USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

JPY pair ne haali mein 144.53 ke ahem support level ko break kiya, jo downtrend ke jari rehne ki nishani hai. Is breakout ke baad, pair mein 99 points ki girawat dekhi gayi, jis ke baad buyers ne koshish ki ke price ko 144.53 ke resistance level par wapas le aayein. Ye ek mazboot moka ho sakta hai sell positions open karne ke liye, jahan potential target range 140-141 tak girawat ka ho sakta hai. Magar agar pair 144.53 level se rebound karta hai, toh recovery 146.38 ke agle target tak ja sakti hai. Hourly chart par, ek ascending channel flag pattern jesa lagta hai, jo ek nayi downtrend ki imkaniyat ko suggest karta hai. Dusri taraf, H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein trade kar raha hai, jahan recent bounce lower boundary se dekha gaya hai. Agar price 144.49 ke upar break karta hai, toh buying strategy ka target 145.69 par ho sakta hai.

Thursday ko Japanese yen apne 14 maheenay ke sab se neeche level par aa gaya US dollar ke muqable mein, aur 140.41 par pohanch gaya. Ye decline market ke broader trend ka hissa hai, jahan yen kamzor hota ja raha hai, khaaskar Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki monetary policy mein tabdeeli ke baad. BoJ ne zyada hawkish stance adopt karte hue interest rates ko 0.25% tak barhaya, jo yen carry trades ke unwinding ka sabab bana. Iske ilawa, yen ko "Yenterventions" ne bhi support kiya, jiski wajah se ye multi-decade lows se 12.5% recover kar gaya.

Filhal, market sentiment yen ke gird BoJ ki policy changes, market interventions, aur global economic factors se shape ho raha hai. Baray picture ko dekhte hue, USD/JPY ka downtrend jari rehne ka imkaan hai kyun ke pair apne uptrend ko break kar chuka hai. Agar trend reverse nahi hota, toh ek significant correction ki imkaniyat hai, jo pair ko 140.50 ke level tak ya isse neeche le ja sakti hai. Technical taur par, pair apne current levels par stabilize kar sakta hai, isse pehle ke dobara upar janay ki koshish kare, halan ke US dollar ke liye ek market-wide correction ka bhi tawaqo hai

Jab ek currency pair 144.00 level ke qareeb aata hai, yeh traders ke liye aksar ek psychological barrier ban jata hai. Agar yeh level break ho jata hai, toh yeh market sentiment mein ek tabadli ko zahir kar sakta hai, jo ek short-covering rally ko trigger kar sakta hai. Short-covering tab hoti hai jab wo traders jo currency pair ke against bet karte hain (yaani short positions lete hain), apni positions close karna shuru karte hain jab prices upar jati hain. Yeh buying pressure momentum create kar sakta hai jo price ko upar le jaye, aur shayad agle resistance area tak pohcha de jo 144.55 hai.
144.55 level is liye crucial hai kyun ke yeh ek short-term resistance point ko represent karta hai jise traders ghoor se dekh rahe honge. Agar price is level tak pohchti hai aur rejection ka samna karti hai, toh yeh profit-taking ya renewed selling pressure ka sabab ban sakta hai, jo rally ke dauran hasil ki gayi gains ko reverse kar sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar pair is level ko convincingly break kar leta hai, toh yeh further buying interest ko attract kar sakta hai, jo ek ziada strong bullish trend ko suggest karta hai.

Lekin, traders ko longer-term upward trend mein confidence tab hoga jab currency pair key resistance level 145.60 ko overcome karega. Yeh level is liye significant hai ke pehle bhi price reversals is level par dekhne ko mile hain. 145.60 mark par shayad sellers ka intezar hoga jo market ke overextended hone ko dekhte hue profit kamaana chahte honge. Is liye yeh level aksar ziada trading volume aur heightened volatility ko dekhta hai.

Trading mein psychological aspect ko underestimate nahi karna chahiye. Resistance levels jaise 145.60 aksar traders ko apni positions par doobara sochne par majboor karte hain, jo market activity ko barha dete hain jab wo price movements par react karte hain. Agar pair 145.60 ko break kar leta hai, toh yeh ek significant momentum shift ko zahir kar sakta hai, jo further upward movement ka sabab ban sakta hai. Wo traders jo pehli rally miss kar chuke hain, shayad positions lein, anticipating ek bullish continuation

jisme buyers ne price ko wapas 144.53 ke resistance level tak push kiya. Iss point par sell positions open karna behthreen move ho sakta hai, aur 140-141 range ki taraf mazeed girawat ka target set kiya ja sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar pair 144.53 resistance level se rebound karta hai, toh recovery jaari reh sakti hai, aur agla target 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart mein ek ascending channel dikhai de raha hai jo flag pattern se milta julta hai, jo is baat ka ishara karta hai ke downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin H4 chart par, pair ek descending channel mein move kar raha hai aur abhi uski lower boundary se bounce hua hai. Agar price 144.49 se break hoti hai, toh 145.69 ka target rakhte hue buying strategy viable ho sakti hai. Friday ko Japanese Yen (JPY) ne US Dollar (USD) ke against 14-mahinon ka low touch kiya, jo 140.41 tha. Ye girawat zyada market trend ka hissa hai jahan JPY kamzor ho raha hai, zyada ter Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke monetary policy changes ki wajah se. BoJ ne recently apni policy ko hawkish banate hue interest rates ko 0.25% tak barhaya, jisse Yen carry trade ka unwinding hua. Yen ko support "Yenterventions" ke zariye bhi mila, jo multi-decade lows se recover karte hue 12.5% barh gaya USD ke against. Abhi ka market sentiment Yen ke hawale se monetary policy changes, market interventions, aur global economic factors ka aik pechida mix darshata hai. Yen ka Mustaqbil Yen ka historic lows se recovery aur recent USD ke against movements currency markets ki fluid nature aur policymakers ke liye challenges ko highlight karti hain. BoJ ki monetary policy ka mustaqbil abhi bhi unsure hai, Jahan officials ne mazed rate hikes ka ishara diya hai. Lekin isko cautious approach kiya ja raha hai, heightened market volatility ki wajah se. Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki ne zor diya ke BoJ market conditions ko closely monitor karega, lekin monetary policy ke hawale se koi bhi faislay BoJ ke ikhtiyar mein . Ye setup ek mazid strong bullish movement ke potential ko dikhata hai. Ab tak, bullish momentum ne MA 50 aur MA 100 ko break kar diya hai, aur meri umeed hai ke is hafte MA 200 ko bhi break karega. Agar aisa hota hai to ye confirm karega ke USD/JPY ka trend officially bearish se bullish mein shift ho gaya hai. Is daur mein buy options par tawajju dena samajhdari hogi kyunki mujhe lagta hai ke USD/JPY H4 timeframe par MA 200 ko break karega, jo trend reversal ko confirm karega. H4 timeframe mein bullish movements ka ghalib hona ek solid bullish trend pattern ko janam de raha hai, jo ek aage barhne wale trend ko

Japanese yen (JPY) ne Wednesday ko apne neeche ke rujhan ko jaari rakha aur US dollar (USD) ke muqable mein August 16 ke baad se sabse neeche ki satah ke qareeb pohoncha. Yeh girawat zyada tar kamzor Japanese iqtisadi data, Japan ke naye wazir-e-azam ke hawkish comments, aur Hezbollah aur Israel ke darmiyan mumkina ceasefire ki wajah se hui. Iske ilawa, US dollar mazid taqatwar ho gaya kyunkay Federal Reserve ke zyada aggressive easing ke chances kam ho gaye. Tuesday ko release hone wale data ke mutabiq Japan mein asal (real) ujrat August mein do mahine tak barhane ke baad gir gayi, jabke gharelu kharch (household spending) bhi kam hua. Is se private consumption aur kul iqtisadi recovery ke istemal ke barey mein tashweesh barh gayi. Yeh kamzor iqtisadi indicators yen par aur zyada dabao ka sabab banay. Iske ilawa, Japan ke naye wazir-e-azam ke monetary policy ke barey mein hawkish comments ne Bank of Japan ke rate barhane ke munsoobe mein shakhsiyat (uncertainty) barhayi. Yeh remarks yen par dabao ka aik aur sabab bane. Doosri taraf, US dollar mazid mazboot ho gaya jab Federal Reserve ke zyada aggressive easing ke chances kam ho gaye. Is tabdeeli ne US dollar ko support diya aur USD/JPY pair ko mid-148.00 ke range se upar pohoncha diya. Lekin yen ke mazid kamzor hone ke hawale se ab bhi shak baqi hai kyunkay Japanese authorities apni local currency ko support karne ke liye mudakhlat kar sakti hain. Iske ilawa, agle Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ka ijlas bhi USD/JPY pair ko asar andaz kar sakta hai. Technical perspective se dekha jaye to USD/JPY pair ne pichlay haftay 50-day simple moving average (SMA) ke break karne ke bawajood kuch stability dikhayi hai. Yeh is baat ki nishani hai ke haali satah par kharidari ki dilchaspi ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, pair ne 148.00 ke qareeb kaafi stability hasil ki hai, jo aik aham support level hai. Daily chart par oscillators bhi positive momentum dikhate hain, jo ke USD/JPY pair ke liye bullish trend ka imkaan hai. Lekin, agar pair 149.00 ke level ko break kar le to yeh mazid bullish outlook ko zahir kar sakta hai aur psychological 150.00 level tak barh sakta hai. Agar pair overnight swing lows (qareeban 147.35-147.30 area) se neeche girta hai to yeh qareebi bullish bias ko kamzor kar sakta hai aur 146.00-145.90 area tak girawat ka sabab ban sakta hai.

### Invest Social ke tamam members ko shaam bakhair!

Umeed hai ke aap sab khair maqdam hain aur is platform par apne tajurbe ka lutf utha rahe hain. Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ka kareeb se jaiza lenge, khaas taur par H4 time frame par. Yeh time frame un logon ke liye ahem hai jo darmiyani muddat ki trading strategies ko pasand karte hain, kyunki yeh chhote time frames ke muqablay mein market ki harakat ka zyada comprehensive nazara faraham karta hai.

Iss waqt, USD/JPY market ek aham mor par pohanch raha hai. 150.10 ka key resistance level mazbooti se qaim hai, aur yeh joڑا ab tak is aham threshold ko toڑne mein kamiyab nahi ho saka. Yeh resistance level pichle chand sessions mein kai martaba test kiya gaya, lekin har koshish ko selling pressure ka samna karna pada, jis ki wajah se price mein halka sa wapas aana dekha gaya.

Tajir (traders) ke darmiyan aik ahem sawal yeh hai ke kya USD/JPY joڑا is hafte ooncha ja kar 150.10 ke resistance ko toڑ sakta hai? Halankeh yeh ab tak nahi hua, lekin is mumkinat ka jaiza lene ke liye kuch aham asbab par ghor karna zaroori hai.

### Techniki Tajziya

Techniki pehlu se, H4 chart par moving averages ahem raahnumai faraham kar sakte hain. Agar qaleed muddat ki moving averages, jaise 20-period ya 50-period averages, ooncha ki taraf jhukne lagein aur lambi muddat ki moving averages ko paar kar lein, to yeh ek bullish signal hoga, jo yeh dikhata hai ke ooncha jaane ki lehra ban rahi hai.

Is ke ilawa, agar Relative Strength Index (RSI) neutral ya thodi si overbought territory mein qaim rahta hai, to yeh is baat ki nishani ho sakti hai ke price mein mazeed izafa ka mauqa hai pehle is ke ke koi correction aaye.

### Amrici Dollar ki Taqat

Amrici dollar ki aam taqat aik ahem pehlu hai. Dollar ne haal hi mein doosri badi currencies ke muqablay mein kaafi mazbooti dikhayi hai, jo ke positive economic data aur Federal Reserve ki taraf se mazeed tightening ki umeed ki wajah se hai. Agar Amrici ma'ashi manzar qalam behtar rehata hai, aur mustaqbil mein interest rate mein izafe ki speculation barhti hai, to yeh USD/JPY ko 150.10 resistance ko toڑne ke liye zaroori momentum faraham kar sakta hai.

### Mumkinat ki Taqreer

Agar USD/JPY joڑا ab tak 150.10 ke resistance level ko nahi toڑ saka hai, to is hafte izafa ka mauqa ab bhi maujood hai. Tajir ko chahiye ke woh dono techniki ishaaron aur kisi bhi ahem ma'ashi waqiat ya khabron par nazar rakhain jo currency pair par asar انداز ho sakti hain.

Agar dollar ki taqat barqarar rahti hai aur yen kamzor rehta hai, to aik breakout ka hona mumkin hai, lekin central bank ki mubahisat ki wajah se ehtiyaat baratna zaroori hai.

### Khatarat aur Intezaam

Bazaar ki taraqqi par nazar rakhein, aur hamesha munasib khatrey ka intezaam karte rahein. Yeh bohot zaroori hai ke tajir apne sarmayakari ke faislon mein munazzam rahein aur bazaar ke tabdeelion ka munasib jawab dein.

USD/JPY ke mojuda halat ke tahqiqat karte waqt, humein bazaar ke buniyaadi asbab jaise ke ma'ashi data, markazi bank ki policies, aur global siyasi halat ka bhi khayal rakhna chahiye. Yeh tamaam asbab joڑے ki simt aur qeemat mein tabdeelion par asar انداز ho sakte hain.

### Ikhtitam

Aakhirat tajziye mein, USD/JPY joڑا aik aham mor par hai. 150.10 ki resistance level aik bara challenge bani hui hai, lekin bazaar ke aam halat aur techniki ishaaron ki buniyad par, mumkinah brekout ki umeed maujood hai.

Tajir ko is hafte ke doran bazaar ki harakat aur ma'ashi khabron par dhiyan dena chahiye. Apne sarmayakari ke faisle karte waqt musalsal andaz aur hikmat amal apnana na bhoolain. Is tarah, aap na sirf apne mumkinah nuqsanat ko kam kar sakenge balki apne munafa ko bhi behtar bana sakenge.

Aap sab ko trading ke liye achi tamannahain!

bearish leg bars 144.10 ke aas-paas ke original resistance level par banay hain, jo ke aik potential decline ka ishara de rahe hain. Bank of Japan (BOJ) ne apni interest rate ko 0.25 se kam par barqarar rakhne ka elan kiya hai. Yeh faisla yeh dikhata hai ke BOJ apni mojooda monetary policy ko barqarar rakh raha hai, jo ke yen ki strength ko mutasir kar sakta hai. Is bunyadi surat-e-haal mein, USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend ke chances zyada dikhayi dete hain. Iske ilawa, hourly chart par aik bearish engulfing pattern bhi dekha gaya hai, jo ke mazeed downtrend ki tasdeeq karta hai. In signals ko dekhte huye, mujhe lagta hai ke aglay haftay USD/JPY ka trend neeche ki taraf rahega. Mera pehla target lagbhag 50 points ka decline hai, spread ko chhod kar, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke is mein aur bhi nuksaan ka imkaan hai Bearish outlook ke bawajood, USD/JPY pair ne hal hi mein 20 din ka high 144.50 par touch kiya. Sellers ne control lene ki koshish ki, lekin wo price ko neeche dhakelne mein kaamyab nahi ho sake. Main ne ek ahem support area 143.49 aur 143.77 ke darmiyan dekha hai, jo ke price ko ooncha rakhne mein significant raha hai. Magar, jab market close ke qareeb tha, toh asset ko resistance barqarar rakhne mein mushkilat hui, aur double tops aur bottoms 15-minute chart par nazar aaye. Agar price 143.49 se neeche break karti hai, toh yeh current correction ke khatam hone ka ishara hoga aur selling interest ko attract karega. Wapas, agar USD/JPY 144.50 se ooper close hota hai, toh mein apni selling position se nikal jaunga. Relative Strength Indicator (RSI) abhi 50.00 mark ke neeche 47 par hai, jo ke bullish momentum mein kamzori ka ishara de raha hai, aur asset ek descending channel ke upper boundary tak pohanch chuka hai. In factors ko dekhte huye, mujhe lagta hai ke USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend ho g a Is waqt, mein 0.14 lots ki short trade kar raha hoon jo ke floating loss

mojooda monetary policy ko barqarar rakh raha hai, jo ke yen ki strength ko mutasir kar sakta hai. Is bunyadi surat-e-haal mein, USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend ke chances zyada dikhayi dete hain. Iske ilawa, hourly chart par aik bearish engulfing pattern bhi dekha gaya hai, jo ke mazeed downtrend ki tasdeeq karta hai. In signals ko dekhte huye, mujhe lagta hai ke aglay haftay USD/JPY ka trend neeche ki taraf rahega. Mera pehla target lagbhag 50 points ka decline hai, spread ko chhod kar, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke is mein aur bhi nuksaan ka imkaan hai Bearish outlook ke bawajood, USD/JPY pair ne hal hi mein 20 din ka high 144.50 par touch kiya. Sellers ne control lene ki koshish ki, lekin wo price ko neeche dhakelne mein kaamyab nahi ho sake. Main ne ek ahem support area 143.49 aur 143.77 ke darmiyan dekha hai, jo ke price ko ooncha rakhne mein significant raha hai. Magar, jab market close ke qareeb tha, toh asset ko resistance barqarar rakhne mein mushkilat hui, aur double tops aur bottoms 15-minute chart par nazar aaye. Agar price 143.49 se neeche break karti hai, toh yeh current correction ke khatam hone ka ishara hoga aur selling interest ko attract karega. Wapas, agar USD/JPY 144.50 se ooper close hota hai, toh mein apni selling position se nikal jaunga. Relative Strength Indicator (RSI) abhi 50.00 mark ke neeche 47 par hai, jo ke bullish momentum mein kamzori ka ishara de raha hai, aur asset ek descending channel ke upper

par jamaat (accumulation) isse aur neechey girne se rokta hai, toh ek corrective pullback ho sakta hai. Iss surat mein, price 140.62 se upar uth kar 143.43 level ki taraf ja sakti hai, jahan par accumulated trading volumes maujood hain, aur uss area ko test kar sakti hai. Agar yeh test fail ho jaye aur 143.43 resistance ka kaam kare, toh hum ek tezi se reversal dekh sakte hain jo price ko recent minimum se neechey le ja sakta hai. Aane walay ghanton mein, humein mumkin outcomes ko monitor karna hoga. Technical analysis, jo forex neural network se support hoti hai, ek upward movement ko suggest karti hai jo resistance level 143.61 tak ho sakti hai. Buyers ke paas momentum hai jo price ko barhane mein madad de sakta hai, aur yeh primary scenario ho sakta hai. Asia ki Friday trading session mein kaafi currency pairs mein volatility dekhi gayi, khaaskar Japanese yen ke mazid taqat paane ke baad jab Japan ke naye prime minister ka dobara election hua. Halankeh naye administration ki policies abhi tak clear nahi hain, lekin initial market reaction yen ke liye positive raha. USD/JPY pair bhi yeh trend follow karta hua 146.51 ke resistance level se 143.01 ke support level tak achanak gira, jismein 350 points ka nuqsan dekha gaya, aur phir 100 points aur gir ke 142.01 tak chala gaya. Friday ko market band hone par, yeh pair lagbhag 142.19 par set ho gaya, jabke Monday ko opening 143.92 par hui thi, is dauran lagbhag 173 points ka total drop dekha gaya. Is week kaafi aaram se guzar raha tha jab tak Friday ki volatility ne market ko apni lapet mein nahi le liya. Aajkal yen kaafi unpredictable hai, jabke pehle yeh ek safe-haven currency ke tor par jaana jata tha. Halankeh main concrete predictions denay se katrat karta hoon, lekin technical analysis ek aur decline ki taraf ishara kar rahi hai jo support level 140.01 tak ya shayad is se bhi neeche ja sakta hai.

jisme buyers ne price ko wapas 144.53 ke resistance level tak push kiya. Iss point par sell positions open karna behthreen move ho sakta hai, aur 140-141 range ki taraf mazeed girawat ka target set kiya ja sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar pair 144.53 resistance level se rebound karta hai, toh recovery jaari reh sakti hai, aur agla target 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart mein ek ascending channel dikhai de raha hai jo flag pattern se milta julta hai, jo is baat ka ishara karta hai ke downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin H4 chart par, pair ek descending channel mein move kar raha hai aur abhi uski lower boundary se bounce hua hai. Agar price 144.49 se break hoti hai, toh 145.69 ka target rakhte hue buying strategy viable ho sakti hai. Friday ko Japanese Yen (JPY) ne US Dollar (USD) ke against 14-mahinon ka low touch kiya, jo 140.41 tha. Ye girawat zyada market trend ka hissa hai jahan JPY kamzor ho raha hai, zyada ter Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke monetary policy changes ki wajah se. BoJ ne recently apni policy ko hawkish banate hue interest rates ko 0.25% tak barhaya, jisse Yen carry trade ka unwinding hua. Yen ko support "Yenterventions" ke zariye bhi mila, jo multi-decade lows se recover karte hue 12.5% barh gaya USD ke against. Abhi ka market sentiment Yen ke hawale se monetary policy changes, market interventions, aur global economic factors ka aik pechida mix darshata hai. Yen ka Mustaqbil Yen ka historic lows se recovery aur recent USD ke against movements currency markets ki fluid nature aur policymakers ke liye challenges ko highlight karti hain. BoJ ki monetary policy ka mustaqbil abhi bhi unsure hai, Jahan officials ne mazed rate hikes ka ishara diya hai. Lekin isko cautious approach kiya ja raha hai, heightened market volatility ki wajah se. Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki ne zor diya ke BoJ market conditions ko closely monitor karega, lekin monetary policy ke hawale se koi bhi faislay BoJ ke ikhtiyar mein . Ye setup ek mazid strong bullish movement ke potential ko dikhata hai. Ab tak, bullish momentum ne MA 50 aur MA 100 ko break kar diya hai, aur meri umeed hai ke is hafte MA 200 ko bhi break karega. Agar aisa hota hai to ye confirm karega ke USD/JPY ka trend officially bearish se bullish mein shift ho gaya hai. Is daur mein buy options par tawajju dena samajhdari hogi kyunki mujhe lagta hai ke USD/JPY H4 timeframe par MA 200 ko break karega, jo trend reversal ko confirm karega. H4 timeframe mein bullish movements ka ghalib hona ek solid bullish trend pattern ko janam de raha hai, jo ek aage barhne wale trend ko

JPY pair ne haali mein 144.53 ke ahem support level ko break kiya, jo downtrend ke jari rehne ki nishani hai. Is breakout ke baad, pair mein 99 points ki girawat dekhi gayi, jis ke baad buyers ne koshish ki ke price ko 144.53 ke resistance level par wapas le aayein. Ye ek mazboot moka ho sakta hai sell positions open karne ke liye, jahan potential target range 140-141 tak girawat ka ho sakta hai. Magar agar pair 144.53 level se rebound karta hai, toh recovery 146.38 ke agle target tak ja sakti hai. Hourly chart par, ek ascending channel flag pattern jesa lagta hai, jo ek nayi downtrend ki imkaniyat ko suggest karta hai. Dusri taraf, H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein trade kar raha hai, jahan recent bounce lower boundary se dekha gaya hai. Agar price 144.49 ke upar break karta hai, toh buying strategy ka target 145.69 par ho sakta hai.
Thursday ko Japanese yen apne 14 maheenay ke sab se neeche level par aa gaya US dollar ke muqable mein, aur 140.41 par pohanch gaya. Ye decline market ke broader trend ka hissa hai, jahan yen kamzor hota ja raha hai, khaaskar Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki monetary policy mein tabdeeli ke baad. BoJ ne zyada hawkish stance adopt karte hue interest rates ko 0.25% tak barhaya, jo yen carry trades ke unwinding ka sabab bana. Iske ilawa, yen ko "Yenterventions" ne bhi support kiya, jiski wajah se ye multi-decade lows se 12.5% recover kar gaya.

Filhal, market sentiment yen ke gird BoJ ki policy changes, market interventions, aur global economic factors se shape ho raha hai. Baray picture ko dekhte hue, USD/JPY ka downtrend jari rehne ka imkaan hai kyun ke pair apne uptrend ko break kar chuka hai. Agar trend reverse nahi hota, toh ek significant correction ki imkaniyat hai, jo pair ko 140.50 ke level tak ya isse neeche le ja sakti hai. Technical taur par, pair apne current levels par stabilize kar sakta hai, isse pehle ke dobara upar janay ki koshish kare, halan ke US dollar ke liye ek market-wide correction ka bhi tawaqo hai

Agar price is level tak pohchti hai aur rejection ka samna karti hai, toh yeh profit-taking ya renewed selling pressure ka sabab ban sakta hai, jo rally ke dauran hasil ki gayi gains ko reverse kar sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar pair is level ko convincingly break kar leta hai, toh yeh further buying interest ko attract kar sakta hai, jo ek ziada strong bullish trend ko suggest karta hai. Lekin, traders ko longer-term upward trend mein confidence tab hoga jab currency pair key resistance level 145.60 ko overcome karega. Yeh level is liye significant hai ke pehle bhi price reversals is level par dekhne ko mile hain. 145.60 mark par shayad sellers ka intezar hoga jo market ke overextended hone ko dekhte hue profit kamaana chahte honge. Is liye yeh level aksar ziada trading volume aur heightened volatility ko dekhta hai.
Trading mein psychological aspect ko underestimate nahi karna chahiye. Resistance levels jaise 145.60 aksar traders ko apni positions par doobara sochne par majboor karte hain, jo market activity ko barha dete hain jab wo price movements par react karte hain. Agar pair 145.60 ko break kar leta hai, toh yeh ek significant momentum shift ko zahir kar sakta hai, jo further upward movement ka sabab ban sakta hai. Wo traders jo pehli rally miss kar chuke hain, shayad positions lein, anticipating ek bullish continuation.

Doosri taraf, agar pair 145.60 resistance ko breach karne mein nakam hota hai aur retrace karna shuru karta hai, toh yeh ziada pronounced bearish sentiment ka sabab ban sakta hai. Is level par rejection stop-loss orders ko trigger kar sakti hai un traders se jo breakout ke liye position le chuke hain, jo price par downward pressure barha dega. Aisi surat mein, focus neeche support levels par shift hoga, jo currency pair ke agle direction ko determine karne mein pivotal role ada karenge

USD/JPY pair mein bullish movement ke zyada barqarar rehne ke imkaanat kaafi mazboot lag rahe hain. Mere H4 timeframe analysis ke mutabiq, ek detailed tasveer saamne aayi hai jo clear bullish trend pattern ko zahir karti hai, jo ke higher highs aur higher lows ke saath bana hai. Yeh setup ek aur mazid strong bullish movement ka ishara de raha hai. Ab tak, bullish momentum MA 50 aur MA 100 ko break kar chuka hai, aur mujhe umeed hai ke yeh is haftay MA 200 ko bhi tod dega. Agar aisa hota hai, toh yeh baat tasleem karli jayegi ke USD/JPY ka trend officially bearish se bullish mein shift ho chuka hai.

Yeh waqt hai buy options par tawajjo dene ka, kyunke mujhe lagta hai ke USD/JPY H4 timeframe par MA 200 ko break karega, jo ke trend reversal ka confirmation hoga. H4 timeframe par bullish movements ki dominance ne ek solid bullish trend pattern banaya hai, jo ke upward continuation ka imkaan de rahi hai. In conditions ko dekhte hue, ek strong directional signal mil raha hai. Buland bullish trend ki formation aur MA 50 aur MA 100 ke breakthrough ke baad, is waqt ek aur significant bullish movement ka trigger hone ka imkaan hai.

Weekly timeframe par candlestick pattern bhi yeh suggest karta hai ke USD/JPY ka bullish trend is haftay barqarar reh sakta hai. Agar yeh trend chalta raha, toh hum trading opportunities se faida utha sakte hain jo ke is dauran samnay aayengi. Humein hamesha alert rehna chahiye aur kisi bhi aane wali price fluctuations ka intezaar karna chahiye. Apne decisions ko doosre indicators aur key levels ke saath verify karna bhi zaroori hai taake accuracy ko badhaya ja sake aur kamiyabi ke chances mein izafa ho.

Is liye, USD/JPY ki progress par nazar rakhna zaroori hai aur jab mauqa mile toh action lene ke liye tayar rehna hoga. USD/JPY pair iss waqt bullish continuation ka signal de raha hai, khaaskar jab kal raat ke buying volume ne price ko 144.85 ke resistance area tak push karne ki koshish ki. Is scenario ko dekhte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke market ab bhi upar ki taraf push karne ki koshish kar raha hai, kyunke movement ab bhi upward phase mein hai.

Mere agle trading plan ke liye, main 145.16 area ke aas paas buy entry lene ka soch raha hoon. Market ke movement patterns ko analyze karte hue, khaaskar jo upward movement pichlay chand ghanton mein dekhne ko mili hai, yeh batati hai ke pair gains karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Halaankeh price increase ab tak zyada bara nahi hai, magar yeh dikha raha hai ke market upar ki taraf move karne ki koshish mein hai.

Aakhir mein, key resistance levels par close watch rakhna aur multiple indicators ko combine karna humein market ke agle move ka behtareen understanding dega.

Hum is waqt USD/JPY currency pair ki current price assessment ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Mujhe umeed hai ke USD/JPY upar move karega, kyun ke ye 141.51 ke support level se rebound kar chuka hai. Yeh wazeh hai ke pair kuch arsay se barh raha hai, lekin 148.04 ek key resistance bana hua hai jo mazeed progress ko rok raha hai. Agar price is level ko break kar leta hai, to hum dekh sakte hain ke USD/JPY 148.72 ki taraf barhega, jahan 147.40 ko stop-loss level rakha jayega. Is scenario mein 149.33 ko target karna reasonable lagta hai, jiske baad pair reverse ho sakta hai aur 146.2 tak gir sakta hai. Yeh correction ek acha moka de sakta hai long positions enter karne ka, aur technical indicators is move ko support karte hain. Manufacturing PMI 50-point mark se neeche raha, jo activity mein contraction ko indicate karta hai, jis ki wajah se yen girta raha, aur bullish dollar market kal se barqarar hai. Lekin, yaad rakhnay wali baat yeh hai ke hum bearish trend mein hain, aur jitna upar pair jata hai, utni hi zyada chances hain ke big sellers wapas market mein aayen. Intraday strategy ke liye, main zyada reliance Scenario #1 aur #2 implement karne par karoon ga.
Buy Signal Scenario number 1: Aaj main plan kar raha hoon ke USD/JPY ko us entry point par buy karoon jo 144.52 ke qareeb ho (chart par green line ke sath). Target level 145.38 hoga (chart par mote green line ke sath). Jab price 145.38 level tak pohnchay ga, main buy positions ko exit kar ke opposite direction mein sell positions open karoon ga (is level se 30-35 pips ka movement opposite direction mein expect kiya jata hai). Aap pair ki growth ka andaza sirf correction ke framework ke andar laga sakte hain. Important! Buy karne se pehle ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar ho aur barhna shuru kar raha ho.
Scenario number 2: Main aaj USD/JPY ko do consecutive tests ke baad buy karne ka bhi plan kar raha hoon agar 144.16 price level test hota hai jab MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ke downward potential ko limit karega aur market mein reversal upwards ki taraf le aayega. Growth ke umeed opposite levels 144.52 aur 145.38 tak ki ja sakti hai.

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Hum is waqt USD/JPY currency pair ki current price assessment ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Mujhe umeed hai ke USD/JPY upar move karega, kyun ke ye 141.51 ke support level se rebound kar chuka hai. Yeh wazeh hai ke pair kuch arsay se barh raha hai, lekin 148.04 ek key resistance bana hua hai jo mazeed progress ko rok raha hai. Agar price is level ko break kar leta hai, to hum dekh sakte hain ke USD/JPY 148.72 ki taraf barhega, jahan 147.40 ko stop-loss level rakha jayega. Is scenario mein 149.33 ko target karna reasonable lagta hai, jiske baad pair reverse ho sakta hai aur 146.2 tak gir sakta hai. Yeh correction ek acha moka de sakta hai long positions enter karne ka, aur technical indicators is move ko support karte hain. Manufacturing PMI 50-point mark se neeche raha, jo activity mein contraction ko indicate karta hai, jis ki wajah se yen girta raha, aur bullish dollar market kal se barqarar hai. Lekin, yaad rakhnay wali baat yeh hai ke hum bearish trend mein hain, aur jitna upar pair jata hai, utni hi zyada chances hain ke big sellers wapas market mein aayen. Intraday strategy ke liye, main zyada reliance Scenario #1 aur #2 implement karne par karoon ga.
Buy Signal Scenario number 1: Aaj main plan kar raha hoon ke USD/JPY ko us entry point par buy karoon jo 144.52 ke qareeb ho (chart par green line ke sath). Target level 145.38 hoga (chart par mote green line ke sath). Jab price 145.38 level tak pohnchay ga, main buy positions ko exit kar ke opposite direction mein sell positions open karoon ga (is level se 30-35 pips ka movement opposite direction mein expect kiya jata hai). Aap pair ki growth ka andaza sirf correction ke framework ke andar laga sakte hain. Important! Buy karne se pehle ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar ho aur barhna shuru kar raha ho.
Scenario number 2: Main aaj USD/JPY ko do consecutive tests ke baad buy karne ka bhi plan kar raha hoon agar 144.16 price level test hota hai jab MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ke downward potential ko limit karega aur market mein reversal upwards ki taraf le aayega. Growth ke umeed opposite levels 144.52 aur 145.38 tak ki ja sakti hai.

USD/JPY ka currency pair jo is waqt takreeban 149.92 par trade kar raha hai, bearish trend dikhata hai. Halanki is waqt market dheere chal rahi hai, lekin bohat se traders aur analysts agle kuch dinon mein aik khaas volatility ka intezaar kar rahe hain.
Bearish movement se yeh lagta hai ke Japanese yen, US dollar ke muqable mein mazid mazboot ho raha hai. Is trend ko barhawa dene wali kai wajoohat ho sakti hain. Pehli baat, Japan ka central bank aik loose monetary policy ko qaim rakha huwa hai, lekin kuch asraat dikh rahe hain ke wo dheere dheere tightening shuru kar sakte hain taake mehngai ko control kiya ja sake. Agar Bank of Japan aik zyada aggressive (hawkish) stance apnati hai, to yeh yen ke mazeed barhawa ka sabab ban sakta hai, jo USD/JPY ko aur neeche dhakel sakta hai.

Doosri taraf, US Federal Reserve ne inflation ko control karne ke liye interest rates ko tezi se barhaya hai. Magar, haal hi mein aayi hui economic data yeh dikhata hai ke inflation kaafi hadd tak kam ho rahi hai, jo Federal Reserve ko apne rate hikes dheema karne par majboor kar sakti hai. Rate hikes ka ruk jana ya aney wale dinon mein rate cuts ka imkan dollar ko kamzor kar sakta hai, jo USD/JPY par aur pressure daal sakta hai.

Ek aur waja jo USD/JPY mein movement la sakti hai, wo global economic uncertainty hai. Khaaskar Middle East ya Asia mein geostrategic tensions safe-haven buying ko badha sakti hain, jis se yen mazid mazboot ho sakta hai aur USD/JPY mein tez girawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Bar'aks, agar global front se positive khabrein aati hain, to dollar mazid taqatwar ho sakta hai aur USD/JPY ooper ja sakta hai.

USD/JPY ka technical analysis bhi ek mumkin breakout ko zahir karta hai. Yeh pair aik important support level ke qareeb hai, aur agar yeh us level se neeche girta hai, to ek tez decline ho sakta hai. Magar, agar yeh support se bounce back karta hai, to trend mein aik bara ulat pher dekhne ko mil sakta hai, jisme yeh pair ooper ki taraf ja sakta hai.

Akhir mein, jabke USD/JPY pair abhi neeche ki taraf trend kar raha hai aur dheere chal raha hai, traders ko agle kuch dinon mein bara volatility ka intezar karna chahiye. Central bank ki policies, US aur Japan ka economic data, aur global geopolitical events jaise factors market mein significant price movements ka sabab ban sakte hain. Aane wale dinon mein market apne sluggish phase se nikal kar aik bara upward ya downward move kar sakta hai, jo in factors ke basis par hoga.