USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

momentum hai aur doosri taraf downside ka khatra. Agar pair 144.038 ke aham resistance level ko breach karne mein nakam hota hai, tou yeh bullish pressure ke kamzor honay ki nishani ho sakti hai. Yeh resistance level market ke liye ek psychological aur technical barrier ka kaam karta hai. Agar yeh breach na ho paya, tou traders apni long positions ko reduce kar sakte hain, jo ke pullback ka sabab ban sakta hai. Agar yeh level barqarar na raha, tou market mein volatility barh sakti hai, kyun ke direction ka aur tasdeeq ka intezaar hoga. Agar pair upar jata hai lekin phir 143.733 se neeche girta hai, tou outlook kaafi bearish ho sakta hai. Yeh price level ek pivot point ka kaam karta hai jahan upward momentum aur reversal ke darmiyan farq hota hai. 143.733 se neeche girnay ka matlab yeh hoga ke buyers market par apna qabza kho chuke hain aur sellers ke liye raah khuli hai. Is surat mein agla aham level 144.361 ka support hoga. Agar selling pressure yahan barh gaya, tou market mein ek correction phase shuru ho sakta hai, aur traders neeche ke price points par apni positions establish karna chahein ge. Agar 144.361 ka level barqarar na raha, tou bearish sentiment tasdeeq ho jaye gi aur downside risk aur barh sakta hai. Aik ziada bearish scenario mein, USD/JPY pair apni decline ko aglay support level 144.73 tak barh sakta hai, jahan buyers market mein phir se daakhil honay ki umeed hai. Yeh level bullish traders ke liye ek mazboot support ka kaam kar sakta hai jahan woh apni positions consolidate kar sakein aur potential rebound ke liye tayar ho sakein. Agar buying interest is support level par mazid barh gaya, tou market mein downtrend temporarily ruk sakta hai, aur pair ko stabilize honay ka moqa milay ga. Lekin agar yeh level bhi defend na ho saka, tou downside momentum mazeed barh sakta hai, aur traders is se bhi neeche ke support levels ko target karna shuru kar denge. US dollar par pressure ke bawajood, USD/JPY currency pair ne H4 chart par apni northern trend ko barqarar rakha, kyun ke iske quotes MA100 indicator ki middle line ke neeche break nahi hue. Isi wajah se mein yeh umeed karta hoon ke iske quotations jald hi dobara growth shuru karenge, kyun ke yeh ek possible bullish zigzag wave "C" ko develop kar raha hai. Iski waves "A" (jo ke ek initial diagonal hai) aur "B" (jo ke ek plane hai) pehle se hi form ho chuki hain. Histogram aur MACD indicator ki signal line bhi bullish zone mein hai, jo asset ki northern uptrend ke liye support ka izhaar karti hai.

. Breakout ke baad pair ne 99 points ka girawat dekha aur phir upward correction ka koshish ki, jahan buyers ne kuch ground wapas hasil kiya aur price 144.53 ke resistance level tak wapas pohanch gaya. Is maqam par sell positions kholna behtar hoga, jahan target 140-141 range tak ka mazeed decline ho sakta hai. Agar pair 144.53 ke resistance se upar rebound karta hai, toh recovery ka silsila jari reh sakta hai, aur agla resistance level 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart par ek flag jesa ascending channel hai jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend phir se shuru ho sakta hai. H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur apne lower boundary se bounce back kiya hai. Agar price 144.49 ke level ko tor kar upar jata hai, toh buy karna aur target 145.69 rakhna aik viable strategy ho sakti hai. Aaj main USD/JPY ki price action ko closely dekh raha hoon. Haal hi mein kuch bearish pin bars 144.10 ke local resistance level par banay hain, jo ek mumkin decline ki nishandahi karte hain. Bank of Japan ne apni interest rate ko 0.25% se kam par barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya hai. Yeh faisla yeh zahir karta hai ke BOJ apni mojooda monetary policy ko continue kar raha hai, jo Yen ki strength par asar dal sakta hai. Is fundamental background ke hawalay se, USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend ka imkaan zyada lagta hai. Hourly chart par ek bearish engulfing pattern bhi nazar aya, jo downward move ka aur signal hai. In tamam signals ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mein agle haftay mein USD/JPY ko niche ki taraf dekh raha hoon. Mera pehla target lagbhag 50 points ka decline hai (spread ke baghair), lekin mazeed downside potential bhi mojood hai. Bearish outlook ke bawajood, USD/JPY ne hal hi mein 20 din ka high 144.50 touch kiya tha. Sellers ne control hasil karne ki koshish ki, lekin price ko effectively niche nahi le jaa paye. Maine ek ahem support area 143.49 aur 143.77 ke darmiyan dekha hai, jo prices ko elevated rakhta hai. USD/JPY ke market sentiment ko asalihiyat se navigate karna zaroori hai. Sentiment jaldi badal sakta hai, aur traders ko tayyar rehna chahiye ke wo tabdiliyon ka bar waqt jawab dein. Yeh is cheez ko samajhne ko bhi shamil karta hai ke kisi bhi mumkin reversal ke asar ya bazaar ke wasi' trend mein kisi bhi tabdeeli ko pehchanein jo USD/JPY pair ko mutasir kar sakta hai. Market ki updates aur sentiment ko sahih taur par samajh kar, traders apne aap ko mauqa' par faida uthane ya risk ko mitigate karne ke liye behtar taur par

level ko breach karne mein nakam hota hai, tou yeh bullish pressure ke kamzor honay ki nishani ho sakti hai. Yeh resistance level market ke liye ek psychological aur technical barrier ka kaam karta hai. Agar yeh breach na ho paya, tou traders apni long positions ko reduce kar sakte hain, jo ke pullback ka sabab ban sakta hai. Agar yeh level barqarar na raha, tou market mein volatility barh sakti hai, kyun ke direction ka aur tasdeeq ka intezaar hoga. Agar pair upar jata hai lekin phir 143.733 se neeche girta hai, tou outlook kaafi bearish ho sakta hai. Yeh price level ek pivot point ka kaam karta hai jahan upward momentum aur reversal ke darmiyan farq hota hai. 143.733 se neeche girnay ka matlab yeh hoga ke buyers market par apna qabza kho chuke hain aur sellers ke liye raah khuli hai. Is surat mein agla aham level 144.361 ka support hoga. Agar selling pressure yahan barh gaya, tou market mein ek correction phase shuru ho sakta hai, aur traders neeche ke price points par apni positions establish karna chahein ge. Agar 144.361 ka level barqarar na raha, tou bearish sentiment tasdeeq ho jaye gi aur downside risk aur barh sakta hai. Aik ziada bearish scenario mein, USD/JPY pair apni decline ko aglay support level 144.73 tak barh sakta hai, jahan buyers market mein phir se daakhil honay ki umeed hai. Yeh level bullish traders ke liye ek mazboot support ka kaam kar sakta hai jahan woh apni positions consolidate kar sakein aur potential rebound ke liye tayar ho sakein. Agar buying interest is support level par mazid barh gaya, tou market mein downtrend temporarily ruk sakta hai, aur pair ko stabilize honay ka moqa milay ga. Lekin agar yeh level bhi defend na ho saka, tou downside momentum mazeed barh sakta hai, aur traders is se bhi neeche ke support levels ko target karna shuru kar denge. US dollar par pressure ke bawajood, USD/JPY currency pair ne H4 chart par apni northern trend ko barqarar rakha, kyun ke iske quotes MA100 indicator ki middle line ke neeche break nahi hue. Isi wajah se mein yeh umeed karta hoon ke iske quotations jald hi dobara growth shuru karenge, kyun ke yeh ek possible bullish zigzag wave "C" ko develop kar raha hai. Iski waves "A" (jo ke ek initial diagonal hai) aur "B" (jo ke ek plane hai) pehle se hi form ho chuki hain. Histogram aur MACD indicator ki signal line bhi bullish zone mein hai, jo asset ki northern uptrend ke liye suppo

ground wapas hasil kiya aur price 144.53 ke resistance level tak wapas pohanch gaya. Is maqam par sell positions kholna behtar hoga, jahan target 140-141 range tak ka mazeed decline ho sakta hai. Agar pair 144.53 ke resistance se upar rebound karta hai, toh recovery ka silsila jari reh sakta hai, aur agla resistance level 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart par ek flag jesa ascending channel hai jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend phir se shuru ho sakta hai. H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur apne lower boundary se bounce back kiya hai. Agar price 144.49 ke level ko tor kar upar jata hai, toh buy karna aur target 145.69 rakhna aik viable strategy ho sakti hai. Aaj main USD/JPY ki price action ko closely dekh raha hoon. Haal hi mein kuch bearish pin bars 144.10 ke local resistance level par banay hain, jo ek mumkin decline ki nishandahi karte hain. Bank of Japan ne apni interest rate ko 0.25% se kam par barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya hai. Yeh faisla yeh zahir karta hai ke BOJ apni mojooda monetary policy ko continue kar raha hai, jo Yen ki strength par asar dal sakta hai. Is fundamental background ke hawalay se, USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend ka imkaan zyada lagta hai. Hourly chart par ek bearish engulfing pattern bhi nazar aya, jo downward move ka aur signal hai. In tamam signals ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mein agle haftay mein USD/JPY ko niche ki taraf dekh raha hoon. Mera pehla target lagbhag 50 points ka decline hai (spread ke baghair), lekin mazeed downside potential bhi mojood hai. Bearish outlook ke bawajood, USD/JPY ne hal hi mein 20 din ka high 144.50 touch kiya tha. Sellers ne control hasil karne ki koshish ki, lekin price ko effectively niche nahi le jaa paye. Maine ek ahem support area 143.49 aur 143.77 ke darmiyan dekha hai, jo prices ko elevated rakhta hai. Lekin market ke close ke qareeb, asset ne resistance ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkil ka samna kiya, aur double tops aur bottoms fifteen-minute chart par dekhay gaye. Jumlay se ye zahir hota hai ke USA mein economic growth ke hawalay se uncertainties

ne 99 points ka girawat dekha aur phir upward correction ka koshish ki, jahan buyers ne kuch ground wapas hasil kiya aur price 144.53 ke resistance level tak wapas pohanch gaya. Is maqam par sell positions kholna behtar hoga, jahan target 140-141 range tak ka mazeed decline ho sakta hai. Agar pair 144.53 ke resistance se upar rebound karta hai, toh recovery ka silsila jari reh sakta hai, aur agla resistance level 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart par ek flag jesa ascending channel hai jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend phir se shuru ho sakta hai. H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur apne lower boundary se bounce back kiya hai. Agar price 144.49 ke level ko tor kar upar jata hai, toh buy karna aur target 145.69 rakhna aik viable strategy ho sakti hai. Aaj main USD/JPY ki price action ko closely dekh raha hoon. Haal hi mein kuch bearish pin bars 144.10 ke local resistance level par banay hain, jo ek mumkin decline ki nishandahi karte hain. Bank of Japan ne apni interest rate ko 0.25% se kam par barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya hai. Yeh faisla yeh zahir karta hai ke BOJ apni mojooda monetary policy ko continue kar raha hai, jo Yen ki strength par asar dal sakta hai. Is fundamental background ke hawalay se, USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend ka imkaan zyada lagta hai. Hourly chart par ek bearish engulfing pattern bhi nazar aya, jo downward move ka aur signal hai. In tamam signals ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mein agle haftay mein USD/JPY ko niche ki taraf dekh raha hoon. Mera pehla target lagbhag 50 points ka decline hai (spread ke baghair), lekin mazeed downside potential bhi mojood hai. Bearish outlook ke bawajood, USD/JPY ne hal hi mein 20 din ka high 144.50 touch kiya tha. Sellers ne control hasil karne ki koshish ki, lekin price ko effectively niche nahi le jaa paye. Maine ek ahem support area 143.49 aur 143.77 ke darmiyan dekha hai, jo prices ko elevated rakhta hai. Lekin market ke close ke qareeb, asset ne resistance ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkil ka samna kiya, aur double tops aur bottoms fifteen-minute chart par dekhay gaye. Jumlay se ye zahir hota hai ke USA mein economic growth ke hawalay se uncertainties

Iss Tuesday ko, USD/JPY market ka challenge hoga ke woh 143.00 ke level ke upar qaim reh sake. Yeh level market mein bulls ke liye agle zyada mumkin direction ka pata dega. Agar 143.00 ka support level qaim rehta hai, toh bulls ko taqat mil sakti hai ke woh price ko aur upar dhakelain, jahan unka target 144.00 ka round mark hoga. Agar price is level se upar chali jati hai, toh yeh 144.70 aur 145.00 ke levels ko expose karega. Lekin agar price 143.00 ke level se neeche girta hai, toh bears ke paas acchi wajah hogi ke woh fight karein aur price ko neeche le jayein. Is scenario mein, mein pehla target 142.60 expect karunga, uske baad 142.00 hoga. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh 141.50 aur 141.30 ke levels expose ho sakte hain.

Daily trading diagram upside ka signal de raha hai aur mujhe umeed hai ke price accordingly move karega. Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price movements ko analyze karenge. Mujhe lagta hai ke USD/JPY currency pair ke four-hour chart par buying ka ek mauqa dekhne ko mil raha hai. Current price 142.168 par hai, aur yeh level ek potential entry point offer karta hai. Profit-taking target 145.450 ka hai, jo buyer support ke sath achieve kiya ja sakta hai.

Jumay ko, clearing campaign ki comfort zone future growth ke dauran likely thi, aur Wednesday ke options ke expiration ka bhi mumkin tha. Lekin rise Monday aur Wednesday ke call options tak nahi pohoch saka. Monday ke next option ki comfort zone current se teen strikes upar hogi, jo future growth ka acha indicator hai, aur yeh USD/JPY pair mein drop ka ishara deta hai. Lekin, Wednesday se pehle growth ko calls se upar target karna behtareen nahi hoga, kyun ke yeh zero mark se ek expiration level trigger kar sakta hai, jisne dollar ki buying ke liye correct entry point ko confirm kiya tha. Is natija mein, pair 50 pips ke qareeb move hua, magar mein 143.49 ke target level tak nahi pohoch saka.

Retail sales ke acchay numbers ne kal Japan ke weak reports ko offset kiya. Japan mein unemployment rate 2.5% tak gir gaya hai, lekin Japan ka Manufacturing PMI ab bhi 50-point mark se neeche hai, jo contraction ko indicate karta hai, jis wajah se yen neeche gira, aur bullish dollar market ka silsila kal se jari raha. Lekin yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke hum ek bearish trend mein hain, aur jitna upar pair jata hai, utna bara sellers ke wapas market mein aanay ka chance hota hai.

Intraday strategy ke liye, mein Scenario #1 aur #2 ko zyada implement karne ka plan bana raha hoon.

**Buy Signal:**

**Scenario #1:** Aaj, mein USD/JPY ko tab buy karne ka plan bana raha hoon jab price 144.52 ke qareeb pohchay gi (green line chart par), aur target level 145.38 (thicker green line chart par) hoga. 145.38 level par, mein buy positions exit karne aur opposite direction mein sell positions open karne ka irada rakhta hoon (30-35 pips ki movement ke liye opposite direction mein). Aap pair ki growth par sirf correction ke framework mein count kar sakte hain. Important! Buy karne se pehle, ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar ho aur rise shuru kar raha ho.

**Scenario #2:** Mein aaj USD/JPY ko do consecutive tests par bhi buy karne ka plan rakhta hoon jab price 144.16 level par ho aur MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ke downward potential ko limit karega aur market ko reversal ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Growth ko opposite levels 144.52 aur 145.38 tak expect kiya ja sakta hai.

**USD/JPY Market ka Jaiza**

USD/JPY market mein bullish trend ne Wednesday ke trading mein kaafi asar daala aur price movements mein significant tabdeeliyaan layi. Prices ne EMA 200 aur EMA 633 H1 ke qareeb stumble karte hue strength gain ki, khaaskar Asian session ke dauran. Lekin dheere dheere prices ne positive move kiya aur EMA 200 H1 ke upar chalne lage, EMA 633 H1 ko tor kar aur mazid taqat ke sath upar gaye. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1, jo pehle crossover form kar chuki thi, wo ab upward stretch ho rahi hain us waqt ke positive price movement ke baad. Prices ne resistance level 146.62 ke qareeb pohanchna shuru kiya, aur last week ka weekly high jo 146.50 par tha, uske qareeb aa gayi.

Thursday ke trading mein, USD/JPY market ne 146.45 par open kiya. Prices fluctuate karte rahe daily open aur apne qareebi resistance 147.11 ke beech. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ab bhi upward point kar rahi hain, aur EMA 200 aur EMA 633 abhi price movement ke neeche hain, jo is waqt pair ke bullish trend conditions ko validate karti hain H1 time frame par.

Lekin aaj ke trading conditions mein zyada patience ki zarurat hai momentum ka intezaar karne ke liye. Yeh static conditions nayi direction ke formation ki guzarish karti hain jo ke pehle ke condition se ulat bhi sakti hai. Magar, overall short term mein yeh pair abhi bhi bullish potential rakhta hai.

USD/JPY market ek critical juncture par hai, jahan key resistance aur support levels current trading range ko define kar rahe hain. Agar 145.36 se upar breakout hota hai toh yeh bullish trend ka ishaara ho sakta hai, jo price ko 147.00 aur uske baad mazid barhane ka chance dega. Dosri taraf, agar price 143.90 se neeche girti hai toh yeh bearish reversal ko dikhata hai, jo further declines ki taraf le ja sakta hai 141.75 aur shayad 140.24 tak. Traders ke liye zaroori hai ke wo in levels ko closely monitor karein aur economic developments ke lehaz se informed rahen. Saath hi disciplined approach se risk management karna bhi intehai aham hai taake changing market landscape mein informed decisions liye ja sakein.

**USD/JPY ka Jaiza:**

Is Tuesday, USD/JPY market ko 143.00 ke level ke upar rehne ka challenge samna karna hoga. Agar 143.00 ka support level barkarar rehta hai, to bulls ko upar push karne ka mauqa milega, jiska maqsad 144.00 ka round mark hoga. Agar is level se upar chadhai hoti hai, to 144.70 aur 145.00 ke levels expose honge. Lekin agar price 143.00 ke level se neeche girti hai, to bears ke paas achhe reasons honge ke wo price ko neeche ki taraf aur le ja saken. Agar ye scenario sajta hai, to mera pehla target 142.60 hoga, jiske baad 142.00 ka level hoga. Agar is level se neeche break hota hai, to 141.50 aur 141.30 ke levels expose honge. Daily trading diagram upar ki taraf ishara de raha hai, aur mujhe umeed hai ke price is hisaab se move karega.

Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price movements ka jaiza lenge. Main four-hour chart par USD/JPY currency pair ke liye buying ka mauqa dekh raha hoon. Filhal price 142.168 hai, aur ye level entry point ban sakta hai. Profit-taking target 145.450 hai, jo ke buyer support ke sath haqiqat ban sakta hai. Jumeraat ko, clearing campaign ka comfort zone shayad future growth ke dauran hoga, aur Wednesday ke options ka expire hona bhi mumkin tha. Lekin, rise dono Monday aur Wednesday ko call options ko hit nahi kar paya. Monday ke agle option ka comfort zone current option se teen strikes upar hoga, jo ke mazeed future growth ka achha indicator hai, jo USD/JPY pair ke girne ki taraf ishara karta hai. Lekin, ye behtar hai ke in calls ke upar growth ke liye Wednesday se pehle aim na karein, kyunki ye zero mark se expiration level trigger kar sakta hai, jo buying ke liye sahi entry point ko confirm karega. Iska nateeja ye hua ke pair lagbhag 50 pips tak upar gaya, lekin maine 143.49 ka target level nahi pakra.

Retail sales ki achhi figures kal ke Japan ke kamzor industrial production reports ko offset karti hain. Japan mein unemployment rate 2.5% tak gir gaya hai, lekin Japan ka Manufacturing PMI 50-point mark se neeche hai, jo activity ke contraction ko darshata hai, jis wajah se yen gir gaya aur dollar ka bullish market jari raha. Lekin, yaad rahe ke hum bearish trend mein hain, aur jitna upar pair jaata hai, utne hi bade sellers ke market mein wapas aane ke chances badhte hain.

**Intraday Strategy ke liye:**

Main zyada tar Scenario #1 aur #2 ko implement karne par rely karunga.

**Buy Signal:**

**Scenario #1:** Aaj main USD/JPY ko 144.52 (chart par green line) ke entry point par kharidne ka plan kar raha hoon, jiska target level 145.38 (chart par thicker green line) hoga. 145.38 level par, main buy positions se exit karne aur opposite direction mein sell positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon (is level se 30-35 pips ki opposite movement ka aim rakhte hue). Aaj pair ki growth sirf correction ke framework mein hi dekhi ja sakti hai. **Important!** Kharidne se pehle ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar ho aur rise kar raha ho.

**Scenario #2:** Agar MACD indicator oversold area mein ho, to main aaj USD/JPY kharidne ka plan bhi kar raha hoon jab price level 144.16 ko do consecutive tests kare. Ye pair ki downward potential ko limit karega aur market ko upar ki taraf reverse karega. Opposite levels 144.52 aur 145.38 ki taraf growth ki umeed ki ja sakti hai.

USD/JPY currency pair ka real-time price analysis kar rahay hain, jahan filhal price 146.149 per trade ho rahi hai. Yeh behtareen waqt hai current market price par selling ko consider karne ka, kyun ke din ke opening price se duri dikhati hai ke buying momentum qareeb hai, jo sellers ke liye favorable conditions create karta hai.Agar hum 146.149 par market mein entry karte hain, toh stop loss 146.174 ke aas paas set karna chahiye. Is trade ka ideal profit target strong support level 145.192 ke near hona chahiye. Jab price is level tak pohanch jaye, toh short positions ko close karna aqalmandi hogi, kyun ke ek corrective rebound upar ki taraf ho sakta hai. Yeh rebound ascending channel ke lower boundary tak pahuch sakta hai, aur price correction ko continue karte hue pehli correction wave ke upper point 147.322 ke zone tak ja sakta hai. Is zone se downward rebound ki anticipation ki ja sakti hai, lekin is rebound ki strength abhi uncertain hai.USD/JPY pair ek descending channel ke andar trade kar rahi hai, aur downward trend ko maintain karte hue EMA 50 se bounce hui hai. Filhal pair critical support level 145.35 ko target kar rahi hai, jo pehle se test ho chuka hai, aur yeh aur zyada decline ka ishara karta hai, jahan targets 143.99 aur 142.14 ke aas paas hain. Recommendation yeh hai ke selling focus ke sath trade kiya jaye, aur stop-loss ko resistance level 146.59 ke upar set kiya jaye.USD/JPY ne correction phase mein entry ki hai jab price ne kal ke lows ko hit kiya. Market significant news ka intizar kar raha hai, khaaskar Fed ki taraf se minutes ka release aur labor market data ka revision. Agar yeh data significant tariqe se revise hota hai, toh is ka zyada impact ho sakta hai, aur speculation ka sabab ban sakta hai ke September mein Fed rate cut 50 points tak ho sakti hai, jo dollar ki weakness ka sabab banega. Jumay ko, USD/JPY ka daily chart bullish tha. Meri forecast jumay ke liye accurate thi. Maine uptrend ka tajziya kiya tha, kyun ke Thursday ko price rise ho rahi thi aur 141.874 ke level ke upar close hui thi. Jumay ke liye, uptrend ka priority tha aur price poora din rising karti rahi, 143.747 ke resistance ko break kiya aur is level ke upar close hui. Monday ke liye, meri priority uptrend rahegi 145.265 ke resistance tak. Kyun ke price in levels ke upar close hui hai,
USD/JPY ne kal ke lows ko hit karne ke baad correction phase mein entry ki hai. Market Fed ki significant news ka intezar kar raha hai, khaaskar minutes ka release aur labor market data ka revision. Yeh revision zyada impact rakh sakti hai, khaaskar agar data mein significant changes aaye. Yeh speculation ko janam de sakti hai ke September mein Fed 50-point rate cut kar sakta hai, jo dollar ko weaken karne ka sabab ban sakta hai.
hain. Maujooda halaat ke madde nazar, main expect karta hoon ke maximum bullish correction moving average resistance zone 143.21 ke qareeb ho sakti hai. Main is level se sell karne ke mauqe talash karunga, kyunki mazeed girawat ka imkaan hai. Higher time frames par volatility mein kisi bhi slowdown ya sideways movement ka na hona yeh dikhata hai ke local ya global trend mein koi foran reversal nazar nahi aa raha. Maujooda market dynamics Japan ke central bank ke fundamentals ko reflect karti hain, aur yen ke taqatwar hone ka silsila abhi jaari rahega. Chalo, USD/JPY ka daily chart dekhte hain: wave structure abhi bhi downward hai, aur MACD indicator apni signal line ke neeche lower sales zone mein hai. Jumay ke din, USD/JPY mein selling ka rujhan tha, aur bulls 141.89 level ko paar karne mein kamyab nahi ho sake. Hourly technical analysis yeh signal deta hai ke sellers ka pressure jaari hai. Mera khayal hai ke price ki girawat abhi bhi barqarar rahegi, aur bears ka target 136.99 hai. Quotes 155.23 ke high se neeche ja rahe hain, aur chart par yeh dikh raha hai ke chhoti rebounds ke bawajood downtrend abhi tak jaari hai. Kaafi arsay se traders 140.27 aur 143.81 ke darmiyan phansay hue hain. Jumay ke session ke end par, USD/JPY is range ke lower boundary ke qareeb fluctuate kar raha tha. Agar Monday ke din koi significant tabdeeli nahi hoti, to pair ke 139.00 ke neeche break karne ka imkaan hai, aur naye lows 139 range mein dekhe ja sakte hain. USD/JPY ko sell karne ke liye, ek clear break ka intizaar karna chahiye, jo ke recent low ke neeche ho, break ko ek updated low se confirm karein, aur phir ek northern correction ka in

United States apne September ka labor market data Friday, 4 October ko 15:30 (GMT+3, terminal time) par release kare ga. Economists ka andaaza hai ke September mein US economy ne 144,000 jobs add kiye hain, jab ke pichle mahine mein 142,000 jobs ka izafa hua tha. Yeh data khaas tor par ahem hai kyun ke Federal Reserve ne apna rate-cutting cycle September mein shuru kiya tha, jab unhone 50 basis points ki significant cut ki thi. Is aggressive rate cut ke bawajood, labor market abhi bhi investors ke focus mein hai, jo yeh jaanch rahe hain ke central bank ko agle chand mahine mein kitni jaldi aur rate cuts karne padenge.
Labor market data market participants ke liye ek ahem indicator hoga, jo US economy ki strength ka pata dega jab ke global slowdown chal raha hai. Agar jobs report mazboot hoti hai, to yeh economy ke resilient hone ka ishara ho sakti hai, jo aur rate cuts ko delay kar sakta hai, jab ke kamzor data Federal Reserve se mazeed accommodative monetary policy ki zarurat ko tasdeeq kar sakta hai.

Main report se pehle, is hafte mein kai aur labor market indicators release kiye jayenge. Tuesday ko US apna Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) data publish kare ga, jo job availability aur labor market mein demand ke level ka pata dega. Wednesday ko ADP Employment Change report release hogi, jo private-sector job growth ka pehla preview de gi. Aakhri mein Thursday ko weekly jobless claims data available ho ga. Yeh saare reports Friday ke main employment data ke liye hints de sakte hain aur investors ke expectations aur market movements ko asar andaz kar sakte hain.



Aaj subah, USD/JPY currency pair mein ek noticeable price movement dekhi gayi, jahan price 146 tak gir gaya tha lekin phir rebound kiya. Aaj ke aakhir tak, price ka growth ke saath close hone ka imkaan hai, jo 146.52 ko bottom support level ke tor par establish kar sakta hai. Pair ne 146.19 tak barh gayi hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke bullish sentiment mazid barh sakta hai. Agar upward momentum jari rehta hai, to USD/JPY agle dino mein aur bhi barh sakta hai, khaaskar agar labor market data Federal Reserve ki hawkish stance ko support karta hai. Khulasay ke tor par, aanay wala labor market data is hafte market sentiment ka ek critical driver hoga. Federal Reserve ke rate decisions aur broader economic trends ko labor market ki strength ke mutabiq asar pahunche ga, aur traders in developments ko ghore se dekhte hue apni positions adjust karenge.

USD/JPY currency pair is waqt ahem technical levels ka samna kar raha hai jo uski qareebi duration ke direction par khaasa asar daal sakte hain. Traders aur investors in levels ko ghore se dekh rahe hain taake pair ke potential movements ka andaza lagaya ja sake. Downside par, key support 145.98 ka level hai, aur agar price is level ke neeche break karti hai, to yeh mazeed kamzori ka ishara de sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar price 146.500 ke upar break hoti hai, to yeh market sentiment mein tabdeeli ka ishara hoga, jo yeh suggest karega ke downward pressure kam ho gaya hai.
Downside Scenario


Agar USD/JPY pair downward momentum jari rakhti hai, to pehla ahem level jo dekhne layak hoga woh 145.98 ka support level hai. Yeh level ek critical barrier ke tor par kaam kar raha hai, aur pair ne recent sessions mein is support ko kai dafa test kiya hai. Agar pair is level ke neeche break karti hai, to yeh ek broader sell-off ka sabab ban sakta hai, jo pair ko aur neeche ke support levels ki taraf dhakela ga.

Traders ka focus ek ahem level par hoga jo seven-month low 145.88 ka hai. Yeh level ek tareekhi point hai jahan pehle pair ko support mila tha, aur agar pair dobara is level ko test karti hai, to buying interest barh sakta hai. Lekin agar pair is support ko hold nahi karti aur is se neeche break hoti hai, to yeh ek gehra decline ka ishara de sakta hai. Aisi movement market mein mazid selling pressure ka pata de gi, jo pair ko agle ahem support level ki taraf dhakel sakti hai, jo 146.21 par hai.

Yeh lower support level is liye khaas hai kyun ke yeh pehle pivot point ke tor par kaam kar chuka hai. Agar pair is level ke upar hold karne mein nakam hoti hai, to yeh bearish momentum ke firmly in place hone ka ishara ho ga, aur pair mein mazeed girawat ka imkaan barh sakta hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to yeh downside risk ka rasta khol de ga, aur traders ka focus long-term support areas par shift ho sakta hai.
Upside Scenario


Upside mein, sabse pehla level jo dekhne layak hai, woh 146.500 ka hai. Agar price is level ke upar break karti hai, to yeh market sentiment mein tabdeeli ka ishara ho ga. Agar pair is resistance ke upar move karta hai, to yeh downward pressure ke kam hone ka ishara ho ga jo recent price action ko dominate kar raha tha. Yeh move buyers ko market mein wapas la sakta hai, jo pair ko aur upar dhakel sakte hain.

Agar 146.500 ka successful breakout hota hai, to USD/JPY pair ke liye agla ahem resistance level 146.70 ho ga, jo pehle price action ke liye ek ceiling ke tor par kaam kar chuka hai. Is level ke baad, market psychological resistance 147.00 ke aas paas target kar sakti hai. Yeh area aksar traders ke liye ahem hota hai, kyun ke yeh ek barrier ke tor par kaam karta hai jo trading sentiment par asar daal sakta hai.
Market Sentiment aur Broader Context


USD/JPY pair ke hawale se market sentiment kaafi factors par depend karta hai, jaise ke central bank policies, economic data releases, aur geopolitical risks. Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ki recent monetary policy stance ne pair ke direction par khaasa asar daala hai. US dollar ko rising interest rates ka faida hua hai, jab ke Japanese yen Bank of Japan ki ultra-loose monetary policy ki wajah se pressure mein raha hai.

Lekin market sentiment mein tabdeeli se pair ki direction jaldi badal sakti hai. Agar investors ko lagta hai ke US Federal Reserve apne rate hiking cycle ke qareeb aa raha hai, to yeh dollar ko kamzor kar sakta hai, jo yen ko mazboot kare ga. Dusri taraf, agar Fed yeh signal deta hai ke rates mazeed arse tak high rahenge, to USD/JPY pair mazeed barh sakta hai.



Conclusion

USD/JPY pair kuch ahem technical levels ka samna kar raha hai jo uski qareebi duration ke direction ka taayun kare ga. Downside par, 145.98 ka support level critical hai, aur agar is se neeche girawat hoti hai to seven-month low 145.88 ka retest ho sakta hai. Agar yeh levels break hotay hain, to mazeed weakness ka imkaan hai. Upside par, agar price 146.500 ke upar break karti hai, to market sentiment shift hone ka ishara ho ga, jo pair ko upar dhakel sakta hai. Traders in levels par ghore se nazar rakhen ge taake pair ke agle move ko pehchana ja sake, jab ke broader economic aur policy shifts USD/JPY ki trajectory ko asar andaz karte rahenge.

Pichle trading haftay ke dauran Japanese yen mazid mazboot hota gaya aur ek dafa phir se local range ko chhoo liya. Jab price 143.53 ke barrier tak pahunchi, toh wahan se recovery hui aur phir se decline karte hue 140.80 tak pohanchi, jahan se phir se ek rebound karne ki koshish hui lekin wapis downside ki taraf laut aayi aur naye levels tak girti rahi. Halaanki yeh target area tak poori tarah se nahi pohanch saka, kyun ke kuch points badhne ke baad prices ruk gayi thi. Is tarah se expected scenario ka kuch hissa realize hua. Filhal, price chart super-trend red zone mein hai, jo sellers ke control ko zahir karta hai. Yen ne Tuesday ko kam close kiya jab US Census Bureau ke data ne better-than-expected US consumer spending ko dikhaya, jo retail sales data ke zariye samajh aaya. Is data ne US dollar ko support diya, jo zyada tar major currencies ke muqable mein strong tha, kyun ke investors ne yeh samjha ke yeh inflation mein ek possible rebound ka ishara ho sakta hai, jo Federal Reserve ke plans ko derail kar sakta hai. USD/JPY ne pichle Monday ke all-time high 143.4 se retreat kiya aur Tuesday ke session mein 139.40 par close hui, jo ke pichle din ke close 139.30 se mukabla kar raha tha. Current session mein yeh pair 143.9 ka high touch kar chuka hai, jabke low 142.80 tha. Simple moving average indicator ke mutabiq sellers abhi bhi bohot dominant hain, aur jo increase ho rahi hai, woh sirf market ke resistance ka nateeja hai, isliye main kehta hoon ke yeh increase significant nahi hai. Iske ilawa agar hum dollar index ke data se muqabla karein, toh dollar abhi bearish trend mein hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke global economic market se dollar par dabao barqarar rahega. Isliye, mera agle do dino ke liye USD/JPY currency ke liye trading ka tajweez yeh hai ke Sell kiya jaye.

اکتوبر 4 2024 کو امریکی ڈالر/جاپانی ین کی پیشن گوئی

امریکی ڈالر/جاپانی ین جوڑے نے نمایاں پیش رفت کی ہے، جو کل 2 ستمبر کو 147.22 کی بلند ترین سطح پر پہنچ گئی۔ یومیہ ٹائم فریم میں قیمت ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کے اوپر مستحکم ہو گئی ہے۔ تاہم، مزید نمو کے لیے، ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کے اوپر غلط بریک آؤٹ کے خطرے کو بے اثر کرنے کے لیے قیمت کو اس سطح سے اوپر مضبوط کرنے کی ضرورت ہے۔



مارلن آسیلیٹر کا الٹ جانا اس امکانی امکان کی نشاندہی کرتا ہے کہ قیمت ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن سے نیچے، 145.25 نشان سے نیچے جا سکتی ہے، جو قیمت کو 139.70-140.27 کی حد میں لے آئے گی۔ یہ فی الحال اہم منظر نامہ ہے۔



چار گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت 147.22 پر مزاحمت کے سامنے مضبوط ہونے کی کوشش کرتی ہے۔ مارلن مسلسل زوال پذیر ہے۔ ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن 145.00 پر اضافی مدد فراہم کرتی ہے۔ ہم امریکی لیبر مارکیٹ کے اعداد و شمار کے اجراء کا انتظار کر رہے ہیں، جو اس جوڑے کو مضبوط ترغیب دے سکتا ہے۔

تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

USD/JPY Currency Pair Ki Haliya Soorat-e-Haal Ka Tajziya
USD/JPY currency pair ne abhi abhi 144.53 ke support level ko tor diya hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke downtrend ka silsila jari reh sakta hai. Is breakout ke baad, pair ne 99 points ki girawat dekhi. Iske baad, kharidaar 144.53 ke resistance level tak kuch ground wapas hasil karne mein kamiyab hue. Is mauqam se sell positions kholna munasib ho sakta hai, aur mazeed girawat ka target 140-141 ke range tak ho sakta hai.
Agar pair 144.53 resistance ke upar rebound hota hai, toh recovery jari reh sakti hai, aur agle resistance ka aim 146.38 ho sakta hai. Hourly chart par ek ascending channel jhanda ki tarah nazar aa raha hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur uski lower boundary se bounce off hua hai. Agar price 144.49 ko tor de, toh 145.69 ka target lekar khareedari ki strategy munasib ho sakti hai.
USD/JPY ne hal hi mein 143 tak girawat dekhi thi, lekin American trading session ke akhir tak 100 points ka izafa hotay hue recovery ki. Daily price chart ab ek bullish pattern dikha raha hai. Bears abhi tak price ko 144.99 ke key level ke neeche dhakelne mein nakaam rahe hain, jis se downward trend ke jari rehne par shak paida hota hai.
Maujooda market ki uncertainty ko dekhte hue, ehtiyat ki zaroorat hai, kyun ke price kuch dinon tak is level ke aas-paas reh sakti hai. US dollar index ne ek mazboot weekly support level ko choo liya hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke dollar jald hi ek corrective rebound kar sakta hai. Speaker is waqt sirf sell positions lene ka soch raha hai aur buy karne ka koi irada nahi rakhta.
Currency pair ne neeche se 143.99 level ko test kiya hai aur ab 144.49 tak upar chali gayi hai, jo ek positive sign hai. Bulls Asian trading session ke dauran price ko mazeed 49 points tak le ja sakte hain. Maujooda price 143.43 hai, jo 141.70 ke aham support level se thoda upar hai. Yeh level unn traders ka key target ho sakta hai jo girawat par bet kar rahe hain. Kuch consolidation ke baad, pair mazeed girne ka rujhaan rakh sakta hai.
Bank of Japan ke hone ke bawajood, USD/JPY ki exchange rate mein zyada girawat ki umeed nahi ki ja sakti. Woh pehle hi ishara de chuke hain ke woh yen ki qeemat mein tezi se utar chadhav par mudakhlat kar sakte hain, jo ke yen ko kamzor kar sakta hai agar yeh ziyada mazboot ho jaye. Is liye, 129 ka target haqeeqat par mabni nahi lagta, kyun ke Bank of Japan 139 ke aas-paas mudakhlat kar sakta hai aur apni currency ko kamzor karne ke liye bazaar mein yen ki badi miktar inject kar sakta hai.
Natija ye hai ke buying strength kam ho gayi hai, aur market mein ek ehtiyaati soch dekhne ko mil rahi hai. Aaj ka market action zyada tar mazeed economic data par mabni hoga, jo ke is pair ke liye zyada ahmiyat rakhta hai.
4o miniUSD/JPY Currency Pair Ki Haliya Soorat-e-Haal Ka Tajziya USD/JPY currency pair ne abhi abhi 144.53 ke support level ko tor diya hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke downtrend ka silsila jari reh sakta hai. Is breakout ke baad, pair ne 99 points ki girawat dekhi. Iske baad, kharidaar 144.53 ke resistance level tak kuch ground wapas hasil karne mein kamiyab hue. Is mauqam se sell positions kholna munasib ho sakta hai, aur mazeed girawat ka target 140-141 ke range tak ho sakta hai.
Agar pair 144.53 resistance ke upar rebound hota hai, toh recovery jari reh sakti hai, aur agle resistance ka aim 146.38 ho sakta hai. Hourly chart par ek ascending channel jhanda ki tarah nazar aa raha hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur uski lower boundary se bounce off hua hai. Agar price 144.49 ko tor de, toh 145.69 ka target lekar khareedari ki strategy munasib ho sakti hai.
USD/JPY ne hal hi mein 143 tak girawat dekhi thi, lekin American trading session ke akhir tak 100 points ka izafa hotay hue recovery ki. Daily price chart ab ek bullish pattern dikha raha hai. Bears abhi tak price ko 144.99 ke key level ke neeche dhakelne mein nakaam rahe hain, jis se downward trend ke jari rehne par shak paida hota hai.
Maujooda market ki uncertainty ko dekhte hue, ehtiyat ki zaroorat hai, kyun ke price kuch dinon tak is level ke aas-paas reh sakti hai. US dollar index ne ek mazboot weekly support level ko choo liya hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke dollar jald hi ek corrective rebound kar sakta hai. Speaker is waqt sirf sell positions lene ka soch raha hai aur buy karne ka koi irada nahi rakhta.
Currency pair ne neeche se 143.99 level ko test kiya hai aur ab 144.49 tak upar chali gayi hai, jo ek positive sign hai. Bulls Asian trading session ke dauran price ko mazeed 49 points tak le ja sakte hain. Maujooda price 143.43 hai, jo 141.70 ke aham support level se thoda upar hai. Yeh level unn traders ka key target ho sakta hai jo girawat par bet kar rahe hain. Kuch consolidation ke baad, pair mazeed girne ka rujhaan rakh sakta hai.
Bank of Japan ke hone ke bawajood, USD/JPY ki exchange rate mein zyada girawat ki umeed nahi ki ja sakti. Woh pehle hi ishara de chuke hain ke woh yen ki qeemat mein tezi se utar chadhav par mudakhlat kar sakte hain, jo ke yen ko kamzor kar sakta hai agar yeh ziyada mazboot ho jaye. Is liye, 129 ka target haqeeqat par mabni nahi lagta, kyun ke Bank of Japan 139 ke aas-paas mudakhlat kar sakta hai aur apni currency ko kamzor karne ke liye bazaar mein yen ki badi miktar inject kar sakta hai.
Natija ye hai ke buying strength kam ho gayi hai, aur market mein ek ehtiyaati soch dekhne ko mil rahi hai. Aaj ka market action zyada tar mazeed economic data par mabni hoga, jo ke is pair ke liye zyada ahmiyat rakhta hai.

USD/JPY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:

USD/JPY H4 time frame par, hum USD/JPY currency pair ke maujooda price trends ko dekh rahe hain. Aaj market kaafi sluggish raha hai, jahan price movements zyada tar ek narrow range tak simat gayi hain. Yeh consolidation phase kal ke active session ke baad aayi, jahan pair ne performance mein ek notable peak achieve kiya.

Maujooda significant movement ki kami ko recent surge ke baad market participants ke pause karne se joda ja sakta hai, kyunke wo naye catalysts ya economic data ka intezaar kar rahe hain jo agle directional push ko drive kare. Kal ka peak pair ki recent upward trajectory ka high point tha. USD/JPY dheere dheere chadh raha tha kuch factors ki wajah se, jismein U.S. dollar ki taqat shamil hai jo rising Treasury yields aur Federal Reserve ke future rate hikes ki umeedon se driven hai.

Is darmiyan, Bank of Japan ki ultra-loose monetary policy ka jaari rehna yen ko kamzor karta hai, jo medium term ke liye USD/JPY ke overall bullish trend mein contribute kar raha hai. Lekin, is peak tak pahunchnay ke baad, pair ne ek consolidation phase mein entry le li hai, jo aise strong moves ke baad kaafi aam hai.

In dauron, market aam tor par agle bade breakout ke liye momentum ikattha karti hai, chahe wo upar ho ya neeche. Traders ko consolidation phase ke doran potential support aur resistance levels ka khayal rakhna chahiye, kyunke yeh levels future price direction ke liye clues faraham kar sakte hain.

Filhal, USD/JPY ek key resistance zone ke nazdeek hai, aur agar yeh is se upar breakout karta hai, to yeh mazeed bullish continuation ka signal de sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar price higher break karne mein nakam rehti hai, to humein support levels ki taraf retracement dekhne ko mil sakta hai.

Technical standpoint se, indicators jese Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Moving Averages mixed signals dikhate hain. RSI overbought levels ke nazdeek pahuncha hua hai, jo yeh suggest kar sakta hai ke ek potential correction nazdeek hai. Is ke bawajood, price ab tak key moving averages, jaise 50-period aur 100-period EMA ke upar trade kar rahi hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke broader trend abhi ke liye bullish hai.

USD/JPY pair kal performance mein peak par pahunchnay ke baad consolidation phase mein hai. Aaj ka price action slow raha hai aur limited range tak simat gaya hai. Traders ko key technical levels aur aane wale economic data par nazar rakhni chahiye taake agle move ka tayun kiya ja sake. Market shayad ek aur significant shift ke liye tayyar ho rahi hai, aur maujooda technical setup ko samajhna agle mauqe ko pehchanne ke liye bohot ahem hoga.