USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

pattern present karta hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, trend line breach ke baad breakdown zone mein technical rejection expected tha. Yeh event anticipated manner mein hua, standard logic ke saath. Iske baad, bearish momentum ne local minimum ke strength ko challenge karna tha, phir 139 figure ke breakdown ko target karna tha. Lekin, yeh scenario expected manner mein nahi hua. Instead, buyer ne bearish momentum ko counter kiya aur bullish correction phase kiya initiate kiya. Yeh movement catastrophic nahi hai, lekin sellers seek additional capital kar sakte hain. Abhi, main bearish trend ko continue hone ka expect karta hoon. Technically, USD/JPY pair bearish trend mein hai. 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) 21-day EMA ke neeche hai, aur 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level ke neeche hai, downtrend ko confirm karta hai. Pair ko support near seven-month low 141.69 mil sakti hai, further support near 140.25. Upside par, pair ko resistance 9-day EMA near 145.63 aur phir 21-day EMA at 146.73 par mil sakti hai. In levels ke upar break 150.00 psychological barrier ko open kar sakta hai, further resistance 154.50 par. Tuesday ko brief surge ke baad, USD/JPY pair ne momentum sustain nahi kiya, 20-day EMA support trend line se retreat kiya. Technical indicators, RSI aur Stochastic, potential reversal suggest karte hain, death cross 50- aur 200-day moving averages ne longer-term bearish indicate kiya hai. Yesterday's uptick ke baad, USDJPY ne course reverse kiya, lekin significant weakness nahi dikhai. Correction ne price ko 145.13 par laaya, lekin yeh level critical hai agar bears pair ko neeche le jaye. Today's downward movement ne support level 145.93 ko breach kiya, ab price stabilize karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Sell entry

USD/JPY currency pair ke price movements ka tajziya karenge. Is mahine ke trading mein sabse zyada jo deal hui, usay resistance area ke level par 147.00 se lekar 147.30 tak move kiya gaya. Jab buyer ke paas dobara resistance area level ko test karne ka acha mauqa ho, toh wo koshish kar sakta hai. Yeh sab USD/JPY currency pair ke liye mera tajziya hai is waqt ke liye, aur yaad rahe ke money management har successful transaction ki buniyad hoti hai. Aise actions yeh suggest karte hain ke USD/JPY ki qeemat barh rahi hai. Filhaal, USD/JPY ki qeemat upper Bollinger bands ke qareeb hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke qeemat middle Bollinger bands ki taraf gir sakti hai. Stochastic oscillator level 80 par pohanch gaya hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke USD/JPY ki qeemat overbought hai, aur yeh lagatar mazid mazbooti dikhata hai. 4-hour chart par agar bullish pinbar ya engulfing candle, base demand ke upar candle body ke sath confirm hoti hai, toh purchase ki ja sakti hai, aur loss limit 144.00 ke niche base demand ke saath lagai ja sakti hai. Profits ko 146.00 ke price par base supply ke niche liya ja sakta hai, jo abhi tak fresh hai. Agar USD/JPY ki qeemat base demand ke niche girti hai, toh purchase signal ka expiry ho jata hai, aur trend reversal hota hai. Agar koi transaction technical standards ke mutabiq nahi hai, toh zaba

currency pair ki current pricing behavior par hai. Haal hi mein, USD/JPY ne 144.53 ke key support level ko break kiya, jo is baat ka ishara hai ke downtrend jaari reh sakta hai. Is breakout ke baad, pair 99 points gir gaya lekin phir ek correction ki koshish ki, jisme buyers ne price ko wapas 144.53 ke resistance level tak push kiya. Iss point par sell positions open karna behthreen move ho sakta hai, aur 140-141 range ki taraf mazeed girawat ka target set kiya ja sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar pair 144.53 resistance level se rebound karta hai, toh recovery jaari reh sakti hai, aur agla target 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart mein ek ascending channel dikhai de raha hai jo flag pattern se milta julta hai, jo is baat ka ishara karta hai ke downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin H4 chart par, pair ek descending channel mein move kar raha hai aur abhi uski lower boundary se bounce hua hai. Agar price 144.49 se break hoti hai, toh 145.69 ka target rakhte hue buying strategy viable ho sakti hai. Friday ko Japanese Yen (JPY) ne US Dollar (USD) ke against 14-mahinon ka low touch kiya, jo 140.41 tha. Ye girawat zyada market trend ka hissa hai jahan JPY kamzor ho raha hai, zyada ter Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke monetary policy changes ki wajah se. BoJ ne recently apni policy ko hawkish banate hue interest rates ko 0.25% tak barhaya, jisse Yen carry trade ka unwinding hua. Yen ko support "Yenterventions" ke zariye bhi mila, jo multi-

currency pair ki current pricing behavior par hai. Haal hi mein, USD/JPY ne 144.53 ke key support level ko break kiya, jo is baat ka ishara hai ke downtrend jaari reh sakta hai. Is breakout ke baad, pair 99 points gir gaya lekin phir ek correction ki koshish ki, jisme buyers ne price ko wapas 144.53 ke resistance level tak push kiya. Iss point par sell positions open karna behthreen move ho sakta hai, aur 140-141 range ki taraf mazeed girawat ka target set kiya ja sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar pair 144.53 resistance level se rebound karta hai, toh recovery jaari reh sakti hai, aur agla target 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart mein ek ascending channel dikhai de raha hai jo flag pattern se milta julta hai, jo is baat ka ishara karta hai ke downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin H4 chart par, pair ek descending channel mein move kar raha hai aur abhi uski lower boundary se bounce hua hai. Agar price 144.49 se break hoti hai, toh 145.69 ka target rakhte hue buying strategy viable ho sakti hai. Friday ko Japanese Yen (JPY) ne US Dollar (USD) ke against 14-mahinon ka low touch kiya, jo 140.41 tha. Ye girawat zyada market trend ka hissa hai jahan JPY kamzor ho raha hai, zyada ter Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke monetary policy changes ki wajah se. BoJ ne recently apni policy ko hawkish banate hue interest rates ko 0.25% tak barhaya, jisse Yen carry trade ka unwinding hua. Yen ko support "Yenterventions" ke zariye bhi mila, jo multi-decade lows se recover karte hue 12.5% barh gaya USD ke against. Abhi ka market sentiment Yen ke hawale se monetary policy changes, market interventions, aur global economic factors ka

Fed) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki mukhtalif monetary policies se mutasir hai. USD/JPY ke haal hi ke girawat ki wajah zyada tar bazar mein 25 basis point (bps) rate cut ki umeedain hain, jo ke Fed ke aane wale September 17-18 ke meeting mein discuss ki jayein gi. Halankeh recent tezi dekhi gayi hai, lekin yeh umeedain US Dollar (USD) ko apne faiday ko mazeed barhane se rok rahi hain. Dosri taraf, bazar mein ehtiyaat ka rujhan Japanese Yen ki safe-haven asset ke tor par demand ko barhawa de raha hai, jo USD/JPY pair par mazeed dabao daal raha hai. Saath hi, BoJ ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ne tasdeeq ki hai ke bank FY2025 tak interest rates ko barhane ka plan bana raha hai, jo Fed ke umeed ke mutabiq rate cut ke bilkul baraks hai, aur yeh pair ke neeche ki taraf trend ko mazeed barhawa de raha hai. Traders filhal ehtiyaat se kaam le rahe hain aur koi faisla karnay se pehle US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo ke Fed ke agle

CCI indicator bhi lower overheating region se upar move kar chuka hai, jo bullish divergence ko confirm karta hai. Last week multi-directional raha, lekin ultimately buyers jeet gaye Aur price ko upward push diya, jabke kai baar decline attempt kiye gaye. Horizontal resistance level 143.83 ne price ko upar jane nahi diya, balkay downside par rebound kiya. Lekin neeche se price wapas rebound karke isi level par aa gaya hai, aur abhi isi resistance point par hai. Yeh possibility hai ke jab price is level ko break kare, toh bullish divergence puri tarah se play out ho.Filhal yeh area buying ke liye ideal nahi hai, kyun ke price resistance ke pass hai, aur inclined line bhi waves ke crests ke qareeb hai . Best approach yeh hogi ke wait karein jab tak price clearly is level ko upar break kare aur bullish development shuru ho. Mera target level 149.08 hai, lekin selling ka yahan koi point nahi hai kyun ke bearish scenario unlikely hai. Yeh bhi zaroori hoga ke doosri major currencies apni weakness against USD ko support karein. US dollar ke comparison mein, currencies abhi mushkilat ka samna kar rahi hain. Aaj ka key economic data US Consumer Confidence Index ko 17:00 GMT par release kiya jayega, jo market ke sentiment par asar daal sakta hai. USD/JPY Tuesday ko 143.70 level ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Daily chart analysis ke mutabiq pair descending channel mein move kar raha hai, jo ek bearish trend ko indicate karta hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi 50 level se neeche hai, jo bearish sentiment ko reinforce karta hai. If price neeche move karta hai, toh USD/JPY pair 9-day moving average ko test kar sakta hai jo 143.01 par hai . Is level ke neeche move karne par price 139.58 area ko explore kar sakti hai, jo June 2023 ka lowest point hai. Agar price upar break kare, toh pair 145.00 psychological barrier ko challenge kar sakta hai.Tuesday ko USD/JPY ne apni best daily performance record ki, jab price 140 level par strong settlement ke baad green mein move kiya. Federal Reserve ka decision between 25bp or 50bp rate cut aaj 18:00 GMT par expected hai. Regular 25bp rate cut ek partial recovery ko support kar sakta hai, jabke pair 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) 143.55 ko break karne mein struggle kar raha hai

USD/JPY currency pair ki price movements ko analyze karne par hai. Is area se ek reversal aur downtrend ka continuation expected hai. Bears ka qareebi target support level 137.52 par hai. Agar sellers is level ko break karte hain, toh pair 134.89 tak gir sakta hai. Agar price 46-period moving average ke neeche rehti hai, toh selling ko priority di jaye. Agar price iss level tak pullback karta hai, toh selling ka relevance kam ho sakta hai. Mein short positions consider karne ka mashwara deta hoon agar price 141.38 se neeche girta hai.
USD/JPY pair ne pichlay haftay ka trend continue kiya, lekin movement relatively subdued rahi hai. Lekin price ne buying ke liye ek important entry point diya hai 143 ke qareeb, jo meri chart ke 100th level of the Fibonacci grid se align karta hai. Yeh entry kal raat available thi, lekin agar aapne miss kar di, toh pullback par buying ka chance ab bhi ho sakta hai. Uptrend abhi tak relatively straightforward hai, aur selling consider karne ka koi khaas waja nahi jab tak price 143 ke critical level se neeche nahi jata. Ideally, pair zyada stable behavior ko maintain karega. Long positions ke liye targets, Fibonacci grid ko follow karte hue, 200th level ke qareeb, yani 146.41, par profits liye ja sakte hain, jab ke 161st level zyada likely hai. Analysis 4-hour time frame par hai. Medium-term perspective se, Extended Regression indicator jo linear aur nonlinear regression ka use karta hai, is pair ko evaluate karne ke liye ideal hai. Exit strategy ko determine karne ke liye, Fibonacci grid ko kal ya aaj ke trading ke extreme points par apply karein aur sabse profitable take-profit level ko select karein. Attached chart mein sabse zahir baat downward-sloping first-degree regression line hai, jo H4 time frame par current bearish trend ko indicate karta hai aur sellers ki dominance ko highlight karta hai

USD/JPY currency pair ki price movements ka tajziya hai. USD/JPY ne apni recent high ko thoda update kiya aur phir neeche chali gayi, iska matlab hai ke bade institutional investors ki taraf se bohat kam dilchaspi hai. Agar yeh rahe, tou hum price ka girna dekh sakte hain takay yeh 142.32 ke qareebi accumulation zone tak pohnche. Yeh move is level ko test kar sakta hai aur naye trading positions ko volume ke zariye bana sakta hai. Agar pair 142.32 tak pohonchta hai aur volume se support hoti hui koi bullish signal paida hoti hai, tou ek rally dekhne ko mil sakti hai jo price ko bullish accumulation level 146.12 tak le ja sakti hai, sath hi 140.87 area tak bhi girawat ka imkaan hai . Aaj price ke neeche janay se, pivot price level touch hua, usay tor diya aur price girti rahi. Hourly chart pe, maine aik inverted triangle draw kiya hai, aur mujhe umeed hai ke pair gir ke triangle ke neeche ke kinare, jo ke 142.67 hai, tak pohnche ga. Aaj ke din ke aghaz mein, USD/JPY ne kal ka high update kiya aur resistance 144.64 aur trend line ko test kiya. Wahan se hum ne ek girawat dekhi jo EMA 20 ke 143.49 level tak gayi, aur phir ek rebound aya. Yeh rebound Asian session mein aur ziyata growth ka sabab ban sakta hai jahan pair trend line ke upar janay ki koshish karega, aur shayad EMA 200 ka test 145.04 par kare. Abhi trading range 144.64 aur 143.49 ke darmiyan hai. Japan ki inflation data ka intezaar hai jo Central Bank se expected hai, aur iski wajah se hum market reaction dekh sakte hain jo pair ko affect kar sakta hai. Main ab bhi umeed karta hoon ke resistance ki taraf rise dekhne ko mile, lekin European session mein aur developments ho sakti hain. Aik significant reversal ho sakti hai agar price EMA 50 ke neeche, jo 142.94 par hai, chali jati hai. Aik reversal ke natije mein, price wapas triangle ke upper boundary, jo 144.77 par hai, tak ja sakti hai

USD/JPY currency pair ke price movements ko analyze karenge. Chart ke mutabiq, pair ka price trend upward hai, jo indicate karta hai ke bulls abhi bears par haavi hain. Zigzag line bhi upward direction mein hai, is liye long positions lena sab se behtar strategy hai. Auxiliary oscillators, jaise MACD aur TNT, bhi buyers ke liye favorable position mein hain. Main is position ko tab tak hold karunga jab tak yeh 61.8% Fibonacci level 152,299 tak nahi pahuncha. USD/JPY pair ke liye, main continued sales par ghour kar raha hoon. Lekin, seedha girna current levels se mushkil lagta hai. Agar pair upar ki taraf correct karta hai, to main selling opportunity dekhoonga. Mera pehla sales target 143.84 hai, aur secondary target 143.49 hai. Filhal, main buying ka soch nahi raha. Pair ke girne ki jaga abhi baqi hai, aur shayad 140.19 tak target kar sake, lekin yeh level thoda waqt le sakta hai. Main behtareen entry point ka intezaar kar raha hoon taake bechne ka mauka mile. Specifically, main 146.49 ki taraf dekh raha hoon, jahan main sales ladder setup karunga.

Pichle hafte yeh pair becha gaya, aur weekly chart par yeh sideways move kar raha hai. Main technical analysis par bharosa karunga taake agle hafte ke movement ka andaza lagaya ja sake. Moving averages sell ka signal dete hain aur technical indicators bhi strongly selling ko suggest karte hain, jo agle hafte ke liye bearish trend ko reinforce karta hai. Aane wale key news releases ko bhi consider karte hain jo pair ko impact kar sakti hain. US se important news expected hai, jo negative forecast ki taraf lean kar rahi hai. Yeh series of significant news US se Thursday ko aayegi aur outlook negative hai.

Japan bhi Friday ko crucial industrial production data release karega, jo optimistic forecast ke sath hai. Is base par, main agle hafte bearish movement ki ummeed karta hoon. Sales ka target shayad 141.79 support level par hoga, jabke potential buys resistance level 146.39 tak ho sakti hain. Overall, main ek predominantly bearish trend ki ummeed kar raha hoon, jo mere rough trading plan ka basis banega agle hafte ke liye

Jumeraat ko US dollar thoda mazid mazboot hua aur 145 yen ka ahm level chho liya. Yeh price ek ahm psychological ahmiyat rakhti hai aur pehle se ek critical support aur resistance ka area raha hai. Market jab is level ke ird-gird hota hai, to buyers zyada active ho kar kisi bhi dip par buying ka mauqa dhondte hain, jo ke bullish sentiment ka izhar hai.
Is upward movement ka sab se bara driver interest rate differential hai, jo ab bhi US dollar ke haq mein hai. Bank of Japan ka recent faisla ke interest rates ko badalna nahi ne bhi is dynamic ko mazid support diya hai. Ab dekhna yeh hai ke kya traders yield chase karte rahenge, jab ke overall economic uncertainty aur global volatility jese factors pair ko affect kar sakte hain. Aise turbulent market mein, ausalar dollar aur yen ke hawale se, volatility aksar significant hoti hai.

Agar US dollar 145 yen ke level ko break karta hai, to agla target 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) ho sakta hai, aur iske baad 150 yen ka level tak rise ka imkaan hai. Magar agar yeh pair current levels ko hold nahi kar pata aur decline hota hai, to ek significant downtrend tab dekhne ko milega jab price 140 yen se neeche close karega. Aisi move broader "risk-on" sentiment ko trigger kar sakti hai, jis se global markets mein zyada sekke ka rujhan dekhne ko milega.

Mukhtasir mein, filhaal dollar yen ke muqable mein bullish hai, lekin 145 yen ka level ek pivotal point bana hua hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to mazeed gains ka ishara milega, jab ke decline ek significant shift ko signal kar sakta hai jo risk aversion ko badhawa dega across financial markets

USD/JPY currency pair ke price movements ka analysis kar rahe hain. Dekha jaye toh USD/JPY ki qeemat ne apna recent high thoda update kiya, lekin uske baad neeche ki taraf move hui, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke bade institutional investors ka interest kam hai. Agar yeh trend barqarar raha, toh hum expect karte hain ke price gir kar accumulation zone ke qareeb 142.32 tak pahunch sakti hai. Yeh move is level ka test kar sakti hai aur trading volume ke zariye naye positions banane mein madad kar sakti hai. Agar pair 142.32 tak pahunchta hai aur wahan bullish signal generate hota hai jo volume se support ho, toh ek rally ka imkaan hai, jo price ko upar le ja sakti hai bullish accumulation level 146.12 tak, lekin potential drop bhi 140.87 area tak ho sakta hai . Aaj price neeche ki taraf move hui aur pivot price level tak pahunchi, isko tod kar further decline ki taraf chali gayi. Hourly chart par maine ek inverted triangle draw kiya hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke pair girta rahega aur triangle ke lower edge 142.67 tak ja sakta hai.
Aaj ke pehle hisse mein, USD/JPY ne kal ka high update kiya aur resistance 144.64 ko test kiya aur trend line tak pahunch gaya. Uske baad decline dekha gaya EMA 20 tak, jo 143.49 par tha, lekin phir ek rebound hua. Yeh rebound Asian session mein aur barh sakta hai jab pair trend line ko todne ki koshish karega, aur shayad EMA 200 ka test ho, jo 145.04 par hai. Abhi tak trading range 144.64 aur 143.49 ke darmiyan hai. Japan ka inflation data Central Bank se expected hai, jo market par asar dal sakta hai aur pair ke movement ko influence kar sakta hai. Mujhe ab bhi umeed hai ke price resistance ki taraf barhegi, aur mazeed developments European session mein ho sakti hain. Agar price EMA 50 ke neeche, jo 142.94 par hai, move karti hai toh ek significant reversal ka imkaan hai, jo price ko wapas triangle ke upper boundary 144.77 tak le ja sakti hai

USD/JPY currency pair ne haal hi mein khasa zor dikhaya hai, jo zyada tar America aur Japan ke iqtisadi asharyon ke zariye chala hai. Aik shuruati Asian session mein, yeh pair lagbhag 145.413 par trade kar raha tha, jo ke 0.26% ka rozi izafa tha. Is harkat ke peechay ek aham waja Japan ki mehengai ki data thi, khas tor par Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI), jo September mein saal dar saal 2.2% tak barh gayi thi, pehle ke 2.6% izafay ke muqable mein kam thi. Mehngai mein yeh kami Bank of Japan ki monetary policy ko asar andaz kar sakti hai, aur yeh narm inflation ke dabo ke hote huye tightening measures mein ehtiyaat bharay rawaiye ko zahir karti hai. Iske ilawa, tamam traders gehri nigah rakhe hue hain aanay walay US Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data par jo August ka hoga. Yeh report nihayat ahmiyat ki haamil hai kyun ke PCE ek ahem inflation ka measure hai jo Federal Reserve faida uthata hai jab woh sood ki faislay karte hain. Agar yeh data inflation rate ko umeed se zyada zahir kare, toh dollar yen ke muqable mein mazid taqatwar ho sakta hai, jabke ek narmi ka izhar USD/JPY ko wapas kheench sakta hai. Kul mila kar, Japan mein mehngai ke manzar ke kamzor hone aur America se tightening ke isharaat ke imkanaat ka milan US dollar ke liye ek munasib mahaul paida karta hai.
Chart ke tamam indicators bullish rawaiya zahir karte hain USD/JPY ke liye, khaaskar jab yeh 139.69 ke support level se wapas barh gaya. Is upper momentum ne 144.31 ke resistance level ko teesri dafa successfully challenge kiya, jo strong buyer interest ka signal hai. Ek Marubozu bullish candle ka hourly chart mein banna bhi buying pressure ko aur zahir karta hai, aur yeh dikhata hai ke bullish sentiment khasa mazboot hai. Jabke yeh pair aise price zone mein hai jise bohot se traders

discountedsignal hai. Ek Marubozu bullish candle ka hourly chart mein banna bhi buying pressure ko aur zahir karta hai, aur yeh dikhata hai ke bullish sentiment khasa mazboot hai. Jabke yeh pair aise price zone mein hai jise bohot se traders discounted price samajhte hain, yeh unke liye ek behtareen entry point ban gaya hai jo ke khareedari ka irada rakhte hain. Hafte bhar ke chart ko dekhte huye, mazid bullish signals saamne aate hain, jo price samajhte hain, yeh unke liye ek behtareen entry point ban gaya hai jo ke khareedari ka irada rakhte hain. Hafte bhar ke chart ko dekhte huye, mazid bullish signals saamne aate hain, jo ke Bullish Engulfing pattern ke taur par zahir hue hain. Yeh pattern aam tor par ek strong reversal ka izhar karta hai aur ziada tar mazeed upper movement ka peshgoi hota hai. Traders is pattern ko action mein laanay ke liye confirmation ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo ke pair ko 147.15 ke target ki taraf dhakel sakta hai.

Hamaari guftagu USD/JPY currency pair ke mojooda pricing behavior ke gird ghoom rahi hai, jise hum analyze kar rahe hain. USD/JPY pair 142.29 par band hui thi. H4 technical chart par Envelopes indicator girawat zahir karta hai, jabke Momentum indicator ek selling opportunity ka ishara deta hai. MACD bhi negative territory mein hai, jo mazeed niche jaane ke imkanaat ko mazid taqat deta hai, aur ye 140.01 tak pohanch sakti hai. Magar mera plan hai ke mai aik buland point par sell karoon, ideally 147.01 ke qareeb, jahan mujhe umeed hai ke yeh barhayi karegi. Mera irada hai ke mai intezaar karoon ke price ooper jaye, sellers ke stop-losses collect kare, aur phir niche ki taraf jaaye. Bullish outlook stable hai. Yeh speculative hai, aur asal nataij ka faisla market karegi.
USD/JPY pair ne apne nuqsanat ko doosray musalsal din tak barhaya, aur budh ko Asian session ke doran 141.20 level ke qareeb trade kar rahi thi. Yeh girawat aksar Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke Governing Council ke member Junko Nagakawa ke hawkish comments ke baad mazid taqatwar Japanese yen (JPY) ki wajah se hui. BoJ apni monetary easing ko adjust kar sakta hai agar iqtisadi aur price trends uski umeedat ke mutabiq hon. July mein sood ki shara barhane ke bawajood, asal sood ki sharahain negative rahi, jo yeh zahir karti hain ke monetary conditions abhi tak asani wale hain. BoJ aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ke darmiyan mukhtalif monetary policies ne carry trade unwinds ko bhi barhawa diya aur yen ki demand ko taqat di. BoJ ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ne dobara se central bank ke sood ki sharahain barhane ke irade ka izhar kiya jab tak ke Japanese economy fiscal 2025 mein apni forecast ko pura kare. US dollar (USD) kamzor raha jabke UStrade unwinds ko bhi barhawa diya aur yen ki

demand ko taqat di. BoJ ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ne dobara se central bank ke sood ki sharahain barhane ke irade ka izhar kiya jab tak ke Japanese economy fiscal 2025 mein apni forecast ko pura kare. US dollar (USD) kamzor raha jabke US Treasury yields CPI data ke release se pehle girti rahi. CPI data se umeed hai ke Fed ke September rate cut ke imkanaat par mazeed roshni dalay ga. Haal hi mein US labor market ke reports ne bhi Fed Treasury yields CPI data ke release se pehle girti rahi. CPI data se umeed hai ke Fed ke September rate cut ke imkanaat par mazeed roshni dalay ga. Haal hi mein US labor market ke reports ne bhi Fed ke baray rate cut ke imkanaat par shak paida kar diya hai. CME FedWatch tool ne zahir kiya ke market poori tarah se yeh umeed karti hai ke Fed September meeting mein kam az kam 25 basis points ka rate cut karega, magar 50 basis points ka rate cut ke imkanaat thore kam ho gaye hain.

**Technical Analysis**
**USD/JPY H-1**

USD/JPY market ki situation ko dekhte huye, mere trading plan mein kuch market movement ke options hain, jinmein intraday trading mein kafi achha munafa hasil kiya ja sakta hai. Option (1) ahem hai. Ismein growth dynamics shamil hain, jo ke 145.520 ke mojooda price ko daryaft kar ke zahir hoti hai jo ke Fibonacci grid tool ke zariye banaye gaye area mein hai, jiske values 100% (145.215) aur 150% (145.766) hain. Mai rebounds par buy karna chahta hoon 100% (145.215), 123.6% (145.475), 138.2% (145.636) aur 176.4% (146.057) ke area se. Market aksar bilkul sahi pip-to-pip level tak pohanchti hai, jo ke trading limit orders mein madadgar hota hai. Option (2) backup ke taur par hai. Agar 100% level (145.215) se niche break hoti hai, toh yeh bearish market interest ka izhar karta hai. Is liye ek mauqa hai ke correction par sell kiya jaye jab 100% (145.215) level break ho, jahan target 50% level (144.664) aur usse neeche hoga.

**Technical Analysis**

**USD/JPY H-4**

Agar USD/JPY ko bara taur par dekha jaye, toh downtrend ko extend karein aur samjhein ke pair ne uptrend ko tod diya hai, aur agar trend badla nahi, toh pair ek achi correction ki taraf ja raha hai. 147.18 se neeche, kam az kam yeh technically hona chahiye, ya toh pair mojooda level par kuch dair tak stable rahe aur phir barh jaye, lekin correct ho. Yahan, khud US dollar market-wide correction ke liye tayar hai. Yeh girawat ruk gaya hai aur ab waqt hai 3-4% correction ka, toh growth zyada zahir hai, aur girawat ka silsila jari rahega. Agar pair 140.50 ke qareeb break karta hai, toh yeh lagbhag ek naya low aur ek mazbootlagbhag ek naya low aur ek mazboot level hoga. Kal hum University of Michigan inflation forecast ka intezar karenge aur market ke ispar reaction ko dekhenge. Sach kahun toh aaj ke US data par market ka reaction ajeeb tha. level hoga. Kal hum University of Michigan inflation forecast ka intezar karenge aur market ke ispar reaction ko dekhenge. Sach kahun toh aaj ke US data par market ka reaction ajeeb tha. Buyers ko market se bahar nikala ja raha hai.

Hum 141.71 ka level bana sakte hain jiska aap intezar kar rahe hain, lekin mai sell nahi karunga. Trend toot gaya hai, aur yeh ek bullish signal hai.

USD/JPY Market Movements
Main USD/JPY currency pair ka real-time pricing analysis kar raha hoon. USD/JPY pair din ke shuruaati 142.01 ke level se neeche trade kar raha hai, magar daily Pivot level 141.73 ke upar hai. Primary indicators ooper ki taraf ishara karte hain, jahan price MA72 trend line ke upar hai, jahan volume aam tor par kam hota hai. Agar price 141.91 se ooper chali jati hai, toh yeh pair resistance level 142.01 ki taraf barhay gi aur mumkin hai ke 143.01 tak pohanch jaye. Magar agar price 141.73 se neeche girta hai, toh yeh 141.41 ya phir 140.91 tak bhi gir sakta hai. Yeh pair monthly Pivot level 146.25 (pehle 153.86) ke neeche, weekly Pivot level 141.65 (pehle 143.76) ke upar, aur daily Pivot 141.73 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, jo ke ek corrective phase ko zahir karta hai. Wave structure ab bhi bearish hai, aur MACD indicator oversold zone mein hai aur apni signal line ke neeche hai. August ke low ke baad ek bullish divergence CUI par zahir hui, jabke doosra NPI indicator oversold zone se ooper uthna shuru h o gaya.

USD/JPY pair Tuesday ko lagbhag 143.70 level par trade kar raha tha. Daily chart analysis yeh dikhata hai ke pair ek descending channel mein move kar raha hai, jo ke bearish trend ko zahir karta hai. Iske ilawa, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi 50 level se thoda neeche hai, jo bearish sentiment ko mazeed mazboot karta hai. Downside par, USD/JPY pair ke liye 9-day moving average 143.01 ka test karna mumkin hai. Agar yeh level ke neeche jata hai, toh pair 139.58 area ko explore kar sakta hai, jo June 2023 ke baad se sabse kam level hai. Agar yeh level ke upar move karta hai, toh USD/JPY pair 145.00 ke psychological barrier ko challenge kar sakta hai. USD/JPY pair Tuesday ko green mein tha, aur ek mahine ka apna behtareen daily performance record kiya jab yeh 140 ke qareeb ek strong level par settle hua. Federal Reserve se umeed hai ke woh aaj 18:00 GMT par 25bp ya 50bp ka rate cut ka faisla karega. Aik aam 25bp rate cut pair ke liye ek partial recovery ka zariya ban sakta hai, jo ke 143.55 par 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) ko todne mein mushkilat ka samna kar raha hai. Mazeed hurdles 145.00 trendline area aur 50-day EMA ke 147.25 par samne aa sakte hain.