usd/jpy

USD/JPY Market Movements

Hum USD/JPY ke price changes ka jaiza lenge. Mujhe USD/JPY pair ke liye price decline ki umeed hai kyunke four-hour chart par MACD indicator ke saath ek notable divergence hai. Yeh divergence aik mumkinah girawat ka ishara de raha hai, na ke convergence phase ka, jo price collapse ka ehtimal dikhata hai. Magar yeh girawat tabhi sambhav hai jab price 148.96 ke neeche four-hour candle ke saath close ho. Filhal 149.13 ke level se, mujhe umeed hai ke yeh downward move Asian trading session mein Monday ko market khulte hi shuru hoga. Dono EMA (8/5) aur MACD indicators buy signals de rahe hain. Isliye, kuch der ke liye consolidation ke baad, mujhe umeed hai ke jaldi hi bullish move dekhne ko milega.

USD/JPY daily chart par, price ne poore din ke dauran musalsal girawat ki, aur yeh 148.382 support level ke qareeb close hui. Agar yeh support ke neeche close hoti, toh mujhe 147.432 ki taraf aur girawat ki umeed hoti. Lekin, kyunki price is level ke upar close hui, mujhe Friday ko upward movement par zyada zor dena pada, jiska aim 149.712 par resistance tha. Meri forecasting sahi thi, kyunki bullish candle ne 149.712 ke qareeb close kiya bina in levels ko test kiye.

Monday ke liye, mera outlook continued growth ki taraf hai, jiska agla target 150.777 par resistance hai. Girawat tabhi sambhav hai agar price 148.382 ke neeche close hoti. Daily time frame ko dekhte hue, yeh saaf hai ke bulls ab bhi mazboot hain aur apni positions ko aage badhane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Price 1/2 angle ke upar hai aur 50% support level 144.60 ke upar rah raha hai, jo upward trend ka ishara hai aur market mein bears ki kamzori ko dikhata hai.

USD/JPY Price Action Forecast

Hum filhal USD/JPY currency pair ke price assessment ka jaiza le rahe hain. Mujhe umeed hai ke USD/JPY upar ki taraf barh sakta hai, kyunki ye 141.51 ke support level se rebound hua hai. Yeh saaf hai ke pair kuch arse se barh raha hai, lekin 148.04 ek key resistance bana hua hai, jo aage barhne mein rukawat daal raha hai. Agar price is level ko todti hai, to hum USD/JPY ko 148.72 ki taraf barhte dekh sakte hain, jahan 147.40 stop-loss level rahega. Is scenario mein, 149.33 ko target karna ek samajhdari ka kaam lagta hai, uske baad pair reverse hokar 146.2 tak gir sakta hai. Ye correction ek achi mauqa de sakti hai long positions mein enter karne ke liye, aur technical indicators is move ko support karte hain.

Manufacturing PMI 50-point mark se neeche raha, jo activity mein contraction ka ishaara deta hai, jisse yen gir gaya aur kal se chal rahe bullish dollar market ko jaari rakha. Lekin, yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke hum bearish trend mein hain, aur jitna zyada pair upar jaata hai, utna hi bada sellers market mein waapas aane ka khatra barh jaata hai. Intraday strategy ke liye, main zyada tar Scenarios #1 aur #2 par amal karne par tawajjoh doonga.

**Buy Signal**

**Scenario #1:** Aaj, main USD/JPY kharidne ka plan bana raha hoon jab yeh entry point ke aas paas 144.52 tak pahunche (chart par green line). Iska target level 145.38 hoga (chart par thick green line). 145.38 level par, main buy positions ko exit karne aur opposite direction mein sell positions kholne ka plan bana raha hoon (is level se 30-35 pips ke movement ka aim rakhta hoon). Aap aaj pair ke growth ki ummeed sirf correction ke framework mein kar sakte hain. **Important!** Kharidne se pehle ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark se upar ho aur rise kar raha ho.

**Scenario #2:** Main aaj USD/JPY kharidne ka plan bana raha hoon agar 144.16 price level ko do consecutive baar test kiya jaye jab MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ki downward potential ko limit karega aur market ko upar ki taraf reverse karne ka sabab banega. 144.52 aur 145.38 ki taraf growth ki ummeed ki ja sakti hai.

**USD/JPY Ka Tajziya**

Dollar aur yen ka hourly chart dekhte hain to itwaar ko pichla hafta ek girawat ke saath shuru hua. Yeh 148.636 ka support tod kar is level ke neeche consolidate hua. Yeh 147.102 ke support ki taraf bechne ka signal tha. Mera khayal hai ke yeh bechne ka signal Tuesday ko kaam kiya, halanke price ne is support ko nahi chua, lekin yeh adha rasta tay kar chuki thi. Price in marks ke nazdeek se bounce hui aur 148.384 ka resistance tak pahunch gayi. Yeh resistance tod kar 151.738 ke resistance ki taraf bechne ka signal mila. Yeh bechne ka signal ab bhi relevant hai, kyunki Thursday ko price ne breakout confirm kiya aur is level par wapas aayi. Aur Friday ko, price poore din range mein trade hoti rahi. Yeh signal Monday ke liye kharidne ke liye relevant hai, jo 151.738 ka resistance hai. Sirf yeh hi cheez kharid ko cancel karegi agar price 148.636 ke support ke neeche chale jaye aur wahan consolidate ho.

Hourly chart par, mujhe lagta hai ke pair ek ascending channel ke andar move kar raha hai. Friday ko, price is channel ki upper border se ghooma aur neeche ki taraf chalne lagi. Ab yeh mumkin hai ke Monday se pair girawat jari rakhe aur price is channel ki lower border, jo ke 148.65 level hai, tak pahunch jaye. Jab yeh level tak pohanchti hai, agar price is channel se neeche nikalti hai, toh pair girawat ko jari rakhegi. Aur yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke price channel ki lower border se ghoome aur upper border ki taraf, jo ke 149.48 level hai, chalne lage.

Hum is waqt USD/JPY currency pair ki current price assessment ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Mujhe umeed hai ke USD/JPY upar move karega, kyun ke ye 141.51 ke support level se rebound kar chuka hai. Yeh wazeh hai ke pair kuch arsay se barh raha hai, lekin 148.04 ek key resistance bana hua hai jo mazeed progress ko rok raha hai. Agar price is level ko break kar leta hai, to hum dekh sakte hain ke USD/JPY 148.72 ki taraf barhega, jahan 147.40 ko stop-loss level rakha jayega. Is scenario mein 149.33 ko target karna reasonable lagta hai, jiske baad pair reverse ho sakta hai aur 146.2 tak gir sakta hai. Yeh correction ek acha moka de sakta hai long positions enter karne ka, aur technical indicators is move ko support karte hain. Manufacturing PMI 50-point mark se neeche raha, jo activity mein contraction ko indicate karta hai, jis ki wajah se yen girta raha, aur bullish dollar market kal se barqarar hai. Lekin, yaad rakhnay wali baat yeh hai ke hum bearish trend mein hain, aur jitna upar pair jata hai, utni hi zyada chances hain ke big sellers wapas market mein aayen. Intraday strategy ke liye, main zyada reliance Scenario #1 aur #2 implement karne par karoon ga. Buy Signal Scenario number 1: Aaj main plan kar raha hoon ke USD/JPY ko us entry point par buy karoon jo 144.52 ke qareeb ho (chart par green line ke sath). Target level 145.38 hoga (chart par mote green line ke sath). Jab price 145.38 level tak pohnchay ga, main buy positions ko exit kar ke opposite direction mein sell positions open karoon ga (is level se 30-35 pips ka movement opposite direction mein expect kiya jata hai). Aap pair ki growth ka andaza sirf correction ke framework ke andar laga sakte hain. Important! Buy karne se pehle ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar ho aur barhna shuru kar raha ho.
Scenario number 2: Main aaj USD/JPY ko do consecutive tests ke baad buy karne ka bhi plan kar raha hoon agar 144.16 price level test hota hai jab MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ke downward potential ko limit karega aur market mein reversal upwards ki taraf le aayega. Growth ke umeed opposite levels 144.52 aur 145.38 tak ki ja sakti hai.
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USD/JPY currency pair ki price behavior ka tajziya karte hain. Iss waqt USD/JPY pair ka haal mushkil hai samajhna. Iske bawajood, hum dekh rahe hain ke price ka rujhan upar ki taraf hai. Kal, yeh pair 149 ke upar close hua, lekin yeh zyada yen par dabao ke sabab tha, na ke dollar ki taqat ki wajah se, jo ke thoda si kamzori dikhata raha. Yeh baat bhi qaabil-e-zikar hai ke pair ne 149.34 ka target area chhu liya tha, lekin iske upar mazboot qadam jamane mein nakam raha. Kuch log isko ek ghalat breakout samajh sakte hain, lekin main is level par khareedari ki sifarish nahi karta. Agar hum dobara 149.29 area ko dekhein, toh main wahan se bechne ka sochunga, kyun ke stop-loss kam rahe ga.

Jab ek wazeh direction saamne aayegi, toh main foran action loonga, ya toh khareedari karunga ya phir bechunga, yeh depend karega ke kaunsa boundary cross hone ka imkaan zyada hai.

Upward trend jari hai, lekin uski raftaar ahista hoti ja rahi hai. Price abhi bhi Ichimoku Cloud ke upper boundary ke upar consolidate kar rahi hai, lekin yeh iske bohot door nahi gayi. Aik factor jo aur khareedari ko support kar raha hai, woh yeh hai ke price 149.00 ke level ke upar apni position banaye hue hai, jo ke 149.59 ki taraf izafa la sakta hai. Lekin mazeed growth ka imkaan abhi bhee ghair yaqini hai, kyun ke is level se correction hone ka imkaan hai. Agar price 149.59 se rebound karti hai, toh main is pair ko bechunga aur 147.01, 146.30 aur 145.94 ko target karunga. Buyers ko zaroori hai ke price ko is level se neeche girne na dein, warna momentum sellers ke haq mein ja sakta hai, jo price ko 143.51 ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

Hourly chart par CCI indicator ne khareedari ka signal diya hai, lekin mujhe pichlay jummah ko aisa koi signal nazar nahi aaya. Price kuch arsay se 149.00 aur 149.59 ke darmiyan chal rahi hai, is liye main wait karunga ke yeh range ka breakout ho, phir hi main apni position mein dakhil hoon ga.

USD/JPY pair ka analysis MACD indicator ke sath chaar ghantay ke chart par ek notable divergence ko dikha raha hai. Yeh divergence ek convergence phase ke bajaye ek mumkinah girawat ka ishara kar raha hai, jo ke price ke collapse ka imkaan zahir karta hai. Magar yeh girawat tabhi mumkin hai agar price 148.96 se niche chali jaye aur chaar ghantay ki candle close ho. Iss waqt price 149.13 ke qareeb hai, aur main tawakku karta hoon ke yeh downward move Asian trading session mein Monday ko markets ke khulne ke baad samnay aaye. EMA (8/5) aur MACD indicators dono buy signals de rahe hain, isliye ek chhoti consolidation ke baad main ek bullish move ki umeed karta hoon.

Daily chart par USD/JPY ki price mein lagataar girawat dekhi gayi, aur yeh 148.382 ke support level ke qareeb close hui. Agar price is support se niche close hoti, toh main mazeed girawat ki tawakku karta jo ke 147.432 ke target tak jati. Magar price ne is support se upar close kiya, isliye main ne Friday ko upward movement ko tarjeeh di, aur 149.712 par resistance ka target rakha. Mera forecast durust sabit hua, aur bullish candle 149.712 ke qareeb close hui baghair in levels ko test kiye.

Monday ke liye, mera outlook mazeed izafa ka hai, jahan resistance 150.777 ka agla target ho sakta hai. Girawat tabhi mumkin hogi agar price 148.382 ke niche close kare. Daily time frame ko dekhte huye, yeh wazeh hai ke bulls ab bhi mazboot position mein hain, aur apni positions ko mazeed aage barhane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Price 1/2 angle ke upar hai aur 144.60 ke 50% support level se upar barqarar hai, jo ke ek upward trend ka ishara kar raha hai aur market mein bears ki kamzori ko zahir karta hai.