USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY currency pair ke price action analysis par hamari guftagu hogi. Kal ke trading session mein Japanese yen ne buyers ko faida diya. Magar, higher time frames par USD/JPY pair abhi bhi consolidation mein hai, aur iski direction aam taur par US labour market indicators ke updates par depend karegi. H4 chart par, dollar-yen buyers ne quotes ko 141.68 ke low se aik ascending fan ke andar rakha hua hai. Agar price support level 144.91 ke neeche girti hai, to momentum sellers ki taraf shift ho sakta hai, jo ke August ke low ko dobara test kar sakte hain. Halankeh pair shayad Monday ko bearish pullback se shuru ho, yeh zaroori nahi hai.

Yen ke saath pair ne upar ki taraf movement dikhayi aur 146.01 par close hua. Lekin, abhi bhi uchi levels ke liye potential hai. Dusri taraf, mera primary focus niche ki trend par hai, jahan aur gehra decline hone ki jagah hai jo ke significantly lower targets ko reach kar sakta hai. Dilchasp baat yeh hai ke dollar ne kal achi rally di, jab ke negative indices ki ummeed thi. Jo cheez ahm hai, woh yeh hai ke market kaise perform karti hai opening ke baad, khaaskar jab Monday ko United States mein holiday hai. Main filhaal sidelines par hoon, lekin 148.81 ke upar chadhne ka mauka nazar andaz nahi karunga, jahan main sell positions initiate karne ka sochunga. USD/JPY ke liye sabse nazdeek significant resistance 147.26 ke aas-paas hai, lekin bulls tabhi complete upward impulse ki taraf dekh sakte hain agar pair critical level 149.33 ke upar break aur hold karta hai, jo ke phir se growth ko pehli impulse zone targets 154.06 aur 156.98 ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

USD/JPY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

Daily Timeframe

Chaliye D1 period ke chart ko dekhte hain - USD/JPY currency pair ka. Pichle hafte ka zyada tar hissa sideways move mein guzra aur market mein American dollar ke general strengthening ke bawajood upar ki taraf gaya. Wave structure abhi bhi apni downward order build kar raha hai, aur MACD indicator lower sales zone mein hai, lekin apni signal line ke upar hai. Horizontal level 145.10 ne price ko poore hafte resistance provide kiya. Jab tak price iske neeche thi, decline ke continue hone ke zyada chances the, lekin is level ko upar ki taraf break kiya gaya, jo is waqt downward scenario ko side pe rakhne ka signal hai. Daily candle ne is resistance level 145.10 ke upar fix ho gaya, ek asli breakout hasil kiya. Isse pehle, growth attempts successful nahi hui thi. Ab price growth ke high probability hai jo ke pehle ki growth wave ke maximum tak, yani 149.47 tak pohnch sakti hai. 154.10 level par ek rollback preliminary possible hai, jo ab ek support ban gaya hai aur mirror ke taur par kaam kar raha hai. Decline ke resume hone ko tabhi consider kiya jayega agar is level ke neeche reverse consolidation hota hai, tab hum shayad August ke low update karne ke liye jayenge, jo 140.28 aur 141.79 ke levels ke beech mein ho sakta hai.

Is senior period ke mutabiq, din ke chhote periods mein sirf purchases ko consider kiya jayega jab growth se related formations dekhi jayein. Growth ke haq mein ek additional signal CCI indicator ka position hai, jo lower overheating zone se nikal gaya hai aur upward direction mein hai. Plus, yehi indicator purane weekly chart par bhi lower overheating zone se upar ja raha hai. General trend ye hai ke market ke doosre major pairs bhi US dollar ko strengthen karne ki taraf ja rahe hain.

Aaj ek downward rollback dekhne ko mil raha hai, aur meri opinion mein, price ko buy karne ke liye sahi waqt hai. Aaj ke liye kuch important news hain: 16:45 Moscow time - US Manufacturing Business Activity Index (PMI). 17:00 - US Construction Expenditures, ISM Manufacturing Employment Index, aur ISM Manufacturing Business Activity Index (PMI).

### Fundamental Phase of USD/JPY

Pehle September ko, USD/JPY ne 0.40% se barh kar 146.74 ka level pakra. Monday ko U.S. ki public holiday ki wajah se dollar ki volatility thodi flat rahi, lekin agle dinon mein macroeconomic data ka silsila shuru ho raha hai, khaaskar Friday ko non-farm payrolls data jo climax tak pohnchega. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell ne inflation se ladne se zyada naukriyon ko bachane par focus shift kar diya hai, isliye Friday ko release hone wala U.S. non-farm payrolls report bahut hi ahem hai. Analysts kehte hain ke employment data se Fed ke rate cuts ke expectations ka pata chalega. Kuch hafton se market 25 basis points rate cut ki possibility ko digest kar rahi hai. Inflation data ke mutabiq, rate cut chhota hone ki umeed hai, is wajah se long-term U.S. Treasury yields ne mid-August ke baad se sabse uncha level pakra, aur dollar ne August 20 ke baad se sabse ucha level chhoda. U.S. GDP data ne bhi yeh dikhaya ke economic foundation itni mazboot hai ke Federal Reserve ko policy ko relax karne mein kam aggressive rehna chahiye. Reuters se survey kiye gaye economists ko umeed hai ke August mein U.S. non-farm payrolls 165,000 tak barhenge, jo pichle mahine se 114,000 zyada hai. Analysts kehte hain agar data forecast ke nazdeek hota hai, to U.S. economy ko soft landing milne ki umeed hai aur Fed is mahine 25 basis points policy ko ease kar sakta hai. Lekin agar data 100,000 ya usse kam hota hai, to hard landing ka risk barh jayega aur market ko lagta hai ke 50 basis points rate cut ka possibility zyada hai. Non-farm payrolls data ka impact U.S. dollar par ek waqt ke liye zyada hoga.

### Technical Phase of USD/JPY

Is waqt, USD/JPY oversold rebound adjustment mein hai. Jab U.S. dollar ke interest rates ke rate cut cycle ke shuru hone ki umeed hai, to dollar ka upward trend lena unrealistic lagta hai. Short-term mein, USD/JPY ka 149-150 area ek important resistance banata hai. Agar is resistance ko break nahi kar paaya, to trend downward direction mein continue karne ki umeed hai.

Ham USD/JPY currency pair ke current price movement ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Hourly time frame par primary trend downward hai, jo ke descending moving averages aur purane oscillator ke zariye zahir hota hai. Ye moving averages, jo ke higher time frames ke average prices ko represent karte hain, decline ke liye sahi taur par aligned hain, jahan shorter moving average, longer moving average ke neeche hai. Daily histogram ki placement bhi yeh darshati hai ke yeh instrument agle kuch hafton ke liye decline kar sakta hai.

Lekin, four-hour chart par histogram aur linear oscillator zero line ke upar move kar chuke hain, jo ke short-term upward movement ka ishara hai, jo shayad ek haftay tak chal sakta hai. Andrews' pitchfork jo pivot points ke around wrap hui hai, ek ascending channel dikhata hai, aur pair iske andar steadily move kar raha hai. Price ab middle line tak pahunche chuki hai, jo ke channel ke andar aage ke gains ki possibility ko suggest karta hai, shayad 145.29 ke level tak jo ke selected supply zone mein hai. Agar yeh zone price ko rokta hai, to price instrument ke average daily movement tak 144.59 tak pahunch sakti hai.

Kuch dino se, USD/JPY 145.00 ke round level ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, aur price is mark ko break nahi kar pa rahi. Is wajah se, market shayad kisi catalyst ka intezar kar raha hai, jaise news, jo chart par significant move ko prompt kar sake. Kal ke din US GDP data ke release se zaroori impetus mil sakta hai jo current levels se shift kar sakti hai. Agar price decline hoti hai, to mujhe lagta hai ke yeh pehle ke low 141.59 ko retest karegi. Dusri taraf, agar pair upward move karta hai, to mujhe bullish breakout ki umeed hai, jahan price 145.00 ke level ke upar consolidate karke local maximum 149.38 ki taraf aur aage barh sakti hai.

Warna, agar current market mein enter karne ka plan nahi hai, to sidelines par rehna aur potential losses se bachne ke liye prudent rahega.

**Japanese Yen Trading Analysis aur Tips**

Aaj ke din ke dusre hisson mein jo price levels maine mention kiye the, unka test nahi hua. Volatility expectedly kam ho gayi kyunki data ki kami thi, jo U.S. dollar ke upward potential ko bhi limit kar rahi thi, jise aaj ke Asian session mein major sell-off ka samna karna pada. Japan ki monetary base mein change aur 10-year bonds ke sale ke reports ke bawajood, jahan demand expected se kam thi, dollar pe pressure wapas aagaya jab bade players market mein wapas aaye. USD/JPY ka ongoing upward correction jaldi khatam ho sakta hai, isliye behtar hoga ke downward trend ke sath sell opportunities ko dekha jaye jo recent months mein dekha gaya hai. Intraday strategy ke liye, main zyada tar Scenario No. 1 aur 2 pe rely karunga.

**Buy Signal**

**Scenario No. 1:** Aaj main USD/JPY ko buy karne ka plan kar raha hoon jab price entry point 146.44 pe pahunche, jo chart pe green line se indicate kiya gaya hai, aur target 147.21 tak hai, jo thicker green line pe plot hai. 147.21 ke area mein, main long positions ko exit karunga aur opposite direction mein short positions open karunga, expect karte hue ke level se 30-35 pips ki movement opposite direction mein hogi. Hum aaj pair ke rise karne ki ummeed rakh sakte hain, lekin buyers ko 146.00 ke area mein active hona zaroori hai. **Important:** Buy karne se pehle ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar hai aur wahan se rise kar raha hai.

**Scenario No. 2:** Agar 145.99 ke level pe do consecutive tests hote hain aur MACD indicator oversold area mein hota hai, to main bhi USD/JPY ko buy karne ka plan bana raha hoon. Ye pair ke downward potential ko limit karega aur market ko reverse upturn ki taraf le jayega. Hum 146.44 aur 147.21 ke opposite levels tak growth ki ummeed kar sakte hain.

**Sell Signal**

**Scenario No. 1:** Aaj main USD/JPY ko tabhi sell karunga jab 145.99 ke level ka test hoga jo chart pe red line se indicate kiya gaya hai, isse pair ka rapid decline hoga. Sellers ke liye key target 145.41 hoga, jahan main short positions ko exit karunga aur immediately opposite direction mein long positions open karunga, expect karte hue ke level se 20-25 pips ki movement opposite direction mein hogi. USD/JPY pe pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai kyunki dollar ke liye bearish market khatam nahi hua. **Important:** Sell karne se pehle ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke neeche hai aur decline kar raha hai.

**Scenario No. 2:** Agar 146.44 ke level pe do consecutive tests hote hain aur MACD indicator overbought area mein hota hai, to main bhi USD/JPY ko sell karne ka plan bana raha hoon. Ye pair ke upward potential ko limit karega aur market ko reverse downturn ki taraf le jayega. Hum 145.99 aur 145.41 ke opposite levels tak decline ki ummeed kar sakte hain.

USD/JPY Ke Liye Maamoolat Ki Taja Tareen Soorat-e-Haal**

Sab ko subh bakhair aur guzishta hafta ke liye umeed hai ke aapka waqt mufeed raha hoga! USD/JPY ke sellers apne guzishta nuqsan ko khatam karne mein kaar-aamad ho rahe hain aur pair ko 149.40 ke zone tak dhakel rahe hain. Yeh soorat-e-haal market mein mazboot bearish sentiment ko zahir karti hai, kyun ke sellers ne control wapas hasil kar liya hai aur qeemat ko neeche ki taraf dhakel rahe hain. Is trend ko madde nazar rakhte hue, ek aur sell position kholna jise short target 143.51 par ho, kal ke aane se pehle ek mozu strategy nazar aati hai. Yeh target mojudah descending force se faida uthate hue, ek munasib munafa hasil karne ka mauka deta hai jab ke aam market sentiment ke saath bhi ham ahang rahta hai.

Is ke ilawa, mali indicators, central bank ke faislay, aur beyn-ul-aqwami soorat-e-haal bhi pair ke development par aham asar daal sakte hain. Waqt par maloomat se mutaliq rehne se traders ko apni position mein mozoon tabdiliyan karne aur apni strategy ko nayi maloomat ke tanazur mein mozoon rakhne ka mauka milta hai. Tawaqqo hai ke aane wale dinon mein qeemat ka rujhaan sellers ke haq mein rahega, jo ke nuqsan se niklne ke naye trend ko barhata rahega.

Yeh samajhna ke USD/JPY ke market sentiment ko asalihiyat se navigate karna zaroori hai. Sentiment jaldi badal sakta hai, aur traders ko tayyar rehna chahiye ke wo tabdiliyon ka bar waqt jawab dein. Yeh is cheez ko samajhne ko bhi shamil karta hai ke kisi bhi mumkin reversal ke asar ya bazaar ke wasi' trend mein kisi bhi tabdeeli ko pehchanein jo USD/JPY pair ko mutasir kar sakta hai. Market ki updates aur sentiment ko sahih taur par samajh kar, traders apne aap ko mauqa' par faida uthane ya risk ko mitigate karne ke liye behtar taur par munsalik kar sakte hain.

Ittifaqan, USD/JPY ke sellers ne apne nuqsan ko cover karne mein aham taraqqi hasil ki hai, aur 149.40 zone tak pahunch gaye hain. Ek sell position jiska short target 143.51 ho, mozu hai, lekin economic conditions ke badalte hue halaat ke saath ham ahang rehne ke liye news aur sentiment ko barabar nazar mein rakhna bhi zaroori hai.

### USD/JPY Price Movement Analysis

Jab trading Monday ko shuru hui, USD/JPY ne gains dekhe, jo ke speculation ke wajah se hai ke Bank of Japan (BoJ) Wednesday ko monetary policy meeting mein rate hike announce kar sakti hai. Ye anticipation robust US jobs report ko overshadow kar rahi hai, jo ke tight labor market ko highlight karti hai magar USD/JPY ko zyada move nahi karwa rahi. Filhaal, pair 146.95 par trade kar raha hai, aur US session ke shuru hone ke sath isme kuch zyada tabdeeli nahi dekhi gayi hai.

**Fundamentals of USD/JPY:**

BoJ aur Federal Reserve (Fed) dono apne policy decisions Wednesday ko apni two-day meetings ke baad announce karne wale hain. Is waqt prevailing risk-on sentiment, jo ke global equity markets mein strong bullish trends ko dikhata hai, Japanese Yen (JPY) ki safe-haven appeal ko kam kar raha hai. Is environment ne USD/JPY pair ko positive trajectory maintain karne mein support diya hai. Lekin, further gains limited ho sakte hain kyunki BoJ aur Fed ke policy expectations mein contrast hai.

Market participants BoJ ke decision se pehle cautious hain, aur speculation hai ke rate increase 10 basis points se 0.1% tak ho sakta hai. Saath hi, BoJ ke bond purchases ko taper karne ka plan announce karne ki bhi ummeed hai. Ye scenario JPY ko support kar raha hai jab traders monetary policy mein possible shifts ke liye prepare kar rahe hain.

**Four-Hour Time Frame Technical Outlook:**

Pair ko apni current gains extend karne ke liye, ise last week ke high 147.19 ko decisively surpass karna padega. Is level ke upar break hone se further gains ke darwaze khul sakte hain, jo ke 148.00 mark aur eventually recent cycle high 148.48 ko target kar sakte hain. Agar pair 146.00 ke niche girta hai, to ispar downward pressure aa sakta hai, jo ke 144.00 level ko challenge kar sakta hai.

Filhaal, USD/JPY 146.90 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. Four-hour chart ka analysis dikhata hai ke pair ek descending channel mein consolidate kar raha hai, jo ke near term mein bearish bias ko suggest karta hai. Magar, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI), jo ke 30 ke slightly upar hai, short-term rebound ki possibility ko indicate karta hai, jo bullish traders ke liye kuch umeed de sakta hai.

### Currency Pair: USD-JPY

Shayad diversity bura nahi hai, lekin mere paas itne extra million dollars nahi hain ke wahan invest kar sakoon. Pound aur yen ka comparison karte hue, shayad instruments ki quality par baat karna mushkil hai kyunke har trader ki apni preferences hoti hain. Aur jab tak main news indicators ki quality par nahi dekhta, mujhe is issue ki zyada chinta nahi hai. Main sirf chart par jo dekhta hoon, usi par kaam karta hoon. Matlab, main pure technical analysis ka use karta hoon bina kisi economic news ke admixture ke. Bas, release time ko dekhna zaroori hai.

Lekin maine notice kiya hai ke kisi bhi news sign ka price direction par asar nahi padta jab news release hoti hai. USDJPY ke case mein, Japan Central Bank ke rate hike ke shuru hone ke light mein, ek medium-term downward trend ho sakta hai jisse paisa kamaya ja sakta hai. Agar price 149-150 tak barhti hai, to main sales open karna shuru kar sakta hoon, halanke abhi chhoti si correction ho chuki hai, lekin technically pair ko stronger growth dikhani chahiye; after all, trend ka breakthrough stronger growth ki umeed deta hai, lekin mujhe buy karne ka mann nahi hai.

Agar ye baad mein work out hota hai, to "baad mein" iske work out hone se dekha ja sakta hai. Filhal, hourly chart par instrument upwards directed hai, jo ke oscillator histograms aur moving averages ke position ke mutabiq supported hai. Matlab, main upward movement ki expect kar raha hoon. Shayad, four-hour histogram par divergence dekhte hue, kuch rollback ki umeed ki ja sakti hai pehle ke upward movement continue karne se. Tab shayad weekly ATR 50% ke level par, jo 147.892 mark par hai, iski umeed ki ja sakti hai.

currency pair mein ek aham tabdeeli hui hai, jahan sellers ne dobara se control hasil kar liya hai aur price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh downward movement bears ke liye ek aham recovery hai, jinhon ne apne peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain aur market par apna dabao barhaya hai. Recent price action yeh dikhata hai ke bearish sentiment mein izafa ho gaya hai, jiss ne pair ke pehle ke kuch gains ko ulat diya hai. 146.86 level tak girawat yeh zahir karti hai ke sellers ki taqat barh gayi hai. Pehle bulls ne price ko ooper push kiya tha, lekin ab sellers market mein wapas aa gaye hain aur pehle ke bullish momentum ko khatam kar diya hai. Yeh tabdeeli yeh suggest karti hai ke market participants ab USDJPY pair ko bechne ke liye ziyata raaghib hain, shayad badalte hue economic halaat, geopolitical factors, ya technical signals ke wajah se jo pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziyata economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar US dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, special agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, opsalar agar bearish momentum barhti hai

price behavior ko weekly chart ke hawale se analyze kiya gaya tha. Main aapko yaad dilana chahta hoon ke price action method pehle istemal hui thi, jahan candlestick pattern "Evening Star" ne diagonal support ke break hone ke baad ek tez girawat indicate ki thi, aur uske baad sellers ne kaafi arsay tak market apne control mein rakhi. Total girawat 1720 points thi, aur reference point Fibonacci level 88.2 tha, jo ek significant Moving Average (MA) se coincide kar raha tha. Maine yeh sab screen par draw kiya tha, jahan direction ruk gayi thi, aur price ne kafi upar move kiya. Mera yaqeen hai ke aane wale haftay mein hum 148.53 tak pohonch sakte hain, jo ke kam az kam 200 points ka move hoga. Main suggest karta hoon ke apne trading strategy ke mutabiq is plan ko dobara dekhein. Economic calendar mein Japan aur US dono se kaafi important news aa rahi hain, toh fundamentals bhi price action ko influence karenge USD/JPY currency pair ne upar ki taraf ek strong correction dekhi hai, lekin main filhaal in prices par sell karne mein ehtiyat mehsoos kar raha hoon. Dekhte hain agle hafta kya laata hai, kyun ke humein abhi yeh weekend guzarni hai. Main yeh nahi keh raha ke market mein kuch bhi fixed hai, lekin Middle East mein naye tensions hain, aur agar kuch hota hai, toh Monday ko market khulte hi surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Lekin kisi bhi surat mein, yeh Japanese yen ko mazid strong kar sakta hai. Bearish trend abhi bhi relevant hai, aur agar Monday ko prices 147.90 mark se upar break nahi karti, toh phir market mein sell karne ke liye enter karne ka waqt ho sakta hai. Phir bhi, weekend par is idea ka tajzia karenge, tamam fundamental factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue final faisla karne se pehle Meri analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ke paas abhi bhi upar jane ka chance hai kyun ke candle ne middle Bollinger Band line ko penetrate kiya hai. Lekin ehtiyat se kaam lena zaroori hai, kyun ke candle ab tak MA50 line ko penetrate nahi kar payi hai. Yahan se ek rebound ho sakta hai jo price ko niche le jaye. Yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke yeh scenario play out ho, aur hum price distribution ke agle phase mein dakhil ho jayein jab zyada tar market participants yeh samajhne lagen ke corrective rollback khatam ho gaya hai, aur is point se selling shuru ho jaye. Lekin agar yeh puppeteer trap kaam kar jata hai, toh is scenario ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair bina kisi rollback ke seedha 159.13 tak ja sakta hai, aur agar aisa hota hai, toh market wahan se kafi gir sakti hai Main predict karta hoon ke USD/JPY abhi bhi rise karega, kyun ke H1 support price 145.88 ab tak break nahi hui hai. Is liye, main recommend karta hoon ke jo log is pair mein trade kar rahe hain, woh sirf buy positions par focus karein. Aap apna take profit target 151.20 par set kar sakte hain aur stop loss 145.45 par rakh sakte

1 September 2024 ko H1 chart ke mutabiq, USDJPY ne 146.548 ka level touch kiya hai, jo ke 143.000 area ke support se significant izafa dikhata hai. MACD strong bullish momentum ko show kar raha hai, jahan MACD line signal line ke upar hai aur histogram bhi barh raha hai. RSI bhi overbought level ke qareeb 79.77 par hai, jo short-term correction ka indication de raha hai, lekin overall trend bullish hai. MA100 aur MA200 lines abhi ke price ke neeche hain, jo ke medium-term momentum ko aage ke price increases ko support karte hain.

**Daily Trading Ideas**

Strong bullish momentum ko dekhte hue, aaj ka trading strategy buying opportunities par focus karta hai. Traders minor support level 145.80 ke aas paas buy position khol sakte hain, aur next resistance 147.00 area ki taraf price target kar sakte hain. Stop loss 145.00 level ke neeche rakha ja sakta hai taake reversal ke case mein risk kam ho. Agar sharp decline hota hai aur price main support level 143.000 ko break karti hai, to sell opportunity ko consider kiya ja sakta hai, jiska target 141,500 level ho sakta hai.

Risk management ka flexible aur disciplined approach zaroori hai, khaaskar is haftay ke important US economic data release ke sath volatility ke izafe ko dekhte hue.

Aaj subah USDJPY ne foran nayi high banayi, phir price phir se gir gayi. Yeh drop interestingly buy setup cycle ko complete kar raha hai H1 intraday basis par, isliye M15 chart par price ab Blue EMA50 ke qareeb aa gayi hai, jo ke buy zone hai, isliye scalpers jaldi buy positions open kar sakte hain taake valuable momentum miss na ho. H4 time frame ke mutabiq, abhi ke condition ne Purple EMA100 line ko reject kiya hai, isliye prospective buyers ko H1 basis par breakout sell candlestick ke aane ka khayal rakhna chahiye jo USDJPY pair ko girane ka trigger ban sakta hai.

Is waqt sellers resistance 146.61 par sell speculations kar sakte hain, kyun ke pehle ke closing candle ne wahan lambi upper wick banayi thi, isliye market ke waisa hi pattern banane ki achi chance hai, lekin 146.61 ke upar loss ko limit karna chahiye taake price ko aur zyada jump na kare. Lekin, US market ke tonight band hone ke bawajood, USDJPY ki movement bhi limited rehne ki umeed hai, isliye personally main thin profits ki taraf dekhoonga, kyun ke early month market aksar clear direction ke bina move karti hai.

Recent price action yeh dikhata hai ke bearish sentiment mein izafa ho gaya hai, jiss ne pair ke pehle ke kuch gains ko ulat diya hai. 146.86 level tak girawat yeh zahir karti hai ke sellers ki taqat barh gayi hai. Pehle bulls ne price ko ooper push kiya tha, lekin ab sellers market mein wapas aa gaye hain aur pehle ke bullish momentum ko khatam kar diya hai. Yeh tabdeeli yeh suggest karti hai ke market participants ab USDJPY pair ko bechne ke liye ziada raaghib hain, shayad badalte hue economic halaat, geopolitical factors, ya technical signals ke wajah se jo pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziada economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar U.S. dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, khaaskar agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega. USDJPY pair ke recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein ek shiddat aayi hai, jahan sellers ne successful push karke price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh movement sirf sellers ki qabliyat ko zahir nahi karti ke unhone peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain, balke yeh bhi dikhata hai ke unka market par naya control hai. Is shift ke implications door tak ja sakte hain, depend karta hai ke support at 146.86 hold karta hai ya mazeed declines ke liye raasta banata hai

Recent price action yeh dikhata hai ke bearish sentiment mein izafa ho gaya hai, jiss ne pair ke pehle ke kuch gains ko ulat diya hai. 146.86 level tak girawat yeh zahir karti hai ke sellers ki taqat barh gayi hai. Pehle bulls ne price ko ooper push kiya tha, lekin ab sellers market mein wapas aa gaye hain aur pehle ke bullish momentum ko khatam kar diya hai. Yeh tabdeeli yeh suggest karti hai ke market participants ab USDJPY pair ko bechne ke liye ziada raaghib hain, shayad badalte hue economic halaat, geopolitical factors, ya technical signals ke wajah se jo pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziada economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar U.S. dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, khaaskar agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega. USDJPY pair ke recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein ek shiddat aayi hai, jahan sellers ne successful push karke price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh movement sirf sellers ki qabliyat ko zahir nahi karti ke unhone peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain, balke yeh bhi dikhata hai ke unka market par naya control hai. Is shift ke implications door tak ja sakte hain, depend karta hai ke support at 146.86 hold karta hai ya mazeed

Jab trading Monday ko shuru hui, USD/JPY ne gains dekhe, jo ke speculation ke wajah se hai ke Bank of Japan (BoJ) Wednesday ko monetary policy meeting mein rate hike announce kar sakti hai. Ye anticipation robust US jobs report ko overshadow kar rahi hai, jo ke tight labor market ko highlight karti hai magar USD/JPY ko zyada move nahi karwa rahi. Filhaal, pair 146.95 par trade kar raha hai, aur US session ke shuru hone ke sath isme kuch zyada tabdeeli nahi dekhi gayi hai.
**Fundamentals of USD/JPY:**

BoJ aur Federal Reserve (Fed) dono apne policy decisions Wednesday ko apni two-day meetings ke baad announce karne wale hain. Is waqt prevailing risk-on sentiment, jo ke global equity markets mein strong bullish trends ko dikhata hai, Japanese Yen (JPY) ki safe-haven appeal ko kam kar raha hai. Is environment ne USD/JPY pair ko positive trajectory maintain karne mein support diya hai. Lekin, further gains limited ho sakte hain kyunki BoJ aur Fed ke policy expectations mein contrast hai.

Market participants BoJ ke decision se pehle cautious hain, aur speculation hai ke rate increase 10 basis points se 0.1% tak ho sakta hai. Saath hi, BoJ ke bond purchases ko taper karne ka plan announce karne ki bhi ummeed hai. Ye scenario JPY ko support kar raha hai jab traders monetary policy mein possible shifts ke liye prepare kar rahe hain.

**Four-Hour Time Frame Technical Outlook:**

Pair ko apni current gains extend karne ke liye, ise last week ke high 147.19 ko decisively surpass karna padega. Is level ke upar break hone se further gains ke darwaze khul sakte hain, jo ke 148.00 mark aur eventually recent cycle high 148.48 ko target kar sakte hain. Agar pair 146.00 ke niche girta hai, to ispar downward pressure aa sakta hai, jo ke 144.00 level ko challenge kar sakta hai.

Filhaal, USD/JPY 146.90 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. Four-hour chart ka analysis dikhata hai ke pair ek descending channel mein consolidate kar raha hai, jo ke near term mein bearish bias ko suggest karta hai. Magar, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI), jo ke 30 ke slightly upar hai, short-term rebound ki possibility ko indicate karta hai, jo bullish traders ke liye kuch umeed de sakta hai.

USD/JPY Ke Liye Maamoolat Ki Taja Tareen Soorat-e-Haal**
Sab ko subh bakhair aur guzishta hafta ke liye umeed hai ke aapka waqt mufeed raha hoga! USD/JPY ke sellers apne guzishta nuqsan ko khatam karne mein kaar-aamad ho rahe hain aur pair ko 149.40 ke zone tak dhakel rahe hain. Yeh soorat-e-haal market mein mazboot bearish sentiment ko zahir karti hai, kyun ke sellers ne control wapas hasil kar liya hai aur qeemat ko neeche ki taraf dhakel rahe hain. Is trend ko madde nazar rakhte hue, ek aur sell position kholna jise short target 143.51 par ho, kal ke aane se pehle ek mozu strategy nazar aati hai. Yeh target mojudah descending force se faida uthate hue, ek munasib munafa hasil karne ka mauka deta hai jab ke aam market sentiment ke saath bhi ham ahang rahta hai.

Is ke ilawa, mali indicators, central bank ke faislay, aur beyn-ul-aqwami soorat-e-haal bhi pair ke development par aham asar daal sakte hain. Waqt par maloomat se mutaliq rehne se traders ko apni position mein mozoon tabdiliyan karne aur apni strategy ko nayi maloomat ke tanazur mein mozoon rakhne ka mauka milta hai. Tawaqqo hai ke aane wale dinon mein qeemat ka rujhaan sellers ke haq mein rahega, jo ke nuqsan se niklne ke naye trend ko barhata rahega.

Yeh samajhna ke USD/JPY ke market sentiment ko asalihiyat se navigate karna zaroori hai. Sentiment jaldi badal sakta hai, aur traders ko tayyar rehna chahiye ke wo tabdiliyon ka bar waqt jawab dein. Yeh is cheez ko samajhne ko bhi shamil karta hai ke kisi bhi mumkin reversal ke asar ya bazaar ke wasi' trend mein kisi bhi tabdeeli ko pehchanein jo USD/JPY pair ko mutasir kar sakta hai. Market ki updates aur sentiment ko sahih taur par samajh kar, traders apne aap ko mauqa' par faida uthane ya risk ko mitigate karne ke liye behtar taur par munsalik kar sakte hain.

Ittifaqan, USD/JPY ke sellers ne apne nuqsan ko cover karne mein aham taraqqi hasil ki hai, aur 149.40 zone tak pahunch gaye hain. Ek sell position jiska short target 143.51 ho, mozu hai, lekin economic conditions ke badalte hue halaat ke saath ham ahang rehne ke liye news aur sentiment ko barabar nazar mein rakhna bhi zaroori hai.