ای AUD/USD کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

USD currency pair ki price behavior ka analysis zabt-e-bahs hai. AUD/USD pair ne daily chart par neeche ki taraf rukh liya hai, jo ek wazeh downtrend dikha raha hai. Aaj ki movement se lagta hai ke yeh bearish direction jari rehne ka imkaan hai, lekin reversal bhi mumkin hai. Aaiye din ki technical analysis ko break down karte hain. Moving averages strong sell signal de rahe hain, aur technical indicators bhi selling pressure ko support kar rahe hain. Kul mila kar outlook suggest karta hai ke bearish trend jari rahega, magar hum kisi bhi potential shift ko monitor karenge. Price tab se is level se neeche gir chuki hai, aur dusre major currency pairs bhi qareeb mustaqbil mein mazboot US dollar ki taraf ishaara kar rahe hain. Pehle wave par Fibonacci grid lagane se target decline level kareeb 161.9% hai. Beech ka target technical level 0.6641 hai, aur mera khayal hai ke price jald is level ki taraf move karegi. Magar thoda growth ya pullback ho sakta hai, jo sab se qareebi resistance level 0.6691 tak pohonch sakta hai. AUD/USD ke four-hour chart ko dekhte hue, downward trend momentum gain kar raha hai ek wazeh wave structure ke saath. MACD indicator lower sell zone mein hai, apni signal line se neeche reh kar. Pehle, MACD aur CCI indicators par triple bearish divergence saamne aayi thi. Mazeed, ek reversal pattern—ascending wedge—ko downside ki taraf break kiya gaya, jisse bearish divergence signal validate hua. Nateeja yeh hua ke price drop hui, aur temporary support kareeb 0.6701 par hona tha. Aik prolonged corrective rise ke baad, price ne mirror resistance level ko hit kiya 0.6756 par, jo pehle support tha. Yeh level growth edge par hai aur consistently strong selling zone raha hai. Is decline ko jari rakhne mein ek ahem factor CCI indicator hai, jo weekly chart par upper overheating zone

AUD/USD Analysis

H4 Period Chart

Chaliye H4 period chart par nazar daalte hain - AUD/USD currency pair. Wave structure ab bhi upar ki taraf ban raha hai, lekin MACD indicator ab lower sales zone mein hai aur apni signal line se neeche hai. Jab daam itna nahi gira tha, tab maine kaha tha ke aane wale waqt mein ghatne ki umeed hai. Ye MACD indicator par bearish divergence ki maujoodgi aur chart par ek reversal figure - ek ascending wedge jo pehle hi neeche ki taraf toota hai, se zahir hota hai.

Sell signals ki tasdeeq us waqt hui jab daam 0.6908 ke level se neeche theek se fix hua. Bechne ka behtareen point wahi level tha jab isne neeche se resistance ke tor par test kiya, kyunki ye growth ke edge par mirror image ban gaya. Mukhtasir mein, sab kuch acha kaam kiya, jo pichle hafte major currencies ke muqablay mein US dollar ki overall taqat ki wajah se hua.

Hum neeche gaye, phir US ke khabron tak ruk gaye jo pehle aayi. Non-agricultural sector mein rozgaar ki tadaad mein achi khasi izafa hua. Iske ilawa, indicators ke mutabiq, average hourly wage barh gayi aur unemployment rate ghat gaya. Mujhe nahi pata ke aap is data par kitna aitbaar kar sakte hain, lekin ye zaroori hai ke America ne is khabar par dusri major duniya ki currencies ke muqablay mein tez taur par taqat hasil ki.

Pehle, daam un purane daily waves ke bottoms par banayi gayi ascending support line tak pohanch gaya. Is waqt, CCI indicator neeche ke overheating zone se upar jaana chahta tha aur is par chhoti si bullish divergence bhi nazar aati hai. Is purani line par ye achha signal hai, lekin jaisa ke aap dekh rahe hain, is baar ye kaam nahi kiya, daam ko neeche push kiya gaya.

Upar ki taraf ka trend keh sakte hain ke iske baad aakhir kar toot gaya. Main umeed karta hoon ke wo 0.6640 level ke area mein daam par pressure daalenge, lekin usse pehle, zyadatar ek rollback to broken line hoga. Aaj ka aham news package 15:30 par hai - US Consumer Price Index, US Core Consumer Price Index, aur US mein initial applications for unemployment benefits.

### AUD/USD Price Overview

Filhal, hum AUD/USD currency pair ke pricing movement ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Aaj, sellers ki activity ne daam mein khaas kami kar di hai, aur maujooda quote 0.67126 hai, jo pehle ke envelope level 0.67175 se neeche hai. Abhi bhi ye sambhavnayein hain ke daam aur gir sakte hain, lekin kharidne ka waqt aa gaya hai. Agar market meri khilaf chalti hai, to main apne positions ko averaging ke zariye adjust karunga.

Mere buy trades ke liye, maine total profit target 0.67316 rakha hai. Saath hi, main kuch positions ko hold karunga, ye umeed karte hue ke daam 0.67457 tak barh sakta hai. Jab main kuch trades ko partially close karunga, to main volume histogram par nazar rakhunga. Agar histogram mein musalsal izafa nazar aata hai, to ye mujhe zyada confidence dega ke 0.67457 ka high-profit level hasil karna haqeeqat hai. Neeche ke reversal point par volume ka izafa growth ke liye mazboot sambhavnayein darshata hai.

### AUD/USD Trade Strategy

AUD/USD pair ke liye, target aapke zikr kiye gaye levels ke beech hoga, jo ke lagbhag 0.6599 aur 0.6699 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai. Mere technical support abhi 0.6678 par hai, aur maujooda price 0.6712 se, main expect kar raha hoon ke pair us support ki taraf neeche ki taraf jaye ga, kyunki agle trading sessions mein US Dollar ki taqat barqarar hai.

Resistance level, jahan stop-loss orders rakhe ja sakte hain, 0.6745 par hai. Agar ye level tod diya jata hai, to meri ummeed hai ke daam 0.6678 tak girega, ye khatam ho jayegi. Maujooda market dynamics lower prices par trading ki ijaazat dete hain. Current quote 0.67181 hai. Is level se short karna optimal nahi ho sakta; zyada resistance level se short karna behtar hoga.

Main 0.67709 par shoot karna pasand karunga, jahan meri stop order 0.67734 par hogi taake potential losses ko minimize kiya ja sake. Profit targets ke liye, support level 0.67033 ideal hai aur ye aaj ka mera primary objective hoga. Agar stop loss trigger hota hai, to aaj AUD/USD trades par koi aur action nahi liya jayega.

Reading the AUD/USD Prices

Hum filhal AUD/USD currency pair ke maujooda daam ki performance ka jaiza le rahe hain. AUD/USD pair aaj kal recent lows ki taraf barh raha hai, jo market mein bechne walon ki dominance ka ishara karta hai. Lekin 0.6701 ka support level ab tak nahi toda gaya, jo ek choti si reversal ki umeed ko zinda rakhta hai.

Doosre major currency pairs mein kuch zyada harqat nahi dikhai de rahi, isliye 0.6701 se 0.6751 ke beech sidewise trading ka imkaan nazar nahi aata. 30-minute chart par oscillator flat, downward movement ka ishara de raha hai, jo short-position signals ko kamzor kar raha hai. Halankeh downward trend ab tak nahi aaya, lekin priority bearish hai, jo 0.6651 ko critical level ke tor par target kar raha hai.

15-minute chart par, AUD/USD pair 0.68454 ke resistance ke nazdeek trade kar raha tha jab yeh is range se neeche gira. Yeh 0.67818 ke support tak pohanch gaya, aur sellers ke volume ke ikattha hone ke saath ek nayi range ki umeed thi. 0.67818 se neeche girne ke baad, pair girawat jaari rakhta hai, jahan sellers apni positions barhate ja rahe hain, jo aage ke decline ka ishara hai.

AUD/USD ke bulls abhi bhi fa'al hain aur 0.6800 ke level se upar pohanch gaye hain. Jabke bears ya sellers aaj ke din dabav mein rah sakte hain. Chhoti muddat ke kharidari ke mauqe samajhne ki koshish karein, lekin overall sentiment sellers ki mazbooti ki taraf hai. Correction ne sellers ko control mein aane ka mauqa diya hai, aur aaj bhi yeh mazboot rahne ki umeed hai.

Jo log bearish strategies ki taraf jhukte hain, unke liye yeh bechne ke positions kholne ka achha mauqa hai. Jab downward pressure jaari rahega, aaj ke liye sell entry faida mand ho sakti hai, khaaskar agar market correction ke natije mein negative response de raha ho. Bulls ke liye, main ek buy entry ki salahiyat deta hoon, jiska pehla take profit goal 0.6844 hai.

Resistance levels ko identify karna, jahan prices upar jaane mein mushkilat ka samna kar sakti hain, sell entries ke liye bohot ahem hai. Yeh resistance areas aksar wahi hote hain jahan bulls momentum kho dete hain, jo sellers ko daam ko neeche push karne ka mauqa deta hai. In areas ko identify karna aur inka faida uthana faida mand trades ka natija ban sakta hai, kyunki maujooda halat selling ko pasand karti hai.

H4 period ke AUDUSD chart ko dekhte huye, wave structure ab bhi ascending order mein bana hua hai, magar MACD indicator neechay ke sales zone mein hai aur apni signal line ke neeche chal raha hai. Jab price itni zyada neeche nahi gayi thi, tab maine kaha tha ke qareebi waqt mein ek decline expect kiya ja raha tha. Iska andaza MACD indicator par nazar aane wali bearish divergence se lagaya jaa raha tha, aur chart par ek reversal figure bhi tha — ek ascending wedge jo neeche ki taraf break ho chuka tha.
Sell signals ka confirmation tab mila jab price confidently 0.6908 ke level se neeche fix ho gayi thi. Sabse behtareen selling point wahi level tha jab isay neeche se resistance ke taur par test kiya gaya, kyun ke ye level growth ke edge par mirror image ban gaya tha. Sab kuch expected ke mutabiq hua, aur ismein US dollar ki overall strength ne bhi madad di, jo pichle hafte major currencies ke against mazboot raha. Pehle price neeche gayi, phir US ki news ke waqt tak stabilize hui, jo ke pehle aayi thi. US ke non-agricultural sector mein employed logon ki tadaad mein khaasa izafa dekha gaya. Sath hi, average hourly wage bhi barhi aur unemployment rate kam hua. Mujhe nahi pata ke in data par kitna bharosa kiya ja sakta hai, magar baat ye hai ke American currency ne in news par doosri world currencies ke against mazbooti se react kiya.
Is se pehle, price ne ek ascending support line ko touch kiya jo purani daily waves ke bottoms par bani hui thi. Sath hi, CCI indicator ne lower overheating zone se upar jaana chaha aur is par ek chhoti si bullish divergence bhi nazar aayi. Purani line ke hisaab se ye ek acha signal tha, magar iss dafa ye kaam nahi kiya aur price ko neeche dhakel diya gaya. Upward trend ko dekh kar yeh kaha ja sakta hai ke ye trend ab toot gaya hai. Main expect karta hoon ke price par 0.6640 ke area mein pressure dala jayega, lekin is se pehle broken line ki taraf ek rollback ka imkaan hai. Aaj 15:30 par US se ahem news aayegi — US Consumer Price Index, US Core Consumer Price Index, aur US mein unemployment benefits ke liye initial applications ki tadaad.

/USD sell karne ke liye, aur 0.690 se sell positions initiate ki ja sakti hain agar pair mazeed upar jata hai. Ek naya signal aane ka imkaan hai, jo strong support level 0.6857 ki taraf girawat ka ishara kar raha hai. Lekin yeh bhi mumkin hai ke pair neeche jaane se pehle upar ki taraf move kare. Phir bhi, bearish movement abhi tak primary outlook hai. Humein intezar karna padega ke forecast kaam karta hai ya nahi. Agar sellers local support range ke neeche hold karte hain, toh hum ek strong one-way decline dekh sakte hain, jo pair ko sell karne ke estimates ko confirm karega. Agar bears aage barhne mein nakam hotay hain, toh buyers control le sakte hain. Ek false breakout ka imkaan bhi madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Forecast ab bhi bearish movement par focused hai, khaaskar neural network ke clear signal ke madde nazar. Lekin plans badal bhi sakte hain, aur bulls price ko qareebi resistance level tak ya us se bhi upar push kar sakte hain. Dekhna hoga ke agle kuch ghantay kis tarah guzar te hain Mujhe umeed hai ke ye hafte technical traders ke liye faida mand rahega, kyunki weekly calendar mein kuch khaas news events nahi hain, sirf critical reports ke ilawa, jo ye darshata hai ke price movements established technical patterns ke saath closely adhere kar sakti hain.
Is wajah se, market technical factors ko follow kar sakta hai, jo savvy traders ko indicators, support aur resistance levels, aur doosri technical tools ka istemal karne ki ijaazat dega taake wo apni strategies bana saken. Mujhe umeed hai ke AUD/USD ka market aaj ya kal 0.6847 zone cross kar lega. Aur humein in technical insights ko istemal karte hue apne trading mein stop losses implement karne chahiye, taake hum is relatively quiet period mein risk ko effectively manage kar saken, jab tak week ke zyada volatile end ki taraf nahi pahunchtay.
Umeed hai ke is hafte hum technical analysis ki madad se trade kar payenge, jo clearer signals ko capitalize karne ka mauqa dega jab hum news releases ki taraf barhte hain, sab kuch market sentiment aur evolving landscape ko mad-e-nazar rakhte hue, jab hum AUD/USD ke data ka jaiza lete hain.

اکتوبر 11 2024 کو اے یو ڈی/امریکی ڈالر کے لیے پیشن گوئی

آسٹریلوی ڈالر یورو اور پاؤنڈ سے الٹ جانے کا انتظار کرتے کرتے تھک گیا اور اس نے خود ہی برتری حاصل کرنے کا فیصلہ کیا۔ اس فیصلے کو اجناس کی منڈیوں میں بحالی سے تقویت ملی۔ فی الحال، قیمت روزانہ بیلنس انڈیکیٹر لائن کے ذریعہ بیان کردہ مزاحمتی سطح کی جانچ کر رہی ہے۔ ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن تھوڑی زیادہ ہے (0.6775)، اور اس سطح سے اوپر ایک وقفہ 0.6827 کا ہدف مقرر کرے گا۔



سرمایہ کار آئندہ ویک اینڈ کے دوران چین سے نئے محرک اقدامات کی توقع کر رہے ہیں۔ آسٹریلوی ڈالر ترقی کے ساتھ ان پر رد عمل ظاہر کر سکتا ہے۔ اس تعریف کی شدت کا انحصار ان مخصوص اقدامات پر ہوگا۔



چار -گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، مارلن آسیلیٹر اوپر کے رجحان کے زون میں آباد ہے۔ قیمت 0.6775 سے اوپر کے ممکنہ بریک آؤٹ سے پہلے مستحکم ہو رہی ہے۔ بیلنس انڈیکیٹر لائن بھی قریب ہی ہے۔

تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

AUD/USD ka strong hona China ke central bank PBoC ke banking system mein liquidity inject karne se bhi related ho sakta hai, kyun ke Australia aur China ke darmiyan qareebi trade relation hai, aur Chinese economy mein developments ka Australian markets par bara asar ho sakta hai.PBoC ne 14-day reverse repo ke zariye banking system mein CNY 74.5 billion ka injection kiya, aur is dauran rate ko 1.95% se kam karke 1.85% kiya gaya. Iske ilawa, PBoC ne 7-day reverse repo ke zariye bhi CNY 160.1 billion ka injection kiya, jisme rate 1.7% par stable raha.AUD ko hawkish expectations se bhi faida mil raha hai, jo ke RBA ki aanay wali interest rate decision ke hawalay se hain, jo Tuesday ko hone wali hai. Expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 4.35% par stable rakhegi, jo mazboot labor market aur inflationary pressures ko madde nazar rakhtay hue hai. Doosri taraf, US Dollar (USD) ki qeemat mein kami ho sakti hai kyun ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke policymakers agle saal 2024 mein 75 basis points (bps) ke rate cuts predict kar rahe hain, jab ke last week unho ne aggressive 50 basis points ka rate cut kiya tha, jis se range 4.75-5.00% ho gayi hai.Monday ko AUD/USD pair 0.6820 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Daily chart ki technical analysis yeh dikhati hai ke pair ascending channel pattern ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke bullish bias ki kamzori ko zahir karta hai. But 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab bhi 50 se ooper hai, is liye aglay price movement se pair ke trend ka behtar andaza hoga. Is waqt AUD/USD pair ascending channel ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke 0.6839 ke nine-month high ke qareeb hai, jo 19 September ko dekha gaya tha. Agar is level se bounce hota hai, to pair upper boundary tak pohanch sakta hai, jo 0.6890 level ke qareeb hai. Neeche ki taraf, AUD/USD pair ko support 0.6771 par nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par mil sakta hai, aur agla aham wave ka nateeja hoga, jo humein 0.6952 tak le ja sakta hai. Yeh ek strong opportunity hogi AUD/USD sell karne ke liye, aur 0.690 se sell positions initiate ki ja sakti hain agar pair mazeed upar jata hai. Ek naya signal aane ka imkaan hai, jo strong support level 0.6857 ki taraf girawat ka ishara kar raha hai. Lekin yeh bhi mumkin hai ke pair neeche jaane se pehle upar ki taraf move kare. Phir bhi, bearish movement abhi tak primary outlook hai. Humein intezar karna padega ke forecast kaam karta hai ya nahi. Agar sellers local support range ke neeche hold karte hain, toh hum ek strong one-way decline dekh sakte hain, jo pair ko sell karne ke estimates ko confirm karega. Agar bears aage barhne mein nakam hotay hain, toh buyers control le sakte hain. Ek false breakout ka imkaan bhi madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Forecast ab bhi bearish movement par focused hai, khaaskar neural network ke clear signal ke madde nazar. Lekin plans badal bhi sakte hain, aur bulls price ko qareebi resistance level tak ya us se bhi upar push kar sakte hain. Dekhna hoga ke agle kuch ghantay kis tarah guzar te hain

period ke AUDUSD chart ko dekhte huye, wave structure ab bhi ascending order mein bana hua hai, magar MACD indicator neechay ke sales zone mein hai aur apni signal line ke neeche chal raha hai. Jab price itni zyada neeche nahi gayi thi, tab maine kaha tha ke qareebi waqt mein ek decline expect kiya ja raha tha. Iska andaza MACD indicator par nazar aane wali bearish divergence se lagaya jaa raha tha, aur chart par ek reversal figure bhi tha — ek ascending wedge jo neeche ki taraf break ho chuka tha. Sell signals ka confirmation tab mila jab price confidently 0.6908 ke level se neeche fix ho gayi thi. Sabse behtareen selling point wahi level tha jab isay neeche se resistance ke taur par test kiya gaya, kyun ke ye level growth ke edge par mirror image ban gaya tha. Sab kuch expected ke mutabiq hua, aur ismein US dollar ki overall strength ne bhi madad di, jo pichle hafte major currencies ke against mazboot raha. Pehle price neeche gayi, phir US ki news ke waqt tak stabilize hui, jo ke pehle aayi thi. US ke non-agricultural sector mein employed logon ki tadaad mein khaasa izafa dekha gaya. Sath hi, average hourly wage bhi barhi aur unemployment rate kam hua. Mujhe nahi pata ke in data par kitna bharosa kiya ja sakta hai, magar baat ye hai ke American currency ne in news par doosri world currencies ke against mazbooti se react kiya.
Is se pehle, price ne ek ascending support line ko touch kiya jo purani daily waves ke bottoms par bani hui thi. Sath hi, CCI indicator ne lower overheating zone se upar jaana chaha aur is par ek chhoti si bullish divergence bhi nazar aayi. Purani line ke hisaab se ye ek acha signal tha, magar iss dafa ye kaam nahi kiya aur price ko neeche dhakel diya gaya. Upward trend ko dekh kar yeh kaha ja sakta hai ke ye trend ab toot gaya hai. Main expect karta hoon ke price par 0.6640 ke area mein pressure dala jayega, lekin is se pehle broken line ki taraf ek rollback ka imkaan hai. Aaj 15:30 par US se ahem news aayegi — US Consumer Price Index, US Core Consumer Price Index, aur US mein unemployment benefits ke liye initial applications ki tadaad.


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AUD/USD pair ka trend direction shayad bearish mein tabdeel ho chuka hai, kyunki EMA 50 ko SMA 200 ko cross karte hue dekha gaya hai. Death cross signal ka ubharna price movement ke direction ko downward rally ko continue karne ki taraf darshata hai. Filhal, price dono Moving Average lines ke neeche trade kar rahi hai aur support (S1) 0.6741 par consolidate kar rahi hai. Agar price girne ki taraf jati hai, toh yeh support (S2) 0.6686 ki taraf badegi, jo pehle sirf 0.6704 ke low price par ruki thi. Iske muqablay, agar price support (S1) 0.6741 ke upar stable rahti hai, toh yeh dono Moving Average lines ko cross kar sakti hai.

Price ki barhavat rally, jo resistance (R1) 0.6898 ke upar thi, 0.6945 ke high price par ruki. Yeh asal mein higher high pattern bana rahi hai, isliye jo price pattern structure ab tak chal raha hai woh higher high - higher low condition mein hai. Jabki price jo neeche 0.6704 tak girti hai, yeh sirf higher low pattern banane ki sambhavana rakh rahi hai. Agar aapko pattern structure ko lower low - lower high mein tabdeel karna hai, toh price ko 0.6625 ke low prices se neeche girna hoga, jo invalidation level hai. Yeh tab hoga jab price consistently support (S2) 0.6686 ke neeche move kar sake.

Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator par downtrend momentum ki kamzori dekhi ja rahi hai, jo price ko upar move karne ki taraf support karti hai. Lekin, filhal ka histogram jo level 0 ke kareeb hai, usay positive area mein cross karna hoga. Agar price support (S1) 0.6741 ke aas-paas reject hoti hai aur neeche girti hai, toh iska matlab yeh hai ke histogram volume negative area ya level 0 ke neeche phir se widen ho jayega. Stochastic indicator ke nazariye se kuch alag hai, jiska parameters overbought zone (level 90 - 80) ko cross kar chuke hain. AUD/USD pair ki price mein barhavat shayad yeh darshata hai ke buying saturation point tak pahunch chuki hai, jiski wajah se yeh neeche move kar sakti hai.

**Entry Position Setup:**

Agar hum major structure ko dekhein jo abhi bhi higher high - higher low condition mein hai, toh BUY entry position tab ki jati hai jab price support (S1) 0.6741 ke upar close hoti hai, chahe nazdik cross signal abhi nazar aaya ho. Confirmation tab milega jab Stochastic indicator ka parameter level 50 aur level 20 ke beech cross karega. Volume histogram jo level 0 ke negative area ke kareeb hai, usay positive area mein cross karna hoga taake uptrend momentum ka ishaara mile. Target ko pivot point (PP) 0.6843 par take profit rakhna chahiye, jabke stop loss ko support (S2) 0.6686 par place karna chahiye.

Australian dollar (AUD) ne Friday ko US dollar (USD) ke muqabil taqat hasil ki, halankeh Federal Reserve ke taraf se rate cut ki umeed thi aur kuch key US economic data bhi release hone wale the. AUD/USD pair ki performance asal mein US dollar ki dynamics se mutasir hui, kyunki Australia ne us din koi ahm economic data release nahi kiya. Investors US Producer Price Index (PPI) aur Michigan Consumer Confidence Index ki preliminary value par nazar rakhe hue the, dono reports din ke aakhir mein release hone wali thi.

Overall PPI se ye umeed thi ke September mein 1.6% barhega, jabke core PPI ka andaza 2.7% izafa lagaya gaya tha. In reports mein agar kisi bhi report ka natija pehle se kam hota, to ye US dollar par pressure dal sakta tha aur AUD/USD pair ko boost kar sakta tha. Jabke Federal Reserve se ummeed hai ke wo interest rates ko kam karega, lekin is cut ki shiddat abhi tak na muqarar hai. Agar rate cut umeed se zyada bada hota, to ye US dollar ko kuch support faraham kar sakta hai, jo AUD/USD pair ke upside ko limit kar sakta hai.

Technically, AUD/USD currency pair filhal ek ascending trend channel mein trade kar raha hai, jahan lower bound aur 100-day moving average (EMA) ke upar strong support maujood hai. Lekin, relatively weak Relative Strength Index (RSI) ye darshata hai ke mazeed neeche ki taraf jaane ka khatra abhi bhi hai. Pehla bullish barrier AUD/USD pair ke liye 6 September ko 0.6767 ke aas paas nazar aaya. Agar is level ko break kiya jata hai, to ye bullish momentum ke jaari rehne ka ishaara de sakta hai, agla target August 29 ko mila high point 0.6823 hoga.

Agar pair 0.6767 se upar nahi nikalta, to ise 50-day moving average par 0.6714 aur 200-day moving average par 0.6620 par resistance ka samna karna par sakta hai. Aakhir mein, AUD/USD pair ki performance Friday ko US dollar dynamics se zyada mutasir hui. Federal Reserve ke taraf se umeed ki ja rahi rate cut aur US economic data release agle dino mein dekhne wale key factors honge. Technically, pair filhal bullish trend mein hai, lekin agar ye 0.6767 level ko break nahi kar pata, to mazeed neeche ki taraf jaane ka khatra abhi bhi hai.

AUD/USD Analysis

H4 Period Chart

Chaliye H4 period chart par nazar daalte hain - AUD/USD currency pair. Wave structure ab bhi upar ki taraf ban raha hai, lekin MACD indicator ab lower sales zone mein hai aur apni signal line se neeche hai. Jab daam itna nahi gira tha, tab maine kaha tha ke aane wale waqt mein ghatne ki umeed hai. Ye MACD indicator par bearish divergence ki maujoodgi aur chart par ek reversal figure - ek ascending wedge jo pehle hi neeche ki taraf toota hai, se zahir hota hai.

Sell signals ki tasdeeq us waqt hui jab daam 0.6908 ke level se neeche theek se fix hua. Bechne ka behtareen point wahi level tha jab isne neeche se resistance ke tor par test kiya, kyunki ye growth ke edge par mirror image ban gaya. Mukhtasir mein, sab kuch acha kaam kiya, jo pichle hafte major currencies ke muqablay mein US dollar ki overall taqat ki wajah se hua.

Hum neeche gaye, phir US ke khabron tak ruk gaye jo pehle aayi. Non-agricultural sector mein rozgaar ki tadaad mein achi khasi izafa hua. Iske ilawa, indicators ke mutabiq, average hourly wage barh gayi aur unemployment rate ghat gaya. Mujhe nahi pata ke aap is data par kitna aitbaar kar sakte hain, lekin ye zaroori hai ke America ne is khabar par dusri major duniya ki currencies ke muqablay mein tez taur par taqat hasil ki.

Pehle, daam un purane daily waves ke bottoms par banayi gayi ascending support line tak pohanch gaya. Is waqt, CCI indicator neeche ke overheating zone se upar jaana chahta tha aur is par chhoti si bullish divergence bhi nazar aati hai. Is purani line par ye achha signal hai, lekin jaisa ke aap dekh rahe hain, is baar ye kaam nahi kiya, daam ko neeche push kiya gaya.

Upar ki taraf ka trend keh sakte hain ke iske baad aakhir kar toot gaya. Main umeed karta hoon ke wo 0.6640 level ke area mein daam par pressure daalenge, lekin usse pehle, zyadatar ek rollback to broken line hoga. Aaj ka aham news package 15:30 par hai - US Consumer Price Index, US Core Consumer Price Index, aur US mein initial applications for unemployment benefits

USD pair mazboot hai, jab ke expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate ko Tuesday ko 4.35% par stable rakhega.Monday ko release hone wale kamzor Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data ke bawajood AUD ne US Dollar (USD ) ke muqable mein achi position hasil ki hai. AUD/USD ka strong hona China ke central bank PBoC ke banking system mein liquidity inject karne se bhi related ho sakta hai, kyun ke Australia aur China ke darmiyan qareebi trade relation hai, aur Chinese economy mein developments ka Australian markets par bara asar ho sakta hai.PBoC ne 14-day reverse repo ke zariye banking system mein CNY 74.5 billion ka injection kiya, aur is dauran rate ko 1.95% se kam karke 1.85% kiya gaya. Iske ilawa, PBoC ne 7-day reverse repo ke zariye bhi CNY 160.1 billion ka injection kiya, jisme rate 1.7% par stable raha.AUD ko hawkish expectations se bhi faida mil raha hai, jo ke RBA ki aanay wali interest rate decision ke hawalay se hain, jo Tuesday ko hone wali hai. Expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 4.35% par stable rakhegi, jo mazboot labor market aur inflationary pressures ko madde nazar rakhtay hue hai. Doosri taraf, US Dollar (USD) ki qeemat mein kami ho sakti hai kyun ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke policymakers agle saal 2024 mein 75 basis points (bps) ke rate cuts predict kar rahe hain, jab ke last week unho ne aggressive 50 basis points ka rate cut kiya tha, jis se range 4.75-5.00% ho gayi hai.Monday ko AUD/USD pair 0.6820 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Daily chart ki technical analysis yeh dikhati hai ke pair ascending channel pattern ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke bullish bias ki kamzori ko zahir karta hai. But 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab bhi 50 se ooper hai, is liye aglay price movement se pair ke trend ka behtar andaza hoga. Is waqt AUD/USD pair ascending channel ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke 0.6839 ke nine-month high ke qareeb hai, jo 19 September ko dekha gaya tha. Agar is level se bounce hota hai, to pair upper boundary tak pohanch sakta hai, jo 0.6890 level ke qareeb hai. Neeche ki taraf, AUD/USD pair ko support 0.6771 par nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par mil sakta hai, aur agla aham support psychological level 0.6700 par hoga. Agar is se neeche break hota hai, to pair six-week low 0.6622 ki taraf ja sakta hai downward slope par hain, MACD oscillator ke volumes kam ho rahe hain, Relative Strength Index (RSI)

### T E C H N I C A L _ A N A L Y S I S
**A U D / U S D**

Mera article aaj AUD/USD market ki current price behavior par focus karta hai. Market filhal mixed signals dikhata hai, jahan kuch indicators uptrend ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain jabke doosre downtrend ki taraf. Is waqt, AUD/USD ki price $0.6729 aur $0.6751 ke beech fluctuate kar rahi hai. Jab USD index aaj neeche ki taraf ja raha hai, toh AUD/USD upar ki taraf zaroor chalega.

Is waqt, bulls ne AUD/USD market par apni dominance banaye rakhi hai. Agar hum chart par dekhein, toh is waqt AUD/USD ek bullish candle bana raha hai. Current momentum indicators yeh darshate hain ke bullish forces control mein hain. Khaaskar, Relative Strength Index (RSI) upar ki taraf ja raha hai aur 50 level se upar mazbooti se hai.

Saath hi, jab USD late trading mein ghir gaya, toh AUD/USD ke liye moving average convergence divergence (MACD) ne ek badi divergence banayi, jo AUD/USD prices ke rise ka natija hai. Mere analysis ka saboot yeh hai ke price ka major trend upar hai, aur yeh 20 aur 50 moving averages se upar trade kar raha hai. Yeh resistance zones ko test kar sakta hai.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis


AUD/USD ke liye pehla resistance level 0.6751 par mil sakta hai. Agar yeh initial resistance level ko successfully break kar leta hai, toh agla bullish target 0.6770 hoga. Agar price 0.6770 ke upar close hota hai, toh market price 0.7234 ki taraf badh jayega, jo ke teesa resistance level hai.

Dusri taraf, AUD/USD ke liye pehli support level 0.6729 par hai. Agar yeh initial support level ko break kar leta hai, toh agla bearish target 0.6703 hoga. Agar price 0.6703 ke neeche close hota hai, toh market price 0.6343 ki taraf ja sakta hai, jo ke teesa support level hai.

Trading ke doran ehtiyaat baratain aur support aur resistance areas par nazar rakhein, jahan se market apni direction badal sakta hai.

Indicators Used in the Chart:

• MACD Indicator
• RSI Indicator (Period 14)
• 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (Color: Orange)
• 20-Day Exponential Moving Average (Color: Magenta)

**AUD/USD Ka Tajziya**

**H4 Period Chart**
Chaliye H4 period chart ko dekhte hain - AUD/USD currency pair. Wave structure abhi bhi upar ki taraf bana hua hai, lekin MACD indicator ab lower sales zone mein hai aur iski signal line se neeche hai. Jab price itni nahi gir gayi thi, tab maine kaha tha ke qareeb mein decline ki umeed hai. Yeh bearish divergence ki maujoodgi aur chart par ek reversal figure - ascending wedge, jo ke pehle hi neeche ki taraf tod diya gaya tha, ke zariye darshaya gaya.

Sell signals ki tasdeeq is baat se hui ke price 0.6908 ke level se neeche pakki tarah se fix hui. Behtareen sell point wahi level tha jab isay neeche se resistance ke taur par test kiya gaya, kyunki yeh growth ke edge par mirror image ban gaya. Choti si baat yeh hai ke sab kuch bohot accha kaam kiya, jo US dollar ki major currencies ke khilaf overall strength se madad mila.

Hum neeche gaye, phir tab tak trample kiya jab tak US ka pehle ka news nahi aaya. US ke non-agricultural sector mein employment ka number positively change hua. Indicators ke mutabiq, average hourly wage mein izafa hua aur unemployment rate ghir gaya. Mujhe nahi pata ke aap is data par kitna bharosa kar sakte hain, lekin baat yeh hai ke American ne is news par doosri major world currencies ke muqablay mein tezi se mazbooti dikhai.

Isse pehle, price ascending support line tak pahunchee jo purani daily waves ke bottoms par bani hui thi. Is waqt, CCI indicator neeche se overheating zone se upar jaane ki koshish kar raha tha aur is par ek choti si bullish divergence nazar aayi. Is purani line ke buniyad par, yeh acha signal hai, lekin aap dekh sakte hain ke is dafa yeh kaam nahi kiya, price ko neeche ki taraf dhakel diya gaya.

Upar ki trend ko, kehna chahiye, aakhirkar is ke baad toota. Main umeed karta hoon ke price 0.6640 ke level par pressure daalengi, lekin usse pehle, zyadatar, broken line ki taraf ek rollback hoga. Aaj ke din mein 15:30 par bohot saari important news aane wali hai - US Consumer Price Index, US Core Consumer Price Index, aur US mein initial applications for unemployment benefits ka number.