USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Price Action Analysis: USD/JPY Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price movements ka analysis kar rahe hain. Dekha jaye toh USD/JPY ki qeemat ne apna recent high thoda update kiya, lekin uske baad neeche ki taraf move hui, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke bade institutional investors ka interest kam hai. Agar yeh trend barqarar raha, toh hum expect karte hain ke price gir kar accumulation zone ke qareeb 142.32 tak pahunch sakti hai. Yeh move is level ka test kar sakti hai aur trading volume ke zariye naye positions banane mein madad kar sakti hai. Agar pair 142.32 tak pahunchta hai aur wahan bullish signal generate hota hai jo volume se support ho, toh ek rally ka imkaan hai, jo price ko upar le ja sakti hai bullish accumulation level 146.12 tak, lekin potential drop bhi 140.87 area tak ho sakta hai. Aaj price neeche ki taraf move hui aur pivot price level tak pahunchi, isko tod kar further decline ki taraf chali gayi. Hourly chart par maine ek inverted triangle draw kiya hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke pair girta rahega aur triangle ke lower edge 142.67 tak ja sakta hai.
Aaj ke pehle hisse mein, USD/JPY ne kal ka high update kiya aur resistance 144.64 ko test kiya aur trend line tak pahunch gaya. Uske baad decline dekha gaya EMA 20 tak, jo 143.49 par tha, lekin phir ek rebound hua. Yeh rebound Asian session mein aur barh sakta hai jab pair trend line ko todne ki koshish karega, aur shayad EMA 200 ka test ho, jo 145.04 par hai. Abhi tak trading range 144.64 aur 143.49 ke darmiyan hai. Japan ka inflation data Central Bank se expected hai, jo market par asar dal sakta hai aur pair ke movement ko influence kar sakta hai. Mujhe ab bhi umeed hai ke price resistance ki taraf barhegi, aur mazeed developments European session mein ho sakti hain. Agar price EMA 50 ke neeche, jo 142.94 par hai, move karti hai toh ek significant reversal ka imkaan hai, jo price ko wapas triangle ke upper boundary 144.77 tak le ja sakti hai.

USD/JPY Ki Maali Soorat-e-Haal

Maamooli Mansuba: USD/JPY ka currency pair filhal 146.24 par trade kar raha hai, jo ek bearish trend ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. Yeh niche ki taraf ka harakat yeh darust karta hai ke Japanese yen, US dollar ke muqablay mein mazid mazboot ho raha hai. Is kaafi wajahen ho sakti hain jo ke maali mawaaqe par asar daal rahi hain. Tajir aur analyst is surat-e-haal ko qareeb se dekh rahe hain, kyunki aise dauran agar yeh trend jaari raha to yeh bazar ki soorat-e-haal mein aham tabdeeli ka paband kar sakta hai.

Asbab-e-Bearish Sentiment: Is waqt ke bearish jazbat ki chand buniyadi wajahen hain. Ek mehfooz pehlu yeh hai ke United States aur Japan se aane wale maashi data ka hal. Haal hi ke reports yeh darust karti hain ke US ma'ashi ishtiharat mein kami aa rahi hai, jo ke Federal Reserve ke mustaqbil ke monetary policy faislon ko lekar chinta ko janam de rahi hai. Doosri taraf, Japan ke maashi nishaanat kuch mazbooti dikhate hain, jo yen mein confidence ko barhata hai.

Jughrafiyaai Halaat Ka Asar: Baidaasham aur global maasi surat-e-haal bhi currency ki harakat par asar dalegi. Kisi bhi lehaz se hone wale waqiyat, jaise trade negotiations, interest rate mein tabdeeli, ya investors ke jazbat mein badlaw, USD/JPY ke pair mein volatility ko barha sakte hain. Jab traders mumkinah tabdeeliyon ki tawaqqo rakhte hain, yeh unhe maamlaat ko samajhne mein madad de sakti hai jo currency ki kimat par asar daal sakti hain.

Aindah Ka Imkan: Halaanki abhi ka trend bearish hai, lekin bohot se bazar ke hisaab se shamil hain ke agle dino mein ek mehsoos kash shadid tabdeeli aa sakti hai. Yeh kisi bhi maashi data release, central bank ke tafseeli pegham, ya kisi bejhid events se shuru ho sakti hai. Forex trading mein shamil logon ke liye zaroori hai ke wo hamesha dekhne ki koshish karein aur mumkinah price fluctuations ke liye tayyar rahein.

Khulasah: Khulasah yeh hai ke jab USD/JPY filhal 146.24 par bearish trend mein hai, lekin bazar kuch ahem tabdeeli ka shikaar kar sakta hai. Traders ko maashi developments aur jughrafiyaai asbab ka qareeb se dekhna chahiye, kyunki ye currency pair mein aham harkaat ko janam de sakti hain. Sahi strategy aur risk management ke sath, traders ke liye in mumkinah tabdeeliyon se faida uthane ke mauqe ban sakte hain.

USD/JPY currency pair is waqt 146.24 par trade kar raha hai, jo ke market mein ek bearish trend ko reflect karta hai. Yeh downward movement yeh suggest karta hai ke Japanese yen mazid mazboot ho raha hai US dollar ke muqable mein, jo ke mukhtalif economic factors ki wajah se ho sakta hai. Traders aur analysts is surat-e-haal ko closely dekh rahe hain, kyun ke agar yeh trend barqarar rehta hai to market sentiment mein ek aham tabdeeli ka ishara ho sakta hai.
Is bearish sentiment ke peeche kai factors ka amal-dakhal hai. Ek aham factor US aur Japan se aane wale economic data hain. Haal hi mein aayi reports yeh zahir kar rahi hain ke US economy mein slowdown aa sakta hai, jo ke Federal Reserve ke future monetary policy decisions ke liye khudat paida kar raha hai. Is ke muqable mein, Japan ki economic indicators mazbooti dikha rahe hain, jo yen par traders ka confidence barha raha hai.

Mazid, geopolitical events aur global market conditions bhi currency movements par asar-andaz hoti hain. Har taraqqi, jaise ke trade negotiations, interest rate changes, ya investor sentiment mein tabdeeli, USD/JPY pair mein zyada volatility la sakti hain. Jaisay jaisay traders ane walay tabdeelion ka intezar kar rahe hain, yeh zaroori hai ke woh in external factors ke baray mein waqif rahain jo currency valuations ko asar-andaz kar sakti hain.

Halanki abhi ka trend bearish hai, bohat se market participants ko lagta hai ke ane wale dino mein ek significant movement dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Yeh upcoming economic data releases, central bank ke announcements, ya kisi aur unexpected event se trigger ho sakta hai. Un logon ke liye jo forex trading mein shamil hain, yeh zaroori hai ke woh price fluctuations ke liye hamesha tayar aur mutawajeh rahain.


Akhir mein, jab ke USD/JPY is waqt bearish trend mein 146.24 par hai, market mein ane wale waqt mein ek notable shift ho sakta hai. Traders ko economic developments aur geopolitical factors ko kareebi nazar se dekhna chahiye, kyun ke yeh currency pair mein significant movements ka sabab ban sakte hain. Sahi strategy aur risk management ke sath, yeh tabdeelian traders ke liye achi opportunities la sakti hain.

USD/JPY market ne aik bullish trend ka tajurba kiya jis ne Wednesday ke trading mein price movements mein aham tabdeeliyan layi. Prices ne mazid mazbooti hasil ki jab ke wo EMA 200 aur EMA 633 H1 ke qareeb Asia session ke doran stumble kar rahi thi. Magar dheere dheere prices ne EMA 200 H1 ke upar move karna shuru kiya, EMA 633 H1 ko breach kiya, aur mazid mazbooti se upar ki taraf gai. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1, jo pehle crossover banayi thi, positive price movement ke baad ab upar ki taraf stretch karna shuru hui. Prices ne 146.62 ke resistance ke qareeb pahunchna bhi kamiyabi se hasil kiya, takreeban pichle haftay ka weekly high 146.50 ke qareeb.
Aj Thursday ke trading session mein, USD/JPY market 146.45 par khula. Prices daily open aur sab se qareebi resistance 147.11 ke darmiyan fluctuate kar rahi hain. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 abhi bhi upar ki taraf point kar rahe hain, jab ke EMA 200 aur EMA 633 price movements ke neeche hain, jo current bullish trend conditions ko validate kar rahe hain H1 time frame mein. Magar aaj ke trading conditions mein momentum ka intezar karne ke liye zyada sabr ki zaroorat hai, kyun ke static conditions naye direction of movement ka sabab ban sakti hain jo pichle condition se ulat ho sakti hai. Lekin overall short term mein yeh pair abhi bhi bullish rehne ki potential rakhta hai.

USD/JPY market ek critical juncture par hai, jahan aham resistance aur support levels current trading range ko define kar rahe hain. Agar price 145.36 ke upar breakout karta hai, to yeh bullish trend ka ishara de sakta hai, jo ke price ko 147.00 aur us se aage tak le ja sakta hai. Iske baraks, agar price 143.90 ke neeche girta hai, to yeh bearish reversal ka ishara ho sakta hai, jo price ko mazid neeche 141.75 aur ho sakta hai 140.24 tak le jaye. Traders ke liye zaroori hai ke wo in levels ko navigate karte waqt economic developments se waqif rahain aur disciplined risk management ka approach apnayein. Yeh awareness aur strategy traders ko is hamesha tabdeel hoti market mein informed decisions lene mein madad de sakti hai.

Review of the USD/JPY Currency Pair
Hum is waqt USD/JPY pair ke mojooda price trends ka tajzia kar rahe hain. Aaj ka din dheema raha hai, jisme movement ziada ter ek limited area mein confined rahi. Kal ke din ne is performance mein aik peak mark kiya, magar us ke baad se, yeh pair narrow trading range mein confined hai, jo consolidation ka aik daur zahir karta hai. Do aham resistance levels abhi price action ko shape kar rahe hain: ek **50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA)** aur ek yellow dotted line jo ke **147.06** par hai. Yeh levels buyers ke liye mazboot barriers ke tor par samne aaye hain, jahan price jab bhi break karne ki koshish karta hai, kai martaba reject ho jata hai. In resistance points ko cross karne mein nakami yeh suggest karti hai ke market mein abhi sellers ka ghalba hai, jo price ko neeche ki taraf push kar rahe hain. Hourly chart is consolidation phase ko highlight karta hai, jo yeh signal de raha hai ke market ek significant move ke liye momentum gather kar raha hai. Is background mein, traders mein yeh jazba barh raha hai ke pair ek downward correction ka tajurba kar sakta hai taake strength build kar ke mazeed ek upward breakout ki koshish kar sake.

Support side par, bulls ko **146.40** ke qareeb thori si stability mil rahi hai, jahan unhone highs aur lows establish kiye hain jo kuch madad faraham karte hain. Yeh price level critical hai; agar pair **146.40** ke neeche girta hai, to yeh is baat ka ishara ho ga ke sellers ne market par qabza kar liya hai, jo ke mazeed bearish movement ko janam de sakta hai. Bar-aks, agar bulls **147.06** ke resistance level ko break karne mein kamiyab ho jate hain, to yeh ek buying scenario ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo ke ek possible bullish reversal ka ishara dega. Traders in key levels ko kareebi nazar se dekh rahe hain, taake strength ya

weakness ke signs mil saken, kyun ke ek breakout naye trading opportunities ka raasta khol sakta hai. Abhi ke market sentiment mein ehtiyaat ko tarjeeh di ja rahi hai, jisme investors buying aur selling pressures ka balance tol rahe hain. Jis tarah USD/JPY pair is ahem morh ko navigate kar raha hai, economic indicators aur broader market trends par tawajju dena aane wale movements ko forecast karne ke liye intehai ahem ho ga. Aakhir mein, identified resistance aur support levels ke darmiyan ka farq is currency pair ke direction ko aane wale dinon mein tay karega.

**T E C H N I C A L _ A N A L Y S I S** **U S D / J P Y**

Hello, Instaforex aur MT5 forum ke members aur visitors. Aaj main USD/JPY ki current price behavior par aik article likhne ka irada rakhta hoon. Is waqt USD/JPY ka price successfully **151.20** zone cross kar chuka hai. Yeh **146.46** area mein float kar raha hai, jahan se buyers is bullish movement ko continue kar sakte hain. Dekha gaya hai ke buyers phir se USD/JPY ke price par pressure dal rahe hain, jis ki wajah se USD/JPY candle bullish ho rahi hai, hatta ke is haftay ke shuruaat mein bhi trading ke doran. Halan ke candle ka body khaas lambi nahi hai, magar USD/JPY candle abhi bhi upar ki taraf move kar rahi hai.

Dusri taraf, **Relative Strength Index (RSI)** indicator upar ki taraf point kar raha hai jo ke **level 50** ke area ki taraf jaata dikhai de raha hai. Isi waqt, **moving average convergence divergence (MACD)** indicator positive level ke upar trade kar raha hai jo yeh suggest karta hai ke current moment aaj bhi continue karega. Market prices abhi **50-day simple moving average** ke upar hain.

Indicator yeh dikhata hai ke agar price is moving average ke upar rehta hai, to price resistance tak pohanch jayega. USD/JPY ke liye primary resistance level **151.20** hai. Agar market upar ki taraf move karta raha, to market resistance lines **162.07** aur **170.21** tak touch karega.

Dusri taraf, market ka downward momentum **139.63** ke primary support zone ko hit karega, us se pehle ke wo next horizontal support level **139.63** tak pohanchay. Aap apna target profit resistance ke qareeb **109.26** area par set kar sakte hain, jo ke 3rd level of support hai. Is pair ke trading ke doran apna emotional control barqarar rakhna mat bhooliye, taake bhaari nuqsaan se bach sakein.


**Chart mein istamal kiye gaye indicators:**
- **MACD indicator**
- **RSI indicator (period 14)**
- **50-day exponential moving average (orange color)**
- **20-day exponential moving average (magenta color)**

/JPY pair abhi 146.91 kay aas paas fluctuate kar raha hai. USD Dollar Index ki weakness abhi bhi bearish control main hai aur yeh 102.50 resistance level kay neeche trade kar raha hai. Technical indicators kay mutabiq, pair 161.40 tak barh sakta hai, lekin price aaj gir bhi sakti hai. European session shuru honay par humein charts par nazar rakhni hogi. RSI abhi 53.6393 par hai jo dikhata hai ke market uptrend main hai lekin aglay kuch dino main neeche ja sakta hai. MACD indicator 6.537 par hai aur low volume bar show kar raha hai. USD/JPY 20 aur 50 period ki exponential moving average kay upar hai jo bullish signal dikhata hai. Minor support aur resistance areas hain jo entry points kay liye use kiye ja sakte hain. Market ka rise resistance target 151.84 par hit kar sakta hai jo primary resistance level hai. Agar aap buy kartay hain to price range 161.40 tak target ki ja sakti hai aur teesra target 171.30 kay aas paas ho sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar price girta hai to primary support level 139.83 par hai. Agar sell hota hai to doosra support level 124.14 par hai. Us kay baad, price teesray resistance level 101.10 ko test kar sakta hai. Technical point of view say, best approach yeh hai kay trend kay mutabiq short positions open ki jayein taake profit mil sake.USD/JPY ka impulsive price movement supply area 147.22 - 146.68 tak pohanch gaya hai. Is se price ko correct ho kar RBS area 144.29 tak girne ka chance milta hai aur phir wahan se upward rally continue ho sakti hai. EMA 50 ne SMA 200 ko cross kar kay golden cross signal generate kiya hai, jo is baat ko indicate karta hai ke trend bullish hai. Stochastic indicator bhi support kar raha hai ke price correct ho. Parameters jo overbought zone 90 - 80 level par cross kar rahay hain, yeh dikhata hai ke overbought point ab pohanch gaya hai. Agar koi reversal candlestick pattern, jaise bearish engulfing ya dominant break, nazar aaye to yeh surety milegi ke price correct ho raha hai. Lekin agar Japanese Yen ka outlook weak hi rehta hai aur buyers profit taking nahi karte, to price increase ka rally supply area ko pass kar kay continue ho sakta hai.Trading plan ke liye behtari yeh hai ke abhi BUY moment ka intezar kiya jaye, kyun ke trend already bullish hai jab se golden cross signal aaya hai. Entry position RBS area 144.29 par rakhi ja sakti hai jab Stochastic indicator confirmation de, jo level 50 ke aas paas cross ho sakta hai

USD/JPY
Trade Analysis aur Japanese Yen ke liye Trading Tips 145.24 price level ka test us waqt hua jab MACD indicator zero mark se kaafi upar tha, jis wajah se pair ka upward potential limit ho gaya. Is reason ki wajah se maine dollar khareedne ka faisla nahi kiya. Iske bawajood, mazboot U.S. labor market data ne bade players ko market mein rakha, jo USD/JPY ko aur upar push karte rahe. Aaj ke kamzor Composite PMI aur services PMI reports ne, jo economists ki forecasts se bhi kamzor thi, ek aur yen ki sell-off ko trigger kiya aur dollar ki khareedari ko barhawa diya, jo pair ko aur mazboot kar rahi hai. Iske ilawa, dunya bhar mein jari geopolitical tensions ke saath, dollar ke barhne ki umeed hai, is liye current highs par bhi selling mein ehtiyaat barhtein.

Intraday strategy ke hawale se, mein zyadatar scenario #1 aur #2 ko implement karne par rely karunga.

Buy Signal
Scenario #1: Mera plan hai ke aaj USD/JPY ko 146.92 (chart par green line) par pochne par buy karoon, aur 147.53 (chart par thicker green line) tak rise ka aim hai. 147.53 par mein buy trades se exit karne aur opposite direction mein sell trades open karne ka plan kar raha hoon, jahan se level ke neeche 30-35 pips ki downward movement ki umeed hai. Aaj ka pair ka rise sirf correction ka hissa hai. Important: Buy karne se pehle ensure karna hai ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar ho aur upward movement start kar chuka ho.

Scenario #2: Mera plan hai ke aaj USD/JPY ko do baar 146.45 price level ke tests ke baad buy karoon, jab MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ke downward potential ko limit karega aur market ko upward reversal dega. Umeed hai ke price opposite levels 146.92 aur 147.53 tak rise karegi.

Sell Signal
Scenario #1: Mera plan hai ke aaj USD/JPY ko sirf 146.45 level (chart par red line) ke test ke baad sell karoon, jo pair mein ek quick decline lead karega. Sellers ke liye key target 145.95 level hoga, jahan mein sell trades se exit karunga aur immediately opposite direction mein buy trades open karunga (expecting 20-25 pips ki opposite movement is level se). Dollar ke against pressure barqarar rahega, jo pair par bearish market ka hissa hoga. Important: Sell karne se pehle ensure karna hai ke MACD indicator zero mark ke neeche ho aur downward movement start kar chuka ho.

Scenario #2: Mera plan hai ke aaj USD/JPY ko do baar 146.92 price level ke tests ke baad sell karoon, jab MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Yeh pair ke upward potential ko limit karega aur market ko downward reversal dega. Umeed hai ke price opposite levels 146.45 aur 145.95 tak decline karegi.

/JPY currency pair ka mojooda pricing behavior hai. Hal hi mein USD/JPY pair ne 144.53 ke support level ko tor diya hai, jo downtrend ke barqarar rehne ka ishara hai. Breakout ke baad pair ne 99 points ka girawat dekha aur phir upward correction ka koshish ki, jahan buyers ne kuch ground wapas hasil kiya aur price 144.53 ke resistance level tak wapas pohanch gaya. Is maqam par sell positions kholna behtar hoga, jahan target 140-141 range tak ka mazeed decline ho sakta hai. Agar pair 144.53 ke resistance se upar rebound karta hai, toh recovery ka silsila jari reh sakta hai, aur agla resistance level 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart par ek flag jesa ascending channel hai jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend phir se shuru ho sakta hai. H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur apne lower boundary se bounce back kiya hai. Agar price 144.49 ke level ko tor kar upar jata hai, toh buy karna aur target 145.69 rakhna aik viable strategy ho sakti hai. Aaj main USD/JPY ki price action ko closely dekh raha hoon. Haal hi mein kuch bearish pin bars 144.10 ke local resistance level par banay hain, jo ek mumkin decline ki nishandahi karte hain. Bank of Japan ne apni interest rate ko 0.25% se kam par barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya hai. Yeh faisla yeh zahir karta hai ke BOJ apni mojooda monetary policy ko continue kar raha hai, jo Yen ki strength par asar dal sakta hai. Is fundamental background ke hawalay se, USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend ka imkaan zyada lagta hai. Hourly chart par ek bearish engulfing pattern bhi nazar aya, jo downward move ka aur signal hai. In tamam signals ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mein agle haftay mein USD/JPY ko niche ki taraf dekh raha hoon. Mera pehla target lagbhag 50 points ka decline hai (spread ke baghair), lekin mazeed downside potential bhi mojood hai. Bearish outlook ke bawajood, USD/JPY ne hal hi mein 20 din ka high 144.50 touch kiya tha. Sellers ne control hasil karne ki koshish ki, lekin price ko effectively niche nahi le jaa paye. Maine ek ahem support area 143.49 aur 143.77 ke darmiyan dekha hai, jo prices ko elevated rakhta hai. Lekin market ke close ke qareeb, asset ne resistance ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkil ka samna kiya, aur double tops aur bottoms fifteen-minute chart par dekhay gaye. Jumlay se ye zahir hota hai ke USA mein economic growth ke hawalay se uncertainties ka asar USD/JPY ke price par par raha hai. Ueda ki ehtiyaati rhetoric ne 2024 mein ek aur BoJ rate hike ke chances kam kar diye hain

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
USD/JPY
Assalam Alaikum! Halankeh US dollar/Japanese yen ki jodi ne 147.24 ki muzahmati satah ka test kiya, lekin kal ki tejarati sargarmiyan sust rahi kiyunkeh jode ne din ko ek tang sideways range me badhte hue guzara. Aaj, bears ne apni taqat ka muzahira kiya aur pahal ki, jis se qimat niche aa gayi. Natije ke taur par, dollar/yen ki jodi filhal 145.88 ki support satah ki taraf badhte hue nichli satah par trade kar rahi hai. Agar qimat is satah se niche aa jati hai to, farokht ka signal paida hoga. Agar bears qimat ko niche laane me nakam rahte hain to, bulls ke hawi hone ka imkan hai, jis se jodi dobara ooper ki taraf badhne lagti hai. Halankeh, yaumiyah chart se pata chalta hai keh bearish candlestick pahle hi ban-ni shuru ho chuki hai.

momentum dikhaya, jo kay kai liquidity grabs aur displaced liquidity (DLiq) zones ke formation ki wajah se trigger hua. Price action ne May aur phir June mein top liquidity zones ko touch karne ke baad neeche ki taraf move kiya, aur is dauran fair value gaps (FVG) ka samna kiya jo potential reversals ya pullbacks ka ishara de rahe thay. Chart mein kayi liquidity pools ko highlight kiya gaya hai, jo top aur bottom dono taraf se sweep kiye gaye, jo yeh confirm karta hai ke market in imbalances ko fill karna chahta hai. Jab price 140.000 level ke qareeb pohanchi, toh buyers ne August ke aakhri dino mein bane displaced liquidity area ko defend kiya. Yeh level, jo ek strong liquidity grab ke sath coincides karta hai, ne thodi recovery di, jo ke pair ko 144.000 region tak wapas le gaya. Lekin recent rise ko ab bhi pehle ke liquidity areas aur FVGs ke qareeb 148.000 par resistance ka samna hai, jo yeh signal deta hai ke agar price in zones ko convincingly breach nahi kar paya, toh ek potential reversal ho sakta hai. Neeche ki taraf, displaced liquidity zone jo ke 140.000 ke qareeb hai, ek significant support area serve karta hai. Agar price apni current upward momentum ko barqarar rakhne mein nakam rahta hai, toh yeh level dobara test ho sakta hai, aur agar yeh break ho gaya, toh further downside risks badh sakte hain. Agla major support 136.000-137.000 range ke qareeb hai, jahan is saal ke shuru mein pehli baar liquidity sweep hui thi. Aage chal kar, agar USD/JPY 148.000 resistance ko breach karne mein kaamyab ho jata hai aur us FVG ko fill kar leta hai jo us level ke qareeb hai, toh 150.000 aur us se upar ka move zyada likely ho jata hai. Lekin, bias ab bhi cautious hai, aur market participants liquidity zones aur FVGs ko closely dekh rahe hain. Agar price resistance breach karne mein nakam rehta hai, toh renewed selling pressure aa sakta hai, agar agar global risk sentiment negative ho gaya. Overall structure short term mein consolidation ya mild bullish corrections suggest karta hai, lekin longer-term trend liquidity zones ke respect ya violation par mabni ho sakta hai

Spot price ne Friday ko US dollar index (DXY) ke muqable mein halki si decline dekhi, lekin yeh downward trend Japan mein possible interest rate hike ke hawalay se barhti hui speculation ke bawajood mitigate ho sakti hai. Japan ki economy ne doosray quarter mein exceptional growth dikhayi, jo 3.1% annualized rate par thi. Yeh mazboot economic expansion pehle ke slowdown ke baad aayi hai, jo Japanese economy ki resilience ko highlight karti hai aur aagey anay wale monetary policy decisions ko bhi asar andaz kar sakti hai.
Is waqt yeh pair Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke potential interest rate hike aur Federal Reserve ke hawkish stance ke darmiyan kashmakash mein hai. Traders baray ghour se BoJ ke special session ko dekh rahe hain aur Governor Ueda ke comments ka intezar kar rahe hain, kyunke yeh Japan ke future monetary policy ke hawalay se clues de sakte hain. Sath hi, US ka ahem inflation data bhi release hone wala hai, jo pair ke short-term trajectory par significant asar dal sakta hai.

**Bank of Japan Ki Interest Rate Strategy Par Guftagu:**

Japan ka parliament ek khaas session rakhnay wala hai jisme Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke interest rate hike ke faislay par guftagu ki jayegi jo unke akhri meeting mein liya gaya tha. Lower house financial affairs committee ke zariye organize kiya gaya yeh session, BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda ko bhi mad’oo karne ka plan hai, jaise ke Reuters ne hakoomati zarayeh ka hawala dete hue report kiya. BoJ ke Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida ne kaha ke agar market volatility economy ke forecasts ya risk assessments ko asar andaz karti hai, to central bank ki interest rate strategy badal sakti hai. Recent financial market volatility ko dekhte hue, Uchida ne BoJ policies ke economic growth aur inflation par asraat ko baray ghour se dekhne ki zaroorat par zor diya.

**Fed Ka Hawkish Tone Inflation Concerns Ke Darmiyan:**

Dussri taraf, US Federal Reserve ab bhi inflation control par focus kiye hue hai. Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman ne dobara yeh baat ki ke inflation risks ab bhi upar ki taraf hain, aur labor market ki strength ne Fed ki policy outlook ko aur complex banadiya hai. Bowman ne ishara diya ke Fed apni aglay meeting mein, jo September mein hogi, interest rates cut karne ke liye tayar nahi hoga. Jald release hone wale kuch ahem US economic indicators, jaise ke Producer Price Index (PPI) aur Consumer Price Index (CPI), investors ke focus mein honge, taake yeh dekha ja sake ke price growth ab bhi stable hai ya nahi. Yeh figures USD/JPY pair ke outlook ko significant taur par asar andaz kar sakti hain.

**USD/JPY Ka Technical Analysis:**

Technical analysis ke lehaz se, USD/JPY pair ko foran resistance 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke qareeb, jo is waqt takreeban 143.78 ke level par hai, ka saamna ho sakta hai. Agar price 200-day EMA ke upar break karti hai, to yeh pair ko key resistance ka test karne ke qareeb le ja sakti hai jo 143.44 par hai, jo pehle support ke tor par kaam karta tha lekin ab resistance ban gaya hai. Traders is breakout ko dekh rahe hain, kyunke yeh pair mein further bullish momentum ka ishara de sakta hai

kuch ground wapas hasil kiya aur price 144.53 ke resistance level tak wapas pohanch gaya. Is maqam par sell positions kholna behtar hoga, jahan target 140-141 range tak ka mazeed decline ho sakta hai. Agar pair 144.53 ke resistance se upar rebound karta hai, toh recovery ka silsila jari reh sakta hai, aur agla resistance level 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart par ek flag jesa ascending channel hai jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend phir se shuru ho sakta hai. H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur apne lower boundary se bounce back kiya hai. Agar price 144.49 ke level ko tor kar upar jata hai, toh buy karna aur target 145.69 rakhna aik viable strategy ho sakti hai. Aaj main USD/JPY ki price action ko closely dekh raha hoon. Haal hi mein kuch bearish pin bars 144.10 ke local resistance level par banay hain, jo ek mumkin decline ki nishandahi karte hain. Bank of Japan ne apni interest rate ko 0.25% se kam par barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya hai. Yeh faisla yeh zahir karta hai ke BOJ apni mojooda monetary policy ko continue kar raha hai, jo Yen ki strength par asar dal sakta hai. Is fundamental background ke hawalay se, USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend ka imkaan zyada lagta hai. Hourly chart par ek bearish engulfing pattern bhi nazar aya, jo downward move ka aur signal hai. In tamam signals ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mein agle haftay mein USD/JPY ko niche ki taraf dekh raha hoon. Mera pehla target lagbhag 50 points ka decline hai (spread ke baghair), lekin mazeed downside potential bhi mojood hai. Bearish outlook ke bawajood, USD/JPY ne hal hi mein 20 din ka high 144.50 touch kiya tha. Sellers ne control hasil karne ki koshish ki, lekin price ko effectively niche nahi le jaa paye. Maine ek ahem support area 143.49 aur 143.77 ke darmiyan dekha hai, jo prices ko elevated rakhta hai. Lekin market ke close ke qareeb, asset ne resistance ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkil ka samna kiya, aur double tops aur bottoms fifteen-minute chart par dekhay gaye. Jumlay se ye zahir hota hai ke USA mein economic growth ke hawalay se uncertainties

yeh downward trend Japan mein possible interest rate hike ke hawalay se barhti hui speculation ke bawajood mitigate ho sakti hai. Japan ki economy ne doosray quarter mein exceptional growth dikhayi, jo 3.1% annualized rate par thi. Yeh mazboot economic expansion pehle ke slowdown ke baad aayi hai, jo Japanese economy ki resilience ko highlight karti hai aur aagey anay wale monetary policy decisions ko bhi asar andaz kar sakti hai. Is waqt yeh pair Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke potential interest rate hike aur Federal Reserve ke hawkish stance ke darmiyan kashmakash mein hai. Traders baray ghour se BoJ ke special session ko dekh rahe hain aur Governor Ueda ke comments ka intezar kar rahe hain, kyunke yeh Japan ke future monetary policy ke hawalay se clues de sakte hain. Sath hi, US ka ahem inflation data bhi release hone wala hai, jo pair ke short-term trajectory par significant asar dal sakta hai.

**Bank of Japan Ki Interest Rate Strategy Par Guftagu:**

Japan ka parliament ek khaas session rakhnay wala hai jisme Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke interest rate hike ke faislay par guftagu ki jayegi jo unke akhri meeting mein liya gaya tha. Lower house financial affairs committee ke zariye organize kiya gaya yeh session, BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda ko bhi mad’oo karne ka plan hai, jaise ke Reuters ne hakoomati zarayeh ka hawala dete hue report kiya. BoJ ke Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida ne kaha ke agar market volatility economy ke forecasts ya risk assessments ko asar andaz karti hai, to central bank ki interest rate strategy badal sakti hai. Recent financial market volatility ko dekhte hue, Uchida ne BoJ policies ke economic growth aur inflation par asraat ko baray ghour se dekhne ki zaroorat par zor diya.

**Fed Ka Hawkish Tone Inflation Concerns Ke Darmiyan:**

Dussri taraf, US Federal Reserve ab bhi inflation control par focus kiye hue hai. Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman ne dobara yeh baat ki ke inflation risks ab bhi upar ki taraf hain, aur labor market ki strength ne Fed ki policy outlook ko aur complex banadiya hai. Bowman ne ishara diya ke Fed apni aglay meeting mein, jo September mein hogi, interest rates cut karne ke liye tayar nahi hoga. Jald release hone wale kuch ahem US economic indicators, jaise ke Producer Price Index (PPI) aur Consumer Price Index (CPI), investors ke focus mein honge, taake yeh dekha ja sake ke price growth ab bhi stable hai ya nahi. Yeh figures USD/JPY pair ke outlook ko significant taur par asar andaz kar sakti hain.

**USD/JPY Ka Technical Analysis:**

Technical analysis ke lehaz se, USD/JPY pair ko foran resistance 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke qareeb, jo is waqt takreeban 143.78 ke level par hai, ka saamna ho sakta hai. Agar price 200-day EMA ke upar break karti hai, to yeh pair ko key resistance ka test karne ke qareeb le ja sakti hai jo 143.44 par hai, jo pehle support ke tor par kaam karta tha lekin ab resistance ban gaya hai. Traders is breakout ko dekh rahe hain, kyunke yeh pair mein further bullish momentum ka ishara

USD/JPY currency pair is waqt 146.24 par trade kar raha hai, jo ke market mein ek bearish trend ko reflect karta hai. Yeh downward movement yeh suggest karta hai ke Japanese yen mazid mazboot ho raha hai US dollar ke muqable mein, jo ke mukhtalif economic factors ki wajah se ho sakta hai. Traders aur analysts is surat-e-haal ko closely dekh rahe hain, kyun ke agar yeh trend barqarar rehta hai to market sentiment mein ek aham tabdeeli ka ishara ho sakta hai. Is bearish sentiment ke peeche kai factors ka amal-dakhal hai. Ek aham factor US aur Japan se aane wale economic data hain. Haal hi mein aayi reports yeh zahir kar rahi hain ke US economy mein slowdown aa sakta hai, jo ke Federal Reserve ke future monetary policy decisions ke liye khudat paida kar raha hai. Is ke muqable mein, Japan ki economic indicators mazbooti dikha rahe hain, jo yen par traders ka confidence barha raha hai.

Mazid, geopolitical events aur global market conditions bhi currency movements par asar-andaz hoti hain. Har taraqqi, jaise ke trade negotiations, interest rate changes, ya investor sentiment mein tabdeeli, USD/JPY pair mein zyada volatility la sakti hain. Jaisay jaisay traders ane walay tabdeelion ka intezar kar rahe hain, yeh zaroori hai ke woh in external factors ke baray mein waqif rahain jo currency valuations ko asar-andaz kar sakti hain.

Halanki abhi ka trend bearish hai, bohat se market participants ko lagta hai ke ane wale dino mein ek significant movement dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Yeh upcoming economic data releases, central bank ke announcements, ya kisi aur unexpected event se trigger ho sakta hai. Un logon ke liye jo forex trading mein shamil hain, yeh zaroori hai ke woh price fluctuations ke liye hamesha tayar aur mutawajeh rahain.