usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Hum is waqt USD/JPY currency pair ki current price assessment ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Mujhe umeed hai ke USD/JPY upar move karega, kyun ke ye 141.51 ke support level se rebound kar chuka hai. Yeh wazeh hai ke pair kuch arsay se barh raha hai, lekin 148.04 ek key resistance bana hua hai jo mazeed progress ko rok raha hai. Agar price is level ko break kar leta hai, to hum dekh sakte hain ke USD/JPY 148.72 ki taraf barhega, jahan 147.40 ko stop-loss level rakha jayega. Is scenario mein 149.33 ko target karna reasonable lagta hai, jiske baad pair reverse ho sakta hai aur 146.2 tak gir sakta hai. Yeh correction ek acha moka de sakta hai long positions enter karne ka, aur technical indicators is move ko support karte hain. Manufacturing PMI 50-point mark se neeche raha, jo activity mein contraction ko indicate karta hai, jis ki wajah se yen girta raha, aur bullish dollar market kal se barqarar hai. Lekin, yaad rakhnay wali baat yeh hai ke hum bearish trend mein hain, aur jitna upar pair jata hai, utni hi zyada chances hain ke big sellers wapas market mein aayen. Intraday strategy ke liye, main zyada reliance Scenario #1 aur #2 implement karne par karoon ga. Buy Signal Scenario number 1: Aaj main plan kar raha hoon ke USD/JPY ko us entry point par buy karoon jo 144.52 ke qareeb ho (chart par green line ke sath). Target level 145.38 hoga (chart par mote green line ke sath). Jab price 145.38 level tak pohnchay ga, main buy positions ko exit kar ke opposite direction mein sell positions open karoon ga (is level se 30-35 pips ka movement opposite direction mein expect kiya jata hai). Aap pair ki growth ka andaza sirf correction ke framework ke andar laga sakte hain. Important! Buy karne se pehle ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar ho aur barhna shuru kar raha ho. Scenario number 2: Main aaj USD/JPY ko do consecutive tests ke baad buy karne ka bhi plan kar raha hoon agar 144.16 price level test hota hai jab MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ke

tha. Monday ko yen dollar ke muqable mein weak hua aur is movement ka sabab Federal Reserve ke aanay walay meeting ke hawalay se expectations hain jo Wednesday ko hone wala hai. Pair ne pichlay hafte ke aakhri dino mein girawat ke baad ek correction phase mein dakhil hone ki koshish ki. Main nahi samajhta ke yeh growth continue karegi kyun ke yen ki demand abhi bhi kaafi zyada hai. Aaj pair US markets ke khulne ka intezar karegi aur important data bhi US se aane wala hai jo ke currency markets mein significant volatility ko janam de sakta hai. Pehle aaday din mein kisi barae movement ka imkaan nahi lagta aur correction upper side tak ja sakta hai, magar overall dekha jaye to downward trend wapas aane ki umeed hai. Reversal point 141.35 par expect kiya ja raha hai aur main is level ke niche sell karunga, jahan targets 139.85 aur 139.35 par set hain. Dusra scenario yeh ho sakta hai ke pair rise kare, 141.35 ka mark break kare aur merge kare, phir raste khul jayenge 141.65 aur 141.85 levels tak. BOJ ki policy rate aur press conference bhi sellers ke liye madadgar sabit hui hai, lekin abhi bhi buyers ka pressure market par hai. Is liye bullish journey wapas shuru hosakti hai. Hamein news strategy ka istamal karna chahiye aur market ko technical tor par bhi analyze karna chahiye kyun ke yeh tareeqa traders ko data ko gehraai se samajhne mein madad deta hai aur market dynamics mein tabdeeliyan anticipate karne ka moka deta hai. Global view rakhnay walay traders samajhte hain ke US monetary stance mein tabdeeliyon ka asar international economies, commodities, aur equities par kis tarah hota hai, jo ke diverse investment strategies ke liye mouqe paida karta hai. Main expect karta hoon ke USD/JPY market resistance zone 142.75 ko cross karega. FOMC member Harker ka speech, jo higher interest rates ko signal karta hai, emerging markets ke liye challenges khara kar sakta hai jo ke foreign capital inflows par depend karti hain. Jab capital US mein higher-yielding assets ki taraf flow karta hai during tighter monetary policy periods, to emerging markets par pressure parhta hai. Agar dovish stance adopt kiya gaya to yeh emerging markets par pressure ko kam karega aur global risk

analysis hamaray liye aaj ka central topic hoga. USD/JPY ne trading week ko 146.69 ke area par correction ke sath khatam kiya, aur upward trend ko continue rakha. Halankeh moving averages bearish trend dikha rahe hain, lekin prices 145.01 ke mark se upar hold kar rahi hain, jo ke US dollar par intense buyer pressure ko indicate karta hai, aur yeh bhi ke current levels se growth ka potential maujood hai. Iss point par hum ek potential price correction ka intezar kar sakte hain, jo ke support level 145.01 ke qareeb test ho sakta hai. Agar is ke baad rebound hota hai, to yeh pair ko 150.01 ke level se upar le ja sakta hai. Lekin agar pair girta hai aur 145.01 ke neeche break karta hai, to yeh decline ko continue karne ka signal hoga, aur possible target 142.01 area ke neeche ho sakta hai. Bull ne trend line break hone ke baad dobara control lene ki koshish ki, lekin unki efforts sirf trend line ko neeche se test karne tak mehdoood rahi, aur koi significant breakthrough nahi ho saka.
Dosri taraf, agar bulls dobara trend line ko break karne mein kamyab ho jate hain aur uske upar position secure kar lete hain, to yeh global trend ki restoration ka signal de sakta hai. General movement of average prices neeche ki taraf hai, aur dynamic filter bhi downward trend ko follow kar raha hai. Pehle dynamic filter ki control line correction ko support de rahi thi, lekin ab daily candle patterns yeh suggest kar rahe hain ke sellers gradually momentum gain kar rahe hain. Oscillator windows ke indicators, jisme dynamic RSI bhi shamil hai, neeche ki taraf turn ho rahe hain, halankeh dynamic RSI abhi channel ke upper limit ke neeche cross nahi hui. Junior RSI bhi dheere dheere neeche shift ho rahi hai, jab ke day aur week RSI neeche hain, aur downward trend ke sath aligned hain.
Predict karna mushkil hai ke agli downward move mein price kitni neeche ja sakti hai, lekin sabse qareebi target 145.51 hai. Iske baad ka direction abhi uncertain hai
USD/JPY currency ki wave structure ko dekhen, toh direction ab kaafi clear hai ke yeh bearish trend mein hai. Jo waves ban rahi hain, wo impulsive waves hain, jo wave one ke shuru honay se start hoti hain. Wave one ke andar paanch waves hain aur wave three

mein bullish movement ka strong imkaan hai. Meri H4 timeframe ki analysis ke mutabiq, ek tafseeli tasveer samne aayi hai jo ye dikhati hai ke bullish movement ne ek wazeh bullish trend pattern bana liya hai, jo ke higher highs aur higher lows se pehchana ja sakta hai. Ye setup ek mazid strong bullish movement ke potential ko dikhata hai. Ab tak, bullish momentum ne MA 50 aur MA 100 ko break kar diya hai, aur meri umeed hai ke is hafte MA 200 ko bhi break karega. Agar aisa hota hai to ye confirm karega ke USD/JPY ka trend officially bearish se bullish mein shift ho gaya hai. Is daur mein buy options par tawajju dena samajhdari hogi kyunki mujhe lagta hai ke USD/JPY H4 timeframe par MA 200 ko break karega, jo trend reversal ko confirm karega. H4 timeframe mein bullish movements ka ghalib hona ek solid bullish trend pattern ko janam de raha hai, jo ek aage barhne wale trend ko dikhata hai. Meri raaye mein, ye haalaat ek strong directional signal faraham kar rahe hain. Buland bullish trend ke formation aur MA 50 aur MA 100 ke breakthrough ke bawajood, ye waqt ek aur significant bullish movement ko trigger karne ka potential rakhta hai. Weekly timeframe par candlestick pattern bhi ye suggest karta hai ke USD/JPY is hafte apna bullish trend barqarar rakhega. Agar ye trend jaari rehta hai, to hum trading opportunities se faida utha sakte hain jo is dauran samne aayengi. Humein hamesha kisi bhi price fluctuation par nazar rakhni chahiye jo ke aas paas ho sakta hai. Apne decisions ko doosray indicators aur key levels ke zariye verify karna zaroori hai taake hum apni accuracy ko barha sakein aur success ke chances ko mazid improve kar sakein. Is liye, zaroori hai ke hum USD/JPY ki progress par nazar rakhein aur jab moqa mile to fauran action len. USD/JPY pair is waqt bullish continuation ka signal de raha hai, khaaskar jab ke kal raat ke buying volume ne price ko 144.85 resistance area ki taraf push karne ki koshish ki thi. Iss scenario ke madde nazar, mera khayal hai ke market ab bhi upar janay ki koshish kar raha hai, kyunki movement ab bhi upward phase mein hai. Meri agli trading plan ke liye, main 145.16 ke aas paas buy entry ko consider kar raha hoon. Market ke movement patterns, khaaskar jo upward movement guzishta chand ghanton mein dekhi gayi hai, us se yeh lagta hai ke pair faida uthane ki koshish kar raha hai. Halaankeh price increase

Federal Reserve ke aanay walay meeting ke hawalay se expectations hain jo Wednesday ko hone wala hai. Pair ne pichlay hafte ke aakhri dino mein girawat ke baad ek correction phase mein dakhil hone ki koshish ki. Main nahi samajhta ke yeh growth continue karegi kyun ke yen ki demand abhi bhi kaafi zyada hai. Aaj pair US markets ke khulne ka intezar karegi aur important data bhi US se aane wala hai jo ke currency markets mein significant volatility ko janam de sakta hai. Pehle aaday din mein kisi barae movement ka imkaan nahi lagta aur correction upper side tak ja sakta hai, magar overall dekha jaye to downward trend wapas aane ki umeed hai. Reversal point 141.35 par expect kiya ja raha hai aur main is level ke niche sell karunga, jahan targets 139.85 aur 139.35 par set hain. Dusra scenario yeh ho sakta hai ke pair rise kare, 141.35 ka mark break kare aur merge kare, phir raste khul jayenge 141.65 aur 141.85 levels tak. BOJ ki policy rate aur press conference bhi sellers ke liye madadgar sabit hui hai, lekin abhi bhi buyers ka pressure market par hai. Is liye bullish journey wapas shuru hosakti hai. Hamein news strategy ka istamal karna chahiye aur market ko technical tor par bhi analyze karna chahiye kyun ke yeh tareeqa traders ko data ko gehraai se samajhne mein madad deta hai aur market dynamics mein tabdeeliyan anticipate karne ka moka deta hai. Global view rakhnay walay traders samajhte hain ke US monetary stance mein tabdeeliyon ka asar international economies, commodities, aur equities par kis tarah hota hai, jo ke diverse investment strategies ke liye mouqe paida karta hai. Main expect karta hoon ke USD/JPY market resistance zone 142.75 ko cross karega. FOMC member Harker ka speech, jo higher interest rates ko signal karta hai, emerging markets ke liye challenges khara

ne ek wazeh bullish trend pattern bana liya hai, jo ke higher highs aur higher lows se pehchana ja sakta hai. Ye setup ek mazid strong bullish movement ke potential ko dikhata hai. Ab tak, bullish momentum ne MA 50 aur MA 100 ko break kar diya hai, aur meri umeed hai ke is hafte MA 200 ko bhi break karega. Agar aisa hota hai to ye confirm karega ke USD/JPY ka trend officially bearish se bullish mein shift ho gaya hai. Is daur mein buy options par tawajju dena samajhdari hogi kyunki mujhe lagta hai ke USD/JPY H4 timeframe par MA 200 ko break karega, jo trend reversal ko confirm karega. H4 timeframe mein bullish movements ka ghalib hona ek solid bullish trend pattern ko janam de raha hai, jo ek aage barhne wale trend ko dikhata hai. Meri raaye mein, ye haalaat ek strong directional signal faraham kar rahe hain. Buland bullish trend ke formation aur MA 50 aur MA 100 ke breakthrough ke bawajood, ye waqt ek aur significant bullish movement ko trigger karne ka potential rakhta hai. Weekly timeframe par candlestick pattern bhi ye suggest karta hai ke USD/JPY is hafte apna bullish trend barqarar rakhega. Agar ye trend jaari rehta hai, to hum trading opportunities se faida utha sakte hain jo is dauran samne aayengi. Humein hamesha kisi bhi price fluctuation par nazar rakhni chahiye jo ke aas paas ho sakta hai. Apne decisions ko doosray indicators aur key levels ke zariye verify karna zaroori hai taake hum apni accuracy ko barha sakein aur success ke chances ko mazid improve kar sakein. Is liye, zaroori hai ke hum USD/JPY ki progress par nazar rakhein aur jab moqa mile to fauran action len. USD/JPY pair is waqt bullish continuation ka signal de raha hai, khaaskar jab ke kal raat ke buying volume ne price ko 144.85 resistance area ki taraf push karne ki koshish ki thi. Iss scenario ke madde nazar, mera khayal hai ke market ab bhi upar janay ki koshish kar raha hai, kyunki movement ab bhi upward phase mein hai. Meri agli trading plan ke liye, main 145.16 ke aas paas buy entry ko consider kar raha hoon. Market ke movement

wapas hasil kar liya hai aur qeemat ko neeche ki taraf dhakel rahe hain. Is trend ko madde nazar rakhte hue, ek aur sell position kholna jise short target 143.51 par ho, kal ke aane se pehle ek mozu strategy nazar aati hai. Yeh target mojudah descending force se faida uthate hue, ek munasib munafa hasil karne ka mauka deta hai jab ke aam market sentiment ke saath bhi ham ahang rahta hai. Is ke ilawa, mali indicators, central bank ke faislay, aur beyn-ul-aqwami soorat-e-haal bhi pair ke development par aham asar daal sakte hain. Waqt par maloomat se mutaliq rehne se traders ko apni position mein mozoon tabdiliyan karne aur apni strategy ko nayi maloomat ke tanazur mein mozoon rakhne ka mauka milta hai. Tawaqqo hai ke aane wale dinon mein qeemat ka rujhaan sellers ke haq mein rahega, jo ke nuqsan se niklne ke naye trend ko barhata rahega. Yeh samajhna ke USD/JPY ke market sentiment ko asalihiyat se navigate karna zaroori hai. Sentiment jaldi badal sakta hai, aur traders ko tayyar rehna chahiye ke wo tabdiliyon ka bar waqt jawab dein. Yeh is cheez ko samajhne ko bhi shamil karta hai ke kisi bhi mumkin reversal ke asar ya bazaar ke wasi' trend mein kisi bhi tabdeeli ko pehchanein jo USD/JPY pair ko mutasir kar sakta hai. Market ki updates aur sentiment ko sahih taur par samajh kar, traders apne aap ko mauqa' par faida uthane ya risk ko mitigate karne ke liye behtar taur par munsalik kar sakte hain Ittifaqan, USD/JPY ke sellers ne apne nuqsan ko cover karne mein aham taraqqi hasil ki hai, aur 149.40 zone tak pahunch gaye hain. Ek sell position jiska short target 143.51 ho, mozu hai, lekin economic conditions ke badalte hue halaat ke saath ham ahang rehne ke liye news aur sentiment ko barabar nazar mein rakhna bhi zaroori hai USD/JPY pair ne Tuesday ke European session ke shuruati hisse mein qadeem trend dikhaya, 143.00 ke qareeb trade karte hue. Magar, mazeed taqatwar bullish yaqeen ki kami yeh ishara kar rahi thi ke traders US inflation data ke aham hone ki wajah se khass positions lenay se gurez thay. Japanese Yen (JPY) Japan ke doosre trimester ke GDP ke neeche darust hone ke bazaher asarat ki wajah se press mein the, jabke US Dollar (USD) halki izafa dikha raha tha. Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke monetary policies mein ikhtilaaf ke wajah se investors ko aggressive bullish bets lagane se roka gaya, USD/JPY ke liye upside ko mehdud kar diya. Technical nazar se, USD/JPY pair ek short-term downtrend mein dikh raha tha, isse unhone haal hi mein ek descending channel ke ander giravat ka ishara diya. Ye negative outlook taqreeban naye chart ki daily chart par mojood oscillators ke gha

USD/JPY ki Price Action par Base: USD/JPY currency pair ki price action ka analysis hamaray liye aaj ka central topic hoga. USD/JPY ne trading week ko 146.69 ke area par correction ke sath khatam kiya, aur upward trend ko continue rakha. Halankeh moving averages bearish trend dikha rahe hain, lekin prices 145.01 ke mark se upar hold kar rahi hain, jo ke US dollar par intense buyer pressure ko indicate karta hai, aur yeh bhi ke current levels se growth ka potential maujood hai. Iss point par hum ek potential price correction ka intezar kar sakte hain, jo ke support level 145.01 ke qareeb test ho sakta hai. Agar is ke baad rebound hota hai, to yeh pair ko 150.01 ke level se upar le ja sakta hai. Lekin agar pair girta hai aur 145.01 ke neeche break karta hai, to yeh decline ko continue karne ka signal hoga, aur possible target 142.01 area ke neeche ho sakta hai. Bull ne trend line break hone ke baad dobara control lene ki koshish ki, lekin unki efforts sirf trend line ko neeche se test karne tak mehdoood rahi, aur koi significant breakthrough nahi ho saka.
Dosri taraf, agar bulls dobara trend line ko break karne mein kamyab ho jate hain aur uske upar position secure kar lete hain, to yeh global trend ki restoration ka signal de sakta hai. General movement of average prices neeche ki taraf hai, aur dynamic filter bhi downward trend ko follow kar raha hai. Pehle dynamic filter ki control line correction ko support de rahi thi, lekin ab daily candle patterns yeh suggest kar rahe hain ke sellers gradually momentum gain kar rahe hain. Oscillator windows ke indicators, jisme dynamic RSI bhi shamil hai, neeche ki taraf turn ho rahe hain, halankeh dynamic RSI abhi channel ke upper limit ke neeche cross nahi hui. Junior RSI bhi dheere dheere neeche shift ho rahi hai, jab ke day aur week RSI neeche hain, aur downward trend ke sath aligned hain.
Predict karna mushkil hai ke agli downward move mein price kitni neeche ja sakti hai, lekin sabse qareebi target 145.51 hai. Iske baad ka direction abhi uncertain hai
USD/JPY currency ki wave structure ko dekhen, toh direction ab kaafi clear hai ke yeh bearish trend mein hai. Jo waves ban rahi hain, wo impulsive waves hain, jo wave one ke shuru honay se start hoti hain. Wave one ke andar paanch waves hain aur wave three bhi waisi hi hai, jo sabse lambi wave hai. Lekin, jo structure sahi tarah se nazar nahi aa raha wo correction wave ka movement hai, yani wave two. Wave two ka movement flat hai aur zyadah monowave lagti hai. Jab ke wave four mein aik tezi se wave ka formation hota hai jo flat aur lamba lagta hai.

aaj ka central topic hoga. USD/JPY ne trading week ko 146.69 ke area par correction ke sath khatam kiya, aur upward trend ko continue rakha. Halankeh moving averages bearish trend dikha rahe hain, lekin prices 145.01 ke mark se upar hold kar rahi hain, jo ke US dollar par intense buyer pressure ko indicate karta hai, aur yeh bhi ke current levels se growth ka potential maujood hai. Iss point par hum ek potential price correction ka intezar kar sakte hain, jo ke support level 145.01 ke qareeb test ho sakta hai. Agar is ke baad rebound hota hai, to yeh pair ko 150.01 ke level se upar le ja sakta hai. Lekin agar pair girta hai aur 145.01 ke neeche break karta hai, to yeh decline ko continue karne ka signal hoga, aur possible target 142.01 area ke neeche ho sakta hai. Bull ne trend line break hone ke baad dobara control lene ki koshish ki, lekin unki efforts sirf trend line ko neeche se test karne tak mehdoood rahi, aur koi significant breakthrough nahi ho saka. Dosri taraf, agar bulls dobara trend line ko break karne mein kamyab ho jate hain aur uske upar position secure kar lete hain, to yeh global trend ki restoration ka signal de sakta hai. General movement of average prices neeche ki taraf hai, aur dynamic filter bhi downward trend ko follow kar raha hai. Pehle dynamic filter ki control line correction ko support de rahi thi, lekin ab daily candle patterns yeh suggest kar rahe hain ke sellers gradually momentum gain kar rahe hain. Oscillator windows ke indicators, jisme dynamic RSI bhi shamil hai, neeche ki taraf turn ho rahe hain, halankeh dynamic RSI abhi channel ke upper limit ke neeche cross nahi hui. Junior RSI bhi dheere dheere neeche shift ho rahi hai, jab ke day aur week RSI neeche hain, aur downward trend ke sath aligned hain.
Predict karna mushkil hai ke agli downward move mein price kitni neeche ja sakti hai, lekin sabse qareebi target 145.51 hai. Iske baad ka direction abhi uncertain hai
USD/JPY currency ki wave structure ko dekhen, toh direction ab kaafi clear hai ke yeh bearish trend mein hai. Jo waves ban rahi hain, wo impulsive waves hain, jo wave one ke shuru honay se start hoti hain

buyers ne kuch ground wapas hasil kiya aur price 144.53 ke resistance level tak wapas pohanch gaya. Is maqam par sell positions kholna behtar hoga, jahan target 140-141 range tak ka mazeed decline ho sakta hai. Agar pair 144.53 ke resistance se upar rebound karta hai, toh recovery ka silsila jari reh sakta hai, aur agla resistance level 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart par ek flag jesa ascending channel hai jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend phir se shuru ho sakta hai. H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur apne lower boundary se bounce back kiya hai. Agar price 144.49 ke level ko tor kar upar jata hai, toh buy karna aur target 145.69 rakhna aik viable strategy ho sakti hai. Aaj main USD/JPY ki price action ko closely dekh raha hoon. Haal hi mein kuch bearish pin bars 144.10 ke local resistance level par banay hain, jo ek mumkin decline ki nishandahi karte hain. Bank of Japan ne apni interest rate ko 0.25% se kam par barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya hai. Yeh faisla yeh zahir karta hai ke BOJ apni mojooda monetary policy ko continue kar raha hai, jo Yen ki strength par asar dal sakta hai. Is fundamental background ke hawalay se, USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend ka imkaan zyada lagta hai. Hourly chart par ek bearish engulfing pattern bhi nazar aya, jo downward move ka aur signal hai. In tamam signals ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mein agle haftay mein USD/JPY ko niche ki taraf dekh raha hoon. Mera pehla target lagbhag 50 points ka decline hai (spread ke baghair), lekin mazeed downside potential bhi mojood hai. Bearish outlook ke bawajood, USD/JPY ne hal hi mein 20 din ka high 144.50 touch kiya tha. Sellers ne control hasil karne ki koshish ki, lekin price ko effectively niche nahi le jaa paye. Maine ek ahem support area 143.49 aur 143.77 ke darmiyan dekha hai, jo prices ko elevated rakhta hai. Lekin market ke close ke qareeb, asset ne resistance ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkil ka samna kiya, aur double tops aur bottoms fifteen-minute chart par dekhay gaye. Jumlay se ye zahir hota hai ke USA mein economic growth ke hawalay se uncertainties ka asar USD/JPY ke price par par raha hai. Ueda ki ehtiyaati rhetoric ne 2024 level ko breach karne mein nakam hota hai, tou yeh bullish pressure ke kamzor honay ki nishani ho sakti hai. Yeh resistance level market ke liye ek psychological aur technical barrier ka kaam karta hai. Agar yeh breach na ho paya, tou traders apni long positions ko reduce kar sakte hain, jo ke pullback ka sabab ban sakta hai

USD/JPY currency pair abhi 146.24 par trade kar raha hai, jo ke market mein bearish trend ko reflect karta hai. Yeh downward movement dikhata hai ke Japanese yen US dollar ke muqable mein mazid taqat pakar raha hai, jo ke mukhtalif economic factors ki wajah se ho sakta hai. Traders aur analysts is situation ko qareebi taur par dekh rahe hain, kyun ke agar yeh trend barqarar raha, toh yeh market sentiment mein aik aham tabdeeli ki nishani ho sakti hai.

Is waqt bearish sentiment ka aik bara factor dono, United States aur Japan se aanay wala economic data hai. Haal ke reports se yeh baat saamne aayi hai ke US economy mein slowdown ka khatka hai, jo ke Federal Reserve ki monetary policy ke future faislon par sawaal utha raha hai. Dosri taraf, Japan ke economic indicators mazid behtari dikhate hain, jo yen par aitemaad barhane mein madadgar ho sakte hain.

Iske ilawa, geopolitical events aur global market ke halat bhi currency movements ko asar andaz karte hain. Koi bhi naya development, jaise ke trade negotiations, interest rate mein tabdeeli, ya investors ka mood badalne se USD/JPY pair mein volatility barh sakti hai. Traders jo potential changes ka intezar kar rahe hain, unke liye zaroori hai ke woh is tarah ke external factors se waqif rahein jo currency ke value ko asar daal sakte hain.

Halaanki abhi ka trend bearish hai, lekin bohat se market participants ka ye yaqeen hai ke aane wale dinon mein aik bara movement aasakta hai. Yeh movement kisi economic data release, central bank ki announcements, ya kisi aur ghair mutawaqqa event ki wajah se ho sakta hai. Forex trading mein shamil logon ke liye zaroori hai ke woh hamesha hoshiyar aur tayar rahein kisi bhi price fluctuations ke liye.

Agar price is level tak pohchti hai aur rejection ka samna karti hai, toh yeh profit-taking ya renewed selling pressure ka sabab ban sakta hai, jo rally ke dauran hasil ki gayi gains ko reverse kar sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar pair is level ko convincingly break kar leta hai, toh yeh further buying interest ko attract kar sakta hai, jo ek ziada strong bullish trend ko suggest karta hai. Lekin, traders ko longer-term upward trend mein confidence tab hoga jab currency pair key resistance level 145.60 ko overcome karega. Yeh level is liye significant hai ke pehle bhi price reversals is level par dekhne ko mile hain. 145.60 mark par shayad sellers ka intezar hoga jo market ke overextended hone ko dekhte hue profit kamaana chahte honge. Is liye yeh level aksar ziada trading volume aur heightened volatility ko dekhta hai.

Trading mein psychological aspect ko underestimate nahi karna chahiye. Resistance levels jaise 145.60 aksar traders ko apni positions par doobara sochne par majboor karte hain, jo market activity ko barha dete hain jab wo price movements par react karte hain. Agar pair 145.60 ko break kar leta hai, toh yeh ek significant momentum shift ko zahir kar sakta hai, jo further upward movement ka sabab ban sakta hai. Wo traders jo pehli rally miss kar chuke hain, shayad positions lein, anticipating ek bullish continuation.

Doosri taraf, agar pair 145.60 resistance ko breach karne mein nakam hota hai aur retrace karna shuru karta hai, toh yeh ziada pronounced bearish sentiment ka sabab ban sakta hai. Is level par rejection stop-loss orders ko trigger kar sakti hai un traders se jo breakout ke liye position le chuke hain, jo price par downward pressure barha dega. Aisi surat mein, focus neeche support levels par shift hoga, jo currency pair ke agle direction ko determine karne mein pivotal role ada karenge

koshish ki, jisme buyers ne price ko wapas 144.53 ke resistance level tak push kiya. Iss point par sell positions open karna behthreen move ho sakta hai, aur 140-141 range ki taraf mazeed girawat ka target set kiya ja sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar pair 144.53 resistance level se rebound karta hai, toh recovery jaari reh sakti hai, aur agla target 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart mein ek ascending channel dikhai de raha hai jo flag pattern se milta julta hai, jo is baat ka ishara karta hai ke downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin H4 chart par, pair ek descending channel mein move kar raha hai aur abhi uski lower boundary se bounce hua hai. Agar price 144.49 se break hoti hai, toh 145.69 ka target rakhte hue buying strategy viable ho sakti hai. Friday ko Japanese Yen (JPY) ne US Dollar (USD) ke against 14-mahinon ka low touch kiya, jo 140.41 tha. Ye girawat zyada market trend ka hissa hai jahan JPY kamzor ho raha hai, zyada ter Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke monetary policy changes ki wajah se. BoJ ne recently apni policy ko hawkish banate hue interest rates ko 0.25% tak barhaya, jisse Yen carry trade ka unwinding hua. Yen ko support "Yenterventions" ke zariye bhi mila, jo multi-decade lows se recover karte hue 12.5% barh gaya USD ke against. Abhi ka market sentiment Yen ke hawale se monetary policy changes, market interventions, aur global economic factors ka aik pechida mix darshata hai. Yen ka Mustaqbil Yen ka historic lows se recovery aur recent USD ke against movements currency markets ki fluid nature aur policymakers ke liye challenges ko highlight karti hain. BoJ ki monetary policy ka mustaqbil abhi bhi unsure hai, Jahan officials ne mazed rate hikes ka ishara diya hai. Lekin isko cautious approach kiya ja raha hai, heightened market volatility ki wajah se. Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki ne zor diya ke BoJ market conditions ko closely monitor karega, lekin monetary policy ke hawale se koi bhi faislay BoJ ke ikhtiyar mein . Ye setup ek mazid strong bullish movement ke potential ko dikhata hai. Ab tak, bullish momentum ne MA 50 aur MA 100 ko break kar diya hai, aur meri umeed hai ke is hafte MA 200 ko bhi break karega. Agar aisa hota hai to ye confirm karega ke USD/JPY ka trend officially bearish se bullish mein shift ho gaya hai. Is daur mein buy options par tawajju dena samajhdari hogi kyunki mujhe lagta hai ke USD/JPY H4 timeframe par MA 200 ko break karega, jo trend reversal ko confirm karega. H4 timeframe mein bullish movements ka ghalib hona ek solid bullish trend pattern ko janam de raha hai, jo ek aage barhne wale trend ko

اکتوبر 14 2024 کے لیے امریکی ڈالر/جاپانی ین کی پیشن گوئی

ین 149.38 کی سطح کے نیچے مستحکم ہو رہا ہے، جو ممکنہ اوپر کی طرف بریک آؤٹ کی نشاندہی کرتا ہے۔ تاہم، مارلن آسیلیٹر کے ساتھ انحراف برقرار رہتا ہے، جو استحکام کی اوپر کی صلاحیت کو بے اثر کرتا ہے۔



ہم نے 16 ستمبر کے بعد سے ہونے والے اضافے کو بینک آف جاپان کی مداخلتوں سے شروع کی گئی کمی کی اصلاح کے طور پر دیکھا ہے۔ یہاں تک کہ اگر قیمت 149.38 سے اوپر ٹوٹ جاتی ہے اور 150.83 تک پہنچ جاتی ہے، یہ صرف 50% کی واپسی کی نمائندگی کرے گی۔ صرف 150.83 سے اوپر کا استحکام 153.60 کا راستہ کھول دے گا۔ ابھی کے لیے، ہم توقع کرتے ہیں کہ قیمت 149.38 کی مزاحمتی سطح پر پلٹ جائے گی۔

چار گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت کو 149.38 لیول اور کِجون-سین لائن (جسے ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن بھی کہا جاتا ہے) کے ذریعے تخلیق کردہ ویج فارمیشن میں کمپریس کیا جا رہا ہے۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر، جو اب منفی علاقے میں ہے، قیمت میں کمی کا مشورہ دیتا ہے۔ تصدیق دی جائے گی اگر قیمت ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن سے نیچے، 148.74 کی سطح کے نیچے مضبوط ہو جاتی ہے۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

USD/JPY ka current price 148.80 ke aas paas hai. Kal yeh 149.33 level se gira tha, jo ke US Financial Department ki negative khabron ki wajah se hua. Aaj USD/JPY ke sellers ko in developments par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyun ke koi bhi unexpected news ya data release achanak reversal ka sabab ban sakta hai, jo risk aur mauqe dono de sakta hai. Economic calendars aur news feeds ko dekh kar bears apni trading strategies ko sahi tareeke se bana sakte hain. Agar future economic indicators kamzor economy ya disappointing corporate earnings ki taraf ishara karte hain, toh yeh sellers ke liye acha signal ho sakta hai, jo unhein profit ke liye zaroori momentum de sakta hai. Aaj dopehar mein sellers 148.66 support ko test kar sakte hain, aur sentiment ka bhi market movements par bara asar hota hai. Investors ka mood samajhna trading strategies banane mein zaroori hota hai. Agar market sentiment negative hai ya bearish trends chal rahe hain, toh yeh sellers ke liye ek acha mauqa ho sakta hai taake price ke girne ka faida utha sakein.
Sentiment indicators, Commitment of Traders (COT) report, ya social media sentiment analysis ko dekh kar market ki positioning ko samjha ja sakta hai, jo ke bears ki strategy mein madadgar sabit ho sakta hai. Aaj ke USD/JPY ke mahaul mein, bears ke paas kaafi mouqe hain taake woh market movements ka faida utha sakein. Agar wo sahi analysis aur strategy se kaam karein, toh profit banane ke mauqe barh jate hain. Yeh figures yeh batate hain ke Japan mein inflation abhi bhi ziddi taur par uncha hai, jo yeh ishara karta hai ke Bank of Japan (BoJ) apni 31 October ki meeting mein hawkish (sakht) rukh ikhtiyar karne wala hai. Is se pehle Bank of Japan ne is saal ke shuru mein investors ko hairaan kar diya jab us ne interest rates ko 0.10% barhaya aur negative rates se bahar nikla. Phir July ki meeting mein, unhon ne rates ko 0.25% barhaya, jo ke forex aur stock markets mein ek bari girawat ka sabab bana, kyun ke investors ne apne Japanese yen trades ko liquidate kar diya.