USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

mera main reference point senior time frame tha, jahan price behavior ko weekly chart ke hawale se analyze kiya gaya tha. Main aapko yaad dilana chahta hoon ke price action method pehle istemal hui thi, jahan candlestick pattern "Evening Star" ne diagonal support ke break hone ke baad ek tez girawat indicate ki thi, aur uske baad sellers ne kaafi arsay tak market apne control mein rakhi. Total girawat 1720 points thi, aur reference point Fibonacci level 88.2 tha, jo ek significant Moving Average (MA) se coincide kar raha tha. Maine yeh sab screen par draw kiya tha, jahan direction ruk gayi thi, aur price ne kafi upar move kiya. Mera yaqeen hai ke aane wale haftay mein hum 148.53 tak pohonch sakte hain, jo ke kam az kam 200 points ka move hoga. Main suggest karta hoon ke apne trading strategy ke mutabiq is plan ko dobara dekhein. Economic calendar mein Japan aur US dono se kaafi important news aa rahi hain, toh fundamentals bhi price action ko influence karenge USD/JPY currency pair ne upar ki taraf ek strong correction dekhi hai, lekin main filhaal in prices par sell karne mein ehtiyat mehsoos kar raha hoon. Dekhte hain agle hafta kya laata hai, kyun ke humein abhi yeh weekend guzarni hai. Main yeh nahi keh raha ke market mein kuch bhi fixed hai, lekin Middle East mein naye tensions hain, aur agar kuch hota hai, toh Monday ko market khulte hi surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Lekin kisi bhi surat mein, yeh Japanese yen ko mazid strong kar sakta hai. Bearish trend abhi bhi relevant hai, aur agar Monday ko prices 147.90 mark se upar break nahi karti, toh phir market mein sell karne ke liye enter karne ka waqt ho sakta hai. Phir bhi, weekend par is idea ka tajzia karenge, tamam fundamental factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue final faisla karne se pehle Meri analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ke paas abhi bhi upar jane ka chance hai kyun ke candle ne middle Bollinger Band line ko penetrate kiya hai. Lekin ehtiyat se kaam lena zaroori hai, kyun ke candle ab tak MA50 line ko penetrate nahi kar payi hai. Yahan se ek rebound ho sakta hai jo price ko niche le jaye. Yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke yeh scenario play out ho, aur hum price

MACD indicator already zero mark se kaafi niche aa chuka tha, jisne pair ke aage ke downward potential ko limit kar diya. Is wajah se maine dollar nahi becha aur pair ke downward movement ko miss kar diya. Halankeh US se acchi data ke bawajood, American dollar ko zyada support nahi mila. Pair ki decline kal se poori tarah se offset ho gayi, aaj ke Asian session ke dauran purchases se. Aisa lagta nahi ke yen ka strengthening Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino ke speech ki wajah se hai, isliye dollar ke bears shayad European session ke dauran jaldi se back karenge. Intraday strategy ke liye, main zyada tar scenarios No. 1 aur 2 par rely karunga.

**Buy Signal**

**Scenario No. 1:** Aaj, main USD/JPY ko 144.69 ke entry point par buy karne ka plan kar raha hoon, jo green line se chart par plot kiya gaya hai, with the goal to rise to 145.32, jo thicker green line se chart par plot kiya gaya hai. 145.32 ke area par, main long positions exit karunga aur opposite direction mein short positions open karunga, expecting a movement of 30-35 pips in the opposite direction. Aaj pair ke upward correction ke framework mein rise karne ki ummeed hai. Important: Buy karne se pehle, ensure karna ke MACD indicator zero mark se upar hai aur us se rise karna shuru kar raha hai.

**Scenario No. 2:** Main USD/JPY ko aaj bhi buy karne ka plan kar raha hoon agar 144.30 ke do consecutive tests hon, jab MACD indicator oversold area mein hoga. Yeh pair ke downward potential ko limit karega aur market ke upward turnaround ki taraf le jayega. Hum 144.69 aur 145.32 ke opposite levels tak growth ki ummeed kar sakte hain.

**Sell Signal**

**Scenario No. 1:** Main USD/JPY ko aaj sirf tab bechne ka plan kar raha hoon jab 144.30 ka level test ho, jo pair mein tezi se decline laayega. Sellers ke liye key target 143.76 hoga, jahan main short positions exit karunga aur immediately opposite direction mein long positions open karunga, expecting a movement of 20-25 pips in the opposite direction. USD/JPY par pressure kabhi bhi wapas aa sakta hai, kyunki dollar ke bearish market khatam nahi hue hain. Important: Sell karne se pehle, ensure karna ke MACD indicator zero mark se niche hai aur decline hona shuru kar raha hai.

**Scenario No. 2:** Main USD/JPY ko aaj bhi bechne ka plan kar raha hoon agar 144.69 ke do consecutive tests hon, jab MACD indicator overbought area mein hoga. Yeh pair ke upward potential ko limit karega aur market ke downturn ki taraf le jayega. Hum 144.30 aur 143.76 ke opposite levels tak decline ki ummeed kar sakte

*USD/JPY Ke Liye Maamoolat Ki Taja Tareen Soorat-e-Haal**

Sab ko subh bakhair aur guzishta hafta ke liye umeed hai ke aapka waqt mufeed raha hoga! USD/JPY ke sellers apne guzishta nuqsan ko khatam karne mein kaar-aamad ho rahe hain aur pair ko 149.40 ke zone tak dhakel rahe hain. Yeh soorat-e-haal market mein mazboot bearish sentiment ko zahir karti hai, kyun ke sellers ne control wapas hasil kar liya hai aur qeemat ko neeche ki taraf dhakel rahe hain. Is trend ko madde nazar rakhte hue, ek aur sell position kholna jise short target 143.51 par ho, kal ke aane se pehle ek mozu strategy nazar aati hai. Yeh target mojudah descending force se faida uthate hue, ek munasib munafa hasil karne ka mauka deta hai jab ke aam market sentiment ke saath bhi ham ahang rahta hai.

Is ke ilawa, mali indicators, central bank ke faislay, aur beyn-ul-aqwami soorat-e-haal bhi pair ke development par aham asar daal sakte hain. Waqt par maloomat se mutaliq rehne se traders ko apni position mein mozoon tabdiliyan karne aur apni strategy ko nayi maloomat ke tanazur mein mozoon rakhne ka mauka milta hai. Tawaqqo hai ke aane wale dinon mein qeemat ka rujhaan sellers ke haq mein rahega, jo ke nuqsan se niklne ke naye trend ko barhata rahega.

Yeh samajhna ke USD/JPY ke market sentiment ko asalihiyat se navigate karna zaroori hai. Sentiment jaldi badal sakta hai, aur traders ko tayyar rehna chahiye ke wo tabdiliyon ka bar waqt jawab dein. Yeh is cheez ko samajhne ko bhi shamil karta hai ke kisi bhi mumkin reversal ke asar ya bazaar ke wasi' trend mein kisi bhi tabdeeli ko pehchanein jo USD/JPY pair ko mutasir kar sakta hai. Market ki updates aur sentiment ko sahih taur par samajh kar, traders apne aap ko mauqa' par faida uthane ya risk ko mitigate karne ke liye behtar taur par munsalik kar sakte hain.

Ittifaqan, USD/JPY ke sellers ne apne nuqsan ko cover karne mein aham taraqqi hasil ki hai, aur 149.40 zone tak pahunch gaye hain. Ek sell position jiska short target 143.51 ho, mozu hai, lekin economic conditions ke badalte hue halaat ke saath ham ahang rehne ke liye news aur sentiment ko barabar nazar mein rakhna bhi zaroori hai.Click image for larger version

USD/JPY pair par hamara current focus price action ko evaluate karna hai. Japanese yen abhi bhi US dollar ke against apni strengthening trend ko jaari rakhe hue hai, aur weekly chart par USD/JPY mein clear downtrend form ho raha hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq sales signals dominate kar rahe hain, aur mein in par capitalize karne ka plan kar raha hoon. MACD histogram positive zone se bahar aa gaya hai, jabke RSI lines strongly bearish trend ki taraf ja rahi hain. Yeh indications significant downside potential ki taraf ishara karte hain, aur price 140.24 level ko test karegi. Indicators suggest karte hain ke price ka new low 141.694 par pohanchne ke chances high hain. Yen ki strengthening, US dollar ki weakening ki wajah se ho sakti hai, jo current market conditions ko dekhte hue increasingly plausible lag raha hai. Bullish movement ke chances hain, lekin mera focus decline par hi rahega, khas taur par descending trend line ke resistance level ke neeche, jo 161.620 high se start hui hai.

Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price movements ka analysis karenge. Pair ke chart se upward price trend dikh raha hai, jo batata hai ke bulls is waqt bears par haavi hain. Zigzag line bhi upward point kar rahi hai, jisse long positions sabse zyada sensible strategy lagti hai. Auxiliary oscillators, MACD aur TNT bhi yeh confirm karte hain kyun ke yeh buyers ke liye favorable positions mein hain. Mera plan yeh hai ke position ko 61.8% Fibonacci level, jo 152.299 par hai, tak hold karoon. USD/JPY pair ke liye, mein continued sales ko consider kar raha hoon. Lekin, current levels se direct drop hona mushkil nazar aa raha hai. Agar pair upward correct hoti hai, toh mein selling opportunity dhundunga. Mera pehla sales target 143.84 hai, aur secondary target 143.49 par set kiya hai. Iss waqt, mein buying consider nahi kar raha. Pair ke paas abhi bhi girne ki jagah hai, potentially 140.19 ko target karte hue, lekin yeh level kuch der tak reh sakta hai. Main sell ke liye ek favorable entry point ka wait kar raha hoon, khas taur par jab move 146.49 ki taraf ho jaye, wahan main apni sales ladder setup karunga.

Jibun Bank Services PMI data ke release hone ke baad, Japanese yen (JPY) ne US dollar (USD) ke against strength gain ki. Index August mein pehle ke estimate 54.0 se revise hoke 53.7 hua. Service sector ne saat mahine se growth dikhaayi hai, lekin latest statistic July se unchanged hai.
Wednesday ko Japan ke Chief Cabinet Secretary, Yoshimasa Hayashi ne kaha ke woh "domestic aur international market developments ko vigourously monitor kar rahe hain." Hayashi ne fiscal aur economic policy management ko closely Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke saath coordinate karne ki zaroorat ko emphasize kiya. Unhone yeh bhi highlight kiya ke market moves ko calmly evaluate kiya jaye, lekin daily stock prices ke swings par comment nahi kiya. US dollar ne traders ke caution ke saath support gain kiya, khas taur par US job statistics, jaisay ke August Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), ke liye. Yeh data Federal Reserve (Fed) rate decreases ke probable timing aur magnitude ke liye additional information provide kar sakta hai.

USD/JPY ka Wednesday ka exchange rate 145.40 hai. Daily chart ke analysis ke mutabiq, nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 21-day EMA se neeche hai, jo market mein negative trend indicate kar raha hai. Is baat ka further evidence 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ke 50 se neeche hone se milta hai, jo batata hai ke bearish trend abhi bhi effect mein hai.

USD/JPY pair ke liye support August 5 ke seven-month low 141.69 ke aas-paas dekhi jaa sakti hai. Agla significant support level approximately 140.25 par located hai. Upper side par, resistance nine-day moving average (EMA) 145.63 aur 21-day EMA 146.73 ke aas-paas ho sakti hai. Agar yeh level upar break hota hai, toh further resistance 154.50 level par mil sakta hai, jo support se resistance mein badal gaya hai, aur move psychological barrier 150.00 ki taraf ho sakta hai.

Tuesday ke trading mein, jab price apne daily open 146.90 ke upar move kiya, toh yeh sirf 147.22 tak pohonch saka. Us area se, price ne direction change kiya aur ek lambi weakening dekhi gayi. Seller ke is pressure ne EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 par downward cross banaya, jo ke price ke negative flow ka indication tha. Kal ke strong sellers ne price ko sirf EMA 200 H1 tak hi nahi, balki usko penetrate bhi kar diya. Lekin 145.16 se ek pullback aaya, jis se price upar move hui, lekin yeh zyada aage nahi barh saki, aur EMA 12 H1 ne buyers ke push ko roka, jiske baad price phir se gir gayi. USD/JPY market ne lower close kiya 145.47 par.

Wednesday ke trading ke liye, USD/JPY market 145.47 par open hui. EMA 200 H1 is se thoda upar cross kar raha hai, yani 145.66 par. Asian session mein zyada tar consolidation dekhnay ko mili, aur price apne daily open ke neeche hi thi. Dheere dheere European session ki taraf move kartay hue price niche chali gayi aur apne closest support 144.82 par ruk gayi. Yeh area abhi tak penetrate nahi hua, lekin H1 ke trend mein, abhi bhi downtrend ka indication mil raha hai, jahan price EMA 200 H1 ke neeche move kar raha hai. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 bhi abhi bhi downward stretch show kar rahe hain.

Abhi ke liye, price apne daily open aur closest support ke darmiyan hai. Bearish trend is time frame mein abhi bhi visible hai, jahan price EMA 200 daily ke neeche move kar raha hai, aur EMA 12 aur EMA 36 neeche ki taraf extend ho rahe hain. Jo thodi si strengthening hui hai, woh abhi bhi bearish trend ke andar ek bullish correction phase ka hissa hai. Daily stochastic seller power ke market mein re-entry show kar raha hai, jahan kal ke pressure ne stochastic line ko neeche ki taraf point kar diya hai.

Tuesday ke trading ke douran price movements ne ek bearish candle form ki, jahan high aur low prices 147.22 aur 145.16 par the. Agar sellers support 144.68 ko push karne mein kamiyab hote hain, toh price ke mazeed weakening ka potential hai, jiska target daily support 142.27 hai, aur phir EMA 633 daily ko test karega, jo ab 141.58 ke price par cross kar raha hai. Dusri taraf, agar support 144.68 ko penetrate karne mein failure hota hai, toh buyers ke paas price ko wapas upar push karne ka mauqa hoga, jiska closest target daily resistance 146.34 hai. Price movement ka direction change karne ke liye buyers ka safar abhi bhi lamba hai. Agar resistance 146.37 successfully penetrate hoti hai, toh 147.63 area agla target hoga. Daily basis par prevailing trend ko follow karte hue, bearish price ka potential abhi bhi khula hai, lekin reversal ka bhi possibility hai, khas tor par agar price driving factors ka intervention iss week mein hota hai. Buyers momentum wapas aane ka wait kar sakte hain, taake best price par re-entry le sakein.

USD/CAD ka Technical Analysis
Pichlay trading week mai Canadian dollar weak hua, jiss se aik lambi period ki steady strengthening interrupt hui. Price ne decline k doran 1.3443 level touch kiya, jahan se significant support mila aur price ne wahan se bounce back kiya aur grow karna shuru kiya, jiss se signal zone chhor diya. Iska matlab hai ke expected scenario of decline puri tarah se true nahi hua. Sath hi, price chart super-trend green zone mai move karna shuru kar raha hai, jo ke buyers ki growing support ko indicate karta hai.

Technical point of view se, hum aaj ke trade ke positive side ko lean kar rahay hain, support level 1.34470 par indicator ke successful rest, simple moving average se positive stimuli, aur 14-day momentum indicator se clear positive signal ko dekhte hue. Is liye, aik uptrend likely hai during the day, with the first target at 1.3650, jiss ka break profits increase kare ga aur directly 1.3720 aur 1.3790 ki taraf channel open kare ga. Yaad rahe, agar 1.3510 se neeche trading stability break hoti hai, to index par negative pressure ayega aur 1.3730 ko dobara test kiya jaye ga.



Is waqt prices moderately rise kar rahy hain from weekly highs. Sath hi, key resistance area par significant pressure hai jo iski integrity ko threaten kar raha hai, jo indicate karta hai ke direction change hone ka possibility ka issue hai, kyun ke current momentum ka continuation high potential rakhta hai. Is baat ki confirmation ke liye, price ko 1.3506 level se upar consolidate karna hoga, jahan key support area ka border hai. Retest aur subsequent rebound aik nayi upward move ka moka provide kare ga with the target in the area of 1.3664 aur 1.3735.

Agar support level break hota hai aur price 1.3443 reversal level se neeche jati hai, to current scenario cancel hone ka signal mil jaye ga.

ستمبر 4 2024 کو امریکی ڈالر/جاپانی ین کی پیشن گوئی

بیرونی منڈیوں کے دباؤ کے تحت (ایس. اینڈ. پی. 500 -2.12%، تیل -4.78%)، ین، محفوظ پناہ گاہ کے اثاثے کے طور پر، امریکی ڈالر/جاپانی ین جوڑے میں 144-پیپس گراوٹ کے مساوی، 1.04% تک مضبوط ہوا۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر کی سگنل لائن نیچے کی طرف رجحان کی حد تک پہنچ گئی ہے۔



اگر یہ منفی علاقے میں داخل ہوتا ہے تو، جوڑے کی کمی تیز ہو جائے گی۔ اس تحریک کا پہلا ہدف 143.60 کا انٹرمیڈیٹ لیول ہے۔ اس سطح کو توڑنے سے 139.70-140.27 کی ہدف کی حد کا راستہ کھل جائے گا۔



٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ میں، قیمت ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن سے نیچے آ گئی ہے، اور مارلن آسیلیٹر منفی علاقے میں مضبوط ہو گیا ہے۔ مرکزی منظر نامے کے مطابق، ہم توقع کرتے ہیں کہ جوڑی کی نیچے کی طرف حرکت بڑھے گی۔

تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

Ham USD/JPY currency pair ke current price movement ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Hourly time frame par primary trend downward hai, jo ke descending moving averages aur purane oscillator ke zariye zahir hota hai. Ye moving averages, jo ke higher time frames ke average prices ko represent karte hain, decline ke liye sahi taur par aligned hain, jahan shorter moving average, longer moving average ke neeche hai. Daily histogram ki placement bhi yeh darshati hai ke yeh instrument agle kuch hafton ke liye decline kar sakta hai.
Lekin, four-hour chart par histogram aur linear oscillator zero line ke upar move kar chuke hain, jo ke short-term upward movement ka ishara hai, jo shayad ek haftay tak chal sakta hai. Andrews' pitchfork jo pivot points ke around wrap hui hai, ek ascending channel dikhata hai, aur pair iske andar steadily move kar raha hai. Price ab middle line tak pahunche chuki hai, jo ke channel ke andar aage ke gains ki possibility ko suggest karta hai, shayad 145.29 ke level tak jo ke selected supply zone mein hai. Agar yeh zone price ko rokta hai, to price instrument ke average daily movement tak 144.59 tak pahunch sakti hai.

Kuch dino se, USD/JPY 145.00 ke round level ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, aur price is mark ko break nahi kar pa rahi. Is wajah se, market shayad kisi catalyst ka intezar kar raha hai, jaise news, jo chart par significant move ko prompt kar sake. Kal ke din US GDP data ke release se zaroori impetus mil sakta hai jo current levels se shift kar sakti hai. Agar price decline hoti hai, to mujhe lagta hai ke yeh pehle ke low 141.59 ko retest karegi. Dusri taraf, agar pair upward move karta hai, to mujhe bullish breakout ki umeed hai, jahan price 145.00 ke level ke upar consolidate karke local maximum 149.38 ki taraf aur aage barh sakti haihai

USD/JPY ka Technical Analysis
Pichlay trading week mai Japanese yen ne mixed trading ki within the previous correction range. Price ne 143.53 level se rebound k baad rise karna shuru kiya aur 147.45 level tak pohanchi, lekin us ke baad aik strong resistance ne price ko aage barhnay se rok dia. Iska matlab hai ke expected downward scenario ab tak puri tarah se reverse nahi hua aur still under process hai. Is doran, price chart ne super-trend green zone mai entry ki, jo ye indicate karta hai ke buyers abhi bhi restraint dikha rahy hain.

Technical point of view se, agar hum 240-minute chart ko closely dekhein to wahan positive crossover dekhny ko milta hai in the simple moving average, jo ke chances increase karta hai aik upside move ke during today’s session aur ye move supported hai 145.30 par. Is liye upward momentum ka continuation zyada likely hai aur yeh 147.20 tak pohanch sakta hai. Agar yeh level break ho jata hai, to pair aage move kar sakta hai towards 148.00 aur 148.50. Dosri taraf, agar 145.30 level break hota hai aur price wahan consolidate karti hai, to uptrend completely halt ho sakta hai, aur phir hamein price ka lower move dekhne ko milay ga with a target of 144.40.



Is waqt prices moderately rise kar rahy hain aur weekly highs se zyada door nahi hain. Key resistance zone test ho raha hai aur strong pressure ke neeche hai, lekin filhal quotes ko higher move karne se rok raha hai, jisse downward vector abhi bhi priority hold kar raha hai. Agar decline ka continuation chahye to consolidation below 145.81 level chahiye, jo ke main resistance zone ka border hai. Agar is level ka retest hota hai aur downward reversal hota hai, to nayi wave ka rasta khul jaye ga jo 140.80 aur 138.98 areas ki taraf target kare gi.

Agar resistance overcome ho jati hai aur price 149.19 reversal level ko break karti hai, to current scenario cancel hone ka signal mil jaye ga.

Pichle haftay mein, USD/JPY joda aik ahem downtrend dikha raha hai, jahan market ke hissedaron ne 146.05 ke sath aik ahem support level ka nishaana banaya hai. Ye raftar kuch moolyati factors ko numaya karti hai jo currency pair ke dynamics ko mutasir karte hain. Sab se pehle, macroeconomic indicators USD/JPY ke raah chalte hain. America aur Japan se economic releases investor sentiment ko mutasir karte hain aur joda ke rukh par asar dalte hain. GDP ki growth, rozgar ki data, mahangai ke figures aur central bank ki policies jese factors ko traders qareebi tor par dekhte hain takay har mulk ki maqami sehat aur monetary policy mein kisi tabdeeli ka andaza lagaya ja sake. Dono mulkon ke economic performance mein kisi farq hone par USD/JPY ke exchange rates mein izafi tabdiliyan ho sakti hain.
Dusra, geopolitical developments currency markets mein volatility ko dakhil kar sakte hain, khaaskar safe-haven currencies jese ke Japanese yen ke liye. Middle East ya major powers ke darmiyan geopolitical disputes ke tensions investor mein risk-off sentiment ko jaga sakte hain, jo Japanese yen ko US dollar ke muqablay mein qeemat buland kar sakta hai. Saath hi, kisi darguzar ya positive geopolitical developments ke signs is trend ko palat sakte hain. Is ke ilawa, market sentiment aur risk appetite USD/JPY ke exchange rate par bhari asar dalte hain. Jabra aur market turbulence ke doran investors safe-haven assets jese ke Japanese yen ki taraf rujoo karte hain, jo dollar ke muqablay mein qeemat buland kar sakta hai. Aksar, market sentiment behtar hoti hai, risk appetite barh jati hai, jo dollar mein mojood ziada munafa dey kar assets mein capital ke flow ko barhata hai, jisse yen ke muqablay mein dollar ki kamzori dikh sakti hai.

Ham USD/JPY currency pair ke current price movement ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Hourly time frame par primary trend downward hai, jo ke descending moving averages aur purane oscillator ke zariye zahir hota hai. Ye moving averages, jo ke higher time frames ke average prices ko represent karte hain, decline ke liye sahi taur par aligned hain, jahan shorter moving average, longer moving average ke neeche hai. Daily histogram ki placement bhi yeh darshati hai ke yeh instrument agle kuch hafton ke liye decline kar sakta hai.
Lekin, four-hour chart par histogram aur linear oscillator zero line ke upar move kar chuke hain, jo ke short-term upward movement ka ishara hai, jo shayad ek haftay tak chal sakta hai. Andrews' pitchfork jo pivot points ke around wrap hui hai, ek ascending channel dikhata hai, aur pair iske andar steadily move kar raha hai. Price ab middle line tak pahunche chuki hai, jo ke channel ke andar aage ke gains ki possibility ko suggest karta hai, shayad 145.29 ke level tak jo ke selected supply zone mein hai. Agar yeh zone price ko rokta hai, to price instrument ke average daily movement tak 144.59 tak pahunch sakti hai.

Kuch dino se, USD/JPY 145.00 ke round level ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, aur price is mark ko break nahi kar pa rahi. Is wajah se, market shayad kisi catalyst ka intezar kar raha hai, jaise news, jo chart par significant move ko prompt kar sake. Kal ke din US GDP data ke release se zaroori impetus mil sakta hai jo current levels se shift kar sakti hai. Agar price decline hoti hai, to mujhe lagta hai ke yeh pehle ke low 141.59 ko retest karegi. Dusri taraf, agar pair upward move karta hai, to mujhe bullish breakout ki umeed hai, jahan price 145.00 ke level ke upar consolidate karke local maximum 149.38 ki taraf aur aage barh sakti hai

USD/JPY Price Studies

Hum is waqt USD/JPY currency pair ke pricing ke present behavior ka tajziya aur behas kar rahe hain. Pehle maine yeh zikr kiya tha ke Bank of Japan ke Governor Ueda ne hukoomat ke commission ko ek memo diya tha jismein yeh kaha gaya tha ke Bank of Japan is saal interest rates ko barhane ka soch raha hai agar inflation unke maqasid ke mutabiq ho jati hai. Yeh baat USD/JPY pair ke overnight decline ka sabab bani. Iske ilawa, US manufacturing sector se aayi negative data, jo ke dopahar mein release hui, ne mazeed decline ko fuel kiya. Filhal yen zyada tar ek haven ke tor par kaam kar raha hai, doosri major currencies ke muqable mein dollar ke khilaf. Aaj S&P 500 index kareeban 3% gira, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke yen ki haven ke tor par demand barh rahi hai. A slight pullback is pair ko "discount" par khareedne ka moqa faraham karta hai. Lekin yeh market hai, aur yehan hamesha unexpected movements ho sakti hain. Main dekh raha hoon ke yeh pair 144.89 support level ke aas-paas kis tarah react karta hai, jabke broader market sentiment par bhi nazar rakhi hui hai.



Japanese yen phir se US dollar ke muqable mein market mein mazid mazboot ho raha hai. Maine sell signals ko highlight kiya hai, jahan OSMA histogram positive zone se negative territory mein move kar raha hai aur DeMarker oscillator bearish ho raha hai. Strategy yeh hai ke yeh pair 143.46 ke key level ke neeche gir sakta hai. Jaise hi sell position profitable hoti hai aur price apne target ki taraf halfway move karti hai, stop loss ko breakeven par shift karna mohtat hai. Chart par ek ascending channel further declines ko 144.89 area ki taraf suggest kar raha hai, nonfarm payroll data ke aane se pehle. Recent strengthening of the US Dollar Index aur US se aayi positive economic data ke madde nazar, main anticipate karta hoon ke upcoming Asian session mein USD/JPY exchange rate barh sakta hai.

### **Forex Dollar Yen Ka Technical Analysis**

USD/JPY pair mein aik tezi se girawat dekhi gayi hai, jo ke 145.00 ke qareeb pohanch gayi hai. Is girawat ka sabab Bank of Japan ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ki hawkish guidance thi. Ueda ne ye dohraya ke BOJ ko iss saal interest rates mazeed barhane ki zarurat hai, aur agar economic aur inflationary conditions expectations ke mutabiq hon, toh central bank kisi bhi qadam uthane mein hichkichahat nahi karega. Is bayaan se Japanese yen mein mazid izafa hua, jis ne USD/JPY pair par selling pressure daal diya. Is waqt yeh 144.80 support level ke aas paas hold kar rahi hai.

Bawajood iske ke US dollar mazboot hai, jiska saboot US Dollar Index (DXY) ke 102.00 ke do hafton ke high tak barhne se milta hai, USD/JPY pair ab bhi pressure mein hai. US dollar mein izafa dekhne ko mila jab investors ne agle US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data jo ke Friday ko aana hai, ke pehle ehtiyaati rawayya ikhtiyar kiya. Yeh economic data nihayat ahmiyat ka hamil hai kyun ke Federal Reserve apna focus labor market ke downside risks ko manage karne par zyada kar raha hai, yeh yaqeen ke sath ke inflation apne 2% target ki taraf wapas janay ke raaste par hai.

Economic calendar ke mutabiq, Tokyo ka consumer price index (CPI), fresh food ke siwa, August mein umeed se zyada barh kar 2.4% tak pohanch gaya, jo ke Bank of Japan ke hawkish stance ko justify karta hai.

Stock trading front par, U.S. stock indices ne tezi se girawat dekhi, khaaskar technology stocks mein. Tuesday ko trading ke mutabiq, U.S. stocks mein tezi se girawat aayi, jo ke 5 August ke baad se sabse bura din tha, aur is girawat ka sabab economic concerns aur technology stocks mein bari selling thi. S&P 500 2.1% neechay aaya, tech-heavy Nasdaq 3.1% gira, aur Dow Jones ne 625 points ka nuksan uthaya.

Daily chart ke performance ke mutabiq, USD/JPY price ka general trend ab bhi mazboot taur par neechey ki taraf hai aur agar yeh 144.00 ke support ki taraf move karey, toh yeh bears ko mazid neechey le jaane mein madad dega aur 141.75 ke support tak pohanchne mein madad milegi, jo ke is period ka sabse prominent level hai. Doosri taraf, trend mein koi asal reversal tab tak nahi hoga jab tak yeh 150.00 ke psychological resistance par wapas nahi jata. Yeh currency pair apni current range mein move karta rahega jab tak markets aur investors US jobs numbers ke elan par react nahi karte jo ke hafta ke akhir mein aane hain.

**USD/JPY Currency Pair Analysis**

USD/JPY currency pair filhal apne opening level 145.35 se neeche trade kar raha hai aur daily Pivot level 145.91 se bhi neeche hai. Ye position market mein bearish sentiment ko darshata hai. Key technical indicators is outlook ko reinforce karte hain, jo ke pair par downward pressure ka ishara dete hain. Price MA72 trend line ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, jo ke volume distribution ka aam shetra hota hai, isse bearish perspective ko aur bhi zyada weight milta hai.

Agar USD/JPY ki price 145.54 se upar move karti hai, to ye bullish reversal ka ishara ho sakta hai. Aise mein pair resistance levels 145.91 aur shayad 146.24 ki taraf barh sakta hai. Lekin agar ye upward movement ko maintain nahi karti, to bearish trend aur bhi mazboot ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar pair 145.05 ke neeche girti hai. Aise mein further declines dekhne ko mil sakti hain, price 144.88 tak ja sakti hai aur shayad 144.25 tak bhi extend ho sakti hai.

Bigger context bhi bearish sentiment ko support karta hai. Pair monthly Pivot level 146.24, weekly Pivot level 145.29, aur daily Pivot level 145.91 se neeche trade kar raha hai. Ye indicators USD/JPY par overall downward pressure ko reflect karte hain. Monthly Pivot level pehle 153.85 tha, jo market dynamics mein significant shift ko highlight karta hai. Isi tarah, weekly Pivot level pehle 147.65 tha, jo recent period mein downward trend ko darshata hai.

Aaj ke din noted divergence market sentiment mein potential shift ko darshata hai. Agar pair weekly Pivot level 145.29 ke upar move karta hai, to ye bullish trend ki taraf shift ka signal ho sakta hai. Wahi agar pair is level ke neeche girti hai, to bearish trend continue hone ke chances hain. Traders ko in levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake pair ki direction ko samjha ja sake aur apni strategies accordingly adjust ki ja sake.