USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY Market Movements

Hum USD/JPY ke price changes ka jaiza lenge. Mujhe USD/JPY pair ke liye price decline ki umeed hai kyunke four-hour chart par MACD indicator ke saath ek notable divergence hai. Yeh divergence aik mumkinah girawat ka ishara de raha hai, na ke convergence phase ka, jo price collapse ka ehtimal dikhata hai. Magar yeh girawat tabhi sambhav hai jab price 148.96 ke neeche four-hour candle ke saath close ho. Filhal 149.13 ke level se, mujhe umeed hai ke yeh downward move Asian trading session mein Monday ko market khulte hi shuru hoga. Dono EMA (8/5) aur MACD indicators buy signals de rahe hain. Isliye, kuch der ke liye consolidation ke baad, mujhe umeed hai ke jaldi hi bullish move dekhne ko milega.

USD/JPY daily chart par, price ne poore din ke dauran musalsal girawat ki, aur yeh 148.382 support level ke qareeb close hui. Agar yeh support ke neeche close hoti, toh mujhe 147.432 ki taraf aur girawat ki umeed hoti. Lekin, kyunki price is level ke upar close hui, mujhe Friday ko upward movement par zyada zor dena pada, jiska aim 149.712 par resistance tha. Meri forecasting sahi thi, kyunki bullish candle ne 149.712 ke qareeb close kiya bina in levels ko test kiye.

Monday ke liye, mera outlook continued growth ki taraf hai, jiska agla target 150.777 par resistance hai. Girawat tabhi sambhav hai agar price 148.382 ke neeche close hoti. Daily time frame ko dekhte hue, yeh saaf hai ke bulls ab bhi mazboot hain aur apni positions ko aage badhane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Price 1/2 angle ke upar hai aur 50% support level 144.60 ke upar rah raha hai, jo upward trend ka ishara hai aur market mein bears ki kamzori ko dikhata hai.

USD/JPY Price Action Forecast

Hum filhal USD/JPY currency pair ke price assessment ka jaiza le rahe hain. Mujhe umeed hai ke USD/JPY upar ki taraf barh sakta hai, kyunki ye 141.51 ke support level se rebound hua hai. Yeh saaf hai ke pair kuch arse se barh raha hai, lekin 148.04 ek key resistance bana hua hai, jo aage barhne mein rukawat daal raha hai. Agar price is level ko todti hai, to hum USD/JPY ko 148.72 ki taraf barhte dekh sakte hain, jahan 147.40 stop-loss level rahega. Is scenario mein, 149.33 ko target karna ek samajhdari ka kaam lagta hai, uske baad pair reverse hokar 146.2 tak gir sakta hai. Ye correction ek achi mauqa de sakti hai long positions mein enter karne ke liye, aur technical indicators is move ko support karte hain.

Manufacturing PMI 50-point mark se neeche raha, jo activity mein contraction ka ishaara deta hai, jisse yen gir gaya aur kal se chal rahe bullish dollar market ko jaari rakha. Lekin, yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke hum bearish trend mein hain, aur jitna zyada pair upar jaata hai, utna hi bada sellers market mein waapas aane ka khatra barh jaata hai. Intraday strategy ke liye, main zyada tar Scenarios #1 aur #2 par amal karne par tawajjoh doonga.

**Buy Signal**

**Scenario #1:** Aaj, main USD/JPY kharidne ka plan bana raha hoon jab yeh entry point ke aas paas 144.52 tak pahunche (chart par green line). Iska target level 145.38 hoga (chart par thick green line). 145.38 level par, main buy positions ko exit karne aur opposite direction mein sell positions kholne ka plan bana raha hoon (is level se 30-35 pips ke movement ka aim rakhta hoon). Aap aaj pair ke growth ki ummeed sirf correction ke framework mein kar sakte hain. **Important!** Kharidne se pehle ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark se upar ho aur rise kar raha ho.

**Scenario #2:** Main aaj USD/JPY kharidne ka plan bana raha hoon agar 144.16 price level ko do consecutive baar test kiya jaye jab MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ki downward potential ko limit karega aur market ko upar ki taraf reverse karne ka sabab banega. 144.52 aur 145.38 ki taraf growth ki ummeed ki ja sakti hai.

**USD/JPY Ka Tajziya**

Dollar aur yen ka hourly chart dekhte hain to itwaar ko pichla hafta ek girawat ke saath shuru hua. Yeh 148.636 ka support tod kar is level ke neeche consolidate hua. Yeh 147.102 ke support ki taraf bechne ka signal tha. Mera khayal hai ke yeh bechne ka signal Tuesday ko kaam kiya, halanke price ne is support ko nahi chua, lekin yeh adha rasta tay kar chuki thi. Price in marks ke nazdeek se bounce hui aur 148.384 ka resistance tak pahunch gayi. Yeh resistance tod kar 151.738 ke resistance ki taraf bechne ka signal mila. Yeh bechne ka signal ab bhi relevant hai, kyunki Thursday ko price ne breakout confirm kiya aur is level par wapas aayi. Aur Friday ko, price poore din range mein trade hoti rahi. Yeh signal Monday ke liye kharidne ke liye relevant hai, jo 151.738 ka resistance hai. Sirf yeh hi cheez kharid ko cancel karegi agar price 148.636 ke support ke neeche chale jaye aur wahan consolidate ho.

Hourly chart par, mujhe lagta hai ke pair ek ascending channel ke andar move kar raha hai. Friday ko, price is channel ki upper border se ghooma aur neeche ki taraf chalne lagi. Ab yeh mumkin hai ke Monday se pair girawat jari rakhe aur price is channel ki lower border, jo ke 148.65 level hai, tak pahunch jaye. Jab yeh level tak pohanchti hai, agar price is channel se neeche nikalti hai, toh pair girawat ko jari rakhegi. Aur yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke price channel ki lower border se ghoome aur upper border ki taraf, jo ke 149.48 level hai, chalne lage.

Hum is waqt USD/JPY currency pair ki current price assessment ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Mujhe umeed hai ke USD/JPY upar move karega, kyun ke ye 141.51 ke support level se rebound kar chuka hai. Yeh wazeh hai ke pair kuch arsay se barh raha hai, lekin 148.04 ek key resistance bana hua hai jo mazeed progress ko rok raha hai. Agar price is level ko break kar leta hai, to hum dekh sakte hain ke USD/JPY 148.72 ki taraf barhega, jahan 147.40 ko stop-loss level rakha jayega. Is scenario mein 149.33 ko target karna reasonable lagta hai, jiske baad pair reverse ho sakta hai aur 146.2 tak gir sakta hai. Yeh correction ek acha moka de sakta hai long positions enter karne ka, aur technical indicators is move ko support karte hain. Manufacturing PMI 50-point mark se neeche raha, jo activity mein contraction ko indicate karta hai, jis ki wajah se yen girta raha, aur bullish dollar market kal se barqarar hai. Lekin, yaad rakhnay wali baat yeh hai ke hum bearish trend mein hain, aur jitna upar pair jata hai, utni hi zyada chances hain ke big sellers wapas market mein aayen. Intraday strategy ke liye, main zyada reliance Scenario #1 aur #2 implement karne par karoon ga. Buy Signal Scenario number 1: Aaj main plan kar raha hoon ke USD/JPY ko us entry point par buy karoon jo 144.52 ke qareeb ho (chart par green line ke sath). Target level 145.38 hoga (chart par mote green line ke sath). Jab price 145.38 level tak pohnchay ga, main buy positions ko exit kar ke opposite direction mein sell positions open karoon ga (is level se 30-35 pips ka movement opposite direction mein expect kiya jata hai). Aap pair ki growth ka andaza sirf correction ke framework ke andar laga sakte hain. Important! Buy karne se pehle ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar ho aur barhna shuru kar raha ho.
Scenario number 2: Main aaj USD/JPY ko do consecutive tests ke baad buy karne ka bhi plan kar raha hoon agar 144.16 price level test hota hai jab MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ke downward potential ko limit karega aur market mein reversal upwards ki taraf le aayega. Growth ke umeed opposite levels 144.52 aur 145.38 tak ki ja sakti hai.
Click image for larger version

USD/JPY currency pair ki price behavior ka tajziya karte hain. Iss waqt USD/JPY pair ka haal mushkil hai samajhna. Iske bawajood, hum dekh rahe hain ke price ka rujhan upar ki taraf hai. Kal, yeh pair 149 ke upar close hua, lekin yeh zyada yen par dabao ke sabab tha, na ke dollar ki taqat ki wajah se, jo ke thoda si kamzori dikhata raha. Yeh baat bhi qaabil-e-zikar hai ke pair ne 149.34 ka target area chhu liya tha, lekin iske upar mazboot qadam jamane mein nakam raha. Kuch log isko ek ghalat breakout samajh sakte hain, lekin main is level par khareedari ki sifarish nahi karta. Agar hum dobara 149.29 area ko dekhein, toh main wahan se bechne ka sochunga, kyun ke stop-loss kam rahe ga.

Jab ek wazeh direction saamne aayegi, toh main foran action loonga, ya toh khareedari karunga ya phir bechunga, yeh depend karega ke kaunsa boundary cross hone ka imkaan zyada hai.

Upward trend jari hai, lekin uski raftaar ahista hoti ja rahi hai. Price abhi bhi Ichimoku Cloud ke upper boundary ke upar consolidate kar rahi hai, lekin yeh iske bohot door nahi gayi. Aik factor jo aur khareedari ko support kar raha hai, woh yeh hai ke price 149.00 ke level ke upar apni position banaye hue hai, jo ke 149.59 ki taraf izafa la sakta hai. Lekin mazeed growth ka imkaan abhi bhee ghair yaqini hai, kyun ke is level se correction hone ka imkaan hai. Agar price 149.59 se rebound karti hai, toh main is pair ko bechunga aur 147.01, 146.30 aur 145.94 ko target karunga. Buyers ko zaroori hai ke price ko is level se neeche girne na dein, warna momentum sellers ke haq mein ja sakta hai, jo price ko 143.51 ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

Hourly chart par CCI indicator ne khareedari ka signal diya hai, lekin mujhe pichlay jummah ko aisa koi signal nazar nahi aaya. Price kuch arsay se 149.00 aur 149.59 ke darmiyan chal rahi hai, is liye main wait karunga ke yeh range ka breakout ho, phir hi main apni position mein dakhil hoon ga.

USD/JPY pair ka analysis MACD indicator ke sath chaar ghantay ke chart par ek notable divergence ko dikha raha hai. Yeh divergence ek convergence phase ke bajaye ek mumkinah girawat ka ishara kar raha hai, jo ke price ke collapse ka imkaan zahir karta hai. Magar yeh girawat tabhi mumkin hai agar price 148.96 se niche chali jaye aur chaar ghantay ki candle close ho. Iss waqt price 149.13 ke qareeb hai, aur main tawakku karta hoon ke yeh downward move Asian trading session mein Monday ko markets ke khulne ke baad samnay aaye. EMA (8/5) aur MACD indicators dono buy signals de rahe hain, isliye ek chhoti consolidation ke baad main ek bullish move ki umeed karta hoon.

Daily chart par USD/JPY ki price mein lagataar girawat dekhi gayi, aur yeh 148.382 ke support level ke qareeb close hui. Agar price is support se niche close hoti, toh main mazeed girawat ki tawakku karta jo ke 147.432 ke target tak jati. Magar price ne is support se upar close kiya, isliye main ne Friday ko upward movement ko tarjeeh di, aur 149.712 par resistance ka target rakha. Mera forecast durust sabit hua, aur bullish candle 149.712 ke qareeb close hui baghair in levels ko test kiye.

Monday ke liye, mera outlook mazeed izafa ka hai, jahan resistance 150.777 ka agla target ho sakta hai. Girawat tabhi mumkin hogi agar price 148.382 ke niche close kare. Daily time frame ko dekhte huye, yeh wazeh hai ke bulls ab bhi mazboot position mein hain, aur apni positions ko mazeed aage barhane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Price 1/2 angle ke upar hai aur 144.60 ke 50% support level se upar barqarar hai, jo ke ek upward trend ka ishara kar raha hai aur market mein bears ki kamzori ko zahir karta hai.

Is Tuesday ko, USD/JPY market ko aik baray challenge ka samna hoga, jab price 143.00 ke level par qaim rehne ki koshish karega. Agar yeh support level barqarar rehta hai, to bulls ke liye price ko upar dhakelne ka mauqa banega, jahan target 144.00 ka hoga. Agar price 144.00 ke level se upar jata hai, to aglay targets 144.70 aur 145.00 ho sakte hain. Lekin agar price 143.00 ke level se neeche gir jata hai, to bears ko mazid price neeche le jane ka acha mauqa mil jayega. Is surat mein pehla target 142.60 hoga, phir 142.00 ka hoga. Agar yeh level bhi toot jata hai, to 141.50 aur 141.30 ke levels expose ho sakte hain.

Daily trading chart abhi upside ki taraf signal de raha hai, aur mein expect karta hoon ke price us hisaab se move karega.

Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price movements ka tajziya karte hain. Mujhe four-hour chart par buying ka aik acha mauqa nazar aa raha hai. Abhi ka price 142.168 hai, jo aik potential entry point offer kar raha hai. Profit-taking ka target 145.450 hai, jo buyers ke continued support ke saath achieve ho sakta hai. Jumma ko clearing campaign ke baad, future growth ka chance tha, lekin Monday aur Wednesday ko call options tak rise nahi ho saka. Monday ke next option ki comfort zone current se teen strikes upar hai, jo future growth ke liye aik acha indicator hai.

Support side par, bulls ne 146.40 ke aas-paas kuch stability paayi hai, jahan unhone highs aur lows establish kiye hain jo unko madad de rahe hain. Yeh price level bohot critical hai; agar pair 146.40 se neeche girta hai, to yeh signal hoga ke sellers ne control le liya hai, aur mazid bearish movement ka chance barh sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar bulls 147.06 ka resistance level cross kar lete hain, to buying ka aik scenario ban sakta hai, jo ek possible bullish reversal ka indication dega. Traders in key levels ko closely monitor kar rahe hain strength ya weakness ke signs ke liye, kyun ke ek breakout naye trading opportunities ko khol sakta hai.

Hum is waqt USD/JPY currency pair ka tajzia kar rahay hain, aur yeh wazeh hai ke yeh pair 141.51 ke support level se rebound kar ke mazid mazbooti dikhayi hai. Jab ke yeh pair upar ki taraf chal raha hai, 148.04 ka resistance level ahem hai kyun ke yeh daimi tor par mazeed izafa ko rok raha hai. Agar yeh price is resistance ko toor deti hai, to yeh 148.72 tak barh sakti hai, jahan stop-loss 147.40 par tajwez di gayi hai. Is surat mein, 149.33 ka target set karna munasib hai, jiske baad ek correction ho sakta hai jo price ko 146.2 tak le aye, jahan se long positions lene ka mauqa milega. Technical indicators is move ki himayat kar rahay hain.Agla Mangal ko, USD/JPY market ek ahem mor par hogi jab yeh 148.00-149.29 range ke ooper apni position barqarar rakhne ki koshish karegi. Yeh zone, khaaskar bulls ke liye, ahem hai jo ke price ke aglay direction ka faisla karegi. Agar price is range ke ooper qaim rahti hai, to bulls ko mazeed izafa karne ka momentum mil sakta hai. 147.90 ka support level bhi dekhne layak hai, agar price is level ke ooper rehti hai to bulls ke paas 148.00 ka psychological mark hit karne ka mauqa hoga. 148.00 ka level bohat ahem hai, aur isay cross karna mazeed upper levels jaise 148.70 aur 149.63 tak rasta khol sakta hai.Un traders ke liye jo long positions lena chahte hain, yeh resistance levels intehai ahem honge. Agar price in resistance points ko toor kar close hoti hai, to yeh market mein mazeed bullish momentum ka ishara hogi. Lekin agar price 149.00 se neeche girti hai, to yeh ek reversal ya kam az kam short-term retracement ka ishara ho sakta hai. Aise mein, 147.90 ka support level dekhna zaroori hoga. Agar yeh support bhi breach hoti hai, to market mein gehri correction ka imkaan hai aur neeche ke levels test kiye ja sakte hain.

JPY pair ne Asian session mein tight range mein trade kiya, jo ke kal ke closing levels ke qareeb tha. Monday ko yen dollar ke muqable mein weak hua aur is movement ka sabab Federal Reserve ke aanay walay meeting ke hawalay se expectations hain jo Wednesday ko hone wala hai. Pair ne pichlay hafte ke aakhri dino mein girawat ke baad ek correction phase mein dakhil hone ki koshish ki. Main nahi samajhta ke yeh growth continue karegi kyun ke yen ki demand abhi bhi kaafi zyada hai. Aaj pair US markets ke khulne ka intezar karegi aur important data bhi US se aane wala hai jo ke currency markets mein significant volatility ko janam de sakta hai. Pehle aaday din mein kisi barae movement ka imkaan nahi lagta aur correction upper side tak ja sakta hai, magar overall dekha jaye to downward trend wapas aane ki umeed hai. Reversal point 141.35 par expect kiya ja raha hai aur main is level ke niche sell karunga, jahan targets 139.85 aur 139.35 par set hain. Dusra scenario yeh ho sakta hai ke pair rise kare, 141.35 ka mark break kare aur merge kare, phir raste khul jayenge 141.65 aur 141.85 levels tak. BOJ ki policy rate aur press conference bhi sellers ke liye madadgar sabit hui hai, lekin abhi bhi buyers ka pressure market par hai. Is liye bullish journey wapas shuru hosakti hai. Hamein news strategy ka istamal karna chahiye aur market ko technical tor par bhi analyze karna chahiye kyun ke yeh tareeqa traders ko data ko gehraai se samajhne mein madad deta hai aur market dynamics mein tabdeeliyan anticipate karne ka moka deta hai. Global view rakhnay walay traders samajhte hain ke US monetary stance mein tabdeeliyon ka asar international economies, commodities, aur equities par kis tarah hota hai, jo ke diverse investment strategies ke liye mouqe paida karta hai. Main expect karta hoon ke USD/JPY market resistance zone 142.75 ko cross karega. FOMC member Harker ka speech, jo higher interest rates ko signal karta hai, emerging markets ke liye challenges khara kar sakta hai jo ke foreign capital inflows par depend karti hain. Jab capital US mein higher-yielding assets ki taraf flow karta hai during tighter monetary policy periods, to emerging markets par pressure parhta hai. Agar dovish stance adopt kiya gaya to yeh emerging markets par pressure ko kam karega aur global risk appetite ko boost karega. FOMC member Harker ka speech closely watched hoga kisi bhi hint ke liye jo Fed ke approach ke hawalay se ho, khaaskar balance sheet management aur quantitative tightening ke pace ke bare mein. Fed ki balance sheet reduction, jo assets ko sell karne par mabni hai, bhi ek important factor hai.

The USD/JPY currency pair has retraced some gains, stabilizing above the 149.00 level during Monday's Asian trading session. The market is encountering fresh supply, leading to a cautious trading environment due to ongoing geopolitical risks. Nevertheless, the strength of the US dollar, influenced by upcoming holidays in both Japan and the US, may help mitigate any significant declines.

From a technical standpoint, USD/JPY's recent movement above the 50-day simple moving average for the first time since mid-July, as well as acceptance above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement levels from July to September, favors bullish sentiment. Additionally, oscillators on the daily chart are gaining positive momentum and remain far from overbought territory, indicating that the path of least resistance is likely upward. Should the pair experience any declines, they are expected to attract new buyers, especially near the critical 148.00 level. If this level is breached, it could trigger technical selling, pushing USD/JPY toward 147.00, with intermediate support around 147.35.

On the upside, the round figure of 149.00 is currently acting as an immediate resistance level, while the overnight high sits in the range of 149.55-149.60. If this barrier is surpassed, bulls may set their sights on the psychological mark of 150.00. A break above this level could further propel momentum towards the 50% Fibonacci retracement level, located around 150.75-150.80.

On Friday, the Japanese yen weakened against the US dollar, halting a brief recovery from its lowest levels since early August. Comments from Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba regarding monetary policy, along with a decline in real wages for the first time in three months and slowing domestic spending, have raised doubts about the Bank of Japan’s plans for a potential rate hike. This uncertainty has contributed to the yen's weakness, allowing the USD/JPY pair to attract buyers amid a modest rise in the dollar.

Despite concerns about the Federal Reserve’s potential interest rate cuts due to labor market signs, traders remain skeptical about further aggressive policy easing, providing some support to the USD/JPY pair. However, a softer risk tone limits the safe-haven yen's losses, which may cap the currency pair’s upward movement ahead of the US producer price index data to be released later this week. Overall, the fundamental backdrop suggests an upward trajectory for the USD/JPY pair in the near term.

Charting Success: USD/JPY Prices

Chaliye, USD/JPY currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya karte hain. Halanki abhi halat samajhna mushkil hai, lekin humein overall upward movement dekhne ko mil rahi hai. Kal, yeh pair 149 ke upar band hui, lekin yeh zyadah tar yen par pressure ki wajah se tha, jabke dollar ki strength minimal thi aur thodi si kami bhi dekhi gayi. Yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke pair 149.34 target area tak pahuncha lekin iske upar mazboot position banaane mein nakam raha. Jabke kuch log ise false breakout samajh sakte hain, main in levels par kharidne ki sifarish nahi karunga. Magar agar hum 149.29 area tak wapas aate hain, to main bechne ka sochunga kyunki stop-loss kam hoga. Jab bhi ek wazeh direction nazar aayegi, main foran kharid ya bechne ka amal karunga, jo bhi boundary mukhtasir nazar aayegi.

Upar ki taraf ka trend ab bhi jari hai, lekin iski raftar dheemi hoti ja rahi hai. Price Ichimoku Cloud ke upper boundary ke upar consolidate ho rahi hai, lekin isne isse zyada door nahi chhoda. Aik wajah jo further buying ko support kar rahi hai woh yeh hai ke price 149.00 level ke upar hai, jo 149.59 tak ke liye izafa kar sakta hai. Magar, is level se aage barhne ki sambhavna uncertain hai, kyunki is level se correction aane ki bhi sambhavna hai. Agar price 149.59 se rebound hoti hai, to main pair bechne ka plan banata hoon, targeting 147.01, 146.30, aur 145.94. Buyers ko yeh yaad rakhna chahiye ke agar price is level se neeche chali gayi, to momentum sellers ki taraf shift ho jayegi, jo price ko 143.51 ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Hourly chart par, CCI indicator ek buying opportunity ka signal de raha hai, lekin main ne pichle Jumme ko aise koi signal nahi dekha. Price ab kaafi arse se 149.00 aur 149.59 ke beech hai, isliye main breakout ka intezar karunga is range se pehle position lene ke liye.

The USD/JPY currency pair is poised for a potential upward movement, having recently rebounded from the support level at 141.51. This rise has been ongoing, yet the key resistance level at 148.04 continues to impede further progress. If the price successfully breaks through this resistance, we could see USD/JPY rise towards 148.72, with a stop-loss set at 147.40. In this scenario, targeting 149.33 appears reasonable, although a subsequent correction may bring the pair back to around 146.20. Such a pullback could present an opportunity to enter long positions, supported by favorable technical indicators.

As we approach Tuesday, the USD/JPY market faces a critical challenge in maintaining its position within the 148.00-149.29 range. This zone is crucial for determining the next likely direction of price movement, particularly for bullish traders. Sustaining prices above this range could empower the bulls to push higher. One significant level to monitor is the 147.90 support. If the price remains above this support, it could bolster the bulls' confidence, driving the pair toward the psychological threshold of 148.00.

The importance of the 148.00 level cannot be overstated, as it serves as a key psychological barrier. A successful break above this level would pave the way for further gains, particularly toward 148.70 and 149.63, which are historically significant resistance zones. If the price surpasses these levels, it would signal a continuation of bullish momentum in the market. For traders looking to take long positions, these resistance points are essential milestones to consider.

However, the market's direction will heavily depend on the bulls' ability to maintain control over key support levels. If the price falls below the 149.00 mark, it could indicate a potential reversal or at least a short-term retracement. A dip below this level might weaken bullish sentiment and allow bearish traders to step in, potentially driving the price lower. In this context, traders should closely monitor the next support level at 147.90. A breach of this support could signal a deeper correction in the market, with the possibility of testing lower levels.

In summary, while there are promising signs for an upward movement in USD/JPY, traders should remain vigilant and prepared for potential corrections that could impact their positions. The interplay between resistance and support levels will be critical in shaping the market's trajectory in the coming days.

The analysis of the USD/JPY currency pair reveals significant price behavior leading up to Thursday. On that day, the pair experienced a steady decline on the daily chart, closing near the support level of 148.380. The price did not break below this threshold, which was crucial; had it done so, further declines toward 147.430 would have been anticipated on Friday. However, since the price remained above 148.380, there was a reasonable expectation for growth, which materialized as the pair moved toward the resistance level of 149.710. This prediction proved accurate, with the bullish candle closing around that resistance level, although it did not fully test it. For Monday, the expectation is for continued upward movement towards the resistance level of 150.775. A downward trend would only be confirmed if the price closes below 148.380, emphasizing a cautious trading strategy that, while potentially yielding lower profits, carries considerably less risk.

Another important observation is the noticeable price deceleration near the local resistance at 149.570. This raises questions about whether this level will serve as a cap for bullish momentum or if the price will push toward higher range resistance. Throughout the week, bulls attempted to break through this resistance level but faced challenges, managing only a minor double test before retreating. The resistance tests can be interpreted in various ways, but one clear takeaway is that if the pair trades below the weekly trend line, any upward movement is likely to be a corrective recovery within the prevailing daily trend. This situation suggests that selling opportunities may arise near the trend line.

In this context, the potential formation of the right shoulder of a "Head and Shoulders" reversal pattern is worth noting, with the neckline positioned around the significant support area of 140. An aggressive entry point could be identified if the right shoulder forms as expected. However, a more traditional approach would recommend waiting for a confirmed break below the neckline before initiating any selling positions.

In summary, while the USD/JPY pair has shown bullish potential in recent sessions, careful observation of key levels is essential. The current price behavior indicates that traders should remain vigilant, particularly around the 148.380 support and 149.570 resistance levels. The formation of a potential reversal pattern could provide strategic trading opportunities, but caution is warranted, especially if bearish signals emerge. Traders should be prepared to adapt their strategies based on price action and the broader market context.

USD/JPY ne Monday ke Asian trading mein 149.00 ke uper apni gains retrace karte hue qaim rakhi hain. Yeh pair nayi supply ka samna kar raha hai, jab ke markets mein geopolitical risks ki wajah se ehtiyat ke sath trading ho rahi hai. Halankeh, Japan aur US mein chuttiyon ke darmiyan US dollar ki mazbooti downside ko kam kar sakti hai. Technical perspective se dekha jaye to guzishta hafte ka 50-day simple moving average ke uper pehli baar mid-July ke baad se move aur July-September ke Fibonacci retracement levels ke 38.2% ke uper acceptance bulls ke haq mein jata hai. Is ke ilawa, daily chart ke oscillators positive momentum gain kar rahe hain aur abhi overbought territory se door hain, jo ke is baat ka ishara dete hain ke USD/JPY pair ke liye sab se kam resistance ka rasta upside mein hai. Isliye, kisi bhi aglay decline par naye buyers attract hone ka imkaan zyada hai aur price 148.00 ke mark ke qareeb limited rehni chahiye. Agar yeh mark break hota hai, to kuch technical selling ho sakti hai jo USD/JPY pair ko 147.00 mark aur 146.50 area ki taraf le ja sakti hai, jab ke 147.35 par ek intermediate support dekhne ko milegi. Dosri taraf, 149.00 ka round figure ab foran resistance ka kaam karega, jo ke overnight high ke qareeb 149.55-149.60 region mein hoga, jahan se bulls psychological 150.00 mark ko regain karne ki koshish karenge. Momentum mazeed barh kar 50% Fibonacci level ke qareeb 150.75-150.80 region tak jasakta hai.

Japanese yen ne Friday ko US dollar ke muqable mein girawat dekhi, jo ke kal ke recovery ko cut off karta hai, jo ke early August ke lowest level se hui thi. Japan ke Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba ke blunt monetary policy comments, Japan ke real wages ka pehli dafa 3 mahine mein girna, aur domestic spending ka slow hona saath hi raw material costs se price pressure ke kam hone ke asaraat ne Bank of Japan ke rate hike plans par shak paida kar diya hai. Yeh sab Japanese yen ko kamzor karte hain aur USD/JPY pair ko buyers attract karne mein madad dete hain jab ke US dollar mein ek modest rise dekha gaya. Agarche Federal Reserve ke interest rates ko cut karne ka aitmaad hai amid signs of labor market weakness, traders ne mazeed aggressive policy easing ka imkaan khatam kar diya hai. Yeh USD ke corrective pullback ko Thursday ko chuhay hue two-month peak se rokne mein madad karta hai aur USD/JPY pair ko support deta hai. Yahan tak keh, softer risk tone safe-haven yen ke losses ko limit karta hai aur currency pair ko US producer price index ke aane tak restrict kar sakta hai. Phir bhi, fundamental backdrop yeh suggest karta hai ke spot prices ke liye sab se kam resistance ka rasta upside mein hai.

yeh short-term upward movement ko shuru kar sakta hai jo key resistance areas tak jaa sakta hai. Pehla target short-term downtrend line par 158.00 hoga, jiske baad 159.30-160.05 ka limit zone aata hai. Yeh zone ahmiyat rakhta hai, sirf key resistance area hone ki wajah se nahi, balki is liye bhi ke yeh 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ko bhi shamil karta hai, jo downtrend ke start se 175.37 tak calculate hota hai aur low 154.40 tak extend karta hai. 155.15 ka level EUR/JPY ke liye ek critical support point hai. Yeh level multiple dafa test ho chuka hai aur pehle se downward movement ke against ek mazboot defense ka kaam kar chuka hai. Agar price is level par buying interest paata hai, to yeh ek rebound ko trigger kar sakta hai jo higher levels tak retracement ka moka de sakta hai. Support levels, jaise ke 155.15, aksar wo points hote hain jahan traders expect karte hain ke price girna band kar de aur shayad reverse ho, demand ke confluence ki wajah se. Agar yahan se bounce hota hai, to yeh is baat ki nishani ho sakti hai ke buyers wapas market mein aa rahe hain aur pair ko higher resistance areas tak push kar sakte hain. Is ke ilawa, support ki taqat 155.15 par is baat se bhi tasdeek hoti hai ke yeh level doosray technical indicators ke saath bhi milta hai, jaise ke momentum oscillators mein oversold conditions (e.g. RSI). Agar upward movement hoti hai, to pehla target short-term downtrend line par 158.00 ho sakta hai. Yeh level is liye significant hai ke yeh wo point hai jahan bearish trend ya to continue karega ya phir aur reversal ka moka paida karega. Downtrend line ek dynamic resistance ka kaam karti hai, jo waqt ke saath downward move karti rehti hai. Agar price is level ko approach karta hai, to traders ghore se dekhenge ke kya yeh break hoga ya reject. Agar price downtrend line ke upar break karti hai, to yeh bearish momentum ke kamzor hone ki nishani hogi, aur yeh ek larger correction ka aghaaz kar sakta hai jo higher levels ki taraf jaa sakta hai. Lekin, agar price is level par reject hota hai, to yeh bearish trend ko aur reinforce kar sakta hai aur pair ko phir se lower levels ki taraf dhakel sakta hai. EUR/JPY ke liye 155.15 support level par ek potential bounce traders ke liye ek dilchasp mauqa paish karta hai, kyun ke yeh short-term upward movement ka aghaaz kar sakta hai jo key resistance areas ki taraf ja sakta hai. Pehla notable target short-term downtrend line par 158.00