USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

### Charting Success: USD/JPY Prices
Chalo USD/JPY currency pair ke price behavior ka jaiza lete hain. USD/JPY pair ka maujooda halat samajhna mushkil hai. Phir bhi, hum dekh rahe hain ke overall upward movement jari hai. Kal, pair ne 149 ke upar band kiya, lekin yeh zyada tar yen par pressure ki wajah se tha, jabke dollar mein zyada taqat nahi thi aur yeh thodi si girawat bhi dekh raha tha. Yeh zaroori hai ke note kiya jaye ke pair 149.34 ka target area tak pahuncha, lekin iske upar aik mazboot position establish karne mein nakam raha. Jabke kuch log isay aik false breakout samajh sakte hain, main in levels par buying ki sifarish nahi karunga. Lekin agar hum 149.29 area par wapas aate hain, to main bechne ka sochunga, kyunke stop-loss minimal hoga. Jab ek clear direction tayyar ho, main jaldi se amal karunga, chahe buying karna ho ya selling, yeh dekhte hue ke kaunsa boundary zyada likely hai.

Upar ki trend ab bhi jari hai, lekin iski raftar dheemi ho rahi hai. Price Ichimoku Cloud ke upper boundary ke upar consolidate ho rahi hai, lekin yeh iske aage zyada door nahi gayi. Ek factor jo further buying ko support kar raha hai wo hai price ka 149.00 level ke upar rehna, jo 149.59 ki taraf izafa la sakta hai. Lekin, is level se mazeed growth ka potential uncertain hai, kyunke yahan se aik correction ki sambhavna hai. Agar price 149.59 se rebound karti hai, to main pair bechne ka sochunga, jis ka target 147.01, 146.30, aur 145.94 hoga. Buyers ko chahiye ke price is level se neeche na jaye, kyunke agar aisa hota hai to momentum sellers ki taraf shift ho jayega, jo price ko 143.51 ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Hourly chart par, CCI indicator buying ka mauqa darshata hai, halanke main ne pichle Friday ko aisa koi signal nahi dekha. Price kuch waqt se 149.00 aur 149.59 ke darmiyan hai, isliye main is range se breakout ka intezaar karunga pehle position enter karne se.

### Trading Strategy Using Candlestick Patterns: Identifying Opportunities Amidst Downward Corrections
Maali trading ki duniya, khaaskar Forex aur stock markets mein, candlestick patterns traders ke liye ahem tools hain jo unhein informed decisions lene mein madad dete hain. Ek sab se dilchasp strategy yeh hai ke downward correction ke doran kharidari ke mauqe ko identify kiya jaye, jo aksar market mein dar aur uncertainty ka shikaar hota hai. Yeh analysis us scenario par focus karega jahan candlestick downward correction ka shikaar hoti hai, jo 148.70 ke price level tak girti hai, uske baad buyers market mein enter karte hain, jiska profit target 150.65 hai.

### Candlestick Patterns ko Samajhna

Candlestick charts price movements ka visual representation dete hain jo ek khas period ke liye hota hai. Har candlestick char ahem data points darshata hai: open, high, low, aur close prices. Traders in patterns ko samajh kar market sentiment aur mustaqbil ki price movements ka andaza lagate hain. Downward correction tab hota hai jab price ek upward movement ke baad retrace ya pull back karti hai, jo aksar traders ko yeh samajhne par majboor karta hai ke maujooda trend temporarily reverse ho raha hai.

### Downward Corrections ko Identify Karna

Hamare scenario mein, price ne pehle ek upward trend dikhaya hai phir downward correction ka shikaar hoti hai. Pehla qadam pehle ki price action ka jaiza lena hai. Agar market bullish thi aur achanak red candlesticks ka silsila shuru ho gaya, to yeh dikhata hai ke sellers market mein aagaye hain. Hamara focus price levels par hoga, khaaskar 148.70 ke aas paas.

Yeh level ek ahem support point ban sakta hai. Support levels wo prices hain jahan kisi stock ya currency pair ka girna ruk sakta hai aur wo wapas upar bhi ja sakta hai. Traders aksar in levels ko nazar rakhte hain, kyunki yeh potential buy ke entry points ko darshate hain.

### 148.70 par Buy Opportunity

Jab candlestick price 148.70 par girti hai, to traders ko buy position enter karne se pehle kuch specific signals dekhne chahiye. Key indicators mein shamil ho sakte hain:

1. **Reversal Candlestick Patterns**: Bullish reversal patterns, jaise hammer, engulfing, ya morning star ko dekhna chahiye jo 148.70 level par ya iske aas paas ubharte hain. Yeh patterns sellers se buyers ki taraf momentum ke shift ka signal dete hain.

2. **Volume Analysis**: Jab price girti hai to volume ka barhna, aur jab price 148.70 ke aas paas pahunche to volume mein spike dekhna strong buying interest ka indicator ho sakta hai. Volume reversal ki taqat ko confirm kar sakta hai.

3. **Support aur Resistance Levels**: Additional technical analysis tools ka istemal kar ke dekhein ke kya 148.70 doosre support indicators, jaise Fibonacci retracement levels ya moving averages, ke sath align hota hai.

### 150.65 par Profit Target Set Karna

Jab buy position establish ho jaye, to ek realistic profit target set karna zaroori hai. Is scenario mein, target price 150.65 tay kiya gaya hai. Yeh level peechle resistance levels aur market sentiment ka jaiza lekar tay kiya gaya hai.

1. **Previous Highs**: Historical price data traders ko peechle highs identify karne mein madad de sakti hai, jo aksar jab price inhe phir se touch kare to resistance levels ban jaate hain. Agar 150.65 aik notable resistance level hai, to wahan target set karna achha hoga.

2. **Risk-Reward Ratio**: Trade execute karne se pehle risk-reward ratio par ghor karein. Ideal ratio aam tor par 1:2 ya is se behtar hota hai, matlab ke har unit risk lene par potential reward us se do guna hona chahiye. Agar aapka stop-loss 148.70 ke neeche rakha hai, to 150.65 ka target ek favorable ratio dena chahiye.

3. **Market Conditions**: Hamesha market ki khabrein aur trends se updated rahen. Economic releases, geopolitical events, ya market sentiment mein tabdeeliyan price movements par asar dal sakti hain. Market conditions ke hisaab se target ko dynamically adjust karna bhi profitability ko barha sakta hai.

### Conclusion
Is strategy ka istemal karke, traders downward corrections ke doran mauqe ko behtar tareeqe se identify kar sakte hain. Candlestick patterns, volume analysis, aur support-resistance levels ka ghor se jaiza lekar, traders aise mauqe hasil kar sakte hain jo unhein profitable trades karne mein madad kar sakte hain.

ka izhar karta hai. Lekin, yeh pair ab bhi week ke aakhir mein anay walay aham economic data ki wajah se exposed hai, jo ke mazeed market movement ko trigger kar sakta hai.USD ki taqat ka aik bara wajah US Durable Goods Orders ka strong performance tha, jo ke August mein 9.9% month-over-month barh gaye. Yeh bara izafa tha, khaaskar June ke 6.9% decline ke baad, aur market ki expectation se kafi zyada tha jo ke 4.0% ka izafa tha. Yeh May 2020 se sabse bara izafa tha, jis ne US economy ke slowdown ke hawalay se kuch tashveesh door ki aur US dollar ko temporary boost diya.Federal Reserve ke officials ne bhi overall market outlook mein dovish comments diye. Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker ne zor diya ke interest rates ko dheere dheere kam karna chahiye, jo ke Fed ki ehtiyaat se approach ko zahir karta hai. Isi tarah, Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee ne kaha ke mojooda monetary policy pehle hi kaafi restrictive hai aur Fed ka focus ab employment targets hasil karne par hai. In remarks ne US dollar ke faiday ko limited rakha, kyun ke market ne mazeed rate hikes ke hawalay se apni expectations adjust kar li.Japanese side par, Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ne market ko yeh yaqeen dilaya ke central bank ka koi immediate plan nahi hai ke long-term Japanese government bonds (JGBs) ko sell karain, as part of apni interest rate adjustment strategy. Unho ne yeh bhi kaha ke agar JGB purchases ko kam kiya gaya tou yeh BoJ ke overall balance sheet ka aik chhota hissa hoga. Sath hi, unho ne yeh bhi bataya ke thodi interest rate adjustments ho sakti hain agar economic conditions bank ki forecast ke mutabiq hui, lekin koi bara policy shift abhi expect nahi kiya ja raha. Aagey dekhte huay, yeh pair ab ek aham downtrend line ke qareeb hai jo ke 148.00 ke aas paas hai. Agar yeh support break hota hai tou mazeed declines dekhnay ko mil sakte hain, aur agla target October 4th ka low 145.93 hoga. Agar yeh level break hota hai, tou 145.00 ka mark mazeed selling pressure ko trigger kar sakta hai

karta hai. Lekin, yeh pair ab bhi week ke aakhir mein anay walay aham economic data ki wajah se exposed hai, jo ke mazeed market movement ko trigger kar sakta hai.USD ki taqat ka aik bara wajah US Durable Goods Orders ka strong performance tha, jo ke August mein 9.9% month-over-month barh gaye. Yeh bara izafa tha, khaaskar June ke 6.9% decline ke baad, aur market ki expectation se kafi zyada tha jo ke 4.0% ka izafa tha. Yeh May 2020 se sabse bara izafa tha, jis ne US economy ke slowdown ke hawalay se kuch tashveesh door ki aur US dollar ko temporary boost diya.Federal Reserve ke officials ne bhi overall market outlook mein dovish comments diye. Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker ne zor diya ke interest rates ko dheere dheere kam karna chahiye, jo ke Fed ki ehtiyaat se approach ko zahir karta hai. Isi tarah, Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee ne kaha ke mojooda monetary policy pehle hi kaafi restrictive hai aur Fed ka focus ab employment targets hasil karne par hai. In remarks ne US dollar ke faiday ko limited rakha, kyun ke market ne mazeed rate hikes ke hawalay se apni expectations adjust kar li.Japanese side par, Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ne market ko yeh yaqeen dilaya ke central bank ka koi immediate plan nahi hai ke long-term Japanese government bonds (JGBs) ko sell karain, as part of apni interest rate adjustment strategy. Unho ne yeh bhi kaha ke agar JGB purchases ko kam kiya gaya tou yeh BoJ ke overall balance sheet ka aik chhota hissa hoga. Sath hi, unho ne yeh bhi bataya ke thodi interest rate adjustments ho sakti hain agar economic conditions bank ki forecast ke mutabiq hui, lekin koi bara policy shift abhi expect nahi kiya ja raha. Aagey dekhte huay, yeh pair ab ek aham downtrend line ke qareeb hai jo ke 148.00 ke aas paas hai. Agar yeh support break hota hai tou mazeed declines dekhnay ko mil sakte hain, aur agla target October 4th ka low 145.93

crucial hai kyun ke yeh ek short-term resistance point ko represent karta hai jise traders ghoor se dekh rahe honge. Agar price is level tak pohchti hai aur rejection ka samna karti hai, toh yeh profit-taking ya renewed selling pressure ka sabab ban sakta hai, jo rally ke dauran hasil ki gayi gains ko reverse kar sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar pair is level ko convincingly break kar leta hai, toh yeh further buying interest ko attract kar sakta hai, jo ek ziada strong bullish trend ko suggest karta hai.
Lekin, traders ko longer-term upward trend mein confidence tab hoga jab currency pair key resistance level 145.60 ko overcome karega. Yeh level is liye significant hai ke pehle bhi price reversals is level par dekhne ko mile hain. 145.60 mark par shayad sellers ka intezar hoga jo market ke overextended hone ko dekhte hue profit kamaana chahte honge. Is liye yeh level aksar ziada trading volume aur heightened volatility ko dekhta hai.

Trading mein psychological aspect ko underestimate nahi karna chahiye. Resistance levels jaise 145.60 aksar traders ko apni positions par doobara sochne par majboor karte hain, jo market activity ko barha dete hain jab wo price movements par react karte hain. Agar pair 145.60 ko break kar leta hai, toh yeh ek significant momentum shift ko zahir kar sakta hai, jo further upward movement ka sabab ban sakta hai. Wo traders jo pehli rally miss kar chuke hain, shayad positions lein, anticipating ek bullish continuation

Breakout ke baad pair ne 99 points ka girawat dekha aur phir upward correction ka koshish ki, jahan buyers ne kuch ground wapas hasil kiya aur price 144.53 ke resistance level tak wapas pohanch gaya. Is maqam par sell positions kholna behtar hoga, jahan target 140-141 range tak ka mazeed decline ho sakta hai. Agar pair 144.53 ke resistance se upar rebound karta hai, toh recovery ka silsila jari reh sakta hai, aur agla resistance level 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart par ek flag jesa ascending channel hai jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend phir se shuru ho sakta hai. H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur apne lower boundary se bounce back kiya hai. Agar price 144.49 ke level ko tor kar upar jata hai, toh buy karna aur target 145.69 rakhna aik viable strategy ho sakti hai. Aaj main USD/JPY ki price action ko closely dekh raha hoon. Haal hi mein kuch bearish pin bars 144.10 ke local resistance level par banay hain, jo ek mumkin decline ki nishandahi karte hain. Bank of Japan ne apni interest rate ko 0.25% se kam par barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya hai. Yeh faisla yeh zahir karta hai ke BOJ apni mojooda monetary policy ko continue kar raha hai, jo Yen ki strength par asar dal sakta hai. Is fundamental background ke hawalay se, USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend ka imkaan zyada lagta hai. Hourly chart par ek bearish engulfing pattern bhi nazar aya, jo downward move ka aur signal hai. In tamam signals ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mein agle haftay mein USD/JPY ko niche ki taraf dekh raha hoon. Mera pehla target lagbhag 50 points ka decline hai (spread ke baghair), lekin mazeed downside potential bhi mojood hai. Bearish outlook ke bawajood, USD/JPY ne hal hi mein 20 din ka high 144.50 touch kiya tha. Sellers ne control hasil karne ki koshish ki, lekin price ko effectively niche nahi le jaa paye. Maine ek ahem support area 143.49 aur 143.77 ke darmiyan dekha hai, jo prices ko elevated rakhta hai. Lekin market ke close ke qareeb, asset ne resistance ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkil ka samna kiya, aur double tops aur bottoms fifteen-minute chart par dekhay gaye. Jumlay se ye zahir hota hai ke USA mein economic growth ke hawalay se uncertainties ka asar USD/JPY ke price par par raha hai. Ueda ki ehtiyaati rhetoric ne 2024 level ko breach karne mein nakam hota hai, tou yeh bullish pressure ke kamzor honay ki nishani ho sakti hai. Yeh resistance level market ke liye ek psychological aur technical barrier ka kaam karta hai. Agar yeh breach na ho paya, tou traders apni long positions ko reduce kar sakte hain, jo ke pullback ka sabab ban sakta hai

yeh traders ke liye aksar ek psychological barrier ban jata hai. Agar yeh level break ho jata hai, toh yeh market sentiment mein ek tabadli ko zahir kar sakta hai, jo ek short-covering rally ko trigger kar sakta hai. Short-covering tab hoti hai jab wo traders jo currency pair ke against bet karte hain (yaani short positions lete hain), apni positions close karna shuru karte hain jab prices upar jati hain. Yeh buying pressure momentum create kar sakta hai jo price ko upar le jaye, aur shayad agle resistance area tak pohcha de jo 144.55 hai. 144.55 level is liye crucial hai kyun ke yeh ek short-term resistance point ko represent karta hai jise traders ghoor se dekh rahe honge. Agar price is level tak pohchti hai aur rejection ka samna karti hai, toh yeh profit-taking ya renewed selling pressure ka sabab ban sakta hai, jo rally ke dauran hasil ki gayi gains ko reverse kar sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar pair is level ko convincingly break kar leta hai, toh yeh further buying interest ko attract kar sakta hai, jo ek ziada strong bullish trend ko suggest karta hai.

Lekin, traders ko longer-term upward trend mein confidence tab hoga jab currency pair key resistance level 145.60 ko overcome karega. Yeh level is liye significant hai ke pehle bhi price reversals is level par dekhne ko mile hain. 145.60 mark par shayad sellers ka intezar hoga jo market ke overextended hone ko dekhte hue profit kamaana chahte honge. Is liye yeh level aksar ziada trading volume aur heightened volatility ko dekhta hai.

Trading mein psychological aspect ko underestimate nahi karna chahiye. Resistance levels jaise 145.60 aksar traders ko apni positions par doobara sochne par majboor karte hain, jo market activity ko barha dete hain jab wo price movements par react karte hain. Agar pair 145.60 ko break kar leta hai, toh yeh ek significant momentum shift ko zahir kar sakta hai, jo further upward movement ka sabab ban sakta hai. Wo traders jo pehli rally miss kar chuke hain, shayad positions lein, anticipating ek bullish continuation

Lekin H4 chart par, pair ek descending channel mein move kar raha hai aur abhi uski lower boundary se bounce hua hai. Agar price 144.49 se break hoti hai, toh 145.69 ka target rakhte hue buying strategy viable ho sakti hai. Friday ko Japanese Yen (JPY) ne US Dollar (USD) ke against 14-mahinon ka low touch kiya, jo 140.41 tha. Ye girawat zyada market trend ka hissa hai jahan JPY kamzor ho raha hai, zyada ter Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke monetary policy changes ki wajah se. BoJ ne recently apni policy ko hawkish banate hue interest rates ko 0.25% tak barhaya, jisse Yen carry trade ka unwinding hua. Yen ko support "Yenterventions" ke zariye bhi mila, jo multi-decade lows se recover karte hue 12.5% barh gaya USD ke against. Abhi ka market sentiment Yen ke hawale se monetary policy changes, market interventions, aur global economic factors ka aik pechida mix darshata hai. Yen ka Mustaqbil Yen ka historic lows se recovery aur recent USD ke against movements currency markets ki fluid nature aur policymakers ke liye challenges ko highlight karti hain. BoJ ki monetary policy ka mustaqbil abhi bhi unsure hai, Jahan officials ne mazed rate hikes ka ishara diya hai. Lekin isko cautious approach kiya ja raha hai, heightened market volatility ki wajah se. Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki ne zor diya ke BoJ market conditions ko closely monitor karega, lekin monetary policy ke hawale se koi bhi faislay BoJ ke ikhtiyar mein . Ye setup ek mazid strong bullish movement ke potential ko dikhata hai. Ab tak, bullish momentum ne MA 50 aur MA 100 ko break kar diya hai, aur meri umeed hai ke is hafte MA 200 ko bhi break karega. Agar aisa hota hai to ye confirm karega ke USD/JPY ka trend officially bearish se bullish mein shift ho gaya hai. Is daur mein buy options par tawajju dena samajhdari hogi kyunki mujhe lagta hai ke USD/JPY H4 timeframe par MA 200 ko break karega, jo trend reversal ko confirm karega. H4 timeframe mein bullish movements ka ghalib hona ek solid bullish trend pattern ko janam de raha hai, jo ek aage barhne wale trend ko

price ko wapas 144.53 ke resistance level tak push kiya. Iss point par sell positions open karna behthreen move ho sakta hai, aur 140-141 range ki taraf mazeed girawat ka target set kiya ja sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar pair 144.53 resistance level se rebound karta hai, toh recovery jaari reh sakti hai, aur agla target 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart mein ek ascending channel dikhai de raha hai jo flag pattern se milta julta hai, jo is baat ka ishara karta hai ke downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin H4 chart par, pair ek descending channel mein move kar raha hai aur abhi uski lower boundary se bounce hua hai. Agar price 144.49 se break hoti hai, toh 145.69 ka target rakhte hue buying strategy viable ho sakti hai. Friday ko Japanese Yen (JPY) ne US Dollar (USD) ke against 14-mahinon ka low touch kiya, jo 140.41 tha. Ye girawat zyada market trend ka hissa hai jahan JPY kamzor ho raha hai, zyada ter Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke monetary policy changes ki wajah se. BoJ ne recently apni policy ko hawkish banate hue interest rates ko 0.25% tak barhaya, jisse Yen carry trade ka unwinding hua. Yen ko support "Yenterventions" ke zariye bhi mila, jo multi-decade lows se recover karte hue 12.5% barh gaya USD ke against. Abhi ka market sentiment Yen ke hawale se monetary policy changes, market interventions, aur global economic factors ka aik pechida mix darshata hai. Yen ka Mustaqbil Yen ka historic lows se recovery aur recent USD ke against movements currency markets ki fluid nature aur policymakers ke liye challenges ko highlight karti hain. BoJ ki monetary policy ka mustaqbil abhi bhi unsure hai, Jahan officials ne mazed rate hikes ka ishara diya hai. Lekin isko cautious approach kiya ja raha hai, heightened market volatility ki wajah se. Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki ne zor diya ke BoJ market conditions ko closely monitor karega, lekin monetary policy ke hawale se koi bhi faislay BoJ ke ikhtiyar mein . Ye setup ek mazid strong bullish movement ke potential ko dikhata hai. Ab tak, bullish momentum ne MA 50 aur MA 100 ko break kar diya hai, aur meri umeed hai ke is hafte MA 200 ko bhi break karega. Agar aisa hota hai to ye confirm karega ke USD/JPY ka trend officially bearish se bullish mein shift ho gaya hai. Is daur mein buy options par tawajju dena samajhdari hogi kyunki mujhe lagta hai ke USD/JPY H4 timeframe par MA 200 ko break karega, jo trend reversal ko confirm karega. H4 timeframe mein bullish movements ka ghalib hona ek solid bullish trend pattern ko janam de raha hai, jo ek aage barhne wale trend ko

trend ko madde nazar rakhte hue, ek aur sell position kholna jise short target 143.51 par ho, kal ke aane se pehle ek mozu strategy nazar aati hai. Yeh target mojudah descending force se faida uthate hue, ek munasib munafa hasil karne ka mauka deta hai jab ke aam market sentiment ke saath bhi ham ahang rahta hai. Is ke ilawa, mali indicators, central bank ke faislay, aur beyn-ul-aqwami soorat-e-haal bhi pair ke development par aham asar daal sakte hain. Waqt par maloomat se mutaliq rehne se traders ko apni position mein mozoon tabdiliyan karne aur apni strategy ko nayi maloomat ke tanazur mein mozoon rakhne ka mauka milta hai. Tawaqqo hai ke aane wale dinon mein qeemat ka rujhaan sellers ke haq mein rahega, jo ke nuqsan se niklne ke naye trend ko barhata rahega. Yeh samajhna ke USD/JPY ke market sentiment ko asalihiyat se navigate karna zaroori hai. Sentiment jaldi badal sakta hai, aur traders ko tayyar rehna chahiye ke wo tabdiliyon ka bar waqt jawab dein. Yeh is cheez ko samajhne ko bhi shamil karta hai ke kisi bhi mumkin reversal ke asar ya bazaar ke wasi' trend mein kisi bhi tabdeeli ko pehchanein jo USD/JPY pair ko mutasir kar sakta hai. Market ki updates aur sentiment ko sahih taur par samajh kar, traders apne aap ko mauqa' par faida uthane ya risk ko mitigate karne ke liye behtar taur par munsalik kar sakte hain Ittifaqan, USD/JPY ke sellers ne apne nuqsan ko cover karne mein aham taraqqi hasil ki hai, aur 149.40 zone tak pahunch gaye hain. Ek sell position jiska short target 143.51 ho, mozu hai, lekin economic conditions ke badalte hue halaat ke saath ham ahang rehne ke liye news aur sentiment ko barabar nazar mein rakhna bhi zaroori hai USD/JPY pair ne Tuesday ke European session ke shuruati hisse mein qadeem trend dikhaya, 143.00 ke qareeb trade karte hue. Magar, mazeed taqatwar bullish yaqeen ki kami yeh ishara kar rahi thi ke traders US inflation data ke aham hone ki wajah se khass positions lenay se gurez thay. Japanese Yen (JPY) Japan ke doosre trimester ke GDP ke neeche darust hone ke bazaher asarat ki wajah se press mein the, jabke US Dollar (USD) halki izafa dikha raha tha. Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke monetary policies mein ikhtilaaf ke wajah se investors ko aggressive bullish bets lagane se roka gaya, USD/JPY ke liye upside ko mehdud kar diya. Technical nazar se, USD/JPY pair ek short-term downtrend mein dikh raha tha, isse unhone haal hi mein ek descending channel ke ander giravat ka ishara diya. Ye negative outlook taqreeban naye chart ki daily chart par mojood oscillators ke gha

USD/JPY pair mein bullish movement ke zyada barqarar rehne ke imkaanat kaafi mazboot lag rahe hain. Mere H4 timeframe analysis ke mutabiq, ek detailed tasveer saamne aayi hai jo clear bullish trend pattern ko zahir karti hai, jo ke higher highs aur higher lows ke saath bana hai. Yeh setup ek aur mazid strong bullish movement ka ishara de raha hai. Ab tak, bullish momentum MA 50 aur MA 100 ko break kar chuka hai, aur mujhe umeed hai ke yeh is haftay MA 200 ko bhi tod dega. Agar aisa hota hai, toh yeh baat tasleem karli jayegi ke USD/JPY ka trend officially bearish se bullish mein shift ho chuka hai.

Yeh waqt hai buy options par tawajjo dene ka, kyunke mujhe lagta hai ke USD/JPY H4 timeframe par MA 200 ko break karega, jo ke trend reversal ka confirmation hoga. H4 timeframe par bullish movements ki dominance ne ek solid bullish trend pattern banaya hai, jo ke upward continuation ka imkaan de rahi hai. In conditions ko dekhte hue, ek strong directional signal mil raha hai. Buland bullish trend ki formation aur MA 50 aur MA 100 ke breakthrough ke baad, is waqt ek aur significant bullish movement ka trigger hone ka imkaan hai.

Weekly timeframe par candlestick pattern bhi yeh suggest karta hai ke USD/JPY ka bullish trend is haftay barqarar reh sakta hai. Agar yeh trend chalta raha, toh hum trading opportunities se faida utha sakte hain jo ke is dauran samnay aayengi. Humein hamesha alert rehna chahiye aur kisi bhi aane wali price fluctuations ka intezaar karna chahiye. Apne decisions ko doosre indicators aur key levels ke saath verify karna bhi zaroori hai taake accuracy ko badhaya ja sake aur kamiyabi ke chances mein izafa ho.

Is liye, USD/JPY ki progress par nazar rakhna zaroori hai aur jab mauqa mile toh action lene ke liye tayar rehna hoga. USD/JPY pair iss waqt bullish continuation ka signal de raha hai, khaaskar jab kal raat ke buying volume ne price ko 144.85 ke resistance area tak push karne ki koshish ki. Is scenario ko dekhte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke market ab bhi upar ki taraf push karne ki koshish kar raha hai, kyunke movement ab bhi upward phase mein hai.

Mere agle trading plan ke liye, main 145.16 area ke aas paas buy entry lene ka soch raha hoon. Market ke movement patterns ko analyze karte hue, khaaskar jo upward movement pichlay chand ghanton mein dekhne ko mili hai, yeh batati hai ke pair gains karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Halaankeh price increase ab tak zyada bara nahi hai, magar yeh dikha raha hai ke market upar ki taraf move karne ki koshish mein hai.

Aakhir mein, key resistance levels par close watch rakhna aur multiple indicators ko combine karna humein market ke agle move ka behtareen understanding dega.

currency pair 144.00 level ke qareeb aata hai, yeh traders ke liye aksar ek psychological barrier ban jata hai. Agar yeh level break ho jata hai, toh yeh market sentiment mein ek tabadli ko zahir kar sakta hai, jo ek short-covering rally ko trigger kar sakta hai. Short-covering tab hoti hai jab wo traders jo currency pair ke against bet karte hain (yaani short positions lete hain), apni positions close karna shuru karte hain jab prices upar jati hain. Yeh buying pressure momentum create kar sakta hai jo price ko upar le jaye, aur shayad agle resistance area tak pohcha de jo 144.55 hai. 144.55 level is liye crucial hai kyun ke yeh ek short-term resistance point ko represent karta hai jise traders ghoor se dekh rahe honge. Agar price is level tak pohchti hai aur rejection ka samna karti hai, toh yeh profit-taking ya renewed selling pressure ka sabab ban sakta hai, jo rally ke dauran hasil ki gayi gains ko reverse kar sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar pair is level ko convincingly break kar leta hai, toh yeh further buying interest ko attract kar sakta hai, jo ek ziada strong bullish trend ko suggest karta hai.

Lekin, traders ko longer-term upward trend mein confidence tab hoga jab currency pair key resistance level 145.60 ko overcome karega. Yeh level is liye significant hai ke pehle bhi price reversals is level par dekhne ko mile hain. 145.60 mark par shayad sellers ka intezar hoga jo market ke overextended hone ko dekhte hue profit kamaana chahte honge. Is liye yeh level aksar ziada trading volume aur heightened volatility ko dekhta hai.

Trading mein psychological aspect ko underestimate nahi karna chahiye. Resistance levels jaise 145.60 aksar traders ko apni positions par doobara sochne par majboor karte hain, jo market activity ko barha dete hain jab wo price movements par react karte hain. Agar pair 145.60 ko break kar leta hai, toh yeh ek significant momentum shift ko zahir kar sakta hai, jo further upward movement ka sabab ban sakta hai. Wo traders jo pehli rally miss kar chuke

jisme buyers ne price ko wapas 144.53 ke resistance level tak push kiya. Iss point par sell positions open karna behthreen move ho sakta hai, aur 140-141 range ki taraf mazeed girawat ka target set kiya ja sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar pair 144.53 resistance level se rebound karta hai, toh recovery jaari reh sakti hai, aur agla target 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart mein ek ascending channel dikhai de raha hai jo flag pattern se milta julta hai, jo is baat ka ishara karta hai ke downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin H4 chart par, pair ek descending channel mein move kar raha hai aur abhi uski lower boundary se bounce hua hai. Agar price 144.49 se break hoti hai, toh 145.69 ka target rakhte hue buying strategy viable ho sakti hai. Friday ko Japanese Yen (JPY) ne US Dollar (USD) ke against 14-mahinon ka low touch kiya, jo 140.41 tha. Ye girawat zyada market trend ka hissa hai jahan JPY kamzor ho raha hai, zyada ter Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke monetary policy changes ki wajah se. BoJ ne recently apni policy ko hawkish banate hue interest rates ko 0.25% tak barhaya, jisse Yen carry trade ka unwinding hua. Yen ko support "Yenterventions" ke zariye bhi mila, jo multi-decade lows se recover karte hue 12.5% barh gaya USD ke against. Abhi ka market sentiment Yen ke hawale se monetary policy changes, market interventions, aur global economic factors ka aik pechida mix darshata hai. Yen ka Mustaqbil Yen ka historic lows se recovery aur recent USD ke against movements currency markets ki fluid nature aur policymakers ke liye challenges ko highlight karti hain. BoJ ki monetary policy ka mustaqbil abhi bhi unsure hai, Jahan officials ne mazed rate hikes ka ishara diya hai. Lekin isko cautious approach kiya ja raha hai, heightened market volatility ki wajah se. Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki ne zor diya ke BoJ market conditions ko closely monitor karega, lekin monetary policy ke hawale se koi bhi faislay BoJ ke ikhtiyar mein . Ye setup ek mazid strong bullish movement ke potential ko dikhata hai. Ab tak, bullish momentum ne MA 50 aur MA 100 ko break kar diya hai, aur meri umeed hai ke is hafte MA 200 ko bhi break karega. Agar aisa hota hai to ye confirm karega ke USD/JPY ka trend officially bearish se bullish mein shift ho gaya hai. Is daur mein buy options par tawajju dena samajhdari hogi kyunki mujhe lagta hai ke USD/JPY H4 timeframe par MA 200 ko break karega, jo trend reversal ko confirm karega. H4 timeframe mein bullish movements ka ghalib hona ek solid bullish trend pattern ko janam de raha hai, jo ek aage barhne wale trend ko

USD/JPY ki Price Action par Base: USD/JPY currency pair ki price action ka analysis hamaray liye aaj ka central topic hoga. USD/JPY ne trading week ko 146.69 ke area par correction ke sath khatam kiya, aur upward trend ko continue rakha. Halankeh moving averages bearish trend dikha rahe hain, lekin prices 145.01 ke mark se upar hold kar rahi hain, jo ke US dollar par intense buyer pressure ko indicate karta hai, aur yeh bhi ke current levels se growth ka potential maujood hai. Iss point par hum ek potential price correction ka intezar kar sakte hain, jo ke support level 145.01 ke qareeb test ho sakta hai. Agar is ke baad rebound hota hai, to yeh pair ko 150.01 ke level se upar le ja sakta hai. Lekin agar pair girta hai aur 145.01 ke neeche break karta hai, to yeh decline ko continue karne ka signal hoga, aur possible target 142.01 area ke neeche ho sakta hai. Bull ne trend line break hone ke baad dobara control lene ki koshish ki, lekin unki efforts sirf trend line ko neeche se test karne tak mehdoood rahi, aur koi significant breakthrough nahi ho saka. Dosri taraf, agar bulls dobara trend line ko break karne mein kamyab ho jate hain aur uske upar position secure kar lete hain, to yeh global trend ki restoration ka signal de sakta hai. General movement of average prices neeche ki taraf hai, aur dynamic filter bhi downward trend ko follow kar raha hai. Pehle dynamic filter ki control line correction ko support de rahi thi, lekin ab daily candle patterns yeh suggest kar rahe hain ke sellers gradually momentum gain kar rahe hain. Oscillator windows ke indicators, jisme dynamic RSI bhi shamil hai, neeche ki taraf turn ho rahe hain, halankeh dynamic RSI abhi channel ke upper limit ke neeche cross nahi hui. Junior RSI bhi dheere dheere neeche shift ho rahi hai, jab ke day aur week RSI neeche hain, aur downward trend ke sath aligned hain.
Predict karna mushkil hai ke agli downward move mein price kitni neeche ja sakti hai, lekin sabse qareebi target 145.51 hai. Iske baad ka direction abhi uncertain hai
USD/JPY currency ki wave structure ko dekhen, toh direction ab kaafi clear hai ke yeh bearish trend mein hai. Jo waves ban rahi hain, wo impulsive waves hain, jo wave one ke shuru honay se start hoti hain. Wave one ke andar paanch waves hain aur wave three bhi waisi hi hai, jo sabse lambi wave hai. Lekin, jo structure sahi tarah se nazar nahi aa raha wo correction wave ka movement hai, yani wave two. Wave two ka movement flat hai aur zyadah monowave lagti hai. Jab ke wave four mein aik tezi se wave ka formation hota hai jo flat aur lamba lagta hai

Aaj USD/JPY currency pair ki movement mein ek aham girawat dekhi gayi, jo ke price 148.17 se gir kar 147.48 tak pohanch gayi. Ye girawat us waqt hui jab yen ka exchange rate kafi significant tor par mazboot hua, jab ke data release hone ke baad household spending mein 0.6% ka izafa dekha gaya aur Japanese current account ab bhi 3.02 trillion yen par barqarar hai. Is wajah se USD/JPY currency pair ki price gir kar 147.48 tak chali gayi. Iske ilawa, aaj US dollar bhi halka ya thoda kamzor nazar aya jab consumer credit ka data release hone ke baad ye 8.9 billion dollars tak gir gaya, lekin dopahar ke waqt USD/JPY dobara barh kar 148.10 par chala gaya kyun ke yen ka exchange rate phir se kamzor hua jab economy watchers sentiment ka data 47.3 tak gir gaya, jo ke USD/JPY ki movement ko dobara 148.10 tak layi. Meri fundamental analysis ke natayej ke mutabiq, maine aaj faisla kiya hai ke USD/JPY ko BUY karun 148.50 tak ke price par. Agar main technical analysis ke hawale se USD/JPY ki future movement ko dekhoon, toh lagta hai ke ye dobara barh kar 150 tak ja sakti hai. Is liye ke H1 time frame par USD/JPY ki movement ne ek bullish engulfing candle form ki hai, jo ke USD/JPY ko BUY karne ka kafi strong signal hai 150 tak ke price ke liye. Iske ilawa, jab main RSI 14 indicator ka jaiza leta hoon, toh pata chalta hai ke current USD/JPY price jo ke 148.00 par hai, overbought nahi hui ya yani zyada khareedari ka saturation nahi dikhata, is liye ye kafi mumkin hai ke USD/JPY JPY apni barhavat jari rakhe aur 148.60 tak pohanch jaye. USD/JPY ko BUY karne ka signal SNR aur Fibonacci methods se bhi support karta hai, kyun ke jab USD/JPY price 147.48 par aayi, toh ye already apni RBS area mein thi, is liye ye kafi mumkin hai ke USD/JPY ki movement barh kar 149.00 tak chali jaye. Meri technical analysis ke natayej ke mutabiq, maine aaj faisla kiya hai ke USD/JPY ko BUY karun 150.00 tak ke price par.