ka data, jo kal ke CPI report ke sath hai, yeh darust karta hai ke Fed apne November meeting mein interest rates kam kar sakta hai. Swaps markets mein quarter-point rate cut ki 95.6% ki sambhavana hai, jo ke pichle din 83.3% thi jab traders Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic ke hawkish comments par rally kar rahe the, jinhon ne agle do meetings ke liye current rates barqarar rakhne ka suggestion diya.

### Consumer Sentiment aur Labor Market

University of Michigan (UoM) ne apne consumer sentiment index mein choti si kami report ki, jo 70.1 se 68.9 tak aayi, jo ke consensus expectations se kam hai. Americano ka pessimism barh gaya jabke living cost mein izafa hua, jisse unhone apni one-year inflation forecast ko 2.9% se 2.7% tak barhaya. Chicago Fed President Austin Goolsbee ne inflation aur labor market mein taraqqi par optimism zahir kiya, yeh kehte hue ke September jobs report positive tha, lekin slowdown ka koi nishan nahi tha.

### Agla Hafte

Agle hafte, Australia se kuch limited economic data release hone wale hain. Reserve Bank of Australia ki Assistant Governor Sarah Hunter apni report 15 October ko publish karengi, jiske baad 16 October ko employment data aayega.

### Market Outlook

Buyers ke liye uptrend ko resume karne ke liye, unhein 9 October ka high 0.6761 todna hoga aur weekly high 0.6809 ko challenge karna hoga. Iske muqablay, agar sellers samet aate hain aur pair ko 50-day moving average 0.6733 ke neeche push karte hain, toh yeh 100-day moving average 0.6691 ki taraf kami ka rasta khol sakta hai.

AUD/USD ka darja signal line se neeche tha, aur is ne bearish divergence ka zikar kiya, jo ke MACD par nazar aa raha tha. Chart par aik reversal pattern bana, jo ascending wedge tha, aur ye neeche ki taraf toota. Jab price 0.6909 ke level ke neeche consolidate hui, to ye aik sell signal bana. Behtareen bechnay ka mauqa tab mila jab ye level neeche se retest hui aur resistance ban gayi, jo ke growth peak par mirror image bana. Ye sab kuch US dollar ki taqat ki wajah se hua, jo ke pichlay hafte major currencies ke khilaf mazboot hui.
Agar meri soch theek sabit hoti hai, to price 0.6847 ke accumulation point tak barh sakti hai. Agar ye scenario sahi hota hai, aur agar AUD/USD ka level 0.6752 support bana rehta hai, to humein 0.6752 se 0.6928 tak ka dramatic rebound dekhne ko mil sakta hai, jahan significant buying interest maujood hai.
Price shuru mein neeche gayi lekin US employment data ki release hone tak wo stabilize rahi, jisme non-agricultural sector mein behtareen tabdeeliyan dekhi gayi. Khaaskar, average hourly wage mein izafa hua aur unemployment rate ghat gaya. Halankeh in figures par shak karna samajh se baahir nahi, lekin US dollar ne mazbooti se react kiya aur doosri global currencies ke khilaf taqat hasil ki.
Price ab us ascending support line par hai jo ke daily waves ke neeche banai gayi thi. Is waqt, CCI indicator lower overheating zone se upar ki taraf ja raha hai, jo slight bullish divergence ko darshata hai. Ye scenario upward correction ka aik mazboot signal hai, jo ke 0.6838 ya is se zyada resistance level tak ja sakta hai. Jab hum chart ki baai taraf dekhtay hain, to humein pata chalta hai ke 0.6786 aik technical support level hai, na ke aik volume level.
Market ke movements kabhi kabhi puppeteer's strategies ko darshate hain, kyunke haal ke statistics ye darshate hain ke volume levels par hit karna zyada pasand kiya ja raha hai
Technical analysis ke lehaz se, agar pair 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) se neechay girta hai, to pair ko challenges ka samna ho sakta hai. Is level ka breach bearish shift ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo pair ko support level 0.6755 ki taraf lay jaye ga. Agar pair mazid girta hai, to agla ahm level jo dekhna ho ga wo 0.6671 hoga, jo downward momentum ko capitalize karne wale traders ke liye ek significant throwback point ban sakta hai.

AUD/USD ka Technical Analysis
Pichlay haftay Australian Dollar ne apni growth ko barqarar rakha, naye local highs set kiye aur pichlay highs ko breach bhi kiya, lekin ek strong resistance face karne ke baad thoda wapas gir gaya. Pehli dafa 0.6871 level ko cross karne ki koshish nakam rahi, magar phir price ne uptrend resume karte huye sharp push ke saath barrier ko tor diya aur 0.6949 level tak pohanch gaya, jahan se resistance milne par price dobara neeche aa gaya. Is tarah target area abhi tak achieve nahi hua aur operation jari hai. Aise waqt mein, price chart super-trend red zone mein enter ho chuka hai, jo yeh darsha raha hai ke current correction mazeed deepen ho sakti hai.

Technically, aaj hum bullish hain magar thodi ehtiyaat bhi kar rahe hain. Hum RSI aur 50-day moving average par rely karte huye positive signals ka intezar karenge, jo momentum ko barqarar rakhein. Bullish trend continue ho sakta hai jab tak 0.6730 ka level clearly break nahi hota. Agar yeh level break ho gaya to targets 0.7233 aur phir 0.7130 par shift ho sakte hain. Aik yaad dehani ke tor par, agar price 0.6903 se neeche stable trading par aa jati hai, to temporary negative pressure shuru ho sakta hai, jahan pehla target 0.7089 hoga.



Ab tak pair ne recent weekly highs se door trading start kar di hai, aur key support areas ka test hona abhi baqi hai jo consistent uptrend ki indication de rahe hain. Agar current corrective decline continue hota hai, to 0.6804 ke area par support mil sakti hai jahan se aik upward reversal ka chance hoga jise target area 0.703 aur 0.7118 ke darmiyan ho sakta hai.

Agar support break ho jata hai aur price 0.6701 ke reversal level se neeche chali jati hai, to yeh aik signal hoga ke current bullish scenario cancel ho gaya hai.

narrow range mein trade hota raha, jo ke February 2023 ke baad se sab se unchi levels ke qareeb hai. US dollar (USD) ko thodi taqat mili US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index ke release se pehle, jo AUD/USD pair ke liye ek aham resistance factor bana. Lekin, Federal Reserve ke November mein ek aur aggressive rate cut ki umeedon ne dollar bulls ko zyada aggressive bets karne se roka. Market mein positive sentiment, jo ke People's Bank of China (PBOC) ke stimulus measures se support mila, ne risk-sensitive Australian dollar (AUD) ko mazid taqat di. RBA ke restrictive policy stance ke dohraane aur Governor Michelle Bullock ke recent data ke policy outlook par limited impact ke comments suggest karte hain ke AUD/USD pair ka least resistance ka rasta upward hai, jo do hafton ke uptrend ke extension ka imkan barhata hai. AUD/USD pair ne aaj sideways trade kiya, jab ke teen bohot volatile sessions ke baad is ne apni February 2023 ke baad sab se unchi level tak poch gaya. US Personal Consumption Expenditures report is jang ke natije ka taayun karne mein bohot aham kirdar ada kar sakti hai. Jo uptrend 5 August 2024 ko shuru hui thi, wo mazid strong lagti hai, aur higher highs aur higher lows ka silsila is ko support kar raha hai. Momentum indicators filhal mixed hain. Average Directional Movement Index (ADX) ne sharply rise kiya hai, jo ke AUD/USD pair ke liye strong bullish trend ko darsha raha hai. Lekin, Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 midpoint ke upar comfortably trade kar raha hai, aur Stochastic Oscillator overbought zone mein hover kar raha hai, jo ke current uptrend ke liye khatra ho sakta hai. Agar bulls confident rahe, to wo AUD/USD pair ko 25 February 2021 ki trend line ke upar push karne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Agar yeh successful hua, to 13 October 2022 se 2 February 2023 tak ke uptrend ka 50% Fibonacci retracement, jo 0.6924 par hai, ko test kar sakte hain. Us ke baad, 0.7000 ka level agla logical target ho sakta hai. Aap ke trading strategy ke mutabiq, jab tak channel upward trend mein hai, short trades enter karna aap nahi chahte. Achi strategy yeh hogi ke jab channel ke lower limit par correction aaye, tab buy karna chahiye, taake f
Fibonacci level tak nahi pohonch sake, jo thoda neeche 0.6862 par hai. American session abhi baqi hai, to koi nateeja nikalna abhi jaldi hoga.Wednesday ke economic calendar par, Australian dollar ke liye koi significant three-star category ka event nahi hai. Haan, U.S. ke kuch reports like "crude oil reserves" aur "non-farm payroll employment changes" noteworthy hain.H4 time frame mein price ne 0.6780 ke resistance level ko break kar diya. Yeh ek bullish indication hai aur agle bullish target ke tor par AUD/USD 0.6885 ko aim kar sakta hai. Aane wale dinon ya hafton mein, AUD/USD dubara resistance area ko test kar sakta hai, jo sellers ke red box se mark kiya gaya hai. Best action yeh hoga ke European session ke dauran buy entry signal ka intezar kiya jaye. Sab members ko welcome hai, umeed hai aap sab acchay se hain.Agar hum past par dekhen, to yeh obvious tha ke aapko 0.6810 par euro-dollar ka pair buy karna chahiye tha. Is wajah se, main thoda neeche ek mazid strong level ka intezar kar raha tha, jo 0.6770 ke aas paas hai. Main hamesha stop se buy karne ka aadi hoon. Misal ke tor par, agar agla strong level 160 points hai, to mera stop 50 se zyada nahi hona chahiye.Doosra support level $0.5061 par hai, jo currency pair ke liye ek safety net ka kaam karta hai. Agar price is level tak girti hai, to significant buying interest trigger hone ke chances hain. Traders aksar is level ko apni position ko dobara evaluate karne ke liye use karte hain, ke hold karein, sell karein, ya aur zyada buy karein.Aakhri support breakpoint $0.3943 par hai, jo historically AUD/USD currency pair ke liye ek major pivot point raha hai. Agar price is level tak girti hai, to volatility

**AUD/USD Ka Outlook Analysis:**

AUD/USD D1 timeframe chart par, abhi AUD/USD ka market price lagbhag 0.6753 level par trading kar raha hai. Yeh price point dikhata hai ke yeh pair ek nayi range mein hai, jahan koi aham upward ya downward movement nahi hui hai. Market ab consolidation ke phase mein hai, jo dikhata hai ke buyers aur sellers ke beech mein balance hai, aur kisi bhi taraf ka wazeh dominance nahi hai. Aisi price action aam tor par dheere aur range-bound trading ki taraf le jaati hai.

Technical analysis ke hisaab se, traders ko is waqt key support aur resistance levels par nazar rakhni chahiye jo is current price ke aas-paas hain. Agar price in critical levels ko cross kar leti hai, toh yeh naye trend ki shuruat ya consolidation ka continuation ka signal de sakta hai. Moving averages aur Relative Strength Index (RSI) jaise technical indicators ko monitor karna helpful hoga, jisse yeh samajhne mein madad milegi ke market range-bound rahegi ya koi potential breakout aane wala hai.

Is waqt AUD/USD ka price behavior yeh dikhata hai ke market dheere, sideways hai, jahan pair 0.6753 level par trading kar raha hai. Traders ko tayyar rehna chahiye ke is week mein shayad koi khaas events na hon, jab tak koi external economic factors market ko naye direction mein nahi le jate. Is liye, key technical levels par nazar rakhte hue patience aur vigilance zaroori hai, taake AUD/USD market ke current conditions ko achhe se navigate kar sakein.

**AUD/USD H4 Chart Analysis:**

AUD/USD H4 timeframe chart par, hum dekh sakte hain ke pair abhi apne daily opening level ke qareeb trading kar raha hai. Yeh positioning market mein equilibrium ka state dikhati hai, jahan na to buyers ne kisi clear advantage hasil kiya hai aur na hi sellers ne. Jab currency pair apne daily opening price ke aas-paas hota hai, toh yeh aam tor par consolidation phase ko signal karta hai, jahan participants naye catalysts ka intezaar kar rahe hain jo agla move drive karega. Yeh balance aam tor par ek decisive breakout ya breakdown se pehle hota hai, jo upcoming economic data ya external factors par depend karega.

Aage ke price movements ka clearer insight paane ke liye, H4 timeframe par nazar rakhna madadgar hoga, jahan immediate support aur resistance levels identify kiye ja sakte hain. H4 chart par, do minor support aur resistance areas emerging hain jo critical points hain. Minor support zone price ke liye ek potential safety net bana sakta hai, jahan buyers kisi aur decline ko roknay ke liye aayenge. Iske baraks, minor resistance zone ek aisi rukawat hai jo bulls ko break karni hogi taake substantial upward movement shuru ho sake.

Market ka behavior in levels ke aas-paas yeh tay karega ke AUD/USD pair ka agla direction kya hoga. Agar price minor resistance ko break karne mein kamiyab hoti hai toh yeh short-term bullish trend ka signal de sakta hai, jahan pair agle kuch dino mein higher levels ko target kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar pair minor support se neeche break kar jata hai, toh yeh further downside pressure ka signal ho sakta hai, jo bearish trend ka continuation dikhata hai.

**Australian Dollar (AUD) ki US Dollar (USD) ke khilaf Mukhtasir Jaiza**

Jumeraat ko Australian dollar (AUD) ne US dollar (USD) ke khilaf kuch behtari hasil ki, jab ke producer price index (PPI) ka report aaya, jismein inflation mein kami dikhai gayi aur Federal Reserve ke liye mazid monetary easing ki zaroorat ka izhar kiya gaya. AUD/USD jo ke ab 0.6748 par trade kar raha hai, yeh 0.12% ki chhoti si behtari ka darshak hai, lekin ye aane wale hafte mein 0.60% se zyada girne ki ummeed hai.

US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) ki taraf se muhayyra ki gayi maloomat ke mutabiq, PPI ne September mein pichle maheenay ke muqablay mein 0.2% ka izafa kiya, jo ke August ke level ke barabar hai. Core PPI, jo ke volatile items ko chhor kar dekha jata hai, bhi maheenay ke hisaab se 0.2% ki behtari dikhata hai, jo ke ummeed ke mutabiq hai aur pichle maheenay ke 0.3% se kam hai. Salana buniyad par, PPI ne 1.8% ka izafa kiya, jo ke 1.9% se kam hai, jab ke core prices 2.8% tak pohanch gayi hain, jo ke 2.6% se upar hai, magar 2.7% ki umeed se kuch kam hai. Aaj ki maloomat ke sath sath kal ke CPI report ne yeh darshaya hai ke Fed apne November ke meeting mein interest rates ko kam kar sakta hai. Swaps markets ne 95.6% ki sambhavna dikhai hai ke Fed ek quarter-point ki rate cut karega, jo ke kal ke 83.3% se upar hai jab ke traders ne Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic ke hawkish comments par rujhan dikhaya, jismein unhone kaha tha ke do mazeed meetings tak current rates ko barkarar rakhna chahiye.

**Consumer Sentiment aur Maliyati Halat**

Doosri taraf, University of Michigan (UoM) ne apne consumer sentiment index mein chhoti si kami darshai hai, jo ke 70.1 se 68.9 par aa gaya hai, jo ke consensus expectations se kam hai. Amreeki logon ki pessimism mein izafa hua hai jabke zindagi ki lagat barh gayi hai, jisne unhein apne ek saal ke inflation ka andaza 2.9% se 2.7% tak barhane par majboor kiya. Chicago Fed President Austin Goolsbee ne inflation aur labor market mein taraqqi par apna optimism izhar kiya, yeh kehte hue ke September ke jobs report mein behtari hai, lekin koi slow down ka nishan nazar nahi aata.

Aane wale hafte mein Australia se limited economic data releases hone wale hain. Reserve Bank of Australia ki Assistant Governor Sarah Hunter apna report 15 October ko shaya karengi, uske baad employment data 16 October ko aayegi.

**Technical Analysis aur Future Prospects**

Buyers ko apni uptrend ko resume karne ke liye October 9 ki high 0.6761 ko todna hoga aur weekly high 0.6809 ki taraf rukh karna hoga. Waqt guzarne par agar sellers ne pair ko 50-day moving average 0.6733 se neeche push kiya, toh yeh 100-day moving average 0.6691 ki taraf girne ka darwaza khol sakta hai.

Is waqt market ki surat-e-haal kuch complex hai. Agar buyers 0.6761 ki level ko todne mein kamiyab hote hain, toh yeh ek bullish trend ki nishani hogi aur hum 0.6809 ki taraf barh sakte hain. Lekin agar sellers ki taraf se pressure aata hai aur price girta hai, toh market neechi taraf move kar sakti hai. Har haal mein, traders ko market ki halaton par nazar rakhni hogi aur economic data releases ka intezar karna hoga, jo market ke mood aur price movements ko asar dal sakta hai.

Is tarah se, AUD/USD ka future kaise evolve hota hai, yeh bahut se factors par depend karega, jisme economic indicators aur market sentiments shamil hain.