usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY

Main dollar-yen pair ko hourly chart par dekh raha hoon. Yahan ek downward trend channel tha, aur jab trend channel ki lower boundaries toot gayi, toh buyers ki taraf se volume aaya. Matlab, lower boundaries toot gayi, sellers ka volume nahi tha, aur pair dobara trend channel mein aa gaya, jahan buyers ne volume hasil karna shuru kiya. Yeh is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke pair mein mazeed growth ki sambhavna hai. Maine tab socha ke pair in current marks se growth resume kar sakta hai.

Jaise ke hum dekh sakte hain, ek ascending trend channel bana, lekin phir bhi maine socha ke pair neeche ja sakta hai, yeh 139.930 tak ja sakta hai. Kyunki yahan sellers volume hasil kar rahe the. Lekin phir ek aisa trend bana jahan sellers volume hasil karte rahe, aur pair har dafa maximum ko update karta raha, toh maine socha ke yeh resistance 147.098 tak ja sakta hai.

Lekin phir, jaise ke hum dekh rahe hain, volume ki kami shuru hui aur support 142.078 ke paas sellers ka volume aane laga. Matlab, support abhi tak nahi toota, lekin sellers ka volume hai. Lagta hai ke pair abhi bhi un stops tak gaya hai, jo maine pehle likha tha. Yeh stops 140.534 ke neeche the, aur zyada sambhavna hai ke yeh un tak pohanch jayega aur phir growth resume karega.

15-Minute Chart Analysis

Ab main dollar-yen pair ko 15-minute chart par dekh raha hoon. Yahan resistance 144.075 toota. Pair ne 145.491 ke resistance tak badhna jari rakha aur phir 146.150 ke resistance tak pohanch gaya. Matlab, mere sab growth targets, pair ne hasil kar liye, un higher timeframes par. Hourly chart par, maine in marks tak growth ki umeed ki thi, lekin mujhe nahi laga tha ke volume ki kami is tarah se hogi.




Pair 142.913 ke support tak gir gaya. Yahan sellers ne volume hasil karna shuru kiya aur phir maine socha ke shayad pair un targets tak jayega jo maine pehle indicate kiye the, yaani us range tak jahan pair pehle trade hota raha. Main ab is girawat ki baat karunga jo support 141.123 tak pohanchne ka soch raha hoon.

USD/JPY ke sellers apne guzishta nuqsan ko khatam karne mein kaar-aamad ho rahe hain aur pair ko 149.40 ke zone tak dhakel rahe hain. Yeh soorat-e-haal market mein mazboot bearish sentiment ko zahir karti hai, kyun ke sellers ne control wapas hasil kar liya hai aur qeemat ko neeche ki taraf dhakel rahe hain. Is trend ko madde nazar rakhte hue, ek aur sell position kholna jise short target 143.51 par ho, kal ke aane se pehle ek mozu strategy nazar aati hai. Yeh target mojudah descending force se faida uthate hue, ek munasib munafa hasil karne ka mauka deta hai jab ke aam market sentiment ke saath bhi ham ahang rahta hai. Is ke ilawa, mali indicators, central bank ke faislay, aur beyn-ul-aqwami soorat-e-haal bhi pair ke development par aham asar daal sakte hain. Waqt par maloomat se mutaliq rehne se traders ko apni position mein mozoon tabdiliyan karne aur apni strategy ko nayi maloomat ke tanazur mein mozoon rakhne ka mauka milta hai. Tawaqqo hai ke aane wale dinon mein qeemat ka rujhaan sellers ke haq mein rahega, jo ke nuqsan se niklne ke naye trend ko barhata rahega. Yeh samajhna ke USD/JPY ke market sentiment ko asalihiyat se navigate karna zaroori hai. Sentiment jaldi badal sakta hai, aur traders ko tayyar rehna chahiye ke wo tabdiliyon ka bar waqt jawab dein. Yeh is cheez ko samajhne ko bhi shamil karta hai ke kisi bhi mumkin reversal ke asar ya bazaar ke wasi' trend mein kisi bhi tabdeeli ko pehchanein jo USD/JPY pair ko mutasir kar sakta hai. Market ki updates aur sentiment ko sahih taur par samajh kar, traders apne aap ko mauqa' par faida uthane ya risk ko mitigate karne ke liye behtar taur par munsalik kar sakte hain
Ittifaqan, USD/JPY ke sellers ne apne nuqsan ko cover karne mein aham taraqqi hasil ki hai, aur 149.40 zone tak pahunch gaye hain. Ek sell position jiska short target 143.51 ho, mozu hai, lekin economic conditions ke badalte hue halaat ke saath ham ahang rehne ke liye news aur sentiment ko barabar nazar mein rakhna bhi zaroori hai
USD/JPY pair ne Tuesday ke European session ke shuruati hisse mein qadeem trend dikhaya, 143.00 ke qareeb trade karte hue. Magar, mazeed taqatwar bullish yaqeen ki kami yeh ishara kar rahi thi ke traders US inflation data ke aham hone ki wajah se khass positions lenay se gurez thay. Japanese Yen (JPY) Japan ke doosre trimester ke GDP ke neeche darust hone ke bazaher asarat ki wajah se press mein the, jabke US Dollar (USD) halki izafa dikha raha tha. Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke monetary policies mein ikhtilaaf ke wajah se investors ko aggressive bullish bets lagane se roka gaya, USD/JPY ke liye upside ko mehdud kar diya. Technical nazar se, USD/JPY pair ek short-term downtrend mein dikh raha tha, isse unhone haal hi mein ek descending channel ke ander giravat ka ishara diya. Ye negative outlook taqreeban naye chart ki daily chart par mojood oscillators ke ghair mutwaqqa readings dwara madadgar tha, jo ke shahbere nishchit se hai ke koi bhi potential faida mehdud ho sakta hai. Agar pair 144.00 level ke upar uth gaya, to yeh short-covering rally ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo ke shayad 144.55 ilaqe tak le ja sakti hai. Lekin, significant ooper ki raftar muqarrar hona na-karar tha jab tak ke pair 145.60 resistance level ke upar na uth gaya aur 145.00 psychological mark ko haasil na kar leya.

Price Action Analysis: USD/JPY Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price movements ka analysis kar rahe hain. Dekha jaye toh USD/JPY ki qeemat ne apna recent high thoda update kiya, lekin uske baad neeche ki taraf move hui, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke bade institutional investors ka interest kam hai. Agar yeh trend barqarar raha, toh hum expect karte hain ke price gir kar accumulation zone ke qareeb 142.32 tak pahunch sakti hai. Yeh move is level ka test kar sakti hai aur trading volume ke zariye naye positions banane mein madad kar sakti hai. Agar pair 142.32 tak pahunchta hai aur wahan bullish signal generate hota hai jo volume se support ho, toh ek rally ka imkaan hai, jo price ko upar le ja sakti hai bullish accumulation level 146.12 tak, lekin potential drop bhi 140.87 area tak ho sakta hai. Aaj price neeche ki taraf move hui aur pivot price level tak pahunchi, isko tod kar further decline ki taraf chali gayi. Hourly chart par maine ek inverted triangle draw kiya hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke pair girta rahega aur triangle ke lower edge 142.67 tak ja sakta hai.

Aaj ke pehle hisse mein, USD/JPY ne kal ka high update kiya aur resistance 144.64 ko test kiya aur trend line tak pahunch gaya. Uske baad decline dekha gaya EMA 20 tak, jo 143.49 par tha, lekin phir ek rebound hua. Yeh rebound Asian session mein aur barh sakta hai jab pair trend line ko todne ki koshish karega, aur shayad EMA 200 ka test ho, jo 145.04 par hai. Abhi tak trading range 144.64 aur 143.49 ke darmiyan hai. Japan ka inflation data Central Bank se expected hai, jo market par asar dal sakta hai aur pair ke movement ko influence kar sakta hai. Mujhe ab bhi umeed hai ke price resistance ki taraf barhegi, aur mazeed developments European session mein ho sakti hain. Agar price EMA 50 ke neeche, jo 142.94 par hai, move karti hai toh ek significant reversal ka imkaan hai, jo price ko wapas triangle ke upper boundary 144.77 tak le ja sakti hai.

Japanese yen (JPY) ne apni girawat ka silsila dosray din bhi barqarar rakha, jis ki wajah Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki accommodative monetary policy aur mixed economic data thi. BoJ ki September monetary policy meeting ka summary yeh zahir karta hai ke filhal interest rate hikes ka koi irada nahi hai, aur central bank stability aur ehtiyaati communication ko tarjeeh de raha hai. BoJ ne yeh zarur kaha ke agar economic conditions mein barahtari hoti hai to policy adjustments ki guzarish ki ja sakti hai, lekin is waqt wo apni current stance par qaim hai.Japanese economy ne thodi mazahmat dikhayi, jese ke Tankan large-scale manufacturing index ne third quarter mein 13 ke level par stability rakhi, jo major manufacturers ke liye mazid steady operating conditions ko zahir karta hai. Iske ilawa, Japan ka unemployment rate August mein 2.5% tak gir gaya, jo July mein 2.7% tha, aur yeh market forecasts jo ke 2.6% tha, se behtar tha.Yen ki kamzori ko mazeed barhawa diya dovish comments jo ke naye Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba ne diye. Ishiba ne accommodative monetary policy ko barqarar rakhne ki zarurat par zor diya takay fragile economic recovery ko support mil sake, aur low borrowing costs ko barqarar rakhne ka mashwara diya. Unke remarks BoJ ke stance ke mutabiq thay aur yen par downward pressure ko reinforce kiya.USD/JPY pair ne Tuesday ko 144.10 level ke qareeb trade kiya. Daily chart ka technical analysis yeh zahir karta hai ke pair ne dobara ek ascending channel pattern mein dakhil ho kar apna uptrend barqarar rakha hai. 14-day relative strength index (RSI) jo ke 50 level se thoda neeche hai, yeh izhar karta hai ke bullish breakout ka imkaan hai, jo ke uptrend ke continuation ko confirm karta hai.

Resistance levels ke hawale se, USD/JPY pair ko resistance ascending channel ke upper boundary par 146.50 ke qareeb mil sakti hai, uske baad potential five-week high jo ke 147.21 hai, tak pohanchne ka imkaan hai. Downside par, channel ki lower limit 142.80 ke qareeb hai, aur agar price is level se neeche girta hai to mazeed decline ke chances hain, jahan support 139.58 ke aas paas ho sakti hai, jo ke June 2023 ka lowest level hai.Conclusion mein, Japanese yen ki girawat ka asar mukhtalif factors ka natija tha, jese ke BoJ ki accommodative monetary policy, mixed economic data, aur nayi Prime Minister ke dovish comments. USD/JPY pair ka technical analysis yeh zahir karta hai ke uptrend jaari reh sakta hai, jahan resistance aur support levels ko dekhna zaroori hai. Jaise-jaise Japanese economy apni recovery ke raaste par chalegi, investors monetary policy aur economic indicators ke developments ko closely monitor karte rahenge takay yen ka future outlook samjha ja sake.

output active sell hai. Yeh technical analysis continued downward movement ko coming week mein advocate karta hai. Ab, significant news ko consider karte hain jo pair ko affect karta hai. Notable news US se likely hai, optimistic forecast ke saath. Initial US unemployment benefit claims ke data Thursday ko likely hai,
USD/JPY sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon sirf tab jab 146.76 ka test hota hai jo ke chart par red line se dikhaya gaya hai, jo ke pair ke rapid decline ko lead karega. Sellers ke liye key target hoga 145.81, jahan mein short positions exit karunga aur foran long positions opposite direction mein open karunga, expecting 20-25 pips ki movement opposite direction mein is level se. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, khas tor par agar correction pehle aadha din mein unsuccessful hoti hai aur daily high ka test nahi hota. Important: Sell karne se pehle, ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke niche ho aur usse decline karna shuru ho
USD/JPY pair abhi tak bearish trend mein hai. 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) 21-day EMA ke neeche hai, aur 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level se neeche hai, jo ke downtrend ko confirm karta hai. Yeh pair qareebi support 141.69 ke paas (jo ke saat mahinay ka low hai) dhoond sakta hai, aur agla support 140.25 par ho sakta hai. Agar upar ki taraf dekha jaye, toh pair ko resistance 9-day EMA ke paas 145.63 par face karna padega, aur phir 21-day EMA par 146.73 par. Agar yeh levels break hotay hain, toh psychological barrier 150.00 tak rasta khul sakta hai, aur agla resistance 154.50 par ho ga. Kal ke 147.00 ke ooper ke brief surge ke bawajood, USD/JPY pair apni momentum ko sustain nahi kar saka jab 20-day EMA ne support trend line se retreat kiya. Technical indicators, jisme RSI aur Stochastic shamil hain, aik potential reversal suggest karte hain, jabke 50- aur 200-day moving averages ke darmiyan death cross longer-term bearish trend ka ishara karta hai

Japanese yen (JPY) ne apni girawat ka silsila dosray din bhi barqarar rakha, jis ki wajah Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki accommodative monetary policy aur mixed economic data thi. BoJ ki September monetary policy meeting ka summary yeh zahir karta hai ke filhal interest rate hikes ka koi irada nahi hai, aur central bank stability aur ehtiyaati communication ko tarjeeh de raha hai. BoJ ne yeh zarur kaha ke agar economic conditions mein barahtari hoti hai to policy adjustments ki guzarish ki ja sakti hai, lekin is waqt wo apni current stance par qaim hai.Japanese economy ne thodi mazahmat dikhayi, jese ke Tankan large-scale manufacturing index ne third quarter mein 13 ke level par stability rakhi, jo major manufacturers ke liye mazid steady operating conditions ko zahir karta hai. Iske ilawa, Japan ka unemployment rate August mein 2.5% tak gir gaya, jo July mein 2.7% tha, aur yeh market forecasts jo ke 2.6% tha, se behtar tha.Yen ki kamzori ko mazeed barhawa diya dovish comments jo ke naye Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba ne diye. Ishiba ne accommodative monetary policy ko barqarar rakhne ki zarurat par zor diya takay fragile economic recovery ko support mil sake, aur low borrowing costs ko barqarar rakhne ka mashwara diya. Unke remarks BoJ ke stance ke mutabiq thay aur yen par downward pressure ko reinforce kiya.USD/JPY pair ne Tuesday ko 144.10 level ke qareeb trade kiya. Daily chart ka technical analysis yeh zahir karta hai ke pair ne dobara ek ascending channel pattern mein dakhil ho kar apna uptrend barqarar rakha hai. 14-day relative strength index (RSI) jo ke 50 level se thoda neeche hai, yeh izhar karta h

Pichlay haftay ke aakhri dinon mein, USD/JPY pair ki price mein aik khaas izafa dekha gaya, jo ke 145.51 ke highest price tak pohnch gayi thi. Lekin aglay haftay ke shuruati trading period ke baad, price ne neeche ka safar kiya aur dheere dheere 142.10 ke qareeb pohanch gayi. Pichlay haftay ka lagataar price decline wapas recover nahi kar saka, aur kal raat se price bullish ho kar is haftay ke open price se bhi upar chali gayi hai. Is waqt market mein mazeed upar jaane ke imkaanat hain. Agar hum yen currency ke saath correlated pairs ke comparison mein dekhein to market movement volatility ke lehaz se ziada interesting lagti hai. Fundamental asraat market ko bullish rakhtay huay last month ke highest price tak le ja sakte hain.Short-term bearish trend, jo ke lowest price tak girnay ki wajah se tha, ab wapas bullish ho gaya hai aur 144.85 ke resistance area ko break karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Agar price 143.50 ke support ke neeche rahti hai, to aglay trade mein buyers price ko 145.93 tak le ja sakte hain, ya phir resistance area-2 ko break kar sakte hain. Magar dekhne ki zarurat yeh hai ke agar price dobara downward correction karti hai aur kal ka lowest position cross kar jati hai, to yeh indication ho sakta hai ke market ek normal bullish phase ke baad thori der ke liye ruk kar correction kare, aur phir new momentum talash karke upward trend ko continue kare.Jo market rally abhi tak chal rahi hai, jo ke bearish trend se price ko upar lekar gayi hai, yeh sellers ke liye aik warning ho sakti hai ke wo apna agla trading position lenay mein sabr se kaam lein. Bina planning ke jaldbazi mein buy position lena floating loss ka sabab ban sakta hai. Is waqt lagta hai ke market mazeed ooper ja sakta hai. Mere mashware ke mutabiq, aglay dino mein Wednesday se market pattern par ghor karein, kyun ke us waqt volatility barhnay ke imkaanat hain jo ke aik weekly trend ko banayega. Pichlay teen hafton ka market situation agar dekhein to lagta hai ke sellers ka bearish price ko continue karne ka aik effort tha, lekin strong buyer defense ne support defense 142.10 ko break karna mushkil bana diya, aur yeh reversal upward rally mein tabdeel ho gaya.Is market condition ke base par, USD/JPY pair ke aglay trading plan mein bullish trend ke continuation ka aik moqa dekhna chahiye aur buy option ko consider karna chahiye, lekin risk ko achi tarah manage karte huay minimal loss risk ke sath.

Pichlay haftay ke aakhri dinon mein, USD/JPY pair ki price mein aik khaas izafa dekha gaya, jo ke 145.51 ke highest price tak pohnch gayi thi. Lekin aglay haftay ke shuruati trading period ke baad, price ne neeche ka safar kiya aur dheere dheere 142.10 ke qareeb pohanch gayi. Pichlay haftay ka lagataar price decline wapas recover nahi kar saka, aur kal raat se price bullish ho kar is haftay ke open price se bhi upar chali gayi hai. Is waqt market mein mazeed upar jaane ke imkaanat hain. Agar hum yen currency ke saath correlated pairs ke comparison mein dekhein to market movement volatility ke lehaz se ziada interesting lagti hai. Fundamental asraat market ko bullish rakhtay huay last month ke highest price tak le ja sakte hain.Short-term bearish trend, jo ke lowest price tak girnay ki wajah se tha, ab wapas bullish ho gaya hai aur 144.85 ke resistance area ko break karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Agar price 143.50 ke support ke neeche rahti hai, to aglay trade mein buyers price ko 145.93 tak le ja sakte hain, ya phir resistance area-2 ko break kar sakte hain. Magar dekhne ki zarurat yeh hai ke agar price dobara downward correction karti hai aur kal ka lowest position cross kar jati hai, to yeh indication ho sakta hai ke market ek normal bullish phase ke baad thori der ke liye ruk kar correction kare, aur phir new momentum talash karke upward trend ko continue kare.Jo market rally abhi tak chal rahi hai, jo ke bearish trend se price ko upar lekar gayi hai, yeh sellers ke liye aik warning ho sakti hai ke wo apna agla trading position lenay mein sabr se kaam lein. Bina planning ke jaldbazi mein buy position lena floating loss ka sabab ban sakta hai. Is waqt lagta hai ke market mazeed ooper ja sakta hai. Mere mashware ke mutabiq, aglay dino mein Wednesday se market pattern par ghor karein, kyun ke us waqt volatility barhnay ke imkaanat hain jo ke aik weekly trend ko banayega. Pichlay teen hafton ka market situation agar dekhein to lagta hai ke sellers ka bearish price ko continue karne ka aik effort tha, lekin strong buyer defense ne support defense 142.10 ko break karna mushkil bana diya, aur yeh reversal upward rally mein tabdeel ho gaya.Is market condition ke base par, USD/JPY pair ke aglay trading plan mein bullish trend ke continuation ka aik moqa dekhna chahiye aur buy option ko consider karna chahiye, lekin risk ko achi tarah manage karte huay minimal loss risk ke sa

liya huwa hai.
Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki July 30-31 Monetary Policy Meeting se aaye Summary of Opinions ke mutabiq, kai members ka kehna hai ke economy aur prices umeed ke mutabiq barh rahe hain. BoJ ka maqsaad hai ke medium term mein neutral rate "kam az kam 1%" ke qareeb rahe. Magar BoJ ke hawkish stance ka asar filhaal zyada arsey tak nahi chalega. Global risk aversion se ho sakta hai ke policy-tightening ka silsila ruk jaye. Japan ki equity markets mein volatility bhi BoJ ki accommodative policies ke khatme ke baad barh gayi hai, jo rate hikes ke prospects par asar andaz hui hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

USD/JPY pair ko foran resistance nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke aas paas, 143.06 ke level par mil sakti hai. Agar yeh level toot jata hai, to bearish momentum kam ho sakta hai aur pair ko 50-day EMA par test karne ka moka mil sakta hai, jo 149.33 ke qareeb hai, aur us ke baad "throwback support turned resistance" 150.50 par. Downside par, pair ko support 140.00 ke aas paas mil sakta hai, aur agla support 139.25 par ho sakta hai.

Jumay tak, pair lagbhag 140.80 par trade kar raha tha. Daily chart ko dekhte hue, yeh maloom hota hai ke pair abhi tak nine-day EMA ke neeche hai, jo ke short-term mein bearish trend ka ishara karta hai. Is ke ilawa, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 30 ke level se upar aaya hai, jo yeh batata hai ke ek potential correction shuru ho sakta hai.

dekha gaya, jo ke 145.51 ke highest price tak pohnch gayi thi. Lekin aglay haftay ke shuruati trading period ke baad, price ne neeche ka safar kiya aur dheere dheere 142.10 ke qareeb pohanch gayi. Pichlay haftay ka lagataar price decline wapas recover nahi kar saka, aur kal raat se price bullish ho kar is haftay ke open price se bhi upar chali gayi hai. Is waqt market mein mazeed upar jaane ke imkaanat hain. Agar hum yen currency ke saath correlated pairs ke comparison mein dekhein to market movement volatility ke lehaz se ziada interesting lagti hai. Fundamental asraat market ko bullish rakhtay huay last month ke highest price tak le ja sakte hain.Short-term bearish trend, jo ke lowest price tak girnay ki wajah se tha, ab wapas bullish ho gaya hai aur 144.85 ke resistance area ko break karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Agar price 143.50 ke support ke neeche rahti hai, to aglay trade mein buyers price ko 145.93 tak le ja sakte hain, ya phir resistance area-2 ko break kar sakte hain. Magar dekhne ki zarurat yeh hai ke agar price dobara downward correction karti hai aur kal ka lowest position cross kar jati hai, to yeh indication ho sakta hai ke market ek normal bullish phase ke baad thori der ke liye ruk kar correction kare, aur phir new momentum talash karke upward trend ko continue kare.Jo market rally abhi tak chal rahi hai, jo ke bearish trend se price ko upar lekar gayi hai, yeh sellers ke liye aik warning ho sakti hai ke wo apna agla trading position lenay mein sabr se kaam lein. Bina planning ke jaldbazi mein buy position lena floating loss ka sabab ban sakta hai. Is waqt lagta hai ke market mazeed ooper ja sakta hai. Mere mashware ke mutabiq, aglay dino mein Wednesday se market pattern par ghor karein, kyun ke us waqt volatility barhnay ke imkaanat hain jo ke aik weekly trend ko banayega. Pichlay teen hafton ka market situation agar dekhein to lagta hai ke sellers ka bearish price ko continue karne ka aik effort tha, lekin strong buyer defense ne support defense 142.10 ko break karna mushkil bana diya, aur yeh reversal upward rally mein tabdeel ho gaya.Is market condition ke base par, USD/JPY pair ke aglay trading plan mein bullish trend ke continuation ka aik moqa dekhna chahiye aur buy option ko consider karna chahiye, lekin risk ko achi tarah manage karte huay minimal loss risk

Hum abhi USD/JPY currency pair ki price assessment par nazar daal rahe hain. Is waqt, humein intezaar karna hoga ke yeh girawat ka scenario khatam ho jaye. Aisa mumkin hai ke yeh ek temporary bearish correction ho jo sirf buyers ke stop-losses ko trigger karne ke liye hai, uske baad bullish trend wapas aasakta hai. Lekin humein poori tarah se direction reversal ka bhi ehtimal hai, jis wajah se agle moves ko predict karna thoda mushkil ho raha hai.
Agar hum yeh samjhein ke 139.55 level se humein abhi bhi ek northern movement ka ihtimal hai, to 146.52 se 142.18 tak ki decline us correction ka hissa ho sakti hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke ek strong chance hai ke hum 143.51 ke upar wapas charh sakte hain aur 146.52 tak pahunch sakte hain taake jo price movement ka "debt" bana hai wo poora ho sake. Dusri taraf, agar 143.51 ko tod diya gaya, to price neeche ki taraf push karegi aur downtrend ke continue hone ka risk barh jayega. Is scenario mein, main 139.55 level ko agle target ke tor par dekhunga.




Ahm Support Aur Resistance Levels

Is Tuesday ko, USD/JPY market ko 143.00 level ke upar rehne ki challenge ka saamna hai. Yeh level market mein agle probable direction ka faisla karega. Agar yeh support level 143.00 par mazboot rahta hai, to bulls ko yeh mauka milega ke wo price ko mazeed upar push karein aur 144.00 ke round mark ko target karein. Agar price is level ke upar chali gayi, to yeh 144.70 aur 145.00 ke levels ko expose karegi.
Lekin, agar price 143.00 ke level ke neeche gir gayi, to phir bears ke paas price ko aur neeche ki taraf le jane ka acha chance hoga. Is scenario mein, pehla target 142.60 ho sakta hai, uske baad 142.00. Agar price is level ke neeche break kiya to phir 141.50 aur 141.30 ke levels expose ho jayenge. Daily trading diagram abhi bhi upside ki taraf signal kar raha hai, aur mujhe umeed hai ke price is ke mutabiq move karegi

overall consensus yeh hai ke actively sell karna chahiye. Iske madde nazar, pair ka trend bearish rahega. Monday ke significant news releases mein, US se koi bara event expected nahi hai, kyun ke yeh holiday hai. However, Swiss business activity index ka neutral forecast hai. In factors ke dekhte hue, main anticipate karta hoon ke pair downward move karega, aur sales ka support level 0.8469 tak poch sakta hai, jabke resistance level 0.8519 tak buying ka chance ho sakta hai, jo ke bearish outlook ko zahir karta hai. Thodi dair pehle Swiss inflation data report (CPI m/m) release hui thi, jisme result 0.0% aaya hai, jo ke pehle -0.2% tha. Is neutral inflation result ke sath, mumkin hai ke USD/CHF pair ke price mein izafa ka rally continue rahe. Mazeed, trend direction ab bullish condition mein hai, kyun ke EMA 50 ka SMA 200 ke sath cross hona ek golden cross signal deta hai. Agar rally do Moving Average lines ke upar consistent rahti hai, toh structure break hone ka chance hai. Invalidation level high prices 0.8540 par hai jo ke current price range se zyada door nahi, aur price psychological level 0.8500 ke upar hai. Magar, uptrend momentum jo Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator se zahir hota hai, usmein bearish divergence ka signal ban raha hai. Yeh is liye hai kyun ke histogram volume level 0 ya positive area ke upar hai, jo USD/CHF pair ke price increase ke rally ke sath mutabiqat nahi rakhta. Saath hi, Stochastic indicator parameters jo overbought zone ke ird gird baar baar cross kar rahe hain, yeh bhi yeh indicate karte hain ke price increase buying ke saturation point tak pohanch gaya hai. Trading plan ke hawale se, aapko ab bhi BUY moment ka intezar karna chahiye, kyun ke golden cross signal abhi fresh samjha jata hai. Entry position tab leni chahiye jab price EMA 50 ya qareebi RBS area 0.8507 par down ho. Tasdeeq tab hoti hai jab Stochastic indicator parameters level 50 se level 20 tak cross karte hain, jabke AO indicator ka histogram consistently level 0 ya positive area ke upar rahta hai. High prices 0.8540 ko take profit ka target banaya jata ha

overall consensus yeh hai ke actively sell karna chahiye. Iske madde nazar, pair ka trend bearish rahega. Monday ke significant news releases mein, US se koi bara event expected nahi hai, kyun ke yeh holiday hai. However, Swiss business activity index ka neutral forecast hai. In factors ke dekhte hue, main anticipate karta hoon ke pair downward move karega, aur sales ka support level 0.8469 tak poch sakta hai, jabke resistance level 0.8519 tak buying ka chance ho sakta hai, jo ke bearish outlook ko zahir karta hai. Thodi dair pehle Swiss inflation data report (CPI m/m) release hui thi, jisme result 0.0% aaya hai, jo ke pehle -0.2% tha. Is neutral inflation result ke sath, mumkin hai ke USD/CHF pair ke price mein izafa ka rally continue rahe. Mazeed, trend direction ab bullish condition mein hai, kyun ke EMA 50 ka SMA 200 ke sath cross hona ek golden cross signal deta hai. Agar rally do Moving Average lines ke upar consistent rahti hai, toh structure break hone ka chance hai. Invalidation level high prices 0.8540 par hai jo ke current price range se zyada door nahi, aur price psychological level 0.8500 ke upar hai. Magar, uptrend momentum jo Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator se zahir hota hai, usmein bearish divergence ka signal ban raha hai. Yeh is liye hai kyun ke histogram volume level 0 ya positive area ke upar hai, jo USD/CHF pair ke price increase ke rally ke sath mutabiqat nahi rakhta. Saath hi, Stochastic indicator parameters jo overbought zone ke ird gird baar baar cross kar rahe hain, yeh bhi yeh indicate karte hain ke price increase buying ke saturation point tak pohanch gaya hai. Trading plan ke hawale se, aapko ab bhi BUY moment ka intezar karna chahiye, kyun ke golden cross signal abhi fresh samjha jata hai. Entry position tab leni chahiye jab price EMA 50 ya qareebi RBS area 0.8507 par down ho. Tasdeeq tab hoti hai jab Stochastic indicator parameters level 50 se level 20 tak cross karte hain, jabke AO indicator ka histogram consistently level 0 ya positive area ke upar rahta hai. High prices 0.8540

USD/CHF ke daily timeframe par price movement ka jaiza lete hue, aakhri hafte ki trading sessions mein sellers ka asar zyada dekhne ko mila hai. Ye haalat candlestick ke movement se zahir hoti hai, jo Thursday se Friday tak consistently neeche ki taraf chal rahi thi. Agar hum pichle dinon ke daily movement ko dekhein, to ye sideways pattern banata hai, jo bearish situation ko darshata hai aur volatility bhi moderate hai. Haalankeh shuruat mein kuch bullish correction movement dekhne ko mili, lekin aakhri hafte ki bearish movement pichle mahine ke market trend ka jari rukh hai, jo ye darshata hai ke market ab bhi bearish trend ki taraf barhne ke liye potential rakhta hai. Mere analysis ke mutabiq, jo indicators ka istemal kiya gaya hai unki condition ke aadhar par. Relative Strength Index (14) par Lime Line ka direction bilkul wazeh hai; pehle ye line aksar level 50 ke kareeb hoti thi, lekin ab ye level 30 ke aas paas ruk gayi hai. MACD (12,26,29) ke histogram bars bhi ab zero level ke neeche hain aur inka shape bearish movement ka izhar kar raha hai. Isliye, daily timeframe par market ka haal yeh darshata hai ke price abhi bhi neeche ki taraf ja rahi hai. USD/CHF ke technical data ke mutabiq, main chhote timeframe H4 par market movement ka jaiza lena chahta hoon. Is mahine candlestick bilkul Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 ke neeche chal rahi thi, lekin is hafte ki shuruat mein bullish correction ki taraf badhi takriban 0.8515 tak. Lekin seller ki mazboot pressure ne price ko dobara neeche ki taraf le aaya jab tak market ne aaj subah band nahi kiya. Price abhi bhi Monday ke opening price se kafi neeche hai, jo is hafte ke market ko bearish dikhata hai. Ek baar phir, main Relative Strength Index (14) ka analysis kar raha hoon jo Lime Line ka signal de raha hai, jo ab 30 ke level ke kareeb hai, yeh darshata hai ke market is hafte mein neeche ki taraf ja raha hai. MACD (12,26,29) par yellow line histogram ki downward movement ko follow kar rahi hai, jo bearish movement ka indication hai.

USD/JPY Market Analysis


Support Aur Resistance Levels

USD/JPY ne 144.53 ka key support level break kiya, jo is baat ka indication hai ke downtrend abhi jaari reh sakta hai. Is breakout ke baad, currency pair ne 99 points ki girawat dekhi, lekin iske baad ek correction ki koshish hui, jisme buyers ne price ko phir se 144.53 ke resistance level tak push kiya.

Market Strategy

Iss waqt, agar aap sell positions kholte hain, to ye behtareen move ho sakta hai, aur 140-141 range ki taraf mazeed girawat ka target set kiya ja sakta hai. Lekin agar USD/JPY pair 144.53 resistance level se rebound karta hai, toh recovery ka silsila jaari reh sakta hai, aur agla target 146.38 ki taraf hoga.

Chart Analysis

Hourly chart par ek ascending channel dikhai de raha hai jo flag pattern se milta julta hai. Ye is baat ka ishara kar raha hai ke downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin jab hum H4 chart ko dekhte hain, to pair ek descending channel mein move kar raha hai aur abhi uski lower boundary se bounce hua hai. Agar price 144.49 se break hoti hai, toh 145.69 ka target rakhte hue buying strategy viable ho sakti hai.

Japanese Yen Ki Halat

Jumay ko Japanese Yen (JPY) ne US Dollar (USD) ke khilaf 14-mahon ka low touch kiya, jo 140.41 tha. Ye girawat zyada market trend ka hissa hai, jahan JPY ki kamzori Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke monetary policy changes ki wajah se hai. BoJ ne haal hi mein apni policy ko hawkish banate hue interest rates ko 0.25% tak barhaya, jisse Yen carry trade ka unwinding hua.

Yen Ka Support Aur Market Sentiment

Yen ko support "Yen interventions" ke zariye bhi mila hai, jis se wo multi-decade lows se recover karte hue 12.5% barh gaya USD ke khilaf. Abhi ka market sentiment Yen ke hawale se monetary policy changes, market interventions, aur global economic factors ka aik pechida mix darshata hai.

Mustaqbil Ki Predictions

Yen ka mustaqbil historic lows se recovery aur recently USD ke khilaf movements currency markets ki fluid nature aur policymakers ke liye challenges ko highlight karta hai. BoJ ki monetary policy ka mustaqbil abhi bhi unsure hai, kyunki officials ne mazeed rate hikes ka ishara diya hai. Lekin is par cautious approach li ja rahi hai, heightened market volatility ki wajah se.

Final Thoughts

Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki ne zahir kiya ke BoJ market conditions ko closely monitor karega, lekin monetary policy ke faislay BoJ ke apne ikhtiyar mein hi rahenge. Ye careful approach yeh darshata hai ke economic growth ko stimulate karna aur currency stability ko maintain karna dono mein balance banana zaroori hai.