USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Hum abhi USD/JPY currency pair ki price assessment par nazar daal rahe hain. Is waqt, humein intezaar karna hoga ke yeh girawat ka scenario khatam ho jaye. Aisa mumkin hai ke yeh ek temporary bearish correction ho jo sirf buyers ke stop-losses ko trigger karne ke liye hai, uske baad bullish trend wapas aasakta hai. Lekin humein poori tarah se direction reversal ka bhi ehtimal hai, jis wajah se agle moves ko predict karna thoda mushkil ho raha hai.
Agar hum yeh samjhein ke 139.55 level se humein abhi bhi ek northern movement ka ihtimal hai, to 146.52 se 142.18 tak ki decline us correction ka hissa ho sakti hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke ek strong chance hai ke hum 143.51 ke upar wapas charh sakte hain aur 146.52 tak pahunch sakte hain taake jo price movement ka "debt" bana hai wo poora ho sake. Dusri taraf, agar 143.51 ko tod diya gaya, to price neeche ki taraf push karegi aur downtrend ke continue hone ka risk barh jayega. Is scenario mein, main 139.55 level ko agle target ke tor par dekhunga.




Ahm Support Aur Resistance Levels

Is Tuesday ko, USD/JPY market ko 143.00 level ke upar rehne ki challenge ka saamna hai. Yeh level market mein agle probable direction ka faisla karega. Agar yeh support level 143.00 par mazboot rahta hai, to bulls ko yeh mauka milega ke wo price ko mazeed upar push karein aur 144.00 ke round mark ko target karein. Agar price is level ke upar chali gayi, to yeh 144.70 aur 145.00 ke levels ko expose karegi.
Lekin, agar price 143.00 ke level ke neeche gir gayi, to phir bears ke paas price ko aur neeche ki taraf le jane ka acha chance hoga. Is scenario mein, pehla target 142.60 ho sakta hai, uske baad 142.00. Agar price is level ke neeche break kiya to phir 141.50 aur 141.30 ke levels expose ho jayenge. Daily trading diagram abhi bhi upside ki taraf signal kar raha hai, aur mujhe umeed hai ke price is ke mutabiq move karegi

US ki na ummeedkan economic data ne euro ko US dollar ke muqablay mein barhawa diya. Ye tabdeeli American economy ke health ke bare mein barhti hui chinta ko darshati hai aur Federal Reserve ke zariye interest rate cuts ke tajawiz ko tez karne ke mumkinahay ko uthaati hai. Key indicators ne ek chinta janak tasawwur diya hai. June mein naukri ka izafa ummeed se kam raha, ADP data ne ye bataya ke naukriyon ki kami zyada tar kam aay ke sectors jaise hospitality aur entertainment mein hui. Initial jobless claims bhi barh gayi, aur ISM ka Services PMI do saal ke sabse niche star par chala gaya. Ye data US economy ke slow hone ka nishan hai, jo dollar ki appeal ko kam karta hai. Jab US dollar ne girawat dekhi, euro ne is mauqe ko pakda aur briefly 1.0800 level ko paar kar gaya. Ye positive jazba mixed European data se barhawa mila. Pan-EU HCOB PMI for June ne ummeed se zyada izafa dikhaya, jo manufacturing activity ki growth ko darshata hai. Lekin, Eurozone mein producer prices May mein zyada contraction dekhne ko mili. Agle kuch dinon mein US Independence Day holiday aur German factory order data currency pair ko prabhavit kar sakti hai. US markets band rahengi, jo trading activity ko patla kar sakti hai. German factory orders May mein rebound hone ki ummeed hai, jo euro ke performance ko aur prabhavit kar sakta hai.

Technical hurdles aur aage ke gains ki potential. Euro ko 1.0788 level aur 200-day moving average par technical resistance ka samna hai. Is zone ke upar decisive break hone se October 2023 ke uptrend line ke 1.0955 tak ki tez chadhai ki raah khul sakti hai. In conclusion, euro kai factors ka faida utha raha hai: US dollar ki kamzori, jo ke slowing US economy aur Fed se accommodative monetary policy ke tajawiz se hai. Lekin, technical resistance levels aur dono US aur Europe mein aane wale economic releases crucial honge, ye dekhne ke liye ke euro ke gains sustain ho sakte hain ya nahi.

Price Action Analysis: USD/JPY Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price movements ka analysis kar rahe hain. Dekha jaye toh USD/JPY ki qeemat ne apna recent high thoda update kiya, lekin uske baad neeche ki taraf move hui, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke bade institutional investors ka interest kam hai. Agar yeh trend barqarar raha, toh hum expect karte hain ke price gir kar accumulation zone ke qareeb 142.32 tak pahunch sakti hai. Yeh move is level ka test kar sakti hai aur trading volume ke zariye naye positions banane mein madad kar sakti hai. Agar pair 142.32 tak pahunchta hai aur wahan bullish signal generate hota hai jo volume se support ho, toh ek rally ka imkaan hai, jo price ko upar le ja sakti hai bullish accumulation level 146.12 tak, lekin potential drop bhi 140.87 area tak ho sakta hai. Aaj price neeche ki taraf move hui aur pivot price level tak pahunchi, isko tod kar further decline ki taraf chali gayi. Hourly chart par maine ek inverted triangle draw kiya hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke pair girta rahega aur triangle ke lower edge 142.67 tak ja sakta hai.
Aaj ke pehle hisse mein, USD/JPY ne kal ka high update kiya aur resistance 144.64 ko test kiya aur trend line tak pahunch gaya. Uske baad decline dekha gaya EMA 20 tak, jo 143.49 par tha, lekin phir ek rebound hua. Yeh rebound Asian session mein aur barh sakta hai jab pair trend line ko todne ki koshish karega, aur shayad EMA 200 ka test ho, jo 145.04 par hai. Abhi tak trading range 144.64 aur 143.49 ke darmiyan hai. Japan ka inflation data Central Bank se expected hai, jo market par asar dal sakta hai aur pair ke movement ko influence kar sakta hai. Mujhe ab bhi umeed hai ke price resistance ki taraf barhegi, aur mazeed developments European session mein ho sakti hain. Agar price EMA 50 ke neeche, jo 142.94 par hai, move karti hai toh ek significant reversal ka imkaan hai, jo price ko wapas triangle ke upper boundary 144.77 tak le ja sakti hai.

yeh zaroori hai ke hum strong bearish trend ko bhi dekhain, jo yeh dikhata hai ke Japanese yen ke fundamentals Bank of Japan ke recent interest rate hike ki wajah se abhi tak kaarfarma hain. Maujooda halaat ke madde nazar, main expect karta hoon ke maximum bullish correction moving average resistance zone 143.21 ke qareeb ho sakti hai. Main is level se sell karne ke mauqe talash karunga, kyunki mazeed girawat ka imkaan hai. Higher time frames par volatility mein kisi bhi slowdown ya sideways movement ka na hona yeh dikhata hai ke local ya global trend mein koi foran reversal nazar nahi aa raha. Maujooda market dynamics Japan ke central bank ke fundamentals ko reflect karti hain, aur yen ke taqatwar hone ka silsila abhi jaari rahega. Chalo, USD/JPY ka daily chart dekhte hain: wave structure abhi bhi downward hai, aur MACD indicator apni signal line ke neeche lower sales zone mein hai. Jumay ke din, USD/JPY mein selling ka rujhan tha, aur bulls 141.89 level ko paar karne mein kamyab nahi ho sake. Hourly technical analysis yeh signal deta hai ke sellers ka pressure jaari hai. Mera khayal hai ke price ki girawat abhi bhi barqarar rahegi, aur bears ka target 136.99 hai. Quotes 155.23 ke high se neeche ja rahe hain, aur chart par yeh dikh raha hai ke chhoti rebounds ke bawajood downtrend abhi tak jaari hai. Kaafi arsay se traders 140.27 aur 143.81 ke darmiyan phansay hue hain. Jumay ke session ke end par, USD/JPY is range ke lower boundary ke qareeb fluctuate kar raha tha. Agar Monday ke din koi significant tabdeeli nahi hoti, to pair ke 139.00 ke neeche break karne ka imkaan hai, aur naye lows 139 range mein dekhe ja sakte hain. USD/JPY ko sell karne ke liye, ek clear break ka intizaar karna chahiye, jo ke recent low ke neeche ho, break ko ek updated low se confirm karein, aur phir ek northern correction ka intezar karain. Jab correction khatam ho, to selling opportunities ideal hongi. Buyers ke liye,

**Japanese Yen ka Trade Analysis aur Tips**

142.83 ke price par test tab hua jab MACD indicator zero mark se upar jana shuru kar raha tha, jo dollar kharidne ka sahi entry point confirm karta hai. Iska natija yeh hua ke pair lagbhag 50 pips tak upar gaya, lekin main target level 143.49 tak nahi pahuncha. Retail sales ke achhe figures ne kal ke Japan ke industrial production ke weak reports ka asar offset kar diya. Halankeh Japan ki unemployment rate 2.5% tak gir gayi hai, lekin Japan ka Manufacturing PMI 50-point mark ke neeche raha, jo activity mein contraction ko darshata hai. Is wajah se yen ne girawat dekhi, jo kal ke bullish dollar market ko jari rakhti hai. Lekin, yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke hum bearish trend mein hain, aur jitna zyada pair upar jaata hai, utni hi badi sellers ke market mein wapas aane ki sambhavnayein badh jaati hain. Intraday strategy ke liye, main Scenarios #1 aur #2 par zyada focus karunga.

**Buy Signal**

**Scenario #1:** Aaj, main USD/JPY kharidne ka plan bana raha hoon jab price 144.52 (chart par green line) ke entry point tak pahunche. Iska target level 145.38 (chart par thicker green line) hai. 145.38 level par, main buy positions se exit karne aur opposite direction mein sell positions kholne ka plan bana raha hoon (is level se 30-35 pips ki movement ki umeed hai). Aham baat! Kharidne se pehle ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar ho aur upar ki taraf ja raha ho.

**Scenario #2:** Agar aaj 144.16 price level par do consecutive tests hote hain jab MACD indicator oversold area mein ho, to main bhi USD/JPY kharidne ka plan bana raha hoon. Yeh pair ki downward potential ko limit karega aur market ko upar ki taraf reversal ki taraf le ja sakta hai. 144.52 aur 145.38 ke opposite levels ki taraf growth ki umeed ki ja sakti hai.

**Sell Signal**

**Scenario #1:** Main aaj USD/JPY tab bechne ka plan bana raha hoon jab 144.16 level (chart par red line) ke neeche break hota hai, jo pair mein tezi se girawat la sakta hai. Sellers ke liye key target 143.46 level hoga, jahan main sell positions se exit karke turant opposite direction mein buy positions kholne ka plan bana raha hoon (is level se 20-25 pips ki movement ki umeed hai). Pair par pressure dollar ke ongoing bearish market ke framework mein jari rahega. Aham baat! Bechne se pehle ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke neeche ho aur neeche ki taraf ja raha ho.

**Scenario #2:** Agar aaj 144.52 price level par do consecutive tests hote hain jab MACD indicator overbought area mein ho, to main bhi sell karne ka plan bana raha hoon. Yeh pair ki upward potential ko limit karega aur market ko neeche ki taraf reversal ki taraf le ja sakta hai. 144.16 aur 143.46 ke opposite levels ki taraf girawat ki umeed hai.

Japanese yen (JPY) ne doosray din bhi girawat ka silsila jaari rakha, jo asal mein Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki taraf se muhayya ki gayi raahnumai aur mukhtalif ma'ashi data ki wajah se tha. Central bank ki September ke monetary policy meeting ka khulasa yeh dikhata hai ke unka koi foran interest rate barhane ka irada nahi hai, wo stability aur ehtiyaat se guftagu ko ahmiyat dete hain. BoJ ne yeh kaha hai ke agar ma'ashi halaat khaas tor par behtar hotay hain, to wo policy mein tabdeeliyan karne ke liye tayaar hain, lekin abhi ke liye wo apne maujooda rukh par qayam hain.

Japanese ma'ashiyat ne kuch behtari ke asar dikhaye hain, jese ke Tankan ka bada manufacturing index teesre ruba mein 13 par barqarar raha. Yeh is baat ka izhar karta hai ke bade manufacturers ke liye operational halaat waqai mein mustahkam hain, jo market ki umeedon ke mutabiq hai. Iske ilawa, Japan ka unemployment rate August mein 2.5% tak gir gaya, jo July mein 2.7% tha, aur yeh market ki peshgoiyan 2.6% se behtar raha. Yen ki kamzori ka aik aur sabab incoming Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba ke dovish bayanat bhi hain. Ishiba ne kaha ke ma'ashi nikaas ko support karne ke liye raahnuma monetary policy ki zarurat hai, aur unhone low borrowing costs ki bhi baat ki. Unke bayanat BoJ ke rukh ke sath milte hain aur yen par downward pressure ko barhate hain.

Dainik chart par Japanese yen (USD/JPY) ka rate Tuesday ko 144.10 ke ird gird trade hua. Technical analysis se yeh pata chala ke yeh aik ascending channel pattern mein wapas aa gaya hai, jo dikhata hai ke uptrend ab bhi mazboot hai. 14-day relative strength index, jo 50 ke level ke thoda neeche hai, yeh bhi izhar karta hai ke bullish breakout ka potential hai, jo uptrend ke jaari rehne ki tasdeeq karta hai. Resistance levels ki baat karain to USD/JPY pair ko 146.50 par ascending channel ke upper boundary ke nazdeek resistance ka samna karna par sakta hai, jo 5-week high 147.21 tak bhi pahuncha sakta hai. Neeche ki taraf, channel ki lower limit 142.80 hai. Is level ke neeche girne se mazeed girawat ho sakti hai, jahan 139.58 ka area support ka potential rakhta hai, jo June 2023 ke baad se sabse neecha level hai.

Aakhir mein, Japanese yen ki kami ka asal sabab BoJ ki raahnuma monetary policy, mukhtalif ma'ashi data, aur incoming Prime Minister ke dovish bayanat hain. USD/JPY pair ka technical analysis yeh dikhata hai ke uptrend jaari rahega, jahan resistance aur support levels ko pehchana gaya hai. Jaise jaise Japanese ma'ashiyat apne recovery ke rukh par aage barhti hai, investors monetary policy aur ma'ashi indicators mein hone wale tabdeeliyon par nazar rakhenge taake yen ka mustaqbil samajh saken.

Do din se, USD/JPY ne apni tez girawat se bahar aane ki koshish ki hai, jo 139.60 ki 13-mahine ki support level tak pahuncha. Yeh rebound 142.46 ke resistance level par ruk gaya hai aur ab 141.80 ke ird gird hai, jabke foreign exchange bazaar ke liye sab se ahm waqia, US Federal Reserve ki policy ka elan aaj hone wala hai.
Is darmiyan, Japanese Yen ki mazbooti is wajah se hai ke investors is hafte Japan aur America ke monetary policy faislon ka intezar kar rahe hain. Bank of Japan ka is Jumme interest rates ko behtar rakhne ka imkaan hai, lekin yeh aisa bhi lagta hai ke woh aage ke rate hikes ka ishara de sakta hai. Financial markets ka kehna hai ke Bank of Japan December mein interest rates mein izafa kar sakta hai, jabke October ka faisla abhi tak nishchit nahi hai. Doosri taraf, US Federal Reserve se pehli martaba chaar saalon mein interest rate ka katna umeed hai, jahan financial markets ek bara 50 basis point cut ka 67% imkaan laga rahe hain.

Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki ne kaha hai ke forex ki volatility ke faide aur nuqsan dono hain, lekin tezi se hone wali tabdeeliyaan nafrat ka sabab ban sakti hain. Iske ilawa, Japan ka 10 saal ka bond yield ek mahine ki bulandi par aa gaya hai. Yeh yield 0.83% tak gir gaya hai, jo US bond yields ki kami ke saath saath hai, jabke Federal Reserve ke taraf se zyada aggressive rate cuts ki umeed hai.

Doosri taraf, Bank of Japan ka is hafte apni policy ko behtar rakhne ka imkaan hai lekin yeh aage ke rate hikes ka ishara de sakta hai. Fitch ne Japan ke liye apni interest rate predictions ko revise kiya hai, ab yeh 2024 ke end tak 0.5%, 2025 mein 0.75%, aur 2026 ke end tak 1% ka andaza laga raha hai.

### USD/JPY Technical Analysis Aur Umeedain

Halankeh haali mein kuch rebound koshishain hui hain, lekin USD/JPY ka overall trend bearish hai. Psychological support level 140.00 is baat ka saboot hai ke bears ka control mazboot hai. Technical indicators oversold levels ki taraf ja rahe hain. Yeh central banks ke announcements ke baad ka jawab hi yeh tay karega ke dollar/yen ka kya hoga. Agar yeh girawat aur bhi badhti hai, to pehli support level 138.00 tak aa sakti hai, jo bears ke control ko aur mazboot karega. Iske ilawa, daily chart ke mutabiq, 150.00 ka psychological resistance asal trend

USD/JPY ne 144.53 ke key support level ko break kiya, jo is baat ka ishara hai ke downtrend jaari reh sakta hai. Is breakout ke baad, pair 99 points gir gaya lekin phir ek correction ki koshish ki, jisme buyers ne price ko wapas 144.53 ke resistance level tak push kiya. Iss point par sell positions open karna behthreen move ho sakta hai, aur 140-141 range ki taraf mazeed girawat ka target set kiya ja sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar pair 144.53 resistance level se rebound karta hai, toh recovery jaari reh sakti hai, aur agla target 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart mein ek ascending channel dikhai de raha hai jo flag pattern se milta julta hai, jo is baat ka ishara karta hai ke downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin H4 chart par, pair ek descending channel mein move kar raha hai aur abhi uski lower boundary se bounce hua hai. Agar price 144.49 se break hoti hai, toh 145.69 ka target rakhte hue buying strategy viable ho sakti hai. Friday ko Japanese Yen (JPY) ne US Dollar (USD) ke against 14-mahinon ka low touch kiya, jo 140.41 tha. Ye girawat zyada market trend ka hissa hai jahan JPY kamzor ho raha hai, zyada ter Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke monetary policy changes ki wajah se. BoJ ne recently apni policy ko hawkish banate hue interest rates ko 0.25% tak barhaya, jisse Yen carry trade ka unwinding hua. Yen ko support "Yenterventions" ke zariye bhi mila, jo multi-decade lows se recover karte hue 12.5% barh gaya USD ke against. Abhi ka market sentiment Yen ke hawale se monetary policy changes, market interventions, aur global economic factors ka aik pechida mix darshata hai. Yen ka Mustaqbil Yen ka historic lows se recovery aur recent USD ke against movements currency markets ki fluid nature aur policymakers ke liye challenges ko highlight karti hain. BoJ ki monetary policy ka mustaqbil abhi bhi unsure hai, Jahan officials ne mazed rate hikes ka ishara diya hai. Lekin isko cautious approach kiya ja raha hai, heightened market volatility ki wajah se. Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki ne zor diya ke BoJ market conditions ko closely monitor karega, lekin monetary policy ke hawale se koi bhi faislay BoJ ke ikhtiyar mein hi rahenge. Ye careful approach yeh darshata hai ke economic growth ko stimulate karna aur currency stability ko maintain karna donon mein

of Japan (BoJ) ki taraf se muhayya ki gayi raahnumai aur mukhtalif ma'ashi data ki wajah se tha. Central bank ki September ke monetary policy meeting ka khulasa yeh dikhata hai ke unka koi foran interest rate barhane ka irada nahi hai, wo stability aur ehtiyaat se guftagu ko ahmiyat dete hain. BoJ ne yeh kaha hai ke agar ma'ashi halaat khaas tor par behtar hotay hain, to wo policy mein tabdeeliyan karne ke liye tayaar hain, lekin abhi ke liye wo apne maujooda rukh par qayam hain.
Japanese ma'ashiyat ne kuch behtari ke asar dikhaye hain, jese ke Tankan ka bada manufacturing index teesre ruba mein 13 par barqarar raha. Yeh is baat ka izhar karta hai ke bade manufacturers ke liye operational halaat waqai mein mustahkam hain, jo market ki umeedon ke mutabiq hai. Iske ilawa, Japan ka unemployment rate August mein 2.5% tak gir gaya, jo July mein 2.7% tha, aur yeh market ki peshgoiyan 2.6% se behtar raha. Yen ki kamzori ka aik aur sabab incoming Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba ke dovish bayanat bhi hain. Ishiba ne kaha ke ma'ashi nikaas ko support karne ke liye raahnuma monetary policy ki zarurat hai, aur unhone low borrowing costs ki bhi baat ki. Unke bayanat BoJ ke rukh ke sath milte hain aur yen par downward pressure ko barhate hain.

Dainik chart par Japanese yen (USD/JPY) ka rate Tuesday ko 144.10 ke ird gird trade hua. Technical analysis se yeh pata chala ke yeh aik ascending channel pattern mein wapas aa gaya hai, jo dikhata hai ke uptrend ab bhi mazboot hai. 14-day relative strength index, jo 50 ke level ke thoda neeche hai, yeh bhi izhar karta hai ke bullish breakout ka potential hai, jo uptrend ke jaari rehne ki tasdeeq karta hai. Resistance levels ki baat karain to USD/JPY pair ko 146.50 par ascending channel ke upper boundary ke nazdeek resistance ka samna karna par sakta hai, jo 5-week high 147.21 tak bhi pahuncha sakta hai. Neeche ki taraf, channel ki lower limit 142.80 hai. Is level ke neeche girne se mazeed girawat ho sakti hai, jahan 139.58 ka area support ka potential rakhta hai, jo June 2023 ke baad se sabse neecha level hai.

Aakhir mein, Japanese yen ki kami ka asal sabab BoJ ki raahnuma monetary policy, mukhtalif ma'ashi data, aur incoming Prime Minister ke dovish bayanat hain. USD/JPY pair ka technical analysis yeh dikhata hai ke uptrend jaari rahega, jahan resistance aur support levels ko pehchana gaya hai. Jaise jaise Japanese ma'ashiyat apne recovery ke rukh par aage barhti hai, investors monetary policy aur ma'ashi indicators mein hone wale tabdeeliyon par nazar rakhenge taake yen ka mustaqbil samajh

ka analysis kar rahe hain. Dekha jaye toh USD/JPY ki qeemat ne apna recent high thoda update kiya, lekin uske baad neeche ki taraf move hui, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke bade institutional investors ka interest kam hai. Agar yeh trend barqarar raha, toh hum expect karte hain ke price gir kar accumulation zone ke qareeb 142.32 tak pahunch sakti hai. Yeh move is level ka test kar sakti hai aur trading volume ke zariye naye positions banane mein madad kar sakti hai. Agar pair 142.32 tak pahunchta hai aur wahan bullish signal generate hota hai jo volume se support ho, toh ek rally ka imkaan hai, jo price ko upar le ja sakti hai bullish accumulation level 146.12 tak, lekin potential drop bhi 140.87 area tak ho sakta hai. Aaj price neeche ki taraf move hui aur pivot price level tak pahunchi, isko tod kar further decline ki taraf chali gayi. Hourly chart par maine ek inverted triangle draw kiya hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke pair girta rahega aur triangle ke lower edge 142.67 tak ja sakta hai. Aaj ke pehle hisse mein, USD/JPY ne kal ka high update kiya aur resistance 144.64 ko test kiya aur trend line tak pahunch gaya. Uske baad decline dekha gaya EMA 20 tak, jo 143.49 par tha, lekin phir ek rebound hua. Yeh rebound Asian session mein aur barh sakta hai jab pair trend line ko todne ki koshish karega, aur shayad EMA 200 ka test ho, jo 145.04 par hai. Abhi tak trading range 144.64 aur 143.49 ke darmiyan hai. Japan ka inflation data Central Bank se expected hai, jo market par asar dal sakta hai aur pair ke movement ko influence kar sakta hai. Mujhe ab bhi umeed hai ke price resistance ki taraf barhegi, aur mazeed developments European session mein ho sakti hain. Agar price EMA 50 ke neeche, jo 142.94 par hai, move karti hai toh ek significant reversal ka imkaan hai, jo price ko wapas triangle ke upper boundary 144.77 tak

ka analysis kar rahe hain. Dekha jaye toh USD/JPY ki qeemat ne apna recent high thoda update kiya, lekin uske baad neeche ki taraf move hui, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke bade institutional investors ka interest kam hai. Agar yeh trend barqarar raha, toh hum expect karte hain ke price gir kar accumulation zone ke qareeb 142.32 tak pahunch sakti hai. Yeh move is level ka test kar sakti hai aur trading volume ke zariye naye positions banane mein madad kar sakti hai. Agar pair 142.32 tak pahunchta hai aur wahan bullish signal generate hota hai jo volume se support ho, toh ek rally ka imkaan hai, jo price ko upar le ja sakti hai bullish accumulation level 146.12 tak, lekin potential drop bhi 140.87 area tak ho sakta hai. Aaj price neeche ki taraf move hui aur pivot price level tak pahunchi, isko tod kar further decline ki taraf chali gayi. Hourly chart par maine ek inverted triangle draw kiya hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke pair girta rahega aur triangle ke lower edge 142.67 tak ja sakta hai. Aaj ke pehle hisse mein, USD/JPY ne kal ka high update kiya aur resistance 144.64 ko test kiya aur trend line tak pahunch gaya. Uske baad decline dekha gaya EMA 20 tak, jo 143.49 par tha, lekin phir ek rebound hua. Yeh rebound Asian session mein aur barh sakta hai jab pair trend line ko todne ki koshish karega, aur shayad EMA 200 ka test ho, jo 145.04 par hai. Abhi tak trading range 144.64 aur 143.49 ke darmiyan hai. Japan ka inflation data Central Bank se expected hai, jo market par asar dal sakta hai aur pair ke movement ko influence kar sakta hai. Mujhe ab bhi umeed hai ke price resistance ki taraf barhegi, aur mazeed developments European session mein ho sakti hain. Agar price EMA 50 ke neeche, jo 142.94 par hai, move karti hai toh ek significant reversal ka imkaan hai, jo price ko wapas triangle ke upper boundary

se tha. Central bank ki September ke monetary policy meeting ka khulasa yeh dikhata hai ke unka koi foran interest rate barhane ka irada nahi hai, wo stability aur ehtiyaat se guftagu ko ahmiyat dete hain. BoJ ne yeh kaha hai ke agar ma'ashi halaat khaas tor par behtar hotay hain, to wo policy mein tabdeeliyan karne ke liye tayaar hain, lekin abhi ke liye wo apne maujooda rukh par qayam hain. Japanese ma'ashiyat ne kuch behtari ke asar dikhaye hain, jese ke Tankan ka bada manufacturing index teesre ruba mein 13 par barqarar raha. Yeh is baat ka izhar karta hai ke bade manufacturers ke liye operational halaat waqai mein mustahkam hain, jo market ki umeedon ke mutabiq hai. Iske ilawa, Japan ka unemployment rate August mein 2.5% tak gir gaya, jo July mein 2.7% tha, aur yeh market ki peshgoiyan 2.6% se behtar raha. Yen ki kamzori ka aik aur sabab incoming Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba ke dovish bayanat bhi hain. Ishiba ne kaha ke ma'ashi nikaas ko support karne ke liye raahnuma monetary policy ki zarurat hai, aur unhone low borrowing costs ki bhi baat ki. Unke bayanat BoJ ke rukh ke sath milte hain aur yen par downward pressure ko barhate hain.

Dainik chart par Japanese yen (USD/JPY) ka rate Tuesday ko 144.10 ke ird gird trade hua. Technical analysis se yeh pata chala ke yeh aik ascending channel pattern mein wapas aa gaya hai, jo dikhata hai ke uptrend ab bhi mazboot hai. 14-day relative strength index, jo 50 ke level ke thoda neeche hai, yeh bhi izhar karta hai ke bullish breakout ka potential hai, jo uptrend ke jaari rehne ki tasdeeq karta hai. Resistance levels ki baat karain to USD/JPY pair ko 146.50 par ascending channel ke upper boundary ke nazdeek resistance ka samna karna par sakta hai, jo 5-week high 147.21 tak bhi pahuncha sakta hai. Neeche ki taraf, channel ki lower limit 142.80 hai. Is level ke neeche girne se mazeed girawat ho sakti hai, jahan 139.58 ka area support ka potential rakhta hai, jo June 2023 ke baad se sabse neecha level hai.

Aakhir mein, Japanese yen ki kami ka asal sabab BoJ ki raahnuma monetary policy, mukhtalif ma'ashi data, aur incoming Prime Minister ke dovish bayanat hain. USD/JPY pair ka technical analysis yeh dikhata hai ke uptrend jaari rahega, jahan resistance aur support levels ko pehchana gaya hai. Jaise jaise Japanese ma'ashiyat apne recovery ke rukh par aage barhti hai, investors monetary policy aur ma'ashi indicators mein hone wale tabdeeliyon par nazar rakhenge taake yen ka mustaqbil samajh

analysis kar rahe hain. Dekha jaye toh USD/JPY ki qeemat ne apna recent high thoda update kiya, lekin uske baad neeche ki taraf move hui, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke bade institutional investors ka interest kam hai. Agar yeh trend barqarar raha, toh hum expect karte hain ke price gir kar accumulation zone ke qareeb 142.32 tak pahunch sakti hai. Yeh move is level ka test kar sakti hai aur trading volume ke zariye naye positions banane mein madad kar sakti hai. Agar pair 142.32 tak pahunchta hai aur wahan bullish signal generate hota hai jo volume se support ho, toh ek rally ka imkaan hai, jo price ko upar le ja sakti hai bullish accumulation level 146.12 tak, lekin potential drop bhi 140.87 area tak ho sakta hai. Aaj price neeche ki taraf move hui aur pivot price level tak pahunchi, isko tod kar further decline ki taraf chali gayi. Hourly chart par maine ek inverted triangle draw kiya hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke pair girta rahega aur triangle ke lower edge 142.67 tak ja sakta hai. Aaj ke pehle hisse mein, USD/JPY ne kal ka high update kiya aur resistance 144.64 ko test kiya aur trend line tak pahunch gaya. Uske baad decline dekha gaya EMA 20 tak, jo 143.49 par tha, lekin phir ek rebound hua. Yeh rebound Asian session mein aur barh sakta hai jab pair trend line ko todne ki koshish karega, aur shayad EMA 200 ka test ho, jo 145.04 par hai. Abhi tak trading range 144.64 aur 143.49 ke darmiyan hai. Japan ka inflation data Central Bank se expected hai, jo market par asar dal sakta hai aur pair ke movement ko influence kar sakta hai. Mujhe ab bhi umeed hai ke price resistance ki taraf barhegi, aur mazeed developments European session mein ho sakti hain. Agar price EMA 50 ke neeche, jo 142.94 par hai, move karti hai toh ek significant reversal ka imkaan hai, jo price ko wapas triangle ke upper boundary 144.77 tak le ja sakti

JPY currency pair ke price movements ki live dynamics ka tajziya karte hain. Kai logon ka andaza hai ke ek significant bullish correction ho sakti hai, jo ke us waqt mumkin hai jab market historical support zone 140.36 ke qareeb ho jaye. Lekin yeh zaroori hai ke hum strong bearish trend ko bhi dekhain, jo yeh dikhata hai ke Japanese yen ke fundamentals Bank of Japan ke recent interest rate hike ki wajah se abhi tak kaarfarma hain. Maujooda halaat ke madde nazar, main expect karta hoon ke maximum bullish correction moving average resistance zone 143.21 ke qareeb ho sakti hai. Main is level se sell karne ke mauqe talash karunga, kyunki mazeed girawat ka imkaan hai. Higher time frames par volatility mein kisi bhi slowdown ya sideways movement ka na hona yeh dikhata hai ke local ya global trend mein koi foran reversal nazar nahi aa raha. Maujooda market dynamics Japan ke central bank ke fundamentals ko reflect karti hain, aur yen ke taqatwar hone ka silsila abhi jaari rahega. Chalo, USD/JPY ka daily chart dekhte hain: wave structure abhi bhi downward hai, aur MACD indicator apni signal line ke neeche lower sales zone mein hai. Jumay ke din, USD/JPY mein selling ka rujhan tha, aur bulls 141.89 level ko paar karne mein kamyab nahi ho sake. Hourly technical analysis yeh signal data hai ke sellers ka pressure jaari hai. Mera khayal hai ke price ki girawat abhi bhi barqarar rahegi, aur bears ka target 136.99 hai. Quotes 155.23 ke high se neeche ja rahe hain, aur chart par yeh dikh raha hai ke chhoti rebounds ke bawajood downtrend abhi tak jaari hai. Kaafi arsay se traders 140.27 aur 143.81 ke darmiyan phansay

Fundamental Analysis

Bank of Japan (BoJ) ka September ke Monetary Policy Meeting ka Summary of Opinions jari kiya gaya. Is ke sath kuch economic data ke natije mein, Japanese Yen (JPY) do din se zameen kho raha hai. Summary mein stability aur ehtiyaat bhari communication par zor diya gaya hai, aur is waqt mazeed interest rate barhane ka koi plan nahi hai. Bank of Japan apni maujooda accommodating policy ko barqarar rakhne ka irada rakhta hai, lekin agar ma'ashi halat mein khubsurat tabdeeliyan aati hain, to wo tabdeeliyan karne ko tayar hai.

Tankan Extensive Manufacturing Index ke mutabiq, Japan mein badi manufacturing enterprises ke liye business conditions teesi ruba mein 13 points par stable rahe. Is ke ilawa, August mein Japan ka unemployment rate 2.7% se kam hote hue 2.5% par aa gaya, jo ke 2.6% ke market estimate se bhi kam hai.

Is ke ilawa, USD/JPY pair ko Japan ke former Defence Chief aur naye prime minister Shigeru Ishiba ke dovish remarks se support mil raha hai. Ye remarks JPY ko neeche ki taraf le ja rahe hain. Japan Times ke mutabiq, Ishiba ne itwaar ko kaha ke mulk ki monetary policy ko accommodating rehna chahiye, aur unhoon ne is baat par zor diya ke borrowing rates ko low rakhna chahiye taake ek kamzor ma'ashi recovery ko support diya ja sake.

Technical Analysis

Mangal ko, USD/JPY lagbhag 144.10 par trade kar raha hai. Daily chart ki analysis ke mutabiq, pair ne phir se ascending channel pattern mein wapas aaya hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke bullish bias ab bhi maujood hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi 50 level ke thoda neeche hai; is level ka todna bullish trend ke barqarar hone ka aur bhi saboot de sakta hai.

USD/JPY pair upper border ko 146.50 par explore kar sakta hai aur is pair ka five-week high 147.21, jo 3 September ko bana tha, resistance ke tor par nazar aata hai. Ascending channel ka neeche ka border 142.80 par hai, aur nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo 143.51 par hai, immediate support hai neeche ki taraf. Agar ye level tod diya gaya, to USD/JPY pair 139.58 zone tak ja sakta hai, jo June 2023 ke baad se sabse neecha position hai.