USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Jumay ko Asian session ke ibtida mein currency pair neeche trade kar raha hai, aur 144.90 ke qareeb hover kar raha hai. Yeh girawat hal hi ke 143.75 ki high ke baad ayi hai, jise risk-averse mood aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke potential rate hike ki speculation ne fuel kiya. Ab tawajjo agle haftay ki central bank ki ahem decisions ki taraf shift ho rahi hai, jo USD/JPY ki future direction ko qareebi tor par shape karenge
Federal Reserve ke September meeting ke liye market ki expectations evolve ho rahi hain. CME Group ke FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, ab 25-basis point rate cut ki probability 88.6% hai, jo ke aik hafta pehle 94.0% thi. Yeh expectations recent economic data ki wajah se shift hui hain, jo anticipate ki gayi growth se zyada strong hain. U.S. GDP ne annualized rate per 2.8% growth dikhayi, jo pichle reading 1.4% se barh kar hai aur forecast 2% ko beat karta hai. Iske ilawa, July 19 ko khatam hone wale hafte ke liye Initial Jobless Claims 235K par aye, jo pehle ke figure 243K aur anticipated 238K se behtar hain.

Japani taraf, officials ne foreign exchange matters par khaas tahaffuzat zahi kiye hain. Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki, Chief Cabinet Secretary Yoshimasa Hayashi, aur top currency diplomat Masato Kanda ne kisi bhi comment se ijtenab kiya, Reuters ki report ke mutabiq. Japanese Cabinet Office ki economic assessment July ke liye unchanged rahi, magar usne cautious outlook ko highlight kiya. Iske ilawa, hukumat ne exports ki evaluation ko downgrade kiya hai, jisme stagnation ko note kiya gaya ha

Pair ko mumkin hai ke 143.46 ke qareeb substantial support mile, mazeed levels 143.00 ke psychological threshold par, aur neeche 142.80 aur 142.00 par hain. Agar yeh support levels break hue, toh focus 2023 ke ibtida se aik trendline par shift ho jayega, jo ke 149.00 aur 150.00 ke beech mein hai. Ek wazeh bearish signal tab emerge hoga jab yeh trendline ek lambi red candlestick ya consecutive bearish candlesticks se clear break ho jayegi.

Haal hi mein spot price taqreeban 144.90 par trade ho rahi hai. Daily chart se yeh pata chalta hai ke pair descending channel ko test kar raha hai, jo ke bearish bias ke reinforcement ki taraf ishara karta hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 30 level se neeche hai, jo signal karta hai ke currency pair oversold ho sakta hai aur short-term rebound ka imkaan hai.

Comprehensive analysis ki buniyad par trading
USD/JPY
Assalam Alaikum! Kal, US dollar/Japanese yen ki jodi ne aakhir kar kuch tezi hasil ki aur 145.09 ki muzahmati satah ko tod diya. Halankeh, iski tezi ki daud qalil muddati thi kiyunkeh bears ne market par dobara control hasil kar liya aur qimat ko us hadd me wapas laa diya jis me yah pahle trade kar raha tha. Is tarah ki kami ke bad, bulls ne apni kamyabi ko duhrane aur qimat ko ooper le jane ki koshish ki, lekin un ki yah koshish nakam rahi. Aaj, 145.09 ki satah se niche ek sell signal tashkil diya gaya tha, jis ne bechne walon ko qimat ko niche khinchne ki ijazat di thi. Waqt batayega keh yah qadam kitna kar aamad hoga. Aakhir kar, market ki suratehal ghair uaqini hai. Yah andazah lagana mushkil hai keh jodi kis simt me jayegi. Yaumiyah chart ke mutabiq, bearish candlestick abhi ban na shuru hui hai, lehaza kuch bhi ho sakta hai.

USD/JPY currency pair ke price behavior pe hamari guftagu ka markazi point abhi ke halat hain. USD/JPY currency pair ne Monday ko apni downward movement continue ki aur pehle ki trading week ke muqablay mein nayi low tak pohanch gaya. Halankeh price ne apni opening level pe wapas aaya, overall outlook wahi hai. Mujhe ab bhi ummed hai ke USD/JPY pair mein kami aayegi. Agar price resistance level 145.19 tak pohnchti hai, jo ke meri Fibonacci grid ke 99th level ke barabar hai aur last Monday ki low se milti hai, to yeh behtareen mauka hoga sell positions open karne ke liye. Is case mein, target 160th level of the Fibonacci grid, lagbhag 142.59 hoga. Bearish scenario tabhi invalidate hoga agar price 145.19 resistance ko todti hai aur uske upar stable rehti hai. Agar aisa hota hai, to buying zyada attractive aur potentially rewarding ho sakti hai. Isliye main abhi ke levels pe transactions ka soch nahi raha.

Jab ke main USD/JPY ke liye bade plans nahi bana raha, meri nazar bullish trend ki taraf hai. Aapne kaha ke market ek direction mein nahi chal sakti, lekin main general sentiment ki baat kar raha hoon. Aksar 92-94 percent retail traders ek hi direction mein position lete hain, jabke major financial players opposite direction mein move karte hain, unke stops ya margins ko capitalize karte hain. US dollar ne apni strength gain ki hai, aur USD/JPY pair 143 ke middle tak pohnch gaya hai. Main dekhna chahta hoon ke yeh 145th figure tak pohnchta hai, jahan se yeh last Friday ko gira tha. Yeh zaroori hai ke downward trend abhi bhi yen pair ke liye chal raha hai, aur aaj ke movement bhi is decline ko continue kar raha hai. Dollar ki strength gain karne ki koshish ke bawajood, pair ka ongoing decline yen ki resilience ko highlight karta hai. Abhi bhi aage ke decline ke liye kaafi jagah hai, kyunki short-lived recovery puri tarah se play out nahi hui, aur long-term targets ab bhi intact hain.

USD/JPY pair ab aise nishaan dikhata hai ke buyers agle waqt mein dominate kar sakte hain. Jabke buyers ke samne challenges hain, wo apni positions ko barqarar rakhe hue hain. Maujooda conditions ko dekhte hue, umeed hai ke prices waqt ke sath barh sakti hain. Lekin, sellers abhi bhi significant influence rakhte hain aur apne control ko asaani se nahi chhodenge.

Current Market Dynamics

Is waqt, buyers struggle kar rahe hain lekin persist kar rahe hain, jo ke near future mein bullish shift ka ishaara hai. Agar current conditions waisa hi rahengi, to prices ke barhne ki strong likelihood hai. Fundamental data releases par nazar rakhna zaroori hai, kyunki ye market ke direction ko determine karne mein important role play karenge. Economic statistics ka impact bullish trend confirm karne mein key hoga.

Key Considerations for Traders

- Buyer Persistence: Challenges ke bawajood, buyers apni positions ko maintain kar rahe hain. Ye persistence is baat ki indication hai ke agar conditions favorable rahengi, to higher prices ki taraf shift ho sakti hai.
- Seller Influence: Sellers abhi bhi active hain aur market par influence daal rahe hain. Unki price action control ki ability ko aane wale economic data se test kiya jayega.
- Fundamental Data: Aane wale economic releases se market par significant impact padega. Positive data market ko bullish trend ki taraf drive kar sakti hai. Wahi, weak data current bearish sentiment ko sustain kar sakta hai.
- Technical Correction: Agar market bullish direction ki taraf shift hoti hai, to corrections ke doran buying opportunities dekhna achha hoga. Bullish trend ke shift mein temporary dips aa sakti hain jo traders ko upward movement ka faida uthane ka mauka de sakti hain.

Long-Term Outlook

Historically, USD/JPY pair mein sustained downward movement ki kami rahi hai. Current downward trend ek temporary phase lagta hai, jo ke ek "tail" banane se pehle ka phase ho sakta hai. Ye perspective is baat ke sath align karta hai ke current bearish movement shayad ek stronger upward trajectory ka precursor ho sakti hai.

Conclusion

Summary ke tor par, USD/JPY pair bullish movement ke liye poised hai, buyers ki persistence aur aane wale fundamental data ke impact ko dekhte hue. Jabke sellers abhi bhi influence daal rahe hain, unka control favorable data aur market conditions se challenge ho sakta hai. Traders ko bullish signals ka intezaar karna chahiye aur corrective phases ke doran market mein enter karne par ghoor karna chahiye agar trend positive hota hai. Current downward trend short-term adjustment ke liye hai jo ek substantial upward

USDJPY ne last few sessions mein very strong seller pressure dikhai hai. Impulsive bearish candles se ye dekhne mein aaya hai, jo EMA 50 aur EMA 100 ke do levels ko penetrate karne mein kamyab rahe. Ye strong indication hai ki bearish trend market ko dominate kar raha hai. Price movement support level 146,429 ko test karta raha hai, jo finally penetrate kiya gaya. Ye bearish movement high level 161,639 se shuru hua, phir decline karta raha until critical support level 146,429 par pahunch gaya. Support level ke penetration se ye dikha hai ki sellers ko market par full control hai, prices ko lower push kar raha hai. Technical analysis se, key support levels ke penetration ke baad bearish trend ka continuation hua hai, especially high trading volume aur negative market sentiment ke saath. Is case mein, EMA 50 aur EMA 100 ko penetrate karne ke baad bearish pressure continue hone ka possibility hai. Next possible target decline ke liye 140,731 ke level par hai. Ye level significant support level hai aur sellers ke liye target ho sakta hai. H1 Hour Timeframe

USDJPY H1 timeframe par increasingly strong bearish movement dikha raha hai. EMA 50 aur EMA 100 ke direction se ye dekhne mein aaya hai, jo continue fall kar raha hai, seller dominance ko indicate karta hai. Important support level 151,900 ke penetration ne downward movement ka continuation trigger kiya hai, significant bearish strength ko dikha raha hai. Today's Asian session mein downward trend continue kar raha hai, sellers ko price movements par dominance dikha raha hai. Lekin technical analysis mein, strong bearish movement ke baad correction phase hoti hai, phir main trend continue hoti hai. My current trading plan upward correction ka wait kar raha hai, better sell momentum find karne ke liye. Area jo main watch kar raha hoon sell entry ke liye 146,522 - 147,428 ke aaspaas hai. Ye area potential resistance level hai jo price se retest ki ja

Total girawat 1720 points thi, aur reference point Fibonacci level 88.2 tha, jo ek significant Moving Average (MA) se coincide kar raha tha. Maine yeh sab screen par draw kiya tha, jahan direction ruk gayi thi, aur price ne kafi upar move kiya. Mera yaqeen hai ke aane wale haftay mein hum 148.53 tak pohonch sakte hain, jo ke kam az kam 200 points ka move hoga. Main suggest karta hoon ke apne trading strategy ke mutabiq is plan ko dobara dekhein. Economic calendar mein Japan aur US dono se kaafi important news aa rahi hain, toh fundamentals bhi price action ko influence karenge USD/JPY currency pair ne upar ki taraf ek strong correction dekhi hai, lekin main filhaal in prices par sell karne mein mehsoos kar raha hoon. Dekhte hain agle hafta kya laata hai, kyun ke humein abhi yeh weekend guzarni hai. Main yeh nahi keh raha ke market mein kuch bhi fixed hai, lekin Middle East mein naye tensions hain, aur agar kuch hota hai, toh Monday ko market khulte hi surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Lekin kisi bhi surat mein, yeh Japanese yen ko mazid strong kar sakta hai. Bearish trend abhi bhi relevant hai, aur agar Monday ko prices 147.90 mark se upar break nahi karti, toh phir market mein sell karne ke liye enter karne ka waqt ho sakta hai. Phir bhi, weekend par is idea ka tajzia karenge, okay fundamental factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue final faisla karne se pehle Meri analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ke paas abhi bhi upar jane ka chance hai kyun ke candle ne middle Bollinger Band line ko penetrate kiya hai. Lekin sikke se kaam lena zaroori hai, kyun ke candle ab tak MA50 line ko penetrate nahi kar payi hai. Yahan se ek rebound ho sakta hai jo price ko niche le jaye. Yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke yeh scenario play out ho, aur hum price distribution ke agle phase mein dakhil ho jayein jab zyada tar market participants yeh samajhne lagen ke corrective rollback khatam ho gaya hai, aur is point se selling shuru ho jaye. Lekin agar yeh puppeteer trap kaam kar jata hai, toh is scenario ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair bina kisi rollback ke seedha 159.13 tak ja sakta h

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Total girawat 1720 points thi, aur reference point Fibonacci level 88.2 tha, jo ek significant Moving Average (MA) se coincide kar raha tha. Maine yeh sab screen par draw kiya tha, jahan direction ruk gayi thi, aur price ne kafi upar move kiya. Mera yaqeen hai ke aane wale haftay mein hum 148.53 tak pohonch sakte hain, jo ke kam az kam 200 points ka move hoga. Main suggest karta hoon ke apne trading strategy ke mutabiq is plan ko dobara dekhein. Economic calendar mein Japan aur US dono se kaafi important news aa rahi hain, toh fundamentals bhi price action ko influence karenge USD/JPY currency pair ne upar ki taraf ek strong correction dekhi hai, lekin main filhaal in prices par sell karne mein mehsoos kar raha hoon. Dekhte hain agle hafta kya laata hai, kyun ke humein abhi yeh weekend guzarni hai. Main yeh nahi keh raha ke market mein kuch bhi fixed hai, lekin Middle East mein naye tensions hain, aur agar kuch hota hai, toh Monday ko market khulte hi surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Lekin kisi bhi surat mein, yeh Japanese yen ko mazid strong kar sakta hai. Bearish trend abhi bhi relevant hai, aur agar Monday ko prices 147.90 mark se upar break nahi karti, toh phir market mein sell karne ke liye enter karne ka waqt ho sakta hai. Phir bhi, weekend par is idea ka tajzia karenge, okay fundamental factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue final faisla karne se pehle Meri analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ke paas abhi bhi upar jane ka chance hai kyun ke candle ne middle Bollinger Band line ko penetrate kiya hai. Lekin sikke se kaam lena zaroori hai, kyun ke candle ab tak MA50 line ko penetrate nahi kar payi hai. Yahan se ek rebound ho sakta hai jo price ko niche le jaye. Yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke yeh scenario play out ho, aur hum price distribution ke agle phase mein dakhil ho jayein jab zyada tar market participants yeh samajhne lagen ke corrective rollback khatam ho gaya hai, aur is point se selling shuru ho jaye. Lekin agar yeh puppeteer trap kaam kar jata hai, toh is scenario ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair bina kisi rollback ke seedha 159.13 tak ja sakta h

InstaSpot: کسی بھی EPS اور بینک سے منافع واپس لیں، اور EPS اور cryptocurrencies کے تبادلے پر 7% تک کمائیں۔
Total girawat 1720 points thi, aur reference point Fibonacci level 88.2 tha, jo ek significant Moving Average (MA) se coincide kar raha tha. Maine yeh sab screen par draw kiya tha, jahan direction ruk gayi thi, aur price ne kafi upar move kiya. Mera yaqeen hai ke aane wale haftay mein hum 148.53 tak pohonch sakte hain, jo ke kam az kam 200 points ka move hoga. Main suggest karta hoon ke apne trading strategy ke mutabiq is plan ko dobara dekhein. Economic calendar mein Japan aur US dono se kaafi important news aa rahi hain, toh fundamentals bhi price action ko influence karenge USD/JPY currency pair ne upar ki taraf ek strong correction dekhi hai, lekin main filhaal in prices par sell karne mein mehsoos kar raha hoon. Dekhte hain agle hafta kya laata hai, kyun ke humein abhi yeh weekend guzarni hai. Main yeh nahi keh raha ke market mein kuch bhi fixed hai, lekin Middle East mein naye tensions hain, aur agar kuch hota hai, toh Monday ko market khulte hi surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Lekin kisi bhi surat mein, yeh Japanese yen ko mazid strong kar sakta hai. Bearish trend abhi bhi relevant hai, aur agar Monday ko prices 147.90 mark se upar break nahi karti, toh phir market mein sell karne ke liye enter karne ka waqt ho sakta hai. Phir bhi, weekend par is idea ka tajzia karenge, okay fundamental factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue final faisla karne se pehle Meri analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ke paas abhi bhi upar jane ka chance hai kyun ke candle ne middle Bollinger Band line ko penetrate kiya hai. Lekin sikke se kaam lena zaroori hai, kyun ke candle ab tak MA50 line ko penetrate nahi kar payi hai. Yahan se ek rebound ho sakta hai jo price ko niche le jaye. Yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke yeh scenario play out ho, aur hum price distribution ke agle phase mein dakhil ho jayein jab zyada tar market participants yeh samajhne lagen ke corrective rollback khatam ho gaya hai, aur is point se selling shuru ho jaye. Lekin agar yeh puppeteer trap kaam kar jata hai, toh is scenario ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair bina kisi rollback ke seedha 159.13 tak ja sakta h

USD/JPY Technical Analysis: Short-Term Bullishness ko Long-Term Bearish Outlook mein Navigate Karna
Is analysis mein, hum USD/JPY currency pair ki technical aspects mein ghuste hain, iski current market behavior aur potential future movements ki insights offer karte hain. Latest data ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair mixed technical landscape mein navigate kar raha hai, short-term bullish trend ko long-term bearish outlook ke sath contrast karte hue.

*Current Price aur Moving Averages*

Analysis ke waqt, USD/JPY pair 50-day moving average (MA50) se upar trade kar raha hai lekin 200-day moving average (MA200) se neeche hai. Yeh setup short-term aur long-term trends mein divergence ko indicate karta hai. Khaskar, price MA50 se upar hone se immediate upward momentum ka suggestion hai, short-term mein bullish bias ko hint karte hue. Lekin, price MA200 se neeche hone se broader context mein bearish sentiment ko underscore karta hai, jo pair ke key resistance levels ko approach karne par phir se assert ho sakta hai.

*Trend Analysis*

USD/JPY pair ki current positioning MA50 se upar short-term strength ko reflect karta hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ki buyers currently control mein hain, price ko higher drive karte hue. Lekin, traders ko cautious rehna chahiye jab price MA200 ko approach karta hai. Historically, MA200 significant trend indicator hai; agar price is level se upar break nahi karta hai, to yeh broader downtrend ki resumption ko signal kar sakta hai, sellers ko dominance regain karne ke liye.

*Support aur Resistance Levels*

Key support aur resistance levels USD/JPY pair ki next move ko determine karne mein crucial hain:

- *Support*: Immediate support level MA50 ke qareeb hai. Agar price is level se neeche drop karta hai, to yeh short-term bullish scenario ko negate kar sakta hai aur further declines ki taraf pave kar sakta hai. Yeh support level bulls ke liye critical line of defense hai aur isko closely monitor karna zaroori hai.

- *Resistance*: Upside par, resistance 148.50 to 149.00 range mein expected hai. Agar price is levels se upar break karta hai, to yeh further buying opportunities ko signal kar sakta hai, potentially higher resistance zones ki retest ko lead karte hue. Lekin, agar price is levels se upar nahi nikalta hai, to yeh reversal ko trigger kar sakta hai, longer-term bearish outlook ko reaffirm karte hue.

*Technical Indicators*

*Relative Strength Index (RSI)* bhi key indicator hai. Agar RSI 50 se upar hai, to yeh typically bullish momentum ko confirm karta hai, further gains ke liye case ko support karte hue. Lekin, agar RSI overbought territory mein enter karta hai (70 se upar), to yeh suggest kar sakta hai ki

Tuesday ko, spot price 0.40% se zyada kam trading ho rahi hai, jo ke July 10 ko pohnche huye peak levels se bearish trend reversal ko continue kar rahi hai. Currency pair, ab 143.96 ke aas-paas hai, jo ke yeh darshata hai ke short-term aur shayad medium-term trends bearish outlook ko shift kar chuki hain. Adage ke mutabiq, "the trend is your friend," is waqt downward movement ke continuation ke chances zyada hain.

USD/JPY ke Fundamentals:

Reuters ke mutabiq, senior ruling party official Toshimitsu Motegi ne Bank of Japan (BoJ) ko monetary policy normalize karne ke plans ko clear communicate karne ki guzarish ki hai, jisme gradual interest rate hikes shamil hain. Prime Minister Fumio Kishida ne is sentiment ko echo kiya, yeh suggest karte hue ke aisa move Japan ki growth-driven economy ke shift ko support karega. Lekin, recent economic data mixed picture dikhati hai. Jibun Bank Japan Manufacturing PMI July mein 49.2 tak gir gaya hai, jo ke June ke 50.0 se kam hai aur market expectations ko miss karta hai, factory activity mein April ke baad pehli dafa decline ko indicate karta hai. Iske bawajood, Services PMI 53.9 tak barh gaya hai, jo ke April ke baad se service sector mein sabse zyada growth hai.

Economic landscape ko further complicate karte hue, Japanese Cabinet Office ne July ke liye economic assessment ko maintain kiya lekin caution outlook ko apne monthly report mein diya. Government ne exports ki evaluation ko bhi downgrade kiya, stagnation ko note karte hue. Japan Corporate Service Price Index (CSPI) ne June mein saal-dar-saal 3.0% ka increase dekha, jo ke pehle ke 2.7% se zyada hai, aur yeh nine saal mein sabse tez inflation ki raftar ko indicate karta hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Technical taur par, agar 50-week Simple Moving Average ke neeche aur major uptrend line jo ke 143.50 ke aas-paas hai ke neeche breach hota hai to yeh long-term trend ke reversal ka signal hoga. Aise mein potential downside targets 141.61 ke aas-paas honge, aur further support 136.88 par hoga. Dusri taraf, agar USD/JPY buyers ko control wapas chahiye to unhein pair ko 146.00 level ke upar push karna hoga aur Kumo cloud ke upar sustain karna hoga

USD/JPY ki price direction ka tajziya ye hai ke recent mein USD/JPY ne 144.53 ke support level ko tod diya hai, jo ke is baat ka izhaar hai ke downtrend continue kar sakta hai. Is breakout ke baad 99 points ka girawat hua, aur pair ne thodi upar ki taraf correction ki koshish ki, jahan buyers ne kuch zameen wapas hasil ki aur resistance level 144.53 tak pohnch gaya. Is point se, behtaar hoga ke sell positions open ki jayein, aur 140-141 ke range tak decline ka target rakha jaye. Agar pair 144.53 ke resistance se upar rebound karta hai, to recovery continue ho sakti hai aur agle resistance 146.38 ki taraf badh sakti hai. Hourly chart par ek ascending channel, jo flag jaisa lag raha hai, ye suggest karta hai ke downtrend phir se shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin H4 chart par, pair ek descending channel mein hai, jo ke lower boundary se bounce ho raha hai. Agar price 144.49 ko todti hai, to buy with a target of 145.69 ek acha strategy ho sakti hai. Is ke sath, market ke signs hain ke recent low 141.70 ke breakdown ke liye tayari ho rahi hai. 4-hour chart par, bears poor downtrend ko resume karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Price 143.43 ke support level ke 1/12 angle aur 74% ke position par hai, jo ke aakhri significant support 141.70 se thoda upar hai. Ye level bearish traders ke liye ek key target ban sakta hai. Thodi consolidation ke baad, pair aur zyada bearish ho sakta hai. But, Bank of Japan ke liye ye lagta hai ke woh USD/JPY pair ke significant drop ko rokne ki koshish karega. Unho ne currency interventions ke potential signals diye hain agar yen ki value sharply fluctuate karti hai, jo ke yen ko kamzor kar sakta hai agar woh zyada strong ho jaye. Is liye, 129 ka target realistic nahi lagta, kyunki Bank of Japan 139 ke aas paas intervene kar sakta hai, aur apne currency ko kamzor karne ke liye billions of yen inject kar sakta h

USD/JPY currency pair ne haal hi mein 144.53 ka support level tod diya hai, jo ke niche ki taraf trend ke continue hone ki ishara hai. 99 points ke girawat ke baad, pair ne upar ki taraf correction ki koshish ki, magar behtar hoga ke sell positions kholen aur 140-141 ke range ki taraf target rakhen. Agar pair 144.53 ke resistance se upar rebound karta hai, toh recovery agle resistance 146.38 ki taraf barh sakti hai. Hourly chart par ek ascending channel ka nazar aata hai jo ke downtrend ke resume hone ka ishara hai, jabke H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur 144.49 se break hone par buying opportunity ban sakti hai, target 145.69 ke saath. Is waqt market recent low 141.70 ke breakdown ke liye tayar lagti hai.
USD/JPY pair ne haal hi mein 143 tak girawat dekhi lekin baad mein recover hote hue American trading session ke end tak 100 points ki gain ki. Daily price chart ab ek bullish pattern dikha raha hai. Bears ne 144.99 ke key level ke neeche price ko push karne mein naakam rahe hain, jo ke downward trend ke continue hone par shak utha raha hai. Current market uncertainty ko dekhte hue, cautious rehna behtar hoga, kyunki price is level ke aas-paas kuch din ke liye ruk sakti hai. US dollar index ne strong weekly support level tak pahuncha hai, jo ke dollar ke liye corrective rebound ka ishara hai. Speaker filhal sirf pair ko sell karne ke baare mein soch rahe hain aur is waqt buy karne ka plan nahi hai. Currency pair ne 143.99 level ko neeche se test kiya aur 144.49 tak aa gaya, jo ek positive sign hai, aur bulls shayad Asian trading session ke doran price ko aur 49 points upar push kar sakte hain.

Current price 143.43 hai jo ke 141.70 ke important support level ke upar hai. Yeh level traders ke liye key target ban sakta hai jo decline par bet kar rahe hain. Thodi cons olidation ke baad, pair shayad aur girawat dekhe. Magar, Bank of Japan kaafi ehtiyaat se kaam karega aur significant drop ko allow nahi karega. Unhone already indicate kiya hai ke agar yen ka value sharply fluctuate karega to market mein intervene kar sakte hain, jo ke yen ko zyada mazboot hone se rokenge. Isliye, 129 ka target realistic nahi lagta, kyunki Bank of Japan 139 level ke aas-paas intervene kar

price behavior ko weekly chart ke hawale se analyze kiya gaya tha. Main aapko yaad dilana chahta hoon ke price action method pehle istemal hui thi, jahan candlestick pattern "Evening Star" ne diagonal support ke break hone ke baad ek tez girawat indicate ki thi, aur uske baad sellers ne kaafi arsay tak market apne control mein rakhi. Total girawat 1720 points thi, aur reference point Fibonacci level 88.2 tha, jo ek significant Moving Average (MA) se coincide kar raha tha. Maine yeh sab screen par draw kiya tha, jahan direction ruk gayi thi, aur price ne kafi upar move kiya. Mera yaqeen hai ke aane wale haftay mein hum 148.53 tak pohonch sakte hain, jo ke kam az kam 200 points ka move hoga. Main suggest karta hoon ke apne trading strategy ke mutabiq is plan ko dobara dekhein. Economic calendar mein Japan aur US dono se kaafi important news aa rahi hain, toh fundamentals bhi price action ko influence karenge USD/JPY currency pair ne upar ki taraf ek strong correction dekhi hai, lekin main filhaal in prices par sell karne mein ehtiyat mehsoos kar raha hoon. Dekhte hain agle hafta kya laata hai, kyun ke humein abhi yeh weekend guzarni hai. Main yeh nahi keh raha ke market mein kuch bhi fixed hai, lekin Middle East mein naye tensions hain, aur agar kuch hota hai, toh Monday ko market khulte hi surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Lekin kisi bhi surat mein, yeh Japanese yen ko mazid strong kar sakta hai. Bearish trend abhi bhi relevant hai, aur agar Monday ko prices 147.90 mark se upar break nahi karti, toh phir market mein sell karne ke liye enter karne ka waqt ho sakta hai. Phir bhi, weekend par is idea ka tajzia karenge, tamam fundamental factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue final faisla karne se pehle Meri analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ke paas abhi bhi upar jane ka chance hai kyun ke candle ne middle Bollinger Band line ko penetrate kiya hai. Lekin ehtiyat se kaam lena zaroori hai, kyun ke candle ab tak MA50 line ko penetrate nahi kar payi hai. Yahan se ek rebound ho sakta hai jo price ko niche le jaye. Yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke yeh scenario play out ho, aur hum price distribution ke agle phase mein dakhil ho jayein jab zyada tar market participants yeh samajhne lagen ke corrective rollback khatam ho gaya hai, aur is point se selling shuru ho jaye. Lekin agar yeh puppeteer trap kaam kar jata hai, toh is scenario ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair bina kisi rollback ke seedha 159.13 tak ja sakta hai, aur agar aisa hota hai, toh market wahan se kafi gir sakti hai Main predict karta hoon ke USD/JPY abhi bhi rise karega, kyun ke H1 support price 145.88 ab tak break nahi hui hai. Is liye, main recommend karta hoon ke jo log is pair mein trade kar rahe hain, woh sirf buy positions par focus karein. Aap apna take profit target 151.20 par set kar sakte hain aur stop loss 145.45 par rakh sakte

ke andazay se thoda kam raha aur market dynamics par kisi bhi khaas asar ka sabab nahi bana. Pair lagta hai ke sideways trade karta rahega, jis se yen ki volatility wapas normal ho rahi hai. Intraday strategy ke liye, mein zyada bharosa karunga Scenario No. 1 aur 2 par.Aaj mera plan hai USD/JPY ko kharidne ka jab yeh 144.82 ke entry point par ponche, jo chart par green line se plot ki gayi hai, aur target 145.45 tak jane ka hai, jo chart par moti green line se plot ki gayi hai. 145.45 ke area mein, mein long positions exit karne ka irada rakhta hoon aur opposite direction mein short positions open karne ka plan hai, jismein level se 30-35 pips ki movement expect ki ja sakti hai. Aaj pair ke upar jaane ki ummed hai upward correction ke tahat. Important: Kharidne se pehle, ye yaqeen kar lein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar ho aur wahan se rise kar raha ho.Mein USD/JPY ko kharidne ka plan karta hoon jab 144.47 ke do musalsal test ho aur MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ki downward potential ko limit kar dega aur market mein ulta upturn layega. Hum growth expect kar s


akte hain opposite levels 144.82 aur 145.55 tak.Mein aaj USD/JPY ko sell karne ka plan karta hoon sirf us surat mein jab 144.47 ke level ka test ho, jo chart par red line se plot kiya gaya hai, jisse pair mein tezi se decline hoga. Sellers ka key target 143.76 ka level ho ga jahan mein short positions exit karne ka irada rakhta hoon aur foran se opposite direction mein long positions open karne ka plan hai, jismein level se 20-25 pips ki movement expect ki ja sakti hai. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, kyun ke dollar ke bearish market abhi tak khatam nahi hui. Important: Bechne se pehle, yeh ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark se neeche ho aur decline shuru kar raha ho Mein USD/JPY ko sell karne ka plan karta hoon jab 144.82 ke do musalsal test ho aur MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Yeh pair ki upward potential ko limit kar dega aur market mein ulta downturn layega. Hum decline expect kar sakte hain opposite level 144.47 aur 143.76 tak

Japan ke consumer confidence indicator ke data release hua jo maashiyaatdaan ke andazay se thoda kam raha aur market dynamics par kisi bhi khaas asar ka sabab nahi bana. Pair lagta hai ke sideways trade karta rahega, jis se yen ki volatility wapas normal ho rahi hai. Intraday strategy ke liye, mein zyada bharosa karunga Scenario No. 1 aur 2 par.Aaj mera plan hai USD/JPY ko kharidne ka jab yeh 144.82 ke entry point par ponche, jo chart par green line se plot ki gayi hai, aur target 145.45 tak jane ka hai, jo chart par moti green line se plot ki gayi hai. 145.45 ke area mein, mein long positions exit karne ka irada rakhta hoon aur opposite direction mein short positions open karne ka plan hai, jismein level se 30-35 pips ki movement expect ki ja sakti hai. Aaj pair ke upar jaane ki ummed hai upward correction ke tahat. Important: Kharidne se pehle, ye yaqeen kar lein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar ho aur wahan se rise kar raha ho.Mein USD/JPY ko kharidne ka plan karta hoon jab 144.47 ke do musalsal test ho aur MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ki downward potential ko limit kar dega aur market mein ulta upturn layega. Hum growth expect kar sakte hain opposite levels 144.82 aur 145.55 tak.Mein aaj USD/JPY ko sell karne ka plan karta hoon sirf us surat mein jab 144.47 ke level ka test ho, jo chart par red line se plot kiya gaya hai, jisse pair mein tezi se decline hoga. Sellers ka key target 143.76 ka level ho ga jahan mein short positions exit karne ka irada rakhta hoon aur foran se opposite direction mein long positions open karne ka plan hai, jismein level se 20-25 pips ki movement expect ki ja sakti hai. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, kyun ke dollar ke bearish market abhi tak khatam nahi hui. Important: Bechne se pehle, yeh ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark se neeche ho aur decline shuru kar raha ho Mein USD/JPY ko sell karne ka plan karta hoon jab 144.82 ke do musalsal test ho aur MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Yeh pair ki upward potential ko limit kar dega aur market mein ulta downturn layega. Hum decline expect kar sakte hain opposite level 144.47 aur 143.76 tak